Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Total 20 35000
3.14 Kelle Carpet and Trim install carpet in commercial offices.
Peter Kelle has been very concerned with the amount of time it
took to complete several recent jobs. Some of his workers are
very unreliable. A list of activities and their optimistic
completing time, the most likely completion time, and the
pessimistic completion time (all in days) for a new contract are
given in the following table:
Expected
completion
time for
Activity J =
t= (14 +
4(16) +
20)/6 =
16.333
days
Variance
for Activity
J= ((20-
14)/6)^2)=
1.0
b)
Determine
the total
project
completion
time and
the critical
path for
the project
G
D
J
Start
E
B
K
I
F
C
c)
Determine
ES, EF, LS,
LF and
slack for
each
activity
d) What is
the
proba
bility
that
Kelle
Carpet
and
Trim
will
finish
the
projec
t in 40
days
or
less?
3.24 Using
PERT,
Adam
Muns
on
was
able
to
deter
mine
that
the
expect
ed
projec
t
compl
eting
time
for the
constr
uction
of a
pleasu
re
yacht
is
21mo
nths,
and
the
projec
t
varian
ce is 4.
a) what is
the
proba
bility
that
the
projec
t will
be
compl
eted
in
17mo
nths?
b) what is
the
proba
bility
that
the
projec
t will
be
compl
eted
in
20mo
nths?
c) what is
the
proba
bility
that
the
projec
t will
be
compl
eted
in
23mo
nths?
d) what is
the
proba
bility
that
the
projec
t will
be
compl
eted
in
25mo
nths?
e) what is
the due
date that
yields a
95%
chance of
completion
?
H 3 6 9 F
I 10 11 12 G
J 14 16 20 C
K 2 8 10 H, I
a) Determine the expected completion time and variance for
critical activity.
D
J
Start
E
B
I
F
C
d) What is the probability that Kelle Carpet and Trim will finish
the project in 40 days or less?
3.24 Using PERT, Adam Munson was able to determine that the
expected project completing time for the construction of a
pleasure yacht is 21months, and the project variance is 4.
a) what is the probability that the project will be completed in
17months?
b) what is the probability that the project will be completed in
20months?
c) what is the probability that the project will be completed in
23months?
d) what is the probability that the project will be completed in
25months?
e) what is the due date that yields a 95% chance of completion?