Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Fei Peng
Department of Accounting
School of Business
Renmin University of China
rbspengfei@163.com
Wuqing Wu
Department of Accounting
School of Business
Renmin University of China
wwq@ruc.edu.cn
Lu Zhang
Department of Accounting and Finance
UWA Business School
The University of Western Australia
lu.zhang@research.uwa.edu.au
Abstract
Manuscript Type: Empirical
Research Question/Issue: The objective of this study is to investigate how litigation risk
influences firm financial performance. Specifically, we attempt to explore four important
research questions: Does litigation risk affect firm performance? Does the concurrence of
litigation risk and internal control of governance improve firm performance? Does the
concurrence of litigation risk and analyst following improve firm performance? Does debt
financing mediate the impact of litigation risk on firm performance?
Research Findings/Insights: Our results indicate that a large monetary amount of a claim in
litigation is negatively associated with firm performance, while internal governance and
analyst following offset the negative impact of litigation risk. We further examine debt
financing as a mediator in the relationship between litigation risk and firm performance, and
find that litigation risk negatively affects firm performance through excessive leverage,
increased cost of debt, reduced bank borrowing and trade credit.
Theoretical/Academic Implications: This study offers empirical evidence that enhances
understanding of the causes underlying the association between a firm’s litigation risk and its
performance through testing the mediation effect of debt financing.
Keywords
litigation risk, corporate governance, firm performance, debt financing, mediation effect
JEL Classification
G30, K15, K41
1. Introduction
Most extant literature on litigation risk focuses on contexts in developed economies (e.g., on
the US stock market) and considers two major forms of shareholder litigation: securities class
action (e.g., Arena & Julio, 2015; Cheng, Huang, Li & Lobo, 2010) and derivative lawsuits
(e.g., Bourveau, Lou & Wang, 2018; Ferris, Jandik, Lawless & Makhija, 2007; Nguyen, Phan
& Sun, 2018; Ni & Yin, 2018; Yuan & Zhang, 2016). However, the findings of these studies
are not necessarily globally generalizable, particularly not to civil-law countries and
developing economies, where security lawsuits are less common than they are in the US.
These security lawsuits occur more commonly in the US because the Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC) Rule 10b-5 safeguards a legal right of action to investors
against listed firms and firm directors for material misstatements or frauds (Arena & Ferris,
corporate governance (Shleifer & Vishny, 1997). Cheng et al. (2010) find that shareholder
between managers and shareholders. Bourveau et al. (2018) and Nguyen et al. (2018) suggest
that the primary role derivative lawsuits play as a corporate-governance tool is to signal
corporate-governance reform. However, Arena and Ferris (2018) state that corporate laws in
civil-law countries do not allow the initiation of class-action litigation as easily as does US
securities class action, and that corporate litigation risk is lower for firms located in civil-law
countries and countries with less developed judiciary and legal systems. Dash and Raithatha
(2018) suggest that the process of securities class-action lawsuits is not applicable to market
regulations in most emerging economies because they have different regulatory mechanisms
China’s legal system is a large civil-law system that is heavily influenced by the German
legal structure (Firth, Rui & Wu, 2011; Lu, Pan & Zhang, 2015; Shan & Round, 2012).
Although its legal system was influenced by a European legal system, the legal system China
is often perceived as being underdeveloped and highly capricious (Allen, Qian & Qian, 2005),
and continues to have unique characteristics that correspond with its regulations and capital
markets (Shan & Round, 2012). The Chinese legal environment is continuously being
improved, and relevant regulations have been introduced to maintain order in the market
(Firth et al., 2011). Mechanisms of judicial intervention have been widely implemented in
China, and using legal avenues for dispute resolution has become common for enterprises.
The total monetary amount of litigation cases involving listed firms in China increased from
RMB9.8 billion in 2007 to RMB44.693 billion in 2016. For a considerable number of listed
firms in China, the expenses resulting from litigation exceeded the previous year’s net profit
and even operating income, posing a major threat to the firm’s ongoing operations (Mao &
Meng, 2013), which demonstrates that litigation cases have gradually become a risk factor
that cannot be ignored by Chinese firms; this is particularly true for the defendant firm.
Bhagat, Bizjak and Coles (1998) find that the average loss of a defendant firm’s market value
is 0.997%; however, there is no significant change in the market value of the plaintiffs. There
are further similar research findings for the Chinese capital market. For example, it has been
found that a litigation announcement lowers the stock prices of the firms involved, and the
We argue that findings about firm litigation risk in the context of the US cannot be used to
explain firm litigation risk in China for the following reasons. First, securities class-action
lawsuits and contingent legal fees are restricted (Palmer & Xi, 2009, p. 270), which means
Second, a firm’s litigation announcement will cause investor scepticism of the firm’s
operation and risk control, which will result in a negative market reaction, reducing the value
of the firm (Arena & Julio, 2015; Firth et al., 2011). However, this influence is significant but
not long term in China because legal consciousness in China is insufficient, and information
explosion means that the Chinese public does not tend to remember litigation cases. For
example, in 2014, Wuliangye Yibin, one of the most famous Chinese manufacturers of
alcoholic beverage, was sued in a securities dispute for producing false financial statements,
and for using information asymmetry to embezzle the rights and interests of small and
medium shareholders. The lawsuit involved 259 investors filing for a total of RMB24.7
RMB16.22 million. This lawsuit received widespread public attention, and the firm’s net
profit fell 26.81% according to its 2014 annual report. However, the negative effect of this
litigation on the firm has gradually disappeared. Its net profit returned to growth, and the
firms seems to have benefitted from the improvement of its management structure and sales
channels, increasing its net profit by 5.85% in 2015, 9.85% in 2016, and 42.58% in 2017.
This case demonstrates in China, the occurrence of litigation against a firm leads to a sharp
decrease in the value of the defendant firm, but that this negative influence is not long term,
Third, Chinese courts and their jurisdictions are established through the Chinese
Constitution, the Law of Criminal Procedure, the Law of Civil Procedure and the Law of
litigation rather than the issue of lawsuit at hand dictates in which type of court the case will
the firm (or the board of directors of the firm), which means it is a suboptimal solution for
conflict resolution. However, current research focuses on the effect of litigation risk only on
certain aspects of business operations, and rarely investigates the relationship between
litigation risk and overall firm financial performance. This means that firms may not pay
sufficient attention to the risk of litigation, and may implement their own risk-control
mechanisms and economic behaviour to reduce litigation risk (Mao & Meng, 2013; Wang,
Jiang & Xin, 2016). The present study provides new and insightful evidence to fill the gap in
the literature on the effect of litigation risk on firm performance in China by. The study
attempts to answer the following four important research questions. First, does litigation risk
affect firm performance? We predict a negative effect of litigation risk on firm performance
because litigation often lowers firm value (Lin, Zhou, Shu & Liu, 2013), and leads to a
deterioration of relationships between a firm’s customers and suppliers, thus affecting the
business activities of the firm (Koh, Qian & Wang, 2014). Second, does the concurrence of
litigation risk and internal control of governance improve firm performance? We predict a
interest between managers and shareholders (Shan, 2013, 2015), and therefore lower
litigation risk. Third, does the concurrence of litigation risk and analyst following improve
treated as an important information intermediary in the financial market who plays the role of
an external advisor (Hu, Wang, Tao & Zou, 2016; Wu, Jie & Su, 2017). Fourth, does debt
financing mediate the impact of litigation risk on firm performance? We predict that debt
reevaluate the defendant firm’s financial position (Rajan & Winton, 1995) and increase future
We use a dataset containing 16,601 firm-year observations for all Chinese listed firms on
the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SHSE) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) during the
period 2007–2016. Unlike other research on corporate lawsuits, the 1,802 lawsuits in our
sample considers no only securities class actions but also other types of lawsuits, including
arbitration, criminal proceedings, civil litigation and administrative litigation. 1 Our main
empirical finding indicates that litigation risk is negatively associated with firm performance.
We argue that this negative association results from the damaged reputation that litigation
confers on defendant firms. Further, we find that strong internal governance can reduce the
negative effect of litigation risk, in a context where derivative lawsuits being used as a
external advisor, and find that analyst following intensity offsets the negative effect of
effect of debt financing on the relationship between litigation risk and firm performance, and
our results reveal that debt size, cost of debt and debt structure have a negative partial
mediation effect on firm performance, while leverage has a complete mediation effect on firm
performance.
This study contributes to the literature in three ways. First, to the best of our knowledge,
this is the first study to offer empirical evidence that enhances understanding of the
mechanisms of the association between a firm litigation risk and firm performance by testing
the mediation effect of debt financing. Accordingly, we explore the relationship between
litigation risk and firm performance by considering four proxies of debt financing (i.e., debt
effect of litigation risk (Jensen, 1993; Johnson, Nelson & Pritchard, 2002; Zhang & Wu,
2014), we thus use corporate governance index as moderator to examine whether it can offset
the negative effects of litigation risk on firm performance. We also include financial analyst
expert who can decrease information asymmetry and transfer accurate information to the
Third, we focus on China as a natural laboratory to test the hypotheses proposed in this
study. Unlike studies that examine litigation risk in the US (e.g., Arena & Julio, 2015;
Bourveau et al., 2018; Cheng et al., 2010; Ferris et al., 2007; Nguyen et al., 2018; Ni & Yin,
2018; Yuan & Zhang, 2016), our study analyses the effect of litigation risk in China, where
lawsuit procedures are different from what they are in common-law and civil-law countries.
As noted, in China, the court that will hear a case of corporate litigation depends on the
We organize the reminder of this study as follows. Section 2 presents the development of
the hypotheses motivating our empirical analyses. Section 3 outlines the research method
adopted, including details of the data and sample, model specification, and variable
measurement. Section 4 presents the results and discussion, and Section 5 presents the
robustness checks. Section 6 concludes with a summary, implications of the research and
The issues relating to legal shareholder protection have been widely explored since La Porta,
Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer and Vishny (1998). Prior studies (e.g., Defond & Hung, 2004;
Porta et al., 1998; Reese Jr & Weisbach, 2002; Seetharaman, Gul & Lynn, 2002) note that
risk in French civil-law countries, whereas litigation risk in German and Scandinavian civil-
law countries have a medium level of litigation risk. Compared with firms in French civil-law
countries, firms in common-law countries have a more dispersed shareholder ownership (La
Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes & Shleifer, 1999), have a higher Tobin’s Q (La Porta, Lopez-de-
Silanes, Shleifer & Vishny, 2002), and can enter a new market or industry more easily
(Djankov, La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes & Shleifer, 2002). La Porta et al. (2002) find evidence
of higher valuation of firms in common-law countries that have stronger legal protection of
minority shareholders. For listed firms in common-law countries, once they are sued for
infringement by another organisation or shareholders, the uncertainty and high financial risk
caused by the litigation will have a series of negative effects on the normal operations and
performance of the firm for several reasons. First, litigation lawsuits undermine the reputation
of the defendant firm and release risk signals to investors, creditors, external auditors and
other stakeholders, thus affecting the financial activities and normal operations of the firm.
For example, Koh et al. (2014) state that strong social performance is more valuable as an
insurance mechanism for firms with higher litigation risk. Godfrey, Merrill and Hansen (2009)
use a sample of firms that have experienced negative legal or regulatory action, and find a
decrease in firm value as a result of the negative event. Firms with higher litigation risk pay
slightly higher gross spreads (Qing, 2011) and underprice their initial public offering by a
greater amount as a form of insurance, which is referred to as ‘insurance effect’ (Lowry &
Shu, 2002). For external auditors and creditors, potential civil litigation is an important factor
affecting the pricing of audit fees (Krishnan & Krishnan, 1997; Shu, 2000; Venkataraman,
Weber & Willenborg, 2008), and empirical evidence finds that creditors are more likely to
provide loans with a short period and high interest rate that have weak legal protection and
poor debt contract enforcement (Diamond, 2004). Second, litigation against a firm also leads
loses a case, it will face high compensation and litigation costs, and the pending litigation
will also create contingent liabilities, which may lead to the outflow of future economic
benefits and increase the financial risk of the firm. Therefore, a firm involved in a litigation
case has a lower firm value (Lin et al., 2013). In addition, it has been found firms involved in
litigation disputes have weak corporate-governance mechanisms, and lack effective risk
control and discipline in important economic issues (Beasley, Carcello, Hermanson &
Lapides, 2000). Further, a firm being involved in litigation with customers or suppliers can
have a deleterious effect on relationships with these parties, which can negatively affect cost
control and product sales, and thus negatively affect the normal production and operation
activities of the firm (Koh et al., 2014). Accordingly, we form the first hypothesis as follows:
performance.
Lengthy and costly litigation cases signal to external stakeholders (e.g., shareholders,
customers, vendors and lenders) that a firm has insufficient risk control, which in turn leads
to having a damaged corporate reputation, and then negatively affects firm performance.
However, strong corporate governance can promote the legitimate operation of firms,
strengthen the implementation of laws and regulatory systems, thus decreasing the negative
view of firms that have higher litigation risk, and re-establishing their good reputation. For
example, Beck, Demirguc-Kunt and Maksimovic (2005) investigate the effect of financial,
legal and corruption problems on firm growth, and find that financial and institutional
development can weaken the negative effects of financial, legal and corruption challenges on
firm growth. Moreover, strong internal control enables firms to adjust production rapidly and
continuously, which creates strong financial performance to compensate for the outflow of
accounting conservatism and corporate governance are negatively correlated with the firm’s
probability of litigation. Previous studies show that internal control improves accounting-
information quality (Altamuro & Beatty, 2010; Doyle, Ge & McVay, 2007), earnings quality
(Doyle et al., 2007), and information-disclosure quality (Fang & Jin, 2008; Yang & Mao,
2011), has a positive effect on corporate performance (Jensen, 1993) and the cash-holding
value of the firm (Zhang & Wu, 2014), and reduces corporate risk (Bargeron, Lehn & Zutter,
2010). Thus, a positive internal-control environment can allow firms with high litigation risk
to improve their corporate image, and maintain normal operations to offset promptly the
economic losses caused by litigation, thus decreasing the negative effect of litigation risk on
Hypothesis 2. Ceteris paribus, the concurrence of litigation risk and internal control is
and reducing the uncertainty of financial reporting (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). Analyst
following is also associated with less managerial manipulation (Fairfield & Whisenant, 2001)
and lawsuit engagement (Hanley, Weiss & Gerard, 2012), implying that analyst following
reduces litigation and operating risks. Pan, Dai and Lin (2011) find that firms with a high
level of analyst following are less likely to experience a decrease in firm value caused by
opaque information, which confirms financial analysts’ positive role in risk detection and
investor protection. Thus, analyst following promotes firm regulation of its own behaviours,
decreases distrust of defendant firms caused by high litigation risks, and thus has a positive
effect on firm performance (Fairfield & Whisenant, 2001; Hanley et al., 2012). Accordingly,
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Hypothesis 3. Ceteris paribus, the concurrence of litigation risk and analyst following is
The existing literature suggests a relationship between litigation risk and debt financing.
Chava, Agnes Cheng, Huang and Lobo (2010) find a positive effect of shareholder litigation
on the cost of equity capital for defendant firms. Deng et al. (2014) extend this work by
further establishing a link between bank loans and shareholder litigation for defendant firms,
suggesting that after a lawsuit has been filed against a firm, the firm’s lending bank will
adversely (for the firm) adjust the contract terms of the bank loan because of the firm’s
damaged credibility. A lawsuit being filed against a firm sends a negative signal to
stakeholders about the defendant firm’s default risk and increases uncertainty about the firm’s
prospects. Consequently, banks as the debtholders of defendant firms are likely to reevaluate
the defendant firm’s financial condition, and monitor the firm more vigilantly by increasing
the covenants and collateral requirements (Rajan & Winton, 1995), requiring up-front
charges and increasing future borrowing costs (Deng et al., 2014). In addition, the reputation
damage caused by a lawsuit allegation may disrupt the firm’s supply chain and sales
distribution, and result in higher contracting costs or lower sales. Previous studies have
investigated the effect of debt financing on firm performance. For example, Murphy,
Shrieves and Tibbs (2009) provide some empirical evidence on financial misconduct and find
that the alleged offenders suffer from higher risk and lower future profitability. Other
research on firms targeted by SEC enforcement actions concludes that alleged violations lead
to a substantial loss in firm value (Dechow, Sloan & Sweeney, 1996; Karpoff, Lee & Martin,
2008). The present study uses data of Chinese listed firms because the emerging Chinese
market differs distinctly in firm behaviour in the debt market. A report from the China
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of corporate loans in China. Dobson and Kashyap (2006) note that ‘virtually all debt
financing in China is done through the banks’ (p. 117). For defendant firms involved in
lawsuits, heavy reliance on bank loans is more likely to lead to a more pronounced effect on
firm performance. Thus, debt financing seems to mediate the path between litigation risk and
Hypothesis 4. Ceteris paribus, debt financing mediates the effect of litigation risk on
firm performance.
3. Research Method
The sample contains all publicly listed firms on the SHSE and the SZSE from 2007 to 2016.
We select year 2007 as the first year for this research because the new Chinese Accounting
Standards based on the International Financial Reporting Standards were adopted in that year.
The financial data are sourced from the China Stock Market & Accounting Research database,
and the litigation risk data are obtained from the Chinese Research Data Services Platform.
As shown in Table 1 Panel A, the initial sample has 23,121 observations, we exclude 408
and 93 observations for financial institutions and B-share (foreign share) firms, respectively,
because they are subject to different regulations and market-trading mechanisms. We further
delete 1,166 observations for special-treatment (ST) firms facing imminent danger of
delisting, and remove 5,393 firm-years observations that have missing data. Our final sample
contains 16,6012 firm-year observations. Table 1 Panel B reports the observation breakdown
by the four major types of lawsuits faced by firm defendants in China (i.e., 159 cases of
arbitration, 22 cases of criminal proceedings, 1,608 cases of civil litigation, and 13 cases of
administrative litigation). The total firm-year observations with lawsuits consist of 1,802.
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Following the methods of Chakravarthy (1986) and Deng et al. (2014), we develop
Equations (1–1), (1–2) and (1–3) to test Hypotheses 1, 2 and 3, respectively. Firm and year
fixed effects are considered, and the robust standard errors are clustered by firm for all
analyses.
Equation (1–1)
+ ∑ 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑠 +𝜀𝑖,𝑡
Equation (1–2)
Equation (1–3)
Appendix A provides the definitions of all variables used in this study. In Appendix A Panel
A, we use return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) as proxies for firm financial
performance. ROA is defined as net income divided by total assets, and ROE is defined as net
measurements for litigation risk corporate governance and analyst-following intensity. The
measure for litigation risk (Litigation Risk) is calculated as the monetary claim at year t
against the defendant in a litigation deflated by the defendant’s total assets at year t. To scale
this number up, we multiply it by 100. We use corporate governance index (CGI) proposed
by Wang and Shan (2018) to measure corporate governance. CGI is a sum of 14 internal
13
as a proxy for analyst-following intensity, which is measured at year t–1 to avoid any
endogeneity problem arising between variables. Appendix A Panel C presents the control
variables. Based on prior literature, the control variables are as follows: 1) percentage of
shares owned by the largest shareholder (Ownership Concentration) (Mehran, 1995); 2) sales
growth (Sales Growth) (Brush, Bromiley & Hendrickx, 2000; Kim & Skinner, 2012); 3)
natural logarithm of total assets (Size) (Hall & Weiss, 1967); 4) natural logarithm of cash
We examine Hypothesis 4, the mediation role of debt financing on the relationship between
litigation risk and firm performance. Specifically, we test four aspects of debt financing: debt
size, financial leverage, cost of debt, and debt structure. In China, most listed firms rely on
one of these four aspects for financing. Therefore, the banks become plaintiffs who bring
legal action against listed firms in more than one-third of filed litigation cases (Liu, Zhang &
Zhou, 2016). When a firm’s litigation risk increases, the bank as its debtholder re-evaluates
the firm’s default risk and is more likely to reduce the loan amount and/or charge higher
interest rates. Thus, a firm with high litigation risk may face higher costs of debt financing,
which is extremely detrimental to a highly leveraged firm. To pay off its debt, a firm might
need to reduce its cash holdings, cut expenditure on research, or be unable to fully invest in
its growth opportunities, thus resulting in a lower profitability (Jarrad, Sandy & Maxwell,
2014). In addition, litigation risk exposes a firm to actions arising from customers and
suppliers (Harland, Brenchley & Walker, 2003). Suppliers may require prepayment for
providing goods or services, and customers may be less willing to make a prepayment to the
firm for ordered goods or services. These actions from suppliers and customers cause the firm
to have lower cash reserves, and thus a higher level of financial distress. Thus, litigation risk
14
explains how litigation risk affects firm financial performance. Appendix A Panel D presents
Following Baron and Kenny (1986) and Wen and Ye (2014), we use a procedure
developed by Sobel (1982) to test the mediation roles of the four proxies of debt financing:
Equation (2–1)
Equation (2–2)
Equation (2–3)
The procedure of the mediation test is presented in Figure 1. We begin with Equation (2–
1) to examine the overall effect of Litigation Risk on ROA, which is denoted by coefficient 𝛽1 .
The effect of Litigation Risk on Debt is captured by 𝛼1 in Equation (2–2), while 𝛽1′ in
Equation (2–3) denotes the direct effect of Litigation Risk on ROA after controlling for the
mediator Debt. Based on the definition of a mediator by Baron and Kenny (1986), we
consider debt as a mediator if: 1) Litigation Risk significantly accounts for ROA (𝛽1 ≠ 0); 2)
Litigation Risk significantly accounts for Debt (𝛼1 ≠ 0); 3) Debt significantly predicts ROA
We first test the total effect of Litigation Risk on ROA (𝛽1 ), and proceed to further tests
only if 𝛽1 is statistically significant. We then test the indirect effect of Litigation Risk on ROA
through Debt, estimated by 𝛼1 and 𝛽2 . If the indirect effect (𝛼1 and 𝛽2 ) is significant and the
15
Litigation Risk on ROA decreases by a nontrivial amount with the inclusion of Debt, but not
to zero, thus a partial mediation occurs (Preacher & Hayes, 2004). Another possibility could
be a significant indirect effect (𝛼1 and 𝛽2 ) and an insignificant direct effect (𝛽1′ ) of Litigation
Risk on ROA, implying a complete mediation effect. If either of the 𝛼1 and 𝛽2 coefficient is
not statistically significant, or neither of them is significant, we further conduct the Sobel test
with a null hypothesis that the indirect effect (𝛼1 × 𝛽2 ) equals zero (or equivalent, 𝛽1 − 𝛽1′ =0).
A critical ratio Z3 is yielded using (𝛼1 × 𝛽2 ) divided by the standard error of indirect effect
(𝑠𝛼1𝛽2 )2, in order to compare with the critical value from a standard normal distribution. A
rejection of a null hypothesis in Sobel test indicates the existence of a mediation effect.
Table 2 reports the descriptive statistics for the key variables. The dependent variable ROA
has a mean (median) of 0.0452 (0.0419) within a range between −0.2014 and 0.1964, and
ROE has a mean (median) of 0.0749 (0.0764) within a range between −0.6567 and 0.3861.
The average monetary claim amount is 0.0463% of the total assets for defendant firms, and
the highest monetary claim amount in the sample could be 3.46 times larger than a firm’s
total assets. Following Intensity has a standard deviation of 1.1025, indicating that analyst-
following intensity varies significantly across firms over the period. The mean CGI is 4.2566
within a range between 0 and 13. This suggests that most listed firms have some form of
governance in place, yet the extent of governance varies. The mean of Size, Ownership
Concentration and Cash Flow are 17.4938, 35.9886 and 18.9345, respectively, indicating that
the firms in our sample are large firms with high ownership concentration and relatively high
operating cash flow. The statistics for control variables are within a reasonable range.
16
as follows. First, the continuous variables are winsorised at the 1 st and 99th percentiles
because susceptible influence of outlying observations can be caused during ordinary least
squares estimation (Wooldridge, 2013). Second, we adopted both Pearson and Spearman’s
rank correlations to examine the threat of multicollinearity. The correlation values among the
variables used in the equations (not tabulated in this paper) are all below 0.7. We also
calculate variance inflation factor values and the results (not tabulated in this paper) are
below the critical value of 10 (Gujarati, 2003). Consequently, the variables in this study are
The model-fit reports in Table 3 show adjusted R 2 s of 0.0938, 0.0419, 0.1026, 0.0559,
0.0907 and 0.0458 for each column, respectively. The F-statistics for all columns are
statistically significant.
Table 3 Columns 1 and 2 present the regression results for Hypothesis 1. We explore how
litigation risk affects firm financial performance by regressing Litigation Risk on ROA and
ROE. The coefficient of Litigation Risk is negatively associated with ROA in Column 1 (α2 =
–0.00607, p < 0.01) and ROE in Column 2 (α2 = –0.00918, p < 0.1). Thus, Hypothesis 1 is
supported, which means that a firm with higher litigation risk will lower its financial
performance. Litigation risk may raise concerns of the defendant firm’s debtholders, disrupt
its relationships with suppliers and customers, weaken its competitive market position and
We examine the interactive effect of internal governance and litigation risk on firm financial
17
0.01) is significantly positive in Columns 3 and 4. The results indicate that strong internal
governance can effectively mitigate the negative effect of litigation risk on profitability, and
are consistent with the findings of Mao and Meng (2013) which suggests that the
purpose. As firms with strong internal control suffer less from legitimacy compared with
firms with weak internal control, they are more likely to recover from their financial losses
and be able to restore a damaged reputation (Chakravarthy, DeHaan & Rajgopal, 2014). Thus,
Hypothesis 2 is supported.
We examine the interactive effect of analyst following and litigation risk on firm financial
performance to test Hypothesis 3. The coefficient of the interactive term Following Intensity
× Litigation Risk is positively (𝛾4 = 0.006, 𝑝 < 0.01; 𝛾4 = 0.01345, 𝑝 < 0.01) related to
ROA and ROE. The results suggest that a high level of analyst following has a significant
effect on reducing the negative effect of litigation risk on profitability, and confirm the
For the control variables, the sign and significance level of firm characteristics are
consistent with the findings of Equations 1–1 and 1–2, suggesting that firms with high
ownership concentration, high sales growth, small size and a high free cash flow level
Overall, we conclude that there is a negative association between litigation risk and firm
financial performance, but that adequate corporate governance and analyst following can
decrease the negative effect of litigation risk and firm financial performance.
18
between Litigation Risk and ROA. The mediation analysis for Debt Size and Leverage is
presented in Table 4 Panel A (i.e., Column 1 presents the regression of Litigation Risk on
ROA, and Column 3 identifies the mediation effect of Debt Size). The coefficients of
Litigation Risk are negative in Columns 1 and 3, yet the magnitude and significance level of
the coefficient of Litigation Risk (𝛽1′ = −0.0089, 𝑝 < 0.1) in Column 3 are lower than those
(𝛽1 = −0.0102, 𝑝 < 0.05) in Column 1. A negative effect of Litigation Risk on Debt Size
(𝛼1 = −0.0433, p < 0.1) in Column 2 means that defendant firms with high litigation risk are
less likely to obtain loan support, while a strong positive relationship (𝛽2 = 0.0296, 𝑝 < 0.01)
between Debt Size and ROA in Column 3 suggests that a defendant firm with high litigation
risk performs worse financially because of a lack of adequate loan support. Thus, debt size
partially mediates the negative effect of litigation risk on firm performance as reflected by the
ROA of 12.51%. For Columns 4 to 6, the indirect effect of Litigation Risk on ROA (𝛼1 =
0.0861, 𝑝< 0.01; 𝛽2 = –0.1194, p < 0.01) is significant, and the direct effect of Ligation Risk
on ROA is insignificant (𝛽1′ = –0.004, p > 0.1), indicating a complete mediation effect of
96.29%. Thus, it seems an increase in litigation risk forces a firm to raise its financial
operational failure.
Table 4 Panel B reports the mediation tests of Cost of Debt and Debt Structure on ROA.
For Cost of Debt, the coefficient 𝛼1 is insignificant (𝛼1 = 0.0035, p > 0.1), thus we conduct a
Sobel test to confirm the partial mediation effect (z-statistic = –1.074). The result suggests a
high defendant firm faces higher costs of debt financing, which partially accounts for lower
firm performance of 16.13%. For Debt Structure, a significant indirect effect of Ligation Risk
on ROA (𝛼1 = –0.0150, p < 0.05; 𝛽2 = –0.0797, p < 0.01), with the inclusion of Debt Structure
19
partial mediation effect of 11.69%. This means that high litigation risk decreases the
clients. However, such trade credits (as a source of finance) may be important for a defendant
5. Robustness Checks
We conduct a variety of sensitivity analyses to ensure the robustness of the results. First, we
note that endogeneity issues may exist (Brown, Beekes & Verhoeven, 2011; Koh et al., 2014).
Firms with poor financial performance may face a severe free cash flow problem or even a
going-concern threat, which in turn exacerbates the incidence of overdue debt and default.
We thus employ two-stage least squares (2SLS) to address endogeneity issues by introducing
an instrumental variable (IV). Following prior studies (Ali & Kallapur, 2001; Francis,
Philbrick & Schipper, 1994; Koh et al., 2014; Matsumoto, 2002), the Standard Industrial
high level of litigation risk. Industrial Litigation Risk is proxied as an IV that codes as 1 if a
firm’s primary industry belongs to one of those industries, and 0 otherwise. The 2SLS
regression results (not tabulated in this paper) are consistent with the primary findings in
Table 3 Column 1.
Second, to check the robustness of the primary results presented in Table 3, we use an
Dummy is statistically and negatively associated with ROA (α2 = –0.00499, p < 0.01 in
Column 1), and the two concurrence effects for CGI × Litigation Dummy and Following
Intensity × Litigation Dummy are statistically and positively related to ROA (β4 = 0.00223, p
20
in Table 3 Columns 1, 3 and 5, and indicate that governance mechanisms and financial
Third, the number of observations with lawsuits is very small compared with the number
of observations without lawsuits. 4 To avoid the results being disturbed by sample size, we use
the propensity score matching (PSM) analysis to match the sample. The propensity scores are
estimated based on a probit regression at the listed-firm level with the dependent variable
being a binary variable equal to 1 for defendant firms, and 0 for firms without lawsuits. We
use a set of control variables, i.e., ownership concentration, sales growth, size and cash flow,
as matching dimensions. We incorporate industry and year fixed effects to absorb any time-
specific and industry-specific heterogeneity not captured by firm characteristics. Because the
number of firms without lawsuits significantly exceeds the number of defendant firms, we
use the three nearest neighbouring firms without lawsuits that come from the same industry
year. The probit model is estimated across 4,765 samples with no missing data for all of the
matching-dimension variables. Table 6 reports the firm financial performance analysis using
the PSM.
As shown in Table 6, Litigation Risk is statistically and negatively associated with ROA
(α2= –0.00413, p < 0.1 in Column 1), and the two concurrence effects of CGI × Litigation
Risk and Following Intensity × Litigation Risk are all statistically and positively related to
ROA (β4 = 0.00221, p < 0.1 in Column 2; γ4 = 0.00663, p < 0.05 in Column 3). Thus, the
6. Conclusion
This study explores how litigation risk influences firm financial performance. We find that a
21
internal governance and external governance advisor can effectively mitigate the negative
effect of litigation risk on firm performance. Using debt size, leverage, cost of debt and debt
structure as proxies, we further examine the role of debt financing as a mediator in the
relationship between litigation risk and firm performance, and find that litigation risk
negatively affects firm performance through excessive leverage, increased cost of debt,
Three implications may be drawn from this study. First, this study assists firm
litigation risk, and promote their risk control to regulate their own behaviour. Second, this
study demonstrates that loan size and financing costs have a mediation effect on the
relationship between litigation risk and firm performance, which indicates that the market
plays a role in firm governance (Bourveau et al., 2018; Nguyen et al., 2018). Accordingly, the
government should consider relaxing the intervention of bank credit decision making, and
advancing a more market-oriented allocation of credit resources. Third, the results show that
financial analyst can correct the adverse effects of litigation risk. It should be noted that due
to the existence of this corrective force, measures should also be taken to prevent the abuse of
This paper has two limitations. First, the study covers only the four major categories of
corporate disputes in China (i.e., arbitration, criminal proceedings, civil litigation and
administrative litigation). Future research should consider other types of lawsuits (e.g., patent,
antitrust, fraud and labour) (Arena & Ferris, 2018). Second, the study examines the role of a
financial analyst as an external advisor who can directly or indirectly affect the quality and
decisions. Legal counsel provides legal advice to ensure compliance with applicable laws,
22
the law to protect the interests of the firm (Rezaee, 2009). Future research should examine the
Endnotes
1
There are four levels of courts in China: the Supreme People’s Court being the highest, followed by the higher
People’s Courts at the provincial level, and the intermediate and basic People’s Courts at the local-government
level. Chinese courts and their jurisdictions are established through the Chinese Constitution, the Law of
Criminal Procedure, the Law of Civil Procedure and the Law of Administrative Procedure. the monetary amount
of commercial litigation rather than the issue of lawsuit at hand dictates in which type of court the case will be
heard (see Firth et al., 2011).
2
This sample size comes down to 14,309 observations when merging with data on analyst following intensity,
and to 11,530 observations when merging with data on corporate governance.
3
Based on Sobel (1982) and Preacher and Hayes (2004), the standard error of indirect effect is calculated as:
𝑠𝛼1𝛽 =√𝛽22 𝑠𝛼 12 + 𝛼12 𝑠𝛽22 + 𝑠𝛼21 𝑠𝛽22 . The critical ratio Z for a two-tailed normal distribution is calculated as: Z=
2
(𝛼1 ∗ 𝛽2 )/𝑠𝛼1𝛽 .
2
4
As shown in Table 1, the observations of litigation are 1,802, and the observations without litigation are
14,799.
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24
25
26
27
Note:
a
The first row (number) represents the estimated coefficient, the second row (number in parentheses) represents the t-value
of significance and the third row represent expected sign and hypothesis.
b
The definition for variables is presented in Appendix A.
c*
if p < .10; **if p < .05; ***if p < .01. All tests are two-tailed.
28
Note:
a
The first row (number) represents the estimated coefficient, the second row (number in parentheses) represents the t-value
of significance.
b
The definition for variables is presented in Appendix A.
c*
if p < .10; **if p < .05; ***if p < .01. All tests are two-tailed.
29
Note:
a
The first row (number) represents the estimated coefficient, the second row (number in parentheses) represents the t-value
of significance and the third row represent expected sign and hypothesis.
b
The definition for variables is presented in Appendix A.
c*
if p < .10; **if p < .05; ***if p < .01. All tests are two-tailed.
30
Note:
a
The first row (number) represents the estimated coefficient, the second row (number in parentheses) represents the t-value
of significance and the third row represent expected sign and hypothesis.
c
The definition for variables is presented in Appendix A.
d*
if p < .10; **if p < .05; ***if p < .01. All tests are two-tailed.
31