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McKinsey on Finance

Restructuring alliances in China 1


Perspectives on Twenty-five years after alliances first paved the way into the world’s
Corporate Finance most dynamic emerging market, knowing how to structure them is more
and Strategy important than ever.

Number 9, Autumn
The view from the corporate suite 6
2003
A survey of multinational corporations finds expectations for more—
and more profitable—alliances in China.

Smarter investing for insurers 8


Insurance companies need to get better at managing their investments.
Here’s how.

A closer look at the bear in Europe 13


The market slump in Europe was deeper and more widespread than its
cousin in the United States.

Alliances in consumer and packaged goods 16


The sector lags in collaboration, but some companies are beginning to
change that. It’s a good thing.
McKinsey on Finance is a quarterly publication written by experts and practitioners in McKinsey & Company’s
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Restructuring alliances in China
Twenty-five years after alliances first paved the way into the world’s most dynamic
emerging market, knowing how to structure them is more important than ever.

Jonathan R. Woetzel

n China, alliances have been the dominant go wrong as markets, partners, and
I form of foreign direct investment since
Beijing officially opened the country to the
competitors evolve.

outside world in 1978. Twenty-five years later,


Partner . . . or friend?
however, maturing local companies, more
accessible markets, and progress toward a One of the most common pitfalls in striking
more stable regulatory environment have an alliance in China is blurring the distinction
removed much of the initial rationale for between government friendships and business
alliances. Indeed, more than 50 percent of partnerships. Each can be helpful, but it is
new foreign direct investment in China is usually a mistake to expect their roles to
now in wholly owned and contractual joint overlap, such as in anticipating that a
ventures. government approval authority will do a
venture’s marketing or that a business partner
At the same time, many existing alliances have will secure government licenses. Companies
become unstable, as fundamental imbalances must fully understand the need for and
in partner contributions have grown. Around interests of both government friends and day-
the world, the hallmarks of sustainable to-day partners.
alliances are partners’ complementary skills,
50-50 contributions, and the ability to evolve Government entities can be enormously
beyond original expectations. In China, most helpful when they intervene directly in
joint ventures are between potential resolving policy disputes, though some
competitors, 50-50 deals are in the substantial functional bureaus such as Customs and
minority, and both Chinese and multinational Finance will generally not make policy
companies face cash constraints in the exceptions for individual companies. Even
enormous Chinese market. It’s no surprise, where government will get directly involved,
then, that many of the joint ventures signed in companies must first understand the direction
the early 1980s are now being restructured. of reform. The government is unlikely to
aggressively promote a foreign business
In view of these circumstances, executives of agenda among the many industries nominally
even successful ventures should take a hard controlled by central planning entities that
look at their current and prospective China have been corporatized1 in the past few years.
alliances to assess their rationale and potential These include steel, oil and gas, and
for restructuring. Even successful ventures can automotive, among others. Finally, in those

Restructuring alliances in China | 1


major Chinese supplier and distributor. But
With day-to-day partners, it is the CEO neither thoroughly checked out the
business aspirations of his new partner nor
essential to understand not merely a monitored him, and the Chinese partner soon
company’s technical capabilities but became a major competitor. In another case,
the head of a global business unit negotiated a
also its business aspirations, joint venture with the local market leader to
partnership track record, and quickly secure market share. But conflicts with
the partner on product-line priorities and sales
organizational depth. force control soon emerged. This ultimately
led to an acrimonious divorce and a write-off
for both partners.
sectors where government influence can
still be directly applied, such as health care, Best practice due diligence might have
companies must understand what makes an prevented problems. This should include
offer interesting to the government—and site visits to check physical location;
what the government is prepared and able to interviews with key executives to assess their
give in return. For example, when Volkswagen management philosophy, business aspirations,
proposed to move production of its Santana and execution skills; close analysis of financial
sedan to China in the 1980s, it did so in and accounting information to codify a
exchange for guaranteed marketing and potential partner’s operational and financial
support in component localization. The strength; and visits to retailers and distributors
automaker was the only global original- to assess and evaluate the partner’s true
equipment manufacturer willing to invest marketing skill.
in China, and it knew the government
desperately wanted a global OEM to kick-
Plan for the power balance
start the domestic industry. In return, the
to shift
government virtually guaranteed profitability
by buying all the sedans produced at An alliance between partners whose skills are
preagreed prices and selling them to taxi truly complementary can last a long time.
fleets and government bureaus. In today’s However, shifts in power can occur over time
much more competitive market, this deal and destabilize a partnership. Global players
could not be repeated. tend to have an advantage when global
brands, world-class technology, global scale,
With day-to-day partners, it is essential to or financial depth are key industry success
understand not merely a company’s technical factors. Local players have more of an upper
capabilities but also its business aspirations, hand when relationships with local suppliers,
partnership track record, and organizational customers, or regulators are essential and
depth. This is typically not done, and this when global competition is relatively weak. In
oversight can be a costly mistake. Consider the an emerging economy these factors can change
experience of one CEO from the United States rapidly as markets evolve and skills are
who on a onetime trip to China was transferred. In China the resulting power
introduced to and quickly partnered with a shifts have been particularly dramatic.

2 | McKinsey on Finance Autumn 2003


Many early alliances in China were predicated
on a technology-for-market swap. Local Potential sellers . . . should seek to
companies would bring marketing skills, and
foreigners would contribute world-class capture the full value of their
equipment and cash. Unfortunately, some participation in the alliance by
foreign companies have found that their
Chinese partners lack any real marketing striking presale agreements that
capability, often because the state distributors include an exit option based on
they used to sell to have gone under. As a
result, among the executives we interviewed at market value at the time of exit.
14 leading multinationals, half indicated that
they had recently increased or were about to
increase their equity share in their joint For example, one logistics firm separates its
ventures. In the words of one: “If your customer-relationship staff from the day-to-
ultimate goal is 100 percent ownership, the day transportation service joint venture to
closer you start to that goal the less pain you preserve its marketing capability outside the
have to go through later.” For their part, local venture but ensures common electronic data
companies have sometimes found their foreign interchange systems and standards.
partners unwilling or unable to continually
inject cash and technology. Said the chairman Potential sellers, on the other hand,
of a leading Chinese company: “Their initial should seek to capture the full value of
technology was not suited to the Chinese their participation in the alliance by striking
market, and they have proved unwilling to presale agreements that include an exit option
reinvest to rebuild share.” based on market value at the time of exit.
Many Chinese firms now routinely seek such
For companies considering new ventures, agreements by agreeing to base a buyout price
the implications of power shifts should be on a specific market multiple, such as P/E,
considered in the negotiation. Because market-to-book, or other ratios, assuming that
bargaining power will increase over time, the market will fully reflect the value of the
likely buyers should choose smaller companies company at the time of buyout. Sellers should
as partners and avoid setting acquisition also acquire skills from the joint venture.
prices. For example, one venture succeeded in Some do this, for example, by actively rotating
reducing the initial buyout price by 20 percent managers over two- to three-year periods.
by timing the offer to coincide with increases These managers then return to the parent
in the partner’s cash needs in other businesses. company to start up new businesses, even
Buyers should also hold both management and competing with the venture.
financial control. Experience suggests some
best-practice requirements: hold two-thirds
Fit the organization to the
of the equity, keep proprietary generators of
power balance
value such as brands and core technologies out
of the alliance’s control, and ensure that key Equity arrangements alone cannot ensure that
elements of the alliance’s business system itself an alliance will go the way you wish. Equally
can be absorbed, if necessary, at a later date. important is fitting the softer organizational

Restructuring alliances in China | 3


elements of structure, such as skill transfer components exports. In return it expected the
and human resources, to the alliance’s foreign OEM to provide not only parts and
evolution. design but to build up the alliance’s own
manufacturing and design capability over
Stable alliances are characterized by time. The foreign OEM chose not to do so,
independent organizations with their own instead sticking by the letter of the agreement,
board and direct control over their own which allowed it to not source locally if it
business activities. Often, they develop their deemed quality insufficient. After eight years
own unique business identity, complete with of wrangling, the Chinese partner thought it
separate names, logos, uniforms, and had been taken advantage of and forced the
personnel systems. Strong joint venture foreign OEM to exit.
boards can effectively block multinationals
that try to coordinate multiple joint ventures On the human resources front, one
to improve the effectiveness of multiple sales important consideration is putting sufficient
forces. One consumer electronics company, people into the alliance to ensure the critical
for example, has 15 joint venture sales forces mass necessary for alliance employees to learn
for the same customer base. Strong joint effectively, and to systematically transfer local
venture boards can also block efforts to employees, particularly local executives, to
reduce the overhead associated with having develop their knowledge and skills. Many
literally dozens of joint venture general companies have learned the hard way that
managers. Some multinationals, after underinvesting in expatriates and relying on
exhausting negotiations with each venture the local partner is counterproductive. In the
partner and its board, have achieved short term, skills do not improve, leading to
centralized sales and marketing cost centers, a weak organization and poor performance.
with joint ventures still acting as profit This in turn makes it difficult to hire top-
centers. However, only those who started notch talent, perpetuating the skills gap.
with the end game in mind have achieved The parent becomes reluctant to throw
centralized sales profit centers that allow good money after bad, making it ever more
them to treat production joint ventures as difficult to summon up the courage to send
contract manufacturing cost centers. out yet another expensive expatriate. In our
experience, this situation more than any other
Unstable alliances typically feature direct drives multinationals to leave China.
intervention by partners into day-to-day
business activities, and boards that are unable
Negotiate from the top
to set a clear direction for the company
because the partners disagree. Trying to build Even with foresight and good planning there
a stable, independent joint venture on an may be no alternative to a tough restructuring
unstable foundation of radically imbalanced negotiation. In these situations, consider direct
partner contributions tempts trouble. As an action from the top.
illustration, one of the earliest automotive
ventures was established as a 50-50 deal. The The best restructuring negotiations are
Chinese partner provided a basic facility and a prepared well in advance—even in the initial
ready market for the foreign OEM’s global deal structuring. Negotiations in China are

4 | McKinsey on Finance Autumn 2003


protracted events, often lasting several issues, but they typically lack both internal
years, not just to define the guidelines for and external credibility to make the tough
cooperation but also to allow the parties decisions. Where the joint venture is clearly
to get to know one another. Given this being looted by one partner, the other partner
opportunity, farsighted multinational should not try to fight from inside but should
companies clearly signal their intentions and appeal directly to government officials—
prepare for likely restructuring by including typically the local mayor. If it’s a large deal,
equity put and call options in the joint venture appealing to the state council may be
contract to ensure management control and necessary. A final cautionary tale: one
carefully define the joint venture’s scope. multinational relied on government goodwill
and installed the former general manager of
To illustrate, provisions can also be inserted its Chinese partner as the joint venture CEO.
into contracts that put pressure on a partner As it happened, the general manager
to agree to restructuring—for example, embezzled and transferred funds to the
identifying early on events that require a Chinese partner. After two years of fruitless
unanimous resolution approving joint venture discussions by local expatriate managers, the
termination, if they occur.2 Experienced CEO of the multinational corporation
negotiators insist that timeliness of appealed directly to the city government,
negotiations is not critical but that avoiding which ousted the general manager within a
major concessions is. month and agreed to the joint venture’s
restructuring.
Planning ahead is particularly important
in China as joint venture restructuring or
divestiture is legally valid only with the
consent of both partners and the original Restructuring alliances in China is likely to be
approval authority. The 1996 Foreign a significant trend. With adequate preparation,
Invested Enterprise Liquidation Measures restructuring can be an effective tool for
and other relevant regulations appear to developing a sound business platform. Without
indicate five circumstances where early it, the process is likely to be challenging and
joint venture termination is possible. They expensive. MoF
are failure to subscribe capital, divestiture by
one party, bankruptcy, termination for cause,3 Jonathan Woetzel (Jonathan_Woetzel@McKinsey.com)
and liquidation by unanimous board consent. is a director in McKinsey’s Shanghai office. Copyright ©
In all cases, a unanimous board resolution is 2003 McKinsey & Company. All rights reserved. Adapted
required. from Capitalist China: Strategies for a Revolutionized
Economy, New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2003.
If your partner does not agree with your
restructuring proposal, reopening negotiations 1
That is, which have been set up as companies as opposed to
usually is best done at the partner-to-partner state-owned enterprises. This may or may not be coincident with
an IPO or share sale.
level. The same issues of partner selection and 2
It must be noted, though, that the binding nature of these clauses
long-term strategy tackled in the initial is yet to be tested.
negotiation need to be addressed. Venture 3
That is, force majeure or breach of contract of a magnitude to
managers may have an understanding of the prevent continuation of the business.

Restructuring alliances in China | 5


Sidebar

The view from the corporate suite


A survey of multinational corporations finds expectations for more—
and more profitable—alliances in China.

Peter A. Kenevan and Xi Pei

Foreign investment in China used to be success of an alliance by its current profitability


restricted largely to alliances with struggling state- instead of by the longer-term strategic gains they
owned companies. The results were mixed, and used to pursue, such as learning how to operate in
some high-profile failures gave alliances a bad China, gaining access to its regulators, building
name. Recently, however, foreign companies have market share or brand awareness, and developing
been allowed to run their own enterprises in an export-manufacturing base. By contrast, the
certain sectors,1 and they will soon be able to do Chinese partners often place greater emphasis on
so in several others as well. 2
acquiring Western management skills and
production technologies and on the secure
For both foreign and Chinese investors, wholly
employment that comes with foreign joint ventures
owned ventures are, on average, more profitable
(Exhibit 2). However, among the companies we
than alliances (Exhibit 1). Yet last year, alliances
surveyed, large differences separated the strong
attracted roughly half of China’s record $55 billion
and weak performers, both of which were identified
in new foreign direct investment, and many
by the proportion of their alliances that met or
companies expect to pursue more of them, not
exceeded expectations, financial and strategic,
only because they remain the sole way to invest in
and the proportion that operated in the black
the life insurance, securities, and telecommuni-
(Exhibit 3). MoF
cations sectors, but also because, in many cases,
they perform quite well. Indeed, if alliances are
Peter Kenevan (Peter_Kenevan@McKinsey.com) is a
carefully chosen and skillfully run, they can be just
principal in McKinsey’s Tokyo office, and Xi Pei
as financially rewarding as wholly owned
(Xi_Pei@McKinsey.com) is a consultant in the Shanghai
businesses.
office. Copyright © 2003 McKinsey & Company. All rights
We surveyed 31 companies to learn about the
3 reserved.
goals, partnership structures, and past
performance of their 400 alliances in China. A
1
Prior to China’s entry into the World Trade Organization in 2001,
only the electronic-equipment, processed-food, consumer goods,
majority of the companies in our sample were and pharmaceutical sectors were open to multinational
foreign-owned, the remainder Chinese. All expect corporations.
to enter into more alliances in China during the 2
The WTO agreement removed impediments to foreign investment
next five years. in accounting and legal services, banking and insurance,
chemicals, construction, distribution and retailing, and Internet
Upward of 90 percent of the multinationals services.

surveyed believe that their alliances in China


3
The survey took place between October 2002 and March this year
and included companies in five industry sectors: automotive,
perform at least as well as those in other emerging basic materials, consumer goods and pharmaceuticals, energy,
markets. Most foreign investors now judge the and high-tech and telecommunications.

6 | McKinsey on Finance Autumn 2003


Exhibit 1. Wholly owned is more profitable

Economics of alliances vs. wholly owned businesses in China, percent


Alliances Wholly owned

Foreign-owned multinational companies Chinese-owned companies


(average of 25 companies) (average of 6 companies)

69
60 60 55 60 57 57 60
40 40 45 43 43
40 40
31

Share of Share of Share of Share of Share of Share of Share of Share of


investment assets revenues profit investment assets revenues profit

Source: 2003 McKinsey Chinese alliances survey of 31 companies in automotive, basic materials, consumer goods/pharmaceuticals, energy, and high-tech/telecom sectors

Exhibit 2. Mixed expectations

Percentage of alliances
Foreign-owned multinational companies measure alliance . . . while their Chinese partners measure success in other ways
success in terms of profits . . .
(100% = 459 alliances)
(100% = 359 alliances)

Does alliance meet financial and Does alliance meet financial and
strategic expectations? Is alliance profitable? strategic expectations? Is alliance profitable?
Not
Not Unprofitable meeting
meeting Unprofitable
21
34 32 40
48 Meeting 44 Meeting 60
68
18 35

Exceeding Profitable Exceeding Profitable

Source: 2003 McKinsey Chinese alliances survey of 31 companies in automotive, basic materials, consumer goods/pharmaceuticals, energy, and high-tech/telecom sectors

Exhibit 3. Segmenting the sample

Average distribution of alliances in each company’s portfolio by performance category,1 percent

Does alliance meet financial and strategic expectations? Is alliance profitable?


Not
meeting Meeting Exceeding Unprofitable Profitable

Strong performers
12 61 27 23 77
(n = 9)

Average performers
35 38 27 33 67
(n = 13)

Weak performers 3
86 11 64 36
(n = 9)
100% 100%

1
Strong performers = ≥80% of alliance portfolios meet/exceed targets and ≥60% profitable; weak performers = <20% meet/exceed targets or <40% profitable; average performers =
all others.
Source: 2003 McKinsey Chinese alliances survey of 31 companies in automotive, basic materials, consumer goods/pharmaceuticals, energy, and high-tech/telecom sectors

The view from the corporate suite | 7


Smarter investing for insurers
Insurance companies need to get better at managing their investments. Here’s how.

Léo M. Grépin, Marcel Kessler, and Zane D. Williams

B y the staid standards of the insurance


industry, investment strategies in recent
years have been a walk on the wild side.
collateralized debt obligations and troubled
bond issuers. Rating agencies issued
downgrades on 151 and 148 US property
Drawn over the years to an increasingly and casualty insurers in 2002 and 2001,
complex menu of investment options, respectively compared with 77 and 59 in
including mortgages, private equity, junk 2000 and 1999, respectively. A similar trend
bonds, and collateralized debt obligations, affected life insurers.1
insurers also inevitably increased their levels of
investment risk. North American life insurers, Addressing such losses is just the first step in
for example, reduced the quality of their bond mounting a broad industry revival that will
portfolios. In 2001 holdings in bonds rated require improving operations, distribution of
BBB+ and lower made up 39 percent of their insurance products, and underwriting of
$2 trillion under management, up from insurance risks. Yet investment strategy is also
23 percent in 1996. European insurers also a crucial component. Our research2 indicates
took more risks but because of regulatory that it is critical for the industry to rethink its
rules concentrated their exposure in equities exposure to investment risk if it is to avoid
rather than corporate bonds. further calamities. It isn’t simply that insurers
need to dial back their pursuit of higher yields
As the stock market rose, the pursuit of ever- and the greater risks they entail. By crafting
higher yields seemed a surefire way to boost an investment strategy that eschews chasing
company returns. With more than half their higher yields, insurers can reduce exposure to
risk capital supporting investment activities by unnecessary risks and in the process free up
the time the bull market peaked in the late billions of dollars in capital. At many insurers,
1990s, many insurers resembled little more such an approach may require reorganizing the
than hedge funds with an insurance business way underwriting and investment functions
on the side—only without that industry’s interact and raising the level of investment
sophisticated systems and management expertise.
processes to oversee the potential downside of
added risk. The rising market also obscured
A flawed investment strategy
another fact: many insurers’ investments were
actually yielding only limited shareholder The industry’s shift to riskier investments has
value—and often destroying it. been gradual and perhaps unintentional in
some companies. Chasing ever-higher yields
When the market dove, many insurers were seemed to provide easy money, and while the
left holding the bag. US insurers faced billions economy boomed the markets rewarded
of dollars in losses from defaults on insurers who increased their risk levels. But in

8 | McKinsey on Finance Autumn 2003


the process these insurers tied up substantial
Exhibit 1. Active managers are no better at beating
amounts of capital that could have been put to the market than random chance
use more productively for shareholders in the Percentage of actively managed funds in top quartile,1 1995–2001
underwriting of value-creating insurance risk.
Actual distribution2
Three approaches at the heart of many
Random distribution2
insurers’ investment strategies illustrate the
problem. 31.0 31.0
• Increasing the risk profile of the investment 33.0
portfolio. Increasing the riskiness of assets 30.0

may return higher investment income over 13.0


the life of the security, but it rarely does 17.0
20.0
more than compensate shareholders for 14.0
bearing a higher level of risk and increased 1.0 6.0
0 0
price volatility. When credit defaults were 0.3
0 0 3.0
low and equity markets buoyant, insurers
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
generated attractive short-term returns from
riskier securities. Yet regulations require Number of times in top quartile in 7 years

insurers to hold more risk capital for riskier 1


As measured by total returns to shareholders; distribution includes 679 open-end US
equity funds.
investments, a cost that amounts to more 2
Figures do not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Source: Financial Research Corporation; McKinsey analysis
than $2 billion a year for the US life
insurance industry.
• Mismatching assets and liabilities. Insurers assumption (Exhibit 1). Insurers would need
also commonly purchase assets—typically to have research, analytical, and trading
bonds—that mature over a longer period of capabilities equivalent to those of the best
time, betting that they will capture some of hedge funds and asset managers to deliver
the higher yield of those securities. But the returns consistently in excess of the market
chances of beating the market are slim and benchmark—and would still be constrained
depend on whether or not interest rates by demanding regulatory requirements.
behave as the market expects. Those who Active management also carries the costs of
bet on the direction of interest rates are frequent trading, fees paid to external
unlikely to be right consistently, especially managers, and an additional tax burden
in the US Treasury market, the world’s most from the realization of capital gains. These
liquid and efficient financial market. costs would chip away at whatever
• Trying to beat the market. Warren Buffett, outperformance the insurers achieved.
CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, is the rare
investor who can claim to have consistently
A different approach
created value for shareholders by beating
the market through stock picking. Insurers To satisfy short-term expectations and
have assumed that by actively managing maximize long-term economic value to
their own investment portfolios they, too, shareholders, insurers should stop trying to
could identify assets that are mispriced and generate short-term yields and instead return
offer higher returns without taking to a more disciplined approach—assessing
additional risk. Yet the evidence belies that investments on a risk-adjusted basis and

Smarter investing for insurers | 9


paying more attention to account-investment accountability notably improved the industry’s
expenses and total capital costs. This would performance. Many banks began pricing their
allow insurers to fit the risk capital they products more accurately and making better
commit to their investment activities more decisions about their product lineups, and
closely to the risk obligations of their many smaller and midsize banks left the
underwriting. Such an approach would require corporate-lending, mortgage, and consumer
both structural and policy changes to let credit card businesses as a result of chronic
executives more clearly identify what really underperformance. In the decade since, the
drives performance: efficient use of capital US banking industry has more than tripled its
and effective product design and pricing. return on assets, improving its return on equity
(ROE) by 50 percent and at the same time
strengthening its capitalization to reflect risks
Separate structurally to integrate
more accurately.
functionally
Structurally, product and investment groups But insurers have been slow to adopt such a
must have separate responsibility and structure, in part because the complexity of
accountability for their costs, returns, and their products makes the development of
risks. On the investment side, that includes sophisticated performance-management tools,
managing the optimal portfolio required to such as SVA, more difficult. Moreover, until
support insurance products and bearing the recently the industry hadn’t faced a challenge
risks of any deviations from that optimal as dramatic as the one the banking industry
portfolio. Yet today the investment and did in the late 1980s. Tardiness has hurt
underwriting sides of most insurers, especially insurers: the performance of banks exceeded
life insurance companies, bear collective that of the S&P 500 over the past decade,
responsibility for the overall profitability and while the performance of insurers has lagged
risks of underwriting products. As a result, behind the S&P 500.
the investment group is typically credited
with the overall performance of the portfolio Some insurers have succeeded by breaking
rather than the risk-adjusted performance in from the pack, dividing their balance sheets
excess of the optimal liability portfolio. for product groups and investments. Adopting
this approach made one large North American
Precedent for a more transparent approach can insurer aware that even though its fixed-
be found outside the insurance industry. In the annuity business accounted for a large share
early 1990s banks divided accountability for of its risk capital, it was destroying value for
balance sheet performance between their asset- shareholders. Among companies that have
and deposit-gathering functions. The industry already divided their balance sheets, the
also broadly adopted more sophisticated increased transparency and responsibility has
capital-management tools, such as risk-adjusted served to break down the functional silos of
return on capital (RAROC) and shareholder product and investment groups common to
value added (SVA), in large part because many insurance carriers and served to
massive bankruptcies of US banks in the late promote a new constructive collaboration.
1980s led to a radical rethinking of financial Typically interaction between these silos is
risk management. Increasing transparency and rare, information flows poorly, and teamwork

10 | McKinsey on Finance Autumn 2003


is often devoted to figuring out how to counterintuitive conclusion: insurers looking
extract concessions from other departments to maximize shareholder value should match
on topics such as pricing and crediting rates. their risk exposure from investments to the
Transparency also lets companies take financial risk inherent in their liabilities rather
advantage of changing conditions when rising than aim to maximize yields. Insurers should,
prices make some insurance products more for example, perfectly match the cash flows of
competitive. their assets and liabilities to reduce interest
rate risks.3 Ideally, insurers would deviate from
this strategy only in specific asset classes
Match the risk levels of investments
where their expertise or experience made them
and liabilities
confident they could find underpriced
In our experience an essential element in investment opportunities over the long term.
improving an insurer’s investment approach is The optimal investment strategy would depend
setting down a clear policy that compels the on product design, but in most cases it would
investment function to weigh risk against require risk-free or high-grade corporate
value creation. This includes rigorously bonds for products where insurers bear the
identifying what types of risks an insurer is investment risk themselves. It can also require
willing to accept, how much exposure to each investing in riskier asset classes, in particular
risk type is acceptable, and what return is for certain European products where the
expected. In practice, this policy can be liabilities depend on market returns and some
implemented through three different kinds of of the investment risk is borne by the
programs. Strategic asset allocation (SAA) policyholders.
defines what asset classes the insurer wants to
invest in and how to allocate the assets to One might argue that as investments are
each class. General account portfolio moved to lower-risk assets, net income will
management (GAPM) specifies the investment fall, reducing earnings per share (EPS) and
strategy (the asset classes, the mix, the ROE. However, the reduced portfolio risk
duration of securities, and their credit quality) frees up capital to be used by activities that
for a product. Finally, asset liability generate greater value, such as underwriting
management (ALM) defines the amount of insurance risk, and results in a fall in the cost
interest rate risk an insurer is willing to take of equity (Exhibit 2). This in turn raises the
and continually ensures that this limit is P/E ratio of the company and offsets the fall in
adhered to. Although many insurers have EPS. Moreover, since less risky securities
similar programs in place, their form and require less capital to support them, the
execution vary enormously. Asset allocation overall reduction in capital cost can boost the
may be based on experience and rudimentary company’s market capitalization.
calculations at some insurers, for example,
whereas others use leading-edge software
Give the professionals
designed to organize their portfolios.
more expertise
Viewed from a long-term perspective, the In practice, executing the new investment
interdependence among risk, returns, and strategy requires insurers to strengthen the
capital requirements in this industry leads to a actuarial, risk-management, and portfolio-

Smarter investing for insurers | 11


liability risks. Others have rotated rising
Exhibit 2. Balancing risk and reward
stars from the actuarial function into the
investments group to ensure cross-fertilization
Company financial Investment strategy
parameters Current Potential2
of knowledge.
Return on equity 15% 10%
Forecast growth rate 4% 4% A few have built state-of-the-art systems that
Beta 1.0 0.2
Cost of equity1 10% 6.0%
enable them to monitor how well their assets
and liabilities are matched and to test the
value of their holdings against fluctuations in
Potential investment strategy2 the financial markets. This is also the case in
Use 100% of excess capital to . . .
Europe, where a less-rigid regulatory
Current or to buy or to
investment to pay back underwrite framework and greater degree of ownership of
strategy dividend . . . shares . . . insurance
insurers by banks has made it easier for some
Net income 150
100
insurers to join the avant-garde.
$ million 50 50

Price-to-
Insurance companies are at a critical juncture
21.6 21.6 21.6
earnings ratio in shaping their investment strategies. They
10.0
must scale back some of the excessive risk
they took on during a bull market, and also
Value of company review basic investment strategies. In the end,
$ billion 2.2
1.5 1.6 1.6 too, they must acknowledge that they can
deliver lasting shareholder value only by a
1
Assumes risk-free rate of 5% and market risk premium of 5%. better alignment of their product and
2
Reduced investment risk in line with optimal liability portfolio.
3
Includes value of dividends paid or share buybacks. investment goals. MoF
Source: McKinsey analysis

Léo Grépin (Leo_Grepin@McKinsey.com) is an


associate principal in McKinsey’s Boston office; Marcel
management expertise of their investment
Kessler (Marcel_Kessler@McKinsey.com) is a principal
organization, when traditionally their focus
in the Montreal office. Zane Williams is an alumnus of
has been security selection. They need a better
the Washington, D.C. office. Copyright © 2003 McKinsey
understanding of the structure and risks of
& Company. All rights reserved.
assets and liabilities in portfolio management
if they are to choose appropriate GAPM and 1
These figures are based on A.M. Best financial-strength ratings.
ALM objectives and processes and to 2
Interviews with insurance managers, actuaries, investment
implement strategies to hedge the many risks professionals, and academics; a review of the actuarial,
inherent in the liabilities. investment, and academic research; and a quantitative analysis
of industry performance.

Some leading North American insurers have


3
Of course, insurers cannot always perfectly execute the optimal
investment strategy. In certain geographies, such as Asia, the
responded by adding new teams to support dearth of securities limits the portfolio composition. Even in the
their portfolio managers. A few have formed United States, with the recent retirement of the 30-year bond and
portfolio-management teams and ALM teams the decrease in bond market liquidity, it is often challenging for
insurers to build the portfolios they need. However, any such
within the investments function or in deviation should be done out of necessity rather than as an
derivatives groups to find better ways to hedge objective.

12 | McKinsey on Finance Autumn 2003


A closer look at the bear in Europe
The market slump in Europe was deeper and more widespread than its
cousin in the United States.

André Annema, Marc H. Goedhart, and Timothy M. Koller

E arlier this year we examined the


contours of the recent stock market
decline in the United States, by most typical
than in the United States. In local currency
terms, the European index increased even
more aggressively2 than the S&P 500
measures the worst bear market since the Great until the end of 1999, and then declined
Depression.1 We found that much of the to an index somewhat below the US market
market’s travails were concentrated among the by the end of June 2003. In both the United
information technology and telecommunica- States and Europe, the market bubble and
tions sectors, and among the largest companies the subsequent decline were driven largely
in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index—those by changes in overall price-to-earnings
megacapitalized companies whose market ratios (P/E). The market, in short, responded
capitalization surpassed $50 billion. An update more to expectations than actual business
of this analysis in June confirmed our findings: performance.
combined, the S&P 500 index’s 154 IT,
telecom, and megacap stocks were responsible The contrast between how the US and EU
for the entire 33 percent decline from January markets declined can be seen even more
2000 to June 2003. The other 346 companies clearly in the share price performance of the
in the index actually contributed a positive 500 largest European companies. Prior to
5 percent, preventing the overall average from January 2000, the median increase of
sinking even further. European share prices stood at 21 percent per
year, noticeably higher than for the United
Such was the shape of the US bear market. To States, at 17 percent. In fact, on a sector-by-
explore what took place in equity markets in sector basis, the European equity markets
the United Kingdom and continental Europe, significantly outperformed the US market for
we conducted the same analysis there. each sector during the bull market, even in the
high-tech sectors (Exhibit 1). Unfortunately,
European share prices since December 1999
Anatomy of a European
have seen a massive 12 percent annualized
bear market
median decline, compared to a positive
Using the FTSE Euro 300 index as a proxy 1 percent median return for the US market
for top-line returns, we discovered that the over the same three-and-one-half year period.
European boom represented a more wide- This is largely because all European sectors
spread inflation of stock price levels than in did much worse than their US counterparts,
the United States. Similarly, the market’s thereby losing any ground they may have won
decline was harsher and affected more sectors during the bull market (Exhibit 2). And while

A closer look at the bear in Europe | 13


Exhibit 1. European sectors outperformed US Exhibit 2. European sectors underperformed against
counterparts in bull market US counterparts in bear market

Median annualized TRS, percent; Dec 31, 1995–Dec 31, 1999 Median annualized TRS, percent; Dec 31, 1999–June 23, 2003

Sector S&P 500 Europe top 500 Sector S&P 500 Europe top 500

Basic materials 11 26 Basic materials –3 –8

Consumer, noncyclical 15 24 Consumer, noncyclical 6 –1

Consumer, cyclical 9 25 Consumer, cyclical 3 –5

Oil & gas 9 31 Oil & gas 5 –8

Financials 21 29 Financials 7 –8

Industrials 15 24 Industrials 4 –11

Information technology 49 81 Information technology –20 –44

Telecommunications 24 60 Telecommunications –14 –25

Utilities 4 20 Utilities 12 –4

Top 500: 17% Top 500: 21% Top 500: 1% Top 500: –12%
Source: McKinsey analysis Source: McKinsey analysis

the European high-tech sectors also performed same pattern as the UK and US markets.
worse than in the United States, their relative The conclusion we came to, when looking
weight in the market was also much smaller at the economic fundamentals of European
and hence they contributed much less to the countries, was that even during the bull
overall decline. market it was impossible to justify P/E ratios
of 20 or more (Exhibit 3).4 Over the past few
months, as with the US market, the P/Es of
Is the European market fairly
European markets have returned close to their
valued now?
fundamental range, indicating that after a
Using the same valuation model that we period of extreme volatility, current valuations
used to review the US market, we found are broadly in line with economic
that actual P/E ratios in the United Kingdom fundamentals over the past six months.
behaved much the same way as those in the
United States, deviating from a range We won’t forecast near-term market
predicted by market fundamentals only direction, but given that long-term economic
during the oil shocks of the 1970s and the fundamentals have been surprisingly stable
new-economy euphoria of the 1990s.3 Wildly over time, we can estimate that European
different interest rates and inflation levels markets will generate around 6.5 to
across European countries would make it 7.0 percent real returns over the next ten
difficult to assemble a truly European long- years. In Europe, returning to peak market
term perspective on P/E valuation levels, but levels is likely to take a bit longer than in the
at least for the period that we could United States largely because the bull market
reasonably construct a European market rise was stronger in Europe, and the decline
environment—since 1997—it followed the steeper.

14 | McKinsey on Finance Autumn 2003


Exhibit 3. Market fundamentals seldom justify P/E ratios as high as those during the bull market in the UK

25

Actual P/E

20

15

10
Fundamental P/E

5 Range of uncertainty around fundamental P/E

0
1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2002
Source: McKinsey analysis

Why might Europe’s markets have acted as


they did? Among the many possible reasons
Europe’s bull market was more bullish and its
for the differences in the European and US
bear market more bearish, than those in the
bull and bear markets, a few seem most likely.
United States. But the value of Europe’s stock
One could be a pervasive overoptimism among
markets now appears to have returned to long-
Europeans in the late ’90s, looking forward to
term fundamental levels. MoF
the potential benefits of the European mone-
tary unification and the expected additional
growth and productivity from further market
Marc Goedhart (Marc_Goedhart @McKinsey.com) is an
integration. After the bubble burst, over-
associate principal in McKinsey’s Amsterdam office,
optimism may actually have swung in the
where André Annema (Andre_Annema @McKinsey.com)
other direction, resulting in an even deeper
is a consultant; Tim Koller (Tim_Koller @McKinsey.com)
downturn when compared to the US market.
is a principal in McKinsey’s New York office. Copyright
One could also argue that investors expected
© 2003 McKinsey & Company. All rights reserved.
European corporate incumbents to capture
more new-economy benefits than US incum-
bents because venture capital for start-up 1
Timothy M. Koller and Zane D. Williams, “Anatomy of a bear
companies in Europe was not as available as it market,” McKinsey on Finance, Number 6, Winter 2003, pp. 6–9.
was in the United States. Finally, European 2
By 170% in Europe, compared to 140% for the US.
investors may have used the P/E levels of the 3
Marc H. Goedhart, Timothy M. Koller, and Zane D. Williams,
tech driven US market as a reference for “Living with lower market expectations,” McKinsey on Finance,
Number 8, Summer 2003, pp. 7–11.
European valuations without fully realizing 4
Note that these are all forward-looking P/E ratios and that the
how much more modest the role of technology typically reported ratios based on realized earnings were a lot
and telecom was in Europe’s markets. higher.

A closer look at the bear in Europe | 15


Alliances in consumer and packaged goods
The sector lags in collaboration, but some companies are beginning to change
that. It’s a good thing.

John D. Cook, Tammy Halevy, and C. Brent Hastie

H istorically, executives in the


consumer-packaged-goods (CPG) sector
have preferred mergers and acquisitions to
That logic hasn’t been lost on those CPG
companies that are leading a wave of new
alliance activity. The quest for higher
partnerships. In this intensely competitive earnings and the shortage of good M&A
industry, such a strong bias in favor of control targets has led companies such as Nestlé
frequently made sense. Yet faced with pressure and Procter & Gamble (P&G) to make
for earnings growth and a paucity of M&A alliances an important part of their growth
targets in most product categories, some strategy. These companies report good
leading CPG players are beginning to rethink returns on their alliance activity. Our
this predilection. It’s a trend that augurs well analysis of 77 leading consumer-packaged-
for the sector as a whole. goods enterprises1 found that the most
alliance-intensive companies delivered
These days, global corporations routinely tie average total returns to shareholders nearly
up 20 percent or more of their assets in five times higher than companies that did not
alliances, yet as a group CPG companies lag partner. What’s more, the highest-performing
behind. Indeed, the ten largest pharmaceutical companies captured a disproportionate share
companies entered five times the number of of the alliance opportunities and locked in the
alliances between 1998 and 2002 than did the best partners.
ten largest CPG companies. But by staying on
the sidelines, CPG companies have missed
Where the opportunities are
some of the benefits that alliances offer as
alternatives to outright acquisition. They From our perspective, alliances tend to fall
typically avoid the acquisition premium paid into four categories. Some aim to generate
by buyers and the capital gains taxes for innovation and spur commercialization.
sellers. They are a quicker, less risky way to Others are designed to extend products to
bring together complementary assets and skill new channels, consumers, and occasions—
sets (geographies with products, new channels the time and place in which a consumer uses
with products, or different functional skills). a product or service. Still others focus on
And they are also well suited for the kind of international expansion or are designed to cut
top-line growth that so many companies costs or otherwise boost performance
seek—particularly in industries where (Exhibit 1). Most companies pull just one or
consolidation has largely precluded the two of these levers, while the most successful
opportunity for further mergers or practitioners use alliances to pursue a full
acquisitions. range of strategic goals (Exhibit 2).

16 | McKinsey on Finance Autumn 2003


Innovation and commercialization Exhibit 1. CPG companies have used alliances
to pursue four types of strategic goals
In the competition among CPG companies
to win customers, innovative products and Four types of alliances Percentage of alliances1

packaging and development of new categories


New product development,
are essential. Yet most CPG companies are and commercialization
8
sensitive to the fact that the risks (and costs)
of new product R&D are higher than business New channels/consumers, 51
and occasions
as usual. Moreover, successful innovation
often requires pooling capabilities and/or
International expansion 23
assets from previously unrelated product or
functional areas. Many CPG companies can
Cost reduction and 18
benefit from employing alliances across the performance improvement
entire innovation life cycle to tap into basic
research from partners or conducting it jointly 1
Percent of 622 announced deals, identified by category.
Source: McKinsey CPG database
to improve returns on product development
and reduce the risks and costs associated with
taking products to market. technology related to plastic food and trash
bags, wraps, and disposable containers. This
A joint venture that P&G and Clorox unveiled structure permits P&G to reap the equity
last year demonstrates how such collaboration upside without having to invest huge sums to
can work. P&G had developed and performed compete against an entrenched brand and
test marketing on a plastic food wrap product market category leader.
but opted not to commercialize the product in
part because of the high costs of competing CPG companies can also use alliances to
in the category. At the same time, Clorox’s collaborate to develop new categories of
Glad business was generating lower margins products when their skills and capabilities
than a typical Clorox unit, in spite of its aren’t likely to produce successes on a go-it-
strong consumer brand and leading market alone basis. Consider the experience of Pepsi
position, and the company was facing long, in entering the ready-to-drink-coffee category.
capital-intensive lead times for innovation. Instead of going it alone, Pepsi entered into a
joint venture with Starbucks in 1994. At the
Instead of going it alone, these erstwhile outset, each partner contributed a cash
competitors joined forces to commercialize investment, in addition to know-how and
new plastics technology. Rather than simply capabilities in their respective areas of
licensing the technology in exchange for a expertise. Nearly two years later the result
royalty stream, P&G contributed its patent was Frappuccino,® a leading product in the
portfolio applicable to bags and wraps from ready-to-drink-coffee market. By 2002, the
its baby, feminine care, and tissues businesses, joint venture had grown into a $400 million
along with research and development team business with significant market share in
resources, in exchange for a minority stake in grocery, drug, and mass merchandise outlets.
the Glad business. In exchange, Clorox gains The venture has also created value in more
access to all of P&G’s current and future subtle ways. For Pepsi, the venture locked up

Alliances in consumer and packaged goods | 17


Exhibit 2. Companies that pursue more different types of alliances have considerably higher TRS

Average TRS (1998–2002), Number of alliances announced,


Number of types of alliances Number of companies percent 1998–2002

4 12 4 309

3 12 5 139

2 19 –8 96

1 23 –18 78

0 11 –20 0

Total: 77 Total: 622


Source: McKinsey CPG database

a powerful partner in the coffee market. For into a 20-year licensing agreement with
its part, Starbucks dramatically reduced its Coolbrands International to open a chain of
risk exposure by relying on Pepsi’s beverage “Tropicana Smoothies” stores.
know-how and its distribution muscle.
Starbucks also used the experience as a model Alliances can also be used to better penetrate
for subsequent partnerships, including a 50- new consumer segments. In an effort to tap
50 joint venture with Dreyer’s to develop a the growing Hispanic population in the
new line of superpremium coffee ice creams. United States, ConAgra entered into a 50-50
joint venture with Sigma Alimentos, a leading
Mexican frozen food company. The partners
Extending to new channels and
manufacture, market, and distribute frozen
consumers
prepared food in the United States and
CPG companies have successfully used a Canada, in addition to Mexico and Central
variety of alliance types to reach new America. ConAgra brings product
consumers, channels, and occasions, including development and manufacturing expertise as
licensing brands to and from other companies well as its American and Canadian
and partnering to reach new consumer distribution network to the joint venture.
segments and channels. Licensing brands to Sigma brings expertise in formulating
other companies has proved attractive for Mexican food, its Mexican customer base,
many companies including M&M/Mars, and an established distribution network and
which licenses several of its candy brands in a plants. Or consider the alliance between Kraft
partnership with Dreyer’s Grand Ice Cream. and Starbucks to distribute Starbucks Coffee
Another is Tropicana, which recently entered in US groceries. For Kraft, the deal fills a gap

18 | McKinsey on Finance Autumn 2003


in its brand portfolio at the superpremium
price point and generates more than In some emerging markets with
$100 million in incremental annual revenues.
For Starbucks, the alliance has extended its strong potential, CPG companies
reach into more than 18,000 grocery stores might even consider partnering with
without any of the investment required to
establish and manage a distributor network. local players to build local brands
into regional or global brands.
Expanding internationally
Alliances are a natural way for CPG
companies to enter new markets and improve now exceed $1 billion and represent a
performance in places where they may lack 21 percent share of the combined worldwide
scale. Hooking up with a partner with a cereal market.2
complementary brand can also allow a
company to make the most of distribution In some emerging markets with strong
and other in-country assets. potential, CPG companies might even consider
partnering with local players to build local
Using alliances to enter new geographies is not brands into regional or global brands. Coty
a new game, yet some CPG companies have has successfully pursued this strategy in China
been more successful than others. That makes through a 50-50 joint venture with Yue-Sai
it important for CPG companies to consider Kan Cosmetics to build a global Chinese
twists on their traditional approach to market brand of cosmetics. Revenues from the
entry, particularly in emerging markets. One venture exceeded 400 million yuan in 2001,
company that has successfully pursued global making it the third-largest skin care company
expansion is General Mills through its ongoing in China with a reported 95 percent brand
participation in Cereal Partners Worldwide, a awareness. The partnership permits Yue-Sai
profitable 50-50 joint venture with Nestlé to Kan to extend its product lines, increase
manufacture and distribute breakfast cereal R&D, and enhance its manufacturing
outside of the United States. General Mills capabilities. At the same time, the joint
could have entered Europe and other venture gives Coty immediate access to the
geographic markets on its own. But the risks Chinese consumer market and a launching
and costs of establishing a distribution pad for the rest of Asia.
network and manufacturing capabilities in
multiple markets, not to mention the costs of
Reducing costs and improving
learning to compete in each, would have been
performance
much higher. Moreover, by cooperating with
Nestlé, General Mills co-opted a potential In addition to offering top-line revenue growth,
competitor. For its part, Nestlé is able to alliances can also help to reduce costs and
compete in the breakfast cereal market by improve operating efficiency. CPG companies
relying on General Mills’ cereal brands and its might use them to rethink ownership of
global operating infrastructure. Annual sales manufacturing assets, improve process

Alliances in consumer and packaged goods | 19


efficiencies through innovations or changes in leading developer of supply chain solutions to
scale, re-design supplier relationships, or to go license its “Reliability Engineering” process,
beyond outsourcing in non-strategic business now branded as “Power FactoRE,” to help
processes. In many cases, these arrangements companies reduce costs by improving the
go far beyond standard outsourcing efficiency of their manufacturing.
agreements, becoming instead long-term
strategic partnerships. With the global commoditization of back-office
functions, there is a significant opportunity to
Many CPG companies today should be cut costs and free up management time by
asking whether they need to own their outsourcing to others. We have begun to see a
manufacturing operations, or whether they surge in outsourcing of noncore functions and
can increase efficiency, improve the balance expect that these kinds of alliances are part of
sheet, or focus on core activities through a trend that is likely to continue.
cooperative agreements. These partnerships
would free up assets and unleash the creativity
Most consumer companies have yet to tap
of marketing people, who would be less
the full potential of alliances in pursuit of
constrained by “what we know how to make.”
growth. But as the sector’s leaders take
Several companies have recently pursued this
greater and greater advantage of partnering,
path with good results. Pillsbury’s Green
those who cling to a control mind-set risk
Giant unit, for example, sold six of its US-
getting edged out of the most attractive
based manufacturing plants to Seneca Foods
opportunities. MoF
in exchange for a 20-year supply agreement
and partnership. Green Giant retains The authors wish to thank David Ernst and Mark
responsibility for sales, marketing, and McGrath, whose insight and guidance contributed to the
customer service while Seneca assumes development of this article.
responsibility for vegetable processing and
canning operations. As a result, Green Giant John Cook (John_Cook@McKinsey.com) is a director in
reports having increased its operating margins McKinsey’s Chicago office, Tammy Halevy
by 5 percent and reduced its cost of goods (Tammy_Halevy @McKinsey.com) is a consultant in the
sold from 75 percent to 66 percent in four Washington, D.C.office, and Brent Hastie (Brent_Hastie
years. Moreover, it reduced corporate assets @McKinsey.com) is an associate principal in the Atlanta
by more than $700 million and improved time office. Copyright © 2003 McKinsey & Company. All rights
to market of new products by 50 percent. In reserved.
turn, Seneca enjoys improved margins because
it can allocate overhead over its larger 1
Our database of alliances included 622 partnerships announced
guaranteed volume. between 1998 and 2002. To ensure a broad sample of CPG
companies, we included the ten largest (based on 2001
revenues), ten highest performing, and ten lowest performing
CPG companies that enjoy advantages of companies (based on five-year average TRS) in each of the
scale might also consider combining their beverage, food, and cosmetics industries according to the
Compustat database. Because of the overlap between
industry expertise with a partner to develop a
categories, that population included 71 companies, to which we
technology or service solution for operations added the three largest general merchandise and three largest
in consumer product companies. For example, household products companies, for a total of 77.
Procter & Gamble recently teamed up with a 2
According to press reports in November, 2001.

20 | McKinsey on Finance Autumn 2003


AMSTERDAM
ANTWERP
ATHENS
ATLANTA
AUCKLAND
AUSTIN
BANGKOK
BARCELONA
BEIJING
BERLIN
BOGOTA
BOSTON
BRUSSELS
BUDAPEST
BUENOS AIRES
CARACAS
CHARLOTTE
CHICAGO
CLEVELAND
COLOGNE
COPENHAGEN
DALLAS
DELHI
DETROIT
DUBAI
DUBLIN
DÜSSELDORF
FRANKFURT
GENEVA
GOTHENBURG
HAMBURG
HELSINKI
HONG KONG
HOUSTON
ISTANBUL
JAKARTA
JOHANNESBURG
KUALA LUMPUR
LISBON
LONDON
LOS ANGELES
MADRID
MANILA
MELBOURNE
MEXICO CITY
MIAMI
MILAN
MINNEAPOLIS
MONTERREY
MONTRÉAL
MOSCOW
MUMBAI
MUNICH
NEW JERSEY
NEW YORK
OSLO
PACIFIC NORTHWEST
PARIS
PITTSBURGH
PRAGUE
RIO DE JANEIRO
ROME
SAN FRANCISCO
SANTIAGO
SÃO PAULO
SEOUL
SHANGHAI
SILICON VALLEY
SINGAPORE
STAMFORD
STOCKHOLM
STUTTGART
SYDNEY
TAIPEI
TEL AVIV
TOKYO
TORONTO
VERONA
VIENNA
WARSAW
WASHINGTON, DC
ZAGREB
ZURICH
Copyright © 2003 McKinsey & Company

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