9/26/2019 Metaculus

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Question status: all Order by: a c ti v i ty

predictions status interest

[Short Fuse] What will this 0

question's interest score be on U pc omi ng
–7
October 3th? 8 comments n/a opens in 1d 13h

Will humans have a sustainable 216

off-world presence by 2100? Open
31
40 comments 63% closes Nov 13, 2024

Will SpaceX land people on 3.26k

Mars prior to 2030? 238 Open
549
comments 78% closes Oct 13, 2020

Would a Democratically
controlled House impeach 603 Cl o s e d
32
President Trump before the resolves Nov 7,
23%
2020 elections? 37 comments 2020

Will quantum computing 131

"supremacy” be achieved by Cl o s e d
17
2025? 10 comments 57% resolves Jan 1, 2025

Will Brexit happen by end of 467

day, October 31st, 2019? 64 Open
36
comments 33% closes in 4d 21h

Will Mars have a permanent 11

population of 10,000 before Open
10
the Moon does? 14 comments 50% closes Dec 31, 2089

If President Donald Trump is

impeached, will the 181
impeachment trial end with Open
20
conviction and removal of the 15% closes Jan 18, 2021
sitting president? 24 comments

Will Trump be reelected 1. 6 8 k

president in 2020? 125 Open
165
comments 45% closes Nov 3, 2020

If Donald J. Trump is
impeached by the U.S. House of
Representatives, how many 20
Open
3
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9/26/2019 Metaculus
3

articles of impeachment will be 5.75 closes in 5d 9h

brought to the U.S. Senate? 2
comments
156

When will Boris Johnson cease N o v 13,

to be Prime Minister of the 2020

Open
11
United Kingdom? 24 comments closes Jan 1, 2020

If WeWork goes public before

mid-2020, how much will it be 20
Open
5
worth one week after its IPO? closes Jan 1, 2020
14.1
11 comments

Will the UK revoke Article 50 by 127

Open
15
June 23 2020? 11 comments
16% closes in 4d 13h

Will Donald Trump complete his 175

elected term(s) as President? 9 Open
10
comments 88% closes Mar 10, 2020

The Rise and Fall of the Banana:

Will the current main export 79
Open
11
cultivar, the Cavendish, be closes Nov 12, 2024
50%
replaced by 2035? 20 comments

What will the lowest retail

price, in USD per kg, of any 12
product containing 50% clean Open
3
meat be, in the calendar year 7. 8 2 closes Jan 1, 2028
2029? 3 comments

Hutter prize: when will a

compression method achieve 1 158

bit-per-character on a 100MB M a r 22,

Cl o s e d
12
sample of Wikipedia? 23 resolves Jan 1, 2030
2024
comments

Will Tulsi Gabbard drop out 88

before the Hawaii primary? 7 Open
4
comments 75% closes Apr 3, 2020

Discussion topic: what are some

suggestions for questions to n/a
Open
20
launch? 181 comments for discussion

Will Jordan Peterson endorse

Maxime Bernier as Canada's 159
next Prime Minister ahead of Open
1
the 2019 Canadian federal 17% closes Oct 21, 2019
election? 4 comments

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