CAIS 101 Practice Test II

1. Determine whether the implied probability is Classical (Mathematical), Empirical (i.e.

Relative Frequency) or Subjective:

a) That Donald Trump gets re-elected

b) That the UConn Womens Basketball team wins their next game

c) That you roll a ‘7’ when tossing a pair of dice

2. Given the odds (against), determine the implied probability (of success):

a) 3:2 P (X) = ______%

b) 49:1 P (X) = ______%

c) 22:3 P (X) = ______%

d) 4:1 P (X) = ______%

3. Given the probability (of success), determine the odds (against):

a) P (X) = 35% ____: ____

b) P (X) = 8% ____: ____

c) P (X) = 1% ____: ____

d) P (X) = 15% ____: ____

4. The complement of an event Ei ‘never happening’ in N trials is that:

a) It happens every time

b) It never happens

c) It happens at least once

5. A blind man holds a bag of M&Ms containing 12 Red, 6 Yellow, 10 Green, 10 Brown and
2 Blue candies, taking them out - one at a time - without replacement:

a) What is the probability that the first piece he takes out is either Green or Blue?

A:

b) What is the probability that the first piece he takes out is neither Green nor Blue?

A:

c) What is the probability that the first two pieces he takes out are both Yellow?

A:

6. How many ways can I arrange 6 students, 4 at a time if the order matters (i.e. AB is not
the same as BA)?

A:
7. How many ways can I arrange 6 students, 4 at a time if the order of the students does
not matter (i.e. BC is the same as CB)?

A:
8. True or False:

a) If you flip a coin twice, you’ll probably get at least one ‘tails’ T / F

b) If you roll a pair of dice, you’ll probably get at least an 8 T / F

c) If you pull a card out of a deck (of 52), it probably won’t be a Club T / F
9. An Alumni Reunion survey says that 80% of the attendees had at least one child, and
that 30% of those who did have a child are now a grandparent:

a) What is the probability that a randomly selected guest is a grandparent?

A:
b) What is the probability that two randomly selected guests never had kids?

A:

c) What is the probability that two randomly selected guests both had kids?

A:

10. A survey of tourists to Bridgeport says that 60% visited Captains Cove, 80% visited
Seaside Park and 50% visited both Captains Cove and Seaside Park. For any given
tourist(s) chosen at random:

a) What is the probability that a tourist did not visit Captains Cove?

A:

b) What is the probability that a tourist visited either Captains Cove or Seaside Park?

A:

c) What is the probability that any two tourists both visited Seaside Park?

A:

d) What is the probability that a tourist did not visit either Captains Cove or Seaside
Park?

A: