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The reliability goal for a turbine engine combustor is a 1 percentile of at least 2000 cycles. The number of cycles to
failure tends to follow a Weibull distribution with shape = 3. You can accumulate up to 8000 test cycles on each
combustor. You must determine the number of combustors needed to demonstrate the reliability goal using a 1-
failure test plan.
Engineers determine that early transmission failures occurring on a track-type tractor are due to the failure of a ball
bearing. The failure times for this ball bearing follow a Weibull distribution with a shape of 1.3 and scale of 1,000
hours. The engineers have 3 redesigned units available for testing and must determine how long to test each unit
using a 0-failure test plan.
Fix “Number of failures allowed” and one of the two “number of units to test” or “time to test each unit”
Compare one of the following: Scale or location Parameter; Percentile/Reliability achieved in hours or cycles;
MTTF in hours
You want to run a life test to estimate the 5th percentile for the life of a metal component used in a switch. You can
run the test for 100,000 cycles. Before running this life test, you want to determine the number of units to test to
ensure a precise estimate.
You expect about 5% of the units to fail by 40,000 cycles, 15% by 100,000 cycles, and the life to follow the Weibull
distribution. You want the lower bound of your confidence interval to be within 20,000 cycles of your estimate.
Multiple lower bounds can be taken. 2 out of 4 planning values should be provided. Minitab calculates the
planning estimate for the parameter you want to estimate based on the planning values and distribution.
If you want to estimate the 10th percentile of your failure time distribution, and the lower bound is to be no
more than 25 hours less than your estimate, choose Lower bound and enter 25 as your desired precision in
Sample sizes or precisions as distances from bound of CI to estimate.
If you want to estimate the reliability of your units at 200 hours, and the lower bound is to be a reliability
that is no more than 0.025 below your estimate, choose Lower bound and enter 0.025 as your desired
precision in Sample sizes or precisions as distances from bound of CI to estimate.
You want to plan an accelerated life test to estimate the 1000-hour reliability of an incandescent light bulb at the
design voltage of 110 volts. You have 20 light bulbs available to test until failure. To accelerate failures, you will
run the test at 120 volts and 130 volts.
You believe that a power relationship will adequately model the relationship between failure time and voltage.
Historical data indicate that a lognormal distribution with a scale of 50 appropriately models light bulb failure. The
planning values are 1200 for the 50th percentile at 110 volts and 600 for the 50th percentile at 120 volts.
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Test Plans > Accelerated Life Testing
2A.1. Example of a Distribution ID Plot and Distribution Overview Plot for arbitrarily-censored data:
Suppose you work for a company that manufactures tires. You are interested in finding out how many miles it takes
for various proportions of the tires to "fail," or wear down to 2/32 of an inch of tread. You are especially interested
in knowing how many of the tires last past 45,000 miles. You plan to get this information by using Parametric
Distribution Analysis (Arbitrary Censoring), which requires you to specify the distribution for your data.
Distribution ID Plot - Arbitrary Censoring can help you choose that distribution.
You inspect each good tire at regular intervals (every 10,000 miles) to see if the tire has failed, then enter the data
into the Minitab worksheet.
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Distribution Analysis (Arbitrary Censoring) > Distribution ID Plot
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Distribution Analysis (Arbitrary Censoring) > Distribution Overview Plot
Note: This exercise is not separated by exact and multiple failure modes.
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Distribution Analysis (Arbitrary Censoring) > Parametric Distribution Analysis
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Distribution Analysis (Arbitrary Censoring) > Nonparametric Distribution
Analysis
3A.1. Example of a Distribution ID Plot and Distribution Overview Plot for right-censored data:
Suppose you work for a company that manufactures engine windings for turbine assemblies. Engine windings may
decompose at an unacceptable rate at high temperatures. You want to know - at given high temperatures - the time
at which 1% of the engine windings fail. You plan to get this information by using Parametric Distribution Analysis
(Right Censoring), which requires you to specify the distribution for your data. A) Distribution ID Plot - Right
Censoring can help you choose that distribution, B) but you first want to have a quick look at your data from
different perspectives.
First you collect failure times for the engine windings at two temperatures. In the first sample, you test 50 windings
at 80° C; in the second sample, you test 40 windings at 100° C. Some of the units drop out of the test for unrelated
reasons. In the Minitab worksheet, you use a column of censoring indicators to designate which times are actual
failures (1) and which are censored units removed from the test before failure (0).
CE & CG are failure times when CF & CH values are (1). CF & CH (0) values indicate test was not completed
till the time shown in CE & CG
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Distribution Analysis (Right Censoring) > Distribution ID Plot
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Distribution Analysis (Right Censoring) > Distribution Overview Plot
3A.2.1. Example of a parametric distribution analysis with exact failure/right censored data:
Suppose you work for a company that manufactures engine windings for turbine assemblies. Engine windings may
decompose at an unacceptable rate at high temperatures. You decide to look at failure times for engine windings at
two temperatures, 80° C and 100° C. You want to find out the following information for each temperature:
Times at which various percentages of the windings fail. You are particularly interested in the 0.1st percentile.
Proportion of windings that survive past 70 months.
You also want to draw two plots: a probability plot to see if the lognormal distribution provides a good fit for your
data, and a survival plot.
In the first sample, you collect failure times (in months) for 50 windings at 80° C; in the second sample, you collect
failure times for 40 windings at 100° C. Some of the windings drop out of the test for unrelated reasons. In the
Minitab worksheet, you use a column of censoring indicators to designate which times are actual failures (1) and
which are censored units removed from the test before failure (0).
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Distribution Analysis (Right Censoring) > Parametric Distribution Analysis
3A.3.1. Example of non-parametric distribution analysis with exact failure/right censored data:
You want to find out the following information for each temperature:
You also want to know whether or not the survival curves at the two temperatures are significantly different.
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Distribution Analysis (Right Censoring) > Nonparametric Distribution Analysis
You are responsible for improving the overall reliability of pressure sensing circuits. Three main components could
fail, leading to system failure: sensor, transmitter, and meter. You want to determine which component fails most
frequently, so you can redesign it to optimize overall system reliability.
You plan to get this information using Parametric Distribution Analysis (Right Censoring). You can specify a
distribution for each failure mode, and Distribution ID Plot (Right Censoring) can help you choose appropriate
distributions.
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Distribution Analysis (Right Censoring) > Parametric Distribution Analysis
You work for a medical imaging company and are designing a new x-ray cassette. To be competitive in your market,
the overall cassette reliability at 20,000 cycles should be at least 90%.
You decide to look at each of the three failure modes (Window, Hinge, and Screen) to see which component to
improve. You have interval failure times and are unsure of the distribution of failures.
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Distribution Analysis (Arbitrary Censoring) > Nonparametric Distribution
Analysis
1. Use Pre-Process Warranty Data to convert the data from triangular matrix format to arbitrary censoring format.
2. Use Distribution ID Plot, Arbitrary Censoring to choose an appropriate distribution for the existing data.
3. Use Warranty Prediction to predict the number or cost of future failures.
You work for an appliance manufacturer and must use current warranty data to predict the number of refrigerator
compressor warranty claims you expect to see over the next five months.
Use nonparametric and parametric growth curves to determine whether a trend exists in times between successive
failures of a repairable system; that is, to determine whether system failures are becoming more frequent, less
frequent, or remaining constant. Use this information to make decisions concerning the future operation of your
system, such as: setting maintenance schedules, making provisions for spare parts, assuring suitable performance,
forecasting repair costs.
You want to estimate the replacement rate of a certain valve on a fleet of 24 diesel engines.
Stat > Reliability/Survival > Repairable System Analysis > Parametric Growth Curve
You want to compare two different types of a particular brake component used on a subway train. Your data include
replacement times and component type for 29 trains. The final time for each train is the final failure for that train.
Suppose you want to investigate the deterioration of an insulation used for electric motors. The motors normally
run between 80 and 100° C. To save time and money, you decide to use accelerated life testing.
First you gather failure times for the insulation at abnormally high temperatures - 110, 130, 150, and 170° C - to
speed up the deterioration. With failure time information at these temperatures, you can then extrapolate to 80 and
100° C. It is known that an Arrhenius relationship exists between temperature and failure time.
To see how well the model fits, you will draw a probability plot based on the standardized residuals.