SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.942496
R Square 0.888299
Adjusted R 0.851065
Standard E 1368.718
Observatio 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 44694188 44694188 23.85741 0.01641
Residual 3 5620165 1873388
Total 4 50314353

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -4204693 871280.1 -4.82588 0.016958 -6977495 -1431891 -6977495 -1431891
X Variable 2114.1 432.8266 4.884405 0.01641 736.6527 3491.547 736.6527 3491.547
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.997975
R Square 0.995954
Adjusted R 0.994605
Standard E 196.0227
Observatio 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 28375403 28375403 738.4639 0.000109
Residual 3 115274.7 38424.9
Total 4 28490677

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -3359423 124781.5 -26.9224 0.000112 -3756533 -2962312 -3756533 -2962312
X Variable 1684.5 61.98782 27.17469 0.000109 1487.227 1881.773 1487.227 1881.773
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.999202
R Square 0.998405
Adjusted R 0.997873
Standard E 11.34754
Observatio 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 241802.5 241802.5 1877.835 2.7E-05
Residual 3 386.3 128.7667
Total 4 242188.8

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -310395 7223.466 -42.9704 2.77E-05 -333384 -287407 -333384 -287407
X Variable 155.5 3.588407 43.33399 2.7E-05 144.0801 166.9199 144.0801 166.9199
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.999202
R Square 0.998405
Adjusted R 0.997873
Standard E 11.34754
Observatio 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 241802.5 241802.5 1877.835 2.7E-05
Residual 3 386.3 128.7667
Total 4 242188.8

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -310395 7223.466 -42.9704 2.77E-05 -333384 -287407 -333384 -287407
X Variable 155.5 3.588407 43.33399 2.7E-05 144.0801 166.9199 144.0801 166.9199
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.997521
R Square 0.995047
Adjusted R 0.993396
Standard E 1815.486
Observatio 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1.99E+09 1.99E+09 602.7343 0.000148
Residual 3 9887968 3295989
Total 4 2E+09

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -2.8E+07 1155678 -24.3521 0.000152 -3.2E+07 -2.4E+07 -3.2E+07 -2.4E+07
X Variable 14094.7 574.1071 24.55065 0.000148 12267.64 15921.76 12267.64 15921.76
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.997356
R Square 0.994718
Adjusted R 0.992958
Standard E 870.6273
Observatio 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 4.28E+08 4.28E+08 565.0002 0.000163
Residual 3 2273976 757991.9
Total 4 4.31E+08

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -1.3E+07 554212.3 -23.578 0.000167 -1.5E+07 -1.1E+07 -1.5E+07 -1.1E+07
X Variable 6544.2 275.3165 23.76973 0.000163 5668.02 7420.38 5668.02 7420.38
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99605
R Square 0.992116
Adjusted R 0.989488
Standard E 15084.94
Observatio 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 8.59E+10 8.59E+10 377.5267 0.000298
Residual 3 6.83E+08 2.28E+08
Total 4 8.66E+10

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -1.9E+08 9602569 -19.2763 0.000305 -2.2E+08 -1.5E+08 -2.2E+08 -1.5E+08
X Variable 92686.7 4770.277 19.43005 0.000298 77505.55 107867.8 77505.55 107867.8
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.86673
R Square 0.75122
Adjusted R 0.668294
Standard E 22.27405
Observatio 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 4494.4 4494.4 9.058855 0.057221
Residual 3 1488.4 496.1333
Total 4 5982.8

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -42528.8 14178.92 -2.99944 0.057695 -87652.4 2594.845 -87652.4 2594.845
X Variable 21.2 7.043673 3.009793 0.057221 -1.21611 43.61611 -1.21611 43.61611
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.86673
R Square 0.75122
Adjusted R 0.668294
Standard E 22.27405
Observatio 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 4494.4 4494.4 9.058855 0.057221
Residual 3 1488.4 496.1333
Total 4 5982.8

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -42528.8 14178.92 -2.99944 0.057695 -87652.4 2594.845 -87652.4 2594.845
X Variable 21.2 7.043673 3.009793 0.057221 -1.21611 43.61611 -1.21611 43.61611
 Banyaknya Kendaraan Bermotor menurut Jenisnya
2009 – 2015

Jenis Kendaraan 2011 2012 2013 2014

Sedan Dan Sejenisnya 48,258 47,459 50,164 53,024

Jeep Dan Sejenisnya 28,312 29,635 31,324 `33.110

STWAGON Dan Sejenisnya `199.360 217,686 230,094 243,209

Bus Dan sejenisnya 2,304 2,486 2,628 2,777

Truk Dan Sejenis nya 92,238 100,809 106,555 112,629

Speda motor Dan Sejenisnya `1.274.660 `1.402.190 1.482.115 1.566.595

Alat berat Dan sejenisnya 80 150 159 168

Jumlah 1.645.212 1800.415 1.903.039 2.011.512

 2015

56,046 Sedan Dan Sejenisnya

34,997 2011 48,258

257,072 2012 47,459

-0.01656

2,936 2013 50,164

0.056997

119,049 2014 53,024 x

0.057013

1.655.891 2015 56,046 4%

0.056993

177

2.126.168 Jeep Dan Sejenisnya

2011 28,312
2012 29,635 0.046729
2013 31,324 0.056993
2014 33110 0.057017 x
2015 34,997 0.056992 5%

STWAGON Dan Sejenisnya

2011 199360
2012 217,686 0.091924
2013 230,094 0.057
2014 243,209 0.056998 x
2015 257,072 0.057 7%

Bus Dan sejenisnya

2011 2,304
2012 2,486 0.078993
2013 2,628 0.05712
2014 2,777 0.056697 x
2015 2,936 0.057256 6%

Truk Dan Sejenis nya

2011 92,238
2012 100,809 0.092923
2013 106,555 0.056999
2014 112,629 0.057003 x
2015 119,049 0.057001 7%
Speda motor Dan Sejenisnya
2011 1274660
2012 1402190 0.10005
2013 1482115 0.057
2014 1566595 0.057 x
2015 1655891 0.057 7%
Alat berat Dan sejenisnya
2011 80
2012 150 0.875
2013 159 0.06
2014 168 0.056604 x
2015 177 0.053571 26%
 46762

48876.1
0.04521

-4204693 50990.2
0.043254

2114.1 53104.3
0.041461

55218.4 4.24%
0.03981

28106.6
29791.1 0.059933
-3359423 31475.6 0.056544
1684.5 33160.1 0.053518
34844.6 0.050799 5.52%

201294.8
215389.5 0.07002
-2.8E+07 229484.2 0.065438
14094.7 243578.9 0.061419
257673.6 0.057865 6.37%

2315.2
2470.7 0.067165
-310395.3 2626.2 0.062938
155.5 2781.7 0.059211
2937.2 0.055901 6.13%

93167.6
99711.8 0.070241
-1.3E+07 106256 0.065631
6544.2 112800.2 0.061589
119344.4 0.058016 6.39%
 1290917
1383604 0.071799
-1.9E+08 1476290 0.066989
92686.7 1568977 0.062784
1661664 0.059075 6.52%

104.4
125.6 0.203065
-42528.8 146.8 0.16879
21.2 168 0.144414
189.2 0.12619 16.06%
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.997113
R Square 0.994234
Adjusted R 0.992312
Standard E 16308.74
Observatio 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1.38E+11 1.38E+11 517.3229 0.000186
Residual 3 7.98E+08 2.66E+08
Total 4 1.38E+11

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -2.3E+08 10381602 -22.562 0.000191 -2.7E+08 -2E+08 -2.7E+08 -2E+08
X Variable 117300.9 5157.277 22.74473 0.000186 100888.1 133713.7 100888.1 133713.7
 2011 1,645,212
2012 1,800,415
2013 1,903,039
2014 2,011,512
2015 2,126,168

-234229442.5
117300.9 Chart Title
2,500,000
2011
2012
2,000,000
2013
1,500,000 2014
2015
1,000,000
No Tahun
1 2011
500,000
2 2012
3 2013
0 4 2014
2010.5 2011 2011.5 2012 2012.5 2013 2013.5 2014 2014.5 2015 2015.5
5 2015
6 2016
7 2017
8 2018
9 2019
10 2020
11 2021
12 2022
13 2023
14 2024
15 2025
16 2026
17 2027
18 2028
19 2029
20 2030
21 2031
22 2032
23 2033
24 2034
25 2035
26 2036
27 2037
28 2038
29 2039
30 2040
 2,500,000

2,000,000

1662667.4
1,500,000
1779968.3 0.07055
Jumlah Kendaraan
No Tahun Bermotor
1897269.2 0.065901 1,000,000
2014570.1 0.061826 1 2011 1662667.39999998
2131871 0.058226 2 2012 1779968.29999998
rata-rata 0.064126 3 2013 500,000
1897269.19999999
Jumlah Kendaraan Bermotor 4 2014 2014570.09999999
1,645,212 5 2015 2131871
0
1,800,415 0.094336 6 2016 2268579
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1,903,039 0.057 7 2017 2414053
2,011,512 0.057 8 2018 2568856
2,126,168 0.057 9 2019 2733586
2268579 0.066334
2414053
2568856
2733586
2908879
3095413
3293908
3505132
3729901
3969084
4223604
4494446
4782655
5089346
5415704
5762990
6132546
6525800
6944271
7389578
7863440
 8367688
8904272
9475265
10082873
013 2014 2015 2016
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.022364
R Square 0.0005
Adjusted R -0.16608
Standard E 121381.1
Observatio 8

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 44237019 44237019 0.003003 0.958081
Residual 6 8.84E+10 1.47E+10
Total 7 8.84E+10

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 954649.2 37711904 0.025314 0.980625 -9.1E+07 93232354 -9.1E+07 93232354
X Variable 1026.286 18729.52 0.054795 0.958081 -44803.2 46855.76 -44803.2 46855.76
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.995419
R Square 0.990859
Adjusted R 0.986289
Standard E 11189.18
Observatio 4

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.71E+10 2.71E+10 216.8014 0.004581
Residual 2 2.5E+08 1.25E+08
Total 3 2.74E+10

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -1.5E+08 10085470 -14.4295 0.004769 -1.9E+08 -1E+08 -1.9E+08 -1E+08
X Variable 73679.1 5003.954 14.72418 0.004581 52148.83 95209.37 52148.83 95209.37
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.994829
R Square 0.989684
Adjusted R 0.984526
Standard E 5556.176
Observatio 4

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 5.92E+09 5.92E+09 191.8766 0.005171
Residual 2 61742190 30871095
Total 3 5.99E+09

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -6.8E+07 5008110 -13.5551 0.005398 -8.9E+07 -4.6E+07 -8.9E+07 -4.6E+07
X Variable 34419.3 2484.798 13.85195 0.005171 23728.08 45110.52 23728.08 45110.52
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.995901
R Square 0.991819
Adjusted R 0.987728
Standard E 5637.786
Observatio 4

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 7.71E+09 7.71E+09 242.4649 0.004099
Residual 2 63569270 31784635
Total 3 7.77E+09

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -7.8E+07 5081670 -15.2789 0.004256 -1E+08 -5.6E+07 -1E+08 -5.6E+07
X Variable 39259.8 2521.295 15.57129 0.004099 28411.54 50108.06 28411.54 50108.06
 penduduk
tahun l p total l
2010 1469916 1459612 2929528 2010 1469916
2011 1517341 1506980 3024321 2011 1517341 -6.8E+07
2012 1566072 1559504 3125576 2012 1566072 34419.3
2013 1602875 1597579 3200454 2013 1602875
2014 1430985 1422676 2853661 2014 1430985
2015 1473640 1469888 2943528 2015 1473640
2016 1507474 1509179 3016653 2016 1507474
2017 1534438 1540445 3074883 2017 1534438

2014 2853661
Chart Title
Chart Title1560000
2015 2943528
3200000
2016 3016653 1540000
3000000 f(x) = 73679.1x - 145528044.8 f(x) = 34419.3x - 67885464.9
2017 3074883 2800000 R² = 0.9908592907 1520000 R² = 0.9896841604
2600000 1500000
2013.5 2014 2014.5 2015 2015.5 2016 2016.5 2017 2017.5
1480000
-1.5E+08 1460000
73679.1 1440000
1420000
1400000
1380000
1360000
2013.5 2014 2014.5 2015 2015.5 2016 2016.5 2017
2014 2861663
2015 2935342 0.025747
2016 3009021 0.025101
2017 3082700 0.024486
rata-rata 0.025111

2018 3160110
2019 3239465
2020 3320812
2021 3404201
2022 3489685
2023 3577315
2024 3667146
2025 3759233
2026 3853632
2027 3950401
2028 4049601
2029 4151291
2030 4255535
2031 4362397
2032 4471942
2033 4584238
2034 4699354
2035 4817361
2036 4938331
2037 5062338
2038 5189460
2039 5319773
2040 5453360
 p
2010 1459612
2014 1435005.3 2011 1506980 -7.8E+07 2014
2015 1469424.6 0.02 2012 1559504 39259.8 2015
2016 1503843.9 0.02 2013 1597579 2016
2017 1538263.2 0.02 2014 1422676 2017
rata-rata 0.02 2015 1469888
2016 1509179
2018 1574308.13873 2017 1540445 2018
2019 1611197.6908 2019
2020 1648951.64737 2020
2021 1687590.26338 2021
2022 1727134.26837 l p t 2022
2023 1767604.87761 2018 1574308 1585819 3160127 2023
t Title 2024 1809023.80353 2019 1611198 1628310 3239508 2024
2025 1851413.26728 2020 1648952 1671940 3320892 2025
2026 1894796.01075 2021 1687590 1716739 3404329 2026
64.9
2027 1939195.30868 2022 1727134 1762738 3489873 2027
2028 1984634.98123 2023 1767605 1809970 3577575 2028
2029 2031139.40668 2024 1809024 1858468 3667491 2029
2030 2078733.53457 2025 1851413 1908264 3759678 2030
2031 2127442.89906 2026 1894796 1959395 3854191 2031
2032 2177293.63264 2027 1939195 2011897 3951092 2032
2033 2228312.48012 2028 1984635 2065804 4050439 2033
2034 2280526.81303 2029 2031139 2121157 4152296 2034
2035 2333964.64425 2030 2078734 2177992 4256726 2035
2015.5 2016 2036
2016.5 2388654.64308
2017 2017.5 2031 2127443 2236351 4363793 2036
2037 2444626.1506 2032 2177294 2296273 4473566 2037
2038 2501909.19542 2033 2228312 2357800 4586113 2038
2039 2560534.50977 2034 2280527 2420976 4701503 2039
2040 2620533.54604 2035 2333965 2485845 4819810 2040
2036 2388655 2552452 4941107
2037 2444626 2620844 5065470
2038 2501909 2691068 5192978
2039 2560535 2763174 5323709
2040 2620534 2837212 5457746

Penduduk
No tahun Laki-laki Perempuan Total
1 2010 1469916 1459612 2929528
2 2011 1517341 1506980 3024321 0.032358
3 2012 1566072 1559504 3125576 0.03348
4 2013 1602875 1597579 3200454 0.023957
5 2014 1430985 1422676 2853661 -0.10836
 6 2015 1473640 1469888 2943528 0.031492
7 2016 1507474 1509179 3016653 0.024843
8 2017 1534438 1540445 3074883 0.019303
9 2018 1574308 1585819 3160127 0.027723
10 2019 1611198 1628310 3239508 0.02512
11 2020 1648952 1671940 3320892 0.025122
12 2021 1687590 1716739 3404329 0.025125
13 2022 1727134 1762738 3489873 0.025128
14 2023 1767605 1809970 3577575 0.025131
15 2024 1809024 1858468 3667491 0.025133
16 2025 1851413 1908264 3759678 0.025136
17 2026 1894796 1959395 3854191 0.025139
18 2027 1939195 2011897 3951092 0.025142
19 2028 1984635 2065804 4050439 0.025144
20 2029 2031139 2121157 4152296 0.025147
21 2030 2078734 2177992 4256726 0.02515
22 2031 2127443 2236351 4363793 0.025153
23 2032 2177294 2296273 4473566 0.025155
24 2033 2228312 2357800 4586113 0.025158
25 2034 2280527 2420976 4701503 0.025161
26 2035 2333965 2485845 4819810 0.025164
27 2036 2388655 2552452 4941107 0.025166
28 2037 2444626 2620844 5065470 0.025169
29 2038 2501909 2691068 5192978 0.025172
30 2039 2560535 2763174 5323709 0.025175
31 2040 2620534 2837212 5457746 0.025177
0.025255
av
 1426657
1465917 0.027519
1505177 0.026782
1544437 0.026083
rata-rata 0.026795

1585819
1628310
1671940
1716739
1762738
1809970
1858468
1908264
1959395
2011897
2065804
2121157
2177992
2236351
2296273
2357800
2420976
2485845
2552452
2620844
2691068
2763174
2837212
2013 7.58
2014 6.96
2015 5.97
2016 6
2017 6.13 7.58
8
6.96
7
5.97 6 6.13
6

0
2 01 2 2013 2 01 4 2015 2 01 6 2017 2 01 8