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BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION # of Defects (x) Probability

First Parameter (n) Sample Size 20 0 0.01


Second Parameter (success
probability p) Probability 0.2 1 0.06
Expectation (n x p) Mean # defective 4 2 0.14
Mean # non-defective 16 3 0.21
Variance n x p x (1-p) Variance 3.2 4 0.22
Stdev 1.788854382 5 0.17
CDF = Prob(X<=x) 6 0.11
CCDF = 1- Prob(X<=x)= Prob(X>x) 7 0.05
8 0.02
9 0.01
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
17 0.00
18 0.00
19 0.00
20 0.00

Binomial Probabilities Graph


1.20

1.00

0.80

0.60

0.40

0.20

0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Proba bi l i ty Cumul ative Prob (CDF) Compl ementatry CDF
Cumulative Complement
Prob (CDF) atry CDF
0.01 0.99

0.07 0.93
0.21 0.79
0.41 0.59
0.63 0.37
0.80 0.20
0.91 0.09
0.97 0.03
0.99 0.01
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00
1.00 0.00

15 16 17 18 19 20
ementatry CDF
Poisson Distribution # of Defects (x) Probability CDF
Expected or Avg No. of
Occurences (Lambda)= 5 defects/day 0 0.006737947 0.00674
Variance of No. of
Occurences= 5 defects^2/day 1 0.033689735 0.04043
Stdev of No. of
Occurences= 2.2361 defects/day 2 0.0842243375 0.12465
3 0.1403738958 0.26503
4 0.1754673698 0.44049
5 0.1754673698 0.61596
6 0.1462228081 0.76218
7 0.104444863 0.86663
8 0.0652780393 0.93191
9 0.0362655774 0.96817
10 0.0181327887 0.9863
11 0.0082421767 0.99455
12 0.0034342403 0.99798
13 0.0013208616 0.9993
14 0.0004717363 0.99977
15 0.0001572454 0.99993
16 4.9139198225E-05 0.99998
17 1.445270536E-05 0.99999
18 4.0146403779E-06 1
19 1.05648431E-06 1
20 2.6412107749E-07 1
21 6.2885970832E-08 1
22 1.4292266098E-08 1
23 3.1070143691E-09 1
24 6.4729466024E-10 1
25 1.2945893205E-10 1

Poisson Distribution of Defects


1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Probabi l i ty CDF CCDF
CCDF

0.99326

0.95957

0.87535
0.73497
0.55951
0.38404
0.23782
0.13337
0.06809
0.03183
0.0137
0.00545
0.00202
0.0007
0.00023
6.9E-05
2E-05
5.42E-06
1.4E-06
3.45E-07
8.11E-08
1.82E-08
3.91E-09
8.07E-10
1.6E-10
3E-11
Discrete Uniform Distribution # of Defects (xProbability
No. of Possible Outcomes 20 defects 0 0.05
Expected No. of Defects= 9.5 defects 1 0.05
Variance of No. of Defects= 33.25 defects^2 2 0.05
Stdev of No. of Defects= 5.7662812973 defects 3 0.05
4 0.05
5 0.05
6 0.05
7 0.05
8 0.05
9 0.05
10 0.05
11 0.05
12 0.05
13 0.05
14 0.05
15 0.05
16 0.05
17 0.05
18 0.05
19 0.05

Discrete Uniform
1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Probabi l ity CDF CCDF
CDF CCDF
0.05 0.95
0.1 0.9
0.15 0.85
0.2 0.8
0.25 0.75
0.3 0.7
0.35 0.65
0.4 0.6
0.45 0.55
0.5 0.5
0.55 0.45
0.6 0.4
0.65 0.35
0.7 0.3
0.75 0.25
0.8 0.2
0.85 0.15
0.9 0.1
0.95 0.05
1 0

15 16 17 18 19
The length or dimension of a key component. Length (x) pdf(x) CDF (x)
Mean= 10 inches 6 0.00013383 0.00%
Stdev= 1 inch 6.2 0.000291947 0.01%
6.4 0.000611902 0.02%
Suppose we wish to determine probability that 6.6 0.001232219 0.03%
Length is between (Mean - 1 Stdev, Mean + 1 Stdev) 6.8 0.002384088 0.07%
Probability= 68.27% because Mean-1Stdev= 7 0.004431848 0.13%
9 7.2 0.007915452 0.26%
7.4 0.013582969 0.47%
7.6 0.02239453 0.82%
7.8 0.035474593 1.39%
8 0.053990967 2.28%
8.2 0.078950158 3.59%
8.4 0.110920835 5.48%
8.6 0.149727466 8.08%
8.8 0.194186055 11.51%
9 0.241970725 15.87%
9.2 0.289691553 21.19%
9.4 0.333224603 27.43%
9.6 0.36827014 34.46%
9.8 0.391042694 42.07%
10 0.39894228 50.00%
10.2 0.391042694 57.93%
10.4 0.36827014 65.54%
10.6 0.333224603 72.57%
10.8 0.289691553 78.81%
11 0.241970725 84.13%
11.2 0.194186055 88.49%
11.4 0.149727466 91.92%
11.6 0.110920835 94.52%
11.8 0.078950158 96.41%
12 0.053990967 97.72%
12.2 0.035474593 98.61%
12.4 0.02239453 99.18%
12.6 0.013582969 99.53%
12.8 0.007915452 99.74%
13 0.004431848 99.87%
13.2 0.002384088 99.93%
13.4 0.001232219 99.97%
13.6 0.000611902 99.98%
13.8 0.000291947 99.99%
14 0.00013383 100.00%
Normal Distribution
1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
6 4 8 2 6 8 4 8 2 6 10 .4 .8 .2
6. 6. 7. 7. 8. 8. 9. 9. 10 10 11

pdf(x) CDF (x) CCD


Standardized Length Standardized
CCDF(x) (z) CDF(z) Std CCDF(z) Prob(-z and z)
100.00% -4 0.00% 100.00% 99.99%
99.99% -3.8 0.01% 99.99% 99.99%
99.98% -3.6 0.02% 99.98% 99.97%
99.97% -3.4 0.03% 99.97% 99.93%
99.93% -3.2 0.07% 99.93% 99.86%
99.87% -3 0.13% 99.87% 99.73%
99.74% -2.8 0.26% 99.74% 99.49%
99.53% -2.6 0.47% 99.53% 99.07%
99.18% -2.4 0.82% 99.18% 98.36%
98.61% -2.2 1.39% 98.61% 97.22%
97.72% -2 2.28% 97.72% 95.45%
96.41% -1.8 3.59% 96.41% 92.81%
94.52% -1.6 5.48% 94.52% 89.04%
91.92% -1.4 8.08% 91.92% 83.85%
88.49% -1.2 11.51% 88.49% 76.99%
84.13% -1 15.87% 84.13% 68.27%
78.81% -0.8 21.19% 78.81% 57.63%
72.57% -0.6 27.43% 72.57% 45.15%
65.54% -0.4 34.46% 65.54% 31.08%
57.93% -0.2 42.07% 57.93% 15.85%
50.00% 0 50.00% 50.00% 0.00%
42.07% 0.2 57.93% 42.07%
34.46% 0.4 65.54% 34.46%
27.43% 0.6 72.57% 27.43%
21.19% 0.8 78.81% 21.19%
15.87% 1 84.13% 15.87%
11.51% 1.2 88.49% 11.51%
8.08% 1.4 91.92% 8.08%
5.48% 1.6 94.52% 5.48%
3.59% 1.8 96.41% 3.59%
2.28% 2 97.72% 2.28%
1.39% 2.2 98.61% 1.39%
0.82% 2.4 99.18% 0.82%
0.47% 2.6 99.53% 0.47%
0.26% 2.8 99.74% 0.26%
0.13% 3 99.87% 0.13%
0.07% 3.2 99.93% 0.07%
0.03% 3.4 99.97% 0.03%
0.02% 3.6 99.98% 0.02%
0.01% 3.8 99.99% 0.01%
0.00% 4 100.00% 0.00%
Normal Distribution

8 2 6 10 .4 .8 .2 .6 12 .4 .8 .2 .6 14
8. 9. 9. 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13

pdf(x) CDF (x) CCDF(x)


Service Level CDF(x) Length(x)
5% 8.355146373
10% 8.718448434
15% 8.963566611
20% 9.158378766
25% 9.32551025
30% 9.475599487
35% 9.614679534
40% 9.746652897
45% 9.874338653
50% 10
55% 10.12566135
60% 10.2533471
65% 10.38532047
70% 10.52440051
75% 10.67448975
80% 10.84162123
85% 11.03643339
90% 11.28155157
95% 11.64485363
100% 13.71901649
Expoential Distribution Time x (Days) PDF (x)
Expected time between occurences
(1/Lambda) 0.2 days 0.01 4.756147123

Average No. of Occurences (Lambda)= 5 occurences/day 0.05 3.894003915


0.1 3.032653299
0.15 2.361832764
Time to the occurrence (x) 0.021 days 0.2 1.839397206
Probability that occurrence will NOT
happen before that time CCDF(x) 90.03% 0.25 1.432523984
0.3 1.115650801
0.35 0.868869717
0.4 0.676676416
0.45 0.526996123
0.5 0.410424993
0.55 0.319639306
0.6 0.248935342
0.65 0.193871039
0.7 0.150986917
0.75 0.117588729
0.8 0.091578194
0.85 0.07132117
0.9 0.055544983
0.95 0.043258476
1 0.033689735
1.05 0.026237592
1.1 0.020433857
1.15 0.015913904
1.2 0.012393761
1.25 0.009652271
1.3 0.007517196
1.35 0.005854398
1.4 0.00455941
1.45 0.003550872
1.5 0.002765422
1.55 0.002153713
1.6 0.001677313
1.65 0.001306293
1.7 0.001017342
1.75 0.000792307
1.8 0.000617049
1.85 0.000480558
1.9 0.000374259
1.95 0.000291473
2 0.000227
2.05 0.000176788
2.1 0.000137682
2.15 0.000107227
2.2 8.35085E-05
2.25 6.50365E-05
2.3 5.06505E-05
2.35 3.94466E-05
2.4 3.07211E-05
2.45 2.39256E-05
2.5 1.86333E-05
2.55 1.45116E-05
2.6 1.13016E-05
2.65 8.80173E-06
2.7 6.8548E-06
2.75 5.33852E-06
2.8 4.15764E-06
2.85 0.000003238
2.9 2.52174E-06
2.95 1.96393E-06
3 1.52951E-06
CDF(x) CCDF(x)

0.048770575 0.951229425
Exponential CDF
1
0.221199217 0.778800783
0.39346934 0.60653066 0.9
0.527633447 0.472366553 0.8
0.632120559 0.367879441 0.7

0.6
0.713495203 0.286504797
0.5
0.77686984 0.22313016
0.826226057 0.173773943 0.4

0.864664717 0.135335283 0.3


0.894600775 0.105399225 0.2
0.917915001 0.082084999 0.1
0.936072139 0.063927861
0
0.950212932 0.049787068 01 0.
1
0.
2
0.
3
0.
4
0.
5
0.
6
0.
7
0.
8
0.
9 1
1.
1
1.
2
1.
3
1.
4
1.
5
1.
6
1.
7
1.
8
1.
9 2
2.
1
2.
2
2.
3
0.
0.961225792 0.038774208
0.969802617 0.030197383 CDF(x) CCDF(x)

0.976482254 0.023517746
0.981684361 0.018315639
0.985735766 0.014264234 Memoryless property of the exponential disribution:
0.988891003 0.011108997 Given that the event hasn't occurred yet, the expected time to event occu
0.991348305 0.008651695 still the same value = 1/Lambda
0.993262053 0.006737947
0.994752482 0.005247518
0.995913229 0.004086771
0.996817219 0.003182781
0.997521248 0.002478752
0.998069546 0.001930454
0.998496561 0.001503439
0.99882912 0.00117088
0.999088118 0.000911882
0.999289826 0.000710174
0.999446916 0.000553084
0.999569257 0.000430743
0.999664537 0.000335463
0.999738741 0.000261259
0.999796532 0.000203468
0.999841539 0.000158461
0.99987659 0.00012341
0.999903888 9.61117E-05
0.999925148 7.48518E-05
0.999941705 5.82947E-05
0.9999546 4.53999E-05
0.999964642 3.53575E-05
0.999972464 2.75364E-05
0.999978555 2.14454E-05
0.999983298 1.67017E-05
0.999986993 1.30073E-05
0.99998987 1.01301E-05
0.999992111 7.88932E-06
0.999993856 6.14421E-06
0.999995215 4.78512E-06
0.999996273 3.72665E-06
0.999997098 2.90232E-06
0.99999774 2.26033E-06
0.99999824 1.76035E-06
0.999998629 0.000001371
0.999998932 1.0677E-06
0.999999168 8.31529E-07
0.999999352 6.47595E-07
0.999999496 5.04348E-07
0.999999607 3.92786E-07
0.999999694 3.05902E-07
al CDF

6 7 8 9 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 3
1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2.

CCDF(x)

expected time to event occuring is


Exponential PDF (x)
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
01 15 3
0. 0.4
5 6
0. 0.7
5 9
0. 1.0
5 2
1. 1.3
5 5
1. 1.6
5 8
1. 1.9
5 1
2. 2.2
5
2.
4
0. 0.

PDF (x)
ntial PDF (x)

5 5 5 8 5 1 5 4 5 7 5 3
1. 1.6 1. 1.9 2. 2.2 2. 2.5 2. 2.8

PDF (x)

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