No X Y XY X^2 Y^2 x y xy x^2

1 20 7 140 400 49 -9 -1.1 10.23 86.49

2 30 9 270 900 81 1 0.9 0.63 0.49
3 33 8 264 1089 64 4 -0.1 -0.37 13.69
4 40 11 440 1600 121 11 2.9 31.03 114.49
5 15 5 75 225 25 -14 -3.1 44.33 204.49
6 13 4 52 169 16 -16 -4.1 66.83 265.69
7 26 8 208 676 64 -3 -0.1 0.33 10.89
8 38 10 380 1444 100 9 1.9 16.53 75.69
9 35 9 315 1225 81 6 0.9 5.13 32.49
10 43 10 430 1849 100 14 1.9 26.03 187.69
JUMLAH 293 81 2574 9577 701 0 0 200.7 992.1
Rata-rata 29.3 8.1
 No Yi X1 X2 Y^2 (X1)^2 (X2)^2 YX1 YX2 X1X2 yi x1 x2 y^2 x1^2 x2^2
1 60 1100 300 3600 1210000 90000 66000 18000 330000 -317.14 -545.3 -334.7 100577.8 297384.8 112004.0
2 120 1200 400 14400 1440000 160000 144000 48000 480000 -257.14 -445.3 -234.7 66121.0 198318.8 55070.0
3 190 1430 420 36100 2044900 176400 271700 79800 600600 -187.14 -215.3 -214.7 35021.4 46367.0 46083.2
4 250 1500 400 62500 2250000 160000 375000 100000 600000 -127.14 -145.3 -234.7 16164.6 21120.8 55070.0
5 300 1520 510 90000 2310400 260100 456000 153000 775200 -77.14 -125.3 -124.7 5950.6 15707.6 15542.6
6 360 1620 590 129600 2624400 348100 583200 212400 955800 -17.14 -25.3 -44.7 293.8 641.6 1995.4
7 380 1800 600 144400 3240000 360000 684000 228000 1080000 2.86 154.7 -34.7 8.2 23922.8 1202.0
8 430 1820 630 184900 3312400 396900 782600 270900 1146600 52.86 174.7 -4.7 2794.2 30509.6 21.8
9 440 1800 610 193600 3240000 372100 792000 268400 1098000 62.86 154.7 -24.7 3951.4 23922.8 608.6
10 490 1750 630 240100 3062500 396900 857500 308700 1102500 112.86 104.7 -4.7 12737.4 10955.8 21.8
11 500 1950 850 250000 3802500 722500 975000 425000 1657500 122.86 304.7 215.3 15094.6 92823.8 46367.0
12 520 1960 900 270400 3841600 810000 1019200 468000 1764000 142.86 314.7 265.3 20409.0 99017.2 70400.0
13 540 1830 980 291600 3348900 960400 988200 529200 1793400 162.86 184.7 345.3 26523.4 34103.0 119252.8
14 410 1900 900 168100 3610000 810000 779000 369000 1710000 32.86 254.7 265.3 1079.8 64856.8 70400.0
15 350 1500 800 122500 2250000 640000 525000 280000 1200000 -27.14 -145.3 165.3 736.6 21120.8 27334.0
JUMLAH 5280 24680 9520 2201800 41587600 6663400 9298400 3758400 16293600 -317.1 0.05 -0.05 307463.494 980773.3335 621373.3335
Rata-rata 377.14 1645.33 634.67
 yx1 yx2 xix2
172946.0 106137.2 182505.6
114512.2 60343.0 104505.6
40296.9 40173.3 46224.9
18477.3 29835.9 34104.6
9668.0 9617.0 15624.9
434.2 765.6 1131.5
442.4 -99.2 -5362.4
9233.1 -246.9 -815.7
9722.6 -1550.8 -3815.7
11813.1 -527.1 -488.8
37431.8 26455.4 65604.6
44953.8 37905.0 83491.4
30075.4 56240.4 63772.1
8368.5 8718.7 67571.6
3944.3 -4487.1 -24027.4
512318.943 369281.057 630026.6665
 No TAHUN Yi X1 X2 Y^2 (X1)^2 (X2)^2 YX1 YX2 X1X2 yi yi^2
1 1960 57 220 125 3249 48400 15625 12540 7125 27500.0 3.75 14.06
2 1961 43 215 147 1849 46225 21609 9245 6321 31605.0 -10.25 105.06
3 1962 73 250 118 5329 62500 13924 18250 8614 29500.0 19.75 390.06
4 1963 37 241 160 1369 58081 25600 8917 5920 38560.0 -16.25 264.06
5 1964 64 305 128 4096 93025 16384 19520 8192 39040.0 10.75 115.56
6 1965 48 258 149 2304 66564 22201 12384 7152 38442.0 -5.25 27.56
7 1966 56 354 145 3136 125316 21025 19824 8120 51330.0 2.75 7.56
8 1967 50 321 150 2500 103041 22500 16050 7500 48150.0 -3.25 10.56
9 1968 39 370 140 1521 136900 19600 14430 5460 51800.0 -14.25 203.06
10 1969 43 375 115 1849 140625 13225 16125 4945 43125.0 -10.25 105.06
11 1970 69 385 155 4761 148225 24025 26565 10695 59675.0 15.75 248.06
12 1971 60 385 152 3600 148225 23104 23100 9120 58520.0 6.75 45.56
JUMLAH 639 3679 1684 35563 1177127 238822 196950 89164 517247 0 1536.25
Rata-rata 53.25 306.58 140.33

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.29647
R Square 0.08789
Adjusted R Square -0.1148
Standard Error 12.4776 -15626.1
Observations 12

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 135.027 67.5136 0.43364 0.661004
Residual 9 1401.22 155.691
Total 11 1536.25

Coefficients
Standard Errort Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 75.4051 37.9818 1.9853 0.07839 -10.5156 161.326 -10.516 161.326
X1 0.02537 0.05646 0.44925 0.66388 -0.10236 0.15309 -0.1024 0.15309
X2 -0.2133 0.25046 -0.8516 0.41652 -0.77987 0.35329 -0.7799 0.35329

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Yi
Residuals
Standard Residuals Percentile Yi
1 54.3242 2.67577 0.23708 4.166667 37
2 49.505 -6.50502 -0.5764 12.5 39
3 56.5782 16.4218 1.455 20.83333 43
4 47.3917 -10.3917 -0.9207 29.16667 43
5 55.8404 8.15958 0.72295 37.5 48
6 50.1692 -2.16915 -0.1922 45.83333 50
7 53.4574 2.54261 0.22528 54.16667 56
8 51.5539 -1.55388 -0.1377 62.5 57
9 54.9297 -15.9297 -1.4114 70.83333 60
10 60.3888 -17.3888 -1.5407 79.16667 64
11 52.1108 16.8892 1.49641 87.5 69
12 52.7507 7.24932 0.6423 95.83333 73
 X1 Residual Plot
20
10
X2 Residual Plot
Residuals

20
0
200 220 240 260
X1 Line Fit Plot
10 280 300 320 340 360 380 400
-10
Residuals

80
-20
0
110 60120 130 140
X2 Line Fit170Plot
150 160
-10 X1 Yi
40 80
Normal Probability Plot
Predicted Yi
Yi

-20 20 60
0 40 X2 80 Yi
Predicted Yi
Yi

200 250
20 30060 350 400
0 X1 40
Yi
110 120
20 130 140 150 160 170
0 X2
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
PENDEKATAN MATRIKS

X'X= 12 3679 1684 12 3679 X'y= 639

3679 1177127 517247 3679 1177127 196950
1684 517247 238822 1684 517247 89164

|X'X|= 1465526590

kof X'X= 1177127 517247 3679 517247 3679 1177127

517247 238822 1684 238822 1684 517247

3679 1684 12 1684 12 3679

517247 238822 1684 238822 1684 517247

3679 1684 12 1684 12 3679

1177127 517247 3679 517247 3679 1177127

= 13579365385 -7582190 -79330155

-7582190 30008 -11528

-79330155 -11528 590483

(X'X)^(-1)= 0.0000000007 13579365385 -7582190 -79330155

-7582190 30008 -11528

-79330155 -11528 590483

9.2658608023 -0.0051736966 -0.0541308193

 -0.0051736966 0.0000204759 -0.0000078661

-0.0541308193 -0.0000078661 0.0004029152

b = (X'X)^(-1)*(X'y)

b0 9.2658608023 -0.0051736966 -0.0541308193 639

b1 = -0.0051736966 0.0000204759 -0.0000078661 X 196950

b2 -0.0541308193 -0.0000078661 0.0004029152 89164

b0 75.405
b1 = 0.025
b2 -0.213

Penduga Fungsi Impor dapat ditulis :

Y = 75,46 + 0,025 X1 - 0,213X2

639
∑▒ 〖〖𝑒�〗 ^2=𝑒^′ 𝑒= 〗 y'y - b'X'y
35563
= - 75.405 0.025 -0.213 x 196950
89164

35563 - 34161.7771062

= 1401.2228938

Dapat diperoleh:
б^2=(𝑒^′ 𝑒)/(𝑛−𝑘)=1401.22289379781/9
=155.69
 9.2658608023 -0.0051736966 -0.0541308193

〖��� −��� (𝑏)= б 〗 ^2 〖 (𝑋^ = 155.691432644 -0.0051736966 0.0000204759 -0.0000078661

-0.0541308193 -0.0000078661 0.0004029152
′ 𝑋) 〗 ^(−1)

1442.6151429908 -0.8055002425 -8.4277048046

= -0.8055002425 0.0031879248 -0.0012246866
-8.4277048046 -0.0012246866 0.0627304512

var(b0)= 1442.6151 , var(b1)= 0.0031879 , var(b2)= 0.06273

𝐸𝑆𝑆=𝑏^′ 𝑋^′ �-nỸ^2=34161.7771062 - 34026.75 2835.5625

= 135.027106202

𝑇𝑆𝑆=�^′ �−nỸ^2= 35563 - 34026.75

= 1536.25

�^2=𝐸𝑆𝑆/𝑇𝑆𝑆=135.027106 #DIV/0!
202193/1536.25 =

Tabel Analyisis of Variance for Regression

Sum of Squaress (SS) Degrees(df)

of freedom Means Square Error
Sumber Variasi F*
(MSE)

Akibat regresi (X1,X2) 135.0271062022 2 67.5135531011 0.4336369186

Akibat Residual 1401.2228937978 9 155.6914326442

Akibat Residual 1401.2228937978 9 155.6914326442

Total 1536.25 11