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Sot. Sci’.Med. Vol. 38, Nell, pp.

1475-1482, 1994
Copyright 0 Elsevier ScienceLtd
1994
Pergamon Printed-in Great Britain. All rights reserved
0277-9536/94$7.09+ 0.00

RELIGION AND HEALTH: IS THERE AN ASSOCIATION,


IS IT VALID, AND IS IT CAUSAL?
JEFFREYS. LEVIN
Department of Family and Community Medicine, Eastern Virginia Medical School, P.O. Box 1980,
Norfolk, VA 23501, U.S.A.

Abstract-This paper reviews evidence for a relationship between religion and health. Hundreds of
epidemiologic studies have reported statistically significant, salutary effects of religious indicators on
morbidity and mortality. However, this does not necessarily imply that religion influences health; three
questions must first be answered: “Is there an association?‘, “Is it valid?‘, and, “Is it causal?” Evidence
presented in this paper suggests that the answers to these respective questions are “yes,” “probably,” and
“maybe.” In answering these questions, several issues are addressed. First, key reviews and studies are
discussed. Second, the problems of chance, bias, and confounding are examined. Third, alternative
explanations for observed associations between religion and health are described. Fourth, these issues are
carefully explored in the context of Hill’s well-known features of a causal relationship. Despite the
inconclusiveness of empirical evidence and the controversial and epistemologically complex nature of
religion as an epidemiologic construct, this area is worthy of additional investigation. Further research
can help to clarify these provocative findings.

Key wor&--causation, epidemiology, health, religion

INTRODUCTION These sentiments, justified or not, are certainly


understandable. As was noted several years ago,
Over the past several years, comprehensive reviews “Western biomedicine, of which epidemiology is
of epidemiologic and medical studies of the a part, is still wrestling with a body-mind dualism
health effects of religiosity have begun to appear. that defies consensus; thus, for most epidemiologists
In the first of these reviews [1], the authors were any resolution of a body-mind-spirit pluralism is
surprised to uncover over 250 published empirical simply beyond consideration” [5, pp. 590-5911. As a
studies dating back to the 19th Century. Why did it result, the idea that one’s religious background or
take so long for this body of findings to be discov- experiences might in some way influence one’s health
ered? has remained “part of the folklore of discussion on
First, these hundreds of studies do not truly the fringes of the research community” [1, p. lo].
represent a ‘literature,’ in the usual sense of Apparently, several of the seminal figures of mod-
the term. Few of these studies set out explicitly to ern medicine would have hoped otherwise [6]. For
study religion. Rather, in studies of various health example, Sir William Osler [7], writing in the British
outcomes and causes of morbidity or mortality Medical Journal in 1910, spoke of “the faith that
(e.g. cardiovascular disease, uterine cancer, colitis, heals,” sentiments echoed 65 years later by Jerome
symptomatology), one or more religious indicators Frank [8]. According to Osler, this faith can be in
made a serendipitous ‘guest appearance’ alongside the efficacy of drugs, in the capabilities of the
of scores of other psychosocial measures [2]. Find- physician, or in the workings of God, but, regard-
ings bearing on religion-health linkages were then less, “faith is the most precious commodity without
buried in tables, often without comment in either which we should be very badly off” [8, p. 1271. Over
text or abstract, and usually without reference 100 years ago, John Shaw Billings [9] spoke of
to similar findings from other studies. Indeed, religious affiliation as a potential factor in the study
most of these researchers may have been unaware of of differential rates of morbidity and mortality
these studies’ existence [3]. This has worked against among social groups, a fact soon thereafter demon-
the collation of such findings, such as in review strated by the French sociologist Emile Durkheim
articles. [lo]. Durkheim’s famous study systematically
Second, salient idealogical and institutional bar- identified differences in suicide rates among Protes-
riers within academic medicine have discouraged tants, Catholics, and Jews, which he attributed to a
the dissemination of positive findings. These variety of extrinsic (e.g. social alienation) and intrin-
barriers include beliefs or attitudes such as, “Reli- sic (e.g. self-discipline, free-thinking) causes [IO].
gion is unimportant,” “Religion is not real,” “This Other key figures, from Maimonides and Wesley to
is bad science,” “This goes against my training,” contemporaries such as James, Freud, Jung,
and, “This will only encourage the clergy” [4]. Maslow, Allport, even Bertrand Russell and Albert
1476 JEFFREYS. LEVIN

Ellis, have all spoken of religion as a force which, IS THERE AN ASSOCIATION?


for better or worse, influences human health and
well-being and deserves careful scutiny [ll]. James In their initial review of published findings, Levin
[12], for one, used a medical metaphor to distinguish and Schiller [1] found that, generally speaking, reli-
between “healthy-minded” and “sick” religious ex- giosity, however operationalized, seems to exert a
pression, and he attributed beneficial and dire effects salutary effect on health, regardless of the outcomes
of these respective types of religion to their emotional or diseases or types of rates which are examined.
sequelae. While there were exceptions and while many of these
More recently, notable reviews and orginal studies had not been designed to focus specifically on
studies have appeared, and in the most mainstream religion, this summary finding emerged in one of two
of scientific journals. In his classic review of psycho- forms.
social factors in the etiology of coronary disease First, when comparing religious groups, there ap-
published in the New England Journal of Medicine, pears to be relatively lower risk in more behaviorally
Jenkins [ 131 reviewed several epidemiologic studies strict religions or denominations (e.g. Mormons,
of religious differences in morbidity. Comstock and Seventh-day Adventists, Orthodox Jews, clergy of all
associates at Johns Hopkins have published nearly faiths). This is true for cardiovascular disease, hyper-
a dozen epidemiologic papers which present tension, stroke, uterine and cervical cancer, numerous
positive findings linking measures of religiosity to other cancer sites, colitis and enteritis, general health
various health outcomes, including a much-cited status indicators, and overall and cause-specific mor-
study in the Journal of Chronic Diseases which re- tality [l]. A subsequent review [17], which focused
vealed that infrequent church attendance is a specifically on studies of cancer in Mormons, Adven-
risk factor for several causes of mortality [14]. Byrd tists, Amish and Hutterites, came to the same general
[15] published results of a double-blind, randomized, conclusion. A third review [18], which gave careful
controlled clinical trial of the effects of prayer on scrutiny to that subset of studies dealing with religion
coronary care outcomes in Southern Medical Journal. and mortality rates, also concurred. Some evidence
This study was so provocative that it led to an also exists that even within such behaviorally strict
editoral. Other editorals or special essays discussing religious groups there may be a health-related gradi-
this subject have appeared in The Journal of ent on the basis of religious involvement. For
Family Practice, Journal of the National Medical example, a study of Mormons [19] found that the
Association, Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, age-standardized incidence of lung cancer was con-
The Johns Hopkins Medical Journal, and espec- siderably lower in women with strong adherence to
ially Social Science & Medicine, as well as in the church doctrines relative to religiously inactive
official journals of numerous state and foreign women. Similar results were found for Mormon men
medical societies. Further, the hundreds of empirical with respect to lay priesthood level and several cancer
studies which have presented data on religion have sites [20]. This study found that the higher the level
appeared in most of the leading medical journals in of priesthood attained, the lower the incidence of
the world [l], including JAMA, Lancet, American cancerdespite the fact that priesthood level rises
Journal of Public Health, and American Journal of with age, a known correlate of increased cancer
Epidemiology. incidence.
In light of this seeming goldmine of information, Second, when ordinal-level indicators of religious
only recently unearthed and collated and not fully behaviors or attitudes or experiences are used in
synthesized or critiqued, this paper intends to criti- analyses, there is a trend toward better health and less
cally assess the possibility of a religion-health re- morbidity and mortality, across the board, in the
lationship as suggested by the accumulation of over presence of higher levels of religiosity. For example,
a century of empirical data. This paper will make no in a review of 27 studies of the effects of the most
judgements as to the existence of spiritual or divine popularly used religious indicator, frequency of reli-
or supernatural realities; in fact, such speculation has gious attendance, 22 of the studies revealed a positive
no bearing on this discussion. The task is much and statistically significant relationship with health
simpler: confronted with hundreds of studies whose (51. Outcomes included hypertension, trichomoniasis,
findings are mostly in accord, there is a need to cervical cancer incidence, tuberculosis case rate,
systematically examine the evidence that something atherosclerotic and degenerative heart disease, neo-
known popularly as religiosity or religiousness, how- natal mortality, subjective health, overall mortality,
ever conceived, is related to health. This can be done and many other disease entities and conditions. These
in much the same way that any other newly discov- findings were so striking that the authors of the
ered risk factor or protective factor is examined in the review proposed the development of an “epidemiol-
absence of either an established etiology or a theoreti- ogy of religion” [5].
cally based expectation. In epidemiologic fashion More specialized reviews, focusing on studies of
[la], this task will consist of answering three ques- specific diseases, have supported both of these general
tions: (a) “Is there an association?“, and if so, (b) “Is findings. For example, a review of studies of religious
it valid?“, and if so, (c) “Is it causal?” effects on hypertension [21] found relatively lower
Religion and health 1477

rates among groups such as observant Sephardic At the level of individual studies, these results can
Jews, Benedictine Monks, Adventists, Mormons, probably be trusted, for the most part; at a literature-
Baptist clergy, and Zen Buddhist priests. It also wide level, it would require thousands of unpublished
found that the greater the level of religiosity, the null findings to produce anything like a ‘file-drawer’
lower the blood pressure-regardless of how religios- problem.
ity was operationalized (e.g. religious attendance, This diversity in studies suggests that bias may also
church membership, subjective self-ratings of religios- be safely ruled out. A significant, positive religious
ity, father’s years of Yeshiva). Several reviews have effect on health was found in prospective and retro-
documented similar findings in relation to other spective studies; in cohort and case-control studies; in
health problems, notably affective states related to studies of children and of older adults; in studies of
the psychological well-being of the elderly [22-241. U.S. White and Black Protestants, European
In summary, the question, “Is there an associ- Catholics, Parsis from India, Zulus from South
ation?‘, can be answered with a guarded “yes.” This Africa, Japanese Buddhists and Israeli Jews, among
implies no endorsement of an as yet unidentified others; in studies from the 1930s and studies from the
explanatory mechanism. Nor does this even imply 1980s; and in studies of self-limiting acute conditions,
that this summary finding is methologically valid (i.e. of fatal chronic diseases and of illnesses with lengthy,
not due solely to chance, bias, and/or confounding). brief, or absent latency periods between exposure and
However, the presence of hundreds of published diagnosis and mortality.
studies which, collectively, have examined scores of
Confounding
diseases and types of rates; have used a variety of
religious indicators; have occured in settings through- Confounding is more difficult to assess. This in-
out the world and throughout the past century, to the volves determing whether or not the observed associ-
present day; have included subjects of both genders ation between religion and health is spurious due to
and of nearly all racial and ethnic groups, from its being explained by one or more unaccounted for
infants to the elderly; and consistently have pointed variables which do not represent functions or charac-
to a salutary effect of religion provides substantial teristics of religion. ‘Explanation’ is a loaded term,
empirical evidence for an association between religion and raises interesting epistemological issues. While
and health. the influence of psychosocial factors, generally, can
be understood in terms of biological processes or
IS IT VALID?
mechanisms [25], this does not imply that psychoso-
cial variables are not meaningfully related to health.
Once an association is identified, it must then be For example, while there is greater mortality among
determined whether or not it is valid-that is, lonely widows and single men, it is hardly sufficient
whether the association is real as opposed to merely to say that this is fully explained by psychoneuro-
an artifact due to chance or bias or confounding. immunologic factors, even though the process of
Only if these can be confidently ruled out is validity mortality is reducible to certain physiological and
proposed for an epidemiologic association [ 161. biochemical events. Granting explanatory primacy to
Whether or not a valid association is ‘causal’ is a one particular level of the human system (cultural,
separate matter altogether. social, psychological, organ systems, cellular, molecu-
It is difficult to accurately assess the validity of the lar, etc.) is arbitrary; human biology is itself ‘ex-
apparent association between religion and health. plained’ by the activity of molecules and, ultimately,
Hundreds of studies are involved and there is great to paraphase Democritus, everything is just atoms
diversity in their designs, sampling frames, settings and empty space. Yet no one would suggest that
and populations, as well as in health indicators and research in subatomic physics will yield the best
religious measures. Further, as epidemiologists are approach for improving the life expectancy of lonely
aware, null results from one good study generally or bereaved people.
outweigh positive findings from 100 poorly designed In order to more fully understand these anomalous
and executed studies. findings linking measures of religion and health, a list
of alternative hypotheses or explanations was devel-
Chance and bias oped [21]. They seek to account for observed associ-
In ruling out chance and bias, however, this diver- ations which are presumed to be due to the effects of
sity and the sheer volume of studies may actually characteristics or functions of religion, and not to
work to the advantage of validity. Since so many chance or bias. These hypotheses are meant to ex-
hundreds of studies have been published, and these plain the effects of religion and health in the sense of
overwhelmingly report statistically significant, posi- elucidating its pathways and mechanisms of influ-
tive religion-health associations or health differences ence, not in the sense of ‘explaining it away.’ Reli-
across religious groups, and since most of these gion, as a social institution, and religiosity, as a
studies were epidemiologic censuses of entire popu- component or dimension of our psychological make-
lations or surveys of randomized samples, it is un- up and interpersonal life, are real phenomena-or
likely that this summary result is due solely to chance. at least as real as any other psychosocial construct. It
1478 JEFFREYS. LEVIN

would be reductionistic to define as a religious effect thus indirectly, to subjective perceptions of health.
only something of a mystical or supernatural nature Certain religious beliefs or theological worldviews
which, depending upon one’s scientific perspective, is even seem to converge with respective health beliefs
either nonexistent or must logically be explained or personality styles. For example, descriptions of the
away by a natural mechanism. The following alterna- well-known Protestant work ethic are quite similar to
tive hypotheses are summarized in greater detail descriptions of the Type A behavioral pattern, and
elsewhere [4, 211. the distinction between the psychological constructs
Behavior. Certain health-promotive life styles or of internal and external locus of control appears to
health-related behaviors are sanctioned by particular mirror the distinction between free-will and more
religions or religious denominaticns. These proscrip- Calvinistic theological perspectives. Both Type A and
tions and prescriptions govern alcohol, tobacco, locus of control have been found in numerous studies
drugs, diet, exercise, and general hygiene [26], and to modify risk for certain health outcomes.
help to explain why morbidity and mortality rates are Psychodynamics of religious rites. The public and
lower among certain religious groups (e.g. Mormons, private cultic rituals of religious worship and spiritual
Seventh-day Adventists). The holding of particular practice may serve to ease anxiety and dread, defeat
religious beliefs or practice of particular religious loneliness, and establish a sense of being loved and
behaviors thus directly leads to adoption of health- appreciated. These psychological outcomes of reli-
promoting behaviors. Indeed, the congruence of gious practice, as well as the actual physiological
many religious and health-related behaviors [26] markers of emotional arousal during worship and
suggests that the conceptual compartmentalization of prayer, are believed to be associated with healing and
certain behaviors as ‘religious’ or ‘health-related’ may health and well-being. These salutary effects have
be artificial. been characterized as psychic beta-blockers or
Heredity. Morbidity and mortality might be higher emotional placebos [21].
(or lower) in a particular religious group due to Psychodynamics offaith. The mere belief that reli-
genetic risk (or protection) for certain diseases. For gion or God is health-enhancing may be enough to
example, Tay Sachs disease seems to be most incident produce salutary effects. That is, significant associ-
among Ashkenazi Jews; hypercholesterolemia dispro- ation between measures of religion and health, es-
portionately strikes Dutch Reformed Afrikaaners; pecially in prospective studies, may, in part, present
and sickle cell anemia is likely to be more prevalent evidence akin to a placebo effect. Various scriptures
among members of the National Baptist Convention promise health and healing to the faithful, and the
of America (which is predominantly Black) than physiological effects of expectant beliefs such as this
among members of the Southern Baptist Convention are now being documented by mind-body researchers
(which is predominantly White). While these findings [29, 301.
are distinctly religious in origin in that they are Multifactorial explanation. It is possible that a
attributable to genetic characteristics of religious combination of some or all of the above explanations
group membership, they are clearly not due to, say, best explains statistically significant associations be-
religious differences in theology or polity or worship tween religion and health. For example, many studies
practices. In such studies, reported religious differ- show that Seventh-day Adventists are considerably
ences are best understood in terms of those healthier than the members of other religious groups,
geographic, biological, ethnic, and cultural character- especially with regard to hypertension. Taking into
istics of people which happen to vary by religious account the previous explanations, in order, this
group membership. religious effect may be attributable to the following
Psychosociaf effects. Frequent religious involve- confluence of factors:
ment and greater intensity of religious experience . the avoidance of meat (leading to low levels of dietary
may be associated with better health due to religion’s fat and cholesterol); the discouragement of intermarriage
promotion of social support, a sense of belonging, (supporting a trend toward selecting out of the population
and convivial fellowship. A long tradition of research those persons predisposed to hypertension); an emphasis on
family solidarity and religious fellowship (buffering the
in social epidemiology has demonstrated the salutary
adverse physiological consequences of life stress and
nature of these psychosocial influences [27] which anxiety); a theological emphasis on self-responsibility and
serve to buffer the adverse effects of stress and anger, positive health-directedness (encouraging self-care and ben-
perhaps via psychoneuroimmunologic pathways. eficial health-related behavior); a sense of trust and peace
Religious activity or commitment thus may trigger a engendered both through expectations of God’s directly
transforming the world and through ritual experience of
multifactorial sequence of biological processes [28] transformation through divine power (preventing or amelio-
leading to better health. rating state anxiety, hassles and uplifts, anger, etc.); and a
Psychodynamics of belief systems. The salient be- sense of purpose and well-being because the worldview and
liefs of particular religious traditions may engender piety of Adventists is believed to be promotive of health
(reinforced by the relative lack of hypertension-related
peacefulness, self-confidence, and a sense of purpose;
morbidity among co-religionists) [21, p. 751.
alternatively, they may produce guilt, self-doubt,
shame, and low self-esteem. Such feelings, in turn, Superempirical force. While the previous expla-
have been shown to be related to health beliefs and, nations engage social, psychological, and biological
Religion and health 1479

phenomena or processes generally accepted by scien- universal satisfaction. There appear to be two schools
tists, this explanation suggests that religious practice of thought, and in certain ways they are diametrically
or belief or worship in some way taps or accesses a opposed.
pantheistic, discarnate force or power. The term Falsificationists, in the tradition of Popper, do not
“superempirical” is used to distinguish it from the accept that causal inference is logically possible;
supernatural, which by definition cannot be measured hypotheses can be refuted but never definitively
by scientists since it is outside of nature. Superempir- proven [371. Verificationists, in the tradition of Hill,
ical is used to denote those phenomena which, ulti- seek to build a case of supporting evidence on the
mately, may not be supernatural at all, but which are basis of a study or studies which report an association
currently subject to controversy or mystery. Such a possessing certain characteristics or qualities that one
force or power goes by various names (prana, chi, would expect to find in cause-and-effect relationships
orgone, life force, etc.) and its operation is central to [38]. Hill [39] proposed a list of nine such qualities,
health-related claims made by proponents of New often wrongly referred to as criteria, but actually
Age healing [31] or other unconventional forms of different bases or viewpoints for considering cau-
medicine which postulate the existence of nadis (or sation. According to Hill, “None of my nine view-
acupuncture meridians) and chukrus (or etheric en- points can bring indisputable evidence for or against
ergy centers), as well as the efficacy of pranuyumu (or the cause-and-effect hypothesis and none can be
yogic breathing exercises), Reiki healing, and various required as a sine qua non” [39, p. 2991. The practical
types of “vibrational medicine” [32]. These types of application of either of these two approaches to
practices [33] may not be as principally health-related causality is challenging, but required, because the
as they might appear. They are often embedded interplay of modern chronic diseases and their many
within a religious context, and thus the practice of a biopsychosocial precursors point to a multifactorial
particular holistic technique seeking to balance or web of causation, and the application of older, more
control this superempirical force may be conceived of deterministic approaches to causality such as Koch’s
as part of a spiritual quest (see Ref. [34]). Some postulates is thus not entirely helpful.
scientists [35] claim recent success in measuring this
force, so perhaps in the near future it will no longer Causal evidence
be considered superempirical but empirical-a natu- Keeping in mind the falsificationist caveat that
ral force or energy tapped or triggered by religious causation cannot be completely established, Hill’s
pursuits. causal characteristics will be used as rough guidelines
In summary, the question, “Is it valid?‘, can be to assess the available evidence for a cause-and-effect
answered with a “probably.” That is to say, accord- relationship between religion and health. Hill’s nine
ing to current evidence and the nature of existing causal features, familiar to epidemiologists, include
data, it appears that the observed association between strength, consistency, specificity, temporality, bio-
religious and health indicators is not solely due to logical gradient, plausibility, coherence, experiment,
chance or to biased studies. Further, the possibility of and analogy.
an effect of religion on health seems to make sense in Strengrh. There is no single meta-analytic review
light of the known health-relatedness of several available for all of the hundreds of published studies
characteristics and functions of religion. However, a in this area. Furthermore, too few epidemiologic
disappointing aspect of validity is that one can rarely studies have been designed to focus explicitly on the
be certain on the basis of observational research; effect of religion for this overview to reliably gauge its
some as yet undiscovered construct or mechanism, magnitude. However, moderate to strong associ-
neither a characteristic nor function of religion, may ations have been found in several studies. For
fully account for the positive associations revealed in example, Comstock and Partridge [14] examined the
the studies in this literature. Thus, confounding is an relative risk of infrequent church attendance for
unlikely but still real possibility. Because hardly any cause-specific mortality and found significant risk
of these studies are based on experimental designs, ratios as high as 3.9 for certain diseases. King and
but are instead observational studies, this cannot be Locke [40], in a series of studies comparing the health
ruled out. of clergy and lay people, found significant standard-
ized mortality ratios for clergy as low as 9 for certain
IS IT CAUSAL? causes of death. Levin and associates [41] found that
particular dimensions of religious involvement ex-
To summarize, research has established a religion- erted significant standardized regression effects on a
health association, and it is probably, although not composite health status measure as high as 0.419.
definitely, valid. Is it casual? That is, do religious Consistency. According to Hill, consistency ad-
experiences or the practice of religion lead to or dresses whether an association has “been repeatedly
‘cause’ salutary outcomes? Since the concept of cau- observed by different persons, in different places,
sation as used in epidemiology is controversial and circumstances and times” [39, p. 2961. On this point,
there is no true consensus [36], it is possible that this there can be no argument. As noted earlier, a positive
question cannot be answered, or at least answered to association between religion and health has been
1480 JEFFREYS. LEVIN

observed in hundreds of studies of various designs, choneuroimmunology. While an explanation based


conducted by scores of researchers in different on an unproven ‘superempirical’ force was broached,
countries, at different times throughout this century, this was done more for the sake of completeness; an
using a multiplicity of independent and dependent understanding of religion-health associations does
variables, and including subjects exhibiting great not hang on this hypothesis.
diversity by race, ethnicity, gender, age, social class, Coherence. According to Hill, a causal interpret-
nationality, religious affiliation, and disease status. ation of an association “should not seriously conflict
SpeciJicity. This refers to whether or not an ex- with the generally known facts of the natural history
posure or independent variable (e.g. religion) has and biology of the disease” [39, p. 2981. Because of
effects specific to just one disease, and whether rates the multiplicity of diseases and health outcomes for
of this disease vary only by that exposure. Clearly, which a significant religious factor has been ident-
this is not the case for religion and health. The ified, it is barely possible to assess this feature as a
literature reveals significant religious effects on scores causal criterion for this literature. Nevertheless, per-
of indicators of both morbidity and mortality. There- haps coherence is partly supported by research which
fore, the religion-health association does not exhibit suggests that elements of the proposed explanations
specificity. According to Hill, “We must not, how- (e.g. health behaviors, social support, health beliefs,
ever, over-emphasize the importance of [this] charac- emotional arousal) are associated with many of the
teristic” [39, p. 2971. In dealing with chronic diseases, disease outcomes examined in this literature in terms
multiple causation is common (e.g. for heart disease), of risk, etiology, pathogenesis, and prognosis.
and certain causal factors (e.g. tobacco smoking) are Experiment. The Byrd [15] study offers striking
common to multiple disease outcomes. experimental evidence of a religiously oriented effect
Temporality. Most of the studies reporting signifi- on health. However, the nature of the exposure
cant associations between religion and health are variable he studied (distant prayer) is substantively
retrospective or cross-sectional in design. Fewer are quite different from the other religious variables
prospective, and fewer still are panel studies. The considered in this literature, namely public and pri-
provocative Byrd [ 151study provides rare experimen- vate religious behaviors, attitudes, and affiliations.
tal evidence. Therefore, it has not been conclusively For these measures, no experimental evidence exists.
demonstrated that cause (religion) precedes effect Analogy. A causal relationship between religion
(health). For example, until recently, most studies and health is supported by other research which
reporting positive associations between religious at- shows that psychosocial constructs in general vari-
tendance and functional health (i.e. lack of disability) ously increase or decrease risk for many of the
in the elderly had been based on cross- diseases examined throughout the religion and health
sectional surveys. Thus, some believed, it could be literature. For example, Type A behavior is believed
that increased disability leads to declines in religious to be related to heart disease (or at least it used to be),
attendance, rather than higher attendance leading to so why not religion? Both are psychosocial variables.
better health. If so, then frequency of attendance in According to Hill, this reasoning by analogy provides
disabled elders, rather than being a religious indi- the weakest evidence for causation.
cator, may be a defacto proxy measure of functional In summary, the question, “Is it causal?‘, can be
health; therefore, correlations between attendance answered with a “maybe.” Notwithstanding the fal-
and disability are really correlations between disabil- sificationist assertion that the answer, by definition,
ity and disability, and positive associations are thus cannot ever be yes, examining the evidence in light of
spurious. In recent years, however, a series of multi- Hill’s guidelines is inconclusive, but promising. Judg-
wave studies in older populations (see Ref. [5]) has ing this literature in terms of consistency, plausibility,
begun to disentangle these effects and provide better and analogy, the answer is yes. In terms of coherence,
evidence of temporality. the answer is probably yes, but one cannot be certain.
Biological gradient. This refers to the existence of In terms of temporality and biological gradient, there
a dose-response curve. The Mormon studies dis- is insufficient evidence, but recent gerontological find-
cussed earlier [19,20] suggest such a gradient, but no ings may change this to a yes. In terms of strength
one has yet examined all of the existing literature with and experiment, there is insufficient evidence. Finally,
this in mind. A careful meta-analysis was conducted specificity does not seem to be applicable.
several years ago of a subset of this literature dealing
with older adults [ZO]. However, it is uncertain CONCLUSION
whether a dose-response relationship can be directly
inferred from these analyses. In sum, hundreds of published empirical studies
Plausibility. The alternative explanations described have reported findings bearing on a possible relation-
earlier demonstrate that the idea of a religious factor ship between religion and health. On the basis of the
in health is biologically plausible. That is, it is critique presented here, there does appear to be an
consonant with current knowledge in human physi- association, this association is probably but not
ology and health, especially with findings from definitely valid, and there is only mixed evidence at
behavioral medicine, social epidemiology, and psy- the present time that this relationship is ‘causal.’
Religion and health 1481

A fourth question can now be posed: “Is this area 5. Levin J. S. and Vanderpool H. Y. Is frequent religious
attendance really conducive to better health?: Toward
worthy of further scientific inquiry?’ This answer to
an epidemiology of religion. Sot. Sci. Med. 24,589-600,
this question is a confident “yes.” However, one 1989.
reservation should be noted. It is important that 6. Levin J. S. and Vanderpool H. Y. Religious factors in
investigation into these issues be conducted with care physical health and the prevention of illness. In Religion
and with emphasis on the limitations of findings. Too and Prevention in Mental Health: Research, Vision, and
Action (Edited by Pargament K. I., Maton K. I. and
often, partisans have trumpeted particular findings as Hess R. E.), pp. 83-103. The Haworth Press, New York,
‘proof’ that religious practice causes better health. 1992.
This does a disservice to scientists and physicians 7. Osler W. The faith that heals. Er. Med. J. 18,
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