980e4EFF-2c86-49sA-88c0-E13626130D00

E
math*2 0 3 0 b-test-2 -fal 1-2 0 l- 9

+90 1 of 10

MATH 20308 Introduction to Probability

TEST2-Fall 2019

S"l*t*n

ftrirc+
ILJL n.ma
rrarrls /nlo:<o
\P!sqr= wrira:< lcnihlrz aq noqqihle wifhir tha l^rcxcq)

Last name

Student ID number

- You have 50 minutes for this test. There are 5 questions) worth 25 marks in all, plus 1

bonus question, worth an extra 5 marks.

- Piace your photo identification out on the desk.

- No formula sheet is allowed on this test, but calculators ore aliowed.

- Cellphones, watches, or any kind of Internet-accessing devices are not a11owed.

- In ord.er to receive full credit, you must SHOW ALL YOUR WORK. (NO credit will be
given for indicating the final answer only.)

At the end of the test, please remain seated and quiet until paper collection is confi,rrned.
e -EatrarE-' 11? -4r-6-a-E1-3818D9941E A4

math-20 3 0b-test-2-f alI-2 0 19

#90 2 of Ia
 c5AE7D3 l--32F3-4C8 1-A83 1-ACF25B72 93 1F

math-2 03 0b-test-2-f a1l-2 0 19

+90 3 of 10 3

(1) (1+2+2 pts)

Suppose a fair die is rolled twice. Let ^9
be the sum of the two numbers on the two
rolls.

(a) What is the range of 5 ?

(b) Find the distribution (table) of ^9.
(c) Find the mean p5 and the variance o2t of S.

tl^'t-
cll)
(d i-
=t L, '3, tl, f, 6.:7
\/ S
v . i s, .1, lc, lr I L f
I

(t) F[x,.rx-':k) : ,
fJ fl,,*
() n(L= L- rI
] {v#*
-F Pifr,-t)n["=ta-tp; s
L,- r

-* i'J = #, d* e< h z # P [(= t)P [x.- L-t-)F

<

(r ,* K.: L\ =
P
aI (K,= {) p (x-= k {):r*,
q
# :=

=9-lk--D-*, g.kcla
L*) EC:) =*L'Pcs=[r-* k.?"*t+ e

,c'
= * F i(r.,) .*f- ;(rs-j) =
* L+:. *, , i J.--l
-L4 I
j+
\,$ ;il::fl,
J

-,t [re t
h[e'+ e + r 5ii
--
* A4=Z
t e fets t*k[:
3A

rtt_, o*.[-L
le
-a H.f_* -*.t*i -,f
i(

=P(:=\ =httu* f (.:f:r jfl,:B j1,.* *t*J"

E62 9D8F9-C9D 4- 4389 -82C9 -CF 92 9 153 7883

math-2030b-test-2-f al1-2019
+90 4 of 10

(2*3 pts)
SupposeX andY aretworandomvariables suchthat X>Y (that is, X-Y >0).
(a) For a f,red real, number 7, which one would be greater, P(X < 7), or P(Y < T)
?

(b) Same question in case 7 is a random variable.

VG) \ x <-r", th* Y <\ <-r, o.- / <-l_

\^o Ptx.<r) < ?C/<-r). Y rGR'
G) TL p*+ L t^-) \|[..: rv"eA- h- +d*_ *'.lj-;'
*t ^ *J n*^[.,..- b^| . "*J* v..r.'[
 - 41 5E-851 lFE6
5F6F5 1" CC-2A2 5

math-2 030b-test-2-f alI-20 19

9 -C1E9 00 42
Eiit
+90 5 of 10 5

(3) (2+1+2 pts)

A box contains 2 red balls, 3 blue balls, 5 green balls. Balls are drawn one-by-one
without replacement until ali red bal1s are drawn. Let D be the number of draws
made. Calculate
(a) P(D < 7)

(b) P(D:7)
@) n@)

\t. \^) P (\ sa) : $l_

(e)

tt)

(e H)
tc ) E (\) = #. r ? (\=L) : f. tloto* [) - p (r< t_/) j
: bf(L -( lo), - f- P(\<k; - a. PIN € r)
wi_
F(\ <to) _
= ro
t
k=2-
eJ -aP(\*r)
(f)
= lo"l 8t
* 2'c
-.lo *t_ 1
[(r-r) = lo
€
-Z j riii) ,=
K-<- 1- to elo
i'= t
,l

=lo '- r 13
| )_ .E;l-=to*I I, s.r rr.
,E

---
-rv L j_f u
Jq 'J J 'lq LG "qyj
_lto p.orl + s6 .:to - .ru. :tO -
__ { q?-
1o '\o a- :s
3 50 8 7OAEr43 78-4D8D-A5 13-AFDC5AFA9 9BD

math-2030b-test-2-faII-20 19

#90 5 of 10
 3A8 CD0 2 6 -0AAE-49 4'7 -97A8-FB 7CB5 6ADCEB

math-2 03 0b-test-2-f alI-2 0 19

+90 7 of 10 7

( L\ (1 )-1-L 1 -{-2 nts)

\.,/\^|"|-'-Y""/

Let X, Y, Z be independent identically distributed random variables, each with

mean 2 and variance 3. Calculate
(a) E(zx - 3Y)
(b) var(2x * 3Y)
(c) E(xYZ)
(d) var(xYZ)

t") E (zx -3/ ') '= zr(x) -: EF\ : L. z - a.L: _ 2_

u) V*. [en -sy ) ]J V*.(rn) + Vor B/) * /i \i,.tr.) V*t/J

"1
=. \,6 +-1. j = 81
t') r $lz) 'rlY rk) E ll ) r (L\ =. z-,2-.L=B
., ,- 1 ,'*. zl
t{l {* trl z ) : .-r(
t)!^t Lfl - E\(/ - L(*')f tnL(D -
\2-
\. o

- E$)'EV)"rt4'- ($nu:)W- t)S:*!:) -

- F* f, f; : '(z'+ s)i{f)"- 3\ 3 - e \ : z+9
 EBFSDF9 2-2F3 5-4B88-8 01 9-AA1A2 9 8CF 7 l"E

math-2 0 3 0b-test-2 -f a.l- l-2 0 l- 9

#90 B of 10

(5) (5 pts) Suppose you pick people randomly and ask them what month of the year
they were born. Let X the number of people you need to question until you find a
person who was born in November. Whai is E(X), with two exact decimals ? (For
this question, assume each month of each year has 30 days - so each whole year has
360 days.)

n I I n
X t" q *nil". L..o.-o-*; J J*JJil "''-K I

:l
, L={r ''- + 6**#. .tth/*^
f
-f*^ L : n**.t*,1 + f"J= l,& ll" t""t g'tt(ut
fi^ Etx.): | = tL t:i m? ssen^ \,,,$_d*d2 tdt*,r*)
 652D 483 2-D1 CD-49 0 1-98C8-4A2 583A2 10 06

nath-2 03 0b-test-2-f alI-2 019

^ - 10 e

BONUS:
(6) (7+2+2 pts) Suppose X and Y are independent Poisson random variables, with
means 2 and 3, respectively. Find
(i) P(X:1 and Y :2)
/X+Y \
(ii)Pt-->11
Ut/
/ v'Y \
(iii)P(x:11^f':2'l
\z/

[,\ YL(x=iln(/:rrl
y PV:') *(";'i3-)(utg;)
"tx=r)

\'vL,!
? t\Llytt) :?(( YY ,-t)* v? (X+/< r)
\l,t +t"t , keL \ *J / *. rJT' JJ Fc-.\ga,t,

XY
V*l^, \ = P*r* (A= t)
ryy Pocr*sr,.

lr* F(Y",)={- p(\/< r)-" lfr"

"#)
=,6 i-f,= A
er

? (x tY:4 ) ev
L
-s 5i

v:
ql
I

{'{ : eq,g
*1. = zlL
ff e " 5'
6 ?-5
0A0B5 D9 7- 7ED8 - 4BC3 -B 8CB- 82323CAEBE1 4

math-2030b-test-2-f alI-20 19

+90 10 of 10