Densidad(x) Rigidez(y) Resumen

9.5 14814 n 30
9.8 14007 Media x 15.47
8.3 7573 Media y 34666.8333333333
8.6 9714 Sxy 3833161.65
7 5304 Sxx 986.663
17.4 43243 Syy 18674009844.167
15.2 28028 Beta 1 3884.975569166
16.7 49499 Beta 0 -25433.7387216641
15 26222
14.8 26751 �  ̂= -25433.7387216641 + 3884.97556916596 Xi
25.6 96305 Estimación (Predicción)
Y0 Ajustes vs R
24.4 72594 67805.674938319
X0 50000
19.5 32207 24
22.8 70453 T 2.0484071418
40000
19.8 38138 EE. Media 3803.1803486188
8.4 17502 EE. Predicción 30000
12228.8703231447
11 19443 Intervalos
20000
9.9 14191 Media 60015.2132 75596.136725965
6.4 8076 Predicción 42755.9696 92855.3802443366
10000
8.2 10728
0
15 25319 -10000 0 10000 20000 30000 4
16.4 41792 -10000
15.4 25312
14.5 22148 -20000
13.6 18036
-30000
23.4 104170
23.3 49512
21.2 48218
21.7 47661
21.3 53045

En la fabricacion de productos comerciales de madera es importante estimar la relacion

densidad de un producto de madera y su rigidez. Se esta considerando un tipo relativam
aglomerado que se puede formar con mucha mayor facilidad
que el producto comercial ya aceptado. Es necesario saber a que densidad su rigidez es c
producto comercial bien conocido y documentado. Terrance E. Conners realizo un estudi
Investigation of Certain Mechanical Properties of a Wood-Foam Composite (Tesis para el
Departamento de Bosques y Vida
Silvestre, University of Massachusetts). Se produjeron 30 tableros de aglomerado con de
variaban aproximadamente de 8 a 26 libras por pie cubico y se midio su rigidez en libras
cuadrada. En la tabla siguiente se presentan los datos.
a) Calcular el modelo de regresión que mejor se ajuste para describir el comportamiento
b) Calcular el valor estimado de la rigidez cuando la densidad sea en promedio de 24
Investigation of Certain Mechanical Properties of a Wood-Foam Composite (Tesis para el
Departamento de Bosques y Vida
Silvestre, University of Massachusetts). Se produjeron 30 tableros de aglomerado con de
variaban aproximadamente de 8 a 26 libras por pie cubico y se midio su rigidez en libras
cuadrada. En la tabla siguiente se presentan los datos.
a) Calcular el modelo de regresión que mejor se ajuste para describir el comportamiento
b) Calcular el valor estimado de la rigidez cuando la densidad sea en promedio de 24
 Ajustes Residuos Análisis de Varianza
11473.52919 3340.470815 Fuente G. L
12639.02186 1367.978144 Regresión (x) 1
6811.558502 761.4414976 Error 28
7977.051173 1736.948827 Error por falta de ajuste 27
1761.090262 3542.909738 Error puro 1
42164.83618 1078.163818 Total 29
33617.88993 -5589.88993
39445.35328 10053.64672
32840.89482 -6618.894816
32063.8997 -5312.899702
74021.63585 22283.36415
Ajustes vs Residuos
69359.66517 3234.334834
000
50323.28488 -18116.28488
000 63143.70426 7309.295745
51488.77755 -13350.77755
000 7200.056059 10301.94394
17300.99254 2142.007461
000
13027.51941 1163.480587
000 -569.895079 8645.895079
6423.060945 4304.939055
0
0 10000 20000 32840.89482
30000 40000 -7521.894816
50000 60000 70000 80000
000 38279.86061 3512.139387
34394.88504 -9082.885043
000 30898.40703 -8750.407031
27401.92902 -9365.929019
000
65474.6896 38695.3104
65086.19204 -15574.19204
56927.74334 -8709.743345
58870.23113 -11209.23113
57316.2409 -4271.240902

a es importante estimar la relacion que hay entre la Rigidez(y)

esta considerando un tipo relativamente nuevo de
acilidad 120000
saber a que densidad su rigidez es comparable con la del
104170
errance E. Conners realizo un estudio
100000 titulado
96305
ood-Foam Composite (Tesis para el doctorado,
80000
n 30 tableros de aglomerado con densidades que
ubico y se midio su rigidez en libras por pulgada
f(x) = 3884.975569166x - 25433.7387216641 7045372594
s. 60000 R² = 0.7974580439
e para describir el comportamiento de los datos. 53045
49499 4766149512
48218
ensidad sea en promedio de 2440000 43243
41792
38138
32207
28028
26751
26222
25319
25312
20000 19443 22148
17502
14814 18036
14191
14007
 96305
ood-Foam Composite (Tesis para el doctorado,
80000
n 30 tableros de aglomerado con densidades que
ubico y se midio su rigidez en libras por pulgada
f(x) = 3884.975569166x - 25433.7387216641 7045372594
s. 60000 R² = 0.7974580439
e para describir el comportamiento de los datos. 53045
49499 4766149512
48218
ensidad sea en promedio de 2440000 43243
41792
38138
32207
28028
26751
26222
25319
25312
20000 19443 22148
17502
14814 18036
14191
14007
8076 10728
9714
53047573
0
5 10 15 20 25 30
 Análisis de Varianza
SC CM f Calculada Valor P S R^2 r
14891739362.9139 14891739363 110.242962 0.0000 61500.16651 79.74580% 0.8930
3782270481.25276 135081088.62 52532.97397 0.8522163489 0.84126941
3781862776.75276 140068991.73 343.555177 0.0426
407704.5 407704.5
18674009844.167 643931373.94

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0
-30000 -20000 -10000 0 10000 20000 3

96305

4
96305

30
 i Residuo Estándar F(Yi) Teorica 1- F(Yi) F(Yi+n-1) Anderson
1 -18116.285 -1.5863238 0.05633293 0.94366707 0.00035164 -10.829365
2 -15574.192 -1.3637295 0.08632636 0.91367364 0.02551618 -18.354188
3 -13350.778 -1.1690397 0.12119381 0.87880619 0.18350893 -19.029281
4 -11209.231 -0.9815186 0.16316853 0.83683147 0.18933983 -24.340284
5 -9365.929 -0.8201128 0.20607591 0.79392409 0.22450572 -27.660283
6 -9082.885 -0.7953285 0.21321123 0.78678877 0.26107755 -31.772507
7 -8750.407 -0.7662156 0.22177403 0.77822597 0.35310346 -33.112176
8 -8709.7433 -0.7626549 0.22283462 0.77716538 0.3781933 -37.105129
9 -7521.8948 -0.6586428 0.25506258 0.74493742 0.37921812 -39.710131
10 -6618.8948 -0.5795731 0.28110128 0.71889872 0.38495102 -42.249909
11 -5589.8899 -0.4894699 0.31225454 0.68774546 0.38850816 -44.296932
12 -5312.8997 -0.4652157 0.32088851 0.67911149 0.42561021 -45.790536
13 -4271.2409 -0.3740045 0.3542005 0.6457995 0.43955672 -46.497016
14 761.441498 0.06667442 0.52657955 0.47342045 0.45232679 -38.736987
15 1078.16382 0.09440771 0.53760735 0.46239265 0.45942662 -40.553683
16 1163.48059 0.10187834 0.54057338 0.45942662 0.46239265 -42.980439
17 1367.97814 0.11978484 0.54767321 0.45232679 0.47342045 -44.544981
18 1736.94883 0.15209318 0.56044328 0.43955672 0.6457995 -35.57027
19 2142.00746 0.1875615 0.57438979 0.42561021 0.67911149 -34.832429
20 3234.33483 0.28320941 0.61149184 0.38850816 0.68774546 -33.781416
21 3340.47081 0.29250304 0.61504898 0.38495102 0.71889872 -33.459615
22 3512.13939 0.30753493 0.62078188 0.37921812 0.74493742 -33.162914
23 3542.90974 0.31022929 0.6218067 0.3781933 0.77716538 -32.725265
24 4304.93905 0.37695518 0.64689654 0.35310346 0.77822597 -32.25644
10000 20000 30000 25 7309.29574
40000 50000 0.64002692 0.73892245 0.26107755 0.78678877 -26.575531
26 8645.89508 0.75706413 0.77549428 0.22450572 0.79392409 -24.736127
27 10053.6467 0.88033167 0.81066017 0.18933983 0.83683147 -20.566063
28 10301.9439 0.90207343 0.81649107 0.18350893 0.87880619 -18.256161
29 22283.3642 1.95120754 0.97448382 0.02551618 0.91367364 -6.6193646
30 38695.3104 3.38829365 0.99964836 0.00035164 0.94366707 -3.4416804
 A2
0.7849
AD'
0.80648831
Valor P
0.0369
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.8930050638
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.7974580439
R^2 ajustado 0.7902244027
Error típico 11622.4390132265
Observaciones 30

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadradosPromedio de los cuadrados
Regresión 1 14891739362.9139 14891739362.9139
Gráfico de prob
Residuos 28 3782270481.25276 135081088.61617
Total 29 18674009844.1667 120000

Coeficientes Error típico 100000

Estadístico t
Intercepción -25433.7387216642 6104.7042189091 -4.1662524194
80000
Densidad(x) 3884.975569166 370.0094829983 10.4996648672

Rigidez(y)
60000

40000
Análisis de los residuales
20000
Observación Pronóstico Rigidez(y) Residuos
1 11473.5291854125 3340.4708145875 0
2 12639.0218561623 1367.9781438377 0 20 40
3 6811.5585024134 761.4414975866 Mue
4 7977.0511731631 1736.9488268369
5 1761.0902624976 3542.9097375024
6 42164.8361818236 1078.1638181764
7 33617.8899296585 -5589.8899296585
8 39445.3532834075 10053.6467165925
9 32840.8948158253 -6618.8948158253
10 32063.8997019921 -5312.8997019922
11 74021.6358489846 22283.3641510154
12 69359.6651659854 3234.3348340146
13 50323.2848770722 -18116.2848770722
14 63143.7042553199 7309.2957446801
15 51488.777547822 -13350.777547822
16 7200.05605933 10301.9439406701
17 17300.9925391615 2142.0074608385
18 13027.5194130789 1163.4805869211
19 -569.895079002 8645.895079002
20 6423.0609454968 4304.9390545033
21 32840.8948158253 -7521.8948158253
22 38279.8606126577 3512.1393873423
23 34394.8850434917 -9082.8850434917
24 30898.4070312423 -8750.4070312424
25 27401.929018993 -9365.929018993
26 65474.6895968195 38695.3104031805
27 65086.1920399029 -15574.1920399029
28 56927.7433446543 -8709.7433446543
29 58870.2311292373 -11209.2311292373
30 57316.2409015709 -4271.2409015709
 Densidad(x) Gráfico
50000
40000
30000
20000

Residuos
F Valor crítico de F 10000
Gráfico de probabilidad normal
110.2429623234 3.2451E-11
0
-10000 5 10 15
0
-20000
0 Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0% -30000
0.0002686603 -37938.658 -12928.819 -37938.658 -12928.819 Den
0
3.24513677E-11 3127.0455 4642.90564 3127.0455 4642.90564
0

0
Resultados de datos de probabilidad
0
Percentil Rigidez(y)
0 1.6666666667 5304
0 20 40 5 60 7573 80 100 120
8.3333333333 8076
Muestra percentil
11.6666666667 9714
15 10728
18.3333333333 14007
21.6666666667 14191
25 14814
28.3333333333 17502
31.6666666667 18036
35 19443
38.3333333333 22148
41.6666666667 25312
45 25319
48.3333333333 26222
51.6666666667 26751
55 28028
58.3333333333 32207
61.6666666667 38138
65 41792
68.3333333333 43243
71.6666666667 47661
75 48218
78.3333333333 49499
81.6666666667 49512
85 53045
88.3333333333 70453
91.6666666667 72594
95 96305
98.3333333333 104170
ensidad(x) Gráfico de los residuales
00
00
00
00
00
0
00 5 10 15 20 25 30

00
00
Densidad(x)
Densidad(x) Rigidez(y)
9.5 14814
9.8 14007
8.3 7573
8.6 9714
7 5304
17.4 43243
15.2 28028
16.7 49499
15 26222
14.8 26751
25.6 96305
24.4 72594
19.5 32207
22.8 70453
19.8 38138
8.4 17502
11 19443
9.9 14191
6.4 8076
8.2 10728
15 25319
16.4 41792
15.4 25312
14.5 22148
13.6 18036
23.4 104170
23.3 49512
21.2 48218
21.7 47661
21.3 53045
 Matriz X
TI Densidad(x) x2 Rigidez(y) Matriz X'x
1 9.5 90.25 14814 30 464.1 8166.29
1 9.8 96.04 14007 464.1 8166.29 157319.199
1 8.3 68.89 7573 8166.29 157319.199 3221050.2713
1 8.6 73.96 9714
1 7 49 5304 Matriz (X'x)-1
1 17.4 302.76 43243 2.104901868 -0.28455532 0.0085614239
1 15.2 231.04 28028 -0.28455532 0.040539989 -0.001258582
1 16.7 278.89 49499 0.008561424 -0.00125858 4.007516E-05
1 15 225 26222
1 14.8 219.04 26751 Y  ̂= 17812.879-2472.546 x +202.433 x^2
1 25.6 655.36 96305 Estimación (Predicción)
1 24.4 595.36 72594 X0
1 19.5 380.25 32207 Y0
1 22.8 519.84 70453 T
1 19.8 392.04 38138 EE. Media
1 8.4 70.56 17502 EE. Predicción
1 11 121 19443 Intervalos
1 9.9 98.01 14191 Media
1 6.4 40.96 8076 Predicción
1 8.2 67.24 10728
1 15 225 25319
1 16.4 268.96 41792
1 15.4 237.16 25312 2.104901868 -0.28455532 0.0085614239
1 14.5 210.25 22148 -0.28455532 0.040539989 -0.001258582
1 13.6 184.96 18036 0.008561424 -0.00125858 4.007516E-05
1 23.4 547.56 104170
1 23.3 542.89 49512
1 21.2 449.44 48218
1 21.7 470.89 47661
1 21.3 453.69 53045
TI x x2
17812.8789 -2472.5456 202.433056

0.07068218 0.06806193 0.08156222 0.07878236 0.09406936 0.014991437 0.027720459 0.0188088225

0.06806193 0.06606144 0.07620092 0.07414562 0.0852656 0.019953528 0.032396076 0.0238325793
0.08156222 0.07620092 0.10458414 0.09859215 0.13237146 -0.00702548 0.006659875 -0.003590818
0.07878236 0.07414562 0.09859215 0.09345028 0.12233287 -0.00119597 0.012278738 0.0023547841
0.09406936 0.0852656 0.13237146 0.12233287 0.17943924 -0.0347926 -0.02041347 -0.032018204
0.01499144 0.01995353 -0.0070255 -0.001196 -0.0347926 0.073326367 0.072188819 0.0742294123
0.02772046 0.03239608 0.00665988 0.01227874 -0.0204135 0.072188819 0.076233425 0.0748513059
0.01880882 0.02383258 -0.0035908 0.00235478 -0.0320182 0.074229412 0.074851306 0.0757716455
0.02898405 0.03356376 0.00832446 0.01384047 -0.0182831 0.071507123 0.075972286 0.074293278
0.03026537 0.03473754 0.01005913 0.01545832 -0.0160154 0.070729047 0.075606342 0.0736328229
-0.0135487 -0.0199305 0.01666796 0.00841033 0.05787017 -0.02517515 -0.05460877 -0.037276032
-0.0112342 -0.0147333 0.0058425 0.00111131 0.02990351 -0.00064035 -0.02504849 -0.010203298
0.00484272 0.00876404 -0.0121788 -0.007723 -0.0330314 0.063533275 0.056498182 0.0620743077
-0.007155 -0.0074627 -0.0046671 -0.0054777 0.00029797 0.026675405 0.008496131 0.0201577533
0.00355251 0.00722036 -0.0122843 -0.0081503 -0.031545 0.061266839 0.053313417 0.0594160187
0.08063116 0.0755143 0.10256929 0.09686416 0.12899096 -0.00505822 0.008559031 -0.001583344
0.05797992 0.05819653 0.05633248 0.05686149 0.05313761 0.037633333 0.048740431 0.0416229925
0.06719738 0.06539765 0.07444886 0.0726281 0.08239962 0.021559368 0.033902213 0.0254559512
0.1000946 0.08953609 0.14619497 0.13408993 0.20311796 -0.04898162 -0.03440233 -0.046598124
0.0824977 0.07688907 0.10661651 0.10033417 0.13578625 -0.00901685 0.004734518 -0.005623899
0.02898405 0.03356376 0.00832446 0.01384047 -0.0182831 0.071507123 0.075972286 0.074293278
0.02051135 0.02551787 -0.001856 0.00408701 -0.0303147 0.074255005 0.075599353 0.0760485004
0.02647461 0.03123448 0.00506536 0.01077314 -0.0224067 0.072774134 0.076389759 0.0753069065
0.0322206 0.03650962 0.01279252 0.01799034 -0.0123568 0.06938122 0.074860916 0.072450089
0.03832571 0.0419081 0.02193875 0.0263441 0.00047147 0.064036603 0.071209769 0.0675191192
-0.0088177 -0.0102349 -0.0012516 -0.0034277 0.01037103 0.017154848 -0.00329706 0.0095405637
-0.0085517 -0.0097767 -0.0018646 -0.0038045 0.00860644 0.018801845 -0.00126603 0.0113741124
-0.0019409 0.00019772 -0.0106918 -0.0084746 -0.0205266 0.04782282 0.035333227 0.0439634586
-0.0036922 -0.002238 -0.0092909 -0.0079239 -0.0149622 0.041876868 0.027667169 0.0372283632
-0.0023 -0.0002925 -0.0104466 -0.0083925 -0.0194823 0.04668182 0.033852418 0.0426676532
 Análisis de Varian
Matriz X'y Ajustes Residuos Fuente G. L
1040005 12593.2791 2220.72089 Regresión 2
19922039 13023.6028 983.397174 Error 27
408533293.22 11236.3637 -3663.3637 Error por falta de ajuste 26
11520.9357 -1806.9357 Error puro 1
Coef. Regresión 10424.2795 -5120.2795 Total 29
17812.87892082 bo 36079.2177 7163.78232
-2472.545592047 b1 27000.3192 1027.6808
202.4330560933 b2 32977.9225 16521.0775
26272.1327 -50.132661
546 x +202.433 x^2 25560.1408 1190.85923
Predicción) 87182.2394 9122.76059
78003.3108 -5409.3108
46573.4095 -14366.409
66671.6393 3781.3607
48218.3315 -10080.332
11327.1724 6174.82761
15109.2772 4333.7228
13175.1414 1015.85861
10280.2451 -2204.2451
11149.6038 -421.60376
26272.1327 -953.13266
31709.526 10082.474
27744.7004 -2432.7004
24522.5179 -2374.5179
21628.2769 -3592.2769
70799.5563 33370.4437
70101.4484 -20589.448
56376.4251 -8158.4251
59482.3414 -11821.341
56989.511 -3944.511

0.0289840466 0.03026537 -0.0135487 -0.0112342 0.00484272 -0.0071550233 0.00355251

0.0335637619 0.03473754 -0.0199305 -0.0147333 0.00876404 -0.0074627129 0.00722036
0.0083244631 0.01005913 0.01666796 0.0058425 -0.0121788 -0.0046671153 -0.0122843
0.0138404673 0.01545832 0.00841033 0.00111131 -0.007723 -0.0054776647 -0.0081503
-0.0182830566 -0.0160154 0.05787017 0.02990351 -0.0330314 0.0002979716 -0.031545
0.0715071231 0.07072905 -0.0251751 -0.0006404 0.06353328 0.0266754049 0.06126684
0.0759722858 0.07560634 -0.0546088 -0.0250485 0.05649818 0.0084961312 0.05331342
 0.074293278 0.07363282 -0.037276 -0.0102033 0.06207431 0.0201577533 0.05941602
0.075754017 0.07543172 -0.056034 -0.0264461 0.0555023 0.0071787099 0.05227961
0.0754317162 0.07515409 -0.0572508 -0.0277067 0.05444703 0.0059171618 0.051194
-0.0560339771 -0.0572508 0.30671808 0.23626322 0.02644709 0.1539954667 0.03569756
-0.0264460551 -0.0277067 0.23626322 0.18722065 0.0381101 0.1294965647 0.04487792
0.0555022989 0.05444703 0.02644709 0.0381101 0.06354514 0.050335048 0.06301234
0.0071787099 0.00591716 0.15399547 0.12949656 0.05033505 0.0999602675 0.05421786
0.0522796065 0.051194 0.03569756 0.04487792 0.06301234 0.0542178568 0.06279554
0.0101891392 0.01188461 0.01386331 0.00423121 -0.0106787 -0.0049512668 -0.0108933
0.0495419007 0.05030866 -0.0407678 -0.0256498 0.02311309 -0.0074363217 0.02072637
0.0350383176 0.03617676 -0.0219535 -0.0158313 0.01004146 -0.0075373394 0.00841708
-0.0320459077 -0.0295177 0.07985669 0.04295932 -0.043502 0.0033857449 -0.0411727
0.0064337789 0.0082079 0.01952471 0.00748801 -0.0136938 -0.0043689955 -0.0136882
0.075754017 0.07543172 -0.056034 -0.0264461 0.0555023 0.0071787099 0.05227961
0.0750972241 0.07449104 -0.0416805 -0.0137884 0.06122633 0.017573999 0.05842858
0.0760865224 0.07567796 -0.0529751 -0.023514 0.05743468 0.0098694259 0.05429543
0.0747532047 0.07454452 -0.0586851 -0.0293411 0.05275277 0.0041296022 0.04946848
0.071313237 0.07132527 -0.0601744 -0.032396 0.04686824 -0.0004787869 0.04359266
-0.0046503362 -0.0059193 0.18328265 0.1501164 0.04619611 0.1106173291 0.05110385
-0.0026138085 -0.0038822 0.17827118 0.1465942 0.04692305 0.1088062314 0.05165522
0.0341454203 0.03294888 0.08506722 0.08053362 0.05875914 0.0739998624 0.06024289
0.026433544 0.02520961 0.10517434 0.0948934 0.05653491 0.08172836 0.05871616
0.0326550611 0.03145253 0.08898443 0.08333713 0.05834399 0.0755176253 0.05996344
Análisis de Varianza
SC CM f Calculada Valor P S R2 R2 Ajustado
15914296490 7957148245 77.8497529 0.0000 52532.9740 85.22% 84.13%
2759713355 102211606
2759305650 106127140 260.304069 0.0489
407704.5 407704.5
18674009844 643931374

Residuos
40000

30000

20000

10000

0
0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 100000
-10000

-20000

-30000

0.080631163 0.05797992 0.06719738 0.100094598 0.0824977039 0.028984047 0.020511347

0.075514296 0.05819653 0.06539765 0.089536094 0.0768890677 0.033563762 0.02551787
0.102569292 0.05633248 0.07444886 0.146194972 0.1066165115 0.008324463 -0.001856028
0.09686416 0.05686149 0.0726281 0.134089926 0.1003341701 0.013840467 0.004087008
0.128990961 0.05313761 0.08239962 0.203117963 0.1357862504 -0.018283057 -0.030314667
-0.005058218 0.03763333 0.02155937 -0.048981615 -0.0090168465 0.071507123 0.074255005
0.008559031 0.04874043 0.03390221 -0.034402326 0.004734518 0.075972286 0.075599353
-0.001583344 0.04162299 0.02545595 -0.046598124 -0.0056238992 0.074293278 0.0760485
0.010189139 0.0495419 0.03503832 -0.032045908 0.0064337789 0.075754017 0.075097224
0.01188461 0.05030866 0.03617676 -0.029517652 0.008207896 0.075431716 0.074491038
0.013863309 -0.0407678 -0.0219535 0.079856695 0.0195247138 -0.056033977 -0.041680513
0.004231213 -0.0256498 -0.0158313 0.042959319 0.0074880053 -0.026446055 -0.013788354
-0.010678677 0.02311309 0.01004146 -0.043501997 -0.0136937621 0.055502299 0.06122633
-0.004951267 -0.0074363 -0.0075373 0.003385745 -0.0043689955 0.00717871 0.017573999
-0.010893335 0.02072637 0.00841708 -0.041172652 -0.0136881877 0.052279606 0.058428577
0.10065124 0.05651749 0.07384136 0.142116997 0.1045036836 0.010189139 0.000150998
0.056517493 0.05828197 0.05825138 0.051168429 0.0561387865 0.049541901 0.04320268
0.073841356 0.05825138 0.06479892 0.086102511 0.0750569504 0.035038318 0.027134683
0.142116997 0.05116843 0.08610251 0.231838803 0.1503159069 -0.032045908 -0.044932235
0.104503684 0.05613879 0.07505695 0.150315907 0.1087480533 0.006433779 -0.003889068
0.010189139 0.0495419 0.03503832 -0.032045908 0.0064337789 0.075754017 0.075097224
0.000150998 0.04320268 0.02713468 -0.044932235 -0.0038890684 0.075097224 0.076426927
0.006994285 0.04790425 0.03276845 -0.036586906 0.0031101133 0.076086522 0.075997424
0.014550372 0.05139371 0.03788881 -0.025403072 0.0110094268 0.074753205 0.073386653
0.023430056 0.05418028 0.04305651 -0.010739518 0.0204245772 0.071313237 0.068668727
-0.001998058 -0.0140061 -0.0106651 0.01693705 -0.0004840413 -0.004650336 0.006593544
-0.002531111 -0.0128894 -0.0101453 0.0145711 -0.0011783187 -0.002613808 0.008488656
-0.009950528 0.00855569 0.00090622 -0.025190197 -0.0114352033 0.03414542 0.042276704
-0.008837628 0.00379683 -0.0017485 -0.017441602 -0.0097416493 0.026433544 0.0352725
-0.009760629 0.00762127 0.00037412 -0.023726397 -0.0111339206 0.032655061 0.040927892
 i Residuo Estándar F(Yi) Teorica 1- F(Yi) F(Yi+n-1) Anderson
R Predicción
2
1 -20589.448 -2.1106281 0.01740214 0.98259786 0.00031217 -12.123111
81.15% 2 -14366.409 -1.4727033 0.07041553 0.92958447 0.04517269 -17.251812
3 -11821.341 -1.2118079 0.11279297 0.88720703 0.15067183 -20.374262
4 -10080.332 -1.0333366 0.15072319 0.84927681 0.17484884 -25.453006
5 -8158.4251 -0.8363217 0.20148699 0.79851301 0.23136448 -27.592123
6 -5409.3108 -0.5545094 0.28961512 0.71038488 0.26337247 -28.307273
7 -5120.2795 -0.5248808 0.29983303 0.70016697 0.32843066 -30.133468
8 -3944.511 -0.4043525 0.34297674 0.65702326 0.34914568 -31.83538
9 -3663.3637 -0.3755321 0.35363239 0.64636761 0.40996053 -32.830259
10 -3592.2769 -0.368245 0.35634529 0.64365471 0.45141973 -34.717043
11 -2432.7004 -0.2493766 0.40153476 0.59846524 0.45804994 -35.558003
12 -2374.5179 -0.2434123 0.40384302 0.59615698 0.45853077 -38.788509
13 -2204.2451 -0.2259576 0.41061721 0.58938279 0.45985135 -41.673646
14 -1806.9357 -0.1852293 0.42652459 0.57347541 0.5020502 -41.610791
15 -953.13266 -0.0977058 0.46108295 0.53891705 0.51723639 -41.569545
16 -421.60376 -0.0432187 0.48276361 0.51723639 0.53891705 -41.739076
17 -50.132661 -0.0051391 0.4979498 0.5020502 0.57347541 -41.358776
18 983.397174 0.10080822 0.54014865 0.45985135 0.58938279 -40.060661
19 1015.85861 0.10413585 0.54146923 0.45853077 0.59615698 -41.836651
20 1027.6808 0.10534775 0.54195006 0.45804994 0.59846524 -43.912762
21 1190.85923 0.1220752 0.54858027 0.45141973 0.64365471 -42.681596
22 2220.72089 0.22764651 0.59003947 0.40996053 0.64636761 -41.449968
23 3781.3607 0.38762798 0.65085432 0.34914568 0.65702326 -38.227739
24 4333.7228 0.44425072 0.67156934 0.32843066 0.70016697 -35.464999
25 6174.82761 0.63298271 0.73662753 0.26337247 0.71038488 -31.733442
26 7163.78232 0.73436064 0.76863552 0.23136448 0.79851301 -24.895263
27 9122.76059 0.93517586 0.82515116 0.17484884 0.84927681 -18.844616
28 10082.474 1.03355626 0.84932817 0.15067183 0.88720703 -15.56426
29 16521.0775 1.69357868 0.95482731 0.04517269 0.92958447 -6.7968156
30 33370.4437 3.42081031 0.99968783 0.00031217 0.98259786 -1.0541863
-924.38485

0.02647461 0.0322206 0.03832571 -0.0088177 -0.0085517 -0.0019409 -0.0036922 -0.0023

0.03123448 0.03650962 0.0419081 -0.0102349 -0.0097767 0.00019772 -0.002238 -0.0002925
0.00506536 0.01279252 0.02193875 -0.0012516 -0.0018646 -0.0106918 -0.0092909 -0.0104466
0.01077314 0.01799034 0.0263441 -0.0034277 -0.0038045 -0.0084746 -0.0079239 -0.0083925
-0.0224067 -0.0123568 0.00047147 0.01037103 0.00860644 -0.0205266 -0.0149622 -0.0194823
0.07277413 0.06938122 0.0640366 0.01715485 0.01880185 0.04782282 0.04187687 0.04668182
0.07638976 0.07486092 0.07120977 -0.0032971 -0.001266 0.03533323 0.02766717 0.03385242
0.07530691 0.07245009 0.06751912 0.00954056 0.01137411 0.04396346 0.03722836 0.04266765
0.07608652 0.0747532 0.07131324 -0.0046503 -0.0026138 0.03414542 0.02643354 0.03265506
0.07567796 0.07454452 0.07132527 -0.0059193 -0.0038822 0.03294888 0.02520961 0.03145253
-0.0529751 -0.0586851 -0.0601744 0.18328265 0.17827118 0.08506722 0.10517434 0.08898443
-0.023514 -0.0293411 -0.032396 0.1501164 0.1465942 0.08053362 0.0948934 0.08333713
0.05743468 0.05275277 0.04686824 0.04619611 0.04692305 0.05875914 0.05653491 0.05834399
0.00986943 0.0041296 -0.0004788 0.11061733 0.10880623 0.07399986 0.08172836 0.07551763
0.05429543 0.04946848 0.04359266 0.05110385 0.05165522 0.06024289 0.05871616 0.05996344
0.00699429 0.01455037 0.02343006 -0.0019981 -0.0025311 -0.0099505 -0.0088376 -0.0097606
0.04790425 0.05139371 0.05418028 -0.0140061 -0.0128894 0.00855569 0.00379683 0.00762127
0.03276845 0.03788881 0.04305651 -0.0106651 -0.0101453 0.00090622 -0.0017485 0.00037412
-0.0365869 -0.0254031 -0.0107395 0.01693705 0.0145711 -0.0251902 -0.0174416 -0.0237264
0.00311011 0.01100943 0.02042458 -0.000484 -0.0011783 -0.0114352 -0.0097416 -0.0111339
0.07608652 0.0747532 0.07131324 -0.0046503 -0.0026138 0.03414542 0.02643354 0.03265506
0.07599742 0.07338665 0.06866873 0.00659354 0.00848866 0.0422767 0.0352725 0.04092789
0.07658767 0.07486765 0.07101486 -0.0018595 0.00016118 0.0365123 0.02891049 0.0350446
0.07486765 0.07404215 0.07117186 -0.0076646 -0.0056358 0.0311377 0.02339189 0.02963903
0.07101486 0.07117186 0.0694772 -0.0117619 -0.0098243 0.0255863 0.0180696 0.02412868
-0.0018595 -0.0076646 -0.0117619 0.12479699 0.12238101 0.07651551 0.08659254 0.07848875
0.00016118 -0.0056358 -0.0098243 0.12238101 0.1200689 0.07610169 0.08577579 0.0779968
0.0365123 0.0311377 0.0255863 0.07651551 0.07610169 0.06690729 0.06918375 0.06736695
0.02891049 0.02339189 0.0180696 0.08659254 0.08577579 0.06918375 0.07303729 0.06994961
0.0350446 0.02963903 0.02412868 0.07848875 0.0779968 0.06736695 0.06994961 0.06788607
 A2 AD' Valor P distribución teórica distribucion empririca
0.8480 0.87128716 0.02556942 porcentaje Xi Zi porcentaje Xi
1.0% -22693.822 -2.3263479 0.02302632 -20589.448
99.0% 22693.8221 2.32634787 0.05592105 -14366.409
Graficá de 0.08881579
probabilidad
-11821.341
A2=0.8480 Valor p=0.0256
0.12171053 -10080.332
3 0.15460526 -8158.4251
0.1875 -5409.3108
2 0.22039474 -5120.2795
0.25328947 -3944.511
1
0.28618421 -3663.3637
0 0.31907895 -3592.2769
-30000 -20000 -10000 0 10000 20000 30000 40000
0.35197368 -2432.7004
-1
0.38486842 -2374.5179
-2 0.41776316 -2204.2451
0.45065789 -1806.9357
-3 0.48355263 -953.13266
0.51644737 -421.60376
0.54934211 -50.132661
0.58223684 983.397174
0.61513158 1015.85861
0.64802632 1027.6808
0.68092105 1190.85923
0.71381579 2220.72089
0.74671053 3781.3607
0.77960526 4333.7228
0.8125 6174.82761
0.84539474 7163.78232
0.87828947 9122.76059
0.91118421 10082.474
0.94407895 16521.0775
Cálculos p Value 0.97697368 33370.4437
p 0.02556942 �� 13 > ��′ > 0.600 �=exp(1.2937 − 5.709 ∗ ��′ + 0.0186 (��′
2)
p 0 �� 0.600 > ��′ > 0.340 � = exp(0.9177 − 4.279 ∗ ��′ − 1.38(��
′� = 1 − exp(−8.318 + 42.796 ∗ ��′ − 59.938 ��′
p 0 �� 0.340 > ��′ > 0.200
2
� = 1 − exp(−13.436 + 101.14 ∗ ��′ − 223.73 ��
p 0 �� ��′ < 0.200
2
hii Residuos PRESS
0.07068218 2220.72089 5710306.62
0.06606144 983.397174 1108718.51
0.10458414 -3663.3637 16738268.2
0.09345028 -1806.9357 3972849.53
0.17943924 -5120.2795 38937301.4
0.07332637 7163.78232 59762829.3
0.07623342 1027.6808 1237633.33
0.07577165 16521.0775 319534796
0.07575402 -50.132661 2942.16058
0.07515409 1190.85923 1657990.72
0.30671808 9122.76059 173154110
0.18722065 -5409.3108 44293351.4
0.06354514 -14366.409 235354651
0.09996027 3781.3607 17651143.6
0.06279554 -10080.332 115686035
0.10065124 6174.82761 47140414.3
0.05828197 4333.7228 21177782.8
0.06479892 1015.85861 1179930.78
0.2318388 -2204.2451 8234079.23
0.10874805 -421.60376 223773.144
0.07575402 -953.13266 1063485.47
0.07642693 10082.474 119176794
0.07658767 -2432.7004 6940422.57
0.07404215 -2374.5179 6576100.68
0.0694772 -3592.2769 14903407.8
0.12479699 33370.4437 1453805672
0.1200689 -20589.448 547510045
0.06690729 -8158.4251 76447461.7
0.07303729 -11821.341 162633119
0.06788607 -3944.511 17908052.2
3519723467
 Zi
-1.9949106
-1.5899676
ad -1.3480833
=0.0256 -1.1664785
-1.01688
-0.8871466
-0.7708608
-0.664174
-0.5645668
-0.4702759
20000 30000 40000
-0.3799974
-0.2927191
-0.2076192
-0.1239994
-0.0412391
0.04123912
0.12399935
0.20761919
0.29271914
0.37999737
0.47027593
0.56456685
0.66417401
0.77086075
0.88714656
1.01687998
1.16647846
1.34808334
1.58996761
1.9949106
− 5.709 ∗ ��′ + 0.0186 (��′
7 − 4.279 ∗ ��′ − 1.38(��
.318 + 42.796 ∗ ��′ − 59.938 ��′
3.436 + 101.14 ∗ ��′ − 223.73 ��′
Densidad(x) LN(Y) Resumen Ajustes
9.5 9.60332796 n 30
9.8 9.54731248 Media x 15.47
8.3 8.93234457 Media y 10.1899786
8.6 9.18132342 Sxy 123.256819
7 8.57621653 Sxx 986.663
17.4 10.6745906 Syy 17.0773547
15.2 10.2409593 Beta 1 0.12492292
16.7 10.8097077 Beta 0 8.2574211
15 10.174354 ln(�  ̂ )=
14.8 10.1943271 Y  ̂=
25.6 11.4752755 �  ̂=
24.4 11.1926376 �  ̂=
19.5 10.3799391
22.8 11.1627011 Estimación (Predicción) Transformado
19.8 10.5489664 Y0 11.2555711 77309.4187928316
8.4 9.77007044 X0 24
11 9.87524239 T Err:502
9.9 9.56036324 EE. Media 0
6.4 8.99665198 EE. Predicció 0
8.2 9.28061242 Intervalos Intervalos transformados
15 10.1393104 Media
16.4 10.6404602 Predicción
15.4 10.1390339
14.5 10.0055025
13.6 9.80012504
23.4 11.5537795
23.3 10.8099703
21.2 10.7834877
21.7 10.7718687
21.3 10.8788959
Residuos Análisis de Varianza
Fuente G. L SC CM f Calculada
Regresión
Error
Error por falta de ajuste
Error puro
Total

Ajustes vs Residuos
12

10

0
9 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.8 10 10.2
 i Residuo Estándar
Valor P S R 2
r 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
10 10.2
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
F(Yi) Teorica 1- F(Yi) F(Yi+n-1) Anderson A2 AD' Valor P
 Gráfico de probabilidad normal Graficá de probabi
A2 = 0.7849 Valor P = 0.0369 A2=0.8480 Valor
2.5 3
2
1.5 2

1
1
0.5
0 0
-30000 -20000 -10000 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 -30000 -20000 -10000 0 10000
-0.5
-1 -1

-1.5
-2
-2
-2.5 -3
 Graficá de probabilidad
A2=0.8480 Valor p=0.0256
3

0
000 -10000 0 10000 20000 30000 40000
-1

-2

-3