Sunteți pe pagina 1din 7

&DQGOHVWLFN6KRFN3DWWHUQV3UR¿W:KHQ3DWWHUQV)DLO

By Dan Gibby

Technical price patterns show the supply and demand relationship of whatever is being traded.
,I\RXWUDGHVWRFNV(7)VFXUUHQFLHVFRPPRGLWLHVRU%LWFRLQWKHWUDGDEOHSULFHSDWWHUQVDUHWKH
same.
7KH0DVWHU7UDGHU0HWKRG 070 LVWRVHDUFKIRUKLJKSUREDELOLW\6HWXSVRQ0XOWLSOH7LPH
)UDPHV 07) WKHQHQWHUDQGPDQDJHSHU\RXU7UDGLQJ3ODQXQHPRWLRQDOO\DQGREMHFWLYHO\
%XWVHWXSVFDQDQGGRIDLOVHWWLQJXSWKH³XQH[SHFWHG´7KLVDUWLFOHLVJRLQJWRWHDFK\RX
KRZWRUHFRJQL]HWKHVHIDLOHGSDWWHUQVDQGRWKHU³VKRFNHYHQWV´WRQRWRQO\DOHUW\RXWRJHWRXW
RIDSRVLWLRQWKDWLVQRWZRUNLQJEXWWRSUR¿WIURPWKHPDVQHZWUDGHV
What is a Shock Pattern?
0DVWHU7UDGHUWHDFKHVLWVWRSWHFKQLFDOSDWWHUQVIRULQYHVWLQJDQGWUDGLQJLQDQ\LQVWUXPHQW
Some of our top patterns include Buy and Sell Setups; Breakouts and Breakdowns; 1-2-3 Con-
WLQXDWLRQV3URIHVVLRQDO,JQLWLQJ*DSV0DQG:5HYHUVDOV6KDNHRXWVDQGPDQ\PRUH
A Shock Pattern is a compelling pattern like those mentioned which Fail.
³)DLOHG´LVDVXEMHFWLYHWHUPLILWLVQRWGH¿QHG:HGH¿QHLWDVRQHLQZKLFKWKHSDWWHUQGLGQRW
IROORZWKURXJKDVLQWHQGHGZDQWLQJXVWRH[LWHYHQLIEHIRUHRXUSUHGHWHUPLQHGVWRSORVVWULJ-
gered.
All Failed Patterns are not tradable. Although they are often a reason to get out of a trade not
ZRUNLQJWUDGLQJWKHPDVQHZRSSRUWXQLW\RQO\H[LVWVLIWKH\KDYHDFRPSHOOLQJSDWWHUQRQ07)
ZLWKD3ULFH9RLGDQGKLJKUHZDUGULVNVHWXSXVLQJ0DVWHU7UDGHU6WUDWHJLHV 076 
:HGH¿QHDPrice VoidDVRQHZKHUHWKHUHLVLQVLJQL¿FDQWFRQJHVWLRQRUVZLQJKLJKVRUORZVWR
WKHOHIWEHFDXVHRIWKHSULRUÀXLGPRYH LHLQVLJQL¿FDQWUHVLVWDQFHLIORQJRULQVLJQL¿FDQWVXS-
SRUWLIVKRUW SHUPLWWLQJWKHLVVXHWRPRUHIUHHO\PRYHLQWKHLQWHQGHGGLUHFWLRQ

Shock Candlesticks and Patterns


%HORZLVDVXPPDU\VKHHWVKRZLQJPDQ\RIWKH0DVWHU7UDGHU%XOOLVK3DWWHUQVWDXJKWLQ076
(DFKDFWXDOO\LVDShock WRWKHEHDUV EXWZLWKGL൵HUHQWOHYHOVRIVKRFN
$VDOZD\VWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHWUDGHZLOOEHGLFWDWHGE\WKH6HWXSXVLQJ076ZLWK07)DOLJQ-
ment.

WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 80


$0DVWHU7UDGHU%X\6HWXSLVDUHWUDFHPHQWDQGUHYHUVDOLQDQXSWUHQGRQVXSSRUW7KHSDWWHUQ
suggests a resumption of the uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
7KHWRSPLGGOHRQHLVDEXOOLVKUHYHUVDO DQGZLOOEHDEXOOLVKUHYHUVDOFDQGOHRQDODUJHUWLPH
IUDPHHLWKHUD%RWWRPLQJ7DLO %7 RUD%XOOLVK:LGH5DQJH%DU :5% ,Q0760DVWHU
7UDGHUWHDFKHVWKLVXQGHUWKHFRQFHSWUHIHUUHGWRDV³WKHWUDQVLWLRQIURPUHGWRJUHHQ´
$%XOO5HYHUVDOLVZKHQRQH:5%LVLPPHGLDWHO\IROORZHGE\D:5%QHJDWLQJWKH
EHDULVKPHVVDJHRIWKH:5%$JDLQWKHRYHUDOOSDWWHUQDQG3ULFH9RLGZLOOGLFWDWHWKHVHWXS
entry, and management.
$5HG%DU,JQRUHG 5%, LVQRWDWUDGDEOHSDWWHUQLQLWVHOIKRZHYHUZHXVHLWLQEDUE\EDU
analysis and overall pattern and trend recognition as a valuable message in that the bearishness
implied in the red bar failed, which is a bullish event.
$EXOOLVK3UR*DSFOHDUVVLJQL¿FDQWUHVLVWDQFHDQGLJQLWHVDQHZPRYH,WFDQEHIURPFRQVROL-
GDWLRQRUD6KRFN3DWWHUQ HJUHYHUVLQJDEHDULVKSDWWHUQ 
$0DVWHU7UDGHU%XOOLVK&RQWLQXDWLRQ  FRQVLVWVRID:5%IROORZHGE\RQHRU
more inside bars which remain in the upper third of the +WRB. A larger Shock is created when
WKHLQVLGHEDU V KDYHUHGUHDOERGLHV7KHHQWU\LVWREX\RYHUWKHKLJKVZLWKDVWRSXQGHUWKH
+WRB.
7KHVHDUHYHU\KLJKSUREDELOLW\SDWWHUQVZKHQWKH\VHWXSXVLQJ0766HHTrading Master
7UDGHU&RQWLQXDWLRQ3DWWHUQVIRU5HOLDEOH3UR¿WV75$'(56:25/'SS 0D\
-XO\ 
$%UHDNGRZQ)DLOXUHLVDQDFWXDOEUHDNGRZQ ZKLFKZDVH[SHFWHG EXWWKHQWKHEUHDNGRZQ

WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 81


IDLOVZKLFKKDSSHQVLQYDULRXVZD\VQHJDWLQJWKHEHDULVKQHVVRIWKHEUHDNGRZQ$%XOO
Reversal is one type of Breakdown Failure.
A Failed Sell Setup is a retracement and reversal in a downtrend at resistance, then after entry
of the short position, the issue advances, negating the bearishness of the Sell Setup.
$:%RWWRPLVDEXOOLVKUHWHVWRIDSULRUORZDQGORRNVOLNHDQDFWXDO³:´LQWHUPVRIVKDSHDQG
time symmetry.
0DVWHU7UDGHUWHDFKHVLQ076WKHYDULRXVKLJKSUREDELOLW\ZD\VWKDWWKH:%RWWRPVHWVXS
HJSRWHQWUHYHUVDODIWHUDUHWHVW ZLWKDQHZORZD³SOXV´ GHHSPRYHLQWRSULRUFRQVROLGD-
WLRQDQGUHYHUVDODIWHUUHWHVWRISRWHQWUHYHUVDO 
7KHPHVVDJHVGLVFXVVHGDERYHDSSO\WRDQ\WUDGDEOHLQVWUXPHQWDQGRQDQ\WLPHIUDPH DQGWKH
RSSRVLWHEHDULVK6HWXSVDUHWKHVDPH 
Shock Pattern Examples
/HW¶VORRNDWDQH[DPSOHZKLFKKDGDQXPEHURIFRPSHOOLQJVLJQDOVDQGWUDGDEOHSDWWHUQVDQG
analyze the messages of the setup and subsequent candlesticks.

Analysis at #1$OWKRXJK52.8KDGDULVLQJSHULRG0RYLQJ$YHUDJH 0$ DVLJQRI


intermediate-term strength, the gap down under the small consolidation that was below the d20-
0$VXJJHVWHGORZHUSULFHV7KDWZDVWKHPHVVDJHSDUWLFXODUO\DIWHUWKHGHHSUHWUDFHPHQWXQGHU
multiple levels of price support.
+RZHYHUEX\HUVVWHSSHGXSDQGUDSLGO\¿OOHGWKHJDSFORVLQJZLWKDEXOOLVKHQJXO¿QJEDU
:KHWKHU\RXZHUHDOUHDG\ORQJWKHVWRFN±RUORRNLQJIRUQHZRSSRUWXQLW\±WKHPHVVDJHFRQ-
veyed was bullish.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 82
,WWKHQDGYDQFHGPDNLQJQHZKLJKVDQGWKHQUHWUDFLQJEDFNWRVXSSRUW WKHJUHHQGRWWHGOLQH 
DQGWKHU0$
$OWKRXJKPRYLQJDYHUDJHVDQGWKHLUDOLJQPHQWWRSULFHVXSSRUWDUHQRWDUHDVRQWRWUDGH0DV-
WHU7UDGHUWHDFKHVKRZWRREMHFWLYHO\XVHWKHPWR³VSHHGWKHDQDO\VLV´
Analysis at #20DVWHU7UDGHUFDOOVWKLVD3URIHVVLRQDO*DSDVH[SODLQHGDERYH7KHEX\SRLQW
was over the day’s high.
7KHQH[WKLJKRGGVHQWU\EDVHGRQ076ZDVRYHUWKHKLJKRI%RWWRPLQJ7DLO %7 EDUVDIWHU
the advance and retracement. The subsequent move was very bullish, not even retracing to
form a pullback and swing low for trail management.
Analysis at #352.8ZDVVWLOODFWLQJEXOOLVK,WJDSSHGXS DVLJQRIVWUHQJWK EXWZDVQRZ
IDUIURPWKHU0$DYLVXDOVLJQRIEHLQJVKRUWWHUPH[WHQGHG
6HOOLQJLPPHGLDWHO\FRPPHQFHG ZKHWKHUIURPVKRUWVHOOLQJRUSUR¿WWDNLQJWKHPHVVDJHZDV
WKHVDPH FORVLQJWKHGD\ZLWKD%HDULVK:LGH5DQJH%DU :5%  QH[WWR³3´ 
That -WRB was especially bearish as it engulfed most of the three preceding bullish bars, and
ZDVIDUIURPWKHU0$
If you were long from one of the prior bullish points mentioned, you were Shocked to see such
a negative reaction,DVWKLVEDUZDVDFRQFHUQXVLQJ076EDUE\EDUDQDO\VLV,I\RXZHUHORRN-
ing for a new bearish opportunity, this candlestick alerted you to a short-term top for new bear-
ish stock and option trades.
2QWKHJDSGRZQDIWHUWKH:5%HQJXO¿QJEDUGD\WUDGHUVZRXOGKDYHVKRUWHGXQGHUD0LQ
ORZEHFDXVHRIWKH3ULFH9RLGEHORZ OLWWOHWRQRVXSSRUWWRWKHOHIWDOORZLQJIRUDELJGURS
ORZHU 
Analysis at #4$IWHUWKHWZRELJJHVWEHDULVK:5%VLQ52.8¶VKLVWRU\ LHKHDY\VHOOLQJ LW
FRQVROLGDWHGIRU¿YHGD\VLQWKHORZHUKDOIRIWKHVHFRQG:5%
0DVWHU7UDGHUWHDFKHVWKDWFRQVROLGDWLRQVLQWKHWRSERWWRPRI:5%VDUHEXOOLVKEHDULVK
ROKU was a bearish consolidation.
ROKU then gapped under all of the prior candles’ real bodies and could not rally much, an-
other sign of weakness.
7KLVZDVDIDQWDVWLFSRLQWWRLQLWLDWHDQHZVKRUW QRWHWKDWSUXGHQWORQJWUDGHUVVKRXOGKDYH
WUDLOVWRSSHGRXWDORQJWLPHSULRUDIWHUWKHEHDULVKHQJXO¿QJDWWKHKLJK 
Analysis at #57KLVVHWXSLVD0DVWHU7UDGHU%HDULVK&RQWLQXDWLRQ  ZKLFKLVD
-WRB, followed by an inside bar which doesn’t retrace more than a third into the -WRB. This
ZDVDTXDOLW\EHFDXVHRIWKH3ULFH9RLGEHORZDQGSULRUEHDULVKEUHDNGRZQVLQFHWKHJDS
reversal at the highs.

WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 83


0DVWHU7UDGHU7LS: The combination of technical patterns form high probability trading oppor-
WXQLWLHVDQGLVWKHHVVHQFHRI076
The Gap under the inside bar was an additional Shock to the bulls still in that green candle. The
VZLQJWUDGLQJHQWU\ZDVXQGHUWKHJUHHQFDQGOH¶VORZ7KHVKRUWHQWU\ZDVD0LQORZIRUGD\
traders.
For managing a swing short, you simply cover over a prior day’s high as it approached the
green line connecting to the price support to the left.
Shocks from Failed Breakouts
%UHDNRXWVIRUP±DQGFDQIDLO±LQYDULRXVVHWXSVRQGL൵HUHQWWLPHIUDPHV
%HORZ36$ZDVLQDVWURQJXSWUHQGDERYHLWVU0$,WWKHQFRQVROLGDWHGDERYHWKHU
0$IRUWZRZHHNVPDNLQJDQHZFORVLQJKLJK7KHIROORZLQJGD\ EOXHDUURZ DWWKHKLJKRI
the day before the close, it was a Bullish WRB.

$WWKHHQGRIWKHGD\LWFORVHGXQGHULWVRSHQZLWKDEHDULVK7RSSLQJ7DLO 77 DQGXQGHUWKH
prior breakout bar’s low.
This was a Shock to the bulls. The pattern and trend before the Shock Bar suggested higher
prices. The reversal and weak close created a lot of uncertainty about PSA’s ability to continue
its trend higher.
7KHIROORZLQJJUHHQEDUFORVHGRQVXSSRUWZLWKDVPDOO%7JLYLQJWKHEXOOV³KRSH´LQWKHLUQRZ
questionable bullish breakout.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 84
+RZHYHUXQGHUWKHJUHHQEDU¶VORZWKH%UHDNRXW)DLOXUHZDVFRQ¿UPHGDQGWKHORQJVVKRXOG
KDYHH[LWHGDQGVHWWLQJXSVKRUWSRVVLELOLWLHVEHFDXVHRIWKH3ULFH9RLGEHORZ
%HORZDUHWZRPRUHH[DPSOHVRI%UHDNRXW)DLOXUHVLQWKH6 3(7) 63< 
7KHORQJVVKRXOGKDYHH[LWHGERWKWLPHVDQGDV\RXVHHVHWXSVKRUWSRVVLELOLWLHVEHFDXVHRI
WKH3ULFH9RLGEHORZ

Conclusion
The various forms of ShockSDWWHUQVH[SODLQHGDUHVRPHRI0DVWHU7UDGHU¶VIDYRULWHVHWXSV
EHFDXVHWKH\FUHDWHWKH³XQH[SHFWHG´SURYLGLQJJUHDWRSSRUWXQLW\WRWKRVHVNLOOHGZLWKWKLV
information.
7UDGHUV RIWHQDFWLQJHPRWLRQDOO\DQGZLWKRXWDQREMHFWLYHWUDGLQJPHWKRGRORJ\ GRQ¶WNQRZ
ZKDWWRGRZKHQWUDGHVWKH\DUHLQIDLOFUHDWLQJWKHVHVHWXSVDVQHZRSSRUWXQLW\7KHLUH[LWLQJ
the trades at poor times and locations increase our opportunities.
2YHUOD\LQJ076ZLOODOORZ\RXWRSLFNWKHEHVWRQHVFRQ¿GHQWO\7KHFRPELQDWLRQRIWUHQG
DQDO\VLVLQ07)WKHEURDGHUPDUNHWGLUHFWLRQDQGUHODWLYHVWUHQJWKRUZHDNQHVVZLOODGGWRRXU
odds of success.
6XFFHVVIXOWUDGHUVRQO\QHHGDIHZFRPSHOOLQJSDWWHUQVWRJHQHUDWHSUR¿WVDQGZHDOWKWKURXJK
trading and investing in the markets.
,WWKHQEHFRPHV\RXUMREWRZDLWIRUWKRVHVHWXSVDQGH[HFXWHDQGPDQDJHZLWKSURSHUW\PRQH\
DQGWUDGHPDQDJHPHQWXVLQJWKH0DVWHU7UDGHU0HWKRG 070 

WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 85


For many, the discipline to wait and follow
their Trading Plan is the hardest part. TradersWorld Magazine
0DVWHU7UDGHUDQG<RX%XLOGLQJ<RXU Premium Subscription
Financial Future Together, see https:// Get everything we have for only $19.95 per year
mastertrader.com Save 50% over our regular subscription of $39.95

+DSS\WUDGLQJ,I\RXKDYHDQ\TXHVWLRQVRU
comments, please e-mail Dan Gibby at Dan@
mastertrader.com
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Dan Gibby0DQDJLQJ'LUHFWRURI0DVWHU7UDGHUFRP
SRVVHVVPRUHWKDQ\HDUV¶H[SHULHQFHLQHTXLW\DQG
RSWLRQVWUDGLQJZLWKH[SHUWLVHLQWHFKQLFDODQDO\VLV
using options to hedge and speculate, and portfolio/
asset management. He formed Master Trader with
Greg Capra to provide education to stock and option
QUARTERLY MAGAZINE SUBSCRIPTION
traders as well as consult for money managers and Read articles explaining classical trading
high net worth investors on option strategies to techniques, such as W.D. Gann, Elliott Wave,
generate superior risk adjusted returns. astro-trading as well as modern technical
analysis explaining indicators in eSignal,
NinjaTraders, MetaStock & Market Analyst.

COMPLETE BACK ISSUES OF TRADERS


WORLD Magazine (ISSUES 1-64)
You also get our complete archive of 60 back
issues from 1986 to present. This, contains
articles, product reviews, hundreds of chart
examples, how-to-trade articles and much

format, which you can read online anytime.


In every issue, you get the information
you need to trade the markets better with
charting, astro, cycles, oscillator tools.
Works for stocks, bonds, futures, options.

60-Day Money Back Guarantee

CLICK TO SUBSCRIBE

1-800-288-4266
www.TradersWorld.com
www.TradersWorldOnlineExpo.com

WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM Nov/Dec/Jan 2020 86

S-ar putea să vă placă și