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PREPARATORY KIT
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Contents
Production Planning ................................................................................................................................ 5
Strategic Business Plan ....................................................................................................................... 5
Production Plan ................................................................................................................................... 5
Master Production Schedule ............................................................................................................... 5
Material Requirements Plan ................................................................................................................ 6
Bills of Material .................................................................................................................................. 6
Purchasing and Production Activity Control ...................................................................................... 7
MRP II – Manufacturing Resource Planning ...................................................................................... 7
Inventory ................................................................................................................................................. 9
Cycle stock .......................................................................................................................................... 9
Pipeline stock ...................................................................................................................................... 9
Safety stock ......................................................................................................................................... 9
Dead stock......................................................................................................................................... 10
Anticipation inventory ...................................................................................................................... 10
Enterprise Resource Planning ........................................................................................................... 10
Process Analysis Terms ........................................................................................................................ 11
Order qualifiers and Order winners .................................................................................................. 11
Process capacity ................................................................................................................................ 11
Capacity utilization ........................................................................................................................... 11
Takt Time .......................................................................................................................................... 11
Cycle Time ........................................................................................................................................ 12
Lead Time ......................................................................................................................................... 12
Throughput time................................................................................................................................ 12
Throughput rate/ Flow rate ............................................................................................................... 12
Idle time ............................................................................................................................................ 13
Changeover time ............................................................................................................................... 13
Buffer ................................................................................................................................................ 13
Manufacturing Strategies ...................................................................................................................... 14
Make to Stock (MTS) ....................................................................................................................... 14
Assemble to Order (ATO) ................................................................................................................ 14
Make to Order (MTO) ...................................................................................................................... 14
Engineer to Order (ETO) .................................................................................................................. 14
Bottleneck ......................................................................................................................................... 15
Job production................................................................................................................................... 16
Batch production ............................................................................................................................... 16
Mass production ................................................................................................................................ 16
Incoterms .......................................................................................................................................... 17
Manufacturing Practices ....................................................................................................................... 19
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Lean .................................................................................................................................................. 19
Kaizen ............................................................................................................................................... 19
Toyota Production System ................................................................................................................ 19
Jidoka ................................................................................................................................................ 20
Heijunka ............................................................................................................................................ 21
Poka-Yoke......................................................................................................................................... 21
Just-In-Time (JIT) ............................................................................................................................. 22
Kanban .............................................................................................................................................. 22
Gemba Gembutsu Genjitsu ............................................................................................................... 23
Theory of Constraints ....................................................................................................................... 23
Service Operations ................................................................................................................................ 25
Manufacturing and Services – Similarities and Differences ............................................................. 25
Service Blueprint .............................................................................................................................. 25
Moments of truth............................................................................................................................... 26
Queuing ............................................................................................................................................. 26
Forecasting ............................................................................................................................................ 28
Forecasting Techniques .................................................................................................................... 28
Seasonality ........................................................................................................................................ 31
Forecast Error.................................................................................................................................... 32
Quality .................................................................................................................................................. 33
Cost of Quality .................................................................................................................................. 33
Quality control Tools ........................................................................................................................ 33
5S ...................................................................................................................................................... 38
Types of Waste (TIMWOODS) ........................................................................................................ 40
Statistical Process Control ................................................................................................................ 40
PDCA ................................................................................................................................................ 41
Six Sigma .......................................................................................................................................... 41
Quality Function Deployment........................................................................................................... 43
Zero Defects – The theory and implementation................................................................................ 44
International Organisation for Standardisation (ISO) ....................................................................... 44
Supply Chain......................................................................................................................................... 46
Value Chain ...................................................................................................................................... 47
Functional product ............................................................................................................................ 48
Innovative Product ............................................................................................................................ 48
Bullwhip effect.................................................................................................................................. 49
2PL (Second-Party logistics) ............................................................................................................ 49
3PL (Third Party Logistics) .............................................................................................................. 49
4PL (Fourth Party Logistics) ............................................................................................................ 49
Reverse Logistics .............................................................................................................................. 50
Project Management ............................................................................................................................. 51
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Float/Slack ........................................................................................................................................ 51
Project Management Methodologies .................................................................................................... 53
Waterfall Model of Project Management.......................................................................................... 53
Agile Project Management ............................................................................................................... 54
Critical Chain Project Management .................................................................................................. 56
Triple Constraint ............................................................................................................................... 58
Process Groups.................................................................................................................................. 58
Knowledge Areas .............................................................................................................................. 59
Work Breakdown (WBS) Structure .................................................................................................. 60
Inventory management.......................................................................................................................... 62
E - Commerce ....................................................................................................................................... 63
Distribution Strategies ...................................................................................................................... 64
Milk Run ........................................................................................................................................... 65
Hub & Spoke Model ......................................................................................................................... 66
Delivery Types .................................................................................................................................. 66
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Production Planning
Manufacturing is complex. Some firms make a few different products, whereas others make
many products. A good planning system must answer four questions:
1. What are we going to make?
2. What does it take to make it?
3. What do we have?
4. What do we need?
There are five major levels in the manufacturing planning and control (MPC) system:
1. Strategic business plan.
2. Production plan (sales and operations plan).
3. Master production schedule.
4. Material requirements plan.
5. Purchasing and production activity control.
The above levels differ from each other in the following ways:
1. Purpose of the plan.
2. Planning horizon—the time span from now to sometime in the future for which the plan
is created.
3. Level of detail—the detail about products required for the plan.
4. Planning cycle—the frequency with which the plan is reviewed.
The strategic business plan is a statement of the major goals and objectives the company
expects to achieve over the next 2 to 10 years or more. It is a statement of the broad direction
of the firm and shows the kind of business—product lines, markets, and so on—the firm wants
to do in the future. It is based on long-range forecasts and includes participation from
marketing, finance, production, and engineering.
Production Plan
Given the objectives set by the strategic business plan, production management is concerned
with the following:
1. The quantities of each product group that must be produced in each period.
2. The desired inventory levels.
3. The resources of equipment, labour, and material needed in each period.
4. The availability of the resources needed.
The level of detail is not high.
For example, if a company manufactures children’s bicycles, tricycles, and scooters in
various models, each with many options, the production plan will show major product groups
or families: bicycles, tricycles, and scooters. The planning horizon is usually 6 to 18 months
and is reviewed perhaps each month or quarter.
The master production schedule (MPS) is a plan for the production of individual end items. It
breaks down the production plan to show, for each period, the quantity of each end item to be
made.
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For example, it might show that 200 Model A23 scooters are to be built each week. Inputs to
the MPS are the production plan, the forecast for individual end items, sales orders,
inventories, and existing capacity.
The level of detail for the MPS is higher than for the production plan. Whereas the production
plan was based upon families of products (tricycles), the master production schedule is
developed for individual end items (each model of tricycle). The planning horizon usually
extends from 3 to 18 months but primarily depends on the purchasing and manufacturing lead
times.
Bills of Material
The Association for Operations Management defines a Bill of Material (BOM) as “a list of all
the sub-assemblies, intermediates, parts, and raw materials that go into making the parent
assembly showing the quantities of each required to make the assembly.”
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Table 1: A simplified BOM
The time comes when plans must be put into action. Production activity control (PAC) is a
business function that is responsible for executing the master production schedule and the
material requirements plan. This function is responsible for simultaneously making good use
of labour and machines, minimizing work-in-process inventory and maintaining customer
service. The material requirements plan authorizes the PAC to manage day-to-day activity and
provide the necessary support.
The planning horizon is very short, perhaps from a day to a month. The level of detail is high
since it is concerned with individual components, workstations, and orders. Plans are reviewed
and revised daily.
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basis to adjust the plan as changes occur. Order sizes may need to be changed, orders cancelled,
and delivery dates adjusted.
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Inventory
Cycle stock
Organisations usually produce/buy and transport in batches to meet economies of scale. The
inventory resulting from this is called cycle inventory. This is the inventory that is used to
replenish the stock at the different warehouses/depots.
Pipeline stock
It is of 2 types
• Work-in-progress inventory – Since it takes a finite amount of time for conversion
from raw material to finished goods there is always some inventory that is currently
being worked upon. This is called Work-in-progress inventory.
• In-transit inventory – Since it takes finite time for the movement of goods, there is
always some inventory that is currently in movement from one point to another. This
is in-transit inventory.
Safety stock
Safety stock is the stock that is held at hand at all times and is generally used to safeguard
against uncertainties of supply and demand.
Demand uncertainty can be due to bullwhip effects, sudden unanticipated demand, etc.
Supply uncertainty can be due to
• Production variability (may be some machine is down for maintenance, delay or
unavailability of raw material)
• Lead time variability.
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Dead stock
It is the non-moving inventory that is of no use in the supply chain or markets. It includes those
items that have become obsolete.
Anticipation inventory
It consists of stock that is accumulated in advance anticipating a surge in demand due to some
promotional activities etc. It may also include stock built in advance due to some anticipated
labour strikes, price or supply shocks, etc.
Enterprise resource planning promises one database, one application, one user interface for
the entire enterprise, where once disparate systems ruled manufacturing, distribution, finance
and sales.
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Process Analysis Terms
Order winners for Toyota are continuous innovation of Toyota and standardised quality. People
who choose Toyota cars are mostly satisfied with innovative internal and external features of
Toyota’s cars.
Process capacity
The capacity of the process is its maximum output rate, measured in units produced per unit
time. The capacity of a series of tasks is determined by the lowest capacity in the string.
Whereas the capacity of the parallel strings of tasks is the sum of the capacities of the two
strings, except for the cases in which the two strings have different outputs that are combined.
In such cases, the capacity of two parallel strings of tasks is that of the lowest capacity parallel
string.
Capacity utilization
Takt Time
Takt time is the rate at which you need to complete the production process in order to meet the
customer demand.
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑇𝑖𝑚𝑒
𝑻𝒂𝒌𝒕 𝑻𝒊𝒎𝒆 =
𝐶𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑟 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑
Net production time = Time available for production (till the delivery to the customer)
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Customer Demand = Order placed by the customer
Note: Takt time is customer demand based and cannot be measured by a stop watch.
Cycle Time
Note: Cycle time is work process based and can be measured using a stop watch.
It is the total time from the beginning to the end of your process, as defined by you and your
customer. It is also the time between completion of two successive units in a process. In other
words, cycle time of the process is equal to the longest task cycle time.
Lead Time
Lead time is the time it takes for one unit to make its way through your operation from front to
end (i.e. from taking order to receiving payment). In other words, time taken between product
to be ordered by customer and customer receiving the product.
Throughput time
Throughput Time is a measure of the time required for a material, part or sub-assembly to pass
through a manufacturing process following the release of an order to dispatch of the product.
In simple terms, it is the amount of time required for a product to pass through a manufacturing
process, thereby being converted from raw materials into finished goods.
The average rate at which units flow past a specific point in the process. The maximum
throughput rate is the process capacity.
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𝑻𝒉𝒓𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒑𝒖𝒕 𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒆 =
𝐶𝑦𝑐𝑙𝑒 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒
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E.g.
Idle time
Time when no activity is being performed. For example, when an activity is waiting for a work
to arrive from the previous activity. The term can be used to describe both machine idle time
and worker idle time.
Changeover time
It is the time taken to modify the production line for different products or new batches of the
same product. Setup and changeover are sometimes used interchangeably. Setup is viewed as
a component of changeover that is focused on configuring a machine for a different product
type. Both setup and changeover are non-value added operations and so should be minimised
as much as possible. It is recommended to use the term ‘changeover’ when talking about
switching between products, and ‘setup’ when focusing on what is going on with the machine
or process.
Buffer
In manufacturing, the concept of buffering is defined as maintaining enough supplies to keep
operations running smoothly. These supplies often include the raw materials needed for
production, and also the inventories of finished products waiting for shipment. For example, a
manufacturer will want to keep enough raw materials inventory to tide it over in case its
supplier is unable to deliver its shipments on time.
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Manufacturing Strategies
Make to Stock (MTS)
Make-to-Order is ideal for companies that want to focus on low volume and highly customized
products. It is also ideal for businesses that sell expensive goods. If an item is expensive, it is
also costly to hold in storage.
E.g. BMW
BMW lets customers design the interior and exterior, the engine, as well as other features.
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not only to build the product, but to custom design it to meet the customer’s unique
requirements.
E.g. Power plant boilers, electrical switchgear, commercial HVAC equipment, industrial
cranes, specialty vehicles like fire trucks etc.
Bottleneck
E.g.
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Job production
Under Job production, special or non-standardised products are produced in accordance with
the orders received from the customers. As each product is non-standardised, varying in size
and nature, it requires separate job for production. The machines and equipment’s are adjusted
in such a manner so as to suit the requirements of a particular job.
Example: ship building, dam construction
Batch production
Batch production pertains to repetitive production. It refers to the production of goods, the
quantity of which is known in advance. It is that form of production where identical products
are produced in batches on the basis of demand of customers’ or of expected demand for
products.
Example: Generally adopted in case of manufacturing biscuits, motor, medicines
Mass production
It is a continuous production of standardised products on a large scale. Under this method,
production remains continuous in anticipation of future demand. Standardisation is the basis of
mass production. Standardised products are produced under this method by using standardised
materials and equipment. There is a continuous or uninterrupted flow of production obtained
by arranging the machines in a proper sequence of operations.
Example: Plastic goods, hardware, electric fans.
Ford Model T is the most famous mass-produced automobile.
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Incoterms
EXW (EX Works) is an international trade term that describes an agreement in which the
seller is required to make goods ready for pickup at his or her own place of business. All other
transportation costs and risks are assumed by the buyers.
FCA (Free Carrier) means that the seller delivers the goods, cleared for export, to the carrier
nominated by the buyer at the place named by the buyer. If no precise point is indicated by
buyer, the seller may choose, within the place or range, where the carrier shall take the goods
into his charge. Regardless of the number of transportation modes involved in the shipment,
the transportation point must be a location within the seller’s home nation.
FAS (Free alongside ship) means that the seller fulfils his obligation to deliver goods to a
named port alongside a vessel designated by the buyer. “Alongside” means that the goods are
within reach of ship’s lifting tackle.
FOB (free on board) means that the seller fulfils his obligations to deliver when the goods are
loaded over the ship at the port of origin. It indicates whether buyer or seller has the liability
for the goods damaged during shipment as follows:
FOB shipping point (origin) means that the buyer is at the risk during shipment and FOB
(destination) states that seller retains the risk until the goods are delivered to the buyer.
CIF (cost, insurance and freight) means the seller is required to arrange for the carriage of
goods by sea to a port of destination and provide the buyer with the documents necessary to
obtain the goods from the carrier. Here, the seller pays for the cost and insurance cover against
the buyer’s risk and all the risks are transferred to the buyer as soon as goods are on board the
vessel.
CIP (carriage and insurance paid to) indicates that the seller delivers the goods to a carrier
or to another person nominated by the seller, at a place mutually agreed upon by the buyer and
seller, and that the seller pays the freight and insurance charges to transport the goods to the
specified destination. The risk of damage or loss to the goods is transferred from seller to buyer
as soon as the goods have been delivered to the carrier.
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Fig 4: Incoterms
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Manufacturing Practices
Lean
Doing more with less by employing 'lean thinking'. Lean manufacturing involves never ending
efforts to eliminate or reduce 'muda' (Japanese for waste or any activity that consumes
resources without adding value) in design, manufacturing, distribution, and customer service
processes. It was developed by Toyota Executive Taiichi Ohno during post- World War II
reconstruction period in Japan.
The primary elements of Lean are:
• to have only the required inventory when needed;
• to improve quality to zero defects;
• to reduce lead times by reducing setup times, queue lengths, and lot sizes;
• to incrementally revise the operations themselves;
• to accomplish these things at minimum cost.
Kaizen
The production system was developed by Toyota Motor Corporation to provide best quality,
lowest cost, and shortest lead time through the elimination of waste.
TPS is comprised of two pillars, Just-in-Time and Jidoka (autonomation)
TPS is maintained and improved through iterations of standardised work and kaizen
(continuous improvement), following Plan–Do-Check-Act.
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Fig 5: Toyota Production System “House”
Jidoka
The term Jidoka used in the TPS (Toyota Production System) is called autonomation which
means "automation with a human touch" or “automation with human intelligence”. Providing
machines and operators the ability to detect an abnormal condition and immediately stop work.
This enables operations to build in quality at each process and to separate men and machines
for more efficient work.
It is called autonomation because it gives equipment the ability to distinguish good parts from
bad autonomously, without being monitored by an operator. This eliminates the need for
operators to continuously watch machines and leads, in-turn, to large productivity gains
because one operator can handle several machines, often termed as multi-process handling.
Since equipment stops when a problem arises, a single operator can visually monitor and
efficiently control many machines. As an important tool for this "visual control" or "problem
visualization," Toyota plants use a problem display board system called "Andon" that allows
operators to identify problems in the production line with only a glance.
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Heijunka
A technique to facilitate Just-In-Time (JIT) production, levelling the type and quantity of
production over a fixed period of time. This enables production to efficiently meet customer
demands while avoiding batching and results in minimum inventories, capital costs, manpower,
and production lead time through the whole value stream.
Say a hat producer receives orders for 500 of the same hat per week: 200 orders on Monday,
100 on Tuesday, 50 on Wednesday, 100 on Thursday, and 50 on Friday. Instead of trying to
meet demand in sequence of the orders, the hat producer would use Heijunka to level demand
by producing an inventory of 100 hats near shipping to fulfil Monday’s orders. Every Monday,
100 hats will be in inventory. The rest of the week, production will make 100 hats per day – a
level amount. The inventory might look a little suspicious to Lean purists, but it has its fans –
it is the method the Toyota Production System uses today.
Relationship among Predictability, Flexibility and Stability is Heijunka – When implemented
correctly, it provides predictability by levelling demand, flexibility by decreasing changeover
time and stability by averaging production volume and type over the long term.
Fig 7: Heijunka
Poka-Yoke
The term means “mistake proofing” and refers to a device or mechanism that prevents defects
from occurring.
A poka-yoke is any mechanism in a lean manufacturing process that helps an equipment
operator avoid (yokeru) mistakes (poka). Its purpose is to eliminate product defects by
preventing, correcting, or drawing attention to human errors as they occur. The concept was
formalised, and the term adopted, by Shigeo Shingo as part of the Toyota Production System.
Examples:
• Electric plugs have an earth pin that is longer than the other pins and is the first to make
contact with the socket. The protective shield of the neutral and earth sockets are then
opened safely.
• Electric sockets are shaped in a manner that only one way of plugging-in is possible.
This prevents the possibility of a short-circuit.
• Micro-wave oven does not work until the door is shut.
• A lid that can be turned in only one direction.
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• In McDonald’s, the French fry scoop and standard size bag used to measure the correct
quantity are poka-yokes.
• Checklists are another type of poka-yoke.
Just-In-Time (JIT)
Just-in-time is an inventory strategy that companies employ to increase efficiency and decrease
waste by receiving goods only as they are needed in the production process, thereby reducing
inventory costs. This method requires producers to forecast demand accurately.
This inventory supply system represents a shift away from the older Just-In-Case strategy, in
which producers carried large inventories in case higher demand had to be met.
• The main objective of JIT manufacturing is to reduce manufacturing lead times.
• This is primarily achieved by drastic reductions in Work-In-Progress (WIP).
• 100% capacity utilization is not the predominant objective.
• The result is a smooth, uninterrupted flow of small lots of products throughout
production.
Example: Dell has leveraged JIT principles to make its manufacturing process a success.
Dell’s approach to JIT is different in that they leverage their suppliers to achieve the JIT goal.
They are also unique in that Dell is able to provide exceptionally short lead times to their
customers, by forcing their suppliers to carry inventory instead of carrying it themselves and
then demanding (and receiving) short lead times on components so that products can be simply
assembled by Dell quickly and then shipped to the customer.
Kanban
Kanban is a visual signal that’s used to trigger an action. A token system/ inventory control
system- may be a card, flag, verbal signal etc.
The approach was inspired by a management team's visit to a Piggly Wiggly supermarket in
the United States, where Engineer Taiichi Ohno observed that store shelves were stocked with
just enough product to meet consumer demand and inventory would only be restocked when
there was a visual signal -- in this case, an empty space on the shelf.
In manufacturing, Kanban starts with the customer’s order and follows production
downstream. At its simplest, Kanban is a card with an inventory number that’s attached to a
part. Right before the part is installed, the Kanban card is detached and sent up the supply chain
as a request for another part.
Kanban containers are empty containers which are used as signalling devices in the JIT
production system. The empty container is sent to the factory floor, which indicates the need
to fill it. The amount by which it has to be filled up is indicated by the number of containers
that are sent to the production line.
The number of Kanbans and, therefore, the number of containers in the system is a very
important decision. The formula to compute the number of Kanbans needed to control the
production of a particular product is as follows:
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𝐷𝑇 + 𝑆
𝑁=
𝐶
where
N: total number of Kanbans or containers (one card per container)
D: Average demand per hour
T: the time it takes to receive an order from the previous workstation (also called the lead time)
in hours
C: size of container (container quantity)
S: safety stock to protect against variability or uncertainty in the system (usually given as a
percentage of demand during lead time)
Note: The demand (D) and lead time (T) have to be in the same time units
Theory of Constraints
The core concept of the Theory of Constraints is that every process has a most important
constraint and that total process throughput can only be improved when the constraint is
improved. A very important corollary to this is that spending time optimising non-constraints
will not provide significant benefits; only improvements to the constraint will further the goal
of achieving more profit. The five Steps of the Theory of Constraints:
• Identify the system constraint: Identify the current constraint which is most important
(the single part of the process that limits the rate at which the goal is achieved).
• Decide how to exploit the constraint: Make quick improvements to the throughput of
the constraint using existing resources (i.e. make the most of what you have).
• Subordinate everything else: The non-constraint components of the system must be
adjusted to a "setting" that will enable the constraint to operate at maximum
effectiveness. Once this has been done, the overall system is evaluated to determine if
the constraint has shifted to another component. If the constraint has been eliminated,
the change agent jumps to step five.
• Elevate the constraint: If the constraint still exists (i.e. it has not moved), consider
what further actions can be taken to eliminate it from being the constraint. Normally,
actions are continued at this step until the constraint has been “broken” (until it has
moved somewhere else). In some cases, capital investment may be required. This step
is only considered if steps two and three have not been successful. Major changes to
the existing system are considered at this step.
• Return to step one but do not let inertia set in
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What are Constraints?
Constraints are anything that prevent the organisation from making progress towards its goal.
In manufacturing processes, constraints are often referred to as bottlenecks. They restrict an
entity, project, or system (such as a manufacturing or decision-making process) from achieving
its potential (or higher level of output) with reference to its goal. Interestingly, constraints can
take many forms other than equipment.
PhysicalTypically, equipment but can also be other tangible items such as material
shortages, lack of people, or lack of space.
Policy Required or recommended ways of working. May be informal (e.g. described
to new employees as “how things are done here”). Examples include company
procedures (e.g. how lot sizes are calculated, bonus plans, overtime policy),
union contracts (e.g. a contract that prohibits cross-training), or government
regulations (e.g. mandated breaks).
Paradigm Deeply engrained beliefs or habits. For example, the belief that “we must
always keep our equipment running to lower the manufacturing cost per piece”.
A close relative of the policy constraint.
Market Occurs when production capacity exceeds sales (the external marketplace is
constraining throughput). If there is an effective ongoing application of the
Theory of Constraints, eventually the constraint is likely to move to the
marketplace.
Example:
There’s a floral store called “Akito’s Flowers” and they make bouquets to sell to customers.
Step 1- Identify the system’s bottleneck(s): At Akito’s Flowers, the floral arrangers were
identified as the bottleneck.
Step 2- Exploit the bottleneck(s): For the floral shop, take orders ahead of time to make sure
there is always a buffer of orders for the arrangers to work on. This prevents idle time at the
bottleneck resource.
Step 3- Subordinate all other decisions to Step 2: Schedule non-bottleneck resources to
support the maximum use of the bottleneck. For Akito’s Flowers, have the clerk transfer orders
to the arrangers every ten minutes at the start of the day to make sure the bottleneck is fully
used. You may have to arrive early or stay late to be sure the orders are processed and waiting
for the arrangers to work on first thing each day.
Step 4- Elevate the bottleneck(s): If after Steps 1 through 3 the bottleneck is still a constraint,
then consider increasing the capacity of the bottleneck, i.e. add another floral arranger.
Step 5- Do not let inertia set in: Although the floral arrangers may improve their throughput,
check to see whether new constraints have developed. If so, work on those constraints and to
further increase throughput.
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Service Operations
Service Blueprint
A service blueprint is an operational planning tool that provides guidance on how a service will
be provided, specifying the physical evidence, staff actions, and support systems /
infrastructure needed to deliver the service across its different channels.
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Moments of truth
First Moment of Truth (FMOT) - It's what people think when they see your product, and the
impressions they form when they read the words describing your product.
Second Moment of Truth (SMOT) - It's what people feel, think, see, hear, touch, smell and
(sometimes) taste as they experience your product over time. It's also how your company
supports them in their efforts throughout the relationship. This can occur before purchasing the
product, such as experiencing a hands-on demonstration of a new phone, but may also happen
after a purchase, which occurs frequently in the modern age of online shopping where a
customer does not truly experience the product until after it arrives.
Ultimate Moment of Truth (UMOT). Also known as the Third Moment of Truth, the UMOT
is centred on feedback from customers concerning the product. During the UMOT, a customer
may choose to share their opinions on the service with the company that provided it, write a
review online and give their opinions to family, friends and colleagues. These takeaways will
influence whether they become a return customer and is known as the Ultimate Moment
because it may become the Zero Moment of Truth for other people in the future.
Zero Moment of Truth (ZMOT). Introduced by Google, it's what people search for and find
after encountering the stimulus that directs their next steps. At this time, a customer will
encounter reviews and more information about the product before moving forward in the
journey.
Queuing
The principal actors in a queuing situation are the customer and the server. Typically,
queues are customers waiting for service. Customers are generated from a source. On
arrival at a service facility, they can start service immediately or wait in a queue if the
facility is busy. To analyse this sub-system, we need information relating to:
Arrival process
• how customers arrive e.g. singly or in groups (batch or bulk arrivals)
• how the arrivals are distributed in time (e.g. what is the probability distribution of
time between successive arrivals (the interarrival time distribution)
• whether there is a finite population of customers or (effectively) an infinite number
Service mechanism
• a description of the resources needed for service to begin
• how long the service will take (the service time distribution)
• the number of servers available
• whether the servers are in series (each server has a separate queue) or in parallel (one
queue for all servers)
• whether pre-emption is allowed (a server can stop processing a customer to deal with
another "emergency" customer)
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Queue characteristics
• how, from the set of customers waiting for service, do we choose the one to be served
next (e.g. FIFO (first-in first-out) - also known as FCFS (first-come first served); LIFO
(last-in first-out); randomly) (this is often called the queue discipline)
• Do we have:
o Balking (customers deciding not to join the queue if it is too long)
o Reneging (customers leave the queue if they have waited too long for service)
o Jockeying (customers switch between queues if they think they will get served
faster by so doing)
o a queue of finite capacity or (effectively) of infinite capacity
Single queues
Multiple queues
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Forecasting
There are many types of forecasting models. They differ in their degree of complexity, the
amount of data they use, and the way they generate the forecast. However, some features are
common to all forecasting models. They include the following:
• Forecasts are rarely perfect: Forecasting the future involves uncertainty. Therefore, it
is almost impossible to make a perfect prediction. The goal of forecasting is to generate
good forecasts on the average over time and to keep forecast errors as low as possible.
• Every forecast should include an estimate of error: Since forecasts are expected to be
wrong, the real question is “By how much?” Every forecast should include an estimate
of error often expressed as a percentage (plus and minus) of the forecast or as a range
between maximum and minimum values.
• Forecasts are more accurate for groups or families of items rather than for individual
items: When items are grouped together, their individual high and low values can cancel
each other out. The data for a group of items can be stable even when individual items
in the group are very unstable. Consequently, one can obtain a higher degree of
accuracy when forecasting for a group of items rather than for individual items. For
example, you cannot expect the same degree of accuracy if you are forecasting sales of
long-sleeved hunter green polo shirts that you can expect when forecasting sales of all
polo shirts.
• Forecasts are more accurate for shorter than longer time horizons: The shorter the
time horizon of the forecast, the lower the degree of uncertainty. Data do not change
very much in the short run. As the time horizon increases, however, there is a much
greater likelihood that changes in established patterns and relationships will occur. For
example, it is much harder to predict sales of a product two years from now than to
predict sales two weeks from now.
Forecasting Techniques
There are many forecasting methods, but they can usually be classified into:
Qualitative Techniques
Qualitative forecasting methods, often called judgmental methods, are methods in which the
forecast is made subjectively by the forecaster. They are educated guesses by forecasters or
experts based on intuition, knowledge, and experience. When you decide, based on your
intuition, that a particular team is going to win a cricket game, you are making a qualitative
forecast. Because qualitative methods are made by people, they are often biased.
Quantitative Techniques
Quantitative forecasting methods, on the other hand, are based on mathematical modelling.
Because they are mathematical, these methods are consistent. The same model will generate
the exact same forecast from the same set of data every time. These methods are also objective.
They do not suffer from the biases found in qualitative forecasting. Finally, these methods can
consider a lot of information at one time. Because people have limited information-processing
abilities and can easily experience information overload, they cannot compete with
mathematically generated forecasts in this area.
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Table 3: Forecasting techniques
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Types of Qualitative Techniques
Moving Average
Procedure is to calculate the average company sales for previous years. An “n-month” Moving
Average forecasts the sales for the next month by calculating the average of the sales of
previous ‘n’ months.
Example:
The weighted average is calculated by multiplying the given price by its associated weighting
and then summing the values. In the example above, the weighted 5-day moving average would
be $90.62.
Calculation
((90.9*(5/15)) + (90.36*(4/15)) + (90.28*(3/15)) + (90.83*(2/15)) + (90.91*(1/15)))
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Exponential smoothing
It is not necessary to keep months of history to get a moving average because the previously
calculated forecast has already allowed for this history. Therefore, the forecast can be based on
the old calculated forecast and the new data.
Alpha is known as smoothing constant. When more weight is to be assigned to latest demand,
alpha is more than 0.5 and vice versa.
Exponential smoothing provides a routine method for regularly updating item forecasts. It
works quite well when dealing with stable items. Generally, it has been found satisfactory for
short-range forecasting. It is not satisfactory where the demand is low or intermittent.
Exponential smoothing will detect trends, although the forecast will lag actual demand if a
definite trend exists.
If a trend exists, it is possible to use a slightly more complex formula called double
exponential smoothing. This technique uses the same principles but notes whether each
successive value of the forecast is moving up or down on a trend line.
Seasonality
Periodic, repetitive, and generally regular and predictable pattern in the levels of business
activity where most or all sales originate in a particular season, quarter, or month.
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Forecast Error
In statistics, a forecast error is the difference between the actual or real and the predicted or
forecast value of a time series or any other phenomenon of interest. Since the forecast error is
derived from the same scale of data, comparisons between the forecast errors of different series
can only be made when the series are on the same scale.
Forecast error is the difference between actual demand and forecast demand. Various
techniques to map the efficiency of model or find accuracy of model:
Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)
It takes the absolute value of forecast errors and averages them over the entirety of the forecast
time periods. Taking an absolute value of a number disregards whether the number is negative
or positive and, in this case, avoids the positives and negatives cancelling each other out.
MAD =
| Actual - Forecast | = | Error |
n n
Where, n = number of forecast time periods
| Actual - Forecast |
Actual
*100%
MAPE =
n
Where, n = number of forecast time periods
Mean Square Error (MSE):
Another method of calculating error rates, the Mean Squared Error (MSE), magnifies the errors
by squaring each one before adding them up and dividing by the number of forecast periods.
MSE =
(Actual - Forecast) 2
=
(Error) 2
n n
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Quality
Quality means user satisfaction: that goods or services satisfy the needs and expectations of
the user. To achieve quality according to this definition, we must consider
1. Quality and product policy
2. Product design
3. Manufacturing
4. Final use of the product.
Dimensions of Quality
1. Performance
2. Features
3. Conformance
4. Warranty
5. Service
6. Aesthetics
7. Perceived Quality
8. Price
Cost of Quality
• Costs of Failure
The costs of failing to control quality are the costs of producing material that does not meet
specification.
Internal failure costs: The costs of correcting problems that occur while the goods are still in
the production facility. Such costs are scrap, rework, and spoilage. These costs would disappear
if no defects existed in the product before shipment.
External failure costs: The costs of correcting problems after goods or services have been
delivered to the customer. They include warranty costs, field servicing of customer goods and
all the other costs associated with trying to satisfy customer complaints.
The Seven basic tools of Quality are a designation given to a fixed set of graphical techniques
identified as being most helpful in troubleshooting issues related to quality.
A. Tools for generating the data
1. Check sheet
2. Scatter Diagram
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3. Cause-and-effect diagram (also known as the "fishbone" or Ishikawa diagram)
B. Tools for organising the data
1. Pareto Chart
2. Flowchart (Process Diagram)
C. Tools for identifying problems
1. Histogram
2. Statistical Process Control Chart
Check Sheets
These represent a very simple method to collect data. Once an issue of interest has been
determined (for example, customer complaints about some product or service), the sources of
the complaints are listed as they occur. Whenever a complaint reason is repeated, a check is
put beside the reason.
Below is shown a check sheet for telephone interruptions and its causes.
Scatter Diagram
A scatter plot is a type of mathematical diagram using cartesian coordinates to display values
for two variables for a set of data.
The data is displayed as a collection of points, each having the value of one variable
determining the position on the horizontal axis and the value of the other variable determining
the position on the vertical axis.
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Cause-and-effect diagram
Ishikawa diagrams are causal diagrams created by Kaoru Ishikawa (1968) that show the causes
of a specific event. These diagrams are used to plot out all the potential causes for an identified
problem (effect). Causes are grouped into 6 major groups to make it easier to understand.
• Manpower: People associated with the process
• Methods: Method of performing a process and requirement arrangement
• Machines: Various tools, equipment or processors involved in process
• Materials: Feed/Raw material, intermediate materials required to produce end product
Measurements: Quality deciding factors in form of various data generated using various
parameters
• Mother Nature: Environmental, cultural or engineering factors affecting process
As specific problems are branched out from the major effect area, the result appears to look
something like a fishbone. Common uses of the Ishikawa diagram are product design and
quality defect prevention, to identify potential factors causing an overall effect.
Pareto Chart
A Pareto chart is a type of chart that contains both bars and a line graph, where individual
values are represented in descending order by bars, and the line represents the cumulative total.
It is technique of arranging data according to priority or importance and using it into a problem-
solving frame work. It helps to focus on those few vital problems, for identifying the root
causes of problems and Useful in checking the effectiveness of the remedy on its
implementation.
Below mentioned Pareto chart shows that three major causes for customer complaints are
waiting for reservations, room cleanliness and waiting time for getting room services.
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Fig 12: Pareto Chart
Flow Chart
A flow chart shows flow of a process. It consists of various symbols which are used to describe
various stages in a process and it can easily determine the scope of a particular action upon on-
going process.
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Histogram
Histogram is a graphical representation of a frequency distribution which is a summary of
variation in a product or process
Control Charts
It is a graphical representation of various parameters deciding Quality of a product. It consists
of a graph with a central line denoting the target value or standard and two limit lines on either
side of the central line called “Upper Control Limit” and “Lower Control Limit”. Quality
measured periodically is plotted on the chart and status of control assessed.
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5S
Pillar What does it mean? Why is it important? What problems are avoided?
Sort Remove all items not Space, time, money, The factory becomes
needed for current energy, and other increasingly crowded and hard
production operations. resources can be managed to work in. Storage of unneeded
and used most effectively. items gets in the way of
Leave only the bare communication.
essentials: When in Reduces problems and
doubt, throw it out annoyances in the work Time wasted searching for
flow. parts/tools.
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Shine Keep everything, every Turn the workplace into a Lack of sunlight can lead to
day, swept and clean. clean, bright place where poor morale and inefficient
everyone will enjoy work.
working.
Defects are less obvious.
Keep things in a condition
so it is ready to be used Puddles of oil and water cause
when needed slipping and injuries.
Standardise Integrates Sort, Set in By ensuring conditions do Conditions go back to their old
Order, and Shine into a not deteriorate to former undesirable levels.
unified whole state, facilitates
implementation of the first Work areas are dirty and
three pillars. cluttered.
Backsliding occurs
Sustain Making a habit of Consequences of not Unneeded items begin piling
properly maintaining keeping to the course of up.
correct procedures. action greater than
consequences of keeping Tools and jigs do not get
Instil discipline to it. returned to their designated
necessary to avoid places.
backsliding.
No matter how dirty equipment
becomes, nothing is done to
clean it.
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Types of Waste (TIMWOODS)
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an assignable cause is likely the source of the product variation, and something within the
process should be changed to fix the issue before defects occur.
PDCA
Plan
Act Do
Check
PDCA is an iterative four-step management method used in business for the control and
continuous improvement of processes and products. It is also known as the Deming
circle/cycle/wheel, Shewhart cycle, control circle/cycle, or Plan–Do–Study– Act (PDSA).
The steps in each successive PDCA cycle are:
PLAN
Establish the objectives and processes necessary to deliver results in accordance with the
expected output (the target or goals).
DO
Implement the plan, execute the process, and make the product. Collect data for charting and
analysis in the following "CHECK" and "ACT" steps.
CHECK
Study the actual results (measured and collected in "DO" above) and compare against the
expected results (targets or goals from the "PLAN") to ascertain any differences.
ACT
Request corrective actions on significant differences between actual and planned results.
Analyse the differences to determine their root causes. Determine where to apply changes that
will include improvement of the process or product.
Six Sigma
Six Sigma is a disciplined, data-driven approach and methodology for eliminating defects. To
achieve Six Sigma, a process must not produce more than 3.4 defects per million opportunities.
A Six Sigma defect is defined as anything outside of customer specifications. A Six Sigma
opportunity is then the total quantity of chances for a defect.
There are two Six Sigma sub-methodologies: DMAIC and DMADV. The Six Sigma DMAIC
process (define, measure, analyse, improve, control) is an improvement system for existing
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processes falling below specification and looking for incremental improvement. DMADV
process (define, measure, analyse, design and verify) is a Six Sigma framework that focuses
primarily on the development of a new service, product or process as opposed to improving a
previously existing one.
Despite the shared first three letters of their names, there are some notable differences between
them. The main difference exists in the way the final two steps of the process are handled. With
DMADV, the Design and Verify steps deal with redesigning a process to match customer
needs, as opposed to the Improve and Control steps that focus on determining ways to readjust
and control the process. DMAIC typically defines a business process and how applicable it is;
DMADV defines the needs of the customer as they relate to a service or product.
With regards to measurement, DMAIC measures current performance of a process while
DMADV measures customer specifications and needs. Control systems are established with
DMAIC in order to keep check on the business’ future performance, while with DMADV, a
suggested business model must undergo simulation tests to verify efficacy.
The Six Sigma DMADV process (define, measure, analyse, design, verify) is an improvement
system used to develop new processes or products at Six Sigma quality levels.
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Quality Function Deployment
QFD is a structured method that uses the seven management and planning tools to identify and
prioritise customers’ expectations quickly and effectively.
Quality Function Deployment (QFD) is a structured approach to defining customer needs or
requirements and translating them into specific plans to produce products to meet those needs.
The “voice of the customer” is the term to describe these stated and unstated customer needs
or requirements. This understanding of the customer needs is then summarized in a product
planning matrix or “house of quality”. These matrices are used to translate higher level
“what’s” or needs into lower level “how’s” – product requirements or technical characteristics
to satisfy these needs.
The QFD methodology focuses on the most important product or service attributes or qualities.
Once you have prioritized the attributes and qualities, QFD deploys them to the appropriate
organisational function for action. Thus, QFD is the deployment of customer-driven qualities
to the responsible functions of an organisation.
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Zero Defects – The theory and implementation
Zero defects theory ensures that there is no waste existing in a project. Waste here refers to all
unproductive processes, tools, employees etc. There is no help in including host of processes,
tools and employees if the production is not as such. So, anything that is unproductive and does
not add value to a project should be eliminated from the project. This is the process of
elimination of waste. By doing this, you reduce waste and thus cut down the cost involved in
the waste. Besides eliminating waste, there should be a process of improvement. Any scope of
improvement that is possible in a project should be experimented. This ensures the movement
towards perfection. Zero defects theory also closely connects with “right first time” phrase.
This means that every project should be perfect at the very first time itself. Here, again perfect
refers to zero defects. Zero defects theory is based on four elements for implementation in real
projects.
• Quality is a state of assurance to requirements. Therefore, zero defects in a project
means fulfilling requirements at that point in time.
• Right the first time. Quality should be integrated into the process from the beginning,
rather than solving problems at a later stage.
• Quality is measured in financial terms. One needs to judge waste, production and
revenue in terms of budgetary impact.
• Performance should be judged by the accepted standards, as close to perfection as
possible.
ISO 9000 is a set of international standards on quality management and quality assurance
developed to help companies effectively document the quality system elements to be
implemented to maintain an efficient quality system. They are not specific to any one industry
and can be applied to organisations of any size.
ISO 9000 can help a company satisfy its customers, meet regulatory requirements, and achieve
continual improvement. However, it should be considered a first step, the base level of a quality
system, not a complete guarantee of quality.
ISO 9000 is a series, or family, of standards. ISO 9001 is a standard within the family. The ISO
9000 family of standards also contains an individual standard named ISO 9000. This standard
lays out the fundamentals and vocabulary of quality management systems (QMS).
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ISO 9000 series standards
ISO 9004:2009: Quality management systems – Managing for the sustained success of an
organisation (continuous improvement)
The ISO 9001:2008 standard consists of eight sections, with the last five being specific to the
establishment of a quality management system that is sustainable and auditable.
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Supply Chain
There are three phases to the flow of materials. Raw materials flow into a manufacturing
company from a physical supply system, they are processed by manufacturing, and finally
finished goods are distributed to end consumers through a physical distribution system.
Companies currently adopting the supply chain concept view the entire set of activities from
raw material production to final customer purchase to final disposal as a linked chain of
activities. To result in optimal performance for customer service and cost, it is felt that the
supply chain of activities should be managed as an extension of the partnership. This implies
many issues, but three critical ones include:
• Flow of materials.
• Flow of information and sharing of information,
• Fund transfers.
Ex. A car manufacturer has a supply chain which begins from mining of the metals, the mined
metals are processed by the same or different company. Then the conversion of the metal to
usable form (sheet, rods) may be done by a third party. Later the sheet metal is consumed by
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Car Company to build cars and purchased by common man. If we evaluate each step it will be
evident that there is a supplier, some sort of processing and a consumer, hence the definition.
Value Chain
A value chain is a set of activities that a firm operating in a specific industry performs in order
to deliver a valuable product or service for the market. The activity of a diamond cutter can
illustrate the difference between cost and the value chain. The cutting activity may have a low
cost, but the activity adds much of the value to the end product, since a rough diamond is
significantly less valuable than a cut diamond.
Rather than looking at departments or accounting cost types, Porter's Value Chain focuses on
systems, and how inputs are changed into the outputs purchased by consumers. Using this
viewpoint, Porter described a chain of activities common to all businesses, and he divided them
into primary and support activities, as shown below.
Primary activities
• Inbound Logistics: arranging the inbound movement of materials, parts, and/or finished
inventory from suppliers to manufacturing or assembly plants, warehouses, or retail stores
• Operations: concerned with managing the process that converts inputs (in the forms of
raw materials, labour, and energy) into outputs (in the form of goods and/or services).
• Outbound Logistics: is the process related to the storage and movement of the final
product and the related information flows from the end of the production line to the end
user
• Marketing and Sales: selling a product or service and processes for creating,
communicating, delivering, and exchanging offerings that have value for customers,
clients, partners, and society at large.
• Service: includes all the activities required to keep the product/service working effectively
for the buyer after it is sold and delivered.
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Support/Secondary activities
Functional product
This type of product is very stable and does not have variety or undergoes changes with high
frequency. So, it has stable demand and thus does not undergo rapid changes.
The supply chain used for such products is an efficient supply chain, where demand
uncertainty is less and hence the corresponding supply uncertainty is also low.
Innovative Product
This type of product undergoes frequent changes, and this leads to variation in demand
• High level of customization
• Demand in not stable
• Product undergoes rapid changes
For an innovative product, responsive supply chain is the fit, where we maintain a large
inventory to tone down the sudden surge in the demand.
For a functional product an efficient supply chain is the fit, where demand and supply
uncertainties are minimum. In an efficient supply chain, we maintain less or no inventory.
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Bullwhip effect
The bullwhip effect on the supply chain occurs when changes in consumer demand causes the
companies in a supply chain to order more goods to meet the new demand. It refers to
increasing swings in inventory in response to shifts in customer demand as one moves further
up the supply chain.
The bullwhip effect is a supply chain phenomenon describing how small fluctuations in
demand at the retail level can cause progressively larger fluctuations in demand at the
wholesale, distributor, manufacturer and raw material supplier levels.
A 2PL company is a carrier company that owns and operates its transportations fleet, so it can
be sub-contracted, or its transportation services can be used by other companies to transport
goods from one place to another. It performs one of the three functions of the logistics, namely
transportation and warehousing.
Example: Safe Express
A 3PL company is a provider of outsourced logistics services. It takes over one or all the
functions of the outsourcing company and performs them itself. It may also provide added
supply chain expertise.
Example: DHL
A 4PL company is a logistics specialist that takes over the entire logistics operation and sub-
contracts some or all specific functions. It plays more of a logistics consultant role, to increase
the efficiency of the outsourcing company’s logistics and help them to solve their logistics
issues.
Example: Accenture in collaboration with Shell, DHL
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Reverse Logistics
A complete supply chain dedicated to the reverse flow of products and materials- for the
purpose of return, repair, remanufacture and/or recycle. It is moving the items from the
consumer back to the producer for repair or disposal.
There are two main categories of reverse logistics: asset recovery, which is the return of
actual products, and green reverse logistics, which represents the responsibility of the
supplier to dispose of packaging materials or environmentally sensitive materials such as
heavy metals and other restricted materials.
Goods are returned for many reasons that can include:
• Quality demands by final customers (both real and perceived).
• Damaged or defective products.
• Inventories that result from over-forecast demand.
• Seasonal inventories.
• Out-of-date inventories.
• Remanufacturing and refurbishment of products.
Returned goods can be:
• Returned to inventory.
• Refurbished for resale.
• Sold into alternate markets.
• Broken down into reusable components.
• Sorted to recover valuable materials (further reducing disposal costs).
Example: recycling of used soft drink glass bottles, refurbishment of used Apple iPhone,
returnable packaging in automotive industry
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Project Management
A project is a temporary endeavour undertaken to create a unique product, service or result.
Temporary indicates that it has a definite beginning and end. Projects involve doing
something that has not been done before and is therefore unique. Outcome of the project can
be tangible or intangible.
Project Management is the application of knowledge, skills, tools and techniques to project
activities to meet project requirements.
Float/Slack
In project management, float or slack is the amount of time that a task in a project network can
be delayed without causing a delay to:
• Subsequent tasks (free float): Free Float is the amount of time that an activity can be
delayed without delaying the early start date of any successor activity.
• Project completion date (total float): Total Float is the amount of time that an activity
can be delayed from its early start date without delaying the project finish date.
Earliest Start Date:
This is the earliest date that a task can be started in a project.
Earliest Finish Date:
This is the earliest date that a task can be completed in a project.
Latest Start Date:
This is the very last date on which a task can be started before it threatens to upset the project
schedule.
Latest Finish Date:
This is the very last date on which a task can be completed before it threatens to upset the
project schedule.
Critical Path:
The technical definition of the critical path in a sequence of networked work packages is the
path with the least amount of slack. In practical terms, this path is the sequence of events that
if any are delayed, will delay the entire project. And in even simpler terms, the critical path is
the sequence of tasks that will take the longest to complete to deliver the project.
If a project network chart/diagram has 4 non-critical paths, then that project would have 4 total
float values. The total float of a path is the combined free float values of all activities in a path.
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What exactly is a “Successful” Project?
You would think it would be relatively straightforward to describe the attributes of a
successful project. Well, let’s just say this endeavour has kept more than a few “spin doctors,”
“politicians,” and “history revisionists” employed throughout organisations across our great
land.
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Project Management Methodologies
The Waterfall method makes the assumption that all requirements can be gathered up front
during the requirements phase. Communication with the user is front-loaded into this phase,
as the Project Manager does his or her best to get a detailed understanding of the user's
requirements. Once this stage is complete, the process runs "downhill".
The design phase is best described by breaking it up into logical design and physical
design sub-phases. During the logical design phase, the system's analysts makes use of the
information collected in the requirements phase to design the system independently of any
hardware or software system. Once the higher-level logical design is complete, the systems
analyst then begins transforming it into a physical design dependent on the specifications of
specific hardware and software technologies.
The implementation phase is when the actual code is written. This phase belongs to the
programmers in the Waterfall method, as they take the project requirements and specifications,
and code the applications.
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The verification phase was originally called for to ensure that the project is meeting customer
expectations. However, under real-world analysis and design, this stage is often ignored. The
project is rolled out to the customer, and the maintenance phase begins.
During the maintenance phase, the customer is using the developed application. As problems
are found due to improper requirements determination or other mistakes in the design process,
or due to changes in the users' requirements, changes are made to the system during this phase.
Unfortunately, the Waterfall method carries with it quite a few disadvantages, such as:
• Clients will often find it difficult to state their requirements at the abstract level of a
functional specification and will only fully appreciate what is needed when the
application is delivered. It then becomes very difficult (and expensive) to re-engineer
the application.
• The model does not cater for the possibility of requirements changing during the
development cycle.
• A project can often take substantially longer to deliver than when developed with an
iterative methodology such as the agile development method. ("The Waterfall
Development Methodology", 2006).
Agile Project Management is one of the revolutionary methods introduced for the practice of
project management. This is one of the latest project management strategies that is mainly
applied to project management practice in software development.
From the inception of software development as a business, there have been a number of
processes following, such as the waterfall model. With the advancement of software
development, technologies and business requirements, the traditional models are not robust
enough to cater the demands.
Therefore, more flexible software development models were required in order to address the
agility of the requirements. As a result of this, the information technology community
developed agile software development models.
'Agile' is an umbrella term used for identifying various models used for agile development,
such as Scrum. Since agile development model is different from conventional models, agile
project management is a specialized area in project management.
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The Agile Process
It is required for one to have a good understanding of the agile development process in order
to understand agile project management.
There are many differences in agile development model when compared to traditional models:
• The agile model emphasizes on the fact that entire team should be a tightly integrated
unit. This includes the developers, quality assurance, project management, and the
customer.
• Frequent communication is one of the key factors that makes this integration possible.
Therefore, daily meetings are held in order to determine the day's work and
dependencies.
• Deliveries are short-term. Usually a delivery cycle ranges from one week to four weeks.
These are commonly known as sprints.
• Agile project teams follow open communication techniques and tools which enable the
team members (including the customer) to express their views and feedback openly and
quickly. These comments are then taken into consideration when shaping the
requirements and implementation of the software.
This makes sure that there is no delay is management decision making and therefore things can
progress faster. In addition to being a manager, the agile project manager should also
demonstrate the leadership skills in motivating others. This helps retaining the spirit among the
team members and gets the team to follow discipline.
Agile project manager is not the 'boss' of the software development team. Rather, this function
facilitates and coordinates the activities and resources required for quality and speedy software
development.
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Responsibilities of an Agile Project Manager
The responsibilities of an agile project management function are given below. From one project
to another, these responsibilities can slightly change and are interpreted differently.
• Responsible for maintaining the agile values and practices in the project team.
• The agile project manager removes impediments as the core function of the role.
• Helps the project team members to turn the requirements backlog into working software
functionality.
• Facilitates and encourages effective and open communication within the team.
• Responsible for holding agile meetings that discusses the short-term plans and plans to
overcome obstacles.
• Enhances the tool and practices used in the development process.
• Agile project manager is the chief motivator of the team and plays the mentor role for
the team members as well.
Critical Chain Project Management was developed and publicised by Dr. Eliyahu M. Goldratt
in 1997. Followers of this methodology of Project Management claim it to be an alternative to
the established standard of Project Management as advocated by PMBOK® and other
standards of Project Management.
The Critical Chain Method has its roots in another one of Dr. Goldratt’s inventions,
namely, The Theory of Constraints (TOC). This Project Management Method comes into force
after the initial Project Schedule is prepared, which includes establishment of the task
dependencies. The evolved Critical path is reworked based on the Critical Chain Method. To
do so, the methodology assumes constraints related to each task.
With the above assumptions, the Critical Path Methodology of Project Management
recommends pooling of the task buffers and adding them at the end of the Critical path.
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Fig 24: Pooled Buffer
As the progress of the Project is reported, the Critical Chain is recalculated. In fact, monitoring
and controlling of the Project primarily focuses on utilization of the buffers. Hence, the Critical
Chain Method considers the basic critical path-based project network and schedule to derive a
completely new schedule.
The Critical Path Project Management methodology is very effective in organisations which
do not have evolved Project Management practices. However, the methodology does not
advocate multi-tasking, and in projects with complex schedule networks, the results of
implementing the Critical path Methodology have proven to be deterrent to the overall project
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schedule. In addition, there is no standard method for calculating and optimising the project
buffers. The Critical Path Project Management methodology has had a fair amount of success
in manufacturing domains though it has not achieved any noteworthy success in the IT Sector.
Triple Constraint
Each constraint forms the vertices, with quality as the central theme:
Process Groups
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Planning Process Group
The Planning Process Group sets forth the processes needed to define the scope of the project,
set strategic plans in place to maximise workflow, and begin to assemble priority lists and plan
team needs. This process group also addresses a narrower clarification of all project goals and
expectations and puts in place the project infrastructure necessary to achieve those goals
according to the timeline and budgetary constraints.
Knowledge Areas
Ensures that various elements of the project are properly coordinated and integrated. It
involves making trade-offs among compering objectives and alternatives to meet or exceed
stakeholder needs and expectations. The major processes involved are
• Project Plan Development
• Project Plan Execution, and
• Overall Change Control
Ensure that the project includes all the work required, and only work required, to complete
the project successfully. The major processes involved are initiation, scope planning, scope
definition, scope verification, and scope change control.
Project scope – It is the part of project planning that involves outlining and documenting a
list of specific project goals, deliverables, features, functions, tasks, deadlines, and costs. It
is also the work that must be done to deliver a product with the specified features and
functions.
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Work Breakdown (WBS) Structure
Project Time Management includes the processes involved in timely completion of the
project. The major processes involved are activity definition, activity sequencing, activity
duration estimation, schedule development, and schedule control.
Project Cost Management includes the processes required to ensure that the project is
complete within the approved budget. The major processes involved are resource planning,
cost estimation, cost budgeting, and cost control.
Project Quality Management includes processes that ensures that the project will satisfy the
requirements. The major processes involved are quality planning, quality assurance, and
quality control.
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Project Communication Management
Project Communication Management includes processes that ensures timely and appropriate
generation, collection, storage and ultimate disposition of project information. The major
processes involved are communications planning, information distribution, performance
reporting, and administrative closure.
Project Risk Management includes processes that are concerned with identifying, analysing,
and responding to project risk, maximising the results of positive events and minimising the
consequences of negative events. The major processes involved are risk identification, risk
quantification, risk response development, and risk response control.
Project Procurement Management includes processes that involve acquiring goods and
services from outside the performing organisation. The major processes involved are
procurement planning, solicitation planning, solicitation, source selection, contract
administration, and contract close-out.
Project Human Resource Management includes processes that involve the most effective use
of people involved with the project. The major processes involved are organisational planning,
staff acquisition, and team development.
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Inventory management
SKU
Stock keeping unit, it is a specific size (weight/volume/type) of product introduced to the
final customer.
Lot size
It is a term prevalent in manufacturing and procurement. It refers to the total number of
units of a product, produced or procured at a time.
While in continuous review system, as the term explains, the inventory level is continuously
monitored, while ordering lot size is kept constant. This practice is followed in many a
manufacturing firms while procurement. EOQ or economic order quantity is the lot size at
which total cost pertaining to inventory is minimum. In continuous review system the ordering
take place as EOQ.
Lead time
The time between in initiation and completion of a process.
Example: The time between placement of order by the customer for a piece of furniture and
the actual delivery to the customer is the lead time
Reorder point
The reorder point (ROP) is the level of inventory which triggers an action to replenish that
particular inventory stock. It is a minimum amount of an item which a firm holds in stock,
such that, when stock falls to this amount, the item must be reordered.
Safety Stock
Safety stock (also called buffer stock) is a term used by logisticians to describe a level of
extra stock that is maintained to mitigate risk of stock outs (shortfall in raw material or
packaging) due to uncertainties in supply and demand.
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E - Commerce
Market Place Model
Here, the company acts as a meeting ground or a facilitator through an online IT platform for
buyers and sellers without storing goods. But they do offer shipping and payment assistance
by tying up with selected logistics players and financial partners. A pure e-commerce
marketplace follows a zero-inventory model.
eBay and Naaptol are examples of ecommerce players that follow the marketplace model.
Inventory Model
Here, the company sources products directly from brands and sellers and stocks them. There
are no multiple sellers selling one product, unlike marketplaces where buyers get to choose
from several merchants. The seller is the e-commerce company and invoice is issued to the
customers on the company’s name.
Example: Jabong
Hybrid Model
A mix of marketplace and inventory is a hybrid e-commerce model. It is also called a ‘managed
marketplace’ model. It is adopted by most Indian e-commerce players like Flipkart, Amazon
etc.
Under their marketplace fulfilment services like Fulfilment by Amazon (FBA) and Flipkart
Advantage, e-commerce players offer inventory storage, packaging and delivering services but
a seller is free to choose self-fulfilment or marketplace-fulfilment.
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Drop shipping hides these facts. The consumer sees a brand but cannot identify that someone
other than the retailer is fulfilling this product.
With marketplaces, sellers set the price to the consumer. With drop shipping, however, the
retailers control the prices.
With marketplaces, the seller typically specifies what shipping carriers and methods it will
support. In most cases, drop shipping retailers dictate those methods to their suppliers.
For a marketplace transaction, the customer contacts the seller directly. With drop shipping,
the customer contacts the retailer, who then coordinates with its up-stream suppliers.
Distribution Strategies
Cross Docking
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Cross docking is a logistics procedure where products from a supplier or manufacturing plant
are distributed directly to a customer or retail chain without any inventory management
involved during the process. Once the goods are received, they are just sorted and shipped to
the required destination.
• Basic Cross Dock – Products or Goods are moved from supplier origin vehicles directly
to customer bound vehicles without the need of a warehouse. A simple transfer point is
enough.
• Flow through Cross Dock – When Goods arrive and are in large packages, they are
opened, sorted and consolidated based on customer locations/ destinations and transferred
to vehicles bound for the same.
Benefits
• Cost of transportation is reduced since customer bound dedicated vehicles are not required
at the source/ supplier
• Inventory cost is reduced since no storage takes place during the process
Constraints
Milk Run
Milk run distribution involves joint collection and delivery from multiple suppliers to a
common location/ customer location or collection from one supplier to multiple customers
Benefits
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Constraints
Delivery Types
First Mile
First Mile refers to movement of goods from suppliers to distribution center/central warehouse.
Last Mile
Last Mile refers to final movement of goods from distribution center/central warehouse to
doorstep of the customers.
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Fig 32: Delivery model
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