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Tuesday, December 28, 2010   #1  

Join Date: Oct 2009

Location: Hyderabad
Daredevil39   Posts: 22
Junior Member Thanks: 12
Thanked 50 Times in 19 Posts

Energy crisis in Pakistan

ENERGY CRISIS IN PAKISTAN

Introduction
Present scenario of crisis
• Demand supply gap
• Counter measures

Reasons of energy crisis

• Unrealistic plans and improper implementation
• Failure of introducing new projects
• Underutilization of resources
• Circular debt
• International oil prices
• Provincial prejudices
• Water shortage
• Transmission losses
• Power wastage
• Theft of electric power
• Accelerating demand
• Minimal research/exploration

Immediate efforts/goals
• RPPs
• Stabilizing industrial sector
• Limiting commercial supply hours

Short term goals

• Reviving non functional power plants
• Revamping transmission system
• Thar coal project
• IPI gas pipeline project
• Alternate/renewable energy sources

Long term goals

• Conforming foreign policy and energy needs
• New dams
• Transparency
• Efficient techniques and usage
• Measures against power theft

Energy crisis in transportation sector

• Biofuels/synfuels
• Standard of public transport system

Hurdles
• Lack of will and implementation
• Corruption and malpractices
• Trust deficit

conclusion
“It is evident that the fortune o f the world’s human populations, for better or for worse, are inextricably
interrelated with the use that is made of energy resources.”

M. King Hubbert

The nexus between economic prosperity and self sufficiency in energy has become essentially vital for
Pakistan. Today the energy crisis looming before us is the culmination of a long list of governmental failures,
malpractices along with inefficient ways of consumption and a perpetually fragile economy. The futility of
apparent counter measures can be attributed to slow or non existent exploration and exploitation of new
resources; outdated administrative and technical systems; lack of tactful diplomacy at international level, all
requiring immediate attention.

Presently, the demand-supply gap in the energy sector has reached one of its highest in the country. This
gap subsequently produced huge shortage of power that has adversely affected the economy. The crippling
economy was further damaged when many industrial units had to be shut down, rendering thousands
jobless.

Consequently, this on going chain of crises is accelerating inflation. The government has intended to counter
it with Rental Power Plants (RPPs) like the previous IPPs and to ease the burden on common man the
authorities claim to be providing continuous subsidies in the power sector.

However, the constant trust deficit on the part of masses is not only due to the transparency issue of RPPs,
it is majorly due to a constant increase in power failures and shortage, revealing an increase in the crisis
instead of signs of recovery.

If we take a look at the factors contributing to this enormous problem, the first and foremost one comes out
to be the absence of any long term planning along with constant application of such plans.

Sadly, the failures of previous governments to increase the supply of energy by new measures against the
escalating demand are glaringly obvious. Small scale projects like the Ghazi barotha only put a temporary
halt to the arriving crisis instead of nipping it in the bud.

Secondly, the under utilization of available resources- especially hydroelectric one which can produce double
the energy it is producing now- is another major setback. The government again fails or neglects to consider
the shortages in winter and up-gradation of the hydroelectric and the thermal plants regularly.

Thirdly, the ‘circular debt’ is like an invisible impediment subtly fuelling up the crisis. It is an inheritance of
former subsidies which the government failed to pay to the power companies, who in turn could not pay the
oil and gas companies for supplies.

Add to this the fluctuating international oil prices and the failing economy_ the war against terrorism and
decreasing Foreign Direct investment-worsened the problem and induced further power and imported oil
shortage.

Subsequently, the political heads had to turn their eyes back to hydroelectric power generation. But the
projects like Kalabagh Dam became victims of narrow mindedness and provincial prejudices which led to
failure of consensus of opinion. Had the Kalabagh Dam been built on time, we would not be confronted with
this crisis today.

Also the acute shortage of water; the curtailed supply in eastern rivers by India; major consumption and
wastage of water in irrigation and the decreasing capacity of Mangela and Terbela Dams due to
sedimentation render the hydroelectric power generation equally problematic as the thermal power
generation.

Of the chronic factors, the heavy line losses plus the old and poorly maintained transmission system is a
grave administrative and technical failure of public sector power companies. These line losses are
comparatively very low elsewhere in the world.

Similarly, in the industrial and agricultural sectors which avail more than seventy percent of total power, the
outdated techniques and malpractices of consumption waste more than a third of the consumed power.

Moreover, the masses do not remain behind in adding to this loss. The theft of electricity, especially in urban
areas has become a routine matter. Due to the decades old perception that this is a never ending crisis and
no accountability whatsoever, people tend to use unfair means of obtaining electric power.

Another reason is the unprecedented increase in demand of energy. It is due to the trend of enjoying
luxurious life style in the past decade. This increased demand by the domestic section has greatly disturbed
the usually articulated demand and consumption status.

Last but not least, snail paced research, minimal exploitation of new energy reserves and exploration of new
oil and gas field damages progress in the energy sector. Couple this with the never ending corruption and
lack of implementation in government and power companies this crisis has become a consistent and self
perpetuating one.

Seen in this perspective, Pakistan not only needs immediate efforts to reduce the demand-supply gap but
also some elaborate and well chalked out immediate, short and long term plans and efforts.

Thankfully, some sections in the society are aware of the magnanimity of this dire problem. The RPPs are
expected to start working soon and the subsidies in the energy sector are still cushioning at least a part of
the blow. But the real issue is of determining priorities and extracting maximum results even from this bleak
scenario.

Keeping this in view, the first policy of the government should be to supply uninterrupted supply of power to
the industrial units, small or big, especially in industrial cities like Faisalabad, Gujaranwala. Also the power
supply should be continuous for small local businesses throughout the country.

Even if it equates to the continuation of the domestic shortage for a while, at least half of the RPPs should
be employed for the industrial section. In addition, there are some non-operating power stations in the
country which only require a little investment and technical improvements to revive them. Such power units
should be made effective to pull the economy out of complete doom.

Secondly, the markets and shopping centers should be strictly enforced to close their business till 10 pm at
night. This save power in different parts of each city can be diverted towards the domestic consumers by
means of an effective administrative local system.

The media and provincial governments would be of utmost importance in this strategy. The media specially,
can acquire public support and educate masses in this regard. Resultantly, they will be able to remove the
trust deficit between the government and the people.

Coming on to the short term goals, the main focus should be on the revival of those dead power generation
units in Sindh and Punjab which can be made functional again and the systematic up-gradation of thermal
and hydroelectric plants.

Resultantly, these projects will maintain the smooth flow of energy and will at least prevent any further
widening in the demand-supply gap.

Similarly, the replacement of transmission lines to reduce losses should fall under the auspices of the
provincial governments and ministries with proper allocation of budget from the center. The replacement of
expired transmission systems is long overdue. This process must be gradual and systematic to refrain from
becoming a drain on the resources and it should be initiated from areas most severely hit by energy
shortage.

After curbing and curing the internal ills, the attention should be diverted to exploration of new fossil fuel
reserves (natural gas). As the thermally generated accounts for the major share of power in Pakistan, it
should be dealt with effectively.

Contrary to the deficit of oil reserves, the coal reserves in Pakistan are the second largest in the world. But
the delay in switching from indigenous energy sources to coal is due to the snail paced progress in the Thar
Coal Project that is in collaboration with China.

China’ rocketing economy has driven coal industry into a new era of efficient utilization. Pakistan should take
heed from China’s example and should gain technical assistance from it. Both countries can collaborate in
Gwadar and Thar to explore and exploit new gas and coal reserves.

Coming on to the gas pipeline projects, the IRAN-PAKISTAN-INDIA (IPI) pipeline is most realistic plausible
one presently. It is at an efficiently advanced stage of implementation but has fallen prey to the
disagreement in pricing formulas and trust deficit between India and Pakistan.

Both the thar coal and IPI project require tactful diplomatic maneuvering and improving ties with India. An
agreement between the two countries on IPI will enhance the prospects of resolving the water issue as well.

Another aspect of solving this problem is the utilization of alternate and renewable resources of energy. It
has been adopted by many developing and developed countries of the country to avert this crisis, such as
Brazil, India, U.S. , Holland etc. Pakistan however, lags far behind in this regard.

Consequently, some NGOs and public communities have took initiative in harnessing the renewable
resources of energy such as wind and solar power. Pakistan is ideally situated to make use of both these
resources.

Isolated cases of developing these modes of energy can be seen in the villages of Thar desert ( solar energy
) and in some areas of Thattha and Karachi ( wind energy ) but it still needs massive government support.

Interestingly, the Alternate Energy Development Board (AEDB) of Pakistan has collected data of all areas in
the country suitable for making use of these alternate sources of energy but initiative for utilization of these
sources are absent. Pakistan can very efficiently make use of its long day light hours and wind power in the
coastal region to produce power for upcoming years.

Most important in the long term planning and goals must be to streamline the foreign policy of the country
according to its economic and energy needs. Improving and increasing ties with future energy rich countries
must not be neglected.
As mentioned earlier, China can be a great asset in technical training and facilities. Similarly, bilateral
relations with Russia, Central Asian, East African states needs to be strengthened. These countries are the
new energy hubs of the world, and being mostly land locked (C.A. states) can make use of Gwadar port and
in return assist Pakistan as well.

Taking Provincial prejudices and politics into view, the matters which are indispensable for the survival of
the country and economy should be kept above such strife. Building new dams, at least Kalabagh dam
should be taken on without and delay.

Transparency and clarity in the policies and implementation methods of government and public sector
power companies is of paramount importance. Without checking corruption and applying stringent
measures against malpractices, all well executed policies will ultimately become another drain for the
economy.

Moreover, educating the stakeholders and workers in the industrial and agricultural sectors on adoption of
new and efficient practices of water and energy consumption will tend to reduce the wastage of energy.

The theft of electricity must be considered and declared a heinous crime and any violations by domestic or
industrial users should be liable to legal penalties and complete power cut off for such consumers.

Taking a look at the energy crisis in the transportation sector, there is no doubt that fossil fuels are indeed
depleting in the world and of reserves natural gas in Pakistan. To curb the hike in prices and supply shortage
, research and exploration of new sites must be given impetus under the patronage of AEDB.

Meanwhile, bio fuel ( alcohol or synthetic fuel ) can be produced quite easily in Pakistan. Raw materials for
this fuel being wheat and other cereals are in ample supply in Pakistan. Alcohol can be easily prepared by
fermentation of molasses and is already a proper local industry in the country it just needs to be diverted in
the right course.

Finally, the system and standard of public transport must be improved to discourage the trend of personal
vehicles which leads to greater demands of fuel.

Making policies has never been the plight of our government. It is the lack of implementation which keeps
the wheel of crisis moving. Today our government not only needs to take initiatives and hard decisions it
also needs to give a boost to the dying economy by providing unimpeded supply of power to industries.

Secondly, corruption, misuse of funds, malpractices of energy consumption and wastage must b avoided
and eradicated at all costs.

Last but not least, the public trust and support is of utmost important. No policy can succeed if it doesn’t
enjoy public support. Media can play an effective role in creating awareness and trust that it is actually a
global crisis which can only be solved with help and conscious effort by every citizen.

Conclusively, curbing the energy crisis requires transparent efforts at every level imaginable. The future
policies and projects should be so oriented as to make Pakistan self sufficient in the energy sector. Self
sufficiency in the energy sector will be the key to a flourishing economy, and a stable economy can serve as
a device of curbing several interlinked adversities. The sooner we realize the gravity of this as a whole, the
sooner we will emerge out of this crisis.

The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to Daredevil39 For This Useful Post:
Omer (Thursday, December 30, 2010), Rana Sufian (Thursday, February 10, 2011), uzma khan youzaf
zai (Tuesday, January 04, 2011)

Monday, January 24, 2011   #2  

arfa Join Date: Jun 2007

Location: Lahore
38th CTP (MLCG) Posts: 10
  Thanks: 1
Thanked 6 Times in 3 Posts

Mr. Daredevil you have copied and pasted this essay from another website , where it was posted by my
husband on my behalf. This is my personal work, and it is my choice to share it with other people. next time
u post someone else's work, kindly ask for permission first or mention the name. Plagiarism is not
appreciated at all. i hope it wont happen again.

The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to arfa For This Useful Post:
dogar1986 (Thursday, February 10, 2011), mobimian (Friday, January 28, 2011), Omar Qadir (Monday,
January 24, 2011)

Tuesday, January 25, 2011   #3  

Join Date: Mar 2010

drvalentino Location: DMG/PAS Campus, Lahore
40th CTP (DMG) Posts: 434
  Thanks: 300
Thanked 974 Times in 299 Posts

@ arfa
salam...essay is v good specially its outline is v balanced.can you share some essays if u have.
thx..

The Following User Says Thank You to drvalentino For This Useful Post:
adeel abdullah (Sunday, February 26, 2012)

Tuesday, January 25, 2011   #4  

mani1 Join Date: Nov 2008

Location: Lahore
40th CTP (DMG) Posts: 393
  Thanks: 114
Thanked 356 Times in 138 Posts

@arfa

Where was it copied from?

Tuesday, January 25, 2011   #5  

Join Date: Aug 2010

Location: Rawalpindi
Posts: 37
geefarid   Thanks: 114
Member Thanked 26 Times in 16 Posts

Thanks to Mr. Daredevil and off course Mrs. Arfa

I think u both deserve it.

Mr. Daredevil please mention the source if you know as it is also beneficial for ALL.

Tuesday, January 25, 2011   #6  

floydian   Join Date: May 2009

Location: floydian672@gmail.com
39th CTP (PSP) Posts: 404
Thanks: 441
Thanked 492 Times in 237 Posts
@ Daredevil39

This is outright theft. Very bad. I am extremely disappointed. What were you thinking when you decided to do
such a thing??? You must apologize to Mrs. Arfa.

@ arfa

Thanks for pointing out. Brilliant write up anyway.

regards,
floydian
__________________
Police Service of Pakistan (PSP)
39th Common Training Program

Friday, January 28, 2011   #7  

Join Date: Jun 2010

Location: Dystopia
Gulrukh   Posts: 631
Senior Member Thanks: 644
Thanked 418 Times in 285 Posts

awesome essay really..thanks daredevil bro for putting it here..very precious theft.hats off to you.

@ Arfa,

hey dont be angry.you will get our lots of prayers.your husband's work is just great.Allah bless him.

regards.

The Following User Says Thank You to Gulrukh For This Useful Post:
uroojz (Friday, January 28, 2011)

Friday, January 28, 2011   #8  

Join Date: Mar 2010

syedtouqeerhussain  
Posts: 2
Thanks: 1
Junior Member Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

Nice article but whatever its coppied.

Thursday, February 03, 2011   #9  

Join Date: Aug 2010

Location: Wah Cantt
Shazi76   Posts: 200
Senior Member Thanks: 74
Thanked 178 Times in 113 Posts

Essay: Good Governance

Governance Outlines

1. Introduction
2. Why Governance is needed?
2.1 For political instability
2.2 For effective working of both public and private sector
2.3 To make Governmental machinery effective
2.4 For maintaining sovereignty of country
2.5 Reaping globalization
3. Governance and history of Pakistan
3.1 Fall of Dhaka
3.2 Governance in the context of Z.A Bhutto
3.2.1 Concept of Islamic socialism and nationalization
3.2.2 Land and labour reforms
3.3 Martial law and Zia regime
3.4 General Elections 1988
4. Causes of bad governance
4.1 Corruption and nepotism
4.2 Weakness of judiciary
4.3 People participation in internal affairs
4.4 Bureaucracy
4.5 Political polarization
5. Steps to attain good governance
5.1 Accountability of previous or failed rulers
5.2 People involvement in decision making
5.3 Execution of policies (Democratic consultative process)
5.4 Role of Army
5.5 Independence of judiciary
5.6 Education and media
6. Conclusion

Wednesday, February 09, 2011   #10  

Join Date: Oct 2009

Location: Hyderabad
Daredevil39   Posts: 22
Junior Member Thanks: 12
Thanked 50 Times in 19 Posts

@ arfa.......:

i have always mentioned the name of author and source,from where i got the material but this essay i got
from Mr.syed Fida Hussain shah (chairman of NOA academy ) and i got his permission before sharing this
essay...and now i came to know that this essay is written by you...... if you still think that i am guilty then i m
sorry........it will never happen again.

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