Survey of Likely 2019 General Election Voters

Louisiana Statewide
Conducted November 7 - 9, 2019
n=800 | ±3.46
1. Generally speaking, would you say Louisiana as a state is headed in the right direction or off
on the wrong track?

Freq. %
Right direction 421 52.6%
Definitely the right direction 177 22.1%
Mostly the right direction 244 30.5%

Wrong track 345 43.2%

Mostly the wrong track 168 21.0%
Definitely the wrong track 178 22.2%

Don’t know 34 4.2%

Total 800 100.0%

2. If the November 16th general elections were held today, and you had to make a choice,
would you be voting mostly for Republican or Democratic candidates?

Freq. %
Republican candidates 408 51.0%
Definitely Republican candidates 341 42.6%
Probably Republican candidates 67 8.4%

Democratic candidates 362 45.2%

Probably Democratic candidates 67 8.4%
Definitely Democratic candidates 295 36.8%

Don’t know 30 3.8%

Total 800 100.0%

3 - 7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of:

Very No
Fav Very Fav Unfav NHO NET Fav
Unfav Opinion
Donald Trump 51.0% 43.2% 46.4% 41.2% 2.5% 0.2%
4.6%
408 346 371 329 20 1
John Bel Edwards 54.0% 38.4% 41.9% 28.9% 3.5% 0.6%
12.1%
432 307 335 231 28 5
Eddie Rispone 47.6% 30.4% 45.1% 37.6% 4.4% 2.8%
2.5%
381 243 361 301 35 23
Jeff Landry 48.7% 25.7% 21.4% 13.0% 21.9% 8.1%
27.3%
389 206 171 104 175 65
Bill Cassidy 47.8% 27.2% 33.9% 22.1% 14.3% 3.9%
13.9%
383 218 271 177 115 31

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Thinking about the upcoming general elections on November 16th...

8. If the election for Governor was held today, and you had to make a choice,
who would you vote for out of the following options?

Freq. %
Democrat John Bel Edwards 399 49.8%
Definitely Democrat John Bel Edwards 356 44.5%
Probably Democrat John Bel Edwards 42 5.3%

Republican Eddie Rispone 381 47.6%

Probably Republican Eddie Rispone 51 6.3%
Definitely Republican Eddie Rispone 330 41.3%

Undecided 20 2.5%
Total 800 100.0%

Thinking now about national political events...

9. Do you think President Donald Trump should be impeached and removed from office,
or not?

Freq. %
Yes Impeach 319 39.9%
Definitely yes impeach 267 33.4%
Probably yes impeach 53 6.6%

Not Impeach 448 56.0%

Probably not impeach 32 4.1%
Definitely not impeach 416 51.9%

Unsure 32 4.1%
Total 800 100.0%

D1. Are you female or male?

Freq. %
Female 450 56.2%
Male 350 43.8%
Total 800 100.0%

D2. What age range do you fall within?

Freq. %
Under 50 210 26.2%
18 – 34 68 8.6%
35 – 49 141 17.6%

50 and Over 590 73.8%

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 50 – 64 268 33.6%
65 or older 322 40.3%
Total 800 100.0%

D3. How are you currently registered as a voter in Louisiana?

Freq. %
Republican 327 40.9%
Democrat 335 41.9%
Green Party 4 0.5%
Libertarian 5 0.6%
Independent 87 10.8%
No party affiliation 34 4.3%
Other 2 0.2%
Unsure 6 0.8%
Total 800 100.0%

D4. And thinking about your views toward politics and government, would you say you are…

Freq. %
Conservative 419 52.4%
Very conservative 260 32.5%
Somewhat conservative 159 19.8%

Moderate 203 25.4%

Liberal 149 18.6%

Somewhat liberal 70 8.7%
Very liberal 79 9.9%

Unsure 29 3.6%
Total 800 100.0%

D5. What annual household income range do you fall within out of the following options?

Freq. %
Less than $50,000 260 32.5%
$50,000 - $100,000 327 40.8%
More than $100,000 214 26.7%
Total 800 100.0%

D6. General Election Voter Propensity

Freq. %
High 263 32.9%
Medium 383 47.9%
Low 154 19.2%
Total 800 100.0%

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D7. DMA

Freq. %
Alexandria LA 53 6.7%
Baton Rouge 179 22.4%
Lafayette LA 108 13.5%
Lake Charles 36 4.6%
Monroe/ El Dorado 67 8.4%
New Orleans 278 34.7%
Shreveport/Texak 78 9.8%
Total 800 100.0%

D8. Congressional District

Freq. %
South 277 34.7%
1 141 17.6%
2 137 17.1%

North 257 32.2%

4 119 14.8%
5 139 17.4%

Central 265 33.2%

3 125 15.6%
6 140 17.5%
Total 800 100.0%

D9. Gender + Age

Freq. %
F 18 - 34 39 4.9%
F 35 - 49 77 9.6%
F 50 - 64 153 19.1%
F 65+ 181 22.7%
M 18 - 34 30 3.7%
M 35 - 49 64 8.1%
M 50 - 64 116 14.5%
M 65+ 141 17.6%
Total 800 100.0%

D10. Generation

Freq. %
Gen Z 15 1.9%
Millennials 87 10.9%
Gen X 178 22.3%
Boomers 392 49.0%
Traditionalists 125 15.7%
Total 800 100.0%

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D11. Ethnicity

Freq. %
White 458 57.2%
Black 229 28.6%
Hispanic/Latino 35 4.4%
Asian 3 0.4%

Other 11 1.3%
Unknown 64 8.0%
Total 800 100.0%

D12. Education

Freq. %
Bachelor’s degree or higher 275 34.3%
Some college 104 13.0%
High school or less 240 30.0%
Unknown 182 22.7%
Total 800 100.0%

D13. Gender + Education

Freq. %
Female College degree 153 19.1%
Female No degree 188 23.5%
Female Unknown 108 13.5%
Male College degree 122 15.2%
Male No degree 155 19.4%
Male Unknown 73 9.2%
Total 800 100.0%

METHODOLOGY
This probabilistic survey was conducted November 7 - 9, 2019, with 800 likely general election voters. It has a
margin of error of ±3.46%. Known registered voters were interviewed via live phones, SMS, interactive voice
response, and email invitation. This survey was weighted to likely general election voter universe.

ABOUT THE FIRM

Cygnal is a national public opinion and market research firm that specializes in data-driven approaches to
decision making. Cygnal was recently named the #1 private pollster and the #2 pollster overall by Nate Silver’s
FiveThirtyEight, as well as the #1 most accurate polling and research firm in the country for 2018 by The New
York Times. Its team members have worked on more than 1,000 corporate, public affairs, and political campaigns
and worked in nearly every state.

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