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Chapter 1
Thinking Critically with
Psychological Science
The Need for
Psychological Science
Hindsight Bias
we tend to believe, after learning an
outcome, that we would have foreseen it
the “I-knew-it-all-along” phenomenon
Overconfidence
we tend to think we know more than we
do
The Need for
Psychological Science
Critical Thinking
thinking that does
not blindly accept
arguments and
conclusions
examines assumptions
discerns hidden values
evaluates evidence
The Amazing Randi--Skeptic
The Need for
Psychological Science
Theory
an explanation using an integrated set of
principles that organizes and predicts
observations
Hypothesis
a testable prediction
often implied by a theory
The Need for
Psychological Science
The Need for
Psychological Science
Operational Definition
a statement of procedures (operations)
used to define research variables
Example-
intelligence may be operationally defined as
what an intelligence test measures
The Need for
Psychological Science
Replication
repeating the essence of a research
study to see whether the basic
finding generalizes to other
participants and circumstances
usually with different participants in
different situations
Description
Indicates direction
of relationship
(positive or negative)
Correlation
r = +.37
coefficient
Indicates strength
of relationship
(0.00 to 1.00)
Correlation
Scatterplot
a graphed cluster of dots, each of which
represents the values of two variables
the slope of the points suggests the direction of
the relationship
the amount of scatter suggests the strength of
the correlation
little scatter indicates high correlation
also called a scattergram or scatter diagram
Correlation
or
Low self-esteem
(3)
Distressing events could cause
and
or biological
predisposition
Depression
Illusory Correlation
Correlation confirming
evidence
disconfirming
evidence
the perception Adopt
of a
relationship disconfirming confirming
where none Do not
evidence evidence
exists adopt
Two Random
Sequences
Your chances of
being dealt
either of these
hands is
precisely the
same: 1 in
2,598,960.
Experimentation
Experiment
an investigator manipulates one or more
factors (independent variables) to
observe their effect on some behavior or
mental process (the dependent variable)
by random assignment of participants the
experiment controls other relevant factors
Experimentation
Placebo
an inert substance or condition that may be
administered instead of a presumed active agent,
such as a drug, to see if it triggers the effects
believed to characterize the active agent
Double-blind Procedure
both the research participants and the research
staff are ignorant (blind) about whether the
research participants have received the treatment
or a placebo
commonly used in drug-evaluation studies
Experimentation
Experimental Condition
the condition of an experiment that exposes
participants to the treatment, that is, to one
version of the independent variable
Control Condition
the condition of an experiment that contrasts
with the experimental treatment
serves as a comparison for evaluating the effect
of the treatment
Experimentation
Random Assignment
assigning participants to
experimental and control conditions
by chance
minimizes pre-existing differences
between those assigned to the
different groups
Experimentation
Independent Variable
the experimental factor that is manipulated
the variable whose effect is being studied
Dependent Variable
the experimental factor that may change in
response to manipulations of the independent
variable
in psychology it is usually a behavior or mental
process
Experimentation
Research Strategies
Subliminal tape content
Self-esteem Memory Design of the
Tape label subliminal
Self-esteem tapes
experiment
Memory
Statistical Reasoning
100%
Percentage
still functioning
after 10 years 99
98
97
96
95
Our Brand Brand Brand
Brand X Y Z
Brand of truck
Statistical Reasoning
100%
Percentage 90
still functioning
80
after 10 years
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Our Brand Brand Brand
Brand X Y Z
Brand of truck
Statistical Reasoning
Mode
the most frequently occurring score in a
distribution
Mean
the arithmetic average of a distribution
obtained by adding the scores and then dividing
by the number of scores
Median
the middle score in a distribution
half the scores are above it and half are below it
Statistical Reasoning
A Skewed Distribution
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 90 475 710
70
Range
the difference between the highest and lowest
scores in a distribution
Standard Deviation
a computed measure of how much scores vary
around the mean
Statistical Significance
a statistical statement of how likely it is that an
obtained result occurred by chance
Frequently Asked Questions
about Psychology
Is
psychology
free of
value
judgments?
Frequently Asked Questions
about Psychology
Is psychology potentially
dangerous?