Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
T he world of experimental parapsychology is abuzz with excitement with the imminent publication of a paper reporting
evidence for precognition in human laboratory subjects.
The paper will appear in the Journal of A draft version of Professor Bem’s
Personality and Social Psychology; it is paper is at: Contents
authored by Professor Daryl J. Bem of http://www.dbem.ws/FeelingFuture.p
Cornell University and entitled ‘Feeling df From the ASKE Chairman 1
the future: Experimental evidence for and a summary and discussion is at:
anomalous retroactive influences on http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn1 Logic and Intuition 2
cognition and affect’. Professor Bem 9712-is-this-evidence-that-we-can-see-
Medicine on the Fringe 2
reports the results of nine experiments the-future.html.
that have found statistically highly Also Tim Valentine and Chris
Language on the Fringe 4
significant effects for the retroactive French discuss this and other issues on
influence of stimuli (i.e. stimuli that the Guardian Science Weekly podcast The European Scene 6
have yet to be presented) on at:
participants’ performance in various http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/a Of Interest 8
cognitive tasks. Avid readers of this udio/2010/nov/29/science-weekly-
newsletter (Who? – Ed.) will recall that podcast-memory Upcoming Events 10
Professor Bem presented some of this
The Nightingale Collaboration
work at a symposium entitled Logic and Intuition: 11
http://www.nightingale-
‘Developing Perspectives on Anomalous Answer
collaboration.org/
Experience’ which was held on June 4th
At TAM London in October 2010, About ASKE
2005, Liverpool Hope University 12
Simon Singh announced the launch of
College, an account of which is to be
The Nightingale Collaboration
found in the Skeptical Advesaria, 2005, • challenging misleading claims made
(Directors Alan Henness & Maria by practitioners on their websites, in
Number 2 (June). Professor Bem is well-
MacLachlan).
known in mainstream social psychology, adverts and in their promotional and
‘Complaints about chiropractors’
having obtained his PhD in this field in sales materials and subjecting these
website claims, made by Alan Henness,
1964, and he has an international to scrutiny by the appropriate
Simon Perry and others, have shown that
reputation in the study of attitudes and regulatory bodies;
it is possible to confront and highlight
cognitive dissonance theory. • striving to ensure that organisations
misleading information, have it
The conduct, analysis and findings of representing complementary and
withdrawn and those responsible held to
his experiments are impressive. If they alternative practitioners have robust
account.
are authentic then we must conclude that codes of conduct for their members
‘The Nightingale Collaboration will
it is possible, however slightly, for our that protect the public and that these
work to improve the protection of the
thoughts and feelings to be influenced are rigorously enforced.’
public by ensuring claims made about
by future experiences. Visit the website and put your
complementary and alternative therapies
name on the newsletter list
are not misleading. We will do this by:
1
Skeptical Adversaria, Winter 2010
LOGIC AND INTUITION
elow is (or are – I can never decide) a pot-pourri of simple puzzles and paradoxes that have come my
B way over the last year. Not all have a definitive answer but just thinking about them can be challenging
enough.
Why not make reservoirs deeper? The paradox of the machine that Two cosmic events
A lady wrote to a local newspaper that I makes tools The Philosophy of Physics by Marc
receive, asking why the water authorities I found this puzzle in David Deutsch’s Lange (Blackwell, 2002) is another book
do not make existing reservoirs deeper book The Fabric of Reality (Penguin, that I am reading, though an average rate
as a way of solving water shortages over 1997), which I have just finished reading of one sentence per day is all that I am
the summer. I have no knowledge or (i.e. struggling through). equal to. Versions of these two related
expertise in this area, but it got me A machine makes tools whose sole puzzles appear in the book.
thinking. There was no reply to the purpose is to make all the tools required (i) A spaceship destined for Mars is
letter. to make more machines like it. The launched from Earth. It is a fact that this
An enquiry into public enquiries? machines have imperfections because event alters the centre of gravity of the
Earlier this year there was a discussion the tools that make them are imperfect. solar system.
on ASKEnet about demands that there Can the tools ever be improved? (ii) The spaceship lands on Mars and
should be a public enquiry into the death Variation on an old theme the first cosmonaut descends to the
of Dr David Kelly, the UN weapons This is also from the above book and is a surface. Unbeknown to her, immediately
inspector who died in 2003, apparently subtle variation of a well-known theme her foot touches the Martian surface she
by his own hand. But are public enquires (already evident in one of the puzzles becomes a widow, for at that moment
any use? Maybe we should have a public above). her husband dies in a car accident.
enquiry into public enquiries. But if the I am studying the following Do these events violate any
conclusion of that enquiry is that public statement: ‘I, Michael Heap, cannot fundamental laws of science?
enquires are indeed unreliable what consistently judge this statement to be Answers on page 11.
should we do about it? true’. Should I believe it? Should you
believe it?
___________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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5
Skeptical Adversaria, Winter 2010
THE EUROPEAN SCENE
A SKE is a member of the European Council for Skeptical Organisations. It has an Internet Forum on
which you can read comments on sceptical issues from contributors and post your own. To access this,
log on to http://forum.ecso.org/.
Contact details for ECSO are: Consumer protection is a priority for ‘traditional’ products have disappeared
Address: Arheilger Weg 11, 64380 the EU. Directive 2005/29/EC defines from European pharmacies for lack of
Roßdorf, Germany and condemns unfair commercial efficacy or safety. This system
Tel.: +49 6154/695021 practices of all kinds, misleading functioned fairly well for many years,
Fax: +49 6154/695022 advertising and aggressive sales though there is still room for
Website: http://www.ecso.org/ methods. Health is also a priority, which improvement.
Via the website you can access articles, led to the creation of the Directorate However, in 1992 the EU parliament
news, and commentary on a range of General for Health and Consumers that voted for a very strange exception to the
topics of interest to sceptics. was tasked ‘to help make Europe’s protection against false claims. In the
citizens healthier, safer and more EU Directive 92/73/EEC, the
Future Meetings in Europe confident, to make laws on the safety of requirement for proven efficacy was
Some of the following are provisional: food and other products, and to check dropped for a special group of products:
• In 2011 there is the TAM Zurich that the rules are properly applied by the homeopathic and antroposophic
meeting (not organised but supported member states’. medicinal products.
by ECSO; see ‘Upcoming Events’, The EU directive is unambiguous. Art.7 §4. The criteria and rules of
below).
Any claim about treating or curing a procedure provided for in Articles 5 to
• 2012: International Congress, Berlin
disease or malformation is considered as 12 of Directive 65/65/EEC shall apply
• 2013 European Congress, Stockholm
unfair or misleadingi unless the product by analogy to the special, simplified
• 2014 European Symposium, Prague
is registered as medication and sufficient registration procedure for HMP
• 2015 European Congress, London
proof for its efficacy and related claims (homeopathic medicinal products), with
Homeopathy in the European have been presented to and accepted by the exception of the proof of therapeutic
Union the EU or national pharmaceutical efficacy.
From Willem Betz of the Belgian authorities. One of the motivations was: ‘... the
Skeptics” Producers of food and food very low level of active principles they
‘Attached is a text (now slightly supplements are allowed to make claims contain and the difficulty of applying to
reworked by Amardeo [Sarma] and about promoting health or diminishing them the conventional statistical
myself) that explains what is wrong with the risks of disease, but only after the methodiii relating to clinical trials, ...’.
the EU laws. Any rectification solution phrasing has been substantiated as well Another argument was “that
of this EU farce will have to come from as presented to and approved by the homeopathic treatment is so highly
the European Parliament. Please use this European Food Safety Agency (EFSA). individualised that it is not possible to
text as you like. We suggest that you Hundreds of such claims have already associate one product with one diseaseiv
translate it in your language and use it to been rejected as unfounded or The consequences of the above
contact your EP delegates, asking them misleadingii. By 2011 all false claims directive are that HMP (Homeopathic
the questions formulated at the end: “Do should have disappeared. medical products) must be registered by
you think it is ethically acceptable that Medication has been regulated since the states as medication even if they
the EP gives the quack-industry much longer. The first strict EU ruling contain nothing but sugar or water. They
immunity and a blank cheque?” It would was established in 1965 (EU Directives are even exempted from the obligation
also be useful to let people know by 65/65/EEC, 75/319/EEC and to mention their contents in weight or
articles in the press explaining how this 89/341/EEC). A medication can be volume. Indicating the name of the first
quack promotion was imposed. All this registered at a national or EU level by drop of the initial substance and the
as preparation for the February 5th the European Medicines Agency number of shakes, knocks and dilutions
action.’ (EMEA). All member states have to suffice.
The EU, Consumer Fraud and accept medical products recognized by Since such HMP are regulated by
Homeopathy other states. Since 1965, any claim on medication laws, they escape the rules
From Willem Betz (University of curing or relieving symptoms or disease for food or food supplements, perhaps
Brussels VUB; Belgian Skeptics has to be solidly substantiated, with the they even escape the laws on unfair
SKEPP), 07/01/2011. consequence that thousands of commerce.
6
Skeptical Adversaria, Winter 2010
The original text of the 1992 the ‘traditional use’ as a medical we ask all concerned to consider
Directive imposed some strict indication. Several scientific whether it is acceptable to sell and
limitations on such HMP: It was not organisations and national Academies of advertise such products under different
permitted mention of any disease and Science or Medicine have officially names and with different indications.
use brand names. It was required to have protested against such absurdities, but We call on our European
a very highly diluted content and a authorities refer to the law as their Members of Parliament to stand up to
warning on the label with the text guiding principle, even if pseudoscience their responsibility to protect citizens
‘product without scientifically proven and potential harm, possibly serious, to and to close this unacceptable gap in
indication’. These limitations were patients is being legalized. The consumer protection laws that allow
swiftly circumvented by the emperor’s new clothes are now defined products without content to escape rules
homeopathic industry. They were by law against science. against consumer fraud, for food and
allowed to put ‘complex’ products on The homeopaths openly admit that supplements, and for medicinal
the market, meaning a mixture of most of their products are diluted products. We need uniform and non-
several HMP, with disease-suggestive beyond Avogadro’s number, with not a discriminatory laws that protect citizens
brand names. Flyers with medical single atom or molecule of the original and patients, not promote selected
indications may be distributed. None of product remaining. The Directive further industries against all good sense and
this requires any proof whatsoever for mandates that the EU Pharmacopeia fairness.
efficacy. must have a separate chapter on • If HMP are medication, they should
The argument that homeopathy homeopathy. There we read that the be governed by the same rules as
requires a highly individualised choice difference between solvent and HMP for any other medication.
of medication that got them the cannot be made by allopathic analytic • If HMP are considered as food or
exception in the first place was totally methods. (sic!) food additives, which is our
forgotten, but it had served its purpose They omit to mention that this recommendation, all rules for that
of getting an exception. difference cannot be made by anyone, category must apply: Any claim on
Other additions to the directive neither by homeopaths, nor by health must first be approved by the
opened more back doors: special clairvoyants, nor by any other method. EFSA.
registration procedures taking in The claim by proponents of homeopathy Whether as food or as medication, all
consideration ‘national traditions’, the that water, alcohol, or sugar has a ingredients must be mentioned on the
creation of a ‘special category memory is still lacking any scientific label with their internationally accepted
homeopathy with indications’ that still proof. The Belgian skeptics’ chemical or biological names, expressed
did not need any proof of efficacy. This organisation offers a prize of 10.000 in verifiable weight or volume units.
law was passed in The Netherlands ‘in Euro for a proof that water has a The homeopathic name of the starting
the interest of the Homeopathic export memory, and a 1,000,000 US$ challenge product, the number of times it was
industry’. Concentrated tinctures are by the US James Randi Educational diluted, shaken and knocked may also
labelled and sold as ‘homeopathic Foundation is also available for a similar be mentioned provided it does not serve
medication’, of which some are feat. A few years ago, a campaign by the to mislead the consumer.
dangerous. homeopaths included the claim that they Citing that a product was once used
In 2004, all this and more consumer could differentiate HMP and solvent. by somebody for a specific indication
fraud was legalized by Directive The claim was put to the test by the certainly cannot be tolerated as proof of
2004/27/EC. The vendors of HMP may BBC program Horizon. If they would efficacy. This could be used as a
now mention diseases or symptoms if have succeeded, they would have won precedent by other ancient or folk-
there is some past record of ‘traditional the 1,000,000 US$ prize. They failed. remedies, opening a Pandora’s Box for
homeopathic’ use. ‘Adequate It is not our intention to deprive other desires.
bibliography’ is sufficient as proof, those who believe in magic water their ___________
without any elaboration of what that cherished nostrum. However, we do ask i
ANNEX I of the Directive contains a
means. Since 2004, all member states our European Members of Parliament to LIST of commercial practices which are
had been obliged to install special consider whether it is ethically IN ALL CIRCUMSTANCES
pharmaceutical committees to register acceptable to sell and advertise products CONSIDERED UNFAIR: Nr 17:
such HMP with indications. Genuine as medication that cannot by any means Falsely claiming that a product is able to
pharmacologists have to sit in or by anybody be differentiated from cure illnesses, dysfunction or
committees with homeopaths and are plain solvent, whether it is water or malformations.
obliged to register ‘medication’ that alcohol, or from sugar. ii
lists of rejected claims can be
contains nothing but water, alcohol or Considering that no one is able to consulted at:
sugar pellets, and they have to register distinguish two homeopathic productsvi,
7
Skeptical Adversaria, Winter 2010
iv
http://ec.europa.eu/food/food/labellingn persons got better (or not) after a Note: the quote is condensed.
v
utrition/claims/community_register/rejec homeopathic treatment, and compare it if the dilutions are higher than DH24
ted_health_claims_en.htm with the number of persons who got (24 decimal) or CH12 (12 centesimal);
Also claims for herbal products must be better (or not) in a control group? The many popular products are infinitely
substantiated, same nonsensical phrase can be found in more diluted.
iii
The expression that ‘conventional several EU documents concerning vi
if they are prepared with the same
statistics’ are not applicable to homeopathy, also in the EU solvent or granulae.
homeopathy seems absurd. What Pharmacopeia. Note: The quote is
prevents them from counting how many condensed.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
OF INTEREST
£200,000 into the high court in London College of Medicine
if it wants to continue with its action Further to information in the last
against him. Newsletter, see ‘Don’t be deceived: The
The court has ruled that NMT new “College of Medicine” is a fraud
Medical must pay the money into court and delusion’ by David Colquhoun at:
http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/c by 18 January or its claim will be struck http://www.dcscience.net/?p=3632
ommentators/john-kampfner-so-you- out and the court will make a costs order
The Australian Competition and
think-weve-got-free-speech-in-britain- against the company in Dr Wilmshurst’s Consumer Commission: Power
think-again-2176967.html favour. See: Balance Australia Pty Ltd
John Kampfner in the Independent http://www.bmj.com/content/341/bmj.c6
http://www.accc.gov.au/content/index.p
(6.1.11) writes: ‘The case of Dr Dalia 957.extract?papetoc.
html/itemId/964065
Nield, one of the country’s leading
Scientology http://www.accc.gov.au/content/index.p
plastic surgery consultants, goes to the
http://newhumanist.org.uk/2458/inside- html/itemId/964074
heart of the problem with English libel
the-mind-of-scientologys-messiah Power Balance Australia Pty Ltd (Power
law. Dr Nield took issue with the
‘Twenty-five years after his death, Balance) claimed that their wristbands
company producing the cream, which
Michael Bywater revisits the sacred and pendants improve balance, strength
claimed to increase a woman’s cup size.
texts of the pulp science writer turned and flexibility and work positively with
Her remarks, in a national newspaper,
prophet L Ron Hubbard’. In ‘Inside the the body’s natural energy field. It also
produced a familiar outcome – a threat
mind of Scientology’s Messiah’ (Issue 1 marketed its products with the slogan
of action from Britain’s legal
of the New Humanist 2011). ‘Performance Technology’. These
establishment’. A citizens’ advice
Meanwhile, Midland council chiefs claims made by Power Balance were not
bureau has been threatened for
have been warned not to give tax breaks supported by any credible scientific
challenging the conduct of a fraud-
worth hundreds of thousands of pounds evidence and therefore Power Balance
prevention firm. An official at a south
to the controversial Church of has admitted that it has engaged in
London borough is being sued for
Scientology. Birmingham City Council misleading and deceptive conduct in
comments allegedly made about a local
is among authorities thought to have breach of s. 52 of the Trade Practices
headmaster in emails between himself
given the movement, whose supporters Act 1974.
and a civil servant…..’
include Tom Cruise and John Travolta, Power Balance admits no reasonable
John Kampfner is chief executive of
tax relief on the buildings they use. And basis for the wristband claims and
Index on Censorship. To sign the libel
Communities Secretary Eric Pickles consumers have been offered refunds.
reform petition go to
moved to cut the concessions, saying he To address the ACCC’s concerns, Power
www.libelreform.org.
did not think people would want their Balance has agreed to several
Also visit
councils to give the organisation undertakings (see the above websites for
Twitter.com/johnkampfner
favoured tax treatment (Sunday details)
Meanwhile, the US based medical Mercury, 18.10.10). See:
device maker which is suing British Homeopathy and malaria
http://www.sundaymercury.net/news/mi http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-
interventional cardiologist Peter dlands-news/2010/10/18/birmingham-
Wilmshurst for libel over comments he 12153074
city-council-warned-over-scientology- The General Pharmaceutical Council has
made about a clinical trial of its septal tax-breaks-66331-27486850/
repair implant has been ordered to pay dropped the cases brought by Sense
About Science 4 years ago against
8
Skeptical Adversaria, Winter 2010
pharmacists selling useless sugar pills And from the website of the British Readers may be also interested in
for malaria. The Nightingale False Memory Society: Ed’s posts on astrology (amongst other
Collaboration, which campaigns for ‘Innocent people still go to prison topics) at:
evidence-based medicine, will submit a because there is an inbuilt bias against http://ocham.blogspot.com/search/label/
new complaint to the General those accused of historic sexual abuse, science
Pharmaceutical Council. according to a collection of articles and
Brazilian ‘child-healer’
NHS job advert for a individual testimonies published and
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/
‘homeopathic specialist’ launched in London on Thursday 25th
oct/29/brazil-evangelical-revolution-
http://www.zenosblog.com/2010/08/nhs- November 2010 in Miscarriage of
miracle-healers
memory, historic child abuse cases - a
tayside-want-to-employ-a-new-doctor/ Brazil’s evangelical revolution has seen
For a follow up to this topic, featured in dilemma for the legal system, edited by
Alani dos Santos, aged 6, better known
the last Newsletter, visit Zeno’s Blog William Burgoyne and Norman Brand.
as the Missionarinha or ‘Little
Copies of this book will be available
above. Missionary’, become one of Brazil’s
from Amazon, good bookshops and the
Andrew Wakefield leading ‘child-healers’. At the
BFMS office.’
Also on Zeno’s Blog (above) you can Pentecostal Church of the Miracle – a
This book will be reviewed in the
read a commentary on the latest converted warehouse on the
next ASKE Newsletter.
accounts of Andrew Wakefield’s impoverished outskirts of Rio de Janeiro
For the latest BFMS Newsletter visit
fraudulent investigation on the supposed - ‘she places her hands and the miracle
their website at:
relationship between autism and the happens….Thousands of people have
http://www.bfms.org.uk/site_pages/fram
MMR vaccine. The original is at: been touched’, says her father, Pastor
eset.htm
http://www.bmj.com/content/342/bmj.c5 Adauto Santos, 44, a former hairdresser
347.full Sense About Science and car thief who runs what is one of
and www.senseaboutscience.org Rio de Janeiro’s most talked-about
http://www.bmj.com/content/342/bmj.c7 A reminder to keep visiting the Sense churches and believes his daughter can
452 About Science website to keep in touch cure ailments from cancer to Aids and
with their activities and the state of play TB.
Memory and false memory of the ‘Keep Libel Laws out of Science’
From Chris French: The Post-Rapture Pet Care
campaign.
‘Following on from my recent Registry
column for the Guardian is a feature on Florence Nightingale and Germ http://www.aftertherapturepetcare.com/
the need for those involved in the legal Theory ‘If the rapture happened right now, what
process to understand the complexities The launching of the Nightingale would happen to your pets? It’s a real
of human memory at: Collaboration (see earlier in this concern, and a legitimate concern. Our
http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2010 Newsletter) prompted ASKE member pets are given to us by God for us to
/nov/24/false-memories-abuse-convict- Ed Buckner to recall the controversy care for. We are stewards of their lives.
innocent over the common belief in Florence Should we simply forget them at the
‘Prof Tim Valentine and I discuss Nightingale’s supposed antipathy to the Rapture, allow them to starve or worse?’
these and other issues on the Guardian germ theory. According to Ed ‘It is Register your pets with the Post-rapture
Science Weekly podcast at: claimed that this is a myth and that she Pet Care Registry. Pay $10.00 for
http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/audi did believe them’. See lifetime membership.
o/2010/nov/29/science-weekly-podcast- http://www.florence-nightingale-
memory’ avenging-angel.co.uk/Germs.htm
9
Skeptical Adversaria, Winter 2010
UPCOMING EVENTS
QED: QUESTION, EXPLORE, Wendy Grossman and our very own ----0----
DISCOVER CONFERENCE Professor Chris French.
Manchester, February 5-6th, 2011 All profits from the event will be THE ANOMALISTIC
www.qedcon.org donated to Sense About Science and the
PSYCHOLOGY RESEARCH
UNIT AT GOLDSMITH’S
Jointly organised by the Greater National Autistic Society, so it’s a
COLLEGE LONDON
Manchester Skeptics and Merseyside weekend of partying for the benefit of
http://www.goldsmiths.ac.uk/apru/speak
Skeptics Society, the event will feature two great causes.
ers.php
figures from all areas of skeptical To find out more about QED, and to
tamas.borbely@gmx.com
activity - from the stalwart skeptical get your ticket, visit the above website.
Seminars are held on Tuesdays at 6:10
icons of Eugenie Scott, Jon Ronson and THE 1023 CAMPAIGN: p.m. in Room LGO1 in the New
Dr Steve Novella (in his first ever Homeopathy: there’s nothing in it Academic Building, Goldsmiths
appearance in the UK), to up-and-
Website: http://www.1023.org.uk/ College, University of London, New
coming skeptical lights in the form of
Email mailto:contact@1023.org.uk Cross, London SE14 6NW. Talks are
Kat Akingbade, Hayley Stevens and
Andy Wilson of the Merseyside open to staff, students and members of
Trystan Swale.
Skeptics is co-ordinating the next the public. Attendance is free and there
The line-up also makes space for
international ‘mass overdose’ which will is no need to book.
demonstrating the wonder of science -
be held over the weekend of the 5th and You are strongly recommended to
with the likes of Jim Al-Khalili, Bruce
6th February 2011 (either day to allow register (at no cost) with the APRU’s
Hood, Simon Singh, Colin Wright and
some flexibility). ‘Psychology of the Paranormal’ email
David Kirby speaking about their work,
Please get in touch as soon as list to ensure that you are informed of
as well as examining the workings of the
possible if you are organising an event any changes to the programme. Visit:
media with BAFTA-nominated docum-
in your locality. http://www.gold.ac.uk/apru/email-
entarian Chris Atkins.
NATIONAL SCIENCE TOUR network/
Alongside the guest speakers,
and
grassroots skepticism will be key at http://www.badscience.net/2010/12/im-
http://www.twitter.com/ChrisCFrench
QED, with panels and workshops from: doing-this-awesome-massive-nerd-
and
• Alan Henness and the Nightingale tour/#more-1905
http://feeds.feedburner.com/apru
Collaboration showing how to On April 3rd (in Glasgow) and
combat quackery throughout May (various towns and SKEPTICS IN THE PUB
• Simon Perry on how to run your cities), Ben Goldacre Simon Singh, Website for all venues:
own Skeptics in the Pub Brian Cox and Robin Ince are holding a http://www.skeptic.org.uk/pub/
• The Pod Delusion podcast, giving series of meetings in which they will Go to the above website and then choose
you the chance to voice your talk about science ‘and it will be funny’. the venue you are looking for to access
thoughts They are also making ‘a Spinal Tap tour the upcoming events (and information
• The 10:23 Campaign, who will video’. ‘Come! There will be shouting on any associated local sceptic group).
report on their challenge to take and enthusiasm (must there be? – Ed.) Current venues are now so numerous
their coordinated anti-homeopathy and nerd facts just like in our Godless there is almost bound to be a meeting
demonstrations to an international shows and festival stuff. A night like no near you.
stage, as well as organising the other, mixing live presentations and
CENTRE FOR INQUIRY
UK’s single biggest protest against fabulous projections of the phenomenal.
LONDON
the pseudoscience at QED. Prepare to be amazed.’ http://www.cfilondon.org/
To top it off, the festival will feature TAM ZURICH 2011 No events scheduled at the time of
an evening of entertainment from At the Volkshaus in Zürich’s City centre writing.
comedian Robin Ince and skeptical September 8th-11th, 2011
musician George Hrab. Plus the Skeptic http://twitter.com/TAMZurich
magazine will be well represented, with (The above link is not connecting at the
appearances from magazine founder time of writing.)
LOGIC AND INTUITION: ANSWERS
The answers are as follows:
10
Skeptical Adversaria, Winter 2010
Why not make reservoirs deeper? with better quality tools (cf. biological connect the two? We can ask a similar
I don’t know if this is a good idea or not. evolution). Without such variation I am question when we assert, with absolute
My first thought was that if it is indeed a not sure we could improve on the tools. confidence, that the death of the
good idea the water boards would have (We could also make certain conditions cosmonaut’s husband on Earth causes
already done it. My second thought was in the original question that make the cosmonaut on Mars to become a
‘Is it practical?’ To significantly evolution difficult, e.g. that each widow. In both examples it seems that
increase the volume of reservoirs that I machine only makes the necessary and the answer to the above question is
know of (there are a lot of them around sufficient tools to make one other ‘none’.
where I live) would require quite a machine and those tools are then thrown We could raise similar questions
sizable increase in depth and then there away.) about time. In the second example, there
would be the problem of where to dump appears to be no anomaly in saying that
Variation on an old theme
the enormous amount of material dug the cosmonaut becomes a widow at the
Again we are reminded of the paradox
out. But then I realised that the original same time that her husband dies. Yet the
‘This sentence is false’. Let me quote
question is based on the premise that two events are separated by at least 55
Professor Deutsch here: ‘I am trying as
water is being lost because of overspill; million kilometres and we cannot have
hard as I can, but I cannot consistently
that is there are periods when a instantaneous cause and effect over
judge (the statement) to be true. For if I
reservoir’s capacity is exceeded by the distance. And in the first example it
did, I would be judging that I cannot
amount of water available for storage. seems that the solar system’s centre of
judge it to be true, and would be
How often is this the case? If it were gravity is dependent at any moment in
contradicting myself. But you can see it
seldom or never, then making the time on the position of the spaceship
to be true, can’t you? This shows it is at
reservoir deeper would have little effect, once it starts its ascent. Hence again we
least possible, for a proposition to be
rather like a restaurant owner increasing appear to have instantaneous cause and
unfathomable to one person yet self-
the seating capacity of his establishment effect over distance, in this case in
evidently true to everyone else’ (p. 237,
despite the fact that it never gets full. excess of 149 million kilometres.
op.cit.).
Any further ideas are welcome. There is, of course, nothing in any of
Two cosmic events this that contradicts these fundamental
An enquiry into public enquiries?
There is an older version of statement (i) laws of science. In Professor Lange’s
This question is reminiscent of the old
paradox ‘This statement is false’. If we
due to Thomas Carlisle and quoted by terminology this is because ‘being the
Professor Lange (p. 23, op.cit.), namely solar system’s centre of gravity’ and
are to accept the conclusions of the
‘It is a mathematical fact that the casting ‘being a widow’ are not properties
public enquiry then we must also
of this pebble from my hand alters the intrinsically possessed by the particular
conclude that it itself is unreliable.
centre of gravity of the universe’. locality or the cosmonaut respectively. If
Hence we should not accept its
conclusion! Perhaps all we can say is
Professor Lange suggests we interpret we examine them at the time the ‘causal’
‘universe’ as ‘solar system’ and asks the events occur we shall not detect any
that this particular public enquiry was
question ‘Is this a violation of spatial changes in either.
useless.
locality?’ ‘Spatial locality’ here refers to
The paradox of the machine that Note
the requirement that for event A to have
makes tools If you spot any howlers or flaws in any
a causal effect on event B there must be
The furthest I have got with this of my answers or if there are points that
no spatial gap between them in which no
question is that the tools could be I have missed, please let me know.
casual event on B takes place. We can
improved if there were some variation in say that the launching of the spaceship
their quality and we could detect those causes a slight shift in the solar system’s
variations. We could then choose only centre of gravity (presumably
the better quality tools to make more somewhere in the vicinity of the Sun’s
machines or only use the machines made centre) but what chain of causal events
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Skeptical Adversaria, Winter 2010
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Skeptical Adversaria, Winter 2010