Cairo University 3rd Year Comm.

Faculty of Engineering Math (Probability and Statistics) Fall 2017

Midterm Exam Time: 1 hr.
Student Name: Student Code:

Answer ALL Questions (No additional papers are allowed - make sure to answer within the space available)
Question 1 (4 points):
(a) A very large bin contains 3 different types of disposable flashlights. The probability that a type 1 flashlight will
give over 100 hours of use is 0.7, with the corresponding probabilities for type 2 and 3 flashlights being 0.4 and
0.3 respectively. Suppose that 20% of the flashlights in the bin are type 1, 30% are type 2 and 50% are type 3.
1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen flashlight will give more than 100 hours of use?
2. Given the flashlight lasted over 100 hours, what is the conditional probability that it was a type 1
flashlight?
(b) Let A and B be two events. Suppose that the probability that neither event occurs is 3/8. What is the
probability that at least one of the events occurs?

Question 2 (6 points):
Suppose X is a random variable with cdf
0 𝑥<0
𝐹(𝑥) = {𝑥(2 − 𝑥) 0 ≤ 𝑥 < 1
1 𝑥>1
(a) Find P(0.2<X < 0.4).
(b) Find E(X).
(c)Find Var(X).

Question 3 (6 points):
For the following cumulative distribution function of X

x -2 -1 1 2
F(x) k 2k 5k 10k

Compute k, p(x), P (|X| < 2), E (3X + 2), Var (3X2 + 2).

Question 4 (4 points):
A circuit system is given in figure. Assume the components fail independently.

0.7 0.7
A B

0.8 0.8 0.8

C D E
a) What is the probability that the entire system works?
b) Given that the system works, what is the probability that the component A is not working?