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Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
FINAL REPORT
March 2011
Prepared for:
The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
Prepared by:
Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation (JOGMEC)
Mitsui Mining and Smelting Co., Ltd.
MESCO, Inc.
Mitsui Mineral Development Engineering Co., Ltd.
Preface
This report is a compilation of the results of the “Study on Private-Initiative Infrastructure Projects”
that was commissioned by the Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation (JOGMEC) as a
fiscal 2010 project to Mitsui Mining and Smelting Co., Ltd. (MMS), MESCO, Inc. and Mitsui
Mineral Development Engineering Co., Ltd. (MINDECO).
The present “Feasibility Study on Small-Scale Hydropower Plants in the Huanazala Mine Area in
the Republic of Peru” has focused on examining the feasibility of undertaking several projects
associated with proceeding with the comprehensive and effective development and operations of
mines and deposits, such as the Huanzala and Pallca mines and the Atalaya deposit, in Ancash
department in Peru. Special emphasis is placed on resolving particular issues with enhancing
electric power by building new dedicated hydropower plants at a total cost of about 1.1 billion
Japanese yen.
It is our wish that this report will help to bring the above projects to fruition, and will serve as a
valuable reference for interested persons in Japan.
March 2011
Mitsui Mining and Smelting Co., Ltd.
MESCO, Inc.
Mitsui Mineral Development Engineering Co., Ltd.
Location Map of the Study Area
Bird’s Eye View of the Torres River with Watershed Areas
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3. Contents of the proposed project ··········································································· 69
4. Conceptual design and specifications of equipment used ········································ 71
5. Issues associated with the utilization of proposed technologies and
systems and measures to resolve them ······································································ 75
Chapter 4 Evaluation of Environmental and Social Impacts
(1) Effect of Environmental Improvements Associated with the Present Project ·············· 77
1. Analysis of current conditions – Reducing CO2 emissions through the use of a new
private hydropower facility ·················································································· 77
2. Future outlook – if the project is not implement ··················································· 77
(2) Environmental and social effects of project implementation ····································· 78
1. Shifting out environmental and social impacts and associated results ······················ 78
2. Comparison between the proposed project and other options that may have lesser
Environmental / social impacts ·············································································· 80
3. Results of collecting information from consultations with implementing organizations,
and from individuals and groups who are knowledgeable about environmental and social
conditions in the study area························································································ 80
(3) Overview of Laws and Regulations Related to Environmental and Social Considerations
in the Counterpart Country ························································································ 81
1. Overview of relevant laws and regulations ···························································· 81
2. Procedures for applying for an EIA ······································································· 83
3. EIA Procedures as they pertain to the present project ············································· 85
4. Steps required for clearing legal hurdles ································································ 86
(4) Matters Which Must Be Handled by the Counterpart Country (Executive and
Related Organizations) in Order to Undertake the Project ······································ 86
Chapter 5 Financial and Economic Evaluation
(1) Calculating the Costs of the Project ········································································· 89
(2) Results of Preliminary Financial and Economic Analyses ········································ 91
1. Profit-and-Loss statement for each year ··································································· 91
2. Cash Flow from the perspective of companies undertaking the projects ·················· 94
3. Cash Flow from the perspectives of capital providers and financiers ······················· 97
4. Rate of investment return and benefits ································································· 100
Chapter 6 Planned Project Schedule
(1) Schedule for Implementing the Project ·································································· 105
Chapter 7 Organizations Implementing
(1) Relevant Executive Organizations ········································································· 107
1. MEM: Ministry of Energy and Mines ·································································· 107
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2. MINAM: Ministry of Environment ····································································· 109
3. MINAG: Ministry of Agriculture ········································································ 109
Chapter 8 Technical Advantages of Japanese Company
(1) Expected Type of Participation by Japanese Companies ········································· 111
(2) Advantages of Japanese Companies undertaking the Projects ································· 111
(3) Measures Required to Help Japanese Companies Receive Orders for Work ············· 111
Chapter 9 Financial Outlook
(1) Financing Sources and Investigation of Plan for Procuring Capital ························· 113
(2) Possibilities for Procuring Capital ········································································· 113
(3) Cash Flow Analysis ······························································································ 113
Chapter 10 Action Plan and Issues
(1) Progress Made in Bringing Projects to Fruition ······················································ 115
(2) State of Progress Being Made by Relevant Agencies and Executive
Organizations in Implementing the Project ····························································· 115
(3) Financial and Legal Frameworks, etc., in the Counterpart Country ························· 115
(4) Additional Detailed Analyses ················································································ 115
References
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List of figures and tables
Figures
Fig. 1-2-1 Trends in mine production of copper, zinc and gold ················································· 5
Fig. 1-2-2 Trends in volume of concentrates exported from Peru to Japan ································ 6
Fig. 1-3-1 Location of the study area ······················································································ 8
Fig. 1-3-2 Regional map from Lima to Huanzala ·································································· 11
Fig. 2-2-1 Structure of the survey team ················································································· 17
Fig. 3-1-1 Proportion of Japan’s imported zinc concentrate that is produced at Huanzala ········ 19
Fig. 3-1-2 Electric power demand and power source structure at the Huanzala Mine ·············· 21
Fig. 3-1-3 Future power demand and power supply structure ················································· 22
Fig. 3-1-4 Monthly power generation (outlook) for proposed site 4 and 5 and comparison
with the Huanzala Mine’s power purchases in 2010 ·············································· 23
Fig. 3-1-5 Location of proposed sites ···················································································· 25
Fig. 3-3-1 Flow of the process for deciding on the contents of a project ································· 28
Fig. 3-3-2 Trends and outlook for production and electric power consumption at the 3 mines ····· 29
Fig. 3-3-3 Power supply structure trends and future outlooks ················································· 30
Fig. 3-3-4 Torres River system and location of the Vizcara River ··········································· 34
Fig. 3-3-5 Torres River system and locations of alternative sites ············································ 35
Fig. 3-3-6 Torres River system and topography ····································································· 36
Fig. 3-3-7 Flow path profile of the Torres River and alternative hydropower sites ··················· 37
Fig. 3-3-8 Histogram of elevation classes in the Torres River catchment ································ 38
Fig. 3-3-9 Distribution of elevation and areal cumulative frequency
in the Torres River catchment··················································································· 38
Fig. 3-3-10 Catchment area of each alternative sites ······························································ 39
Fig. 3-3-11 Actual measured and calculated flow volumes at the intake of Alternative site 4 ··· 40
Fig. 3-3-12 Existing points for measuring precipitation and stream flow volume ···················· 41
Fig. 3-3-13 Relationship between precipitation and elevation in the Torres River catchment ······· 42
Fig. 3-3-14 Isohyets in the Torres River catchment ································································ 43
Fig. 3-3-15 Changes in average monthly precipitation at the Huanzala Meteorological Station ··· 44
Fig. 3-3-16 Average monthly precipitation at the Huanzala Meteorological Station for the
7-year period 2004-2010 ·························································································· 44
Fig. 3-3-17 Modeled geological profile along the Torres River ·············································· 47
Fig. 3-3-18 Geology of the study area ··················································································· 48
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Fig. 3-3-19 Existing information about environmental / social impact items near the Study Area 53
Fig. 3-3-20 Flow state curve for the intake point of Alternative 1··············································· 59
Fig. 3-3-21 Flow state curve for the intake point of Alternative 2 & 3 ···································· 60
Fig. 3-3-22 Flow state curve for the intake point of Alternative 4 ··········································· 60
Fig. 3-3-23 Flow state curve for the intake point of Alternative 5 ··········································· 61
Fig. 3-3-24 Relation between maximum water use volume and construction costs ····················· 65
Fig. 3-4-1 Proposed project sites ·························································································· 70
Fig. 3-4-2 Layout of the hydroelectric power station ····························································· 71
Fig. 3-4-3 Conceptual design of facilities for site 4 ································································ 73
Fig. 3-4-4 Single- line connection ························································································· 75
Fig. 4-3-1 Flowchart for application procedures for power generation projects ······················· 82
Fig. 4-3-2 Flowchart of EIA application procedures as stipulated under Law No. 27746 ········· 84
Fig. 4-3-3 Flowchart for EIA application procedures in a power generation projects ··············· 85
Fig. 7-1-1 Organizational chart of the Ministry of Energy and Mines ··································· 107
Fig. 7-1-2 Organizational chart of the Ministry of Agriculture ············································· 108
Tables
Table 1-1-1 Basic economic indicators ··················································································· 1
Table 1-1-2 Trade revenues ···································································································· 2
Table 1-1-3 Foreign direct investment ···················································································· 2
Table 1-1-4 GDP by sector ····································································································· 3
Table 1-1-5 Central government budget ·················································································· 3
Table 1-2-1 World ranking of Peru’s mine production ····························································· 4
Table 1-2-2 Peru’s reserves in 2009 ························································································ 4
Table 1-2-3 Breakdown of export prices of minerals ······························································· 5
Table 1-3-1 Geographic information about the administrative zones in the study area ··············· 7
Table 1-3-2 Geographical information about the Huanzala and Pallca Mines ···························· 7
Table 1-3-3 Climatic data for Chiquian ··················································································· 7
Table 1-3-4 Mine development plans for the study area ··························································· 9
Table 1-3-5 Population in the study areas ·············································································· 12
Table 1-3-6 GDP by sectors in Ancash Department ······························································· 13
Table 1-3-7 Poverty indices in the study area ········································································ 14
Table 2-3-1 Schedule and contents for the study in Peru ························································ 18
Table 3-1-1 Unit price of electric power at the Huanzala and Pallca Mines ····························· 20
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Table 3-1-2 CO2 emissions by type of power station (Japan) ·················································· 20
Table 3-1-3 Forecasted production at the Huanzala, Pallca, and Atalaya Mines ······················ 21
Table 3-1-4 Amount of electrical power supplied by proposed site 4 and 5 under current
demand conditions and estimated annual purchase of electricity ·························· 24
Table 3-1-5 Effects of undertaking the projects ····································································· 24
Table 3-3-1 Topographic maps used as base maps and topographic data ································ 31
Table 3-3-2 Data used in the GIS maps····················································································· 31
Table 3-3-3 Alternative sites for a hydropower stations ························································· 33
Table 3-3-4 Main parameters of the water system of the Torres River catchment ···················· 36
Table 3-3-5 Flow volume based on actual measurements and calculated flow volume
for the alternative sites ······················································································· 40
Table 3-3-6 Precipitation and stream flow volume data ························································· 41
Table 3-3-7 Monthly precipitation at the Huanzala meteorological station (2004-2010) ·········· 45
Table 3-3-8 Results of field surveys of alternative hydropower station sites ···························· 46
Table 3-3-9 Unit generation cost for each alternative ····························································· 58
Table 3-3-10 Maximum water use volumes and its available days ·········································· 59
Table 3-3-11 Generated power and electric energy for each alternative ·································· 62
Table 3-3-12 Construction specifications and costs ······························································· 63
Table 3-3-13 Main construction units costs ··········································································· 63
Table 3-3-14 Breakdown of construction costs ······································································ 64
Table 3-4-1 Results of project selection ·················································································· 68
Table 3-4-2 Contents and scale of the proposed project ··························································· 69
Table 4-2-1 Results of the hydropower facility survey based on the environmental checklist ··· 78
Table 4-3-1 List of laws related to approval for power generation projects ····························· 82
Table 4-3-2 List of laws related to environmental and social considerations ····························· 83
Table 5-1-1 Costs for Construction of hydropower stations ···················································· 89
Table 5-1-2 List of foreign and domestic expenses for project cost ········································· 90
Table 5-2-1 Profit-and-Loss estimates for each year (In the case of site 4) ······························ 92
Table 5-2-2 Profit-and-Loss estimates for each year (In the case of site 5) ······························ 92
Table 5-2-3 Profit-and-Loss estimates for each year (In the case of site 4 and site 5) ··············· 93
Table 5-2-4 Cash flow from the perspective of companies undertaking the projects
(In the case of site 4) ························································································ 95
Table 5-2-5 Cash flow from the perspective of companies undertaking the projects
(In the case of site 5) ························································································ 95
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Table 5-2-6 Cash flow from the perspective of companies undertaking the projects
(In the case of site 4 and site 5) ········································································· 96
Table 5-2-7 Cash flow from the perspective of capital providers and financiers
(In the case of site 4) ························································································ 98
Table 5-2-8 Cash flow from the perspective of capital providers and financiers
(In the case of site 5) ························································································ 98
Table 5-2-9 Cash flow from the perspective of capital providers and financiers
(In the case of site 4 and site 5) ········································································· 99
Table 5-2-10 Investment effectiveness (In the case of site 4) ················································ 101
Table 5-2-11 Benefit items (In the case of site 4) ································································· 101
Table 5-2-12 Investment effectiveness (In the case of site 5) ················································ 102
Table 5-2-13 Benefit items (In the case of site 5) ······························································· 102
Table 5-2-14 Investment effectiveness (In the case of site 4 and site 5) ································ 103
Table 5-2-15 Benefit items (In the case of site 4 and site 5) ················································· 103
Table 6-1-1 Work schedule ···································································································· 106
Table 9-1-1 Sensitivity analysis of cash flow
(Building a hydroelectric power station on the Tores river at site 4) ························ 114
Table 9-1-2 Sensitivity analysis of cash flow
(Building a hydroelectric power station on the Tores river at site 5) ······················· 114
Table 9-1-2 Sensitivity analysis of cash flow
(Building a hydroelectric power station on the Tores river at site 4 and 5) ·············· 114
vii
Summary
1,400
1,200
1,000
Thousand ton
Some of the electric power used at the Huanzala Mine is supplied by its Huallanca Hydroelectric
Power Station (capacity 4,300kW, 2010 production of 26,000MWh), which was built in 1986. The
remainder (10,000MWh in 2010) is purchased from the national power grid. In contrast, there is no
connectable power grid near the Pallca Mine, and it is still using its own diesel generators to
produce electricity (1,800 MWh in 2010). Between the two mines are some promising deposits such
as the Atalaya and Condor deposits, and exploration is currently being undertaken to eventually
develop them. In fact, plans call for the Atalaya deposit to begin producing 3,000t of ore per day in
2015 (see table in the next page), which should help to provide stability to zinc and lead supplies. If
this happens, then the electrical power required at the Atalaya deposit alone would amount to
72,000MWh yearly, which would greatly increase the demand for electricity.
i
Forecasted production at Huanzala, Pallca, and Atalaya
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Mine
1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half
Ore Huanzala 1,300 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800
production Pallca 300 500 500 500 600 600 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800
(t/d) Atalaya 1,500 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
Ore Huanzala 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600
dressing Pallca
(t/d) Atalaya 1,500 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
Total 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 3,100 4,600 4,600 4,600 4,600 4,600
After 2017
forecasted
12,400kW
5,004kW
Torres river new
4,337kW
4,155kW
Huallanca
Huallanca Huallanca hydropower
hydropower hydropower with extended
water reservor
3,012kW 3,012kW 3,440kW
Because the diesel-generated electric power at the Pallca Mine is the most expensive power source,
it should be replaced. Plans call for a new hydropower station to be built in Pallca, and for power
transmission facilities to be laid from the Huallanca Substation. (Study on Private-Initiative
Infrastructure Projects in Developing Countries in FY2009).
For full-scale operations, the Atalaya deposit would require around 8,100kW of electric power,
nearly 2X as much as the Huanzala Mine. If a power transmission line isn’t installed between the
Huallanca Substation and the future Atalaya Mine, the new mine will have to rely on diesel power.
Because there is concern that electric costs will dramatically increase and gas emissions will cause
air pollution, plans call for a power transmission line to be laid when the mine is opened.
In addition, even if the 3 mines are connected by a power transmission network, a total of
ii
12,400kW of electric power would be needed. The currently operating Huallanca Hydropower
Station is expected to produce 3,440kW, and even if the 580 kW from the proposed new Pallca
Hydropower Station is added, the extra power needed would be 8,400kW, or about 7X the 1,200kW
that is currently purchased. On the other hand, if the two proposed hydropower stations are built
(one each at Sites 4 and 5), then together they could supply about 40% of the 8,400kW that would
be needed to operate the Atalaya Mine (see figure in the previous page).
If the projects at Sites 4 and 5 are undertaken as proposed in this study, then the above needs could
be met satisfactorily.
Effects of Undertaking the Projects
Effect of
Employment Effect on local Income tax CO2
reducing
creation economy reduction
purchased power
($1,000) ($1,000) ($1,000) (t/year)
($1,000)
Site 4 8,237 833 1,628 740 8,240
Site 5 9,175 815 1,593 1,106 9,178
Sites 4 & 5 17,412 1,648 3,221 1,843 17,418
iii
3. Summary of the project
(1) Overview of the proposal and total cost of the project
a. Selection of the project
In the Torres River system, zones that had topographic relief between the water intake and the
potential hydropower station were selected as targets. In all, 5 sites with workable topography and
much usable water volume in downstream areas were selected as alternative sites for a hydropower
station. (see the table and figure below).
iv
A comparative study was made of the workability, environmental/social impacts, unit costs of
power generation, and capacity of generation, in the procedure shown below. As a result, the
various items were ranked (scored) and arranged from highest to lowest. The two sites with the
highest ranking, Sites 5 and 4, were ultimately selected for the proposed project. The results of the
study and the hierarchical ranking are shown on the next page. The selected candidates were named
Site 5 and Site 4.
The numbers in the figure refer to the items in Chapter 3 of the main report.
1. Expected demand 2.1) Creation of survey base maps and GIS maps
v
Results of field surveys of alternative hydropower station sites
Workability, Environmental and social impacts
Considerations Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Alternative 4 Alternative 5
Thin cover of sand Thin cover of sand and Thicker talus
Bedrock Thicker talus deposits
Intake and rock fragments rock fragments deposits
◎ ◎ ◎ ○ ○
Ground Bedrock or thin soft Bedrock or thin soft
Bedrock, partly gully Bedrock, partly gully Bedrock, partly gully
condition Channel cover cover
○ ○ ○ ◎ ◎
Power Thin cover of sand Thin cover of sand Thin cover of sand and Thin cover of sand and Thin cover of sand
house/pens and rock fragments and rock fragments rock fragments rock fragments and rock fragments
tock ◎ ◎ ◎ ◎ ◎
Flat, beside steep slope Flat, beside steep
Flat Flat Flat
Intake of boulders slope of boulders
◎ ◎ ◎ ○ ○
Geomor-
Gorge and foothill Steeper slope Steeper slope Steeper slope and cliff Moderate slope
phology Channel
○ ○ ○ △ ◎
Power Moderate slope,
Flat Flat Moderate slope, narrow Flat
house/pens narrow
tock ◎ ◎ △ △ ◎
Possible turbid water Possible turbid water if Contaycocha lake Land slide area in
Stable clear flow
Turbidity if heavy rain heavy rain works as settling basin upper reaches
○ ○ ○ ◎ △
Roadside, but need Roadside, but need
Accessibility to a Roadside Roadside Roadside
bridge bridge
working site ◎ ◎ ○ ○ ◎
Unutilized glassland, Unutilized glassland, Cropland and
Mine facility area Unutilized glassland
Land use partly cropland partly cropland pastureland
UNSUITABLE ◎ ◎ ◎ ○
Ruin, flume and Possible water lowering
not recognized not recognized not recognized not recognized
other socio- of Contaycocha lake
environmental issues ◎ ◎ NEED ANOTHER SURVEY ◎ ◎
Remarkable not recognized not recognized not recognized not recognized not recognized
ecological system
◎ ◎ ◎ ◎ ◎
Priority 4 1 5 3 2
vi
b. Overview of the project and total project cost
Contents and scale of two proposed projects are given in below Table.
vii
Investment Effectiveness of the Proposed Project
viii
by the Huanzala Mine. For that reason, a design is proposed which can ensure the greatest amount
of economical electric power throughout the year to respond to increasing demand for electric
power when the Atalaya deposit is developed.
When the Atalaya deposit is developed, plans call for the Huanzala complex, including the Atalaya
Mine and Pallca Mine, to be connected by power transmission lines. So this project is included
within the operational plans of the Huanzala complex. The schedule for undertaking this project
must take into consideration the construction of a new hydropower station at the Pallca Mine, and
the construction of new mine facilities at the Atalaya deposit. The following schedule was set, with
the assumption that a mine at the Atalaya deposit would be opened in 2015:
・ 2013 Start of preparatory work (detailed design, environmental impact study, meetings
with local residents)
・ 2015 Start of construction (construction, test runs, final inspection by MEM)
・ November 2016 Start of electric power supply
ix
results about environmental aspects in the Wise Environmental Use Plan (submitted during PAMA
application) and the Environmental/Social Impact Study submitted (in an EIA application) when the
Pallca Mine was being developed. Japanese companies have a wealth of experience and knowledge
related to the construction of hydropower stations, such as technologies and techniques for
construction and for preserving the environment. Given this background, Japanese companies
would present many advantages in undertaking this project.
x
Location of proposed project sites
xi
Chapter 1
Overview of the Host Country and Sector
Chapter 1 Overview of the Host Country and Sector
The economic management of the Garcia administration, which began in July 2006, has been
trouble-free. In 2007, for example, the inflation rate (annual rise in prices), and government
spending as a ratio of GDP were both within IMF standards, and the macroeconomic policies were
highly acclaimed. The country is increasingly gaining the confidence of the world financial
community. For example, public foreign debt as a ratio of GDP is steadily decreasing, and in 2008
the country received numerous investment-grade ratings from several influential ratings companies.
It should be noted that in response to the global financial crisis, the Garcia administration began
implementing an economic stimulus package equivalent to 15 billion US dollars in December 2008
to further increase domestic demand by, for example, increasing public investment.
2. Trade
Between 1990 and 2008, Peru’s foreign trade grew from US $6.2 billion to US$ 59.9 billion a huge
increasing trend that has focused on exports, and the country has experienced a trade surplus every
year since 2002. In 2009, the country’s trade was US$ 47.9 billion, and while it was down from the
previous year due to the global financial crisis, as of November 2010 it stood at US$57.8, returning
1
to a level that exceeded the 2008 figures. Peru’s main exports include a wealth of mineral resources
such as copper, gold, silver and zinc, which in 2008 accounted for 59% of the value of all exports.
Besides minerals, exports include farm products, petroleum and natural gas, and marine products,
each of which accounts for 7-9% of export value. With the recent increases in world metals prices,
there has been a particularly notable increase in the export prices of copper and gold. In 2004, total
value of exports exceeded US$10 billion for the first time.
In 2009, Peru’s main trading partners were the United States, China, Switzerland, Canada, Japan,
and Germany for exports, and the United States, China, Brazil, Ecuador, Chile, Colombia, Japan,
Argentina for imports, in that order. Recently, there has been a very noticeable increase in trade
with China.
Table 1-1-2 Trade revenues (Unit: million US dollars)
2010
2006 2007 2008 2009 (up to
November)
Total exports 23,830 27,882 31,529 26,885 31,666
Total imports 14,844 19,595 28,439 21,011 26,119
Trade revenue 8,986 8,287 3,090 5,874 5,547
Foreign currency
17,275 27,689 31,196 32,013 14,097
reserves
(Source:Central Bank of Peru)
3. Investment from Other Countries
At the end of December 2009, the investment balance stood at US$18.8 billion; investment has
been increasing since the 9 billion dollar level was reached in 1999. The three top investment
countries are Spain (23%), the United Kingdom (20%), and the United States (15%), and the top
investment areas as of December 2008 were communications (22%), mining (21%), manufacturing
(16%), finance (15%), and energy (10%).
Table 1-1-3 Foreign direct investment (Units: million US dollars, %)
Sector 2005 2006 2007 2008 Share
Communications 3,688 3,680 3,747 3,756 22.3
Mining 2,382 2,998 3,064 3,510 20.8
Manufacturing 2,291 2,724 2,735 2,737 16.2
Finance 2,213 2,476 2,560 2,599 15.4
Energy 1,648 1,649 1,674 1,674 9.9
Other 1,747 1,939 2,023 2,591 15.4
Total 13,969 15,466 15,803 16,867 100.0
(Source: Private Investment Promotion Agency of Peru)
4. Industrial Structure
A look at Peru’s industrial structure shows that services account for a 38~39% share of GDP,
which rises to more than 50% when combined with retail, so tertiary industries have the greatest
2
Chapter 1 Overview of the Host Country and Sector
relative importance in the Peruvian economy. That is followed by the mining and industrial sector,
which has about a 20% share, of which 6% is for mining. Agriculture and livestock farming account
for about 8~9%, and it is still less than 10% when the fishing industry is added. There have been
no major changes in sector shares in the past 10 years.
Table 1-1-4 GDP by sector (Units: million Nuevo Soles, %)
Sector 2005 2006 2007 2008 Share of GDP
Agriculture & livestock 12,259 13,286 13,723 14,712 7.7
farming
Fishing 804 823 879 933 0.5
Mining 9,790 9,926 10,195 10,968 5.7
Manufacturing 22,887 24,607 27,265 29,625 15.5
Electricity and water 3,094 3,307 3,588 3,865 2.0
Construction 7,276 8,350 9,737 11,340 5.9
Retail/Commercial 20,821 23,248 25,495 28,808 15.1
Other service sector 57,029 61,001 66,851 72,794 38.0
Total 148,640 160,145 174,329 191,477 100.0
(Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru)
5. Government Budget
In 2006, the Peruvian central government achieved a budget surplus, and in 2008 the primary
balance reached a surplus of 13.4 billion soles, and even when government interest payments are
deducted, the surplus is still 8.3 billion soles, a healthy financial situation for the government.
Compared with the deficits at the beginning of the 2000 decade, these are good results. According
to a World Bank report (2009), some of the causes of the Peruvian government’s financial reform
include the dramatic increase in revenues obtained from the export of mine products, the overall
robust growth of the economy, and meticulous management of government expenditures.
On the other hand, there were indications that economic growth for 2009 was decelerating due to
the global financial crisis. According to the aforementioned World Bank report (2009), since the
Peruvian government derives about 1/3 of its revenues from minerals, it may be seeing a decline in
national revenue due to falling metals prices, slackening international demand, and so on.
Table 1-1-5 Central government budget (Unit: million Nuevo Soles)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Current revenues 410.46 527.15 608.22 679.86 607.11
Non-financial expenditures 384.68 432.60 494.98 549.46 632.79
Capital revenues 3.88 3.61 3.85 3.92 3.87
Primary balance 29.65 98.16 117.09 134.32 -21.82
Interest payments 47.94 54.13 55.25 51.28 48.63
Total expenditure -18.30 44.03 61.84 83.04 -70.46
(Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru)
3
(2) Overview of the Target Sector of the Project
Peru is abundant in many kinds of mineral resources and is one of the world’s leading producers of
non-ferrous metals. In 2009, the growth in ore production was lower than the growth rate up to
2008 due to the effects of the global financial crisis, but Peru led the world in silver mine
production, was Number 2 in zinc and copper production, was Number 3 in tin production, was
Number 4 in lead and molybdenum production, and was the world’s Number 5 producer of gold.
This order was mostly unchanged from 2008 (Table 1-2-1)
Table 1-2-1 World ranking of Peru’s mine production
2009World
production
production
production
2008 Peru
2009 Peru
2009 Peru
production
ranking
Change
ranking)
Mineral
4
Chapter 1 Overview of the Host Country and Sector
The Peruvian mining sector, especially gold, silver, copper, lead and zinc production, saw
tremendous growth. In the past 10 years, copper and zinc production has doubled, and gold
production has increased by about 50% (Fig. 1-2-1).
Copper, Zinc
Gold (t)
(thousand t)
2000 250
Copper
Zinc
Gold 200
1500
150
1000
100
500
50
0 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
(Source: World Metals Statistics, 2010)
Figure 1-2-1 Trends in mine production of copper, zinc and gold
With the increasing price in metals in recent years, the value of metal exports in the past 10 years
has increased 5-fold. The export price of minerals has accounted for 60% of Peru’s total export
revenues. Moreover, the export prices of copper, gold and zinc alone account for 80% of the value
of exported minerals (Table 1-2-3). In 2009, the decrease in metals prices due to the global financial
crisis resulted in a notable decrease in export prices compared to 2008 for all metals except gold.
Table 1-2-3 Breakdown of export prices of minerals
Export price Export volume (thousand t, but
Mineral (million US dollars, %) thousand t for gold and silver %)
2008 2009 Change 2008 2009 Change
Copper 7,663 5,933 -22.6% 1,243 1,246 0.2%
Gold 5,588 6,802 21.7% 6,418 7,011 9.2%
Zinc 1,467 1,225 -16.5% 1,452 1,36. -5.8%
Silver 595 214 -64.0% 39.7 16.0 -59.7%
Lead 1,136 1,112 -2.1% 52. 68 29.5%
Iron ore 385 299 -22.3% 6,840 6,984 2.1%
Tin 695 476 -31.5% 40 38 -5.0%
Molybdenum 1,079 272 -74.8% 18 12 -33.3%
Other minerals 48 28 -41.7%
Total export price 18,656 16,361 -12.3%
(Source:MEM)
Looking at the amount of minerals that Japan imports from Peru (Fig. 1-2-2), we can see that there
were great increases in the import of copper and zinc concentrates. The main reason for this was
that the production of copper and zinc concentrates from the Antamina Mine and copper
5
concentrates from the Cerro Verde Mine, was geared toward export to Japanese companies
(Nishikawa, 2009). Because of this, in 2008 Peru, as one of Japan’s important partner countries for
concentrate imports, was 2nd behind Chile in supplying copper, and replaced Australia as Japan’s
top supplier of zinc.
90
80 Coper Conc.
Zinc Conc.
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
(Source: World Metals Statistics, October 2010 *2010 figures estimated in October)
Figure 1-2-2 Trends in volume of concentrates exported from Peru to Japan
6
Chapter 1 Overview of the Host Country and Sector
The present study area, which includes the administrative district of Huallanca, encompasses an
area of 20km E-W and 14km N-S (Fig. 1-3-1). The elevation ranges from 3,500m (Huallanca
Village) to 5,289masl (Nevado Burro). The Pallca Mine, which is a branch mine of the Huanzala
Mine, is included in the Pacllón district 36km SSE of the Huanzala Mine.
Table 1-3-1
Geographic information about the administrative zones in the study area
Name S. Lat. W. Long. Elevation Topography
Huallanca 9° 52’ 50” 76° 56’ 05” 3,536m Mountainous
Pacllón 10° 13’ 54” 77° 04’ 09” 3,292m Mountainous
(Source: INEI)
It should be noted that geographic information about the Huanzala and Pallca mines provided by
INGEMMET is shown in Table 1-3-2.
Table 1-3-2 Geographic information about the Huanzala and Pallca Mines
Name S. Lat. W. Long. Elevation Topography
Huanzala 9° 51’ 53” 76° 59’ 45” 4,114m Mountainous
Pallca 10° 11’ 44” 76° 57’ 53” 3,849m Mountainous
(Source: INGEMMET)
The climate of the region is cold highland climate, with a dry season (April to September) and a
rainy season (October to March) and great variation in daily temperatures. Table 1-3-3 shows the
average monthly temperatures, humidity, precipitation, wind direction and wind speed for the city
of Chiquian in 2008. The average monthly temperature ranges from 10.9~12.4 degrees centigrade
during the year, and the monthly precipitation ranges from 0mm~191.6mm.
Table 1-3-3 Climatic data for Chiquian
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Temperature (°C) 12.4 11.5 12.2 11.9 11.7 11.6 10.9 11.9 12.6 12.4 12.7 12.4
Humidity (%) 47.0 49.2 51.1 53.0 54.2 52.8 52.0 50.6 49.8 51.4 51.2 51.1
Precipitation (mm) 191.6 148.8 92.2 71.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 55.5 39.0 43.5
Wind direction NE NE NE NE S NE N NE SE S S NE
Wind speed (m/s) 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.4 S.3 2.0 2.1 2.1
(Source:SENAMHI)
7
Figure 1-3-1 Location of the Study Area
8
Chapter 1 Overview of the Host Country and Sector
When the mine began operations in 1968, it was extracting 500t of ore per day, which reached
1,700t/day in 1998. In 2008, it celebrated its 40th anniversary of operations. In 2010, it produced
1,600t/day (Cu 0.63%, Pb 2.42%, Zn 7.18%, Ag 80 g/t). There are about 500 employees, including
contract workers.
9
The cumulative production of crude ores is 15 million tons, consisting of Cu 0.44%, Pb 4.4%, Zn
10.1%, and Ag 129g/t. Total concentrate production is 2.63 million tons of zinc (1.33t of zinc
metal), 850,000 tons of lead (540,000 tons of lead metal, 1,252t of silver), and 20,000t of copper
concentrate (5,310t of copper metal). As of this writing, there are approximately 5 million tons of
minable reserves.
Infrastructure development includes the construction of the Catac Road in 1977 (with JICA
providing 230 million yen in funding), and a 90km road that was built to shorten the route for
transporting concentrate to the Lima suburb of Callao. In addition, to help reduce electricity costs in
order to increase competitiveness of mining operations and provide for stable production of Zn ore,
the 4,300kW Huallanca Hydroelectric plant (which cost 1.5 billion yen to build and was funded
with financial cooperation from the Japan Import and Export bank and JICA) was completed, and is
still in operation today.
10
Chapter 1 Overview of the Host Country and Sector
11
b. Overview of the Pallca Mine
The Pallca Mine is located 36km SSE of the Huanzala Mine, at an elevation of 3,800m~5,000m.
In 1994, drilling exploration was started, then a feasibility study was undertaken in 2000, and
500t/day operations were commenced at the Pallca Mine in March 2006. As a result of the
feasibility study, it was decided not to build a processing plat at the mine site, but rather transport
the ore by truck to the Huanzala Mine’s processing plant 56km away. The total amount of crude ore
that has been processed since 2006 is 450,000 tons, and the grades are Cu 0.2%, Pb 1.3%, Zn
10.7%, and Ag 51g/t.
With the decline in the price of zinc that began in the latter half of 2008, the scale of operations
declined from the end of that year. But by the middle of 2009, zinc prices had recovered, and
current production has returned to the 500t/day level.
Infrastructure development includes the construction of a 45km exploration road that was built in
1994 from Huanzala to Pallca. Electricity is provided by diesel generators.
3. Population
According to the 2005 report of the INEI, the total population of Bolognesi Province was 30,176
people, of whom 53% were living in urban areas and the remaining 47% resided in rural areas. Seen
from the district level (Table 1-3-5), the total population of the Huallanca district is 8,336, of which
64% is urban and 36% is rural, and the total population of the Pacllon district is 1,237, of which
62% is urban and 38% is rural. In contrast, the total population of the Huasta district is 2,249, of
which 28% is urban and 72% is rural. From these data, we can estimate that the total number of
residents of the Huanzala and Pallca districts is about 12,000.
Table 1-3-5 Population in the study areas
Province/ district Urban Rural Total
Residents % Residents % Residents %
Bolognesi Province 16,025 53.1 14,151 46.9 30,176 100
Huallanca District 5,334 64.0 3,002 36.0 8,336 100
Huasta District 635 28.2 1614 71.8 2,249 100
Pacllon District 764 61.8 473 38.2 1,237 100
(Source :INEI, 2005)
12
Chapter 1 Overview of the Host Country and Sector
4. Local Economy
Because Bolognesi Province is located in a typical undeveloped area of the Andes, economic
development mainly involves the utilization of natural resources. From 1995 to 2004, the economy
of this region was supported by the mining sector. As a result of the establishment of Antamina
Mine, as well as companies such as Barrick Misquichilca (which operates the Pierina gold/silver
mine near Huaraz), the mining sector grew by a factor of 18 (and increased its share of GDP by 3
basis points, from 33% to 36%). In addition, in 2004 the service sector accounted for 40% of GDP,
contributing to the local economy.
According to the results of a 2005 survey conducted by the INEI (Table 1-3-7), on a scale of 1 to 5,
the level of poverty in Ancash Department is 3, according to FONCODES (Fondo Nacional de
Cooperacion para el Desarrollo), which is based on such factors as public service indices such as
water/sewer/electricity, female illiteracy rate, the proportion of young children, and the malnutrition
rate. In contrast, the rating of Bolognesi Province, and the Huallanca (including the Huanzala Mine),
Huasta, and Pacllon (including the Pallca Mine) districts, is 2, indicating a high level of poverty.
It should be noted that the level of poverty, as determined by the illiteracy rate, the level of water
and sewer services, the infant mortality rate, etc., is rate from 1, which is extreme poverty, to 5,
which is mild poverty.
13
Table 1-3-7 Poverty indices in the study area
% of children
illiteracy rate
Deficiency rate
Malnutrition
aged 0-12
Population
Poverty
Female
rating
Name of
rate
administrative
unit Water Sewer Electric
14
Chapter 2
Study Methodology
Chapter 2 Study Methodology
The contents of this study include 3 items: 1) the gathering of existing data and creation of an
infrastructure base map, 2) a hydroelectric power survey that includes site surveys, and 3) a
community development survey.
15
b. Study of alternative sites for hydroelectric power stations
Based on previously created infrastructure base maps and hydrological analysis, we selected and
studied five alternative sites for new hydroelectric power stations. Water flow volume,
geomorphology, geology, land use, and workability were assessed for each of the five alternative
sites. Also, in considering a suitable construction site for a reservoir-type dam, the entire river basin
area was surveyed.
2. Study Structure
As shown in Figure 2-2-1, this study was performed by members from Mitsui Mining and Smelting
Co., Ltd., MESCO, Inc. and Mitsui Mineral Development Engineering Co., Ltd.
16
Chapter 2 Study Methodology
MMS
Project Manager Technology
Mineral Resources
Yutaka Hirabayashi / MMS Haruo Harada /MINDECO
Developmnet Division
Environmental/social impact
Yasutaka Fujita /MESCO
Electricity
Tsuyoshi Murase /MESCO
Hydrology
Takashi Ueno /MESCO
17
Table 2-3-1 Schedule and contents for the study in Peru
Date Agenda Interviewee(s)
Dec 6 Depart Narita for Lima
(Mon)
Dec 7 ・Hearing of General Department of Electricity Mr. Mendoza: Director
(Tue) ・Hearing of National Water Authority Mr. Rosazza: General secretary,
Mr. Aguilar: Director
・ Presentation of survey plan to Embassy of Mr. Fujiwara: Second secretary, Mr.
Japan Morimoto, Mr. Yamauchi: Resident
representative of JOGMEC Lima office
・Meeting with a civil consultant company (S & Z
Co.)
Dec 8 ・Data analysis and preparation for the site-survey
(Wed)
Dec 9 ・Hearing of General department of environmental Ms. Pino: General director
(Thu) affairs of energy
・ Hearing of General department of Water Mr. Hernan: General director,
Infrastructure Mr. Gayoso: Director
・Presentation of survey plan to JICA Lima office Mr. Nakao: Resident representative
・Meeting with a civil consultant company (S & Z
Co.)
Dec 10 ・Trip from Lima for Huanzala
(Fri) (Turn back to Lima due to roadblock by local
residents)
Dec 11 ・Trip from Lima to Huanzala via Huanuco Mr. Kawadai: General Manager of the
(Sat) Huanzala Mine
Dec 12 ・Site survey Mr. Kawadai: General Manager of the
(Sun) -Reconnaissance survey around Torres river Huanzala Mine
catchment
-Detailed survey for alternative sites
Dec 13 ・Hearing and collection of data for environment and Mr. Kojima: Assistant Manager of
(Mon) social impacts General Affairs of the Huanzala Mine
・Trip from Huanzala to Huanco
Dec 14 ・Trip from Huanuco to Lima
(Tue)
Dec 15 ・Compilation of the site survey data
(Wed)
Dec 16 ・Compilation of the site survey data
(Thu) ・Meeting with a civil consultant company (S & Z
Co.)
Dec 17 ・Hearing of General department of environmental Ms. Espinoza: Environmental engineer,
(Fri) affairs of minerals Ms. Araujo: Lawyer
・Hearing of OEFA Ms. Pacheco: Senior Coordinator
・Reporting and meeting with Santa Luisa Mining Mr. Gomi: President
Co.
Dec 18 ・Data analysis and compilation of the survey result
(Sat)
Dec 19 ・Data analysis and compilation of the survey result
(Sun)
Dec 20 Leave Lima for Japan via Los Angeles
(Mon)
Dec 21 Arrive at Narita
(Tue)
18
Chapter 3
Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility
of the Project
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
1,400
1,200
1,000
Thousand ton
(Graph compiled by the Study Team based on World Metals Statistics, October 2010 and data from the Huanzala
Mine. The data for 2010 are estimated results up to October.)
Figure 3-1-1
Proportion of Japan’s imported zinc concentrate that is produced at Huanzala
Some of the electric power used at the Huanzala Mine is supplied by its Huallanca Hydroelectric
Power Station (capacity 4,300kW, 2010 production of 21,000MWh), which was built in 1986. The
remainder (10,000MWh in 2010) is purchased from the national power grid. In order to connect to
the national power grid, the mine built a power substation in 2008. When the mine first opened,
electricity was supplied by its own diesel-powered generators, but that was stopped after the
connection to the national grid was made.
In contrast, there is no connectable power grid near the Pallca Mine, and it is still using diesel
generators to produce electricity (1,800 MWh in 2010). Between the two mines are some promising
deposits such as the Atalaya and Condor deposits, and exploration is currently being undertaken to
eventually develop them. In fact, plans call for the Atalaya deposit to begin producing 3,000t of ore
per day in 2015. If this happens, then the electrical power required at the Atalaya deposit alone
19
would amount to 72,000MWh yearly, which would greatly increase the demand for electricity.
Table 3-1-1 Unit price of electric power at the Huanzala and Pallca Mines
Huallanca National Electric Pallca diesel generators
Hydropower station Power Grid
Unit price of electric power 0.0041 0.08 0.27
(US$/kWh)
Depreciation (US$/kWh) 0.0016 0.069 0.057
Total Price (US$/kWh) 0.0057 0.149 0.32
(Source: Calculated from actual data (Jan-Nov 2010) from the Santa Luisa Mining Co.)
20
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
3,000
2,500
2,000
kWh
1,500
1,000
500
0
Jan. Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Figure 3-1-2
Electric power demand and power source structure at the Huanzala Mine
In 2010, ore production at the Pallca Mine was about 500t/d. Because there are no electric power
lines connecting to the mine, it relies on diesel-powered generators for its electricity. The average
annual power consumed in 2010 was 182kW, with a maximum demand of 690kW.
Table 3-1-3 Forecasted production at the Huanzala, Pallca and Atalaya Mines
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Mine
1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half
Ore Huanzala 1,300 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800
production Pallca 300 500 500 500 600 600 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800
(t/d) Atalaya 1,500 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
Ore Huanzala 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600
dressing Pallca
(t/d) Atalaya 1,500 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
Total 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 3,100 4,600 4,600 4,600 4,600 4,600
21
The Atalaya deposit is being explored with a target start-up date of 2015. Once the mine is opened
and full-scale operations begin, it will be producing an estimated 3,000 tons of ore per day. In that
case, it would require 8,100kW of electric power (Fig.3-1-3). If a power transmission isn’t installed
between the Huallanca Substation and the future Atalaya Mine, the new mine will have to rely on
diesel power. Because there is concern that electric costs will dramatically increase and gas
emissions will cause air pollution, plans call for a power transmission line to be laid when the mine
is opened.
However, even if the power transmission grid covers all 3 mines, a total of 12,400kW of electric
power will be required. Even adding the 580 kW of a new Pallca hydropower station to the
projected 3,440kW of the currently operating Huallanca Hydropower station, the amount of
purchased power would increase by 7-fold, from the current 1,143kW to 8,380kW. However, if a
new hydropower station is built at each of Sites 4 and 5, then together they should be able to
provide about 40% of the 8,380kW that would otherwise be purchased by the Atalaya Mine for its
operations.
After 2017
forecasted
12,400kW
5,004kW
Torres river new
Transmission network installed
hydropower
Site 5: 1,779kW
Current status
2014 plan Torres river new
(2010) hydropower
Pallca
Mine
4,337kW
4,155kW
Huallanca
Huallanca Huallanca hydropower
with extended
hydropower hydropower
water reservor
3,012kW 3,012kW 3,440kW
22
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
According to the present study, the amount of hydroelectricity produced on the Torres River would
be greater than previously expected, and it was determined that it would exceed the amount of
electricity that is currently being purchased. However, if new hydropower facilities are built for the
current electric demand, then they would generate excess power during the rainy season, so in
actuality they would only be able to provide about 1/3 of their annual production to the mines (Fig.
3-1-4).
At the same time, even if new hydropower stations are built, they wouldn’t produce enough
electricity during the dry season. So the amount of purchased power could be cut by 2/3, but that
means that 1/3 would still have to be purchased (Table 3-1-4). The results of economic feasibility
studies on new power stations indicated that they would not be cost-effective if there was demand
less than 70 % of the power they generated (see Ch. 5 (2) 1). Therefore, it was concluded that the
construction of new power stations should be planned only if the Atalaya deposit is going to be
developed.
2,500
2,000
1,500 Purchased
MWh
500
0
Jan. Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
23
Table 3-1-4 Amount of electrical power supplied by proposed sites 4 and 5 under
current demand conditions and estimated annual purchases of electricity
Amount of hydropower consumed Purchased amount
(MWh/year) (MWh/year)
Huallanca station (2010) 26,382 10,015
Site 4 (Capacity 16GWh/yr) 5,002 5,013
Site 5 (Capacity 17GWh/yr) 5,593 4,422
Sites 4 and 5 together 7,172 2,843
(Capacity 34GWh/yr)
(Compiled by the Study Team)
Furthermore, employment opportunities could be provided to local workers during the construction
of the power stations, and the transport and purchase of materials could be of benefit to the local
economy (Table 3-1-5). Furthermore, if the power stations are operated as mine facilities, the
reduced electric power costs would lead to increased corporate taxes due to increased corporate
revenues. By directing half of these resource development tax revenues back to the local
communities (Law of Canon), it would increase the economic benefits to both the local
communities and the Peruvian nation.
Table 3-1-5 Effects of undertaking the projects
Effect of
Employment Effect on local Income tax CO2
reducing
creation economy reduction
purchased power
($1,000) ($1,000) ($1,000) (t/year)
($1,000)
Site 4 8,237 833 1,628 740 8,240
Site 5 9,175 815 1,593 1,106 9,178
Sites 4 & 5 17,412 1,648 3,221 1,843 17,418
(Effects of 2 construction years + 10 years of operation. CO2 reduction was calculated based on CO2 emissions of
hydroelectric and gas-fired power stations in Japan)
Before carrying out the plan, it is necessary to have an environmental impact evaluation study
report, or an environmental impact report based on that., and a detailed study is conducted.
However, the alternative sites for the proposed hydroelectric power stations are in areas with few
homes and cultivated fields, and there are apparently no existing irrigation canals. So construction
24
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
of the power stations would not have a major effect on local communities, and it would be possible
to mitigate the environmental and social impacts. Furthermore, since the proposed hydroelectric
power plan is run-off-river type, it would be possible to minimize the impact on aquatic ecosystems
by maintaining an appropriate water level.
Water systems in the Huanzala Mine area that showed promise as effective sites for the construction
of a hydropower station were the Vizcarra and Torres rivers (Fig. 3-3-4). However, there are many
residential areas along the Vizcarra River, and construction would present several technical
problems, so as a result of a comparative study the Torres River was selected (Chapter 3 (3).2.2 a).
Five alternative sites on the Torres river were selected (Fig. 3-3-5). As a result of comparative
studies on workability, environmental/social impacts, power generation efficiency, and economic
feasibility, two sites were proposed as candidates: Site 4 and Site 5.(Ch. 3 (4) 2)
(Compiled by the Study Team. The base map is a GIS created by the Study Team)
Figure 3-1-5 Location of proposed sites
25
(2) Basic Targets for Government Organizations in the
Counterpart Country to Undertake the Project
Peruvian government agencies involved with hydroelectric power include the Ministry of Energy
and Mines (MEM), and the Ministry of Agriculture (MINAG), which has jurisdiction over the
rights to water used for hydropower production. Interviews that were conducted with the General
Director and Director of MEM (Fig. 2-3-1 in Ch. 2) confirmed the following Peruvian government
guidelines for infrastructure development and funding:
The private sector plays the main role in infrastructure and other development projects.
The generation of hydroelectric power is encouraged because it is a renewable energy.
Long-term foreign debt is decreasing (in 2009, foreign exposure was 35.6 billion dollars,
and interest payments totaled 1.7 billion dollars).
The Ministry of Economy and Finance’s conditions for borrowing are tight, and the
investigation is rigorous.
Since 2000, there have been almost no yen-based loans for infrastructure.
In MEM’s electric power policy, the government has formulated the basic plan for an electric power
grid, but three types of power projects (generation, transmission, distribution) are privatized, and
the government has decided to issue permits for projects to private sector companies. In the present
study area, there are currently no plans to build new power generation stations that are directly
connected with this project, so private companies would be expected to undertake such projects at
their own expense.
26
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
27
(3) Considerations that must be made when deciding on the
contents, etc., of a project
In order to investigate the feasibility of building a new hydropower station on the Torres River,
select the most economically feasible site and make the conceptual design, various technical
investigations were carried out, in the order shown in Fig. 3-3-1. As a result, it was concluded that
the two sites that were the most economically feasible with relatively little environment/social
impact were Sites 4 and 5. The numbers in the figure refer to the items in the text.
1. Expected demand 2.1) Creation of survey base maps and GIS maps
Figure 3-3-1 Flow of the process for deciding on the contents of a project
1. Predicted demand
In 2008, the average monthly electric power consumption of the Huanzala and Pallca mines was
3,000MWh and 370MWh, respectively. The production volume at these mines was 1,600t/d at
Huanzala and 500t/d at Pallca. Because production volume declined in 2009, electric power
consumption was unusually low, but in December 2009 production returned to normal levels. The
Atalaya deposit is currently being explored, with a projected mine-opening date of 2015. If it opens,
then the combined electric power consumption of the three mines would probably be about
85,000MWh (daily production of 4,600 tons). Figure 3-3-2 shows production and electric power
consumption trends, and future outlooks, of the three mines.
28
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
[MWh/M] [ton/day]
9,000 4,500
ATALAYA POWER CONSUMPTION
5,000 2,500
4,000 2,000
3,000 1,500
2,000 1,000
1,000 500
0 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(Source:Santa Luisa Mining Co.)
Figure 3-3-2 Trends and outlooks for production and electric power
consumption at the 3 mines
Figure 3-3-3 shows annual average power supply structure trends and future outlooks. However,
power supply structure changes seasonally, annual average structure will be discussed to clarify
long term trend. Diesel generated power for the Pallca Mine will be reduced to half, after planed
new hydroelectric power station at Pallca is operated in 2014. The Atalaya deposit is opened, the
amount of purchased power would increase by 7-fold, from the current 1,143kW to 8,380kW. At the
same time, transmission network is established and diesel generation will be abolished. If the two
new hydropower station sites proposed in this study were built, then hydroelectric power could
replace about 40% of future purchased power.
The demand for electric power is relatively steady throughout the year (actual monthly average in
2010 was 3,000MWh, as per Fig. 3-1-2), but the amount of hydroelectric power generated
undergoes seasonal fluctuations (between rainy and dry seasons), so the amount of power purchased
to make up for shortfalls also fluctuates from month to month. Even if new hydroelectric facilities
are built on the Torres River in the future, the amount of purchased power will continue the same
type of fluctuating pattern of high in the dry season, low in the rainy season, but all electricity
generated by proposed new hydroelectric stations are consumed by the Huanzala, the Pallca and the
29
Atalaya Mines through a year.
[MWh/Month]
10,000 100%
7,000 70%
6,000 60%
5,000 50%
4,000 A 40%
3,000 30%
2,000 20%
A: Pallca new hydroelectric power generation
B: Transmission network between Huanzala, Pallca and Atalaya Mines
1,000 10%
Increase of Intake
Expansion Water
of water for Huallanca
reservoir Hydropower
for Huallanca Station station
hydroelectric
C: Torres new hydroelectric power generation
0 0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2. Understanding and analyzing issues associated with investigating and deciding upon
project contents
1) Creation of a Study Base Map and GIS Maps
There exist 4 types of topographic maps/ data for the study area (Table 3-3-1). However, the
coordinate system was synchronized with the World Geodetic System 1984 (hereafter, WGS84) to
ensure compatibility and convertibility of position data, and was used to create the base map for the
study. These 4 types of maps are classified according to their intended use. In addition, in order to
unify the GIS maps, the data format was converted into shape file format that is compatible with
ArcMap (ESRI Co.).
30
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
Table 3-3-1 Topographic maps used as base maps and topographic data
Source of Coordinate
Type of data Use(s)
material/data system
1/100,000 topographic map Comparing streams in a
IGN WGS84
GIS data region
(Instituto Geografico
1/25,000 topographic map Nacional) Calculating precipitation
WGS84
GIS data and flow volume
Information which should be considered when building a hydroelectric power station, such as data
on geology, nature conservation districts, steep slopes, canals, archaeological sites, power
transmission lines, etc., was collected and compiled into base maps and overlain with GIS maps for
use in the study (Table 3-3-2). The maps were created with ArcMap V.9.3.1 (ESRI Co.), while the
files were managed with ArcCatalog V.9.3.1. In addition, spatial processing was done with Spatial
Analyst, an enlargement tool of ArcMap. The 3D bird’s-eye view maps were created with 3D
Analyst, and with TNTmips (MicroImages Co.).
Table 3-3-2 Data used in the GIS maps
Type of data Source Coordinate system
Mineral resource
INGEMMET WGS84_UTM18S
concessions
Environmental protection
INGEMMET WGS84_UTM18S
zones, national parks, etc.
Geological maps
INGEMMET WGS84_UTM18S
(1/100,000)
31
2) Selection of candidate power station sites
a. Water systems studied
After a comparison was made of the Torres and Vizcarra river systems, the Torres River system was
selected as the study area.
Rivers in the vicinity of the Huanzala Mine, the object of the study, were the Torres River (which
flows by the mine) and the Vizcarra, a main river of the Torres. At Huallanca, where the Torres
flows into the Vizcarra, the Huallanca Hydropower station built for the mine uses water from the
Vizcarra River to produce electricity. Figure 3-3-4 shows a topographic map of the Torres River
system and the Vizcarra River. It should be noted that the Vizcarra River upstream of its confluence
with the Torres is called the San Juan River.
The Vizcarra River downstream of the Huallanca Hydropower station has a gentler gradient than
the Torres River but it has a greater flow volume, so it had been considered a potential hydropower
site. However, there are many communities along its banks, and there would have been various
issues with land and water rights. Furthermore, the Vizcarra River downstream of Huallanca forms
a narrow valley, and the valley floor is occupied by the river and a major roadway, so the
construction of a power station there would have entailed relocating the roadway which would have
cost a lot of money in itself. Another disadvantage of the site was that the power transmission lines
would be too long.
In contrast, while the Torres River has lower flow volume than the Vizcarra, it is closer to the mines
and given land-use conditions and topographic relief of the surrounding area, it was determined to
be relatively easy to build a hydropower station there. Thus, the Torres River system was selected as
the study area.
32
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
33
(Source: IGN 1/10,000 topographic map)
34
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
35
Along the 13km from the headwaters of the Torres River system to the Huanzala Mine (4,000 masl)
is a gentle gradient and wide valley. At the Huanzala Mine there is a water intake for Alternative 1.
After that, the flow suddenly quickens, falling in elevation for the next 11km from 4,000 m to
3,540m at Alternative site 5. Along the next 1.7km from there until it flows into the Vizcarra River
(3,520m), the gradient is gentle (Fig. 3-3-7).
Table 3-3-4 Main parameters of the water system of the Torres River catchment
Parameter Value
36
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
The main tributaries of the Torres River are Palmar Creek on the left bank side, and Tanash and
Chuspic creeks on the right bank side. The confluences of these tributaries with the Torres are
upstream of the water intake for Alternative site 1 (Fig. 3-3-6 & 3-3-7).
The catchment area of the Torres River above 4,000m is expansive, and in areas below that there
are many steep gradients, with the additional catchment area in the lower reaches being relatively
small. The catchment area above 4,000m accounts for about 90% of the total. Figure 3-3-8 shows
the distribution of areal extent of the Torres catchment by elevation; Figure 3-3-9 shows the
cumulative area for the elevation; and Figure 3-3-10 shows the catchment area for each alternative
site.
37
FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION
TORRES RIVER
(Basin area = 116.09 km2)
5250
5150
5050
4950
4850
4750
4650
ALTITUDE (masl)
4550
4450
4350
4250
4150
4050
3950
3850
3750
3650
3550 (Catchment Area:116.09km2)
0,0 2,5 5,0 7,5 10,0 12,5 15,0 17,5 20,0 22,5
AREA (km2)
5200
5000
4800
ALTITUDE (masl)
4600
4400
4200
4000 候補1
候補 2・3
候補4
3800
候補5
3600
3400
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
38
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
At the same time, the stream flow volume was calculated based on precipitation data taken at
Huanzala from May 2004 to October 2010. While the calculated values were generally close to the
actual measured flow values, the calculated value was somewhat higher for the dry season. To be
safe, the flow volume of the alternative sites was either the actual measured flow volume, or
estimates derived from actual measured values (Table 3-3-5).
39
8.0
Stream flow volume
6.0
4.0
(m3)
2.0
0.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Caluculated value (based on precipitation data between May 2005 - Oct. 2010)
Actual measured value ( avarege of 2006 - 2009 )
(Compiled by the Survey Team from data provided by the Santa Luisa Mining Co.)
Figure 3-3-11 Actual measured and calculated flow volumes at the intake of
Alternative site 4
Table 3-3-5 Flow volume based on actual measurements and calculated flow
volume for the alternative sites
Alternative 1 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC AVERAGE
Caluculated value based
3.74 3.75 4.43 2.40 0.92 0.68 0.71 0.54 1.65 2.67 2.69 3.13 2.28
on precipitation
Calculated value based on
3.93 4.21 5.91 3.52 1.11 0.72 0.45 0.39 0.37 0.98 1.76 2.91 2.19
measured flow volume
Alternative 2 & 3
Caluculated value based
4.07 4.08 4.82 2.61 1.00 0.73 0.77 0.59 1.79 2.91 2.93 3.40 2.48
on precipitation
Calculated value based on
4.25 4.55 6.40 3.81 1.20 0.78 0.49 0.42 0.40 1.06 1.90 3.14 2.37
measured flow volume
Alternative 4
Caluculated value based
4.39 4.40 5.20 2.81 1.07 0.79 0.83 0.64 1.93 3.14 3.16 3.67 2.67
on precipitation
Measured value 4.61 4.94 6.94 4.13 1.31 0.84 0.53 0.45 0.43 1.15 2.06 3.41 2.57
Alternative 5
Caluculated value based
5.08 5.10 6.01 3.26 1.24 0.92 0.97 0.74 2.24 3.63 3.66 4.25 3.09
on precipitation
Calculated value based on
5.33 5.72 8.03 4.78 1.51 0.98 0.62 0.52 0.50 1.34 2.39 3.95 2.97
measured flow volume
(Compiled by Study Team from data provided by Santa Luisa Mining Co.)
b. Data used
The measurement data for rainfall in the vicinity of the study area were obtained from the Huanzala
Meteorology Station and the Huallanca Rainfall Gauging Point. In addition, the actual Torres River
flow volume data were obtained from data measured about once a week by the Santa Luisa Mining
Company at water quarity monitoring points near the Huanzala Mine. Figure 3-3-12 shows the
locations of measuring points, while Table 3-3-6 provides information on these measured values. It
should be noted that the flow volume data for HZ-18 were not used because they were not
compatible with the values from the other points.
40
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
c. Calculation of stream flow volume based on precipitation volume of the catchment area
Based on the precipitation volumes measured at Huanzala and Huallanca, isohyets in the Torres
River catchment was created, and the precipitation volume of the catchment pertaining to each of
the alternative water intake sites was calculated.
Figure 3-3-13 shows the annual average precipitation and elevation of Huanzala and Huallanca.
From the figure, it appears that precipitation in the Torres River catchment increases in proportion
to the elevation. The Torres River system lies on the eastern side of the main ridge of the Andes
Mountains. When moist air from the eastern Amazon side reaches the Andes Mountains, it results in
41
precipitation, so this may be why the higher elevations in the western part of the water system
receive more rainfall. Figure 3-3-14 shows the isohyets map created based on the relationship
between rainfall and elevation.
RAINFALL - ALTITUDE
1700
1600
HUANZALA
1500
RAINFALL (mm)
1400
1300
y = 2018Ln(x) - 15174
1200
R2 = 1
HUALLANCA
1100
1000
3000 3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400
ALTITUDE (m asl)
The annual precipitation in catchments of alternative water intake points was estimated from the
relationship between elevation and precipitation. The annual flow volume obtained for the water
intake points was proportioned for each month based on the monthly precipitation ratios at the
Huanzala Meteorological Station to derive the monthly flow volumes at the water intake points
(Table 3-3-5).
42
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
(Compiled by the Survey Team from GIS map. Topography is based on IGN 1:25000 GIS data)
Figure 3-3-14 Isohyets in the Torres River catchment
43
Figure 3-3-15 shows changes in monthly precipitation over the past 7 years at the Huanzala
Meteorological Station, while Figure 3-3-16 shows the average monthly precipitation during the
7-year period. Table 3-3-7 shows the data that were used in Figure 3-3-16.
400.0
350.0
300.0
RAINFALL (mm)
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 YEARS 2008 2009 2010
(Compiled by the Survey Team from data provided by the Santa Luisa Mining Co.)
400.0
350.0
300.0
RAINFALL (mm)
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
MAXIMUM 341.4 295.0 340.0 192.3 105.2 73.9 167.4 91.9 154.0 282.2 203.2 275.1
AVERAGE 218.6 198.2 258.9 135.7 53.6 38.2 41.6 31.7 93.3 156.2 152.3 182.9
MINIMUM 90.2 124.7 163.8 54.9 24.6 8.6 4.6 12.0 59.8 68.8 52.6 119.1
(Compiled by the Survey Team from data provided by the Santa Luisa Mining Co.)
Figure 3-3-16 Average monthly precipitation at the Huanzala Meteorological
Station for the 7-year period 2004-2010
44
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
Table 3-3-7
Monthly precipitation at the Huanzala Meteorological station (2004-2010)
North 8 908 406 Department Ancash
East 280 087 Province Bolognesi
Elevation 3996 m asl District Huallanca
YEAR JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC TOTAL
2004 218.6 198.2 258.9 135.7 59.9 60.7 167.4 24.8 85.1 160.5 149.4 139.2 1658.3
2005 90.2 150.9 163.8 54.9 25.9 15.2 4.6 36.2 85.9 135.6 52.6 119.1 935.0
2006 165.9 137.8 310.9 179.3 43.2 73.9 23.1 91.9 94.5 183.6 203.2 275.1 1782.4
2007 241.6 124.7 303.5 192.3 105.2 8.6 35.1 25.7 154.0 282.2 174.8 127.5 1775.2
2008 315.5 285.2 236.5 157.7 41.7 66.0 41.4 16.8 95.8 68.8 137.7 185.7 1648.8
2009 341.4 295.0 340.0 141.2 74.4 25.8 10.8 14.4 77.8 110.6 196.0 250.8 1878.2
2010 157.0 195.8 198.6 88.6 24.6 17.2 8.8 12.0 59.8 152.3 152.3 182.9 1249.9
AVERAGE 218.6 198.2 258.9 135.7 53.6 38.2 41.6 31.7 93.3 156.2 152.3 182.9 1561.1
MAXIMUM 341.4 295.0 340.0 192.3 105.2 73.9 167.4 91.9 154.0 282.2 203.2 275.1 1878.2
MINIMUM 90.2 124.7 163.8 54.9 24.6 8.6 4.6 12.0 59.8 68.8 52.6 119.1 935.0
% 14% 13% 17% 9% 3% 2% 3% 2% 6% 10% 10% 12% 100%
d. Flood predictions
The probability of flooding was calculated based on the 2004-2010 records for annual
maximum precipitation at the Huanzala Meteorological Station However, because the
observation period was only 7 years, the statistical accuracy is relatively low.
Gumbel distribution, which is often used in precipitation forecasts, was applied to the probability
calculations. As a result, the maximum 24-hour precipitation in 50 years was determined to be
25.28mm. In addition, the maximum flow volume for this amount of precipitation was calculated to
be 15.7m3/sec using the flow volume calculation software Hec-HMS.
45
Table 3-3-8 Results of field surveys of alternative hydropower station sites
Considerations Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Alternative 4 Alternative 5
Thin cover of sand Thin cover of sand and Thicker talus
Bedrock Thicker talus deposits
Intake and rock fragments rock fragments deposits
◎ ◎ ◎ ○ ○
Ground Bedrock or thin soft Bedrock or thin soft
Bedrock, partly gully Bedrock, partly gully Bedrock, partly gully
condition Channel cover cover
○ ○ ○ ◎ ◎
Power Thin cover of sand Thin cover of sand Thin cover of sand and Thin cover of sand and Thin cover of sand
house/pens and rock fragments and rock fragments rock fragments rock fragments and rock fragments
tock ◎ ◎ ◎ ◎ ◎
Flat, beside steep slope Flat, beside steep
Flat Flat Flat
Intake of boulders slope of boulders
◎ ◎ ◎ ○ ○
Geomor-
Gorge and foothill Steeper slope Steeper slope Steeper slope and cliff Moderate slope
phology Channel
○ ○ ○ △ ◎
Power Moderate slope,
Flat Flat Moderate slope, narrow Flat
house/pens narrow
tock ◎ ◎ △ △ ◎
Possible turbid water Possible turbid water if Contaycocha lake Land slide area in
Stable clear flow
Turbidity if heavy rain heavy rain works as settling basin upper reaches
○ ○ ○ ◎ △
Roadside, but need Roadside, but need
Accessibility to a Roadside Roadside Roadside
bridge bridge
working site ◎ ◎ ○ ○ ◎
Unutilized glassland, Unutilized glassland, Cropland and
Mine facility area Unutilized glassland
Land use partly cropland partly cropland pastureland
UNSUITABLE ◎ ◎ ◎ ○
Ruin, flume and Possible water lowering
not recognized not recognized not recognized not recognized
other socio- of Contaycocha lake
environmental issues ◎ ◎ NEED ANOTHER SURVEY ◎ ◎
Remarkable not recognized not recognized not recognized not recognized not recognized
ecological system
◎ ◎ ◎ ◎ ◎
Priority 4 1 5 3 2
46
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
folding axes are along the strike of the Cretaceous strata. Minor foldings are few. There are three
fault systems. The first one is reverse faults of NNW-SSE strike and moderate dip to southward.
The second and the third ones are strike slip faults of NNE-SSW and ENE-WSW strikes and steep
dips respectively. These faults are spaced from 20m to 200m apart. It is unusual for them to be
found in a large-scale shear zone.
② Rock conditions
Generally speaking, the Cretaceous sedimentary rocks are very hard, but they have a clearly
stratified structure which feature numerous fissures such as faults and joints, which makes it easy to
form blocks. If a power station, etc., were to put increased weight on flat land there would be no
problem. However, for structures on slopes such as water channels, penstocks, slopes behind a
power station, etc., it is necessary to watch out for rock masses falling in blocks. Also, in areas
where there are wedges of coal seams, carbonaceous shales exposed on the surface, etc., there is a
danger that these layers may break along lamination or slip faces.
Alternative sites 1-4 are in valleys that cut across the strike of the rock layers, and the layer profile
is exposed on either bank (Fig. 3-3-7, and the later photos of Alternative Site 2), so it would be
necessary to prevent localized rock falls, but there is relatively little possibility of entire layers
sliding in a major collapse.
Alternative Site 5 is located in a valley that is oriented toward the strike direction of the layers.
However, because the water penstock, power station, etc., would be planned for the left bank which
corresponds to the reverse dip side of the layers, there is relatively little danger of a major failure or
collapse. However, if the slope face on the right bank were to collapse, then an influx of sand and
dirt into the water intake point could be expected.
Site 1-4 Section of left-side slope viewing on the right bank Site 5:Section of crossed to valley viewing on lower flow
47
(Modified INGEMET geological map)
48
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
The geology of the intake point consists of an exposed limestone surface layer, and at the
hypothetical power station there is an exposed coal seam that is sandwiched between alternating
layers of sandstone and shale, so there is probably no problem with ground strength. However, in
the lowermost reaches of the penstock there are weak seams of carbonaceous shale, so it might be
necessary to reinforce the rock there. Here, the carbonaceous shale in the foothills has formed a
gully, so it is likely that a 40m aqueduct bridge would have to be built in this zone. The channel
would traverse the mine facility. This will cause difficulty for working.
Intake
Gully
Channel Forebay
Channel
Penstock
Power station
Channel section from intake of Alternative 1 Power station (white circle) of Alternative 1
The water intake at this site would be located in flat land with siliceous rock overlain by a thin layer
of sand and gravel, so there would be no problem either with workability or rock strength. The
power station and the lowest part of the channel would be in the same locations as Site 1, with
seams of weak carbonaceous shale. Because the water intake of this site would be located in the
furthest downstream area of the Huanzala Mine, the channel zone would not be mine facilities but
49
grassland.
Channel
Forebay
Gully
Penstock
Intake
Cultivated field
Channel
Forebay
Penstock
Power station
Contaycocha lake
Alternative 1&2
power station
50
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
The left bank slope near the intake is shale with many fractures, so fallen gravel is accumulating on
the rock, so it would probably be necessary to have measures to deal with falling rock and ground
reinforcement. There is a dam at the discharge outlet of Contaycocha Lake, so it could be used as a
settling pond. In the channel zone there is no problem with ground strength because it is siliceous
rock. The left bank slope of the latter half of the channel is relatively steep, especially in the
lowermost 300m where there is a cliff, so workability is poor.
The power station would be on gently-sloping land on the left bank that rises about 15m above a
waterfall-like riverbed. This gently-sloping land is privately-owned farmland and pasture. The
Huanzala-Huallanca Road that would be used to transport construction materials is on the right
bank, and the valley from this road to the power station site on the opposite bank is 42m wide.
Alternative 3
forebay
Alternative 4
Alternative 3 channel
penstock
Alternative 3
power station Cliff
From the water intake to the power station, there are alternating layers of shale and sandstone with
coal seams. In the area around the intake, there is hard but highly fissured brittle shale layer, and
51
talus has been accumulating to a thickness of several meters. To construct an intake, it would be
necessary to remove debris near the surface, reinforce the rock, take measures to counter falling
rock, and take actions to prevent the influx of sand and gravel, among other things. The channel
zone and the power station site are base rock or base rock covered by a thin layer of accumulated
soil, the slopes are relatively gentle, and ground strength and workability do not appear to pose
problems. The land in the water channel zone is used for crop land, housing, pasture, and grassland,
and compared to other sites the proportions of farm fields, houses and pastureland are relatively
high.
Intake site of alternative 5 Channel zone and power station sites of alternative 5
52
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
(Compiled by the Survey Team from GIS map. Data supplied by INGEMMET )
Figure 3-3-19
Existing information about environmental/social impact items near the study area
There are many types of intake systems, such as the run-off-river, regulating reservoir, and storage
reservoir systems. Since the run-off-river system uses river flow volume as is, it is difficult to adjust
53
output, but construction costs are low. In the regulating reservoir system, daily and weekly must be
monitored, with water stored during low load and released during heavy load. In the storage
reservoir system, water is stored during periods of abundance, while in periods of drought every
effort is made to maintain a water level that will enable a stable amount of power to be generated,
so it is seasonally adjusted.
Intake gate
Aboideau
Big scale intake of run-off-river type Small scale intake of run-off-river type
(Source: Report of “Study on the Huanzala – Pallca Region in the Republic of Peru”, 2009 )
In the study area there are distinct rainy and dry periods, so there are large seasonal differences in
water flow volume, so the reservoir system would be effective for maintaining a flow volume that
would be stable throughout the year. However, upstream of alternative power station sites the
valleys are very shallow, so dams/embankments would have to be very long. Moreover, nearly
every bit of the valley floor is used for pasture land, and it would be necessary to reroute the
existing road along the river.
At the same time, the lower reaches are steep, valleys are narrow, and reservoir storage capacity
would be low. Moreover, there would be a large influx of sand and sediment, and the existing
roadway would also have to be rerouted. Therefore, the reservoir system does not appear to be
economical, so it was eliminated from consideration.
54
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
View looking down on the Torres River View of upper reaches of the Torres River
headwaters from Yanash Allash pass from the water intake of Alternative 1
In the case of a run-off-river system, if the dry season water level is used, then there would not be
much fluctuation in output during the year, but much water would not be usable during periods of
abundance, so the amount of electricity generated in a year would be small, and it would not be
very economical. Seasonal fluctuations that can be expected in water volume can be dealt with by
installing several turbine generators.
The Pelton turbine is a type of turbine that uses the collision force of water flow. In contrast to the
turbine liner, water flowing from a tangential direction is incidental, and the force of impact is used
to turn the turbine. It is highly efficient and used to generate electricity in small hydroelectric plants
using high water pressure where the effective head is at least 250m.
The Francis type is a reaction-type turbine that is moved by water flowing toward the interior and
comes in radial and axial types that each have many combinations of features. Water flows to push
wings of a turbine from outside toward the center of the turbine, and then goes out to downward.
Francis turbines are the most widely used turbines today, and their range of effective head is from a
few dozen meters to several hundred meters.
Because the effective relief in the candidate sites in this study is 100m more or less, Francis turbines
could be used at all of them.
55
Generator
Inflow
Inflow
Outflow
(Source: Voith Siemens )
The per kW cost of generation by large-capacity turbines is cheaper than having several more
lower-capacity turbines, so it is economical to have a lower number of turbines if they are higher
capacity. However, there are seasonal fluctuations in water flow volume in the study area, so large
turbines would often be working at only partial capacity, reducing their efficiency. Therefore,
seasonal changes can be dealt with by installing 2 turbines each with ½ capacity and varying the
number of turbines that are working.
It should be noted that synchronous generators is achieved by matching voltage and frequency
before connection with national power grid, while it would not have much effect on
interconnectivity, it would be necessary to have excitation equipment, synchronizing equipment,
etc.
56
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
As a result, the lowest unit cost for electric generation was Alternative 5 at US$0.39/kWh (3m3/s),
followed by Alternative 3 (US$0.44/kWh, 4m3/s) and Alternative 4 (US$0.45/kWh, 3m3/s), which
were at roughly the same unit cost. In each case, the set value was for flow volume during the
period of water abundance. However, in the cases where drought-period flow volume was assumed,
the unit generation costs were highest for all of the alternative sites. The unit generation costs were
derived with the following equation.
Unit generating cost = Construction cost ($1000)/annual electric production (MWh)
57
Table 3-3-9 Unit generation cost for each alternative
Water volume Capacity Construction cost Base cost of
Site
[m3/sec] [MWh] [$1,000] production [$/kWh]
Alternative 1 1 6,757 4,500 0.67
2 11,017 6,100 0.55
3 14,476 7,400 0.51
4 17,358 8,800 0.51
Alternative 2 1 3,337 2,800 0.84
2 5,535 3,600 0.65
3 7,253 4,300 0.59
4 8,753 5,100 0.58
Alternative 3 1 6,370 3,800 0.60
2 10,566 5,000 0.47
3 13,847 6,200 0.45
4 16,711 7,400 0.44
Alternative 4 1 6,894 3,700 0.54
2 10,858 5,200 0.48
3 13,990 6,300 0.45
4 16,138 7,600 0.47
Alternative 5 1 7,550 3,600 0.48
2 12,095 5,000 0.41
3 15,582 6,100 0.39
4 18,380 7,400 0.40
In the past, the facility capacity has been determined based on the minimum flow as the normal
amount of water used. However, with the development of facilities in the vicinity, the facility
58
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
capacity is now being determined by the ordinary water discharge or greater value. In addition,
there are also some cases where facilities ensure a three-month flow. Therefore, the water use
volume for each alternative site was set at 1m3/s~4m3/s, with increments of 1m3/s.
Figure 3-3-20~23 show the flow state curves at each alternative site intake point. Table 3-3-10
shows available days a year of maximum water use volumes for each alternative site.
[m3/s]
16
2009 (stream water flow volume)
2m3
10 3m3
4m3
0 137 day
58 91 182
0 90 180 270 360
Figure 3-3-20 Flow state curve for the intake point of Alternative 1
Table 3-3-10 Maximum water use volumes and its available days
Available days in a year
3
1m 2 m3 3 m3 4 m3
Alternative 1 182 137 91 58
Alternative 2, 3 189 140 100 66
Alternative 4 197 147 105 75
Alternative 5 225 161 133 96
59
m3/s
16
2009 (stream water flow volume)
2m3
3m3
10
4m3
0 day
0 66 90100 140 189
180 270 360
Figure 3-3-21 Flow state curve for the intake point of Alternative 2 & 3
m3/s
20
2009 (stream water flow volume)
2m3
14 3m3
4m3
12
10
0 day
0 75 90 105 147 180197 270 360
Figure 3-3-22 Flow state curve for the intake point of Alternative 4
60
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
m3/s
20
2009 (stream water flow volume)
14 2m3
3m3
12 4m3
10
0 day日
0 9096 133 161 180 225 270 360
Figure 3-3-23 Flow state curve for the intake point of Alternative 5
Generated power = 9.8 X flow volume (m3/sec) X effective head X turbine efficiency η1
X generator efficiency η2
Electric power generated per day (kWh) = generated power (kW) X 24 (hours)
Here, the efficiency values used in the calculations were provisionally assumed to be η1=0.91 and
η2=0.95. In actuality, they vary depending on the use conditions. The flow volume that can be used
to calculate the power generation volume was based on the previously shown flow state curve data.
However, when the flow volume exceeded the maximum water use volume, then the electric
generating capacity was derived with the maximum water use volume being equal to the maximum
flow volume. Table 3-3-11 shows the generated power (average) and electric energy for the flow
volumes of each alternative.
61
Table 3-3-11 Generated power and electric energy for each alternative
Max. water use Generated power
Electric energy
Site volume (average)
[MWh]
[m3/sec] [kW]
1 804 6,757
Alternative 2 1,312 11,017
1 3 1,723 14,476
4 2,066 17,358
1 397 3,337
Alternative 2 659 5,535
2 3 863 7,253
4 1,042 8,753
1 758 6,370
Alternative 2 1,258 10,566
3 3 1,648 13,847
4 1,989 16,711
1 805 6,894
Alternative 2 1,267 10,858
4 3 1,633 13,990
4 1,883 16,138
1 881 7,550
Alternative 2 1,412 12,095
5 3 1,819 15,582
4 2,145 18,380
Construction unit costs were derived from interviews with the Peruvian civil engineering consultant
S&Z Company about standard costs in Peru. In addition, the lower power generating unit cost was
Alternative 5 at US$0.39/kWh (3m3/s), followed by Alternative 4 (US$0.45/kWh, 3m3/s).
Furthermore, in the case of maximum water use volume being the 1m3/s flow volume during
drought, the lowest costs were also at Alternative 5. Table 3-3-14 shows a breakdown of these costs.
62
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
63
Table 3-3-14 Breakdown of construction costs
Unit: US$1000
Site 4 Site 5
Max. water use volume 3 m3/sec 3 m3/sec 1 m3/sec
Annual production 13,990 MWh 15,582 MWh 7,550 MWh
Intake and sedimentation pond 220 220 220
Water conduit 420 560 460
Bed ducts 50 50 30
Penstock 210 120 100
Power station 140 140 120
Spillway 190 140 120
Discharge channel 70 70 20
Gates, valves, etc. 260 260 110
Turbines & generators 2,060 1,950 720
Transformer equipment 210 210 150
Power transmission equipment 30 50 50
Temporary facilities 270 270 150
Detailed design, etc. 90 90 90
Construction management 820 810 630
Overhead costs 1260 1160 630
6,300 6,100 3,600
US$1,000
12,400 -
Totals
559.5 million yen 541.7 million yen 319.7 million yen
Yen
1.112 billion yen -
Note: Average exchange rate for 2010: US$1.00 = 88.81 yen
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Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
In contrast, the unit price was highest for all alternative sites when the hypothetical maximum water
use volume was 1m3/s of flow volume during a drought period. The construction costs for water
use volume of 1m3/s were 60% those of 3m3/s, but the amount of power generated for 1m3/s was
50% or less.
For alternatives 2 and 3, the unit cost of power generation for 4m3/s was US$0.01 lower than at
3m3/s. However, at site 4 where the flow volume was actually measured, as well as other sites, and
from the trends in Figure 3-3-24, it was concluded that overall, the minimum unit cost of power
generation would be around 3m3/s. The maximum water use volume was based on actual
measurements taken from 2006 to 2009, but in the two years before that (2004 and 2005),
precipitation data indicate that there was less water flowing in streams during the rainy season (Fig.
3-3-15). If stream flow of the rainy season is lower, power generation efficiency decreases as
maximum water use volume increases. Therefore, it was concluded that the unit cost of power
generation for 4m3/s would be more expensive than for 3m3/s.
[US$/kWh] [GWh]
1.00 20
Alternative 5
0.90 18
Alternative 1
Alternative 2 Alternative 3
0.80 Alternative 4 16
0.70 Alternative 1 14
0.60 Alternative 3 12
Alternative 4
0.50 Alternative 5 10
Alternative 2
0.40 8
0.30 6
0.20 4
0.10 2
0.00 0
[m3/s]
1 2 3 4
Solid lines:Unit cost/Dotted lines:Amount of electricity generated
Figure 3-3-24
Relation between maximum water use volume and construction costs
65
(4) Overview of the project plan
1. Basic guidelines for deciding on the contents of the project
a. Background for determining the basic guidelines
The Peruvian government’s aim is to let private companies handle the construction of electric
power stations. The Peruvian government grants approval for power station construction. Since
hydroelectric power conforms with, and is thus recommended by, the government’s policy of
promoting renewable energy resources.
Details of carrying out the project lie within the context of the development plan and operating
conditions for the entire Huanzala complex (including the Pallca Mine and the planned Atalaya
Mine). The Atalaya deposit is currently being explored, and at the stage where the scale of
development will be ascertained, then the contents of this project will be reviewed.
The Huallanca Hydropower station, which is currently operating, produces electricity at lower cost,
and provides a greater return on investment, than either the diesel-powered generators at the Pallca
Mine, or purchasing electricity from the national grid. Furthermore, its environmental impacts, such
as air pollution and emission of CO2, are lower. Because of these superior aspects, hydroelectric
power is the most suitable source of electricity source for the Huanzala Mine, and given the
increases in electricity demand that are expected in the future, it will be necessary to increase the
proportion of hydroelectric power.
b. Basic guidelines
The proposed project was selected from among the 5 alternative sites along the Torres River. The
basic guidelines for deciding on the design and specifications were selected based on minimizing
environmental and social impacts, ensuring safety, meeting future increases in demand, and
providing the greatest economy and power generation capacity.
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Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
The items considered for selecting projects were ranked according to their level of quality, and the
total scores for each alternative site were compared and the sites with the lowest scores were
selected for the proposed project. The maximum water use volume for the lowest unit cost of power
generation at these candidate sites was determined to be 3m3/s. As long as workability and
environmental/social impacts were not decidedly negative factors, the emphasis was on unit cost of
power generation and electric power volume, which were ranked (scored), and workability and
environmental/social impacts were given a score of 1. As a result, Alternative 5 was ranked highest
on the list, followed by Alternative 4. These sites are in independent locations, and construction is
possible at both sites, so they were selected for the project (Table 3-4-1).
67
Table 3-4-1 Results of project selection
Workability, Environmental and social impacts
Considerations Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Alternative 4 Alternative 5
Thin cover of sand Thin cover of sand and Thicker talus
Bedrock Thicker talus deposits
Intake and rock fragments rock fragments deposits
◎ ◎ ◎ ○ ○
Ground Bedrock or thin soft Bedrock or thin soft
Bedrock, partly gully Bedrock, partly gully Bedrock, partly gully
condition Channel cover cover
○ ○ ○ ◎ ◎
Power Thin cover of sand Thin cover of sand Thin cover of sand and Thin cover of sand and Thin cover of sand
house/pens and rock fragments and rock fragments rock fragments rock fragments and rock fragments
tock ◎ ◎ ◎ ◎ ◎
Flat, beside steep slope Flat, beside steep
Flat Flat Flat
Intake of boulders slope of boulders
◎ ◎ ◎ ○ ○
Geomor-
Gorge and foothill Steeper slope Steeper slope Steeper slope and cliff Moderate slope
phology Channel
○ ○ ○ △ ◎
Power Moderate slope,
Flat Flat Moderate slope, narrow Flat
house/pens narrow
tock ◎ ◎ △ △ ◎
Possible turbid water Possible turbid water if Contaycocha lake Land slide area in
Stable clear flow
Turbidity if heavy rain heavy rain works as settling basin upper reaches
○ ○ ○ ◎ △
Roadside, but need Roadside, but need
Accessibility to a Roadside Roadside Roadside
bridge bridge
working site ◎ ◎ ○ ○ ◎
Unutilized glassland, Unutilized glassland, Cropland and
Mine facility area Unutilized glassland
Land use partly cropland partly cropland pastureland
UNSUITABLE ◎ ◎ ◎ ○
Ruin, flume and Possible water lowering
not recognized not recognized not recognized not recognized
other socio- of Contaycocha lake
environmental issues ◎ ◎ NEED ANOTHER SURVEY ◎ ◎
Remarkable not recognized not recognized not recognized not recognized not recognized
ecological system
◎ ◎ ◎ ◎ ◎
Priority 4 1 5 3 2
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Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
69
Figure 3-4-1 Proposed project sites
70
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
71
Figure 3-4-3 Conceptual design of facilities for Site 4
73
Chapter 3 Justification, Objectives and Technical Feasibility of the Project
In addition to this electric power equipment, there must also be transformers, insulators, and
various panels to maintain, observe and control them. Figure 3-4-4 shows a single-line connection
with the Torres River hydropower station
5. Issues associated with the utilization of proposed technologies and systems and measures
to resolve them
The river flow volume data used in the design of this proposed project were derived from
measurement data taken once a week for 4 years, and from values estimated therefrom. However,
75
these data are thought to be insufficient for the detailed design. Before undertaking this project, it
would be preferable to take actual measurements for at least 1 or 2 years at the project sites, and
confirm the actual flow volume. In addition, it will be necessary to conduct an impact assessment
on the aquatic ecosystems in the project area and ensure a sustainable amount of water.
76
Chapter 4
Evaluation of Environmental and Social Impacts
Chapter 4 Evaluation of Environmental and Social Impacts
Estimates of the annual power that would be provided by the proposed new hydroelectric plant are
as follows: 13,990MWh at Site 4; 15,582MWh at Site 5 (see Chapter 3). The electricity produced at
either of these sites could replace the power that is purchased from the national grid. Therefore, if
this project is materialized, the CO2 emissions from the mine resulting from the use of thermal
(natural gas) power would be reduced by the equivalent amount of hydroelectric power.
The amount of CO2 emissions produced by gas-fired power generation is 608g/kWh in Japan
(CRIEPI, 2001), and 599g/kWh in the United States (EPA, 2000). Because data on CO2 emissions
from Peruvian gas-fired power plants was unavailable, it was estimated that an intermediate amount
of 600g/kWh could be reduced. In addition, the amount of CO2 emissions produced by hydropower
generation was set at 11g/kWh (CRIEPI, 2001).
Potential CO2 reduction at Site 4: 8,240t
Potential CO2 reduction at Site 5: 9,178t
77
(2) Environmental and social effects of project implementation
1. Sifting out environmental and social impacts and associated results
This study included reconnaissance surveys interviews with various organizations about the projects
in this study using JBIC guidelines and environmental checklist as references. After the field study,
the scale of the project was also considered and items that could have an environmental impact
were sifted out. As a result, it became necessary to consider the impact on agricultural water used
by local residents and on the ecosystem. At the stage of applying for an EIA during the power plant
construction, quantitative data that were obtained from detailed screening will have to be used to
calculate the degree of impact and formulate countermeasures. The following is a list of survey
results based on the JBIC guidelines and environmental checklist.
Table 4-2-1 Results of the hydropower facility survey
based on the environmental checklist
Environmental item Survey results
1. Permit/approval and explanation
Electric power companies that supply electric
(1) EIA and environmental approval power must submit EIA to the DGAAM and
DGAAE.
Explanatory meetings are held with participants
including local resident representatives, and
(2) Explanation to local residents
officials from MEM, Ministry of Agriculture,
Ministry of the Environment.
2. Anti-pollution measures
Because it is hydropower, no smoke or air
(1) Air quality
pollutants will be generated.
Because it is hydropower, no water pollutants
(2) Water quality
will be generated.
Because it is hydropower, no waste products will
(3) Waste products
be generated.
Because it is hydropower, no soil pollutants will
(4) Soil pollutants
be generated by the facility.
During the EIA, it will be necessary to conduct a
(5) Noise and Vibration survey on noise and vibrations that may be
generated by the hydropower facility.
Because a reservoir will be used, no groundwater
will be pumped up. Also, since the power facility
(6) Ground settlement is small in scale, there is no possibility of ground
settlement occurring during construction of the
hydropower facility
This is not a problem since no pollutants or waste
(7) Bad odors
products will be generated.
3. Natural environment
The candidate sites are far from national parks
(1) Protected areas and other protected areas. and no Inca ruins have
been confirmed. During the EIA, a detailed
78
Chapter 4 Evaluation of Environmental and Social Impacts
79
measures will be considered when necessary.
2. Comparison between the proposed project and other options that may have lesser
environmental/social impacts.
As a clean, cheap and stable electric power source like the ones proposed in Chapter 3,
hydroelectric power is the only option that is currently viable, and there are no other options in sight
that would have a lesser impact on the environment and local society.
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Chapter 4 Evaluation of Environmental and Social Impacts
Peru has also been placing special importance on the protection of local government and lifestyles
of local residents, as well as the protection of archaeological sites. It should be noted that Peru’s is
famous for Inca-period ruins, and more than 10,000 sites have already been registered. But it is said
that there may be as many as 100,000 sites that dot the Peruvian landscape.
81
Construction as Mining-related
Construction as a Power Company
Facilities
ANA
Acquire Hydrological Survey Permit and Water Rights 30 days
DGAAE DGAAM
Acquire Temporary Power Generation Permit
Acquire Power Operations Permit
・Submit required documents EIA Inspection & Approval
・Carry out EIA *Details forthcoming
DGAAE
DGAAM
Acquire Power Generation Permit
Acquire Power Generation Permit
ANA
Acquire Water Rights
Begin Operations
OEFA
Ongoing Monitoring for Environmental Problems
The flowing tables (4-3-1 and 4-3-2) show lists of laws governing approval of electric power
generating projects and environmental and social considerations.
Table 4-3-1 List of laws related to approval for power generation projects
Name of Law Summary
1 SD No 009-93-EM Supreme law related to electric power
2 Law No 25844 Regulations related to electric power permits
3 Law No 16053 Regulations related to environmental study consultants
4 Law No 29338 Regulations related to water resources and ownership
5 Law No 29060 Regulations related to procedures for obtaining power
6 Law No 27798 generation permits
7 Law No 26834 Regulations related to nature protection areas
Regulations related to participatory planning and
8 DS No 028-2008-EM
explanations to local residents
Regulations related to granting approval for power plant
9 DS No 025-2006-EM
construction and operation
10 057-2004PCM Regulations related to residuals and waste products
11 DS. No. 001-2010-AG Regulations related to the management of water resources
12 Ley No. 17752 Regulations related to the protection of water resources
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Chapter 4 Evaluation of Environmental and Social Impacts
83
Explanatory meeting with local residents
Submission of EIA to MINAM and other oversight agencies, and examination by relevant
organizations
Public release to the media and public hearings
Acceptance of public comments
Approval of EIA examination by oversight agencies
Special emphasis is placed in resident participation in the planning and the holding of explanatory
meetings with local residents. There are precise regulations governing the explanatory meetings. In
addition, the DGAAE holds an interview to hear the project supervisor explain about the
importance of the project. Furthermore, the law stipulates that studies for the EIA examination and
compilation of reports be conducted by a consultant that is certified by MEM. The format of the
study report differs depending on the category, but in this study the project involves the construction
of a hydroelectric power plant, so it is mainly subject to regulations of the DGAAM, “Generation of
up to 20MW of electricity with renewable energy”, and survey items are governed by applicable
laws listed above in Table 4-3-2. Furthermore, if the study results indicate that there may be an
environmental impact, countermeasures must also be listed. The following is a list of the general
procedures for applying for an EIA, and a flow chart for power generation projects.
Submit Documents with
Additional Evaluation
Application for Inspection
Documents
EIA Report
Document Inspection and
Site Inspection
Public Hearing
Issuing of
Environmental Permit
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Chapter 4 Evaluation of Environmental and Social Impacts
Approval of DGAAE
Submit Plan for EIA
Public Participation Plan for Public
Re-inspection
Participation OK
120 Days
Submission of EIA
EIA Report Submitted to Public Hearing
Relevant Agencies:
・DGAAE (Ministry of Energy and Mines)
・MINAM (Ministry of Environment)
・DGAA (Ministry of Agriculture)
However, for the construction of the present power plant, if it is built as a incidental facility of a
mine, it will require a new EIA application and approval. In this case PAMA had already been
approved, so an interview was held with DGAAE, which replied that EIA survey items related to
power plant construction were acceptable, rather than items covering the entire spectrum of mining
operations (excavation, beneficiation, etc.). Therefore, the survey items were mainly those
stipulated by the DGAAE. In that study, the focus was on environmental and social impacts on the
ecosystems of the Torres River system and local residents.
About procedures for applications
85
The activities of the Huanzala Mine have already been approved through the PAMA. The contents
of the EIA study related to the power plant construction differ from the prescribed application
procedures and items— the contents of this study mainly follow the study items stipulated by the
electric power sector. The details of the procedural methods, study items, etc., are not stipulated by
law but rather are determined after consultations with the relevant government agency(s) (in this
case, DGAAM).
The following 3 points have been identified as potential issues that should be resolved and as
matters that should be handled by executive organizations of the Peruvian government:
Smooth response to procedures for various procedures, including EIA examinations
Support for explaining about the project to local residents, and support for the project
during negotiations
Public disclosure of information about the project, and fair treatment
These are also related to Peruvian government guidelines, and there will be increasing emphasis on
86
Chapter 4 Evaluation of Environmental and Social Impacts
consideration of environmental and social impacts. Against this backdrop, at the execution stage of
this project, it is necessary to consider environmental load on local communities and to
conceptualize beneficial effects. It is especially important to reach an agreement with local residents.
In order for the private company that is undertaking this project to obtain agreement for it from
local residents, there will have to be a satisfactory explanation about it, and the Peruvian
government will have to provide its assistance to help the project go smoothly.
87
Chapter 5
Financial and Economic Evaluation
Chapter 5 Financial and Economic Evaluation
The cost breakdown for sites 4 and 5 is shown in Table 5-1-1. These do not include costs such as
Environment Impact Assessments, land purchase, etc.
Site 4 Site 5
Bed ducts 50 50
Discharge channel 70 70
The project cost for site 4 alone is around 6.3 million dollars, for site 5 alone is around 6.1 million
dollars, and for both is around 12.4 million dollars.
89
Aside from detailed planning, construction management, and sundries, these are the direct costs of
construction. To build a small-scale hydro-electric power station in Peru, the direct costs are generally.
30% labor, 40% materials, and 30% equipment. Also, about 50% of equipment expenses is paid to
overseas manufacturers. A list of foreign and domestic expenses for this project is shown in Table5.1.2.
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Chapter 5 Financial and Economic Evaluation
91
Table 5-2-1 Profit-and-Loss estimates for each Year
(In the case of site 4)
(Unit: 1,000 US$)
△Traiding mark indicates expenses
year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total
Earning (Effect) Investment effect of proposed site 4 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 11,192
Expenditure (Maintenace fee) Maintenace fee of proposed site 4 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 950
Construction and equipment are caluculated for expected life of 10
Depreciation 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 6,300
years ( Straigt Method ).
Interset paid ( 6% ) Based on the Peruviun domestic long-term market rate of 6%. 216 216 192 168 144 120 96 72 48 24 1,296
Pre-tax profit △ 216 △ 216 202 226 250 274 298 322 346 370 394 394 2,646
Income tax ( 24% ) Caluculated based on the Tax Stabilization Contract ( 24% ) 49 54 60 66 72 77 83 89 95 95 740
After-tax profit △ 216 △ 216 153 172 190 208 226 245 263 281 299 299 1,906
Percentage of the electric power comsumption that pre-tax profit
82% 80% 78% 76% 73% 71% 69% 67% 65% 65% 76%
become "0" to the electric power production of the proposed site 4
* 2013 - 2014 Prepartion period for constructing of hydoropower station
** 2015 - 2016 Construction period forh ydorpower station
Interset paid ( 6% ) Based on the Peruviun domestic long-term market rate of 6%. 210 210 187 163 140 117 93 70 47 23 1,260
Pre-tax profit △ 210 △ 210 358 382 405 428 452 475 498 522 545 545 4,186
Income tax ( 24% ) Caluculated based on the Tax Stabilization Contract ( 24% ) 86 92 97 103 108 114 119 125 131 131 1,106
After-tax profit △ 210 △ 210 272 290 308 325 344 361 379 397 414 414 3,080
Percentage of the electrical power comsumption that pre-tax profit become
71% 69% 68% 66% 64% 62% 60% 58% 56% 56% 66%
"0" to the electric power production of the proposed site 5
* 2013 - 2014 Prepartion period for constructing of Hydoropower electric station
** 2015 - 2016 Construction period for Hydorpower electric station
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Chapter 5 Financial and Economic Evaluation
93
2. Cash Flow from the perspective of companies undertaking the projects
Cash flow from the perspective of companies undertaking the projects was calculated. Cash flow
for site 4 alone is shown in 5.2.4, for site 5 alone in 5.2.5, and for sites 4 & 5 together in 5.2.6.
The results of these cash flow calculations show that in all three cases, with appropriate funding
from capital providers and financiers, the numbers are appropriate.
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Chapter 5 Financial and Economic Evaluation
Table 5-2-4 Cash flow from the perspective of companies undertaking the projects
(In the case of site 4)
(Unit: 1,000 US$)
△Traiding mark indicates expenses
year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total
Earning ( Effect) Investment effect of proposed site 4 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 1,119 11,192
Expenditure ( Maintenace fee ) Maintenace fee of proposed site 4 △ 95 △ 95 △ 95 △ 95 △ 95 △ 95 △ 95 △ 95 △ 95 △ 95 △ 950
Loan repayment △ 400 △ 400 △ 400 △ 400 △ 400 △ 400 △ 400 △ 400 △ 400 △ 3,600
Interset paid ( 6% ) Based on the Peruviun domestic long-term market rate of 6%. △ 216 △ 216 △ 192 △ 168 △ 144 △ 120 △ 96 △ 72 △ 48 △ 24 △ 1,296
New loans 3,600 3,600
New expences 3,600 3,600
Capital Investment Cost of the proposed site 4 △ 3,150 △ 3,150 △ 6,300
Income-tax paid Caluculated based on the Tax Stabilization Contract ( 24% ) △ 49 △ 54 △ 60 △ 66 △ 72 △ 77 △ 83 △ 89 △ 95 △ 95 △ 740
Cash flow by year 234 △ 166 383 402 420 438 456 475 493 511 929 929 5,506
Total cash flow for number of years elapsed 234 68 451 853 1,274 1,712 2,168 2,643 3,136 3,648 4,577 5,506
* 2013 - 2014 Prepartion period for constructing of Hydoropower electric station (FIRR=N/A)
** 2015 - 2016 Construction period for Hydorpower electric station
Table 5-2-5 Cash flow from the perspective of companies undertaking the projects
(In the case of site 5)
(Unit: 1,000 US$)
△Traiding mark indicates expenses
year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total
Earning ( Effect) Investment effect of proposed site 5 1,247 1,247 1,247 1,247 1,247 1,247 1,247 1,247 1,247 1,247 12,466
Expenditure ( Maintenace fee ) Maintenace fee of proposed site 5 △ 92 △ 92 △ 92 △ 92 △ 92 △ 92 △ 92 △ 92 △ 92 △ 92 △ 920
Loan repayment △ 389 △ 389 △ 389 △ 389 △ 389 △ 389 △ 389 △ 389 △ 388 △ 3,500
Interset paid ( 6% ) Based on the Peruviun domestic long-term market rate of 6%. △ 210 △ 210 △ 187 △ 163 △ 140 △ 117 △ 93 △ 70 △ 47 △ 23 △ 1,260
New loans 3,500 3,500
New expences 3,500 3,500
Capital Investment △ 3,050 △ 3,050 △ 6,100
Income-tax paid Caluculated based on the Tax Stabilization Contract ( 24% ) △ 86 △ 92 △ 97 △ 103 △ 108 △ 114 △ 119 △ 125 △ 131 △ 131 △ 1,106
Cash flow by year 240 △ 149 493 511 529 546 565 582 600 619 1,024 1,024 6,580
Total cash flow for number of years elapsed 240 91 584 1,094 1,623 2,168 2,733 3,314 3,914 4,532 5,556 6,580
* 2013 - 2014 Prepartion period for constructing of Hydoropower electric station (FIRR=N/A)
** 2015 - 2016 Construction period for Hydorpower electric station
95
Table 5-2-6 Cash flow from the perspective of companies undertaking the projects
(In the case of site 4 and site 5)
(Unit: 1,000 US$)
△Traiding mark indicates expenses
year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total
Earning ( Effect) Investment effect of proposed site 4 and 5 2,366 2,366 2,366 2,366 2,366 2,366 2,366 2,366 2,366 2,366 23,658
Expenditure ( Maintenace fee ) Maintenace fee of proposed site 4 and 5 △ 187 △ 187 △ 187 △ 187 △ 187 △ 187 △ 187 △ 187 △ 187 △ 187 △ 1,870
Loan repayment △ 789 △ 789 △ 789 △ 789 △ 789 △ 789 △ 789 △ 789 △ 788 △ 7,100
Interset paid ( 6% ) Based on the Peruviun domestic long-term market rate of 6%. △ 426 △ 426 △ 379 △ 331 △ 284 △ 237 △ 189 △ 142 △ 95 △ 47 △ 2,556
New loans 7,100 7,100
New expences 7,100 7,100
Cost of the proposed site 4 △ 3,150 △ 3,150 △ 6,300
Capital Investment Cost of the proposed site 5 △ 3,050 △ 3,050 △ 6,100
Total △ 6,200 △ 6,200 △ 12,400
Income-tax paid Caluculated based on the Tax Stabilization Contract ( 24% ) △ 134 △ 146 △ 157 △ 168 △ 180 △ 191 △ 203 △ 214 △ 225 △ 225 △ 1,843
Cash flow by year 474 △ 315 877 913 949 985 1,021 1,057 1,092 1,130 1,954 1,954 12,089
Total cash flow for number of years elapsed 474 159 1,036 1,949 2,897 3,882 4,903 5,960 7,051 8,181 10,135 12,089
* 2013 - 2014 Prepartion period for constructing of hydoropower station (FIRR=N/A)
** 2015 - 2016 Construction period for hydorpower station
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Chapter 5 Financial and Economic Evaluation
The results of these cash flow calculations show that in all three cases, initial investment
(principal) could be recovered 7 years after financing, and no problem is forseen in complete
repayment of a ten-year loan.
97
Table 5-2-7 Cash flow from the perspective of capital providers and financiers
(In the case of site 4)
(Unit: 1,000 US$)
△Traiding mark indicates expenses
year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total
New loans △ 3,600 △ 3,600
Loan repayment Caluculated besed on a 10-year loan period (with a 2-year deferment) 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 3,600
Interest earned Based on the Peruviun domestic long-term market rate of 6%. 216 216 192 168 144 120 96 72 48 24 1,296
Cash flow by year △ 3,384 616 592 568 544 520 496 472 448 424 1,296
Total cash flow for number of years elapsed △ 3,384 △ 2,768 △ 2,176 △ 1,608 △ 1,064 △ 544 △ 48 424 872 1,296 - -
* For cases of receiving financing from a public organization, the FIRR value is 1.0 % (or loss) (FIRR=6.0%)
Table 5-2-8 Cash flow from the perspective of capital providers and financiers
(In the case of site 5)
(Unit: 1,000 US$)
△Traiding mark indicates expenses
year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total
New loans △ 3,500 △ 3,500
Loan repayment Caluculated besed on a 10-year loan period (with a 2-year deferment) 389 389 389 389 389 389 389 389 388 3,500
Interest earned Based on the Peruviun domestic long-term market rate of 6%. 210 210 187 163 140 117 93 70 47 23 1,260
Cash flow by year △ 3,290 599 576 552 529 506 482 459 436 411 1,260
Total cash flow for number of years elapsed △ 3,290 △ 2,691 △ 2,115 △ 1,563 △ 1,034 △ 528 △ 46 413 849 1,260 - -
* For cases of receiving financing from a public organization, the FIRR value is 1.0 % (or loss) (FIRR=6.0%)
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Chapter 5 Financial and Economic Evaluation
Table 5-2-9 Cash flow from the perspective of capital providers and financiers
(In the case of site 4 and site 5)
(Unit: 1,000 US$)
△Traiding mark indicates expenses
year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 累計
New loans △ 7,100 △ 7,100
Loan repayment Caluculated besed on a 10-year loan period (with a 2-year deferment) 789 789 789 789 789 789 789 789 788 7,100
Interest earned Based on the Peruviun domestic long-term market rate of 6%. 426 426 379 331 284 237 189 142 95 47 2,556
Cash flow by year △ 6,674 1,215 1,168 1,120 1,073 1,026 978 931 884 835 2,556
Total cash flow for number of years elapsed △ 6,674 △ 5,459 △ 4,291 △ 3,171 △ 2,098 △ 1,072 △ 94 837 1,721 2,556 - -
* For cases of receiving financing from a public organization, the FIRR value is 1.0 % (or loss) (FIRR=6.0%)
99
4. Rate of investment return and benefits
According to Peru’s Canon law, 50% of taxes on mining are set aside for measures to reduce
poverty and improve living standards, and research and development at the college level. 65% of
construction costs will be spent on local job creation and provision of equipment. So, in terms of
contributing to the regional economy, we believe that as a target of investment, this project must be
considered a long-term investment in the relationship with the people of the area. So, investment
efficiency is also evaluated and considered from an overall standpoint. The results of the EIRR,
NPV, and B/C calculations for site 4 alone, for site 5 alone, and for sites 4 & 5 together show that
in all three cases the Net Present Value (NPV) is greater than 0, the Cost/benefit ratio (CBR) is
greater than 1, and the Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) is 6&, and the projects are
therefore economically viable. Tables 5-2-10 and 5-2-11 show investment effectiveness and
benefit items, respectively, for the site 4 hydroelectric power station project alone.
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Chapter 5 Financial and Economic Evaluation
*Comfirmable of economical relevance for values of NPV > 0, CBR >1 and EIRR > Discount rate (6%)
101
Tables 5-2-12 and 5-2-13 show investment effectiveness and benefit items, respectively, for the
site 5 hydroelectric power station project alone.
Table 5-2-12 Investment effectiveness
(In the case of site 5)
Item Index Contents
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Chapter 5 Financial and Economic Evaluation
Tables 5-2-14 and 5-2-15 show investment effectiveness and benefit items, respectively, for the
both site 4 and site 5 hydroelectric power station projects.
*Comfirmable of economical relevance for values of NPV > 0, CBR >1 and EIRR > Discount rate (6%)
103
Chapter 6
Planned Project Schedule
Chapter 6 Planned Project Schedule
When the Atalaya deposit is developed, the Huanzala mine, the Pallca mine, and the Atalaya deposit
are all planned to be connected by power lines, so the execution of this project is positioned in the
overall operations plan for Huanzala mine, including the Atalaya deposit and the Pallca mine.
The schedule for implementing this project requires consideration of the new hydroelectric power
station at Pallca mine and the establishment of mining equipment at the Atalaya deposit, and is based
on the following objectives.
First build a hydroelectric power station for Pallca mine, which is currently using the most
expensive diesel fuel for electricity, and then move on to build a hydroelectric power station
along the Tores river.
The 3000t/day predicted output at the Atalaya deposit is nearly double the combined current
output of Huanzala and Pallca mines. This will require large-scale construction of mining
equipment such as ore dressing, depositing, and drainage facilities. To the extent possible,
this construction should not overlap with the construction of this project.
The implementation of this project will be affected by the development plans and schedule of
the Atalaya deposit. The schedule for this project assumes that the Atalaya mine will be
operational by 2015.
As a result, the schedule for this project is such that preparatory work begins in 2013, construction
begins in 2015, and provision of electrical power begins in November 2016.
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Table 6-1-1 Work schedule
Huanzalla Mine Hydro Power Station - Pre-Construction - Design, EIA, External Affairs, & Other Procedures
Detailed design
Acquire permits for hydrology survey and temporary Water Rights
Application and implementation of survey for EIA
Acquire agreement of local Residents and permit for construction
Meeting to explain to Public hearing Construction
Selection of construction company local residents Permit
106
Chapter 7
Organizations Implementing
Chapter 7 Organization Implementing
General Department
of Mines
Department of General Department of Energy Department of Energy
Department of Mines and
Energy and Environment
Environment
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Chapter 7 Organization Implementing
The MEM is largely divided into the Vice-Ministry of Energy and the Vice-Ministry of Mining. The
Vice-Ministry of Energy is comprised of the General Directorate of Electrification, the General
Directorate of Rural Electrification, the General Directorate of Hydrocarbons, and the General
Directorate of Energy Environmental Affairs. The Vice-Ministry of Mines is comprised of the General
Directorate of Mines and the General Directorate of Mining Environmental Affairs.
The General Directorate of Electrification is a government organization that formulates and evaluates
policies for the electrical power sector. It is divided into 3 departments, i.e., the Department of
Electricity, the Department for the Study and Promotion of Electricity, and the Department of Electric
Concessions, which promote electrification and activities to generate and transmit electrical power.
The General Directorate of Rural Electrification has jurisdiction over rural electrification and is
comprised of the Department of Project Execution and the Department of Subsidies and Grants. It is
mainly involved with expanding the country’s electrical power grid by carrying out electrification
plans in border zones, isolated districts, and rural areas.
The General Directorate of Energy Environmental Affairs is a new government office that was
established by decree of the national assembly in 2004. It is comprised of the Department of Energy
Environment Affairs and the Department of Energy Environment Management. Their work mainly
involves promoting activities to preserve and protect the environment in conjunction with energy
development projects
The General Directorate of Mining of the MEM is comprised of the Department of Mining Affairs, the
Department of Mining Technology, and the Department of Mine Promotion. Their work mainly
involves promoting environmentally-sound sustainable development and using technological
innovations, investment promotion, etc., to work for rational use of mineral resources.
The Directorate General of Mining Environments is comprised of the Department of Mining
Environment Affairs and the Department of Mining Environment Management. Their work mainly
involves promoting and carrying out activities related to environmental protection and preservation as
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Chapter 7 Organization Implementing
they relate to mining activities. They are one of the most important organizations in carrying out the
present project, as they are in charge of inspection and approval of EIA applications.
109
Chapter 7 Organization Implementing
General Department of
General Department General Department General Department
Water Rights
of Agriculture of Forest of Emvironmental
110
Chapter 8
Technical Advantages of Japanese Company
Chapter 8 Technical Advantages of Japanese Company
It should be noted that if the exploration results for the Atalaya deposits are promising these projects
should be useful for reviewing the mine life, scale of operations, and plans for mining these deposits.
For this purpose, utilization of overseas geological structure surveys and exploration financing would
help to promote exploration and rapid development of the Atalaya deposit and reduce the burden on
private companies. Also, there are promising ore deposits located between these two mines, such as
Atalaya and Condor. The Atalaya deposit is currently in the exploration phase with plans to commence
exploitation in 2015. Accordingly, the work outlined in this project includes improvements to
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Chapter 8 Technical Advantages of Japanese Company
infrastructure that are needed for exploitation and operations at these deposits and mines, such as
installation of electric power lines, establishment of an intake dam, construction of a new hydro power
station, improvements to existing roads, and construction of a bypass.
112
Chapter 9
Financial Outlook
Chapter 9 Financial Outlook
The results of the sensitivity analysis show that in any of the three cases, cash flow would not be a
problem.
113
114
114
Chapter 10
Action Plan and Issues
Chapter 10 Action Plan and Issues
115
References