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Epilepsy & Behavior

journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/yebeh

Review

Increased risk of stroke and myocardial infarction in patients with


epilepsy: A systematic review of population-based cohort studies
Francesco Brigo a,b,⁎, Piergiorgio Lochner c, Raffaele Nardone a,d, Paolo Manganotti e, Simona Lattanzi f
a
Division of Neurology, “Franz Tappeiner” Hospital, Merano, Italy
b
Department of Neuroscience, Biomedicine and Movement Science, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
c
Department of Neurology, Saarland University Medical Center, Homburg, Germany
d
Department of Neurology, Christian Doppler Klinik, Paracelsus Medical University, Austria
e
Clinical Unit of Neurology, Department of Medicine, Surgery and Health Sciences, University Hospital and Health Services of Trieste, Trieste, Italy
f
Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Marche Polytechnic University, Ancona, Italy

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Objective: The objective of the study was to review the current epidemiological evidence about the relationship
Received 13 March 2019 between epilepsy and increased risk of cardio- and cerebrovascular events.
Revised 7 May 2019 Methods: We systematically searched MEDLINE (from inception to 19th October 2018) to identify population-
Accepted 8 May 2019 based cohort studies evaluating the risk of subsequent stroke or myocardial infarction (MI) in patients with ep-
Available online xxxx
ilepsy without history of prior cerebrovascular disease in comparison with subjects without epilepsy.
Results: A total of 16,641 records were screened, and 6 studies were included. Data on the risk of subsequent
Keywords:
Epidemiology
stroke and MI were provided by five and two studies, respectively. The adjusted hazard ratios (adjHRs) of subse-
Myocardial infarction quent ischemic stroke for patients with epilepsy ranged from 1.09 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.00–1.19) to
Risk factors 2.85 (95% CI: 2.49–3.26). Two studies assessing the incidence of hemorrhagic stroke showed an increased risk
Seizures in patients with epilepsy (adjHR: 3.30; 95% CI: 2.46–4.43 and adjHR: 2.27; 95% CI: 1.80–2.85). The adjHRs of subse-
Stroke quent MI ranged between 1.09 (95% CI: 1.00 to 1.19) and 1.48 (95% CI: 1.31–1.67). Age, hypertension, MI, diabe-
tes, hyperlipidemia, and arteriosclerosis were significantly associated with the increase in stroke risk. A gradient
between the antiepileptic drug (AED) dose and risk of subsequent stroke was found. In comparison with carba-
mazepine (CBZ), oxcarbazepine (OXC) was associated with an increased risk of stroke and valproate (VPA) with
a reduction in risk of stroke and MI, whereas no significant associations with vascular disease were found for phe-
nobarbital (PB), lamotrigine (LMT), phenytoin (PHT), clonazepam (CLZ), and clobazam (CLB).
Conclusions: Patients with epilepsy are at higher risk of subsequent stroke and MI in comparison with subjects
without epilepsy. Although individual AEDs may carry different risks of cardio- and cerebrovascular disease,
the clinical relevance of the metabolic effects of the enzyme-inducing AEDs is still uncertain.
This article is part of the Special Issue “Seizures & Stroke
© 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction increased risk of a first stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) or myocardial


infarction (MI), assessing also if the risk differs with respect to the use of
The relationship between stroke and seizures or epilepsy is bidirec- specific antiepileptic drugs (AEDs), particularly enzyme-inducing. Be-
tional. Stroke is the most common cause of acquired epilepsy among cause of the intrinsic limits of case–control and cross-sectional studies,
adults and elderly patients, accounting for approximately 10% of all ep- which prevent from inferring causality and drawing definitive conclu-
ilepsies [1]. There is, however, accruing evidence that otherwise unex- sions, only population-based cohort studies have been considered.
plained seizures may also represent the first clinical expression of an
underlying occult cerebrovascular disease [2–4] and predict the occur- 2. Methods
rence of clinically overt vascular events.
In this review, we aimed to investigate if patients with epilepsy and The report of this systematic review was made according to the rec-
no prior history of clinically overt cerebrovascular disease are at ommendations of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews
and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement [5] (Supplementary material 1).
⁎ Corresponding author at: Department of Neuroscience, Biomedicine and Movement,
We systematically searched MEDLINE (accessed from PubMed)
University of Verona, Piazzale L.A. Scuro, 10, 37134 Verona, Italy. from inception to 19th October 2018 to identify retrospective and pro-
E-mail address: dr.francescobrigo@gmail.com (F. Brigo). spective population-based cohort studies evaluating the risk of

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yebeh.2019.05.005
1525-5050/© 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Please cite this article as: F. Brigo, P. Lochner, R. Nardone, et al., Increased risk of stroke and myocardial infarction in patients with epilepsy: A
systematic review of..., Epilepsy & Behavior, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yebeh.2019.05.005
2 F. Brigo et al. / Epilepsy & Behavior xxx (xxxx) xxx

subsequent ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke or MI in patients with ep- 3.2. Risk of subsequent stroke
ilepsy without prior cerebrovascular disease compared with subjects
without epilepsy. We used the following search strategy: (“Myocardial Five studies provided data on risk of subsequent stroke [10–13,15].
Infarction”[Mesh] OR “Myocardial Ischemia”[Mesh] OR “Peripheral Ar- Details of included studies are reported in Table 1.
terial Disease”[Mesh] OR “Coronary Artery Disease”[Mesh] OR “Myocar- The risk of subsequent ischemic stroke was higher in patients with
dial infarction” OR “Myocardial ischemia” OR “Ischemic Heart Disease” epilepsy than in controls, and adjHRs ranged from 1.09 (95% CI: 1.00–
OR “peripheral artery disease” OR “peripheral arterial disease” OR 1.19) to 2.85 (95% CI: 2.49–3.26) [11,12,15]. Two studies assessed the
“Stroke”[Mesh] OR “Cerebrovascular Disorders”[Mesh] OR stroke OR incidence of subsequent hemorrhagic stroke and showed an increased
cerebrovasc*) AND (“Epilepsy”[Mesh] OR epilep* OR “Seizures”[Mesh] risk among patients with epilepsy (adjHRs: 3.30; 95% CI: 2.46–4.43 and
OR seizur*). Case–control studies (including nested ones) were 2.27; 95% CI: 1.80–2.85) [12,15].
excluded. One study identified comorbidities associated with the increase in
Retrieved items were independently screened and selected for pos- stroke risk: hypertension, MI, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, and ar-
sible inclusion by two reviewers (FB and PL); any disagreement was re- teriosclerosis; the risk of stroke also increased with increasing age [13].
solved through discussion or after consulting a third reviewer (RN). The A gradient between AED dose and the risk of subsequent stroke, ei-
same reviewers independently extracted the following data: study au- ther of ischemic or hemorrhagic type, has been shown; the AED dose
thors; study period and country; characteristics of study cohort and analyzed was based on the average defined daily dose prescribed by
control group; adjusted hazard ratio (adjHR) with 95% confidence inter- physicians [12].
val (CI) of stroke and MI. One Danish study based on 18,039 patients receiving AED mono-
The methodological quality of included studies was assessed using therapy investigated the risk of subsequent stroke according to individ-
the Critical Appraisal Skills Programme (CASP) checklist (questions 1– ual AEDs [11]. Compared with carbamazepine (CBZ), oxcarbazepine
6) [6]. Our primary intention was to perform a quantitative synthesis (OXC) was associated with an increase (adjHR: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.10–
of studies, using inverse-variance weighted average meta-analyses of 1.34) and valproate (VPA) with a reduction (adjHR 0.86; 95% CI: 0.76–
adjusted effects estimates (adjHRs and corresponding CIs and standard 0.96) in stroke risk whereas no significant associations were found
error [SE]) to control for confounding [7]. with phenobarbital (PB), lamotrigine (LMT), phenytoin (PHT), clonaze-
pam (CLZ), or clobazam (CLB). In addition, AED-treated patients with
3. Results epilepsy had a higher risk of ischemic stroke (adjHR: 2.22; 95% CI:
2.09–2.36) compared with nontreated patients (adjHR: 1.09; 95% CI:
The search strategy yielded 16,641 articles. After reading the title, 1.00–1.19). In comparison with control group, the risk of ischemic
abstract, and/or full text, eight studies were initially considered eligible. stroke was higher among AED-treated (adjHR: 2.22; 95% CI: 2.09–2.36)
Two studies were subsequently excluded: one because it did not pro- than untreated patients with epilepsy (adjHR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.00–1.19).
vide results in comparison to a control group [8] and one because
some of its data had been already described in a more comprehensive 3.3. Risk of subsequent myocardial infarction
report (partly duplicate publication) [9].
Accordingly, six studies were included in the current review [10–15] One nationwide cohort study conducted in Denmark assessed the
(Supplementary material 2). risk of MI in patients with epilepsy: the adjHR for subsequent MI was
Despite our primary intention, it was impossible to pool results from 1.09 (95% CI: 1.00–1.19) in AED-treated and 1.15 (95% CI: 1.06–1.26)
individual studies into a meta-analysis, because of different study de- in untreated patients [11]. A second population-based retrospective co-
signs (prospective or retrospective) and clinical heterogeneity in cohort hort study performed in South Carolina, USA, showed that patients with
and control groups (e.g., age at seizure onset in subjects in the cohort epilepsy aged ≥ 18 years without prior cardiovascular disease had a
group). A qualitative synthesis was hence performed. higher risk for MI compared with patients with isolated lower extremity
fracture (adjHR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.39) and subjects with migraine
3.1. Methodological quality of included studies (adjHR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.31–1.67) [14].
The aforementioned Danish study investigated also the risk of MI
All included studies addressed a clearly focused issue by specifying with individual AEDs used in monotherapy: compared with CBZ, the
the population and the risk factors studied (epilepsy without prior clin- use of VPA was associated with a reduced risk of MI (adjHR: 0.72; 95%
ically overt cardio/cerebrovascular disease), and the outcomes consid- CI: 0.59–0.87) whereas no significant associations were found with
ered (occurrence of a first stroke, ischemic or hemorrhagic). In all any of the other drugs analyzed (PHT, PB, LMT, CLZ, and CLB) [11].
studies, the selected cohort was representative of the population of pa- Further details of included studies are shown in Table 2.
tient with epilepsy without previous history of vascular disease, al-
though the age at seizure onset varied considerably across studies 4. Discussion
(Table 1). Data on the accuracy of diagnoses of epilepsy, stroke, and
MI in the datasets used for the analyses were explicitly reported only All the studies identified and included in the present review consis-
in one study [11]. In one study, patients newly diagnosed with epilepsy tently show that patients with epilepsy without a previous clinically
and who were prescribed AEDs were included to increase the validity of overt cerebrovascular disease are at high risk of subsequent stroke
the diagnoses [12]; however, no data on formal validation of diagnoses and MI. The association between epilepsy and vascular disease is
was provided. Only a part of data were validated with medical record in based on the results of large-scale population studies that adequately
two further studies [13,14], and in the study by Hsu and colleagues, only selected a representative cohort, accounted for the presence of con-
the stroke cases were validated [15]. No details on the validation for the founding factors in the design and/or analysis, and evaluated the occur-
diagnoses of stroke and epilepsy were provided in the study by Cleary rence of stroke or MI in a long follow-up. However, none adjusted
and coworkers [10]. results for lifestyle variables (e.g., smoking, physical activity, alcohol in-
All studies accounted for the presence of major confounding factors take, diet habits), because of lack of information in the databases. How-
in the design and/or analysis, by matching and adjusting, and the ever, despite their consistency across different studies, the results of this
follow-up was long enough to detect the occurrence of stroke or MI. review should be interpreted with caution, mostly because of the pau-
However, adjustments for lifestyle variables (e.g., smoking, physical ac- city or even lack of data on the accuracy of diagnoses of epilepsy, stroke,
tivity, alcohol intake, diet habits) were not made, because of lack of in- and MI in the datasets used for the analyses [16]. Although it is likely
formation in the databases. that diagnostic sensitivity was high, specificity was less certain,

Please cite this article as: F. Brigo, P. Lochner, R. Nardone, et al., Increased risk of stroke and myocardial infarction in patients with epilepsy: A
systematic review of..., Epilepsy & Behavior, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yebeh.2019.05.005
F. Brigo et al. / Epilepsy & Behavior xxx (xxxx) xxx 3

Table 1
Characteristics of studies providing data on the risk of subsequent stroke in patients with epilepsy.

Authors Country Study design Study Study cohort Control group Adjusted hazard
period ratio for stroke
(95% confidence
intervals)

Cleary et al., United Nationwide cohort study based on the Not 4709 patients with otherwise 4709 randomly selected controls Stroke (all types)
2004 [10] Kingdom General Practice Research Database explicitly unexplained late-onset (N60 with no history of seizures or 2.89 (2.45–3.41)
(diagnoses and treatments in general reported years) seizures and no history cerebrovascular disease, matched
practice) of cerebrovascular disease for age, sex, and general practice
Olesen et al., Denmark Nationwide cohort study based on Danish January 1, 21,315 AED-treated patients 4,481,132 subjects without Risk for ischemic
2011 [11] National Patient Register (all admission and 1997 to with epilepsy (age ≥10 years) epilepsy and without previous stroke in
discharge diagnoses) and the Danish Register December without previous stroke stroke AED-treated
of Medical Product Statistics (prescription 31, 2006 patients with
register) 27,287 non-AED-treated epilepsy:
patients with epilepsy (age 2.22 (2.09–2.36)
≥10 years) without a previous
stroke Risk for ischemic
stroke in
non-AED-treated
patients with
epilepsy:
1.09 (1.00–1.19)
Chang et al., Taiwan Nationwide cohort study based on 1996–2009 3812 patients newly 15,248 subjects without epilepsy Stroke (all
2014 [12] Longitudinal Health Insurance Database diagnosed with epilepsy in and previous stroke matched for types):
2000–2008, age ≥20 years, sex, age, and comorbidities 2.92 (2.58–3.30)
who were prescribed AEDs (except atrial fibrillation)
Ischemic stroke:
2.85 (2.49–3.26)

Hemorrhagic
stroke:
3.30 (2.46–4.43)
Wannamaker South Population-based retrospective cohort study January 1, 21,035 patients ≥35 years 16,638 subjects without previous Stroke (not
et al., 2015 Carolina, using data from the hospital discharge and 2002 to with otherwise unexplained stroke with isolate lower further
[13] USA emergency department visit dataset December epilepsy and without previous extremity fracture specified):
31, 2011 stroke 1.60 (1.42–1.80)
Hsu et al., Taiwan Retrospective cohort study based on Taiwan's 2000–2008 6746 patients ≥20 years with 26,984 subjects with no epilepsy Stroke (all
2019 [15] National Health Insurance Research Database newly diagnosed epilepsy diagnosis and no history of stroke types):
between 2000 and 2008 and matched for age and sex 2.24 (2.02–2.49)
without previous stroke
Ischemic stroke:
1.91 (1.62–2.26)

Hemorrhagic
stroke:
2.27 (1.80–2.85)

particularly for the diagnosis of seizures, and false positives may have prevalence of hypercholesterolemia and left ventricular hypertrophy
affected the reliability of estimates [16]. It is, however, worth to notice compared with controls [17].
that the magnitude of the risk of subsequent stroke is high, ranging The increased risk of clinically overt stroke or MI in patients with
from 9% [11] to 230% [12], and, hence, unlikely to be explained by late-onset epilepsy can be explained by an underlying occult vascular
miscoding alone. disease [4]. Subcortical small vessel disease represents a constellation
The high variability in the risks of stroke across the studies may be of endophenotypes carrying different risks for epileptogenesis due to
due to differences existing in the age of included patients: for instance, genetic factors, location, and type of pathological changes, as well as
the study reporting an almost 3-fold increased risk of subsequent stroke to the exposure to nongenetic factors (‘exposome’) [18]. Disrupted
included only patients with late-onset (N 60 years) seizures [10] corticosubcortical circuits and subsequent imbalance between excit-
whereas the study reporting a 60% increased risk included patients ability and inhibitory pathways can predispose patients with small ves-
with seizure onset ≥ 35 years, with 20.7% of all cases being under the sel disease to epileptic seizures [19]. Furthermore, the neurovascular
age of 46 years [13]. High risks of stroke have been, however, observed unit dysfunction due to impaired integrity of the blood–brain barrier
also in studies including young patients [11,12,15], suggesting that the could alter cerebral metabolism and/or perfusion increasing the risk of
increased vascular risk may affect every group of age and is not re- seizures [2,20]. Finally, in some patients, genetic interactions could ex-
stricted to patients with late-onset seizures [13]. plain the association between vascular comorbidity and otherwise un-
Patients with seizures and without prior history of vascular disease explained seizures [18]. However, drawing definite conclusions on the
were also found to be at increased risk of MI, although at a lower degree causative role of late-onset seizures in subsequent clinically overt vas-
than that for subsequent stroke [11,14]. This finding suggests that other- cular disease is still hampered by confounding factors. More specifically,
wise unexplained epilepsy can represent an overall risk factor for vascu- the coexisting occult cerebrovascular disease, the use of AEDs with neg-
lar diseases, and not only for stroke. Intriguingly, vascular comorbidities ative metabolic effects, and concomitant underlying age-related
have been more frequently found in subjects with epilepsy than in con- changes in cortical excitability due to neuronal loss and initial cortical
trols, suggesting an excess of vascular risk factors in these patients [13]. atrophy are interwoven to the point that assessing their own contribu-
A cross-sectional study has also shown that patients with late-onset tion to the clinical vascular risk would be “like solving a Gordian knot”
(≥ 55 years) epilepsy without a previous stroke have a higher [21].

Please cite this article as: F. Brigo, P. Lochner, R. Nardone, et al., Increased risk of stroke and myocardial infarction in patients with epilepsy: A
systematic review of..., Epilepsy & Behavior, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yebeh.2019.05.005
4 F. Brigo et al. / Epilepsy & Behavior xxx (xxxx) xxx

Table 2
Characteristics of studies providing data on the risk of subsequent myocardial infarction in patients with epilepsy.

Authors Country Study design Study Study cohort Control group Adjusted hazard
period ratio
for myocardial
infarction (95%
confidence
intervals)

Olesen Denmark Nationwide cohort study based on Danish National Patient January 1, 21,315 AED-treated patients 4,481,132 subjects Risk in
et al., Register (all admission and discharge diagnoses) and the 1997 to with epilepsy (age ≥10 years) without epilepsy and AED-treated
2011 Danish Register of Medical Product Statistics (prescription December without previous stroke without previous patients with
[11] register) 31, 2006 stroke epilepsy
27,287 non-AED-treated 1.09 (1.00 to 1.19)
patients with epilepsy (age
≥10 years) without previous Risk in
stroke non-AED-treated
patients with
epilepsy:
1.15
(1.06 to 1.26)
Wilson South Population-based retrospective cohort study using January 1, 39,203 patients with epilepsy 39,090 patients with Compared with
et al., Carolina, statewide hospital and emergency department encounter 2000 to aged N18 years without prior isolated lower patients with
2018 USA data December cardiovascular disease extremity fracture lower extremity
[14] 31, 2013 fracture:
1.24 (1.10 to 1.39)
80,469 persons with
migraine Compared with
persons with
migraine:
1.48 (1.31–1.67)

Understanding the clinical relevance of the association between ep- increase the carotid artery intima media thickness and worsen the ath-
ilepsy and subsequent vascular disease found in the present review is erosclerotic process [27,28] by raising the serum levels of lipids via the
challenging. In particular, it is highly important to discuss whether oth- induction of hepatic cytochrome P450 and reducing the cholesterol-
erwise unexplained seizures may be considered a vascular risk factor re- lowering effect of statins through drug–drug pharmacokinetic interac-
quiring further investigations and/or treatment and serve as “transient tions [29]. The use of AEDs with proatherogenic properties could, at
ischemic attack (TIA) equivalents” to identify patients at high risk of least partially, explain the higher predisposition to vascular disease,
subsequent vascular events. Notably, the currently available evidence mostly in patients with earlier onset of epilepsy and longer exposure
points to an increased risk of stroke in these patients that is quite similar to AEDs. Unlike CBZ and other first-generation AEDs, VPA is an en-
to the probability of a first clinically overt stroke in patients with silent zyme-inhibiting drug, and it is not associated with negative metabolic
brain infarction [22]. Accordingly, screening these patients for the pres- effects on chemical biomarkers. However, it can favor insulin resistance,
ence of vascular risk factors seems reasonable. metabolic syndrome, body overweight, and oxidative stress, which, in
The decision to start, or not, preventative treatments remains a more turn, can raise the vascular risk [30,31].
controversial issue. The decision should rely more on the absolute risk of Only one study specifically assessed the role of individual AEDs in
stroke and other vascular events, rather than on the existence or extent the risk of a subsequent vascular event in patients with epilepsy, show-
of any particular risk factor [16]. In other terms, the cardio/cerebrovas- ing that, in comparison with CBZ, OXC was associated with an increased
cular risk needs to be sufficiently high to warrant the harms potentially risk of stroke and VPA with a reduced risk of stroke and MI [11]. The
associated with treatment. For instance, aspirin has been recommended choice of CBZ as comparator did not allow to evaluate the risk specifi-
in primary prevention when the risk of a cardiovascular event exceeds cally associated with this drug. Interestingly, no increased vascular
6–10% in a 10-year period (Class I; Level of Evidence A) [23]; its use in risk was found with the use of PB or PHT, which are also enzyme-
patients with low or moderate risk may expose them to a risk of inducing AEDs; the negative results could be, however, due to the lim-
major bleeding without significant benefit in reducing the risk of vascu- ited sample size.
lar events [24]. Noteworthy, the risk of a clinically overt stroke in pa- Unfortunately, none of the studies included in this review performed
tients with otherwise unexplained adult-onset epilepsy reached 10% a subgroup analysis according to the enzyme-inducing activity of the
at 6 years [10], and this may justify a large controlled trial with long- AEDs. A large study conducted in the United Kingdom between 1990
term follow-up to investigate the use of antiplatelet treatment as pri- and 2013 in 252,407 patients aged ≥ 18 years treated with AEDs and
mary prevention. However, the present systematic review shows that without a previous history of stroke showed that the use of enzyme-
in this population, there is an increased risk also for hemorrhagic stroke, inducing AEDs was associated with a slightly increased risk of a subse-
not only ischemic stroke; hence, safety of antiplatelet treatment admin- quent ischemic stroke compared with the use of noninducing AEDs
istered as primary prevention remains an open issue, which deserves and no effect on MI risk [32]. Conversely, in the same study, a subgroup
further investigation. analysis performed in 816 patients taking inducing AEDs for treatment
The contribution of AEDs to the risk of subsequent vascular disease is of epilepsy failed to demonstrate any significant association with the
a further issue to discuss. In patients with otherwise unexplained sei- risk of a subsequent ischemic stroke or MI compared with noninducing
zures, AEDs might play a synergistic role with the underlying occult vas- drugs [32]. Whether this lack of association is real or due to the small
cular disease and amplify the risk of a clinically overt stroke or MI. number of included patients is unknown. The small increase in the
Enzyme-inducing AEDs are known to exert detrimental metabolic ef- risk of subsequent ischemic stroke found in the entire population sug-
fects on surrogate vascular markers, for instance, increasing levels of gests that the clinical vascular risk related to the use of inducing AEDs
low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, triglycerides, lipoprotein(a), is lower than expected and makes uncertain whether and to what ex-
C-reactive protein, and homocysteine [25,26]. Furthermore, they can tent the negative metabolic effects on surrogate vascular biomarkers

Please cite this article as: F. Brigo, P. Lochner, R. Nardone, et al., Increased risk of stroke and myocardial infarction in patients with epilepsy: A
systematic review of..., Epilepsy & Behavior, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yebeh.2019.05.005
F. Brigo et al. / Epilepsy & Behavior xxx (xxxx) xxx 5

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Please cite this article as: F. Brigo, P. Lochner, R. Nardone, et al., Increased risk of stroke and myocardial infarction in patients with epilepsy: A
systematic review of..., Epilepsy & Behavior, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yebeh.2019.05.005

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