Wilkins regulator division unit sales per week by quarter

History through Q4 2004 Forecast Beginning Q1 2005

Revised October 7, 2004 Final File: FCSTMASTER

Prod Fiscal Year

Line Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total
PVB 1999 1,788 3,748 5,115 3,167 179,634
2000 2,097 4,008 5,532 3,123 191,880
2001 2,116 3,523 5,921 3,374 194,136
2002 2,352 4,092 6,824 3,968 224,072
2003 2,721 4,449 7,184 4,531 245,506
2004 3,029 5,786 9,451 4,231 292,465
2005 4,120 7,480 9,341 5,983 350,012
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

FIRE 1999 36 43 18 13 1,432

VALVE 2000 47 32 34 24 1,777
2001 21 45 19 38 1,608
2002 36 38 28 43 1,886
2003 42 27 25 11 1,357
2004 22 26 28 29 1,371
2005 43 51 51 51 2,550
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

2,116 3,523 5,921 3,374

2,352 4,092 6,824 3,968
2,721 4,449 7,184 4,531
3,029 5,786 9,451 4,231

2,116 27,508 27,512 (4)

3,523 45,799 45,798 1
5,921 76,973 76,968 5
3,374 43,862 43,858 4
2,352 30,576 30,580 (4)
4,092 53,196 53,198 (2)
6,824 88,712 88,704 8
3,968 51,584 51,590 (6)
2,721 35,373 35,372 1
4,449 57,837 57,840 (3)
7,184 93,392 93,388 4
4,531 58,903 58,906 (3)
3,029 39,377 39,382 (5)
5,786 75,218 75,219 (1)
9,451 122,863 122,868 (5)
4,231 55,003 54,996 7
4,120 53,560 48,159 5,401
7,480 97,240
9,351 121,563
5,993 77,909
 700

600

500

21 45 19 38 400
36 38 28 43
42 27 25 11 300
22 26 28 29
43 51 51 51 200

P X 100
21 273 270 3
45 585 590 (5) 0
0 2
19 247 252 (5)
38 494 497 (3)
36 468 464 4
38 494 495 (1)
28 364 370 (6) 140,000
43 559 557 2
42 546 541 5 120,000
27 351 351 -
100,000
25 325 331 (6)
11 143 137 6
80,000
22 286 285 1
26 338 344 (6)
60,000
28 364 360 4
29 377 382 (5)
40,000
43 559 580 (21)
20,000

-
1 2 3

140,000
Axis Title

120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
-
 140,000

Axis Title
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
-
 Chart Title
700

600

500

400

300

200

100
P X
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

Chart Title
140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Chart Title
140,000
Axis Title

120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
Col um
40,000 nE
20,000
-
1 2 3 Col umn F
4 5 6
7 Axis
8 9 Title
10 11 12 13 14 Col umn E
15
 140,000

Axis Title
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
Col um
40,000 nE
20,000
-
1 2 3 Col umn F
4 5 6
7 Axis
8 9 Title
10 11 12 Col umn E
13 14 15 16
17
 Fire
PVB PVB PVB PVB PVB Valve
Year Qtr 12-720 34-720 1-720 34-420 1-420 Total Z2105

2001 1 2,108 6,716 10,688 7,158 842 27,512 122

2001 2 2,516 11,510 21,688 7,034 3,050 45,798 139
2001 3 2,954 18,438 40,814 9,026 5,736 76,968 54
2001 4 2,224 10,456 19,510 7,254 4,414 43,858 78
2002 1 1,788 9,464 9,824 6,968 2,536 30,580 18
2002 2 2,512 12,942 21,848 9,156 6,740 53,198 224
2002 3 3,540 21,640 48,936 8,134 6,454 88,704 138
2002 4 3,666 11,650 24,640 6,958 4,676 51,590 193
2003 1 3,546 11,270 12,400 5,208 2,948 35,372 124
2003 2 5,596 15,322 23,692 6,806 6,424 57,840 112
2003140,000 3 5,948
PVB Demand
19,424 47,904
Pattern
10,446 9,666 93,388 25 Fir
2003 4 4,892 13,310 26,990 7,960 5,754 58,906 37
2004120,000 1 4,311 10,214 13,851 7,397 3,609 39,382 79
700
2004 2 6,637 20,983 31,507 9,043 7,049 75,219 71
2004100,000 3 7,823 27,492 66,644 11,233 9,676 122,868 68
600
2004 4 6,652 19,535 17,337 7,496 3,976 54,996 54
2005 80,000 1 6,235 28,020 11,163 384 2,357 48,159 500
85
400
60,000 Sales H1 H2 Un skakm
27,512 275 82 3.9 9.5 300
40,000 45,798 274 74 4.233333 8.6233333
200
76,968 374 87 4.4 7.34
20,000
43,858 341 88 4.833333 6.5666667 100

-
30,580 285 81 5.533333 5.1566667
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 53,198
7 8 9 10 11 12 76
293 13 14 155.7 16 17 4.75 1 2 3 4
88,704 386 89 5.833333 4.75
51,590 361 98 5.733333 4.75
35,372 319 84 5.866667 4.45
57,840 304 71 5.833333 4.25
93,388 406 84 6.133333 4.24
58,906 412 99 6.133333 4
39,382 377 95 5.866667 4
75,219 345 80 5.666667 4
122,868 456 84 5.566667 4.0033333
54,996 440 92 5.433333 4.42
48,159 370 90 5.433333 4.9433333
 Fire Fire Fire Fire
Valve Valve Valve Valve
Z3000 Z3000IL Z3004 Z3004IL Total

77 1 20 50 270
240 - 144 67 590
138 3 25 32 252
275 36 59 49 497
301 (35) 48 132 464
133 - 35 103 495
175 - 15 42 370
251 10 50 63 557
213 2 32 170 541
150 3 46 40 351
64 Fire Valve Demand Pattern
139 26 77 331
57 3 18 22 137
700 108 49 23 26 285
105 52 26 90 344
600 151 2 62 77 360
114 84 44 86 382
500 199 140 66 90 580
400

300

200

100

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
 Forecast
12-mth
Part Q1 Unit Q2 Unit Q3 Unit Q4 Unit Plan Demand
No. Sales Sales Sales Sales Raw % Bill % 1,400/day
09/28/03 01/04/04 04/04/04 07/04/04
01/04/04 04/03/04 07/03/04 10/02/04

12-720 4,311 6,637 7,823 6,652 8.70% 10.60% 37,100

34-720 10,214 20,983 27,492 19,535 26.70% 25.10% 87,850
1-720 13,851 31,507 66,644 17,337 44.20% 44.10% 154,350
34-420 7,397 9,043 11,233 7,496 12.00% 12.00% 42,000
1-420 3,609 7,049 9,676 3,976 8.30% 8.20% 28,700

Total 39,382 75,219 122,868 54,996 100.00% 100 350,000

Days 64 65 64 63 250
Unit/Day 615 1,157 1,920 873 1,400

Total 292,463 350,000

Days 256 250
Unit/Day 1,142 1,400
 MAD
12-720 2,919
34-720 2,407
1-720 6,253
34-420 1,708
1-420 1,098

53,560 97,240 121,433 77,779

39,382 75,219 122,868 54,996
 Forecast
12-mth
Q1 Unit Q2 Unit Q3 Unit Q4 Unit Plan Demand
Part No. Sales Sales Sales Sales Raw % Bill % 10.2/day
9/28/2003 1/4/2004 4/4/2004 7/4/2004
1/4/2004 4/3/2004 7/3/2004 10/2/2004

Z2105 79 71 68 54 19.8% 21.2% 540

Z3000 108 105 151 114 34.9% 38.8% 990
Z3000IL 49 52 2 84 13.6% 11.8% 300
Z3004 23 26 62 44 11.3% 8.2% 210
Z3004IL 26 90 77 86 20.4% 20.0% 510

Total 285 344 360 382 100.0% 100.0% 2,550

Days 64 65 64 63 250
Unit/Day 4 5 6 6 10

Total 1,371 2,550

Days 256 250
Unit/Day 5 10
 43

67
128
28
14 294.75
58

79 71 68 54
11 22 26 28
143 286 338 364

4,120 7,480 9,341 5,983

Unemployment Rate
6.5
Oct-00 3.9 Q1 2001 3.90 6.0
Nov-00 3.9 Q2 2001 4.23 5.5
Dec-00 3.9 Q3 2001 4.40
Jan-01 4.2 Q4 2001 4.83 5.0
Feb-01 4.2 Q1 2002 5.53 4.5
Mar-01 4.3 Q2 2002 5.70 4.0
Apr-01 4.4 Q3 2002 5.83 3.5
May-01 4.3 Q4 2002 5.73
3.0
Jun-01 4.5 Q1 2003 5.87

Feb-01
Apr-01
Oct-00
Dec-00

Jun-01
Aug-01
Oct-01
Dec-01
Feb-02
Apr-02
Jun-02
Aug-02
Jul-01 4.6 Q2 2003 5.83
Aug-01 4.9 Q3 2003 6.13
Sep-01 5.0 Q4 2003 6.13
Seasonal Adjus
Oct-01 5.3 Q1 2004 5.87
Nov-01 5.6 Q2 2004 5.67
Dec-01 5.7 Q3 2004 5.57
Jan-02 5.7 Q4 2004 5.43 United States Unem
Feb-02 5.7 Q1 2004 5.43
Mar-02 5.7 7.00
Apr-02 5.9 6.00
May-02 5.8 5.00
4.00
Jun-02 5.8 3.00
Jul-02 5.8 2.00
Aug-02 5.7 1.00
Sep-02 5.7 0.00
Oct-02 5.7
01 01 01 0 1 02 02 02 02 03
Nov-02 5.9 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Dec-02 6.0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1
Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q
Jan-03 5.8
Feb-03 5.9 Seasonal Adjuste
Mar-03 5.8
Apr-03 6.0
May-03 6.1
Jun-03 6.3
Jul-03 6.2
Aug-03 6.1
Sep-03 6.1
Oct-03 6.0
Nov-03 5.9
Dec-03 5.7
Jan-04 5.7
Feb-04 5.6
Mar-04 5.7
Apr-04 5.5
May-04 5.6
Jun-04 5.6
Jul-04 5.5
Aug-04 5.4
Sep-04 5.4
Oct-04 5.5
Nov-04 5.4
Dec-04 5.4
 Feb-03
Apr-03

Feb-04
Apr-04
Jun-04
Jun-01
Aug-01
Oct-01
Dec-01
Feb-02
Apr-02
Jun-02
Aug-02
Oct-02
Dec-02

Jun-03
Aug-03
Oct-03
Dec-03

Aug-04
Oct-04
Dec-04
Seasonal Adjusted Unemployment Rate

United States Unemployment Rate

1 02 02 02 02 03 03 03 03 04 04 04 04 04
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1
Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q
Seasonal Adjusted Unemployment Rate
Bank Prime Loan
10.00
Oct-00 9.50 Q1 2001 9.50
Nov-00 9.50 Q2 2001 8.62 9.00
Dec-00 9.50 Q3 2001 7.34 8.00
Jan-01 9.05 Q4 2001 6.57
Feb-01 8.50 Q1 2002 5.16 7.00
Mar-01 8.32 Q2 2002 4.75
Apr-01 7.80 Q3 2002 4.75 6.00
May-01 7.24 Q4 2002 4.75
5.00
Jun-01 6.98 Q1 2003 4.45
Jul-01 6.75 Q2 2003 4.25 4.00
Aug-01 6.67 Q3 2003 4.24
Sep-01 6.28 Q4 2003 4.00 3.00

Feb-01

Oct-01
Dec-01

Apr-02

Feb-03
Oct-00
Dec-00

Apr-01
Jun-01
Aug-01

Feb-02

Jun-02
Aug-02
Oct-02
Dec-02
Oct-01 5.53 Q1 2004 4.00
Nov-01 5.10 Q2 2004 4.00
Dec-01 4.84 Q3 2004 4.00
Jan-02 4.75 Q4 2004 4.42 Bank Prime R

B a n k P rim e L o a n R a te
Feb-02 4.75 Q1 2004 4.94
Mar-02 4.75
Apr-02 4.75
May-02 4.75
Jun-02 4.75
Jul-02 4.75
Aug-02 4.75
Average Quarterly
Sep-02 4.75 Interest in Money and Ca
Oct-02 4.75
Nov-02 4.35 10.00
Dec-02 4.25 8.00
Jan-03 4.25 6.00
Feb-03 4.25 4.00
2.00
Mar-03 4.25
0.00
Apr-03 4.25
May-03 4.25
Jun-03 4.22
Jul-03 4.00 Bank Prime
Aug-03 4.00
Sep-03 4.00
Oct-03 4.00
Nov-03 4.00
Dec-03 4.00
Jan-04 4.00
Feb-04 4.00
Mar-04 4.00
Apr-04 4.00
May-04 4.00
Jun-04 4.01
Jul-04 4.25
Aug-04 4.43
Sep-04 4.58
Oct-04 4.75
Nov-04 4.93
Dec-04 5.15
 Feb-02
Apr-02
Jun-02
Aug-02
Oct-02
Dec-02
Feb-03

Bank Prime Rate

Apr-03
Jun-03

Average Quarterly Rate of

Aug-03

Bank Prime Loan Rate

Oct-03
Dec-03

est in Money and Capital Markets

Feb-04
Apr-04
Jun-04
Aug-04
Oct-04
Dec-04
 Housing Starts

Single UnMulti-UniTotal 600

1 Oct-00 275 82 357
2 Jan-01 274 74 348 500
3 Apr-01 374 87 461 400
4 Jul-01 341 88 429
300
5 Oct-01 285 81 366
6 Jan-02 293 76 369 200
7 Apr-02 386 89 475 100
8 Jul-02 361 98 459
9 Oct-02 319 84 403 0

36800

36892

37165

37438

37712
36982

37073

37257

37347

37530

37622
10 Jan-03 304 71 375
11 Apr-03 406 84 490
Column J
12 Jul-03 412 99 511 Column L
13 Oct-03 377 95 472
14 Jan-04 345 80 425
15 Apr-04 456 84 540
16 Jul-04 440 92 532
17 Oct-04 370 90 460
 37347

Column J
37438

Column L
37530

37622

37712

37803

37895

Column K
37987

38078

38169

38261
PVB

PVB Sales Unemployment Bank Loan Single Units Multi-Units

27,512 3.90 9.50 275 82
45,798 4.23 8.62 274 74
76,968 4.40 7.34 374 87
43,858 4.83 6.57 341 88
30,580 5.53 5.16 285 81
53,198 5.70 4.75 293 76
88,704 5.83 4.75 386 89
51,590 5.73 4.75 361 98
35,372 5.87 4.45 319 84
57,840 5.83 4.25 304 71
93,388 6.13 4.24 406 84
58,906 6.13 4.00 412 99
39,382 5.87 4.00 377 95
75,219 5.67 4.00 345 80
122,868 5.57 4.00 456 84
54,996 5.43 4.42 440 92
48,159 5.43 4.94 370 90

Fire

Fire Sales Unemployment Bank Loan Single Units Multi-Units

270 3.90 9.50 275 82
590 4.23 8.62 274 74
252 4.40 7.34 374 87
497 4.83 6.57 341 88
464 5.53 5.16 285 81
495 5.70 4.75 293 76
370 5.83 4.75 386 89
557 5.73 4.75 361 98
541 5.87 4.45 319 84
351 5.83 4.25 304 71
331 6.13 4.24 406 84
137 6.13 4.00 412 99
285 5.87 4.00 377 95
344 5.67 4.00 345 80
360 5.57 4.00 456 84
382 5.43 4.42 440 92
580 5.43 4.94 370 90
PVB

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8847058487
R Square 0.7827044388
Adjusted R Square 0.7102725851
Standard Error 13523.1499387927
Observations 17

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 7904673106.3 1976168277 10.80608045 0.0005996425
Residual 12 2194507011.2 182875584.27
Total 16 10099180118

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -121677.101991924 156325.78147 -0.778355949 0.451434426 -462281.7203
Unemployment 24224.9304227301 19684.044297 1.2306886764 0.242017549 -18662.91783
Bank Loan 10805.5401493265 8372.1744749 1.2906491834 0.221138305 -7435.861009
Single Units 567.7800672806 99.4519023885 5.7090920701 9.77211E-05 351.09298642
Multi-Units -2438.0281942456 575.23134973 -4.238343747 0.001150836 -3691.349639

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted PVB Sales Residuals

1 31673.9646493508 -4161.9646494
2 49212.5300793686 -3414.5300794
3 64466.5488277216 12501.451172
4 45432.9638809204 -1574.9638809
5 32425.1171582869 -1845.1171583
6 48800.7340774884 4397.2659225
7 73139.9045324218 15564.095468
8 34580.6560599239 17009.34394
9 44854.6166318097 -9482.6166318
10 65063.6764371702 -7223.6764372
11 98442.300499924 -5054.3004999
12 62685.2283540857 -3779.2283541
13 46105.057330186 -6723.0573302
14 59661.5320063445 15557.467994
15 110546.532122399 12321.467878
16 83230.1431644674 -28234.143164
17 54016.4941881312 -5857.4941881
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.4364507413
R Square 0.1904892496
Adjusted R Square -0.0793476672
Standard Error 134.9286994021
Observations 17

ANOVA
df
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Regression 4
218927.51629 -462281.7203 218927.51629 Residual 12
67112.778677 -18662.91783 67112.778677 Total 16
29046.941307 -7435.861009 29046.941307
784.46714814 351.09298642 784.46714814 Coefficients
-1184.706749 -3691.349639 -1184.706749 Intercept 1722.6350035565
Unemployment -116.331696305
Bank Loan -59.5338609102
Single Units -1.3777950968
Multi-Units 1.2858955886

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Fire Sales

1 429.9194959755
2 434.42424566
3 370.3745507533
4 412.7568019064
5 483.4226146744
6 470.7925966769
7 343.8634024895
8 401.5145098359
9 443.728631092
10 463.4634102842
11 305.3407827843
12 330.6505726507
13 404.7516043641
14 452.8189528928
15 316.4620029349
16 339.4990066529
17 402.2168183721
 Fire Valve

SS MS F Significance F
51408.835285 12852.208821 0.705942137 0.6030381985
218469.04707 18205.753922
269877.88235

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
1559.7574879 1.1044248974 0.29106228 -1675.784622 5121.054629 -1675.784622 5121.054629
196.39969297 -0.592321172 0.564629914 -544.2498671 311.5864745 -544.2498671 311.5864745
83.5342814489 -0.712687772 0.489665754 -241.539425 122.4717032 -241.539425 122.4717032
0.9922921733 -1.388497394 0.190220479 -3.539814015 0.784223821 -3.539814015 0.784223821
5.7394333587 0.224045739 0.826490868 -11.21925545 13.79104663 -11.21925545 13.79104663

Residuals
-159.91949598
155.57575434
-118.37455075
84.2431980936
-19.422614674
24.2074033231
26.1365975105
155.48549016
97.271368908
-112.46341028
25.6592172157
-193.65057265
-119.75160436
-108.81895289
43.5379970651
42.5009933471
177.78318163
SUMMARY OUTPUT

X Var

Residuals
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.998839
20
R Square 0.997679
Adjusted R 0.997524 10
Standard E 6.36676 0
Observatio 17
-10100 2

ANOVA -20
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 261322.1 261322.1 6446.725 3.55E-21
Residual 15 608.0345 40.53563
Total 16 261930.1

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 4.456025 5.143818 0.866287 0.399977 -6.507763 15.41981 -6.507763 15.41981
X Variable 0.984021 0.012256 80.2915 3.55E-21 0.957899 1.010143 0.957899 1.010143

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
Standard Residuals Percentile Y
1 270.1417 2.858279 0.463661 2.941176 143
2 585.0285 -0.028471 -0.004619 8.823529 247
3 252.4293 -5.429341 -0.88073 14.70588 273
4 493.5145 0.485491 0.078755 20.58824 286
5 461.0418 6.958187 1.128735 26.47059 325
6 491.5465 2.453533 0.398004 32.35294 338
7 368.5438 -4.54383 -0.737086 38.23529 351
8 552.5558 6.444225 1.045362 44.11765 364
9 536.8114 9.188562 1.490539 50 364
10 349.8474 1.152571 0.186966 55.88235 377
11 330.167 -5.167008 -0.838176 61.76471 468
12 139.2669 3.733085 0.605569 67.64706 494
13 284.902 1.097963 0.178108 73.52941 494
14 342.9593 -4.959282 -0.804479 79.41176 546
15 358.7036 5.296381 0.859162 85.29412 559
16 380.3521 -3.352083 -0.543764 91.17647 559
17 575.1883 -16.18826 -2.626008 97.05882 585
 X Variable 1 Residual Plot
Residuals

20
X Variable 1 Line Fit P
800
10 600

Y
0 400
200
-10100 200 300 400 500 600 700
X Variable 1 0
-20 100 200 300 400 500 600 7
X Variable 1

Normal Probability Plot

800
600
Y

400
200
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
able 1 Line Fit Plot

Y
Predicted Y
300 400 500 600 700
X Variable 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Residuals
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.87224
20000
R Square 0.760803
10000
Adjusted R 0.673822
0
Standard E 14020.92 -10000250
Observatio 16 -20000
-30000
ANOVA -40000
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 6.88E+09 1.72E+09 8.746788 0.001985
Residual 11 2.16E+09 1.97E+08
Total 15 9.04E+09

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept -132235 164175.3 -0.805452 0.437624 -493583 229112.1 -493583 229112.1
275 566.4804 103.1629 5.491127 0.000189 339.4205 793.5403 339.4205 793.5403
82 -2417.591 598.5486 -4.039088 0.001952 -3734.987 -1100.194 -3734.987 -1100.194
3.9 25031.44 20506.08 1.220683 0.247727 -20102.15 70165.03 -20102.15 70165.03
9.5 11819.74 9036.373 1.308018 0.217541 -8069.188 31708.66 -8069.188 31708.66

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted 27512
Residuals
Standard Residuals Percentile 27512
1 51970.59 -6172.594 -0.514091 3.125 30580
2 66193.2 10774.8 0.897392 9.375 35372
3 46788.11 -2930.115 -0.244038 15.625 39382
4 32844.53 -2264.527 -0.188604 21.875 43858
5 48829.54 4368.463 0.363832 28.125 45798
6 73421.06 15282.94 1.272857 34.375 48159
7 34997.59 16592.41 1.381918 40.625 51590
8 44843.29 -9471.286 -0.788827 46.875 53198
9 64576.43 -6736.431 -0.561051 53.125 54996
10 98319.98 -4931.983 -0.410766 59.375 57840
11 62618.27 -3712.269 -0.309181 65.625 58906
12 45786.77 -6404.769 -0.533428 71.875 75219
13 58916.97 16302.03 1.357733 78.125 76968
14 109662.2 13205.82 1.099861 84.375 88704
15 82845.14 -27849.14 -2.319447 90.625 93388
16 54212.35 -6053.355 -0.50416 96.875 122868
 275 Residual Plot
Residuals

20000
82 Residual Plot
Residuals

10000
0 20000
-10000250
-20000
Residuals
300
10000 350 3.9
400 Residual450 Plot
500
0 20000
85 9.590 Residual Plot
Residuals
-30000 -10000 65 10000
70 275
75 80 95 100 105
-40000 -20000 0 20000
-30000 -10000 4 10000 4.5 82 5 275
5.5 Line 6 Fit Plot
6.5

27512
-40000 -20000 0 150000
-30000 -10000 3 4 3.9 5 6 82 7Line Fit 8 Plot9

27512
-40000 -20000 100000
150000
-30000 50000 9.5 3.9 Line
Column D
Fit Plot

27512
-40000 100000 Predicted 27512
0 150000
250 50000 9.5 Line
Column D
Fit Plot

27512
300 350 100000
400 450 500
275 Predicted 27512
0 150000
90 95 100105 Normal Probabili
Column D
65 7050000
75 80 85

27512
100000
82 Predicted 27512
0 150000 Colum
4 50000
4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5
100000
3.9 Predi
0
3 50000
4 5 6 7 8 9
9.5
0
0 20 40 60
Sample Perce
Plot
ne Fit Plot
lumn D
edicted 27512
ormal Column
Probability
D
Predicted 27512
Plot
Column D
6.5
Predicted 27512
6 7 8 9
9.5
20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.884706
R Square 0.782704
Adjusted R 0.710273
Standard E 13523.15
Observatio 17

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 7.9E+09 1.98E+09 10.80608 0.0006
Residual 12 2.19E+09 1.83E+08
Total 16 1.01E+10

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
Intercept -121677 156325.8 -0.778356 0.451434 -462282 218927.5 -462282 218927.5
H1 567.7801 99.4519 5.709092 9.77E-05 351.093 784.4671 351.093 784.4671
H2 -2438.028 575.2313 -4.238344 0.001151 -3691.35 -1184.707 -3691.35 -1184.707
Un 24224.93 19684.04 1.230689 0.242018 -18662.92 67112.78 -18662.92 67112.78
skakm 10805.54 8372.174 1.290649 0.221138 -7435.861 29046.94 -7435.861 29046.94

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted Sales
Residuals
Standard Residuals Percentile Sales
1 31673.96 -4161.965 -0.355377 2.941176 27512
2 49212.53 -3414.53 -0.291556 8.823529 30580
3 64466.55 12501.45 1.067461 14.70588 35372
4 45432.96 -1574.964 -0.134481 20.58824 39382
5 32425.12 -1845.117 -0.157549 26.47059 43858
6 48800.73 4397.266 0.375469 32.35294 45798
7 73139.9 15564.1 1.328971 38.23529 48159
8 34580.66 17009.34 1.452376 44.11765 51590
9 44854.62 -9482.617 -0.809692 50 53198
10 65063.68 -7223.676 -0.616808 55.88235 54996
11 98442.3 -5054.3 -0.431571 61.76471 57840
12 62685.23 -3779.228 -0.322697 67.64706 58906
13 46105.06 -6723.057 -0.574061 73.52941 75219
14 59661.53 15557.47 1.328405 79.41176 76968
15 110546.5 12321.47 1.052093 85.29412 88704
16 83230.14 -28234.14 -2.410827 91.17647 93388
17 54016.49 -5857.494 -0.500154 97.05882 122868
 H1 Residual Plot
Residuals

20000
H2 Residual Plot
Residuals

10000
0
20000
-10000 250 300
Residuals
10000
-20000 Un Residual Plot
350 400 450 500

-30000 0 20000 H1
skakm Residual Plot
Residuals
-10000
-40000 65 70
10000 75 80 85 90 95 100 105
-20000 0 20000
-30000
-40000
4 H2 4.5
-10000 3.5 10000 H1 Line Fit Plot
5 5.5 6 6.5

Sales
-20000 0 150000
-30000
-40000
-10000 3 4
100000
H2 Line Fit Plot
Un5 6 7 8 9 10

Sales
-20000
150000
-30000
-40000
50000
100000
Un Line Fit Plot
skakm Sales
Predicted Sales

Sales
0 150000
250 50000 skakm Line Fit Plot
300 350 100000
400 450 500
Sales

Sales
H1 Predicted Sales
0 150000 Sales
50000 Normal Probabili
65 70 75 80 85
H2
90 95 100105
100000 Predicted Sales

Sales
0 150000 Sale
50000
3.5 4 4.5 5100000 5.5 6 6.5
Un Pred
0
3 450000 5 6 7 8 9 10
skakm
0
0 20 40 60
Sample Perce
Plot
Line Fit Plot
ales
redicted Sales
Sales
ormal Probability
Predicted Sales
Plot
Sales
6.5
Predicted Sales
7 8 9 10
kakm
20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile