Year X(time) Y(demanda) n X Y X2

H1 0 107.9 1 0 107.9 0
H2 1 200.3 2 1 200.3 1
H3 2 265.7 3 2 265.7 4
H4 3 367.0 4 3 367.0 9
H5 4 444.7 5 4 444.7 16
H6 5 265.7 6 5 265.7 25
H7 6 392.0 7 6 392.0 36

0.76401644 X°= 3 ∑X ∑Y
Y°= 291.9 21 2043.3

Year X(Time) Y(Demand) Inflation PBI=GDP CUANDO Z=INFLATION

H1 0 107.9 20.7 3.44 ryz 0.26881
H2 1 200.3 16.2 8.25 rxz 0.82019
H3 2 265.7 20.0 9.15 rxy 0.76402
H4 3 367.0 29.8 8.32 rxy.z 0.98640
H5 4 444.7 28.7 7.95
H6 5 265.7 98.8 -0.54
H7 6 392.0 80.8 -4.65 Se esoge el que tiene mayor co

Year X Y Z Xi Zi Y*Xi Y*Zi

1 0 107.9 20.70 -3 -21.44 -323.7 -2313.68
2 1 200.3 16.20 -2 -25.94 -400.6 -5196.35
3 2 265.7 20.00 -1 -22.14 -265.7 -5883.36
 4 3 367.0 29.80 0 -12.34 0 -4529.83
5 4 444.7 28.70 1 -13.44 444.7 -5978.04
6 5 265.7 98.80 2 56.66 531.4 15053.80
7 6 392.0 80.80 3 38.66 1176 15153.60

∑Z ∑Xi ∑Zi ∑Y*Xi ∑Y*Zi

= 3.00 295.00 0.00 0.00 1162.10 6306.14
= 42.14
= 291.90

β ϒ
1162.10 = 28.00 354.20
6306.14 = 354.20 6660.60

RPTA: Y=291.9+90.2(X-3)-3.85(Z-4
 Y2 XY X-X° Y-Y° (X- X°)2 (Y-Y°)2 (X-X°)*(Y-Y°)
11642.41 0 -3 -184.0 9 33856 552
40120.09 200.3 -2 -91.6 4 8390.56 183.2
70596.49 531.4 -1 -26.2 1 686.44 26.2
134689 1101 0 75.1 0 5640.01 0
197758.09 1778.8 1 152.8 1 23347.84 152.8
70596.49 1328.5 2 -26.2 4 686.44 -52.4
153664 2352 3 100.1 9 10020.01 300.3

∑X2 ∑Y2 ∑XY ∑(X-X°) ∑(Y-Y°) ∑(X- X°)2 ∑(Y-Y°)2 ∑(X-X°)*(Y-Y°)

91 679066.57 7292 0 0 28 82627.3 1162.1

rxy= 0.764016442 A= 167.39

r
2
0.583721123 B= 41.50
r= 0.76
r2= 0.58

A= 167.389286 ECUACION LINEAL

B= 41.5035714 Y=167+41.5X

CUANDO Z=PBI
ryz -0.06362
rxz -0.61962
rxy 0.76402
> rxy.z 0.92504

e esoge el que tiene mayor coeficiente parcial (Izquiera)

Xi2 Zi2 Xi*Zi

9 459.80 64.33
4 673.03 51.89
1 490.31 22.14
 0 152.35 0.00
1 180.71 -13.44
4 3210.03 113.31
9 1494.37 115.97

∑Xi2 ∑Zi2 ∑Xi*Zi

28.00 6660.60 354.20

COEFICIENTES MATRIZ INVERSA

β ϒ T 0.109120209 -0.00580284
28.00 354.20 1162.10 -0.00580284 0.000458723
354.20 6660.60 6306.14

β= 90.2150745
ϒ= -3.8507117

Y=291.9+90.2(X-3)-3.85(Z-42.14)