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Cases: BierCo and Lean Fitness By Bruno Nogueira and Julio Tarraf
For more information, techniques and case interview goodies, visit www.CraftingCases.com
A word from us The 1st CraftingCases CASEBOOK
Most casebooks kinda suck… … so we decided to create the one we wish we had!
We’ve been in your shoes and we know how it feels. Our casebook is not a normal casebook. If you’ve known us for a while you
know we don’t do things like everyone else in case-interview-world. Here’s a
Back when we were preparing for our case interviews, few differences:
few materials were available. We relied heavily on
whichever casebooks we could find. • Instead of several cases, just a couple. Quantity is important for
beginners, but every advanced candidate we’ve met is thirsty for quality.
Most of them had a few things in common: they were This casebook has two cases, but you’ll learn more from these than you
full of mistakes, the answers were often times confusing would doing ten cases from other sources.
and it was difficult to give (and get) useful feedback.
• Multiple, detailed answers. Ever wondered if a certain issue is really that
Even then, they were exceptionally useful and essential to be raised in a case or just a nice-to-have? Ever been in doubt
important for our preparation and eventual offers at if your structure is wrong, or simply different? We’ve got you covered.
McKinsey and Bain. Even with the flaws, we are truly Here each question has not one, but a few answers. And explanations of
grateful for whoever put in the time to put them each so you can actually know what’s going on.
together.
• Performance checklists. Simple, useful guides to evaluate answers for
But we have always imagined if there couldn’t be a each question so you can give and get great feedback (and even study by
better way… yourself).
For more information, techniques and case interview goodies, visit www.CraftingCases.com 2
Instructions CraftingCases
Content Our suggestions
This casebook contains the candidate’s version of the BierCo case and the interviewer’s guide for the • Going through our material will
Lean Fitness case.
greatly increase your
understanding of the case and
Practice time vs. learning time
perception of performance as an
In each question, you will find two suggestions of time to allow the candidate to structure their answer.
Practice time is how long a real interviewer would allow. Learning time is how long a candidate who is interviewer. The usage and
learning should take, considering they are still mastering their skills. Developing good, thoughtful understanding of the cases are
answers, even if taking longer to do so, is an important step in the path to mastering case interviews. independent of any other
materials.
Sample answer and performance checklist
Each question has a sample answer which is good, not necessarily the best possible. If the candidate’s
• Although we highly recommend
answer is different than the sample answer, it is not necessarily bad. Go through the performance
checklist for the specific question to assess whether the candidate’s answer is good or bad. you read through and try solving
the case yourself before
Follow-up questions interviewing someone with it, the
In many of the questions you will find follow-up questions. They should be asked after the candidate casebook is designed so you only
finishes the answer to the main question. Follow-up questions are quite common in real cases, and may have to read through the question
be previously planned by the interviewer or not.
you are about to ask.
www.craftingcases.com 3
SIDE-A CASEBOOK CraftingCases
BIERCO
Should the market leader brewery Meister acquire the second player, Helles?
CANDIDATE’S VERSION
www.craftingcases.com CraftingCases 4
Question 1: Candidate’s version
CANDIDATE’S VERSION
BierCo: Should Meister acquire Helles? www.craftingcases.com 5
Question 2: Candidate’s version
Your team is trying to assess a fair price to offer for Helles’s shares. The
main driver for this are the synergies. What are the potential synergies
in this merger?
CANDIDATE’S VERSION
BierCo: Should Meister acquire Helles? www.craftingcases.com 6
Question 3: Candidate’s version
CANDIDATE’S VERSION
BierCo: Should Meister acquire Helles? www.craftingcases.com 7
Question 4: Candidate’s version
CANDIDATE’S VERSION
BierCo: Should Meister acquire Helles? www.craftingcases.com 8
Question 5: Candidate’s version
Suppose the CEO has entered the room as soon as you’ve finished the
last analysis, and she wants a quick idea on what to tell the board
members on her next meeting regarding this acquisition. What would
you tell her?
CANDIDATE’S VERSION
BierCo: Should Meister acquire Helles? www.craftingcases.com 9
SIDE-A CASEBOOK CraftingCases
LEAN FITNESS
Should the high-end gym chain Super Body start a budget gym chain (Lean
Fitness)?
INTERVIEWER’S GUIDE
www.craftingcases.com CraftingCases 10
Lean Fitness case map CraftingCases
Recommendation Performance
Sample answer (p. 36)
question checklist (p. 37)
www.craftingcases.com 11
Question 1: Interviewer’s guide
differences from the high-end market are that there’s little supervision • “Regarding [topic X], your hypothesis seems
to be [candidate’s hypothesis]. How would
on the work-out and the work-out options are limited to weight lifting and you test it?”
basic cardio equipment, such as treadmills. What would you analyze to
Suggested data points for Suggested hypotheses for
help Super Body determine whether they should launch the Lean Follow-up Question 1: Follow-up Question 2:
Fitness business or not? • Budget market growth • Cost advantages for both
• Fixed vs variable costs companies due to scale
• Quality of LF will be better
than competitor’s
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 12
Question 1: Interviewer’s guide • Most relevant issues
• Insightful issues
• Underlying hypotheses
• Low margins, incapable of lowering prices Price wars would be costly and
• Currently poor cost-benefit ratio ineffective to incumbents
Competitors • Hard to step up to match Lean Fitness’ quality
• Low barriers to hold current customers
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 13
Question 1: Interviewer’s guide Check insights / examples
A
from Appendix
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 14
Question 1: Interviewer’s guide Useful but not necessary
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 15
Question 1: Interviewer’s guide Issue raised (or similar)
Underlying hypotheses that the issue
touches (this is the important part)
Budget market in these cities is large / There is a large latent demand in budget market Super Body’s capability to build such a business
profitable There’s an opportunity: many potential customers [Because they run several high-end gyms, it is implied
Lean Fitness should be a relevant business to parent don’t work out because current options are far from they can build and operate budget gyms in a market
company and this is only likely if its market is relevant home, poor quality or too expensive that’s currently fragmented (run by small players)]
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 16
Question 1: Interviewer’s guide
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 17
Question 1: Interviewer’s guide
We can have Equipment costs will be lower due to reusing SB’s equip. and due to economies of scale
significant lower Maintenance costs will be lower due to economies of scale
costs than
competition Personnel costs will be lower due to business model and scale gains
G&A costs will be more dilluted
LF is the best Market opportunities in high-end market are not relevant or already addressed
investment
opportunity for Organization is flexible enough to develop this new business
SB at the
moment SB is able to either raise large amounts of cash to invest or SB is able to manage
franchise model
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 18
Question 2: Interviewer’s guide
figures on that.
2. Ask this question regardless
How would you estimate the market size of budget fitness clubs for an • “Let’s say we did some market research and
it turns out the market size is $325M*. Where
Follow-up questions do you think you made a mistake?”
affluent 10 million people Asian city? (e.g. Seoul)
To be asked after answer
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 19
## Assumptions
Question 2: Interviewer’s guide
## Given data
## Calculated values
Market size of % exercises in • “Probably around 1 every 4 people who exercise goes
budget fitness to the gym as their sole exercise or as a complement”
fitness clubs 25%
clubs
• “Due to income distribution, this would be around 90%,
(USD per year) % budget but I would guess richer people work out around twice
80% as much – so 80%”
Population
10M
Reality check (Follow-up question 1)
If candidate is spontaneous, even better
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 20
## Assumptions
Question 2: Interviewer’s guide
## Given data
## Calculated values
% in suitable
age 75%
“There could be 40-50% lower if % budget “It could be close to 40% if fitness
there is a large difference in 80% clubs are only popular among the
price levels” rich, or if there is such a large
income gap that most of the pop.
can’t afford gyms”
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 21
Question 2: Interviewer’s guide Check insights / examples
A
from Appendix
No assumption was off its correct order of magnitude A Quantified “mistakes” with underlying hypotheses
Each potential source of mistake must come with an estimate of how much it could
change and with hypotheses backing up the change
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 22
Question 2: Interviewer’s guide Could be simpler or mentioned
only in assumptions
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 23
Question 2: Interviewer’s guide
“I think it’s fair to assume a straight “I think people start going to the gym
age pyramid, ending at age 80, and at age 18, some people probably stop
% in suitable that only people between ages 15 and at age 60, others at age 80, and the
age 75 are relevant for regular gyms. So average life expectancy is probably
that would give me 75% of the total around 82 [...].” [Too much complexity
population.” for very little difference in results]
“Due to income distribution, this would “Let’s say high-end gyms are 5x more “From the people I know that work iut,
be around 90% - at most, only ten expensive. This would depend on the around 50% go to budget gyms and
percent of the population can afford real sensitivity of this variable, but let’s 50% go to high-end gyms.”
% budget
high-end gyms –, but I will assume say there would be 10x less
richer people work out around twice consumers. I would go with 90%.”
as much – so 80%.”
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 24
Question 2: Interviewer’s guide
Follow-up Question 2
Sample reality checks – or answers for “What do you think of
your answer?”
“$306M sounds about right – “I don’t really have in mind “Well, this basically “I have reviewed my
I know the market size for reliable data to compare with means that each math twice and I believe
this in Sao Paulo, with this. If I could get some data person is spending my assumptions make
around the same the on a similar city’s market size on average $300 per sense, so I think my
population and much lower or on other population’s month with fitness.” answer is at least a
GDP per capita, is close to percentage of people who good ballpark.”
$150M.” work out, I could have a clear
idea of the feasibility of my
answer.”
1 In this specific case, it is very unlikely that the candidate will have any good numbers to reality check out of his mind.
The alternative suggestion would be a good answer.
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 25
Question 3: Interviewer’s guide
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 26
## Data given upon request
Question 3: Interviewer’s guide
## Given data
## Calculated values
Current total market Target revenues Revenues needed (step 2) Population New customers needed
$325M $200M 10M (step 3) 285k
$92.5M
Captured market share Revenues excluding Price per customer Not addressable portion
30% market growth (step 1) $360
15%
Addressable pop. not
$107.5M
Already working out working out (step 4)
portion 12% 7.3M
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 27
Question 3: Interviewer’s guide Check insights / examples
A
from Appendix
Calculating
Correct calculations
Up to one or two calculation mistakes is fine, as long as the candidate was the one
to catch them, not the interviewer
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 28
Question 3: Interviewer’s guide
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 29
Question 3: Interviewer’s guide
Insight
Sample answers for “Do you think this is feasible?” or spontaneous insight given by candidate
Strong answer example Strong answer example Weak answer example Common mistakes
“3.9% doesn’t look like much, “To get an idea of whether this “3.9% doesn’t look like much, it • Insight does not point
but it is a lot compared to 12% is feasible or not, I would need seems totally feasible to get toward action;
of the total population working to compare these values with only 4% of that slice of the
out. If 1.2M people work out, the total of population that go to population to work out in our • Insight does not compare
and Lean Fitness would have to gyms in other cities with a more gyms, since they will be better value to something in
convince other ~300K, so 25% developed, concentrated and closer to their homes.”
order to get meaning out of
more, to start doing so. Driving budget fitness club market.
a 25% market increase simply Another option is to compare it;
due to being slightly better and this 4% with the change in
closer to some people’s homes those markets after Weak answer example • Conclusion does not
sounds unlikely to me. consolidation.” match compared data.
”To answer to this question, I
The next step here would be would have to analyze the
analyzing whether this business quality of the gym, the price we
plan makes sense with lower would charge, and the distance
revenues targets or whether we to customer’s homes.”
could change something in the
fitness club model to make it
work.”
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 30
Question 4: Interviewer’s guide
Some Super Body executives are afraid Lean Fitness will cannibalize
their current business. What approach would you use to assess how big
this cannibalization risk is and what are things they can do to minimize
it?
Note: this is a bundled question (two questions within one). Candidates should realize by themselves that they
should answer both questions in sequence without the interviewer reminding them of the second. For the purpose of
feedback, we have separated the two questions so the person playing interviewer-role can better evaluate the
answer.
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 31
Question 4: Interviewer’s guide
How would you assess how big the canibalization What are things they can do to minimize it?
risk is?
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 32
Question 4: Interviewer’s guide Check insights / examples
A
from Appendix
Communication
Prioritization
Structure first presentation
Most time was spent in the most important parts of the problem Candidate presented structure telling what are all the categories before explaining
Candidate spent most of the time in the ideas / hypotheses that (i) had a large which ideas and hypotheses were within each category
impact, (ii) had a large probability of happening, and (iii) which the client had a high
degree of control over Ideas / hypotheses were specific and actionable
“My idea is to have a better customer experience” = bad; “My idea is to train staff
so that they’re more knowledgeable and can provide customers with a better
experience” = good
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 33
Question 4: Interviewer’s guide
Step 3: Estimate actual • Customer segments: different segments have different risks;
Step 2: Analyze which candidate should be aware of that and make it explicit
risk per risky segment by
Step 1: segments are at higher
conducting surveys and
Categorize risk of switching
analizing past behaviour Insightful issues
SB’s customers (lower income, make
(e.g. Did they switch to
into segments less use of SB’s • Contracts: gyms are membership businesses, customers might
budget gym that opened
premium features, etc) have a hard time leaving even if they want to
next door?)
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 34
Question 4: Interviewer’s guide
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 35
Question 5: Interviewer’s guide
Suppose the project partner has entered the room and wants to know
what do we know so far and what are the next steps before giving a
recommendation to the client. What would you tell him?
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 36
Question 5: Interviewer’s guide
Recommendation CraftingCases
I wouldn’t say we can give a firm recommendation to the client with what we know Substance
so far. I think the budget gym business in Asia looks promising but there are still a
A clear direction was given
few things to investigate, so I’ll summarize what we know in three points: The synthesis of the case pointed the client to a clear direction
(e.g. to acquire or not), and was not just a bunch of facts with
1. The budget market is large enough to hold a significant business: at $325M per no cohesion
city, there’s a billion dollar market in every three cities The most decisive conclusion possible, given the facts
The recommendation was as strong as the facts allow, but not
stronger (i.e.: if there weren’t enough facts, the candidate said
2. We don’t yet know how large the cannibalization risk is, but here seems to be why and the next steps needed to state the recommendation)
several ways to minimize it, so this new business would grow along the
premium business they already run Key insights backing the conclusion
On top of the conclusion, a few key facts and insights that
supported it were mentioned
3. It seems unlikely that Lean Fitness will be able to reach its targets of $200M
revenues per city, as Lean Fitness would need to expand the current market by Communication
~25% to do that A structured, enumerated answer
The key insights and facts backing up the conclusion were
orderly enumerated
Even without reaching those targets, the business could still be attractive, and to
assess that I would look into two things: (i) how much better will our gyms be Clear, concise and precise wording
compared to current options and (ii) how do the economics of each facility play out The wording of the answer used as few words as possible and
– I mean, how much revenues and costs can each gym bring. conveyed a clear and precise message, suited for a high-level
executive audience
Lean Fitness: Should Super Body launch a budget gym business? www.craftingcases.com 37