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To cite this article: Fan Hui Kong & René Gonin (2000) OPTIMAL SAMPLING TIMES IN BIOEQUIVALENCE TESTS, Journal of
Biopharmaceutical Statistics, 10:1, 31-44, DOI: 10.1081/BIP-100101011
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Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics, 10(1), 31–44 (2000)
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1441 West Montgomery Avenue
Rockville, Maryland 20850
Abstract
1. Introduction
31
concentration-time curve (AUC), which measures the total amount of drug ab-
sorbed in the body; the maximum concentration (C max ); and the time to reach max-
imum concentration (t max ).
The ability to measure pharmacokinetic variables accurately is thus of critical
importance in a bioequivalence study. However, most methods for conducting
bioequivalence tests assume that the pharmacokinetic variables have been mea-
sured accurately. In fact, the values of these variables rely on the concentration-
time curve, C(t), which can be measured only at certain predetermined blood
sampling times. For example, AUC is calculated by a trapezoidal or other approxi-
mation method using the values of C(t) at those time points (see Bailer and Pie-
gorsh (1)). Because only a limited number of time points can be chosen, the
appropriate design of these time points becomes crucial to the accuracy with which
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pharmacokinetic variables are measured. Wei (2) has suggested a simple proce-
dure for selecting sampling time points to reduce the mean squared error of the
trapezoidal approximation of the AUC. However, his example shows that his pro-
cedure does not produce an optimal design. Chang and Wong (3) proposed proce-
dures to select optimal blood sampling time points in phase II or III clinical trials
in order to investigate pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic relationships. Because
their procedure only searches within the previously fixed time points, it therefore
may not locate globally optimal time points.
Optimal sampling time designs have been proposed in pharmacokinetic stud-
ies as a means to estimating pharmacokinetic model (PK model) parameters such
as the rate of absorption k a , the rate of elimination k e , and the apparent volume
of distribution V (D’Argenio (4); Tod and Rocchisani (5)). In a bioequivalence
study, however, only the bioavailability parameters AUC, C max, and t max are to be
compared; we therefore assume that the PK model for each drug formulation is
given so that the corresponding concentration-time curve C(t) is well defined. For
a given population of study subjects, the PK model parameters V, k a , and k e are
assumed to follow certain probability distributions with certain known parameters.
Of course, the estimation of these parameters would require that some pharmaco-
kinetic studies of the given population have been undertaken.
The main objective of this paper is to provide an optimal selection procedure
that substantially improves the accuracy of AUC estimation in a bioequivalence
test. Our procedure is easy to describe to practitioners, and our simulation study
indicates that AUCs approximated by the trapezoidal method using our time de-
sign improve the corresponding AUC estimations using conventional times de-
signs in most cases.
Suppose the drug concentration-time curve C(t) has an analytic form that depends
on parameters V, k a , and k e , which represent certain characteristics of the study
ORDER REPRINTS
subjects. Thus, for a specific population and formulation, these parameters follow
some joint distribution. We assume that this distribution can be obtained by early
experience or certain pharmacokinetic studies. For a fixed set of time points t 0 ⫽
0 ⱕ t 1 ⱕ ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ ⱕ t m , the profile, Ĉ(t), consists of piecewise straight lines that connect
C(t i⫺1 ) and C(t i ) for i ⫽ 1, . . . , m. Then the squared deviation between C(t) and
Ĉ(t) for t i⫺1 ⱕ t ⱕ t i is
冮
ti
{C(t) ⫺ Ĉ(t)} 2 dt (1)
t i⫺1
冤冱 冮 冥
m ti
E {C(t) ⫺ Ĉ(t)} 2 dt (2)
t i⫺1
i⫽1
The optimal time points are determined by minimizing this expectation subject
to the order restrictions t 0 ⫽ 0 ⱕ t 1 ⱕ ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ ⱕ t m . To avoid the degenerate case
(all t i → 0), we determine a positive number T f and require that t m ⱖ T f .
This is a linearly constrained nonlinear programming problem, and a gen-
eral theory and methodology have been developed in the optimization literature
(Fletcher (6)). A summary of optimality conditions are provided in the Appendix.
Although a general theory of optimization is available, great difficulties may be
encountered in implementation, especially when parameters V, k a , and k e have a
three-dimensional joint distribution. Numerical integration and differentiation are
required in the minimization of Expression (2).
Although the above approach applies to general PK models and parameter distri-
butions, we shall consider the one-compartment open model as a special case. It
is assumed that the distribution of a drug follows a one-compartment model with
first-order absorption, which is the situation most frequently encountered in prac-
tice. For this model, the concentration-time curve has the form
Dk a
C(t) ⫽ {e ⫺ke t ⫺ e ⫺k a t} (3)
V(k a ⫺ k e)
where D, V, k a , and k e are positive constants and 0 ⱕ t ⬍ ∞. In particular, D
represents the dose of drug administered with V, k a , and k e as before. It is reason-
able to assume that D and V are constants in bioequivalence tests conducted in
healthy volunteers. Although k a may depend on the formulation and the individual,
it usually has low variability, and we thus assume it to be constant. The parameter
with the largest variation, k e , directly determines the total AUC, which equals
ORDER REPRINTS
D/(Vk e ) if model (3) is valid. The total AUC is approximated using the trapezoidal
method. Because k e ⬎ 0, it is reasonable to assume a lognormal distribution for
k e , with density function
1 1 µ 2
e ⫺2 冢logx⫺σ冣 (4)
σ√2π x
for 0 ⬍ x ⬍ ∞, where µ and σ 2 are the mean and variance of the logarithm of k e .
Given that ln k e ⬃ N(µ, σ 2 ), then k e ⬃ lognormal(µ k e , σ 2ke ), where mean µ k e ⫽
e µ⫹0.5σ 2 and variance σ 2ke ⫽ (e σ2 ⫺ 1)µ 2ke .
For the one-compartment model, the squared deviation for each i in Expres-
sion (1) has a closed-form expression, as we shall see subsequently. The expecta-
tion (2) with respect to distribution (4) is computed by means of a numerical
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integration.
The next step is to choose a positive number Tf so that the optimal time points
satisfy the restriction Tf ⱕ t m . The selection of Tf affects the accuracy of the ap-
proximated AUC. Given the values of D, V, k a , and k e , we find that high accuracy
is achieved if one chooses Tf so that the AUC on the right-hand side of Tf is
approximately 3% of the total AUC. In general, let p be the percentage of the
AUC on the right-hand side of Tf , then Tf is determined by solving the equation
k a e ⫺ke T ⫺ k e e ⫺kaT
⫺p⫽0 (5)
ka ⫺ ke
for T. Note that T → ∞ as p → 0. Table 1 gives the solution, Tf , for various values
of k e , k a , and p.
From Table 1 we see that Tf depends heavily on k a and k e , and for most of
k a and k e the values of T f are too large to be of practical use. In fact, in many
bioequivalence studies, subjects may only be kept in the clinical center for at most
one day, so T f ⱕ 24. In that case the overall AUC is more difficult to determine,
hence we find the optimal time points so that the AUC over the period [0, 24]
can be determined more accurately.
p 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.05
Tf 72.2 62.0 37.3 32.2 25.8 22.4 71.6 61.4 36.6 31.5
For a one-compartment model, the nonlinear objective function (2) entails integra-
tion since k e follows a lognormal distribution that complicates the optimization
procedure. We first consider the special case where k e is assumed to be constant
so the objective function does not involve integration.
For ease of analytical detail, define
C 0 (t) ⫽ e ⫺k et ⫺ e ⫺kat (6)
ignoring the constant Dk a /V(k a ⫺ k e ) for the time being. Let the straight-line
estimate of concentration be
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冦 冧 冱冮
2 m ti
Dk a
{(e ⫺ke t ⫺ e ⫺k a t ) ⫺ a i ⫺ b i t} 2 dt (9)
V(k a ⫺ k e ) i⫽1
t i⫺1
subject to constraints:
c i ⫽ t i ⫺ t i⫺1 ⱖ 0, for i ⫽ 1, . . . , m
c m⫹1 ⫽ t m ⫺ Tf ⱖ 0
Under these restrictions, one always has t m ⱖ Tf . Integration of Expression (9)
with respect to t yields
冮
ti
(e ⫺ke t ⫺ e ⫺ka t ⫺ a i ⫺ b i t) 2 dt
t i⫺1
冷
ti
(2k e a i ⫹ 2b i )e ⫺ke t b2 t3 2e ⫺(ke⫹k a)t
⫹ ⫹ a t ⫹ i ⫹ ai bi t2 ⫹
2
i
k 2e 3 ke ⫹ ka t i⫺1
ORDER REPRINTS
Table 2. Optimal Sampling Time Designs for Model (3) with Fixed k e and k a for m ⫽ 6, 7, 8, 9,
and 10 Design Points a
AUC Total
m t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 t7 t8 t9 t 10 to Tf AUC b
Table 3. Optimal Sampling Time Designs for Model (3) with Fixed k e and k a for m ⫽ 6, 7, 8, 9,
and 10 Design Points a
AUC Total
m t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 t7 t8 t9 t 10 to Tf AUC b
ple we assume that k a ⫽ 0.2, k e ⫽ 0.1, and Tf ⫽ 24.0 so the true AUC is 100
(⫽ D/(Vk e )), and the true truncated AUC up to time Tf is 82.68. Table 2 re-
ports the optimal time designs for 6 ⱕ m ⱕ 10 and the corresponding approxi-
mate AUCs. In the second example, we choose k a ⫽ 0.8 so the rate of absorption
is higher and the true truncated AUC to Tf is 89.63. Table 3 reports the optimal
time designs and the corresponding approximate AUCs.
time design for one subject may not be optimal for another. By assuming that k e
follows a lognormal distribution with known parameters µ ke and σ ke , we can mini-
mize the expected objective function (2) instead of Expression (9), where (2) is
the expectation of (9) with respect to the distribution of k e . First, note that we
have a class of concentration-time curves, but that only one Tf value is needed.
We therefore apply the method in Section 2.2 only to the curve with mean values
of µ k e and σ ke to derive the last sampling time point Tf . Thus the AUC over [Tf ,
∞) is p100% of the total AUC for that particular curve only, and the remainder
of the total AUC must be estimated for the remaining curves. Because k e must
be smaller than k a in Expression (9) in order for the objective function to be finite,
we truncate the lognormal distribution of k e to x ⬍ k a . Once t m ⫽ Tf is fixed, the
objective function can be minimized in terms of the unknowns, t 1 , . . . , t m , and
the constants k a , V, D, µ ⫽ µ ke and σ k e . It has the functional form
冮 冦冱 冮 冧
ka m ti
D 2 k 2a
{(e ⫺xt ⫺ e ⫺ka t ) ⫺ a i (x) ⫺ b i (x)t} 2 dt
V 2 σ√2π 0
i⫽1
t i⫺1
1 1 log x⫺µ 2
⫺ 冦冢
⫻ e 2 σ 冣冧 dx
x(k a ⫺ x) 2
Table 4. Optimal Sampling Time Designs for Model (3) with Fixed k a and Random k e for m ⫽
6, 7, 8, 9, and 10 Design Points a
m t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 t7 t8 t9 t 10
subject to constraints:
c i ⫽ t i ⫺ t i⫺1 ⱖ 0, for i ⫽ 1, . . . , m
c m⫹1 ⫽ t m ⫺ Tf ⱖ 0
mated by C(Tf )/k e . However, k e is usually unknown for a fixed curve C(t), but
can be estimated by means of linear regression on the last three values of ln C(t).
Adding the result to the trapezoidal approximation over [0, Tf ] produces an esti-
mate of the total AUC.
Because no optimization method is guaranteed to converge globally for gen-
eral nonlinear objective functions, the optimal sampling times obtained may only
represent a local solution. Our suggestion is to try different starting values of the
parameters and compare the values of the objective functions at their respective
optimal points and select the best one. Our simulation study indicates that the
optimal time points with our procedure are quite robust to the starting values. As
a general rule, one should include the designs that are used in practice and are
believed to be good among starting values.
Table 5. Optimal Sampling Time Designs for Model (3) with Fixed k a and Random k e for m ⫽
6, 7, 8, 9, and 10 Design Points a
m t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 t7 t8 t9 t 10
Table 6. Optimal Sampling Time Designs for Model (3) with Fixed k a and Random k e for m ⫽
6, 7, 8, 9, and 10 Design Points a
m t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 t7 t8 t9 t 10
as is typical in practice. In this case, the mean and standard deviation of ln k e are
µ ⫽ ⫺2.4142 and σ ⫽ √ln(1 ⫹ 0.5 2 ) ⫽ 0.4724, respectively.
We chose the last sampling point to be 24.0 as is common practice. For k a ⫽
0.5, the optimal time values for m ⫽ 6, . . . , 10 are reported in Table 4. For k a ⫽
0.8 and 0.2, the results are reported in Tables 5 and 6. Dramatic differences be-
tween optimal time values for different values of k a were observed.
3. A Simulation Study
We would like to see how much of the AUC is missed if a trapezoidal method
is used for each of these designs. We used µ ⫽ ⫺2.4142 and σ ⫽ 0.4724, thus
µ ke ⫽ 0.1 and σ ke ⫽ 0.05, as before, and generated 1000 random deviates from
this lognormal distribution. For a fixed value of k a this yields 1000 concentration-
time curves. Simulation studies were conducted using various values of k a and
Tf . For most of these situations, the optimal time design we proposed improves
the regular design. There were a few exceptions in which the regular design out-
performed the optimal design. This indicates that our procedure of finding the
optimal sampling times could be improved further.
We now provide a typical example of such a simulation. For k a ⫽ 0.5, m ⫽
6 design points, and Tf ⫽ 24.0, the optimal time points are T * ⫽ (1.1, 2.6, 4.9,
10.7, 16.5, 24.0) (Table 4) and for the chosen regular design T R ⫽ (1, 2, 4, 8,
ORDER REPRINTS
16, 24), which is quite close to the optimal one. This might not be the case if
different values of k a or µ k e were selected, in which case quite different optimal
designs would be obtained. For each value of k e , we calculated the true AUC up
to 24 hours and its trapezoidal approximations under T * and T R. For the first 15
simulated values of k e , the corresponding true AUC over [0, 24.0] and trapezoidal
approximations using both designs are reported in Table 7. The second column
in Table 7 reports the true AUC up to 24.0. Columns 3 and 4 report the approxi-
mate AUC and the percentage of unexplained AUC under the regular design T R.
Columns 5 and 6 report the corresponding approximations and percentages under
the optimal time design T *. The mean percentage of the unexplained AUC for
regular design T R is ⫺1.1% (SD ⫽ 1.5%) with a median of ⫺0.7% and range
[⫺6.4%, 0.9%]; the mean percentage of unexplained AUC for the optimal design
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T * is 0.001% (SD ⫽ 0.9%) with median of 0.3% and range [⫺5.1%, 1.05%].
The simulation study indicates that the trapezoidal approximation for the AUCs
up to 24 hours under the optimal design is an improvement over the regular time
design for m ⫽ 6. In particular, the regular design has a nonnegligible bias while
the optimal design reduces it.
We note that both the regular and the optimal designs tend to overestimate
the small AUCs and underestimate the large AUCs. We investigated this phenom-
enon further and performed additional simulations for different means and vari-
ances of k e (yielding different AUCs) and compared the biases between the regular
and optimal designs. The results indicate that almost all the finite time designs
have this imperfection. For larger elimination rates k e (total AUC becomes
smaller), the regular design exhibits more bias and the optimal design reduces the
bias more. Examples are shown in Table 8. In real applications, the magnitude
of error may be larger. In fact, the values of C(t i ) are usually measured in labora-
tories and therefore subject to measurement error. Such measurement errors will
distort the profile of C(t) and inflate the error in the estimated trapezoidal AUC.
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Table 8. Comparison of Percentage Unexplained AUC Between the Regular and the Optimal Time
Designs for k a ⫽ 0.5 and m ⫽ 6
Regular design Optimal design
Table 9. The Range and Standard Variation of Percentage Unexplained AUC for Different Number
of Time Points
k a ⫽ 0.20 k a ⫽ 0.50 k a ⫽ 0.80
m Mean (SD) Median (range) Mean (SD) Median (range) Mean (SD) Median (range)
6 1.41 (0.2) 1.59 (0.6, 1.6) ⫺0.09 (0.9) 0.26 (⫺5.1, 0.6) ⫺1.08 (1.8) 0.48 (⫺12.0, 0.5)
7 1.18 (0.2) 1.27 (0.5, 1.4) ⫺0.50 (1.0) ⫺0.18 (⫺5.0, 0.4) ⫺1.44 (1.7) ⫺0.96 (⫺10.0, 0.2)
8 1.05 (0.2) 1.12 (0.5, 1.2) ⫺0.55 (0.7) ⫺0.34 (⫺3.2, 0.2) ⫺0.51 (0.9) ⫺0.24 (⫺5.5, 0.2)
9 1.0 (0.1) 1.06 (0.6, 1.1) ⫺0.18 (0.5) ⫺0.02 (⫺2.2, 0.2) ⫺0.7 (0.8) ⫺0.4 (⫺4.9, 0.1)
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4. Conclusion
Suppose that the objective function f (x) is continuously differentiable and that x*
is a regular local minimum point of (11). In that case, the following Karush–
Kuhn–Tucker conditions (Karush (8); Kuhn and Tucker (9)) are necessary for a
local minimum of problem (11).
1. Feasibility: x* ∈ Ᏺ
2. Complementary slackness: There exist unique multipliers λ*i ⱕ 0, i ⫽
1, . . . , m, such that
λ*i (aTi x ⫺ b i ) ⫽ 0, i ⫽ 1, . . . , m
3. Stationarity: At (x*, *), the first derivative of the Lagrangian function
L(x, ) with respect to x satisfies
m
with ∇ f (xk ) and ∇ 2 f(x k ), the gradient vector and Hessian matrix of f(x), respec-
tively. For k ⫽ 1, 2, . . . , then
1. Solve problem (12) to determine d k and let k⫹1 be the vector of La-
grange multipliers associated with the constraints of problem (12).
2. Set x k⫹1 ⫽ x k ⫹ d k. Return to Step 1 with k :⫽ k ⫹ 1. Repeat until
certain convergence criteria are met.
References
1. Bailer AJ, Piegorsh WW: ‘‘Estimating Integrals Using Quadrature Methods with an Application
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