SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.730378
R Square 0.533452
Adjusted R 0.500127
Standard E 1.816359
Observatio 16

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 52.81176 52.81176 16.00764 0.001314
Residual 14 46.18824 3.29916
Total 15 99

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 11.9 0.952507 12.49335 5.57E-09 9.857076 13.94292 9.857076 13.94292
X Variable 0.394118 0.098506 4.000955 0.001314 0.182844 0.605392 0.182844 0.605392
 Year& Quarter X Y XY X^2 Forecast Ratio Adjusted Forecast
Actual 2007.1 1 11 11 1 12.29 0.90
2007.2 2 15 30 4 12.68 1.18
2007.3 3 12 36 9 13.07 0.92
2007.4 4 14 56 16 13.46 1.04
2008.1 5 12 60 25 13.85 0.87
25
2008.2 6 17 102 36 14.24 1.19
2008.3 7 13 91 49 14.63 0.89 20
2008.4 8 16 128 64 15.02 1.07 f(x) = 0.3941176471x + 11.9
2009.1 9 14 126 81 15.41 0.91 15

2009.2 10 18 180 100 15.8 1.14

10
2009.3 11 15 165 121 16.19 0.93
2009.4 12 17 204 144 16.58 1.03 5
2010.1 13 15 195 169 16.97 0.88
2010.2 14 20 280 196 17.36 1.15 0
1 2 3 4 5 6
2010.3 15 16 240 225 17.75 0.90
2010.4 16 19 304 256 18.14 1.05
Forecast 2011.1 17 18.60 16.5255251139
2011.2 18 18.99 22.1666090238
2011.3 19 19.39 17.6172388368
2011.4 20 19.78 20.6631917543
 b y bar x bar a sum of x sum of y sum of XY sum of X^2
0.394117647 15.25 8.5 11.9 136 244 2208 1496

2007.1 0.90
Chart Title 2008.1 0.87
2009.1 0.91
25
2010.1 0.88
20 Average
f(x) = 0.3941176471x + 11.9 2007.2 1.18
15 2008.2 1.19
2009.2 1.14
10
2010.2 1.15
5 Average
2007.3 0.92
0 2008.3 0.89
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
2009.3 0.93
2010.3 0.90
Average
2007.4 1.04
2008.4 1.07
2009.4 1.03
2010.4 1.05
Average
0.888469092

1.167024941

0.908656129

1.044526494