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Tennessee Valley Authority


National Fertilizer Development Center
Fertilizer Abstracts
Muscle Shoals, AL 35660
FOREWORD

A long-term marketing objective of the National Fertilizer


Development Center is to assist in making fertilizers available
for food production. Although oriented primarily to U.S.
needs, much of the information is potentially useful through
out the world. This encompasses timely new ideas that can be
helpful to countries in various stages of market development.
These new ideas—regardless of their source—have been
recorded and published in Fertilizer Abstracts, a monthly
abstract journal, since 1968. To date it has carried more than
23,000 abstracts from U.S. and international journals. The
journal is available on a subscription basis.

This bulletin is a collection of abstracts On Fertilizer


Marketing selected from those appearing in Fertilizer
Abstracts between July 1973 and June 1978. A similar
collection was made of the material from January 1968
through June 1973, and is available in Bulletin Y-59.
Together the two bulletins contain nearly 2000 abstracts and
cover the majority of marketing publications over the past
10% years.

A broad definition of fertilizer marketing was used in


preparing this publication for use in a large number of
countries. All the components thought essential for a
marketing program were listed. The list appears as the table
of contents and its components guided the selection of
abstracts for this publication.

Maurice Smith

Q
TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page
MARKET ANALYSIS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Analyses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

MARKET DEVELOPMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
New Processes, Products, and Mineral Deposits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Legislation and Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

MARKETING ORGANIZATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
Sales Organizations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
Mergers and Joint Ventures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
Trade Organizations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
Distribution Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Directories . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36

STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37


Handling and Storage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 37
Rail Transport . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
Pipeline Transport . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
Water Transport . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45
General . . . . . . . . . . . ... - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 47

PRICING AND COSTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50


Pricing Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
Production and Distribution Cost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
Pollution Control and Energy Related Cost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
Subsidies, Tariffs, and Taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58
General . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61

TRAINING AND ADOPTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69


Training . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
Adoption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71

RETAIL SERVICES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73
Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73
Application . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... 76
Credit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
General . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80

WORLD TRADE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83
Exports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83
Imports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90
General . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94

SUPPLY AND DEMAND . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97


Production-Consumption Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97
Forecasts and Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
MARKET ANALYSIS

TECHNIQUES projections based on fertilizer use during 1960-70 under.


estimated actual use for 1970-73 and semi-log projections
overestimated use. Projections based on a restricted growth
model that considered potential demand correlated better with
1 Fertilizer Marketing—Need for a New Concept. F. J. effective demand or actual use. Rate of growth in fertilizer use
Heredia. Fert. News (India) 20 (8), 3-6, 19 (Aug. 1975). can be increased by increasing potential demand, such as
During the past 10 yr, the fertilizer industry has witnessed through increased irrigation and evolution of varieties more
more than one cycle of Scarcity–glut—scarcity of marketable responsive to fertilizers.
product. The trade cycles have arisen from changes in supply
relative to demand and market forces have operated to restore 5 Demand for Fertilizer in Southern Brazil, 1948-1971. D.
equilibrium. Two years ago, when a world-wide shortage of W. Larson and J. S. Cibantos. Ohio State Univ. Agric. Econ.
fertilizer threatened, resort to physical controls on fertilizer Rural Sociol. ESO 188, 21 pp. (Apr. 1974). Amer Bibl. Agric.
distribution immobilized the price mechanism that might Econ. 4, 945. The demand for fertilizer in the State of Sao
otherwise have operated to bring about a new equilibrium. The Paulo is analyzed by means of the Nerlove adjustment model
administration of this control system has however created new and a traditional demand model. The demand funtion con
problems for fertilizer manufacturers and distributors, the siders fertilizer use to be a function of fertilizer prices, crop
solution of which appears possible only through new concepts prices, area cultivated, crop yields, and time. The results
of marketing. New concepts of marketing are identified and indicate that the price elasticity of demand for fertilizer is
examined. inelastic in the short run and elastic in the long run and that
the demand has changed structurally between the 1949-60 and
2 Need for a System for an Extensive Information 1966-70 sub-periods. The policy implications of these results
are discussed.
Analysis of Specific Marketing Decisions. C. Gronroos. Eur. J.
Mkt. 7 (2), 130-6 (1973). F.A.I. Abstr. Serv. 13, 3736. There
are three main sources of information for specific marketing 6 Step Demand Functions for Fertilizers in the Mandi
problems: (1) information which is stored in a systematic District of Himachal Pradesh. P. L. Sankhayan (Punjab Agr.
manner in the data bank of the firm; (2) the experience and Univ., Ludhiana, India) and A. S. Sirohi. Indian J. Agr. Econ.
intuitive knowledge of the decision environment which the 27 (3), 69-77 (July-Sept. 1972). Normative static demand
decision-maker can be expected to possess; and (3) new data functions were derived for fertilizers in Mandi district of
obtained to solve an immediate, specific marketing problem. It Himachal Pradesh in order to show the effect of price changes
thus means that the decision information system must be of fertilizers on their demand. By using parametric pro
pragmatic, selective, and be determined on a cost control basis. gramming, individual step demand functions were derived for
Also, the marketing decision information system is not a new average farms (in each of the six tehsils) of the district, under
system which will replace the traditional information systems. conditions of restricted and unrestricted availability of capital.
It is a complementary system which aims at giving the firm a The aggregate step demand functions for the entire district
chance to accomplish better information economy when were then obtained from the individual demand functions by a
dealing with specific marketing decision problems. weighting process. The step demand function indicated a shift
upwards to the right when capital constraint was relaxed
3 Estimating Fertilizer Demand. J. T. Shields (TVA, through a borrowing activity. The same assertion was con
National Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, firmed by the algebraic functions used for approximating the
Alabama). Food Policy pp. 333-41 (Aug. 1976). A review of step functions. The estimates of price elasticities of demand
various ways of estimating fertilizer demand is given. Each for fertilizers at the current price were observed to be much
method has its advantages and disadvantages. The application less than unity, indicating an inelastic demand for fertilizer.
of each method depends on the conditions and purpose to This is explained by the high initial productivity of high
which it is subjected. It is important that the analyst inform yielding varieties grown in the district. Low price elasticities
the reader of limitations that may influence the utility of the suggested that the reduction or increase in the price of
results. The following information is necessary if the analyst is fertilizers will not lead to any substantial change in the
to refine the techniques for demand analysis: (1) fertilizer use normative demand for this input. There is evidence that the
by crop and by region; (2) crop: fertilizer price ratios;
fertilizer inventories by product, region, and country; (4
§ price elasticity decreases (in an absolute sense) when capital is
available through borrowing, suggesting that farmers are
knowledge of farmer acceptance of new technology; (5) rendered less sensitive to the changes in the price of fertilizers
knowledge of demand and price elasticities for fertilizer; and when credit facilities are liberal, this, however, could not be
(6) more knowledge of the contribution of fertilizer to food confirmed due to lack of statistical tests. At the current level,
productivity and the interrelationships of fertilizer to other if the Government plans to withdraw price subidies or increase
inputs in the production process. The search for improved data the price of fertilizers without adversely affecting the demand
will dictitate the search for new methodalogies. (21 ref). for fertilizers and consequently the production, such an action
must be accompanied by a policy of liberal credit facilities to
4 An Approach for Demand Estimation of Fertilizer Use. the farmers.
Gurdev Singh and V. Ramachandran (Indian Inst. Manage,
Ahmedabad, India). Indian J. Agr. Econ. 28 (4), 1 16-22 7 Demand for Fertilizer: Distributed Lag Models for
(Oct.-Dec. 1973). Targets of fertilizer use generally are based Explaining and Forecasting Variations in Fertilizer Consump
on crop and soil needs with no consideration of past use or of tion in Finland. M. Nevala. J. Sci. Agric. Soc. Finland 48 (1),
potential demand. This study was designed to measure 45.89 (1976) (Finn). Different types of distributed lag models
effective demand, using N consumption data for Mysore state, were constructed for the aggregate fertilizer consumption in
India, as affected by past use and potential demand. Linear Finland. The main attention was focused upon those models
MARKET ANALYSIS

that could be used for forecasting variations in fertilizer subsititutes including new lands. In developing countries of
consumption. Before specification of the demand models, a Asia it will be necessary to (l) increase the capacity utilization
method of time series analysis (EPA-method consisting of of existing fertilizer manufacturing facilities, and where
several subsequent moving averages) was applied to quarterly possible to identify new feedstocks and to plan for the
time series data on the quantities of the main plant nutrients development of new capacities, (2) identify all fertilizer
to divide them into three components: (1) trend cycle-, (2) substitutes and reevaluate land renovation projects that could
seasonal-, and (3) irregular components. In addition, the expand production capacities of the agricultural sectors in
average growth rates for fertilizer consumption were computed these countries, (3) carefully analyze the demand situation
for different periods. In the formulation of demand models it from the perspective of fertilizer response data so as to
was assumed that the variations in fertilizer consumption allocate fertilizer to high output response crops and to
depend on the variations in the prices of fertilizer, agricultural minimize the costs of transportation, storage, and product
products, and other farm inputs as well as on the variations in deterioration and damage. Substantial data is lacking on these
the farm cash receipts. Two types of distributed lag models activities and it is important that studies begin and data be
were used: (1) polynomial lag models (formulated by Almon) identified to provide answers to these questions. (41 ref).
and (2) Nerlovian partial adjustment models. Polynomial lag
formulations seemed to give the best results as compared to a 11 Economics of Fertilizer: Alternatives for Avoiding a
priori hypotheses. The demand for fertilizer was found to be Shortage. H. P. Marhatta (Univ. Connecticut, Storrs). Diss.
rather elastic with respect to the price ratio between fertilizer Abstr. Int. A 37 (9), 5960-1 (Mar. 1977). An adequate supply
and agricultural products. The response of the farmers spreads of fertilizer is essential for maximum production of the major
with respect to time; at its highest, the response is about two grain crops in the United States. The future supply is
economic years after the change in the price ratio. Also, the dependent upon the level of fertilizer prices, capacity of the
variations in farm cash receipts were found to be an important industry, and manufacturing technology. The demand by
determinant of the variations in fertilizer consumption. In farmers for fertilizer is largely determined by the level of
order to test the validity of the constructed models for fertilizer prices in relation to prices of the grains. The major
forecasting purposes, expost forecasts of total fertilizer con objective of this study was to ascertain the demand for and the
sumption were computed for the economic yr 1973-74 and supply of fertilizer in 1980. An econometric model of demand
ex-ante forecasts for the economic yr 1974-75 by means of for and supply of all three nutrients—N, P, and K–was
some models. formulated. By utilizing the annual observations from 1950 to
1974, estimates were obtained and used to determine the
8 Farm–Firm Normative Fertilizer Demand Response in equilibrium prices and quantities. After projecting exogenous
the North Central State of Nigeria. O. Ogunfowora and D. W. variables under three sets of assumptions, the 1980 projections
Norma. (Univ. Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria). Samaru Res. Bull. of supply and demand were made for all three nutrients. The
(Nigeria) No. 203, 10 pp. (1973). Abstr. Trop. Agric. 1, 1328. projections indicated that the 1980 equilibrium prices will
A combination of parametric programming and multiple result in large supplies of all nutrients. Even with increased
regression models was used to estimate the farm or firm acreage planted to the four major crops supplies will be large
elasticities of demand for fertilizer in an environment where enough to increase the rate of application. This, then, should
no time-series data exist and where the system of inter increase agricultural production in 1980.
cropping is the norm. The results lend support to the popular
belief that capital supply has the highest potential for inducing 12 Efficiency of Fertilizers Supply System (A Case Study
a demand for fertilizer, followed by price changes in fertilizer of Kandukar Village). D. P. Sharma and V. V. Desai (Sri
and crop output. Venkateswara Univ., Anantapur, A.P. India). Ind. J. Agr.
Econ. 28 (4), 104.9 (Oct.-Dec. 1973). An investigation was
9 Fertilizer and Food Policy in LDC's. C. P. Timmer. made during 1972-73 in Village Kandukur in Anantapur
Cornell Univ., Food Policy 1 (2), 143 (12) survey report (Feb. District of Andhra Pradesh to study the impact of delay,
1976). Environ. Abstr. 6, 6434. Through the use of a simple deficiency, and importance of fertilizers supplied to the
macro-model, the relationships between fertilizer and food agriculturists and suggest measures for improving the system.
production are discussed. Factors affecting farmers' fertilizer A two-stage stratified random sampling technique was adopted
use, long-term fertilizer demand, and fertilizer policy issues are for the selection of farm families in the village. The samples
examined. Little progress in boosting food production will be were obtained by stratifying the family holdings into small,
made in the absence of incentive prices, and little progress will medium, and large groups. These samples were further
be made even with incentive prices if development and stratified on the basis of a ratio of cultivated land to the total
locational adaptation of high yield varieties, large- and land holdings of a family. Finally, a set of samples consisting
small-scale water control works, modern distribution markets, of 20 small, 8 medium, and 4 large farm families was selected.
and markets to handle surplus grain are ignored or thwarted. An analysis of three factors, time variance, quantity variance,
and price variance, impeding efficiency and effectiveness of
10 Fertilizer Marketing Problems in Asia. D. C. Dahl (Univ. the flow of fertilizer to the farm was made. The findings of the
Minnesota, Minneapolis). Proc. Planning and Organization study revealed a mean periodic delay of 21 days, with standard
Meeting Fertilizer I.N.P.U.T.S. Project (held Oct. 21-5, 1974, deviation of 7 days, and an inverse relationship of periodic
Honolulu, Hawaii). Honolulu, Hawaii: East-West Food Insti delay to the size of holdings: the latter signifying that large
tute, East-West Center; pp. 68-78 (May 1975). Asian countries cultivators, having proper transport facilities, were able to
in short supply of fertilizers will have to reevaluate the secure fertilizer material before medium and small farmers. On
distribution systems they have in an effort to identify how the quantity variance, it was found that fertilizer availability
they can minimize the cost of distributing fertilizers that are ranged 38.4-60.3% of the requirement. The percentage of the
available and to look for alternatives in the form of fertilizer price variance was found to be in the range of 36.0-48.0.
MARKET ANALYSIS

13 ICBR-A Decision Making Tool for Determining Profit wider use by extension workers and researchers.
able Use of Fertilizers. S. M. Patel (Inst Coop. Manage.,
Ahmedabad, India). Fert. Marketing News 6 (8), 1-3 (Aug. 17 Measuring the Risk of Investing in Nitrogen Fertilizers.
1975). A comparison of cropping systems is best made by J. A. Roumasset (Univ. California, Davis). In Rice and Risk:
examining the cost:benefit ratio (CBR) whereas the value of Decision Making Among Low-Income Farmers. Amsterdam,
fertilizer is best determined by examining the incremental Netherlands: North Holland Publ. Co.; pp. 101-54 (1976). A
cost:benefit ratio (ICBR). The CBR is based on the total costs measure of risk is derived by exploring the variables which
and returns for the system whereas ICBR is based on the determine variation in rice yields by small farmers. Techniques
additional costs of a practice and the corresponding benefits. studied involve only variations in the level of nitrogen
Costs and returns should be determined at the farmer's market fertilizer; other inputs are held constant. Four approaches to
place; this often is difficult because of the wide fluctuations, the problem of measuring risk are presented. A description is
However, the wide fluctuations in prices of fertilizers and given of the “naive method.” The “experimental approach”
crops requires that new sets of ICBR's should be calculated and the “econometric approach” are used to estimate the risk
before fertilizer recommendations are made because farmers of applying nitrogen fertilizer in the Philippines. A method for
are interested in profit maximization more than in production estimating the risk of alternate techniques has been developed
maximization. The FAO standards for ICBR are 1:2.5 which appears to be superior to statistical analysis of either
although some Indian authors have suggested that 1:2 is experiment station data or cross-section data on yields in
adequate. farmers' fields. The method uses experiment station data to
estimate the relationship between fertilizer and yield under
14 Multifactor System Gives Precise Crop Recommenda conditions of little or no crop damage and farmer interviews to
tions. J. L. Strauss (Taralan Corp., Wheaton, Illinois). Agri determine the nature, extent, and likelihood of the major
chem. Age 19 (8), 20-1 (Nov.-Dec. 1976). A systems approach, sources of crop damage in particular study areas. The two data
based on 51 separate factors, is used in making fertilizer and sources are combined to estimate stochastic production
crop production recommendations. The factors include rain functions, wherein percent damage is a random variable. These
fall, time of tillage, crop residues, plant populations, genetics, functions are used in turn to determine the risk neutral
pests, latitude, soil tests for nutrients, and many others. The solutions of N and the risk of a negative internal rate of return
multifactor model projects potential yield, calculates fixed and to fertilization for various sets of effective relative prices and
variable production costs, determines breakeven points, and locations.
shows the management profit. Analysis of research data from
25 states and 2 foreign countries over a 20-yr period shows 18 Optimum Model of Agricultural Expansion: Minas
that yield response is linear to balanced production factors; Triangle or Brazil (POR). B. W. Cone and L. M. Eisgruber.
this is in contrast to the curvilinear response obtained by Pesquisa i Planejamento (Rio de Janeiro) 3 (2), 491-501 (June
adherence to the Law of Diminishing Returns. 1973). Amer. Bibl. Agric. Econ. 4, 922. This study was
concerned with the development of a model of the optimum
15 , Least Cost Combination of Fertilizers—An Application path of agricultural expansion over a given planning horizon
of Linear Programming Technique. K.N.R. Sastry and R. and ascertainment of the effect of inflation, rate of interest,
Ramanna (Univ. Agric. Sci., Hebbal, Bangalore, India). Mysore product and fertilizer prices, and farm size on the use of
J. Agric. Sci. 9 (3), 486-93 (1975). A linear programming fertilizer and land clearing. The location of the study was the
technique was used to determine the best choice of fertilizers Minas Triangle of Brazil. Expansion either horizontally (land
to supply a specified quantity of plant food based on 1971-72 clearing) or vertically (increased use of fertilizer) would not
local fertilizer prices. Fourteen fertilizers, including straight maximize the present value of a discounted stream of net
materials and mixtures, were available on the market. Each of revenue. If it were profitable to expand, it would be profitable
the primary nutrients was available from more than one to simultaneously expand horizontally and vertically. Product
source. The least cost combination for sugar beets (125.40-50 prices have the most significant impact on the profitability of
kg/ha of N-P2 Os-K2O) was urea, diammonium phosphate, and horizontal and vertical expansion, although all other factors
muriate of potash. considered (rate of inflation, rate of interest, fertilizer prices,
and farm size) have some impact.
16 A Scale to Measure Attitude of Farmers Towards
Fertilizer Use-An Application of Scalogram Analysis Techni 19 Fertilizer Use and the Modernization of Sao Paulo's
que. B. N. Chaudhary (Kisan Vidyapith, Pussa Bihar, India) Agricultural. F. B. Homem De Melo (Inst. Econ. Agri., Sao
and C. Prasad. Fertilizer News 22 (10), 22-6 (Oct. 1977). The Paulo, Brazil). Agricultura em Sao Paulo (Brazil) 22 (1-2),
farmers’ attitude towards fertilizer use is an important factor 341-62 (1975) (Port). Abstr. Trop. Agric. 3, 14733. An
and a precondition for adequate fertilizer application. It is, attempt was made to identify and quantify the effects of the
therefore, worth knowing the attitude of farmers towards the main explanatory variables in the fertilizer demand in the
use of fertilizers. An attitude scale has been developed in this State of Sao Paulo with two approaches: time series and cross
study. The scale was developed following a rigorous method. Section; with the latter, land prices and rural education were
In the initial stage, statements were selected by using introduced as variables. With respect to fertilizer prices, not
Thurstone's technique of Equal Appearing Intervals and only the relevent picture for farmers was presented, but also
Likert's Technique of Summated Rating. These selected items the situation affecting the domestic industry. In terms of
were subjected to a form of item analysis and with the help of possible action by the public sector, the results indicate that
this, nine attitude statements were selected for the final increases in fertilizer use could be obtained by eliminating
format of attitude scale which were further put to test on a distortions affecting real fertilizer prices for farmers. In the
scalogram analysis for their unidimensionality. Higher con long run, public investment in rural education is emphasized as
sistency, dependability, and validity of this scale indicate its an important strategy for agricultural development.
MARKET ANALYSIS

20 Economics of Fertilizer Use. J. W. Couston. In Planning American Scene. S. Krishnaswami (Ministry of Finance, New
and Organization of Fertilizer Use Development in Africa. Delhi, India). Proc., F.A.I. National Seminar World Fert.
Rome, Italy: FAO, pp. 50-8 (1975). Several topics are Situation Seventies Technical Economic Aspects Production
discussed with analytical examples to access the various factors Ammonia Based Heavy Fractions Petroleum Feedstocks, pp.
affecting fertilizer use efficiency. The single most important III-1/1-3 (1973) New Delhi: Fertilizer Assn. India. During the
economic factor explained is the relationship between the cost 10-yr period ending 1971-72 world fertilizer consumption
of fertilizers and the value of the increased output expected more than doubled, and further increases are expected in the
from their use. Variables considered in the relationship coming years in all regions. The growth rates have been greater
include: (1) the expected increase in output from each in developing countries than in developed ones. Most develop
increment of fertilizer, (2) the price of the proposed crop, (3) ing countries will, however, continue to depend heavily on
the cost of fertilizers and of applying them, (4) the additional imports despite progress in local production. In a situation of
costs of harvesting and marketing the larger crop, and (5) the fertilizer shortage in international markets, as is currently
residual value in later seasons of fertilizer applied. The effects being witnessed, developing countries should seek to get their
of price controls, risk, subsidies, and taxes were similarly share by long-term contracts. There is a need for greater
discussed with reference to fertilizer use economics. understanding between producing nations and fertilizer
importing countries to evolve an enduring relationship in
21 The Economics of the Adoption of New Technology: international trade of this commodity. Stability of supply and
Fertilizing in Ghana. H. Hansel (Univ. Dar es Salaam, prices is very important for establishing such relationship.
Morogoro, Tanzania). Afr. Spectrum 2 (72), 15-31 (1972).
Trop. Abstr. 28, 1845. The usual system of using cost-benefit 24 Market Trends and Agronomic Suitability of Key
ratios as a means of convincing farmers of the benefits of Fertilizers Commonly Sold in World Trade. P. J. Stangel
introducing a new technique (for example, fertilizer applica (Tennessee Valley Authority, Muscle Shoals, Ala.). Proc.,
tion) is not of general validity. The costs of alternative FAI-FAO Seminar on Optimising Agricultural Production
methods for reaching the same production increases are often Under Limited Availability of Fertilizers; pp. 101-30 (1974).
decisive. In this case, fertilizer application compared New Delhi: Fertiliser Assoc. India. The current and expected
unfavorably with area increases; this explained the nonapplica production patterns of various fertilizers by the world industry
tion of fertilizer by farmers, although cost-benefit rates of are examined and their agronomic Suitability to world agri
application were very favorable. (tables, fig's, 37 ref) culture is described. Attention is given primarily toward
assessing these trends for various types of N, P, and K
fertilizers. Urea will soon become the dominant N fertilizer in
both total use and product moving in world trade. This will
occur primarily at the expense of ammonium sulfate and
ammonium nitrate. By 1980 world capacity to produce urea
ANALYSES will exceed 30 million mt with over one-half of this capacity in
the developing world. Almost all new N capacity being built in
the developing world will be as urea. Although agronomically
acceptable for most major food and industrial crops, urea does
22 World Fertilizer Market Review and Outlook. E. A. have certain problems, mainly inherent to its chemical
Harre, O. W. Livingston, and J. T. Shields. Muscle Shoals, Ala.: composition, that could hamper further penetration of world
Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development N markets. These problems are related to losses due to
Center; Bull. Y-70, 68 pp. (Mar. 1974). A shortage in N and P leaching or volatilization and its incompatibility with various
fertilizer has developed in international trade and in domestic N and/or phosphatic fertilizers. Recent developments in better
supply in many countries. These developments have raised conditioners, urease inhibitors, mixtures with ammonium
questions about the ability of the world fertilizer industry to sulfate, and coatings with S (SCU) show promise in offsetting
supply fertilizers at prices farmers can afford to pay. This is a these problems and improving the universal acceptability of
report of factors likely to influence world and regional urea. The trend toward high-analysis phosphates will continue.
fertilizer supply-demand between 1974-78. Shortages of N will Ammoniated phosphates, such as diammonium and mono
continue and may become more severe. Prices have not peaked ammonium phosphate and certain high-analysis complex ferti
and it may be 3-4 yr before price decreases occur. In 1972, lizers account for nearly two-thirds of the world's P3Os
83% of N production capacity was in developed countries and production. This growth is expected to continue, particularly
17% in developing countries. By 1978 more than 25% of N for high-analysis compound fertilizers. Present price structures
production capacity will be in developing countries. The warrant careful examination of the economic and agronomic
future of the world phosphate industry depends largely on suitability of highly reactive phosphate rock for direct
developments in phosphoric acid. If present plans materialize, application. Recent research suggests that for rice certain
the world P. Os supply-demand situation will be back in phosphate rocks can be nearly as effective as orthophosphates
balance by 1978 and surpluses could occur. Phosphate prices in the first yr when finely ground and directly applied to acid
may peak and level off during the next yr and trend downward soils. The agronomic effectiveness of water soluble orthophos
by 1976-77. Developing regions will continue to depend on phates appears to be greatly reduced on soils of high
world trade for their potash supplies. The world potash market phosphate fixing capacity. This is a major problem on many
is moving toward a balanced situation by 1978. Data on tropical soils. This, plus the current high prices of concen
supply-demand and plant capacity-production costs are trated phosphates, may accelerate acceptance of highly re
provided in 58 tables and 16 figures. active phosphate rock for use in direct application, possibly at
the expense of ammonium phosphates. The use of muriate of
23 World Fertilizer Situation in the Seventies: Japanese and potash will increase, particularly in high-analysis complex
MARKET ANALYSIS

fertilizer. Its rate of increase will depend in part on the role being released for 1974. Fertilizer exports have increased
ammonium sulfate plays in the composition of complex because of higher prices overseas and controlled domestic
fertilizers. prices. Considerably more fertilizer is being used because of its
non-inflationary prices compared to products produced.
25 What Happened to Our Fertilizers. J. H. Parker (TVA, Delayed action in moving on these problems has created
National Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, turmoil. However, fertilizer prices are now decontrolled,
Alabama). Crops Soils 28 (7), 10-12 (Apr.-May 1976). A production is being increased, and exports are decreasing.
review of the fertilizer industry from 1960 to the present is These steps along with solving some transportation and
given and the future is viewed. Supply-demand has cycled marketing problems will assure the farmer an adequate supply
from extreme peaks to valleys during the period 1960-76. of fertilizer.
Increased demand raised prices, price increases brought
increased production, but price increases eventually limited 29 Wooing Back Demand. T. K. Baskett (Editor). Farm
demand. We have just finished the limited demand part of the Chem. 139 (3), 112 (Mar. 1976). The European fertilizer
cycle. What will be the direction from here? Many things-- industry faces a bleak 1976. Last yr the farmer backed away
weather, price of commodities, export demand, government from swollen stocks created by panic buying in 1974. The vigil
policies, production technology, and others influence the for raw material price drops began and continues. The
farmers use of fertilizer. Producers will be guided by how question is whether raw materials producers are able or willing
farmers respond to these and other forces. to trim prices. Faced with a discouraging demand and current
profit margins that have been trimmed to 5-6%, European
26 The Fertilizer Panic. D. L. McCune (Tennessee Valley fertilizer manufacturers are looking to raw material price cuts
Authority, Muscle Shoals, Ala.). War on Hunger 8 (6), 5-8 as their salvation. European producers face a problem of
(June 1974). World fertilizer consumption will reach 113 increasing competition from outside the common market. This
million mt by 1979-80, up from about 77.5 million tons in could come from cheaper phosphates from the U.S. or cheaper
1972-73. Resources must be developed and made available for nitrogen and potash from Eastern Europe. Eastern Europe
these increasing demands. Hydrogen is the critical factor in shielded by wage control and government subsidies will pose
production of N products. At present the only economical genuine threats to Western European fertilizer manufacturers.
source of H is natural gas or petroleum derivatives. World
phosphate trade has relied heavily upon Morocco and the U.S. 30 Six Big Ouestions in Fertilizer's Future. J. R. Douglas
Other potential producers and exporters, such as Australia, (Tennessee Valley Authority, Muscle Shoals, Ala.). Farm
Peru, Angola, Spanish Sahara, and Jordan, need to be Chem. 137 (2), 30-4 (Feb. 1974). Comparison of economics of
encouraged to meet increasing demands. Sulfur, essential for ammonia production at offshore sites with Gulf Coast produc
phosphatic fertilizer production is one of the most plentiful tion is made to answer the question of where additional North
elements in nature. Potash production has been dominated by American N will be produced. Canadian production with
North America, Western Europe, and Eastern Europe and new pipeline distribution is a possibility. The supply of liquid
production points are needed to provide improved logistics to mixed fertilizers is limited because less high-quality phosphoric
market. Potential producers are Peru, Brazil, Thailand, and acid is available. Large new capacities proposed for the U.S.
Ethiopia. The need for a program that would provide have yet to come on-stream and imports from Mexico have not
insurance to help guarantee adequate food supplies for the materialized. Furnace acid from the detergent business has not
world is discussed. been available. There has been a growing demand for phos.
phate rock without expansion of mines and inventories have
27 Feast and Famine—Fertilizers. Forbes 113 (5), 28-9 been depleted. Export of finished phosphate products will be
(Mar. 1, 1974). Though U.S. fertilizers are nearly a $4-billion erratic until the developing countries can complete production
industry, there are only a handful of companies whose facilities. New export markets will be sought as the facilities
fortunes rise and fall on fertilizers. Almost no one is building are completed. The timing of bringing on-stream the new
new plants these days, at least for the leading fertilizer, N. P. Os capacity and management skills in production and
Very little new fertilizer capacity is coming on-stream, and distribution are critical factors in controlling over production
farmers are planting almost 15% more acreage of corn, wheat, and under production. Logistics problems will not be solved in
and cotton and 5% less of soybeans. Of the three fertilizer 1974. They could even be worse than they were last yr. The
elements, N is the key, making up nearly 50% of the volume of experience gained in the mass tie-up of 1972-73 will be of
manufactured fertilizer. It is the most common element of the great value in combating the problems of 1974.
three. There is no way in the world to satisfy U.S. and world
demand for ammonia in the foreseeable future, regardless of 31 World Nitrogen Fertilizer Market Outlook, August
cycles. Phosphorus and K are quite different. Both depend on 1974. Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority,
mining natural deposits, and there is plenty of raw material National Fertilizer Development Center; Cir. Z-50; 4 pp. (Aug.
around. Phosphate rock mining capacity is short right now, 1974). A current tabulation of worldwide fertilizer production
potash is not. Absolute scarcity of raw materials for N. facilities is maintained by Tennessee Valley Authority. The
government control of raw materials for P and K: These are national and international market situation is monitored
the underpinnings of today’s fertilizer boom. regularly and status reports are issued every 2 yr. The most
recent of these, entitled World Fertilizer Market Review and
28 Why Farmers Can't Get Enough Fertilizer. Fert. Prog. 4 Outlook was issued in March 1974. (See FA 7, 1016). This is a
(6), 20-6, 46 (Nov.-Dec. 1973). Farmers have been unable to brief review of recent developments designed to update the
purchase fertilizer for a number of reasons. The Department of March report and assist planners in evaluating investment
Agriculture released additional acreage for 1973 planting opportunities. Nitrogen capacity expansion (announced and
because of grain inventory depletion and additional acreage is anticipated) through 1980 is given for developed and
MARKET ANALYSIS

developing regions and countries. with change must be considered. The research and educational
process must continue to assist in overcoming traditions and
32 Nitrate Controversy: Three Proposed Policies and Their providing yield facts.
Economic Effects. C. R. Taylor (Univ. Illinois, Urbana). Ill.
Res. 17 (2), 6-7 (Spring 1975). The economic effects of some 35 Special Report: Ammoniacal Fertilizers Industry. Jap.
proposed policies for regulating the use of N fertilizer were Chem. Week 15 (752), 4 (Sept. 26, 1974). With an increase in
evaluated under Illinois conditions. Three policies were con the world population, the problem of food shortage has
sidered: (1) restrictions on use of N/acre, (2) an excise tax on internationally been discussed by FAO (United Nations Food
N fertilizer, and (3) a market for rights to use N fertilizer. The and Agriculture Organization), but advanced countries had
latter is described as an annual determination by a public tended to think light of the problem as a local question.
agency of the quantity of N to be used based on the quality of However, world-wide abnormal weather for two consecutive
water desired for that yr. Individuals would be issued their years in 1971 and 1972 did great damage to agricultural crops.
proportionate share of rights to use N fertilizer but could trade and horrible news such as food riots in India and appearance
or sell these rights to other individuals, including those who of the dead from hunger in developing countries in Africa
seek to improve the environment at a faster rate by not using spread all over the world. Consequently, the problem of the
the rights they purchased. Per acre restrictions of 150 and 100 food crisis has become very realistic. The food crisis has
lb N would not significantly change corn and Soybean acreage necessitated the security of fertilizers which are indispensable
in Illinois but would reduce farm income and total N use in to yield increase. Thus, supply of fertilizers has rapidly
the state. A 50-lb limitation would cause a significant shift become tight world-wide. Advanced nations which have so far
from corn to soybeans in Illinois and a compensating shift in manufactured fertilizers for export tend to refrain from
other corn belt states. An excise tax of 12¢/lb N would be expansion of fertilizer plants to save limited petroleum
equivalent to limiting N use to 672 million lb (proposal 3); resources and to prevent environmental pollution. Therefore,
either would reduce farm income about 9.6%, reduce corn increase in fertilizer supply from advanced nations is hardly
acreage about 5.7%, and increase soybean acreage about 6.6% anticipated. Consequently, in order to meet brisk demand for
in Illinois. Doubling the tax or halving the quantity used fertilizers in fertilizer importing countries, plants construction
would reduce income and corn acreage still more. Proposal l in oil producing nations from the viewpoint of material supply
would be the most difficult and costly to administer. Proposals and promotion of Self-supply in importing countries have been
2 and 3 would be less costly to administer but probably would considered. Actually, in China, the U.S.S.R., and India, large
cause fertilizer to be bootlegged from neighboring States. plant expansions are planned, and some plants are already
under construction. However, it takes 3–4 years until these
33 Urea-World Analysis and Prospects 1970-1980. British. plants contribute fully to fertilizer self-supply. Therefore, for
Sulphur Corp., Ltd., Parnell House, Wilton Road, London, the time being, fertilizer shortage is likely to continue.
England; 44 pp. (1975). Urea has established itself in the
1970s as the leading N product in world fertilizer trade. In 36 Economics of the United States Ammonia Industry. R.
1973-74 some 38.8% of N shipped was in the form of urea. K. Rudel (Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins). Thesis; 236 pp.
Urea production costs have almost tripled in the 1970s (1973). Avail. from University Microfilms, Ann Arbor, Mich.
because of escalations in the costs of feedstock and capital The market structure, behavior, and performance of the
plant. Export prices have temporarily exceeded this factor by ammonia fertilizer industry were described, analyzed, inter
a wide margin. The principal consideration affecting produc preted, and evaluated from the standpoint of economic
tion costs in 1975 was plant reliability, and the choice of a efficiency and overall impact on the public welfare. All stages
well proven technology is the most certain way of minimizing of the industry from production through retailing were
these costs. The publication provides details of urea back analyzed. The methodology was based on the theory of
ground, supply-demand, trade in the 1970s, prices, agronomic industrial organization which postulates that market structure
considerations, trends in production technology, and much variables are significant determinants of conduct that in turn
data is given on statistics by tables and figures. determines the performance of the industry. Several economic
models were used to complement the industrial organization
34 The Impact of Urea. R. L. Balser and J. E. Wise. In TVA methodology. Results indicate that historically, the domestic
Fertilizer Conference, held July 31-Aug. 1, 1974, Louisville, ammonia fertilizer industry has performed adequately as
Kentucky; Bull. Y-78, pp. 43-5 (Aug. 1974). Muscle Shoals, evidenced by the 50% drop in the retail price of ammonia over
Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Develop the period 1955 to 1972. This price reduction was made
ment Center. The increased use of urea and the promise of possible by reductions of 50% in production costs and 30-40%
more product to come is having an impact on industry's in primary distribution costs. Recommendations are made for
planning, production, and distribution. Changes in N use has industry improvements which may further reduce production
been conditioned by N supply. Thus, problems common to and distribution costs by an estimated $314 million. These
change have been diminished by available supply. Nitrogen recommendations include the continued move to large produc
capacity planned expansion for the next 3 yr in the U.S. shows tion units, the extension of improved transportation and
urea increasing 35.7% compared to ammonium nitrate (all storage technology to all firms capable of adopting them,
liquid form) 5.7%. The two most accepted solid forms of N are consolidation of retailing facilities, and an agressive effort on
ammonium nitrate and urea. The producer prefers urea the part of cooperatives to take leadership in competitive price
because of production economics. Urea is favored over making in the industry.
ammonium nitrate by storage and distribution people because
of high N and fewer storage and transportation problems. 37 Ammonia Plant Study Identifies Uncertainties. Eur.
Those involved in retail marketing and farming feel the change Chem. News 28 (733), 22 (Apr. 23, 1976). A feasibility study
greatest. Attitudes and emotions and all elements associated carried out by Nitrigin Eireann Teoranta (NET), prior to its
MARKET ANALYSIS

decision to build ammonia and urea facilities based on natural expand very substantially over the next 5 yr, when it will
gas at Arklow, Republic of Ireland, shows that the overriding become an important exporter of both raw and processed
influence on the project viability was found to be the effect of phosphates. Phosphoric acid, which will be produced in large
market-determined factors, particularly the prevailing prices of amounts after 1977, is expected to meet stiff competition on
ammonia and the cost of feedstock. The study was not limited world markets; long term prospects are favorable.
to parameters which affect capital and operating costs only,
but considered all factors which have a significant influence on 40 Economic Significance of the Florida Phosphate Indus
the economics of ammonia production, including the domestic try. Kung Lee Wang, B. W. Klein, and A. F. Powell (Office
and export market situations and the effect and likelihood of Economic Analysis, Mineral Supply, Washington, D.C.). U.S.
commissioning delays and operating levels below design. These Bur. Mines I.C. 8653; 51 pp. (1974). This Bureau of Mines
variables were assessed by their effect on the Net Present study illustrates the economic significance of the Florida
Value (NPV) of the project. This concept is defined by an phosphate industry to the State and to the Nation. Environ
equation and is a function of projected values of sales volume mental considerations related to phosphate industry activity
and price, variable and fixed costs, tax considerations, changes are discussed briefly. Based on forecasts of Florida phosphate
in working and fixed capital, and interest. The concept of NPV production in 1975, and using 1972 dollars, regional and
is sensitive to both the rate of return and the size of the national output value, income, and employment created by
project. After calculating the project NPV, taking all the the phosphate industry were estimated for 1975. State and
parameters at their most likely values, it was regarded as Federal government tax revenues generated by the phosphate
essential in assessing the uncertainty in this calculated NPV to industry, are also measured. Further, the concentrated impact
estimate the project sensitivity to changes in these parameters. of the phosphate industry on certain Florida areas and on
On the basis of current projections of UK, EEC, and world regional industries is examined. Finally, the phosphate indus
nitrogen fertilizer requirements, NET concluded that the try's importance to the U.S. balance of payments, U.S.
shortage of nitrogen fertilizer in all these areas will continue at agricultural production, and the Frasch sulfur industry is
least for the rest of the decade. Further ammonia production considered, in addition to byproduct fluorine, and potential
based on new Irish gas discoveries will have to be justified in byproduct uranium from fertilizer manufacturing.
terms of the European market. This is because of the expected
future dominance of Middle East-derived material outside 41 Phosphatic Fertilizers: Submissions to the Industries
Europe. Assistance Commission Inquiry. N. D. Honan. Camberra,
Australia. Bureau Agric. Economics. Industry Economics
38 Phosphate Rock and Phosphatic Fertilizers in the World. Monography No. 15; 155 pp. (1976). This report is supple
Development Center Organization Economic Cooperation mentary to Bureau Agric. Economics Occasional Paper No. 31
Development, Paris, France; 131 pp. (1972). Price $2.75. This (See FA 9, 2152). The report describes economic research and
book contains five chapters. The following subjects are analyses relating to superphosphate use in Australian rural
discussed: structure and trends of the Pindustry; P fertilizers— industries. It is presented in four sections: Introduction,
existing and new products; main factors in current trends; Recent Changes in Superphosphate Use, Aspects of Demand
production sources and installed capacities, 1960-1975; con and Supply, and the Appropriateness of the Superphosphate
sumption of rock phosphate, 1960-1980; rock phosphate trade Subsidy as a Form of Assistance. The report is supported by
flows, 1960-1975; freight rates in trade in rock phosphate and four authored attachments: The Outlook for Superphosphate
phosphate fertilizer; trends in rock phosphate prices; the role Use in Australian Rural Industries, C. D. Easter and J. M.
and shipment of phosphoric acid; the thermal process, the wet Malecky: A Further Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Superphos
process and price of S; comparison of 54% phosphoric acid phate Subsidy, O. T. Kingma et al; A Regional Analysis of
production costs; choice between various solutions for P20s Superphosphate Use, C. D. Easter and O. T. Kingma; and
supply to India; prices of phosphate fertilizers (imported or Problems in Estimating the Demand for Fertilizer Using
locally produced) in India; trade in phosphate fertilizers up to Econometric Techniques, G. Bond. (49 tables, 15 figures).
1969; role of international aid in P fertilizer trade in
developing countries; untying bilateral aid—recent decisions 42 The Role of Potassium Sulfate in World Agriculture.
taken by OECD countries; projection of P20s trade in Phosphorus Potassium No. 78, 33-6 (July-Aug. 1975). Potas.
developing countries up to 1980; financial implications of the sium sulfate demand has grown at a steady annual average rate
increase in P2Os consumption in developing countries. This of 2.7% over the last 6 yr and now stands at more than
book would be of special interest to fertilizer industry in less 1,000,000 tons/yr K2O, about 5% of total world demand for
developed countries. (22 tables) potassium fertilizers. It suffers a serious disadvantage of being
more expensive than KCl and offers no advantages in terms of
39 An Economic Assessment of the World's Phosphate K2O content. Its use is essential in specific circumstances,
Industry, With Particular Emphasis on the South African which provides the stable core to the demand pattern. A
Industry. B. G. Russell. Johannesburg, South Africa. Dep. survey of production, trade, and demand of potassium sulfate
Mines, Minerals Bureau, Republic South Africa. Rept. No. 2; is given. The factors which could disturb the present stable
79 pp. (1976). Important aspects of the phosphate industry in market position of potassium sulfate are discussed.
the major producing and consuming countries are presented
and the South African industry is reviewed in detail. The 43 United States Sulfur Industry. Eur. Chem. News 23
phosphate processing industry is largely concentrated in (569), 8 (Feb. 2, 1973). The future of the U.S. Frasch sulfur
countries that do not produce the raw materials; this situation industry is now severely jeopardized by shrinking natural gas
is expected to change progressively, with , the raw and supplies. Production is forecast to drop to 6 million tons by
processed commodities coming increasingly from the same 1990, against 8.5 million tons last yr. Two major threats add
source. South Africa's phosphate industry is expected to to the Frasch producers’ burden-Mexican and Canadian
MARKET ANALYSIS

sulfur. The challenge of low-priced Mexican sulfur was beaten a percentage of their tonnage to the fluid industry. Some
off last yr with the imposition of countervailing import duties dealers will be offering a new service, liquid lime- nitrogen
and the U.S. Frasch producers are now in a better position to suspension. Reports from dealers around the country are
make their latest price increase stick. Canadian offshore sulfur given.
shipments increased to only 2 million tons last yr, due mainly
to inadequate storage and terminal facilities at Vancouver. 47 The Role of Fertilizers. L. R. Brown and E. P. Eckholm.
Two major terminal companies are now considering expan In By Bread Alone. New York, N.Y.: Praeger Publishers Inc.,
sions of storage capacities with a total investment of around Published for The Overseas Development Council; pp. 114-130
$2 million. Canadian sulfur producers seem likely to share in (1974). While the world area of cultivated land has expanded
the costs of expansion. Shortage of rail tank-cars hampered only modestly since 1950, the use of chemical fertilizers has
Canadian shipments to the USA last yr and exports were only expanded five-fold. At least one-fourth of the world's food
9 million tons. output is directly attributable to the use of chemical
fertilizers. The food supply of at least a billion people is
44 Sulfuric Acid Demand Increases. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 206 directly dependent on the output of the fertilizer industry.
(21), 25 (Nov. 18, 1974). The world needs a larger amount of Since 1973, critical world shortages of fertilizer have emerged,
fertilizer if it plans to survive the current food problems, and and consequently the prices of many key fertilizers doubled or
this in turn means that the fertilizer industry will need greater tripled between 1973 and 1974. Many populous developing
amounts of sulfuric acid in order to meet that demand. countries that are highly dependent on fertilizer imports—
Producers of sulfuric acid overwhelmingly agree that it is including China, India, Indonesia, and the Philippines—were
increased pressure from the fertilizer industry that is creating unable to buy needed amounts of fertilizer at any price. Price
firm prices and short supplies of their product. Historically, increases and scarcity of fertilizer are certain to cut food
over half of the acid produced in this country goes toward the production at a time when world food reserves are at a modern
fertilizer industry, but since fertilizer inventories are at an low and food prices are at a historic high. The current fertilizer
all-time low, producers are trying to turn out all of the shortage is due primarily to a lag in the construction of new
fertilizer they can. Market analysts say that normally sulfuric production facilities. But even if construction catches up with
acid consumption could be regarded as a sort of barometer of demand—perhaps by the late 'seventies—fertilizer prices will
activity in its related areas, but the unprecedented demand in remain high because of the high cost of essential energy inputs.
the fertilizer industry has changed all of this. As long as
fertilizer is in demand, the sulfuric acid market is going to be 48 An Appraisal of the Fertilizer Market and Trends in
firm. With the world situation as it stands right now, the Asia. J. T. Shields, O. W. Livingston, E. A. Harre, and T. P.
demand for fertilizers is going to continue on the upswing. Hignett. Muscle Shoals, Ala. Tennessee Valley Authority,
National Fertilizer Development Center; 140 pp. (June 1975)
45 Survey Shows Liquids Have Strong Position in United (Bulletin No. Y-95). Recent developments indicate that the
States Fertilizer Market. N. L. Hargett and R. H. Wehrman fertilizer situation in Asia is changing rapidly. Due to the
(TVA, National Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, importance of fertilizer to food production, it is essential that
Alabama). Fert. Solutions 20 (2), 62, 64-6, 68, 70, 72, 74 the changing conditions be monitored closely. An assessment
(Mar.-Apr. 1976). Today, granulation, bulk blend, and fluid of fertilizer production, marketing, and utilization in Asia is
mix fertilizer plants produce and distribute nearly all fertilizer reported. Reported use of fertilizer nutrients (N. P. Os , and
used in the United States. Each segement of the fertilizer K; C)in Asia totaled just over 13 million mt in 1973. This was
market system is described. Analysis of the questionnaires only 17% of the world total of 77 million tons. Two countries,
returned in the national AAPFCO-TVA survey (See FA 8, Japan and China, have a combined nutrient use of almost 7
923) by fertilizer registrants has produced a composite picture million tons (over one-half of Asia's consumption). By 1980,
of the fertilizer market system. Of the 6581 respondents, 5023 the Asian nations are expected to be using about 22 million
had manufacturing facilities, bulk blenders, liquid mix, suspen tons of nutrients– 14.8 million tons of N, 4.8 million tons of
sion, granulation, or basic nutrient plants. Of the 5023 P;Os ; and 2.4 million tons of K2O. This represents an increase
manufacturers reporting, 44.8% offered anhydrous ammonia; of nearly 70% between 1973 and 1980. The largest two
69.5% provided custom application services; and 32.8% added consuming Asian regions, by the end of the decade, are
pesticides to their fertilizer mixtures. An item of particular expected to be the Centrally Controlled Economics (primarily
interest in recent years has been the amount of nonfarm China and North Korea) and the Middle Continent (consisting
fertilizer use in the U.S. Survey results indicated that 4.8% of of India, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, etc.). Northeast Asia (Japan,
the total tonnage for all respondents was for nonfarm use. Korea, and Taiwan) will continue to increase its consumption
About 75% of all manufacturing plants had bulk blend but at a much slower rate than other regions. Consequently,
facilities and 33% had fluid mix facilities. A third of the fluid this region's share of the total Asian fertilizer use will decrease
mixers had both liquid and suspension facilities. by the late 1970's. (106 tables, 47 fig and 55 reſ)

46 Fluid Fertilizers are Riding High. Farm Chem. 139 (1 l), 49 Economic Survey of Fertilizer Situation in the Asian
17-21 (Nov. 1976). Experts are predicting a growth in and Pacific Region. Dong-Bai Lee. Taipei, Taiwan; ASPAC
consumption of 15-20% annually over the next 5 yr. New Food Fert. Technol. Center; 198 pp. (Dec. 1973). A review of
markets are opening up for the fluids dealer with increased the fertilizer situation in nine countries in the Asian and
irrigation and more minimum tillage. The foliar fertilizers Pacific region is given. Data is given on the production, trade,
being tested this yr on soybeans offer tremendous opportuni uses, and marketing of fertilizers in Australia, China (Taiwan),
ties for the fluids dealers. Materials needed for producing fluid Japan, Korea, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Thailand,
mixes are more available, and major companies are committing and Vietnam. (170 ref)
MARKET ANALYSIS

50 Scope for Improving Marketing and Credit Systems for 54 Dominican Republic Fertilizer Situation. Joe Free,
Fertilizers in African Countries. H. J. Mittendorf. In Planning Conrad Kresge, and T. H. Foster. Muscle Shoals Ala.:
and Organization of Fertilizer Use Development in Africa. Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development
Rome, Italy: FAO Soils Bull., No. 26; pp. 91-4 (1975). The Center. Bull. Y-103; 101 pp. (Jan. 1976). A report is given of a
marketing and credit systems of five selected African countries study conducted to identify constraints and recommend
is analyzed to identify the major contraints and indicate improvements in fertilizer marketing, distribution, and educa
solutions for their improvement. The countries included in the tional systems in the Dominican Republic. For many of the
study were Ghana, Nigeria, Kenya, Ethiopia, and Zambia. The small farmers, fertilizer offers one of the more important
results are presented in tabular form and compared with opportunities for significant increases in yields of food crops.
respect to each countries consumption patterns, marketing The present marketing system is inadequate to make farm
channels, transport system, storage facilities, credit, pricing, inputs, including fertilizers, available to small farmers, which
and promotion schemes. The major conclusion reached was makes it difficult for them to obtain farm inputs on a par with
that most systems studied lacked sufficient incentives for the larger commercial farmers. The study was not intended to
those involved to perform efficiently. This refers particularly be an in-depth country study. It was designed to assemble
to the pricing systems, where better provisions should be made secondary data and opinions of those knowledgeable of the
to those most effective in enhancing sales. Dominican Republic small farm and fertilizer situation and to
organize tha data for planning purposes.
51 Analysis of the International and Brazilian Fertilizer
Markets. N. M. Dos Anjos and J. F. De Noronha. Agric. Sao 55 Fertilizer Alternatives for Ghana. D. A. Russel, R. D.
Paulo 21 (2), 1-23 (1974) (Port). Abstr. Trop. Agric. 1, 3859. Grisso, and R. G. Lee (Tennessee Valley Authority, Muscle
There is a substantial disequilibrium between supply and Shoals, Ala.). Muscle Shoals, Alabama: Tennessee Valley
demand since the middle of 1973. In the long run, main Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center; 108 pp.
tenance of equilibrium in the world market will depend not (Mar. 1973). Bull. Y-56. A TVA team was sent to Ghana in
only on greater industrial capacity but also existing improved September-November 1972 to review the fertilizer program
operational efficiency of existing plants. and develop recommendations that would insure continued
progress in fertilizer use. The objectives were: (1) evaluate past
52 Appraisal of Fertilizer Markets and Distribution Systems performance of fertilizers, (2) review recommendations for
in Central America With Emphasis on Small Farmers. J. T. major crops and regions, (3) project consumption for the
Shields, C. L. Ahrens, and H. B. Tatum. Muscle Shoals, Ala.: period 1973-82, (4) provide guidance on economics of
Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development methods of supplying fertilizers, (5) prepare preliminary
Center. Bull. No. Y-89; 114 pp. (Mar. 1975). A study was design and recommendations for facilities that are appropriate,
made to help identify constraints and recommend im and (6) provide information that would improve advertising
provements in the fertilizer marketing systems in Costa Rica, promotion and lead to the establishment of fertilizer specifi
El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua. This report cations and laws. The team's recommendations were: (1) a
is divided into three parts:: (1) a regional situation; (2) total fertilizer processing plant be constructed and operated, (2) the
country evaluations; and (3) an analysis of a small retail dealer plant be located near Port of Tema, (3) a 2-ton rotary blender
study for each country. The constraints are of three types: (1) be installed if a bulk blending plant is constructed, or a
national-economic and political, including policies; (2) 25-ton/hr rotary drum if a steam granulation plant is con
marketing—infrastructure–roads, transportation, storage, and structed, (4) distribution and marketing at the national level
others; and (3) farmer—education, credit, tenure, and others. be handled by the company that operates the plant and that
Some suggested action for consideration in stretching fertilizer regional and local levels be handled by a combination of
supplies in these countries is given. existing commercial companies and several crop development
boards, (5) storage facilities for 6000 tons of bagged product
53 Review and Analysis of the Fertilizer Situation in Latin at the processing plant, (6) a 3200 ton terminal be constructed
America. J. T. Shields, O. W. Livingston, and E. A. Harre. at the Port of Yapei, (7) the country be divided into
Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National zones and that base prices for each zone include transportation
Fertilizer Development Center; Bull Y-76, 99 pp. (June 1974). costs to the terminal warehouse in that zone, (8) the passage
An investigation of the fertilizer supply-demand conditions, of laws that define commercial fertilizers and establish
raw materials resources, and capability to produce N, P., Os, standards of quality that shall be enforced upon all handlers,
and K2O in Latin America was made. Latin America produces and (9) fertilizers from the processing plant be packaged in
slightly over half of the N and 45% of the P used in the region. several sizes of bags.
Potash fertilizers are imported to meet their need. Potential
raw materials are limited. Good possibilities of raw material 56 Review of Fertilizer Marketing Situation in India–
exist in Peru, Argentina, and Brazil. Fertilizer use is low in 1974-75. Fert. News (India) 20 (8), 7-10, 24 (Aug. 1975). The
most Latin American countries, less than 40 kg/ha, and yield Fertiliser Association of India recently undertook a quick
response varies. Nutrient use more than tripled from 1962 to all-India study to identify the various factors responsible for
1972 to 3.2 million mt. Total nutrient use is expected to the decrease in consumption and to determine their impact
increase to 7.16 million tons by 1980. Investment opportun State by State. The survey was carried out in different States
ities in production facilities are not extensive. Investment in by the constituents of the FAI while the FAI provided the
the marketing and distribution of fertilizers in Latin America framework of the study regarding its scope and methodology
appears to be a real opportunity because the demand has and also coordinated the effort to ensure uniformity in
grown so fast that no adequate supply system is available and approach, findings, and reporting. Out of the 13 States
marketing and distribution represent an excessively high selected the reports on 11 States have since been received.
portion of the cost of fertilizer to the farmer.
MARKET ANALYSIS

57 Demand and Marketing Study in India. Fert. Mkt. News superphosphate, 8.19% for ammonium sulfate and 7.83% for
(India) 4 (5), 10-11 (May 1973). The Fertiliser Association of calcium ammonium nitrate, of the consumers rupee. Although
India made a comprehensive study 3 yr ago on Fertilizer the district had a network of roads, in many areas, roads were
Demand and Marketing. Sponsored by USAID, the study is the under mud and water till the end of September while the
first of its kind in India. It is divided into three independent sowing season for the rabi crops was the first week of October.
but interrelated projects. One of these relates to investigation This posed the problem of fertilizer transportation to the area.
into the marketing and distribution facilities with an aim of Other problems of fertilizer supply were irregular supply due
identifying factors which inhibit fertilizer use. Involving an to power shortage, shortage of urea, and those related to
extensive all-India field survey covering over 2000 dealers, the agricultural financing.
results of this study are being produced in the form of 18
State reports and an all-India summary report which will 59 Marketing of Fertilizer in Raipur District of Madhya
highlight the findings. The study quantifies for the first time Pradesh. C. S. Mishra (Ravishankar Univ., Raipur, Madhya
actual costs at dealer levels of transportation, handling, Pradesh, India). Paper presented at the 33rd Annual Conf.,
warehousing, and others and identifies areas where economies Indian Soc. Agr. Economics, Rajendrangar, Hyderabad,
are possible and necessary. For instance, nearly 30 to 40% of Andhra Pradesh, India, Dec. 26-28, 1973. Ind. J. Agr. Econ.
the dealer’s margin is taken up by transportation costs and this 28 (4), 156 (Oct.-Dec. 1973). The recent technological
is one area where scope for economy exists. The study notes break-through in agricultural production is primarily due to
that the expanding dealer network in the State needs to be the seed-fertilizer contributions. The marketing of seed-fertil
adequately equipped to render proper customer services. izer, therefore, assumes great importance in the program of
Augmented availability of credit, particularly at retail levels, is agricultural development. The marketing of fertilizers was
seen as a necessary element in increasing fertilizer offtake at studied in two villages of Raipur district of Madhya Pradesh.
retail levels. Improvements in methods of forward planning of The study is based on the marketing behavior of 50 cultivators
indenting, transportation and warehousing, better packaging, of different size-groups (2.5, 2.6-7.5, 7.6-15, 16-25, and above
and others are necessary to reach farmers in time and in 25 acres). The cooperative sector, which had the monopoly in
adequate quantities. The study also points to the need of fertilizer trade in the State until recently, continues to sell the
constructing godowns in the interior, so as to enable retailers bulk of fertilizer. In village Kurra, 71.5% of the total sale and
to stock fertilizers in advance of the season for meeting the in the other village, Charoda, the entire sale were executed
initial demand in time. through the cooperative sector; the remaining was sold
through the private sector. Among the different types of
58 Supply of Fertilizers—A Study in Jabalpur District of fertilizers, gromore, urea, and superphosphate appear to be in
Madhya Pradesh. M. C. Athavale, S. W. Bhave, and D. K. greatest demand. The cooperative banks financed the entire
Marothia (Jawaharlal Nehru Krishi Vishwa Vidyalaya, purchases of fertilizers in Charoda while in Kurra 73.5% of the
Jabalpur, Madhya Pradesh, India). Paper presented at the 33rd purchases were financed by the cooperative sector; the residual
Annual Conf., Indian Soc. Agr. Economics, Rajendrangar, came from funds of the cultivators. The cooperative credit has
Hyderabad, Andhra Pradesh, India, Dec. 26-28, 1973. Ind. J. gone disproportionately in favor of the largest size of holdings
Agr. Econ. 28 (4), 147-8 (Oct.-Dec. 1973). An attempt has in both the villages. In Kurra, this group of cultivators cropped
been made to study the following aspects of fertilizer supply 44% of the total cropped area and commanded 53% of the
in the Jabalpur district of Madhya Pradesh: (1) demand and credit against 26% of cropped area and 39.4% of cooperative
supply, (2) the role of different agencies in the supply system loan in Charoda. In the two villages taken together, 12 out of
and the procedures adopted in distribution, (3) distribution 50 cultivators belonging to the group of less than 7.5 acres of
costs at various levels, and (4) problems relating to the supply land did not purchase any fertilizers. Four of them were
of fertilizers. Agriculturally, Jabalpur is a very important defaulters and hence were refused cooperative loans while
district. The region under the Haveli system is known as others were not convinced of production response to fertil
granary of the tract. Due to the expanding irrigated area and izers. Fertilizers were available at the village level itself and no
the spread of the high-yielding varieties the consumption of one complained of getting them late. The per acre purchase of
fertilizers is increasing yr after yr. During 1972-73 the supply fertilizer is very low in the area, there is enough scope to
of N and P fertilizers exceeded the estimated demand by 14.67 boost-up the sales of fertilizers in the area.
and 51.33% respectively. The supply of K fertilizers, however,
fell short by 24.21%. The cooperatives and private dealers 60 India Evaluates New Fertilizer Sources. Eur. Chem.
operated in the district, the cooperatives having a larger share News 24 (601), 4 (Sept. 14, 1973). India will have to look for
in the total supply. The procedure followed by the cooper. alternative sources of N fertilizers since the supply position in
atives in financing and distribution of fertilizers was that the the U.S. and western Europe is likely to remain tight for quite
credit permits were prepared by Samiti sevak and were Some time to come. This is the assessment that has been made
submitted in the branch of the bank. The agent at the branch by the Fertilizer Association of India after studying the trends
of the bank debited the loan account of the society and in world fertilizer production and marketing. The view is that
credited the account of the Apex Marketing Federation to the the U.S. industry, major supplier of fertilizers in the past, will
extent of the value of permits. Fertilizers were supplied by the be hampered by lack of feedstock and also further expansion
cooperative marketing society. There were 15 private dealers may be restricted as a result of pollution controls being
and eight fertilizer companies operating in the district. The imposed.
Fertilizer Corporation of India also played an important role.
In 1972-73 Government of India also sold some quantity of 61 The Fertilizer Marketing System in Japan. C. L. Ahrens
urea from the pool stock. Retail prices were fixed by the and J. T. Shields. Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley
Cooperative Marketing Federation and were approved by the Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center; Bull.
Agriculture Department. The distribution cost was 9.09% for Y-60, 26 pp. (June 1973). A team from TVA visited Japan and

10
MARKET ANALYSIS

interviewed selected fertilizer distribution firms. The Japanese intervention than is currently in practice is necessary to
fertilizer marketing system has two major distribution alleviate these unfavorable factors and forces constraining
channels: agricultural cooperatives (Zen-Noh) and private efficient fertilizer-use among small farmers. The focus of these
merchants. Distribution is free of government control and suggested measures is on lowering predistribution prices,
there are no government subsidies on fertilizers. The cooper. introducing some form of transport subsidy, stabilizing profit
ative organization accounts for about 90% of the retail market. margins, intensifying short-term measures to increase technical
The private firms promote fertilizer for specialized uses and efficiency, and establishing a more extensive and uniform
premium products. Problems cited are shortage of low-cost network of distribution centers and institutional credit facili
labor, fertilizer logistics, small size of agricultural holdings, ties. A national fertilizer center might be established to
storage space, no off-seasons sales promotion, and credit for reconcile the views of all public and private sector agencies
purchases in the private channel. This report is useful in dealing in fertilizers and mobilize and integrate their efforts
providing technical assistance on the improvement of fertilizer towards these policy objectives.
production, marketing, and utilization in developing countries.
64. The Fertilizer Marketing System in Taiwan. J. T. Shields
62 Japanese Fertilizer Industry Study. Jpn. Chem. Week 17 and C. L. Ahrens. Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley
(836), 1 (May 6, 1976). A Governmental study panel was Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center; Bull.
asked recently by the head of the Ministry of International Y-58, 20 pp. (May 1973). A team from TVA visited Taiwan
Trade and Industry (MITI) to suggest how to develop the and conducted a survey of fertilizer distribution firms. Taiwan
Japanese fertilizer industry which has been hit by international is considered self-sufficient in finished fertilizers, with the
economic changes adverse to its vital export trade. Receiving exception of potash. There are two major companies operating
his inquiry was the Chemical Fertilizer Industry Subcommittee altogether seven factories. Distribution is primarily the respon
of the Chemical Industry Committee of MITI’s Industrial sibility of the provincial government. However, sales are made
Structure Council. The subcommittee was requrested to come through several channels. The Food Bureau serves as the
up with a recommendation on the problem. The move has wholesaler and the farmer associations perform retail
been motivated by the fact that the Japanese fertilizer functions. Approximately 65% of all sales in 1971 were
industry has been operating at an unprecedently low level. It distributed under the supervision of the Food Bureau through
has been forced by declining foreign demand for its products over 300 farmer associations with nearly 875,000 members, an
since last yr into a series of production cuts. The industry is so additional 25% of sales were distributed through promotional
dependent on exports for its survival that it has to sell abroad groups such as sugar, pineapple, and tea corporations; these
more than half its annual output of ammoniacal fertilizers, its organizations receive their products through the Food Bureau.
mainstay products, to be in a good shape. Expected to be Registered private retailers accounted for about 10% of the
recommended by the Subcommittee are the best ways of sales distribution. This system represents a rigid form of
regulating the industry's production according to foreign government control on supply and demand. Elements of this
demand. This would be done through such reforms as system appear to have considerable application to developing
switching from expensive light oil to less costly heavy types countries. Important to the system has been the planning and
for chemical fertilizer material, scaling down of ammonium supervision in its early stages. The principle of fertilizer in the
sulfate production, reduction of the present total dependence right place, at the right time, and at a price the farmer can
on phosphate rock for making high-analysis compound fertili afford has been successfully applied in Taiwan.
zers, and developing new ways of application of gypsum.
65 United States Fertilizer Industry Competitive Despite
63 Fertilizer Marketing, Distribution, and Use in Malaysia. More Concentration. Green Markets 1 (32), 7 (Sept. 19,
Bangkok, Thailand: Food Agric. Organ. United Nations; 96 1977). The United States fertilizer industry is evolving into a
pp. (Dec. 1975). Descriptions and analyses are given of the highly concentrated business in the mid-1970's with big
agricultural conditions within which fertilizers are being used private and cooperative producers enjoying a considerable
in Malaysia; government activities affecting fertilizer-use; the competitive advantage over firms which entered the industry
aggregate supply situation covering imports, exports, and local after 1970. A report prepared by USDA’s Economic Research
manufacture; consumption by sector, sub-sector, and crop; the Service concluded that there are extensive linkages within the
structural and functional organization of the market; and fertilizer industry sectors, especially in the nitrogen and
constraints to improved fertilizer-use with special reference to phosphate sectors. Private sector producers still own much of
the problems of small farmers. The main finding is that much the domestic fertilizer production capacity but coops are
of the fertilizer is used in rubber and oil palm estates and gaining a healthy sector of the market. United States coops
government land development and replanting projects. There is control 25% of U.S. phosphate capacity and operate 8
a large segment of small farmers using hardly any fertilizers at wet-process phosphoric acid plants. Coops control a sub
all. These subsistence-oriented, mainly food-producing small stantial portion of U.S. capacity including urea, 11 plants and
farmers face severe problems of nonaccess to fertilizers, field 28% of capacity; ammonium nitrate, 11 plants and 28%; and
transportation difficulties, deteriorating product: fertilizer concentrated superphosphates, 3 plants for 30%. The study
price ratios, technological limitations, and unavailability of further reports that the U.S. phosphate and ammonia industry
credit. The aggregate effect of these constraints is to make are closely intergrated and that the top four potash producers
investments in fertilizers much less attractive for small farmers control 56% of the total U.S. capacity.
than for estates and government projects. In some cases, for
example in smallholding rubber, there is a likelihood of 66 Fertilizers Flourish in United States. Chem. Week 112
negative returns to investments in fertilizers if the fluctuating (9), 55 (Feb. 14, 1973). Economic prospects for the fertilizer
combinations of product and fertilizer prices, and yield industry are sprouting strong and green for the first time in
responses are not favorable at the time. More government nearly a decade. But mounting shortages of rail cars and tank

11
MARKET ANALYSIS

trucks are tempering the industry's optimism. Domestic Croatia and a Review of Future Potentials. Duro Reagon. Inst.
fertilizer prices have gained important ground-up to 12%, in za Ekonomiku i Organizaciju Polioprivrede, Zagreb, Yugo
some cases. Nitrogen and some phosphates are tight and slavia, 24 pp. (1969) (Yugoslav). In Yugoslavia, the expansion
getting tighter. And there's no talk of discounting. Despite this of agricultural production has been closely linked with an
cheery news and predictions of an 8-10% boost in domestic increased consumption of chemical fertilizers. In 1957,
fertilizer demand this yr, industry leaders are nervous about 805,000 tons of fertilizers was used, in 1966 the consumption
getting product to market. Last fall, bad weather kept farmers reached 2.18 million tons. At the same time, the production of
from pouring on the fertilizer. That shortfall could further wheat and maize went up from 8.7 million to 12.5 million
boost demand as farmers expand acreage to cash in on tons. Plant nutrients come from fertilizers (434,000 tons) and
extremely high grain prices. Basically, there's not much from animal manure (650,000 tons). In the Republic of
fertilizer makers can do about the traffic crisis except to urge Croatia the trend is also towards greater use of fertilizers: from
farmers to put down phosphate and potash now, and apply 260,000 tons in 1959 to 611,000 tons in 1966; 51.5% of all
nitrogen later. Ammonia will set records and will be short plant nutrients in Croatian agriculture come from fertilizers,
through 1975. Urea will be extremely tight and brisk and the rest comes from animal manure. The socialized sector
movement for ammonium nitrate and sulfate is expected. The held 15.7% of all arable land in Croatia in 1966 and used
crunch in diammonium phosphate is easing, but triple super 55.8% of all fertilizers. Plant nutrients from fertilizers used by
phosphate supplies are likely to be inadequate, possibly until the socialized sector in 1966 amounted to 290 kg/ha and the
spring 1975. Only potash is long. yield was 39.1 grain units; on private farms, only 36 kg/ha of
plant nutrients came from fertilizers, while over 87 kg came
67 U.S.S.R. Reviews Fertilizer Position. Eur, Chem. News from manure, and the yield was 21.4 grain units/ha. Consider
23 (576), 6 (Mar. 23, 1973). The minister of the chemical able differences still exist in different parts of Croatia in this
industry in the U.S.S.R. has commented on the fertilizer respect, but the private sector everywhere has room for
situation in the Soviet Union, detailing past progress and improvement, especially now that the Yugoslav fertilizer
problems to be faced in the future. U.S.S.R. fertilizer industry is expanding the volume and improving the quality of
production totalled 66 million tons last yr and is scheduled to its production. Since private farmers are expected to be the
increase by a further 24 million tons in the remaining 3 yr of main users of the growing output of fertilizers, a series of
the current 5-yr plan. The next increase in production will be marketing problems are likely to occur. Information on the
largely achieved through expansion of existing capacities. economic aspects of fertilizer use will have to be made
Plants under construction are suffering delays and Kostandov available. New forms of organization will be needed that will
cited contact equipment for sulfuric acid production at the be capable not only of supplying fertilizers to farmers but that
Phosphorite combine at Kingisep, which proved to have similar will also be prepared to buy their produce.
defects to the equipment supplied to the Uvarovo plant. Other
problems included the continued loss of fertilizers during 70 Supplying Fertilizers For Zaire's Agricultural Develop
transportation, difficulties in improving low-quality fertilizers, ment. R. B. Diamond, J. J. Shultz, P. J. Stangel, G. L. Terman,
and under-utilization of plants. A committee of control has and R. C. Woodworth. Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley
now been set up to systematically control transport and Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center. Bull.
storage of fertilizers. The average nutrient content of fertilizers Y101; 83 pp. (Nov. 1975). A report of the finding of a TVA
in the U.S.S.R. increased by 33.6% in 1972. It is planned to team selected to study the agricultural development in Zaire is
produce 700,000 tons more fertilizers than originally planned given. The objectives of the study were to: (1) assess the
this yr. fertilizer use situation in Zaire; (2) identify obstacles to
increased fertilizer use; and (3) develop alternatives the
68 U.S.S.R. Phosphate Fertilizer Industry. Phosphorus governement of Zaire might follow in developing programs and
Potassium No. 62, 13-18 (Nov.-Dec. 1972). In the past, the policies for production, distribution, and use of fertilizer on an
U.S.S.R.'s phosphate fertilizer industry has made little impact economically sound basis. Increased fertilizer use and other
on the West or on the neighboring communist countries. improved crop production technology can avoid or minimize
Largely geared to meeting the needs of the domestic market deficits in grain, palm oil, and cotton by 1980. It can improve
within the U.S.S.R., the industry has been moderately successful the low living standards of rural people, reduce foreign
at expanding output while at the same time upgrading the exchange requirements for food, and increase overall employ
ment.
quality of its products. However, it has now become clear that
the industry’s performance is inadequate and that the planners
do not expect a great improvement in the coming years. The 71 Towards a National Fertilizer Strategy. G. Verhaegen.
immediate shortage is being covered by substantial P:Os Cah. Econ, et Soc. 8 (1), 133-81 (1970) (Fr). Trop. Abstr. 28,
imports from the West, under contracts made by Russian 15. A detailed analysis of the situation with regard to the use
buyers in the course of 1972. To meet requirements over the of fertilizers for crop production in Zaire shows the need of
program being prepared and implemented by
longer term, the U.S.S.R. has been negotiating a complex deal each fertilizer agronomic,
with Occidental Petroleum Corp. which could involve the incorporating economic, demographic, and social
information. In particular the study of existing channels of
annual purchase of 1 million tons of phosphate fertilizers, the extension, credit facilities, and economic effects at regional
fact that this deal is being related to a 20-yr time span can be
seen as reflecting the pessimistic outlook of the Russian and national level should be dealt with. Considerable attention
planners on the performance of their own phosphate fertilizer should be paid to increased production, and impacts on Social
industry. structures, cultural changes, and food habits.

69 Economic Problems of Fertilizer Consumption in 72 Economic Impact of Shortages on the Fertilizer In

12
MARKET ANALYSIS

dustry. Arthur D. Little Inc. (Acorn Park,Cambridge, Mass.). U. 75 Fertilizer Shortage Effects on Forestry. Fert. Int., No.
S. Nat. Tech. Inform. Serv., PB Rep. – 240 418; 233 pp. (Jan. 66, 7 (Dec. 1974). One aspect of recent price increases of
1975). Avail. NTIS. A study was conducted in 1974 to provide fertilizers will be the effect upon future forestry fertilization.
information on the basic structure, characteristics, and prob Fertilizer application to trees as a crop is successful and
lems of the fertilizer industry. Emphasis is placed on fuel use although wood properties may suffer a little this is counter.
and substitutability as well as the impact of fertilizers on farm balanced by increased wood vol and possibly matched by
production. The report is subdivided as follows: I. Analytical technical advances within the wood processing industry. As an
factors (nonenergy) 109 pp. A. product service data, and B. investment, fertilization is currently proving profitable in
industry structure. II. Analytical factors (energy), 101 pp. A. several countries, but as might be expected this is very
major uses of fuels and energy, B. fuel and energy use by dependent on the relationship between wood and fertilizer
product and region, C. fuel and energy supply, and D. prices. In the short term at least, recent price increases in
substitutability of major fuels and petroleum products. III. fertilizers paint a gloomy picture for forestry as far as
Fertilizer and agricultural production, 23 pp. (130 tables, 31 fertilizers are concerned.
figures).
76 Elasticity of Fertilizer Demand: Aspects of Its Effects
73 Impact of Fertilizer Shortage: Focus on Asia. (Symp. on on Agricultural Productivity. Phosphorus Potassium No. 80,
Interrelationship Between Agricultural Input Industry and 26-32 (Nov. Dec. 1975). Farmers are carefully examining their
Agriculture, Nov. 26-Dec. 2, 1974). Tokyo, Japan. Asian options regarding fertilizer use. They are paying close atten
Productivity Organization; 372 pp. (1975). Major topics tion to the recommendations of advisory services. In devel
discussed are (1) recent trends of world fertilizer market, (2) oped countries it is highly probable that there will be a
impact of the energy crisis and other factors on the fertilizer progressive easing of the rate of phosphate consumption per ha
industry of Asia, (3) impact of the Supply shortage and high in regions of high fertilizer consumption. However, in coun
prices on fertilizer distribution and consumption, (4) possible tries with a very large area of agricultural land many of the
effects of fertilizer shortage on food grain production, and (5) soils are still poor. In the developing countries the need for
external trade problems for fertilizer and food grains. The phosphate fertilizer remains considerable. Economic problems
fertilizer supply shortage, particularly among the import continue to obstruct progress and favorable conditions of
dependent developing countries, over the last 2 yr has been agricultural credit and global stabilization of agricultural prices
aggravated by the world-wide inflation, energy crisis, and rising are of the greatest interest to fertilizer manufacturers. Because
freight rates. This condition triggered a chain reaction causing of the build-up of phosphate fertilizer in the soil, the balance
a rapid increase in market prices of fertilizers, including of nutrient application will tend to change in favor of
feedstocks and raw materials. The inability of the fertilizer nitrogen.
industry to cope with increasing demand was attributed to the
severe restraint in new investment in production facilities, 77 Economics of Fertilizer Use as a Constraint in Increasing
closure of obsolescent plants in 1968-1972, and the low
Fertilizer Consumption. Girdhari Lal (Industrial and Allied
priority generally given to fertilizer products by the chemical Sales Private Ltd., New Delhi, India). In FAI-FAO Seminar
and mineral industries because of reduced returns owing to
over-capacity and over-supply. Strategy. Stimulating Fertilizer Consumption 1976 Proe (held
New Delhi, India, Dec. 9-11, 1976). New Delhi, India: Fert.
Association India III-1 (iii) I-6 (Mar. 1977). The constraints on
74 Impact of Fertilizer Shortage in United States. Chem. fertilizer consumption are discussed. The two most important
Eng. News 55 (7), 5 (Feb. 14, 1977). Spring could bring a factors are: (1) the abstaining from fertilizer consumption by a
nightmare both for the fertilizer industry and for farmers. large segment of the Indian farming population, and (2) the
Barges used to move fertilizers were locked in frozen water cultivation of a number of crops without use of fertilizer. It is
ways. And because of the severe winter, tank cars that could felt that fertilizer consumption should increase once these
be used for ammonia likely will be held in service hauling factors have been corrected. The reasons why a number of
propane and liquefied petroleum gas for longer than usual. farmers do not practice fertilization programs are then
Also, many of the rail hopper cars that normally would be analyzed; the major factor is the lack of water either because
available for shipping solid fertilizers are being used to haul of unfavorable weather conditions or uncertain irrigation
grain and other commodities. In addition, natural gas curtail facilities. With the absence of water as a complementary input
ments are costing the fertilizer industry thousands of tons of to fertilizer, the responses of crops to fertilizer alone are not
ammonia production for springtime nitrogen fertilizers. The attractive. There are also crops on which fertilizer use is
loss could rise to as much as 700,000 tons. Further com economic only under restricted conditions. In these cases,
pounding the problem, is that dealers—nervous about prices research should be carried out to show to the farmer the exact
and nervous about farmers' intentions—finished 1976 with low circumstances under which his application of fertilizer should
inventories. Fertilizer prices probably will rise 8-10% above the be profitable. If this is not done and the farmer continues to
depressed levels of last fall, but they will remain below the apply fertilizer to these crops randomly, he is likely to lose
levels of last spring. Although the phosphate situation con confidence in the efficiency of fertilizer. The lack of infra
tinues to be volatile, the export end of the business is starting structural facilities in large parts of the country and the related
to pick up. Phosphate rock inventories have reached 15 million issue of inefficient farm management expertise are also major
tons, but demand has been strong because foreign countries variables which affect the efficiency of fertilizer use.
have used up the rock that they overbought during the scare
period. International demand for diammonium phosphate and 78 An Econometric Model of Relationships Between Inputs
triple superphosphate also is rising. and Aggregate Agricultural Production in Gujarat State. T. K.

13
MARKET ANALYSIS

Jayaraman and V. B. Savdasia (Bureau of Economic and necessary or not? (2) Who is going to do it? (3) Who will pay
Statistics, Gujarat, Gandhinagar, India). Indian J. Agric. Econ. for it? (4) How much should be spent? Some avenues of
31 (3), 123-4 (July-Sept. 1976). An econometric analysis is market development programs are: (1) keeping up the demand
made to explain the past agricultural production trends by the on crops historically fertilized, (2) developing greater demand
level of input use over the period 1961-74. Several hypothesis on crops not heavily fertilized, (3) creating new usage on crops
were tested with regards to fertilizer, energy use, and capital such as roadways, parks, forests, and fisheries, and (4)
availability. The results obtained through the estimation developing demand in other areas of the world. The future
procedure confirmed that (1) rainfall and fertilizer consump market will most certainly be influenced by the extent of
tion have been significantly responsible for agricultural market development. The industry should expect to spenda
development in the state, (b) long-term financial loans do reasonable portion of its gross income on expanding the
influence capital formation, (c) the impact of fertilizer prices market for the product that provides that income.
on the levels of use is not established, (d) short-term loan
finance has a significant impact on the level of fertilizer 82 Some Aspects of U.S. Policy in Determining the Future
consumption, and (e) a significant direct relationship exists Role of Fertilizer in Combating World Food Problems. P. J.
between rainfall and per capita land put to use. Stangel (International Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle
Shoals, Ala.). In TVA Fertilizer Conference (held July 29-31,
79 Protection of the Fertilizer Industry and its Effects on 1975, Louisville, Kentucky) Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee
Agricultural Production and Savings of Foreign Currency. The Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center;
Case of Saltpeter. A., Valdes (International Food Policy Res. Bulletin Y-96, pp. 138-45 (July 1975). The U.S. Government
Inst., Washington, D.C.). Cuad. Econ. 13 (39), 93-108 (Aug. recognizes the growing importance of fertilizer in fighting
1976) (Span). Abstr. Trop. Agric. 3, 13818. Studies in other world hunger. It is aware that the United States is the bastion
countries have shown that a large part of the increase in Soil of fertilizer technology and supplies, particularly of phos
productivity is due to a greater use of fertilizers. The purpose phate, and methods of focusing these to maximize food
of this study is to show that because of the protection of the production. The success of U.S. agriculture and the major role
local saltpeter (KNO3) industry, farmers did not take advant it has played in supplying food to the world is sound
age of the lowering of world prices of N fertilizers. The history testimony to this. These efforts in the future can take either a
of the Chilean saltpeter industry, the price of N and its effects humanitarian or political focus, or both. The present U.S.
on domestic use, the savings of foreign exchange, and the policy appears to be designed to deal with both elements. The
elasticity of supply and demand of N fertilizers are reviewed creation of the new International Fertilizer Development
with particular emphasis on wheat, the major consumer of N. Center will help the U.S. to join forces with other nations in
(14 ref). transferring present technology or developing new fertilizer
technology directly to the nations needing it most and wishing
to make a major effort to produce food in their own country.
MARKET DEVELOPMENT This along with the U.S. policy of supplying financial
guarantees or funds to international banking institutions such
as World Bank and Asian Development Bank and encouraging
DEVELOPMENT them to finance production facilities has also allowed a
separation of the political effort from the humanitarian
80 Fertilizer for the Nation. B. J. Bond. In Situation 77, element. As a result of this move the U.S. is still able to focus
TVA Fertilizer Conference. (held Kansas City, Missouri, July its very best resource, ability to produce fertilizer and food, to
26-27, 1977.) Muscle Shoals, Ala.: TVA, National Fertilizer the area that will guarantee the U.S. people its greatest benefit
Development Center, Eull. Y-115; pp. 88-93 (July 1977). An and at the same time accept the humanitarian role and
evaluation of the role of TVA’s national fertilizer program in responsibility to help the less fortunate people of the
developing and introducing new fertilizers and fertilizer developing world who wish to help themselves.
processes is given. The influence the program has had on
fertilizer production, marketing, and use is outlined. The 83 Suggested Fertilizer-Related Policies for Governments
information given is indicative of the impact of fertilizer-as an and International Agencies. Editor, T. P. Hignett (Inter
agricultural inp t—on the Nation's agricultural production and national Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, Ala
economic stricture. Chemical fertilizers are the lifeblood of bama). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: International Fertilizer Develop
modern American agriculture. Specific impacts of fertilizers on ment Center. Tech. Bull. IFDC-T-10; 65 pp. (Aug. 1977). This
increased agricultural production, food prices and dietary report was issued for the purpose of assisting governments and
practices, soil conservation, and the Nation's economic posture international agencies in formulating policies that will facili
are illustrated. Fertilizer now accounts for more than 37% of tate long-range planning of fertilizer production, distribution,
U.S. crop production and is expected to contribute more as and use, particularly in developing countries. (8 ref).
new technology is developed as used.
84 Experiences of the FAO Fertilizer Program. H. Braun.
81 Market Development for the Future. J. F. Reed (Univ. In Planning and Organization of Fertilizer Use Development in
Georgia, Athens). In TVA Fertilizer Conference (held July Africa. Rome, Italy: FAO Soils Bull., No. 26; pp. 39-46
29-31, 1975, Louisville, Kentucky) Muscle Shoals, Ala.: (i975). Since 1961, the FAO fertilizer program has assisted 34
Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development countries in their efforts to develop the agricultural sector of
Center; Bulletin Y-96, pp. 136-7 (July 1975). The old their economy. Based on experinece gained since that time,
philosophy of market development has been “leave it to some related agricultural inputs and improved crop practices have
other segment of industry”. Some of the don’ts are listed. been included in the operations. Fertilizers serve as a Spear
Some fundamental questions are: (1) Is market development head for most improvements and in gaining the confidence of

14
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

the rural community. From an approach mainly concentrated (July 1973). A number of different policies have been used to
through demonstrations, four phases of work have been stimulate Brazilian agricultural growth in the past few yr. One
developed. These include: (1) mass demonstrations on farmers important set of policies has been aimed at expanding the use
fields, (2) small specific trials on farmers fields for the of chemical fertilizers. This has included the building of
formulation or adaption of fertilizer recommendations, (3) fertilizer plants, an expansion in fertilizer marketing facilities,
improvement in fertilizer distribution, and (4) development of and providing substantial amounts of credit for fertilizer
credit systems. Progressive efforts have been made to improve purchases at concessional interest rates. The net result has
the quality of fertilizer recommendations. In countries where been a sharp expansion of chemical fertilizer consumption.
the demand for fertilizer already exist, action is concentrated From 1950-60, consumption grew at an annual rate of 15%
on distributional and credit systems. Training and education and the use of fertilizer/ha doubled. Total consumption
aspects are also important features of the program. reached nearly 300,000 tons in 1960. Policies modified in
1961 led to a substantial decline in fertilizer use until 1966.
85 Food Agriculture Organization Fertilizer Program After adjustments were made in credit and product pricing
Activities in Asia and the Far East. Fert. News (India) 20 (1), policies, consumption doubled by 1968 and nearly tripled by
20-2 (Jan. 1975). The background to the establishment of the 1970 to 820,000 tons. Increases in credit availability plus the
Food Agriculture Organization (FAO) Fertilizer Program is very attractive interest rates appear to have been the key
described. The importance of regarding the stimulation of factors in stimulating fertilizer use. (14 ref).
fertilizer consumption as an exercise in the development of a
sound and integrated marketing practice is stressed in the 89 The Caribbean: Development of the Nitrogen Industry.
following manner: (a) It must be reliably known what the Nitrogen No. 105, 23-6 (Jan.-Feb. 1977). Nitrogen production
fertilizer can achieve under actual field conditions (adaptive facilities exist on three Caribbean islands, namely, Aruba,
research phase). (b) The farmer must be given the opportunity Trinidad, and Cuba. Yet within this same area the nature of
to evaluate the product with his neighbors (demonstration the industry differs considerably. With only a very limited
phase). (c) When demand is established, timely delivery of well domestic market for finished fertilizers on both Trinidad and
packaged material of the correct type is essential (marketing Aruba and indeed little in the way of downstream production
phase). (d) When input needs develop, timely credit must be capacity, the industry there is essentially oriented towards
available and group discipline based on phases (b) and (c) exporting merchant ammonia. In Cuba, meanwhile, the situa
ensure repayment (credit phase). tion is the reverse. This nation is the largest consumer within
the Caribbean area and although a nitrogen fertilizer industry
86 Evaluation of TVA's National Fertilizer Introduction is now underway, the island still has to import solid fertilizers
Program. Muscle Shoals, Ala., TVA, National Fertilizer to meet growing domestic demand. However, in no way have
Development Center. Circular Z-79; 6.3 pp. (Apr. 1977). This these industries within this area developed side-by-side—one
report identifies and quantifies many specific benefits of the fulfilling the needs of the other. Cuba does not belong to the
TVA fertilizer program. These benefits will continue to Caribbean Common Market (Caricom) but rather to Comecon
accumulate. The study also shows that there are current and and obtains the bulk of fertilizer imports from the U.S.S.R. In
future opportunities for developing and introducing technolo 1974-75, Soviet material constituted almost two-thirds of total
gies whose impact on the fertilizer industry, the nations farms, nitrogen fertilizer imports. However, it is likely that Cuba may
and the national economy will be as great as the impact of increase its dealings with Caricom. Cuba apparently showed
development in past years. interest in buying fertilizer from Trinidad, but apart from this,
there is little, if anything, to indicate that these islands intend
87 The International Fertilizer Development Center's Data to develop in a more complementary manner.
Processing System and the Role in Supplying Fertilizer
Research and Development. D. R. Waggoner, R. L. Booth, and 90 Changes in Saskatchewan Potash Prorationing. Chem.
M. T. Frederick (Int. Fert. Devel. Center, Florence, Alabama). Week 113 (3), 20 (July 18, 1973). The province's Minister of
In 26th Annual Meeting Fertilizer Industry Round Table (held Mineral Resources, says that Saskatchewan now has 20% of
Atlanta, Georgia, Oct. 26-8, 1976), pp. 26-34 (1976). The world markets and intends to boost that share closer to its
International Fertilizer Development Center (IFDC) World 29% share of world capacity. He says Saskatchewan producers
Fertilizer Information System consists of various computer must be more aggressive in marketing without resorting to
packages (computer programs and data bases) developed or price cutting, and that the provincial government will give all
planned by IFDC staff. These programs and data files are the help in its power. Among the possible changes in
primarily intended to provide pertinent and timely informa. prorationing is a system that takes into account the markets
tion to aid companies, government agencies, and financial held by each producer. A new formula that would encourage
institutions involved in the supply, consumption, and policy more vigorous sales efforts will be set up by Oct. 31. The
aspects of fertilizers. The system will provide the following formula would favor companies that have made special sales
data when completed: analysis of fertilizer raw materials efforts, especially in the direction of long-term contracts.
reserves, calculation of capital expenditure estimates for
fertilizer complexes, and market analysis statistics concerning 91 Ghana Progress in Fertilizer Production, Marketing, and
the production and consumption of fertilizers. These data are Education. R. D. Grisso, D. A. Russel (TVA, National
first accumulated for IFDC use, but will be available on a fee Fertilizer Development Center Muscle Shoals, Alabama),
basis to interested parties from the computer network or by Michael Goe, and D. R. Waggoner. National Fertilizer Develop
mail from IFDC. ment Center, Muscle Shoals, Ala., Bull. Y-110; 50 pp. (Jan.
1977). This is the third report on the fertilizer situation, in
88 Fertilizer Use and Agricultural Development in Brazil. Ghana by TVA. After the first report it was recommended
W. C. Nelson and R. L. Meyer. Thesis, Ohio State Univ.; 32 pp. that production facilities be built in stages, controlled by the

15
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

rate of increase in fertilizer use. Fertilizer use has increased 94 Extension and Marketing of Fertilizers in Ivory Coast
rapidly, averaging 33%/yr from 1968 to 1975. A fertilizer (Ministry Agric. Ivory Coast, Abidjan, Ivory Coast). In
committee was established to guide the formation of a Potassium in Tropical Crops and Soils; Proceedings 10th
fertilizer industry. Working with the U.S. AID, TVA assigned a colloquium (held December 1973 Abidjan, Ivory Coast
fertilizer consultant to Ghana for 2 yr. During the assignment, Berne, Switzerland: Int Potash Inst., pp. 56.1-7 (1974) (Fr.
the Ghana Fertilizer Company, Ltd., was formed, a marketing The use of mineral fertilizers, along with other means, plays a
plan that would transfer distribution and marketing from the dominant role in increasing yields. But, there are difficulties
Extension Service to the private sector was prepared, and an which hamper development. These include the high price of
education program based on fertilizer demonstrations was fertilizer in relation to some agricultural prices, lack of
started. This report is divided into four sections: (1) Fertilizer fertilizer response due to the interference of other limiting
Alternatives and the Fertilizer Action Program, (2) Fertilizer factors, and the difficulty of using fertilizer on crops grown
Production, (3) Fertilizer Marketing, and (4) Fertilizer Educa under primitive systems. The Ivory Coast used, in 1972, about
tion. (21 tables, 3 figures, many photographs). 20,000 mt nitrogenous, 5000 mt phosphatic, and 22,000 m:
potassic fertilizers with 460 mt complex, 29,000 mt mixed
92 Fertilizer Situation in Iran. I. Ghashghai and H. fertilizers, and 7000 mt amendments. Fertilizer consumption
Amirmorri. Fert, News (India) 20 (10). 3.12 (Oct. 1975). The has increased sharply since 1970. About 60% of the fertilizer
fertilizer industry has a pivotal role to play in the development used in 1972 came from local factories. All locally manu
of agriculture. Fertilizers are even more important in devel. factured compound fertilizer contains S and micronutrients in
oping countries where agriculture is the backbone of the addition to N, P, and K. Among annual crops, 90% of the
economy and yet these are the countries, more particularly in cotton and 15% of the rice received fertilizer but food crops,
Asia and the Middle East, where the fertilizer industry has yet in practice, only benefit from residual effects as they follow
to achieve development on modern lines. Information re. the above in the rotation. Fertilizers are used on all plantation
garding agricultural developments in developing countries with and export crops: 40,000 mt on banana and dessert pineapple,
Special reference to fertilizer, demand, prices, economics of its 15,000 on canning pineapples, 10,000 on oil palm and
use, and Govenmental policies is not widely known. A new coconut, and 3000 on cacao. Though the price of fertilizer to
Series on “Our Neighbors’ has started in Fertilizer News. The the farmer has risen 40% since 1971, the price he receives for
first in the series entitled 'Fertilizer Situation in Iran' is given. his seed cotton has only gone up by 15%. In some cases,
The article deals with various aspects of agriculture and especially if the spraying program is incomplete, fertilizer is
fertilizer industry in Iran. only marginally profitable and this could eventually prejudice
the farmer and be a serious obstacle to the progress of the
93 Fertilizer Marketing in Italy. Eur, Chem. News 24 development plan. There is a similar problem with canning
(610), 6 (Nov. 16, 1973). The Italian fertilizer industry, scene pineapple. Between 1966 and 1972 the price of fertilizer (5
of so many cartels and dubious marketing devices in the past, mt/ha of 8-4-20 + 4 Mg) has risen by 86% while the return for
has recently found itself struggling to throw off the most a day's work has fallen by 30%.
damning indictment of its sales practices ever—that of inten
tional development of a black market in fertilizers. In recent 95 The Fertilizer Marketing System in South Korea. Y. K.
years, Italian fertilizer producers have had to endure huge Shim, J. T. Shields, and D. C. Dahl. Muscle Shoals, Ala.:
financial losses and much severe criticism. The industry has Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development
shrunk visibly over the last few yr as many plants have been Center, Bulletin Y-97; 20 pp. (Aug. 1975). A report on the
declared uneconomic and privately-owned companies fertilizer situation in South Korea is given. In 1974 South
disappeared. The most common charge levelled at Italian Korea had nine plants operating with a capacity of 1,705, 650
fertilizer producers, particularly by the communist daily press tons. Products and capacities were urea, 56.7%; compound
in Italy, is that of production cut-backs and hoarding of fertilizers, 21.2%; fused Mg phosphates, 13.4%; and ammo
material for profitable export markets. But statistics fail to nium sulfate, 8.7%. In 1974 fertilizer consumption was
bear out this charge and between January and August 1973, 1,781,425 tons. A dual pricing policy has been established.
around 25% more fertilizer became available for domestic The government controls prices to producers and importers
deliveries than in the same period of 1972. Exports were also and prices to the farmers. The National Agricultural Coopera
down, at about 1.42 million tons in 1972 compared with 1.6 tive Federation (NACF) distributes domestic production and
million tons in 1971. Why then, are Italian farmers claiming imports under close supervision of the government. The NACF
that they are unable to obtain fertilizers? At this point, the buys all domestic fertilizers and imports; provides all wholesale
existence of an Italian black market in fertilizers becomes and retail Services; arranges all shipping; provides all storage;
evident. Fertilizer producers are delivering to Italian merchants and, sells to the farmer at prices determined by the govern
and some large selected farming groups at prices pinned by the ment. The farmers are subsidized. The general objective of the
Government at around 30% below other EEC levels. These pricing system are to maintain fairly low and stable fertilizer
organizations, holding the bulk of free Italian supplies, are prices to farmers. Problems encountered in the industry are
stockpiling in anticipation of fertilizer price increases forced shortage of feed stock, shortage of transport equipment, and
on a reluctant government by the growing supply crisis. Be this lack of mechanical handling facilities.
true or not, the hoarding moves are having a definite effect.
Unless the government moves soon, Italian farmers will have to 96 The Fertilizer Marketing System in Mexico. C. L.
reduce fertilizer usage or import material at very high prices. Ahrens and J. T. Shields. Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee
Some have proposed taking increased shipments from eastern Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center,
Europe, failing to recognize that prices would be 40% higher Bull. Y-65, 30 pp. (Aug. 1973). Fertilizer is produced by six
than Italian list prices. companies in Mexico but all distribution is the responsibility

16
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

of government-owned Guanos y Fertilizantes de Mexico marketing schemes in developing countries should be an


(Guanomex). Petroleos Mexicanos is responsible for moving its integral part of developmental efforts for small-scale farmers.
anhydrous ammonia to Guanomex distributors but all other The quality and cost of services rendered depend increasingly
fertilizers are moved by Guanomex. About 74% of the on marketing functions with regard to quantitative and
fertilizer moves by rail and 24% by truck; some moves in bulk qualitative aspects, storage, transportation, and the conditions
but most in bags and virtually all solid fertilizers are bagged of purchase. To be successful, fertilizer marketing schemes
before they are sold to farmers. In 1970 Guanomex had 205 should be superimposed upon the existing structure for crops
distributors (189 private companies, 13 cooperatives, and 3 and other inputs. This will insure that the marketing costs will
Guanomex-owned distributorships) located in all but one of be held at an acceptable level. Efficient schemes require
the 32 states and territories of the country. Most distributors appropriate planning and management. Suitable incentives to
had subdistributors or agents as a part of their retail system. dealers and credit terms for farmers are also important
Usually, farmers transport the fertilizer (in 40-50 kg bags) determinants of a successful marketing strategy. Government
from the point of sale to their farm although some dealers participation may be quite substantial in certain cases. Such
deliver. Fertilizer pricing policy is the responsibility of participation, however, should be confined to initial activity
Guanomex and one objective is to equalize price throughout pending the establishment of a private firm or cooperative
the country. Prices paid by farmers vary, however. Fertilizer is producers associations.
not subsidized and markup at the distributor level is
8.6-34.2%, depending upon the material, bagging require 100 Organization and Development of Fertilizer Marketing
ments, and (apparently) transportation costs. About 75% of in Developing Countries. K. Wierer (FAO, Rome, Italy). Z.
the fertilizer is sold on credit but dealers provide only limited Auslandische Landwirtsch. 15 (3), 288-304 (July 1976) (Dut).
amounts of additional services. Peak sales are in June and over Abstr. Trop. Agric. 3, 13816. This study shows that develop
half the fertilizer is sold during May-August. Operating costs at ing countries increasingly use fertilizers to increase agricultural
the distributor level are equivalent to U.S. $5.17/ton or 6-7% production although there are large differences in fertilizer use
of the cost to the farmer. Administrative and distribution costs according to regions or crops. Factors that influence fertilizer
account for over half the operating costs. consumption are analyzed with special attention to the
fertilizer marketing organizations and to the integration of
97 Market Development of Fertilizer in West Pakistan. M. fertilizer marketing with agricultural extension, credit organi
Ishaque. Forward, W. Pakistan 10 (7), 7-9, 14 (1972). Trop. zation, and agricultural produce marketing. Although a deter
Abstr. 27, 2814. A program is outlined for sale and marketing mined marketing system is based on a certain economic policy
of fertilizers to farming communities in W. Pakistan. Key orientation, it is emphasized that the system must be adjusted
objectives include: (1) adequate distribution in time and place; to the stage of development and structural changes are needed
from time to time.
(2) fair price policies and satisfactory credit facilities; (3)
agronomic assistance as pre- and post-sale service; and (4)
training of farmers in fertilizer use. Broad details of each 101 Prospects for an Adequate Fertilizer Supply to
objective are discussed, some attention is given to the need of Developing Countries. Satya Nand. Fert. News 18 (7), 11-17
government protection as a basis for this program. (June 1973). Developing countries are characterized by low
level of industrialization and productivity, a lack of industrial
98 The Changing United States Fertilizer Industry. D. A. culture, and a rapidly increasing population. The situation is,
Paul et al (Economic Research Service, U.S. Dept. Agric., however, changing rapidly with the spread of modern concepts
Washington, D.C.). Agricultural Economic Rep. No. 378; 103 of agricultural practices involving the use of high-yielding
pp. (Aug. 1977). The United States fertilizer industry appears varieties of seeds, fertilizers, pesticides, and increasing irriga
to respond well to supply and demand signals, although it is tion facilities. For adopting improved agricultural practices,
relatively concentrated. The speed of response has slowed adequate availability of fertilizers is a sine qua non. Most
because of escalated construction and energy costs and developing countries have to depend upon imports of fertil
uncertainties regarding the availability of raw materials. izers, entailing a large outflow of foreign exchange which they
Economics of scale have necessitated the construction of larger can ill afford. It is, therefore, necessary to augment domestic
manufacturing facilities so that firms can be competitive. The production. During the short term, imports will continue.
effects have been an increase in concentration and integration Currently, there is a shortage in the international market and
and in barriers to entry. Manufacturing plant locations have adequate supplies are not available. Prices are continuously
become more oriented to inputs than to markets. Much of the moving up straining the economies of the developing
newer N capacity is in the Gulf Coast States, close to natural countries. There would appear to be a need for the developed
gas supplies and to water transportation for both inland and countries to exercise self-restraint on prices. Long-term fertil
coastal of movements. Many new plants are being built as parts izer requirements of developing countries should be assessed
of multiproduct complexes entailing considerable cost savings. on a global basis and capacity created to meet this demand.
The United States is a net importer of potash, but at the Coordination at an international level is suggested to balance
minimum it is self sufficient in N and P2 Os. More than demand and supply. The growing suspicion in the developing
three-fourths of the K2O used domestically in fertilizer is of countries that the suppliers of fertilizers and fertilizer raw
Canadian origin, and nearly all of the North American K2O materials are taking undue advantage of the current shortages
reserves are in Canada by raising prices, needs to be calmed.

99 Fertilizer Marketing in Developing Countries. H. Creupe 102 The Nonfarm Market. Lyn Prestwich and Marilyn
landt. In Planning and Organization of Fertilizer Use Develop Messerly. Farm Chem. 139 (11), 78-9, 82-3, 86-7, 90 (Nov.
ment in Africa. Rome, Italy: Food and Agriculture Organiza 1976). The nonfarm fertilizer market is a 2.4 + million ton
tion; pp. 62-74 (1975). Introducing or improving fertilizer market worth $550 million at the manufacturer's level. Home

17
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

lawns and golf courses account for about 70% of total of a coal-based ammonia plant is about double that of a plani
nonfarm use. Other significant markets are office parks, based on gas, but with reasonably good quality coal and with
neighborhood parks, churches, high Schools, shopping centers, reasonable prices ammonia can be made at comparative costs.
apartment complexes, government buildings and grounds, Only at a price of $60 per ton or less would naphtha compet:
universities, memorial gardens, and highway rights of way. The with cheap coal. The well-proven processes for producing
market is expected to grow at about 4% per yr. The traditional ammonia synthesis gas are discussed and the problems in the
channel of distribution-manufacturer to distributor to con use of coal are highlighted. A medium-term plan to meet the
Sumer will yield to more direct methods. Mass chain merchan shortage of N fertilizers in the world is indicated, namely tº
disers will get more of the do-it-yourself market, which in build 10 identical 1,000 tons/day ammonia plants and
itself will yield to the lawn service companies, particularly equivalent urea facilities in countries where flared natural gas
where commercial buildings are concerned. is now available. Setting up of an agricultural input aid fund of
an export credit financing fund is recommended to support
and guarantee exports from such plants.

NEW PROCESSES, PRODUCTS, 105 The Fertilizer Institute Calls for a Program to Develop
AND MINERAL DEPOSITS Ammonia From Coal. Chem. Week 117 (9), (Aug. 27, 1975).
The Fertilizer Institute has called for a 10-yr study of
ammonia production by coal gasification, to be funded by the
National Fertilizer Development Center of the Tennessee
Valley Authority. The study is needed immediately because of
103 New Feeds and Processes Perk Ammonia Production. P. declining and unsure supplies of natural gas. The minimum
R. Savage. Chem. Eng. 84 (23), 79-82 (Oct. 24, 1977). cost of such a program, through the pilot plant stage was
Widespread uncertainty over the availability and price of estimated at $25 million. The aim of the study would be to
natural-gas has prompted several ammonia producers to improve the economics of the coal-based route.
investigate feasible feedstock alternatives. While some manu
facturers plan a total change in feedstock, others seek 106 Ammonia Production From Coal. Chem. Mark. Rep.
improvements on existing technology. The most renound 211 (6), 5, 36 (Feb. 7, 1977). Continuing problems with
alternative today is the conversion of ammonia from coal. At natural gas supplies pose serious questions about nitrogen
least two major companies have proposed plans to employ fertilizer production in the future, according to the manager of
coal-based technology. W. R. Grace of the United States along Tennessee Valley Authority's National Fertilizer Development
with the Energy Research Development Agency recently Center at Muscle Shoals, Alabama. Natural gas is the prime
appropriated $350 million for a feasibility study, which if feedstock for producing ammonia, and almost all nitrogen
successful, will culminated with the design and construction of fertilizers are made from ammonia. About half of the 49
a 1200 ton/day demonstration plant. The Tennessee Valley million tons of fertilizer used by American farmers last yr was
Authority likewise plans to construct a $46 million demonstra nitrogen materials. Nitrogen fertilizer is absolutely essential in
tion plant scheduled to begin operation in 1980. Coal is not modern farming. In light of the critical natural gas supply
the only alternative to natural gas. Naptha has been widely situation, it is obvious that we can no longer depend so heavily
employed in Europe. Heavy fuel oil is another option however, on natural gas for nitrogen fertilizer production. TVA re
it is estimated that costs for a heavy-fuel-oil-based ammonia searchers have been looking for some time at alternatives to
plant are about 40% higher than using natural gas. Several using natural gas in the production of ammonia, and have
other companies have modified or upgraded plant conversion concluded that coal is the best bet for the rest of this century.
techniques. Among the most prominent is the new air TVA began working on producing ammonia from coal about 2
preheating technique which is estimated to save about 0.75 yr ago, and hope to begin construction of a demonstration
million Btuſton of ammonia produced. Another technique ammonia-from-coal plant at Muscle Shoals in 1979. This pilot
being promoted is the Breda process. A recently completed operation, being planned by TVA, will serve as a vital inter
feasibility study shows that natural-gas consumption can be mediate step to reduce the risks in developing large com
cut from 20 million Btuſ short ton of ammonia produced to mercial ammonia- from-coal plants. It will also demonstrate
15.2 million Btu. how existing ammonia plants can be remodeled to use gas
made from coal.
104 Ammonia from Coal. M. C. Verghese and R. P. Cook
(United Nations Industrial Development Organization, Vienna, 107 Tennessee Valley Authority Approves Project of Ammo
Austria). In F.A.I. Symp. Coal Feedstock Fertilizer Production nia from Coal. Coal Age 82 (7), 31 (July 1977). The Tennessee
1974. New Delhi, India: Fert. Ass. India, pp. IV-1/1-8 (June Valley Authority board of directors recently authorized $46
1974) (price Rs.20). Ammonia production in the world is million for a 3-yr demonstration project for producing
estimated to go up from 47 million tons in 1971 to 64 million ammonia from coal for ultimate use by the Nation's industry.
tons in 1975 and 90 million tons in 1980. It is foreseen that a The demonstration plant will be constructed at TVA’s
reduction in the use of naphtha as feedstock will occur in the National Fertilizer Development Center at Muscle Shoals,
next few yr and fuel oil and coal are expected to gain. The Alabama. It will be designed to produce ammonia synthesis gas
percentage production of ammonia from coal is expected to in conjuction with TVA’s 225 ton/day plant.
double between 1975 and 1980, that is, from 5.8 million tons
to 9.0 million tons. The energy crisis and increase in prices and 108 Texaco Choice Confirmed by Tennessee Valley Authori
non-availability of naphtha and fuel oil will accelerate this ty. Fur Chem. News 31 (805), 22 (Sept. 30, 1977). Texaco's
trend particularly in countries which have no proven resources coal gasification process will be used to convert the ammonia
of oil and gas but which have coal resources. The capital cost facility of the Tennessee Valley Authority at Muscle Shoals,

18
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

Alabama to coal-based operation. It will be the first such ammonia plants that use ocean temperature differences in
“retrofitting” of an existing United States ammonia plant and generating power for ammonia production from air and water
differs in this respect from the other recently announced is a possibility by 1985 according to a report by John Hopkins
ammonia projects. The TVA plant will consume seven ton/day University Applied Physics Laboratory. The concept would be
of coal and produce about 135 ton/day of ammonia. to locate the plants in the Gulf Stream off the southern east
coast and use the temperature difference in surface water and
1 O9 United States Ammonia from Coal Project. Chem. Mark. water at depths of 2000-3000 ft (20-39°F) to power turbines.
Rep. 212 (10), 3 (Sept. 5, 1977). W. R. Grace and Co. and the An electrolysis cell would provide H, for ammonia produc.
Energy Research and Development Administration (ERDA) tion, thus eliminating the costly fuel reforming portions of the
have signed an agreement for a program leading to the plant. Estimated production cost is $70/ton delivered to U.S.
commercial manufacture of ammonia from coal. Total cost of ports. According to the assistant director of the laboratory, a
the program will be about $350 million, of which ERDA will 10 megawatt pilot plant could be ready by 1978 and a
fund about 47% with the remaining $185 million—coming $75-million, 100 megawatt demonstration project could be set
from private enterprise. Phase I of the program, to be by 1982 if funds are made available.
completed in about 2 yr, calls for conceptual design and
engineering of a synthesis gas demonstration plant for the 114 Floating Fertilizer Factories: Wave of the Future. Chem.
conversion of coal to synthesis gas. The gas will be used to Week 116 (12), 34 (Mar. 19, 1975). Sea-going chemical plants
produce ammonia for agricultural fertilizers. This phase will that will convert offshore natural gas into ammonia and urea
include a feasibility study of the economic and technical are under construction in West Europe. The fertilizer units are
viability of the project. The synthesis gas demonstration plant being built for Pertamina, the Indonesian state oil company, to
will use about 2000 tons of coal/day to produce 1200 tons of exploit natural gas now being lost from oil fields off the east
ammonia/day. coast of Kalimantan (formerly Borneo). It consists of two
units, a 1500 tons/day ammonia plant, and a 1700 tons/day
110 India to Study Coal-Based Fertilizers. Chem. Age urea plant, that will be installed in separate ships. The plants
(London) 108 (2875-6), 10 (Aug. 23-30, 1974). The Indian will be steamed to the Makassar Strait for startup next yr. A
Petroleum Ministry has asked the Fertiliser Corp. of India to ground-breaking ceremony at the Kalimantan site Jan. 25
make locational studies for setting up additional capacity signaled the start of construction of the terminal. Output of
based on coal as feedstock. The government decided some the two ships at present urea and ammonia prices would be
time ago that new fertilizer projects should be based on fuel worth some $650,000/day. Construction time for the two
oil or coal as feedstock instead of naphtha, but growing oil sea-going plants is expected to be about 2 and one-half yr from
problems may limit the use of fuel oil. The additional the time the contract was signed in the fall of 1973. In
coal-based capacity may not, however, be implemented in the Indonesia, construction of a unit on land probably would be
Fifth Plan ending in 1978-79. There are already 12 projects impossible. The Kalimantan coast near the oil and gas fields is
scheduled for the Fifth Plan which will use fuel oil as an uninhabited stretch of jungle with swampy beaches and
feedstock. poor soil conditions. Backers say the sea-going concept has
other advantages. Ships can move periodically to the nearest
111 Coal Based Urea Plant for Philippines. J. Flour Anim. port, where maintenance and repair of chemical equipment
Feed Milling 158 (4), 29 (Apr. 1976). The Inter-Regional may be easier. More important, the cost of the plants can be
Development Corp. (IRDC) is to establish a coal-based urea amortized over several small natural gas fields where total gas
fertilizer plant in Albay, Bicol, Southern Luzon, Philippines. Supply may be insufficient to justify land units. And sea-based
The plant will have a capacity of 1500 tons/day, according to plants may have environmental advantages.
the company's president, Jose Banez. IRDC has decided to
sign a contract for the establishment of this plant with a 115 Floating Ammonia Plant Design. Green Markets 1 (9), 8
German supplier and an Australian company—names are not (Apr. 11, 1977). A floating ammonia plant for utilizing
disclosed. offshore natural gas has been designed by Gotaverken, a
Swedish shipyard, and Haldo Topsoe A/S, a Danish chemical
112 Prototype Solar Cell Used in Ammonia Process. Chem. engineering firm. The managing director of Gotaverken says a
Eng. News 55 (40), 19-20 (Oct. 3, 1977). Ammonia has been contract for the first plant is expected to be signed within a
produced simply and catalytically for the first time in a year. However, Gotaverken won't elaborate on the identity of
prototype solar cell from the reactants N and water. The the potential buyer. The plant will have a capacity of 100
important catalyst for the reaction is powdered-iron-doped mt/day of ammonia. Its advantage, say the designers, is that it
titanium dioxide. The reaction proceeds at low temperature could use otherwise uneconomical deposits of natural gas or
and at atmospheric pressure. The prototype solar cell produces associated gas from offshore wells located near areas needing
about 5 micro-moles of ammonia during 3 hr of solar nitrogen. Cost of the plant would be between $166-million
irradiation in the presence of 0.2 gram of iron-doped titanium and $214-million. Production time would be about 3 yr. The
dioxide. Reaction conditions are simple and mixing N gas with plant would be built on barge, 116 by 74 m consisting of three
catalyst that is saturated in water vapor is sufficient to Sections: the processing plant, storage area, and living quarters
produce ammonia at 30°C. The catalyst can be reactivated by for 70 people. It would include steam and electric generation
heating it to 250°C under partial vacuum. It is estimated that units. Ammonia would be stored on board in four tanks,
the catalyst's efficiency must be improved from 10-100 fold capable of holding up to 20 days of production, at atmos
for the process to look commercially attractive. pheric pressure and at minus 33°. The product would be
moved to shore in 10,000-20,000 DWT tankers which would
113 Charting New Course for Ammonia Plants. Chem. Week moor alongside the plant.
117 (12), 37.8 (Sept. 17, 1975). A floating platform with
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

116 New Units to Recover Urea and Ammonia Catching on Recovery Corp. has contracted to install two extraction
With Fertilizer Firms. Chem. Week 118 (11), 39 (Mar. 17, modules at a new phosphoric acid plant owned by a subsidiary
1976). Skid-mounted, add-on stripping units that recover of International Minerals and Chemical Co., about 10 mi west
unreacted ammonia and urea are finding favor with fertilizer of Mulberry, and to install a second module at the Grace plant,
makers. Two units have been licensed by Technip (New York) in an expansion planned for completion in 1977. When all four
to unidentified U.S. clients and a third will be installed in modules are on line, production capacity will be about 1.3
India by Zuari Agro Chemicals at Zuarinagar, Goa. It will million lb of uranium/yr. Total uranium content of all US wet
process 215 gallons/minute of effluent containing as much as process phosphoric acid production is about 5.5 to 6 million
2% of ammonia and 1% of urea. The final effluent from the lb/yr of U3O8. The wet process phosphoric acids produced in
hydrolyzer-stripper unit will contain less than 45 ppm of central Florida have higher uranium content than acid from
ammonia and 100 ppm of urea. The unit, contained within a other sources. At present, the central Florida plants have a
single tower, was developed about 3 yr ago and employs a capacity of 3.2 million tons of P. Os/yr. Since there is about 1
Mavrovic process. The technique involves hydrolyzing urea and lb of U3Os for each ton of P2 Os in acid from central Florida
carbamate contained in waste streams to ammonia and carbon rock, nearly 5 million lb of uranium are being lost each yr at
dioxide. The ammonia is then stripped. (See FA 9, 1117). the central Florida plants and those on the Gulf Coast using
Florida rock.
117 Uranium Recovery. Phosphorus Potassium No. 88, 40
(Mar.-Apr. 1977) There is a growing interest among phos 120 Uranium Recovery From Phosphate Rock. Chern. Eng.
phoric acid manufacturers, particularly in the United States, News 55 (1), 7 (Jan. 3, 1977). Freeport Minerals will recover
concerning the recovery of uranium oxide as a by-product. It uranium as an oxide from processing phosphate rock in
is estimated. that the price of uranium recovered from making H3PO, for fertilizers. Facilities using technology
phosphoric acid could be less than half the current price of developed by Freeport are scheduled to begin operations late
uranium extracted from ore and that a 1000 tons/day P. Os in 1978 in the company's plant at Uncle Sam, on the
plant could increase its annual profitability by several million Mississippi River above New Orleans. Capacity will be 690,000
dollars. Apart from being economically favorable, uranium lb/yr of uranium oxide, known as yellow cake, or about 3% of
removal also helps eliminate any potential environmental and U.S. uranium oxide production in 1975. Half of the facility’s
human health hazards. Two companies, Freeport Minerals and capacity has been sold under a long-term contract, which
Wyoming Minerals Corp., a subsidiary of Westinghouse, have includes $10 million in advance payment from an undisclosed
announced plans to construct uranium extraction equipment buyer.
at phosphoric acid plants in Louisiana and Florida respective
ly. Both the processes used for uranium recovery have been 121 Phosphoric Acid Process Offered in United States.
individually developed by the companies themselves and are Phosphorus Potassium No. 90; 47 (July-Aug. 1977). A process
based on solvent extraction techniques, on which no specific for purifying wet-process phosphoric acid developed by
technical information has yet been released. Two other Societe Azote et Produits Chimique of Toulause, France, over
processes, currently being developed by Oak Ridge National 5 yr ago is now being offered in America by Luwa Corp. of
Laboratory, Tennessee, also employ solvent extraction techni Charlotte, North Carolina. Called the Phorex Process, it is
ques to recover the uranium content of filter-grade (3.2% based on solvent extraction techniques and uses isobutanol as
P. Os) phosphoric acid. The DEPA-TOPO process involves the solvent. Not only is the process capable of producing pure
reductive stripping with a mixture of diſ 2-ethylhexyl) phos phosphoric acid but it is also flexible and allows the
phoric acid (DEPA) and trioctyl phosphine oxide (TOPO) production of a number of phosphate salts. About 98% of the
while the other process, the OPAP process, is an oxidative P. Os values are recovered.
stripping technique, which uses a mixture of mono- and
di-octylphenyl phosphoric acid (OPAP). 122 Improved Phosphoric Acid Process. Chem. Eng. News
52 (39), 22 (Sept. 30, 1974). Fisons Ltd., in the U.K. has
118 Extraction of Uranium From Phosphoric Acid. Eng. developed process modifications that lead to a 4% improve
Min. J. 178 (5), 9 (May 1977). A method of extracting ment in the economics of production of phosphoric acid. The
uranium contained in phosphoric acid solution at a cost of less degree of purity of phosphoric acid made by the process is
than $10 per pound has reportedly been developed by the better than that of acid made by the dihydrate route, and
Japanese government's Power Reactor and Nuclear Fuel solids content is less than 1%. Moreover, the calcium sulfate
Corporation. The company claims that the process is far byproduct contains less entrained phosphate and fluoride ions
simpler than one currently used by some U.S. companies to than is the case with material obtained from alternate
extract uranium from phosphoric acid. The Japanese method phosphoric acid routes—a fact that could lead to an additional
extracts up to 95% of the approximately 0.1 gram of uranium economic advantage when the calcium sulfate is sold as
fluoride contained in a liter of phosphoric acid through the use building material. Fisons’ new Hemihydrate-Dihydrate process
of several solvents, with the remaining solution still usable as is the basis of a phosphoric acid plant now going up in
fertilizer. The company plans to build a pilot plant this yr. Yugoslavia at Kosovska Mitrovica, some 120 miles south of
Belgrade. Designed by West Germany's Lurgi Chemie, the
119 Large Scale Uranium Recovery From Phosphoric Acid. plant will be capable of making 50,000 mt annually of P. Os
Eng. Min. J. 176 (11), 32 (Nov. 1975). Commercial recovery as 50% phosphoric acid (on a P. Os wt basis) when it starts up
of uranium on a large scale from Florida phosphates is a likely early next yr.
prospect, as economic and technological problems in proces
sing appear to have been ironed out. One commercial plant is 123 Soviet Phosphoric Acid Process. Eur, Chem. News 28
due to start up this yr, and four other programs are at various (736), 43 (May 14, 1976). A process that produces concen
stages of development toward commercialization. Uranium trated polyphosphoric acid has been put into commercial

20
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

operation by the Soviet Khimprom enterprise in Dzhambul. been released on the size of the unit or its location, but it is
Designed by the Niigiprokhim institute, a 60,000 ton/yr plant believed that the capacity of the plant will be around 2000
recently came on-stream producing orthophosphoric acid with ton/day of urea. Process design work has been completed but
a 30% higher P. Os content than normally produced. Once the only indication of the startup date is that it will be before
continuous production has been established, it is hoped that 1980. Although this is the first commercial scale plant, Snam
similarly designed plants will allow the exploitation of the Progetti does have a small unit in operation.
low-grade rock deposits of the Karatuau area.
129 Tennessee Valley Authority Fertilizer Process Use. Farm
124 Potassium Salts from Egyptian Bittern. Pt. 1 Review on Chem. 139 (4), 82 (Apr. 1976). Tennessee Valley Authority
Crystallization of Potash from Bittern. M. Y. Bakr. A. A. reports it granted 16 licenses last yr, bringing to nearly 100 the
Zatout, and F. El-Sayed (Univ. Alexandria, Alexandria, number of fertilizer manufacturers using a TVA-patented
Egypt). CEER 9 (No. 1, No. 102), 33-5 (Jan. 1977). Various pipe-cross reactor process for making fluid fertilizers.
processes have been devised to try to extract potassium salts Developed at TVA's National Fertilizer Development Center,
from sea bittern on a commercial basis. Exploitation of any the process's major advantages are its simplicity, economical
particular process depends on various factors such as economy, installation and operation, and capacity for utilizing cheap and
simplicity, and recovery of by-products in the process. readily available low-grade phosphoric acid to produce
Crystallization of potash from sea bittern can be divided into Superior fertilizer. It also conserves energy when used to make
two main methods. One of them is desulphation of bittern granular fertilizers because no separate heat is needed for
then further concentrations to crystallize potash in the form drying out the product.
of carnallite. The second is further concentration of bitterns to
obtain mixed salts. Various processes for separation of mixed 130 Introduction and Use of TVA Nitric Phosphates. Muscle
salt constituents is reported and reviewed in this study. Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer
Development Center; Circular Z-45, 32 pp. (May 1974). A
125 Indian Study of Potash From Waste Process. Eur, Chem. simple, economical process for manufacturing nitric phos.
News 27 (704), 46 (Sept. 26, 1975). Walchandanagar Indus phates has been developed. TVA has produced enough for
tries of India is constructing a RS250,000 pilot plant with field testing, educational programs, and market development
which to examine the commercial potential of producing in a demonstration-scale plant since 1966. A description of the
potash fertilizers from potassium salts contained in distillery introduction and use in educational programs is given. A
waste. Initial studies by the company have shown the review of processes and chemical and storage characteristics is
possibility of producing up to 15,000 ton/yr of potash presented. A summary of major uses by regions for the
fertilizers from the 30 million 1./day of spent distillery wash test-demonstration and fertilizer industry demonstration
which is produced throughout the country. programs is given.

126 Canadian Companies Develop Sulfur Prilling Process. 131 TVA Preliminary Report Shows Foliar Fertilization has
Sulphur No. 129, 49 (Mar.-Apr. 1977). Stearns-Roger Canada Potential. L. B. Nelson (TVA, National Fertilizer Development
Ltd. has announced that it now offers a sulfur forming process Center, Muscle Shoals, Alabama). Fert. Solutions 21 (1),
using an air-prilling technique. The prills, formed by spraying 108-11 (Jan.-Feb. 1977). The Tennessee Valley Authority’s
molten sulfur down a tower against an upward current of air, primary role in foliar fertilization has been supplying experi
help to alleviate the environmental pollution problem mental materials for testing. Experiments conducted by other
normally associated with the bulk handling and transport of organizations have shown significant yield increases and
solid sulfur. suggest that the practice of foliar fertilization has potential.
More must be known about application methods, including
127 Stack-Gas Sulfur Recovery Process Produces Liquid time and rate of application, type of equipment, size of spray
Fertilizer. Chem. Week 116 (17), 36 (Apr. 23, 1975). A new droplets, and suitable surfactants. Studies must be made on
stack-gas S removal system that makes a fertilizer formulation what growing conditions are conducive to greatest positive
has been developed by the Illinois Institute of Technology and response, including soil moisture, weather conditions at time
Purity Corp. (Elk Grove Village, Ill.). In the process, S in coal of application, and others. Materials and formulations must be
(the pilot plant uses 2.9% S coal, fed at about 70 lbs./hr) is examined from the standpoint of maximizing agronomic
burned to SO3. After conversion into sulfuric acid, the stream response and minimizing cost. The effect of biuret must be
is sent to a vessel containing phosphate rock, where it reacts to studied. Other additives to the fertilizer should be considered.
form calcium phosphate and calcium sulfate. The addition of
ammonia results in a 7-22-0 liquid fertilizer product containing 132 Prospects for Foliar Fertilization. Ned Von Buren. Fert.
ammonium phosphate, ammonium sulfate, calcium phosphate Solutions 21 (3), 8, 10, 14, 19-20, 22 (May-June 1977). A
and calcium sulfate. A 500-megawatt plant could make practice called foliar fertilization is blooming on the American
600,000–800,000 tons/yr of commercially acceptable ferti agricultural scene. Performance appear economically feasible.
lizer, according to Purity. Preliminary findings report that more research is needed to
study: (1) the different forms of the nutrient elements; (2)
128 U.S.S.R. to Use Snam Progetti Integrated Ammonia optimum time of application; (3) optimum rate of application;
Urea Process. Eur. Chem. News 25 (632), l l (Apr. 19, 1974). (4) differences in response among different varieties and
The first large capacity plant to use Snam Progetti's integrated hybrids; (5) effectiveness of different adjuvants in spray
ammonia-urea process for producing urea is to be built in the solution; (6) equipment and methods for field applications on
U.S.S.R. The Italian contractor has signed an agreement with different crops; (7) effects of other factors such as chlorides,
the Soviet Ministry of the Chemical Industry covering the biuret, urease, plant moisture stress, and others; (8) cultural
engineering and construction of the plant. No details have and planting practices; and (9) the economics of foliar

21
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

fertilization. Future prospects for foliar fertilization will gen released from cellulose to make the fertilizer. Nitrogen
depend on research yield-levels, and the relationship of crop to fixation depends on the ability of certain bacteria to combine
foliar fertilization prices. the ingredients and produce ammonia. A possible design is a
25-gallon container through which a stream of water would
133 Fertilizer–Methane Made on the Farm is Goal of pass. Cellulose waste, such as corn stalks, peanut hulls or tree
Projects Backed by Senator. Chem. Mark. Rep. 210 (6), 4, 17 bark, would be fed to the bacteria to break the material down.
(Aug. 9, 1976). Sen. Gaylord Nelson (Wisc.) last week If research efforts are successful scientist anticipate the
proposed a series of pilot projects to show whether a process development of small reactors to be used on individual farms
that produces energy from manure and crop residues is to decrease transportation costs.
practical for widespread use on American farms. He intro
duced a bill under which the Department of Agriculture would 137 Plastic Fertilizer Bags Recycled. Fert. Int. No. 82, 8
set up anaerobic digesters on farms around the country (Apr. 1976). Associated Polymers (NI) of Newry, Northern
selected to represent a variety of climates, terrain sizes, and Ireland claims a world first at its plastics recycling plant. The
other variable conditions. Animal manure and crop residues general manager believes that plant is the first integrated unit
would be processed in the digesters to produce methane gas. to accept dirty plastic waste. The process is of interest to the
The gas would replace natural and propane gas, and would be fertilizer industry because a high percentage of the plant's
used to generate electricity, heat buildings, dry crops, and do input is in the form of used fertilizer bags. The bags are
other farm work. The residue of the process would be used for washed and processed into granules ready for shipment.
fertilizer. “Bio-gas” plants, as the digesters sometimes are
called, are in use in Algeria, South Africa, Korea, France, 138 New Products for the Future. A. B. Phillips. In TWA
Hungary, and India. India has some 2500 plants. Fertilizer Bulk Blending Conf. (Held Aug. 1-2, 1973,
Louisville, Kentucky). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley
134 Fertilizer Plant Uses Feedlot Wastes. Feedstuffs 47 (18), Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center; Bull.
16 (May 5, 1975). A new fertilizer plant using manure from Y-62, pp. 23-7 (Aug. 1973). A large number of new materials
area cattle feedlots has been opened by the BioCon Divison of for bulk blending will become available within the present
Searle Agriculture, Inc., near Summerfield, Texas. The com decade. They will offer advantages in analysis, physical
pany is using the aerobic bacterial digestion process to convert properties, and cost over many of the present products. Some
animal waste into a product called "Tilleez,” according to a of the materials will be useful in the production of liquid
company spokesman. Because some components are broken fertilizers as well as bulk blends. The new materials described
down by the bacterial process, the product will not cause odor have been developed at least through the pilot-plant stage and
or burning associated with regular manure. The plant will be their properties are described with confidence but these
capable of using 150,000 to 200,000 tons of feedlot waste predictions are subject to change as the development con
annually, and will employ from 10 to 12 workers. tinues. Materials described are granular urea, urea ammonium
sulfate, urea ammonium phosphates, slow-release sulfur-coated
135 Fertilizer From Wind. Chem. Mark. Rep. 210 (19), 4, 27 urea, ammonium polyphosphates, and potassium phosphates.
(Nov. 8, 1976). Jacobs Engineering Company has been
awarded a contract by Lockheed-California Company to 139 Tennessee Valley Authority Begins Production of New
conduct a process study for the manufacture of ammonia and Fertilizers. Chem. Week 114 (8), 38 (Feb. 20, 1974).
ammonium nitrate from gaseous hydrogen and nitrogen raw Production of two new fertilizer materials has been scaled up
materials produced by wind energy. Jacobs Engineering will by the Tennessee Valley Authority at its Muscle Shoals, Ala.,
study the feasibility of constructing a number of small plants Development Center. It is making granular urea ammonium
which can convert wind energy to fertilizer using a concept phosphate (UAP) (28-28-0) and granular urea in a demonstra
developed by the aerospace company. The concept proposes tion plant for further testing by farmers and industrial firms.
to generate hydrogen by hydrolysis of water, and nitrogen by The UAP product can be made in a variety of ratios and
the fractionation of liquefied air. These raw materials would modified to include potash. The plant food content runs as
be reacted and made into a fertilizer that could be stored for high as 60%. Granular urea has nearly twice the crushing
later use, which in effect would store the wind's energy. Using strength of prilled urea, and the granules can be sized to match
a wind energy source to produce fertilizer in a vast number of other fertilizer materials. UAP is made in a pug mill from 98%
small plants, if feasible, would substantially reduce costs urea solution and ammonium polyphosphate melt produced
associated with conventional fertilizer production today, says from merchant-grade, wet-process acid and ammonia.
the engineering company. For example, it would not be
necessary to produce a concentrated, water-free product—such 140 New Product Introduced. Chem. Age (London) 114
as anhydrous ammonia and prilled, solid ammonium nitrate— º 8 (Feb. 4, 1977). A new urea-ammonium phosphate
to minimize shipping costs. Other savings would result from ertilizer which, it is claimed, is equivalent to its own wt in
mass production of the plants, standardized maintenance and ammonium nitrate and an equal wt of ordinary superphos
parts replacement and reduced operating costs since the plants phate fertilizer has been developed by the Tennessee Valley
could operate virtually unattended. Authority in the U.S. The fertilizer is produced in two grades,
35; 17:0 and 28:28:0. The first grade contains 67% urea and
136 Chemical Fertilizers from Renewable Resources Sought. 33% ammonium polyphosphate, and the second contains
J. Commerce 335 (24, 117), 5 (Jan. 5, 1978). Three University about 50% by wt of each. The fertilizer is particularly suitable
of Virginia chemical engineers are working on a method of for soils having a low pH.
producing chemical fertilizers by using such renewable sources
as trees, peanut hulls, and corn husks. The researchers are 141 Sizing up Water-Insoluble Nitrogen Products. Farm
trying to combine nitrogen from the atmosphere with hydro Chem. 139 (12), 36, 38, 40 (Dec. 1976). Three categories of

22
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

controlled release or water-insoluble N fertilizer are the low 144 New Chemical Slows Nitrogen Release. Farm J. 102 (2),
solubility materials, the water-soluble materials packaged in a 40 (Feb. 1978). Kalo Laboratories has recently introduced a
diffusion membrane, and the water-soluble materials with new product called “Extend” which delays the release of N
biodegradable coatings. In the first category are the ureaforms, from aqua ammonia and urea-ammonium nitrate solutions.
made by reacting urea with an aldehyde such as formaldehyde Experiments show increases of 12 buſacre on corn yields when
or isobutylaldehyde. Composition and characteristics can be Extend is applied. The product encapsulates some—but not
varied. The product is sparingly soluble in water although loss all—of the N molecules, chemically binding them to soil
of control during manufacture can result in production of particles and holding them “in reserve” for later-season use.
inert materials. The low solubility is advantageous but use of Kalo Scientist point out that Extend does not depend on soil
the completely insoluble material, which sometimes happens, bacteria for N release. Moisture–rainfall or irrigation–breaks
destroys customer credibility in the product. Materials pro the chemical bond, triggering periodic release of the encapsu
duced commercially include Nitroform from Hercules Inc., lated N. The product is noncorrosive and may be mixed
Agriform from Sierra Chemical Co., and IBDU from Mitsubishi directly in the tank with N solutions. The estimated cost for
Chemical Industries which is marketed in the U.S. by Swift the product is about three cents/lb of actual N applied and will
Agricultural Chemicals as Par-Ex. Another of the commercially be available in all mainland states except California during
available low solubility materials is a co-granulated mixture of 1978.
MgNH4 PO4 and MgkPO4, known as MagAmp and produced
by Jiffy Products of America. O. M. Scott and Sons produces 145 N-Serve Update. Agrichem. Age 20 (2), 18-19 (Mar.
low solubility turf fertilizers by a patented process whereby 1977). Dow Chemical Co. began commercial production of
nutrients are impregnated on to vermiculite; trade names are N-serve, nitrification inhibitor, during the summer of 1976.
ProTurf and Turf Builder. Soluble N materials jacketed in The product is registered for use on wheat, corn, cotton, and
diffusion membranes include Osmocote and Sierra Chemical grain sorghum. The company is seeking to expand registration
Co. products. Osmocote's coating contains cyclopentadiene of the product for use on rice, potatoes, sugarbeets, tomatoes,
co-polymer and polymers of unsaturated glycerol esters. The and lettuce. Purdue research showed increased yields at 15 of
Sierra products are based on an Archer Daniels Midland Co. 21 locations studied in 1976 with an average increase of 9
patent. Release rate is affected more by soil temperature than bu/acre corn attributable to N-serve. The increased yield
by soil moisture, pH, or microorganisms. The 3M Company is reflected increased N availability as well as reduced root rot
expected to enter this market in the spring of 1977 with its and stalk breakage. Nitrapyrin, the active compound, is
Precise tomato fertilizer that has a biodegradable plastic shell. marketed in two forms: N-serve 24, for application with
In the third category, TVA’s S-coated urea (SCU) is the only anhydrous ammonia and dry fertilizer, and N-serve 24E for use
material presently available. The TVA material is only semi with aqueous ammonia and other solutions.
commercially available. Cost of SCU is about one-third more
than regular urea but much less than the products in other 146 Wax Coatings Might Enable Urea and Triple Superphos
categories. S-coated urea therefore can be used on a wider phate to be Blended. Phosphorus Potassium No. 87, 45
array of crops, including some field crops, than other (Jan.-Feb. 1977). Experiments are now being carried out by
controlled-release fertilizers. the TVA, National Fertilizer Development Center, into the
possibilities of producing a compatible blend of fertilizer
142 Gold-N, A Sulfur-Coated Urea From ICl. L. H. Davies containing urea and triple superphosphate. The use of differ
(Imperial Chemical Industries, Billingham Teesside, England). ent wax and oil mixtures to create a coating which would
Sulphur Inst. J. 10 (2), 6-10 (Summer 1974). Development prevent triple superphosphate from reabsorbing moisture after
work on a slow release N by coating urea granules with S was it has been dried is being studied. Montan wax and mixtures of
started by Tennessee Valley Authority about 10 yr ago. it with other materials are being investigated by researchers as
Technology for manufacturing sulfur-coated urea was studied moisture barrier. The principal obstacle to the commercial use
concurrently at Imperial Chemical Industries, Ltd. (ICI) which of such a composition is its high cost. Proposals for reducing
resulted in a S-coated urea being placed on the United the cost include using cheaper grades of montan and mixing it
Kingdom market in 1972 as GOLD-N. GOLD-N is produced at with oil or other waxes.
ICI’s Teesside plant. Urea prills are coated with S to give a
product containing 32% N, 30% S, and about 2% wax. The 147 Super Slag–Effective Alternative to Basic Slag. J. Flour
premium price above conventional fertilizers does not make its Anim. Feed Milling 160 (1), 25 (Jan. 1977). With recent
use universally attractive. The properties of GOLD-N indicate changes in the steel-making process affecting most steel works
that it is a profitable commercial product for heavily irrigated in the United Kingdom, low phosphatic ores are now being
crops, grasses on parks, golf courses, etc., and land reclama used with the result that the slag produced, the so-called LD
tion. ICI is continuing to explore applications for GOLD-N. slag, is low-grade, containing only 2–4% P20s as compared
with 10-16% in the small proportion of high-grade slag still
143 United States Sulfur-Coated Urea Plant. Chem. Mark. being produced. There is, thus, a large reduction in the supply
Rep. 212 (16), 5, 37 (Oct. 17, 1977). Plans for the of high-grade basic slag and efforts have been made to produce
construction of a facility in Columbia, Alabama, for the a satisfactory substitute. One way of extending the use of the
production of sulfur-coated urea, a control-release N fertilizer, reduced quantity of basic slag available is to mix with it a
have been announced by Ag Industries Manufacturing Cor proportion of rock phosphate. To do this, and still retain the
poration (AIM). This will be the first such plant in the United essential desirable characteristics of high-grade basic slag,
States and only the second in the world. Construction of the requires that the proportions in which the two ingredients are
plants process equipment will begin after mid-October 1977, mixed are such that the P2 Os contribution from basic slag is
with plans for operations to begin in early 1978. dominant, and not that from rock phosphate. Super Slag is a

23
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

mixture of high-grade basic slag and rock phosphate having (756), 5 (Oct. 24, 1974). Mitsubishi Corporation and Nippon
16% total P2 Os of which about 70% is from basic slag. Carbide Industries Co. have been conducting examinations to
utilize a byproduct from dicyan diamide manufacture as a
148 Fisons Markets Monoammonium Phosphate as Inter fertilizer. The dicyan diamide is being manufactured at the
mediate. Eur. Chem. News 24 (597), 9 (Aug. 17, 1973). Fisons Uozu factory (Toyama Pref.) of Nippon Carbide. A 35,000
Fertilizer licensing manager says that Minifos monoammonium tons/yr plant will be constructed with completion scheduled
phosphate (MAP) will soon supplant merchant grade phos for next spring. The product, as a lime fertilizer, improves acid
phoric acid as a long haul intermediate for NPK fertilizers. soil. Latent demand for the product is expected to be large.
Already, MAP has made considerable inroads into the estab
lished phosphoric acid fertilizer trade and it is anticipated this 153 Leacaena Plant—Fertilizer Potential. Green Markets 1
will be responsible for the majority of movements by the end (33), 8 (Sept. 26, 1977). Scientists from the National
of the decade. At the moment Fisons is working on a Academy of Sciences says the tropical plant leacaena might
computer model which will take into consideration a number become a practical source of fertilizer in the tropics. Leacaena
of parameters such as freight costs, capacities, and distance. is a leguminous plant similar to soybeans and is able to fix
This should be completed by December 1973. The basis for nitrogen from the air and soil. Leacaena plants harvested in
the costing is taken as a 300,000 ton/yr plant producing Hawaii contain 40 lbs P, 170 lbs K/acre and other nutrients.
fertilizers with an NPK ratio of 27-27-0, equivalent to 84,000 Experiments show that if leacaena foliage is used as fertilizer,
ton/yr of imported P2Os. It is assumed that a phosphoric acid crops respond with yield increases approaching those effected
manufacturing unit is situated in a phosphate rock mining area by commercial fertilizer. The plant can only be grown in the
such as Florida and that the consumer plant is located at a tropics and at low elevations, so it is doubtful that it can be
port on the coast of India. used widely.

149 Sulfur Pellet Facility Planned for Canada. Chem. Mark. 154 Alcohol that Fertilizes. Chem. Week 121 (21), 18 (Nov.
Rep. 207 (14), 4 (Apr. 7, 1975). Canadian Occidental 23, 1977). A natural alcohol called “triacontanol,” is reported
Petroleum, Ltd., and its affiliate, Petrogas Processing, Ltd., to have increased crop yields an average of 12%. Triacontanol
plan to construct what is reported to be the first major S is extracted from alfalfa. A Michigan State University
pelletizing plant in Canada. The unit with a capacity of 300 researcher used the chopped plant to fertilize tomato plants
mt/day, will be installed at the Petrogas plant site at Balzac, and realized yield increases of more than 16 tons/acre over test
Alberta. Project engineering is currently at an advanced stage plots fertilized with commercial N fertilizers. Research to date
and, subject to equipment and material deliveries, the unit is indicates that the compound has three important properties: it
scheduled for completion by October 1975. The sulfur pellets acts at very low concentrations; the growth effect is very
are destined primarily for North American industrial chemical rapid; and it causes some plants to grow in the dark. Further
and fertilizer markets. The finished product is said to be tests will be conducted by American Cynamid before commer
completely dry and relatively dust free, with a bulk density of cialization is attempted.
70 pounds per cubic foot and ranging in size from two to six
millimeters in diameter. The product is reported particularly 155 New Phosphate Rock Deposits in Africa. Phosphorus
suited for bulk fertilizer blending or for direct application to Potassium No. 86, 17 (Nov.-Dec. 1976). The South African
the soil using conventional spreading equipment and methods. Council for Scientific and Industrial Research has reported
that marine phosphate and glauconite deposits have been
150 Sulfur Nuggets: Yet Another New Form of Formed discovered off the mouth of Kunene river on the border
Sulfur. Sulphur No. 126, 47-9 (Sept.-Oct. 1976). A novel between Angola and Namibia.
process-known as nuggetting—for the preparation of S has
been developed and patented by Liquid Terminals Inc. of 156 Phosphate Deposits Found in Angola. Eng. Min. J. 177
Corpus Christi, Texas. The most important characteristic of (6), 336 (June 1976). Marine phosphate and glauconite
formed S is its ability to resist dust formation during handling. deposits have been discovered off the mouth of the Kunene
Test indicate that nuggets are markedly less prone to dusting River on the border between Angola and South West Africa
than is slated S. By modifying process conditions, it is possible The deposits were found by a survey of the South African
to produce low-density nuggets which are particularly suitable Council for Scientific and Industrial Research and a marine
for remelting. The heart of the process consist of spray nozzle geology unit attached to the University of Cape Town.
which produces nuggets directly from an immersed position in
a water bath. The remainder of the process consists of 157 United States Company Studies Australian Phosphate
dewatering and conveying equipment. The standard commer Project. Chem. Week 116 (26), 13 (June 25, 1975). Inter
cial unit is capable of 85 tons/hr output. national Minerals & Chemical Corp. is studing the economic
feasibility of developing a major phosphate deposit in north
151 Japanese Firm Markets New Fertilizer. Jap. Chem. Week west Queensland, Australia. The deposit, about 70 miles
14 (664), 7 (Jan. 18, 1973). Asahi Chemical Industry Co. has northwest of Mt. Isa, is reported to contain huge reserves of
developed a pile-type fertilizer for the exclusive use for trees phosphorite, similar in nature and phosphate content to
and is to start full-fledged sales of the fertilizer under the trade Florida deposits. Development of the deposit will require vast
name, Green Pile, through Chisso-Asahi Fertilizer Co. Green investments for infrastructure, such as a railway and port
Pile is time- and labor-saving because of its pile-type. Its facilities.
fertilization effectiveness is that 7% N content oozes out in a
week and 50% in 20 days. 158 Brazil Finds Phosphate Reserves Chem. Age (London)
110 (2907), 8 (Apr. 4, 1975). Phosphate rock reserves
152 Japanese Make New Fertilizer. Jap. Chem. Week 15 totalling 350 million mt have been discovered at Patos in the

24
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

region of Minas Gerais in Brazil, and the government is 164 Columbia Studies Phosphate Mining Potential. Green
predicting that the development of these supplies should end Markets 1 (39), 3 (Nov. 7, 1977). Columbis is moving ahead
Brazil's dependence on phosphate rock imports by 1977. with studies designed to promote domestic phosphate mining.
Imports of phosphate rock have been leaning heavily on The Inter-American Development Bank recently granted
Brazil's balance of payments difficulties. The average phos Columbia's government mining enterprise, Ecominas, $1.7
phate content of the reserves now discovered is 15%, and a million to contract feasibility studies in the northern and
processing plant is to be built to produce a phosphate central parts of the country. The regions involved include
concentrate of 35% P20s content. The plant is expected to Boyaca and Northern Santander which contains 42% of
begin operation in about a yr with a capacity of 150,000 Columbia's total phosphate reserves. Other phosphate deposits
mt/yr, rising to 900,000 mt/yr by mid-1977 and to 1.8 million are located in the states of Tolima and Hila. Prefeasibility
mt/yr by 1980. Before this find was announced, forecasts of studies indicate that the internal rate of return on the project
Brazil's imports of phosphate rock indicated that these would would be about 26%. Estimated project costs is $60 million.
rise to 2.2 million mt by 1976. Currently the only commercial plants producing phosphate
materials are located at Cartegena where 75,000 mt of
159 Phosphate Deposit in Brazil. Chem. Mark. Rep. 210 (9), phosphate rock is processed annually.
7 (Aug. 30, 1976). New reserves of phosphate of at least 100
million tons are reported to have been located in the interior 165 Geology and Exploration of the Large Phosphate
of Brazil’s Minas Gerais state, according to a report of Vale do Deposit in Abu Tartur Plateau, the Libyan (Western) Desert,
Rio Doce. The state-owned company says preliminary research Egypt. M. H. Hermina and A. Wassaf (Geol. Surv. Egypt,
in the area has been started. A consortium of state and Federal Cairo, Egypt). Ann. Geol. Sury. Egypt 5, 87-93 (1975). CA 87,
government and private interests is expected to be formed to 4.2019. A phosphorite horizon of Egypt occurs in the Upper
develop the phosphate lands. Campanian-Lower Maestrichian Sediments. Proved reserves are
363 million tons; probable reserves 624 million tons con
160 Brazil to Begin Phosphate Production. Chem. Age taining P. Os 25%. Washing and flotation produced a concen
(London) 112 (2959), 10 (Apr. 2, 1976). The Brazilian trate of P. Os 31.1%, with ~ 85% recovery.
government is set to start production of phosphate concen
trate at its mining company Cia de Pesquisa de Recursos 166 Egyptian Phosphate Deposit Study. Eur. Chem. News
Minerais. The mine, at Minas Gerais, is estimated to hold 29 (754), 11 (Sept. 24, 1976). Alusuisse and Soc. Francaise
deposits of over 400 million mt of phosphate ore. Production pour l'Exploitation des Mines (Sofremines) have signed a FF38
from the plant will reach 150,000 mt/yr. million contract to survey a phosphate rock deposit at the Abu
Tartour oasis in Egypt. If exploitation proves economic, Egypt
161 Large Phosphate Find in Brazil. Chem. Age (London) envisages setting up a 7 million ton/yr mine.
115 (3024), 3 (July 1, 1977). Brazil has discovered a large
deposit of phosphate in the Anitapolis district of the State of 167 New Phosphate Discovery in Egypt. Eng. Min. J. 178
Santa Catarina. The deposit is said to be large enough to (12), 152 (Dec. 1977). Phosphate reserves of 1.5 billion tons
supply the states phosphate needs and contribute product to have been discovered in the Egyptian Qena governorate. The
the large fertilizer facilities in the neighboring state of Rio find was said to be more significant than that at Abu Tartour
Grande do Sul. in the New Valley. The Qena reserves have a P. Os content of
25.5%.
162 Phosphate Deposit in Canada. Wall St. J. (East Edition)
186 (33), 17 (Aug. 15, 1975). International Minerals & 168 Phosphate Rock Deposits in India. Eur. Chem. News 25
Chemical Corp. (Canada), a unit of International Minerals & (650), 6 (Aug. 23, 1974). More news is emerging from India
Chemical Corp., Chicago, said it discovered a deposit of on the extent of recent phosphate rock finds. The latest
phosphate-bearing rock in Cargill Township, in northern discovery is deposits of around 10 million tons of rock on the
Ontario, about 400 miles northwest of Toronto. The discovery Bormer-Jaisalmer border of Rajasthan. Another 1 million tons
is considered potentially significant, but sufficient data aren’t deposit of usable phosphate rock has been found near
yet available to determine tonnage, grade, or mining feasi Udaipur. Already being exploited are the Jhamarkota deposits
bility. If the deposit is eventually brought into production, it near Udaipur, where latest surveys have proved reserves
will be Canada's first phosphate mine. containing 10 million tons of high-grade and 25 million tons of
medium-grade rock.
163 International Minerals Confirms Canadian Phosphate
Discovery. Wall St. J. (East Edition) 187 (4), 8 (Jan. 7, 1976). 169 Indian Phosphate Rock. Phosphorus Potassium No. 89;
International Minerals & Chemical Corp. (Canada) Ltd., said 25-7 (May-June 1977). The mining of phosphate rock in India
that 152 drilling tests have confirmed its previously reported on a commercial scale is a fairly recent development in the
projection of phosphate-bearing minerals at its prospect in the nation's industrial history. Apart from a few thousand mt that
Cargill Township area of northern Ontario. However, the were unearthed in the eastern states, the superphosphate
company said that because the deposits found are substantially industry was entirely dependent on imported rock until 1969.
different from occurrences of phosphate found elsewhere in Three years previously an American geologist announced the
the world, the economic feasibility of mining and processing discovery of a phosphorite deposit near Birmania and, spurred
involves numerous separate but related problems which must on by this, the first such discovery in 80 years, the Geological
be solved before production decisions can be made. The Survey of India organized a series of surveys in the more
company declined to specify the amount or quality of the northern states. Since then the Birmania deposit has been
phosphate deposit beyond saying that it was substantial. The shown to be uneconomic, but three other main areas, the
site is about 400 miles northwest of Toronto. Udipar, Mussoorie, and Jhabua, have been found to contain

25
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

profitable reserves. making a bid to mine phosphates in Bayovar, Peru, where


reserves are estimated at 550 million mt. If feasibility and
170 Indigenous Rock Phosphate—Current Status and Future engineering studies prove satisfactory Mineroperu will own
Plans. I. G. Jhingram and R. Choudhuri (Rajasthan State 51% of the venture and INI will own the remainder. The
Minerals and Mines, Juipur, Rajasthan, India). Fert. News 22 project involves a capital investment of $300 million. INI
(12), 56-62 (Dec. 1977). The current status of proved and forecasts initial production to be 880,000 mt/yr of phosphate
probable reserves of indigenous rock phosphate quality and rock. The proposed complex will include upgrading facilities
commercial exploitation is discussed. These deposits includes for production of (mt/yr) 500,000 of sulfuric acid, 370,000 of
the areas of Rajasthan, Utter Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, West triple superphosphate, and 150,000 of diammonium phos.
Bengal, Bihar, Andhia Pradesh, and Tamil Nadu. The investiga phate.
tion indicates that the most important potential deposits exist
in three regions. These were the Udaipur/Jhabua in the 175 Phosphate Deposit Study in Saudi Arabia. Chem. Age
west–70 million mt, the Mussoorie in the north–20 million (London) 113 (2983), 16 (Sept. 17, 1976). Granges, the
mt, and the Puruha/Singhblum in the east–10 million mt. Swedish mining and metals group, has reached an agreement
Considering the techno-economic viability for the develop with Petromin, Saudi Arabia's state-owned petroleum agency.
ment of indivisual deposits, the Udaipur deposits justifiably Under the agreement, Granges will investigate a large phos.
offer a heavy investment for prolonged production. Future phate deposit in Northern Saudi Arabia. The reserves in the
production trends and prices for phosphate are also given. area are estimated at between 150 and 300 million mt of
phosphate ore. Upgrading methods have been tested at the
171 Phosphate Deposit Found for Mexico. Chem. Mkt. Rep. Granges mineral laboratory at Straassa in Sweden. These tests
206 (27), 3 (Dec. 30, 1974). The discovery of extensive show that a high quality concentrate can be produced from
deposits of phosphate rock in the Baja California peninsula the ores. Should the drilling tests and studies indicate that the
was disclosed last week by the Mexican government. Govern exploitation of the deposits is feasible then a joint mining
ment spokesmen estimate the deposit at around 3 billion tons. company will be formed on a 50:50 basis at an estimated cost
This would be enough to transform Mexico into an exporter of £250 million which will include the construction by
rather than an importer of phosphate rock by 1976. The Granges—of a railway, mine, and harbor. Granges will also be
country now imports an average of 2 million tons annually. responsible for phosphate production.

172 Phosphate Deposits in Norway. J. Flour Anim. Feed 176 The Prospects of Availability of Phosphate Rock from
Milling 160 (6), 27 (June 1977). Norsk Hydro has acquired the the Spanish Sahara. J. A. Alvarez Ercillan (Fosſatos de
right to mine the only known major phosphate deposit in Bu-Craa, Madrid, Spain). Proc., F.A.I. National Seminar World
Norway, but there is uncertainty over whether this source of Fert. Situation Seventies-Technical Economic Aspects Produc
fertilizer raw material will be mined in the near future. The tion Ammonia Based Heavy Fractions Petroleum Feedstocks,
deposit is at Kodal on the west side of the Osla fjord, and pp. II-3/1-11 (1973). New Delhi: Fertilizer Assn. India. The
consists of an estimated 12 million mt of raw phosphate mixed phosphate deposit of Bu-Craa located in the north of Spanish
with large deposits of iron ore. At present the company's Sahara is of the order of 1700 million mt. Two qualities of
fertilizer complexes at Porsgrunn and Glomfjord have to 75-80% of concentrated rock phosphate will be produced. The
import all phosphate from the USSR, Israel, Florida, and production is staggered in three stages. The rock is mined by a
Sweden. The reason for the uncertainty over commencing the strip mining method evolved after a considerable study of the
mining is the low phosphate content of the deposit (approxi existing experiences and through a pilot plant study. The
mately 17%). This is lower than most phosphate mines, but material is loaded into 100-mt bottom dump trucks carrying
could be offset by the relatively high iron ore content the mineral to the feed hopper of the crushing plant at the
(approximately 40%) if an economic use could be found for mine. The grain of less than 10 mm diameter go to the first
the ore. Exploitation of the deposit will also depend on intermediate stockpile at the mine and to the second inter
developments in world price availability of phosphate. Hydro mediate stockpile at the coast after travelling 100 km through
consumes 400,000 mt of phosphate annually, and if mined the desert. The transportation posed a problem and the company
site would cover the company’s requirements for 30 yr. decided on conveyor belt system—98,653.95 m long. From the
second intermediate stockpile the material moves into the
173 Peru to Begin Phosphate Rock Mining. Eng. Mining J. beneficiation plant. The beneficiation is carried out through a
175 (12), 30 (Dec. 1974). At Bayovar, near the coast in wet process using sea water. The concentrated material is
northern Peru, phosphate deposits contain 550 million mt of loaded from storage points into vessels at 4000 mtſhr. The
30.5% P., Os. These deposits were identified by drilling in two loading operation can be performed in three berths situated at
main mineralized areas 18 miles apart. In a first stage slated for the end of 3200-mt long pier. A power plant with a capacity
rapid completion, $20 million is being spent to begin of 56 MW to be raised to 96 MW in the third stage has been
production of 650,000 mt/yr of 30% P. Os with construction built to supply power to the overall complex and to bring
to begin right away. For the more ambitious Second stage, fresh water to the beneficiation plant. The mines were to
involving an investment of $170 million, Minero Peru has produce 1 million mt of rock during 1973–the startup yr—and
contracted for a feasibility study to be finished in July 1975. 3 million mt during 1974. The company planned production
By 1977, production is to begin at 2.5 million mt/yr of of 5 million mt in 1975, 6 million mt in 1976, 8 million mt in
phosphate rock concentrate with a fertilizer plant scheduled 1977, and 10 million mt during 1978-79 and onwards. The
for startup in 1979. Bu-Craa reserves are expected to last for 100 yr.
174 Spain and Peru Set Mining Plans. Green Markets 1 (45), 177 Georgia Phosphate. Stratigraphy and Economic Geology
2 (Dec. 19, 1977). The National Institute of Industry (INI) is of the Chatham County Deposit. J. W. Furlow (Georgia Dep.

26
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

Mines, Min. Geol., Atlanta Ga.). FLA. Geol. Surv. Spec. Publ. 55 (1), 34 (Jan. 17, 1977). Rich ancient deposits of phosphate
No. 17, 227-8 (1972). A study was conducted of the title have been discovered in northern Michigan by researchers from
subject to evaluate the deposit and potential hazards of mining the U.S. Geological Survey. Deposits of the mineral apatite are
operations to the fresh-water aquifer of the area. Volumetric located about 40 miles northwest of Marquette and contain
studies show that there is a minimum of 4,800,000,000 yds” about 15% phosphate, possible of minable grade. They are
of phosphate matrix containing an average of 22.5% BPL. A about 2 billion years old and appear to be the oldest and
conservative factor of 50% removal shows at least 800,000,000 richest sedimentary accumulations of phosphate in the U.S.
tons of 100% concentrate could be recovered for market. They indicate that phosphate did accumulate in large concen.
Evidence indicates that the phosphate horizon may extend trations that long ago and that other old deposits may deserve
continuously out to sea for at least 10 miles and probably further exploration.
beyond. The confining layer above the fresh-water artesian
aquifer is sufficiently thick and impermeable to allow removal 181 Phosphate Rock Deposit Announced in USSR. Chem.
of the phosphate ore zone, without significant salt water Age (London) 110 (2915), 7 (May 30, 1975). Reserves of
infiltration into the aquifer. phosphate rock totalling nearly 3 billion mt according to
preliminary estimates, have been discovered in a new deposit
178 Evaluation of Phosphate Resources in Southeastern in Eastern Siberia. It is said to be one of the world's largest
Idaho. J. D. Powell. Moscow, Idaho: Idaho Bureau Mines deposits of raw materials for the production of mineral
Geology. Information Circular No. 25; 33 pp. (Apr. 1974). fertilizers. A production complex is to be erected near the site,
Idaho's abundant phosphate reserves occur in the Phosphoria which will be able to process 60 million mt/yr of phosphate
Formation which is widely distributed over much of South rock, and will be one of the largest production units of its type
eastern Idaho. Previously published information has been in Europe.
combined with raw data collected from mining companies,
on-location measurements made in 1973, and projected 182 Russian Raw Materials Supply. Fert. Int., No. 56, 4
increased demands and costs to issue revised tonnage estimates (Feb. 1974). During 1972, Russian geologists prospected
of phosphate rock potentially and feasibly mineable in the mineral deposits containing more than 2,000,000 million m”
next 25-50 years. The figures presented conservatively indicate of natural gas, hundreds of million of tons of oil, 720 million
that * 450 million tons of ore-grade phosphate rock can be mt of iron ore, 260 million mt of phosphate rock, and 1660
mined before the year 2025, assuming only moderate increases million mt of potash salts. All these deposits are in the
in mining activity and market potential. With < 20% of total R.S.F.S.R., the largest of the Republics which constitute the
national production, Idaho annually ranks third or fourth U.S.S.R.
among the nation's phosphate producers. However, within ten
yr the production of eastern phosphates is expected to drop 183 Potash Exploration in Canada. Wall St. J. (East Edition)
considerably as reserves in Fla. and Tenn. are depleted. The 187 (49), 2 (Mar. 11, 1976). International Minerals &
Western Phosphate Field of Idaho, Mont., Wyo., and Utah Chemical Corp. said its International Minerals & Chemical
appears to contain about 70% of the nation's phosphate Corp. Canada subsidiary found potash in three of four test
reserves, and significantly, southeastern Idaho has ~ 80-90% holes drilled in the Salt Springs, New Brunswick, area. The
of the easily accessible reserves. With the great increase in drilling encompassed an area of about one and one-half square
demand for phosphate products, and the declining reserves in miles; the fourth hole was on the reriphery of the area. The
the east, Idaho phosphate production should increase steadily New Brunswick Department of Natural Resources found 51
in the foreseeable future provided realistic land management feet of potash in a test hole drilled in the same area in 1974.
practices are implemented. Although most of the land The potash found by the department averaged 31.6% K2O, a
containing mineable phosphate rock in Southeastern Idaho measure of the grade of potash, between depths of 1994 feet
belongs to the Federal Government, royalties from mining and 2055 feet.
operations provide direct payments to the State Treasury each
yr. These monies, along with those obtained from leases and 184 Canadian Company Plans New Mexico Potash Explora
eventual mining on State land, could provide millions of tion. Eng. Mining J. 174 (10), 149-50 (Oct. 1973). Promises
dollars in revenue over the next few decades. (55 ref) by Saskatchewan's government that it intends to implement
important changes in its potash prorationing system are
179 Draft Impact Statement on Idaho Phosphate Mining. apparently not enough to ease the frustration of Noranda
Ground Water Newsl. 5 (9), 2 (May 15, 1976). A regional Mines Ltd., whose 51%-owned subsidiary Central Canada
analysis covering potential operation on 145,000 acres in six Potash Co., Ltd. is currently prohibited from producing at a
Idaho counties has been drafted. Four operating surface mines sufficient rate to supply its own captive market. Noranda is
produced 6 million tons in 1975. If the proposed new mines seeking production elsewhere, and has turned to New Mexico
are opened, production could increase to as much as 20 as being the most fertile prospect. Via subsidiary Norandex,
million tons by the 1980's. By the end of the century the total Ltd., Noranda has acquired a 32,000-acre property in the
would rise to 282 million tons, or about 30% of the known Carlsbad area and plans a $300,000 exploration program this
reserves in southeastern Idaho. Idaho is the site of about 35% yr. If it is successful, Noranda will be assured of a ready supply
of total U.S. phosphate reserves. A lowering of overall water of at least 505,000 tons/yr K2O—the amount of the cutback
quality in the region and alternation of the land surface by pits ordered by the Saskatchewan government.
and dumps are two of the principal impacts listed in the
statement. Copies of the draft statement are available from the 185 Potash from Dead Sea. K. S. Chari (Fert. Assoc. India,
Interagency Task Force, Box 236, Pocatello, Idaho. New Delhi, India). Chem. Age India 28 (9), 788-90 (Sept.
1977). The historical perspective and future potash mining
180 Phosphate Rock Deposit in Michigan. Chem. Eng. News potential from the Dead Sea is discussed. The Dead Sea

27
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

contains chlorides and bromides of calcium, magnesium, reserves are roughly estimated at a minimum of 60 million mt.
sodium, and potassium. Total salts contained in the Sea are The deposit however, is located in a region vulnerable to
estimated to be 43,000 million mt of which 2000 million mt insurgents, and the main drawback would be the lack of
are potassium chloride. Israel has established a capacity to infrastructure.
produce 1-1.2 million mt/yr of potassium chloride and Jordan
is establishing a capacity for 1-1.5 million mt/yr. By 1981-82 191 Potash Deposit Found in United Kingdom. Eur. Chem.
it is expected that 2-2.5 million mt of potassium chloride News 23 (573), 7 (Mar. 2, 1973). The Cleveland potash mining
production capacity will be installed in the Dead Sea area. operation of Charter Consolidated and ICI in the UK has
reported intersection of a major potash-bearing seam. Commis.
186 Potash Deposits Discovered in Laos. Eng. Min. J. 176 Sioning operation will start in the spring and production will
(11), 270-1 (Nov. 1975). Potash deposits, possibly totaling 1 build up to design rates in 1974.
billion tons, were discovered accidentally by the recently
evicted US Agency for International Development. To date, 192 United Kingdom Potash Mining. Chem. Eng. News 51
three exploratory holes have been drilled on the Mekong River (30), 4 (July 30, 1973). Britain's sole potash mine is starting
flats north and east of Vientiane. The well nearest the up. The mine, jointly owned by Imperial Chemical Industries
city—just 11 km away—has uncovered high grade potash 3 to 5 and Charter Consolidated, will reach its full rate of output of
m thick at depths between 94 and 432 m below the surface. A million mt/yr before 1975. The deposits at Boulby, in north
drillhole 20 km to the east intersected two bands of potash Yorkshire, may be big enough to last 50 yr. Annual demand
between 108 and 310 m, along with three distinct zones of for potash in the U.K. is now running at about 750,000 mt.
potash clay. Two additional bands of the mineral were found 95% for fertilizers. (See FA 6,982)
in similar conditions further north. The next phase, slated for
completion this yr, involves drilling a total of 10 holes across
the 50-km-wide Vientiane plain. 193 Farmers Fertilizer Cooperative Explores for Potash.
Farmers Cooperatives 43 (3), 22 (June 1976). CF Industries,
187 Potash Deposits Found in Mexico. Phosphorus Potas Inc., is involved in a joint venture project that is exploring
sium No. 90; 18 (July-Aug. 1977). Potash deposits grading potential for obtaining potash in the Williston Basin in the
14% K2O have been discovered in a bed of 2-meter thickness northern regions of North Dakota and Montana. The project is
in the Tancamichapa Salt Dome, south of Coatzacoalcas, in being conducted under the auspices of Farmers Potash Co., a
Veracruz state. The Covsejo de Recursas Minerales of Mexico joint venture between CF Industries and Burlington Northern,
has announced that approximately 12 million mt of potash ore Inc., St. Paul Farmers Potash holds mineral leases for
has now been blocked out. Plans for commercial production in substantial acreages near Scobey, Montana, and in north
the area are now being made, and this is expected to remove western North Dakota. Core samples will be studied in the
Mexico's current dependence on imports which reached over months ahead to determine feasibility of mining potash salt;
67,000 mt. K2O in 1975-76. Full-scale production at the site deposits found in drillings that went as deep as 8000 feet.
would run at approximately 100,000 mt/yr of potassium
chloride. 194 Exploration for Sulfur Launched in Louisiana. Eng.
Min. J. 176 (1), 153 (Jan. 1975). Freeport Minerals, on the
188 Poland Plans Exploitation of Potash Deposits. Eur. strength of higher prices, has launched a new sulfur explora.
Chem. News 23 (587), 16 (June 8, 1973). Poland is currently tion program in Louisiana. The company will also conduct
working out plans for exploiting the potash salt deposits in the exploration on an offshore tract, Block 72, acquired in a
region of Puck Bay and expects to have finalized details of the Federal lease sale in 1969, as soon as a deepwater drilling rig
project by 1975. Poland currently imports all its potash can be obtained. The location in the Gulf of Mexico is 30
requirements. Some work has already started on the installa miles offshore and in 125 ft of water.
tion of platforms for underwater geological drilling in the bay.
Near to the potash deposits are large beds of rock salt and 195 U.S.S.R. Sulfur Deposit. Eur. Chem. News 23 (587), 16
although two salt mines are already operating in the south of (June 8, 1973). A new large deposit of S has been found in the
the country by 1980 these will be exhausted and a new mine south-east of Turkmenia in the U.S.S.R. At Guardak, also in
will be built. the south-east of Turkmenia, a S-mining combine has been in
operation for some years and at nearby Gissar and Kugitang
189 Potash Reserves in Thailand. Eur, Chem. News 27 (673), large deposits of S, potash, lime, and salt have been proven.
15 (Feb. 7, 1975). Thailand's National Mineral Resources is According to Pravda, the Guardak region is due for
asking for local and foreign bids for exploration concessions development and fertilizer units are being planned.
for potash in the northeast Samarn Buravas. So far 12
companies—local, foreign, and joint ventures—have shown an
interest, and several are willing to produce fertilizers as well as
exploiting the deposits.
LEGISLATION AND POLICY
190 Thailand Potash Deposits. J. Flour Anim. Feed Milling
157 (12), 29 (Dec. 1975). With the discovery in north-east
Thailand of the only commercial potash reserves in Asia
outside China–Thailand could be in a unique position to 196 Fertilizer Legislation. D. M. Mylonas. Rome, Italy:
capture a large portion of the Asian K fertilizer market. Asian Food Agr. Organization United Nations Soils Bull. 20; 135 pp.
K'fertilizer consumption is bound to increase—to Thailand's (1973). This is a guide for governments, institutions, and
benefit. The size of the deposit has not yet been assessed, but individuals responsible for the preparation of fertilizer laws

28
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

and regulations. Examples are given of basic fertilizer laws, Development Center; Bulletin Y-96, pp. 6-9 (July 1975). The
specifications of composition of fertilizers, official methods of most critical farm policy decision before Congress is whether
analysis for fertilizers, and a uniform state fertilizer bill. to decontrol natural gas. The biggest obstacle to decontrol and
Reports are given on 14 countries as representative of different development of an energy program is jurisdictional disputes in
legal and socio-economic systems and at different stages of the Congress. The interior committees have always had jurisdiction
development process. over natural resources. The commerce committees are responsi
ble for overseeing interstate movements of goods, including
197 Fertilizer Material Needs Backed by Senate Action. gas. The finance and ways and means committees are involved
Chem. Mkt. Rep. 205 (9), 41 (Mar. 4, 1974). The Senate voted when tax policies are concerned, including the depletion
unanimous approval of a resolution requesting all agencies of allowance. The appropriations committees are involved in
the government having any responsibilities for establishing Federal expeditures. With this tangle, the consensus in
priorities for the allocation of materials and facilities to give Washington is that there will be no decontrol of natural gas
the highest priorities to the fertilizer industry. While the prices this year and probably it will not come at all until the
resolution is only an expression of Senate Sentiment, and does private Sector begins reforms that will restore the trust of our
not have the force of law, it is expected to have a beneficial people.
effect for the fertilizer industry.
202 State Fertilizer Laws and Anhydrous Ammonia
198 Fertilizer Use Curbs Proposed in Senate. Chem. Mkt. Regulations—1973 Summary. Washington, D.C.: The Fertilizer
Rep. 206 (23), 51 (Dec. 2, 1974). Legislation has been Institute. 16 pp., (Sept. 1974). Fertilizers are state regulated
introduced in the Senate to help increase world food supplies products. Forty-eight states in the United States have laws
by cutting back on uses of fertilizer, for decorative and which establish procedures for registering products, licensing
ornamental growing purposes. The bill requires the Federal firms, labeling, and others. Alaska and Hawaii have no
government to cut its fertilizer for nonfood production fertilizer laws. This summary includes 24 major items under
purposes to not more than 10% of the average amount used in product registration, licensing, inspection fees, tonnage
the past 3 yr, and seeks to encourage state governments and reports, tolerances, industrial statistics, and per cent sales tax
private individuals to reduce the use of fertilizer for these with each state regulation. Also included are 10 important
purposes. The bill also directs the President to establish a items from anhydrous ammonia regulations. Each firm selling
commission to determine methods of increasing fertilizer fertilizer must be responsible for understanding and complying
production and using fertilizer more efficiently. with the requirements in each state in which it sells fertilizer.
The summary emphasizes the need for more uniform fertilizer
199 United State Senate Hearing on Fertilizer Shortage. laws and regulations.
Chem. Week 114 (8), 17 (Feb. 20, 1974). Hearings by the
Senate Agriculture Committee's Subcommittee on Agricultural 203 State Fertilizer Laws and Anhydrous Ammonia Regula
Credit and Rural Electrification are intended to define the real tions. Washington, D.C.: The Fertilizer Institute; 16 pp. (May
supply-demand relationship. Among those testifying before 1977). The laws governing fertilizer production and sales and
the subcommittee were: The Fertilizer Institute president, The anhydrous ammonia regulations are provided for each state. A
Cost of Living Council director, representatives of the Agri directory with the name and address of each State's Fertilizer
culture and Commerce Depts., and representatives of the Control Official is also included.
Federal Trade Commission. Representatives of Agrico
Chemical, Allied Chemical, W. R. Grace, and of farmers' 204 Saskatchewan to Take Over Potash Mines. Wall St. J.
cooperatives are also expected to appear. The subcommittee, (East Edition) 186 (96), 22 (Nov. 13, 1975). Saskatchewan
in addition to trying to establish the degree of fertilizer announced a plan to take over the assets of some or all of the
shortage, will delve into the relationships between dealers and 10 potash mines operating in the province. Under legislation to
manufacturers, the fuel requirements of the fertilizer industry, be introduced in about 10 days, a three-member arbitration
allegations of black markets in fertilizer materials, and panel would determine a fair price for the expropriated mines.
side-effects such as shortages of phosphates for animal feed. The legislation is expected to be passed soon. Decisions of the
panel could be appealed through the courts by either side. The
200 White House Fertilizer View. Farmland News 43 (5), 15 proposed panel would include one potash industry member, a
(Mar. 15, 1977). The U.S. President recently suggested that member nominated by the government, and a member
natural gas supplies could be shifted from ammonia produc appointed by the chief justice of a Saskatchewan provincial
tion to labor intensive industries affected by winter curtail court. Of the 12 mining concerns that have developed the
ments. This prompted a letter of caution from the National Saskatchewan potash reserves, seven are U.S. or U.S. con
Council of Farmer Cooperatives. The cooperative leader trolled. The Premier made it clear that the potash takeovers
emphasized there is no substitute for natural gas in the will be swift and sweeping. The legislation would provide
manufacture of anhydrous ammonia, the major source of control over the rate of potash production in Saskatchewan
nitrogen fertilizer. He said ammonia production consumes less and over the revenue flowing into the treasury as a result of
than 3% of natural gas supplies and use of commercial the production. The initial goal will be public ownership of at
fertilizer increases domestic food production by at least 30%. least half of the potash production capacity in the province. A
time frame of six to 18 months is viewed before all initial
201 Effect of Government Policy on Fertilizer Production, acquisitions are completed and expansion plans are in place.
Marketing, and Use. Lane Palmer. In TVA Fertilizer Con The provincial government further tightened its tax laws in
ference (held July 29-31, 1975, Louisville, Kentucky) Muscle 1975 with the effect, potash producers argue, that the federal
Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer and provincial governments could take up to 90 cents of each

29
MARKET DEVELOPMENT

$1 increase in potash prices. Industry people argue, through is urging Congress to exempt its feedstocks and farmers’ fuels
the Canadian Potash Producers Association, that potash from any fuel taxes aimed at cutting energy use if it expects a
mining concerns in Saskatchewan are subject to a total tax maximum of food production from the agriculture industry.
load exceeding 80% of pretax profits. Producers want the The president of the Fertilizer Institute is urging the House
reserves tax replaced with a levy based on their income. Agriculture Committee to intervene on the farmers' behalf in
the tax discussions going on between the Administration and
205 Fertilizer Control in Sri Lanka. J. Flour Anim. Feed the House Ways and Means Committee. The administration
Milling 160 (1), 26 (Jan. 1977). The Minister of Agriculture proposed natural gas excise tax of 37 cents/thousand ſt’, for
and Lands of Sri Lanka will shortly introduce legislation to instance, would add $2.16 million to the cost of ammonia
regulate the manufacture, mixing, and sale of fertilizer. production for nitrogen fertilizers.
According to the draft bill only registered dealers will be
permitted to sell fertilizer. This includes co-operatives and 210 Fertilizer Pollution Regulations. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 205
agricultural productivity centers. The Director of Agriculture, (14), 14 (Apr. 15, 1974). Effluent guidelines for fertilizer
who is to be appointed Competent Authority under this law, manufacturers were issued recently by Environmental Protec.
will issue all such permits. Firms or individuals putting out tion Agency (EPA). The fertilizer industry guidelines,
special fertilizer mixtures on the market will be required to published in the Federal Register April 8 to be effective June
obtain the prior approval of the Competent Authority. The 7, 1974, apply to existing sources and provide standards of
new law is expected to prevent undesirable fertilizer and the performance and pretreatment for new sources within the
sale of sub-grade mixtures to the unsuspecting cultivator. For phosphate, ammonia, urea, ammonium nitrate, and nitric acid
the present, only chemical fertilizer will come within the sub-categories of the industry. In the fertilizer guidelines, EPA
control of the new law. But it gives the Minister of Agriculture has proposed application of limitations and standards for users
and Lands power to bring any other man-made manure within of publicly-owned treatment workers. Comments will be
its orbit. received on this proposal until June 6, 1974.
206 New Fertilizer Regulations for United Kingdom. Milling 211 United States Phosphate Industry Threatened. Chem.
Feed Fert. 160 (11), 24 (Nov. 1977). New regulations to Mark. Rep. 209 (11), 7, 24 (Mar. 15, 1976). The fertilizer
control the sale of fertilizers have been recently presented to industry is concerned that amendments to the Clean Air Act
Parliament. The new regulations contain the descriptions, now being drafted by the Senate Public Works Committee may
definitions, compositional, and labeling requirements in lessen this nation’s ability to meet its phosphate needs from its
European Economic Community (EEC) Directive 76/116 own reserves and thereby become more dependent upon
which will enable a fertilizer which conforms with these foreign sources. The amendment seeks to preserve the existing
requirements to be called an “EEC Fertilizer” and be freely air quality in areas where little or no industry is already
traded through the EEC. The regulations will come into force located. It proposes to do this through a complicated
for “EEC Fertilizers” on January 1, 1978, and for others on classification system that would trigger curbs being placed on
June 1, 1978. The new regulations are designed to protect the further expansion of mines or plant sitings when an arbitrary
purchaser by setting minimum compositional standards for increment or range of any pollutant is reached. For certain
many fertilizers and by requiring more information to be given areas of Florida, North Carolina, Idaho, and Montana, it could
at the time of sale. mean that the phosphate reserves in those areas could never be
fully developed. This amendment could well make American
207 Fertilizer Fuel Allocation Increase Urged. Chem. Mkt. farmers dependent on foreign sources for phosphate fertilizer
Rep. 205 (8), 3, 18 (Feb. 25, 1974). Fertilizer manufacturers according to the president of the Fertilizer Institute.
may be granted the same priority status as agricultural
producers in meeting the industry’s needs for fuels—100% of 212 Heat's on Fertilizers. Chem. Week 114 (25), 21 Ǻ
current requirements under the oil allocation programs of the 19, 1974). Acute fertilizer shortages and growing farmer
Federal Energy Office. The Federal Energy Office is currently discontent are spurring calls for new political solutions. The
reviewing its regulations in this area as a result of mounting recent National Governors Conference at Seattle approved
complaints reaching the agency over the shortage of fertilizers. unanimously a fertilizer policy statement that calls for federal
grants or loans for new fertilizer plants, closer cooperation
208 Fertilizers Get Second Priority Under Gas Deregulation between federal and state agencies to assure fertilizer plants
Plan. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 207 (19) 3, 77 (May 12, 1975). The adequate gas supplies and an understandable national policy of
fertilizer industry will get a second priority claim on natural fertilizer allocation. Farmers are also uptight about the
gas production for use as feedstock in the production of N abandonment of selected markets by a number of companies.
under provisions of the gas deregulation bill (S 692) reported State officials are trying several approaches to minimize the
to the Senate last week. In so far as the fertilizer industry’s call effects of cutbacks. The chief executive officer of Phosphate
on available supplies of natural gas is concerned, the legislation Rock Export Assn. (Tampa, Fla.), told the TFI conference
mandates the industry to have second call on this gas just that U.S. phosphate supplies would begin to ease in the
behind the residential and small firm users. The bill also second-half of 1975 but the rock shortage will worsen.
requires the states to give the industry the number two
priority position on the interstate gas within 120 days or else
the Federal government will declare this gas to be in interstate
and subject to federal mandated priority. MARKETING ORGANIZATION

209 Fuel Exemption Urged for Fertilizer Industry. Chem.


Mkt. Rep. 207 (22), 22 (June 2, 1975). The fertilizer industry SALES ORGANIZATIONS

30
MARKETING ORGANIZATION

213 Fertilizer Middlemen: World Wide Marketers. Chem. national market and also permit expanded overseas trading. By
Mark. Rep. 208 (24), 11-14 (Dec. 15, 1975). Most of the means of this merger, it will be possible to rationalize
fertilizer exports from this country, which serve probably the production, coordinate the various plants, improve sales
largest single world chemical market, are handled by com networks, and cooperate with private firms. In the first step,
panies which own no production, storage, or transportation 70% of the capital is provided by REPESA, 15% by Calvo
facilities. Well over half of US fertilizer export business, Sotelo, and 15% by Ensidesa. The second phase will be
despite an enormous domestic fertilizer manufacturing indus completed when INI acquire 100% of the capital.
try, is conducted by international traders. These middlemen,
in function, are similar to the more recently emergent 218 Phosphate Producers Organize Export Organization.
domestic chemical distributor industry; their working Chem. Week 117 (5), 16 (July 30, 1975). Phosphate fertilizer
environment—the international marketplace—is considerably makers have set up the Phosphate Chemicals Export Associa
different, and their place in that environment is considerably tion (PHOSCHEM), a Webb-Pomerene Act association, to act
more advanced. International Commodities Export Company as the export sales agent for concentrated phosphate fertilizers
is the largest export marketing company in the country, produced by the members. The aim of the organization is to
accounting for something like 25% of US fertilizer exports. In promote international price and supply stability.
1975 with the greatly slowed international fertilizer market,
due in large part to the breakdown of contract relationships in 219 Agrico Becomes Third PhosChem Dropout. Chem.
recent years, the company expects an increase of nearly 50% Mark. Rep. 210 (6), 3, 28 (Aug. 9, 1976). Agrico Chemical
in income to a projected level of $200 million. The principal Company, a subsidiary of Williams Companies, has announced
service a firm such as this can offer is basic expertise; buyers that it will resign from the Phosphate Chemical Export
and sellers are brought together—though they may be 15,000 Association, making it the third company to resign from that
miles apart and are probably totally unknown to each other. organization since mid-June. A top executive for the company
said that Agrico's decision should not be interpreted as a
214 Company Formed to Ship Canadian Potash. Chem. Mkt. criticism of PhosChem, but was based on internal considera
Rep. 206 (3), 4 (July 15, 1974). Canpotex, Ltd., exclusive tions. Although Agrico refuses to discuss the reasons for its
overseas marketers of Saskatchewan potash, has formed a new resignation, other members of the fertilizer industry feel that
ocean freight and shipping brokerage company, called Can the company's growing overseas investments were central to its
potex Shipping Services, Ltd. The new Canadian company will decision. Agrico is seen as having a potential conflict of
be headquartered in West Vancouver, B.C., and will act as a interest, exporting phosphates on one hand, and selling them
freight and shipping broker and as a ship's agent. Canpotex through joint ventures in foreign countries on the other.
Shipping Services, Ltd., will handle ocean shipments of
Canadian potash and a full range of other exports and imports 220 CF Industries to Manage Farmers Chemical Association.
through its Vancouver office. Goldkist News 23 (7), 10 (Jan. 1973). Farmers Chemical
Association, Inc. and CF Industries, Inc. entered into an
215 Potash Producers Form Export Cartel. Eur. Chem. News agreement on Jan. 1, 1973, whereby CF Industries will assume
26 (667), 18 (Dec. 20-27, 1974). Europe's potash producers management of FCA which includes fertilizer manufacturing
have combined their efforts on a wider front. A new company, facilities at Tyner, Tenn., and Tunis, N.C. CF Industries, with
Kali Export, has been established under Austrian law in headquarters in Chicago, is a manufacturer and distributor of
Vienna and will now handle sales outside the EEC for a basic plant foods owned by 17 regional cooperatives in the
number of producers. The company will initially handle U.S. and one in Canada. The four owners of Farmers Chemical
around 1.5 million tons/yr of K2O, from production sites Association–FCX, Inc., Gold Kist, Inc., Southern States
ranging between the Congo, northern Europe, and the Dead Cooperative, Inc., and Tennessee Farmers Cooperative—are
Sea. Existing agencies and organizations working for producers also member-owners of CF Industries.
in markets outside the EEC will now be directly linked to Kali
Export. 221 Riverside Buys Cyanamid Farm Centers. Com. Appeal
(Memphis, Tenn.) No. 38, 47 (Feb. 7, 1973). Riverside
216 European Trading Company in Potash Market. Eur. Chemical Company, which sells farm supplies, announced
Chem. News 26 (665), 8 (Dec. 6, 1974). Potash and yesterday it has bought 22 farm service centers in Texas and
Continental, a new trading company based in the U.K. and Louisiana from American Cyanamid Company. The farm
Eire, hopes to secure 9% of the £35 million U.K. potash service centers consist primarily of bulk blend fertilizer plants
market, with supplies purchased in France, Spain, Israel, which sell custom-blended fertilizer to farmers. Included in the
U.S.S.R., and Canada. By next yr, the company hopes to have purchase were 17 plants in Texas and 5 in Louisiana. The
£5 million worth of potash business in Eire, aiming for 50% of plants will continue to be operated as fertilizer outlets
the market and supplying such companies as NET, Gouldings, However, at the same sites, other products will be offered,
Albatros, and Grassland Fertilizers. such as pesticides, seed, feed, and farm equipment.

217 New Spanish Fertilizer Firm. Chem. Age (London) 107 222 Fertilizer Company to Sell Stock Through Securities
(2819), 12 (July 27, 1973). The Minister of Industry, Senor Exchange Commission. Fert. Int. No. 48, 1 (June 1973). Beker
Lopez de Letona, has announced that a new state group has Industries, one of the major producers and sellers of diammo
been formed, called ENFERSA (Empresa Nacional de Fertil nium phosphate, is going public. It has filed a registration
izantes), which will group together all the fertilizer firms in statement with the U.S. and Securities Exchange Commission
whom INI have an interest. Sales are expected to be in the covering the proposed sale of 1.25 million shares of common
order of 5,000 million pesetas/yr, capital is 2,000 million pts stock. The preliminary prospectus shows, for the first time,
and personnel over 2,000. This group will handle 40% of the Beker Industries' financial performance, as well as its manufac

31
MARKETING ORGANIZATION

turing and marketing capabilities. Besides production of meet the strong demand for fused magnesium phosphate in
diammonium phosphate, Beker also makes and markets Brazil, Fertilizantes Mitsui S.A. will expand its fused magne.
sulfuric acid (660,456 tons in 1972) and phosphoric acid sium phosphate production capacity to 90,000 ton/yr by
(241,829 tons). The manufacturing diammonium phosphate autumn this yr. As a result, the company’s fertilizer produc.
units are at Taft, Louisiana, which has a capacity of 400,000 tion capacity will become 110,000 tons/yr mixed fertilizers,
tons/yr; at Marseilles, Illinois, which produces 190,000 s. 90,000 tons/yr fused magnesium phosphate, and 100,000
tons/yr; and Conda, Idaho, with a capacity of 350,000 s. tons/yr high- and low-analysis compound fertilizers, totaling
tons/yr. In presenting its preliminary prospectus, Beker indi 300,000 tons/yr by spring next yr.
cates that it has plans to expand the Taft operations by 70,000
s: tons/yr by the end of this yr at an estimated cost of about 226 Dutch-British Fertilizer Companies to Merge. Chem.
$1 million. Most of the sulfuric acid and phosphoric acid Week 112 (19), 29 (May 9, 1973). Agreement in principle has
produced by the company at its three fertilizer works is used been reached, joining Royal Dutch/Shell's U.K. fertilizer
in the manufacture of diammonium phosphate. company, Shellstar, with Unie Van Kunstmestfabrieken
(UVK), owned by DSM (60%), Akzo (16%), Shell (16%), and
223 Cooperatives Increase Sales. Bus. Week (2469), 54-64 Dutch steelmaker Hoogovens (8%). The combined company
(Feb. 7, 1977). Until recently, co-op growth has been one of would have a N capacity of 1.23 million ton/yr. Akzo and
the best-kept secrets in the U.S., largely because the co-ops Hoogovens would withdraw from the new firm, leaving DSM
maintain a low profile. In the first half of the 1970s, total with 75%, Shell the rest.
revenues of the farm co-ops ballooned from $25 billion to $57
billion, giving them one-third of the total market. The co-ops 227 French Fertilizer Companies to Merge. Chem. Age
have stepped up their second business-buying supplies in bulk (London) 112 (2959), 7 (Apr. 2, 1976). Enterprise Miniere et
and reselling them to farmers. In just the last decade, the Chimique (EMC) and Gardinier, the second and third largest
so-called supply co-ops have boosted their share of the $7 French fertilizer producers, have formed a cooperation alliance
billion retail fertilizer market to 42% from 30%; of the $3.3 to consolidate their positions in the French nitrogen fertilizer
billion farm petroleum market to 40% from 26%; and of the market. The arrangement should give Gardinier and EMC a
$2.5 billion retail market for agricultural chemicals to 40% 60% share of the French nitrogen fertilizer market. The
from 16%. More important for U.S. industry, the co-ops, with agreement is limited to nitrogen fertilizers, although there have
their stores constituting an assured market, are moving been reports that it could be extended to include phosphatic
aggressively into the manufacture of their supplies. They are and complex fertilizers. Potash materials are excluded, how
building fertilizer and pesticide plants, and running refineries. ever. The terms of the agreement mean that EMC will
And they are integrating backward even further-into the raw supply ammonia, possibly as much as 400 mt/day, to
materials for these enterprises. The most successful is CF Gardinier. This may lead to Gardinier cancelling its plans to
Industries Inc., the Chicago-based fertilizer co-op, which is build a 600,000 mt/yr ammonia plant in Western France.
owned by 19 regional co-ops having collective annual revenues
of more than $10 billion. 228 Fertilizer Merger in South Korea. Eur. Chem. News 23
(584), 10 (May 18, 1973). Two South Korean government.
owned fertilizer companies, Chungju Fertilizers and Honam
Fertilizer Co., have been consolidated into one company, the
Korea Integrated Chemical Co., according to reports from
MERGERS AND JOINT VENTURES Seoul. The merger gives the new company a total urea capacity
of 239,000 ton/yr.
229 Portugese Fertilizer Firms Combine. Chem. Age
224 Joint Fertilizer Venture To Be Set Up in Brazil. Jap. (London) 109 (2889), 14 (Nov. 29, 1974). A fertilizer concern
Chem. Week 16 (766), 3 (Jan. 2, 1975). Japanese and Brazilian of European dimensions is to be formed in Portugal by the
companies have signed protocols on joint-venture manufacture merger of the three companies Amoniaco Portugues, Soc
of fertilizers in Brazil. Under the protocols, Japan's Mitsui & Portuguesa de Petroquimica, and Nitratos de Portugal, with
Co. and Mitsui Toatsu Chemicals, Inc. and Brazil's Petroquisa the state to acquire a majority shareholding in the new joint
will set up a joint venture capitalized at Cr.S50 million. company. In order to obtain sufficient domestic supply of all
Ownership will be 60% by Petroquisa and 20% each by Mitsui main fertilizers and a considerable increase in export sales, an
& Co. and Mitsui Toatsu Chemicals. They will start manu investment of 5000 million escudos is foreseen for the
facturing 150,000 tons of ammonium phosphate annually by expansion of the country's fertilizer industry. A major project
mid-1976. will be in the Sines industrial zone, where Amoniaco Portugues
and Portuguesa de Petroquimica already have plans to build
225 Japan-Brazil Enter Joint Fertilizer Venture. Jap. Chem. capacities for 1500 mt/day of ammonia and 1000 mt/day of
Week 14 (679), 7 (May 3, 1973). Mitsui & Co. recently urea. The feedstock for the ammonia plant is to be obtained
clarified that a joint venture of Fertilizantes Mitsui S.A. from the Oporto oil refiery, whose capacity is in the course of
(Industria e Comercio), a subsidiary in Brazil of Mitsui & Co., expansion and the new Sines refinery is under construction.
and Cooperative Agricola De Cotia, a local agricultural Together with Nitratos de Portugal, the Amoniaco firm further
cooperative association, will be established in Sao Paulo, plans a Sines-based unit for 1250 mt/day of sulfuric acid and
Brazil, to produce high- and low-analysis compound fertilizers. plants for the production of phosphoric acid, monoammonium
A 100,000 tons/yr high- and low-analysis compound fertilizers phosphates, and complex fertilizers. Sulfuric acid, phosphoric
plant will be completed by spring next yr. The new joint acid, and monoammonium phosphate units are also
venture will be established when the plant starts operation. To programmed for the Sines site by the CUF group.

32
MARKETING ORGANIZATION

230 South African Fertilizer Companies to Merge. J. Flour their raw materials. Its aim is to develop, organize, and
Anim. Feed Milling 157 (11), 20 (Nov. 1975). The two coordinate commercial, managerial, and technical relations in
fertilizer giants, Fedmis and Triomf, are reported to be the above fields and in areas of fertilizer application. It will
negotiating conditions for a possible merger. In the discussions among other things, assist members in overcoming problems in
between the chairmen, the SA Ministers of Agriculture and of supply of production inputs, facilitate the exchange of Arab
Economic Affairs have been consulted. A partnership between and world technical, economic, and commercial information,
the two big companies is desirable, especially in view of the including data and statistics, publish periodicals, and organize
heavy capital expenditure to which both are committed. training programs. It will try to achieve the development of
the fertilizer industry in Arab countries in the light of world
231 Major Fertilizer Producers in Spain to Merge. Chem. Age technological progress by instituting technical and economic
(London) 106 (2813), 4 (June 15, 1973). It has been studies and helping members to obtain the latest techniques in
announced that UERT and Fertiberia are to merge. Fertiberia, fertilizer application.
one of the major Spanish fertilizer producers 50% owned by
Banco de Bilboa, will bring three principal production sites to 235 Organizational Change in National Fertilizer Corp. of
the merger; at Castelon de la Plana they have units producing Pakistan. Fert. Int., No. 53, 7 (Nov. 1973). As part of the
nitric acid and ammonium nitrate; at Huelva units making reorganization of public sector enterprises in Pakistan, control
urea, ammonia, and phosphoric acid; and at their facility in La of Pak-American Fertilizers Ltd. at Daudkhel is to be passed to
Coruna one producing ammonia. The UERT group operate 12 the National Fertilizer Corp. of Pakistan Ltd. Until the new
fertilizer facilities in Spain. organization is operational the West Pakistan Industrial
Development Corp. (WPIDC) will oversee its management. No
232 United States Chemical Company in Partnership With changes have taken place in the status of Pakistan's other
Irish Fertilizer Company. Chem. Mark. Rep. 209 (12), 3 (Mar. fertilizer manufacturers.
22, 1976). Agrico Chemical Company says it has signed a
letter of intent to buy 50% of Goulding Chemical Ltd., a 236 Mexican Fertilizer Group Formed. Eur. Chem. News 27
subsidiary of Doublin, Ireland's Fitzwilton Group. This invest (701), 4 (Sept. 5, 1975). A new consortium aimed at
ment will be Agrico's first in one of the Common Market coordinating the development of state-controlled sulfur and
countries, if the deal is consummated as planned. The fertilizer companies is taking shape in Mexico. The consor
contemplated arrangement would provide Goulding with a tium, Productos Basicos para Fertilizantes, will operate as a
partner basic in the production of phosphate rock and holding company with a majority stake in each of the six
phosphate fertilizers, assuring Goulding a supply of basic raw companies involved. The impetus for the plan has undoubtedly
materials to enhance its growth. Goulding has been engaged in been provided by the discovery of the Baja California
the manufacture and marketing of fertilizers in the Republic phosphate reserves.
of Ireland for over 100 yr.
237 Potash Institute Adopts Phosphate Program. Green
Markets 1 (26), 7, 8 (Aug. 8, 1977). United States phosphate
and potash producers will jointly promote both products
through the efforts of an expanded Potash Institute which will
TRADE ORGANIZATIONS now be known as the Potash/Phosphate Institute. The institute
will expand its current program to seek agronomic needs for
phosphate in much the same way as it presently does for
potash. Existing members of the institute include AMAX,
233 World Phosphates Alliance. Wall St. J. (East Edition) International Minerals and Chemicals, Cominco American,
188 (97), 19 (Nov. 16, 1976). Six countries that are large Duval Great Salt Lake Minerals and Chemicals, Mississippi
producers of phosphates decided to set up a joint organization Chemical, PCA Potash Co. of Canada, PCS, Texasgulf, and
in a bid to increase their control over fluctuations of the world U.S. Borax. New members include IMC's phosphate opera
market. Plans for the organization were approved by delegates tions, Agrico, Mobil, Occidental, Royster, Smith-Douglas,
from Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Togo, Senegal, and Jordan. Borden, and Texasgulf phosphates.
The organization would control the production and marketing
of the mineral and its derivatives, such as phosphoric acid and 238 Potash Marketing Pact Banned by European Economic
superphosphates. The conference was called to study joint Community Agency. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 203 (23), 5, 24 (June
steps to combat the current slump in the world market for 4, 1973). The Commission of the European Economic
phosphates, a basic raw material used in making fertilizers. Community has banned a cooperation agreement between
Another major reason was the U.S. decision to step up its West Europe's two largest producers of potash fertilizer
exports of phosphates, chiefly to Europe. The six nations because it is alleged to infringe EEC competition policy. The
control 80% of the world's phosphate reserves. Morocco alone, two companies are said to supply about 95% of the potash
with its control of the former Spanish Sahara, which Morocco market in France and Germany and some 55% of the market
acquired a yr ago, controls 70% of world deposits. in other EEC countries. Their main competitor is East
Germany. They are said to have coordinated their delivery and
234 Arab Federation of Chemical Fertilizer Producers. Fert. distribution networks with joint distributors in Holland and
Int. No. 84, 5 (June 1976). The Arab Federation of Chemical Italy, thus leading to a standardization of prices and sales
Fertilizer Producers has now been established in Kuwait. The conditions.
members of the Federation are 12 companies representing all
Arab nations engaged in the field of chemical fertilizers and

33
MARKETING ORGANIZATION

DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS private traders, while there are commercial banks who would
lend more to private trade. The possibility of obtaining capital
by launching a joint stock company is open in many countries.
Fertilizer wholesale companies some times seek capital from
239 Fertilizer Distribution Networks—Essential in Increasing foreign investors. The simplest way of meeting seasonal
Consumption. Fert. Int. No. 95, 12 (May 1977). In recent financing requirements is that the credit needed at the
years promotion of fertilizer consumption is dependent on the wholesale level be gradually transferred by the wholesale
availability of finance for distribution. This includes storage, distributors to the retailers and from them on to the farmers.
mixing plants, local warehouses, transport facilities, technical Cooperatives involved in fertilizer distribution receive finance
expertise, and operating capital. An adequate distribution from cooperative development bank. It is important for the
system must have stocks of fertilizer within easy reach of distribution systems to be able to accumulate some capital
farmers and the system must be such that credit is available to from its current operations.
the farmers over the period until the farmer receives payment
for the produce on which the fertilizer was used. The burden 242 A Survey of New Methods in the Distribution of Solid
of finance for investment in fertilizer distribution networks Fertilizers. O. Gronlie (Norsk Hydro A.S., Oslo, Norway).
usually falls on the government's own resources in local and Fertiliser Society (London) Proc. No. 159; 22 pp. (1976). The
foreign currency and on aid from multinational and bilateral relative advantages of three methods of distributing and
sources. There are a variety of examples of successful credit transporting fertilizers in industrial countries is discussed. The
systems based on differing agencies. In Kenya, for example, methods included: (1) bagged materials on pallets, shrink
60% of the credit for fertilizer sales is provided by private wrapped; (b) bulk material delivered to the farm; and (c) the
distributors who in general also have the advantage of buying use of disposable big-bags (IBC). Cost analysis revealed that
the farmers' produce. Similarly, the Federation of Coffee about £3/mt could be saved by adopting either of these
Growers in Colombia supply farmers with fertilizer on credit methods. Bulk transports combined with bagging facilities at
which is then recovered from coffee sales through the ports offer considerable savings when delivering fertilizers
Federation. The cooperative is strong enough to supplement from industrialized to developing countries. These savings
its own resources with borrowing from banks for which the accure mainly from the differences in wage levels and sea
Federation is accepted as guarantor. Whereas commercial freight costs due to shorter time used for loading and
banks have been reluctant to lend to small-scale agriculture it discharging ships. It is anticipated that future ports in
seems that providing credit through the cooperative or other developing countries will be equipped with simple but effec
agency that markets the crop could be a way of overcoming tive bagging facilities.
the risk which is such an obstacle to the commercial banks.
243 Model Systems for Marketing and Distributing Fertili
240 Need for Ouantitative Approach to Fertilizer Distri zers in Developing Countries. Washington, D.C.: World Bank
bution. H. K. Lakshman, R. S. Periaswamy, and B. Reconstruction and Development Unit, F-5-175; 22 pp. (Nov.
Madangopal. Fert. News (India) 20 (2), 3-5 (Feb. 1975). The 1975). Evaluations are made of existing fertilizer marketing
quantity of fertilizers handled in India each yr is increasing. and distribution systems to identify constraints limiting
With new fertilizer plants slated to go into production, a fertilizer use in developing countries. This report summarizes
rational approach to fertilizer distribution would have to be the factors examined and outlines several model distribution
evolved to meet the twin objectives of serving all areas systems to resolve specific problems. The proposed models
equitably and at the same time minimizing transportation were assessed and the results support the view that infra
costs. Application of linear programming model to such a structural investment costs will be at least equal to the
problem would be useful. An approach to linear programming investment cost of primary production. An overall example of
technique for fertilizer distribution from domestic manu the procedures followed is illustrated by a case studied by the
facturing units is presented. The underlying principle of the World Bank in Orissa, India.
model is to meet Statewise allocation for N and P from various
manufacturing units in such a way that the transportation cost 244 A Fertilizer Distribution System. T. T. Thomas. Fert.
is kept at a minimum subject to marketing and policy News (India) 22 (5), 3-8 (May 1977). The 1976 FAI-FAO
constraints. The model could also be used with appropriate seminar on marketing unveiled the need to develop a distribu
modifications to determine the distribution pattern for Pool tion system capable of reaching all areas of India. A model
fertilizers taking each port as a supply point. which emphasized the need of reaching distant areas was
presented at the seminar by Fertilizers and Chemicals Travan
241 Financing Fertilizer Distribution and Use: An Inter core Ltd.
national Overview. J. C. Abbott (FAO United Nations, Rome,
Italy). In FAI-FAO Seminar Strategy Stimulating Fertilizer 245 Farm Service Centers for India. Green Markets 1 (20), 3
Consumption 1976 Proc. (held New Delhi, India, Dec. 9-11, (June 27, 1977). Fertilizer marketing and distribution
1976.) New Delhi, India. Fert. Association India V-1||-| | methods used in India are becoming similar to those in the
(Mar. 1977). Basic sources of financing available to fertilizer U.S. Development of farm service centers are being tried in
distributing firms and cooperatives are original capital of the Haryana by the Indian Farmers' Fertilizer Cooperative, the
owner or shareholders, other financial resources and savings of largest fertilizer manufacturing cooperative in Asia. One center
the enterprise, and loans from banks or outside financing has already been started and, based on its success, the
agencies. Distribution organizations might need loans of 3-10 cooperative is planning to open two more. The centers provide
yr duration for suitable investment in storage and transport a full range of agricultural products and Services, including
facilities and of 3 yr or more for working capital. In some fertilizer application advice and arrangement of credit from
cases Government banks are reluctant to finance operations of cooperatives and commercial banks.

34
MARKETING ORGANIZATION

246 South Africa's Phosphate Distribution. J. Flour Anim. crop sector and the other the plantation crop sector. The
Feed Milling 160 (5), 27 (May 1977). South Africa's future importance of increasing food production is undeniable, since
competitive position in the world market for phosphate rock over 80% of the population depend on agriculture for their
and derivatives depends to a large extent on the future price livelihood, two-thirds of agricultural production being destined
levels for the various phosphatic products in this market. Of for export. It seems likely that changes in the present pattern
the major suppliers only Morocco and the Spanish Sahara are of fertilizer consumption will be implemented by the end of
expected to play increasing roles in the phosphate rock export this decade. The distribution of a variety of blends currently
trade. There is little doubt that Morocco will emerge as the produced may not be an optimum method for increasing
world leader in the phosphate rock export trade. The agricultural production in Sri Lanka as the detailed pedological
low-grade, hard ore immediately puts Foskor at a sizable surveys required for exact prescription are not available.
disadvantage opposite most other producers. In terms of Financial participation in the projects by India indicates a
transport to final destination, South Africa has a great likelihood that surplus production will be absorbed by this
disadvantage compared with North Africa. Phalaborwa is more market.
than 1000 km by rail from Richards Bay, and so much further
from Europe than the North African producers with its ocean 249 The Tunisian Fertilizer Distribution System. Structural
freight distance adding greatly to the cost. and Policy Considerations. D. L. Good and J. W. Hammond.
St. Paul University, Minnesota: Economic Development
247 Fertilizer Distribution in the Arab Republic of Egypt. Center. Dept. Agric. Applied Economics Bull. No. 2; 90 pp.
E.D.H. Ahmed and M.G.A. Dahab (Inst. Natl. Planning, Cairo, (Oct. 1975). A study was conducted to examine the charac
Egypt). Paris, France: Organ. Econ. Coop. Develop.; 117 pp. teristics of fertilizer use, pricing, and the distribution system in
(1972). Distribution of plant nutrients in the U.A.R. is a Tunisia. A number of programs and activities have stimulated
Government monopoly, centrally controlled by the Agri fertilizer use and increased the demand for fertilizers. In
cultural Credit Organization (A.C.O.). This public agency has creased fertilizer consumption is constrained by: (1) high
the exclusive franchise for the purchase of all locally-produced prices, (2) lack of farmer know-how in using fertilizer, (3) lack
fertilizers and all imports made by other public bodies. The of farmer conviction of importance of use, (4) lack of
total national supply is then regionally allocated by the A.C.O. promotion of use, (5) inefficient distribution system, (6)
by arrangement with the Ministry of Agriculture and stocks limited credit, and (7) climatic factors. Data for the report was
are shipped to the various governorates and their individual drawn from government documents and an in-country survey.
quotas made according to cropping patterns in each region. In
each village, there is a co-operative which distributes to each 250 Availability of Fertilizers—Can it be Extended and Made
farmer an amount corresponding to the data on his “farm More Reliable Without Increasing Costs? F. J. Heredia. Chem.
holding card”. This card identifies the location of the farm, its Age India 27 (13), 153-60 (Annual 1976). This study
size, and the crop rotation pattern prescribed for it—these examines in detail the scope of extending the coverage and the
being the basis of the fertilizer quota. There is no voluntary reliability of the fertilizer distribution machinery, as an
demand for fertilizer consumption as the farmer is obliged to essential ingredient of the efforts needed for attaining national
use the prescribed NPK rates. The distribution pyramid stands targets of fertilizer consumptions and agricultural producti
on a base consisting of 4000 co-operative retail outlets. Above vity. This is examined with particular reference to urea and
the village level, there are 415 stores which receive shipments advocates that, if the manufacturers undertake direct respon
from 52 major modern warehouses. These A.C.O. stores sell to sibility for distribution, it is possible to realize this without
co-operatives as well as directly to farmers. An essential increasing the costs. At the present controlled selling prices,
feature of Egyptian fertilizer distribution is that, from the distribution costs are already eating into the fertilizer manu
national supply level all the way down to immediately before facturer's margins. Greater promotional activity will inevitably
the retailing stage, the system is highly centralized. Credit to increase these costs still further. A model distribution system,
finance input fertilizer purchases is not a problem in the based on a differential seasonal prices list, shows that with
U.A.R. because the A.C.O. is primarily an agricultural credit proper management of the distribution function it should be
disbursing agency. Over 90% of fertilizers are distributed on possible for the manufacturer to absorb all these increases
credit, free of interest charges. Fertilizer prices are controlled without damage to his margins.
at each stage of the distribution chain. Prices charged by the
producer, wholesaler (A.C.O.), and retailer (co-operatives) are 251 A Look at Fertilizer Distribution. N. L. Hargett (TVA,
rigidly supervised. No direct subsidies exist, although in National Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals,
essence, an indirect subsidy scheme operates through the Alabama) and L. G. Sills. Farm Chem. 141 (2), 58, 60, 63-4
Fertilizer Price Stabilization Fund. Implementation of a (Feb. 1978). The results of a survey on United States fertilizer
uniform price policy throughout the country is facilitated by distribution is given for fiscal yr 1976. The study was
the centralization of fertilizer distribution in one national conducted by the Association of American Plant Control
organization. Officials and the TVA. Statistics reported include tables of the
number and types of plants on a regional basis, the distribu
248 Fertilizer Distribution in Sri Lanka. Fert. Int. No. 95, tion of materials by class, regional distribution of bulk blend,
11 (May 1977). The Government of Sri Lanka has organized a granulation and fluid mix plants.
bilateral pilot project with West Germany to improve fertilizer
distribution. The West German team has made surveys on the 252 Efficiency and Impact of Various Fertilizer Supply
construction of fertilizer storage and has organized the Systems on Production in the Punjab. P. L. Sankhayan, D. S.
building of a 20,000-mt fertilizer store to distribute fertilizer Sidhu, and P. S. Rangi (Punjab Agr. Univ. Ludhiana, India).
to several districts on the island. The present fertilizer Indian J. Agr. Econ. 28 (4), 77-84 (Oct.-Dec. 1973). A study
distribution system serves two principal areas, one the food was made to compare the suitability of the cooperative and

35
MARKETING ORGANIZATION

private trade in distributing fertilizer in the Punjab area of (1977). This directory provides the names and addresses of
India. The distribution costs per q of different fertilizers were companies in each country along with the various types of
worked out for each system. Distribution costs were defined as fertilizer products produced. A listing is also included of major
the difference between the price at the source and the price international trading organizations; national purchasing organi
paid by the farmer. The distribution cost ranged from Rs zations, and export suppliers of raw materials and fertilizeſ
3-10.5/q for cooperative agency. For the private trade, intermediates.
distribution cost ranged from Rs 3-20/q. The superiority of
one system over the other regarding agricultural production at 255 Directory of Fertilizer Production Facilities: Part II
the farmers' level could not be established. It is suggested that Asia. Vienna, Austria: United Nations Industrial Development
the cooperative system may achieve better social justice Organization. ITD. 272; 109 pp. (Apr. 10, 1973). This
without adversely affecting the agricultural production. directory is one of a series designed to provide concise and
factual information in the field of fertilizer production
253 Economies of Size and Plant Utilization in Distribution facilities of the various regions of the world. Data by country
of Anhydrous Ammonia Fertilizer. D. G. Anderson, J. L. for subregions of East Asia and South Asia are given. It gives
Jorgensen, and D. C. Nelson (Univ. Nebraska, Lincoln). the present and projected fertilizer demand and production;
Lincoln, Nebraska: Agr. Exp. Sta. Univ. Nebraska, SB 530; 37 existing production facilities; and projects being implemented
pp. (Dec. 1973). A delivery system of pickup truck-drawn or in the planning stage. It also contains information on the
nurse tanks was analyzed to determine the effect of plant size, availability and production of fertilizer raw materials and fuels
annual volume, sales density, and number of pickup trucks and and other relevant data. (Part I dealing with Africa was issued
nurse tanks upon costs per ton. Engineering and statistical as ID/44 in 1970.)
cost-finding methods were employed. Small retail plants
(26,000 gallons storage capacity), operating in an area where 256 Information Sources on the Fertilizer Industry. New
the use density was 20 tons NH3/square mile had average total York, New York: United Nations Industrial Development
costs of $10.76/ton compared to $9.35 for plants with Organization; 96 pp. (1976). Price $4.00. This publication lists
capacity of 52,000 gallons. Plants of 78,000 gallons capacity the names and addresses of trade and research organizations
had slightly higher costs of $9.94/ton. Average total costs of which provide statistics, marketing, and other types of
retail plants with 26,000 gallons capacity operating in an area economic data on the fertilizer industry.
having a use density of 20 tons/square mile were $8.49/ton
less when operated at 100% capacity than at 50% capacity 257 Directory of Fertilizer Plants in the United States.
Reducing delivery truck and nurse tank numbers made low Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National
plant volumes much less inefficient. The pickup truck delivery Fertilizer Development Center, Bull. Y-87; 247 pp. (Jan.
system for transporting NH3 from storage plant to farmer was 1975). Questionnaires were distributed in early 1974 to
more efficient for the 26,000-gallon plant operating in a use registered fertilizer manufacturers. A total of 6587 question
density of 30 tons/square mile. Variable delivery costs naires was returned which represents approximately 70% of
increased as the market territory was expanded. More total reported fertilizer distribution in FY 1974. The directory
important, truck delivery costs increased more rapidly for the includes a breakdown by type of plant: dry bulk blend, liquid
larger plants than for the smaller ones. Anhydrous ammonia mix, suspension, and granulation. Other information includes
use density affected average costs because truck operating the manager and/or owner's name, storage capacity, and
costs increased with miles traveled and because more trucks auxiliary services offered such as supplying micronutrients,
were needed to deliver a given volume. Average costs for pesticides, seed fertilizer mixtures, spreader rental, and custom
78,000-gallon plants in areas with annual consumption of 30 application.
tons/square mile were $2.04/ton less than in areas with
consumption of 10 tons/square mile. The 26,000-gallon 258 Directory of Fertilizer Plants in the United States. N. L.
capacity plant had average costs which were $0.54/ton less in Hargett, L. G. Sills, and R. H. Wehrmann. Muscle Shoals, Ala.:
the 30-ton/square-mile density area than in the 10-ton density TVA, National Fertilizer Development Center, Bull. Y-114;
area. Cost efficiencies associated with high levels of utilization 287 pp. (June 1977). Price $4.00. This second edition (for
of relatively large plants suggest that fewer, better utilized first edition see FA 8, 923, May 1975) was compiled from
plants of greater capacity might reduce the cost of NH3 to questionnaires distributed in late 1976 and early 1977. A total
Nebraska farmers. Potential cost savings are dependent on of 7150 fertilizer manufacturers is shown. This list includes
several other factors, however. These include: (1) Future dry and fluid blenders, granulators, and some retail outlets.
growth in farm demand, (2) The effects of reduced plant The listing further includes a breakdown by type of plant; dry
numbers on competition, (3) The mobility of resources, and bulk blend, liquid mix, suspension, and granulation. Informa
(4) The future role of storage plants and nurse tank delivery tion relative to the managers and or owners name, storage
distribution from anhydrous ammonia manufacturing centers. capacity, auxiliary services and a listing of the Association of
American Plant Food Control Officials, its member agencies,
and national state fertilizer industry associations are also given.
259 Fertilizer Marketing-Abstracts. Muscle Shoals, Ala.:
DIRECTORIES Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development
Center, Bull. Y-59, 150 pp. (June 1973), price $5.00.
Regardless of the stage of market development in a country,
new ideas are always useful. This has been the principle
254 World Directory of Fertilizer Products. London, objective in selecting the abstracts for this publication. These
England: British Sulphur Corp. Ltd., 4th Edition; I 19 pp. ideas were originally published in a large number of journals

36
MARKETING ORGANIZATION:

and special publications from all over the world and all have and Czechoslovakia each with 9%, France 7%, Federal
also been published in Fertilizer Abstracts since 1968. There Republic of Germany 5%, and Netherlands 3%. Forty-six
are 919 abstracts in this special collection on fertilizer percent of the total output of abstracts was published in
marketing. A broad definition of marketing was used as a English, followed by 13% for Russian, 9% for French, and 8%
guide in selecting the abstracts for this publication. Thus, the for Czech. Twenty-nine title services and 45 abstract services
abstracts are divided into nine categories with two to six used computerized data processing methods.
subdivisions in each category. The categories are: market
analysis (114 abstracts), market development (75), marketing
organization (60), storage and transportation (113), pricing
and costs (82), training and promotion (31), retail services STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION
(49), world trade (124), and supply and demand (271).
260 Farm Chemicals Handbook 1978. Willoughby, Ohio: HANDLING AND STORAGE
Meister Publ. Co.; 610 pp.; $25.00 (1977). The 64th edition of
this handbook contains basic data for market research analysis 263 Are You Handling Ammonia Safely? Farm Chem. 137
of both fertilizers and pesticides. Major sections are the plant (10), 54-6 (Oct. 1974). A photo story prepared by the
food dictionary, which provides physical and chemical infor fertilizer division of the National Safety Council on how to
mation along with brand and common names for primary, handle ammonia safely is presented. Three top priority
secondary, and micronutrients; specifications for application accident prevention rules in handling anhydrous ammonia are:
equipment by brand name; a pesticide dictionary with cross (l) keep the uninitiated away from the immediate work and
references to brand and common name for discontinued the rig, (2) review the procedure, and (3) check equipment. A
commercial, and experimental pesticides; a list of commercial checklist of equipment to receive daily inspection and
suppliers for equipment and technical chemicals; and the constant observation is given.
addresses for farm chemical manufacturers.
264 Ammonia Handling Rules. Chem. Mark. Rep. 210 (1), 5,
261 Farm Chemicals Handbook 1973. Editor, W. L. Berg 20 (July 5, 1976). Industry concensus safety standards remain
(Farm Chemicals, Willoughby, Ohio). Willoughby, Ohio: the most effective means for regulation of handling and
Meister Publishing Co.; approximately 440 pp. (1973) Price storage of anhydrous ammonia in agriculture, according to a
S 17.50. This handbook is an up-to-date reference for the farm spokesman for The Fertilizer Institute. The concensus process
chemical industry today. It is divided into five main Sections: of setting standards involves, by definition, all concerned
(l) Dictionary of Plant Foods—over 450 difinitions of fertil parties. To date, no government body ... has devised a better
izer substances with fertilizer trade names and product procedure for developing a safety standard. The industry
descriptions cross referenced by company are given. A representative stressed that Federal regulations are not needed
complete guide to micronutrients with manufacture trade because of state efforts to adopt and enforce concensus
name, and product descriptions is included. (2) Application standards and conduct safety training and educational pro
Equipment Guide – this is a new section in the handbook. It grams for using anhydrous ammonia in agriculture. The
gives specifications on fertilizer application equipment and a concensus standard now in use in many states is a direct result
section is devoted to photographs of new equipment offered of joint efforts between producers, user groups, and safety
for 1973. (3) Pesticide Dictionary pesticides available com organizations under the auspices of the American National
mercially in the U.S. and around the world are given with Standards Institute.
trade names, common names, and chemical names cross
referenced whereever possible. Names of basic producers are 265 Handling, Storage Problems at Agrico Eased With
listed under each pesticide. (4) Buyer's Guide sources of Chemical Warehouse. Chem. Process. 39 (7), 100-1 (July
chemicals, equipment, services, and supplied required by farm 1976). High efficiency in the storage and handling of granular
chemical manufacturers are given. (5) Addresses of Farm urea has been achieved at Agrico Chemical Company with a
Chemicals Manufacturers an alphabetical list of farm chemical 77,000 square foot warehouse that was recently added to the
manufacturers and suppliers is given. firm's existing ammonia production facility in Blytheville,
Arkansas. The efficiency can be attributed to the type of
262 Survey of the World Agricultural Documentation. P. J. material used in the construction of the building and to the
Boyle and H. Buntrock. Aldringen, Luxembourg: Food Agr. material handling system which includes approximately 5000
Organization Documentation Centre. FAO/DC/AGRIS 6; 219 ft of conveyors, a 30,000 ton capacity storage building, a
pp. (Nov. 1973). Available from Commission of the European screening tower completely equipped with screening systems,
Communities D.G. XIII 29, rue Aldringen, Luxembourg, Price weighing units, delumpers reclaim equipment, a loading shelter
B. Fr. 300. Results are presented of a world survey of with loadout systems to trucks and railroad cars, and
Secondary documentation services in the fields of agriculture, conveying systems for barge loading at the Mississippi river
fisheries, food science and technology, and related subjects. loading docks.
Statistical and descriptive data, mostly relating to the yr 1971,
are given for 124 title and 230 abstract services operating in 41 266 Packaging. K. A. Wadia. Seventh F.A.I. Training Course
countries and having a total annual output of 632,000 title for Fertilizer Marketing Personnal, Bangalore, Sept. 18.30,
citations and 1,137,000 abstracts. Output of title citations by 1972, pp. 1-7. F.A.I. Abstr. Serv. 11, 2741. The main
country was highest for the U.S. with 34% of the total, considerations for selecting a suitable packaging material are
followed by France with 17%, U.K. 9%. Netherlands 7%, and tensile strength, resistance to chemicals, impermeability to
Federal Republic of Germany with 6%. For abstracts, output moisture, weight and size of the container, shelf life, ease in
was highest for U.S. with 35% of the total, U.S.S.R. 12%, U.K. filling, availability at economic price, and resale value. Hygro

37
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

scopic fertilizers are generally packed in alkathene lined project urea handling facilities are being constructed to handle
bitumenized jute bags, polyethylene laminated jute bags, or the plants rated output of 1600 ton/day of prilled urea. These
PVC bags. However, high density polythene (HDP) bags are facilities, with a rail loading rate of 400 ton/day and a barge
found to be superior and cheaper than the polythene when loading rate of 200 ton/hr, are now in the engineering stages.
used for 50 kg packing. Currently, the 50 kg bag is the The new plant will have a capacity for storing 40,000 mt of
standard packing. The cost of 50 kg 71.5 kg and 100 kg urea in bulk, and 8000 mt in bags.
packings ranges between Rs. 50 to Rs. 65/ton. There is a
possibility of using smaller size of bags like 25 kg in the future 271 Bulk Handling of Fertilizers Solves Distribution Prob
for easy handling. lems. A. Buchner and K. H. Ullrich. Eur Chem. News
(Supplement) pp. 36, 38, 40, 45, (Oct. 18, 1974). The
267 High-Capacity Reusable Bags for Low-Cost Fertilizer technical and labor-saving advantages which bulk handling of
Packaging. Phosphorus Potassium No. 77, 45 (May-June fertilizers offers the farmer and the final distributor have
1975). Pertwee Landforce Ltd., Colchester, Essex, England, facilitated the rapid introduction of this system into German
has introduced a new packaging system for one-ton lots of agriculture. In the sixties, just over 10% of total fertilizer
fertilizer. Large, square woven polypropylene bags have deliveries were handled using bulk techniques. Today this
safety-belt webbing stitched at the top so as to form four proportion is 33-35%. It is expected that in the next 4-5 yr
loops. A fork lift or crane can lift the bag by these loops, thus that 50% of German farmers will use this method. Poor
eliminating a need for pallets. The bag has a safety factor of distribution of the material by the disc poses problems, but
4-5 times the wt of the design load. The bags are filled from this is also true of bagged fertilizers. There are indications that
the top and can be emptied from the bottom in 30 sec. The these difficulties will be overcome by the introduction of
bags have a life of at least 10 trips and simplify storage and special spreaders. The efficiency of bulk handling methods is
distribution. The company has registered the bags under the so great that larger farms (over 20 ha) are adopting them to an
trademark of “mini BULK’’. ever-increasing extent. Certain modifications in operational
procedure can be expected as well as further developments in
268 New Simple Equipment for Bagging Fertilizer in spreading equipment. The bulk handling of fertilizers is a
Developing Countries. Fert. Int., No. 64, l l (Oct. 1974). Bulk process that is tailored to the special structure and conditions
shipment of fertilizers from industrial to developing countries in German agriculture.
has been on the increase in recent years. This method gives
cheaper and faster transit and terminal handling by modern 272 India Installs Unloading Bulk Fertilizer Equipment.
bulk carriers. However, lack of suitable bulk terminals having Chem. Eng. World (India) 11 (4), 53-5 (Apr. 1976). India is
facilities to unload, store, and bag material has limited the importing raw materials in bulk for fertilizer production such
increase in bulk shipments. One way to start bulk shipments as rock phosphate and muriate of potash. Because of the
where no facilities exist is to discharge material into big nonavailability of facilities for fast and continuous discharging
lighters, using, for instance, obsolescent ships which have been at the Indian ports, huge amount of foreign exchange is lost by
stripped down. Bagging could be done on shore or on board way of demurrage, not earning despatch money and lower turn
the lighters. Based on practical experience in bulk shipments around of ships. To eliminate these problems the Government
to India, a company has developed simple equipment—a of India has decided to install rapid discharging continuous
bagging spout to bag fertilizers. The fertilizers to be bagged are unloaders at all leading ports of India. The first such unit has
measured by vol. The fixed vol is filled from a small overhead been installed at Kandla port. The highlights of marine
hopper. When this vol is full, a bag is placed underneath the unloaders are based on the features and operating principles of
spout and a handle is lifted. The valve at the top closes the Kandla installation. The guaranteed peak unloading capa
whereas the one at the bottom opens which lets the measured city of the marine unloader is 500 tons/hr on dry and
quantity into the bag. Then the handle is pushed down closing free-flowing treated muriate of potash of bulk density 1.035
the bottom valve and opening the top one. Five bags can be tons/m" with discharger leg fully immersed from bulk carriers
filled per minute. The fixed vol can be changed to cater to of 10,000 to 24,000 DWT. This continuous stream unloading
different bulk gravities. The bagger can be adapted to different element has proven its merits specifically with rock phosphate
levels of mechanization. and many other bulk commodities of free flowing nature
producing overall higher unloading performance. The advan
269 Fertilizer Bagging Equipment to Korea. Jpn. Chem. tages are high continuous rate of unloading coupled with lower
Week 16 (774), 1 (Feb. 27, 1975). Domain Kabushiki Kaisha, cost per ton of material unloaded, and lower cost per ton for
a Tokyo-based subsidiary of Domain Industries, Inc. of upkeep, repair, and maintenance of the dust free operation
Wisconsin, United States has won an order for 13 lines of eliminating environment problems, since the conveying ele
bagging equipment for fertilizer from Fluor Engineers and ments are enclosed in a casing.
Constructors, Inc. of Los Angeles for installation in South
Korea. The bagging equipment on order is capable of bagging 273 Contract Let for Automatic Unloaders on Urea Barges.
up to 4800 mt of fertilizerſday, and each line is made up of a Am. Shipper 18 (3), 23 (Mar. 1976). Crowley Maritime
surge hopper, a weighing machine, and bag-closing machines, Corporation of San Francisco has awarded a contract for 20
composed of a heat sealer and a sewing machine, and Vibra Screw bin activators to automatically discharge prilled
conveyors. urea from two barges which will operate between Cook Inlet,
Alaska and Portland. This is believed to be the first time that
270 Urea Handling Project for Bangledesh. Nitrogen No. prilled urea will be discharged automatically from vessels. The
108; 22-3 (July-Aug. 1977). In approximately 2 yr time material is brittle, hygroscopic, and extremely difficult to
construction work should be completed on the 272,000 ton/yr handle in ordinary circumstances. The motion of the ocean
N ammonia project at Ashuganj, Bangledesh. As part of this voyage and the moisture absorbed compound the problem.

38
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

The urea fractionates and cakes become as hard as concrete. In 278 Italian Phosphoric Acid Terminal. Eur. Chem. News 25
the past it has often been necessary to dynamite the caked (619), 10 (Jan. 18, 1974). Following the commissioning in
material or cut it up with chain saws in order to discharge it. October 1973 of four tanks for the storage of phosphoric acid
Automatic handling has been impossible. Ten bin activators at its terminal at Trieste in Italy, the firm of Alder SpA is to
will be installed on each barge. They will be removable and put two further tanks into operation in March of this yr. The
when not in use to discharge the urea, they will be stored on terminal is being used for receiving shipments of up to 3000
the vessels to provide additional cargo space. Installing the ton of phosphoric acid in tankers from Tunisia and Spain. Part
units or removing them will take approximately 10 minutes of the available capacity is under long-term contract to Chemi
per bin activator. Each barge is 400 ft long, 80 ft wide and 65 Linz of Austria. The Chemapol organization of Czechoslovakia
ft high. The Vibra Screw bin activator is a vibrated bin bottom also receives a proportion of its phosphoric acid via this
which replaces the converging bottom of a static bin, thus terminal.
removing the compaction area which is the major source of
flow problems. 279 Morocco's New Phosphate Port. Eng. Min. J. 178 (1),
150 (Jan. 1977). A new phosphate port will be built by
274 Phosphate Rock Processing. Phosphorus Potassium No. Morocco at Jorf Lasfar, on the Atlantic coast near El Jadida.
79, 40-1 (Sept.-Oct. 1975). Large slurry handling systems are Work on a generating station to supply the necessary elec
now in use for storing and reclaiming phosphate ore by tricity is due to start this year. Jorf Lasfar (formerly Cape
International Minerals and Chemical Corp. in Florida. The Blanc) is to start operating by 1979. It will be expanded by
systems are capable of handling more than 10 million tons/yr 1990 to become Morocco's second largest port on the
of washed phosphate flotation plant feed and provide a Atlantic, after Casablanca. Phosphates from the region near
continuous slurry flow at a controlled solids content (~40%). Dukkala will be exported from the new port. Casablanca and
There has been considerable interest in the long distance slurry Safi together can now handle 30 million ton/yr of phosphate,
transport of mined phosphate rock where rail construction export 1.5 million ton/yr of phosphoric acid, and import 1.5
costs would be prohibitive. The concept could find wider use million ton/yr of sulfur-capacity that will be insufficient by
in the phosphate industry. 1979-80. The port at Jorf Lasfar should be able to handle 20
million ton/yr of phosphates in the first phase, 25 million tons
275 Reinforced Plastic Tanks Comings Into Own in Liquid in the second phase, and 50 million ton/yr later, if necessary.
Fertilizer Industry. Fert. Solutions 20 (5), 70, 72-3 (Sept.-Oct.
1976). The latest production trend figures point to continued 280 Poland Builds Fertilizer Port. Eur, Chem. News 26
and rapid growth of liquids in the fertilizer industry. Corrosion (664), 18 (Nov. 29, 1974). Construction has started in Poland
has been a chronic problem in the storage of these products. on a new large-scale fertilizer raw material port at Swinoujscie,
The proven corrosion-resisant qualities and low maintenance near Szczecin. By 1976-77, Swinoujscie, which is near the East
costs of the reinforced plastic type of tank seem to be catching German border, will be capable of handling 1.8 million tons of
on and should contribute substantially toward providing a phosphorites and apatites, imported chiefly from the Soviet
cost-effective means of improving fertilizer manufacturing Union and North Africa. This will subsequently be expanded
operations. A wide variety of accessories and fittings is to a handling capacity of 3.2 million tons. When the second
available for the fiberglass reinforced plastic tanks. stage is completed, covered storage facilities will be
commissioned as well as wagon-loading facilities. East
276 Stainless Steel Transports Now Tailor-Made for Fertili Germany is interested in importing a substantial part of the
zer Industry. Fert. Solutions 19 (6), 58-60, 62 (Nov.-Dec. fertilizer raw material brought into Swinoujscie.
1975). The growth of the fertilizer industry and the increased
use of suspensions and phosphoric acid in the industry 281 Pneumatic Transport for Russian Apatite. Phosphorus
demanded new technology in transporting these materials. One Potassium No. 86, 16 (Nov.-Dec. 1976). An experimental
of the first manufacturers to fill the gap between what the pneumatic transport system for apatite concentrate from the
makeshift carriers did not offer and what the dealers needed Kola combine is under construction at the port of Murmansk,
was the Heil Co. of Milwaukee, Wisconsin. They custom build intended eventually to replace the existing belt transporter
trailers for transporting the liquids. The liquid tankers include system. The great advantage that the new development holds
such features as stainless steel structure; no internal corners, over the old belt transproter is its speed of operation;
braces, or voids to retain residue; high pressure (up to 25 psi) apatite-carriers with a cargo capacity of 22,000 mt normally
agitation and discharge system; and 36 in. drop in the bottom take 20 hr to load but this could be reduced to 10 hr using the
of the tank. The capacity of its’ latest design (super jet-25) pneumatic system.
ranges from 950 to 1585 cubic ft. Ten loads per 3 hr can be
handled on a five mile run according to the manufacturer. 282 Sulfuric Acid Terminal for Spain. Eur, Chem. News 25
(630), 11 (Apr. 5, 1974). Terminales Portuarias SA of
277 Development of Ports in India. K. Sivaraj (Ministry Barcelona, part of the Petrofrance group, has commissioned a
Shipping Transport, New Delhi, India). Fert. News 18 (12), sulfuric acid terminal in the freeport area of Barcelona port.
26-8 (Dec. 1973). Development programs of major Indian The facilities will comprise ten tanks each of 1000 tons
ports under various 5-yr plans are given with changes that have capacity and a throughput of 100,000 tons/yr is expected. It is
taken place in the types of cargo handled by them in the claimed that this is the first sulfuric acid terminal in Spain.
post-war years. The vol of traffic handled in 1972-73 and the The terminal will initially serve domestic demand but it could
types of cargo for which fully mechanized facilities exist or later serve material moving to the north European area.
have been planned in the major ports are presented. Port
facilities that have been or are now being developed for 283 Fison's New Ouayside Development at Immingham.
handling fertilizers and fertilizer raw materials are discussed. Sulfur No. 121, 33-5 (Nov.-Dec. 1975). A £1.5 million

39
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

development for handling of nearly 1 million mt of import and recommend 60% of sales volume as a reasonable ratio of
export at Fison's Immingham Dock Fertilizer Complex was storage; others recommend a minimum of 3 to 4 weeks supply.
officially inaugurated in October 1975. The new development, Storage of more products and better use of transportation are
which includes the lengthening of the quay and the installation some of the good results of the fertilizer shortage. Even
of new loading, unloading, conveying and storage facilities, though the supply-demand situation seems to be easing the
will greatly improve the efficiency of operation at the wise dealer will continue to add to his storage facilities.
Complex, especially in the handling of raw material inputs to
the plants. 290 Good Storage Makes Good Sense. Farm Chem. 138 (3),
56-8, 60 (Mar. 1975). Year-round shipment of products to
284 New Terminal for United States. Pit Quarry 66 (11), 28 bulk blenders, liquid mixers, and dealers has been a target for
(May 1974). The completion in 1974 of a new loading producers for years. The supply squeeze has shown a need for
terminal at Tampa, Fla. will increase capacity for shipping additional storage by the distributors. The blender/mixers are
phosphate from the Gulf area. Two 22,500 long tons rushing to add storage for additional product which is a buffer
self-unloading barges equipped with Parascrew unloading against uncertainty of delivery. Most mixer-blenders agree that
system will be used in this hauling. they are better able to serve their customers with extra
product on hand.
285 Distribution Terminal for United States. Phosphorus
Potassium No. 80, 16 (Nov.-Dec. 1975). The Agricultural 291 Trends in Storage, Handling, and Transport. F. D. Lyon
Chemicals Division of W. R. Grace & Co. recently announced (CF Industries Inc.). In TVA Fertilizer Conference (held July
that it will be opening a $2.5 million fertilizer distribution 27-8, 1976, Cincinnati, Ohio). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee
terminal in Greenville, Ohio. It is part of Grace's extensive Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center:
program to expand production and distribution of key Bulletin Y-106; pp. 37-42 (July 1976). The definable trends
fertilizer materials, including triple superphosphate, diammo that appear to be present are: (1) increased use of pipelines to
nium phosphate, bagged ammonium phosphates, and bagged move ammonia and UAN solutions, (2) increased barging of
mixed fertilizers. The terminal will improve distribution for fertilizer materials, (3) ocean-going barges are expected to
dealers and large buyers in the surrounding areas of Ohio, increase in size and will use the more efficient “push-towing”
Indiana, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, and will also custom concept, (4) railroads will continue to lose business to water
blend fertilizers to meet the specific requirements of farmers and truck, (5) there will be larger private fleets of hopper and
in the immediate area. tank cars, (6) increased storage in fertilizer consuming areas,
and (7) larger shipping and receiving capacities at plants and
286 United States Ammonia Terminal. Chem. Age (London) terminals. Other trends which are not definable at this time
113 (2977-7), 4 (Aug. 6-13, 1976). A 100,000 ton ammonia are: (1) the solid pipeline concept, (2) conveyor systems for
storage terminal is planned near Donaldsonville, Louisiana, to the movement of dry fertilizer over long distances, (3)
handle imported and domestic product under long term movement of potash by pipeline in a slurry form, (4) federal
contracts possibly totalling 500,000 ton/yr. J. B. Allison & and state regulations on the movement of fertilizers, and (5)
Associates of Dallas are conducting the feasibility and plant increased fuel taxes on barge lines.
surveys.
292 Fertilizer Storage. Nitrogen No. 106, 41 (Mar.-Apr.
287 Construction Begins on Soviet Ammonia Port. Fur. 1977). It has recently been announced that a new additive has
Chem. Newy 27 (703), 16 (Sept. 19, 1975). Construction has been developed for concrete which will greatly improve its
started on a large new gas port with a liquid ammonia resistance to corrosion under the conditions found in bulk
transhipment complex at Ventsplis Latvia, in the Soviet fertilizer storage. The development, by Norsk Hydro's
Union. The complex will include Storage tanks, pipelines, a Research Center and AS Norcem, a Norwegian cement
trestle bridge to discharge ammonia from tanks, compressors, producer, increases both the corrosion resistance and strength
pumps, and berths for gas carriers. Work has begun on the first of the concrete. At present, it is common practice to protect
of two 33,000-ton liquid ammonia storage tanks, and the first concrete against corrosive attack by fertilizers by coating it
stage of the complex will be put into operation early in 1977 with, for example, epoxy or asphalt. However, these are
when loading of ammonia into tankers will begin. A fertilizer expensive to apply and maintain and can be easily damaged,
plant will also be built near the port. leaving the underlying concrete open to attack. So far, test
work has been confined mainly to combatting the corrosion of
288 World Maritime Anhydrous Ammonia Terminals. P. L. concrete by nitrates. This phenomenon has been observed in
Louis. ISMA, Paris, France, A/F/77/96; 16 pp. (June 15, many fertilizer stores and is assumed to result from the
1977). World ammonia terminals are given for 46 countries. reaction of nitrates present in the fertilizer with calcium
Under each country, the company is given with its location, hydroxide in the concrete. The additive is now on sale under
present capacity, planned expansion, and limitations in feet. the name “Norcem TS” and has a definite economic advantage
when compared with the cost of applying a coating material to
289 NPK: Fertilizer in the Bin is Worth Two Cars on the the concrete. It is recommended that the additive be used in
Way. Farm Chem. 138 (6), 16-17 (June 1975). For years basic the proportion of about 20% of the weight of the cement. This
producers have been encouraging their customers to put in produces the required resistance to nitrate attack and will also
addtional storage so that they could take more of their raw increase the strength by 30-100% depending on factors such as
material needs during the off season. Then came the shortages the composition of the cement itself and the rate of hardening.
and dealers learned that fertilizer in the bin is worth two cars
on the way. There have been substantial additions to storage 293 Ammonia Storage: Safety Warning From TF1 and
facilities in the market place and on the farm. Some dealers NFSA. Nitrogen No. 105, 36 (Jan.-Feb. 1977). The Fertilizer

40
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

Institute (TFI) and the U.S. National Fertilizer Solutions ships.


Association (NFSA) recently issued a warning to their respec
tive membership of basic fertilizer producers, manufacturers, 297 Ammonia Storage Being Constructed in United States
distributors, retail dealers, and fertilizer equipment manu Port. Am. Shipper 18 (9), 37 (Sept. 1976). The Royster
facturers and distributors, and to fertilizer industry trade Company of Norfolk will build a multi-million dollar storage
associations and state fertilizer control officials all over the tank and truck-rail loading facility in Tampa, Florida. Con
United States. It concerns the risk of corrosion in storage struction will begin soon on the tank which will hold
installations for anhydrous ammonia and draws particular anhydrous ammonia to be shipped to a phosphate plant in
attention to the matter of third party liability in the event of nearby Mulberry, Florida. The ammonia will be shipped into
accidents or leakages resulting from such corrosion. It has Tampa in liquid form from several sources, including Vene
become apparent that where the ammonia contains additives zuela, Trinidad, and New Orleans and will be used in
(other than water), corrosion can occur in the valves and producing fertilizer. The Royster facility will be constructed
gauges on nurse and storage tanks as a result of electrolytic on 17 acres of the Hookers Point section of the port of Tampa
action involving dissimilar metals. This is particularly severe in and is scheduled to be completed by late 1977. The new
gauges containing aluminium parts. Liquid ammonia is, of complex will have a storage capacity of 35,000 mt and will be
course, a polar protic solvent akin to water in its dielectric able to unload ships at a rate of 1250 tons/hr.
behavior, so it is of little real surprise to learn that it can act as
a medium for electrolytic corrosion in the same way as water. 298 Ammonia Storage Under Construction. Farm Chem.
The TFI/NFSA warning recommends an immediate and 139 (3), 94 (Mar. 1976). Gulf Central Storage and Terminal
thorough check of all valves, gauges, and rubber componenets Co. is constructing two 30,000-ton capacity refrigerated
in ammonia storage installations where additives have been storage tanks for anhydrous ammonia, one each at Aurora,
used and regular systematic inspections even where they have Nebraska and Crawfordsville, Indiana. These will be the second
In Ot. tanks in each location and will bring Gulf Central's storage
capacity to 270,000 tons in 9 tanks at strategic points along
294 Ammonia Storage Facilities for India. Eur. Chem. News the Gulf Central Pipeline, the 1880-mile system that transports
23 (576), 10 (Mar. 23, 1973). Uhde has been awarded a ammonia from producing areas on the Gulf Coast to Missouri,
contract for the design and construction of a low temperature Iowa, Nebraska, Illinois, and Indiana. Additional laterals are
ammonia storage plant. The work is part of a project by FACT being constructed this yr to serve new ammonia plants under
Engineering and Design Organization of Cochin, India, to construction in Louisiana.
increase FACT's fertilizer capacity, based on imported
ammonia. The source of the ammonia is still uncertain but 299 Soviet Union Awards Contract for Ammonia Storage.
Iraq is the most likely contender. Uhde will install one storage Eur, Chem. News 26 (649), 10 (Aug. 16, 1974). The Soviet
tank with a capacity of 10,000 tons and one with a capacity of Union has placed another contract in connection with the
5000 tons of ammonia at low temperatures. Also included in large ammonia complex planned for Togliattigrad on the Volga
the work will be the installation of the refrigeration plants, near Kuibyshev. Its import agency Techmashimport signed a
ship unloading facilities for 700 ton/hr, road tanker loading F100 million order with the French company Construction
and unloading facilities, and a transfer pumping station. Metalliques de Provence (CMP) for the installation of ammonia
storage, refrigeration, and loading facilities. The storage
295 Ammonia Storage and Handling at Kalol. C. P. Mathur capacity will be 60,000 tons and the nominal loading rate will
and P. Mittal. Fert. News (India) 20 (6), 33-6 (June, 1975). be about 600 tons/hr. CMP expects to complete work on the
IFFCO has built an ammonia plant of 910 ton/day capacity. facilities towards the end of 1977. If this schedule is met, the
After meeting the ammonia requirements of the urea plant, Soviet Union will have its ammonia storage operational ahead
about 65,000 ton/yr of ammonia will be despatched from of the four 1360 tons/day ammonia plants which Chemico is
Kalol to various destinations. An atmospheric storage tank of engineering at the same site (FA 7, 1630). These are due
10,000 mt capacity together with a refrigeration system and on-stream at the end of 1978. The storage and loading
flare stack have been provided. Loading pumps and loading equipment will serve both rail tank cars and pipeline facilities.
stations to achieve a loading rate of 150 mtſhr have been Part, though not necessarily all, of the ammonia leaving the
installed. To transport ammonia in such large quantities site will be transported to Odessa and Ventspils, on the Black
specially designed rail tank cars of 32 mt pay load have been Sea and Baltic Coast respectively, where Occidental is to build
purchased. import-export terminals for superphosphoric acid and
ammonia.
296 Fisons Ammonia Storage Facilities. Eur. Chem. News 24
(597), 10 (Aug. 17, 1973). Fisons has been granted planning 300 Ammonia Storage Expansion. Chem. Age (London) 114
permission for the second phase of its ammonia storage (3023), 4 (June 24, 1977). A 420,000 mt increase in
terminal at Avonmouth near Bristol. The scheduled comple anhydrous ammonia storage capacity is expected during the
tion date for the project is the latter half of 1974, when the next 2 yr, amounting to a 16.5% increase in world capacity,
capacity will have been doubled to a total of 32,000 tons of which should reach 2.5 million mt. A restricted circulation
liquid ammonia. The total cost of the work is expected to be survey of ISMA is understood to show three terminal additions
in the vicinity of $2 million and will include outloading bringing total capacity in the U.S. to 729,450 mt. In addition
facilities to road, rail, and sea. To facilitate the movement of to Western Europe, large installations are being built in Brazil,
the ammonia, Fisons has contracted to hire fourteen 90 ton Iran, Mexico, Qatar, and the USSR.
ammonia railway wagons on a long-term basis. The reason for
the expansion in storage capacity is to enable Fisons to draw 301 Storage and Handling of Urea. H. L. Balay (TVA,
ammonia from any part of the world in economically-sized National Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals,

41
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

Alabama). In Fla. Fert. Lime Conf. (held Orlando, Florida, control system has a paramount importance for the smooth
May 13, 1976). Gainesville, Florida. Univ. Fla.; pp. 22-33 and efficient functioning of a sound storage policy and in
(May 1977). Urea, properly used, is an excellent fertilizer. maintaining an equity between input, output, and distribution
Agronomic problems exist, but they can be overcome by using The structural relationship between the input and output
well-known techniques. The prospect of increased quantities performances can be obtained for such inputs like seed, water
of urea pleases many farmers who prefer this source of fertilizer, pesticides, farm machinery, and others. The suitable
nitrogen. There are some who, because of agronomic limita stochastic models can be framed for estimating either the
tions, will not accept urea. There is little question that demand of different material inputs or the content of the
economics, safety, and storability favor urea. Usually the storage at any time and the optimal order quantity depending
farmer who buys a blend is only interested in top agronomic on the storage and distribution costs. The input of the system
performance at the lowest cost, and only specifies a given ratio is the constant required inventory level. The demand is
without regard to the ingredients. This allows blenders to considered a normal variate with the estimable mean. The
choose the most economical nitrogen source, and an increasing order quantity is the decision factor. The quantity ordered of
number are choosing urea Most problems with urea have a the supply made at the beginning of a discrete period is
practical solution. The major objective now is to convince the assumed to be delivered during that period itself. The total
user that the problems can be overcome and to teach him how. cost is taken as the sum of the inventory carrying cost plus the
storage cost, the set-up cost being assumed as negligible. The
302 Bulk Fertilizer Storage Problems. J. Flour Anim. Feed size of the demand at any time is taken as the random variable
Milling 160 (3), 24 (Mar. 1977). Savings of around £3/mt and a linear stochastic model is assumed. The order quantity
could be made by switching to new methods of solid fertilizer (or the inputs) may be estimated also from the demand by
distribution according to a representative of Norsk Hydro. assuming a linear process. The mean and variance of the
Considerable advantages and savings could be derived from estimated demand are worked out, assuming that demand
shipping to developing countries in bulk. Deliveries in bulk to occurs intermittently at regular intervals. An optimal order
the farm offer the most promising prospects for increasing quantity is dependent on the cost of inventory storage and
distributional efficiency. A lot of effort has to be put in to handlings. Assuming a prior knowledge of the capacity of the
make these attractive to farmers. Storage problems are the storage, the content of the storage at any time ‘t’ can be
main handicap in this sphere, since the construction of bulk estimated from the relation Zt = Zt - 1 + Xt - Yt where,
storage facilities is only likely to prove economic on large Zt = required constant inventory level at time ‘t’ Xt = order
farms, and without these some deterioration in fertilizer quantity at the beginning of the interval, Yt = uniform
quality is possible. demand occurring at every ‘n’ review interval (where n = an
integer, t = In #1, I = 0, 1, 2, ...). The probabilities of the
303 A Comparative Study of Alternate Models of Field storage content given by P (i, t, u, J) are estimable for any
Warehousing for Fertilizers. V. S. Ramaswamy (Fertilizers and value of ‘t’ using the familiar processes of the storage
Chemical Travancore, Ltd., Udyogamandal, Alwaye, Kerala, problems. The model for determining the location of the
India). Fert. Mark News (India) 8 (9), 6-8 (Sept. 1977). The storage depending on the cost of distribution and time of
relative economics of two alternative fertilizer warehousing delivery is also discussed.
strategies is discussed. The advantages and disadvantages of
two models representing rented warehousing facilities and 306 Fertilizer Suorage Project for Afghanistan. Green
company owned warehouses is detailed. The results from a Markets 2 (1), 8 (Jan. 2, 1978). Afghanistan is constructing 46
cost: benefit ratio analysis concluded that it was more fertilizer warehouses with total storage capacity of 100,000
economical to own company warehouses when storing at a mt. The S8.67-million project will be partially funded through
level greater than 600 mt. a $5.7-million loan by the Asian Development Bank. The
project also includes four regional warehouses and 23 pro:
304 Role of Field Warehouses in Stimulating Fertilizer vincial depots with total capacity of 12,500 mt for storing
Consumption. K. Pushparaj (Fertilizer Chem. Travancore, agri-chemicals and veterinary products.
Ltd., Alwaye, Karala). In FAI-FAO Seminar Strategy Stimu
lating Fertilizer Consumption 1976 Proc. (held New Delhi. 307 Fertilizer Storage Facilities for Belgium. Eur. Chem.
India, Dec. 9-11, 1976.) New Delhi, India. Fert. Assoc. India News 26 (668), 14 (Jan. 3, 1975). BASF Antwerp is building
IV-1/1-6 (Mar. 1977). While fertilizers are products of a additional storage space for NPK fertilizers in Belgium. The
continuous process industry, their demand is only seasonal. new storage space will be able to handle an additional 30,000
There are limitations in providing for storage of fertilizers tons of NPK fertilizers. This will be composed of four bins of
during off-season periods within the factory. Considerable lead 2500 tons and four bins of 5000 tons. The total investment in
time is required for movement of stocks from production units this project is Belgium F125 million, and it should be
to consuming centers; therefore, field warehousing for fertili completed by January 1976.
Zers assumes importance. The relative merits of two and three
tier field warehousing systems are given and the possibilities of 308 Dutch Fertilizer Company Builds More Storage. Fert.
their adoption under different situations discussed. Field Int. No. 64, 6 (Oct. 1974). The Dutch fertilizer manufacturer.
fertilizer storage facilities should be recognized by the industry NSM, has announced plans for increased storage facilities at
as a part of its fertilizer promotion work to stimulate their Sluiskil plant. One of the largest urea producers in the
consumption. world, NSM has had plans for extending its dock facilities for
over a yr. The latest announcement incorporates plans for
305 Inventory Control System on Storage of Material extending storage facilities for urea, ammonium nitrate, and
Inputs. S. N. Sen. Indian J. Agr. Econ. 28 (4), 157 (Oct.-Dec. calcium nitrate. The new harbor facilities include deep water
1973). The formulation of a sound and flexible inventory quay facilities and the construction of a two-floor concrete

42
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION
-*** -
-
conveyor gallery to enable dry conditions for loading either train service for the movement of solid fertilizers. The rail
-
bulk or bagged material. company acquired 353 new 100 short ton capacity covered
hooper cars at a cost of Can. $11 million. About 190 of the
309 Bulk Urea to New Zealand. Fert. Int. No. 70, 2 (Apr. cars are dedicated to domestic and international shipping of
1975). New Zealand Farmers Fertilizer Co., Ltd. has installed products from Cominco’s new urea plant at Carseland, Alta.
a 4500 mt bulk warehouse at Auckland which will facilitate The remainder will be used to service the requirements of
imports of fertilizers particularly urea and ammonium sulfate. Canadian Fertilizers Ltd. of Medicine Hat, Alta.
During 1974 New Zealand imported over 40,000 mt of urea
and slightly more ammonium sulfate primarily from Japan. 314 The Floating Train: A Response to the Logistics Snarl.
Two cargoes of bulk Japanese urea have already been unloaded Farm Chem. 140 (5), 22 (May 1977). Transportation of
successfully at Auckland and more are scheduled to be fertilizer products—especially potash—represents revenues of
delivered before the end of the 1974-75 season. Domestic approximately $150 million to CN Rail's of Montreal, Canada.
fertilizer consumption in New Zealand could show a substan. Because of this, a radically different method for distributing
tial increase in 1975.
potash (floating train concept) has been proposed which could
º succeed in reducing CN's rail car cycle from 40 to 12 days. It
-
-

310 New Zealand Phosphate Storage Losses. J. Flour Anim. is anticipated that if effective, the system will: (1) ensure
Feed Milling 159 (10), 34 (Oct. 1976). Seventeen piles of readily available supplies during peak periods, (2) overcome
º superphosphate stored directly on the ground or on previous Seasonal traffic congestion, and (3) significantly improve
pads at farm airstrips were sampled over the winter-spring equipment use.
º
º:
period of 1974 to assess nutrient status following delivery 2-3
months previously in the North Island of New Zealand. High 315 Jordan's New Railway. Phosphorus Potassium No. 81,
losses of up to 50% of the nutrients phosphorus, sulfur, and 24-5 (Jan.-Feb. 1976). A new 116 km railway line for
soluble salts such as sodium molybdate were noted. Indica transporting phosphate rock from the mine El Hassa to the
= tions were that the capillary action of soil moisture caused
migratory losses in secure tarpaulin covered stacks of greater
port of Aqaba on the Red Sea is now in operation. In order to
increase export shipments through Aqaba the transportation
proportion than direct downfall of rainwater within the same capacity had to be significantly increased; by 1977 the line is
time scale.
ºº. scheduled to carry 5 million tons/yr of phosphate rock and it
is planned to raise this to 10 million tons/yr in the 1980s. At
311 United States Fertilizer Survey of Storage Capacity. present, 2000 ton/hr of phosphate rock can be loaded and
Fert. Int. No. 74, 4 (Aug. 1975). Total fertilizer storage there is storage for 160,000 mt of rock. Expansion to handling
recorded in the survey was nearly 15 million tons. The storage and storage facilities is planned to cope with the increased
figures confirm the difficulties that U.S. fertilizer industry has throughput the new railway will be able to achieve.
in trying to estimate consumption in the United States, based
on distribution and sales figures. A total of 5,135 plants 316 New System for Liquid Rail Transport. Chem. Week
provided an adequate return to the survey, 63% of them being 117 (4), 9 (July 23, 1975). A new method of loading,
solely involved in bulk blending, 13% handled liquids only, transporting, and unloading bulk liquids has been developed
7.5% liquids and suspension, and 8% bulk liquids and by General American Transportation Corp. (GATX). The
suspensions. An analysis of distribution showed that almost company claims that costs to users of the new system would
one-third of all fertilizers distributed were dry bulk blends, a be as much as 15-20% lower than costs of using conventionally
total which rose to 43% when bagged material is included. equipped railroad tank cars. GATX's system is a "tank train"
Granulated products represent 13% of all fertilizers distri with interconnecting hoses, special valves and sensing devices
buted, fluids 10%, anhydrous ammonia 7%, and nitrogen that permit a string of cars to be filled or emptied in a
solutions 7%. continuous flow from a single connection. The firm says a
two-man crew can load or unload 20 cars containing 463,000
312 United States Storage Facilities. Fur. Chem. News 31 gal of liquid product in about 2 and one-half hr and an 80-car
(800), 10 (Aug. 19-26, 1977). Texasgulf of the United States train in about 8 hr. These rates are about six times as fast as
has announced plans to build an ammonia terminal and dry for conventional loading or unloading.
fertilizer storage facility at the state port in Morehead City,
North Carolina. The multi-million dollar project will be 317 Railroad Equipment to Aid in Handling Phosphate. Fla.
completed in about 2 yr and will include a new terminal J. Comm. 15 (12), 2 (Dec. 1973). Seaboard Coast Line
capable of unloading ammonia straight from ships into a Railroad has invested $96,000,000 in all types of phosphate
30,000 ton storage tank. The dry fertilizer facilities will have moving equipment within the past 2 yr to help move Florida
at least two storage buildings able to hold 10,000 ton of phosphate rock to fertilizer plants throughout the United
material. States. In addition, nine railroads provided 1200-1300 extra
cars to keep phosphate moving last Spring when barges were
out of action on the Lower Mississippi River because of flood
conditions. American railroad added 13,000 covered hopper
RAIL TRANSPORT
cars and more than 14,000 plain box cars to the fleet since
January 1, 1973. Car utilization has improved 7.8% during the
first half of 1973, with car shortages declining 35% from the
peak last March 1973.

313 Canada Establishes Fertilizer Rail Service. Fert. Int. No. 318 The Economics of Upgrading Seventy-One Branch Rail
101; 4 (Nov. 1977). Canadian Pacific Rail has started a new Lines in lowa. C. P. Baumel, J. J. Miller, and T. P. Drinka

43
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

(Iowa State Univ., Ames). Am. J. Agric. Econ. 59 (1), 61-70 abandonment had any significant impact on employment,
(Feb. 1977). Proposed abandonment of branch rail lines in business discontinuance, or capital investment.
rural areas has stimulated considerable concern over the
impact of abandonment on shippers, receivers, and rural 321 Rail Car Shortage Affects Fertilizer Movement. Chern.
communities. The purpose of this study is to present estimates Week 113 (16), 51 (Oct. 17, 1973). Fertilizer producers are
of the benefits and the costs of upgrading seventy-one branch bracing for a severe shortage of rail cars during the next few
rail lines. A benefit: cost analysis is used to compare the net months. The Fertilizer Institute says that according to its
benefits with the net costs of upgrading the rail lines. Separate recent survey, 20 major shippers of fertilizer said that between
models are utilized to estimate the benefits to grain shippers, Sept. 26-Oct. 9 they had ordered 10,000 rail cars but received
fertilizer shippers, and shippers and receivers of all other only 7000. The institute says it plans to keep weekly records
products from upgrading the branch lines. Benefit: cost ratios on rail car shortages.
are presented for six alternative solutions.
322 Railroads Directed to Supply Additional Cars for
319 How Railroad Abandonment will Affect the Fertilizer Fertilizer. Wall Street J. (East Edition) 183 (54), 40 (Mar. 19.
Dealer. Phillip Baumel et al (Iowa St. Univ., Ames). Farm 1974). The Interstate Commerce Commission (ICC) ordered
Store Merchand. 22 (2), 20, 22, 24 (Feb. 1978). An analysis is railroads to deliver 1100 freight cars for fertilizer shipments
made and results given of the economic effect of abandoning out of Florida. The ICC said there's an acute shortage of cars
71 rail lines on fertilizer and grain dealers in the state of Iowa. for fertilizer movement, with entire areas of the country
Calculations were also made of the cost of upgrading as unable to receive adequate fertilizer supplies needed for
opposed to abandonment. The study revealed that upgrading production of feed grains and other crops. The 1100 cars must
would save shippers and receivers about $4.4 million/yr based be delivered by April and will remain in fertilizer service until
on 1980 projections of grain, fertilizer volumes, and rail rates. the commission authorizes their use for other purposes or until
Rail abondonment would cost an additional $1.5 million for the agency's order expires May 1. The ICC ordered each of li
grain shipments out of Iowa and $1.3 million extra for railroads to deliver 100 covered hopper cars with a capacity of
fertilizer shipments into the state. With fertilizer, the major at least 140,000 lb each, to Seaboard Coast Line Railroad for
handling cost from source to farm was found to be local use in shipping fertilizer from production points in Florida to
delivery costs—from dealer to the farm. other sections of the country.
320 Impact of Rail Abandonment on Agricultural Produc 323 Rail Rate Increases Resisted by United States Fertilizer
tion and Associated Grain Marketing and Fertilizer Supply Industry. Green Markets 1 (36), 2 (Oct. 7, 1977). The United
Firms. A. R. Bunker and L. D. Hill (Univ. Illinois Urbana States fertilizer industry is waging a successful campaign
Champaign). Ill. Agric. Econ. 15 (1), 12-20 (Jan. 1975). About against railroads which have proposed higher freight rates.
30% of the rail lines in the major grain states of Illinois, Southern carriers declined to impose a 7% increase on urea,
Indiana, and Ohio are classed as potentially excess. Most of ammonia, superphosphate, and compounds moving to and
these lines are located in rural communities that are serviced from points in the south and points in the eastern territory.
by a single rail line. Any abandonment thus affects the Southwestern lines likewise refused to go along with a
community and the local agribusinesses. In 1969 the Chicago proposed 7% increase on superphosphate, urea, and com
Rock Island, and Pacific (CRIP) abandoned a 14.1-mile spur pounds moving between points in the western and eastern
line from Guthrie Center to Menlo, Iowa and in 1971 the regions. The proposed interterritorial increases would have
Chicago and Northwestern (CNW) abandoned 95.4 miles of been imposed in addition to a general nationwide 5% rail
track between Oskaloosa, Iowa, and Keithsburg, Illinois. Grain freight increase which the railroads say is cost justified. The
elevators, feed distributors, and fertilizer distributors located only fertilizer material exemption to the 5% increase is
on the abandoned lines were identified and interviewed a yr phosphate rock moving to plants in Florida.
before abandonment and again in 1973. Similar businesses in
nearby areas still serviced by rail were also interviewed and
used as norms. In general abandonment of the CRIP trackage,
where the only alternate form of transportation was truck
shipment, caused a shift in agricultural production from grain PIPELINE TRANSPORT
farming to livestock farming. The impact on grain elevators
was substantial but feed distributors were less affected.
Fertilizer distributors suffered some reduction in their ability
to compete with other distributors because of the increased 324 Ammonia Pipeline Construction. Oil Gas J. 75 (8), 40
transportation costs for fertilizer supplies. Distributors often (Feb. 21, 1977). A 120-mile, 6-in. pipeline to connect Agrico
had products shipped to a nearby rail unloading facility and Chemical Co.'s ammonia plant at the Port of Catoosa near
then transhipped by truck to the plant site. Extra cost was Tulsa with the Mapco Inc. system at Enid, Oklahoma, should
about $1.50/ton for loading from rail to truck plus 4-8 be completed soon. Mapco officials say one-fourth of the
cents/ton mile trucking charge. For the CNW case, alternate $4-million extension has been completed. The line will move
transportation included trucks and barges. Rail abandonment about 1400 tons/day of anhydrous ammonia.
in this area had no measureable effect on agricultural
production nor were grain elevators affected. Both feed and 325 Pipeline Accord Reached by United States Companies.
fertilizer distribution suffered some loss in competitive ability. Fam Chem. 141 (2), 120 (Feb. 1978). Royster Co. and W. R.
In the CNW area fertilizer distributors made a substantial shift Grace Inc. have entered a joint agreement to lease the capacity
in procurement patterns, principally from distant sources to of an anhydrous ammonia pipeline from Tampa, Florida to the
closeby origins. There were no clear indications that rail central Florida phosphate area in Polk county. The multi-yſ

44
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

lease agreement is with Tampa Bay Pipeline Co., which will 330 Poland Commissions Sulfuric Acid Pipeline. Eur. Chem.
start construction of the 6-in. pipeline in the near future. News 24 (602), 12 (Sept. 12, 1973). The pipeline linking the
Completion date is scheduled for mid to late spring 1978. sulfuric acid production plant at Police in Poland with the
Initial capacity of the pipeline will be 600,000 tons/yr. nearby port of Szczecin is to be commissioned soon. The
pipeline will have a capacity of 1 million tons/yr and the acid
326 Soviet Ammonia-Line Construction Agreement. Oil Gas will be exported from the port in vessels of 16,000 dwt.
J. 73 (7), 39 (Feb. 17, 1975). Two American companies and a Production capacity for sulfuric acid has been substantially
French company are nearing agreement with the Soviet expanded in recent years during the first two stages of a
Government to build a 1490-mile ammonia pipeline from four-stage plan for the chemical industry at Police. Up to June
Togliatti, a Volga River city near Kubychev, to Odessa on the 1973, production of the acid totalled around 1.8 million tons,
Black Sea. Sources in Los Angeles said the final decision to of which 575,000 tons had been exported. The production
build the 10-in.-diameter line, with a 2.5-million-tons/yr target for 1973 is to be in excess of 1 million tons—a 50%
capacity, will come within 2 or 3 months. The Soviet Union increase from 1972–and the target for 1974 is to be 1.3
plans to construct four ammonia plants in the Togliatti area. million tons. It is planned to expand the Police production
Design and engineering work is in progress. The proposed line, capacity for sulfuric acid to a total of 2.4 million tons/yr by
costing an estimated $300 million, would be tied in with Oxy's 1980.
exchange project to sell the Soviets 1 million tons/yr of
superphosphoric acid and purchase ammonia, urea, and potash 331 Ammonia Called Transportation Hazard. Chem. Mkt.
from the Soviets for sale on world markets. Rep. 206 (27), 18 (Dec. 30, 1974). The National Transporta
tion Safety Board has urged Federal pipeline safety regulators
327 Expansion Program Begins on Ammonia Pipe Line. Oil to consider anhydrous ammonia as well as liquified petroleum
Gas J. 73 (51), 27 (Dec. 22, 1975). Santa Fe Pipeline Co., has gases as particularly hazardous products requiring tighter
begun a $24-million expansion of its anhydrous ammonia and transportation safety regulation. The recommendation was
gas-liquids pipelines. The project calls for new pumps and contained in a report on an investigation of an anhydrous
pump stations for the Tulsa firm's Gulf Central Pipeline Co. ammonia pipeline rupture in the Mid-America Pipeline
subsidiary and its Chaparral Pipeline division. New cryogenic Company system at Conway, Kan., December 6, 1973, when
ammonia storage tanks also are planned. The manager of 90,000 gallons of the liquid leaked into the atmosphere as
administration for Santa Fe Pipeline Co., says engineering vapor. The board noted that when the line was built in 1968,
work is under way. Foundations for two storage tanks have there were no Federal regulations which dealt solely with
been set, and pump parts have been ordered. The construction pipelines transporting anhydrous ammonia or liquified
program will be completed in stages through 1976 and 1977. petroleum gases.
Main-line capacity of Gulf Central will be expanded initially to
1.8 million tons/yr from the current 1.1 million tons. Ultimate
capacity is expected to be 2.2 million tons/yr. The approxi
mately 2000-mile line moves ammonia from southeastern
Louisiana to the Upper Midwest, terminating at Aurora, WATER TRANSPORT
Nebraska. Work will include the construction of 15 new pump
stations and installation of new pumps at existing stations for
a total of 25 new pumps. A 6-7-mile extension to Farmland
Industries Inc.'s ammonia plant being built at Pollock, 332 Ammonia Vessel Shipped. Chem. Mark. Rep. 210 (9), 3,
Louisiana, also is scheduled. The 740-mile Chaparral line in 27 (Aug. 30, 1976). A special 2184-psi pressure vessel,
New Mexico and Texas will get 26 new pumps through engineered in Canada and manufactured in Germany, is now
construction of six new stations and added horsepower at on its way by rail from Texas to a $145 million fertilizer
existing Stations. complex being built for Cominco, Ltd., at Carseland, near
Calgary, in Southern Alberta. The huge vessel, weighing some
328 Long Distance Phosphate Rock Slurry Transport. Chem. 740,000 pounds, and about sixty feet tall when erected is a
Eng. 83 (8), 67-70 (Apr. 12, 1976). Brazil's plan for a key component of the 1150-ton-a-day fertilizer ammonia plant
phosphate rock slurry line in the country is moving ahead. in the complex. It will convert Alberta natural gas feedstock to
Bechtel is engineering the system for Valep (Mineracao Vale anhydrous ammonia. The pressure vessel is of multi-layer
do Parnaida S.A.). The 62-mile pipeline is to be 9 inches in construction. It was offloaded and barged to Houston, where
diameter and will have a throughput of 2 million tons/yr. This it was again loaded on railway flatcars for the final leg of the
artery will pioneer long-distance phosphate rock slurry trans journey to Alberta. It is expected to reach the Cominco job
port. Phosphate lines until now have only served short inplant site this yr after a journey of some 8100 miles.
applications, for example, at phosphoric acid plants.
333 Two Ammonia Carriers for Norway. Eur, Chem. News
329 Europe Opens Longest Sulfur Pipeline. Chem. Age 24 (611), 10 (Nov. 23, 1973). The Norwegian companies of
(London) 113 (2996), 16 (Dec. 10, 1976). A 7 km liquid Fearnley & Eger and A/S Hanico (of Halvor North Astrup)
sulfur pipeline, worth about DM 5 million and claimed to be have jointly placed orders with the Moss Verft shipyards for
the longest in Europe, has been opened in the Sulingen area of the construction of two LPG/ammonia tankers with a capacity
North Germany. It has a transport capacity of 1000 mt/day. of 12,000 m” each. The scheduled delivery date for the first
The sulfur, produced by NEAG from natural gas, will be fed to one is to be early in 1976 and the second one to be delivered
a rail-tanker loading point at Barenberg. Previously, the sulfur later on in 1976. The two new vessels were ordered on a
was carried on a round-the-clock service by road tankers. speculative basis in the expectation of market possibilities and

45
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

no contracts have been offered as an assurance of future trade. 9 (July 15, 1977). Chemical Farmers Industries' first ocean
Both vessels will have minimum loading temperatures of .48°C going tugboat made its first voyage from Sturgeon Bay,
and will be equipped with Sulzer power units which will give a Wisconsin, en route to its home port of New Orleans by the
maximum speed in excess of 17 knots. Great Lakes, the Atlantic Ocean, and the Gulf of Mexico.
Once outfitted with its complementary barge now under
334 Order Placed for Large LPG-Ammonia Carrier. Eur. construction in New Orleans, the tug will move phosphate
Chem. News 26 (646), 10 (July 26, 1974). Bibby Line has fertilizers from CF's Florida manufacturing plants to the
placed an order for a 75,000 m3 LPG-ammonia carrier with mouth of the Mississippi River for transfer into river barges.
Chantiers de France, at Dunkerque. Delivery of the vessel—the Capacity of the ship will be 22,500 long tons.
largest ever to be ordered by Bibby—will be made in 1978.
How far the new vessels will be used for ammonia shipment 339 LASH Movement of Potash a Success. Fert. Int., No. 58,
remains to be seen, but clearly much will depend on the 1, 3 (Apr. 1974). One of the success stories of fertilizer
progress of plans for substantial ammonia capacity in the materials shipping during the current fertilizer yr has been the
Middle East-North Africa. use of the lighter-aboard-ship (LASH) system to move potash
from North America to markets in the Pacific. Toshoku
335 Shipping Requirements for Anhydrous Ammonia in arranged for 36,000 tons of potash to be exported to Japan at
Cargo Tanks. Fed. Regist. 40 (190), 44820-1 (Sept. 30, 1975). an average rate of one cargo per month through the 1973-74
The Materials Transportation Bureau of the U.S. Department fertilizer yr. Each consignment of approximately 3000 tons is
of Transportation amended its rules for the shipment of loaded at the Port of San Diego and taken to Moji, at the
anhydrous NH3, effective October 1, 1975. Cargo tanks northern tip of Kyushu. The LASH system has a number of
without manholes are not required to be so equipped and advantages for shippers generally, of which the flexibility of
stress corrosion testing of internal welds by the wet cargo type, vol, the short time in port, and the wide range of
fluorescent magnetic particle method will not be required on ports where the vessels can offload their lighters are the most
such tanks. Also, NH3 certified to contain 0.2% H2O need not basic.
be retested for H2O each time it is reshipped, provided the
shipper has not reduced the H2O content in any way. 340 Seaborne Transporation of Acid—The Shipping Indus
try's View. Arne Holt. Sulfur No. 123,324 (Mar.-Apr. 1976).
336 Indonesia Urea Carriers. J. Flour Anim. Feed Milling Sulfuric acid trade, although small in relation to total
159 (12), 21 (Dec. 1976). A specially built urea carrier production has shown signs in recent years of becoming more
ordered by P. T. Pupuk Sriwidjaja (PUSRI) of Indonesia was and more important for producers and consumers of acid.
launched recently at the Yokohama shipyard of Mitsubishi Potential consumers have seen the availability of competitively
Heavy Industries. The 7500 dead wt vessel will be the first of priced merchant acid as an attractive alternative to con
three vessels to be acquired by P. T. Pusri for transporting urea structing expensive sulfuric acid production facilities. A
in bulk from its Palembang plants to urea bagging stations at significant quantity of sulfuric acid is transportated by sea.
Tanjung Priok, Cilacap, Tanjung Perak, Teluk Bayur, Belawan, The opportunities presented to the shipping world in the
and several other points. The urea-carrying vessel has a sulfuric acid-phosphoric acid trade are discussed.
capacity to load 500 tons of urea/hour and is equipped with
weather-proof self-unloading gear. Pusri's urea production is 341 Morocco Sets Up Shipping Company for Phosphoric
expected to reach 1.1 million tons a yr when Pusri-II starts Acid. Eur. Chem. News 23 (588), 11 (June 15, 1973). A new
operation next month, and to rise to 1.5 million tons when company has been created which will be engaged in the
Pusri-III is completed in 1977-78. construction and operation, including chartering, of ships for
the transportation of phosphoric acid produced by Maroc
337 Specially Designed Barges for Long-Haul Phosphate Phosphore, a subsidiary of l'Office Cherifien des Phosphates
Shipments. Eng. Mining J. 175 (5), 94 (May 1974). Two (OCP). The company, Marphocean, has also been given the
specially designed barges incorporating fully automatic para exclusive rights to the transportation of the acid produced by
screw self-unloading systems will be placed in service hauling Maroc-Phosphore. OCP is one of the world's largest exporters
wet phosphate rock from Tampa, Fla., some 450 miles to of phosphates. It has a development program which will, if
Agrico Chemical Co. acid plant facilities at Faustina, La. The successful, raise its production by 10 million ton during the
parascrew unloaders are capable of discharging wet phosphate period 1973-77 from 18 million ton to 28 million. Arising from
rock at rates up to 3000 tons/hr. The barges measure 495 ft this, and the basic reason for the creation of Marphocean, is
long by 85 ft wide and have an overall draft of 30 ft. OCP's plan that Maroc-Phosphore production of P2 Os will be
Capacities are 22,500 long ton/barge. The wet phosphates to 1000 ton/day by 1975 and 2000 ton/day by 1976. Similarly,
be hauled in the barges weigh 93 lb/ft” and have a 6% to 10% OCP's subsidiary Maroc-Chimie which produces super
moisture content. The material has a natural tendency to phosphates at Safi and has a capacity of 500,000 ton/yr is
bridge and is very sticky. Previous handling systems for barge soon to double that capacity.
transport of phosphates have included wedge-shaped holds
with mechanically assisted gravity feeding to conveyor belts. 342 Moroccan Phosphoric Acid Carriers. Eur, Chem. News
By eliminating the need for a wedge-shaped opening, barge 28 (718), 14 (Jan. 9, 1976). Morocco's phosphoric acid
capacity is increased 20%. By rotating and transversing across shipping company, Marphocean, took delivery in December of
flat bottom, the parascrew in effect creates a live-bottom bin its first vessel, Ibn Jabir, from the French shipyard, Ateliers et
having a 23-ft wide opening. For wet phosphates, over 99% of Chantiers du Havre. The 10,500 dwt vessel has four tanks with
the ore in the hold is considered live load. a total capacity of 6200 m ', and was launched in February,
1975. An identical sister ship, Ibn Khaldoun, is due to be
338 Tugboat Transports Fertilizers. Farmland News 43 (13), delivered to Marphocean in March, 1976. The company now

46
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

has a further four phosphoric acid carriers on order. Two are 346 Fertilizer Transportation. K. Ramaprasad. SPIC
being built at the de Hoop yard in the Netherlands and are due Industrial Eng. Training Bull. 3 (1), 18-20 (Dec. 1974). F.A.I.
for delivery in November, 1976, and May, 1977. The Abstr. Ser 14, 107. The factors influencing fertilizer transpor.
remaining two are being built at Sarpsborg in Norway and tation are: continuous production and import; seasonal
should be delivered in September, 1977, and April, 1978. consumption; spread of market; inadequate and relatively
expensive transportation, particularly in the rural areas for
343 Phosphoric Acid Carrier Launched. Eur. Chem. Week 26 secondary movement, inadequate handling skill and equip
(644), 10 (July 12, 1974). A new 6500 dwt chemical tanker ment; and consequent transit delays, damage, and loss.
was recently launched in Dordrecht. The vessel is especially Railways in India have, for the purpose of freight, grouped
designed for the transportation of phosphoric acid and other fertilizers into two classes, A and B; high analysis fertilizers
heavy acids and chemicals. It is equipped with stainless steel like diammonium phosphate and urea fall in the class A and
tanks and has a total capacity of 5840 m”. The vessel is 111.5 others in the class B group. Road transport is economical for
m long, has a breadth of 16.5 m, and a depth of 8.8 m. It will distances up to 280 km from a manufacturing unit.
have a speed of about 15 knots. Considerable attention needs to be paid to barges, country
craft, and other forms of water transport to ease concentration
of fertilizer transportation by rail.

347 Economic Aspects of Fertilizer Logistics. R. Schottler.


GENERAL In United Nations Economic Commission for Europe. Seminar
on Technical and Economic Aspects of the Fertilizer Industry
(held Helsinki, Finland, Aug. 11-15, 1975); pp. 3/R16-1-11
(1975). Logistics measures to reduce the discrepancy of time
344 Fertilizer Transportation Planning and Programming. V. and distance between production and consumption points are
S. Shankar. Fert. News 19 (2), 10-12 (Feb. 1974). The characterized by five factors. These are: (1) the nature of the
economic value of any product lies in having it in the right fertilizer (nutrient content), (2) packing, (3) loading, (4)
quantity, at the right place, and at the right time at the transportation, and (5) storage. Transport costs are positively
minimum cost. From the time and place the fertilizer is influenced by every increase in nutrient concentration.
produced, it should be transported to the time and place of Packing expenses can be reduced by bulk shipments resulting
consumption. The seasonality of consumption and the in time-saving loading and unloading operations. Transporta
localized production of fertilizers make transportation a tion costs are lower if moved by rail instead of by lorry and
pivotal activity in the distribution function. To make sure that decreased more if moved by barge depending upon the
farmers get fertilizers in time and in the required quantities, it quantities involved. At least 23% of the total cost of fertilizers
is essential to plan fertilizer movement. in the Federal Republic of Germany can be attributed to
logistics. The relative influence of each factor, however, may
345 Transportation as it Applies to Fertilizer Shipments. A. be affected by governmental transport policies.
J. Skull (C.F. Industries, Long Grove, Illinois). In 26th Annual
Meeting Fertilizer Industry Round Table (held Atlanta, 348 Transportation Problems Threaten Fertilizer Season.
Georgia, Oct. 26-8, 1976), pp. 19-22 (1976). The final link in Ag-Chem Newslett. No. 75, 1 (Feb. 1, 1973). An acute
the success of the fertilizer industry is that of transportation. shortage of transportation is currently jeopardizing what could
Weather, market prices, and grain shipments are some very be the biggest fertilizer season in history. Hopper cars are
important factors that affect the fertilizer industries ability to currently unobtainable, because the wheat the Russians
deliver products. More problems arise due to the peak market bought is now moving to ports. Diesel fuel is in short supply
demands for fertilizer transportation equipment. Traditionally and over-the-road truckers have had their operations limited.
barges, railroads, and motor vehicles are the main systems of Shippers of anhydrous ammonia need the tank trucks that are
transports. Increased taxes in the form of user charges is being used to transport butane and propane, but they aren't
expected to increase barging costs substantially. Motor vehicles getting them very fast. Demand for fertilizer is strong. Even at
(dump trucks) are very important for the transport of dry bulk this early date farmers are starting to apply fertilizer to wheat,
fertilizers but economics dictate that motor vehicles cannot and it looks like this season will be a big one for topdressing.
Supply high cost specialized equipment such as ammonia U. S. Dep. Agr. is expected to release more feed grain acreage,
trailers. Railroads provide most of the transport services for helping to build fertilizer demand to record levels. Dealers are
the fertilizer industry. Potash is almost entirely dependent fortunate to have substantial inventories of fertilizer because
upon railroads because of their land-locked locations in bad weather limited normal fall application. Now, with
relation to the market areas. Peak demand periods and fertilizer prices advanced about $10/ton, they will make a
competition from grain shipments have in the past and will profit as long as supplies last. But, a few months from now,
continue to cause problems of short car supplies. Four they may have serious problems.
suggestions have been proposed to improve fertilizer delivery.
They are: (1) the fertilizer industry can increase its hopper car 349 Fertilizer Industry Seeks Aid from Congress in Shipping
fleet, (2) railroads might publish seasonal rates to increase Problems. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 203 (6), 19 (Feb. 5, 1973). The
off-season shipments, (3) establish a national fleet of govern spring fertilizer shipping crunch will be the most critical faced
ment owned cars for use by railroads during peak periods, and in the Midwest for the past several years. The president of the
(4) establish increased warehouse facilities at the local level as Fertilizer Institute, so testified last week before the Senate
close to the farmer as possible. Agriculture Committee. The committee is investigating effects

47
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

of current heavy grain shipments on transport of other goods. 353 Possible Reclassification of Ammonia for Transporta
The fertilizer industry is being called upon to deliver 44-45 tion Disturbs Producers. Eur. Chem. News 26 (657), 11 (Oct.
million tons of fertilizer to American farmers in 1973. Most of 11, 1974). Producers and distributors of ammonia are worried
this tonnage must move in a relatively short period for delivery about a possible reclassification of anhydrous ammonia, for
no later than May 30. The majority of it must, as in the case of transportation purposes, from nonflammable to flammable.
grain, be moved in covered hopper cars. He urged the The international bodies governing the safety regulations for
committee to draft legislation aimed at preventing future such goods being transported by land, have held joint meetings
crises and insuring relief of the continuing railcar Squeeze since 1968–the RID (Reglement International Dangereux)
suffered by agricultural shippers. governs rail transport and the ADR (Accord Dangereux
Routier) governs road transport. At present flammability is
350 Current Trends in the Transportation of Nitrogen and only considered as a subsidiary risk for ammonia, toxicity
Compound Fertilizers. Johannes Skaadel (Norsk Hydro AS, being its main hazard. The West German proposal, if accepted,
Oslo, Norway). Nitrogen No. 100, 35-7 (Mar.-Apr. 1976). The would make flammability the major hazard. This would
fertilizer industry has a responsibility for the development not necessitate modifications and alterations in the design and
only of the most efficient production processes, but also of construction of ammonia carriers, and also alter the
more efficient distribution systems which will play their part restrictions on its movements. The chief objection to its
in keeping down the cost of fertilizers on route from the reclassification is that to class ammonia as primarily a fire risk
factory to the farm, so that this critical factor will not be the would shift the emphasis away from its major hazard, which is
bottleneck which restricts the world’s ability to produce more toxicity. It is felt that changes in transport regulations would
and better food. There is little doubt that in future the be unnecessary and could lead to a downgrading in importance
emphasis will be on the development of integrated distribution of its primary hazard.
systems rather than on the improvement of isolated methods
of transportation or handling. It is probable that the most 354 Department of Transportation May Exempt Amnonia
important elements in these new systems will be disposable Nurse Tanks. Fert. Prog. 9 (1), 67 (Jan.-Feb. 1978). The
bulk containers capable of easy handling on the farms, Materials Transportation Bureau recently proposed amend
shrink-wrapped pallets for outdoor storage and, quite possibly, ments that would exempt ammonia nurse tanks from
inexpensive bins for bulk storage on the farm. Within these hazardous materials regulations. The tanks must meet the
systems important means of transport will be special bulk and following conditions in order to qualify: (1) minimum design
unit-load carriers. For shipment to developing countries there pressure of 250 lbs and meet ASME Code requirements, (2)
will certainly be a strong trend towards the use of modern equipped with proper safety relief valve, (3) painted white or
bulk carriers with the product being bagged at the ports of aluminum, (4) have a capacity of 3000 gallons or less, (5)
discharge in simple bulk terminals. loaded to a filling density no greater than 56%, (6) drawn as a
full trailer not to exceed 25 mph and properly marked with a
351 Fertilizer Grade Ammonium Nitrate. Washington, D.C.: slow-moving vehicle sign, and (7) operated on public highway
The Fertilizer Institute; 24 pp The recommended method for only in daylight.
the packaging, handling, transportation, bagged and bulk
storage, and use of NH4NO3 fertilizer are given. Ship stowage 355 The Phosphate Wealth of Spanish Sahara. Eng. Mining J.
of NH4NO3 and fire fighting techniques are discussed as well 176 (8), 44 (Aug. 1975). When the Sirocco sweeps Spanish
as the properties of NH4NO3 and the effect of heat on those Sahara, a wilderness the size of Arizona in North West Africa,
properties. (23 ref). the sole obstacle the fiery wind threatens is a 62-mi-long
conveyor belt, the key element of a $447 million investment
352 Ammonia Transport Tank Corrosion Under Study by by Spain's Fosſatos de Bu Craa for development of the world's
the Federal Highway Administration. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 206 largest single deposit of phosphate rock. Spain plans to move
(18), 4, 21 (Oct. 28, 1974). The Federal Highway Administra 3.6 million tons of phosphate ore on the Sahara conveyor this
tion has awarded a contract to the Southwest Research yr-the longest operating conveyor in the world—and will
Institute, San Antonio, Texas, to seek out the reason for cargo increase the total in stages to 5.6 million tons in 1976 and
tanks hauling anhydrous ammonia being subject to stress finally to 10 million tons in 1978. The mineral is hauled by
corrosion. The tanks of concern are manufactured of the conveyor from Bu Craa, the phosphate deposit southwest
quenched and tempered steel. Bureau Motor Carrier Safety of the confluence of the Algerian-Mauretanian-Moroccan
(BMCS) initiated emergency action in 1967 to prevent or Sahara borders, which contains up to 1.7 billion tons of
reduce stress-corrosion cracking by requiring certain cargo high-grade ore. An electronic panel in a control room 20 miles
tank motor vehicles used for transporting compressed gases to south of El Aaiun supervises the mines-to-ship loading opera
be inspected internally to determine the need for repair, and tion. Phosphate mineral is scooped up by a jumbo mining rake
to insure product retention integrity. It was believed at that with an 1 i-million-m’ capacity/yr and hoisted by a Caterpillar
time that the problem was contained; but in early 1971 the mining shovel onto Wabco 109-ton trucks, for transport to a
stress-corrosion problem surfaced again, prompting the BMCS primary crushing plant with a capacity of 1000 tons/hr. The
to look deeper into the basic cause of the cracking pheno crushed ore then moves on the 62-mile conveyor belt to the
menon. Collaborating with the National Association of Atlantic seaport. Divided into 10 sections, it uses 650,000 ft
Corrosion Engineers, the bureau proposed the following of 40-in.-wide, steel-reinforced belts with a capacity to haul
rulemaking. To provide interim measures to reduce the 2000 tons/hr of phosphate to port.
probability of cracking; to provide for detection of and
control over stress-corrosion cracking during the interim; and 356 Trucks Replace Conveyor Belt in Sahara. Fert. Int. No.
to measure the effectiveness of these requirements until the 86, 4 (Aug. 1976). Office Cherifien des Phosphates, now
problem is further researched. holding the controlling interest in the BuOraa phosphate mine

48
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

is intending to carry phosphate rock between the mine and El Solutions 21 (3), 74-81 (May-June 1977). The advantages of
Aaiun because of damage to the 100 km long conveyor belt. suspension fertilizers are: (1) It can be uniformly applied. (2)
Because of the large stockpiles held there, (estimated at over 1 It can be placed beneath the soil at an exact location for
million tons) a halt in production will not seriously affect efficient use by crops. (3) The plant nutrient concentration of
supply, and the main problem is one of transporting the rock a suspension is usually twice that of solutions and comparable
across the desert from the mine to the port at El Aaiun where to granular bulk blends. (4) It is a convenient carrier of
stocks are minimal. Deliveries of phosphate rock from the pesticides or herbicides. (5) It can be transported and handled
Sahara in the second quarter of 1976 totalled only 54,000 mt more easily than granular fertilizer. (6) It readily fills the need
compared with 161,000 mt in the first quarter and nearly of a highly mechanized agricultural system.
514,000 mt in the second quarter of 1975.
360 Suspensions Transportation at the Retail Level. Rolland
357 Modern Trends in Transportation and Distribution of Boesdorfer (Boesdorfer Trucking Co., Pleasant Plains, Ill.).
Fertilizers in Bags and Bulk. Odd Grnlie. Economic Commis Proc., 1973 Round Up: Growing Profits with Liquids, pp.
sion Europe. Seminar Technical Economic Aspects Fertilizer 12-13 (1973). Peoria, Illinois: National Fertilizer Solutions
Industry (held Aug. 11-15, 1975, Helsinki, Finland). Paper; 12 Ass. Suspension fertilizers have outpaced liquids in growth
pp. (1975). FAI Abstr. Serv. 15 102. Some of the newest during recent years in spite of problems in distribution,
transportation systems which Norsk Hydro has established in transportation, and other areas. Suspensions have advantages
recent years are described. When introducing new transporta over liquids because of higher analysis, particularly potash,
tion system it is necessary to consider all the problems which and cost advantages because they can be produced from lower
arise from the producer right through to the consumer, and to cost raw materials. With improved distribution and transporta
establish the greatest possible cooperation with everybody tion equipment now available, along with shortage of high
involved. It is essential to know how the quality of the quality raw materials, suspensions are gaining on liquid
product will be affected both during transportation and in fertilizers.
storage. This gives valuable feedback to the plant and the
transportation function. A transportation system for palletized 361 Regulations on Equipment Used for Shipment of Acid.
bagged material which is shrink film-wrapped, and transported Fert. Solutions 18 (2), 84 (Mar.-Apr. 1974). On January 1,
by specially designed pallet carriers to Scandinavian ports, 1974, a factor was introduced which could affect the
thereafter being distributed to farmers is described. The availability of tank cars. Phosphoric acid has been defined by
system, which includes five specially designed 1000-1500 the U.S. Department of Transportation as a “regulated
tonners, is a success and has reduced the cost of distributing commodity” for transportation purposes. The specific classifi
bagged material to a minimum. These pallet carriers load and cation is “Corrosive Material” and applies to both chemical
discharge in 3 to 4 hr, and make about 150 voyages/yr. and fertilizer grades of phosphoric acid. It does not affect
Delivery in bulk right through to big farmers is the best description and commodity rating for freight rates. As of now,
method in many cases, and results in saving in costs and time. tank cars used for shipment of phosphoric acids prior to the
Specially designed bulk carriers of 1300-3000 ton which are new regulation can still be used regardless of how they are to
completely self-discharging are able to make a great many be unloaded. It appears the real concern of the Department of
voyages/yr to Scandinavian ports and have advantages over Transportation is the safety aspect of bottom unloading cars
conventional tonnage. Rational bulk handling equipment is involved in rail accidents. There are over 1000 tank cars
used during the season, and contractors often carry out the employed in phosphoric acid service; more than 83% have
spreading of the fertilizer. A newly developed one-way big-bag bottom unloading. If bottom outlets are prohibited the
to hold 500-1000 kg is discussed. Fertilizers should be shipped supply would be adversely affected, and the consumers' cost
in bulk to developing countries, and be bagged at the port of could increase substantially. The developments in this
discharge. Only relatively simple means are required, but the situation should be carefully monitored by the National
shipper must participate at all stages and give personnel at the Fertilraer Solution Association so the best interests of liquid
port of discharge the necessary training. Savings of from US fertilizer producers are protected. For those who wish to study
$6–US $15/ton can be achieved by shipping in bulk instead of the new regulations in detail, refer to Title 49, Code of Federal
bags. Simple, but functional terminals should be built in the Regulation, as amended by the Office of Hazardous Materials,
ports of discharge in the developing countries. Docket No. HM-57. It is available from the U.S. Department
of Transportation.
358 Bulk Shipment, Distribution, and Blending of Fertilizers
in India. B. P. Sikder (Ministry of Agric. and Irrigation, New 362 Location of a System of Storage-Distribution Terminals
Delhi, India). Fert. Mark. News 8 (11), 1-8, 13 (Nov. 1977). In for Agricultural Ammonia in the Corn Belt. F. A. Erickson
India as well as other developing countries, bulk shipments, (Univ. Illinois, Urbana). Diss. Abstr. Int. B34 (1), 269B (July
distribution, and blending is advantageous because of the 1973), Order No. 73-17, 532; 182 pp. Ammonia production is
economy involved. The potential savings and the steps concentrated in the Gulf Region and transport to the Corn
necessary to obtain these are analyzed and summarized in this Belt is by river barge to water-edge terminals. Distribution to
study. Two of the most important savings were a decrease in retailers is by truck. Year-round production and a seasonal
packaging and handling costs and reduced fertilizer prices for demand requires storage near the market. Rapidly growing
the farmer. It was estimated that by 1980, 70% of fertilizer demand necessitates additional storage and new systems of
will be distributed in bulk. pipeline and rail transport suggest location in the unserved
off-river market area. A system of terminals is proposed
359 Transporting, Storing, and Applying Suspension Fertili wherein each serves exclusively the market adjacent to it. This
zers. F. P. Achorn and H. L. Kimbrough (TVA, National results in major transport cost savings. A planning level of 200
Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, Alabama). Fert. lb of N/acre of corn is estimated and then converted to tons of

49
STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION

ammonia demand per square mile. An estimated time of the overall fertilizer market are: (1) Farm crop prices could
reaching the planning level is found by regression analysis. decrease to support prices established in 1974 while fertilizer
Taking into account the trade-off between storage costs and prices remain at their spring 1974 level, (2) Farm crop prices
secondary transport costs, 40,000 tons is the optimal terminal could remain at the spring 1974 level while fertilizer prices
size. The proposed system requires alterations of current continue to increase, (3) Farm crop prices could decrease to
business practice which accomplishes most distribution the target level while at the same time fertilizer prices increase.
through exclusive company channels. The distribution areas These alternatives would lead to significantly different
are fitted to the off-river market at three levels of market positions facing the farmer in deciding whether or not to use
density. The indicated terminal location at the center of each fertilizer and how much to use.
distribution area is tested to be sure that an acceptable
terminal location falls within five miles of the indicated site. 366 Fertilizer Prices Under Phase 4. Ag-Chem Newslett., No.
The pipeline and new terminals recently located within the 80, 1 (July 1, 1973). Fertilizer manufacturers are anxiously
off-river market are very near to the proposed sites and could waiting to see what the government plans for their industry
easily be integrated into the proposed system and at a cost under Phase 4. The word from Washington is that serious
saving. A major finding of the study is that the method could consideration is being given to imposing controls on an
be applied to other areas of the Corn Belt and possibly to industry-by-industry basis, but whether for the fertilizing
other agricultural inputs. industry such controls would apply to prices or profits is not
yet clear. In either case the effects could be disastrous, both
363 Going Metric in Fertilizers. J. Flour Anim. FeedMilling for users as well as manufacturers.
158 (4), 29 (Apr. 1976). A combined metric fertilizer
recommendation list and yr planner has been published by 367 Fertilizer Makers Want Price Lid Lifted. Chem. Eng.
UKF Shellstar, including details of the amounts of individual News, p. 4 (Oct. 1, 1973). A shortage of 4 million tons of
plant nutrients required in kg/ha. Users can now operate fully fertilizer for the 1974 season in the U.S. is forecast by the
in metric if they so wish, since fertilizer is already being Fertilizer Institute unless limits on fertilizer prices are removed
packed in 50 kg net bags. The bags will continue to be marked by the Cost of Living Council. Export market prices are higher
with their chemical analysis in percentages of N, P, and K, the than domestic prices ($70 vs $40/ton for ammonia and $110
nutrient content in kg being exactly half the percentage figure, vs $75/ton for diammonium phosphate). Higher prices, rather
that is an analysis of 16:24:16 contains 8 kg of nitrogen, 12 kg than an export embargo, could attract foreign imports and
of phosphoric acid, and 8 kg of potash. increase investments in new production capacity but might not
affect 1974 supplies, most of which are already contracted.
364 Logistics, Not Strike, of Greatest Concern to Fertilizer
Makers. S. E. Simak and R. E. Chamberlin. Farm Store 368 Decontrols on United States Fertilizer Materials. Wall
Merchand. 22 (2), 28, 30 (Feb. 1978). The results from a Street J. (East Edition) 182 (83), 4 (Oct. 26, 1973). The
recent survey of fertilizer dealers reveal that logistics will be a government removed wage and price controls from the
major problem facing industry this spring. Wet fields, frozen fertilizer industry but warned that a general scrapping of Phase
rivers, low commodity prices, and a shortage of railroad cars 4 isn't likely this yr. In announcing the decontrol of fertilizer,
are the principal reasons for this outlook. Supplies are the Cost of Living Council Director conceded the result will be
expected to be more than adequate especially for upgraded N a substantial increase in prices for crop nutrients. But he said
products such as urea. Most respondents anticipate an unusual the action should relieve supply shortages and result in higher
ly hectic spring application rush as fall fertilization was 1974 crop output, which should help stabilize food prices next
reduced by about 20 to 30%. Dealers also feel that the U.S. yr-a key goal of the overall wage-price restraint program. The
farmers strike will have little total effect on fertilizer sales and council's action on fertilizer exempts from controls the sale of
uSé. fertilizer and nutrient materials used in the production of
fertilizer and explosives. Also exempted were the sale of
ammonia, nitrogen, urea, phosphate, and potash used in the
manufacture of plastics, synthetic fibers, animal feeds, and
PRICING AND COSTS other products; sales of the nonfertilizer end products made
from these materials, however, weren't exempted from
controls. The government has obtained commitments from
PRICING POLICY about 40 fertilizer companies to help increase domestic
supplies. The promised industry actions include diverting some
365 The ABC's of Fertilizer Pricing. J. R. Douglas, Jr. 350,000 tons of five fertilizer products from export to
(Tennessee Valley Authority, Muscle Shoals, Alabama). Fert. domestic sales in the current quarter, and such diversion of
Prog. 5 (5), 12-14, 20, 37 (Sept.-Oct. 1974). Comparison of another 1.2 million tons in the first half of 1974; continued
prices are made for 1955-1974 for fertilizer and farm operation of certain marginal fertilizer plants and exploration
products. These comparisons indicate farmers can afford to of reopening a few closed plants; and actions to ensure early
pay today's prices for fertilizers. Using 1957-59 as 100-unit completion of new plants under construction. The council said
price index, the index were 1955, 110; 1960, 96; 1965, 86; that the government will institute a monitoring system to keep
1970, 78; 1971, 84; 1972, 87. The rapidly increasing fertilizer track of fertilizer exports, but that actual export controls
prices in 1973-74 were offset by even more rapid increases in aren't planned. The government also will require fertilizer
prices received for farm products; the farmer gave between makers, traders, and brokers to report weekly their actual
65% and 90% as much of his farm product for fertilizer during selling prices for monitoring purposes. The government also
this period as he did back in the 1957-59 base period. Three will take actions aimed at boosting fertilizer availability, such
alternate sets of relationships that could have major effects on as trying to improve rail-car supply during the main shipping

50
PRICING AND COSTS

SeaSOIl. under certain cirsumstances, some other fertilizer exporting


countries may dislike the Japanese fertilizer industry’s
369 Demand for Nitrogenous Fertilizers and Fertilizer Price decision.
Policy in Pakistan. M. G. Chaudhry and A. Javed (Pakistan
Inst. Develop. Econ., Islamabad, Pakistan). Pakistan Devel. 374 Urea Pricing in Japan. Jpn. Chem. Week 18 (885), 5, 6
Rev. 15 (1), 1-7 (Spring 1976). Abstr. Trop. Agric. 2, 11 136. (Apr. 14, 1977). The Ministry of International Trade and
This study reviews agricultural price policy and the demand Industry (MITI) reports that sharp decreases in the export
for fertilizer. The demand for fertilizer is sensitive to changes prices of urea and ammonium sulfate have brought about a
in the price of fertilizer. The consumption of fertilizer tends to break in domestic quotations for these fertilizers. As a result,
increase at the rate of 21%/yr, mainly because technological the Ministry has fixed floor prices to prevent the export of
changes make its use more profitable. Therefore, annual urea and ammonium sulfate at low prices, and presented the
increases in price of up to 20% would not lead to a decrease in fixed floor price to the Japan Urea & Ammonium Sulphate
fertilizer consumption. This would justify the gradual with Export Co. The Japanese will specify export prices in accord
drawal of the present subsidy on fertilizer. with the floor prices fixed by the Ministry of International
Trade and Industry when they talk with China.
370 Phosphate Prices on Seasonal Basis. Chem. Week 117
(1), 20 (July 2, 1975). Seasonal pricing of phosphate fertilizers 375 South Africa's Fertilizer Prices. J. Flour Anim. Feed
has returned. The new schedule on diammonium phosphate is Milling 159 (9), 28 (Sept. 1976). South Africa's price control
S190/ton from June 15 to Nov. 1; $195 from Nov. 1 to Feb. formula for fertilizers, which has existed for 20 yr, was
28; and $200 from Feb. 28 to June 30. Prices of phosphoric designed so that the fertilizer manufacturer could count on a
acid are $315/ton, $326/ton, and $337/ton, respectively, in return on investment of 13.5% on depreciating assets. As part
the same periods. Meanwhile, a major export trader is said to of the anti-inflation campaign, prices were reduced by 8%.
have sold 1 million tons of phosphate fertilizers for delivery Cooperatives lost R1 million on fertilizer stocks on hand
over a 10-yr period. Trade sources speculate that the destina because of the price decrease. Fortunately, export prices are
tion is South America, although the company is said to have free of control and, as South African fertilizers sell for
discussed similar trade deals with East European buyers as between half and a third of world prices, the industry is able
well. to attract investment for its export projects. Phosphate rock
costs only R15 a ton, compared with a world average price of
371 Seasonal Price Cuts in Potash Market. Chem. Week 119 about R25. Having no natural deposits of sulfur, South Africa
(3), 20 (July 21, 1976). Seasonal price cuts on potash have produces sulfuric acid from imported brimstone and local iron
been put into effect, reflecting current market stagnation and pyrites.
buyer pressure for discounts and allowances. In a move led by
Potash Co. of America, several producers have cut their tabs 376 First-Best and Second-Best Policies of Pricing an
10-15¢/unit, effective through Aug. 31. New prices, f.o.b. Imported Input: The Case of Fertilizer in Taiwan, 1950-66. R.
Saskatchewan, range from 554/unit for standard to 65¢/unit C. Hsu (Clark Univ., Worcester, Mass.). Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 56
for granular. Carlsbad N.M., quotes are 604 to 704/unit. Little (2), 314-22 (May 1974). Pricing of fertilizer imported into
material is moving, however, and producers say they expect Taiwan during 1950-66 was studied to determine the relevance
both prices and shipments to strengthen in the next few weeks and applicability of first-best and second-best theoretical
as Midwest farmers buy for fall application. policies in a developing country. The government-peasant
fertilizer-rice barter system in Taiwan is unique in that the
372 India Plans Incentives for Investments in Fertilizer from official price of fertilizer is quoted in terms of a fertilizer-rice
Oil Feedstock. Chem. Age (London) 107 (2833), 7 (Nov. 2, exchange ratio. Some of the rice collected by the government
1973). The Indian Government is reported to have finalized is sold to Japan from which the bulk of the fertilizer is
the broad framework of a policy designed to attract new imported. If it can be assumed that maximizing foreign
private investment for fertilizer plants using fuel oil as exchange is the only objective of the government in setting the
feedstock. To make new investments attractive, a 15% fertilizer-rice exchange ratio, then a subsidy on fertilizer can
dividend return on equity and reserves is being considered, be justified and this would be the first-best action. However,
with no provision for cost inflation and sale price increase. the government must also use a part of its rice collection to
Meanwhile, the Indian Cabinet has decided on an increase in feed government troops and employees. Government also
the selling price of urea by Rs.91, ammonium sulfate by Rs41 imposes a land tax on rice output which is paid in kind. Under
and calcium ammonium nitrate (CAN) by Rs.50/mt. For these conditions, it usually is best to set the land tax as high as
fertilizer plants using naphtha, the increase in price just is politically feasible and then to lower the fertilizer-rice price
compensates for the increase in price of the feedstock. For ratio to the point that the total quantity of rice collected by
units based on fuel oil, the price increase is a bonus. the government remains constant. As a result, peasants
continue to pay the same total amount of rice to the
373 Japanese Export Prices of Fertilizers. Jap. Chem. Week government but receive more fertilizer and thus produce more
16 (769), 5 (Jan. 23, 1975). Japan's fertilizer industry recently rice. This is the second-best action.
decided on a policy of not increasing the present export prices
of urea and ammonium sulfate. Since 1973 many countries in 377 United States Domestic-Import Pricing. Chem. Mkt.
the world have decided to increase harvest yields and fertilizers Rep. 205 (13), 3, 17 (Apr. 1, 1974). A proposal has been
have come to be in short supply world-wide. Consequently, made that fertilizer manufacturers be allowed to blend in
international fertilizer prices have skyrocketed. As Japan is the prices of high-priced foreign fertilizers with lower-cost
largest fertilizer exporting country in the world, this decision domestic products as a means of immediately improving the
will check the skyrocketing international fertilizer prices and, supply of fertilizers to U.S. farmers. The present shortages,

51
PRICING AND COSTS

especially of anhydrous ammonia and N compounds, those of transporting storing, and handling within the
combined with the fertilizer industry’s agreement to hold the country. Cost comparisons must be made on total system
line on domestically-produced fertilizer prices have resulted in costs. (63 ref)
a “two-price’ system. Large numbers of farmers are unable to
get adequate supplies, and many can get nothing at all, at the 380 High Cost May Limit Fertilizer Industry Expansion. Oil
domestic price, but can obtain additional supplies for double Gas J. 73 (41), 30 (Oct. 13, 1975). High capital costs and
or triple the domestic price. Major fertilizer manufacturers rising operating costs will narrow future investments in
should consider a system of acquiring as much imported ammonia, phosphates, and potash. According to the president
fertilizer as possible and developing a blend price for the of Amax Chemical Corp., it is highly unlikely that the
mixture of imported and domestic product. There is an economics associated with fertilizer during the past decade will
immediate need to improve the present industry allocation ever return. Capital requirements and operating, energy, and
system. It is not serving the needs of all farmers. Some are still labor costs have risen sharply. The combined impact on cost is
without fertilizer of any kind, others are far short, while a few So great that the plateau of new price levels is here to stay
can get all they need. Price targets must support orderly expansion In the future
they will track the general economy in ore rapidly.
378 United States Phosphate Mining Royalties are Increased.
Min. Congr. J. 62 (8), 60 (Aug. 1976). A new method of 381 Influence of Raw Material Costs on Processes for
computing royalty payments to the federal government on Ammonia and Urea. G. Gargano, P. Salmieri, and R. Vasino. In
phosphate rock mined on public lands has been approved by United Nations Economic Commission for Europe. Seminar on
the Department of the Interior. It is estimated that the change Technical and Economic Aspects of the Fertilizer Industry
should increase royalty revenues by about $540,000 during (held Helsinki, Finland, August 11-15, 1975); pp. 3/R13-1-12
the 1st yr of operation. Revenues were about $1.1 million (1975). The choice of technologies for the production of
during 1975. The Mineral Leasing Act requires that a ammonia is highly dependent on the cost of raw materials.
phosphate lease provide for a royalty of not less than 5% of Due to recent events regarding cost and availability of
the gross value of the mine output. Existing phosphate lease materials it is now more convenient to use processes requiring
terms require a royalty of 5% or 25 cents/ton, whichever is less energy and raw material. In this study a comparison is
greater. In practice, lessees have been paying a flat 25 made of ammonia and urea production costs using four
cents/ton. The new method of computing royalties will be different feedstocks: natural gas, virgin naptha, fuel oil, and
based on a formula using the publicly available priceſton of coal. Also, a summarized group of relevant processes is given
beneficiated rock. Even though the beneficiated rock is a together with certain references on prospects for reducing
product several processing steps from the ore extracted from energy consumption.
the mine, the price would enable the department to determine
the percent of gross value of mine output. The new formula 382 United States Ammonia Producers Face Higher Feed.
would not necessarily apply to phosphate leases on Indian stock Charges. Fert. Int. No. 73, 3 (July 1975). Canada is to
Lands. increase the price of natural gas exported to the United States.
The price will be raised by 40% to $1.40/thousand ſt” and this
will be followed in November by a further increase to
$1.60, thousand ft'. The present price of $1 has been in effect
since September 1974 when it was increased from 60 cents.
PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBUTION COST The change of price will hit ammonia producers in the
Midwest and on the Pacific Coast. It will raise the value of
Canadian exports by an estimated $600 million. In the United
States itself there seems no hope of a complete deregulation of
379 Reducing Fertilizer Costs. Fert. Industry Series, Mono well-head gas prices. The latest proposal gives N producers
graph No. 7, 44 pp. (1974). Vienna, Austria: United Nations second priority, behind residential and small firm users, but
Industrial Development Organization. Price: S2.00. The mono does not significantly encourage new exploration and so the
graph is based on information drawn from a number of studies chronic problem of overall shortages will not be solved.
on the use of fertilizers in developing countries. In 1972,
farmers in some developing areas were paying $150/ton for 383 Higher Naphtha Cost Causes Indian Fertilizer Price
urea when the average price in the U.S. was only $90/ton. Increase. Chem. Age (London) 107 (2827), 16 (Sept. 21.
Means of reducing the costs of fertilizers for farmers in small 1973). An escalation in Indian fertilizer prices by about 15%
developing countries are indentified. Good planning for new stemming from the sharp increase in the domestic price of
facilities helps to keep the production cost down. The key naphtha has become unavoidable, though it is still an open
factors are: plant size and location; type of product; choice of question whether the full impact of the cost hike will be
process; selection of contractors; adequacy of power and water passed on to finished fertilizers or a part of it adjusted through
supplies; and availability and cost of feed materials. An duty reliefs. The price of naphtha has been raised from
increase in the output of an underutilized plant usually means Rs.192/mt to Rs.252/mt according to a spokesman for the
a decrease in production cost. Increasing the nutrient content Fertiliser Corp. of India. Fertilizer producers in the public and
of the fertilizer is a direct means of lowering the total the private sectors will hardly be in a position to absorb the
distribution costs. Prices paid by U.S. farmers are given for increase in the cost of naphtha by Rs60/mt or by over 30%
some sources of N. nitrate of soda, 16-17% N. ammonium since the feedstock accounts for 60% of the cost of urea and
sulfate, 20-21% N. ammonium nitrate, 33.5% N urea, 45-46% 80% of the cost of ammonia.
N; and ammonia 82% N–S4.36, S2.59, S 1.95, Sl.82, and
S0.99/20 lbs of N, respectively. Total systems cost include 384 Coal-Based Ammonia Costs Analyzed. Eur, Chem. News

52
PRICING AND COSTS

30 (791), 30 (June 1977). Costs and the extent to which 388 Costs of Producing and Applying Bulk Blends. Paul
processes allowed the use of existing plant equipment was Rhein. In TVA Fertilizer Bulk Blending Conf. (Held Aug. 1-2,
compared between the Lurgi, Koppers, Totzek, Wlinkler, and 1973, Louisville, Kentucky). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee
British Gas Lurgi Slagging Gasifier Processes. It was suggested Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center;
that capital cost was the most important difference between Bull. Y-62, pp. 82-5 (Aug. 1973). A study was made of 24
the processes unil the price of coal exceeds $30/ton. Reason bulk blending plants with an average investment of about
able estimates of capital cost showed the Slagging Gasifier or $78,000 and an average annual output of 4631 tons. Operating
Texaco the cheapest followed closely by the Lurgi route with cost, subdivided into 22 categories, averaged $8.17/ton with
secondary reforming. The Winkler process was considered salaries, building depreciation, and interest making up over
more expensive and Koppers most expensive of all. two-thirds of the cost. Seventy-nine percent of the output was
delivered to the farm or spread for the farmer, and the
385 Value Analysis Applied to Ammonia Plants. Dolphin remainder was picked up at the plant in either bulk or bagged
Development Co. London: The British Sulphur Corp., Ltd., 41 form. Delivery or spreading cost was $7.43/ton. Average
pp. (1973). Ways in which value analysis techniques can investment in equipment was $42,922.16/plant. The total
improve utilization of capital in large process plants are given. operating statement shows per ton gross margin, $24,09; other
Recommendations are made for selection of staffs, facilities, income (spreading charge), $3.88; total expense, $20,29; net,
and methods for value analysis. The classical NH3 process $7.68 or 7.78% of sales. The operation had an investment in
based on steam reforming of natural gas is used to outline the facilities and equipment of $120,922.16 and the net was
value analysis techniques and indicate results that can be $35,571.22 for a return on investment of 29.4%. In this
achieved. Data indicate that substantial savings in investment study—the potential, the type of facility, and the amount of
costs can be obtained by use of either the Breda or the Tunis equipment had nothing to do with net margin—there was no
NH3 process in preference to the classical process. Abundant correlation. The caliber of management is the answer to the
comparative capital cost data are given for the classical NH3 return on investment.
process based on steam reforming of either natural gas or
naphtha. Comparable economic data is also given on the 389 Fertilizer Operations of TVA to be Cut Back. Chem.
production of NH3 by the medium pressure partial oxidation Mkt. Rep. 203 (15), 4, 39 (Apr. 9, 1973). The Tennessee
of fuel oil. Screening evaluations of other fertilizer processes, Valley Authority is changing its fertilizer developmental
such as the manufacture of wet-process H3PO4, indicate that production program to reduce the amount of Federal appro
very substantial investment cost savings are possible in these priations needed each yr to finance the net program operating
processes also. (7 fig, 14 tables) expenses and the cost of modernizing and constructing
chemical facilities. The focal point of the fertilizer research
386 Cost Comparison of Nitrogen-Urea Versus Nitrate. and development programs is the National Fertilizer Develop.
Agrichem. Age 20 (2), 13 (Mar. 1977). Comparing urea and ment Center at Muscle Shoals, Ala. TVA is restructuring the
nitrate as sources of nitrogen appears to give urea the edge. present program to minimize operating costs by shifting
Capital cost to construct an ammonia-urea complex costs production of basic phosphate, raw materials, and certain
about $300/ton of N production capacity, whereas the figure intermediate materials from TVA to private producers,
for the same nitrogen in nitrate is near $500. Another dropping production of all products containing nitrates, and
economic factor favoring urea, according to Cominco Ameri modifying present facilities to produce urea-ammonium phos
can, Inc., is urea's higher analysis. phate fertilizers rather than building new facilities. GAO says
that TVA will close its phosphate-mining operation in Tennes
387 Urea Costs—Granulation vs Prilling. G. M. Blouin. see and shut down all phosphorus electric furnaces and
Bulletin Y-92; 11 pp. (Apr. 1975). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: phosphoric acid plants at Muscle Shoals. Wet-process phos.
Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development phoric acid will be purchased from private industry to replace
Center. In relatively small urea plants of 400-ton/day capacity, the furnace phosphoric acid now produced by TVA and used
the plant investment for a single-train pan-granulation unit is in most of TVA’s fertilizers. The wet-process phosphoric acid
about the same as that for a prilling unit. In these Small costs considerably less than furnace acid, and this advantage is
granulation plants, the production cost and in-plant price expected to continue. TVA plans to phase out use of furnace
(production cost plus 20% pretax return on investment) of the acid by the end of fiscal yr 1974 (June 30, 1975), if it can
product are about one dollar/ton greater than in a comparable obtain a reliable, economical supply of wet-process acid and
prilling unit, primarily because of higher labor and main can complete the needed technical development to use
tenance cost. As the capacity of the plants is increased to 1000 wet-process acid in producing all the fertilizers planned. This
tons/day, the granulation plant investment increases at a change in plans will result in substantially closing nitric acid
greater rate (about 25%) than the prill plant investment plants at the end of fiscal 1973. TVA reports this move will
because of the higher scale-up characteristics of the major cost eliminate the need for about $1.4 million worth of pollution
items (such as, twin pans, field fabricated cooler, process abatement equipment to meet nitrogen oxide emission stand
building, and filter house). In the large plant, the combined ards. The last step in the plan adopted by TVA involves
effect of higher investment, labor cost, and maintenance modifying the existing granular combination fertilizer plant to
increases the production cost and in-plant price by about two produce urea-ammonium phosphates instead of constructing
dollars/ton over that of prilled urea. The one- to two new facilities.
dollarſton higher prices of the granular product amounts to 1%
to 2% of the total price of urea. It is recommended that this 390 Fertilizer Shipping Rates Reach New Peaks. Eur. Chem.
small premium be carefully considered in view of the News 25 (630), 8 (Apr. 5, 1974). Strong competition between
significant advantages of the physical characteristics of the grain and fertilizer shipments for available U.S. deep-sea
granular product. carriers continues to force up long-haul freight rates. A

53
PRICING AND COSTS

shipment of around 23,000 tons of phosphate from the U.S. 395 New Costs Figure Into Fertilizer Bill. W. C. White (Fert.
to Japan was recently fixed at $34/ton and a 27-28,000 ton Inst., Washington, D.C.). Wallaces Farmer 102 (3), 70-1 (Feb.
shipment of diammonium phosphate to India chartered out of 12, 1977). Three costs that hardly figured into the bill 5 yr
the U.S. at a massive $63/ton. Even a 14,500 ton fertilizer ago now make up about half of what farmers pay for fertilizer.
cargo from the U.S. Gulf to Brazil required a premium charter Charges for energy to produce fertilizer, environmental protec
rate of $40.75/ton. tion at fertilizer plants, and transportation of fertilizer from
plant to farm add up to $16.12/acre for an Iowa corn crop.
391 Phosphate Rock Freight Rates Increase. Eur. Chem. Total cost for fertilizer for corn is estimated at $32.20/acre for
News 26 (647), 8 (Aug. 2, 1974). Spot freight rates for 1977, based on 102 lb N, 59 lb P., Os, and 62 lb K2O/acre.
phosphate rock between mid 1973 and early 1974 have more Transportation costs $13.16, energy for manufacturing $2.72.
than doubled for almost all major routes. The net effect of and pollution control $0.32/acre. Rail freight rates have
these rate increases on the long distance routes such as doubled since 1970 and truck rates also have increased. Energy
Morocco or Florida to Japan has been to add $20-30/ton to costs, particularly for natural gas for N production, have
the cost of phosphate rock—similar to the increase in Florida increased 300-800%. Pollution control costs are recent, the
rock prices. North and West Africa currently accounts for 26% result of the 1970 Clean Air Act and the 1972 Clean Water
of the world's total phosphate rock production. They will Act.
contribute 33% of the total world increase in production by
1978. 396 Nitric Acid Pollution Control Equipment. Chem. Mkt.
Rep. 203 (3), 14 (Jan. 15, 1973). Mississippi Chemical
392 Potash Transportation Cost to Japan. Fert. Int. No. 49, Corporation will spend an additional $815,000 during 1973 to
3 (July 1973). Canadian potash ocean freight rates for Japan add two major air pollution control systems at its Yazoo City,
have topped the $15 per ton f.i.o. level and are now hovering Miss., fertilizer complex. The two advanced systems—one
at $17-18 per ton f.i.o. On the strength of this, Japanese developed in France, the other by the Mississippi firm's own
importers are hinting to local users that they would like to research specialists—represent the best thinking of technical
raise the domestic sales price for the next fertilizer yr experts in the US and Europe and were selected from the large
shipment. The users do not agree to this on the grounds that number of systems industry has developed in an effort to solve
Zen-Noh’s “Kyokei Price” has yet to be announced. The result these two extremely complicated emission problems. Over half
is that the users are staving off an inevitable price increase for a million dollars is being invested to install a giant absorption
potassium chloride, while the importers must wait patiently tower and process equipment to capture and remove the
until the Zen-Noh “Kyokei Price” is announced. nitrogen oxides from the off-gases of the nitric acid plants.
This sophisticated absorption system was developed in France
393 Delivery and Application Cost of Dry Bulk Fertilizer. by the Grande Paroisse firm, and it should meet all Federal
Fert. Prog. 4 (2), 18-20, 22, 24, 26 (Mar.-Apr. 1973). A cost and State emission guidelines; this may be the first time that
study on dry bulk fertilizer has been completed by Purdue any US manufacturer has installed this advanced system on an
University. This study was made nation-wide and included existing nitric acid plant.
over 250 fertilizer dealers. Cost figures were produced on
materials picked up by farmer, delivery to farms, and applied 397 Effluent Limits to Have Economic Impact on Fertilizer
to fields. A broad spectrum of firms participated in the study Industry. Air/Water Pollut. Rep. 11 (9), 87 (Feb. 26, 1973).
including independents, cooperatives, and company stores Due to general lack of past abatement efforts, impact of
from 29 states and Canada. Costs were broken down by fixed achieving effluent standards is expected to be significant, with
and variable. Different types of equipment were used with a plant closures in some segments of the industry. Total capital
complete breakdown of its cost. Management cost was investment is expected to range from $22/ton for a 1 MM
separated from operation. All variable cost was analyzed in ton/yr ammonia plant to $140/ton for a 50,000 tons/yr
every detail. phosphoric acid plant. Major product price increases are
expected to be: ammonia, 2.9% or 95tſton; ammonium
394 Rate Standard Could Influence Fertilizer Producers. nitrate, 5% or $2.05/ton; urea, 4.4% or $2.50/ton; and
Green Markets 2 (9), 3 (Feb. 27, 1978). United States diammonium phosphate, 5.7% or $4.00/ton. Because of the
fertilizer producers may soon feel the effects of a federal cost increases as many as 40 plants could close. Particularly
proceeding dealing with railroad rates of return. The Interstate hard hit would be ammonium sulfate manufacturers with
Commerce Commission (ICC) plans to study the issue this plants representing 2% of capacity and 3% of manpower
summer and may allow higher rates if the ratio is judged too closing, and ammonium nitrate manufacturers with plants
low. Railroads currently earn less than 3% on net investments. representing 15% of capacity and 29% of manpower closing. A
The ICC recently rejected a proposal to increase the return total of 770 workers could be affected; however, no severe
ratio to 20%. Any significant increase in the allowable rate of impact on surrounding communities is expected.
return could result in higher prices for shipping fertilizers.
398 Economic Analysis of Proposed Effluent Guidelines for
the Fertilizer Industry. M. L. David, J. M. Malk, and C. C.
Jones (Development Planning and Research Associates, Inc.,
Manhattan, Kans.). Washington, D.C.: U.S. Environmental
POLLUTION CONTROL AND Protection Agency, EPA-230/1-73-010; 205 pp. (Nov. 1973).
ENERGY RELATED COST Five segments of 312 plants of the N and phosphate fertilizer
industry were studied to analyze the economic impact which
could result from application of proposed effluent limitation
guidelines and standards of performance for the fertilizer

54
PRICING AND COSTS

industry. Nitrogen producers are expected to pass along 1976). As a guide for interpreting the energy and pollution
control costs with higher prices, excepting the NH4NO3 effects of changing feedstocks upon the economics of manu
segment which has high control costs. The phosphate segment facturing ammonia, typical investments and operating costs of
is expected to pass along a portion of control costs, limited by new plants using natural gas, coal, and heavy fuel oil
costs of larger producers and in place pollution control feedstocks are estimated based upon conditions prevailing
facilities. Closures due to pollution control are projected to be during March 1975 and a natural gas price of $0.85/million
< 1% of capacity in the NH 3 segment, 16-24% in NH4NO3, Btu. The coal and heavy oil alternatives are not economically
and 2-10% in the urea segment. In the phosphate segments, attractive under these conditions. If the price of natural gas to
projected closures are 9-19% of the ammonium phosphate the ammonia industry were to rise to ~ $2.50/million Btu, the
capacity and 2-10% of superphosphate capacity. External calculated ammonia costs would rise from $98/ton of amino
impacts on employment and community are not expected to nia to $153/ton. This would change the economic attractive
be large as the industry is capital intensive. Pollution impacts ness of the coal- and heavy oil-based alternatives. Significant
on foreign trade of fertilizer is not expected to be as great as incremental capital investment above that of plants based
with other factors. (12 fig, 79 tables) upon natural gas, which is on the order of $ 186/annual ton of
ammonia, is involved in the alternative processes. This is as
399 United States Set Tough Rule for NPK–Chemical Spill. high as $1 1 1/annual ton of ammonia capacity for the coal
Green Markets 2 (11), 2 (Mar. 13, 1978). Fertilizer producers alternative and $21/annual ton for the heavy fuel oil alterna
who dump or spill hazardous materials into waterways will tive. Incremental production costs of S 17/ton of ammonia,
now be subject to civil fines and possible criminal penalties. which includes $8.65/ton for pollution abatement, are
The new regulations, issued by the Environmental Protection expected for the coal alternative. The corresponding incre
Agency (EPA), also authorizes the government to collect mental cost for the heavy fuel oil alternative is $45/ton of
clean-up costs from industrial polluters. The EPA list of ammonia, which includes $3.46 for pollution abatement. The
“hazardous substances” include nitric acid, phosphoric acid, investment required for a coal- or heavy oil-based plant is
sulfuric acid, and ammonia. Barge transporters of materials higher than that for one based on natural gas. Nevertheless,
could be subject to fines of up to $5 million for discharges when faced with a continuing shortage of natural gas, the
from vessels exceeding specified limits. Companies which industry will have to find other fuel and feedstocks. The
dump from other sources could be fined up to $500,000. needed pollution control technology will mean an expenditure
Polluters may also be liable for clean-up costs of up to $50 of energy equivalent to 165,000 Btuſton of ammonia for the
million for discharges from on-shore and off-shore facilites and coal alternative, and a 0.5% increase in the total energy
up to $150/gross ton for spills from vessels. required for ammonia production. Approximately 125,000
Btu are required for pollution control for the heavy fuel oil
400 The Ammonia Model. J. A. Callaway, A. K. Schwartz, alternative, corresponding to a 0.2% increase in energy
and R. G. Thompson. In the Cost of Clean Water. Houston, consumption. Thus, the relative incremental fuel use is
Texas: Gulf Publishing Co.; pp. 6-40 (1976). This study negligible, while the fuel form savings are significant. While the
evaluates the effects of restrictive wastewater effluent stand environmental impact could be significant for these alterna
ards and the increasing prices for water withdrawal on the cost tives, there are no unique problems which will be encountered
of producing ammonia and the use of water and energy in a by new ammonia plants basing production on coal and heavy
newly designed ammonia plant. This evaluation is based on a fuel oil feedstocks. Difficulties will be no greater than those
linear economic model of water use and wastewater treatment encountered in electric power generation or in industrial
for a complete ammonia production facility. The model plant boilers fired with these fuels. However, the need to address
is scaled to produce 1500 mt of ammonia per stream day using these difficulties at industrial plants will be a new experience.
either naphtha or natural gas feedstocks. A high degree of
thermal efficiency is attained by integrating the production 402 Energy for the Fertilizer Industry. D. W. Calvert (Agrico
and electric power generation activities. The wastewater Chem. Co., Tulsa, Oklahoma). Proc. 1977 NFSA Round Up
pollutants evaluated are suspended solids and total dissolved (held St. Louis, Missouri, July 20-21, 1977.) Peoria, Illinois:
solids. Evaluations are made for Houston, Texas; Trenton, National Fert. Solutions Assoc.; pp. 16-18 (1977). A review of
New Jersey; Saginaw, Michigan; and Sacramento, California. the future energy requirements for the fertilizer industry and
This chapter includes: (1) a description of the integrated agriculture in general is given. An interpretation of the federal
ammonia production/power-process facility, an identification governments role in energy regulation and conservation is
of process-related discharge streams, and specification of fººd
uture.
with recommendations and suggestions for the
Several viable alternatives for waste treatment; (2) a descrip
tion of a linear economic model of water use and waste
treatment for a representative ammonia plant; (3) an analysis 403 How Much Energy Does Fertilizer Consume? C. H.
of the effects of different levels of waste discharge restrictions
Davis and G. M. Blouin (TVA, National Fertilizer Develop.
on the use of water, energy consumption, and the cost of ment Center, Muscle Shoals, Alabama). Farm Chem. 140 (6),
producing ammonia; and (4) an extension of the basic model 18-20, 22 (June 1977). A brief description of the manu
to account for regional differences in climate and inlet water facturing processes and estimates of the energy requirements
quality. for the major fertilizer compounds and components are given
in Btu/ton. The national energy consumption of fertilizer in
401 Environmental Considerations of Selected Energy Con the United States agricultural system is estimated to be about
serving Manufacturing Process Options: Vol. VII. Ammonia 0.7% of the total. Of this total for fertilizers, about 88% is for
Energy Report. (Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, Massachu production, 1% is for transport of raw materials, and about
Setts). Industrial Res. Lab. Office Res. Dev. U.S. Environ 11% is for the transportation, storage, handling, and applica
mental Proucction Agency, EPA-600/7-76-034g, 87 pp. (Dec. tion of products.

55
PRICING AND COSTS

404 Energy Use and Economics in the Manufacture of high-priced energy has been to change from capital-intensive to
Fertilizer. J. L. Sherff (Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, energy-intensive. For plants built in the 1960's and operated
Massachusetts). In Energy, Agriculture and Waste Manage with the low-cost gas then available, more than half of the cost
ment. Ann Arbor, Michigan: Ann Arbor Sci. Publishers pp. of ammonia production was directly related to capital cost.
433-41 (1975). Edited by W. J. Jewell. Pollut. Abstr. 7, 3520. For plants built in the middle 1970's and using natural gas
The energy content of fertilizers, effects of energy shortages costing over $1.00 per 1000 cu ft, more than half of ammonia
on fertilizer availability and cost, and alternatives are dis production cost is related directly to energy. The U.S.
cussed. Ammonia requires the most energy, because of its N produced last yr about 17 million tons of ammonia. About 3
component which is the basis for almost all N fertilizers. or 4 million tons are nominally intended for the industrial
Depending on the product, N fertilizers require 49-62 million market. Owing to the business recession during the past 18
Btuſton of N in their manufacture. Phosphate fertilizers months, more than 1 million tons of ammonia normally
require 12-19 million Btuſton of P. Os including the energy destined for industry was diverted to the fertilizer market.
required to product the phosphate rock and S raw materials. That trend has now been reversed, and in 1976 that 1 million
Potash fertilizers require about 6 million Btuſton of K 20. tons of ammonia will flow to industry, and not to fertilizer.
Fuels and electric power constitute roughly 12% of the cost of Looking to the near future there are numerous announced
fertilizer manufacture. The manufacture of N fertilizers in plants and this increase in production has been viewed with
1973 required the expenditure of $172 million for fuels, considerable alarm in some quarters. Some fear that we may
largely natural gas, and $12 million for electric power. The face repetition of the earlier extreme cycles that the ammonia
manufacture of phosphate fertilizers required $63 million for industry has undergone. The best estimates available indicate
fuels, and $25 million for electric power. The total use of that there will continue to be short supplies of nitrogen
fossil fuels was 574 trillion Btu in 1973. The fertilizer industry through 1977 or 1978. There will probably be only a slight
consumes 0.3% of the nation's electric power, 0.1% of the surplus in 1979. By 1980 we will again be close to a balance in
distillate and residual oil, and 2.4% of the natural gas supply. supply-demand. On the worldwide perspective, the situation is
Problems encountered in the processing of major fertilizer raw somewhat different. Although data and projections are far less
materials are escalations in the price of gas and the cyclical accurate than for the U.S., it is projected that a worldwide
nature of the industry. With the exception of NH3, the switch deficit will still exist at the end of this decade. In fact, it is
to alternate fuels is inexpensive, but manufacturers will likely that severe nitrogen fertilizer shortages will continue to
convert only by necessity. exist in some agricultural areas. Technology is, of course,
available and is constantly being improved for production of
405 Fertilizer Production as Related to Energy Used. Agric. ammonia synthesis gas from heavy oil and from solid fossil
Econ. Stat. 25(2), 4 (Feb. 1976). Total world consumption of fuels such as coal or lignite. The nitrogen industry cannot
nitrogen fertilizer in 1972-73 was estimated at 36 million mt. easily or economically convert to an alternative feedstock.
The consumption in developing countries, however, was only 6 This industry is an essential link in our very important
million tons, or 16.7% of the total. On the basis of previous agricultural economy, and it is difficult, if not impossible, to
trends and of increased fertilizer production capacity, it is consider an industry which would merit a higher priority for
expected that the use of nitrogen fertilizer will more than natural gas than the manufacture of fertilizer.
double by 1985 to about 85 million tons. With major increases
in consumption in the developing countries by 1985, the 407 Nitrogen Pricing and Raw Materials. Agchem. Newslett.
nitrogen fertilizer requirements of these countries are expected No. 79, 3 (June 1, 1973). Higher feedstock prices for ammonia
to be more than one quarter of the total. Nitrogen production manufacturers have already become a reality. In negotiating a
has a high energy requirement. One kg of nitrogen requires new gas contract with a subsidiary of Gulf Resources Corp.
approximately 2 kg of fossil fuel for its manufacture, Agrico has contracted to pay 60 cents per cubic foot, about
packaging, transport, distribution and application. Phosphate twice the price at which previous gas contracts have been
fertilizer consumption in 1972-73 was estimated at 22 million negotiated. Thus ammonia, and nitrogen fertilizers generally,
mt, with approximately 3 million tons used in developing will have to cost more in the future. No longer are the millions
countries. By 1985 world demand is expected to increase to to put up a plant the sole requisite for being an ammonia
42.5 million tons. By then, the developing countries are producer; a gas source that will allow you to remain
expected to use 20% of the total. At these rates of competitive is required. It is a question of how long gas
consumption, lower grade rock and/or deposits less favorably supplies will be available in the U.S. that can allow production
placed than those used at present will then have to be drawn to continue here.
upon. The production of one kg of phosphate fertilizer
requires about 0.25 kg of fossil fuel equivalent. In 1972-73 408 Natural Gas Pricing. Chem. Eng. News 54 (28), 10 (July
consumption of potash fertilizer stood at 18.75 million mt. Of 5, 1976). Prices for new supplies of natural gas are turning up
this, about 10% was used in developing countries. By 1985, again after a slight downturn in the first half of the yi.
world demand for potassium fertilizer is expected to increase Chemical plant operators may have to pay $2.00/million Btu
to about 38 million tons/yr, with 6.6 million tons going to the or about 10% more for gas following a recent landmark sale at
developing countries. Shortages of raw material are not fore $1.95/million Btu plus transportation by Houston Oil &
seen at present. The production of one kg of potassium fertili Minerals to a United Gas Pipe Line subsidiary. Actual prices
zer requires approximately 0.18 kg of fossil fuel equivalent. vary because of well characteristics and locality.
406 Change in Energy Cost and Sources for Ammonia. J. A. 409 The Effects of Alternative Natural Gas Pricing Policies
Finneran. Chem. Eng. News 54 (17), 26 (Apr. 19, 1976). A on the Market for Anhydrous Ammonia Fertilizer. H. W.
major characteristic of the nitrogen industry has changed in Everett and O. C. Doering III (Purdue Univ., Lafayette,
the past 3 yr. For the nitrogen industry the effect of Indiana). Paper, Annual Meeting Am. Agric. Econ. Assoc.

56
PRICING AND COSTS

Columbus, Ohio; 11 pp. (Aug. 10-13, 1975). An econometric area which would have provided a more favorable industrial
analysis of anhydrous ammonia supply and demand is made in rate than the rest of central Canada.
the context of policy alternatives to maintain natural gas input
for fertilizer. It was shown that the price of gas explains some 413 Higher Gas Prices Will Increase Price for Nitrogen
of the variation in the quantity of ammonia supplied; the Products in the United Kingdom. Green Markets 1 (38), 2
relationship was an inverse one. This study also indicated that (Oct. 31, 1977). The United Kingdom's Imperial Chemical
the price of ammonia is not significant in its relationship with Industries (ICI), and the state owned British Natural Gas Corp.
demand. Other studies have shown price to play a significant are close to signing a new contract under which ICI would pay
role in the quantity demanded. This model may require some more for its natural gas feedstock. United Kingdom fertilizer
restructuring and refinement. The immediate problem is how producers are hopeful that higher gas prices to ICI will restore
to maintain or increase the availability of natural gas to competition in the N fertilizer market. Industry officials
ammonia producers at any price. speculated that ICI will have to pay three to four times its
present rate for gas. If so, ICI's price of ammonia would
410 Gas Prices Alter United States Ammonia. Outlook. Fert. increase 50% and result in a 25% price rise for ammonium
Int. No. 89, 1 (Nov. 1976). The natural gas prices announced nitrate. Fertilizer producers are also confident that the market
in July by the United States Federal Power Commission (FPC) can withstand a price increase of fertilizer from $119/mt to
have been revised as a result of consumer pressure. Further about $150/mt.
changes may follow with the result that gas exploration and
exploitation in the United States may not receive the 414 Gas Shortage May Affect Fertilizers. New Products and
encouragement necessary to secure future supplies. The Processes, Newsweek Inc. 2 (1), 1 (Mar. 25, 1977). At present,
outcome is of particular relevance to the fertilizer industry natural gas is the primary feedstock for producing ammonia,
because of the use of natural gas as a feedstock for ammonia which is the base liquid from which almost all N fertilizers are
production. The gas shortages blamed on Government price made. The hydrogen required to make ammonia can also be
restrictions are important to the fertilizer industry on two derived from coal, of which the U.S. and the world has
counts. They result in curtailment of supply and as domestic adequate reserves, but the technology necessary for converting
consumers have priority this leads to a loss of production. Last coal to ammonia synthesis gas is still in the experimental stage.
yr it is estimated that 360,000 tons of ammonia production The Tennessee Valley Authority produces N fertilizer and has
was lost as a result of gas curtailments and a similar reduction been delving into the coal-to-ammonia process for the past 2
in output is forecast again this yr by The Fertilizer Institute. yr. They hope to begin work on a demonstration plant at
The second factor relates to the long-term supplies of Muscle Shoals, Alabama in 1979. Hopefully, this plant, which
feedstock for the industry. While the price paid by gas users is slated to come on stream by 1983, will provide much of the
remains uneconomic insufficient exploration and exploitation process technology needed to make it possible to launch
will take place with the result that even larger shortages may commercial production of N fertilizers from coal at about the
occur in the future. The U.S. nitrogen fertilizer industry is time it will no longer be practical to produce fertilizer from
essentially orientated to the home market and so it is more natural gas.
concerned with securing adequate feedstock than the effect
gas prices will have on exports. 415 An Evaluation of Coal as a Source of Synthetic
Fertilizer Production. Sidney Katell (Bureau of Mines, U.S.
411 Ammonia Makers Face Investment Problems. Chem. Dep. Interior, West Virginia). In F.A.I. Symp. Coal Feedstock
Mark. Rep. 213 (4), 7, 12 (Jan. 23, 1978). Increasing raw Fertilizer Production 1974. New Delhi, India: Fert. Ass. India,
material prices, the availability of low alternative value gas, pp. IV-2/1-9 (June 1974) (price Rs.20). Coal was used for
and gas curtailment programs in the United States present many yr as the basic source of raw material in the production
ammonia producers with major problems regarding feedstock of synthetic fertilizers. The advent of relatively cheap natural
location decisions for new investments. For instance, the gas led to the almost complete replacement of coal both in the
marginal cost of ammonia from a Middle East plant today can United States and other countries. However, recent develop.
be as low as $15/ton compared to $90/ton for United States ments involving the short supply of natural gas and the
producers operating plants built at the end of the 1960's. increasing demand throughout the world for fertilizers have
These issues are further complicated by capital costs and reactivated the potential use of coal. The coal systems that can
reliability differences between the various regions of the be considered are explored based on recent research and
world. Both fertilizer and industrial uses of ammonia are development efforts and the potential economics of
approaching maturity in developed countries. Consumption in commercial applications.
developing countries has reached the level where future growth
will have an important impact on new investment decisions 416 Coal Resources for Nitrogenous Fertilizer Plants. S. K.
and total world demand. Bose (Ministry Steel and Mines, New Delhi, India), T. N. Basu,
and D. Basu. In F.A.I. Symp. Coal Feedstock Fertilizer
412 Canadian Ammonia Units Face Gas Price Increase. Eur. Production 1974. New Delhi, India: Fert. Ass. India, pp.
Chem. News 23 (587), 6 (June 8, 1973). Three major I-1/1-16 (June 1974) (price Rs.20). With unprecedented oil
Canadian ammonia producers, Canadian Industries, Brockville price hike, attention may be given to developing basic fertilizer
Chemicals, and Cyanamid of Canada, are facing stiff increases industry employing established indigenous coal resources as
in the price of natural gas. The National Energy Board has feedstock. Out of 83,000 million mt of coal and lignite
authorized price increases on natural gas produced outside the reserves, nearly 75% is noncoking coal, substantially suitable
main production area of Alberta. It has turned down a for fertilizer manufacture. During the 5th Plan, production of
proposal by Union Gas, the supplier to the three ammonia coal is expected to increase from 78 to 135 million mt and to
producers, to establish a special southwestern Ontario delivery over 200 million mt by the end of the 6th Plan. Considering

57
PRICING AND COSTS

for the present, coal quality up to Grade II (28%—ash + SUBSIDIES, TARIFFS, AND TAXES
moisture), coal fields, where coal based fertilizer plants can be
considered during 6th Plan, are Rajmahal, East Raniganj, East
Bokaro, South Karanpura, North Karanpura, Hutar,
Bisrampur, IB River, Kamptee, Chanda, Lakhanpur, and 420 Fertilizer Subsidies. Dana Dalrymple. Develop Digest.
Singrauli. However, the actual location would depend upon 14 (1), 113-24 (Jan. 1976). FAI Abstr. Ser 15, C24. Subsidies
various other factors. In addition, the existing fertilizer plants intended to stimulate the use of fertilizers by farmers are
at Talcher, Korba, Ramagundam, and Neyveli can be expanded relatively common in developing countries and appear to be
in the future. increasing. But they can become very costly, especially since
the 1974 increase in fertilizer prices; they present administra.
417 Resources of Coal as Feedstock for Ammonia tive problems; and their effectiveness in producing the desired
Synthesis—Prospects and Retrospect. B. Kaskar (Geological result may be questioned. The author summarizes various
Survey India, Calcutta, India). In F.A.I. Symp. Coal Feedstock types of subsidies and notes that they should be used very
Fertilizer Production 1974. New Delhi, India: Fert. Ass. India, cautiously and selectively. There may be cases where they can
pp. 1-3/1-16 (June 1974) (price Rs.20). The development of help to introduce fertilizer or be of assistance to small and/or
the fertilizer industry in India is reviewed and the reasons for poor farmers. There also may be instances where adjustments
the shift from coal to petroleum feedstock for production of in product prices can help direct their use to certain crops, but
ammonia are brought out. The prospects of utilizing coal as allowing product prices to rise and using limited funding
feedstock for ammonia production in the period of oil crisis elsewhere usually leads to the better identification of con
are analyzed. The potential deposits of superior quality straints on fertilizer use to increasing the efficiency of
noncoking coal in the country are listed. fertilizer distribution, and to optimize utilization of available
fertilizer. This would, however require much more knowledge
418 Indian Coals and Their Suitability for the Production of about the fertilizer situation at the farm level than presently
Nitrogenous Fertilizers. A. K. Moitra, N. C. Sinha, and K. C. exists in most developing nations.
Lahiri (Central Fuel Res. Inst., Dhanbad, India). In F.A.I.
Symp. Coal Feedstock Fertilizer Production 1974. New Delhi, 421 Economics of Fertilizer Use—An Overview with
India: Fert. Ass. India, pp. I-2/1-18 (June 1974) (price Rs.20). Emphasis on Subsidies. J. W. Couston (FAO, Rome, Italy). In
The general quality specifications of coal for established FAI-FAO Seminar Strategy Stimulating Fertilizer Consump
gasification processes for the manufacture of synthesis gas for tion 1976 Proc. (held New Delhi, India, Dec. 9-11, 1976). New
fertilizer production are outlined. Concurrences and up-to-date Delhi India; Fert. Association India III-1 (i) 1-9 (Mar. 1977).
reserve estimates for different types of coal in Indian coal fields The relationship between the price of agriculture produce and
have been indicated. The physical and chemical characteristics fertilizer price is one of the important determinants of
of coal seams so far assessed by the coal survey organization of fertilizer consumption in any economy. In countries where
Central Fuel Research Institute have been classified into Coal this relationship is favorable, fertilizer use has increased to
Code Ranks, represented by three parameters: calorific value, high levels and so has agricultural productivity. The experi
volatile matter, and caking characteristics (coke type). About ences of Japan and Thailand, which are countires at the
four-fifths of the total coal reserves of 81 billion mt consists of opposite ends of this spectrum, demonstrate the validity of
weakly caking to non-caking variety, almost all of which may this thesis. However, there are many other variables which
be utilized for synthesis gas manufacture with appropriate affect the farmer's decision to use fertilizer, including factors
modifications of equipment. The field-wise and state-wise like the incremental response to fertilizer use, cost of other
details of ranges of important physical and chemical properties items such as labor, water, and the residual value of fertilizer
of coal are also provided. Qualities of some typical coal seams in the following season. Certain research studies have shown
considered suitable for establishing large gasification plants for that the short-run price elasticity of demand for fertilizers in
production of synthesis gas in the States of Andhra, Bihar, the developing countries of Asia varies from-0.30 to -1.20
M.P., U.P., Maharashtra, and West Bengal are presented. which is rather a wide range. This may be explained by the
proposition that farmers who already use higher rates of
419 Economics of Coal Based Urea Production. T. L. fertilizer and are consequently on the upper and flatter part of
Shankar (Planning Commission, New Delhi, India). In F.A.I. the response curve are more sensitive to changes in price of
Symp. Coal Feedstock Fertilizer Production 1974. New Delhi, fertilizer than farmers on the lower and steeper part of the
India: Fert. Ass. India, pp. IV-5/1-6 (June 1974) (price Rs.20). response curve.
Results of studies conducted by the Project Appraisal Division
of the Planning Commission on the relative economics of 422 Price Support Versus Input Subsidy for Food Self
production of urea based on different feedstocks are Sufficiency in Developing Countries. Randolph Barker and
presented. Process based on electrolysis was not included in Yujiro Hayami (Int. Rice Res. Inst., Los Banos, Philippines).
the study as it has been found uneconomic and production Am. J. Agric. Econ. 58 (4, Part I), 617-28 (Nov. 1976).
technology based on natural gas was also excluded because of Self-sufficiency in food grains has been a publicized goal of
its limited availability. Thus the comparison of relative government policy in many developing countries. Among
economics would be essentially with reference to naphtha, fuel various alternatives to achieve this goal, two policy options,
oil, and coal, and with the recent oil crisis, it would be output price support and input subsidy, both characterized by
essentially between coal and fuel oil. Comparative economics the government intervention into market pricing, are evaluated
of coal based and fuel oil based plants at varying prices of raw by applying a simple demand-supply model to the Philippine
materials, on stream efficiencies, and of plants are presented. rice economy. The results demonstrate a possibility that a
Factors for consideration in setting up coal-based plants are subsidy applied to modern inputs, such as fertilizers, that are
discussed. being used below optimum can be more beneficial than

58
PRICING AND COSTS

supporting product prices. production is small, and are not applicable at all to the
under-developed northern region. The N contained in foreign
423 Input Subsidies for Variable Resources in Agriculture. monoammonium phosphate or diammonium phosphate is
W. L. Nieuwoudt (Univ. Natal, Natal, South Africa). Can J. excluded from the quotas.
Agr. Econ. 20 (2), 118-19 (July 1972). Benefits from subsidies
of variable resources, such as fertilizer, are compared with the 428 Brazil Protects Domestic Rock. Green Markets 2 (2), 3
cost to the taxpayer. When farmers apply less fertilizer than (Jan. 9, 1978). Brazil's National Customs Council has adopted
they should a subsidy causes use to increase. Both farmers and two measures designed to reduce phosphate rock imports. The
the fertilizer industry benefit and there is a net benefit to council recently imposed a 30% duty on foreign rock and a
society. However, the subsidy should not be so great that duty waiver that applies only to companies that use equal
application exceeds the rate that farmers should have been amounts of imported and Brazilian rock. The regulation was
using. enacted to protect the Brazilian rock producer, Arafertil.
Fertilizer prices are expected to increase 20 to 25% as a result
424 Australian Fertilizer Bounty. Chem. Age (London) 111 of the new duties.
(2940), 9 (Nov. 21, 1975). The Australian bounty on
nitrogenous fertilizers is to be phased out over a 3 yr period if 429 Canadian Additional Potash Tax Proposed. Chem. Week
the recommendations of the Industries Assistance Commission 114 (20), 33 (May 15, 1974). A levy, which would be in
is accepted by the Ministry of Agriculture. In Western addition to the current $1.20/ton prorationing fee and the
Australia a price war has broken out with urea being offered to 50¢/ton royalty on potash, would apply to all potash
farmers at A$127/mt fob, Fremantle. Only a month ago CSBP operations. The Mineral Resources Minister says the amount
and farmers were selling urea at A$178.70/mt, it then dropped and precise form of the added tax are now being discussed
to A$144.60 and was followed by an offer from Rural Traders with the industry.
Coop to sell product at A$127/mt. The company says it can
obtain 10,000 mt of urea from Romania if there are firm 430 Canadian Potash Producers Want Tax Break. Chem.
orders and the urea would qualify for the Australian govern Week 116 (10), 34 (Mar. 5, 1975). Potash producers are not
ment bounty. This yr has proved traumatic because of sharp satisfied with a recent promise from Premier Allan Blakeney
price increases and the government's referral of the fertilizer that some royalties paid to the province would be deductible
bounty to the Industrial Assistance Commission, which had from provincial taxes. A spokesman for the Saskatchewan
led farmers to hold back from buying in the hope that the Mining Association estimates these deductions—lease charges,
bounty might be restored. prorationing fees, and some royalty payments—will amount to
a 5% cut in the 88% combined federal and provincial tax rate.
425 Australia Supports Superphosphates Use. Chem. Week The industry says the tax is exorbitant and discourages private
118 (7), 67 (Feb. 18, 1976). Superphosphates fertilizer use in investment in the potash industry. As a result of imposition
Australia will be boosted by the new government’s decision to of the tax last fall, Saskatchewan potash producers are said
restore a $15/ton subsidy that had been dropped by the Labor to have put off investments of $175-200 million. They are
Party regime at the end of 1974. The subsidy will remain in seeking a switch to a tax based on profits rather than onselling
effect until June 1977. The decision is expected to spark price of potash.
protests from other mining and industrial firms that have been
refused aid. 431 Potash Tax Levied by Canada. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 206
(18), 14 (Oct. 28, 1974). The Saskatchewan government
426 Argentina's Fertilizer Guotas Drop as Levies Increase. announced a new tax proposal this week concerning potash
Green Markets 1 (33), 8 (Sept. 26, 1977). Argentina will not that would vary for each individual mine based upon the
restrict fertilizer imports; it will increase duties. The govern capacity and total ore reserves of the project. The plan also
ment is lifting import quotas for agri-chemicals, but is includes government participation in all new expansions either
increasing import levies on certain products. The country is as a “majority partner in a joint ventue or full owner” of the
imposing a 15% duty on urea and nitrogen mixtures. The duty new plant. This tax would be added to the already existing
for urea had been 5%, while that for mixtures was 10%. The royalties that the government places on the industry. As part
duty on ammonium sulfate was raised from 10% to 15%. of the new plan, the government expressed hopes that potash
There was also a reduction of import duties from 50% to 15% producers in the Province will expand their current mining
on ammonium chloride and complex fertilizers, which were operations with the stipulation that all new areas would have
already being freely imported. government participation on an equity basis, whereby the
government would either be the majority partner in a joint
427 Brazil Resumes Restrictive Import Policy. Fert. Int. No. venture or the full owner. The new tax should take about 20%
74, 1, 9 (Aug. 1975). The Brazilian Government has reintro of the total industry revenue for the year which is projected at
duced measures to protect its domestic fertilizer industry over $430 million.
threatened by the much easier supply of imported material.
The restriction is a return to the quota system where mixers 432 Canadian Potash Reserve Tax. Chem. Week 117 (14), 19
and granulators are only permitted to buy a certain amount of (Oct. 1, 1975). Canadian potash producers have lost a round in
imported produce depending on the amount of domestically their battle with the Saskatchewan government over the
produced material that is processed through their plants. The province's reserve tax. The Court of the Queen's Bench refused
quota for the more important central and southern regions is to grant a request by the Canadian Potash Producers Associa
1.1 mt N imported to 1 mt N of domestic produce and 1 mt tion to order the provincial government to refund taxes
P.O.s imported to 0.6 tonnes P.O.s of Brazilian origin. These already paid if the tax is found unconstitutional as a result of
limits apply only to N in the northeast, where phosphate another action filed by the association. Producers have paid

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PRICING AND COSTS

about $52 million of the $60 million in reserve taxes due for The decline in consumption of fertilizers, began in 1973 when
the second and third quarters. Under provincial statutes, the the quantity used was only 91,944 tons, picked up again
government is not liable to repay taxes, even if they are slightly in 1974 and 1975 was 99,835 tons.
illegally collected. The producers association president, termed
the court’s ruling disappointing, but he said it would in no way 438 Subsidy for Ammonia Import to United Kingdom
affect the association's plans to challenge the constitutionality Requested. Chem. Mark. Rep. 207 (6), 5 (Feb. 10, 1975). The
of the provincial law. president of the U.K. Fertilizer Manufacturers’ Association has
asked the British Government to introduce a subsidy on
433 Royalty Agreements Reached Between Potash Company imported ammonia, because the U.K. industry is faced with a
of America and New Brunswick. Eng. Min. J. 178 (12), 126 rising scarcity of home-produced ammonia. He calls the
(Dec. 1977). A $106 million potash mine and processing plant subsidy the only way in which the shortfall can be met, since
will be developed at Sussex by the Potash Company of ammonia imports cannot help because its high cost forbids
America, following an agreement on royalty rates with the economic resale in Britain. The price of ammonia-based
New Brunswick provincial government. The company now fertilizer in the U.K. is between $156 and $168 per ton; so
operates an 800,000 ton/yr potash operation 12 miles from that to make the exercise economically viable makers would
Sasktoon, Saskatchewan. The royalty rate will be fixed at need a subsidy big enough to offset the $96 to $120 a ton
6.25% of the value of potash products loaded on rail cars at extra on the finished product that use of imported ammonia
Sussex. The agreement also allows the government to take up would entail.
to 25% equity in the venture
439 United Kingdom Phosphorus Tariff Ouota. Eur. Chem.
434 India Forced into Heavy Subsidies on Fertilizers. Eur. News 24 (608), 8 (Nov. 2, 1973). Under the Act of Accession
Chem. News 25 (629), 8 (Mar. 29, 1974). The Indian to the EEC, the U.K. has been authorized to open an annual
government will be forced to pay out a massive Rs.3000 tariff quota for phosphorus of a volume corresponding to U.K.
million subsidy for imported fertilizers in 1974-75 as a result needs but not in excess of 40,000 tons. The U.K.'s Depart
of the steep increase in international prices. The subsidy could ment of Trade and Industry (DTI) proposes to open a nil duty
be avoided by the imposition of 100% fertilizer price increase. quota for 1974 of 36,000 tons.
The government is anxious to avoid this, having already
refused to raise the price of naphtha for ammonia production 440 Embargo on Fertilizers Needed. Ag-Chem Newslett., No.
despite the four-fold increase in crude prices. India will import 82, 4 (Sept. 1, 1973). The president of CF Industries, Inc.,
more than 3.2 million tons of fertilizers in the next financial called for an immediate abandonment of price controls or an
yr, of which more than half will be urea. Prices for imported embargo on fertilizer exports in a letter to U.S. Agriculture
diammonium phosphate (DAP) have increased to $250/ton Secretary. He warned that unless prompt action is taken
cost including freight. Poland has now agreed to supply India available domestic supplies of N and P will not be sufficient
with 200,000 tons of urea, 34,000 tons of phosphate for the increased crop acres put back into production in 1972.
fertilizers, and 160,000 tons of S this yr under a new trade He reported that recent export sales of DAP were at a figure
agreement. More domestic urea will become available in India $30 to $35 above CF's domestic price. If U.S. farmers must
in 1974-75 when the naphtha-based Barauni fertilizer plant bid against offshore buyers, their fertilizer costs will double.
comes into production with its 330,000 tons/yr urea capacity. CF’s vice-president told the same story in a speech before the
Startup is scheduled for the yr-end. American Institute for Cooperation. An embargo, he warned,
is the only hope for ensuring that U.S. farmers will have
435 Japanese Seeks Fertilizer Tariff. Chem. Age (London) adequate fertilizer next yr. Nitrogen exports will have to be
114 (3006), 1 (Feb. 25, 1977). Japanese fertilizer producers reduced by 36%, he suggested, and phosphate by 47% from
are to seek immediate tariff protection from the Japanese last year's levels, otherwise the U.S. will be short 490,000 tons
government to stop the alleged dumping of US produced of N and 670,000 tons of P30s. Looking to the future, he
ammonium phosphate. The Japanese Phosphatic & Compound predicted that fertilizer prices must rise. With plant
Fertiliser Manufacturers' Association decided at an emergency construction more expensive, and gas costs mounting,
meeting recently to ask the government to impose special ammonia will cost $22 to $38 more per ton to manufacture,
tariffs on imports from the US, particularly Florida. According depending on the source of gas. Escalating costs of S and
to sources in Japan, ammonium phosphate of US origin is phosphate rock, as well as increased capital investment and
currently being sold in Japan at Y5000/mt cif, a price below higher operating costs will raise the cost of phosphate
US production costs. fertilizers by $15 to $20 per ton, he predicted.
436 Spain Lifts Ammonia Custom Duty. Chem. Age 441 Fertilizer Embargo by United States Could Hurt
(London) 107 (2838), 13 (Dec. 7, 1973). Spain has lifted its Farmers. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 205 (10), 21 (Mar. 11, 1974). The
customs duties on the import of ammonia for the period of 3 Fertilizer Institute warned that an embargo on U.S. exports of
months. The step has been taken to guarantee supplies to the fertilizers would be contrary to the best interests of the
country’s fertilizer industry. farmer, the industry, and the American consumer. Embargo
bills would not even secure temporary relief for farmers now
437 Sri Lanka's Fertilizer Subsidies. J. Flour Anim. Feed facing a critically short fertilizer supply for the Spring
Milling 159 (9), 32 (Sept. 1976). The Govenment of Sri Lanka planting. An embargo would invite retaliation from countries
has decided to provide fertilizer to all farmers at subsidized such as Canada, Brazil, the Netherlands, and Japan which
rates in the future. The Government now extends this subsidy depend on U.S. materials and also supply fertilizer to
to tea, rubber, coconut, and producers of other food crops in supplement U.S. needs. The U.S. imported 3.9 million tons of
the country, which were afforded no such subsidy in the past. fertilizer during the last half of 1973 while exports took only

60
PRICING AND COSTS

3.7 million tons. government action they favored.

442 Florida Phosphate Severence Tax Doubled. Phosphorus 446 Little Chance of Lower World Fertilizer Prices. Chem.
Potassium No. 90; 12 (July-Aug. 1977). The Florida State Age (London) 109 (2888), 2 (Nov. 22, 1974). There is little
Legislature has recently doubled the rate of severence tax on prospect of a decrease in fertilizer prices and supplies of
phosphate rock from 5% to 10% effective July 1. This will nitrogen are likely to remain tight for a number of years,
yield about $1.15/mt of phosphate, an increase of 60 cents/mt according to the president of the Fertiliser Manufacturers'
over last yr rate. The tax, which is payable by the customers, is Association. If fertilizer prices had merely risen in line with
levied by the State Government as a percentage of the Tampa inflation over the past 20 years, they would be 33-40% higher
rock price less transportation, drying, and processing costs. than they are at present. Between 1971 and 1973 a series of
plant breakdowns, rising world demand, and the shortage of
fuel and feedstocks caused a shortage to develop. Because of
current oil prices, natural gas prices will rise to equate them
and there is no possibility of nitrogen price levels returning to
GENERAL those prevailing before the oil crisis. Due to Morocco's
position as the dominant exporter and price leader, we may all
have to live with higher phosphate costs. Potash prices have
not risen as rapidly as those of other fertilizer components,
443 Fertilizer Prices—A Delicate Subject. Fert. Int. No. 49, 4 and massive price increases for potash in the immediate future
(July 1973). Between the late 1960's and mid-1971, prices for are not expected. Production of potash in commercial
fertilizers were at very low levels, due to overcapacity in both quantities will be underway in the U.K. in 1975. This will put
raw material and manufacturing sectors. Now the prices, the U.K. in the fortunate position of being a net exporter in
particularly for export, are once again at the mid-1960's high future.
levels. Nevertheless, fertilizer prices have not shown the rises
of other industries, since new technologies and heavy compe 447 Fertilizer Price Surge Slowing. Wall Street J. (East
tition have featured strongly in containing any price rises. Now Edition) 184 (128), 10 (Dec. 31, 1974). The surge in fertilizer
it is considered that with rising costs of feedstocks and raw prices that contributed to the recent jump in farming costs
materials generally, the overall inflationary trends, with higher appears to be flattening, but the outlook for fertilizer demand
labor, marketing and distribution costs and more stringent remains bullish, according to the Agriculture Department. The
pollution control, with its additional cost burden, prices will department's Economic Research Service predicted that
continue upward. These views were expressed at the Rome farmers may pay 10% to 15% more a ton for fertilizer during
ISMA Conference held May 30-June 3, 1973. the 1975 planting Season, but such an increase would be well
below the more than 100% price increase since price controls
444 Fertilizer Prices Strong. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 203 (8), 4, 15 went off in the fall of 1973. It may also signal the end to the
(Feb. 19, 1973). Fertilizer prices at all marketing levels will be violent upward price spiral of recent months. Signs are noted
bullish in 1973, says the U.S. Department of Agriculture. that farmers' fertilizer purchases slackened noticeably during
Prices of some specific items –urea, concentrated Superphos the last half of this yr compared with 1973, while inventories
phate, some of the ammonium phosphate, most likely will of basic materials have been rising.
increase. Prices for high analysis phosphates will continue to
be particularly unyielding because the foreign market for 448 Will Fertilizer Prices Hold Up? Chem. Week 116 (4), 25
phosphates is booming. If a soft spot develops, it could be in (Jan. 22, 1975). This year could well prove crucial for
the price of potash. Demand will be strong for most fertilizers phosphate fertilizer pricing. New plants are coming onstream
as farmers press for high yields with expanded acreage because that will push rated capacity for phosphoric acid beyond
of farm program changes. Fertilizer price changes were slight demand by a fair margin, and there is some talk that producers
in 1972, as a combination of competitive forces and price are pricing themselves out of markets, that farmers will cut
controls kept price movements at a minimum at both the purchases sharply this yr because residual phosphates stored in
manufacturing and retail levels. the soil can supply much of crop needs for a yr or so.
Meanwhile, there are indications that farmers’ enthusiasm for
445 Fertilizer Prices Increased on Domestic Market. Wall phosphate fertilizers is already moderating. The Fertilizer
Street J. (East Edition) 182 (88), 20 (Nov. 2, 1973). The first Institute's index for the first 5 months of the fertilizer yr
round of fertilizer price increases since the Cost of Living shows that producers shipped a mere 1% more phosphates
Council removed price ceilings from the fertilizer industry than during the same period a yr ago. And because producers
appears to be taking shape. In Raleigh, N.C., Texasgulf, Inc. turned out 4% more material than during the same period last
said that effective immediately it is raising domestic list prices yr, inventories have started to build. However, if U.S. acid
for phosphate and potash fertilizer to levels comparable with producers get all the rock they need to operate plants at
prices in the export market. The Texasgulf action follows capacity, they will have ample acid for export. Thus, if exports
similar moves by W. R. Grace & Co. and American Cyanamid of rock decline, those of other phosphate products could take
Co. Industry spokesmen said the price increases range from up the slack. Fertilizer Institute President recently warned
20-40% and more, with fertilizer products previously selling in producers to watch inventories of phosphate products. On the
the $60-$80/ton range currently priced above $100/ton in other hand, farmers seem to be watching prices rather than
most cases. Other fertilizer producers are expected to follow supplies.
suit after having lobbied successfully in Washington for
permission to raise prices. Producers indicated they would 449 Fertilizer Prices to Stabilize. Chem. Age (London) 111
return fertilizer supplies to domestic markets as a result of (94.44-5), 7 (Dec. 19, 1975). World fertilizer prices can be

61
PRICING AND COSTS

expected to harden significantly in 1976 as a result of the and repayment of loans was assessed as $2.835 million/month
news of the failure of the Soviet grain harvest in 1975. The giving a total loss of $5.130 million/month.
effect of all this will be a hardening of demand in the US for
fertilizers, particularly during the spring. This in turn will 452 Ammonium Sulfate Demand-Price Up. Chem. Mark.
tighten supplies and prices on the world market following the Rep. 209 (12), 36 (Mar. 15, 1976). Some fertilizer companies
collapse in prices and demand this yr. Farmers in the United have announced price increases for ammonium sulfate. This is
Kingdom are facing a further round to price increases. All the the result of strengthening demand in a confusing fertilizer
major United Kingdom fertilizer producers, ICI, Shellstar, market. Allied's price for the granulated chemical jumped
Fisons, and Albright & Wilson have applications in with the from $45 to $50/ton in bulk, fob Hopewell, Virginia. The
Price Commissions at the moment to increase prices, in most price of regular grade ammonium sulfate will remain
cases, apparently, across the board. The levels of the price unchanged at $35/ton, fob Hopewell and $45, fob Tampa,
application is probably around the 10% level for compound Florida. Nipro has also boosted prices. Regular grade ammo
fertilizers. Whether the producers will be able to introduce the nium sulfate will increase in price from $35 to $40, while the
full level of increases they are allowed is quite another matter. granular form will increase from $45 to $50. Shipments are
fob Augusta, Georgia. There is enough uncertainty in the
450 High-Nitrogen Fertilizer Cost May Increase 50%. Feed market to keep producers unsure of which direction to move.
stuffs 46 (3), 5, 39 (Jan. 21, 1974). The U.S. Dep. Agr. said While forecasts are optimistic, price competition has led to
the 1974 bill for farmers in the U.S. may go to $4 billion, discounting from unacceptably high prices and to multiple
nearly 40% above 1973. A ton of fertilizer will cost over $100 price changes.
this yr as compared with $78 estimated for 1973. Early
indications are that prices for fertilizers with a high N content 453 World Urea Prices Soar. Jap. Chem. Week 15 (731), 5
may be up 50% this spring from a yr earlier, and phosphates (May 2, 1974). At present, Southeast Asian countries such as
may be up 40%. Perhaps 8% more N and P will be available in South Vietnam, Indonesia, and India are importing urea at the
1974, but demand at current prices probably will not be extraordinary high price of $280/ton f.o.b. South Vietnam
satisfied. The shift to use of separate materials has stalled. For imported 120-130,000 tons of urea from West Europe at the
the third straight yr, the proportion of separate materials price of $300/ton f.o.b. Indonesia purchased 60,000 tons of
averaged 48% of total consumption, and the use of liquid urea from the East European bloc at the price of $300/ton
fertilizers declined for the first time in recent years. Exports c.i.f. India purchased 400,000 tons of urea made in the East
were $468 million in the 1972-73 fiscal yr. This was 38% more European bloc, during one yr at the price of $270/ton f.o.b.
than during the preceding 12 months. The U.S. was a net Both ammonium sulfate and urea made in Japan for shipment
importer of urea and some other N fertilizers; however, due to in 1973 fertilizer yr have been sold out immediately after the
greatly increased exports of ammonia and ammonium phos opening of 1973 fertilizer yr, and the numerous export
phates, the U.S. remained a net exporter of N by nearly two to inquiries for N fertilizers now being received are for shipment
one. The outlook for 1974 world markets is a tight N supply in 1974 fertilizer yr.
and continued strong demand. No let-up in demand for
phosphate fertilizer can be foreseen for the first half of 1974, 454 Urea Producers See Strong Fall Pricing. Chem. Mark.
while world demand to produce P. Os is expected to increase Rep. 210 (5), 11 (Aug. 2, 1976). Urea prices vary with
12% by the latter part of the yr. This will provide relief for a geographical area. In the rice belt, which is centered in
tight supply situation and no problems are anticipated in the Arkansas, prices for domestic material are at their lowest level,
world markets for potash. between $120 and $130/ton delivered. Wheat belt prices are
running somewhat higher, between $130-$140. The fall season
451 Ammonia Plant Breakdown Cost. Eur. Chem. News 28 starts in August, and planting is expected to continue through
(732), 26 (Apr. 16, 1976). The safety problems which arise in October., about 57.7 million acres. While most producers
large-scale ammonia plants are similar to those associated with report that the distribution pipelines are almost empty, there
any large petrochemical plant, but the impact of a developing is a strong possibility that they will take their own time filling
country's economy of an ammonia plant breakdown can have up. Many distributors were squeezed last Spring, buying
a greater significance than that for any other product. To material early but not selling it until late in the season, when
stress the significance of the problem, the economic impact of prices had collapsed. These distributors may not be too
such an interruption was analyzed. Taking account of the lost anxious to rush in and buy fertilizer until they know which
production, lost profit, and losses associated with the fixed way the market will turn. This could create a transportation
cost component of the production cost, the calculation of the bottleneck in the fall, but most of the producers questioned
financial losses were based on the following assumptions: (1) did not believe this will happen. Urea prices West of the
no provisions are made in the complex for storage of Rockies range between $135 and $150/ton. Imported material
ammonia, (2) capital costs are based on late 1975 costs for is running at about $100/ton on the East and West Coast
ammonia plants between 925 and 1000 ton/day and equi Lesser developed nations were formerly good markets for
valent urea production of 1600 to 1725 ton/day, totalling fertilizer, but many of them are still in the process of working
between $190 and $250 million, (3) plants operate at 90% off inventories from the shortage scare 2 yr ago. World wide
design capacity, (4) losses based on depreciation rate and costs inflation and higher oil prices have also hurt their reserves of
predicted for a plant operating in 1980, when predicted urea hard currency.
market price will not be lower than $137-155 ton, and (5)
ammonia production is based on low-cost local resources of 455 Export Phosphate Rock Price Increase. Chem. Week 113
natural gas. On these assumptions the unavoidable financial (12), 25 (Sept. 19, 1973). Phosphate Rock Export Association
loss (fixed cost component) of a plant breakdown was assessed (Phosrock) has boosted prices of Florida phosphate rock,
as $2.295 million/month. Losses associated with lost profit effective Jan. 1, 1974. The new schedule replaces one in effect

62
PRICING AND COSTS

since Mar. 1, 1973. The range of increases: $3/long ton, to a schedule—its third since June 13. The new list puts Canadian
new price of $12.40 for 66% BPL material; $4.50/long ton to potash tabs for standard, soluble, coarse, and granular grades
$19, for 77% BPL material. at 574, 634, 61%, and 634/unit, respectively, f.o.b. Potasco,
Saskatchewan. All are 3-44/unit above prices posted in August
456 Export Phosphate Rock Price to Increase. Chem. Week and 10-11 &/unit higher than those in effect during July and
114 (18), 17 (May 1, 1974). Export prices of phosphate rock August 1974. Prices of potash produced at PCA's Carlsbad,
will increase about 50% on July 1. The Phosphate Rock New Mexico, mine were also advanced. From October 1974 to
Export Association (Phosrock) has tabbed 68% BPL rock at January 1975, PCA will charge 65¢ to 714/unit, depending on
$30/ton, up $10/ton. Material of 77% BPL content will go to grade, an increase of 6-74/unit over its previous list. Prices in
$47/ton, up $15/ton. the February-June 1975 period will be 44/unit higher. For
example, standard grades will sell for 694/unit, granular for
457 Phosrock Increases Prices and Goes Metric. Fert. Int. 75¢/unit, f.o.b. Carlsbad, minimum carload 40 tons. Potash
No. 64, 1 (Oct. 1974). Effective October 1, 1974, Phosrock supplies are generally tight, and inventories of the material are
listed its principal grades of Florida phosphate rock (66%-72% sparse.
BPL) at prices in the $36-$48/mt f.o.b. vessel Tampa range or
Jacksonville. Quoting prices in mt is a new departure for 461 Potash Price Increase. Chem. Week 116 (4), 23 (Jan. 22,
Phosrock which has traditionally used long tons for its price 1975). Prices of most agricultural grades of potassium muriate
lists. The new prices, although effective October 1, will not be and sulfate shipped from Carlsbad, New Mexico, were hiked
paid by contract customers until 90 days have elapsed, by Potash Co. of America. New tabs, effective mid-January:
January 1, 1975. 74d/unit for standard-grade 60% muriate, 784 for coarse;
804/unit for granular 60% material and soluble 62-63%.
458 World Phosphate Rock Prices Remain Stable. Chem. International Minerals & Chemical posted similar prices.
Week 116 (2), 40 (Jan. 8, 1975). World phosphate rock prices Quotes on Canadian potash have not risen.
will probably remain stable in the first 6 months of 1975.
Morocco's 8-12% Jan. 1 increase (to $68/mt for 75% material) 462 Can Farmers Afford Thirty Cent Nitrogen? J. F. Marten
will remain in effect until July 1, when the Office Cherifien (Purdue Univ., Lafayette, Indiana). Fert. Solutions 19(2), 30,
des Phosphates will reconsider prices in relation to those of 34, 36 (Mar.-Apr. 1975). Fertilizer products are in a tight
imported industrial products. The Phosphate Rock Export supply-demand balance for the 1975 spring season. A com
Assn. (Tampa, Fla.) currently prices its 75% material at bination of quantity rationing, price rationing, and reduced
$55/mt, about equal to that of Morocco rock delivered in demand must combine to equalize the demand with the
Europe, and says it anticipates no further short-term increases. available supply. A combination of higher strong prices and
excellent yield response from grain crops has kept upward
459 Phosphate Rock Prices Increase as World Demand pressure on fertilizer prices. Farmers are shooting for max
Increases. Chem. Mark. Rep. 207 (6), 21 (Feb. 10, 1975). imum profits, fertilizing to the point where added costs equal
Domestic phosphate rock production reached a historic level added returns. However, farmers should reduce buying when
in 1974 of 44.5 million tons, but strong worldwide demand they can no longer earn returns equal to costs plus a
Outstripped all available supply. Effective January 1, domestic reasonable profit. The breakeven point is shown for corn
producers added a 40% increase to prices of phosphate rock, growth at $2.00, $2.50, and $3.00 per bushel with yields
but industry sources claim that this action was prompted by reflecting residual N and current application of N. Application
the higher rates in world markets. Most U.S. producers have of 150 lbs N/acre in previous years and current yr with above
allocated their customers for over a yr, and chances look dim prices of corn the breakeven price of N/lb was 28d, 35¢, and
that this situation will change in the near future. Current 424, respectively. (6 tables)
market prices for domestic phosphate rock are being quoted at
$31ſton for 68% BPL, while $35.50/ton is the level for 70% 463 Price of Fertilizer to Farmers Increase. Chem. Week 115
material. Rock in 70 to 72% is now selling for $40/ton, 75% (16), 27 (Oct. 16, 1974). Farmers are paying 40%-150% more
grade material is $47/ton, and 77% is now $52/ton. Imported for fertilizers this fall than they were at this time in 1973,
material is being quoted at $56.50/mt for Tunisian rock 68%, when prices were controlled. The Agriculture Dept. says its
While phosphate rock from Morocco is presently priced at Sept. 15 survey showed that the average farm-level price of
$63/ton for 70-72% grade. Domestic farmers are enraged with ammonia was $229/ton, 48% above the $96.20 price on Sept.
the price increases they have seen in recent months. Producers 15, 1973. Urea was up 1.41%, to $232/ton; ammonium nitrate,
ºf superphosphate and diammonium phosphate are asking 120%, to $170/ton; triple superphosphate, 100%, to $188/ton;
ºnywhere from $200 to $300 per ton for material. What has
been happening as the Fertilizer Institute sees it, is that
phosphate rock, 57%, to $42/ton; muriate of potash, 43%, to
$91ſton. Increases since Apr. 15, however, are much lower,
farmers are having to use less material per acre. The effects on ranging from 9% for phosphate rock to 27-28% for ammonia
* crºp yields can only be estimated at the present time. and some high-analysis mixed fertilizers.
Meanwhile, various producers have reported that expansions
**er way, but some of the more substantial additions to 464 Farmers Paying More for Fertilizer. Chem. Week 116
*P*ity will not come on-stream until mid-1976. Until that (21), 29 (May 21, 1975). Fertilizers are costing farmers an
* industry representatives believe that phosphate rock will average of 33% more than they did a yr ago. The U.S.
**ºnsiderably short and many customers will have to remain Agriculture Dept.'s mid-April farm price index for fertilizers
On allocation.
and liming materials reached 237, compared with 178 a yr
earlier and 212 last September. Ammonia cost an average of
*".* Prices increase. Chem. Week 115 (14), 19 (Oct. S265/ton on April 15 vs S183 in April 1974 and $229 in
*). Potash Co. of America (PCA) has issued a new September. Triple superphosphate was $214/ton vs $150 and

63
PRICING AND COSTS

$188, and potassium muriate tabs hit $102/ton vs S81.30 and program called “FORM-U-VERSE” was developed. This pro
S91. gram provided for eliminating the filler that was necessary
when using Formucharts (when formulating to 2000 lb). The
465 Farmers Pay Less for Fertilizer. Chem. Week 118 (20), Simplex Method of Linear Programming has been adapted to º
41 (May 19, 1976). Farmers paid about 19% less for fertilizer fertilizer problems to determine the least-cost combination of .
this spring than they did a yr ago. A recent report by the US materials for specified grades and ratios. The newest technique
Agric. Dept. says the index of prices farmers paid in April was developed by TVA for economic analysis is called “FORM-U- :
193 (1967=100) compared with 237 in April 1975, 178 in SHARE”. It is basically linear programming and has advan
April 1974, and 112 in April 1973. Some recent average tages over the traditional simplex solution. Least-cost mixtures
farm-level prices: ammonia $191ſton, urea $166/ton, triple for bulk blend, liquid mix, and ammoniation-granulation
superphosphate $158/ton, diammonium phosphate $189/ton. plants can be calculated and information provided in less time
The Fertilizer Institute says first-quarter fertilizer sales totaled and at lower costs. The program is available on any time
$1.1 billion, down about 28% from $1.53 billion in the sharing terminal or TWX terminal using a standard telephone
first-quarter of 1975. line. Time sharing involves a centrally located computer and a
high-speed data network (telephone). This enables people who
466 Price Trends Show Fertilizer Tabs Are Not Out of Line. have computer application but cannot justify owning or
Chem. Week 118 (7), 23 (Feb. 18, 1976). Relative prices of leasing equipment to have access to a computer, paying only
corn and fertilizer support contentions of fertilizer makers for the time used. Examples of least-cost formulation for bulk
that their prices are not out of line. The U.S. Dept. of blending, granulation, and liquid mixing by FORM-U-SHARE
Agriculture says that 1975 fertilizer tabs averaged about 2.25 are given.
times the 1967 level, while corn prices were about 2.3 times
the 1967 average. Wheat farmers got 2.5 times as much in 469 Effect of Changes in Nitrogen, Phosphorus, Pottasium,
1975 as they did in 1967. Recently, however, the trend of all and Agricultural Product Prices on the Profitability of Fertili
prices paid by farmers has been going up. This could have zation Using Experimental Curves and Profit Surfaces. A. Loue
more effect on fertilizer use than the comparative levels of (SCPA, Mulhouse, France). Bull. Assoc. Fr. Etude Sol, No. 2,
fertilizer and farm product prices, since fertilizer costs can be 125-153 (1975) (Fr). Soils Fert. 39, 2150. The objective of
more easily controlled than some other farm cost inputs. this study was to examine the influence of fertilizer price
increases on the profitability of fertilizer use. Response and
467 Retail Fertilizer Costs. W. D. Downey (Purdue Univ., the corresponding profit curves and surfaces were determined
Lafayette, Indiana). Fert. Progress 7 (2), 12, 14-16 (Mar.-Apr. as a function of various combinations of N, P, and K nutrient
1976). A preliminary study of business costs for 35 fertilizer prices and agricultural product prices. For N, the following
retail establishments in 8 midwest states was made in 1974. prices were programmed: 1.25, 1.50, 1.75, and 2.00 francs/kg;
About half the firms were independently owned, 25% were for P. Os the range studied was from 1.00 to 2.50 francs/kg
cooperatives, and 25% were owned by major fertilizer com with steps of 0.30 francs and for K2O it went from 0.50 to
panies. The gross margin averaged 31.63%, with bagged 0.80 francs/kg in steps of 0.05 francs/kg. The rate of N
fertilizer having the highest margin (47.31%) and chemicals the corresponding to maximum profit fell slightly by 6 to 10
lowest (15.50%); dry bulk fertilizer had a 32.01% gross kg/ha N, when the price rose from 1.25 to 2.00 francs/kg. The
margin, anhydrous ammonia was 33.62%, and liquids were rate of P. Os corresponding to maximum profits is substantial
36.22%. The 35 firms averaged over $28,000 income annually ly reduced in certain cases. For the experimental group as a
from custom services; 31 firms performed custom application whole, which had an above average response to P, Os, the
and 31 rented out equipment; only 8 handled soil testing average optimum rate fell by 25 kg/ha with an increase from
service. Sales occurred throughout the yr but 46.85% were in 1.00 to 1.90 francs/kg P. O's. The rate of K2O corresponding
the April-June quarter; the October-December fall season was to maximum profit underwent a slight fall when the price of
next with 23.57% of the sales; remainder of the sales was split K2O increased from 0.50 to 0.65 francs.
evenly between the two remaining quarters. Labor was the
biggest single operating expense, requiring 6.26% of the 470 Export Prices. Nitrogen No. 93, 6-7 (Jan.-Feb. 1975).
budget; about 20% of this was for the manager's salary, which Evidence of the general easing of the supply position for
averaged $14,406. Depreciation was 1.81% and repairs and nitrogenous fertilizers continues to emerge, the prime factor
maintenance 1.51% of the operating budget. Expenses, being the cutback in fertilizer consumption in the developing
exclusive of products for resale, were 14.01% of the total countries which are not showing a willingness to purchase
receipts; total receipts averaged $1,039,571. fertilizers at the prevailing prices. Low demand in the
developing countries, associated with a marked absence of
468 Selecting Materials in Least-Cost Analysis. N. L. Hargett. activity on the tender market, is most acutely evident in the
In TVA Fertilizer Bulk Blending Conf. (Held Aug. 1-2, 1973, cases of Brazil and India. In the latter country complicated
Louisville, Kentucky). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley distribution arrangements have recently been streamlined in an
Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center; Bull. attempt to keep fertilizer moving through the domestic supply
Y-62, pp. 100-13 (Aug. 1973). Several methods are used by channels, demand hit a trough as a result of the large domestic
TVA to determine least-cost material combinations for fertil price increases announced last summer coupled with a very
izer production. Formucharts developed by TVA over 15 yr tight credit situation. Export prices are expected to stabilize
ago have been used successfully for both single and multi around the present level in the case of most nitrogenous
nutrient materials. The three primary plant nutrients have fertilizers, with urea showing the weakest trends. Middle
been incorporated into these Formucharts and a complete set Eastern producers are expected to maintain the highest prices
encompassing all combinations of fertilizer materials used in longest, with some evidence already of East European sup:
the U.S. has been developed. A four material formulation pliers cutting their prices to those applying to material from
PRICING AND COSTS

Western Europe, a trend which is expected to continue from East Europe, other European countries, and the U.S. are
through the first quarter of 1975. Export prices generally are hurting French prices. The industry in France had been
not expected to show really firm movements until demand in allowed to raise its prices by 3.35%, but this amount was small
the developing countries, dependent on a variety of factors, against costs increases. Imports hit prices in France beginning
picks up again. Spot prices are given for anby drous ammonia, July 1972, but export prices have improved, which should
ammonium sulfate, urea, ammonium nitrate, ammonium make it less attractive for outsiders to sell in France.
chloride, diammonium phosphate, and ternary fertilizers.
476 French Potash Prices Increase. Eur, Chem. News 25
471 Price Increase for Phosphate Fertilizer. Chem. Week 115 (634), 8 (May 3, 1974). French potash prices, previously 50%
(19), 29 (Nov. 6, 1974). Australian phosphate fertilizer prices lower than world market prices and 30-35% lower than those
will more than triple on Jan. 1, 1975, with farmers paying elsewhere in Europe, were raised by 24% on May 1, beginning
about $65/ton for single superphosphate. The main reason for of the new 1974-75 selling yr.
the sharp increase is the end of government subsidies. Other
factors include higher costs for imported phosphate rock and 477 French Producers Cutting Fertilizer Prices. Fur. Chem.
devaluation of Australian currency. The increase also is News 27 (684), 12 (Apr. 25, 1975). France's Ministry of
spurring development of domestic phosphate deposits. One of Finance has ordered French fertilizer producers to reduce
the country's major mining companies, Broken Hill South, is prices by 5.4% to 8.7%, due to falling prices for raw materials.
planning to start production early next year at its 1.3-billion French producers are offering no resistance to the order.
tons Dutchess phosphate deposit in Queensland. Compound fertilizer demand has now dropped dramatically in
France and many plants, including those of Cofaz, are heavily
472 South Africa Fertilizer Prices Increase. Green Markets 2 throttled back.
(2), 2 (Jan. 9, 1978). South African fertilizer prices have been
raised 14.3% by the government price controller because of 478 French Producers Cut Fertilizer Prices. Eur, Chem.
higher costs and withdrawal of some purchasing subsidies. The News 29 (744), 14 (July 9, 1976). French fertilizer producers
government has withdrawn 40% of the fertilizer subsidy paid have been ordered by the government to cut their prices on
to farmers, a move which adds 3% to farmer's costs. The phosphate fertilizers. The decreases range from 6-11.8% and
remaining 11.3% arises from increases in rail transport prices, are based on the lower raw material costs being paid by the
electricity charges, and costs of raw materials. industry. In Austria Chemie Linz has also decided to decrease
prices on its compound fertilizers by up to 6.3%.
473 Canadian Sulfuric Acid Pricing. Can. Chem. Process 58
(9), 4 (Sept. 1974). Canadian Industries Ltd. (CIL) expected 479 West Germany Increases Fertilizer Prices. Eur, Chem.
to post sulfuric acid prices October 1 (f.o.b. Copper Cliff, News 24 (593), 4 (July 20, 1973). West German N fertilizer
(Ont.) as follows: 66 Be (93.2%), $37/ton; 98.99% grade, $39/ producers have increased prices for the new 1973-1974
ton: 10% oleum, $42.65/ton; 20% oleum, $43.60/ton; 25% fertilizer yr by an average of 3.8%. Fertilizer consumption in
oleum, 44.05/ton; and 30% oleum, 44.55/ton. The company is West Germany in the past fertilizer yr increased by 6% to 1.2
a price leader in eastern Canada and has two main production million tons, while imports increased to 285,000 tons from
sites, Copper Cliff and Kidd Creek, both in Ontario. Canadian 228,000 tons in the preceding yr. The West Germans estimate
sulfuric acid production in 1974 will not reach 3.5 million that world fertilizer consumption will grow at an annual rate
tons produced in 1973. The slight decline arises from strikes at of 7.2% until 1976. Capacities, in western Europe at least, will
metallurgical and fertilizer works, and because phos acid only be extended at a rate of 4.5% annually and overcapacity
producers with captive sulfuric acid plants cannot get enough will be steadily eroded.
phosphate rock to operate at capacity. However, installed
capacity for sulfuric acid will continue to grow in the next few 480 Fertilizer Prices Decline in Germany. J. Flour Anim.
yr. Base metal smelters will all be producing more offgas as Feed Milling 160 (1), 29 (Jan. 1977). Fertilizer prices in West
they expand their facilities and install anti-pollution systems. Germany are averaging 6-7% below last year's levels and lower
These producers include Texasgulf, Inco/CIL, Falconbridge, prices of phosphate rock have reduced complex fertilizer
and Noranda. When proposed facilities are operating, Canada prices this yr by 15%. Imports of N during 1976-77 may
will be able to produce almost 6 million tons/yr of sulfuric increase to 370,000 tons from 260,000 during 1975-76, with
acid, most of it based on Smelter offgases. as much as 130,000 tons coming from East Bloc countries.

474 Fertilizer Cutbacks in Developing Countries May Cause 481 West Germany Potash Prices. Eur, Chem. News 30
Price Declines. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 206 (19), 16 (Nov. 4, 1974). (783), 12 (Apr. 22, 1977). Kali and Salz, Kassel, West
A cutback in fertilizer usage in developing countries which can Germany increased its potash single fertilizer prices by about
no longer afford to pay today's higher prices will lead to an 4.5%, DM20/ton, effective May 1. The company is claiming
easing in the current shortage of supplies. This, in turn, is that higher labor, energy, and raw material costs have all
expected to lead to a decline in prices in 1975. This yr is contributed to the price increase, which will bring prices up to
expected to see a fertilizer shortage of several hundred around DM420/ton free railway station. The company has
thousand tons—FAO hopes it will be under 500,000 tons but indicated that the new price will remain stable over the coming
that is likely to cut grain production in developing nations by fertilizer yr. Kali and Salz is responsible for marketing all
between 2 and 3 million tons. Unfortunately, recent trends potash single fertilizers produced in Germany and about 50%
have discouraged new investments. of its sales go for export. Total output of the nine potash
mines owned by different companies is about 2 million ton/yr,
475 French Pricing Influenced by Imports. Chem. Age representing some 11% of total world production.
(London) 106 (2815), 18 (June 29, 1973). Fertilizer imports

65
PRICING AND COSTS

482 India's Fertilizer Prices Increase. Chem. Eng. World 9 phosphate, potassium chloride, potassium sulfate, low-analysis
(6), 12 (June 1974). The Union Government has announced a compound fertilizers, high-analysis compound fertilizers, and
90% increase in the retail prices of statutorialy controlled calcium silicate. The price increases are effective from January
nitrogeneous fertilizers. The retail prices of urea have been to June 1974. The prices of the nine items rose by an average
fixed at Rs.2,000/ton as against the existing price of Rs1,050, 32.1%. Negotiations are underway for the price hike of N
and calcium ammonium nitrate at Rs1,095/ton as against fertilizers such as ammonium sulfate, urea, and ammonium
Rs615/ton. The prices of fertilizers will now be periodically chloride. The negotiations will be completed soon.
reviewed, perhaps once every yr and will be adjusted according
to the prevailing international prices. 488 Japanese Fertilizer Price Increases. Jap. Chem. Week 15
(748), 7 (Aug. 29, 1974). The Japanese Government allowed
483 Indian Mixed Fertilizer Prices Decrease. Green Markets the nation's fertilizer manufacturers to raise the prices of four
1 (32), 2 (Sept. 19, 1977). The Indian Farmers Fertilizer fertilizers effective immediately. Following the announcement
Cooperative is cutting domestic prices of fertilizers by as much of the Government's approval, the fertilizer manufacturers and
as 6%. Prices for IFCO produced complex 10-26-26 has been the National Federation of Agricultural Cooperative Associa
reduced from $221/mt to $2.11/mt. The price of 12-32-16 has tions (Zen-Noh) decided to increase the manufacturers’ prices
been cut from $246/mt to $232/mt. The reductions were of the four items, effective immediately, by margins slightly
made possible by efficiencies gained in the production of below the maximum margins allowed by the Government—
fertilizer at the cooperative's Kandla plant. 26.1% for high-analysis compound fertilizers, 31.5% for
low-analysis compound fertilizers, 24.3% for superphosphate,
484 The “Real” Price of Fertilizers in India. M. P. Wagle. and 34.7% for fused magnesium phosphate. Fertilizer manu
Fert. Mark. News 9 (1), 2-4, 15 (Jan. 1978). An analysis is facturers and Zen-Noh had earlier decided to increase the
made and the results given of a study designed to estimate the prices of ammonium sulfate and urea after obtaining the
“real” price of fertilizers in India from 1966-76. The “real” Government's prior approval. The average price increase rate
price is defined as a measure of the number of units of for the six fertilizers is 28.5%.
physical quantities (output) farmers need to exchange for
purchasing one unit of fertilizer. This quantity is measured by 489 Japanese Fertilizer Prices Increase. Jap. Chem. Week 16
the ratio of fertilizer prices to agricultural output prices. (801), 5 (Sept. 4, 1975). A new series of price markups for
Linear and log linear regression functions were used to test the chemical fertilizers, effective September 1, was approved by
results. The analysis revealed that the real price of fertilizer the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry recently. The prices
explained demand to a negligible extent and that prices of two basic types of fertilizer, ammonium sulfate and urea,
throughout the period rose at a relatively stable rate. The only were kept unchanged because exports of the two types are
exception was yr 1974-75 when prices increased inordinately brisk enough to enable the industry to hold off price increases
due to the oil crisis. through mass production. Eight other items, including lime,
phosphatic, chloric, sulfuric, silica and compound, were
485 Phosphate Rock Prices Reduced in India. Fert. Mark. marked up by margins of 5.62–18.99%.
News 9 (1), 13 (Jan. 1978). The Minerals and Metals Trading
Corp. of India has reduced the price of phosphate rock by Rs. 490 Japanese Fertilizer Prices. Chem. Week 118 (26), 27
5/mt effective January 1, 1978. The price of Jordan phosphate (June 30, 1976). Japanese fertilizer prices dropped by a
rock for the January-March qua, ter 1978 is Rs. 354 and Rs. weighted average of 0.6% in the yr starting July 1 as a result of
410/mt for shipload and ex-jetty supply respectively. Prices negotiations between producers and Zenno, a federation of
prior to January 1 were Rs. 359 and Rs. 415, respectively. Japanese agricultural cooperatives. Zenno, the largest fertilizer
buyer, got price cuts on six products and unchanged tabs on
486 Higher Fertilizer Prices Approved in Italy. J. Flour tWO.

Anim. Feed Milling 157 (10), 29 (Oct. 1975). The prices of


most Italian fertilizers have increased 11.8%. The decision was 491 Morocco Boosts Phosphate Rock Prices. Chem. Mkt.
made by the Italian Government's Price Controls Committee Rep. 204 (21), 7, 32 (Nov. 19, 1973). In coming months, most
(CIP). in effect the price increases approved by the Price European fertilizer producers are expected to announce higher
Controls Committee was some 15%, but a decision by the prices. The 200% increase revealed recently by the Office
Minister of Finance to lower the VAT rate on fertilizers from Cherifien de Phosphate (the Moroccan State phosphate
6% to 3% meant that farmers would only pay an extra 1 1.8%. organization) makes further increases inevitable. European
Italy's farmers and the farm unions, who at present spend fertilizer producers had been expecting phosphate increases
about 300 billion lire/yr on fertilizers, are both not satisfied which would push prices from around $15.00/ton to $25.00
by the present round of prices increases. A leading member of or $30.00. In fact, the new prices posted by OCP range from
a farm union has pointed out that together with the latest $37.50, f.o.b. Casablanca for 70% BPL material to $50.00/ton
round of increases the price of fertilizers has risen by 150% for premium-grade 80% BPL rock. So far this yr, France,
since January, 1974. followed by Spain, Britain, Italy, and Belgium have been the
biggest importers. In the first nine months, U.K. imports
487 Japan Increases Prices on Fertilizer Materials. Jap. totaled 1.1 million tons, compared with 1.8 million for the
Chem. Week 15 (717), 5 (Jan. 24, 1974). Fertilizer manufac whole of last yr.
turers requested the National Federation of Agricultural
Cooperative Associations to raise prices of fertilizers again 492 Morocco Increases Phosphate Rock Prices. Chem. Week
because of steep rise in production cost. Zen-Noh has decided 114 (24), 21 (June 12, 1974). Morocco has posted a 50%
to raise prices of nine items: calcium cyanamide, calcium increase on phosphate rock prices; $63/mt, effective July 1.
superphosphate, fused magnesium phosphate, multi-calcined The government's phosphate office attributed the hike to

66
PRICING AND COSTS

inflation and strong demand. The increase in price follows 496 Spanish Fertilizer Price Increase. Eur, Chem. News 8()
hard on the heels of a price increase in January. (787), 16 (May 20, 1977). The Spanish government has given
the go-ahead to fertilizer manufacturers for a new round of
493 Morocco Exerts Influence on Prices of Phosphate Rock. price increases, averaging 5-5.5% on nitrogen, phosphate, and
Eng. Min. J. 176 (2), 21 (Feb. 1975). Since the advent of compound fertilizers and 16% on potash fertilizers. Typical of
OPEC, there has been considerable world speculation about the new prices are AN33.3% at Pta')793/ton, urea at
the possibility of minerals cartels manipulating prices. Little Ptal 2,075/ton, N solution 35% at Pta 10,131ſton, 45% triple
thought has been given to a single country achieving such a superphosphate granules at Ptal 2,616/ton, and 50% potassium
feat, but Morocco has done just that with phosphate. This chloride at Pta-4329/ton. This new round of price increases has
North African kingdom, the world's leading exporter of come too late to make much difference to the plight of
phosphates, recently decreed another 8% price increase effec domestic producers. Raw material prices have been increasing
tive Jan. 1, 1975, for an effective 200% price increase since steadily, and last October’s fertilizer price increase was based
January 1974. Morocco's phosphate exports amount to about on raw material cost increases incurred 9 months earlier.
37% of world shipments. In terms of identified reserves, Africa
(with deposits concentrated almost entirely in the northern 497 United Kingdom Fertilizer Price Increase. Eur. Chem.
half of West Africa and all of North Africa) possesses 3.5 News 24 (613), 6 (Dec. 7, 1973). Fertilizer prices in the
billion mt of sedimentary phosphates plus 15 million mt of United Kingdom are set to increase by between 12 and 16%.
igneous phosphates. From Morocco's point of view, the price Fisons expects to be granted price increases by the U.K. Price
increases constitute normalization of a depressed price situa Commission and price increases from ICI, Shellstar, and
tion. Morocco's exports of 20.6 million tons of phosphate Albright & Wilson are unlikely to be far behind. These new
rock in 1974 yielded revenues of about $1 billion. In an increases do not take into account the greatly increased costs
attempt to check criticism of its price increases, Morocco has of ammonia, phosphate rock, and potash. Compound fertilizer
announced the extension of special credits to developing prices in the U.K. could be 40% higher in 6 months' time.
countries that need fertilizer, in exchange for other raw
materials, but the mechanics of this program remain to be 498 United Kingdom Fertilizer Prices Increase. Eur. Chem.
worked out.
News 25 (631), 4 (Apr. 12, 1974). Following Fisons price
increases, ICl has now introduced 5.5% increases throughout
494 Morocco Slashes Phosphate Price. Eur, Chem. News 28 its entire range of fertilizers. The company’s fertilizer prices
(720), 4 (Jan. 23, 1976). Morocco has finally succumbed to have now increased by an average of 31% in a little over 3
the pleas of the depressed world fertilizer industry and made months, while compound prices have risen by 37%. Fisons'
Substantial cuts in the price of its phosphate rock. Effective compound fertilizers have now risen by the 40% forecast by
January 1, 1976, prices have been slashed 29% dropping the the company's fertilizer division last December. Both ICI and
list price of 75-77% BPL rock from $68 to $48-50/ton fas Fisons now claim that no further price increases are planned in
Casablanca. Market prices earlier stood at $58-60/ton after last the immediate future. An application for temporary
quarter discounting. The move means that Morocco's Office exemption from import duty on ammonia in the U.K. was
Cherifien des Phosphates is now in open competition with US made recently. This is a reflection of the acute domestic
rock producers. This position has now been completely shortage and the poor operating record of the U.K. plants over
reversed and OCP's prices fob Morocco are $5/ton cheaper the past few months.
averaged across the grades than US export prices ex-Tampa.
OCP's competitive edge, however, will be blunted by higher 499 United Kingdom Fertilizer Prices Up. Chem. Age
freight charges. The point has nonetheless been taken and (London) 110 (2894), 9 (Jan. 3-10, 1975). Both ICI and
Phosrock has wisely abandoned a 10% increase previously Fisons had applications for fertilizer price increases approved
scheduled for the beginning of this yr and is maintaining a by the Price Commission. Both companies applied for
$55/ton price tag on its 74-75% BPL material. Even Morocco's increases of about 10%. ICI has announced price increases
new official quotations don't tell the full story and market averaging 6% on its whole fertilizer range, although as the
prices have in fact plunged lower. Official OCP list prices are: application was made on the basis of the increase in the cost of
70-72% BPL rock $43/ton fas Safi, $46/ton fas Casablanca; phosphate rock and potash, the increases will be born mainly
75-77% BPL $48-50/ton fas Casablanca. All other rock by the compound fertilizer sector, averaging between 5-13%.
producers are understood to be following the OCP price lead.
500 United Kingdom Sulfuric Acid Prices Increase. Chem.
495 Rhodesian Fertilizer Pricing. Chem. Age (London) 112 Age (London) 112 (2948), 9 (Jan. 16, 1976). While the United
(2957), 8 (Mar. 19, 1976). A 35% increase in superphosphate Kingdom sulfuric acid production apparently bottoms out
prices has been announced by Rhodesia's two big fertilizer after reaching almost its lowest level for 9 yr, the industry's
producers, Rhodesia Fertiliser's and Windmill Rhodesia. The customers now face a round of price increases of over 20% in
increase became effective on March 1 and will have the effect some cases. The increases have been made necessary by the
of pushing up compound prices by an average of 10%. increased cost of sulfur in the United Kingdom, caused by the
Producers, in consultation with the Government, have cut strengthening of the dollar and the fall in the value of Sterling
ammonium nitrate prices by 8.6% and potash is down by over 1975. This could well have made a difference of about
16.2%. Prior to this latest agreement phosphate prices had 15% on the equivalent price in January 1975, when the world
Only risen by 15% in 2 yr. A system of early delivery rebates is price of sulfur stood at $70/mt. The other major factor has
also operated giving buyers a 12% return for orders placed been distribution costs, which can represent anything up to
between March and September. 25% on the delivered price of sulfuric acid. There is no doubt

67
PRICING AND COSTS

that the United Kingdom sulfuric acid industry is sorely in Ed.) 185 (63), 31 (Apr. 1, 1975). Freeport Minerals Co.
need of higher prices, particularly after having experienced followed Texasgulf Inc. in raising S prices, but its boost of
such a depressing yr as 1975. The latest figures from the $5.50/ton was $2.50/ton less than the increase announced by
National Sulphuric Acid Association showed that consumption Texasgulf last month. The Freeport price increase, effective
during the third quarter of 1975 was down by over 17.5% Apr. 1, will raise the price of dark S to $62.50/ton for delivery
against the 1974 level at 880,379 mt, while the second quarter at Tampa, Fla., and $57.50/ton for delivery at Port Sulphur,
level of 880,379 mt was 18.3% below the 1974 figure. The La. The Texasgulf price increase brought its price of dark S at
United Kingdom consumption figures for the fourth quarter of Tampa to $65/ton.
1975, which are due out soon, could show the beginning of
the end of the depression for the industry. 506 United States Fertilizer Producers Increase Expendi.
tures. Chem. Week 115 (5), 9 (July 31, 1974). Fertilizer
501 United Kingdom Fertilizer Prices Rise. Chem. Age producers will spend more than $5 billion on new plant and
(London) 113 (2996), 16 (Dec. 17-24, 1976). The United equipment by the end of 1978. A survey made recently for
Kingdom's major fertilizer producers have increased prices of The Fertilizer Institute shows that nitrogen producers plan to
nitrogen and compound fertilizers. The increases became spend nearly $2.8 billion in the U.S. and Canada and that
effective January 1. ICI, Fisons, and UKF Fertilisers received phosphate producers will spend another $2.4 billion. Current
Price Commission approval for price rises. The ICI move, plans indicate the outlays will peak at about $1.5 billion in
which also covers SAI, Richardsons, Chafers, and Hargreaves, 1976. Environmental controls, says The Fertilizer Institute,
increased straight nitrogen prices by 10.5% and NPK prices by will cost about $96 million for nitrogen producers and $207
an average of 8%. UKF's round of increases moved nitrogen million for phosphate operations.
fertilizers up 10% and NPK up 8%. Fisons increased its prices
by an average of 6.5% overall. Straight nitrogen increased 9.5% 507 United States Phosphoric-Acid Pricing. Wall St. J. (East
while other examples were 20-20-20 up 8.4% and 24-4-15 up Edition) 186 (100), 41 (Nov. 20, 1975). Monsanto Industrial
5.5%. Distribution and manufacturing cost increases were Chemicals Co. will boost prices for phosphoric acid at the
given as the reasons for the increase. beginning of 1976. The new price for technical grade acid, east
of the Rockies, will be $14.50/hundredweight for 75% grade,
502 United Kingdom Fertilizer Prices Increase. Chem. Age up from $13.50; $15.55 for 80% grade, up from $14.45, and
(London) 114 (3018), 1 (May 20, 1977). Major fertilizer $17.05 for 85% grade, up from $15,85.
producers in the United Kingdom have received approval from
the Prices Commission to raise the price of nitrogen and 508 United States Phosphate Exporters' Spring Pricing.
compound products. ICI obtained the largest increase with Chem. Week 117 (26), 18 (Dec. 24, 1975). United States sales
10-11% on nitrogen fertilizer beginning July 1 and about 7% and production of phosphate products were brisk last summer
on compounds beginning June 1. Apart from increased raw and fall. Phosphate exports also surged. There may be little
material and manufacturing costs ICI's new price levels also connection, but recently the Phosphate Chemicals Export
reflect a significant element of relief obtained under the Prices Assn. said it would increase prices in the spring. Effective
Code for the investment it is undertaking, mainly in the March 1976, export tags will go up $25/mt on a 100% P,0s
ammonium nitrate sector. Fisons will increase its nitrogen basis; granular triple superphosphate, up $9/mt to $1.2%
prices by about 10% and compounds by 4 to 5%. This is the diammonium phosphate (18-46-0) in bulk, to $167/mt, up
second price increase allowed to United Kingdom producers from $155; phosphoric acid, 100% P. Os basis, to $300/mt up
this yr. $25. There is some doubt the higher posting will hold up.
503 Fertilizer Prices Increased in United Kingdom. Chem. 509 Florida Phosphate Rock Pricing. Chem. Week 118 (+),
Mark. Rep. 213 (2), 5, 31 (Jan. 9, 1978). Imperial Chemical 19 (Jan. 28, 1976). The Phosphate Rock Export Assn.
Industries, Ltd., (ICI), led the industry by increasing its (Phosrock) has trimmed prices of phosphate rock, effectivº
fertilizer prices by 15% as of January 1, 1978. ICI disclosed immediately. The reductions are $6.7/mt, f.o.b. Tampa and
Jacksonville, Florida, or about 14%. The new prices are firm
average increases of 10.4%, with straight N fertilizers
advancing by a flat 15%. The ICI increase comes in response to for at least 12 months, with freight equalization offered wheſ'
renegotiations in 1977 of its long-term natural gas supply required by competition. Rock with 66% bone phosphate o
contract with the British Gas Corp. This ends a period of great lime (BPL) content is cut to S30/mt, 68% material to $33.
uncertainty for the United Kingdom fertilizer industry as 70% to S37, 72% to $41, 75% to $47. The move brings
other firms also move to increase prices. Phosrock prices into line with competitive actions by African
producers. Morocco has offered discounts on customer-by
504 United States Sulfur Price increase. Wall Street J. (East customer basis.
Edition) 184 (15), 4 (July 22, 1974). Freeport Minerals Co.
said it is raising sulfur prices $7/ton, but becauseof higher 510 United States Phosphate Prices Firm. Fert. Int. No. 87,
shipping charges, the actual boosts will vary according to the 3 (Sept. 1976). The market for phosphate fertilizers firmed
location of the customer. At Tampa, Fla., for example, the noticeably in July with both domestic and exporting suppliº."
new dark sulfur price will be $50/ton, up from $42. This issuing new price lists. The prices are slightly higher than tº
matches the new Tampa price set earlier by Texasgulf, Inc. latest Phoschem prices which quote the same figures per to".
when it announced an across-the-board price boost of $8/ton fob. vessel, for delivery through September. Phoschem
for U.S. sulfur. Freeport said its new price for dark sulfur will prices in the final quarter of the yr are $105 per mt fob."
be $46/ton at Port Sulphur, La., and $47/ton for bright sulfur. granular triple superphosphate and $140 per mt for diamm"
nium phosphate. Nominal phosphate capacity is well in exº
505 Sulfur Price Increase in United States. Wall St. J. (East of current demand forecasts but the many closures and

68
PRICING AND COSTS

reduced operating levels in the United States have contributed 514 Improve Your Business Skills. Farm Chem. 136 (11),
towards a much lower production level, with the result that 28, 48 (Nov. 1973). The Indian Point Division of MAPCO Co.
prices have firmed. High hopes of a good autumn season in the initiated dealer training programs in the mid-1950's. With the
United States have encouraged optimism over prices in the introduction of suspensions in 1967 a basic training course was
final quarter of 1976, although this would appear to be developed for the firm's leading fertilizer dealers. This course
dependent upon at least part of the idle capacity remaining consists of 4 days classroom instructions in several aspects of
lmäctive. the fertilizer business such as: agronomy, products, chemicals,
equipment, preventive maintenance, formulation, cost
511 United States Fertilizer Pricing. Chem. Mark. Rep. 210 information, and salesmanship. Now the company is using the
(22), 15-16 (Nov. 29, 1976). It looks like the new technical Better Business by Budgeting (BIII) as a supplement to its
phosphoric acid price is going to stick, and super- and basic training courses. The BIII program begins with prepara
polyphosphoric acid prices might increase. Superphosphoric tion of a 12-month budget of income and expenses. At the end
(105%) acid will climb $1.50 per hundredweight, to $23.70 in of each month each dealer submits a report of aged analyses of
the East and $24.70 in the West. Polyphosphoric acid (11.5%) accounts receivable, trial balance report, inventory and
will move up $1.75, to $27,85 in the East and $29.50 on the shrinkage report, and an accounts payable. The company is
other side of the Rockies. Prices for several fertilizers have convinced that people knowledgeable in sales and service but
continued to deteriorate over the last few weeks. Diammo perhaps lacking in fertilizer knowledge can make good
nium phosphate fell to the $110-$115 level though spot prices fertilizer dealers.
ran as high as $125 three weeks ago. Triple superphosphate has
stabilized and is now running at $85-$90, instead of the 515 Knowledge of Product and People Gives Dealer Edge
$80-$88 spread of three weeks ago. Anhydrous ammonia is Over Competition. Farm Store Merchand 19 (4), 72-4 (Apr.
still running between $100 and $105 f.o.b. Gulf Coast. The 1976). The prime factor for farm store success is knowledge
demand for the chemical has slacked with sagging wheat prices about the products sold and about the people who buy. In
and dry Fall weather. Ammonium nitrate is said to be running order to be successful, Eugene Seiler, Sohigro manager at
at $85 to $90 f.o.b. Midwestern plants. The range on the East Owaneco, Illinois, attends evening college courses dealing with
Coast is about $5 higher. Ammonium sulfate is moving for business, fertilizer, pesticides, and chemicals. He also attends
about $35 to $40, shipped from Northeastern steel mills, while company training programs, manager and sales meetings, and
it is selling at about $45, f.o.b. Southeastern plants. Prilled the annual u,liversity-sponsored spray school. He has 40 acres
urea is moving at between $100 and $107, while granular is of herbicide test plots on customer farms and usually runs
Selling between $125 to $130, delivered in the Midwest. tests for 3 yr before adding a new product to his sales
program. Most of Seiler’s customers are under 40 yr of age.
512 United States Fertilizer Profits Drop. Chem. Week 120 They have no loyalty to a dealer who fails to provide the
(17), 29 (Apr. 27, 1977). Fertilizer companies posted lower information and service they want.
earnings in calendar yr 1976 than they did in 1975. The
Fertilizer Institute announces sales of basic potash producers 516 Intensity and Selectivity Combine for Training Program.
at $379.12 million, compared with $373.78 million in 1975. Agri. Marketing 14 (3), whole No. 138, 37-41 (Mar. 1976).
Income of the group before taxes and interest fell to $100.67 Olin Corporation has developed an intensive field representive
million from 1975's $121.19 million. The 41 integrated basic training program. In preparation for this training program they
fertilizer producers that account for the bulk of all fertilizer did research on who their representives would be selling to.
Vol had total sales of $5.6 billion in 1976. Fifteen integrated The research provided data for building a typical fertilizer
nonbasic companies, on the other hand, had 1976 sales of dealer of 1980-85. The average dealer will be 45 yr old with a
$379.7 million. degree in agriculture or business management. His products
will be bulk DAP, urea, potash, popular mixed grades, liquid,
and micronutrients along with agricultural chemicals. His
facilities will have storage capacity for 2000 tons. Most will
TRAINING AND ADOPTION have blenders. His application service will include five flotation
spreaders, three tender trucks, access to airplane service with
all equipment radio equipped. Sales will be concentrated in a
TRAINING 25 mile radius with an average annual sales of 6000 tons.
Dealer will sell in advance of season to large farmers who will
513 Technical Knowledge: Key to Fertilizer Sales. D. M. rely heavily on dealer for product plus services. Ecology will
Ambrose (Univ. Nebraska. Omaha). Agrichem. Age 18 (7), 12 be an important consideration. Dealer will be less involved in
(Sept-Oct. 1975). Fertilizers are technical in nature and financing; banks and lending agencies will finance operations.
* Substantial knowledge to provide the most effective Budgets for gross margins, expenses, cash flow, net profit,
* A survey of 40 farmers selected at random in York inventory turnover, and equipment utilization will become
County, Nebraska, showed that a dealer's knowledge was a extremely important. The dealer and farmer’s educational level
"*" determinant of farmer patronage. Over 40% of the
farmers drove by their nearest dealer in order to trade with
will rise-necessitated by larger operations, increased volume,
new laws and the constant pressure to design and implement
One they consi <dered more honest, had more knowledge, or new marketing programs to improve profitability.
ºffered better Services. The number of brands carried, the
advertising and promotion program, farm visits, and dealer 517 it Helps to Explain New Products to Employees. Stuart
* With farmers were ranked low as desirable dealer
WAActeristics. Covington. Farm Supplier 51 (3), 32 (Mar. 1977). Introducing
a sales staff to new products demands careful planning and

69
TRAINING AND ADOPTION

skillfull techniques. The most successful method of acquaint higher general adoption levels were in the advanced stages of
ing sales people with new products is usually by holding an adoption of hybrid maize which was a new introduction in the
instruction session. Some timely suggestions for planning a ſea.

instruction sessions are: (1) thoroughly familiarize yourself


with each feature of the new product, (2) keep instructions for 521 Adoption of Package of Practices by Paddy Farmers of
varying operations of the product in proper sequence, (3) Mandya District in Karnataka. M. B. Channe Gowda and K. A.
repeat at least once all hard-to-understand details regarding the Jalihal (Agr. College, Bangalore, India). Mysore J. Agr. Sci. 8
discussion, (4) pace instructions to the knowledge of the (2), 276-82 (1974). The present study pointed out that no
newest salesperson, (5) introduction of new products should paddy farmer in Mandya District had adopted the package of
be on company time, (6) emphasize dissimilarity between the all the eight recommended practices. The practices evaluated
new product and current lines of a like nature, (7) encourage were use of organic manure, improved varieties, seed rate,
questions, (8) emphasize confusing points, (9) distribute any planting young seedlings, line planting, use of fertilizers, plant
instruction manuals a few minutes before the training sessions, protection, and use of rotary weeder. More farmers (38.7%)
and (10) invite sales personnel to assist in demonstrations. adopted three practices than any other number of practices.
Recommended quantity of organic manure, seed, seed rate,
518 Relative Economic Advantage in Adoption of New and age of seedlings for planting were the frequently adopted
Technology. H. J. Kolshus and E. D. Smith. Univ. Kentucky practices in different modal combinations. Though the level of
Agric. Econ. Staff Paper 6; 10 pp. (Aug. 1973). Amer. Bibl. adoption was associated with yield level, most of paddy
Agric. Econ. 4, 942. Effectiveness of efforts to promote farmers (76%) were at the medium yield level. Uncertainty of
adoption of new technology depend on profitability and irrigation water at critical periods of crop growth was an
riskiness. This study reports and interprets regression analysis important problem encountered by farmers in increasing the
of results of fertilizer use by farmers on paddy rice under yield of paddy. Lack of credit facilities and nonavailability of
varying conditions. Indications were that fertilizer response fertilizers also were important problems. Intensive study on
was not significantly greater when so-called ‘improved varie individual practices to be included in the package and careful
ties were used and, in general, was only modestly profitable, reconsideration of present method of distribution of irrigation
contrary to previous evidence. Under these conditions social water merit consideration.
behavioral variables become important determinants of effec
tiveness of extension demonstration techniques and other 522 Technological Change in Subsistence Agriculture: The
media. Adoption and Diffusion of Fertilizer in Ethiopia's Minimum
Package Program Areas. Bisrat Aklilu (Boston Univ. Boston,
519 Differential Characteristics of Adoptors and Non Massachusetts). Diss. Abstr. Int. A 36 (11), 7540-1 (May
adoptors of Fertilizer Use in Rainfed Ragi in Bangalore North 1976). The factors that determined the adoption and diffusion
Taluk. H. N. Byra Reddy and K. A. Jalihal (College Agr., of agricultural innovations in subsistence agriculture were
Hebbal, Bangalore, India). Mysore J. Agr. Sci. 8 (1), 124-32 studied. The major purpose was to identify the factors that
(1974). The study was conducted in Bangalore North Taluka explain the pattern of fertilizer intake in Ethiopia's Minimum
of Karnataka State to ascertain the differential characteristics Package Program Areas (MPPAs). A macro-analysis of fertilizer
of farmers who have adopted and not adopted fertilizers on diffusion in twenty MPPAs and a micro-analysis of fertilizer
rainfed ragi. The study included interviews with 50 adoptors adoption of farmers in two MPPAs was undertaken. The macro
and 50 nonadoptors selected at random. The results of the study focused on four key variables that come from three
study revealedi. the adoptors had higher education, higher subsystems of the adoption-diffusion model. These were
social and media participation, possessed larger land holding, profitability, variability, extension agents and average farm
had better economic status and higher general adoption level size. The regression analysis showed that the pattern of
than the nonadoptors. All the adoptors belonged to diffusion was determined by the positive effects of profitabi
nonscheduled casts while all the schedules cast farmers studied lity and extension agents and the negative effects of vari
were nonadoptors. The study also indicated that age, family ability. Profit, risk and information reinforced each other in
size and family type of farmers had no association with their such a way as to make the innovation highly desirable for
adoption. Lack of money, lack of knowledge, and no some MPPAs but unattractive for others. The study investi
experience about the practice were found to be the important gated whether significant differences exist between MPPAs
reasons for not adopting fertilizers on rainfed ragi by farmers. located in the North (the provinces with “communal” land
ownership) and those located in the South (the provinces with
520 Adoption Level of Literate Farmers of Bangalore individual land ownership). The covariance analysis showed
District. H. N. Byra Reddy, J. Srinivasamurthy, and R. the lack of significant differences in the adoption behavior of
Dwarakinath (Univ. Agr. Sci., Bangalore, India). Mysore J. these two regions. The most responsive area to the package
Agr. Sci. 8 (2), 264-8 (1974). This investigation was under project, Jimma MPPA, and one of the least responsive areas,
taken to find out the general adoption level of literate farmers Bako MPPA, were chosen for the micro study. This part was
of Bangalore district and their adoption stage in the newly based on a socio-economic questionnaire administered to 560
introduced crop–hybrid maize. A sample of 404 literate sample farmers in 1974. This study focused on the factors that
farmers from different taluks of Bangalore district constituted account for the differential time of initial fertilizer use and the
the respondents for this study. Findings of the study were that differential level of fertilizer use among these farmers. In
there were only 7% of literate farmers who had 100% adoption Jimma MPPA, the level of use was explained by the input's
of selected improved farm practices which were introduced in objective profitability and its complementarity to available
the area more than 10 yr ago. Among the adopted practices, resources, whil in Bako, it was the extent of contact with
fertilizer use was the highest, followed by improved seed and extension agents that determined level of use. The differential
plant protection. It was also observed that the farmers with time of initial fertilizer use in both MPPAs was accounted by

70
TRAINING AND ADOPTION

the difference in access to information. In both MPPAs, the Farmers are motivated by the economics of fertilizer use
smallest farmers and tenants lagged behind the larger farmers through yield, quality, and saving of other inputs. They like to
and owners in the time of adoption. The difference in the rate buy locally from a dealer they like, located close by, who
and level of adoption of the farmers in the two MPPAs was provides fertilizer promptly in the form they prefer. They
determined by the difference in the profitability of the input in believe in soil testing and use it regularly. They have changed
the two areas. from bagged to bulk fertilizer to save time, money, and labor.
Custom application of fertilizer and use of liquids are trends
523 Fertilizer Input Recommendations: The Case of Micro that are increasing. Farmers will continue to use more fertilizer
Evaluation. H. Hansel (Univ. Dar es Salaam, Morogoro, as long as it returns a better profit than an alternate
Tanzania). Training Course in Fertilizer Use Development 1Il VeSt Innent.

(Held Oct. 22-27). Morogoro, Tanzania; 18 pp. (1973). To


increase agricultural production in developing countries, it is
important to provide new production techniques and promote
their adoption. Fertilizer innovation characteristics analysis
revealed, in comparison with improved seed varieties and plant ADOPTION
protection chemicals, disadvantageous properties with regard
to transport demand, capital intensive manufacture, large per
acre cost, and reliability of recommendations. These character
istics may contribute to the low level of application and to the 526 Fertilizer Promotion—Role of Fertilizer Manufacturers
under-representation of this input in developing countries. The and Their Dealers. N. S. Parthasarathy (E.I.D.-Parry, India
establishment of economic and reliable recommendations Ltd., Mardras, India). In FAI-FAO Seminar Strategy Stimu
plays a major role in promoting fertilizer use development. lating Fertilizer Consumption 1976 Proc. (held New Delhi,
Two examples of fertilizer application in maize and rice India, Dec. 9-11, 1976.) New Delhi, India. Fert. Association
growing were applied to show the problems involved in using India II-5 (i)/1-12 (Mar. 1977). With foodgrain prices under
the method of value-cost-ratio as criterion of fertilizer recom control, a higher productivity in the use of inputs has become
mendations. With regard to minimum cost combination, significant. A good promotional program is necessary to
comparison of alternative practices showed that the major increase use and efficiency of fertilizers. Attention to marginal
economic influences on adoption of fertilizer recommenda farmers and dry crop areas will widen the base of fertilizer
tions were the cost of alternative resources including fertilizer consumption and will help to improve the conditions of the
prices, the physical production function, and credit; producer weaker sections of the agricultural sector. The promotional
prices seemed to be of minor importance. Microevaluation of program should be part of a long range plan, make a positive
fertilizer recommendations under additional considerations thrust towards enlarging primary demands, adopt innovations
can yield conclusions on the benefits and costs incurred at to suit local conditions, and closely coordinate with other
national economic level. Adequate producer credits, such as agencies with a plan to translate ideas from research into ideas
input-tied credits, promote fertilizer adoption because they for practical application. Several tools have been employed by
provide funds needed by the small-scale producer, relieve the manufacturers as part of their promotional program. There is
risk of innovation, and, at the same time, allow for fertilizer considerable scope for enlarging the dealer network and in
application under conditions of economically more transforming the role of the dealer to that of an agent for
competitive alternatives. technical progress.

524 How to Enlarge the Base of Fertilizer Consumption in 527 The Role of Communications in Promoting Fertilizer
India. V. Ranganathan (Minister of Agric. and Irrigation, New Use. V. L. Sheldon (Western Illinois Univ., Macomb) and J. E.
Delhi, India). Fert. News 22 (12), 16-20 (Dec. 1977). A Culp. In Cento Seminar on Key Management Problems in
general profile of the agricultural situation in India is described Marketing, Distribution, and Use of Fertilizers Proc. (held
and possibilities for enlarging the base of fertilizer consump Islambad, Pakistan, Jan. 7-10, 1974); pp. 281-91 (1974). In
tion is discussed. The role and knowledge of the farmer is of any environment, fertilizer marketing strategy relies on
considerable importance to increased consumption. In parti communications to get the farmer's attention and to tell him
cular, he should (1) know what type of fertilizers to use and what fertilizers are for sale. Its basic broad objectives are to
be convinced that its use is desirable, (2) use fertilizers of the inform, persuade, or remind target farmers about the firms
right quality and at the right time, and (3) be provided marketing mix and the firm itself. The first step in designing
adequate credit to procure fertilizers. Five other areas were an advertising program is to define the company’s target
also considered for increasing potential fertilizer consumption. market. The next step is to consider the four attitudes that are
These were: (1) improved irrigation techniques, (2) recondi apparent in any marketing mix: awareness, interest, under
tioning of problem soils, (3) dry land fertilization, (4) standing, and preference. Determining the location \of a
fertilization of oil seeds and pulses, and (5) increased company’s product in any of the attitude areas determines the
concentration on potential areas. advertising or communications objective. The most important
element of a message about a company’s product or service is
to fully describe its benefits. A good fertilizer advertisement
525 What Motivates United States Farmers in Use of will cause an audience to respond quickly. In order to do this
Fertilizer? L. J. Sullivan (Agrico Chem. Co.). Phosphorus Agr. the offer should benefit the prospect, be clearly stated, tell
27 (61), 19-29 (June 1973). Fertilizer use has had an average enough about the offer to warrant prospect action, and be
annual growth rate of 14% during the past 20 yr, but the rate presented in such a way that it builds a decided preference
is expected to average 5.5% during the next few yr. Fertilizer over a competing offer. Media selection should be made on the
use has led all inputs in boosting farmers' yields and profits. basis of the physical form that will get the farmer's attention,

71
TRAINING AND ADOPTION

provide the lowest cost per prospect, and be capable of presented FAI Training Program Advertising and Sales Promo
reaching a designated audience. The final important objective tion Fertilizer Marketing, (Held Bombay, February 24-8,
is to pretest the advertising's effect on a small group of people. 1975); 14 pp. (1975). F.A.I. Abstr. Ser 14, 159. To attain
This can be accomplished through personal interviews, need-based targets of fertilizer use, substantial acceleration is
questionnaires, and by objective discussions. required in the past trends of fertilizer use. This would need
efforts in three directions: (1) continuous enlargement in the
528 Communication Strategy for Fertilizer Promotion. B. N. availability of fertilizers, (2) creation of adequate and efficient
Chaudhary and C. Prasad. Fert. Mark. News (India) 8 (4), 1-4 networks for the distribution of fertilizers, and (3) generating
(Apr. 1977). The communication strategy and the related continuous growth in cultivators' effective demand for ferti
concepts, processes, problems, and the client system which lizers. Judiciously designed promotional efforts could play a
will ultimately not only help the fertilizer promoters but also very useful role in generating growth in effective demand for
the beginners in the field are presented. Some communication fertilizers by speeding up three forces which govern the growth
guidelines based on research findings have also been presented. in demand for this input. These are: (1) adoption of fertilizer
Communication strategies have been suggested for two major by an increasing number of cultivators, (2) diffusion of
categories of farmers, progressive and nonprogressive. Sugges fertilizer use on a number of crops after cultivators have
tions to make the strategy sucessful are included. adopted the use on one or two crops, and (3) increase in the
rates of application. Promotional measures could speed up
529 Marketing Strategy for Farm Inputs. A. Majumdar. these forces by: (1) increasing the response of crops to
Econ. Times 12 (20), 4 (Sept. 29, 1972). F.A.I. Abstr. Serv. fertilizer use by educating the cultivators in various details of
11, 2738. Little is known about the structure of the farm optimal fertilizer practices such as rates of application, balance
market, buying motives of the farmer, and media effectiveness among nutrients, use of micronutrients and/or soil amend
for different segments of this market. An attempt was made to ments in certain situations, and number, timing, and method
ascertain the place of agricultural inputs in the overall of fertilizer application, and (2) improving cultivators' percep
structure of goods and to develop a marketing mix under tion of returns from fertilizer use on a number of crops under
conditions existing in Indian agriculture. Agricultural inputs varied agroclimatic conditions.
were arranged in three groups: Group I consisted of minor
implements and seeds; Group II of fertilizers, pesticides, and 532 What Does a Fertilizer Marketer Expect From an Ad
weedcides; and Group III of machinery and heavy equipment. Agency. Part I. K. A. Wadia (Dharamsi Morarji Chem. Co.,
For products of Group I, an intensive distribution channel is Ltd., Bombay, India). Fert. Marketing News 6 (5), 1-4 (May
preferred. The extent of usage is high but user need for 1975). Advertising and sales promotion, when blended into a
services is low. Thus, little time and effort is spent in the complete marketing program and assigned logical duties, help
buying process and the significance of each individual purchase lower the cost of sales and distribution an even out employ
is low. Products of Group III need selective distribution and ment peaks. Careful planning is a prime requisite in effective
products of Group II require moderately intensive distribution sales promotion. The marketing company must set its objec
channels. In framing promotional policy a firm is often faced tives and support them with realistic facts. Sales goals must be
with the problems of assigning due priority among advertising, set product-wise, tonnage-wise, and value-wise for each month
personal selling, sales promotion, and publicity. While the of the yr. The sales goal must be based on an agronomic and
promotional policy for products of Group I will be primarily sales analysis of the likely usage pattern for each fertilizer
publicity and sales promotion supplemented by advertising, product for different crops in both irrigated and dryland areas.
personal selling and sales promotion will form the promotional The buying habits of the target audience and government
strategy for products of Group II and III. Price decisions of a programs and policies must be documented. The marketing
firm largely depend on the degree of control it has over the group also must determine the finances available for promo
market price of the product and partly on the degree of price tion and the quality and quantity of staff available to execute
variation due to product characteristics. Firms have little and follow throughout promotional plans. Equally important
control over products falling under Group I, relatively more is determining the sales characteristics of each fertilizer
control in Group II, and highest degree of control in Group product and the media most appropirate for these character
III. istics. The fertilizer company then determines whether to
select an advertising agency to handle the promotion program
530 Bank Credit and Fertilizer Promotion and Marketing. H. or to handle it in house. An outside agency is selected on the
C. Sarkar (State Bank of India, New Delhi, India). Fert. News basis of its experience on agriculture, financial stability,
17 (10), 23-5 (Oct. 1972). A 5% increase in foodgrain retention of other clients, service facilities (especially re
production is the target for India's Fourth 5-yr Plan. To search), background of personnel, problem-solving abilities,
achieve this target, both indigenous production and/or impor and other characteristics. In house handling of promotion
tation of fertilizer and consumption by farmers must be campaigns are not recommended except for very large com
increased. Working capital required for production facilities panies. Small companies cannot afford to hire the creative
can be obtained from banks but term financing is limited. people nor support all the research services that are essential to
Short-term credit for farmers and for fertilizer dealers is backup a promotion program. In house promotion by small
supplied by banks. Bank credit for dealers has an interest rate companies also tends to be repetitive because the staff does
of 9.25%, compared to 10% for most agricultural loans. not have an opportunity to exchange ideas with other creative
Borrowers normally are required to provide a 25% margin. For people.
small farmers, application forms for agricultural finance have
been simplified and shortened so as not to discourage them 533 What Does a Fertilizer Marketer Expect From an
from applying for credit. Advertising Agency. Part II. K. A. Wadia (Dharamsi Morarji
Chem. Co., Ltd., Bombay, India). Fert. Marketing News 6 (6),
531 Measuring Promotional Effectiveness. G. M. Desai. Paper 5-8 (June 1975). The advertising agency must be able to

72
TRAINING AND ADOPTION

determine the exact position of the target audience in the firm has to understand the consumers' behavior thoroughly if
adoption process in order for the fertilizer company to it is to do a good job of marketing. A consumer should be
formulate the correct marketing program. Many advertising treated as a promoter of the organization. The prosperity of a
agencies concentrate upon consumer and industrial products marketing firm, to a considerable degree, depends upon
and do not have any information about fertilizers. The author consumer satisfaction. There are different stages in the buying
proposes a pooling of effects by advertising agencies (in India), process. Each stage is important to the marketer in directing
fertilizer firms, and the Government of India to form a his promotional efforts through advertisement and demon
corporate body capable of providing basic market research stration. There are different roles performed by individuals
data for specific areas on a permanent basis. Such data would and marketing efforts have to be directed accordingly towards
then provide a basis for determining the most appropriate each of them.
media and its cost for a promotional program. At present 80%
of the farmers in India do not use any fertilizer. These must be 537 Canadian Fertilizer Industry Program. Ag-Chem.
approached differently than those who do use fertilizer. A Newslett., No. 83, 5 (Oct. 1, 1973). Directors of the Canadian
study in Punjab and Uttar Pradesh showed that the credibility Fertilizer Institute approved plans for a public relations
of media for the progressive cultivator, in decreasing order, program for their industry at their annual convention. The
was: specialists X radio » progressive farmers 2 block program will emphasize image building for the industry,
extension agency P. demonstrations > folders P newspapers. focussing on contributions to quantity and quality of food, as
For nonprogressive cultivators the order was: demonstrations well as environmental conservation achieved by fertilizer use.
> progressive farmers 2 specialists 2 block extension agency The program will be directed to farmers, government, and
> radio » folders × newspapers. COn SunnerS.

534 For Sales Managers, The Key is Creative Matchmaking. 538 India Expands Nitrogen, Phosphorus, and Potassium
J. M. Trytten. Mkt. Mag. 111 (3), 22-3 (Aug. 6, 1973). F.A.I. Promotion. Green Markets 1 (22), 7 (July 1977). India is
Abstr. Serv. 13, 3632. Selecting a media schedule is as launching an intensified fertilizer promotion campaign for this
important as creating advertisements. The effectiveness of Summer season. As part of the program the government will
advertisement can be enhanced by media that provides the expand promotional efforts to 66 districts. Methods used to
right kind of atmosphere, and reaches the target audience. promote increased fertilizer includes expanding outlets,
Matching a medium to a product begins by matching it to the increasing capacity at storage facilities, price breaks for
prospects. The next step is matching media to the objectives of off-season purchases, and easier credit. In the 1976-77 winter
advertising. Products moving through wholesaler and dealer Season consumption was 402,222 mt, a 33% increase versus
channels require advertising media which should match the last yr. Consumption from a central pool between mid
distribution pattern of a company taking into account the February and mid-March of 1977 was 58,000 mt, versus
geographic and demographic factors. Some advertisements call 1 1,000 mt last yr.
for use of regional and local media to attract customers in
order to create ‘back pressure’ on dealers and distributors. 539 India's Fertilizer Consumption and the Steps to Realize
Though advertising through vertical magazines covering a It G. S. Sekhon and Raghbir Singh (Punjab Agric. Univ.,
market is important, the use of horizontal magazines covering Ludhiana, Punjab, India). Fert. News 22 (12), 21-6 (Dec.
a number of markets is also advisable. 1977). Fertilizer consumption potential in India is much
higher than actual usage. Data from 1974 indicates that
535 Agricultural Advertising Attitudes. Tom Quirk (Miller approximately 33% of the farmers used less than 50% of the
Agric. Res. Serv., Minneapolis, Minn.). Farm Store Merchand. recommended rate of N and 50% applied only one-half of the
18 (9), 60, 62 (Sept. 1975). A survey was conducted in the fall recommended rate of phosphate. To bridge the gap between
of 1974 to determine the importance of various elements or use and potential usage a multi-prong systematic stategy to
claims in an ad insofar as farmers were concerned. An identical promote large scale use is described. This includes: (1) an
survey was conducted among advertisers who market their overall measure to assign as national priority the use of
products to farmers. A random sample of 1000 farmers was chemical fertilizers, (2) to promote research programs and
chosen and 35.5% responded within 4 weeks. The second extension education to generate useful knowledge of fertilizer
survey went to 235 advertising personnel and the response was use, (3) to strengthen the infrastructure arrangements for the
59.1%. The survey responses were stratified for general production, supply, and distribution of fertilizers, (4) devise
advertising claim, farm supplies claims, and farm equipment policies to make fertilizer use highly profitable to farmers, and
claims. Both farmers and advertisers ranked overall quality of (5) promote more vigorous participation from members of the
the product and reputation of the company as the most and fertilizer industry.
second most important general elements in an ad. Advertisers
listed price of the product as the third most important element
but farmers ranked price least important. Both groups agreed
that product performance and product safety were the most RETAIL SERVICES
important characteristics of farm supplies and formulation was
least important. For farm equipment, dependable parts and
services was ranked first by both groups and both chose low MANAGEMENT
maintenance costs for second place. A full line of equipment
was considered least important. 540 Management at the Retail Level. Keith Gaumer (Laverty
Elevator, Inc., Indianola, Iowa) and H. G. Walkup. In TWA
536 Consumer Behavior to Fertilizer Marketing. S. B. Fertilizer Conference, held July 31-Aug. 1, 1974, Louisville,
Tambad. Fert. News 18 (7), 57-9, 61 (July 1973). A marketing Kentucky; Bull. Y-78, pp. 78-80 (Aug. 1974). Muscle Shoals,

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Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Develop 543 Managing A Fertilizer Operation for Profit. Farrºt Store
ment Center. Some of the new or revitalized marketing Merchand. 18 (10). 18-24 (Oct. 1975). A company official of
practices that are taking place today are discussed. The retail a medium size bulk blend fertilizer operation was interviewed
outlet provides a vital link between the producer and the to determine factors essential in maintaining a profitable
farmer. Fringe benefits by suppliers such as consignment, easy operation. The company was established in 1952 and has
credit, delayed billing, storage allowances, preseason discounts, expanded each yr. At present it consists of seven blending
and others are no longer available. With supplies tight, the plants with storage facilities at each plant ranging from 900 to
retail dealer must be concerned with supplier ties, prepayment 4000 tons. Financing is of upmost importance because
by farmers, greater use of f.o.b. pricing, and price uncertainty shipments are by rail and barge and in many cases invoices are
impacts. The retail dealer must have skill in innovation in due before material arrives. Services to farmers have increased
order to respond to constantly changing conditions. and it is important that these services pay their own way. The
mixing of herbicides and pesticides is increasing and trained
541 Managing for Profit; Management by Objectives and personnel in the operation and maintenance of equipment are
Return on Investment at Retail Level. W. D. Downey (Purdue essential.
Univ., Lafayette, Indiana). In TVA Fertilizer Bulk Blending
Conf., (Held Aug. 1-2, 1973, Louisville, Kentucky). Muscle 544 Effective Retail Marketing: A Key to Surviving the
Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Fertilizer Shortage. D. R. Henderson (Ohio State Univ.,
Development Center; Bull. Y-62, pp. 113-20 (Aug. 1973). Columbus). Ohio Fert. Lime Conf. (held Nov. 29-30, 1973).
Management by objectives is a system that defines in advance Columbus, Ohio: Ohio State Univ., Columbus; pp. 58-74
the results to be achieved and the steps required to achieve (1973). Fertilizer shortages could lead to a low-volume
these results. There are three steps: (1) decide on goals, (2) operation at the retail level. However, few businesses are able
determine action plans, and (3) evaluate actual performance. to operate profitably with a low sales level and many local
Goals must be clear. It is critical that the goals be written retail dealers will disappear. In order to survive, the dealer
down. The overall goal in the fertilizer business is an adequate must increase his sales and optimize his product through-put.
return on the owner's investment, although adequate is hard to Astute observation, deductive reasoning, and market research
define. The action plans (should) state the specific things to be are necessary for the fertilizer dealer to develop a marketing
done, how they are to be done, who will do them, when they plan that will help him to adjust to changing industry
will be accomplished, and results anticipated from each step. conditions. Dynamic marketing, based on basic marketing
These plans should be geared to a specific calendar period. A principles and a decision about the market segment that the
periodic review of each area of responsibility is necessary to retailer wants to satisfy, will provide a basis for the dealer to
see if the established goals are being accomplished. The outperform his competitors and thus earn an allocation of
evaluation must be specific and based on measurable results. fertilizer from the basic suppliers.
This system is built on the principle that people at all levels
will apply their own knowledge and creativity toward a 545 Surviving in Today's Markets—A View From Iowa.
common goal if they understand how these objectives affect Larry Crosser (Farmer's Cooperative, Creston, Iowa). In TWA
the success of their organization and their own future. Fertilizer Conference, held July 31-Aug. 1, 1974, Louisville,
Kentucky, Bull. Y-78; pp. 74-5 (Aug. 1974). Muscle Shoals,
542 Panel—Managing for Profit to My Business and My Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Develop.
Customer. W. C. Brummitt (Tennessee Valley Authority, ment Center. Survival technique varies according to business
Muscle Shoals, Ala.) et al. In TVA Fertilizer Conference (held location, size, products handled, and service programs offered.
July 29-31, 1975, Louisville, Kentucky) Muscle Shoals, Ala.: The Creston Cooperative in the livestock-grain area of south
Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development western Iowa provides grain handling and storage, feed
Center; Bulletin Y-96, pp. 124-34 (July 1975). The response manufacturing and sales, production and sale of soybean and
of a panel of three people—W. H. Mitchell, Tennessee Farmers oat seed, seed marketing, agr-chemical services, and lumber
Cooperative; D. W. Simonsen, Simonsen Mill Rendering Plant, and building supplies in addition to fertilizers. Fertilizers are
Inc.; and K. A. Ermy, Ermy's Fertilizer Service, Inc.—is given available as bulk blends, bagged mixtures, liquid N, mixed
to the following: (1) Briefly describe your organization's liquids, and ammonia. Producers are precommitted to supply
fertilizer production and marketing program. (2) What are fertilizers as much as a yr in advance of sale to farmers. If
Some of the major management adjustments you made during necessary, cash is paid at time of delivery. The precommit.
the recent tight fertilizer supply situation? (3) What services ment program is now being offered to farmers. Working capital
do you and or your dealers offer farmer-customers? Any requirements have increased threefold in 4 yr. Customer
Suggestions for upgrading these services? Are the services you financing has been discontinued and prepayment to guarantee
offer on a “pay-their-own-way” basis? If not, any suggestions delivery is encouraged. The bank is informed of changing
for making them pay their own way? (4) Do you, or your market conditions and probable capital needs are listed in
dealers, mix fertilizers with seed, herbicides, other pesticides? advance of these needs. Investment in buildings and equipment
If so, to what extent? What are the major problems? What is has doubled between 1969 and 1974 because of increased
the farmer-customer reaction to this service? (5) What kind of volume of sales. Operating expenses also increased 75% but net
activities do you conduct to equip, train, or motivate your costs per ton of fertilizer decreased 37.5%. Survival also
employees to better serve your organization and farmer requires an open line of communication to the customer and
customers? (6) Are there other unique activities of your adequate transportation equipment, Customer ownership of
organization which contribute to your business and farmer application equipment and storage also will help.
customers? and (7) Looking toward the future, what adjust
ments do you visualize in your fertilizer marketing program? 546 Surviving in Today's Markets—A View From Kentucky.

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Mrs. T. W. Crady (North Amer. Fert. Co., Louisville, annually. Factors involved in the success of the company are
Kentucky). In TWA Fertilizer Conference, held July 31-Aug. the farming changeover, qualitites of experience, thorough
1, 1974, Louisville, Kentucky, Bull. Y-78; pp. 72-4 (Aug. ness, and innovation that are regularly brought to bear on the
1974). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, customers' behalf. Coash's staff numbers about 25 full time
National Fertilizer Development Center. North American workers. They plan individualized programs for production for
Fertilizer Company (a family business) came under new and over 50,000 acres.
inexperienced management at the death of Mr. Crady.
Although basic marketing principles still are used to sell 550 Optimizing Retail Fertilizer Dealer Inventory Levels. G.
fertilizer, marketing methods were changed. Emphasis was T. Devino and L. A. Dever, Jr. (Univ. Missouri, Columbia).
switched from bulk to bagged fertilizers. The best quality of Paper, Annual Meeting Am. Agric. Econ. Assoc. Columbus,
bags were used to maintain the high quality of the contents. Ohio; 15 pp. (Aug. 10-13, 1975). Because of the inherent
The service of spreading was stopped and this eliminated the uncertainty in their business, retail fertilizer dealers experience
investment in application equipment. Delivery service also was frequent changes in the variables affecting their business. Many
stopped and the company now owns no trucks. All materials of these changes directly affect their cost of maintaining
are priced f.o.b. the plant, thus eliminating discounts, inventories. Management of inventory is, consequently, an
commissions, freight allowances, and adjustments. Extended important factor in business success. The computer simulation
credit was eliminated in favor of cash and carry. Trucks that model described is designed to assist researchers and managers
bring goods to Louisville are encouraged to backhaul fertilizer in answering some of the questions which the industry faces in
from the plant. Truckers are able to book their needs for adjusting to changed conditions. The model was used to test
specific grades of fertilizer and make appointments for pick the effect of several key variables on the costs of maintaining
up; this resulted in customized production for the plant and inventory for a representative 4000-ton/yr retail fertilizer firm.
eliminated long waiting times for the truckers. Variables tested included: (1) operating policy with regard to
shortages, (2) shortage costs, (3) product delivery lead-times,
547 Surviving in Today's Markets—A View From Ohio. (4) product cost, and (5) interest costs. The analysis suggests
Wayne LeCureux (The Andersons, Maumee, Ohio). In TVA that lead-time and shortage costs exert the most influence in
Fertilizer Conference, held July 31-Aug. 1, 1974, Louisville, determining which order policy is preferred. Despite high
Kentucky, Bull. Y-78, pp. 76-7 (Aug. 1974). Muscle Shoals, interest rates and high product costs, long lead-times and high
Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Develop shortage costs would indicate that a policy which entails high
ment Center. Opportunities for fertilizer dealers attempting to safety stocks would result in lower inventory costs than a
survive include changing farmers' practices in order to obtain policy which minimizes safety stocks.
more efficient use of plant food; eliminating the seasonal
crunch by promoting farmer purchase, storage, and use on a 551 in Anhydrous Ammonia Retailing, Reduce Costs and
more yr around basis; upgrading the nutrient content of Increase Profits. Ronald Raiher and Arnold Heubrock (Iowa
fertilizers; and converting farmers to the use of good credit State Univ., Ames). Fert. Prog. 5 (2), 12-14, 52 (Mar.-Apr.
practices. Dealers can change their own adverse situations into 1974). Results are reported of a study of the cost of retailing
opportunities by making better and longer range plans, anhydrous ammonia and of ways to reduce this cost. Many
cultivating good relationships with suppliers and customers, retailers can realize big savings by making more efficient use of
accepting deliveries on a yr-around basis, improving their existing facilities, especially delivery equipment. The delivery
financial dealings with suppliers, and playing fair. operation accounts for 50-75% of the total retailing cost.
Encouragement of customers to apply anhydrous ammonia at
548 Market Development: The Key to Increased Fertilizer times other than during the hectic preplant season in the
Sales. R. M. Thorup. Farm Chem. 141 (2), 50, 52 (Feb. 1978). spring will also result in big dividends. The importance of
Fertilizer dealers occupy a very important positions in their operating at maximum plant capacity, maintaining a large
marketing areas since they offer a valuable commodity to their share of the market, and having delivery capacity to match
customers. They also have the opportunity to expand their plant output is stressed. A tabulation is given showing the
positions by becoming market developers and disseminators of number of applicators, nurse tanks, and pickup trucks needed
fertilizer use information. The key is to recognize the for plant capacities ranging from 400-1000 tons/yr.
difference between market service and market development. It
is one thing to test soils, provide credit, supply granular 552 Least-Cost Formulation Plan Helps Fertilizer Blenders.
products, and offer spread service; it is another to create a J. E. Culp and Y. C. Smith (Tennessee Valley Authority,
greater market by proving the need, demonstrating the Muscle Shoals, Ala.). Farm Supplier 48 (8), 41-2 (Aug. 1974).
response, educating the consumer, and promoting the concept Computer network systems have been developed by TVA. One
of greater profit through increased use. Dealers who have such system is the FORM-U-SHARE®), a least cost formula.
accepted this challenge can be a motivating force in their own tion service. The experience of a dealer in Schulenburg, Texas,
areas because they have already earned the confidence of their who has used this program is given.
farmer customers.

549 Growth of a Dealer. Farm Chem. 139 (5), 13-18 (May 553 Marketing Trends. E. M. Wheeler (The Fertilizer
1976). An independent dealer (Coash Inc.) of Bassett, Nebras Institute, Washington, D.C.). In TVA Fertilizer Conference,
ka, describes his business growth. Coash Inc. has been in held July 31-Aug. 1, 1974, Louisville, Kentucky, Bull. Y-78,
business for 20 yr. During this period the area has been pp. 88-91 (Aug. 1974). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley
converting from dry land farming (cattle and hay) to irrigation Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center. A forecast
(corn and alfalfa farming). The company has now developed a of what the future dealer is going to look like is given. Dealers
marketing system which averages a 20-25% growth increase will become larger in scope but fewer in number. Operations

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RETAIL SERVICES

will change to include additional storage capacity, transporta proper fertilizer, time of application, and adequate distribu
tion and movement will require expansion plans that consider tion on the land is of importance in the response of a crop to
relocation of operation, substantial investment in new field fertilizer. In applying fertilizer the farmer has to decide which
equipment such as floater equipment, and credit relationship type application he will use. He can apply the material himself
between the producer-dealer and dealer-farmer will be or have it distributed by the dealer. Next he must decide on
improved by bank financing. A forecast of the supply of N, P, the kind of fertilizer; liquid or dry, and what micronutrients,
and K is given. insecticides, and herbicides to include. There is a time factor
to consider since the crop must be planted at the most
554. Fertilizer Progress Interviews Bulk Blenders. Bertie opportune time. These factors must be considered if the
Groda (Agr. Service Co., Delta, Col.) et al. Fert. Prog. 4 (4), farmer is to expect the top value and utilization of his time
20-1, 25-6, 28 (July-Aug. 1973). An interview with six and land.
successful bulk blenders across the nation by the editor is
recorded. They were asked 10 basic questions and they spoke 558 Fertilizer Application Costs. H. G. Walkup (Tennessee
freely. The average bulk blender of 1973 is first of all a good Valley Authority, Muscle Shoals, Ala.). In TWA Fertilizer
manager. He has considerable capital tied up in his plant and Conference (held July 29-31, 1975, Louisville, Kentucky)
equipment. In most cases, he provides Services—custom appli Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National
cation of fertilizers and pesticides, soil testing, equipment Fertilizer Development Center; Bulletin Y-96, pp. 14-24 (July
rental and program planning. Very often he sells several 1975). A great variety of fertilizer delivery and application
fertilizers other than blends . . . such as ammonia, nitrogen methods is used in the United States. Three systems were
solutions, mixed liquids, and sometimes ammoniated solids. Selected for study and analysis: (1) anhydrous ammonia
However, the heart and core of his business is usually bulk applied by tractor-mounted tool bar applicators, (2) dry bulk
blending. fertilizer applied by towed bulk spreader of 4- to 6-ton
capacity, and (3) application of both fluid and dry fertilizers
by high flotation spreaders. The data was provided by 13
dealers in Iowa and Nebraska in 1974. The impact of various
factors on the cost of these systems is given. The average
APPLICATION delivery and application costs were: number one system with
an average length haul of 13.9 miles and average application
rate of 153 lb/acre, $36.22/ton and $2.75/acre; number two
system with an average length haul of 12.1 miles and average
555 Future Looks Bright for Custom Applicators and High application rate of 233 lb/acre, $16.17/ton and $1.76/acre;
Flotation Equipment. Farm Store Merchand. 21 (8), 21-2 number three system with an average length haul of 12 miles
(Aug. 1977). Custom application business is expanding, high and average application rate of 383 lb/acre, $5.75/ton and
flotation equipment is becoming more popular and the future $0.95/acre.
looks bright for those who apply fertilizers and chemicals
commercially. Thirty-two out of 45 respondents to a Survey 559 Investment Operating Costs Compared on High Flota.
agreed upon custom applicators expanding role. Reasons cited tion Fertilizer Spreader. H. G. Walkup (Tennessee Valley
in responses included: (1) custom application provides farmers Authority, Muscle Shoals, Ala.). Fert. Solutions 19 (4), 26. 28,
with a chance to buy labor and management during peak 32, 34, 39 (July-Aug. 1975). Three dealers were interviewed in
requirement times, (2) it reduces the farmer's investment in the irrigated areas of Washington and Oregon in October 1974
equipment which is used for only a few days, and (3) it saves to assess the cost-returns and logistical aspects of marketing
farmer's time and effort by avoiding the need for certification. fertilizer through high flotation spreaders. The analyses were
One manufacturer commented that application of fertilizers developed to show the cost return situations of what might be
and chemicals has become a specialized business with new laws considered typical under these conditions. One dealer dis.
and regulations and thus farmers will continue to rely upon tributed dry materials and two dealers distributed mixed fluid
the expertise of the custom applicator. fertilizers. Conditions of operations consist of 12 hr/day for all
dealers, 100-200 acres/day, 36-60 tons/day, and spreader
556 Custom Application: Bulk Blends—Granulated— width 40-50 ft. Income was generated by charges of
Liquids—Suspensions. Fert. Prog. 6 (4), 14-16 (July-Aug. $2.50.3.20 per acre spreading and S3.00.3.20 per ton for nurse
1975). Equipment manufacturers, suppliers, and custom appli tank service. Cost analysis is presented in 3 tables and 4
cators were interviewed and the answers and opinions from figures.
these sources are presented. Data on the following questions
are given. Who buys custom application? Who are custom 560 Costs as Related to Source and Method of Application
applicators? How many are they? Why do farmers buy custom of Selected Fertilizer Materials in Louisiana. L. W. Beasley and
application? What are some problems and opportunities for W. F. Woolf. Louisiana State Univ., Agr. Exp. Sta., Baton
applicators? What is happening in custom application? How Rouge. Dep. A gr. Res. Rep., No. 431; 69 pp. (June 1971).
much of total product is custom applied? What are the Costs can be reduced and profits increased by more careful
benefits of custom application? economic consideration to the costs of fertilizer materials and
the methods to apply them, since there is wide variation in the
557 Putting a Dollar Value on Uniform Application. L. W. prices of both materials and methods of application among the
Lohry (Nutro-Flo Chemical, Sioux City, Iowa). Proc., 1973 different forms and sources of materials. Guidelines are given
Round Up: Growing Profits with Liquids, pp. 31-7 (1973). to aid farm management personnel and others interested in
Peoria, Illinois: National Fertilizer Solutions Ass. The value of decreasing costs and/or increasing profits by determining

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economically which form and source of N, P:Os, and K2O to a re-evaluation of recommended application rates. When the
use, given different prices, forms and sources, methods of supply of fertilizer is unlimited it should be applied to all land
application, and tenure arrangements. at rates such that the last increment of fertilizer applied results
in a yield increase just slightly higher in gross return than the
561 Custom Application and Equipment, Cost, Maintenance, cost of the fertilizer; therefore, maximum net return per acre.
and Management. D. H. Hemstock. Fert. Prog. 5 (l), 8-12 However, under limited supply when maximum net return per
(Jan.-Feb. 1974). Custom application is a growing trend in the acre cannot be obtained, fertilizer should be applied at the rate
fertilizer industry. It is a potential profit center which requires that results in maximum production per unit of fertilizer
a lot of planning and management. The experience of one applied. A number of factors must be considered when
company in custom application is given. Volume per spreader determining the rate of application which will provide maxi
is the key to expense recovery. Fixed expenses drop from mum production per unit of fertilizer. Fertilizer efficiency will
S2.60 to S0.87/acre as the number of acres fertilized increases be at its maximum when other management factors affecting
from 1200 to 3600. About 25 acres/hr can be spread on fairly crop production are not limiting. Therefore, under conditions
level fields when the rate of fertilizer application is 335 of limited fertilizer supply it is important that producers use
1b/acre. good weed control practices, adapted varieties, adequate insect
and disease control, proper seeding date, proper date of
562 Field Costs, Time Being Cut with Feed and Weed Mixes. planting, water conservation practices, soil testing, and that
Farmer (Minnesota edition) 91 (8), 16-18 (Apr. 21, 1973). A farmers allocate their available supply over all acres based
study by Doane Agricultural Service showed that use of upon the expected economic return from the various crops.
fertilizer-herbicide combinations increased 24% in 1972. Corn
was the principle crop treated. Major pesticide producers have 565 Balancing Fertilizer Application to the Limiting
obtained federal label registrations and developed specific Nutrient. Part II: The Southeast. J. V. Baird (North Carolina
recommendations for use of many herbicides with liquid N, State Univ., Raleigh). Fert. Solutions 18 (5), 46, 48, 50
complete solutions, and suspensions. Application equipment (Sept.-Oct. 1974). Even though their price has risen signifi.
designed for liquid fertilizers seldom requires modification to cantly, fertilizers will continue to be important in achieving
handle fertilizer-herbicide combinations. Most application is the high crop yields so necessary to insure reasonable profits
on a custom basis. Field trials in Iowa have showed that liquid for Southeastern U.S. farmers. This region has long been
fertilizer-herbicide can be loaded and applied at a rate of 44 dependent on heavy fertilizer use; therefore, careful considera
acres/hr. Savings in time and application costs and reduced soil tion should be given to the most efficient utilization of
traffic by elimination of repeated trips over a field are nutrients, particularly during the current period of short
advantages of feed and weed. Supplies. Inventories of materials are at new lows as a result of
expanded acreage. As dealers reflect on the current season and
563 Fertilizer Field Distribution Problems Can Be Solved. F. look ahead to planning for 1974-75, there are numerous things
P. Achorn and E. B. Wright (Tennessee Valley Authority, that can be done both by dealers and producers to cope with
Muscle Shoals, Ala.). Farm Store Merchand. 1612-13, 68, 70, the shortages. Dealers can help farmers adjust in getting
74, 76, 78 (Mar. 1973). Uniform application of solid and fluid adequate materials to give the most profitable return. The
fertilizer has been a problem. Quality of bulk blends and fluid agricultural practices (1) soil testing, (2) lime application, (3)
fertilizer have improved but difficulties have been reported in animal manures as supplemental nutrients, (4) management of
mixing and application of some materials. Segregation of the nitrogen application, (5) value of legumes, and (6) place of
individual components in blends is chiefly the result of banded fertilizers are presented in details. The importance of
difference in particle size. Variation in particle size in the communication between the dealer and farmer in preventing
blend from the average particle should not exceed 10%. spotty shortages is stressed.
Coning in applicator bins and hoppers should be prevented.
Micronutrients or other powdered materials added to the 566 One Drop at a Time. Carl Fabry. Fert. Solutions 22 (1),
blend require special attention. A small amount (1-2%) of 18, 20, 22, 26, 28 (Jan.-Feb. 1977). The essential features of
liquid sprayed into blend as mixing occurs can control this the “drip” irrigation system and the advantages realized using
problem. Many variations in spreader equipment are found. liquid fertilizers are given. Coupled with a good liquid fertilizer
Some types are single spinner, double spinner, truck spreader, program, drip irrigation can produce superior plant growth,
and boom applicator. The operator must be well-trained in Speed maturity, and increase production. The use of liquid
calibrating the equipment and knowing the potential of the fertilizers with the system is one of its most efficient aspects.
equipment. Some spinner applicator were found operating at Advantages include ease of application, uniformity of distribu
extremely high speeds (3,000 rpm); for uniform application by tion and a near constant supply of nutrients. Most growers
a spinner applicator, the speed of the spinner, should be injecting liquid fertilizers are primarily using N and K mixes
500-650 rpm. The use of micronutrients in liquids is gaining because of fewer problems with clogged lines. Sources of N
popularity. The problem of salting out can be avoided by which lend themselves well to the system include urea, urea
knowing the dissolving properties of material used. A major ammonium nitrate solutions, ammonium nitrate, and calcium
r1trate.
problem in use of suspension is excessive viscosity: The
viscosity of a suspension should be less than 1000 cp at 70 F:
dilution with up to 10% water usually solves this problem. 567 Fluid Fertilizers Versus the Competition. J. L. Strauss
(Taralan Corp. Wheaton, Illinois). Fert. Solutions 20 (1),
564 Balancing Fertilizer Application to the Limiting 102-11 (Jan.-Feb. 1976). Eighteen advantages of fluids are: (1)
Nutrients. Part I: The Midwest. R. G. Hoeft and W. M. Walker homogeneity, (2) better placement, (3) salt index, (4) mini
(Univ. Illinois, Urbana). Fert. Solutions 18 (4), 44, 46, 48 mum tillage, (5) foliar feed, (6) feed and weed, (7) feed and
(July-Aug. 1974). A shortage of fertilizer suggests the need for seed, (8) fertigation, (9) additives, (10) N-P marriage, (11)

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décomposition, (12) erosion resistance, (13) versatility, (14) ported to vary from 45% to 216% of the intended rate. Since
high analysis, (15) time and energy saving, (16) water precision application is so very important, good equipment
solubility, (17) sequestration, and (18) even spread. There is and experienced operators are very necessary.
no more personalized service than a genuine interest in the
profit that is made on each and every acre of a farmer 572 A Farmer Views Service Requirements. R. H. Ward
customer. Profitability analysis of each field, regardless of (Crawfordsville, Indiana). In TVA Fertilizer Conference (held
crop, is one of the best tools to show personal attention to July 27-8, 1976, Cincinnati, Ohio). Muscle Shoals. Ala.:
each farmer customer. The distributor must know the product, Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development
know its advantages, talk dollars and cents, and provide Center; Bulletin Y-106; pp. 88-9 (July 1976). The cost of
personal attention. custom application of fertilizer and herbicides on an 830 acre
corn farm are compared with self application. A $3.50/acre
568 Aircraft Applies Liquid-Dry Fertilizers. Agrichem. Age charge is quoted by the dealer service. A break down of cost
19 (8), 24 (Nov.-Dec. 1976). A 120-foot wingspan Martin 404, for self application is given. The total charge by the dealer is
with an 82-foot airfoil boom, may be the forerunner of a new $2905/yr and the total cost for self application is $2694. The
technology for agricultural aircraft. The airfoil boom, can cost of self application does not have a timeliness factor
distribute liquid and dry materials (such as seeds) simultane incorporated into it. Because of the timeliness and other
ously from twin 7500-pound hoppers located in the space production factors the farm operator cannot justify self
formerly used by 44 airline passengers. Two 10-inch side application for a savings of $211.
mounted ram airjets for each hopper direct the airstream past
the inside hoppers. There, the materials is added to the stream 573 Custom Application Business. Les Hartwig. Custom
by metering star valves and carried out to the distributing Applicator 6 (2), 14-15, 18 (Feb. 1976). Carpenter Sales, Inc.
airfoil boom. With a fuel capacity of 15,000 pounds, the is an Iowa custom application business with plants at
Martin 404 can cover up to 30,000 acres daily. Location of the Bondurant, Martinsdale, and Ankeny. The company uses two
loading equipment is planned for the rear of the cabin Space. A Big A's and two Terra-gators to fertilize up to 300 acres/day/
new turbine liquid mixing system called the Vac-U-Mac can applicator. An application of fertilizer plus herbicide and other
take a dry fertilizer such as 14-14-14 and mix it into a solution additives could cost a farmer nearly $100/acre; thus Carpenter
along with trace elements. This can be applied along with a dry Sales could gross $120,000/day. About 90% of the business
material such as seeds with the new aircraft. takes place in the spring with 75% of the fertilizer applied
preplant and 25% applied postplant. Over 75% of the
569 Growers Like Cenex's Double Spread Tack. Custom fertilizer—all liquid–goes on corn, 15% on pastures, and 10%
Applicator 6 (1), 50, 63 (Jan. 1976). Cenex Cooperative, on soybeans. Over 95% of the fertilizer for corn contains a
Eilendale, Minnesota, increased the volume of custom-mixed herbicide. Custom application is limited to within a 5-mi
fertilizer from 1000 tons in 1971 to 5000 tons in 1975. About radius of each plant; when applying 1000 lb/acre, each
90% of the increase was due to improved custom application. applicator uses 150 tons fertilizer/day. Keeping the applicators
Modern applicators, including a flotation truck spreader, are supplied with fertilizer is a problem. The small business area
essential but quality application also is essential. For a reduces travel time and expenses and also affords greater
surcharge of $1/acre, fertilizer is double spread. Double opportunities for developing and maintaining close relation
spreading consists of applying fertilizer at one-half the ships with customers. In addition to the president, Lyle L.
intended rate and then overlapping each swath by 50%. Carpenter, the company staff is made up of five Carpenter
Accuracy and uniformity of application are increased 50% and sons plus an agronomist. A Burroughs 7200 Series program
segregation due to variation in particle size is practically mable calculator at the Bondurant plant is used to formulate
eliminated. Crop yields are boosted 5%. each order for fertilizer. Formulations to be prepared at the
Martinsdale and Aukeny plants are telephoned to the mana
570 Nurse Tanks and Toolbars Boost Fertilizer/Ag Chemical gers. All plants use Barnard and Leas Fas-batch punch card
Sales. Ray Bates. Farm Supplier 50 (10), 8-9 (Oct. 1976). automatic mixing systems. A mini-computer is used to prepare
Four county Ag Services, Morristown, Minnesota, has two detailed invoices for customers and to maintain a running
40-ft toolbar applicators that are used for custom application inventory of stock on hand. Carpenter sales was the first in the
of anhydrous NH3. The company also has nurse tanks for both area to use pit storage for phosphoric acid. The company also
anhydrous NH3 and liquid fertilizer. These are used in markets Promesol 20, an organic acid product from Mexico,
conjunction with the toolbar applicators or can be rented by which is claimed to neutralize soil acidity. New products,
customers with their own application equipment. especially herbicies, are introduced cautiously to obtain local
experience and maintain customer confidence. Fertilizer ratios
571 Precision Unlocks Tight Fertilizer Dollars. Big Farmer 47 have changed with time; 5 yr ago the common N-P2 Os-K2O
(3), 3 pp. (Mar. 1975). In the new fertilizer economy growers ratio was 3-2-1. for about 2 yr it was 3-2-2; last yr it was 3-1-2.
are discovering that precision application, not huge applica Carpenter insists that fertilizer is a better buy now than it was
tion, yields big fertilizer returns. Test comparisons are given a few years ago; the price of corn has tripled but the cost of
which show that general recommendations for plant nutrients fertilizer has only doubled.
are not sufficient for large profits. For example, the general
state recommendations for a farm was 200 lbs N, 55 lbs P:Os,
and 100 lbs K2O/acre; a specific recommendation from a lab
on a field to field precision basic resulted in a $10.90/acre
saving, using current fertilizer prices. Soil testing must be CREDIT
precise, on a field to field basis, and the testing agency must
use standardized methods. Application of nutrients are re

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574 Credit for Fertilizers. J. Flour Anim. Feed Milling 159 Delhi, India: Fert. Assoc. India, V-3(ii)/ 1-8 (Mar. 1977). The
(7), 18 (July 1976). Three new loan schemes designed banking system advanced Rs. 4290 million as credit to the
specifically to assist farmers in the seasonal purchase of agricultural sector prior to March 1973. Of this, credit for
fertilizers were recently announced by Midland Bank Ltd. fertilizer distribution at wholesale and retail level constituted
Midland Bank has decided, after successful pilot schemes were 12.5%. This percentage dropped to 10.9 but total advances
operated in 1975, to extend fertilizer credit facilities on a rose to Rs. 9370 million by Dec. 1975. In absolute terms, total
country-wide basis. Under these arrangements, farmers can credit to fertilizer distributors and direct to farmers stood at
buy at the optimum time, benefit from early delivery rebates, Rs. 2250 million before Dec. 1975 as opposed to Rs. 920
and take maximum discount for cash payment. Repayment is million before March 1973. By 1978-79 and 1983-84, the
then phased over a time scale geared to the income which is value of fertilizer targeted to be consumed was estimated
received from produce sold. Two of these schemes will operate around Rs. 15,250 and Rs. 57,250 million respectively.
primarily in conjunction with United Agricultural Merchants Assuming that 60% of consumption would be on credit
Ltd. through their nationwide outlets. Agreement between accounts in 1978-79 and 75% in 1983-84, the institutional
UAM and Midland makes the facilities available at an system will have to make available credit to distribution
advantageous rate of interest, calculated on daily balances. agencies and ultimate beneficiaries Rs. 9150 and Rs. 42,930
Repayment will be by three equal installments of capital plus million by 1978-79 and 1983-84, respectively. Distribution
accrued interest, due on the last business days of January, credit should flow to small and marginal farmers. Fertilizer
February, and March in the yr following that in which the loan distributing units should extend their activities over the
was made. Maximum credit period will thus be 15 months. geographical areas to cover the population without this input
and should develop an infrastructure like the pilot program
575 A Case Study on Bank Credit Needs of Fertilizer which may facilitate flow of institutional credit.
Dealers. T. K. Moulik and S. K. Karanjai. Fert. News (India)
19 (6), 10-14 (June 1974). A sample of 320 dealers, 579 Credit for Fertilizer Consumption and Distribution. B.
comprising 3% cooperatives, 52% established businessmen P. Sikder (Ministry of Agric. and Irrigation, New Delhi, India).
before starting fertilizer trade, and 45% new managers having Fert. News (India) 22 (8), 3-12 (Aug. 1977). The estimated
no previous business experience, was drawn by the Eastern requirement of fertilizer production credit during 1977-78 and
Marketing Zone (EMZ) of The Fertilizer Corporation of India 1978-79 is Rs 1158.59 and 1325.27 crores, respectively. Total
to study their fertilizer business behaviors during the years credit available in India for the same periods is Rs 719.30 and
1971-72 and 1972-73. On the basis of their desires and efforts 927.50 crores, a substantial deficit. This gap will enevitably
in running and expanding the business using the bank credit widen if cooperatives are not able to achieve their target of
facilities available, comparative results of the study have been disbursing production credit. Increased cooperative credit
drawn. requires a streamlining of the system through simplifying
procedures for obtaining credit, buying farmers produce, and
576 Credit Outlook: Spring Thaw for Farm Loans. Farm proper assessment of farmer's credit requirements. Along with
Chem. 138 (1), 46-7 (Jan. 1975). The farm loan demand was these modifications, the recovery level of credit should be
strong during the third quarter of 1974. Farmers sought and raised and commercial banks should open more branches in
obtained more credit than ever before; some of these loans the rural areas. The requirement of distribution credit is
were outstanding at the beginning of 1975 in order to take estimated to be Rs 529.04 crores for 1977-78 and Rs 695.28
advantage of tax breaks and possible higher prices. Farm crores for 1978-79. Available credit will not be adequate under
Chemical talked to several leading bankers and the consensus existing arrangements. For a smooth flow of credit from banks
was that the overall farm loan forecast for spring of 1975 will to distribution channels, contraints of high money margins and
be a little tight. Loan demand has been increasing about 10 to high rates of interests have to be removed.
15% each yr. Funds are expected to be available this yr at a
ratio slightly less than this 10 to 15% increase. Interest rates 580 Input Innovations, Producer Credit, and Social
on production loans are expected to remain fairly stable. At Differentiation. H. Hansel (Univ. Dar es Salaam, Morogoro,
the end of 1974, the going rate was generally 9-10% except in Tanzania). East African Universities 8th Annual Social Sci.
states where a usury limit held the line at lower rates. Conf., Univ. Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya (Held Dec. 19-23). Paper
No. 24; 15 pp. (1972). Development in rural areas through
577 Fertilizer Dealers Scramble for Credit. Agric. Finance 16 introduction and dissemination of innovations is handicapped
(2), 16 (Mar.-Apr. 1975). The fertilizer manufacturers have by increased social differentiation and the growth of
shown a reversal in credit policy. The dealer has been switched inequalities between poor and wealthy farmers. Adequate
to terms of 30 days without any cash discounts. The dealers producer credit policies, such as input-tied credits, are one of
are now searching for alternate sources of financing. More the means that could help to control extreme inequalities. This
banks are involved in fertilizer dealer financing and collateral is because input-tied credits provide the additional funds the
control is required. Banks are establishing loan formulas based small-scale farmer needs for adoption of innovations; at the
on inventory and accounts receivable. This seems to be the end same time, they relieve his risk-bearing ability and allow him
of the traditionally liberal credit terms by the manufacturers to adopt economically less competitive practices. Government
that amounted to consignment selling. agencies and external donors, demanding and planning
adoption of input innovations which they believe appropriate,
578 Distribution Credit for Fertilizers and Role of Banking should consider their moral obligation to facilitate farmers
System. S. M. Pathak (Bank of India, Bombay, India). In obedience to these demands. Fertilizer use in Ghana serves as
FALFAO Seminar Strategy Stimulating Fertilizer Consump an example of input innovation, producer credit effects, and
tion 1976 Proc. (held New Delhi, India, Dec. 9-11, 1976.) New social differentiation.

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581 The Fertilizer Dealer: Lately, No Profit but the Name. credit associations secure the majority of their money from
Richard Fenwick (North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh). Fert. commercial banks, insurance companies, savings and loans and
Solutions 20 (6), 110, 114, 116 (Nov.-Dec. 1976). A shortage other corporations through the sale of securities by federal
of working capital is a real problem today for some dealers. It intermediate credit banks. They are federally chartered and
is no longer sufficient to maintain just a profitable dealership. regulated by the farm credit administration. The local associa
Owners must also maintain a strong financial structure as well tions, through a board of directors develop their own programs
and be able to pay bills when they come due. During the and lending policies within the framework set down by farm
period of increasing product prices, more and more dollars credit and the Intermediate Credit Bank. Some programs of
were invested in inventory and accounts receivable. At the the plainview production credit association are discussed.
same time, suppliers were reducing their terms extended to
dealers. A fertilizer dealer's cycle of bill payment was 585 Financial Planning—Retail Cash Flow Management. Part
increasing faster than the turnover of inventory or accounts IV: Dealer Financial Management. V. M. Thompson (Utica
receivable. At the same time, high interest rates discouraged National Bank and Trust Company, Tulsa, Okla.). Fert.
the borrowing of long-term debt capital. Recently fertilizer Solutions 19 (3), 34.5 38, 40 (May-June 1975). The fertilizer
dealers have faced a product price decline and were forced to business has gone from abundance of supply to serious
mark down margins of fertilizers in inventory. At the same shortage. Irom almost no profit to a respectable return on
time, credit terms extended by dealers to customers become investment. The dealer has a new set of problems: cash on
longer. This cycle contributed to a further reduction in delivery, foreign competition, soaring interest rates, fuel
liquidity. If profit is to exist in other than name only, today's shortages, and the challenge of selling a customer whose profit
fertilizer dealer must maintain a strong liquidity position. picture does not look too promising. The fertilizer business
today requires a new skill; the “think” skill one that helps
582 Financial Planning—Retail Cash Flow Management. Part intel pret the results of all other skills. The balance sheet
l: Financial Trends in the Fertilizer Industry. Tom Patterson operating record of finances cannot be left to an accountant:
(First National Bank Amarillo, Tex.). Fert. Solutions 19 (3), the dealer must be a professional in financial management. The
12, 16 (May-June 1975). Dramatic changes have occurred in bunker must be sold on the talents of the dealer.
financing patterns of the fertilizer industry. In a 2 yr period
we have moved from a buyer's market to a seller's market. In
the buyer's market credit was used as a selling tool. Manu
facturers felt forced by competition to bear the burden of
manufacturing, selling, and financing. The financial burden has GENERAL
now been passed to the crop lender. Agricultural creditors
usually have a lien on crops and the financial burden is four to
five times what it was in the sixties simply because of price
increases. Earnings have been high for the farmer the last 2 yr 586 Fertilizer Manufacturers Agree on Dealer Importance.
and he has been able to receive financing. This is a healthly Farm Store Merchand. 21 (6), 63-4 (June 1977). The farm
situation for the industry because it reduces the monetary store dealer is now and will continue to be very important to
needs of the dealer. fertilizer manufacturers, according to a Farm Store Merchandi.
sing survey. The major advantage cited was services rendered
583 Financial Planning—Retail Cash Flow Management. Part by dealers, especially custom application. Other important
II: Lawrence Systems—The Credit Avenue to Working Capital. advantages reported were a dealers ability to supply credit and
Joe Brosnan (Lawrence Systems, Inc., Indianapolis, Ind.). that the fertilizer dealer offered the farmer the best solutions
Fert. Solutions 19 (3), 17-18, 25, 28 (May-June 1975). A to his questions on what to plant plus what fertilizer and ag
credit crisis developed in the 1973-74 fertilizer season for the chemicals to use. Every respondent agreed that the dealer was
fertilizer dealer. The buyer's market of the past had encour an integral part of its marketing philosophy.
aged him to use a loosely organized financing system. The
seller's market of today requires a well planned financing 587 Dealer's Role in the Future. Robert Book (Elanco
system. The third party, a collateral control company. System Products Co.). Farm Store Merchand. 18 (9), 40, 42 (Sept.
is described. The collateral control company totals the 1975). Potential innovations in crop production and increased
collateral value of a dealer’s fertilizer inventory and accounts government controls will require fertilizer and chemical dealers
receivable and issue certificates which guarantee the validity to deliver new services. These include helping the farmer to
and the degree to which they may be used as collateral. They confirm planting depth, weather outlook, future markets, new
monitor on a day-to-day basis and report to the lender. The varieties, and row spacing; tailoring nutrient requirements to
dealer can increase the amount of his loan at any time, up to optimum production; checking crop progress in the field, and
the limit agreed upon with the lender. coordinating a farmer's financial needs, returns, and credit
sources. The dealer must provide supplies during the same
584 Financial Planning—Retail Cash Flow Management. Part hours that farmers work. He must maintain a variety of
|||: The Modern Role of Production Credit Association. James equipment and also be able to help farmers modify their
Rogers (Plainview Production Credit Association Plainview, equipment. Dealers must attend meetings, seminars, and
Tex.). Fert. Solutions 19 (3), 32-3 (May-June 1975). The total training schools and demonstrate new techniques to farmers.
farm debts in the U.S. on January 1, 1975, were estimated at They must serve as outlets for chemical inventions as well as
S95 billion. The 400 plus production credit associations understand and differentiate all the products they handle.
servicing all areas of the U.S. will furnish approximately 22%
of this credit. Their objective is to provide credit for bona fide 588 What Will the Dealer of 1980 be Like? David Downey
farmers and ranchers and farm-related businesses. Production and John Marten (Purdue Univ., Lafayette, Indiana). Farm

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Store Merchand. 18 (11), 9-10, 12, 14 (Nov. 1975). The knowledge, fertilizer efficiency, availability of proper tools,
successful dealer of 1980 will emphasize service as a profit availability of qualified labor, pest management, and finances.
center. Dealerships will begin to look like small chains with Most fluid fertilizer dealers have acquired sufficient expertise
operation of 3-10 plants expanding into a 50 mile radius to adequately evaluate and respond to the information needed
common. In-office minicomputer will provide systems of to develop and implement optimum crop production pro
accounting, inventory, and billing while large computers are grams. Others know their limits and search for help to
used on a time sharing basis. The dealer will be more conscious accomplish the task—and only a few become absolete for lack
of his cash flow and will be skillful in dealing with banks and of knowledge and concern for the customer.
other financial sources on a regular basis. The plant will be
more automated using less personnel to perform higher quality 592 Improve Services to Increase Sales. R. B. Frye. In
service faster. Highly qualified people will be sharing profits by Situation 77, TVA Fertilizer Conference (held Kansas City,
limited ownership to avoid loss of key people. There will be a Missouri, July 26-27, 1977). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: TVA,
solid relationship between the dealer and supplier. A more National Fertilizer Development Center, Bull. Y-115; 76 (July
professional relationship will exist between the farmer and 1977). The fastest and most efficient way to improve retail
dealer with the larger farmers making more decisions based on fertilizer sales and profits are discussed. Suggestions are given
value received for their dollar. The farmer will be better to help improve a dealers service practices. They include: (1)
educated and spend more time on economics. He will know his individualized services, (2) precision, (3) offer the most
cost of production. The dealer will be spending more to satisfy current customer service, and (4) basing service programs on
government environment and safety regulations. Law suits will customer involvement and economics.
be more common and legal liability of dealer will be of more
concern. Capital cost of dealer facilities are estimated to be 593 Fair Play, Uniform Pricing Help Attract New Fertilizer
almost 4 times as great in 1980 as they were in 1970. Customers. Richard Chamberlin (Editor). Farm Store Mer
chand. 19 (2), 8-10 (Feb. 1976). Sederstrom's Fertilizer and
589 Dealers of 1980s Will put Even More Emphasis on Farm Supply, Litchfield, Minnesota, believes that sound advice
Service. W. N. Sutherland and J. C. Kramer (TVA, National and good service are as important as price in retaining large
Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, Alabama). Fert. volume customers. Although Sederstrom now has reduced
Solutions 20 (6), 98, 100, 102, 106, 108 (Nov.-Dec. 1976). A margins because of the very adequate supply of fertilizer and
Iecent study of dealer characteristics important to farmers was the soft market in the fall, price changes are relatively
conducted. The characteristics ranked important by farmers infrequent. Uniform pricing and fair play to the customer have
are given in a table. The dealer’s knowledge of fertilizers and attracted new customers to the company. Sound agronomic
his concern for the farmer's needs ranked high—along with advice, such as advising customers not to apply N last fall
delivery and application services, honesty, and a good business because soil temperatures were too high, has helped to develop
relationship. It is evident that even greater demand will be customer loyalty. In the service area, upgraded equipment has
made on dealer services in the future. The nature and speeded up operations. Training farmers to take their own soil
Sophistication of the farmer-businessman will help dealers samples also has helped by increasing farmer credibility in the
recognize the need for commercial application, soil testing, test results and by improving the accuracy of sample collec
and technical backup as an integral part of the farming tion. Collection costs have been reduced insofar as the
operation. The successful dealer of 1980 will likely emphasize company is concerned but the company pays the analytical
Service to an even greater degree. fees and maintains a record on each field for each farmer
CuStomer.

590 Dealers: Where They Are, Products They Sell, Services


They Provide. Fert. Progress 6 (5), 14-6 (Sept.-Oct. 1975). A 594 Fertilizer Supply-Demand Situation is Changing. J. R.
Survey of 9537 fertilizer dealers in the United States and Douglas and H. G. Walkup (Tennessee Valley Authority,
Canada by the Fertilizer Institute showed 52.6% were inde Muscle Shoals, Ala.). Farm Store Merchand 16 (2), 90, 92, 94.
pendently owned, 23.3% were company owned or controlled, 96 (Feb. 1973). The retail fertilizer dealer must change his
and 24.1% were cooperatives. Nearly 60% of the dealers sold sales strategy from the buyers' market to a sellers' market. The
bulk blended fertilizers, 51% sold N solutions, 44% sold Tennessee Valley Authority, in cooperation with The Fertil.
anhydrous NH3, 31% sold mixed liquids, 12% sold suspen izer Institute, analyzed the financial activities of 18 randomly
Sions, and 23% sold compound or manufactured mixtures. Selected bulk blenders in the U.S. The average investment was
Seventy-six percent of the dealers also handled pesticides, 6.1% $90,000 and the average annual operating cost was $64,300.
custom applied fertilizers, 42% custom applied pesticides, and Free services increase operating costs rapidly. Without free
20% handled micronutrients. States with the fewest dealers Services the break even vol was 3395 tons of material. When
were Hawaii 3, Nevada 4, and Utah 5; states with the most free Services valued at $2/ton were provide 4000 tons sales
were Illinois 748, Iowa 7 14, Indiana 549, Missouri 512, and were required for break even and when a 5% discount was
Texas 500. It was estimated that the survey covered about given the break even point moved to 4700 tons of material.
One-half of the dealers in the U.S. When the free service and 5% discount were both provided the
break even point increased to almost 6000 tons/yr. In the
591 Dealers Can Plan for Optimum Crop Production. C. A. sellers' market retailers must evaluate their sales and service
Wilson (Collingwood Grain Inc. Hutchinson, Kansas). Fert. strategy as carefully as their purchasing strategy.
Solutions 20 (6), 78, 80 (Nov.-Dec. 1976). Progressive
fertilizer dealers help farmers become better managers. Past 595 Trends in Fertilizer Dealer Services for Farmers. W. N.
experiences of dealers show that farmers will pay a fair price Sutherland and J. C. Kramer (TVA, National Fertilizer
for such service as counseling on cropping alternatives, soil Development Center, Muscle Shoals, Alabama). In TVA
characteristic, past or existing production problems, product Fertilizer Conference (held July 27-8, 1976, Cincinnati, Ohio).

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Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National 599 Kaiser Goes to Package Approach in Offering Lab
Fertilizer Development Center; Bulletin Y-106, pp. 84-7 (July Services to Farmers. C. E. Fulcher and Barbara Anderson
1976). Studies of the effectiveness of fertilizer dealer services (Kaiser Agric. Chemicals). Fert. Solutions 19 (5), 56, 58, 60
on sales have been conducted. Dealer characteristics important (Sept.-Oct. 1975). Kaiser Agricultural Chemicals has devel.
to farmers are reported. In the future greater demand will be oped a package approach in a long range program to help the
made on dealer services. The nature and sophistication of customer optimize his profits through more efficient fertilizer
farmer-businessmen will help dealers increasingly recognize the usage. The initial step includes three areas: (1) soil testing,
need for dependable and timely commercial application, soil lime and fertilizer recommendations; (2) plant analysis; and
testing, and technical backup as an integral part of the farming (3) nematode assay.The soil tests include analyses for P, K, Ca,
operation. The successful dealer of 1980 will likely emphasize Mg, and pH as standard tests; organic matter, base saturation,
service to an even greater degree. exchange capacity, micronutrients and S tests are available
upon request. Eleven elements are determined in plant samples
596 Trends in Selling and Servicing. Richard Warner (Warnel and nutrients are reported as high, sufficient, or deficient. In
Fertilizer Co., Inc.). In TVA Fertilizer Conference (held July the nematode assay, the farmer's fields are sampled and the
27-8, 1976, Cincinnati, Ohio). Muscle Shoals, Ala. Tennessee kind of nematodes present and the population levels of each
Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center; kind are determined.The company has two soil analysis centers.
Bulletin Y-106; pp. 43-5 (July 1976). The experiences of a They are located in Sullivan, Illinois and Savannah, Georgia.
fertilizer company in Kentucky in sales and service over the Each center is staffed with qualified personnel and fully
last 11 yr are presented. The forecast is that the future of equipped with the most modern instruments.
fertilizer retailing belongs to the progressive retailer who is
profit-minded and uses sound principles of money manage 600 Fertilizer, Chemical Experience, Expertise Pay Off for
ment while providing needed services. Holden Fertilizer. Shelley Simak (Editor). Farm Store Mer
chand 19 (2), 34-5 (Feb. 1976). A handout of Holden
597 Trends in Selling and Servicing: Some Approaches in the Fertilizer, Holden, Missouri, lists 22 products and services
United Kingdom. J. W. Poulton (Pertwee LANDFORCE Ltd., offered, 13 of which are fertilizer or chemical oriented.
England). In TVA Fertilizer Conference (held July 27-8, 1976, Familiarity with customers' operations, field needs, and soils
Cincinnati, Ohio). Muscle Shoals, Ala. Tennessee Valley result in high quality service to customers. Custom application
Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center; Bulletin of fertilizers and chemicals is emphasized. Custom application
Y-106; pp. 46-8 (July 1976). Fertilizer industry operations in not only gives the farmer more time to concentrate on other
the United Kingdom are unlike those of the United States. essential jobs during the spring rush but also provides the skill
Some 85% of United Kingdom fertilizer production is in the and proper equipment for applying fertilizers and chemicals
hands of three large international companies. These companies and eliminates the need for farmers to develop this expertise.
depend on agricultural merchants, distributors, and coopera Most customers are using dry fertilizers but the trend is to
tives for the distribution. For these distributors, profitability is liquid fertilizer because it is easier to calibrate liquid equip
often as low as 1-2%. The title company turned to bulk ment and to spread liquids more precisely. Aerial photographs
blending for development and growth, because it offered are used to identify customer fields, most of which are within
opportunity to service and sell profitably. Bulk blending. a 15-mile radius of the plant. The company maintains records
contribution within the United Kingdom fertilizer System is of fertilizer applications to each field. Soil testing is promoted
6%; however, its future looks bright. The need to provide and demonstrations are used to test fertilizers, herbicides, and
exactly what the crop and soil requires has never been greater. seeds. Rental equipment also is available but most customers,
If the trend continues, blending either dry or liquid may as well as the company, prefer custom application.
develop in the United Kingdom much more quickly than it has
in the past decade. 601 On-Farm Sales-Service Moves Fertilizers and Ag Chemi
cals in Volume. Jean Ehly. Farm Supplier 50 (4), 24-5 (Apr.
598 Dealer Emphasis Paramount in Agrico Marketing Plans. 1976). Taylor-Evans farm store in Tulia, Swisher County,
Fert. Solutions 20 (2), 8-10 (Mar.-Apr. 1976). Agrico Chemi Texas, stocks supplies and chemicals for its customers and also
cal Company has organized a network of dealers called has an aerial spraying service and spray rigs for customers to
“Certified Crop Care Centers”. Dealers are selected for the use. Infield inspection for farmers within a 15-mile radius of
program on their ability to provide total service to their farmer the plant is an important part of the service program.
customers. Agrico plans the marketing program for the dealer Fieldmen take soil samples and advise farmers on fertilizeſ
promoting the dealer's image within the locale in which he needs on a field-by-field basis. Occasionally, tissue samples are
lives rather than advertising Agrico, a distant manufacturer. analyzed in the field to determine if the correct fertilizer rates
Services offered to dealers from Agrico are: (1) a fluid process were used. Fieldmen discuss crop yield potentials with farmers
unit that can produce 30-35 tons/hr of fluid blend; (2) a and use soil test results to evaluate N carryover from one yr 10
financial guidance program called DART, a computerized the next before recommending fertilizer rates to achieve the
system that helps dealers examine their financial affairs; (3) yield goals.
publications for dealers and farmers; and (4) soil and plant
analysis. the success of the program is such that Agrico entered 602 Florida Fertilizer Company Emphasizes Service and
1976 with “Certified Crop Care Centers” in every geographical Technology. Farm Chem. 138 10, 18-28 (Oct. 1975). A
area east of the Rockies and with more in the process of medium sized independent fertilizer dealer operating in three
signing up. In 1976 the company plans to put a 26 ft van on agricultural countries of Southern Florida was interviewed.
tour in Agrico marketing areas with educational material and Many technical services must be supplied to the farmer that
displays of interest to dealers and farmers. large companies are not interested in providing. This company

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has specialized technicians that work with customers in levels has strained Bulgaria's investment capacity, particularly
checking crops and advising with regard to fertilizer use. The where expenditures in hard currency are concerned. Growth in
company uses quality products, modern equipment, and well N exports from 1968 onwards has provided some relief to
trained personnel. Modern office computer equipment is these difficulties by increasing hard currency earnings, but
essential for formulations needs in this area. The company there are currently difficulties in boosting agricultural output,
feels that because of diversified agriculture and year around which still provides 45% of Bulgarian export revenue.
growing season they occupy a very key place in the industry.
607 Canadian Potash Sold to China. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 204
603 Fertilizer Service Center for Philippines. Jap. Chem. (26), 5 (Dec. 24, 1973). Canpotex, Ltd., exclusive overseas
Week 14 (668), 6 (Feb. 15, 1973). The Ministry of Inter marketer of all Saskatchewan potash, has made another in its
national Trade and Industry and the fertilizer industry have series of huge fertilizer sales to China—this time 170,000 mt
been making preparations to establish service centers in the for delivery between July and December 1974. Potash sales by
main countries in Southeast Asia one by one in order to Canpotex to China in 1974, including this contract and the
extend technical assistance in agriculture centered around previously announced sale of 150,000 mt (see FA 7, 99) will
wide-spread use of fertilization techniques. The service centers be more than five times the vol shipped in 1973.
will start functioning shortly with completion of the first
service center in Manila (Philippines) scheduled for October 608 Canadian Potash Export to Korea. Chem. Mark. Rep.
this yr. The Ministry of International Trade and Industry and 210 (22), 3 (Nov. 29, 1976). Campotex, Ltd., Toronto,
the fertilizer industry dispatched a survey team there for 12 Canada, has reached agreement on a long-term contract to
days to investigate local conditions. supply potash to Nanhae Chemical Co. in the Republic of
Korea. Nanhae, whose shareholder is the government of Korea
is constructing a major fertilizer complex which will come on
stream in 1977. The contract covers Nanhae’s total potash
WORLD TRADE requirements up to the end of 1980, according to the
president of Canpotex, and is expected to involve approxi
mately 600,000 mt of muriate of potash during this period.
EXPORTS
609 Canadian Exports Fall Off Sharply. Eur. Chem. News 28
604 Australian Ammonia for Export Market. Eur. Chem. (720), 14 (Jan. 23, 1976). A 25% decrease in exports in the
News 27 (679), 18 (Mar. 21, 1975). An additional 40-45,000 first 10 months of 1975 and a similar size decrease in prices
ton/yr of ammonia will be available for export when Kwinana has made it an unhappy yr for Canada's sulfur industry.
Nitrogen's major customer in Australia-Western Mining Cor. Export levels began to fall in March and the 10-month figures
poration (WMC), brings its own plant on-stream later this yr. show US shipments down from 915,000 to 705,000 ton and
With its available ammonia about to double, Kwinana Nitrogen offshore sales at 1.8 million ton against 2.5 million ton for the
is now looking at ways of disposing of the surplus production. comparable 1975 period. Prices fob plant stayed firm until
At present there is a strong export market and while it holds autumn, averaging $24/ton fob plant, but have been dropping
the company does not expect to have any problems. since. Some producers are currently getting only $19/ton.
Spot prices fob Vancouver (slated sulfur for offshore ship
605 Australian Phosphate Rock Export. Eng. Min. J. 177 ment) had been over $50/ton early in 1975, but are now being
(7), 132 (July 1976). Rock phosphate from the huge new quoted at Canadian $41-42/fob. Canadian production for
open-pit Duchess deposit in northwestern Queensland will not 1975 (10 months actual plus two months estimated) is given as
be sold within Australia for at least another 3 yr but will be 6.5 million ton of which 6.45 million ton was from Alberta.
reserved for export. Following the government decision in
1975 to allow Broken Hill South to export up to 2 million 610 Canadian Fertilizer Exports—1977. Fert. Int. No. 102; 3
mt/yr, all phosphate rock is being shipped from the Queens (Dec. 1977). Shipments of Canadian fertilizers during 1976-77
land port of Townsville. Broken Hill does not expect to reach were 6% below the 1974-75 yr level. Exports during 1976-77
the 2-million-mt/yr production level until 1978. Christmas were up 21%, thus averaging 19% for the yr ended June 30,
Island is currently producing close to its capacity of 2 million 1977. East Canadian shipments increased slightly more than
mt/yr. Sales are divided almost equally between Australia and West Canadian totaling 1389 tons compared with 1299. Potash
New Zealand on a cost-plus-freight basis. shipments showed the most significant increase, up 33%
compared with increases of 14% and 2% for N and P,
606 Bulgarian Nitrogen Exports. Nitrogen No. 82, 26-9 respectively. Total inventories at yr-end were down slightly to
(Mar.-Apr. 1973). Bulgaria has been the most prominent of the 2192 tons compared to 2260 tons in 1976.
three new East European fertilizer N exporters for the last 5
yr. During this period it has exported up to 200,000 tons N/yr 611 Fertilizer Commodities Exports—Chile. Mineral Trade
of material out of a total production of 550,000-600,000 tons Notes 74 (6), 10 (June 1977). Washington, D.C.: U.S. Bur.
N/yr. Bulgarian N exports have found major markets in North Mines. Fertilizer commodities exported from Chile in 1976
Africa, India, China, and Turkey, with more modest shipments amounted to 377,643 mt value at U.S. $30,227,756, repre
going into markets such as Cyprus, Italy, Yugoslavia and, more senting a gain of nearly 7% and a decline of over 28%,
recently, much of Western Europe. Quantities of material have respectively, from the 353,159 tons valued at U.S.
also gone into Cuba, and several smaller markets in Latin $42,238,381 exported in 1975.
America and Africa. Over 65% of total N fertilizer exported is
urea, followed by ammonium nitrate, and ammonium sulfate. 612 China-Exporter of Nitrogen by 1980. Fert. Int., No. 58,
The achievement of the present production and consumption 6 (Apr. 1974). The People's Republic of China has been the

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world's largest importer of N fertilizers for almost a decade, they have fallen rapidly. In 1975 the total was $384 million
and entil 1972 was expected to remain an important importer and by 1976 a further decrease brought imports down to only
until at least 1980. The balance between domestic supply and $13.4 million.
consumption requirements was met by large-scale imports
costing upwards of $100 million/yr from Japan, Western 616 Ireland Exports Urea. Nitrogen, No. 88, 8 (Mar.-Apr.
Europe, and latterly Kuwait and East European suppliers. 1974). Recent reports from Ireland reveal that at a time when
China became Japan's best customer taking up to 80% of every ton of fertilizer is vital to the agricultural sector, large
exports in more recent years. Since 1972 the picture has quantities of urea are being reexported because of higher
changed very fast. China has emerged as one of the very few profits to be made abroad. The urea originally was imported
populous countries with an existing hydrocarbons surplus and by the same companies at a time when it could be bought
high untapped reserves particularly in the continental shelf. cheaply from several international sources. Low-priced
Secure feedstock has undoubtedly played an important role in imported urea has enabled importers to undercut Eire's
determining the spectacular growth in fertilizer N plant domestic N producers, and created considerable opposition
contracts over the past 2 yr. No less than fifteen 1,000 from workers in the fertilizer industry, who were seeing their
tons/day ammonia-1,740 tons/day urea projects have been jobs threatened. In 1973, more than 60,000 mt were brought
planned for completion by 1979. China has a generally into the country. Now the picture has changed totally in the
excellent record for sustained efficient plant operation, so that wake of the fuel crisis and other raw material cost increases.
the additional capacity suggests either a large boost in Urea, as have other fertilizers, has rocketed in price and this
consumption, above 4 million tons N/yr by 1980, or the has prompted the turnabout export trade. A shipment of 400
creation of a modest commercial export capability. tons has already reached the United Kingdom and another of
2000 mt has gone to the United States.
613 European Producers Win Big Fertilizer Export Contract
in China. Eur, Chem. News 27(695),4 (July 18, 1975). Leading 617 Ireland Fertilizer Export. Eur, Chem. News 29 (760), 47
European fertilizer producers have signed a major deal for the (Nov. 5, 1976). Nitrigin Eireann Teoranta (NET), the Irish
export of fertilizers to the People's Republic of China. state-owned fertilizer producer, claims to have export orders
Arranged through the Zurich-based export association Nitrex, worth £150 million for products from its new ammonia-urea
the trade involves the delivery of between 400-500,000 ton plant under construction at Cork Harbor. The company claims
from July to December this yr. The trade is thought primarily that export orders at this level will keep the plant in
to concern urea, but 20-30,000 ton of calcium ammonium production from beginning operation in 1978 until the
nitrate and some ammonium sulfate is also involved. Prices are mid-1980s. After 1985, NET believes that Irish demand for
said by industry sources to be below those ruling on the ammonia and urea will take up the entire output of the £72
international market—that is probably below $150/ton for the million plant. In the plant's initial stages, some 60% of
urea. Last yr urea was being sold in the Far East for over production will be exported, with the balance supplied to the
$360/ton. Nitrex represents leading fertilizer manufacturers in domestic market.
Norway, Germany, the Netherlands, Austria, Belgium, Switzer
land, and Italy.
618 Fertilizer Export Ban Being Urged by Italians. Chem.
614 Indonesian Urea Exports. Chem. Age (London) 114 Mkt. Rep. 206 (9), 7 (Aug. 26, 1974). Italy's farming industry
(3006), 16 (Feb. 25, 1977). Indonesia has announced plans to has called on the government in Rome to ban overseas sales of
export some 250,000 mt of urea fertilizer this yr. It is planned fertilizers unless manufacturers agree to give priority to home
to gradually increase exports to the Philippines to 50,000 market sales. Figures for the first half of this yr show that
mt/yr. Indonesia is currently undergoing a major capacity fertilizer exports increased 164% to a total value of 24.8
increase in urea fertilizers. A 570,000 mt/yr plant was started billion lire while imports were up 39% to 20.6 billion lire.
up by P. T. Pusri in South Sumatra in December bringing total
Indonesian urea capacity to just over 1 million mt. A further 619 Japanese Fertilizer Export Increase. Jap. Chem. Week
570,000 mt of urea capacity is due on-stream this yr at the 15 (747), 5 (Aug. 22, 1974). Reflecting price markups,
Pusri site in Sumatra. Another 570,000 mt/yr urea and Japanese fertilizer exports in 1973 fertilizer yr (July
ammonia facility is also being planned by Indonesia for a site 1973-June 1974) declined in quantity but gained in value. All
in North Sumatra. types of fertilizers exported during the yr aggregated
3,682,000 tons, off 13% from the previous yr, but earned
615 Indonesia to Become Major Fertilizer Exporter. Chem. $279,451,000, or a 20% gain. Volume exports declined
Age (London) 116 (3049), 6 (Jan. 6-13, 1978). Indonesian urea because the greater part of output was consumed at home.
fertilizer production for 1978-79 is estimated to be 2.3 million
mt according to industry authorities. Phosphate production 620 Japan to Provide Nitrogen Fertilizers to International
during the period is expected to reach 460,000 mt. Production Relief Supply Pool. Jap. Chem. Week 15 (760), 6 (Nov. 21,
capacity has recently been raised to about two million mt 1974). The Japan Urea & Ammonium Sulphate Industry
following the start-up of the 570,000 mt ammonia-urea Pursi Association tentatively decided that the industry contribute a
complex. As a result of this increased capacity the Indonesian total of 50,000 tons of nitrogen fertilizers to a proposed
Government has recently signed export contracts for a total of international fertilizer relief supply pool for developing
521,000 mt/yr of fertilizer with Pakistan, Sri Lanka, India, nations. The projected pool of special cut-rate fertilizeſ
Malaysia, Singapore, New Zealand, Australia, and the Philip supplies from Japan and other major fertilizer-producing
pines. The switch from major importer to major exporter will nations is to be set up with funds to be donated by advanced
provide a definite boost to the nations foreign exchange nations. According to the Association, it plans to ask the FAO
reserves. In 1974 imports totaled $907 million but since then to do its best to send the Japanese industry's 50,000-ton

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supplies to Nepal, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka. The industry China accounted for less than one-third of the total compared
prefers that such emergy Japanese supplies go to really to 58% in 1975-76 and 64% in 1973-74. Taiwan was the
fertilizer-short and hard-pressed Asian nations among the Second most important customer in Southeast Asia, importing
industry's regular customer countries, not to other developing 165,000 mt of ammonium sulfate in 1976-77 compared with
ſlātl OnS. only 10,000 mt in the previous yr. Exports to Malaysia and
Thailand also reached new heights and there was a recovery in
621 Japanese Urea-Ammonium Sulfate Exports in 1974. Sales to Sri Lanka, the Philippines, and New Zealand.
Jpn. Chem. Week 16 (777), 1 (Mar. 20, 1975). With fertilizer
export talks with China settled, Japan Urea & Ammonium 625 Japanese Fertilizer Contract with China. Jap. Chem.
Sulphate Export Co. recently announced that total urea Week 14 (681), 5 (May 17, 1973). Japan has concluded its
export contracts concluded in 1974 fertilizer yr aggregated talks with China on fertilizer exports during 1973 fertilizer yr.
2.470,000 tons and that ammonium sulfate contracts totaled The Japanese fertilizer industry won higher prices for a smaller
510,000 tons. Urea export contracts with China in 1974 volume than last yr. It was agreed that Japan would export
fertilizer yr amounted to 905,000 tons, the biggest export 600,000 tons of ammonium sulfate and 1,150,000 tons of
destination, followed by Indonesia 500,000 tons, India urea. The total of 3,130,000 tons in terms of ammonium
450,000 tons and the Phillippines 320,000 tons, and ammo sulfate is 330,000 tons less than last year's entire exports. The
nium sulfate export contracts with China came to 180,000 ammonium sulfate was priced 4.2% higher than last yr and the
tons, followed by Sri Lanka 65,000 tons. urea cost 32% more for an average markup of 35%. Therefore,
despite the decrease in volume the price for the two items is
622 Japanese Urea—Ammonium Sulfate Export. Jap. Chem. larger than last yr. The Japanese fertilizer industry is in a
Week 16 (801), 5 (Sept. 4, 1975). According to the Associa favorable position after long years of depression due to a
tion's report on export in fiscal year 1974, ammonium sulfate natural gas shortage in the U.S.A. and a sharp increase in
decreased by over 200,000 tons to 610,622 tons from the international demand which in turn led to a fertilizer shortage.
previous fertilizer year's 841,383 tons. Urea increased to
2,450,247 tons, more than 300,000 tons over the preceding 626 Japanese Fertilizer Export Contract With China. Chem.
year's figure of 2,121.481 tons because of domestic produc Econ. Eng. Rev. 8 (3) (No. 93), 45 (Mar. 1976). The Japan
tion increase. Destination-wise, exports of ammonium sulfate Urea & Ammonium Sulphate Industry Association announced
to China came to 243,900 tons, a decrease of more than 50% the signing of a fertilizer export contract with China covering
from the previous fertilizer yr. Against this, ammonium sulfate the 6-mo period from February to July 1976. According to
to India accounted for 20,000 tons, reviving from nil in the the contract, Japan will export 160,000 tons of ammonium
preceding fertilizer yr. Exports of urea to China dropped by sulfate and 325,000 tons of urea, or a total of 900,000 tons as
some 260,000 tons from the preceding fertilizer yr to 878,920 ammonium sulfate. The total export price is ¥16,000 million,
tons. However, urea to India rose by 200,000 tons to 556,575 which will be paid in dollars without usance. The contract
tons and to Indonesia gained by 160,000 tons to 499,740 price is also denominated in dollars. The export volume is
tons. Furthermore, urea exports to the Philippines, Egypt, and about half of the level in the boom periods.
others also increased. As a result, increase of urea exports
aggregated more than 300,000 tons. 627 Japanese Exports to China. Fur. Chem. News 30 (792),
8 (June 24, 1977). Japanese fertilizer producers have signed a
623 Japan's Ammonium Sulfate-Urea Export. Jpn. Chem. contract for the export of some 962,000 ton of fertilizers to
Week 17 (854), 11 (Sept. 9, 1976). Exports of ammonium China. The contract underlines the increasing view that prices
sulfate fertilizer in the 1975 fertilizer yr ended in June topped are now on the uptrend. Under the terms of the trade, Japan,
the previous yr level, but exports of urea declined by nearly which traditionally exports around 40% of its fertilizers to
50%, according to the Japan Urea & Ammonium Sulphate China, will deliver 542,000 ton urea and 150,000 ton ammo
Industry Association. Figures published by the Association nium sulfate by December of this yr and a further 270,000 ton
show ammonium sulfate exports in the yr totaled 666,000 of ammonium chloride by March 1978. Prices for the Japanese
tons, compared with 61 1,000 tons for the previous yr, and urea are $127/ton f.o.b. compared to $120/ton agreed in the
urea exports amounted to 1,245,000 tons, against 2,450,000 recent Nitrex/China deal. The Nitrex contract involved
tons the previous yr. Major markets for ammonium sulfate in delivery of about 500,000 ton of single and complex fertilizers
the 12-month period were China, which took 389,000 tons, to China.
Sri Lanka (32,000 tons), Malaysia (23,000 tons), Thailand
(59,000 tons), Fiji (32,000 tons), New Zealand (14,000 tons), 628 Japanese Ammonium Sulfate Export to United States.
the United States (71,000 tons), and El Salvador (21,000 Jpn. Chem. Week 17 (829), 7 (Mar. 18, 1976). Nissho-Iwai
tons). China remained the top importer of urea, taking Co., a major trading company, said recently it had signed a
943,000 tons, followed by India (25,800 tons), Malaysia contract to export 15,000 tons of ammonium sulfate to Valley
(14,000 tons), Vietnam (6000 tons), and the United States Nitrogen Producers Inc. of the United States. This is the first
(5000 tons). time that a U.S. company has ordered ammonium sulfate from
Japan. The United States is a major ammonium sulfate
624 Japanese Ammonium Sulfate Exports. Fert. Int. No. 99; manufacturing country. The Japanese fertilizer industry has
4 (Sept. 1977). Exports of ammonium sulfate from Japan in begun studying whether the American company will buy more
the yr ending June 1977 reached the record level of 1.5 ammonium sulfate from Japan. If the U.S. company buys
million mt. This is more than the total tonnage exported in the more ammonium sulfate from Japan, it will be a boon to the
2 yr up to June 1976 and just exceeds the previous record set Japanese fertilizer industry.
º in 1966-67. Shipments of ammonium sulfate to China were at
the highest level for 3 yr, although in percentage terms sales to 629 Japan Exports Fertilizer to Vietnam. Jpn. Chem. Week

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17 (865), 1 (Nov. 25, 1976). Negotiations for Japan's first first half of 1977 with an option to supply an additional
export of fertilizer to Vietnam since its unification have got 25,000 tons at a price of $150.50/ton delivered to India’s west
under way, the Japan Urea & Ammonium Sulphate Industry COaSt.

Association disclosed recently. The Association said Vietnam


has offered to buy next yr fertilizer from Japan with money 635 Ammonia Exports to Begin in Libya. Nitrogen No. 110;
credits which are repayable over a five-yr period. Vietnam will 11 (Nov.-Dec. 1977). The first commercial shipments of
import a total of 300,000-350,000 tons of fertilizer next yr. anhydrous ammonia from National Oil Corp.’s new Mersa-el.
Japan wants to supply one-third of it. Before the unification, Brega plant are expected in January or February 1978. The
Japan exported a total of 40,000-50,000 tons of fertilizers to Libyan ammonia will be distributed through the Brega
the former South Vietnam in 1965 through 1974, and 75,000 Petroleum Marketing Co. No down-stream product is expected
tons to the North. to be produced at the plant until 1980 when a 152,000 ton/yr
N urea unit comes on stream. A second ammonia-urea
630 Japanese Sulfur Exports. Jpn. Chem. Week 18 (897), 7 complex is also scheduled for commissioning soon. Because of
(July 7, 1977). The working group of the Mining Industry the physical conditions prevailing in Lybia, N fertilizer
Council recently began a review of the 5-yr sulfur and sulfuric consumption is insignificant, little more than 10,000 ton/yr. A
acid demand-supply estimate which was compiled in Sept. level of 50,000 ton/yr is unlikely to be reached until 1980, so
1976 by the Agency of Natural Resources and Energy. In the that nearly all the ammonia and urea produced at the new
review, the export target of sulfur for fiscal year 1977 complex will be offered for export.
beginning April has been revised to 420,000-430,000 tons,
10,000-20,000 tons lower than the earlier estimate. Because of 636 Mexico Begins Ammonia Exports. Chem. Week 120
excessive capacity the amount of the sulfur export target to be (23), 44 (June 8, 1977). Mexico will begin exporting ammonia
set had increased yr by yr. Taking the various factors involved in September. Shipments are projected at 280,000 mt in 1977,
into account, the working group is likely to review the 760,000 in 1978, 599,000 in 1979, 717,000 in 1980, 599,000
demand-supply position of sulfur and sulfuric acid at a lower in 1981, and 490,000 in 1982. Total export income for the
level. material is expected to reach $344.4 million in the 6-yr period.
In a capacity buildup under way, state-owned Petroleos
631 Japan Exports Sulfur to China. Jpn. Chem. Week 17 Mexicanos will bring three ammonia plants on-stream this yr.
(865), 1 (Nov. 25, 1976). Mitsui & Co. has become the first
firm in Japan to close an export contract for a total of 4000 637 Morocco Exports Phosphate to United States. Eur.
tons of solid sulfur with China. China is reportedly to use all Chem. News 30 (791), 6 (June 1977). Morocco has scored a
the Japanese sulfur, which is produced by Kyokuto Petroleum notable first in its exports of phosphate rock. It has just signed
Industries, Ltd., for the production of sulfuric acid used in a contract to supply phosphate to the U.S. fertilizer company
fertilizer. The Communist country is a major sulfur consumer Beker Industries for the latter's complex at Taft, Louisiana.
in Asia. Until now, it has entirely depended on Canada for the Terms of the deal and its duration have not been revealed but
supply of the product, importing 400,000-500,000 tons/yr. the quantities involved are around 1.5 million ton/yr of
Troubled by an excessive supply of sulfur, Japan's manu phosphate rock. The 207,000 ton/yr P. Os Taft plant
facturers have a deeper interest in China as a promising export presently draws its supplies from Florida.
market than they do in Korea.
638 Morocco–Soviet Phosphate Deal. Chem. Week 122 (6),
632 Japanese Exports of Sulfuric Acid. Jpn. Chem. Week 17 30 (Feb. 8, 1978). Phosphate fertilizer shipments from
(835), 5 (Apr 29 1976). America's Texas Gulf Inc. has turned Morocco to the U.S.S.R. will begin this yr under terms of a
to Japan for a supply of 400,000 tons of sulfuric acid over the $10 billion, 30 yr contract. The shipments are expected to
next 2 yr. The negotiations center on ways of sharing costly reach 10 million tons/yr by 1980. They will include phosphate
freight charges—a major remaining obstacle to the export rock, triple superphosphate, and phosphoric acid. In return,
contract. Japanese exporters have expressed willingness to the U.S.S.R. will supply Morocco with oil, timber, potash,
shoulder $10 for every 10 tons to be transported across the ammonia, and mining equipment.
Pacific Ocean, probably aboard a special European carrier to
be chartered by the American firm. 639 Thriving Dutch Fertilizer Industry Plans to Expand
Exports in 1975. C. J. Warren (U.S. Agr. Attache, London,
633 Japanese Sulfuric Acid Export. Jpn. Chem. Week 18 England) and Herman Keyman. Foreign Agr. 12 (47), 7, 20
(880), 5 (Mar. 10, 1977). Shipments of sulfuric acid in 1976 (Nov. 25, 1974). The Netherlands is the world's third largest
totaled 116,575 tons, showing an increase of as much as exporter of N fertilizer and also a big net exporter of
56,705 tons over the yr before. In particular, December export phosphate fertilizers. The Dutch production facilities are more
jumped to 46,223 tons, a monthly all-time high. than adequate. The fertilizer factories are reported to be
working at 85-90% of full capacity. At 100% capacity they
634 Kuwait Signs Urea Export Contracts. Eur, Chem. News could produce 2.25 million tons annually. They plan to export
31 (801), 11 (Sept. 2, 1977). Kuwait Petrochemical Industries 1.19 million tons of N fertilizer in 1974-75 and 340,000 tons
has concluded a 5-yr agreement with the Sudanese Ministry of of phosphate compared to 1.15 and 330,000, respectively in
Finance for the sale of 200,000 ton/yr of urea for a 5-yr 1973-74. More than 80% of total Dutch production of
period. Deliveries will be made to Port Sudan and prices will fertilizers is nitrogen products from domestic supplies of
be renewed annually. The company has also signed an natural gas which is well above industry needs. The phosphate
agreement to supply India with 150,000 ton/yr of urea, with fertilizer industry is dependent on imports of phosphate rock.
both quantities and prices renewed every 6 months. Under the A large part of Dutch nitrogen export will go to western
agreement, 75,000 tons is scheduled to be shipped during the Europe, with sizable quantities to the U.S., China, India,

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Indonesia, Brazil, and Egypt. 645 Poland Supplies Fertilizer Materials to India. Chem. Age
(London) 108 (2854), 9 (Mar. 29, 1974). Poland will supply
640 North American Potash Deliveries. Feed Farm Supplies India 200,000 mt of urea, 34,000 mt of phosphatic fertilizer
69 (11), 25 (Nov. 1972). Total deliveries of potash for all and 160,000 mt of S. The trade was finalized at the second
purposes (including exports) by the North American potash round of Indo-Polish talks held in New Delhi in March.
producers, plus overseas imports into the United States, were
12,051.865 tons of salts containing an equivalent 7,124.302 646 Polish Sulfuric Acid Exports Increase. Chem. Age
tons of K2O during the fertilizer yr of July 1971-June 1972, (London) 108 (2863), 8 (May 31, 1974). Polish exports of
according to the Potash Institute. This was an increase of 12% sulfuric acid rose by some 59% last yr to 553,000 mt and it is
over the preceding fertilizer yr. Total exports to other intended, in view of the continuing rise in demand, to increase
countries were 1,830,983 tons of K2O, an increase of 27.5%. the volume further in the future. Polish output went up last yr
Imports from overseas were 10,508 tons K2O, an increase of to some 3 million mt and the country is second only to West
27%. Germany as a sulfuric acid exporter. Last yr, some 65% of the
Polish exports were to hard-currency western countries, among
641 North American Potash Sales. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 203 them Switzerland, Austria, and West Germany.
(21), 25-6 (May 21, 1973). Potash Institute of America says
total sales of potash salts by North American potash producers 647 South African Phosphoric Acid Exports. Fert. Int. No.
(including exports) for the first quarter of 1973 were about 92, 2 (Feb. 1977). Following the completion of Bosveld
3.8 million tons of salts containing the equivalent of about 2.2 Fertilizers' 165,000 tons/yr P. Os phosphoric acid plant at
million tons K2O. This was an increase of 10% over sales Phalaborwa late last yr, a contract has been signed betwº-en
during the first quarter of 1972. Total agricultural sales, Fedmis, Bosveld's parent company, and a customer in Brazil
including exports, were up 9% at about 2.1 million tons K2O. for the delivery of about 500,000 mt of phosphoric acid over
Exports themselves dropped 2% at 541,320 tons of K20. 5 yr. Shipment of the acid will not be spread over the period
North American producers sold 1.5 million tons K2O in the but will expand in line with Brazil's growing import needs.
U.S., 15% more than they did in 1972. The U.S. imported
49,153 tons from overseas. Agricultural sales in Canada 648 South Africa in Phosphoric Acid Trade with United
amounted to 42,354 tons K2O, an increase of 9%. The States and France. Eur, Chem. News 25 (635), 6 (May 10,
sharpest rise in sales was in the nonagricultural segment of the 1974). Another major international fertilizer trade was
market, which rose 33% to 119,239 tons K2O equivalent. confirmed this week when the head of South Africa's major
Triomf fertilizer group signed two major export contracts
642 Fertilizer Export to North Korea. Jpn. Chem. Week 16 which together constitute South Africa's largest single
(781), 7 (Apr. 17, 1975). The Japanese Fertilizer Industry has chemical trade deal. The contracts are with major companies,
signed a contract to export 15,000 tons of urea and 10,000 so far unnamed, in the U.S. and France. Feeding the export
tons of compound fertilizer to North Korea. The fertilizer will contracts will be a new $100 million, 400,000 ton/yr
be shipped to the communist nation in the near future. It will phosphoric acid plant at Richards Bay, on the east coast. The
be the first fertilizer export to North Korea from Japan. new plant, which will double South Africa's fertilizer industry,
is scheduled to enter production in October 1976. It is likely
643 Peru Plans Phosphate Export Increase. Chem. Age to draw its phosphate raw materials from the extensive
(London) 110 (2917), 11 (June 13, 1975). Peru is planning Phalaborwa deposits. Philipp Bros., with strong South African
exports of phosphate fertilizers totalling 838,000 tons/yr in connections through its links with Engelhard, is likely to
1976, when the first stage of the country's Bayovar fertilizer market its share of the phosphoric acid in international
complex is scheduled to come on stream. The export trade will markets. The French phosphate fertilizer industry has suffered
be worth about $26 million to Peru. Major utilization of Severe phosphoric acid supply problems in the past. At one
phosphate developments along the northern coast of Peru is to time last yr, the industry was at a virtual standstill due to
be started in the next few months. The proven reserves of interruptions in phosphoric acid supplies from Tunisia and
phosphate rock totalled 606 million mt, while total forecast Mexico. France is easily Europe's largest importer of phos
reserves were as much as 44 billion tons. Initial output from phoric acid, taking around half of the EEC's annual
the Bayovar fertilizer complex is planned to be 882,000 400-500,000 ton imports.
tons/yr, with 44,000 mt scheduled for the home market.
649 South Korean Export. Fert. Int. No. 92, 8 (Feb. 1977).
644 Poland Curtails Fertilizer Exports. Eur. Chem. News 30 Export data for 1976 suggest that South Korea is developing
(773), 16 (Feb. 11, 1977). Poland's inability to reach its as a major source of nitrogenous export material in the Far
fertilizer production targets in 1976, combined with an East. The Korean aggression is illustrated by sales of ammo
increase in domestic consumption has forced the country to nium sulfate in 1976, mainly to Thailand and Malaysia but
restrict fertilizer exports. Overall production only increased by also to the relatively restricted Philippines market. A similarly
0.5% compared to 1975. Total production of N, P., Os, and aggressive policy is being pursued with sales of South Korean
NPK fertilizers reached 2.594 million ton (in terms of urea but so far the tonnage involved has not been very great.
nutrient) last yr. Yet under the current plant the country Since the first urea plant was built with an annual capacity of
should have produced almost 2.5 million ton of N and P2 Os 85,000 tons in 1960, the fertilizer industry in South Korea has
alone—1.531 million ton of N and 967,000 ton of P. Os. It expanded rapidly. Urea is the most important product–75% of
now appears that Poland has severely restricted fertilizer total ammonia production being devoted to the manufacture
exports. A recent report indicated that the country had of urea in 1975. Ammonium sulfate accounts for a further 6%
cancelled a 150,000 ton urea contract with a Mexican and complex fertilizers represent the bulk of the remainder.
customer and several other sources have confirmed that The Nam-Hae Chemical Corp.’s complex under construction at
ºn fertilizer exports have come to a halt, for the time Yosu reinforces this pattern. The Yosu project includes two
eing.

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naphtha-based 246,000 tons/yr Nammonia plants with down fertilizer ammonia supplies. This has helped stabilize inter
stream ammonium nitrate and urea facilities, phosphoric, national fertilizer prices but, with government controls still
nitric and sulfuric acid plants, and two complex fertilizer gripping most European countries, there remains the prospect
installations each with a capacity of 356,000 tons/yr. The that European prices will move towards the international
complex is due on-stream in 1977-78. Thus by the end of this price.
decade South Korean complex fertilizer capacity should have
soared by almost 150% to 1.2 million tons/yr. This is solely as 654 Developments in United States Nitrogen Exports. Fert.
a result of the Nam-Hae plants at Yosu and the recent Int. No. 87, 4 (Sept. 1976). The U.S. June trade figures
expansion of the Yong-Nam Chemical Co.'s plant at Ulsan. confirm the trends which were apparent for the first 11
Similarly, urea capacity should rise by over 30% in 1977-78 months of the 1975-76 fertilizer yr. There has been little
over the previous yr owing to the new 152,000 tons/yr plant increase in import trade as a whole, whereas export trade has
at Yosu. risen by a sizeable 12%. Of the three nutrient categories, the
largest increase was in phosphate (16%), and this was mainly
650 Syrian Phosphate Export Plans. Chem. Age (London) due to a 21% increase in ammonium phosphates, the major
110 (2915), 9 (May 30, 1975). Syria is anticipating sales component in phosphate export trade. Phosphoric acid
totalling more than $60 million from exports of phosphates in exports rose by 30% and triple superphosphate by 11%. Two
1975, according to the director general of the General significant features arise from the nitrogen export figures.
Company of Phosphate and Mines. Total output this yr should Firstly, they reveal a very big rise (76%) in net imports of
reach 1.35 million mt, the planned target. Syria has recently anhydrous ammonia, which amounted to almost 464,000 tons
concluded an agreement with Romania for a survey and N. This is some 60,000 tons N higher than was forecast by
estimation of the proven deposits of phosphate rock in the USDA and must be due to the high level of domestic demand
Syrian desert, and also for the building of a phosphate for nitrogen products, especially this spring. Secondly, there
processing plant on a turnkey basis. The project is to be has been a turnaround in the more usual role of the United
on-stream by 1977. Forecasts are that production of phos States as a net importer of urea into that of a net exporter. As
phate would be more than 3 million mt by 1980, and there are a result of urea exports increasing by 29% while imports fell
plans to build railway systems linking the mines with the ports 35%, a net export surplus of 78,000 mt Narose.
on the Mediterranean as well as storage and loading facilities.
655 United States Exports of Nitrogenous Fertilizers Fall
651 Sweden Signs Fertilizer Deal with U.S.S.R. Eur. Chem. While Phosphatic Exports Post Sharp Rise. D. E. Johnson
News 24 (595), 8 (Aug. 3, 1973). Supra, the organization (U.S. Dep. Commerce, Washington, D.C.). Fed. Regist. 40
representing the interests of Sweden's fertilizer producers, has (127), 27709-11 (July 1, 1975). U.S. exports of fertilizer
signed a 5-yr agreement with the U.S.S.R. Under the agree totaled 846,328 tons of N and 1,345.382 tons of P2 Os during
ment, Swedish producers will supply chemical and phosphate July 1, 1974--March 31, 1975; imports during this same
fertilizers to the value of Sw.kr. 150 million to the U.S.S.R., period were 794,056 tons of N and 182,659 tons of P:Os. Net
receiving potash in return. exports of N were 52.272 tons compared to 354,097 tons for
the same period a year earlier; net exports of P:Os were up
652 Taiwan Bans Fertilizer Exports. Fert. Int., No. 54, 2 150,000 tons in 1974-75. Exports were destined mainly for
(Dec. 1973). In order to ensure that the rice crop will be developing countries: 97% of the urea, 93% of the ammonium
adequately fertilized, an order by the Government of Taiwan sulfate, 76% of the ammonium nitrate, 72% of the phosphoric
has been made withdrawing fertilizers from the list of export acid, 91% of the triple superphosphate, and 88% of the
commodities. The markets likely to be affected by the ban ammonium phosphate; but, only 28% of the phosphate rock
include Thailand, India, and Indonesia, all of which have and 21% of the mixed fertilizers went to developing countries.
purchased increasing tonnages of urea from Taiwan in the past Export prices, as reported to the Office of Export Administra.
2 yr. Furthermore, Taiwan's withdrawal from the market tion were (weighted average/ton) $37 for phosphate rock,
together with the recent downtime in a couple of Japan's urea $423 for ammonia, $303 for urea, $246 for triple super
units—necessitating remedial imports—can only make the phosphate, and $303 for diammonium phosphate. Producer
supply situation in Southeast Asia that much tighter. prices as of April 7, 1975 were $25/ton for phosphate rock,
$210 for ammonia, $175 for urea, S140 for concentrated
653 United Kingdom Fertilizer Producers Reduce Exports. superphosphate and $165 for ammonium phosphate.
Eur, Chem. News 26 (665), 6 (Dec. 6, 1974). ICI has backed
up its commitment to the U.K. farming community by 656 Slow United States Demand for Fertilizer Keeps Ex
reducing its level of urea exports. Urea is its most export ports Up. Feedstuffs 47 (27), 7,40-1 (July 7, 1975). A decline
orientated fertilizer. The U.K.'s requirements of urea have, in domestic fertilizer demand has increased the amount
until recently, been supplied largely by imported material but available for export and kept the U.S. in the position of a net
these imports have now dried up and ICI is diverting urea to exporter of nitrogenous and phosphatic fertilizer for the
the domestic market at prices way below the export level. period July 1974-March 1975. U.S. exports of nitrogenous
ICI's urea exports are now said to be at a low level. ICI states fertilizer totaled 846,000 content tons in July 1974-March
that it has not taken on any new exports business since 1975 while imports in the same period were 794,000 tons.
October 1973 and the product is only being exported to meet Export contracts for N fertilizer reported to the Department's
long-term contracts. Fisons sees its commitment simply in Office of Export Administration for April-June listed a total
terms of providing the U.S. market with fertilizer based on of 165,000 tons. This would bring exports for the 1975
U.S. ammonia. Approximately 15-20% of world ammonia fertilizer yr to 1,011,451 tons compared with 1,184,000 tons
demand is accounted for by industrial chemical outlets and the in the 1974 fertilizer yr. U.S. exports of phosphatic fertilizer.
stagnation of industrial demand has relieved the pressure on July 1974-March 1975, were 1,345,382 tons compared with

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1.218,083 tons a yr earlier. Imports were 182,659 tons in the expected to reach 6,300,000 tons, representing about 94% of
first three quarters of the fertilizer yr compared with 203,489 the total phosphoric acid trade. This is due to economics
tons in the period a yr earlier. achieved in shipping the liquid acid rather than dry bulk over
long distances. Morocco will be the big gainer in phosphate
657 United States Ships Phosphate Rock to China. Pit rock shipments while the United States (Florida) will lead the
Quarry 66 (7), 40, 42 (Jan. 1974). International Mineral Corp. way in export of phosphoric acid. By 1980, Florida will be
has shipped a load of Florida phosphate rock to Communist exporting approximately 1,400,000 tons of phosphoric acid
China. This represents the first shipment of its kind. The vessel annually; Morocco will trail with approximately 1,000,000
transported 20,000 tons of rock from Tampa to Shanghai, tons of acid at that time.
where Chinese technicians will experiment with processing it
into fertilizer. A spokesman for the firm said negotiations for 661 Forecast of United States Fertilizer Exports for 1976.
the sale to China was started over a yr ago when phosphate Farm Chem. 139 (4), 80 (Apr. 1976). The U.S. Department of
rock was not in such short supply. However, it would be Commerce predicts that fertilizer exports for crop yr 1976.
difficult to supply additional shipments without the opening probably will drop sharply from crop yr 1975. The Depart
of new rock mines in Florida. ment reports that July-September 1975 exports of N fertilizer
totaled about 320,000 content tons compared with approxi
658 United States Phosphate Exports to Europe Forecast. mately 250,000 content tons in the same period a yr earlier.
Fert. Int. No. 93, 1 (Mar. 1977). The large increases in triple However, contracts for October 1975-June 1976 total only
superphosphate exports from the United States in 1976 can 200,000 content tons—well below the 850,000 content tons
largely be accounted for by the high level of deliveries to West exported in the same months of the previous yr. In phosphate
Europe, particularly West Germany and France. With the fertilizers, about 640,000 content tons were exported during
approach of the spring planting season in Europe the question July-September 1975 compared with 490,000 content tons for
is whether this level of shipments will be repeated in 1977. At the same period in 1974. However, export contracts for
first sight it does not appear likely. France has imposed an phosphate fertilizer in October 1975-June 1976 totaled less
unofficial restriction on imports of North American product than 500,000 content tons, while actual exports for the same
while demand has been reduced as a result of the increase in 9-month period in crop yr 1975 were almost 1.4 million
concentrated phosphate prices since the turn of the yr. This of content tons. Phosphate fertilizer exports in crop yr 1975
course applies equally to U.S. exports of diammonium represented about 23% of total production.
phosphate. Furthermore, if present U.S. prices are maintained,
for example, at around $135-140/ton f.o.b. in bulk for 662 Russian Chemical Exports. Chem. Age (London) 111
diammonium phosphate and $95-100 for triple superphos (2939), 11 (Nov. 14, 1975). Figures have been published by
phate the appeal of these products as intermediates for the Bonn specialist news service Die Wirtschaft des Ostblocks
compound fertilizer manufacture, or blending, in Europe will on the development of major Soviet chemical exports in 1974.
be diminished and European producers are likely to be able to Increases in tonnages were recorded for urea, from 317,600 mt
operate competitively using imported North African rock, or in 1973 to 540,300 mt in 1974.
possible phosphoric acid, as raw materials for compound
fertilizer manufacture. 663 Soviet Ammonia for France. Eur, Chem. News 26 (657),
6 (Oct. 11, 1974). Gazocean is to ship 12-15,000 tons of
659 United States Exports Phosphoric Acid to Brazil. Chem. Soviet ammonia into France in the next 3 months to offset the
Mark. Rep. 210 (12), 36 (Sept. 20, 1976). A major cargo of shortage there which has been accentuated by plant operating
phosphoric acid was shipped to Brazil from the port of Uncle problems. The ammonia will be railed to the Finnish port of
Sam, Louisiana. The product was manufactured by Freeport Uusikaupunki for shipment.
Chemical Company, which operates the largest wet phosphoric
acid complex in the world. International Commodities Export 664 USSR Supplies French with Nitrogen. Green Markets 1
Company (ICEC), a major fertilizer export marketing firm, (29), 6 (Aug. 29, 1977). The Soviet Union will supply about
was the shipper. The ship flies the Norwegian flag, and is 10% of France's N needs in the 1980's as a result of a 10-yr
specially fitted with stainless steel tanks that give it the agreement between Intsel, France, and subsidiary of the
capacity to carry 27,000 tons of phosphoric acid. The exact French metal company Pechiney Ugine Kuhlman (PUK), out
size of the shipment could not be determined, but it was said of the Soviet export agency, Soyuzhimexport. A spokesman
to be close to the ship's capacity. Brazil's days as a phosphate for PUK says the company expects delivery of
importer could be numbered, however. Preliminary research 150,000-200,000 mt/yr of ammonia to start in 1979 or 1980.
indicates that a phosphate reserve of at least 100 million tons Total N consumption in France was 1.7 million mt in 1975-76.
has been discovered in the interior state of Minas Gerais. Plans
are said to be under way to mine the deposit using federal, 665 Soviet Urea for India. Chem. Age (London) 113 (2982),
state, and private capital. 3 (Sept. 10, 1976). The Soviet Union will supply India with
215,000 mt of urea worth about Rs 280 million in 1976. An
660 Florida to Continue Lead in Liquid Phosphoric Acid agreement to this effect has been concluded between the
Exports. Fla..J. Comm. 17 (5), 8, 9 (May 1975). Domestic Minerals and Metals Trading Corp. and Soyuzpromexport, the
markets will consume most of expanding U.S. production in Soviet Official trade organization. Last yr the Soviet Union
dry products, with African nations gaining the big share of supplied 180,000 mt of urea to India.
world trade. Florida is well ahead in trend toward phosphoric
acid in long-haul shipments, according to lengthy study. In 666 Fertilizer Sales in Venezuela. Fert. Int. No. 76, 1 (Oct.
1973, seaborne shipments of phosphoric acid totaled only 1975). Sales of fertilizers in Venezuela increased by 29% in
9.25,000 tons worldwide. By 1980, seaborne shipments are 1974 to total more than 300,000 mt. The largest increase was

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WORLD TRADE

registered in the sale of NPK fertilizers which rose 59% to (Apr. 15, 1974). If available, Brazil expects to import about
210,000 mt, 69% of total fertilizers sold. Sales of urea nearly 1.7 million tons of fertilizer in 1974, about 47% above the
doubled over the 1973 level reaching 36,000 mt but purchases 1973 level. Combined with domestic production–expected to
of ammonium sulfate fell by more than one-half. Exports in climb 30% higher in 1974 to 600,000 tons—total fertilizer
1975 were initially expected to exceed 180,000 mt with Peru utilization is expected to reach 2.3 million tons. FECOTRIGO,
buying 80,000 mt and the United States and China 40,000 mt Brazil's large wheat producers cooperative, has arranged with
each, but output fell well below the planned target and export domestic fertilizer producers to hold prices steady until after
Sales were limited. July when the last of the new crop wheat will be sown. Present
fertilizer prices are guaranteed at about $305/ton, some 160%
667 West Germany to Maintain High Fertilizer Exports in above those of early 1973.
1974-75. T. L. Oyloe. Foreign Agr. 12 (45), 10-12 (Nov. 11,
1974). West Germany regularly ranks as one of the world's top
10 fertilizer manufacturing countries. It has been a net 672 Brazil Phosphate Imports. Phosphorus Potassium No.
exporter of fertilizer for a decade and, unless it is cut off from 78, 8-9 (July-Aug. 1975). Total imports of P fertilizer,
supplies of imported raw materials, is expected to maintain excluding phosphate rock, amounted to 802,900 mt P2 Os in
overseas shipments in 1974-75 and 1975-76 equal to or greater 1974, an increase of 49% over 1973. Phosphate fertilizers by
than in 1973-74. It has large deposits of potash, but is heavily type (thousand mt product) in 1974 were: single superphos.
dependent on foreign sources for other raw materials. Produc phate, 196; triple superphosphate, 540; and ammonium
tion, consumption, export, and import of N, P, and K phosphates, 407. The major source of supply was the United
products are given for each yr (1966-73) and projected for States. In the future, imports of fertilizers into Brazil will be
1973-76. Raw material supplies and product pricing is taxed unless the buyer can provide proof of purchase of a
described.
certain quantity of Brazilian produced fertilizer. The quantity
of domestic product to be bought varies with nutrient content
668 Yugoslavian Fertilizer Exports. Chem. Age (London) and region.
106 (2791), 16 (Jan. 12, 1973). Yugoslavia estimates 1972
fertilizer exports at some 400,000 mt with production 673 Canadian Industries Import Sulfuric Acid. Chem. Mark.
reaching 2.5 million mt/yr. It is anticipated that exports will Rep. 211 (19), 4 (May 9, 1977). Canadian Industries, Ltd.,
increase to more than 600,000 mt in 1973. signed a 2-yr contract from January 1, 1977, with a
Venezuelan company, Tripol Iven CA, for the supply of
669 World Phosphate Rock Export Slump in First Half sulfuric acid. The contract calls for a quantity of up to 60,000
1975. Phosphorus Potassium No. 79, 5-7 (Sept.-Oct. 1975). tons of acid over the 2-yr period. The acid will be used in the
Now that the northern hemisphere summer months, seasonally manufacture of polyphosphates. An initial shipment of 6000
the lowest procurement period, are past and a new fertilizer yr tons was made from Belledune, New Brunswick, im mid-April
has started, a credible estimation of the likely duration of the to Puerta Cabello in Venezuela. Manufactured at CIL’s plant in
present phosphate rock/P, Os slump is being sought. In Copper Cliff, Ontaria, the acid was carried to Belledune on a
1974-75 demand has been affected by a combination of Seventy-two-car unit train for ship-board loading.
adverse factors including weather, widespread advice by
Government extension services to cut back on P. Os fertiliza 674 China Buys Phosphate Rock from United States. Chem.
tion given at a time of presumed shortage, the sharp increase in Week 113 (21), 13 (Nov. 21, 1973). Mainland China has
fertilizer prices reflecting higher raw material costs, the decline placed its first order for U.S. phosphate rock with Sobin
in farm incomes, and the world-wide economic recession. Now Chemicals (Boston). The company will supply 50,000 tons of
there is every prospect of an early recovery of the movement medium-grade (70-75%) Cas (PO4)2 on a delivery schedule
of P;Os fertilizers from the plant to the land and of extending into 1974. The sale was over $1 million, f.o.b.
phosphate rock from the mines to the manufacturing plants. Tampa. Mainland China consumes 3.5 million mt/yr of
phosphate rock, of which nearly 40% is imported.
670 World Exports of Potash Increase 9%. Phosphorus
Potassium, No. 65, 5, 19 (May-June 1973). The amount of 675 China Orders Fertilizer From Japan. Chem. Week 116
potash traded throughout the world in 1972-73 reached 8.14 (10), 34 (Mar. 5, 1975). A trade, covering the period from
million mt K2O, an increase over the previous yr of 700,000 March to July 1975, calls for shipment of 555,000 mt tons of
mt K2O. The bulk of the growth in the tonnage sold was urea, 50,000 mt of ammonium sulfate, and 210,000 mt of
supplied from two sources—West Germany and the United ammonium chloride. Although prices were not disclosed, the
States. To a lesser extent, France-Congo, Russia, the German urea and ammonium sulfate is reportedly valued at $170
Democratic Republic, and Spain also increased their exports million and the ammonium chloride at $30 million. This brings
while Canada and Israel both suffered declines. Japanese shipments to China in fertilizer yr 1974 to 955,000
mt of urea, 180,000 mt of ammonium sulfate, and 410,000 mt
of ammonium chloride.

676 Increase in Imports to Colombia. Nitrogen, No. 86, 10


IMPORTS
(Nov.-Dec. 1973). Imports of urea into Colombia during 1972
rose to a record 71,000 mt compared to under 19,000 mt in
1972. With domestic production of urea rising to 87,000 mt.
the total availability of urea for 1972 was 158,000 mt. A
671 Brazil to Up Fertilizer Imports. Foreign Agr. 12 (14), 13 further surprising feature of the 1972 season was the large

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WORLD TRADE

import of ammonia. In 1971 only 14,000 mt were purchased, ties by APC at Grand Couronne. Phosphate fertilizer produc
from Aruba and the United States, but 1972 saw imports tion in France increased by 7.9% during 1974 rising to 1.38
increasing to almost 50,000 mt. million mt P20s. The production of ammonia, sulfuric acid,
and nitrogen fertilizers grew by 9.9%, 7.0%, and 10.7%,
677 Egyptian Urea-Ammonium Nitrate Import. Fert. Int. respectively. The production of complex fertilizers, however,
No. 96, 2 (June 1977). In an Egyptian tender awards were expanded by only 3.9% to 8.9 million mt.
made for urea and ammonium nitrate, but not for ammonium
sulfate. Unifert recorded another tender success with sales of 681 Hungary Contracts Fertilizer Import Requirements.
both products, 30,000 mt of urea at between $114.75 and World Fert. Rev., No. 30, 21 (Mar. 1974). Hungary has signed
Sl 19/mt c.&f. in polyethylene bags, and 15,000 mt of a series of contracts which will meet its requirements for
ammonium nitrate at $95/mt c.&f. in polyethylene bags. phosphate rock and fertilizers during 1974. It will require
Danubiana of Romania will supply the remaining ammonium 400,000 tons of phosphate rock which will be supplied by
nitrate, 30,000 mt at $95 and 30,000 mt of urea at $119. Algeria (100,000), Morocco (50,000), and the U.S.S.R.
(250,000). The fertilizer complex under construction at Pet,
678 Mexican Company Sells French Phosphoric Acid to due on-stream in 1975, includes an NPK plant of 726,000
Europe, Eur. Chem. News 23 (579), 8 (Apr. 13, 1973). tons/yr capacity. The raw material required for this plant will
Compagnie Francaise de L’Azote (COFAZ) and the Mexican be met by phosphate rock from Morocco, for which a 5-yr
Fertilizantes Fosfatados Mexicanos (FFM) have come to an agreement has been signed. Hungary’s P fertilizer capacity of
agreement by which FFM will purchase, over a period of 10 200,000 tons/yr (P. Os) was operated at a record level in
yr, one-third of the production of the 380,000 ton/yr 1973, and in the absence of new capacity production can not
phosphoric acid plant now under construction by COFAZ at exceed this figure. To meet its requirements, Hungary will
Le Havre, France and due onstream in late 1974. FFM will import 120,000-150,000 tons P20s. The supply of some
market the bulk of its share of the 54% P2O5 phosphoric acid 50,000 tons has been negotiated with the U.S.S.R., Yugo
in Europe. Western Europe produced 2.6 million tons of slavia, and North Africa. During 1974, Hungary will import
phosphoric acid in 1972, against consumption of 3 million 1,159,000 tons of fertilizers and fertilizer raw materials from
tons. Around 400,000 tons were imported from Mexico, the U.S.S.R.
Israel, USA, and Tunisia. French imports alone, from other
European sources and elsewhere, totalled 220,000 tons in 682 Indian Fertilizer Imports. Eur, Chem. News 23 (571), 8
1972. (Feb. 16, 1973). The Indian Minerals and Metals Trading Corp.
(MMTC) is to import 100,000 tons of urea from Bulgaria. The
67.9 Fertilizer Imports Flood Into Europe. Eur. Chem. News contract is a long-term agreement with Bulgaria through which
28 (727), 8 (Mar. 12, 1976). French fertilizer producers have India will import 460,000 tons of urea from Bulgaria between
complained to the EEC Commission about an influx of low 1973 and 1975. Poland is now expected to supply India with
priced nitrogen fertilizers from Eastern Europe. With ship around 200,000 tons of urea while the U.S.S.R. has already
ments running into hundreds of thousands of tons, the French contracted to supply 55,000 tons of urea and 35,000 tons of
market is probably affected the most in Europe but German potash. India will also import 150,000 tons of potash from
and Italian producers are known to be nursing similar feelings. East Germany and 175,000 tons of calcium ammonium nitrate
Calcium ammonium nitrate and urea from Hungary, Czecho from Romania in 1973. India has now contracted for the
slovakia, Poland, and Romania are causing particular concern import of 515,000 tons of fertilizers this yr against demand
with prices said to be 10-12% below domestic levels. Unofficial estimated at 1.3 million tons.
estimates in Germany are that imports could account for up to
250,000 ton of 1975-76 nitrogen consumption, with around 683 India to Suspend All Fertilizer Imports. Fert. Int. No.
half coming from eastern Europe. Producers fear that many 73, 1 (July 1975). As a result of the growing stockpiles of
German. plants may have to close down temporarily in a few fertilizer throughout the country, the Government of India has
weeks time as the depressed world market offers no chance of decided to stop the importation of all fertilizer at the end of
taking up the slack. Meanwhile fertilizer producers in the 1975. Officials from the Ministeries of Agriculture and the
Netherlands and France have been ordered to cut their prices Petroleum and Chemicals Industries came to this decision
for phosphate fertilizers following the price cuts on phosphate following a review of the fertilizer situation within the country
rock earlier this yr. Per unit of P., Os, Dutch prices have now which showed ample material would still be available after the
fallen about 38% from October 1 last yr, reflecting the decline needs of the Kharif crop and the next Rabi crop are met.
in the dollar price of Moroccan phosphate since then. French
phosphate prices were reduced 10-15% on March 1, corres 684 Indian Nitrogen Imports. Fert. Int. No. 81, 1, 10 (Mar.
ponding to the new phosphate rock list price. French 1976). India is believed to have bought 0.5 million mt of urea
producers say the cuts came far too late to cause any at prices as low as $90/mt bulk fob U.S. and $11.2/mt có.f
improvement in consumption and are privately forecasting a bagged. The purchases follow a tour of the Middle East,
further decline from about 1.7 million ton to 1.6 million ton Europe, and North America by a delegation from the Minerals
in 1975-76. Last yr French consumption fell about 26%. & Metals Trading Corp. In the yr ending June 1975, India
imported over 1.25 million mt of urea, and nearly 0.5 million
680 Import—Production in France. Fert. Int., No. 71, 9 mt N in total. Japan was the largest single supplier with over
(May, 1975). The Port of Rouen recorded a 37% increase in 0.5 million mt product while East Europe sold India 440,000
the import of phosphate rock in 1974 bringing the total to mt. It is understood that in the MMTC negotiations with East
1.75 million mt, nearly one-third of French phosphate rock European suppliers urea was the main product being sought
imports for the yr. The increase of 470 000 mt partly reflects and India is not expected bo buy as much calcium ammonium
the commissioning of new phosphoric acid production facili nitrate as last yr when almost 100,000 mt N was purchased

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WORLD TRADE

(total), two-thirds of which came from Romania. phosphate from the U.S. for 1973 fertilizer yr. The demand
and supply position of phosphoric acid is stringent. The
685 Indian Urea-Nitric Phosphate Imports. Eur, Chem. News United States, a traditional exporter, is limiting exports, and
23 (569), 8 (Feb. 2, 1973). Nitrex has concluded contracts export price is rising sharply accordingly. Under the circum
with India on the export of 120,000 tons of urea and over stances, there will be no additional import contract for 1973
250,000 tons of nitric phosphates. Deliveries will be made by fertilizer yr.
Nitrex throughout 1973 and early 1974.
692 Japanese Ammonium Phosphate Imports. Jap. Chem.
686 Fertilizer Imported by India. Fert. News (India) 22 (5), Week 15 (727), 1 (Apr. 4, 1974). Japan's imports of
25 (May 1977). Estimated agronomic requirements for fertili ammonium phosphate in 1973 aggregated 101,854 tons, a
zer in India indicate a probable increase in imports for two-fold increase over 1972, according to Japan Phosphatic &
1977-78. The Ministry of Fertilizers and Chemicals has Compound Fert. Manufacturers Association. Major suppliers
estimated those chemical requirements to be 31.30 lakh mt of were the United States, with 81,786 tons; South Korea, with
nitrogen, 8.71 lakh mt of phosphate, and 4.10 lakh mt of 6000 tons; and Canada, 3968 tons.
potash
693 Japanese Ammonium Phosphate Import. Jpn Chem.
687 India Secures Nauru Phosphate Rock. Eur, Chem. News Week 18 (907), 5 (Sept. 8, 1977). Imports of ammonium
25 (626), 4 (Mar. 8, 1974). A 3-yr contract, starting June phosphate in fertilizer yr 1976 ending this June increased
1974, has now been signed providing India with 250,000 tons rapidly to 230,835 tons. The United States was the largest
of phosphate rock. About 50,000 tons will be delivered this Supplier with exports of 202,957 tons, followed by Korea,
yr, followed by 100,000 tons in each of the following years. Morocco, and Belgium. Imports in August and September
Nauru rock is high-grade, averaging 83% phosphate compared exceeded 30,000 tons because international market rates
with 74% and 73%, respectively, in Tunisian and Jordanian touched bottom and domestic importers rushed into specula.
material. Rock grading 95% will become available next yr, tive buying due to the planned tariff quota system.
when a calcination plant goes into operation. Nauru produces
about 2.3 million tons of phosphate rock per yr. 694 Japanese Phosphate Rock Imports. Jap. Chem. Week 15
(755), 5 (Oct. 17, 1974). According to the Fertilizers and
688 India Orders United States Diammonium Phosphate. Pesticides Department of Zen-Noh (the National Federation of
Ag-Chem Newslett. No. 77, 1 (Apr. 1, 1973). India has just Agricultural Cooperative Associations), import of phosphate
contracted to buy 285,000 tons of diammonium phosphate rocks from eight sources such as Florida and Morocco in 1974
from U.S. fertilizer suppliers. The material is for shipment fertilizer yr is estimated at some 3,350,000 tons. Phosphate
during the off-season, June and July. This big transaction rock from Florida (U.S.) is estimated at 1,850,000 tons,
should lend considerable added strength to the phosphate followed by Morocco 600,000 tons (or 700,000 tons), Sahara
fertilizer market, stabilizing prices. 300,000 tons, Jordan 250,000 tons, Nauru 200,000 tons,
Togo 100,000 tons, and Israel 50,000 tons.
689 Bulk Fertilizer Deal for India. Chem. Age (London) 1 10
(2916), 10 (June 6, 1975). Sweden has given India a 10,000 695 Japanese Rock Phosphate Imports Down in 1976. Jpn.
mt consignment of calcium ammonium nitrate. This shipment, Chem. Week 18 (889), 8 (May 12, 1977). Imports of rock
which was recently unloaded at Kerala, was the first trial phosphate in 1976 decreased sharply to 2,335,000 tons, down
shipment of this material in bulk. If fertilizer imports into 569,000 tons from the preceding yr, due to business slump in
India remain at the present level for the next 3 yr, it is the phosphate fertilizer industry. Sluggish purchase of the
estimated that at least 2 million mt of fertilizer will be foreign product reportedly represents a reactionary fall from
received in bulk every yr. Savings through the bulk shipments extraordinary import of as much as 3,890,000 tons in 1974.
are estimated at $30 million during that period. The Indian
government has provided for $1 billion for the import of 696 Japanese Import of Soviet Potash. Jpn. Chem. Week 17
860,000 mt of fertilizers in 1975-76. (839), 4 (May 27, 1976). The Federation of Agricultural
Cooperative Associations has agreed with the Soviet Union on
690 Iran-Senegal in Phosphate Trade. Fert. Int., No. 66, 2 potash import for the fiscal yr 1976. Contract amounts and
(Dec. 1974). Iran is to take a holding in Senegal's newly import prices were reduced considerably as in the case of
discovered Tobene phosphate reserves which require CFA Canadian potash, reflecting a sluggish domestic demand for the
Fr25 million investment. In exchange for phosphate exports to product. It is reported that contract quantity was cut back to
Iran, Senegal will receive crude oil for its refineries. In 1973 some 150,000 tons from the preceding year's level of 250,000
Senegal exported 1.67 million mt of phosphate rock, tons and price decreased to the $60/ton level, nearly equi
compared with 1.55 million mt in 1972–none went to Iran. valent to that of the Canadian product.
Senegal's main markets were France, the United Kingdom, the
Netherlands, and Greece. 697 Japanese Potassium Import. Jpn. Chem. Week 17 (821),
1 (Jan. 22, 1976). Japan has concluded negotiations with Kali
691 Japan Imports Ammonium Phosphate from United Export Gesellshaft for the import of potassium in 1976.
States. Jap. Chem. Week 14 (708), 5 (Nov. 22, 1973). At the Imports of the European product are estimated at
request of ammonium phosphate manufacturers, National 120,000-130,000 tons compared with 200,000 tons in the
Federation of Agricultural Cooperative Associations has preceding yr. Such drastic reduction reflects the accumulation
contracted for the import of some 45,000 tons of ammonium of stocks in Japan.

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WORLD TRADE

698 Japan Estimates Sulfur Imports for 1974. Jap. Chem. potassium sulfate where deliveries will be allowed to continue.
Week 15 (733), 7 (May 16, 1974). Sulfur import in fiscal 1974 The authorities are also prepared to allow imports of product
is estimated at 50-60,000 tons, almost the same as the where shipping space had been booked by 19 March. Signs of
preceding fiscal yr. In the latter half of fiscal 1973, S import trouble first become evident in February this yr when Planters
had been suspended because of a considerable mark-up, which Products of the Philippines requested that Japanese suppliers
boosted the price to over $50/ton; 43,000 tons of the product suspend shipments of bulk urea to the market as congestion
were imported from Canada and Mexico in the first half. was building up in the ports and unloading facilities were not
Sulfuric acid price will be nearly doubled when S of some adequate to handle all the material. Bagged fertilizer deliveries
S100/ton is used as material. Consequently, manufacturers were however allowed to continue. Juasia was contracted to
hope for stabilization of mounting international S price deliver 150,000 mt of urea to the Philippines in the first 6
because they cannot start importing the product immediately. months of 1975.

699 Japan's Sulfuric Acid Imports: Fiscal Year 1973. Jap. 704 Long-Term Sulfur Supply for South Korea. Jpn. Chem.
Chem. Week 14 (708), 5 (Nov. 22, 1973). According to the Week 18 (911), 7 (Oct. 6, 1977). Two Japanese trading
customs clearance statistics of the Finance Ministry, imported companies (Mitsubishi Corp. and Mitsui and Co.) have signed a
sulfuric acid totaled 27,042 tons in the April through August contract to supply sulfur to Nam Hae Chemical Corp., South
period, surpassing largely the original estimate of the Ministry Korea's largest fertilizer maker, over 5 yr and 9 months. The
of International Trade and Industry. Imports in the Japanese and Korean firms will hold talks annually on the
September-March term are estimated at 27,000 tons. Users of price of sulfur to be exported under the contract. Nam Hae's
the product are mainly fertilizer manufacturers such as annual sulfur imports under the contract would amount to
Ishihara Sangyo Kaisha, Ltd., Mitsubishi Chemical Industries, about 200,000 tons. The Nam Hae complex is capable of
Ltd., and San Kagaku Kogyo Co., which had manufacturered producing annually 330,000 tons of urea, 690,000 tons of
sulfuric acid for self-consumption by roasting sulfide ore sulfuric acid, and 700,000 tons of phosphate fertilizer.
before intensive import activities took place.
705 Turkey Imports. Chem. Mark. Rep. 209 (29), 7, 35
700 Pakistan Looks for Fertilizer in United States. Eur. (June 14, 1976). Turkey's offer to buy 855,000 tons of
Chem. News 23 (585), 8 (May 25, 1973). Pakistan is seeking fertilizer, including 300,000 tons of diammonium phosphate
to import over 200,000 tons of urea and 90,000 tons of (DAP), has sent officers of most international fertilizer and
ammonium sulfate this year. Representatives of the Karachi trading companies scurrying to Ankara. According to sources,
trading company, Traderal International, are currently in the the government-owned Turkiye Zirai Donatin Kurumu Genel
U.S.A. with Pakistan government authorization to purchase Mudurlugu (Donatin) has been accepting bids for 300,000 tons
over 120,000 tons of urea. Pakistan will spend $90.5 million of DAP, 250,000 tons of ammonium sulfate, 230,000 tons of
on fertilizer import in the current season, U.S. AID funds calcium ammonium nitrate, and 75,000 tons of urea. It is the
supplying $42.4 million of this amount. Already Pakistan has DAP that interests American companies. The other chemicals
contracted for $2.42 million of fertilizers from Holland, $2 would either not be competitive to ship or call for specifica
million from West Germany, $3 million from Canada, $4 tions not met in the US. Between 500,000 to 1 million tons of
million from Japan, $2 million from Romania, $5 million from DAP have been offered to the Turkish government. Several
Poland, and $2 million from France. sources seem to feel that Turkey will not buy all the fertilizer
it has asked for. Based on past performance, several independ
701 Pakistan Contracts for Fertilizer Supply. Fert. Int. No. ent sources feel that Donatin will purchase only two-thirds of
84, 1 (June 1976). Pakistan's Ministry of Agriculture is the DAP bid upon. But even a 200,000-ton trade would be a
reported to have finalized its import requirement for the breath of fresh air in a market stifled by lack of demand. While
1976-77 season. The plan calls for the import of 130,000 mt the prize remains tempting, the trail that must be negotiated
urea, 300,000 mt of nitrophosphate (23-23-0 or 24-24-0), to claim it remains treacherous. Those companies that do
130,000 mt of diammonium phosphate and 10,000 mt of survive must deliver the fertilizer, in bags, to any of fifteen to
potash. The bulk of the urea required seems likely to be twenty ports, many of which may not have adequate facilities
supplied by Petrochemical Industries Co. (PIC) of Kuwait to remove the material. The amount of material they do buy
which has recently concluded a contract with Pakistan to will depend on how low they can drive the price when they
supply up to 450,000 mt of urea over 4 and one-half yr. open their phosphate auction.

702 Philippines Import Urea From Japan. Jap. Chem. Week 706 United Kingdom Potash Imports. Phosphorus Potassium
15 (749), 7 (Sept. 5, 1974). The Japan Urea & Ammonium No. 90; 13 (July-Aug. 1977). Imports of potassium chloride
Sulphate Export Co. has recently concluded a contract with (KCl) to the United Kingdom rose from 660,000 mt (396,000
the Philippine Planters Institute (PPI) to export 20,000 tons of mt K, O) in 1975-76 to 713,000 mt (428,000 mt K2O) in
urea. The export price is said to be slightly over ¥70,000 per 1976-77, an increase of 8%. Much of the increase can be
ton f.o.b. The latest contract brought to 90,000 tons the total attributed to a , 21% rise in imports from the German
amount of urea the company has so far contracted for export Democratic Republic, the United Kingdom’s largest supplier,
to PPI in the July-September period. from 189,000 mt. KCl in 1975-76 to 228,000 mt. KCl in
1976-77. Imports from Israel rose to 84,000 mt. KCl from
703 The Philippines Suspend Fertilizer Imports. Fert. Int., 68,000 mt in 1975-76. Spanish imports reached 69,000 mt
No. 71, 1 (May, 1975). At the beginning of April, the KCl compared to 36,000 mt in 1975-76. Purchases from
Philippine Government announced it had become necessary to Belgium and the United States also increased. Potassium
ban all fertilizer imports. The sole exception to the rule is chloride accounts for approximately 94-95% of total United

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Kingdom potash imports in terms of K2 O. expected to come on-stream in 1979.

707 United States Becomes Net Importer of Nitrogen 711 United States Imports Potash from U.S.S.R. Fert. Int.,
Fertilizers. Eur. Chem. News 27 (702), 10 (Sept. 12, 1975). No. 57, 1 (Mar. 1974). Three cargoes of U.S.S.R. potash,
The United States became a net importer of N fertilizers by totalling around 100,000 mt, have been sold by Interore to the
around 95,000 short tons in the July 1974-June 1975 fertilizer United States and are scheduled for prompt shipment.
yr. United States exports of nitrogen fertilizer fell to 1.1 Negotiations with the U.S.S.R. government, which are
million short tons, against 1.28 million tons in the previous yr, expected to result in a two-way fertilizer trade, will supply
while imports rose to 1.2 million tons compared with 1.06 very substantial tonnages of Russian potash, ammonia, and
million in 1973-74. According to the Department of Com urea to sell in western markets.
merce, United States nitrogen fertilizer export contracts for
the first half of the 1976 calendar yr total only around
150,000 short tons. 712 Liquid Fertilizer Imports by United States. Eur. Chem.
News 30 (775), 9 (Feb. 25, 1977). Shipments of urean
708 Heavy United States Ammonia Imports Expected for nitrogenous fertilizer from UKF Netherlands is being delivered
Ten Years. Oil Gas J. 75 (41), 63 (Oct. 3, 1977). Substantial to the United States. While the European market has shown
imports of ammonia into the United States are expected in little interest, the product does have a good market in the
spite of the growing level of installed capacity. Such imports, United States. The product is a liquid fertilizer composed of
together with natural gas restrictions will hold United States about 45% AN, 34% urea, and 20% H2O. The product is
production to approximately 70% of capacity. Average pro produced at UKF's Geleen complex and a contract has been
duction loss due to natural gas interruptions is estimated to be reached, with VTG Vereinigte Tanklager and Transportmitted
approximately 500,000 tons/yr over the next 5 yr. Imports of G.m.b.H. to ship the liquid fertilizer to Amsterdam. The first
N will come primarily from Russia and Latin American shipment left Amsterdam in late January under a long term
countries. Of the estimated imports of 3.5 million tons/yr, 1.5 agreement between Orestern and Koppel, Amsterdam. The
million tons will come from Russia; 1.5 million tons from product is now being stored in VTG’s storage terminal in
Mexico and other Latin American countries; and 0.5 million Amsterdam Cosmas tank N.V. Cosmas has also constructed two
tons from Canada. These imports will have a depressing effect 6000 ton coated storage tanks specificially for storage pur
on the United States Gulf Coast price from 1978 until 1980. poses.
Average United States ammonia prices (1976-77 dollars) will
reach a low of $85/ton during fall 1977 and possibly through
1978. There will be substantial price increases in 1979 and
1980 as import prices increase.
GENERAL
709 United States Receives Phosphate Rock from Spanish
Sahara. Farm Chem. 136 (10), 49-50 (Oct. 1973). A bench
mark event in the history of U.S. fertilizer industry occurred
when a shipload of rock phosphate from Spanish Sahara was 713 Fertilizers: Booming World Commodity. W. C. White
delivered at two California ports. This marked the first time (Fert. Inst., Washington, D.C.). Fert. Progress 4 (3), 7-8, 11,
that the U.S. has drawn on the vast phosphate reserves of 50 (May-June 1973). Fertilizers produced in the U.S. are
North Africa—a source of supply that is expected to become shipped to more than 50 countries around the world. Over
increasingly important in world markets. The initial shipment 25% of the N and P2 Os used in the world originates in the
of 30,000 tons was described as experimental by the buyer, U.S. The N situation is fluid and the U.S. likely will become a
Valley Nitrogen Producers (VNP) of Fresno. However, the net importer of N. Fertilizer exported from the U.S. in 1972
president of VNP said if this works out, they probably will was valued at $340 million. This was made up of $91.6 million
contract for additional shipments. Among the attractions of from diammonium phosphate, $90,9 million from rock phos.
the African phosphate is an average analysis of about 36% phate, $33.1 million from concentrated superphosphate, and
P., Os, compared to 30-32% for Florida and Idaho rock. The the balance from potash, urea, and other fertilizers.
delivered price was very competitive. To add to the inter
national flavor of the transaction, the ship was an Irish-flag 714 International Trade in Ammonia May Rise Sharply.
vessel, the 565-foot bulk carrier, Irish Stardust, built in Ireland Chem. Eng. News 52 (31), 13-14 (Aug. 5, 1974). A marketing
and manned by an Irish crew, and chartered by a Norwegian study by Bureau d’Etudes Industrielles et de Cooperation
shipping firm. The 15,000 tons unloaded at San Diego will go shows that international trade in anhydrous ammonia now
to the phosphate plant that VNP is building at El Centro. The accounts for about 5% of total global demands. The 2.9
other half will be hauled from Benicia to the Bakersfield plant. million mt shipped in 1973 was double shipments in 1966,
intra-European trade accounted for more than 1 million tons
710 United States Firms Sign Dead Sea Potash Works and U.S.-to-Europe for another 0.6 million tons. Eastward
Accord. Chem. Age (London) 115 (3037), 2 (Sept. 30, 1977). transatlantic shipments are expected to slow down as the U.S.
Nine United States companies have signed long-term contracts seeks supplies to overcome its present deficit of 0.7 million
with the Dead Sea Potash Works (DSPW) for the supply of tons. This deficit could grow to 5 million tons by 1980.
600,000 mt of accumulated stocks of pelleted potash. In the Venezuela, the Soviet Union, and Middle Eastern countries are
past, the company has been able to sell only 100,000 mt/yr of expected to develop as major world suppliers. Prices have risen
potash on the United States market. This figure will now rise sharply, from $30/mt in 1972 to $65 in 1973 and as high as
to 500,000 mt/yr. DSPW is constructing a plant to process $220 this yr (Gulf Coast basis). Growth in global demand is
ordinary fine powdered potash into crystals. This plant is estimated at 6.0-8.5%/yr and in the U.S. at 5%/yr.

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715 Cooperation and Developing World Resources for 719 Phosphoric Acid Trade in 1976. Phosphorus Potassium
Making Fertilizers C. F. Fogarty. Milling Feed and Fert. 160 No. 88, 21-6 (Apr. 1977). World trade in phosphoric acid
(11), 19 (Nov. 1977). Fertilizer industry data illustrate a received a substantial boost in 1976 Total sales increased by
substantial difference in the number of nations which produce Some 40% surpassing 1 million mt P. Os. Major increases in
versus those which consume fertilizer products. Deposits of supply were in the United States, where the IMC Corp. plant
natural gas, phosphate, potash, and sulfur are found in at Mulberry, Florida, had its first full yr of operation and
relatively few countries. Over 60% of the known reserves of where Gardinier Inc. and Beker Industries Corp. entered the
natural gas deposits are found in three countries, the U.S., the offshore acid market for the first time, and from Tunisia,
USSR, and Iran. The U.S. and Morocco produce over 70% of where Industries Chimiques Maghrebines was able to operate
the world's phosphate rock. Similarly over 94% of the world's both its plants at close to full capacity. Fosforico Espanol was
reserves of potash and 40% of the world's sulfur is produced in also able to boost its deliveries substantially, meeting demand
four countries. The demand for these materials or their from customers of Office Cherifien des Phosphates pending
finished fertilizer derivatives is widespread. The latest United the start-up of Morocco's own export phosphoric acid capa
Nations report indicated that nearly 150 countries consume city. Shipments out of Morocco did not start until September
nitrogen and phosphates and 125 use potash. These data and averaged less than 15,000 tons/month P. Os for the 4
illustrate the need for increased cooperation between those months of commercial operation. Fertilizantes Fosſatados
few nations which produce the essential raw materials and Mexicanos recorded a modest increase in overall sales but was
those which require fertilizer (especially in developing nations) unable to maintain deliveries out of Mexico itself at the
in order to produce the food and fiber essential for man's basic previous yr level. The major increases in import demand
needs. occurred in Brazil, the Mediterranean (particularly Turkey)
and, to a lesser extent, Northwest Europe and India. At the
716 Trade in Fertilizers and Phosphate Rock and the start of 1977, there is a prospect for a further substantial
Implication for Regional Plant Capacity. L. L. Blakeslee boost in supply, particularly from the Maroc Phosphore plant,
(Washington State Univ., Pullman), E. O. Heady, and C. F. which had only been in commercial operation for a part of the
Framingham. In World Food Production, Demand and Trade. previous yr, and from South Africa, where Triomf and Fedmis
Ames, Iowa: Iowa State Univ., pp. 327-51 (1973). In chapter both started up export phosphoric acid plants near the end of
15 of this book fertilizer use projections presented in chapter 1976. United States exports could also increase and continued
12 and specifications of 1975 fertilizer and phosphate rock cooperation between Fosforico Espanol and Office Cherifien
plant capacities presented in chapter 13 provide a basis for an des Phosphates should ensure a market for Spain's surplus.
analysis of future trade in fertilizer and phosphate rock and Tunisia will have less acid for export sale, however, following
the utilization and expansion of fertilizer and phosphate rock the commissioning in the second half of 1976 of monoammo
plant capacities throughout the world. Trade and productive nium phosphate and sodium tripolyphosphate plants at Gabes
capacity analyses were conducted for a 38-region model which will provide a domestic outlet for part of ICM.s
including demand of 96 nations. The projection periods of the production. Demand growth in 1977 can be expected from
analysis are for 1975, 1985, and 2000. (4 fig, 8 tables) most of the major markets including Brazil, India, Turkey, and
Northwest Europe. Poland and Japan will be added to the list
717 World Phosphate Trade Forecast. Eur, Chem. News 27 of importers for the first time as a result of contracts
(674), 10 (Feb. 14, 1975). A report by Westinform, the concluded with Morocco and South Africa, respectively.
international shipping consultants, predicts dynamic growth in
world seaborne phosphate rock and phosphoric acid trade in 720 Raw Material Exchange United States—Russia. Eur.
the period to 1980. The company estimates that, based on Chem. News 30 (791), 4 (June 1977). A second massive trade
1973 levels, seaborne exports of phosphate rock will increase deal involving bilateral exchanges of fertilizer raw material is
by 74% to over 78 million ton by 1980, despite an presently under discussion between the USA and the Soviet
accompanying upsurge in seaborne phosphoric acid movement. Union. The U.S. company taking part is Agrico Chemical, the
The main reason for this growth is an estimated three-fold fertilizer subsidiary of the Williams Companies of Tulsa, which
increase in demand in Eastern Europe, according to the report. is a major supplier of phosphates and finished fertilizers from
The massive phosphoric acid investments planned by rock its plants in Florida and Louisiana. Under consideration is a
exporters during this decade will increase acid trade from 1 10-yr agreement similar in concept but smaller in scale, to the
million ton at present to over 6 million ton in 1980. Around one negotiated with the Russians by Dr. Armand Hammer of
37% of total acid exports in 1980 will come from entirely new Occidental Petroleum. The USSR would supply Agrico
suppliers and over 35% of total seaborne trade will be directed annually with one million ton of potash in exchange for about
to new importers. a quarter of a million ton of P, Os, probably in the form of
triple superphosphate. Based on these quantities, each part
718 World Phosphoric Acid Trade 1975. Phosphorus Potas ner’s exports would amount to about $50 million/yr, putting
sium No. 84, 20-3 (July-Aug. 1976). World trade in phos the whole deal into the $1 billion class. Current prices for
phoric acid in 1975 showed some reduction relative to 1974, Soviet potash and U.S. triple superphosphate are about
in line with the general recession in the phosphate fertilizer S50/ton and $90-95/ton f.o.b. respectively.
industry. A 28% decrease in import demand from Europe was
shown. Producers reduced capacity utilization rates in accord 721 U.S.S.R. Agreement With Morocco on Phosphate
with the decline in demand, yet some exporters still experi Development. Chem. Age (London) 109 (2891), 10 (Dec. 13,
enced difficulties in disposing of their acid. Prices fell steadily 1974). The Soviet Union has agreed to supply Morocco with
throughout the yr from $400-470/mt phosphoric acid f.o.b. all the specialists and equipment needed for a phosphates
U.S. Gulf in January 1975 to $250-280 in December. complex in Southern Morocco as part of a long-term arrange
:

95
WORLD TRADE

ment under which the Soviets will buy Moroccan phosphates. increase in urea exports, this total could easily reach over three
The mine, which is estimated to have 8000 million m' of million tons. To some, these imports might seem to be an
phosphate reserves in the first 10 m of depth, is expected to additional minus charge in the U.S. balance of trade deficit.
produce some 10 million tons/yr of phosphates for export to On the other hand fertilizer industry leaders cite several ways
the Soviet Union. The mine is due to have an initial output of in which the nitrogenous imports will help sustain U.S.
3 million tons/yr which will be progressively increased to 10 exports. One instance concerns the Soviet ammonia shipments
million tons/yr. The U.S.S.R. has told Morocco that it will scheduled to begin this yr. The arrangement calls for the U.S.
require 5 million tons/yr of Moroccan phosphates between to purchase 33.3 million mt of ammonia and 18.5 million mt
1980 and 1990 and 10 million tons/yr from 1990. The of urea. In return the Soviets have agreed to purchase 18.49
Moroccans for their part have said that they will require 83.50 million tons of superphosphoric acid from the U.S. Moreover
tons/day of sulfur, 1500 tons/day of ammonia, 1000 tons/day much of the ammonia will be used in U.S. plants to
of urea, and more than 7700 tons/day of crude oil between manufacture diammonium phosphate (DAP). The U.S. is
1974 and 1990. presently the world's largest producer of DAP with exports
adding roughly $300 million/yr to the U.S. trade balance.
722 Bigger Share of Foreign Agriculture Market Should be Another plus item for the U.S. trade balance is the $20
United States Goal, Too. Clayton Yeutter (Nelson, Harding, billion/yr food and fiber exports made possible partially from
Yeutter, Leonard and Tate, Lincoln, Nebraska). Fert. Solu these nitrogenous imports.
tions 21 (6), 116, 118-20, 122 (Nov.-Dec. 1977). There is no
more dramatic proof of the worth of chemical fertilizers than 725 German-French Concern Over Romanian Exports.
the yields obtained today versus 30 yr ago. The United States Chem. Age (London) 112 (2966), 1, 9 (May 21, 1976).
therefore is in an ideal situation to supply the rapidly Germany and France are the countries affected most by the
expanding markets of developing nations. These nations will Romanian exports, and reports from both countries indicate
no doubt be our major customers for food, and thus, that substantial quantitites of material is being sold at prices
secondarily for fertilizers and fertilizer products. Although the 25% or more below the domestic price. Sources in both
United States presently spends considerable sums for food in countries are sure that the Romanian activity represents a clear
other countries, long term food demand can only be met case of dumping. The EEC Commission is also concerned
through increased agricultural production. Herein lies the vast about the activities in Europe of Phosrock and Phoschem, the
opportunities for United States fertilizer industry trade and US phosphate rock and phosphatic fertilizer export cartels.
expansion abroad. The German fertilizer industry in particular is looking for
some positive action from the EEC. Between July 1975 and
723 More United States Rock for Foreign Markets. Chem. March 1976, 70,000 mt of straight nitrogen was imported
Week 119 (23), 15-16 (Dec. 8, 1976). Looking beyond the from Eastern Europe at prices 20-25% below domestic prices.
relatively steady growth of demand in their domestic markets, Of this, about half, or 35,000 mt was imported from Romania.
U.S. producers of phosphate rock see enough promise in The German industry is worried that there are considerable
overseas markets to justify new mining and beneficiation quantities of materials in the pipeline to be dumped in the
projects that within the 1975-1985 decade will enable them to market between now and the end of the season. The French
increase their combined output 75%, to 81 million tons. The fertilizer is going through an equally torrid time as a result of
wave of expansions, which could easily soak up more than Sl East European N imports. Since October, about 70,000 mt of
billion in new capital investments, is already well advanced. nitrogen has been imported into France from the Eastern Bloc.
Global competition is clearly on the rise. Morocco, whose at prices 20-30% below domestic prices. Furthermore, the
known phosphate rock reserves exceed those of all other industry is anticipating a further 30,000 mt being imported
nations in toto, by 1980 is expected to boost its production before the end of the season in July. This 100,000 mt will
capacity to 30 million tons/yr, up from its 1974 rating by represent about 15% of French consumption.
43%. At the moment, of course, phosphate rock and its
various derivatives are generally plentiful. The longer-term 726 Import Controls in Japan. Jpn. Chem. Week 18 (875), I
outlook is another matter. It’s dominated, say some market (Feb. 3, 1977). Japan Phosphatic & Compound Ferts. Manu
analysts, by an inexorable rise in global demand, generated by facturer's Association recently held an urgent Board of
a growing world population's unrelenting quest for ever-greater Directors meeting to examine the industry’s policy designed to
quantities of higher-quality food and fiber products from plant import raw materials for phosphoric acid. They have reached
and animal crops that cannot be grown without adequate the following agreement: (1) primary phosphoric acid manu
amounts of phosphorus. Foreign consumers of phos rock are facturers do not import phosphoric acid in principle, (2) when
keenly interested in U.S. reserves, even though North African a manufacturer is compeled to import phosphoric acid from
mines represent a much closer source of supply. At least five the point of plant site, the manufacturer must obtain the
companies are in line to become new entrants in phosphate industry's consent, (3) on the basis of this agreement, the
mining. Those companies all expressed confidence that their industry will ask the Government to provide administrative
go-aheads will come within 2 yr or less. If so, the U.S. guidance, and (4) the industry will strongly request ammo
industry’s biggest round of expansions may well be completed nium phosphate importers and secondary manufacturers to
in time for the big spurt expected in world demand for practice self-control on ammonium phosphate imports.
phosphate rock.
727 India and Iran to Buy Fertilizer Plants from Japan. Jap.
724 Fertilizer Imports Bolster Fertilizer Exports. Chem. Chem. Week 15 (716), 5 (Jan. 17, 1974). Mitsui Toatsu
Week 122 (2), 20-1 (Jan. 11, 1978). United States imports of Chemicals, Inc. and Toyo Engineering Corp. are expected to
ammonia and urea in 1977 totaled over two million tons, conclude contracts with India and Iran by this summer to
worth approximately $250 million. In 1978, even assuming no export fertilizer plants and technical know-how on fertilizeſ

96
WORLD TRADE

production to the nations. The two companies have jointly triple superphosphate (105,000 ton/yr), and NPK (90,000
been negotiating with India on the export of three urea plants, ton/yr). Exports by this time are expected to be valued at
each with a daily capacity of 1000 tons. Likewise, the two $800 million compared with present imports of $400 million.
firms are now engaged in talks with Iran on the sale of a urea
plant with daily production capacity of 1500 tons. The two 732 Chemical Fertilizers. Fourth Edition, Dept. Primary
Tokyo-based companies have so far exported fertilizer plants Industry, Canberra, Australia; 42 pp. (1977). A statistical
and techniques to 21 countries including China. review of the fertilizer situation in Australia is given. Included
are all major fertilizer products and trace elements consump
728 Japan to Export Four Ammonia Plants to Russia. Wall tion, production, import, and export data through 1976.
St. J. (East Edition) 187 (41), 4 (Mar. 1, 1976). Mitsui & Co.
said it signed a contract to export four ammonia: 733. The Phosphate Fertilizer Industry in Brazil. Phosphorus
manufacturing plants valued at the equivalent of $264.7 Potassium No. 75, 26-33 (Jan.-Feb. 1975). The phenomenal
million to the Soviet Union. According to the contract growth of the Brazilian fertilizer market during the past few
concluded between Toyo Engineering Co. and the Mitsui years has been one of the main causes of the current world
group and the Soviet government-owned Techmashimport; the shortage of all types of phosphate product. Although Brazil's
four plants will be built in the suburbs of Minsk, Kharkov, production has risen rapidly to over 400,000 mt P;Os in
Moscow, and Kiev. Each will be capable of producing 1500 1973–an increase of nearly 50% in 2 yr—the local industry has
tons of ammonia/day. They will be completed by 1980. not been able to keep pace with increasing demand. During
1972 and 1973, imports, not including phosphate rock,
729 Export of Ammonia-Urea Plants to U.S.S.R. Jpn. Chem. totalled 920,000 mt P:Os. Imports of phosphate rock itself
week 16 (773), 1 (Feb. 20, 1975). Toyo Engineering Corp. surpassed 1 million mt product in 1973 alone, supplementing
revealed recently that it has reached basic agreement with the the 200,000 mt produced in Brazil. Current forecasts point to
All-Soviet Technology and Machinery Import Corporation (v/o a demand of up to 2 million mt P. Os by 1980. It is hoped
Techmachimport) on the export of four huge ammonia plants. that the bulk of this could be produced locally. If this hope is
A formal contract was to be signed with the Soviet to be realized, Brazil must not only increase its own phosphate
Corporation soon. It also disclosed that the company expects rock production tenfold, but will also be looking for a major
to reach agreement with the Soviet Corporation on the export increase in imports of phosphate rock, phosphoric acid, and
of two urea plants soon. According to the Tokyo company, sulphur.
two of the four ammonia plants would be shipped to the
Soviet Union within 2 yr of the conclusion of a formal 734 Potash Production and Sales Show Increase for 1972.
agreement and the remaining two within 4 yr. The ammonia Potash Report (Province of Saskatchewan) (Dec. 1972). This
plants will have a daily capacity of 1360 tons each and the report on potash indicates an increase in production for
urea plants, 1500 tons each. calendar yr 1972 of 10% and a sales increase of 2.7%.
Production of all potash for the yr totaled 4.33 million tons
730 Fertilizer Export: Crisis in the Making. Farm Chem. 140 while sales were slightly more than 4 million tons. Inventories
(2), 50, 53 (Feb. 1977). The apparent stability of the American at points of production were higher than closing of the
export market in recent years disguised to some extent the previous yr.
forces already impeding U.S. expansion of markets in
developing nations. These factors are analyzed and suggested 735 Canadian Potash 1973. Saskatchewan Monthly Potash
measures to counteract them are given. During the past 2-3 yr Rep. Dep. Min. Resources; 17 pp. (June 1973). For the
the level of usage has stagnated at relatively low thresholds in fertilizer yr 1973 ending June 30, the sales of Canadian potash
such countries as India, Indonesia, Kenya, Algeria, Ecuador, world wide increased approximately 12.4% from a total of
and Peru. Agency for International Development sponsored 2,542,324 tons in 1972 to 2,857,458 tons in 1973. The
schemes have helped raise this threshold, but these are increase throughout the world including the U.S. was about
short-term measures and are under-utilized. In 1974-75 only the same. Domestic sales in Canada decreased about 25%.
24% of the nutrients exported by the U.S. went to AID Closing inventories were down 22.5% from approximately
supported countries. A return to the 1972-73 position, when 728,000 tons in 1972 to 564,000 in 1973.
50% of all fertilizer exported were destined for countries with
AID programs is highly desirable. 736 Canadian Potash Production and Sales 1974. Mon.
Potash Rep. (Saskatchewan Dept. Min. Res.) 21 pp. (Dec.
1974). Potash produced July 1 through Dec. 31, 1974,
amounted to 2,852,528 tons or slightly more than sales of
SUPPLY AND DEMAND 2,787,203 tons for the same period. In the calendar yr 1974,
production of potash totaled 6,058,000 tons compared to
4,700,000 tons for 1973. This is an increase of 21% for 1974.
PRODUCTION-CONSUMPTION STATISTICS During the same period of time sales increased from 5,414,844
tons to 6,317,761 tons which amounted to a 14% increase.
731 Argentina Supply-Demand. Fur. Chem. News 80 (787), The closing inventory as of December 1974, amounted to
44 (May 20, 1977). Demand for fertilizers in Argentina is 268,000 tons compared to 522,768 December 1973. This is a
expected to increase to 183,000 ton N, 239,000 ton P. Os, reduction of 51% for the calendar yr 1974.
and 150,000 ton K, O in 1980 from 51,000 ton N, 30,000 ton
P., Os, and 10,000 ton K2O in 1975. New projects planned to 737 Canada Increases Fertilizer Consumption. Green
be completed by the end of this decade include those for urea Markets 1 (31), 2 (Sept. 12, 1977). Canada increased both its
(1000 ton/day), diammonium phosphate (185,000 ton/yr), production and domestic consumption of fertilizer last yr.

97
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Total plant food shipments increased 18% for the yr ending agricultural surpluses including the restriction of credit facili- -
June 1977 over the previous yr. Total N production increased ties and a gradual reduction of fertilizer subsidies. Total
nearly 20% to 967,000 short ton while P output increased by nutrient consumption in 1976-77 amounted to 422,000 mt of
6.2% to 698,000 short ton. Potash shipments were up 21.4% which over 80% was in the form of NPK and PK. The most
to 5.8 million short tons. Shipments of N to Canadian dealers important nutrient in terms of usage continues to be N.
were 626,000 short ton, an increase of 13.9% while domestic Although production has also declined since 1974-75, produc
phosphate consumption was up 1.8% to 444,000 short ton. tion still exceeded consumption in 1976-77 by 14%.
Potash consumption increased 33.4% to 292,000 short ton.
744 Holland Shows Fertilizer Production Increase. Eur
738 Fertilizer Consumption in China Still Low. Eur. Chem. Chem. News 24 (592), 8 (July 13, 1973). The production of N
News 24 (594), 6 (July 27, 1973). Production of N and P fertilizers in Holland in the period July 1, 1971 to June 30,
fertilizers in China totalled 17 million tons in 1972. Another 6 1972 increased by 40%. Production of phosphate rose by 7%
million tons were imported, 3.5 million tons from Japan. to a total of 294,800 tons of P20s. Practically 70% of the
figure given for domestic sales of N fertilizers for 1971-1972
739 China Boosts Fertilizer Output. Eur, Chem. News 25 was in terms of calcium ammonium nitrate and 18% was of
(619), 8 (Jan. 18, 1974). Chinese chemical fertilizer produc compound fertilizers. These percentages are slightly lower, 71
tion increased by almost 26% in the January-November period and 17% respectively, than the previous yr. Among phosphatic
of 1973, according to the New China News Agency. Western fertilizers, 8% of domestic sales were of superphosphate
estimates suggest that the increase raised Chinese output to compared with 17% the previous yr. Sales of concentrated
around 21 million ton, of which small local plants still superphosphate rose from less than 1% the previous yr to 5%
contributed 54% in terms of ammonia production. Four large in 1971-1972. Basic slag accounted for 22% of sales and
new fertilizer plants are scheduled to go into production soon compound fertilizers for 58%. Of the sales of potassic
and capacity expansions are due to be introduced at four others. fertilizers 30% were potassium salt 40, 12% potassium salt 60,
Operation of the large fertilizer plants is said to be 50% above and compound fertilizers accounted for 38%.
that in 1972. New fertilizer plants recently ordered from the
west will add another 12 million ton/yr to China's fertilizer 745 Fertilizer Statistics 1971-72. Editor, T. M. Alexander.
capacity. New Delhi, India: Fertilizer Association India; 695 pp. (1972)
Price Rs. 25. This edition brings up-to-date the statistical data
740 Comecon Increases Fertilizer Production. Eur. Chem. furnished in the previous 17 annual editions since 1956. It is
News 28 (739), 12 (June 4, 1976). Total production of divided into three parts. Part I, page 1-464, provides informa
mineral fertilizers in Comecon countries increased by almost tion on capacity, production, distribution, consumption, and
14% in 1975 from 28.79 million ton of nutrient in 1974 to prices of fertilizers in India. Data on plant nutrients removed,
32.5 million, according to recent figures released by Economi soil testing, and use by district and region are given. Part II,
cheskaya Gazeta. The greatest increase in production was seen page 465-577, deals with Indian agricultural and allied
in Bulgaria which managed to produce almost 24% more statistics. It gives data on land utilization, production of crops
mineral fertilizers during 1975. per area, and agricultural programs. Statistics on population
and agricultural economy are given. Part III, page 579-616,
741 Communist World Sulfur Use Increases. Sulphur No. contains fertilizer and agricultural statistics of production and
133; 7 (Nov.-Dec. 1977). Both production and consumption consumptions in countries other than India. A large number of
of sulfur in-all-forms in the Communist World is estimated to maps and tables are included throughout the book.
have increased in 1977. Production totaled 19.3 million mt, an
increase of 4.4% including 8.7 million mt of brimstone. The 746 Fertilizer Statistics 1972-73. C. Sahai, A. N. Kulkarni,
increase in brimstone reflects a higher rate of production in and K.S.K. Talwar. New Delhi: Fert. Ass. India; 670 pp. (Dec.
the U.S.S.R. Sulfur demand is estimated at 17.5 million mt, 1973). Price Rs 25.00. This eighteenth issue of Fertilizer
some 7.5% above the 1976 level. This increase in consumption Statistics provides the latest basic information of fertilizer
primarily reflects increased use in East Europe and the production, imports, consumption, and agricultural statistics
U.S.S.R. in India. The book is presented in three parts: Part One gives
data on capacity, raw materials used, production, imports,
742 Comecon Sulfuric Acid Output Increases. Chem. Age consumption, and prices of the primary nutrients. Other data
(London) 107 (2839), 16 (Dec. 14, 1973). Production of Such as plant nutrients removed from soil, soil testing
sulfuric acid will rise to 22.5 million tons in Comecon laboratories, fertilizer recommendations, and railway freight
countries during 1973, according to output data through the rates are included in this section. Part Two provides data on
first 9 months of the yr. The U.S.S.R. reports output close to Indian agricultural and allied statistics such as land utilization,
11 million tons in the January-September period, up 8% from crop production, special programs, and population and
the same period of 1972. Hungary, Poland, and Bulgaria are agricultural economy. Part Three gives data on fertilizer and
also increasing output appreciably. agricultural production and consumption in other countries.
This book is useful to those who are interested in economic
743 Finland Reduces Fertilizer Consumption. Fert. Int. No. development in India through intensive agriculture in which
101; 4 (Nov. 1977). Nutrient consumption in Finland fell 18% fertilizers play a key role.
during the 1976-77 fertilizer yr as compared to the previous yr
and 29% compared to the record yr of 1974-75. Finland has 747 Indian Fertilizer Supply-Demand. Chem. Age (London)
for several yr suffered from excessive agricultural surpluses, 108 (2864), 10 (June 14, 1974). Output of fertilizers in India
particularly of wheat, feed grains, and dairy produce. The this yr is unlikely to reach more than 50% of requirements
Finnish Government has attempted various remedies to reduce despite frantic attempts by the petrochemical industry to

98
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

boost production. Latest figures estimate production at 1.78 mt/yr of urea and 110,000 mt/yr of ammonium sulfate. World
million mt in 1974-75 against expected demand of 3.6 million scale fertilizer facilities are now under construction at Pusri
mt. Production of nitrogenous fertilizers was 1.06 million mt and the national oil company Pertamina is having two floating
in 1973-74 and 317,000 mt of phosphatic fertilizers were also fertilizer plants built for operation around the Indonesian
produced. Imports this yr will total 1.7 million mt. Capacity COaSt.
will be raised from 2.2 million to 2.8 million mt/yr, it is
hoped. Fertilizer companies will not be allowed to make vast 752 Israel Upping Fertilizer Output to Capitalize on World
profits from the increased pool prices. The Department of Demand. D. B. Douglas (U.S. Agr. Attache, Tel Aviv, Israel).
Chemicals is expected to use the increase as an opportunity to Foreign Agr. 12 (38), 11, 16 (Sept. 23, 1974). Production of
rationalize the price system. KCl from Dead Sea brine was 955,000 mt in 1973. This will be
increased to 1.2 million-1.5 million tons in 1974. About
748 Indian Fertilizer Demand. Eur, Chem. News 27 (706), 100,000 tons will be used in Israel and the remainder
27 (Oct. 10, 1975). The reduction of fertilizer prices an exported. Additional production does not increase energy
nounced over a month ago has failed to make any impact on requirements significantly because the sun fuels the basic
stockpiles, according to the Fertilizer Corporation of India production process. New phosphate rock reserves will be used
(FCI). The latest report from the Fertilizer Association of in increasing production of this fertilizer raw material from
India (FAI) states that demand for fertilizers dropped by 3.3% about 900,000 mt (1973) to 1 million tons in 1974 and
during 1974-75. Consumption of phosphates fell by 17.2% and possibly 2 million tons in 1975. About 160,000 tons are used
nitrogenous and potassic fertilizers experienced only a margi. in domestic processes and the remainder is exported. Complex
nal increase in demand, of 0.5 and 2.8% respectively. For the fertilizers also are produced, including KNO. Production of
same period production increased by over 10%. Output of this fertilizer started in 1970 and should reach 100,000 mt in
nitrogenous fertilizers rose from 1.050 to 1.186 million ton, 1974. Domestic consumption accounts for 1500-1800 tons
an increase of 13%.
and the remainder is available for export.
749 Annual Review of Fertilizer Consumption and 753 The Italian Fertilizer Market: Consumption and Prices.
Production—1976-77 India. Fert. Mark. News (India) 8 (7), Eur, Chem. News (Italian Survey), pp. 35-6 (Dec. 7, 1973).
2-24 (July 1977). The Indian fertilizer situation in 1976-77 is For the past few yr the Italian fertilizer market has tended to
reviewed. Consumption shows a resurgence, thus reversing the stagnate after a remarkable growth period. Most of the
trend of a yr earlier. Production recorded substantial increase fertilizer production is controlled by two companies with
for the second yr in succession. Nitrogen fertilizer consump plants located in Priolo and Ravenna. The entire N capacity
tion for the yr totaled 2,457,000 mt. Production of nitrogen totals about 2 million tons/yr of N, much of which is used in
fertilizer was 1,857,000 mt. Consumption of P. Os increased the northern part of the country. Phosphate production has
to 653,000 mt and production totaled 478,000 mt. India failed to meet the demand since 1970 and material is being
produced no K2O for 1976-77 but consumed 319,000 mt. imported into the country. The first production of potash
This review gives nutrient consumption for each of the five began in Sicily in 1964 and its consumption has grown rapidly.
regional zones. A new potassium sulfate refinery at Pasquasia began produc
tion in June 1973 with 100,000 tons scheduled for production
750 Fertilizer Consumption in India. Fur. Chem. News 30 through Dec. 1973. At present the Italian fertilizer industry is
(780), 12 (Apr. 1, 1977). Consumption of fertilizers in India experiencing a chronic shortage of fertilizer, brought about by
during the fertilizer yr 1976-77, showed an increase of 27% the unrealistic pricing policy of the government.
over the previous yr reaching 3.490 million ton compared with
2.744 million ton. Though this was the highest consumption 754 Japanese Ammonia Production. Jpn. Chem. Week 18
level recorded, it still fell about 110,000 ton short of the (894), 1 (June 16, 1977). Ammonia production in fiscal 1976
government target. The most marked increase was in phos. ending in March dropped below the 2,500,000 tons line to
phatic fertilizer consumption which increased by more than 2,471,000 tons, bringing the average operating rate down to
50% from 443,000 ton in 1975-76 to 683,000 ton. Nitrogen 55%, the lowest in the history of the industry. Fertilizer
consumption grew by 25% from 1.992 million ton to 2.479 consumed was 637,000 tons. During the fertilizer yr ending in
million ton and potash consumption was also up from 266,000 June 1977, fertilizer use will be larger because of the export to
ton to 328,000 ton. Observers in India attribute the incleased China but production as a whole will remain at the same level
consumption to several factors. as during the fiscal yr. The continued reduction in ammonia
production over the last few yr has resulted from the
751 Fertilizer Supply-Demand in Indonesia. Chem. Age drastically reduced urea export. This has forced the shutdown
(London) 111 (2939), 11 (Nov. 14, 1975). A major increase in of the large ammonia plants of Nihon Ammonia Co. and Ube
overseas fertilizer purchases was the prime reason behind a Ammonia Co. since last summer and has also forced Mitsui
178% increase in Indonesian chemical imports during 1974 to Toatsu Chemicals, Inc., Nippon Kasei Chemical Co., and
some $A589 million. Fertilizer imports rose from $A107 Mitsubishi Chemical Industries Ltd. to conduct major modifi
million to $A398 million. During the past 5 yr chemical cations in their plants.
imports into the country have increased an average of 58%/yr.
This trend is expected to continue at least for a further 5 yr 755 Japanese Phosphate Supply-Demand. Jpn. Chem. Week
until projected fertilizer and petrochemical facilities begin 16 (775), 5 (Mar. 6, 1975). Demand for fertilizers in 1974
production. Indonesia is currently consuming a total of 2 fertilizer yr has been on the increase, surpassing the expecta
million mt of fertilizer/yr. Some 1.2 million mt is urea, about tions. Production of phosphate fertilizers amounted to
100,000 mt ammonium sulfate, and 400,000 mt of triple 409,000 tons (P20s), and increase of 19.1% over the
superphosphate. Current local production stands at 200,000 corresponding period of the previous yr, and domestic demand

99
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

came to 367,900 tons, a mcrease of 15.6%, showing an (1977). Production of sulfuric acid in fiscal 1976 totaled .
unprecedented growth rate. Meanwhile, export declined 6,134,537 tons, up 3.2% over the previous yr. Consumption º
sharply to 9300 tons, a decrease of 47.5% from the same also increased by 2.2% to 6,122,565 tons. The fertilizer
period of the previous yr, due mainly to the Government's industry’s demand totaled 1,883,324 tons, a decrease of 6.8%.
policy of giving priority to the fulfillment of domestic Ending inventories were up 2.1% over a yr earlier to 245,990
demand. tonS.

756 Japan's High-Analysis Compound Fertilizer Supply 761 Jordan Phosphate Production. Eur, Chem. News 26
Demand. Jap. Chem. Week 14 (686), 8 (June 21, 1973). (659), 4 (Oct. 25, 1974). Reopening of the Suez Canal in May
Supply and demand position of fertilizers has taken a next yr has spurred Jordan in a massive phosphate rock
favorable turn worldwide, and N fertilizers have already expansion program. Production at the high grade 73-75% El
become insufficient. Demand for phosphate fertilizers are also Hassa mine will be expanded from 1.65 million tons in 1974
upswinging, and a major phosphoric acid center construction to 5 million tons in 1976.
plan is recently proposed. Thus, the prospects of demand for
complex fertilizers have become bright. Japan Phosphatic & 762 Jordan Phosphate Rock–1976. Miner. Trade Notes 74
Compound Fert. Manufacturers’ Association recently esti (8), 16 (Aug. 1977). Production and exports of Jordanian
mated demand for high-analysis compound fertilizers for 1973 phosphate rock reached record highs in 1976. Total produc.
fertilizer yr at 2,775,400 tons, an increase of 5.1% over 1972 tion reached 1,701,800 mt nearly 26% greater than in 1975.
fertilizer year’s high-analysis compound fertilizers production Exports for the same period increased 49% to 1,653,142 ton
estimate of 2,641,400 tons. from the 1975 level of 1,111,877 tons. On the other hand,
revenues declined to JD20.694 million (U.S. $62.5 million) in
757 Japan's 1973 Sulfuric Acid Supply-Demand. Jap. Chem. 1976 from JD21.182 million (U.S. $64.2 million) in 1975.
Week 15 (718), 7 (Jan. 31, 1974). Demand and supply of This was due to a steady decline in the price of raw phosphate
sulfuric acid in 1973 are estimated by Sulphuric Acid on the international market.
Association of Japan at 7,033,000 tons for production, up 3%
over the preceding yr, and 7,050,000 tons for demand, up a 763 Fertilizer Production in Mexico. Fert. Int. No. 83, 4
little less than 4.9% surpassing the level of 7 million tons for (May 1976). Total output of fertilizers in Mexico increased to
the first time. Installed production capacity at the end of 1973 over 2.8 million mt product in 1975. This chiefly consisted of
totaled 24,392 tons/day, an increase of 1,726 tons over the anhydrous ammonia (27%), ammonium sulfate (20%), and
beginning of the yr. The smelter gas accounted for 60% of single superphosphates with just over 19% of the total. Output
overall material of sulfuric acid as against 57% for last yr. of all individual products increased, with the exception of
Demand including import of 60,000 tons presumably topped urea. The most significant increase in production was recorded
production because fertilizer, fiber, and inorganics industries for anhydrous ammonia which rose by over 42% to 779,000
enjoyed brisk demand. Sulfuric acid supply is likely to be mt, the next was for ammonium phosphate (17%) with an
short by more than 120,000 tons in the current fiscal yr, if its output of 136,000 mt. Production of compounds increased by
demands continues active hereafter. 13% to 313,000 mt and output of ammonium nitrate at
153,000 mt, rose by around 4% over the total for the
758 Japan's Sulfuric Acid Supply-Demand. Jap. Chem. Week preceding yr. Mexico is the largest consumer and producer of
15 (742), 1, 5 (July 18, 1974). Demand and supply of sulfuric fertilizer in Central America and despite exporting both
acid in fiscal 1974 is estimated by the fertilizer industry at nitrogenous and phosphatic fertilizer, still remains a net
7,442,000 tons. Installed capacity of the product is estimated importer.
at 8,699,000 tons. Ishihara Sangyo Kaisha, Ltd., is scheduled
to start again 500 tons/day sulfuric acid production in 764 Moroccan Phosphate Production. Chem. Age (London/
November, while Toagosei Chemical Industry Co. will increase 1 / 1 (2933), 7 (Oct. 3, 1975). Moroccan production of
production by 570 tons/day in December and The Dowa phosphate rock is now expected to be down 25% in 1975 from
Mining Co. by 1200 tons/day in September. They all produce the 1974 level, falling by 6.6 million mt to about 16.2 million
sulfur dioxide, raw material for sulfuric acid, by roasting mt. This compares with the official forecast of 24.8 million m!
sulfides. Sulfuric acid supply may seem sufficient in view of originally set for 1975. Overall, deliveries in the first half were
estimated production capacity, although the demand and down by 14% over the same period 1974, but in the second
supply position of the product in the current fiscal yr cannot quarter, deliveries were down by 27%. The Phosphate Rock
be accurately predicted. Sulfuric acid was imported last yr to Export Association has announced new prices for phosphate
alleviate short supply of the product in Japan. The import is rock effective January 1, 1976. Four grades of rock. 75, 72.
expected to continue also this fiscal yr. 68, and 66% BPL, will be offered, and the respective prices
will be S58, S52, S44. and S40'mt loaded vessel, dry wi.
759 Japanese Sulfuric Acid Demand. Jpn. Chem. Week 16
(800), 5 (Aug. 28, 1975). Demand for sulfuric acid in fiscal 765 North American Potash Production Increases. Phos
1975 was recently estimated by Sulphuric Acid Association of phorus Potassium No. 90; 14 (July-Aug. 1977). In fertilizer y!
Japan at 6,019,000 tons, down 13% from the previous year's 1976-77, the North American potash industry made a signifi.
level. A marked decline is seen particularly for fertilizer use cant recovery although the record levels of 1974-75 were not
(19%). Despite the 13% decrease on a yearly basis, demand for repeated. Production in 1976-77 rose by 11% from 7.06
the product in the latter half is expected to increase 14.8% million mt K2O to 7.84 million mt K2O and total sales
over that of the first half. reached 7.94 million mt K2O. North American producers
started the yr with higher inventories than the previous
760 Sulfuric Acid–Japan. Jpn. Chem. Annual 1977. 44 yr-96,000 mt in Canada and 483,000 mt in the United States.

100
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Canadian producers experienced favorable market conditions Eastern Europe is expected to absorb much of this surplus,
throughout the yr and total disappearance rose to 5.58 million shipments to developing countries will probably rise
mt K-O from 4.49 million, an increase of 24%. Total North considerably.
American disappearance rose by only 10% as the increase in
production was totally due to Canadian output.
770 Russia Increases Fertilizer Capacity. Chem. Eng. News
766 North Vietnam-Large Fertilizer Use Potential. Fert. 52 (5), 6 (Feb. 4, 1974). The Soviet Union plans to increase
fertilizer capacity in 1974 by 10.5 million tons. Facilities for
Int., No. 52, 5 (Oct. 1973). The current level of fertilizer
consumption in North Vietnam is estimated to be 31,000 mt making 9.5 million tons/yr began operating in 1973. Output of
fertilizer is expected to reach 80 million tons this yr and rise
N. 96,000 mt P2 Os, and 11,000 mt K20. The prime necessity to 90 million tons in 1975, up 60% from 1970.
of increasing rice production from the level of about 4.1
million mt, which is believed to have been the average of the 771 South Korean Fertilizer Demand. Fert. Int No. 84, 4
last few years to the 1959-60 figure of nearly 5.2 million mt (June 1976). Fertilizer consumption in South Korea continued
will call for a greatly increased fertilizer application. By
to increase in 1975. In terms of total product, consumption
1975-76 it is thought possible that North Vietnam may be rose 9% to reach more than 1.9 million mt. The N and K2O
using 50,000 mt N, 120,000 mt P., Os, and 25,000 mt. K2O nutrient content both increased by 7.5%, compared with a
and that by 1980-81 something like 260,000-280,000 mt of much lower 2.5% for P; Os. A 16% growth in consumption of
nutrients could be consumed.
straight fertilizers was partly offset by a 5% reduction in that
for compounds. As a result, the share of straight fertilizers in
767 Fertilizer Production in Poland—1976. Fert. Int. No. 95, total consumption grew to 71% from 66% in 1974. Urea
9 May 1977). Data released on Polish fertilizer production in continued to be the main product in demand, comprising 56%
1976 shows that output of both nitrogenous and phosphate of straight fertilizers and 40% of the total. Its consumption
fertilizers remained close to 1975 levels, at 1,546,000 mt N increased by 9% in 1975, which is low compared to the very
and 927,000 mt P20s. However, significant changes were big increase of 192% in ammonium sulfate.
ſecorded in both imports and exports. Total nutrients rose
above 1 million mt, a level almost three times as high as in 772 Spanish Fertilizer Production. Eur. Chem. News 27
1975. Imports were also up in 1976 at 2,857,000 mt nutrient, (701), 10 (Sept. 5, 1975). Despite sharp increases in produc
40% higher than the previous yr. Potash salts comprised the tion costs and a slight decline in domestic demand, Spanish
bulk of Polish imports while exports are largely accounted for fertilizer output continued to increase during the yr ended
ty nitrogenous fertilizers especially urea and calcium ammo June 30. Consumption (as tons N) fell by 2.9% to 707,100 ton
Illum nitrate.
but production rose by 4.8% to reach 807,600 ton. Urea
production soared by 30% to 121,000 ton. After reaching a
768 Portuguese Fertilizer Consumption—1976-77. Fert. Int. balance in domestic consumption and production in 1970-71,
No. 100; 4 (Oct. 1977). Latest reports from Portugal indicate Spain had a positive foreign trade surplus in fertilizers worth
that fertilizer consumption in 1976-77 reached a new high
Ptas 2200 million last yr. Spain's fertilizer industry now ranks
level. Total consumption stood at 138,000 tons N, 76,000 thirteenth in the world in output terms.
tons P, Os, and 33,000 tons K. O. Calcium ammonium nitrate
continues to be the major straight N fertilizer used in Portugal; 773 Spanish Nitrogen Fertilizer Supply-Demand. Eur, Chem.
iſ accounted for 41% of total N consumption in 1976-77. News 30 (778), 12 (Mar. 18, 1977). Spanish N fertilizer
Single superphosphate, although declining in use, is still the production increased by 51,245 ton, 5.8%, in 1976. Domestic
dominant form of straight P. Os; compounds represent three consumption was about 24% below production and exports
fourths of P. Os consumption. increased from 90 ton in 1970 to 73,519 ton last yr. Imports
of N fertilizers have dropped from 83,203 ton to only 13,129
769 Fertilizer Supply-Demand in Romania. Nitrogen, No. ton in the same period.
92, 10 (Nov.-Dec. 1974). Over the 1970-75 period more than
ºne-quarter of the planned level of investment in the 774 Fertilizer Surplus in Spain. Eur, Chem. News 31 (811),
Romanian chemical process industries has been allocated to 8 (Nov. 11, 1977). Over capacity and stagnating demand head
stepping up fertilizer production, with emphasis being placed the list of ills currently besetting the Spanish fertilizer
on the output of multinutrient products. Nitrogen is the most industry. Several big new plants have been commissioned but
widely applied nutrient in Romania, with 420,000 mt being demand has effectively remained the same since 1973.
consumed in 1973. By 1975 the Development Plan aims to Capacity utilization rates stand at 51% for ammonium sulfate,
boost N usage to as much as 1.3 million mt. In 1975 very 70% for ammonium nitrate, 37% for urea, 40% for superphos
substantial additions to installed capacity are due on-stream phates, and 60% for complex fertilizers.
With the commissioning of the important new complex at
Aſad, which is to include a 250,000 ton/yr ammonia plant and 775 Spanish Nitrogen Output increased. Fert. Int. No. 102;
a 900,000 tons/yr multinutrient facility. Similar facilities are 4 (Dec. 1977). Spanish N fertilizer production increased 9.7%
under construction at Turna Magurele, and these should also during 1976-77. The largest single product increase was for
in 1975. Yet another similar complex
* completedcompleted is due to urea, 23.6% from 168,000 mt last yr to 208,202 mt.
he partially at Craiova in the south, although the
Ammonium nitrate and complex fertilizer manufacture in
immonia plant there will not be commissioned until the creased also by 10.1 and 20.3%, respectively. Consumption
Iºllowing yr. An ammonia-urea complex is also to be built at reflected a similar trend during 1976-77 with an 8.7% rise in
Tºuci, and another such complex is nearing completion at demand over the previous yr.
Slobozia. In 1975 it is planned that N production should
ºxceed consumption by 670,000 mt. While trade within 776 United Kingdom Fertilizer Consumption Growth.

101
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Chem. Age (London) 108 (2860), 12 (May 10, 1974). Overall States fertilizer industry ran its ammonia plants at a rate of
growth in fertilizer consumption in the U.K. during 1972-73 89.3% capacity during the first half of the yr. Solid urea plants
was only 2%, according to figures released by the Fertiliser were run at 88.8% capacity and liquid urea plants at 94.4%.
Manufacturers’ Association. Nitrogen consumption rose by Wet process phosphoric acid plants ran at 86.6% of capacity
3.0%, phosphate by 1.8%, while potash consumption remained and diammonium phosphate plants were up to 85.7%. Phos
static. Use of compound fertilizers continues to decline. In the phate rock producers were working at 80.4% of capacity while
1966-67 season, three-quarters of the total was accounted for potash producers from 67.9% for standard muriate to 95.2%
by compounds, but in 1972-73 this fell to two-thirds. For for granular muriate. Capacity increases planned by the
example, N consumption is now 51% in the form of industry shows that United States ammonia capacity will be
compounds and 49% in straight form. The increase in the increased to 20.2 million mt/yr by the end of 1978 and 21.5
usage of straight N is to be explained by more intensive million mt/yr by 1979.
cultivation of grassland.
78.1 Nitrogen Supply-Demand United States. Feedstuffs 47
777 United Kingdom Fertilizer Consumption. Eur, Chem. (39), 3 (Sept. 22, 1975). Nitrogen supplies for the current
News 27 (698), 15 (Aug. 8, 1975). Fertilizer consumption on fertilizer yr are expected to be slightly below that of 1974-75,
United Kingdom farms remained almost static in 1974, according to a government interagency fertilizer task force.
compared with 1973, showing an increase of only 0.2%. A Survey results showed anhydrous ammonia production would
total of 1,839,000 tons of inorganic fertilizers was used on be reduced by an estimated 670,000 tons from July 1975,
British farms during the 1973-74 fertilizer yr, compared with through June 1976. The projected drop in the July-December
1,834,000 ton the previous yr, according to annual statistics period is about 250,000 tons, with about a 380,000 ton
just released by the Fertilizer Manufacturers' Association. Of decline for the first quarter of 1976. The decline during the
the total fertilizers consumed, there was a 3.5% increase in the April–June 1976, quarter is expected to total less than 40,000
use of N and a 1% increase in K. This helped to offset the 6.8% tons. The task force reported that about 554,000 tons, or 83%
drop in P, from 474,500 ton in 1972-73 to 442,000 ton last of the reduction in tonnage, will be in plants served by
yr. This drop has come about mainly as a result of the reduced distributors dependent on natural gas supplied by interstate
availability of basic slag, due to the growing modernization of pipelines. Inventories of anhydrous ammonia at the beginning
steelworks. In 1972-73, 84,500 ton of basic slag was used and of the fertilizer yr were the largest on record. These will tend
in 1973-74 this fell to 50, 100 ton. to counter losses in production resulting from natural gas
curtailments. Hence, by holding net trade unchanged in the
778 United Kingdom Sulfuric Acid Output Down 17% in task force projection, net domestic supplies of N available for
1975. Chem. Age (London) 112 (2951), 9 (Feb. 13, 1976). farm use in the 1975-76 yr are expected to be slightly below
United Kingdom consumption of sulfuric acid was down by those of last yr.
18.1% during the fourth quarter of 1975, to 819,196 mt,
while consumption for the whole of 1975 was down by 16.8% 782 United States Production. Chem. Week 118 (11), 26
to 3.45 million mt, according to figures from the National (Mar. 17, 1976). Ammonia producers operated at 92% of
Sulphuric Acid Association. Production of new acid in the capacity in the second half of 1975, says The Fertilizer
fourth quarter was 20.4% down on the same period of 1974 at Institute. Production was 7.38 million tons. Urea producers
777,695 mt, representing a capacity use of 67.6%. This ran at 72.9% of capacity, turning out 1.21 million tons of solid
compares with capacity use of 62.7% in the third quarter and material. Phosphate rock output of 22.83 million tons was
72.1% in the second quarter. Imported sulfur accounted for 91.8% of capacity, and diammonium phosphate makers
91.2% of the total sulfuric acid production with 237,040 mt operated at 101.7% of capacity, turning out 4.02 million tons.
being consumed. Consumption of sulfuric acid from the largest But output of normal superphosphate, at 497,000 tons,
sector, fertilizers and agricultural, was down by 14.1% over the slumped to 35.5% of capacity, and concentrated superphos.
same period of last yr, to 279,000 mt. phate production of 1.79 million tons was 65.2% of capacity.
Output of standard muriate of potash was 2.2 million tons
779 United Kingdom Fertilizer Demand. Eur. Chem. News (60.4% of capacity), coarse muriate, 1.99 million tons (72.6%
29 (765), 16 (Oct. 1, 1976). Total fertilizer consumption in of capacity). Granular muriate output was 1.31 million tons
the United Kingdom for the yr 1974-75 reached about 1.776 (78.4% of capacity).
million ton in terms of nutrient, a drop of 5% compared to the
previous yr, according to estimates by the United Kingdom 783 Chemical Profile-Phosphorus. Chem. Mark. Rep. 213
Fertilizer Manufacturers' Association. Total phosphate sales (2), 9 (Jan. 9, 1978). Total combined production capacity for
declined by 12% to 395,000 ton. The higher potash prices also phosphorus by United States manufacturers is rated at
affected sales, which were down by 9.6% to 397,000 ton. 564,500 tons/yr. Growth in demand for 1967-76 was minus
Nitrogen fertilizers, on the other hand, saw a marginal increase 2.2%/yr. Estimated future growth is minus 3-4%/yr through
in sales, by about 0.4% from 980,300 ton in 1973-74 to 1981 and a flat 0.1%/yr thereafter. Phosphorus prices during
984,000 ton in 1974-75. Compound fertilizer consumption the period 1952-76 reached a high of 61 cents/lb for white or
fell more than straight fertilizers, with total compound yellow in tanks, and a low of 17 cents/lb, same basis. The
consumption falling from 1.263 million ton in 1973-74 to current price is 61 cents/lb. Eighty-five 94 of P is used for
1.149 million ton in terms of nutrient, a drop of 9%, with all phosphoric acid, 8.5% for nonacid chemicals, and 6.5% is
components declining (nitrogen—5.3%; phosphate—12.3%; exported. Total demand for P in 1977 was 470,000 ton.
potash–10.6%). Projected demand in 1978 is 450,000 ton and 370,000 tons in
1982.
780 United States Fertilizer Industry Capacity Rates. Chem.
Age (London) 115 (3041), 8 (Oct. 28, 1977). The United 784 Phosphate Rock: 1972 Review. Pit Quarry 65 (5), 113

102
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

(Dec. 1972). Through the 1972 crop year (July 1, 1971-June consumption, and export tonnage of United States phosphate
20, 1972) production of marketable phosphate rock rose rock showed increases in crop yr 1977 but the unit values of
nearly 3% over the preceding crop yr to the level of 39.9 all three categories declined substantially from 1976 levels.
million tons with a value of more than $206 million. The According to the latest U.S. Bureau Mines figures, production
marketable rock sold or used by producers amounted to 39.9 for the yr rose slightly from 49.2 million short ton in 1976, to
million tons, an increase of 7.3%. Export tonnage and value 49.5 million short ton last yr. During the same time
was reported to have increased 15% and 13%, respectively; marketable rock jumped 6.8%, from 45.3 million short ton to
while apparent consumption is stated to be nearly 4% above 48.4 million short ton. The value of the rock dropped almost
the 1971 level. The average price/ton of marketable pro 25%, from $21.39% short ton in crop yr 1976, to
duction is reported by the Bureau of Mines as $5.18—a drop of $16.71/short ton in 1977. The decrease reflected lower unit
1% from the prior yr. values for rock from all three U.S. producing areas. The trend
of lower prices for greater vol extended to the export market
785 United States Phosphate Rock Production. Pit Quarry as well. Offshore shipments of phosphate rock increased about
66 (7), 111-12 (Jan. 1974). Production of marketable phos 2.6% to 11.8-million short ton last yr, while the unit value
phate rock increased 4.9% in crop yr 1973 (July 1, 1972-June decreased from $31.32/short ton in 1976, to $21.98/short ton
30, 1973) compared with the 1972 crop yr production, in 1977. Consumption showed a similar pattern, a yearly
according to the Bureau of Mines. Tonnagewise, marketable increase in tonnage to 36.6 million short ton, from the 33.8
phosphate rock production rose from 39.9 million tons in million short ton a yr ago. The value of phosphate rock
1972 to 41.9 million tons in 1973. During this same period the dropped from $18.03/short ton in 1976, to $15.05/short ton
value of marketable production increased from $206.7 million in 1977.
to $223.1 million, which amounted to 8%.
790 United States Phosphate Rock Output Increases. Green
786 United States Phosphate Rock Production. Eng. Mining Markets 2 (9), 8 (Feb. 27, 1978). United States production of
J. 175 (3), 91-2 (Mar. 1974). The United States set a record in phosphate rock in 1977 totaled 51.2 million short tons, 5.1%
1973 in production of marketable phosphate rock, reaching ahead of 1976 production levels. Phosphate rock sold or used
about 42.6 million tons. The U.S. phosphate industry—which increased 14.3% over the 1976 period to 52 million short ton.
accounts for about 42% of world production—had consider The annual rate of consumption was 36.8 million short ton
able difficulties in producing sufficient rock to meet domestic compared with 34.6 in 1976. Exports totaled 11 million short
and export markets. Due to such production and shipping tons, an increase of 40%.
difficulties, U.S. exports of phosphate rock increased by only
2.8% during the 1973 fertilizer year (July 1, 1972 to June 30, 791 Phosphate Supply in United States. Chem. Mkt. Rep.
1973), even though the output of phosphate rock was almost 203 (19), 22 (May 7, 1973). Phosphoric acid availability in the
5% above the previous yr. The consensus is that the U.S. U.S. won't change much this yr, USDA says. Exports should
phosphate rock industry will experience more shortages and drop sharply, by about 46%; imports should rise, by 32%.
higher prices in 1974. Total supplies of domestic normal and enriched superphos
phate will be the same as last yr, 678,000 tons. Imports will be
787 Phosphate Production Increases. Pit Quarry 67 (7), 76 negligible, USDA says, and exports will amount to about 7000
(Jan. 1975). There was a 3.6% increase in production of tons. Domestic capacity for producing normal superphosphate
marketable phosphate rock in the crop yr 1974 (July 1, is about 1.1 million tons. Concentrated superphosphate
1973-June 30, 1974). During this period marketable produc capacity appears to total about 2.1 million tons, 16% more
tion increased from 41.9 million tons in 1973 to 43.4 million than it was last yr. Ammonium phosphate capacity in primary
tons in 1974. Substantially larger amounts of phosphate were plants is now about 3.2 million tons of P, Os, up 14% from
imported in 1974 when 162 thousand tons of foreign product last yr. Wet-process phosphoric acid capacity in operating
was imported by the U.S. This is almost four times the amount plants is about 6.3 million tons of P20s, up 10% from last yr.
imported in 1973. Exports were down slightly, however, The department said three plants have reopened and others
dropping from 13.9 million tons to 13.6 million tons during increased capacity.
this same period. Over 81% of the phosphate rock is used for
fertilizer production. The remaining 19% went toward the 792 Potash Production—Consumption. Pit Quarry 65 (5),
making of elemental phosphorus, defluorinated rock, and | 13 (Dec. 1972). According to government figures on the
other uses. Florida and North Carolina provided about 92% of 1972 crop yr, the production of 4.5 million tons of market
the phosphate rock production. able K salts was 4% under the pace of 1971. Sales of 4.4
million tons were about 8% below the prior yr, and 20% less
788 Florida Phosphate Output. Feedstuffs 47 (17), 50 (Apr. than the record yr of 1967. While apparent consumption of
28, 1975). Phosphate production in Florida is expected to marketable salts has been indicated as the highest on record,
increase by 11% this yr and the increase will continue into imports for consumption were also the largest ever reported,
next, according to the Florida Phosphate Council. The council and exceeded domestic production for the first time in many
estimated that about 42 million tons of phosphate will be dug yr.
this yr and increased production will increase output by about
28%. The council said there are four new plants in operation, 793 U.S. Potash Production. Eng. Mining J. 174 (3), 161-2
and three new mines will be in operation in the next several (Mar. 1973). Performance of the North American Potash
months. industry continued to improve in 1972. The impact of the
Saskatchewan potash prorationing program could be seen in
789 Phosphate Rock Output increases–Value Declines. the stability of prices realized by U.S. producers and by the
Green Markets 1 (33), 3 (Sept. 26, 1977). Production, return to seasonal pricing. For the first time in 4 yr, an

103
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

increase (5%) in domestic production was reported—from Shipments were up only about 4% to 10.9 million long tons.
2,587,000 tons in 1971 to 2,705,000 tons in 1972. The This relatively small gain largely reflects a decline in exports.
estimated 1972 output value was $108 million. An annual
growth rate of 3.9% to the yr 2000 is forecast for potash 797 Nitrogen-Phosphate-Potash: The Fertilizer Supply
demand. World reserves, at slightly higher prices, are estimated 1972-73. J. N. Mahan. Agr. Stabilization Conservation Serv.,
to have over a 100-yr life. There are no substitutes for U. S. Dep. Agr., Washington, D. C. 24 pp. (Apr. 1973).
potassium as a plant nutrient, and any substitutes for chemical Domestic supplies of fertilizer materials in 1972-73 are
uses in the future should not prove significant to the industry. expected to total 19.0 million tons of plant nutrients—
The 1973 outlook for the business conditions of the North 8,993,000 tons of N, up 3%; 5,303,000 tons of P, Os, down
American potash industry is good. Continued growth of 2%; and 4,699,000 tons of K2O, down 3%. Production rates
demand and stability of average prices can be expected. Based for the first 6 months compared with last yr were as follows:
on present trends in the industry, the current world-wide anhydrous ammonia, near the same; ammonium nitrate, up
production oversupply will probably extend through 1976. 2%; ammonium sulfate, down 2%; urea, N solution, and NP
Whether oversupply will continue to exist beyond 1976 materials ranged 10-17% up; wet-process acid, up 2%;
depends largely on one factor—possible large-scale shipments ammonium phosphate, up 1.1%; and concentrated superphos
of potash products from the U.S.S.R. once that country's own phate, down 4%. About two-thirds of KCl domestic supply is
demand has been met. expected to be imported and the supply will be up 2%.
Included in tables are: nitrogen estimated supply 1970-73;
794 Chemical Markets. Agricultural Chemicals—Potash. J. phosphate estimated supply 1970-73; potash estimated supply
Commerce 355 (24, 142), 5 (Feb. 9, 1978). Domestic (U.S.) 1970-73; ammonium phosphate consumption in U.S. 1966-71;
production of potash in 1977 totaled 2.3 million short tons inventories of selected materials, U.S., end of December,
K2O and was valued at $200 million. This represents a 3% February, and June 1970-72; U.S. imports of selected
decline compared to the 1976 level. Potash demand increased materials, by country of origin, 1971-72; U.S. imports of
9% to 6.7 million tons. Imports also increased by 13% to 5.2 selected materials 1967-72; U.S. exports of selected materials,
million short tons with 96% coming from Saskatchewan, by country of destination, 1971-72; U.S. export of selected
Canada. Net imports equaled 62% of U.S. consumption while materials, 1967-72; percentage of U.S. exports going into
ten firms continued to operate eleven production facilities last countries with AID programs, 1967-72; U.S. imports of
yr. Exports increased 5% to one million short tons K. O. primary plant nutrients, 1951-73; and nitrogen-phosphate
potash production, consumption, and foreign trade by leading
795 Sulfur in 1974. R. W. Merwin. Mineral Industry Surveys: countries, 1970-71.
16 pp. (July 9, 1975) Washington D.C.: U.S. Bur. Mines.
Production of S in all forms in 1974 reached an all time high, 798 Nitrogen—Phosphate–Potash: The Fertilizer Supply
being 5% greater than that of 1973. It was produced by 68 1974-75. J. N. Mahan and H. L. Stroike. Washington, D.C.:
companies at 178 operations in 31 states, with 10 companies U.S. Dep. Agric., Agric. Stabilization Conservation Service; 22
with 56 operations accounting for 82% of the output. pp. (Apr. 1975). Net domestic supplies of fertilizer materials
Production was concentrated in Texas and Louisiana. These in 1974-75 are expected to total 23.2 million tons of plant
two states accounted for 83% of the total output. Distribution nutrients–N, P:Os, and K2O. This is 10% more than last yr
of production was: frash S 69%, recovered elemental S 23%, supply and also 22% more than 2 yr ago. Estimated supplies of
and the contained S in other products 8%. Production of all N total 10,750,000 tons, up 8% from last yr and 22% from 2
forms was 11, 419,000 long tons S in 1974. The apparent yr ago; P:Os, 6,053,000 tons, up 13% from a yr ago and 15%
consumption was 10,880,000 tons S. Exports were 2,601 000 from 2 yr ago; and K2O, 6,441,000 tons, up 1.1% from a yr
long tons and imports were 2, 150,000 long tons. There was a ago and 30% from 2 yr ago. Nitrogen and phosphates are likely
marked increase in S prices in 1974 as compared to 1973. The to continue in a tight supply position. The supply situation
average net shipment value f.o.b. mine-plant for frasch and tends to be distorted by uncertainty of available supply, and
recovered elemental (92% of total shipments of S in all forms competition to obtain those supplies that are available. Total
in 1974) increased from $ 17.84/long ton in 1973 to imports of N, P:Os, and K2O are expected to be up 10% over
$28.88/ton in 1974. Sulfur prices rose steadily during 1974, last yr. Nitrogen and K, O imports are estimated to be up 14
therefore, the average prices during 1974 did not fully reflect and 11%, respectively, P:Os imports down 15% from a yr ago.
the higher prices that prevailed at year end 1974. (14 tables) Exports of N, P:Os, and K2O are expected to be 9% lower
than last yr, with N and K2O down 21 and 16%, respectively,
796 Sulfur Sets New Highs as Market Tightens. Chem. Eng. and P3Os up 4% from a yr ago.
News 52 (2), l l (Jan. 14, 1974). Production and shipments of
S from U.S. producers rose to record levels last yr, due largely 799 Nitrogen --Phosphate–Potash—The Fertilizer Supply
to a substantial increase in demand from fertilizer makers. 1975-76. J. N. Mahan and H. L. Stroike. U.S. Dep. Agric.,
Sulfur markets are now extremely tight, not only in the U.S. Agric. Stabilization Conservation Service, Washington, D.C.,
but worldwide, according to industry officials; 1974 should be 21 pp. (Apr. 1976). Net domestic supplies of fertilizer plant
another strong sales yr. Expansions now under way among nutrients in the 1975-76 fertilizer yr (July 1-June 30) are
producers of phosphate fertilizer materials promise to keep expected to total 20.3 million tons-nitrogen (N), phosphate
demand for S high for the next 2 or 3 yr. With production at (P. Os), and potash (K2O). This is 2% more than last yr but
its highest level in the year's final quarter, a total of about ll 5% less than 2 yr ago. Estimated supplies of N total 9,868,000
million long tons of S were produced in the U.S. in 1973, tons, up 3% from last yr and about the same as 2 yr ago.
according to preliminary Bureau of Mines figures, up 8% from Production of nitrogenous fertilizers is expected to continue at
1972. U.S. consumption of S increased by about 6% in 1973, levels slightly above last yr. Phosphate supplies are expected to
the Bureau of Mines estimates, to 10.4 million long tons. total 5,732,000 tons of P., Os, up 13% from a yr ago and 2%

104
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

more than 2 yr ago. Movement of phosphatic materials during includes tons of N, P:Os, and K2O with average analysis of
the second half of the fertilizer yr will determine if production mixtures; tons of 10 selected materials used for direct
can be maintained or increased above the rate of the first half application; consumption of dry and fluid materials; and
of the yr. Potash supplies are expected to total 4,680,000 tons Seasonal consumption for the periods 1950, 1955, 1960, 1965,
of K 2 O, 12% less than a yr ago and 19% less than 2 yr ago. 1970, 1972, and 1973. Other data given are the 10 leading
Imports of potassium chloride, primarily from Canada, are grades of mixed fertilizer for 1950, 1960, 1965, 1972, and
expected to supply about 77% of needs for this material. 1973; acreage harvested and plant nutrients used for two of
Supply from domestic production is expected to be 12% less the leading crops; and farm income and expense.
than last yr. Potassium sulfate supplies are expected to be
down 6% from yr-ago levels. Beginning inventories on July 1, 803, Fertilizer Summary Data 1976. N. L. Hargett. Muscle
1975, were at record levels for virtually all kinds of fertilizer. Shoals, Ala.: TVA, National Fertilizer Development Center.
Production rates the first 6 months were influenced by Bull. Y-112; 132 pp. (Mar. 1977). This biennial revision
inventory levels. This has made it possible for companies to do summarizes U.S. consumption of fertilizer and plant nutrients
maintenance work and repairs on plants which had been through fiscal yr 1976. Use patterns are detailed for the U.S.,
postponed where possible during the fertilizer shortage period nine regions by states; Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico are
of recent years. included. The distribution of fertilizer material by TVA for
the industry demonstration program for fiscal years 1973-76
800 Nitrogen-Phosphate-Potash—The Fertilizer Supply is also included. Summary includes tons of N, P, Os, and
1976-77. J. N. Mahan and H. L. Stoike. U.S.D.A., Agric. K2O with average analysis of mixtures; tons of 10 selected
Stabilization Conservation Service, Washington D.C.; 23 pp. materials used for direct application; consumption of fertilizer
(Apr. 1977). Net domestic supplies of fertilizer plant nutrients by class; and seasonal consumption for the periods 1955,
in the 1976-77 fertilizer yr are expected to total 21.8 million 1960, 1965, 1970, 1973, 1974, 1975, and (prelim.) 1976.
tons—nitrogen (N), phosphate (P2 Os), and potash (K2O). This Other data given are the 10 leading grades of mixed fertilizer
is 5% more than last yr supply. Estimated supplies of N total for 1960, 1965, 1970, 1974, and 1975; acreage harvested and
10,870,000 tons, up 5% from last yr. Production of N plant nutrients used for two of the leading crops where data is
fertilizers is expected to increase over last yr for all materials available; and farm income and expense.
except solid ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulfate.
Phosphate supplies are expected to total 5,262,000 tons of 804 Commercial Fertilizers—Consumption of Commercial
P2 Os, up 4% from a yr ago. Capacity for producing Fertilizers, Primary Plant Nutrients, and Micronutrients.
concentrated phosphatic material is adequate. Potash supplies U.S.D.A. Statistical Rep. Service, Crop Rep. Board, Washing.
are expected to total 5,703,000 tons of K2O, up 7% from a yr ton D.C., Statistical Bull. No. 472; 64 pp. (Nov. 1976). This
ago. Imports of potassium chloride, primarily from Canada are report contains statistics of commercial fertilizer consumption
expected to supply about 79% of needs for this material. from 1850 through 1975. Eight United States tables give: (1)
Supply from domestic production is expected to be 9% above total fertilizer consumption, primary nutrient consumption,
last yr. Potassium sulfate supplies are expected to be up 7% and average nutrient content, 1850-1975; (2) primary nutrient
from last yr. Beginning inventories on July 1, 1975 and 1976 consumption and average nutrient content in mixed fertilizers
were larger than usual for most kinds of fertilizers. (12 tables). and primary nutrient materials, 1965-1975; (3) total fertilizer
consumption and percentage of total by kinds, 1965-1975; (4)
801 Fertilizer Summary Data 1972. N. L. Hargett fertilizer consumption by class-bagged, bulk, and fluid,
(Tennessee Valley Authority, Muscle Shoals. Ala.). Tennessee 1967-1975; (5) direct application nitrogen materials consump
Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development Ctr., Muscle tion, 1960-1975; (6) direct application phosphate and potash
Shoals, Ala., Bull. Y-53; 126 pp. (Jan. 1973). This biennial materials consumption, 1960-1975; (7) consumption of
revision summarizes U.S. consumption of plant nutrients selected N-P grades, 1955-1975; (8) consumption of 15
through fiscal yr 1972. Fertilizer use patterns are detailed for principal grades, 1955-1975. Four state tables give: (1)
individual states, nine regions, and continental U.S. Summary consumption of fertilizers and plant nutrients, by states,
includes tons of N. P., Os, and K2O with average analyses of 1965-1975; (2) direct application nitrogen materials consump
mixtures: tons of 10 selected materials used for direct tion by states, 1965-1975; (3) direct application phosphates
application; consumption of dry and fluid materials; and and potash materials consumption, by states, 1965-1975; (4)
seasonal consumption for the period 1945 through (prelimi fertilizer consumption by class-bagged, bulk, and fluid, by
nary) 1972. Other data given are the 10 leading grades of States 1967- 1975.
mixed fertilizer for 1950, 1960, 1965, 1970, and 1971 :
harvested acreage and average rate of fertilization, lime needs 805 Consumption of Commercial Fertilizers in the United
and use, and farm income and expense. States for Fiscal Year Ended June 30, 1972. U.S. Dep. Agr.,
Washington, D.C.; 26 pp. (May 8, 1973). Fertilizer consump
802 Fertilizer Summary Data 1974. N. L. Hargett. Muscle tion in the 50 States, District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico
Shoals, Alabama: Tennessee Valley Authority National Ferti during the yr ended June 30, 1972 is placed at 41.2 million
lizer Development Center. Bull. Y-86; 132 pp. (Jan. 1975). tons by the Crop Reporting Board. This is the first yr since
This biennial revision summarizes U.S. consumption of ferti 1961 that consumption has not shown a significant increase
lizers and plant nutrients through fiscal year 1974. Use over the previous yr. Regions in the 48 contiguous States
patterns are detailed for the continental United States, nine showing increased consumption over the previous yr were the
regions, and individual states. Included for the first time are South Atlantic, East South Central, West South Central,
Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico. The distribution of fertilizer Mountain, and Pacific. California was the leading State in tons
material by TVA for the industry demonstration program for used with 3.4 million tons. Primary plant nutrient usage, at
fiscal years 1971 through 1974 are also included. Summary 17.2 million tons, was the same as 1971. Nitrogen usage was

105
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

placed at 8.0 million tons, down 1%. Phosphoric acid at 4.9 1973 is given. Consumption of fertilizer in the United States
million tons was up 1% and potassium oxide at 4.3 million consisted of 48% dry bulk, 25% dry bagged, and 27% liquid;
tons was up 2% from the previous yr. Mixed fertilizer these values compared with 44%, 29%, and 27%, respectively,
accounted for 52.2% of the total fertilizer consumption. The for the previous yr. Dry bulk fertilizer consumption totaled
average analysis was 9.92% N, 18.61% P20s, and 12.92% 20.1 million tons, dry bagged 10.5 million tons, and liquids
K2 O. The total analysis of plant nutrients in mixed fertilizer 11.0 million tons. About 0.8% of all fertilizer used in 1972-73
was 41.45 compared with 40.92 a yr earlier. The use of all contained pesticides.
direct application materials totaled 19.7 million tons during
the 1972 fertilizer yr, up slightly from 1971. Primary nutrient 808 Commercial Fertilizers—Consumption in the United
materials (N, P20s, K2O) usage at 18.4 million tons was only States Year Ended June 30, 1974. U.S. Dept. Agric., Washing.
slightly less than a yr earlier. Secondary and micronutrient ton D.C.; 29 pp. (May 1975). Fertilizer consumption in the
materials totaled 1.3 million tons compared with 1.2 million United States and Puerto Rico during the yr ended June 30,
tons the previous yr. Data were collected from all known 1974, is placed at 47.1 million tons, an increase of 9% above
primary producers of selected micronutrients. Summary tables the 43.3 million tons consumed during the 1972-73 fertilizer
of the report indicate usage by regions, states, plant nutrients, yr. Primary nutrient content (nitrogen, N, phosphate, P;Os:
mixed and direct application, and various kinds of fertilizer and potash, K2O) was 19.3 million tons, up 7% from a yr
materials. earlier. Nitrogen consumption increased 10% to 9.2 million
tons; phosphate usage was virtually unchanged at 5.1 million
806 Commercial Fertilizers Consumption in the United tons; and potash at 5.1 million tons was up 9%. The total
States Year Ended June 30, 1973. U.S. Dep. Agr. Washington analysis of plant nutrients decreased from 43.11 a yr earlier to
D.C.; 26 pp. (May 7, 1974). Fertilizer consumption in the 43.01% in 1974. The five leading States in order of total
United States and Puerto Rico during the yr ended June 30, fertilizer consumption and the change in consumption from
1973 is placed at 43.1 million tons, an increase of 4% above the preceding yr are: California, up 20%; Illinois, up 1.2%;
the 41.2 million tons consumed during the 1972 fertilizer yr. Iowa, up 10%; Texas, up 14%; and Indiana, up 11%. Mixed
Consumption of primary nutrients (N, P.O.s, and K2O) was fertilizer accounted for 51.1% of the total fertilizer consump
17.8 million tons compared with 17.2 million tons/yr earlier. tion. Primary nutrient direct-application materials accounted
Nitrogen consumption increased 2% to 8.2 million tons, for 44.4% of total use, and Secondary nutrient and micro
phosphate usage increased 4% to 5.0 million tons; and potash nutrient materials represented 4.5%. About 34% of total
at 4.6 million tons was up 7%. Mixed fertilizer accounted for mixtures and 39% of total material tonnages were consumed
52.0% of the total fertilizer consumption. Primary nutrient during the first 6 months of the 1973-74 fertilizer yr.
direct application materials accounted for 44.6% of total use, Percentages for the preceding yr were 26 and 31, respectively.
and secondary and micronutrient materials represented 3.4%. Consumption of mixed fertilizer containing 2 or more primary
The five leading States in order of total fertilizer consumption plant nutrients was 24.1 million tons for the 1973-74 fertilizer
and the change in consumption from last year are: California, yr, and increase of 7% over the preceding yr. The average
up 3%, Illinois, down 1%; Iowa and Texas, up 2%; and analysis of all mixed fertilizer was 10.10% N, 17.75%
Georgia, up 8%. Consumption of mixed fertilizers containing 2 phosphate, and 12.66% potash. The analysis for the preceding
or more primary plant nutrients was 22.4 million tons for the yr was 10.21 – 18.79 - 12.76. The total analysis of plant
1973 fertilizer yr, and increase of 4% over the preceding yr. nutrients in mixed fertilizer was 40.5 ! compared with 41.76 a
The average analysis of all mixed fertilizer was 10.19% N, yr earlier. Usage of all direct-application materials increased
18.66% phosphate, and 12.78 % potash. This compares with | 1% during the 1973-74 fertilizer yr to 23.0 million tons.
an analysis of 9.91-18.58-12.93 for the 1972 fertilizer yr. The Primary nutrient materials (N, P:Os, K2O) accounted for 20.9
total analysis of plant nutrients in mixed fertilizer was 41.63 million tons of the total compared with 19.3 million tons a yr
compared with 41.42 a yr earlier. The use of all direct ago. Secondary nutrient and micronutrient materials increased
applications materials increased 5% during the 1973 fertilizer from 1.5 million tons in 1973 to 2.1 million tons in 1974.
yr to 20.7 million tons. Primary nutrient materials (N, P., Os, Most of this change was due to increased gypsum consumption
K2O) totaled 19.2 million tons, compared with 18.4 million in California. Nitrogen materials (excluding organics) used for
tons a yr ago. Secondary and micronutrient materials increased direct-application increased 1.1 million tons to 14.6 million
from 1.3 million tons in 1972 to 1.5 million tons in 1973. tons. Anhydrous ammonia, up 23% from the previous yr.
Nitrogen materials (excluding organics) used for direct applica accounted for the majority of the increase. Phosphate mate.
tion increased one-half million tons to 13.3 million tons. rials totaled 2.4 million tons, 3% more than the previous yr.
Nitrogen solutions accounted for most of the increase. and all potash materials at 3.5 million tons were up 15% from
Phosphate materials totaled 2.3 million tons, 2% less than the last yr. Tonnages of natural organics used were virtually
previous yr, and all potash materials at 3.0 million tons were unchanged at .5 million tons. Sales of selected micronutrients
up 13% from last yr. Tonnages of natural organics used were for use in fertilizer were obtained from known primary
virtually unchanged at 0.5 million tons. producers. These tonnages indicate increased Cu and Mn, and a
decrease for Fe and Mo. Zinc which has the largest micro
807 Commereial Fertilizers—Dry Bagged, Dry Bulk, nutrient tonnage was virtually unchanged from a yr earlier.
Liquid–Year Ended June 30, 1973. U.S. Dep. Agr. Statistical
Reporting Service. Crop Reporting Board, Washington, D.C.; 7 809 Commercial Fertilizers: Consumption by Class Dry
pp. (June 7, 1974). Consumption of mixed fertilizer, direct Bagged, Dry Bulk, Liquid–Year Ended June 30, 1974. U.S.
application materials, and mixtures and direct application Dep. Agric. Statistical Reporting Service, Crop Reporting
materials is reported by class and states for the title period. Board Washington, D.C.; 11 pp. (June 6, 1975). Consumption
The average nutrient content of liquid fertilizers consumed as of mixed fertilizer, direct application materials, fertilizeſ
mixtures and materials, by states, for year ending June 30, mixtures, and direct applications materials, and average pri.

106
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

mary nutrient content of liquid mixtures and direct applica form decreased 5% to 8.8 million tons and comprised 44% of
tion material is reported by class and states for the fertilizer all direct application materials. The downward trend of dry
years 1973-74. Fertilizer consumption by class and the average bagged fertilizer consumption continued during the 1974-75
nutrient content of liquid fertilizer consumed as mixtures and yr with tonnages amounting to 9.0 million tons, a decline of
materials are given for each yr 1967-74. Consumption of 14%. Mixed fertilizer in bags was 33% of total mixed fertilizer.
fertilizer containing one or more primary nutrients was 45.0 Direct application material in bags at 2.1 million tons dropped
million tons in the United States and Puerto Rico during the 12% and accounted for 11% of all primary nutrients direct
yr ended June 30, 1974, an increase of 8% above the 41.8 application materials. Fluid fertilizer (liquids, gases and sus
million tons consumed during the 1973 fertilizer yr. The total pensions) used as mixtures and direct application materials
tonnage consisted of 49% dry bulk fertilizer, 23% dry bagged, totaled 12.2 million tons for the 1974-75 fertilizer yr, down
and 28% liquid fertilizer. The breakdown for the previous yr 4% from the previous yr. Consumption of fluid mixtures
was 48% dry bulk, 25% bagged, and 27% liquid. Dry bulk containing two or more primary nutrients dropped 8% to 3.2
fertilizer totaled 21.8 million tons, an increase of 8% from a yr million tons and represented 15% of total mixed fertilizers.
ago and a continuation of the upward trend of dry bulk The average analysis of fluid mixes was 8.6% N, 14.8%
consumption. Mixed fertilizer in the dry bulk form at 12.5 phosphate, and 8.9% potash. The analysis for the preceding yr
million tons was up 10% and accounted for 52% of total was 8.6-14.7-9.2. Fluid direct application materials at 9.0
primary nutrient mixtures. Direct-application materials in the million tons showed a 2% decrease and accounted for 45% of
dry bulk form increased 6% to 9.3 million tons and comprised all direct application materials. The average nutrient content
44% of all direct-application materials. The downward trend of of fluid materials was 51.7% N, 0.2% phosphate, and 0.1%
dry bagged fertilizer consumption continued during the potash compared with 52.6-0.2-0.0 the previous yr. Fluid
1973-74 fertilizer yr with tonnages ammounting to 10.5 materials include anhydrous ammonia, aqua ammonia, nitro
million tons, a decline of 1%. Mixed fertilizer in bags totaled gen, phosphoric and potassic solutions and other miscellaneous
8.1 million tons, up slightly from the 7.9 million a yr earlier. primary nutrient materials applied directly to the soils in fluid
Mixed fertilizer in bags was 34% of total mixed fertilizer. form. About 1.2% of all fertilizer used in 1974-75 contained
Direct-application materials in bags 2.4 million tons dropped pesticides. This does not include quantities of pesticides that
7% and accounted for 12% of all direct-application materials. may have been added to fertilizer prior to application.
Liquid fertilizer used as mixtures and direct-application
materials totaled 12.6 million tons for the 1973-74 fertilizer 811 Commercial Fertilizer–Final Consumption for Year
yr, up 14% from the previous yr. Consumption of liquid Ended June 30, 1975. U.S. Dep. Agric., Washington, D.C.; 30
mixtures containing 2 or more primary nutrients increased 8% pp. (May 1976). Fertilizer consumption in the United States
to 3.5 million tons and represented 14% of total mixed and Puerto Rico during the yr ended June 30, 1975 is placed
fertilizer. The average analysis of liquid mixes was 8.6% N, at 42.5 million tons, down 10% from the 47.1 million tons
14.7% phosphate, and 9.2% potash. The analysis for the consumed during the 1973-74 fertilizer yr and 2% less than the
preceding yr was 8.7-15,6-8.5. Liquid direct-application ma 1972-73 tonnage. Primary nutrient content N, P20s, and K2O
terials at 9.2 million tons showed a 16% increase and was 17.6 million tons, down 9% from a yr earlier. Nitrogen
accounted for 44% of all direct-application materials. The consumption decreased 6% to 8.6 million tons; phosphate
average nutrient content of liquid materials was 52.6% N and usage dropped 12% to 4.5 million tons; and potash, also at 4.5
0.2% phosphate compared with 51.2 N and 0.4 P30s the million tons, was down 12%. The total analysis of plant
previous yr. Liquid materials include anhydrous ammonia, nutrients increased from 43.01 a year earlier to 43.25 in 1975.
aqua ammonia, nitrogen, phosphoric and potassic solutions The five leading states in order of total consumption and the
and other miscellaneous materials applied directly to the soils change in consumption from last yr are: California, down 6%;
in liquid form. Illinois, down 3%; Iowa, up 2%; Texas, down 24%; and
Georgia, down 8%. Mixed fertilizer accounted for 48.6% of the
810 Commercial Fertilizers: Consumption by Class for Year total fertilizer consumption. Primary nutrient direct applica
Ended June 30, 1975. U.S. Dep. Agric. Statistical Reporting tion materials accounted for 47.0% of total use, and secondary
Service, Crop Reporting Board, Washington, D.C.; 11 pp. nutrient and micronutrient materials represented 4.4%. About
(June 3, 1976). Consumption of mixed fertilizer, direct 38% of total mixtures and 41% of total material tonnages were
application materials, fertilizer mixtures, and average primary consumed during the first 6 months of the 1974-75 fertilizer
nutrient content of liquid mixtures and direct application yr. Percentages for the preceding yr were 34 and 39,
respectively. Consumption of mixed fertilizer containing two
material is reported by class and states for the fertilizer years
1974-75. Fertilizer consumption by class and the average or more primary plant nutrients was 20.7 million tons during
nutrient content of liquid fertilizer are given for each yr the 1975 fertilizer yr, 14% less than the preceding yr. The
1967-75. Consumption of fertilizer containing one or more average analysis for mixed fertilizer was 10.17% N, 18.00%
primary nutrient was 40.6 million tons in the United States phosphate, and 12.49% potash. The analysis for the preceding
and Puerto Rico during the yr ended June 30, 1975, a decrease yr was 10.10-17.75-12.66. The total analysis of plant nutrients
of 10% from the 45.0 million tons consumed during the 1974 in mixed fertilizer increased from 40.51%/yr earlier to 40.66
fertilizer yr and 3% less than the 1972-73 tonnage. The total in 1975. Usage of all direct application materials decreased 5%
tonnage consisted of 48% dry bulk fertilizer, 22% dry bagged, during the 1974-75 fertilizer yr to 21.9 million tons. Primary
and 30% fluid fertilizer. The breakdown for the previous yr nutrient materials (N. P., Os, K2O) accounted for 20.0 million
was 49% dry bulk, 23% bagged, and 28% fluid. Dry bulk tons of the total compared with 20.9 million tons a yr ago.
fertilizer totaled 19.4 million tons, a decrease of 11% from a Secondary nutrient and micronutrient materials decreased
yr ago. Mixed fertilizer in the dry bulk form at 10.6 million from 2.1 million tons in 1974 to 1.9 million tons in 1975.
tons was down 16% and accounted for 51% of total primary Nitrogen materials (excluding organics) used for direct applica
nutrient mixtures. Direct application materials in the dry bulk tion decreased 3% to 14.2 million tons. Phosphate materials

107
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

totaled 2.2 million tons, 7% less than the previous yr, and all of fluid mixes was 8.9% N, 15.3% P, and 9.6% K. Fluid
potash materials at 3.2 million tons were down 85% from last direct-application material at 11.7 million tons showed a 3%
yr. Tonnages of natural organics dropped 23% to 0.3 million increase and totaled 47% of all direct-application material
tons. Sales of selected micronutrients for use in fertilizer were tonnage. The average nutrient content of fluid materials
obtained from known primary producers. These tonnages consumed in 1977 was 50.8% N, 0.2% P, and 0.1% K. Dry
indicate increased tonnages for Fe and Mo, and a decrease for bulk fertilizers used as mixtures and direct application
Cu, Mn, and Zn. materials totaled 25.1 million tons for the yr, up 7% from last
yr. Mixed fertilizer in dry bulk form at 13.7 million tons
812 Commercial Fertilizer–Final Consumption for Year increased 8% and accounted for 57% of total primary nutrient
Ended June 30, 1976. U.S. Dep. Agric., Washington, D.C.; 30 mixes. Dry bulk direct-application material increased 7% to
pp. (Apr. 1977). Fertilizer consumption in the United States | 1.4 million tons. During the 1976-77 fertilizer yr dry bagged
and Puerto Rico during the yr ended June 30, 1976 is placed fertilizer tonnage decreased 3% but accounted for 17% of total
at a record 49.1 million tons, up 16% from the 42.5 million consumption. Mixed fertilizer in bags totaled 6.4 million tons,
tons consumed during the 1975-76 fertilizer yr and 4% more a decrease of 4% from last yr. Direct-application materials in
than the previous record of 47.1 million tons consumed in bags at 1.9 million tons declined 1% and accounted for 7% of
fiscal yr 1974. Primary nutrient content was 20.8 million tons, all primary nutrient direct-application materials.
up 18% from a yr earlier. Nitrogen consumption increased 21%
to 10.4 million tons; phosphate usage increased 16% to 5.2 814 Commercial Fertilizer–Final Consumption for Year
million tons; and potash, also at 5.2 million tons was up 16%. Ended June 30, 1977. U.S. Dep. Agric., Washington, D.C.; 30
The five leading states in order of total consumption and the pp. (Nov. 1977). Fertilizer consumption in the United States
change in consumption from last yr are: California, up 10%; and Puerto Rico during the yr ended June 30, 1977 is placed
Illinois, up 17%; Iowa, up 22%; Texas, up 17%; and Indiana, at a record 51.6 million tons, up 5% from the 49.2 tons
up 26%. Mixed fertilizer accounted for 47% of the total consumed during the 1975-76 fertilizer yr. Primary nutrient
fertilizer consumption. Primary nutrient direct application content was 22.1 million tons, up 6% from a yr earlier.
accounted for 48% of total use and secondary nutrients and Nitrogen consumption increased 2% to 10.6 million tons;
micronutirent materials represented 5%. About 31% of total phosphate usage increased 8% to 5.6 million tons; and potash,
mixtures and 37% of total material tonnages were consumed at 5.8 million tons was up 12%. The five leading states in order
during the first 6 months of the 1975-76 fertilizer yr. of total consumption and the change in consumption from last
Percentages for the preceding yr were 38 and 41, respectively. yr are: California, up 7%; Illinois, up 8%; Iowa, down 12%;
Consumption of mixed fertilizer containing two or more Indiana, up 23%; and Texas, up 5%. Consumption of mixed
primary plant nutrients was 23 million tons during the 1976 fertilizer containing two or more plant nutrients was 24.1
fertilizer yr, up 11% from the preceding yr. The average million ton during the 1977 fertilizer yr, up 5% from 1976.
analysis for mixed fertilizer was 10.54% N, 19.29% phosphate, The average analysis for mixed fertilizer was 10.58% N,
and 12.50% potash. The analysis for the preceding yr was 19.87% phosphate, and 12.78% potash. The analysis for the
10.17-18.00-12.49. The total analysis for plant nutrients in preceding yr was 10.54-19.29-12.50. Usage of all direct
mixed fertilizer increased from 40.66%/yr earlier to 42.19 in application materials increased 5% during the 1976-77 fertili
1976. Usage of all direct application materials increased 19% zer yr to 27.5 million tons. Primary nutrient material (N,
during the 1975-76 fertilizer yr to 26.1 million tons. Primary P:Os, K2O) accounted for 25.0 million tons of the total.
nutrient materials (N, P., Os, K2O) accounted for 23.8 million consumption compared with 23.9 tons a yr earlier. Secondary
tons of the total compared with 20.0 million tons a yr ago. and micronutrient materials increased from 2.3 million tons in
Secondary nutrient and micronutrient materials increased 1976 to 2.5 million tons in 1977.
from 1.9 million tons in 1975 to 2.3 million tons in 1976.
Nitrogen materials (excluding organics) used for direct applica 815 The Soviet Fertilizer Industry in 1975. Fert. Int. No.
tion increased 22% to 17.2 million tons. Phosphate materials 81, 7-8 (Mar. 1976). If world fertilizer production shows a net
totaled 2.1 million tons, 3% less than the previous yr, and all gain in 1975 it will be due in no small measure to the U.S.S.R.
potash material at 4.0 million tons were up 25%. Tonnages of It has succeeded in expanding its output by 8.8% to reach 22
natural organics increased 19% to 413 thousand tons. Sales of million mt of primary nutrients at a time when many of the
selected micronutrients for use in fertilizer were obtained from other major producers of primary nutrient have had to reduce
known primary producers; these tonnages indicate increased their output in the face of a declining market. This total is
tonnages for Cu and Zn and a decrease for Fe, Mn, and Mo. equivalent to 90.2 million mt of standard fertilizer units and
marginally exceeds the 90 million mt plan target for the yr,
813 Commercial Fertilizer—United States Consumption by which was also the final yr of the Ninth 5-yr Plan. In this way
Class for Year Ended June 30, 1977. U.S.D.A. Statistical Rep. the fertilizer industry has succeeded in meeting the Plan target,
Service, Crop Rep. Board, Washington D.C.; 15 pp. (Dec. which was originally announced in 1971. For 1976 the
1977). Consumption of fertilizers containing one or more fertilizer industry has set a production target of 94.5 million
primary nutrients was 49.1 million tons in the United States mt, which represents a relatively modest increase on 1975 and
and Puerto Rico during the yr ended June 30, 1977. This may reflect the spirit of the Tenth 5-yr Plan which emphasizes
amount represents a 5% increase over consumption during the quality and efficiency as much as the traditionally important
1976 fertilizer yr. Total tonnage consisted of 51% dry bulk, quantitative targets.
32% fluid, and 17% dry bagged fertilizer. Fluid fertilizers
totaled 15.7 million tons, an increase of 5% from the previous 816 Soviet-German Potash Production. Eur. Chem. News 28
yr. Consumption of fluid mixes containing two or more (741), 23 (June 18, 1976). The Soviet Union accounted for
primary nutrients increased 10% to 4.0 million tons and almost 33% of the world production of potash in 1975, and it
represents 17% of total mixed fertilizer. The average analyses increased its potash fertilizer production by 1.2 million ton to

108
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

7.8 million ton. Total Comecon potash production showed an 821 West Germany Fertilizer Supply–Demand. Eur, Chem.
increase of around 2%, while the noncommunist world output News 27 (682), 4 (Apr. 11, 1975). West German agriculture
dropped by about 7%. The growth in Soviet production is was adequately supplied with fertilizers during the recent
primarily attributed to new recovery and processing facilities critical shortage, according to a new statement from the
in Siberia. In the Urais region production reached 3.9 million Fachverband Stickstoff-Industrie. From July 1974 to January
ton in 1975 and Byelorussia produced 3.5 million ton. In the 1975, a total of 973,000 tons of N was supplied to German
German Democratic Republic (GDR)—which is the third agriculture, 9% more than in the previous yr. Around 852,000
producer after the Soviet Union and Canada—production went tons of N came from West German producers, while imports
up by 5% to reach 3 million ton. The GDR exports over 60% supplied 121,000 ton. Supplies from domestic production
of its potash and the Soviet Union around 33%. sources increased by 14%.

817 Fertilizers for Vietnam. Fert. Int. No. 89, 4, l l (Nov. 322 Western World Sulfur Demand. Sulphur No. 131; 5-8
1976). According to a recent report from Ho Chi Minh City, (July-Aug. 1977). The demand in Western World sulfur gained
formerly Saigon, a total of 207,500 mt of chemical fertilizers definite momentum at the beginning of 1977 and is continuing
have been produced and supplied to farmers in Vietnam during throughout the yr. The main impetus has come from the
the first 8 months of 1976. About 10% of this was produced fertilizer industry. In 1975 Western World sulfur consumption
in the south of the country. The manufacture of nitrogenous for fertilizer use totalled 13.55 million mt compared to 15.36
fertilizer for the first time in Vietnam was also announced in a million mt a yr earlier; in 1976 the total was 13.92 million mt.
recent radio broadcast. This is assumed to be urea from the In 1977, given the recovery in fertilizer demand and produc
54,000 tons/yr plant at Ha Bac, near Hanoi, which was tion, sulfur consumption for fertilizers is expected to total
rehabilitated and brought on-stream early this yr. The urea 15.2 million mt. Almost all the improvement in Western World
plant has a capacity to produce 1 10,000 tons/yr urea. The sulfur demand in 1977 is being focused on brimestone. This
largest project in prospect is the 189,000 tons/yr phosphoric improvement is evidenced by the growth of exports in the first
acid plant in the north which, when built by Hitachi half of 1977. During this period suppliers exports were over
Shipbuilding & Engineering, will be able to produce 90,000 one-third above the level reached in 1976. Most of this growth
tons/yr of diammonium phosphate. An 830 tons/yr sulfuric is concentrated in the export-oriented phosphoric acid and
acid plant is an integral part of the complex to be erected. fertilizer developments in North and South Africa.
Completion of the project is expected to be in late 1978 or
early 1979. 823 Annual Fertilizer Review 1972. Rome, Italy: Food and
Agriculture Organization of the United Nations; 190 pp.
818 Development of Nitrogen Usage in Western Europe (1973). Price $6.50. World production of chemical fertilizers,
Since 1964. L. Padmos. Stikstof, No. 17, 2-21 (May 1974). In N, P:Os, and K2O in 1971-72 was estimated at slightly less
the 7 yr between 1964-65 and 1971-72, N use/ha increased than 77 million tons, an increase of about 8% over last yr.
(, 2% for 13 countries in Western Europe. The Netherlands still World production achieved a relative increase of 140%
ranks first in using the most N/ha, up from 124 kg/ha in compared to 1961-62 with a 9% rate of growth, thereby
: )(4-65 to 175 in 1971-72. Denmark has moved into second doubling in the last 8 yr. Nitrogen accounted for 40% of the
place with 113 kg N/ha due to the shift from leguminous to 5.4 million tons increase in 1971-72, while phosphate and
Synthetic N. Lowest rates of N use are in Ireland (25 kg N/ha) potash accounted for 31% and 29%, respectively. World
and Italy (31 kg N/ha). Total N consumption for the 13 consumption of chemical fertilizers in 1971-72 was up by 6%
countries increased 2.35 million tons during the period to 5.85 compared with the previous yr. The higher growth rate of
million tons in 1971-72. Use of N at the optimum rate would about 9% achieved over the last decade was influenced by the
require 8.42 million tons. big increases during the early sixties. World consumption
doubled in the last 8 yr and rose by 1.36% compared with
819 West German Nitrogen Fertilizer Supply-Demand. Eur. 1961-62. Nitrogen remained by far the most widely used
Chem. News 26 (662), 8 (Nov. 15, 1974). West German orders fertilizer, contributing 47% to world consumption of all
for nitrogenous fertilizers are running at far higher levels than fertilizers, followed by phosphate 29% and potash 24%,
in the 1973-74 fertilizer yr, which ended in June. Imports in indicating an overall ratio of N:P2 Os: K2O of 1:0.6:0.5.
1973-74 fell by 20% down to 227,000 ton N. Imports from According to the 1971-72 preliminary figures total exports
the East Bloc, included in this figure, slumped by 46% to went up by about 130 thousand tons representing a growth
82,000 ton N, accounting for only 7% of West German N rate of 2%. The centrally planned countries recorded very high
consumption against 13% in the previous yr. With a vol rates of growth and the developed countries were rather
production of 1473 million ton N. West German output in the modest or even negative, the amounts exported from the
1973-74 yr remained roughly in line with the previous yr. former represented only about 16% of world trade while for
the latter it amounted to about 78%. The negative growth rate
820 West German Potash Industry—1976. Miner. Trade registered this yr for the developed countries is largely
Notes 74 (8), 17 (Aug. 1977). Production of marketable explained by reduction in exports in France (28 thousand
potash in 1976 fell 87% to 2.04 million mt K2O from 2.22 tons), the Federal Republic of Germany (113 thousand tons),
million tons in 1975. Utilized plant capacity declined for the the United States (42 thousand tons),and Japan (137 thousand
second consecutive yr from 73% in 1975 to 68% in 1976. tons). The developing countries imported 50% of their needs
Exports decreased 6% to 866,400 tons K2O from 922,800 while this percentage was as high as 84% 5 yr ago. The
tons during the previous yr. These shipments to other developing countries continued to be net importers. China, the
countries represented 40% of the industry’s total sales. largest importer, continued to import about 50% of its
I...ports continued to be insignificant; about 63,000 tons of consumption.
K2O was imported in 1976 compared to 45,000 tons in 1975.

109
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

824 Annual Fertilizer Review 1973. Rome, Italy: Food previous yr. The rate of increase was much lower than the
Agric. Organization United Nations; 194 pp. (1974). A review 1973-74 rate increase (8.6%) and was unequally distributed.
of the state of fertilizer is given for the world. The world Nitrogen had an increase of 4.3% and phosphate and potash
production, consumption, and trade is given for countries, increased respectively 2.2 and 2.4% in 1974-75. Consumption
continents, and regions. (22 tables) fell by 2.5% in relation to that of 1973-74, which amounted to
more than 86 million tons. Nitrogen consumption showed a
825 Annual Fertilizer Review 1974. Rome Italy: Food slight increase (110,000 tons) with phosphate decreasing 1.2
Agric. Organization United Nations; 205 pp. (1975). A review million tons and potash 923,000 tons. Consumption decreased
of the world fertilizer industry is given. The world production, in the industrialized countries (North and Central America,
consumption, and trade is given for countries, continents, and Europe, and Oceania), while the three developing continents
regions. World production of chemical fertilizers, nitrogen (N), increased theirs. A table of consumption-production of nitro
processed phosphate (P. Os), and potash (K. O) amounted in gen, phosphorus, potassium for 1974-75 by continents is
1973-74 to 87.9 million tons; an increase of 8% over last yr. given. The highest utilization rate was, by far, in Europe, with
Nitrogen production estimated at 40.5 million tons accounted 192 kg/ha as compared with 65 in North and Central America.
for about 44% of the 6.7 million tons increase in all fertilizers, The volume of world trade in all fertilizers amounted to 25.5
while phosphate and potash accounted for 23 and 33% million tons representing approximately 31.3% of world
respectively with their production reaching 25.1 and 22.2 consumption.
million tons. Worth noting is that the rate of growth in
1973-74 was slightly lower than the average annual compound 828 Nitrogen World Supply-Demand. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 203
growth rate achieved over the last 10 yr. World consumption (2), 30 (Jan. 8, 1973). Ruhr-Stickstoff AG, West Germany’s
of chemical fertilizers totalled 83.6 million tons with an 8% leading sales organization for fertilizers, states that at mid
increase over 1972-73. This growth rate is consistant with the 1972, world N capacities, including technical N, stood at
average annual growth rate over the last decade. Nitrogen around 60 million mt of N, due to rise to some 70 million tons
remained by far the most widely used fertilizer contributing of N by 1978. World production of N fertilizers in 1971-72
about 46% to world consumption, followed by phosphate, increased 6% to total 33.5 million tons of N while
29%, then potash, 25%, indicating an overall ratio N.P., Os: consumption showed a similar rise.
K2O of 1.0:0.63:0.54. Growth rate of world exports after 2
successive yr of impressive performance fell by 10% to 7%. 829 Ammonia Statistics—1975. ISMA Ltd. (Paris, France),
This was explained by the decline in growth rate of exports of A/F/77/73; 7 pp. (1977). World ammonia production and
the developed countries and the negative rates experienced by consumption statistics are given for the 1975-76 fertilizer yr
the developing and the centrally planned countries. (28 for major producing countries in West Europe, North America,
tables). Latin America, Africa, and Asia. Import and export statistics
for ammonia in 1975 are also given by country and destina
826 Annual Fertilizer Review—1975. Rome, Italy. FAO tion.
United Nations: 205 pp. (1976). World production of chemical
fertilizers, nitrogen (N), processed phosphate (P. Os) and 830 Ammonia-Phosphate: World Supply-Demand. Chem.
potash (K2O) in 1974-75 amounted to 91.7 million tons, an Mkt. Rep. 206 (9), 5, 12 (Aug. 26, 1974). World trade in
increase of 4.3% or about 3.8 million tons over last yr. This ammonia has been determined by supply rather than demand.
rate of increase was lower than any rate achieved during the According to the International Superphosphate & Compound
last decade. This is attributed to the marginal decrease in total Fertilizer Manufacturer’s Association (ISMA), this was due to
output of fertilizers in the developed countries while, in the acute shortage which emerged in 1973. In a report on
contrast to this, the centrally planned countries continued world ammonia trade statistics from 1966 to 1973, ISMA says
their vast expansion. The high increases in the developing that world trade rose from 947,000 tons in 1966 to a
countries did not affect the world situation. Nitrogen contri temporary peak of 2.82 million tons in 1970, falling to 2.46
buted about 46% to the increase in world production of all million tons in 1971. It rose again in 1972 to a new record
fertilizers, followed by potash with 40% while phosphate level of 3.04 million tons, but again decreased in 1973 when
ranked last contributing only 14%. World consumption of the total was 2.94 million tons. Another ISMA special
chemical fertilizers fell by 2.6% to 81.6 million tons, a committee has completed a survey of supply and demand
decrease of more than 2 million tons. The slight increase of prospects for phosphate fertilizers and phosphoric acid. The
120,000 tons in N consumption was more than offset by the results indicate a total P:Os consumption rate of increase
1.3 million tons decrease in P. Os and 922,000 tons decrease between 1971-72 and 1975-76 of around 7%/yr. The ISMA
in K2O. The negative growth rate of world consumption was feeling is that a substantial increase in phosphate rock
due to a marked decline in fertilizer use in developed production may occur between 1973 and 1978 but that the
countries, estimated at more than 4 million tons and a reduced growth of P. Os consumption could be restricted by rock
growth rate in the developing countries due to high prices availability in 1974-75 after which the situation should ease
experienced in the last 3 yr. Nitrogen remained by far the progressively. The projected surplus of phosphoric acid
most widely used fertilizer, contributing about 48% to world capacity in 1975-76 may be limited by the availability of
consumption followed by phosphate 28%, then potash 24% phosphate rock. Potential production of acid in 1975-76 is put
showing an overall ratio of N.P., Os: K2O of 1.00:0.59:0.51. at 18.8 million mt, 7.9 million of which will be in North
America and 3.8 million in West Europe. Consumption is
827 Nitrogen, Phosphorus, and Potassium Supply-Demand. forecast at 17.2 million tons with a margin of error of plus 4%
Ceres 9 (3), 11 (May-June 1976). The total supply of to minus 12%.
fertilizers produced and available in the world in 1974-75
amounted to 86.8 million tons an increase of 3.2% over the 831 World Production of Phosphates Down. Chem. Age

1 10
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

(London) 114 (3023), 4 (June 1977). World production of 1973. Most of these increases are represented by developments
phosphate rock in 1976 reached 117.75 million ton, according in North Africa, such as Morocco and Spanish Sahara, and in
to the preliminary report of the International Phosphate the U.S.S.R. There have only been marginal changes in
Industry Association. This compares with 1 18.35 million ton capacity levels in the United States, while the growing interest
in 1975, 120.25 million ton in 1974. The USSR's production in the construction of new mines in Florida is unlikely to
reached 26.68 million, while Morocco produced 16.86 million result in effective capacity before 1975.
ton. Morocco was the world’s leading phosphate rock
exporter, with 16.15 million ton. Meanwhile the latest figures 835 World Phosphate Rock Supply-Demand. Chem. Mkt.
for U.S. production show that output during the first three Rep. 205 (17), 7, 29 (May 6, 1974). World phosphate rock
months was at an annual rate of 45.9 million ton, 5.7% down production and deliveries both increased to new record levels
on the 48.7 million ton produced in the U.S. However, the in 1973 and, for the fourth yr in succession, deliveries
annual rate of phosphate rock sold or used in the first three exceeded production, reaching 100.6 million mt against a
months shows that the rate of 47.6 million ton in 1977, was production total of 97.4 million tons. The biggest increase in
4.4% more than the 45.6 million ton of 1976. both production and deliveries originated in Morocco where
output was up 2.1 million tons and deliveries by 2.5 million
332 Phosphate Fertilizers Production, Imports, Exports, and tons as compared with 1972. In both the U.S. and the Soviet
Consumption. ISMA Ltd. (Paris, France), A/F/77/91; 68 pp. Union production levels rose in 1973, but increased deliveries
(June 1977). Phosphate fertilizers production, imports, to the home markets in each case entailed a reduction in
exports, and consumption data for 51 countries and a world export shipments. However, Canada the biggest market for the
summary for yr 1973-75 is reported. Data also includes ground American phosphate rock, expanded while the East European
rock phosphates for direct application. markets received smaller shipments from the U.S.S.R. than in
1972. Production by the three island producers, Christmas,
833 Industrial Minerals Review—1972: Phosphate Rock. G. Ocean, and Nauru Islands, expanded by a combined total of
D. Emigh. Mining Eng. 25 (1), 42-5 (Jan. 1973). After 5 yr of 1.6 million tons in 1973 and exports rose by the same total,
over capacity and depressed prices, 1972 was the yr the United with most of the extra shipments earmarked for Australia.
States and world phosphate rock industry began turning Higher production was also seen both in Algeria and Tunisia.
around. United States rock production for fertilizer yr West Europe was the major market for phosphate rock last yr,
1970-71 was 38.9 million tons; Florida and North Carolina accounting for almost half of all world trade. West Germany
32.15, Tennessee 2.57, and western States 4.16 million tons. imported 3.2 million tons, while the Netherlands and the U.K.
Production for fertilizer yr 1971-72 increased to 41.8 million each received 2 million tons and Spain 2.2 million tons.
tons. Activities on world rock are discussed with emphasis on Austria, Belgium, and Italy each showed lower imports in
new development. Activities are discussed in detail for the 1973, their combined receipts amounting to 4.7 million tons
following countries: United States, Brazil, Peru, Australia, or some 150,000 tons lower than in 1972.
U.S.S.R., Tunisia, Iran, Algeria, Mexico, Spain, Israel,
Morocco, and Saudi Arabia. Potash J. A. Beck. Ibid. pp. 45-6. 836 Phosphate Rock: Demand Rose 12 Million Tonnes in
Total world production of potash in the 1971 calendar yr was 1974. Phosphorus Potassium No. 76, 3-7 (Mar.-Apr. 1975).
20.9 million tons K2O, up 2% from the previous yr. The pressure continues on phosphate rock suppliers as
Production was significantly higher in Canada, U.S.S.R., Israel, evidenced by a record 12 million mt increase in demand in
and the Congo; down in the United States, West Germany, and 1974. The demand increase was matched by a 12.5 million mt
Spain. The 1971-72 fertilizer yr was the second yr of the increase in production but a shortage of supply remained a
Saskatchewan potash prorationing program. The impact of this feature of the market as withdrawals from producers stocks
program can be seen in the stability of prices realized by U.S. was shown for the fourth successive yr. Import demand rose
muriate of potash producers and by the return of seasonal 6.5 million mt in 1974 and the burden of supplying this new
pricing. requirement fell most heavily on the producers in Northwest
Africa and the Near East. Morocco now accounts for 34% of
834 Phosphate Rock Capacity. Phosphorus Potassium No. international trade. Export by country is given for 1973 and
62, 3-5 (Nov.-Dec. 1972). World phosphate rock production 1974. Import by continent is given for 1973 and 1974.
capacity in 1972 totalled 103 million tons/yr in terms of
Saleable products. The actual level of output in 1972 is 837 Phosphate Rock–Production Down 4% in 1975. Phos
expected to correspond to an overall level of capacity phorus Potassium No. 81, 5-6 (Jan.-Feb. 1976). The yr 1975
utilization of 90%; however, there remain considerable varia brought the world phosphate rock market from a situation of
tions in the degree of employment of capacity in individual light supply to one of relative weakness, with production and
producing countries. The effect of the sharp increase in demand both down from the previous yr levels. A preliminary
demand for phosphate rock in 1972 has been to force the assessment of the phosphate industry’s performance in 1975
largest and best established producers to operate full out to indicates a world production of 105 million mt and sales of
cover the new level of market requirements. Even the Florida 103 million mt. Production in millions of mt were: U.S. 43.9,
phosphate mining industry claims to have no surplus capacity U.S.S.R. 24.1, Morocco 13.5, Communist Asia 5.2, Tunisia
available with which to supply additional material to export 3.5, Sahara 2.7, South Africa 1.7, Nauru 1.5, Senegal 1.6,
markets. According to the Fertilizer Institute index, the Christmas Island 1.3, Togo 1.2, Jordon 14, Israel 0.7, Algeria
average rate of capacity employment in the United States 0.7, others 2.3. International phosphate fertilizer prices fell
phosphate mining industry rose to 89% in first half of 1972, sharply in the first half of 1975, stabilized in the third quarter,
compared with 72% in the same period twelve months before. but weakened again in October; for example, triple superphos
The additions to world phosphate mining capacity totalled 4.'' phate prices, which started the yr at above $300 fob, had
million mt in 1972, with a further 5.2 million mt following in fallen to $150 by June, and then slipped further to $120 in

1 11
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

October. sulfate.

838 World Potash Supply–Demand. F. D. Lyon. Eng. Min. 842 World Potash Demand. Phosphorus Potassium No. 90;
J. 176 (3), 199-201 (Mar. 1975). The current worldwide 8-10 (July-Aug. 1977). During the past fertilizer yr, potash
potash shortage is expected to continue through the 1974-75 demand in all the major and most small markets increased. .
fertilizer yr. The determining factor in the world potash Based on preliminary data, total world demand is indicated at
supply-demand situation will be Canadian output. Although 22.4 million tons K2O. This represents an increase in world
the Canadian producers are free to turn out all they can in potash consumption in 1976-77 of about 1.2 million tons K2O
1974-75, labor shortages and government policies will prevent (5.7%) over the preceding yr. Increase production in several
the addition of new capacity and may cause delays in making countires largely contributed to this increase. Production in
existing operations fully productive. Until policies on the West Germany rose by 10% to 2.15 million mt K2O. This
control and taxation of the Canadian industry are clarified, increase reflects the higher level of domestic demand as well as
potash will likely remain in tight supply. Potash production in that obtained on the export markets in Europe. Spain's
the US and Canada totaled 8.2 million tons of K2O in the production also increased measurably in 1976-77 from
1973-74 fertilizer yr–up 18.6% from the 1972-73 total of 6.9 510,000 mt to 560,000 mt K2O. In North America produc.
million tons. US and Canadian shipments, including exports, tion for the same period rose to a level of 7.84 million mt K30
totaled 8.6 million tons of K2O in 1973-74, and July 1 plant from 7.06 million tons in 1975-76. Communist world pro
inventories fell to a record low of 271,646 tons of K2O. The ducers continued to dominate the world potash market in
US capacity to produce potash in the 1974-75 fertilizer yr will respect to both supply and demand. Production by Com
probably remain at about 3.0 million tons of K2O. Actual munist world producers rose by 4.5% in 1976-77 while
production for the yr ended June 30, 1974, was approxi consumption in East Europe also rose by 4.5% so that some
mately 2.6 million short tons of K2 O. Due to debottlenecking 40% of total potash consumed in the world was used in this
and some new capacity coming on-stream, output in 1974-75 region. The sustained growth experienced by the world potash
might reach 2.7 million tons, or about 90% of design capacity. industry is expected to be maintained and, in some instances
World capacity to produce potash was an estimated 29.4 exceeded in fertilizer yr 1977-78.
million short tons of K2O in the 1973-74 fertilizer yr.
However, actual production totaled only 22.7 million tons of 843 World Production of Potassium Sulfate. Sulphur No.
K;0–77% of capacity. Production is expected to total 23.8 ! 18, 30-1, 33 (May-June 1975). Potassium sulfate is the most
million tons in 1974-75, up about 5% from 1973-74. Potash widely used of all the chloride-free fertilizers. It commands a
demand in the remaining countries of the Free World is higher price than potassium chloride (in the order of
expected to increase from 16.6 million tons of K2O in $30-40/mt). In 1973-74 Belgium led in the production of
1973-74 to 17.4 million tons in 1974-75. Potash demand in potassium sulfate 269,000 mt. West Germany 255,000 mt. and
the Communist countries, which totaled 7.4 million tons of the U.S. 232,000 mt. The world demand for potassium sulfate
K2O in 1973-74, is expected to increase to 7.8 million tons in is expected to increase 25% by 1980-81. Two methods of
1974-75. production are used; potassium chloride is treated with
sulfuric acid or the refining of potash ores. Sulfuric acid attack
839 Potash—World Production up 2% Thanks to U.S.S.R. on potassium chloride accounted for 40% of the production
Performance. Phosphorus Potassium No. 81, 7, 19 (Jan.-Feb. over the last 2 yr; however, the increase in production is
1976). The slump in world demand for fertilizers hit potash expected to come through the refining of potash ores.
producers hard in 1975. The U.S.S.R. remains unchallenged as
the world's largest potash producing country, accounting for 844 Preliminary Sulfur and Sulfuric Acid Statistics 1973.
7800 mt of a world total of 24,000 mt. Other preliminary London, England: The British Sulphur Corp., Ltd.; 20 pp.
totals for 1975 were in mt: Canada 5450, German Democratic (1973). Statistics compiled in this report include tonnages of
Republic 3000, United States 2300, West Germany 2200, sulfur and sulfuric acid from all sources for 1973. These
France 1900, Israel 500, Congo 250, and others 600. Despite materials amount to approximately 49 million mt of sulfur, an
the moderate commercial policy of the major potash pro increase of 9% for the yr. Of this total, 62% was produced
ducers, they have come under pressure to reduce prices. from brimstone, 22% from pyrite, and 16% from other
sources. Of the total tonnage produced, 70% came from the
840 World Marketable Potash. Mineral Trade Notes 73 (6), western world, while 30% came from communist countries.
15-16 (June 1976). Almost a 6% decline in 1975 was noted in The world total shows 108 million mt of sulfuric acid
the world production of marketable potash from a yr earlier. produced, with 74% being produced in the western world and
Among the principal producing countries, France, Canada, and 26% in communist countries.
West Germany recorded the largest drop in output. Production
is given for 1973, 1974, and 1975 for Canada, Chile, China, 845 1975–A Critical Year for the World Sulfur Industry.
Congo, France, Germany, Israel, Italy, Spain, U.S.S.R., and Sulphur No. 116, 5-9 (Jan.-Feb. 1975). Prolonged periods of
the United States. slumps and booms in the S industry have punctuated its
history. New features reflect the relative importance of the
841 Potash Statistics 1976. ISMA Ltd. (Paris, France), component parts of the S industry in respect to supply and
A/F/77/121; 19 pp. (Aug. 28, 1977). This is the final 1976 demand. The pattern of world S production and consumption
report issued by the Potash working party. It includes five in all forms for the Western World and Communist World is
tables of data with headings as follows: (1) production of presented for the period 1970-74.
potash and deliveries in major producing countries, (2) potash
trade, (3) exports of potassium chloride, (4) exports of 846 Raw Materials Supply 1975-Fertilizer Trade
potassium sulfate, and (5) exports of potassium magnesium 1974-75 Statistical Supplement. London England: British

112
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Sulphur Corp. Ltd. No. 13, 28 pp. (May-June 1976). Data on levels, were generally abundant. Large increases are scheduled
ſaw materials supply and demand and on fertilizer trade up to in U.S. anhydrous NH 3 capacity during 1977, and wet-process
and including 1975 and 1974-75 respectively is presented by His PO4 capacity will increase slightly. If production holds
region and country. World production of sulfur-in-all-forms steady, supplies will be adequate for 1976-77 and prices paid
dipped in 1975, decreasing by 1% to 514 million mt. In the by farmers should be steady to lower. Mid-April 1976 prices
western world production decreased by 5%, although there for fertilizers were as much as 30% below year-earlier levels.
was an increase of 8% in the communist world. Western world U.S. farmers reacted by increasing purchases, fertilizing more
consumption of sulfur decreased by 10% in 1975 compared acres, and increasing application rates. Fertilizer use increased
with an increase of 5% in 1974. Sulfuric acid production 15% to a record-high 49 million tons in 1975-76. Anhydrous
decreased in 1975, 107.4 million mt were produced a decrease NH3 production capacity held steady at about 18.8 million
of 7%, compared with an increase of 7% in 1974. World tons during 1976. The opening of several new plants during
output of phosphate rock fell in 1975. Production decreased 1977 should increase capacity by close to 3 million tons by
by 3.8% compared to 1974 while export sales dropped by January 1, 1978. Domestic capacity to produce wet-process
21.9%. The growth rate of world trade in finished fertilizers acid fell by 300,000 tons during 1976 to about 8.7 million
(in terms of total nutrients N + P. Os + K2O) continued to tons. Two new facilities are scheduled to begin operation in
decline in 1974-75 increasing by only 4.4% compared to 7.5% 1977, bringing annual U.S. production capacity close to 9.2
the previous yr and 9.4% in 1972-73. (10 tables). million tons. U.S. capacity to produce potash was slightly over
3.1 million tons on January 1, 1977, down from the 3.3
847 Statistical Supplement—Raw Materials Supply and million tons recorded a year earlier. North American produc
Demand 1976–Fertilizer Supply and Demand 1976-77. Lon tion capacity was up slightly from 1 1.6 million tons on
don, England: British Sulphur Corp. Ltd., No. 16; 20 pp. January 1, 1976, to 11.8 million tons a year later. The
(Nov.-Dec. 1977). This publication, the sixteenth statistical import-export picture was mixed during 1975-76, as the world
supplement of journals Sulphur, Nitrogen and Phosphorus and market for fertilizers softened. The declared value of U.S.
Potassium presents data on raw materials supply and demand fertilizer exports declined from over $1.6 billion in 1974-75 to
for 1976 and total world fertilizer supply and demand for slightly more than $1.3 billion in 1975-76. International
1976-77 by region and country. fertilizer prices fell by as much as two-thirds between the third
quarter of 1974-75 and the end of the 1975-76 fertilizer year.
848 Statistical Supplement: Raw Materials Supply-Demand The U.S. Agency for International Development financed the
1975-Fertilizer Supply-Demand 1975-76. London England: export of 451,000 tons of fertilizer in 1975-76, representing
British Sulphur Corp. Ltd., No. 14; 20 pp. (Nov.-Dec. 1976). 8% of total U.S. exports. World use of N in 1975-76 totaled
Statistical data for regions and/or countries are given by yr around 46.5 million tons, up 9% from a year earlier. A smaller
(1973-75) for fertilizer raw materials and products production gain is indicated in 1976-77. With new production capacity
and consumption. (18 pp. tables). World production of S (all coming onstream, the supply of N could exceed 50 million
forms) increased only 0.3% in 1975. Western world consump tons in 1976-77, and world prices will likely average steady to
tion of S decreased by 9.3% against a 4.8% increase in 1974. lower. World use of P. Os fertilizers rose 4% to an estimated
World production of phosphate rock exceeded apparent 26.2 million tons in 1975-76. A further modest gain is
consumption by about 6 million mt in 1975. Apparent expected in 1976-77. World production capacity is expanding,
consumption was reduced by over 10% compared with 1974 and 1976-77 supply is estimated at 33 million tons. World
level. Preliminary estimates of finished fertilizer production prices for phosphate fertilizers are expected to be steady to
and consumption in 1975-76 indicate increases of 1% and 8% lower in 1976-77 World use of K2O in 1975-76 is estimated
respectively in terms of total nutrients (N + P20s + K2O). to be 23 million tons and is expected to rise slightly in
1976-77. But world potash production capacity will likely
849 Inorganic Fertilizer Materials and Related Products. increase to around 35 million tons in 1977. The pace of
Washington, D.C: U.S. Dept. Commerce, Bureau of Census, future world capacity increases will in large part be governed
M28b077)-11; 6 pp. (Jan. 1978). This publication lists by the nationalization policies of the Saskatchewan provincial
Statistics based on a survey of manufacturers representing total government.
United States production and stocks of nitric acid, sulfuric
acid, ammonia, and phosphatic fertilizer materials for yr
1975-77.

850 Fertilizer Output and Use Records Set. Foreign Agric. FORECASTS AND TRENDS
16 (2), 10 (Jan. 9, 1978). World production of chemical
fertilizers–nitrogen, processed phosphate, and potash in
1975-76 amounted to 92.2 million mt; the highest production
ever recorded. While the total United States fertilizer produc 852. Fertilizer Nitrogen. J. D. Beaton (Cominco Ltd., Cal
tion expanded to more than 18 million tons, the USSR for the gary, Alberta, Canada), W. E. Janke, and S. S. Blair. In Proc.
first time surpassed United States production with 20.5 Western Canada Nitrogen Symp. (held Jan. 20-21, 1976,
million ton. Total world consumption of N, P, and K also Calgary, Alberta, Canada.) Edmonton, Alberta, Canada:
reached a new high in 1975-76 of 88.7 million tons. This total Alberta Soil Sci. Workshop; pp. 219.73 (1976). Consumption
represents a 9.6% increase from that of the previous yr. of fertilizer nitrogen in western Canada was traced for selected
years between 1938 and 1975. During this period nitrogen
851 1977 Fertilizer Situation. Econ. Res. Serv., USDA, Rpt. usage rose from about 1000 tons to over 330,000 tons
FS-7; 26 pp. (Jan. 1977). U.S. fertilizer manufacturers' annually. Before the 1970's the ammonium phosphates were
inventories during the fall of 1976, although below year-earlier predominant sources of nitrogen and they still provide slightly

113
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

more than one-third of the total nitrogen consumed in western problems. The margin of supply over demand will be thinner
Canada. Anhydrous ammonia consumption has increased by 1980. Analysts foresaw less of a bind in supplies of
rapidly since 1970 and is nearly equal to ammonium nitrate as phosphates and potash than of nitrogen.
a source of N. There has been significant growth in the use of
urea and nitrogen solution during the period 1968-75. Both 855 World Wide Nitrogen Surplus Shaping Up By 1980.
approximate existing and projected future production capa Chem. Mkt. Rep. 206 (19), 5, 19 (Nov. 4, 1974). A marked
cities in western Canada for anhydrous ammonia, urea, change is taking place in the outlook of nitrogen world-wide,
ammonium nitrate, and ammonium sulfate were discussed. indicating that the deficit expected last March of between 3.9
Within the next 15 months anhydrous ammonia capacity will and 9.6 million tons by 1980 now appears likely to turn into a
be greatly expanded from the current capability of about surplus of over 5 million tons, according to the Economic
800,000 tons/yr to slightly more than 2 million tons, an Research Service of the Department of Agriculture. The
increase of nearly 150%. In about 12 months, capacity for department estimates new capacity announcements in the first
urea manufacture will rise from about 215,000 tons/yr to quarter of 1974 at 10.5 million tons and says that since April
almost 1.2 million tons, an increase of more than 450%. an additional 6.4 million tons have been contracted or
Western Canada’s nitrogen fertilizer production capabilities planned. Most of the new capacity is taking place in China and
were related to estimates of production and consumption of N Canada, as well as Russia, which recently contracted for at
in the U.S. The U.S. forecasts suggest that the need during least eight large ammonia plants plus several similar plants
1976 to 1980 for Canadian N supplies will not be as great as Russia expects to construct itself. This will give Eastern
was anticipated 2-3 yr ago. Energy requirements for nitrogen Europe and U.S.S.R. a substantial surplus by 1980, instead of
fertilizer production and the impact of increasing prices for the deficit earlier estimated, the report states. In addition, the
hydrocarbon feedstock on fertilizer production costs were Mideast countries are indicating intentions of building between
reviewed. The requirements of natural gas for the manufacture 1 million and 3 million tons of new capacity by 1980.
of anhydrous ammonia in 1977 and 1980 are equivalent to less
than 5% of the 2.26 trillion ft” of natural gas produced in 856 The Nitrogen Situation: You Ain't Seen Nuthin 'til '75.
Alberta in 1974. The major agronomic features of anhydrous E. A. Harre and J. R. Douglas, Jr. (Tennessee Valley
ammonia, urea, ammonium nitrate, ammonium sulfate, and Authority, Muscle Shoals, Ala.). Fert. Prog. 5 (3), 17, 18,
nitrogen solution were considered. Both anhydrous ammonia 21-2, 48, 50, 52, 54 (May-June 1974). Greatly increased
and urea have the unique properties of forming ammonium demand for food and fiber, high prices for farm products, and
and temporarily alkalizing soils in the vicinity of the point of agricultural policy changes that stimulate production have
application. Various aspects of shipping, storing, and applying caused fertilizer demand to spurt. The difference between
the major nitrogen fertilizers in western Canada were 1974 supply and 1975 demand for ammonia is categorized
described. into four major elements and each is discussed in detail. These
elements are: (1) carry-over unfilled 1974 demand, (2) normal
853 Fertilizer Supplies in the Late 1970's: The Outlook for increase brought on by more intensive farming practices, (3)
Nitrogen. J. F. Anderson. In TVA Fertilizer Conference, held the need for replenishing inventories, and (4) the increased
July 31-Aug. 1, 1974, Louisville, Kentucky, Bull. Y-78; pp. demand in the industrial market. The total increased N
13-18 (Aug. 1974). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley demand for these elements is estimated at 1700-3400
Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center. The thousand tons. A table lists the companies, location, capacity
supply of N fertilizer material will be tight during 1975-76 in 1972 and the expected change in capacity through 1980 for
because of unfilled 1974 demand, a nominal increase brought the United States and Canada in anhydrous ammonia
on by intensive farming practices, requirements to refill production capacity.
distribution systems and inventory, and increased demand in
industrial markets. A balance will be achieved in the late 857 Nitrogen Fertilizer Shortage is Forecast. Chem. Week
1970's and into the early 1980's; then the U.S. will revert to 116 (15), 25 (Apr. 9, 1975). This year's supply of N fertilizers
an oversupply position. The extent of the oversupply will be will fall short of U.S. farmers’ needs by about 1 million tons
governed by the expansion decisions currently being made. A (10% of demand), says FS Services (Bloomington, Ill.). The big
plant capacity listing showing production and expected farm co-op says supplies will ease in 1976, when a Canadian
production of ammonia in the United States and Canada for ammonia plant, the first of four large units being built for FS
the period 1972 through 1980 is given. affiliates, comes on-stream. Supplies are expected to be
adequate when a second Canadian plant and two Gulf Coast
854 World Nitrogen Forecasts. Chem. Week 115 (20), 23 units start up in 1977.
(Nov. 13, 1974). World shortages of nitrogen fertilizers for the
next several years are being predicted by the State University 858 World's Supply-Demand Situation of Nitrogenous Ferti
of New York (Buffalo) and by a U.S. Agriculture Dept. lizers. Jpn. Chem. Week 16 794, 4 (July 17, 1975). The
economist. At the Asia-Pacific Food Production Conference in worldwide supply-demand balance of nitrogenous fertilizers is
Tokyo, sponsored by International Minerals & Chemical Corp., forecast. In 5 years, supply is estimated to increase by
it was predicted that world ammonia capacity will rise only 28%—from 36.17 million N tons in 1972-73 to 46.33 million
6.6%/yr for the next several yr, compared with a 7.7%/yr N tons in 1976-77—while demand will increase by 33% from
increase in demand. The U.S. Dept. Agr. fertilizer outlook for 36 million N tons to 47.70 million N tons during the same
1975, 1976, and 1980, reached a similar conclusion. The period. Though quite a few new plants are scheduled to go
world nitrogen supply is estimated to be 46.7 million mt in into operation in Eastern Europe and Asia during this period.
1976 and consumption 45.5 million. It was pointed out, that the added capacity will not be sufficient to keep up with the
the anticipated edge of supply over demand was less than the growing demand so that the supply-demand balance will no
desired level of 5% and could be wiped out by operating doubt remain unstable for some time to come. A reverse trend

114
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

is anticipated for the 1977-78 period. The supply growth rate supply is based on (1) normal consumption of industrial
will reach 42% while the demand growth rate will be 4.1% ammonia, (2) estimated 50% drop in ammonia import, (3)
compared to 1972-73 levels. From that time on, the global increased curtailment of natural gas, and (4) limited new
shortage of N fertilizers will mitigate and the supply-demand production capacity.
balance will be restored. But, to properly assess the above
prospects, one must consider the fact that in the wake of the 862 North America. Supply-Demand Prospects for Nitrogen
worldwide scarcity of fertilizers some importing countries Fertilizers. E. A. Harre (TVA, National Fertilizer Development
might resort to hoarding and that global inflation might Center, Muscle Shoals, Alabama). Nitrogen No. 100, 39-40
compel some countries to cut down fertilizer imports on (Mar.-Apr. 1976). Recent declines in prices of nitrogen
account of the foreign currency squeeze. materials have resulted in favorable benefit: cost ratios. With
agricultural export agreements expected to bring greater
859 The Nitrogen Supply-Demand Situation. J. F. Babbitt. stability to the market, nitrogen use patterns are expected to
In TVA Fertilizer Conference (held July 29-31, 1975, Louis make up most or all of last year's decline. The curtailment in
ville, Kentucky) Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Au nitrogen use in 1974-75 left producers with higher inventory
thority, National Fertilizer Development Center; Bulletin levels and the supply levels are expected to be adequate during
Y-96, pp. 44, 146-8 (July 1975). World N production in 1972 1975-76. Beyond 1975-76 there is not expected to be any
was about 40,000,000 mt. By 1980 world N production will shortage of nitrogen fertilizer for the remainder of the decade.
be about 72,000,000 mt/yr of N. World demand will exceed Total U.S. ammonia capacity is scheduled to increase from
supply until mid-1977. By 1980, a world surplus over demand 15.7 million tons N in 1975-76 to over 19.5 million tons by
of about 900,000 tons of N will be shown. The U.S. will be 1980. Canada is also expanding capacity, increasing from 1.4
short of N through 1976-77 season, have a surplus through million to almost 2.4 million tons N in the next 2 yr. Only
1979, then be fairly close to a balanced position in 1980. with an unprecedented recovery of farm demand, coupled
Latin America will show a small net import requirement in with severe curtailments in natural gas supplies can shortages
1980. Western Europe will have a surplus of about 300,000 of nitrogen be expected. The future growth in market lies with
tons of N in 1976-77 and this will grow to as much as higher use levels per acre and full development of markets such
1,000,000 tons by 1980. Far East and Southeast Asian as the fertilization of pastures. The maintenance of favorable
Communist Nations will not improve their 1,000,000 tons N price ratios is a key factor in the market.
deficiency through 1980. Russia and the Eastern European
Bloc Countries show a surplus now of about 900,000 tons of 863 World Nitrogen Production Forecast. Eur, Chem. News
N; this will increase to over 2,200,000 tons by 1977-78 and 28 (741), 23 (June 18 1976). By 1980 total world nitrogen
still be at 1,550,000 tons in 1980. fertilizer production would reach about 96.6 million ton
compared to the 1975 level of 65.8 million ton, according to
860 Forecasting Nitrogen Supply-Demand for 1975-76. R. figures released by the West German fertilizer giant Ruhr.
R. Johnson (Agrico Chem. Co., Tulsa, Oklahoma). Fert. Stickstoff. Eastern Europe is currently the largest single
Solutions 19 (6), 88, 92, 94 (Nov.-Dec. 1975). The supply of producing area, with a total capacity in 1975 of around 18.6
domestic N can be fairly accurately predicted for the next 12 million ton. Ruhr Stickstoff predicts that by 1980 Asia and
months. One can count the ammonia plants, assess their Australia capacity will grow from its present level of 13.3
effective capacities, allow for interruptions due to downtime million ton to around 25.5 million ton. By 1980 East
and/or curtailment due to gas supply, forecast the export/ European capacity will reach about 25.3 million ton. West
import N balance, assess the industrial usage of N and come up European capacity is only expected to grow from 14 million
with a close estimate of supply by product. A forecast of 5.1% ton to 18 million ton by 1980 and in North America a similar
increase in the N supply for the 1975-76 season is given. The growth from the present level of 15.7 million ton to 19.8
demand for N is shaped by the needs and wants of people. million ton is predicted. While African production will more
Slightly over 75% of our domestic N usage is applied to four than double in this period it will still only be around 3.4
crops: corn, wheat, cotton, and grain sorghum. The acreages of million ton by the end of the decade and in Latin America
these four crops and the application rate per acre form the production should grow from 2.8 million ton to 4.6 million
base for a reliable N demand forecast. Production, economics, ton.

and profitability are the largest factors influencing decisions


regarding acres to plant and N rates. Forecasters predict that 864 Nitrogen, Now and Tomorrow. J. H. Parker (TVA,
input items—seed, chemicals, fertilizers, labor, machinery, and National Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals,
land will hold near spring 1975 levels. These forecasts with the Alabama). Crops Soils 28 (8), 12-14 (June-July 1976). We can
Chicago Board of Trade future market forecast of forward expect to continue to have nitrogen fertilizers in the future;
crop prices suggest the cost:benefit ratio will favor using but we still face the possibility of short-term scarcities when
adequate fertilizer rates. A 6% increase in N demand for we have fast changing market conditions. The dominance of
1975-76 is given. natural gas as a feedstock for ammonia production will
diminish, being supplemented by coal late in this century,
861 The Supply Outlook for Nitrogen. J. F. Babbitt, Jr. Ft. ther in the future, processes based on nuclear electricity
Farm Store Merchand 19 (2), 18, 22, 29 (Feb. 1976). A and/or heat may become dominant. Other approaches that
shortage of nitrogen of potentially major proportions is now appear exotic could assume significance if researchers are
predicted for the U.S. for this yr. During 1977-79 there will be able to manipulate nature's secrets for fixing nitrogen.
a surplus and 1980 will show a balanced supply-demand. The
world deficiency in nitrogen production will continue until 865 The Nitrogen Outlook: Not all Bad. Bill Dible. Farm
mid 1977. By 1980 there will be a world surplus over demand Chem. 140 (3), 26, 28, 30 (Mar. 1977). Today there is a great
of about 900,000 tons. The forecast for 1976-77 in the U.S. research effort to develop a commercial process for the

115
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

biological fixation of N. Solar energy, wind power, tidal power 1977-78 demands. High prices for grain caused farmers to
and sea thermal power all offer possibilities for production of increase planting and fertilizer use in 1976. The results were
hydrogen and, therefore, ammonia. There is little likelihood of large stocks of grains and lower prices. Because of this there
commercial development of any of these within the next 10 seemed to be doubt about how much N would be used in
yr. For the next 10 yr the world is totally dependent on 1977. Observations at this time indicate that 1977 consump
present technology and feedstocks for the production of tion will exceed 1976. If weather is not a great limiting factor
ammonia: petroleum, natural gas, coal, and organic waste. In there will again be economic justification for increase on the
1970 almost 70% of the ammonia was produced from natural rate of N fertilization/acre on many crops in 1978. The 1978
gas feedstock. In 1980 this is expected to increase to over fertilizer demand is expected to be at least 10.6 million tons N
71%. In the U.S. coal is going to replace some natural gas as depending upon exports, imports, and especially energy
process fuel and possibly feedstock in the 1980s. The feedstock considerations.
geography of production will be markedly different in 1980
due to the distribution of hydrocarbon reserves. Through 869 Long Term Forecast for World Nitrogenous Fertilizer
1980, the ammonia expansions will be in less developed Demand and Supply. Tokyo, Japan: Unico International
countries and the Com-Fcon countries because the hydro Corp.; 85 pp. (Sept. 1977). Forecasts are made and interpreta
carbons are there for the production of ammonia and the tions given for N fertilizer supply and demand by country
demand is building there for the product. through 1986.

866 Spain's Nitrogen Surplus Increases. Fert. Int. No. 95, 3 870 Application of Nitrogen Fertilizers: Present Trends and
(May 1977). The gap between nitrogen production and Projections. M. J. Frissel (P.O. Box 48, Wageningen, Nether
consumption in Spain continues to widen. Results for the lands). Ambio 6 (2-3), 152-6 (1977). Biol. Abstr. 64, 53936.
calender yr 1976 indicate that for the second successive Recent model studies on food prediction indicate that the N
calender yr production of nitrogen fertilizers in Spain grew at requirement for crop production will almost double within the
a faster rate than consumption. Growth in production next 35 yr. Only if the biological N fixation can be increased
increased 8% while imports regained some of their former by 3% annually, can the share of N fixation in the production
strength totalling 16,300 mt N in 1976. Urea production of consumable N be maintained at the 63% level where it is
increased to over 190,000 mt, 31% greater than last yr. The now. If the biological N fixation only increases by 1% yr, its
increase for 1975 over the previous yr was 40%, thus urea share will be reduced to 37%, and the fertilizer requirement
production more than doubled in only 3 yr. By contrast, will then increase to 160-185 Tg (teragram = 10' *g) in 2010.
consumption has risen by 57% since 1973, the resulting
exportable surplus totalling nearly 90,000 mt N in 1976. 871 Nitrogen Supply–Domestic. L. L. Laquier (W. R. Grace
Spanish urea capacity is not scheduled to increase after and Co., Memphis, Tennessee). Proc. 1977 NFSA Round Up
1976-77 having already risen by 180% during the last 3 yr, (held St. Louis, Missouri, July 20-21, 1977.) Peoria, Illinois:
most recently by the commissioning of the 76,000 tons/yr N National Fert. Solutions Assoc.; pp. 1-6 (1977). The future
plant at Huelva and the expansion from 32,000 tons/yr N to domestic supply of nitrogen is analyzed and estimates through
69,000 tons/yr N at Escombreras. 1985 are made by the use of index numbers. These indices
represent the ratio of effective demand to production
867 Adequate Nitrogen Spurring Positioning for Markets. capacity. When analyzing operating rates, two important
Green Markets 1 (17), 3 (June 6, 1977). Nitrogen fertilizer questions should be considered: (1) is the operating rate
production will more than meet demand through the early between 85-90%, and (2) are the operating rates moving up to
1980’s, and there will be a scramble among producing nations 85-90% range or moving down from it? In 1965-67 the rate
to maintain market shares. As a result, major importers of was at the 90% + level. In 1968-71 it decreased to the 80-86%
nitrogen products such as China and India may be in a buyer's range. Beginning in 1972, the operating rate increased again to
market before long. The greatest growth in nitrogen fertilizer the 84-90% + range through 1975. Estimates for 1977 reveal
capacity will be by developing countries and eastern European that the rate will still be in the 80-85% range. The operating
producers. Third world capacity will jump by nearly 90% to rate indicates about 80-82% in 1978-80, an oversupply
15.6-million mt. Concerted efforts by eastern European situation. In 1981 it is estimated to reach 85% through 1985, a
nations, and especially the Soviet Union, to enter the world continuing balance situation. The overall trend indicates a
nitrogen fertilizer market will have a significant impact on temporary oversupply situation in 1978, 1979, and perhaps
marketing patterns in the next several years. Prices by these 1980, and then a rebalance. Continued growth is projected for
nations will be extremely competitive owing to less expensive both urea and nitrogen solutions consumption. Urea consump
feedstocks, such as Soviet natural gas. Soviet intentions to use tion is estimated to grow both as a fertilizer material in its own
fertilizer as a major export material have been clear for some in addition to its growth as a component of solutions. The
time. To a lesser extent, other eastern European nations have projection for UAN solutions is one of balance.
similar ambitions.
872 Slow Growth in Use of Nitrogen by World Agriculture.
868 The Outlook for Nitrogen Fertilizers. G. C. Matthiesen. Nitrogen No. 111; 28-30 (Jan.-Feb. 1978). World N fertilizer
In Situation 77, TVA Fert. Conf. (held Kansas City, Missouri, production continued a rather unsteady increase in 1976-77,
July 26-27, 1977.) Muscle Shoals, Ala. TVA, National with an overall increase of 4.3%. Provisional statistics show the
Fertilizer Development Center, Bull. Y-115, pp. 18-22 (July total increase being 45.4 million mt from 43.5 million in
1977). Since mid-1976, nameplate capacity of ammonia 1975-76. Consumption of N rose less than production in most
production for United States locations increased by over 15%; countries despite the surplus produced in previous yr. Firm
Canada's capacity has also increased nearly 70%. At this increases took place in the less developed countries of Latin
capacity level an operating rate of 80% would insure projected America as the result of government sponsored promotional

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SUPPLY AND DEMAND

campaigns. An 8.5% increase in use was also recorded in West ton/day ammonia plants should be added to those now
Europe. Very little increases took place in the industrialized on-stream by 1985. World demand for nitrogen fertilizer is
economies of North America and East Europe as the results of increasing at about 8.6%/yr for the period 1973-80, with
world grain stocks and prices. The United States, the U.S.S.R., capacity increasing only 6.5%. If this estimate proves any
Poland, and Italy combined increased N use by less than 2% in where near correct, ammonia shortfall may be even more acute
1976-77. In some countries N usage actually dropped. These than many expect. It’s a good bet that many of the projected
included the Netherlands and several countries in East Asia. plants will not be completed on schedule, if at all. This is
Indonesia experienced a 12% decrease in N usage despite particularly true in developing countries where escalating
increased output and accumulated stocks. Inadequate promo capital costs will take their toll. A number of projects in India,
tion and transportation seemed to be the major problems for example, were to be built with Japanese financial credits
there. and technical guidance. They are being jeopardized by
run-away costs. All in all, soaring costs and scarce feed make it
873 Turkey–The Fastest Growing Nitrogen Market in unlikely that ammonia producers will have to cope with
Europe. Nitrogen No. 111; 23-7 (Jan.-Feb. 1978). Turkey is significant oversupply in the 1970's.
the outstanding exception to any generalizations made con
cerning the fertilizer situation in West Europe. In the last yr 876 Anhydrous Ammonia Shortage. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 206
alone Turkish N fertilizer consumption increased by 60%. (22), 23 (Nov. 25, 1974). The increased demand for fertilizer
Total consumption for all three nutrients in 1976-77 reached in the world market has added a great deal of pressure to a
1,130,000 mt of which 591,000 mt was N, 522,000 mt P. Os , large amount of chemicals, and anhydrous ammonia is one of
and 17,000 mt. K2O. Nitrogen fertilization accounted for 52%. them. Historically, about 60% of the annual production of
Calcium ammonium nitrate remains the most widely used anhydrous ammonia goes toward the production of fertilizers,
product by far, representing almost 50% of total N consump but industry observers believe that nearly 75% of this year's
tion. The use of ammonium sulfate has remained relatively output will be directed to the manufacturing of fertilizer
constant at 60,000–80,000 tons/yr, while the consumption of material. Because of the increased demand, many companies
urea has increased by 20% since the early 1970's. Various have been running their plants full capacity and consequently
credit programs initiated by FAO and the Agricultural Bank have been suffering breakdowns. A number of new capacities
partially stimulated the sustained growth in fertilizer use. have been announced by various companies while others claim
Expanded domestic manufacturing capacity and increased to have future expansions in the planning stages. But neither
imports were also major factors involved. In 1976 imports of these areas will help current market conditions. The prices
reached an all-time record of 534,000 mt. At least 11 major N are high, the market is tight, and it's probably going to stay
producing facilities are to be commissioned in the early that way for the better part of 1975. Market sources say that
1980's. If all projects are completed as scheduled Turkish the situation is probably going to get worse before it gets
ammonia capacity will increase to over 3.0 million tons/yr N better with prices expected to rise somewhat in the next yr.
by 1984.
877 Is Ammonia Building for Letdown? Chem. Week 120
874 Ammonia Supply Forecast. Chem. Week 116 (19), 25-6 (22), 21-3 (June 1, 1977). A major round of ammonia
(May 7, 1975). The way expansion plans are shaping up, there capacity expansions is well under way that could lead to severe
will be some marked changes in the world ammonia produc overcapacity problems during the 1977-78 fertilizer yr and
tion picture—and in the patterns of world trade in N perhaps for several years beyond. Units now coming on-stream
fertilizers in the next 5 yr. Many countries that now rely on will add more than 2 million tons/yr to U.S. capacity, an
imports of N materials will be building production units of increase of almost 15.5% from the 1975-76 capacity of 18.86
their own, especially in areas where raw-materials supplies are million tons. Startups later this yr or early in 1978 will add an
abundant. Most of the projects are scheduled for completion additional 1.4 millions tons/yr. And across the border in
in this decade. Beyond 1980, Saudi Arabia and other Mideast Alberta, Canadian producers will add 1.2 million tons/yr to
nations are expected to add major new ammonia capacity, their capacity, much of which is slated for U.S. markets. In
with much of the production slated for export markets. New addition, producers in Mexico will boost capacity Some 1.3
plants are on the way, but they won't help much until million tons/yr. Substantial portions of the output will be
1977- and they may not be sufficient to bring domestic exported, either as ammonia or as downstream products. None
output up to demand even when they do come on. Japanese of the U.S. plants now starting up will figure much in what
producers, with capacity for nearly 4 million mt/yr of urea appears to be a record yr for fertilizer shipments. Next yr,
and 4.5 million tons of ammonia, are running out. As a result, however, it is doubtful that U.S. farmers will boost nitrogen
the Japanese industry is likely to lose its role as the major consumption by as much as 5% and consumption by 1980
regional supplier to Asian markets and will have to concentrate probably will be, at most, 25% higher than in 1976.
on domestic outlets. This is only a sampling of the changes Fertilization of major crops is already at a high rate; and
that are likely to take place in international trade in N acreage for corn, the major user of nitrogen, can’t easily be
fertilizers during the next 5-10 yr. expanded. Thus, while the outlook for growth of ammonia
consumption is good, it still does not stack up well enough to
875 Outlook for Ammonia Good Through the 1970's. Ted liſt producers over their overcapacity problems of the next few
Wett. Oil Gas J. 73 (29), 21-3 (July 21, 1975). Ammonia years. Gearing up for bigger export business may be the only
all SW tº l'.
supplies will fall shot of demand for at least the rest of the
1970's. There may be a short period around 1978-79 when
capacity surges could result in oversupply. Based on fertilizer 878 Ammonia Capacity—Worldwide. Green Markets 1 (22),
needs to meet demand predicated on increases in world 2 (July 1977). Worldwide ammonia capacity will reach
population and food requirements, some 190 new 1200: 100-million mt/yr by 1980-81 according to West Germany's

117
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Veba Chemie. Capacity for the nine common market countries Florida and prices for both phosphate rock and phosphate
will be 12.6 million mt/yr in 1980-81. West German produc. fertilizers appear to be bottoming out.
tion will grow by 500,000 mt/yr from its present level of 2.4
million mt/yr to 2.9 million mt/yr by 1980-81. 883 Fertilizer Supplies in the Late 1970's: The Prospect for
Phosphates. W. J. Turbeville, Jr. (Phosphate Rock Export
879. Over Capacity Threatens Ammonia–Again. Chem. Eng. Assoc., Tampa, Florida). In TVA Fertilizer Conference, held
News 55 (31), 4 (Aug. 1, 1977), United States anhydrous July 31-Aug. 1, 1974, Louisville, Kentucky, Bull. Y-78; pp.
ammonia capacity has increased 15% since mid-1976, while 19-26 (Aug. 1974). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley
ammonia production for 1976-77 will be approximately the Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center. A
same as last yr. In 1975-76 the United States produced 16.4 challenge to the fertilizer industry is to prevent extremes of
million tons of anhydrous ammonia. Average nameplate oversupply and scarcity. Phosphate fertilizer is in short supply.
capacity for the period was 18.7 million tons. Production for For the United States it is temporary; for others the scarcity
1976-77 is estimated to be l 6.4 million tons but capacity is will be more serious and of longer duration. Help is on the
expected to rise to an average 20.3 million tons. In 1977-78, way. Phosphate fertilizer, P. Os chemical plants, already under
ammonia production will rise about 6% to 17.4 million tons. construction have the capability of supplying all require
Again capacity will also rise to 22.4 million tons. In the past, ments—if they can get enough rock. Phosphate rock reserves
operating rates below 80% have led to surpluses and price are ample. Mines under construction, announced additional
decreases. mines, and those that will be attracted by our “new
economics” will have the situation under control by the end of
880 Latin America Ammonia Consumption. Oil Gas J. 74 the decade. Prices can never return to pre-1974 levels, but
(47), 87 (Nov. 22, 1976). Annual world ammonia demand will there will likely be an easing of prices when supplies become
exceed 160 million tons by 1990, and probably more than 200 more plentiful.
million tons by the yr 2000. Latin American consumption
should reach 16 million tons by 1990, and some 28 plants 884. Shortage of Phosphate Rock to Continue. Chem. Week
(1000 ton/day) will be needed to supply it. Consumption of
ammonia in Latin America in 1980 is expected to approach 8
112 (20), 33 (May 16, 1973). Phosphate rock shortages will
million tons. This will be about 5.3 million tons more available continue at least through the 1974-75 fertilizer fiscal yr,
possibly longer. Nominal rock capacity in the current fertilizer
capacity. Based on 1000-ton/day-capacity plants, capital is yr is 42 million tons of Florida and North Carolina producers.
estimated to be required for at least 16 new plants in Latin Although the draglines are operating full time, it is unlikely
America during the period up to 1980. the industry will be able to produce much more than 36
million tons because of lack of equipment maintenance during
881 World Urea Markets Face Shortages. Eur, Chem. News the recent years of rock surplus and migration of laid-off
23 (578), 4 (Apr. 6, 1973). Virtually no material is available at workers. Rock shipments from Southeastern producers will
the moment for prompt delivery and buyers are already reach 38 million tons this fiscal yr and inventory drawdown
becoming anxious about future supplies. Poland, one of the will make up the difference between effective capacity and
major suppliers to Europe, has over-sold for the coming season shipments. During the 1973-74 fertilizer yr, producers will
and some urea has entered Poland from Finland, possibly to boost capacity about 2 million tons/yr by debottlenecking,
cover plant breakdowns. Large tenders for material earlier this and shipments will approach 40 million tons. Substantial new
yr by Turkey and Pakistan have not been fully covered and capacity will not be ready until 1975-76. Domestic demand is
both countries are still anxious for material. Poland is growing at 4-5%/yr, in contrast with a 7-8% growth rate in
supplying large tonnages to India and Pakistan. Large new world demand.
markets have emerged in South America and Indonesia, adding
to the shortage. In the U.K., ICI theoretically operates enough
urea capacity to meet both domestic demand and provide an 885 Possible Over-Supply of Phosphate Fertilizer Foreseen.
export surplus; but the company has taken in some urea from Ag-Chem Newslett. No. 79, 1 (June 1, 1973). Observers of
the U.S.A. and other sources, due possibly to a recurrence of the phosphate fertilizer market have been quick to recognize
the operating problems which have troubled the company's that with the wave of new plant construction we may be
ammonia plants in the past. headed right back toward the over-supply situation that
demoralized the market back in the 1967-70 period. Nine big
882 World Phosphate Rock Outlook Through the Late new plants are currently being built—by IMC, Agrico, Grace,
1970's. M. C. Manderson (Manderson Associates, Inc., Winter Texas Gulf, Occidental, CF Industries, Farmland, Freeport,
Park, Florida). Min. Eng. 30 (1), 48-52 (Jan. 1978). The sharp and Conserve. When all are in operation, by Jan. 1, 1976, U.S.
drop in world phosphate demand that took place in 1975, due capacity will reach 9 million tons of P., Os, compared with
to temporarily high prices, now seems to be reversing itself. present capacity of 6.3 million tons. Tennessee Valley Author.
There are ample proven reserves of phosphate rock to supply ity has estimated that even by 1980 the U.S. will need only
world needs for many decades to come. New discoveries will 7.5 million tons. Can the export market be counted on to take
occur, but they are not likely to reshape the mining economics the excess? If the export market doesn't hold up, we are again
or the relative importance of the world's major producing going to have phosphate fertilizer over supply and prices
areas in the next few yr. Adequate production presently exists tumbling. One saving factor is that U.S. exports of phosphate
to satisfy near term increases in demand and new expansions rock may drop in the years ahead, as we run out of high grade
now underway will probably provide for sufficient excess rock. If less rock goes abroad, this may help our export market
capacity to maintain a competitive international market. for concentrated fertilizers. The producers of phosphate
Future United States expansions will shift away from central fertilizers should be concerned.

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SUPPLY AND DEMAND

886 Shortage Seen Facing Phosphate Rock Firms. Al Wyss. growth; and (4) electric power rates which have remained
J. Comm. 316 (22.969), 2, 8 (June 14, 1973). A crisis could among the lowest of the nation, a fact of critical importance in
face the U.S. phosphate rock industry in the foreseable future. the elemental P industry where 13,000 kWh of electric power
The U.S., for example, has at present, substantial reserves of are required for each ton of P produced. Growth in the
phosphate rock and is still exporting substantial quantities. fertilizer segment of Idaho's phosphate industry ceased in the
Worldwide demand for phosphate rock is outstripping U.S. late 1960's as a result of less favorable market conditions
production capacity and new mines will be needed if the U.S. which apparently were associated mainly with the great
is to continue to participate to the same extent in world increase in fertilizer production in the southern and mid
markets and meet a growing domestic demand. In the long western states. However fertilizer production again turned
range, as demand and production for phosphate rock increase, upward in 1972 as consumption again began to increase
the quantity of economically recoverable reserves of phos rapidly. Growth of the elemental P industry may taper off
phate rock, which are definitely limited in quantity, shrinks during the 1970's if phosphate-based detergents should
more and more rapidly. Present mine capacity has been become less acceptable. (31 ref, 1 map)
overtaken by increasing demand and we've been rapidly
drawing from U.S. inventory reserves built up in recent years. 889 Canada's Phosphate Outlook. Can. Chem. Process 58
The general trend in phosphate markets, and the large reserves (3), 60 (Mar. 1974). Within a yr, phosphoric acid and
of good quality phosphate rock outside the U.S. with a much phosphates have gone from abundance to scarcity as foreign
higher reserve to production ratio indicate that perhaps at suppliers of phosphate rock encountered production and
some time in the future the U.S. will become a net importer of transportation problems. Yet, even with adequate rock
phosphate rock. supplies, Canadian producers of phosphate fertilizers will be
unable to fill domestic and export orders if world demand
887 Phosphate Shortage Now, Glut Later? Chem. Week 113 continues to rise sharply in step with food shortages. Estimates
(1), 6-7 (July 4, 1973). As the 1973-74 fertilizer yr begins, for 1980 suggest that phosphate producers around the world
major U.S. producers of phosphate fertilizers are expanding must add new capacity of 10-15 million tons/yr during the
aggressively. Their combined capacity, now something like 6.2 next 6 yr (equal to 50 new plants). Some of this capacity will
million tons/yr (P20s equivalent), seems headed toward Surely be in Canada to take advantage of low-cost S and
8.2-8.6 million tons/yr by 1976-77. A similar expansion spree sulfuric acid. But finding the other feed material, phosphate
just 7 yr ago led to severe overcapacity in this industry during rock, will be another matter. Canada has one known deposit,
the late 1960's, and some fertilizer industry specialists are 11 million tons of apatite at Nemegos, Ont. and as foreign
warning that this bit of history may be in for a rerun. But the rock becomes more expensive, this apatite will be mined. To
phosphate processors who are expanding say they’re confident encourage more phosphate production in Alberta, the
that if there is any excess capacity when the new plants come provincial government has gone seeking a rock supply in the
on-stream, it will be relatively slight and of short duration. Pacific basin. Canada imported 3,650,000 tons of phosphate
They’re betting that a world population boom coupled with a rock in 1973, up 18% over the 3,000,000 tons imported in
rising standard of living, particularly in the developing nations, 1972.
will make their global markets grow much faster than the
output of their foreign competitors. Probably the big differ 890 Phosphate Fertilizer Shortage Worldwide. Chem. Eng.
ence between the phosphate fertilizer buildup in the mid News 52 (25), 10-11 (June 24, 1974). The chairman of the
1960's and the current round of expansion is that much of the Phosphate Rock Export Association predicted a shortage for
output from the new projects is already covered by firm sales the next 2-3 yr with improved supplies by 1977. European
contracts. But producers say that demand for phosphate countries as well as most of the developing countries are now
fertilizers exceeds supply right now, and the discrepancy is dependent on the U.S. for a source of phosphate. The
widening. In 1975, world production capacity for wet-process. communist countries are fairly well supplied with Russia
phosphoric acid is projected at 17.3 million tons (P2 Os producing approximately 21% of the world's supply of
content), but global demand in that yr is estimated at phosphate rock. Production of phosphate rock is scheduled to
24.3-26.7 million tons. increase approximately 50% on a world wide basis between
1974 and 1978. Prices will increase because of the increased
888 Trends in the Phosphate Industry of Idaho and the cost of production.
Western Phosphate Field. R. L. Day. Moscow, Idaho: Idaho
Bureau Mines Geology. Pamphlet 155; 63 pp. (Dec. 1973).
Since 1945, Idaho's phosphate industry has progressed from a 891 Phosphorus Supply Outlook for 1975-76. D. C. Edmi
single underground mine producing - 100,000 tons of ston (Texasgulf Inc., Raleigh, North Carolina). Fert. Solutions
phosphate rock/yr, all of which was shipped out of the state 19 (6), 104-6 (Nov.-Dec. 1975). The shifting market patterns
for processing, to four large surface mines yielding * of 1974 will continue. Changes will be based on success of the
4,000,000 tons/yr of rock, 90% of which is converted into marketing programs of phosphate producers and dealers in
fertilizer and elemental P within the state. Rapid growth of the convincing farmers of the financial return to be realized by
phosphate industry was made possible principally by (1) the optimum use of fertilizers. Phosphate rock supplies will be
largest reserves of the required grades of phosphate rock tight in 1975-76 but the fertilizer industry will receive
available by low-cost surface mining in any state outside of priority. Substantial new U.S. phosphoric acid capacity has
Fla., (2) the success of the state's principal fertilizer manu been completed in the first half of 1975, and production will
facturer in penetrating phosphate fertilizer market of the West increase to supply the demand in 1975-76. Supply of
North Central States during the period of its most rapid phosphoric acids to the liquid industry will be adequate in
growth; (3) establishment of the elemental P industry just as 1975-76, especially to those users who provide a good storage
the market for phosphate detergents began its explosive capacity for receiving yr round shipments.

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SUPPLY AND DEMAND

892 Phosphate—Fertilizer Boom Strains World Supplies. G. With 5%/yr growth in consumption the U.S. would need over
D. Emigh. Eng. Min. J. 176 (3), 145-8 (Mar. 1975). Production 45 million mt in 1980. Assuming a conversion of 82% of
of phosphate rock in the United States (Florida, North capacity in 1980, the U.S. would need to export over 20
Carolina, Tennessee, and Western U.S.) and major producing million tons of rock to bring supply and demand into balance.
countries outside the United States is discussed in details. Through 1980 normal superphosphate will continue to decline
Plans worldwide call for bringing on new rock capacity—at and concentrated superphosphate production will be main
least for the rest of the 1970s. Lack of details makes it tained at near today's levels. Phosphoric acid production
difficult to predict production even for the next 5 yr; capacity was 6.7 million ton P3Os in 1974 and could reach
however, it appears that planned new production will be more over 10 million tons in 1980. Decreased operating rates or new
than adequate to meet continued increases in world demand markets to stimulate demand will be required to avoid
for the rest of the 1970s. Within the next few yr there even oversupply of phosphates through 1980.
seems to be a good chance of overcapacity and a drop in the
price of rock and fertilizer. In early January 1975, there was 896 The Phosphate Connection. David Laing. Ecologist 5,
strong evidence of buyer resistance to high prices, causing (7), 240-1 (Aug.-Sept. 1975). Environ. Abstr. 6, 3501. Since
inventory buildups in rock and finished phosphate fertilizer. 1940 U.S. marketable phosphate production has increased
For a number of years, the overall production of phosphate exponentially with time. If the trend continues, exhaustion of
industrial chemicals has seen limited growth. However, in the identified U.S. phosphate reserves will occur by about 2011,
years ahead, the outlook is for renewed expansion, with and total reserves (identified plus hypothetical) will run out by
exphasis on purified wet phosphoric acid as the basic starting about 2060. Eventual depletion of concentrated phosphate
material.
reserves, coupled with the prohibitive expenditure of money
and energy necessary to reconcentrate the resources, will
893 Phosphate Fertilizer Demand Set For Growth. Chem. necessitate a reduction of world population to the 1-2 billion
Eng. News 53 (11), 11 (Mar. 17, 1975). Although users aren't level, which the globe can reportedly support without the use
happy with the price hike, it hasn't lessened demand for of phosphate fertilizer on submarginal cropland.
phosphatic fertilizers. International trade in phosphate rock
last yr approached 53 million mt up from 45 million mt or so 897 Phosphate Fertilizers and Chemicals; Special Study. J.
shipped in 1973. By 1980 the figure likely will reach some 82 R. Multrop. Cleveland, Ohio: Predicasts, Inc.; 71 pp. (Nov. 18,
million mt, predicts a study by Westinform Service, a firm of 1975). The United States produces close to 40% of the world's
international shipping consultants based in London. The study phosphate rock and about 25% of the phosphate fertilizers.
foresees a more dramatic increase for phosphoric acid ship This output supplied a 6.6 million ton (P2 Os) U.S. market for
ments. These might undergo a fivefold increase from last year's phosphate materials (fertilizers and chemicals) plus a large
level of nearly 1.3 million mt to 6.3 million mt in 1980. More export market in 1972-74. By 1985, U.S. consumption of
than 80% of the nearly 100 million mt of phosphate rock phosphate materials is projected to exceed 11 million tons.
mined annually worldwide is used for fertilizer production. Fertilizer use, alone, will approach 9 million tons, with
Many countries plan to increase fertilizer use substantially to multinutrient mixtures continuing to be the dominant form.
boost their crop yields. Westinform expects this pattern to be Concentrated superphosphate and diammonium phosphate
maintained throughout the remainder of the decade. By 1980, will show the best long term growth, reflecting the trend
Moroccan rock exports likely will exceed 29 million mt. U.S. towards high analysis fertilizers. Exports will account for a
shipments will have risen to just under 14 million mt, and declining proportion of U.S. phosphate fertilizer output due to
those of the U.S.S.R. will remain virtually unchanged at 6.9 growing competition from other producing countries notably
million mt. The reason for the very sizable increase in Morocco. Nevertheless, the export market is expected to reach
phosphoric acid trade is the higher added value of the acid 2.2 million tons by 1985, or 20% of U.S. output of phosphate
over and above that of the rock. Westinform predicts that fertilizers. Prospects for phosphate chemicals are generally
about one-third of the 6.3 million mt of the acid traded in poor because the two largest uses, detergent builders and
1980 (against last year's nearly 1.3 million mt) will come from animal feed supplements are now mature markets. Therefore
new Suppliers. U.S. consumption is projected at under 2.2 million tons in
1985 with only water treatment chemicals and organophos
894 Phosphate Production in Morocco. J. Flour Animal phorus chemicals offering good growth potential. However, a
Feed Milling 157 (4), 26 (Apr. 1975). Moroccan production of large phosphoric acid export market exists and the U.S. has
plmosphate rose to 20.5 million tons in 1974, an increase of commitments to ship significant quantities to the U.S.S.R.
more than 2 million tons compared with 1973. Details were Shipments of all phosphates are projected at more than $9
given by Mohammad Arim Lamrami, head of the phosphates billion by 1985, up from $2 billion in 1972-74. A large part of
office. Sales were up by 15% in 1974. the increase will be due to higher prices, expecially for
phosphate rock. Much of this gain has already taken place
895 The Supply Outlook for Phosphate Fertilizers. E. A. because phosphate rock prices have increased from an average
Harre (Tennessee Valley Authority, Muscle Shoals, Ala.). In of $7 per ton in 1972-74 to upwards of $30 per ton in 1975.
TVA Fertilizer Conference (held July 29-31, 1975, Louisville,
Kentucky) Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, 898 World Phosphate Demand. J. Flour Anim. Feed Milling
National Fertilizer Development Center; Bulletin Y-96, pp. 157 (12), 29 (Dec. 1975). Major phosphate users report that
36-44 (July 1975). Between 1973 and 1980 the U.S. has they have reduced by up to 10% the quotas alloted to them,
scheduled an increase of more than 60% in phosphate rock due to falling demand primarily for P fertilizers. Pressure for
capacity to almost 75 million mt of material. This includes 10 formal reduction in price seems to be building up. According
million mt that is still in the early planning stages. Since 1950 to a recent study by the Dynachim International, contrary to
consumption in the U.S. has increased at more than 5%/yr. other published accounts of the phosphate market, the years

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SUPPLY AND DEMAND

of 1975-77 will be characterized by a surplus of rock. This yr cope with demand. The survey shows that on balance, it is
the surplus is likely to be 2 million ton and producers will take difficult to see where the additional capacity would find a
a minimum of 1.5 million ton less than previously forecast, market. Production potential by 1979 would total as high as
making a world overcapacity of at least 3-5 million ton. 22 million tons, the ISMA estimates, compared with only
Dynachim forecasts an average 6%/yr compound growth rate about 17 million tons of estimated consumption. A similar
in demand for the long term, provided prices are allowed to situation is the supply potential for phosphate rock forecast to
find their economic level. In 1985, demand should be about increase to as high as 150 million tons or more 3 yr from now,
equal to production. against a demand of only about 100 million tons. Delegates
agreed unofficially that this over-supply phosphate situation is
899 Phosphate Fertilizer Demand Will Strengthen. Chem. putting heavy downward pressure on prices. Opinion has been
Mirk. Rep. 208 (26), 19 (Dec. 29, 1975). Producers are now voiced that a further decrease in demand, after the bad 1975
gearing up for what is expected to be a better-than-average yr yr, must be anticipated on the Continent despite expectations
for phosphate fertilizer movement both here and abroad. of some recovery in worldwide consumption this yr. An
Although dealers are still offering discounts on the list prices unchanged position is also reported for wet-process phosphoric
of various producers materials in order to reduce excess acid, now clocked at 15 million tons or so of P., Os, with
inventory, manufacturers claim that the price undercutting almost 70% originating in developed countries in Western
will end soon. Analysts say that the heart of this bright Europe, and the US.
projection lies in the assumption that farmers throughout the
world will be willing to pay the higher prices for phosphate 902 Brazil to Have Phosphate Surplus. Chem. Age (London)
fertilizer materials because they have now realized that 113 (2973), 6 (July 9, 1976). Brazil's Instituto Deeconomica
phosphates are necessary if increased crop yields are to be Agricola estimates that output of phosphate fertilizer by 1980
achieved. During the better part of 1975, agricultural phos will be well over 2 million tons, or about half-a-million tons
phate producers saw their product inventories steadily rise more than domestic demand. A 600,000 mt/yr phosphate
because farmers refused to buy any materials at the higher concentrate plant is due for start-up this yr in Araxa, Minas
prices that manufacturers had instituted around the first Gerais district, and a 500,000 mt/yr phosphate enrichment
quarter of the yr. Dealers report that stocks are moving at a plant will be built by 1977 for Metago in Catalao, Goias
more rapid pace than last yr. Further, producers claim that district. The Mineracao Vale do Paranaiba expects to bring on
they are seeing an increased amount of orders for phosphate stream in 1978, an enrichment unit to produce, almost l
ſettilizer materials this season as opposed to the preceding one. million mt/yr of phosphate concentrate (36%). Brazilian
On world markets, producers are equally hopeful. In the latter deposits of phosphate in Patos de Minas and Corimandel are
part of 1975, a rash of product orders coming from Eastern estimated at 600 million mt.
Europe in particular has become evident. People in the
industry feel that before the end of the first quarter of the yr, 903 Phosphate Supply Forecast. Eur. Chem. News 29 (765),
other markets will have increased activity. Recently, the 16 (Oct. 1, 1976). Total North American phosphate consump
Phosphate Chemicals Export Association, which handles ferti. tion will increase from its present level from around 5.5
lizeſ exports for its eight member companies, reported a price million ton/yr of P., Os, of 100% phosphoric acid, to around 7
increase on its products that would become effective March 1, million ton by 1980, leaving the U.S. with a large surplus of
1976.
phosphates for export well into the 1980s, according to the
president of International Commodities Export Company
900 Fertilizer Supplies Should be Plentiful in 1976. The (ICEC). While there will continue to be excess capacity and a
Supply Outlook for Phosphate. E. A. Harre (TVA, National surplus of P. Os over the next 5 yr, ICEC does not expect this
Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, Alabama). surplus to continue into the 1980s, when there could actually
Farm Store Merchand. 19 (2), 16, 18 (Feb. 1976). A review of be some small localized shortages.
phosphate production, sales, and inventory in the U.S. are
given. Phosphate rock will not be a limiting factor in the 904 Phosphate-1977. W. F. Stowasser. Washington, D.C.:
future production level for phosphate fertilizers. Except for U.S. Dep. Interior, Bureau Mines. Mineral Commodity Profiles
the closing of several plants in 1971, phosphoric acid capacity MCP-2; 18 pp. (May 1977). A projection of the forecast base
has climbed steadily over the last decade and it is apparent for phosphate rock consumption in the United States in the yr
that the phosphate industry in the U.S. will have more than 2000 is given. The forecast is based on acres of crops harvested
enough capacity to meet even the most optimistic of future and phosphate application per acre. United States consump
use estimates. The surplus supply level could exceed 2.3 tion is expected to grow 1.5%/yr to 1985 and 2.7%/yr from
million tons P20s this yr and only under conditions of rapidly 1985 to 2000 for an average growth rate per yr from 1975 to
expanding demand would any progress be made in bringing 2000 of 2.2%. The forecast of phosphate rock in exported
this surplus back to manageable levels by 1980. fertilizer was derived by assuming U.S. exported fertilizer
would grow at the same rate as the rest-of-world demand,
901 Phosphate Oversupply Forecast. Chem. Mark. Rep. 209 3.8%/yr. World demand was related to population growth;
(25), 7, 25 (June 21, 1976). A report presented in London by population growth for the world is shown growing 1.84%/yr to
the International Phosphate Manufacturers’ Association 2000. United States capacity, production, and demand are
(SMA) predicts a global surplus of phosphate rock and projected for the period 1975-2000.
phosphoric acid until at least 1980, and notes that although
phosphate fertilizer prices have eased, the market remains 905 Phosphate Rock Demand to Grow 10% in 1977.
perturbed. ISMA says it believes there will be a substantial Phosphorus Potassium No. 90; 5-7 (July-Aug. 1977). Varying
increase between 1974 and 1979, in the available capacity for trends in major consuming regions indicate a 10% increase in
producing phosphoric acid for export, more than enough to demand for phosphate rock. Western Europe is expected to

121
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

use some 4 million mt of additional rock during the full yr. Muscle Shoals, Alabama). Farm Chem. 140 (6), 32-3, 36, 38
The decline in rock prices during the past 18 month may have (June 1977). Basic unexpected changes in the past yr indicate
also contributed to the increase in demand. Domestic demand that the North American phosphate industry could reach
for phosphate rock is projected to grow by 4-5 million mt in supply-demand balance in 1978, and certainly no later than
1977. The largest single element of this increase is the United 1979. While several interrelated factors attributed to the
States where both domestic deliveries and exports of fertilizers turnaround at least three identifiable supply related trends are
have continued to expand. The United States sold or used 23 significant. First, production of normal superphosphate was
million mt during the first half of 1977 compared to 20 reduced by a quarter million tons P. Os in one yr; second,
million mt during the same period for 1976. The U.S.S.R. Several smaller wet-process acid plants were closed reducing
reports a 6% increase in fertilizer output during the first half capacity by over 0.3 million tons; and third, delays in
of 1977. The Moroccan phosphate industry managed to construction of new plants proposed before 1980 further
expand its exports by 400,000 mt. Total Moroccan shipments reduced potential capacity by about 0.6 million tons P, Os.
of rock were 8.31 million mt in the first half of 1977. The two Demand has also shown healthy growth. Domestic use of
major West African phosphate producers were also able to P. Os increased by 700,000 tons in 1976, a 15% gain. This
expand their sales by 840,000 mt in the favorable export reversed the downturn of 1975 and exceeded the record high
climate of the first half of 1977. levels of 1973-74 by about 2%. All indications, including
export demand, are that the season now ending will show
906 The Outlook for Phosphate Fertilizers. J. H. Wiley. In continued growth.
Situation 77, TVA Fertilizer Conference. (held Kansas City,
Missouri, July 26-27, 1977.) Muscle Shoals, Ala.: TVA, 909 Patterns of Phosphate Rock Production and Use. J. R.
National Fertilizer Development Center, Bull. Y-115; pp. 23-7 Douglas and E. A. Harre. Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee
(July 1977). At present mining rates phosphate rock reserves Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center,
will last for over 100 yr. Additional resources should theoreti Circular Z-81; 15 pp. (Feb. 1977). World production of
cally be three times as large as presently identified sources. phosphate rock totals approximately one hundred million
The cost of mining will increase as Florida reserves become tons. The industry is divided into four major producing
exhausted and producers move to deeper, lower grade reserves. regions—the United States, the U.S.S.R., Africa, and the
Depleted Florida reserves will increase the importance of Pacific Islands. The United States is the largest producer
western and North Carolina deposits while a gradual shift to comprising about 40% of the total market. Total deliveries of
lower analysis fertilizer is expected as the results of changes in rock from the United States has increased from 26.5 million
mining practices. Specifically, triple superphosphate will be tons to 40 million during the past 10 yr. North Africa ranks
44% APA material or less and monoammonium phosphates second in world rock production. Its principal producing
will be produced instead of DAP. Net exports of P. Os in 1977 nation is Morocco. Rock deliveries from Africa and the Near
are expected to reach a record level of about 2.2 million tons. East have doubled from 16.7 million tons in 1965 to over 35
It is believed that the worst of the phosphate over supply million in 1974. The U.S.S.R.'s rock deliveries have also
problem is over with steady improvements expected for years increased from some 15 million tons to over 24 million since
to COme. 1965. Annual deliveries from the Pacific Island normally range
between 2.5 and 3.5 million tons. More than ample supplies of
907 Phosphate Supply–Domestic. D. C. Edmiston (Texas phosphate rock will be available through the mid-1980's.
gulf Inc., Raleigh, North Carolina). Proc. 1977 NFSA Round World production is well in excess of deliveries, and inven
Up (held St. Louis, Missouri, July 20-21, 1977.) Peoria, tories are piling up. Estimates of demand through 1980 range
Illinois: National Fert. Solutions Assoc.; pp. 6-10 (1977). between 140 million to 160 million tons. Estimates of
Studies made a yr ago of the supply-demand picture for potential production are up to as much as 180 million tons.
phosphates in the domestic and world markets indicated
substantial oversupply into the mid-1980s. An alarming 910 Forecasts of Phosphate Fertilizer Consumption. ISMA
oversupply was indicated for 1977 and 1978. In spite of the Ltd. (Paris, France), A/F/77/105; 35 pp. (June 1977). Report
record high in-place capacity for phosphate fertilizer produc contains world phosphate consumption data for period
tion in the United States, the supply and demand levels remain 1974-76. Forecasts for yr 1979-85 are also included for 11
close. This can be attributed to the 16% increase in United individual world regions by products.
States fertilizer P. Os consumption in the 1976 fertilizer yr,
high volumes of phosphate exports, and an overall operating 911 Phosphoric Acid Supply. Phosphorus Potassium, No. 64,
rate of about 80% for wet-process phosphoric acid plants. The 3-4 (Mar.-Apr. 1973). The supply of merchant acid will be
United States production capacity for phosphate rock con substantially increased in and after 1975 through the comple
tinues to increase. At the current mining rate of about 49 tion of a number of plants, both by potential merchant acid
million short tons of marketable rock/yr, the United States has suppliers, and by some of the fertilizer manufacturers who
identified resources which will last for over 200 yr. Consump have become substantial acid buyers. In the short term,
tion of fertilizer P. Os has increased from about 4.6 million however, the most important contribution to the increase of
tons in the 1970 fertilizer yr to about 5.2 million tons in merchant acid supplies will undoubtedly come from Fertili
1976. The 1977 fertilizer yr has seen consumption at slightly zantes Fosſatodos Mexicanos SA (FFM). During the current yr
higher levels than 1976. It is believed that growth will proceed FFM expects to have a substantially increased tonnage of acid
at a slightly higher rate of 3% for the next 3 yr reaching almost available for export, largely as a result of the successful
6 million tons of P2 Os consumption for the 1980 fertilizer yr. debottlenecking of its Coatzacoalcos plant. In addition FFM
has entered into a series of collaborative agreements with other
908 The Phosphate Industry Rebounds. John Douglas and J. acid manufacturers which will give it access to additional
H. Parker (TVA, National Fertilizer Development Center, tonnages of acid in 1973 and again in 1975/76. During 1972,

122
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

the Coatzacoalcos plant produced 190,000 mt P2 Os which inventories they built up during the shortage situation of a
represented employment of just over 50% of its full nominal couple of yr ago. World wide growth in potash demand is
capacity of 372,000 tons P2 Os/yr. As a result of various settling into a 4%/yr growth pattern. World demand for potash
modifications made to the plant at the end of 1972, it has is expected to increase to 31.72 million tons (K2O basis) in
been operating during most of the current yr at 80-85% of 1981-82. World capacity for potash production is forecast to
capacity and, according to FFM's engineers, it will be able to top 40 million tons/yr by 1981-82. Operating rates should rise
get up to 100% before long. This development alone should to about 79% of nameplate capacity during the same period.
add 180,000 tons P. Os/yr to FFM's sales capability. By 1976, The closer fit between supply and demand does not mean that
therefore, FFM should be controlling supplies of merchant there will be shortages but it does indicated that the long
acid totalling just under 600,000 tons P2 Os/yr, primarily period of excess capacity is ending.
available for shipment to export markets outside Mexico. In
this way FFM will retain its position as the world's largest 915 Fertilizer Supplies in the Late 1970's: Future Potash
merchant acid supplier, while at the same time shortening its Supplies. W. E. Koepke (Dept. Energy, Mines Resources,
lines of supply to two major marketing areas, the United Ottawa, Canada). In TVA Fertilizer Conference, held July
States and Western Europe. 31-Aug. 1, 1974, Louisville, Kentucky, Bull. Y-78; pp. 27.34
(Aug. 1974). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority,
912 Phosphoric Acid Leaves Shortage Behind. B. F. Greek. National Fertilizer Development Center. The structure,
Chem. Eng. News 53 (27), 9-10, 15 (July 7, 1975). Phosphoric behavior, and past performance of the world potash industry is
acid production in 1975 again will show a gain over the presented. An analysis of consumption-production data (actual
previous year's production as it has each yr for more than 10 and projections) is given for the period 1969-78. Projected
yr. It could total 7.4 million tons (in terms of P:Os), up about world potash consumption beyond 1980 will require at least
4% over 1974. But this gain masks a considerable market one new mine each yr somewhere in the western world.
turnaround from the supershortage conditions of a yr ago. Potential expansion locations are Saskatchewan, and new
Prices now are weaker as large new capacity looms and world Brunswick Canada, and England. Increase in prices reflect an
demand is slackening. Agriculture dominates the phosphoric increase in production costs and the need for producers to
acid industry. Fully 80% of total output goes to fertilizers. offset some of the losses experienced in the 1968-70 era of
How well demand for fertilizers goes therefore determines how extreme oversupply and depressed prices.
the industry functions in any given yr. Hence, how much of
the new production will be consumed rather than placed into 916 Rising Potash Demand Brightens Outlook. Eng. Mining
inventories proves difficult to forecast. Fertilizer prices and J. 175 (3), 143-4 (Mar. 1974). The North American potash
demand, new capacity coming on-stream, phosphate rock industry entered 1974 in a healthy state. U.S. potash
supplies, and manufacturing costs are some major factors that production in 1973 was 2.6 million tons of K2O. The bulk of
will influence production and sales of derivatives of phos this amount was produced from the Carlsbad deposits in New
phoric acid. New capacity to make phosphoric acid by the wet Mexico, which accounted for 2.16 million tons. Interest in the
process (reaction of sulfuric acid with phosphate rock) will Carlsbad area remains strong. In mid-1973, International
come on-stream this yr at a rapid rate rivaling a decade ago. Minerals & Chemical Corp. began an $800,000 expansion
Substantial new capacity also is scheduled for 1976 and 1977. program for the processing of langbeinite ore, which is a good
Running this new capacity will assure production gains for a source of potassium sulfate. A Canadian producer, Noranda
while. Selling the output, largely as derivative fertilizers, and Mines, Ltd., through its U.S. subsidiary, Norandex, Inc.,
making a profit doing so become a challenge equal to that of acquired an option on a 32,000-acre potash property near
the late 1960's when phosphoric acid capacity declined as Carlsbad and began a $300,000 exploration program in the
several plants were shut down and a few dismantled because of Second half of 1973. Texasgulf's solution nuine near Moab,
financial losses in operation. At this time, most marketing Utah, had its 2nd yr of successful operation in 1973, reaching
men, though gloomy, do not expect a repeat of that situation. a production level of about 300,000 tons/yr of pure white
With the future of phosphoric acid so dependent on agri muriate of potash containing approximately 61% K2O. The
culture and nearly all of that on fertilizers, innovations in consensus is that the potash industry will have a better yr in
fertilizers and their use loom importantly. The trend continues 1974 for at least three reasons: (1) In the U.S., the Cost of
toward use of ever-higher analysis grades and toward liquid Living Council finally exempted potash and other fertilizers
forms of fertilizers. This means a need for higher quality more from Phase IV price controls in October 1973. (2) In Canada,
expensive acid. where the government of Saskatchewan has continued to
dictate price and production levels for the fourth consecutive
913 Phosphate Surplus Continues. Fert. Int. No. 97, 1, 6 yº, individual producers were allowed to increase output from
(July 1977). Estimates analyzed by ISMA of phosphoric acid 40% to 58% of capacity in July 1973, and from 58% to 68% in
component of phosphate fertilizer consumption equaled 55% October 1973. (3) Worldwide demand for potash and other
of fertilizer consumption in 1970-71, 57% in 1973-74, and fertilizers is increasing at an accelerating rate, as indicated by
67% in 1979-80. Indications are that western world surplus the 9% increase—from 8,206,000 to 8,971,000 tons—in world
capacity in 1979-80 will be 2.8 million mt. ISMA has also potash exports during 1973.
estimated the 1979-80 balance from this yr figures and
calculates a 1979-80 surplus of 3.1 million mt. 917 Potash: Demand Still Ahead of Supply in 1974.
Phosphorus Potassium No. 76, 7-8 (Mar.-Apr. 1975). To meet
914 Future for Potash. Chem. Week 121 (12), 79-82 (Sept. the continued strong growth in demand for potash, producers
21, 1977). Recent developments in world potash markets are had to withdraw a further 350,000 mt K.O from their
good for North American producers. Farmers and dealers in stockpiles in 1974. This means that the Saskatchewan stock
most major consuming areas have largely liquidated the pile has been diminished by another 280,000 mt K, O, and

123
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

that it has now reached such a low level that it can no longer million tons in 1980, and to nearly 17.0 million tons by 1985.
be regarded as providing an adequate basis for supporting the Total Western European K2O capacity is expected to increase
commercial activity of the Province's ten mines. In December from 6.8 million tons of K2O to 7.4 million tons in 1976. In
1974, according to Saskatchewan's Department of Mineral other areas of the world, capacity will be increased by minor
Resources, potash stocks stood at 268,000 tons K.50, equiva amounts in the Congo, People's Republic of China, at the
lent to 2 weeks' shipments, compared with 5 weeks at the end Dead Sea Works in Israel, and in Chile in the form of
of 1973 and 15 weeks at the end of 1972. Although smaller potassium nitrate. The short range outlook indicates an ample
stockpiles exist elsewhere, they are not sufficient to allow supply of muriate of potash and some spot shortages of sulfate
demand to remain ahead of supply in the coming years. Potash of potash. The longer range North American outlook is very
production and sales are given for leading countries. With no much in doubt because of possible takeover of potash
significant improvement anticipated in the global supply production by the Saskatchewan government. It takes up to 4
position, and producers' stocks currently at a very low level, yr to develop a potash mine and refinery supplies could
there is no immediate prospect of any weakening in prices. become short before alternative sources to Canada can be
brought into production.
918 Comecon: Consumer of One-Third of World Potash.
Part II. Country Survey. Phosphorus Potassium No. 77, 39-44 921 North American Potash Supply. O. R. Yates (Kalium
(May-June 1975). The use of potash within Comecon has Chem. Ltd., Atlanta, Georgia). In 26th Annual Meeting
increased enormously since 1950 and the member countries Fertilizer Industry Round Table (held Atlanta, Georgia, Oct.
are responsible for a very large fraction of world consumption. 26-8, 1976), pp. 22-6 (1976). North American potash pro
In the German Democratic Republic and in Czechoslavakia the ducer inventories on July 1, 1975 was about 1,075,000 tons
need to increase domestic food production stimulated an K2O or 1.75 million product tons. Production during the same
immediate and continuous increase in potash use. In Hungary, period totaled 7,430,000 tons K2O of which 35% was
Bulgaria, and Romania there was less pressure to increase food standard grade muriate. Domestic and exports sales totaled
production and, also, over wide areas Soil potash status was 6,990,000 tons K2O. Inventories increased during the yr by
good. During the mid-1960s much more emphasis was placed 440,000 tons. Standard grade potash accounted for 280,000
on agricultural development and in all three countries a rapid tons K2O or roughly 65% of the total. Total supply for
rate of increase in fertilizer use resulted. A similar emphasis 1976-77 is forecast to be 8,915,000 tons of which 710,000
was placed on agriculture in Poland and the U.S.S.R. leading will be soluble, 2,925,000 standard, 3,260,000 coarse, and
to large increases in potash use throughout the period 2,020,000 granular.
1963-73. The patterns of consumption growth in each country
are given for 1950-73. 922 Potash Supply–Domestic. D. R. Gidney (Ideal Basic
Industries, New York, New York). Proc. 1977 NFSA Round
919 The Potassium Supply-Demand Situation. D. R. Gidney. Up (held St. Louis, Missouri, July 20-21, 1977.) Peoria,
In TVA Fertilizer Conference (held July 29-31, 1975, Louis Illinois: National Fert. Solutions Assoc.; pp. 10-12 (1977). For
ville, Kentucky) Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Au many yr Western Europe and North America dominated
thority, National Fertilizer Development Center; Bulletin world potash production. This is no longer the case. Eastern
Y-96, pp. 45-51 (July 1975). The normal rate of increase in Europe, which comprises the USSR and East Germany, has
world potash use is 5.7%/yr. This increase was not shown in approximately 42% of world productive capacity. North
1974-75 but the upward trend is expected to resume in America, which comprises Canada and the United States, has
1975-76. There is no major new production and the Saskatche approximately 33% of world productive capacity. Western
wan producers are not producing at rated capacities; therefore, Europe has approximately 23%. The productive capacity
the supply may be short. Even if demand does not grow there during the current fertilizer yr is rated at approximately 34
will be no great surplus. Supply and demand are expected to million short tons K2O. Consumption for the same period is
be in close balance. Production in the U.S. has stabilized at estimated to be 24 million short tons K2O. It is anticipated
about 2.4 million mt of K2O/yr. With the prospect for major that world productive capacity in the next five yr will grow by
new sources dim and 1980 forecast a requirement of 6.3 approximately five million K2O short tons. This increase in
million mt, the U.S. market will be increasingly dependent on capacity is expected to come principally from the USSR. The
imports. The supply-demand picture in Western Europe, United States production is not expected to increase in the *
Eastern Europe, and the U.S.S.R. is described. next several yr, but will probably decrease. Any significant
increase in the future will come when and if the very deep
920 Increase in Potash Inventories Assures Ample Supply. F. deposits in North Dakota and Montana are developed. As the
D. Lyon. Eng. Min. J. 177(3), 114-15 (Mar. 1976). Potash will result of developments in Saskatchewan some production from
be in ample supply through the 1975-76 fertilizer yr because these area will probably be available in the early 1980's. World
of an unexpected buildup in North American inventories in surplus of soluble muriate of potash exists primarily in the
the preceding yr. No problem is anticipated in meeting world form of standard muriate. Coarse and granular muriates are in
potash demand in the 1975-76 season. The major problem in reasonable balance. As the results of a 400% increase in the
the US and Canada will probably be getting the potash cost of energy, the production of soluble grade muriate may
delivered. Price uncertainties are preventing potash from become economically infeasible.
moving as well as expected. The USSR is expected to continue
to lead the world in potash production. An additional 350,000 923 The Outlook for Potash Fertilizer. R. E. Wagner (Potash
tons of K2O capacity is scheduled to come on stream in Institute, Atlanta, Georgia). In Situation 77, TVA Fertilizer
1975-76 at the Berezhniki Potash No. 3 expansion, which Conference (held Kansas City, Missouri, July 26-27, 1977.)
came on line in 1973. Soviet potash capacity is expected to Muscle Shoals, Ala.: TVA, National Fertilizer Development
increase from a 1975 level of 8.2 million tons of K2O to 14.4 Center, Bull. Y-115; pp. 28-33 (July 1977). World consump

124
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

tion of potash will move to 31,720,000 tons by 1981-82, a pollution measures and transport limitations. As far as 1975,
28% increase over 1975-76. By 1982 a world capacity of the industry is left with a narrow margin and even that on the
40,850,000 short tons is projected a 5-yr increase of 14.8%. assumption that S producers produce to the maximum
World reserves are enormous; Canada, Russia, and East capacity. Surpluses that may be generated in East Europe and
Germany have the most extensive know deposits. Potash U.S.S.R. may go to western world markets which are in short
consumption in the United States through 1981-82 is pro supply. The outlook beyond 1975 is as yet uncertain. It is
jected to increase by about 25% from the 1975-76 base of necessary that producers of S and consumers evolve a joint
5,700,000 tons of K.O. This increase in consumption comes policy to avoid shortages of this vital raw material and
at a time when no new mines in the United States or Canada fluctuations in its price. The course of action to be adopted by
are scheduled to come onstream. Developing nations have the industry in the future may well take it outside its normal
potentially productive areas not being cropped. The develop area of activity, such as to the governments, energy producers,
ing countries are expected to increase potash use sixfold in the and energy carriers.
next 25 yr while developed nations increase it two and
one-half times. 928 Fertilizer Sulfur: Status and Potential in the U.S. J. D.
Beaton (Cominco Ltd., Calgary, Alberta, Canada) et al.
924 World Potash Market. Fert. Int. No. 98; 11 (Aug. 1977). Washington, D.C.: The Sulphur Institute Techn. Bull. No. 21
The potash market currently accounts for 24 million mt K2O 18 pp. (Aug. 1974). An evaluation of the current S status and
of which 95% is used in fertilizers. Of the 12 countries which potential requirements for fertilizer S for each cropping region
produce K2O, the U.S.S.R. and Canada are dominant with in the U.S. is given. Data is given on how much S is being
production capacities each exceeding 7 million ton/yr K2O. applied in fertilizer and how the amount has declined in recent
Consumption is also concentrated through to a lesser extent years, how the amount of S applied relates to that required by
with ten markets consuming more than 70% of total tonnage. crops and to the amount of other nutrients applied in
* Af.
United States, U.S.S.R., and France alone account for fertilizer, and the significance of these figures for the potential
market for S fertilizers. These data are given for each of the
major cropping regions of the U.S., and the significance of the
925 Prospects of Potash Supply and Demand. Paris, France: total amount of S in fertilizers applied and of the N.S and
ISMA Ltd., A/F/78/3; 4 pp. (Jan. 5, 1978). Supply and P2 Os:S ratios are discussed.
demand projections for world potash are given through the
1981-82 fertilizer yr. A separate forecast is given for demand 929 World Sulfur Market Starts to Soften. Chem. Age
only for 1985-86. The data is grouped into three sections; the (London) 110 (2012), 8 (May 9, 1975). The world market for
developed, developing, and centrally planned market econo elemental S is beginning to soften, following a substantial
IIllcS. recovery in both demand and prices for the natural gas
byproduct over the past 18 months. Industry experts say
926 The Future for Sulfur. B. F. Newton (Exxon Chem. Co., depressed economic conditions at home and abroad are
New York, New York). Hydrocarbon Process. 57 (1), 181-4 responsible for the halt in price and demand escalation.
(Jan. 1978). World supplies of sulfur will be adequate through However, experts do not expect demand and prices to run the
1980 but beyond that the future becomes difficult to forecast. traditional 2 yr cyclical course alternating between the
By 1985, significant new uses, particularly sulfur asphalts, will periodic glut situation and minimal returns and premium
have developed to add to established uses. Today, around 90% prices in a seller's market. They think the continuing expan
of all sulfur is consumed in the form of sulfuric acid, with the Sion of fertilizer manufacturing capacity will break the cycle.
other 10% used directly for paper sizing, in agriculture or small Most of the long-term contracts, signed at low prices,
end uses. Over 50% is used in the manufacture of phosphate sometimes only to keep S moving, have expired. New sales.
fertilizers with an additional 10% for ammonium sulfate and being concluded at today's higher prices, are projecting price
other fertilizer products. Major producing countries are stability and profit prospects for at least a yr.
Canada, Poland, Mexico, and the United States. The effective
world supply is predicted to grow at 4%/yr from 50 million mt 930 World Sulfur Supply and Demand 1960-1980. M.N.J.
to 73 million in 1985. Byproduct brimstone supply is Horseman (British Sulphur Corp., Ltd., London, England).
expected to grow by 5%/yr and by 1985 will account for 57% Vienna, Austria: United Nations Industrial Dev. Organization;
of the growth in Western World production. New recovery 165 pp. (1973). Price $2:00. A summary of information
projects planned in Middle East (Saudi Arabia) and possible gathered by the United Nations on the sulfur supply and
Frasch discoveries in Canada may provide additional supplies demand on a worldwide basis is given. A major portion of the
by 1985. report supplies statistics on actual supply and demand for the
period 1960-1969. Information on major sources, producing
927 Outlook on Sulfur Availability. J. M. Lancaster (British countries, demand and uses, as well as prices for the products
Sulphur Corp., United Kingdom). Proc., F.A.I. National throughout the world is reported. Projections on the sulfur
Seminar World Fert. Situation Seventies-Technical Economic situation from 1970-1980 are made. The sources as they relate
Aspects Production Ammonia Based Heavy Fractions Petro to demand are analyzed. Each Source is dealt with as it relates
leum Feedstocks, pp. 14/1-3 (1973). New Delhi: Fertilizer to the total demand and supply. Producing countries are listed
Assn. India. The reasons for the current shortage of S are along with a summary of prices, use by sources, and some
different from those in the past. Although statistically information on freight cost in transporting sulfur from
speaking, the world produces annually three million mt of S producing points to market areas.
more than it consumes, this quantity which is largely produced
in vats in Canada should be considered as frozen stockpile, 931 The Emerging Sulfur Outlook. M. C. Manderson (Man
since it cannot be moved to world markets due to anti derson Associates, Inc., Winter Park, Florida). Chem. Eng.

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SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Prog. 72 (7), 25-31 (July 1976). World stilfur balance by area international market. The volume of trade is related to
is projected for 1975-86. North America will have substantial phosphatic fertilizer and is likely to reach considerable
sulfur surpluses in the years ahead, and these surpluses will proportions by about 1979.
account for most of the projected world surplus. Western
Europe will be by for the largest import target for the 934 Sulfur: 1980s Shortage or Glut? P. R. Savage. Chem.
surplus-producing areas; the Far East and Oceania will repre Eng. 83 (20), 49-52 (Sept. 27, 1976). Three conflicting
sent the only other significant import market. Sulfur prices schools of thought, each backed by experts with data at hand,
will weaken, but they should not deteriorate to the levels of are presented contesting whether a worldwide S shortage is
1970-73. Any price weakness in the sulfur market will most looming, whether the market can stay in balance, Qr whether
likely originate from competitive pressures arising within the material threatens to be in vast oversupply in coming
North America rather than overseas. World sulfur trade will years. On the glut side are: existing world stockpiles of a
continue to take place between most continents. record 26 million mt of surplus S, the likelihood of large
tonnages of recovered S being produced in the Middle East as a
932 How Long Will Sulfur Surplus Last? Chem. Week 119 result of sweetening operations at natural-gas-exploitation
(7), 19-20 (Aug. 18, 1976). Sulfur users may have trouble projects underway there; the probability of more S being
getting all the brimstone they need by 1985 as world output recovered as a result of U.S. and Western European environ
of elemental sulfur falls behind demand, say some market mental legislation targeted at power-plant stack-gas emissions;
forecasters. And while others predict that a brimstone bind the virtual certainty that more high-S crude will be processed
will take longer to develop, there are several signs of a in the U.S.; and the expected growth of recovered S supplies
tightening of sulfur supplies in the long run. World demand for following commercialization of projects for synthetic natural
brimstome will probably begin to exceed output within the gas, coal liquefaction, shale oil, and other alternative energy
next few years, say some analysts. Thus reduction of excess sources. On the shortage side are: predicted declines in S
stockpiles in Canada and elsewhere will start before 1980 and associated with dwindling gas-fields in currently strong pro
they may be virtually gone by 1985. Their effect on sulfur ducing areas such as France and Canada; doubts about the rate
prices will be minimal. That means that prices of elemental of growth of recovered S in the next decade; lack of strong
sulfur will continue their long-term up-trend. For not only will economic incentives for continued growth of Frasch (mined) S
the overhanging surpluses be reduced, but also the cost of production in the U.S., reservations about the marketability of
developing new sources and of producing Frasch sulfur will small tonnages of recovered S from scattered individual
continue to rise, especially in the U.S. The brimstone shortage Sources, and rapidly inflating capital costs for Frasch facilities,
thesis, as pronounced in a recent report by a London-based recovery units, and shipping and transportation. Sulfur con
market research organization, holds that world demand for sumption during 1975 took a knock worldwide, due to the
brimstone will increase to 60.2 million mt by 1985. Supply of general industrial recession. World consumption was 45.7
brimstone, meanwhile, will rise to 51.4 million m.t., leading to million mt, against 47.8 million tons in 1974. World produc.
a gap of 8.8 million m.t. The U.S. Bureau of Mines projects tion totaled 52.0 million mt last yr, up slightly from 1974's s
that demand will grow more slowly and that recovered sulfur 51.7 million tons.
will make more of a contribution to supplies. It pegs U.S.
demand growth at 3%/yr from 1973, putting it at 14.5 million 935 World Sulfur Supply and Demand 1970-1982. Paris,
m.t. in 1985 and 23 million in 2000. Meanwhile, total U.S. France: ISMA Ltd., A/F/77/183; 34 pp. (Nov. 23, 1977).
output, including recovered material, will grow to 16 million Sulfur supply and demand statistics are provided in three
m.t. in 1985 and 24 million in 2000. Total world demand, says sections. Section one includes past data from yr 1970-76,
the bureau, will probably rise 3.7%/yr, to 64.5 million m.t. in sections two and three includes supply and demand forecasts,
1985 and 110 million in 2000. separately, for yr 1977-82. A section is also included on
Western World brimstone supply and demand 1977-82.
933 International Situation on Sulfur. Raisaku Kiyoura.
Chem. Econ. Eng. Rev. 9 (10), (No. 110), 9.19 (Oct. 1977). 936 Sulfur 1985–Production, Consumption, and Trade in
The international supply and demand for sulfur began a Sulfur and Sulfuric Acid Upto 1985. Shipping Rpt. No. 310,
firming trend in late 1976. Underlying this trend was an Westinform Service, London, England; 133 pp. (May 1976).
increase in the demand for phosphatic fertilizers and an output An acute brimstone shortage of 8.8 million mt (almost 15% of
restriction imposed by the United States sulfur industry. potential demand) could become apparent by 1985 due to the
During the first half of 1976, the international price of sulfur inability of producers to match a rapid growth in world
remained depressed but the price began to climb in the second demand. The tight supply conditions can be expected to give
half when demand increased sharply. Free world consumption rise to a rapid increase in demand for imported H, SO4 of
of sulfur in all forms in 1976, amounted to 31,355,000 tons smelter or pyritic origin, and/or the resurgence in the use of
which was a 3.6% gain over 1975. The United States remained pyrites. World brimstone trading is expected to maintain a
the largest consumer in 1976, with 10,900,000 tons. Canadian steady growth between 1977-80 to reach 21.2 million mt,
sulfur consumption totaled 1,435,000. Total consumption of despite the current decline in which the level of trade is
all form of sulfur in the free world excluding North America anticipated to fall by 2.2% in 1976 compared with 13.5
reached 19,020,000 tons. Free world sulfur production in all million mt in 1974. However, little further growth can be
forms totaled 33,615,000 tons in 1976, a decrease of 0.7% forecast after 1980, and a slightly lower level of 21 million mt
from 1975. Total producers inventories in the free world, should be maintained through the mid-1980's. A considerable
including the stocks in Canada and Iraq reached 30,700,000 change in the pattern of supply sources is seen. The growth in
tons in 1976, an all time high. Recovered sulfur inventories in demand will continue to exceed that of S-in-all-forms (SAF).
western Canada, representing 62% of the free world total In the noncommunist world, brimstone demand is forecast to
consisted mainly of “dead” inventories and did not affect the rise at an annual rate of 7.0% and 6.1% during 1974-1980 and

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SUPPLY AND DEMAND

1980-1985, respectively, whereas that of SAF is expected to the availability of sulfuric acid despite nearly full capacity
be only 5.8% and 5.3%. New uses could account for almost utilization of all New Zealand's sulfuric acid plants. The
14% of the 12.2 million mt increased in brimstone demand in response by the fertilizer industry to the tightness in sulfuric
Western World between 1980 and 1985. The USA and Canada acid supply was to plan some 580,000 tons/yr of new acid
are expected to consume over 1.25 million mt of brimstone capacity. Even after allowing for the closure of a number of
for new uses in 1985, approximately 75% of the total older units as the new larger units come into service, New
projected world brimstone usage for this purpose. Western Zealand's total acid supply capability is due to increase
Europe will account for 19.4% and the remainder by Japan. between 1973 and 1977 by an impressive 66%. The extent to
World demand for H2SO4 is forecast to grow at an annual rate which the industry is committing itself appears surprising. The
of 6.8% between 1976-1980 and 4.6% between 1980-1985. last round of expansion took place in the mid-1960s when
The higher rate of growth up to 1980 is largely attributable to 380,000 tons/yr of new capacity was commissioned between
the anticipated recurrence in the strength of demand from the 1964 and 1967. Domestic demand for sulfuric acid did not
fertilizer industry. Almost 57% of the projected 12.7 million grow in the orderly manner hoped for. Throughout the period,
mt increase in brimstone output between 1976 and 1985 is the sulfuric acid industry, unable to channel its output into
forecast to be in the form of recovered S. For the first time, export commodities, was forced to operate significantly below
recovered S output will exceed that of Frasch and native its full potential. Sulfuric acid producers have shown them
refined S. The 23 million mt brimstone stocks accumulated at selves willing to invest a further NZ$20 million at a time when
the end of 1975 can be expected to be totally depleted by the demand has only just reached a level where capacity installed
1980's. Canadian stocks could increase from 15.7 million mt in the mid-1960s can be fully utilized.
in 1975 to peak at 19.2 million mt in 1978 but from then
onwards they should decline and virtually disappear by
mid-1980's. The 5.5 million mt stock in the USA will also 939 Western World Sulfuric Acid Production 1978-80.
disappear by 1983-84. Canadian and French recovered S. out: Sulphur No. 132; 23-5 (Oct.-Sept. 1977). Sulfuric acid
put is projected to decline by 2.5 million mt, but this fall will capacity in the Western World is, at present, 136 million
be more than compensated by an increase of some 3.9 million ton/yr. Seventeen million ton/yr of new capacity is expected
mt in the Arabian Gulf recovered S output. Increase in Frasch on stream from January 1978-December 1980. Over two
S output, with the commissioning of new domes, will be offset thirds (37 of 57 projects) of this added capacity will originate
by the closure of older ones in the USA. Frasch and/or native in less developed countries. Of this new capacity developed in
S mining in Mexico, Poland, Iraq, and the USSR will maintain Africa, Asia, and Latin America, 76% will be used directly in
a steady growth. The brimstone supply/demand situation in the manufacture of fertilizers. Over the whole Western World
the 1980's may give rise to large scale exploitation of S 63% of the expected capacity between 1978-80 will be
deposits in other areas, such as Bolivia. The anticipated growth associated with the production of fertilizers.
in demand for imported H2SO4, especially during the 1980's,
is expected to stimulate investment in export orientated 940 Sulfuric Acid Shortage Forecast by 1985. Chem. Age
H2SO4 plants based on pyrites. Such developments may take (London) 112 (2968) 9 (June 4, 1976). Sulfuric acid is
place in countries with indigenous pyrites production, such as expected to be in very short supply by 1985, although tougher
the USSR, Spain, Portugal, Greece, and others. Involuntary pollution regulations could provide the necessary production
acid, principally from smelter gas will also play an important to meet a significant part of industry demand. According to
part in generating large volumes of merchant H2SO4 supply. the findings of Sulphur 85, a report on world production,
consumption, and trade in sulfur and sulfuric acid up to 1985,
937 Sulfuric Acid Outlook in Japan. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 204 the shortage of sulfur should amount to nearly 15% of
(3), 17 (July 16, 1973). The sulfuric acid industry in Japan potential world demand. World demand for sulfuric acid is
went through some dramatic changes last yr. In January, forecast to grow at an annual rate of 6.8% between 1976-80
supply exceeded demand. The situation had reversed itself by and 4.6% between 1980-85. The higher rate of growth up to
yr end, with supplies being extremely tight. In explanation of 1980 is largely attributable to the anticipated recurrence in the
the change, industry sources say the market picked up earlier strength of demand from the fertilizer industry. The report
than expected. Demand from the fertilizer, man-made fiber, contains country-by-country analyses of all the major pro
and titanium dioxide industries was especially strong. A ducers and consumers, plus detailed information on the major
second reason offered for the supply turnaround is that during factors affecting supply and demand.
the second half of the yr, shutdowns of sulfuric acid plants
due to pollution problems—especially sintering sulfide ore 941 Asian Fertilizer Demand Forecast. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 203
units—were common. Production of sulfuric acid in calendar (3), 4 (Jan. 15, 1973). Japanese analysts forecast that by
yr 1972 came to about 6.7 million tons. As of March 31, end 1985, Asian-Far Eastern region fertilizer consumption will
of the 1972-73 Japanese fiscal yr, sulfuric output amounted to have risen perhaps 200% or more, and point out that fertilizers
6.8 million tons. Mitsui Mining & Smelting Company, and alone will take probably 45% of the overall investment of all
Mitsubishi Metal Mining Company, have reportedly decided to regional output. Japanese say this is borne out, too, by recent
import 10,000 tons of the acid from Taiwan, even though the FAC regional studies assembled in New Delhi, in turn
price is nearly twice the domestic acid quotation. reflecting a specific report from a survey compiled by the FAC
district office in Bangkok, Thailand. This recommended that
938 Sulfuric Acid in New Zealand. Sulphur No. 1 16, 31-5 the production capacity for plant nutrients should be planned
(Jan.-Feb. 1975). Following a 24% increase in fertilizer according to realistically estimated needs so as to meet
consumption in 1972 and further 18% increase in 1973, New increasing demand for fertilizers.
Zealand's phosphate fertilizer industry found itself hard
pressed to meet demand. Production was being restricted by 942 Present Position of Fertilizer Raw and Intermediate

127
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Materials and Future Prospects of Supply in Asian Countries. plausibility and consistency of the estimated elasticities,
H. R. Von Uexkull (Potash Res. Assoc., Tokyo, Japan). despite the very different types of data and methodologies
ASPAC Food Fert. Tech. Center Ext. Bull. 41; 39 pp. (Oct. that were used, justifies a greater degree of confidence in their
1974). World fertilizer needs are expected to grow at fast use for policy studies.
rates. In the industrialized countries, where fertilizer usage is
approaching optimum levels, population growth is small. In 944 Canadian Fertilizers Face Brighter Future. Can. Chem.
the developing countries, where population growth rates are Process. 57 (7), 51-3 (July 1973). Canadian fertilizer pro
high and food requirements are growing faster, fertilizer usage ducers are affected more quickly by the world market because
rates are still low. Future growth in the usage of fertilizer will, they are dependent on foreign markets; therefore, they are
therefore, increasingly be a feature of the developing nations. more vulnerable to world shortages and surpluses. Demand for
In the foreseeable future, no shortage of fertilizer raw phosphates and nitrogen fertilizers has increased to a balance
materials is anticipated. On a short-term basis (3-5 yr) N between supply and demand; however, Canadian potash
supply most probably will be most tight and K most easily producers are still not too optimistic with regards to the future
available. With the overall fertilizer supply remaining tight and for potash. Fertilizer sales in Canada should increase about
prices high, it will be more important than before to aim for 18% in 1973, and with some shortages of phosphate rock and
precision farming in order to maximize fertilizer response. gas curtailment some Canadian producers have been pressed to
More emphasis will be needed on applied field research, not supply farmers with fertilizers needed. The lack of transporta
only to give better advice to farmers on how much and what tion facilities has also added to fertilizer shortages in some
kinds of fertilizer to apply, but also to improve the general areas. If the industry is to compete effectively in world
agronomic techniques which will result in a better response to markets, a discipline which has not been enforced in the past
fertilizer. Also, more efforts should be undertaken to stabilize decade will be required.
prices of agricultural products. In many developing countries a
good crop means a low price for the farmer and this in turn 945 Fertilizer Situation in 1974 and Outlook for 1975. I. F.
results in a cyclic change in demand. Agriculture can only be Furniss, R. K. Eyvindson, and C. D. Crober (Agric. Canada,
developed if farmers are assured of a fair price. Similarly the Ottawa, Canada). Can. Farm Econ. 10 (1), 13-20 (Feb. 1975).
fertilizer industry can only supply agriculture the needed Fertilizer consumption in Canada set an all-time record in
fertilizer, if fertilizers are sold at a fair price. 1973-74. Although prices in 1973-74 were up sharply from
yr-earlier levels, demand continues strong and sales in the
943 A Model of Fertilizer Demand in the Asian Rice 1974-75 fertilizer yr could exceed those of the previous yr. No
Economy: A Micro-Macro Analysis. C. C. David (Stanford new major production facilities will come on-stream in Canada
Univ., Stanford, California). Diss. Abstr. Int. A 36,8198. This before 1976-77, so that increased domestic sales will have to
study analyses the factors affecting fertilizer demand in the come largely from reduced exports. Production, especially of
Asian rice economy. Demand is estimated from macro- and N and P, was affected in 1974 by lengthy shut-downs in
micro level data as a function of the fertilizer-rice price ratio, several major manufacturing facilities due to industrial dis
factors representing differences in fertilizer response functions, putes. Consequently, with inventories at a very low level at the
and liquidity position of farmers. The attempt to account for beginning of the 1975 calendar yr, the supply situation is
the variability in production response to fertilizer due to tight. Prices in Canada in the winter of 1974-75 are generally
differences in the physical environment, irrigation, level of below United States and world levels. Although further price
technology, institutional development and management capa increases may occur in the spring because of higher material
city across time or location, results in more accurate estimates and transportation costs, increased buyer resistance, noted
of the short run production and demand elasticities of especially in the United States market, may temper such
fertilizer with respect to rice. The macro-level data are figures increases. With the current high prices for fertilizers, more
from 1950 to 1972 across 12 Asian countires. The micro-level efficient use should be made of the available supply to
data are drawn from an Asian farm survey covering about maximize returns. These include soil testing and reducing, if
2000 farmers in 36 villages in six countries and the Laguna necessary, the application rates. In the area of fertilizer
(Philippines) survey of about 150 farmers from 1966 to 1971 technology, current developments are contributing to lower
The results show that differences in fertilizer: rice price ratio distribution, storage, and marketing costs by reducing the
and in fertilizer response functions contribute significantly to amounts of inert materials, improving storability and devel.
variations in fertilizer demand. In the majority of cases, about oping new methods of fertilizer application that reduce
one-third of the gap between the average and the heaviest nutrient losses.
fertilizer application is explained by differences in the price
ratio, and the remainder by the differences in the productivity 946 1976 Situation and 1977 Outlook for Fertilizers in
of fertilizer. The latter is primarily due to the differential Canada. I. F. Furniss and C. D. Crober (Agric. Canada, Ottawa,
adoption of fertilizer-responsive varieties in the intercountry Canada). Can. Farm Econ. 11 (6), 10-18 (Dec. 1976). In
aggregate data and in the inter year Laguna data and dif 1975-76 world fertilizer supplies continued to improve and
ferences in the physical environment and quality of irrigation prices to moderate. In 1976-77, however, world fertilizer
in the intervillage Asian farm data. In the short-run, price prices will be firm to higher, especially for potash. Fertilizeſ
policy may be the only feasible instrument of intervention. An use in Canada in 1975-76, on the basis of manufacturers'
important contribution of this study is the estimation of the shipments to dealers, did not equal the previous year's level.
production and demand elasticities of fertilizer. Production Final consumption figures will likely show little change from
response to fertilizer is low (10 kg rough rice/kg nutrients) the 1974-75 level. Several factors contributed to this situation:
which conforms with earlier studies about fertilizer efficiency (1) an increase of over 17% in Western Canadian fertilizeſ
on farmers's fields. Fertilizer demand is more price elastic in prices (Eastern Canadian prices fell 17%); (2) a continued
the long run (-09) than in the short run (-0.3 to -0.6). The weakening of grain prices; and (3) uncertain crop yield

128
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

prospects at planting time. Fertilizer supplies for domestic use (Stanford) 13 (3), 197-224 (1974). The impact of the new
in 1976-77 will be adequate. The new ammonia plant of price environment on the demand for fertilizer in the
Canadian Fertilizers Limited at Medicine Hat, Alberta, will developing countries is examined. Major emphasis is devoted
mean increased nitrogen supplies in Western Canada and, to the demand for N fertilizers for application on the major
indirectly, in Eastern Canada. Phosphatic fertilizer require cereal crops. Existing methodology for understanding fertilizer
ments will be met both from domestic production and demand is reviewed, and some of the empirical results are put
increased U.S. imports. Domestic fertilizer prices seem likely in comparative perspective. The focus is on basic parameters
to hold close to late 1976 levels. With current grain price and their interaction rather than projections. A major short
prospects, no increase in fertilizer demand is foreseen, coming of nearly all existing work on fertilizer demand is its
assuming no change in fertilizer prices in the spring of 1977. micro-perspective. The demand for fertilizer is derived, by the
physical production function, from the demand for food and
947 Supply-Demand in China. Chem. Mkt. Rep. 204 (9), 4, fiber. Alternatively, a number of long-run fertilizer demand
42 (Aug. 27, 1973). Rapid expansion of fertilizer facilities in projections assume a growth in food demand from income and
China will go a long way toward closing the supply-demand population and work backward by way of some response
gap by 1980, according to a study of the Chinese fertilizer function to the level of fertilizer applications needed to
market conducted by British Sulphur Corp. (BSC). Perhaps produce a food supply adequate to meet the projected
China could close the gap completely by that date, but demand. Seldom are the equilibrium conditions for food price
apparently authorities will prefer to leave room for about 1 to connected to fertilizer demand. The implications of this
2 million tons of imports to take care of seasonal variations macro-connection are examined after the review of existing
and geographic imbalances. By 1980, consumption will micro-work. The state of knowledge about the basic para
amount to between 35 and 36 million tons, of which domestic meters affecting the outlook for fertilizer demand is sum
production should account for 34 million tons. The import marized.
market that remains in China is expected by BSC to show a
continuation of the pattern of the last few years—toward the 950 Food and Agricultural Organization Sees Fertilizer
import of more high-analysis materials, either straight or Shortage in Developing Lands. J. Commerce 321 (23234), 6
compounded. Turning to current figures, BSC discloses that (July 5, 1974). There will be a shortage of about 2 million
phosphate rock consumption in China in 1972 amounted to tons of fertilizer in 100 developing countries in the coming
1.15 million metric tons of P20s, of which 780,000 originated autumn-spring period, the UN Food and Agricultural Organiza
from domestic sources. By 1980, P3Os requirements are tion reports. A plan for setting up of an international fertilizer
expected to rise to 2.65 million tons. The 1980 figure is supply scheme for developing countries was presented to the
expected to include 2,020,000 tons of domestically produced first meeting of FAO's newly formed commission on fertil
material and 630,000 tons of imports. For potash, BSC izers. The importers who will be hurt most by fertilizer
expects an increase in total requirements from the current shortage are countries in Southeast Asia, parts of Latin
level of 350,000 tons of K2O to about 900,000 tons in 1980. America, and Africa. Based on existing and planned capacity
Domestic development of this industry will be undertaken developments the world's present shortage of fertilizers,
unhurriedly owing to the ample supply of low-cost foreign particularly nitrogenous, but also phosphatic and potassium
material. Imports are expected to total 300,000 tons of K2O fertilizers, is likely to persist and possibly worsen during
by 1980. In the case of sulfur, total supplies to be imported 1974-75 and 1975-76. There is no way in the short run for
during the current yr are expected to exceed 400,000 mt at bridging the gap between expected demand and supply, the
the very least. report said, capacity additional to that planned cannot be
brought onstream before 1977, and probably 1978, so that the
948 China Boosts Fertilizer Output—Still Depends Heavily world has to live with a worsening shortage in the meantime.
on Imports. Chem. Week 117 (5), 9 (July 30, 1975). China is The physical shortage of fertilizers, and more importantly, the
increasing production of fertilizers but will still need to import drop in exportable surpluses from North America and Western
substantial quantities of nutrients. Preliminary estimates put Europe, is likely to result in government insistence on priority
1974 output at 24.8 million mt of fertilizers, imports 7.4 for domestic supplies, the FAO document said. Under the
million, total consumption 32.2 million. The ratio of NPK was proposed international fertilizer supply scheme, the commis
100-46-46 in 1973 and probably the same in 1974. Output of sion on fertilizer and FAO could act as a clearing house,
chemical fertilizers in 1974 was unchanged from 1973, but bringing together suppliers of fertilizer, needy countries, and
official sources say increased production goals for the first half sources of finance. FAO also could operate a fertilizer pool to
of 1975 have been met. New large ammonia plants now on the which contributions would be invited in both fertilizers and
books will add 3.5 million mt/yr to China's N output by cash.
1978-79, 20% more than 1973's total. This will shift the
balance away from small plants and will also require expansion 951 Fertilizers Lead Chemical Growth in East Germany.
of domestic production or imports of phosphates and potash Eur. Chem. News 27 (709), 6 (Oct. 31, 1975). Chemical
to maintain the balance among the three major nutrients. production in East Germany this yr is due to increase by 8.9%,
Current forecasts are that domestic output will not be able to with the fertilizer sector providing the main thrust of this
keep pace with phosphate and potash needs and that China development. Potash fertilizer production has grown rapidly
will require substantially more imported material, especially through 1975, with the recently commissioned Zielitz com
potash. One estimate is that the country will have to import 2 bine making its presence felt. Potash production totalled 2.9
million mt/yr of potash by 1980. million ton K2O in 1974. In the nitrogen sector, work is
continuing on the new Piesteritz combine and remaining plants
949 Demand for Fertilizer in Developing Countries. C. P. are being switched to natural gas feedstock supplied by the
Timmer. Food Res. Inst. Stud. Agric. Econ. Trade Dev. USSR. Nitrogen fertilizer production is expected to increase

129
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

from 460,000 ton in 1974 to 720,000 ton in 1975, covering Production is expected to be 2.2 million mt against 1.857
90% of domestic needs. Commissioning of the Piesteritz million mt for 1976-77. Phosphate use is forecast to be .
combine—two ammonia plants and three units—in 1976 will 754,000 mt during the current 12 months against 635,000 mt
add an extra 480,000 ton/yr of fertilizers while urea produc for the previous period. Production of phosphates is expected
tion will total 1 million ton/yr. Phosphate fertilizers produc to be 730,000 mt, up from 478,000 mt. If the production
tion, which reached 410,000 ton P3Os in 1974, will increase forecast proves to be accurate, it will mean that the increment
to around 500,000 ton in 1975. With domestic use running at in N and P. Os demand will be satisfied largely through
around 525,000 ton P2 Os some imports will still be required. increases in domestic output rather than higher import levels. :
India reported importing only 750,000 mt of N during
952 The Fertilizer Industry of the German Democratic 1976-77 compared with 951,000 mt in 1975-76.
Republic. Tom Sealy. Fert. Int. No. 101; 10-11, 20 (Nov.
1977). Over the last 10 yr the German Democratic Republic 956 Indian Nitrogen Supply-Demand. Chem. Age (London)
(G.D.R.) has become one of the world's major consumer of 113 (2984), 2 (Sept. 24, 1976). India will have to install at
fertilizers. During 1976-77, the G.D.R.'s mineral fertilizer least five more large-scale fertilizer plants to bridge the gap
consumption rose to over 300 kg/ha. Over the past 10 yr, between production and consumption of nitrogenous fertili
consumption of N fertilizers has increased from 65 kg/ha to zers by 1983-84, according to the Fertiliser Association of
115 kg/ha, an increase of 77%. Domestic production has India (FAI). The gap between consumption and production of
increased by over 100% during the same period and now nitrogenous fertilizers will continue even after all the projects
accounts for 80% of domestic consumption. Potash fertilizer under implementation go into operation, according to the
production remains to be dominant in the G.D.R. During the latest balance sheet of availability and production of nitro
period 1960-76 total potash production increased by 88%, genous fertilizers from 1976-77 to 1983-84 prepared by FAI
from 1.7 million mt to 3.2 million mt. The largest actual for the period to 1984. As a number of projects are likely to .
growth has been in the production of phosphate fertilizers go into production in the immediate future, the gap will be
which has increased by 156% to 423,000 mt. Nitrogen less till 1980-81, but will increase thereafter, rising to 1.3
fertilizer production has also increased by about 1.35% from million mt by 1983-84.
334,000 mt to 785,000 mt during the same period.
957 India's Fertilizer Consumption to Increase. Green
953 Fertilizer Situation in India. Fert. News (India) 20 (1), Markets 2 (1), 8 (Jan. 2, 1978). The Fertilizer Association of
61-7 (Jan. 1975). Estimates of fertilizer consumption and India predicts that fertilizer consumption for the yr April
production during the Fifth 5 Yr Plan were prepared in 1972. 1977 to March 1978 will be 26% ahead of the previous yr.
These were published in the January, 1974 issue of Fertiliser This increase is anticipated largely because of the record
News. Developments during the last 2 yr have necessitated a consumption attained during the current winter crop season.
fresh review of these estimates. The new review is given. The In the current yr, N consumption is expected to be 21.6%
figures given in the earlier part of the review are estimates of ahead of last yr while phosphate consumption will increase
consumption taking into account various constraints of which 32%. Potash is expected to increase by 50.5%. Indian
the most important ones are relative prices and availability. To authorities also predict that the country will be self sufficient
sustain the targeted agricultural production program, the need in N fertilizers by 1983-84 but there will continue to be
and the potential demand for fertilizers in the country is much shortages of phosphate materials.
larger. This imbalance between potential demand and likely
consumption arising from inadequate availability is a measure 958 India: Soaring Demand Emphasizes Need for New
of the leeway necessary in stepping up domestic production as Investment. Fert. Int. No. 104; 9, 14 (Feb. 1978). Following
a means to achieving self-sufficiency in this vital input. the severe cutback in fertilizer demand in 1974-75, there is ,
now every indication that India's consumption has firmly
954 Production and Consumption of Fertilizers. Annual reestablished an upward trend. Latest estimates indicate a 26%
Review 1974-75. New Delhi, India: Fertilizer Assoc. India: 95 increase in demand for the Indian 1977-78 fertilizer yr ending
pp. (Aug. 1975). This is the 17th edition of the title in March. Total nutrient consumption is expected to reach 4.3
publication. It contains a review of production and consump million mt comprising N 3 million, P., Os 0.9 million, and K2O
tion in India during 1974-75; discusses the performance during 0.4 million mt. Domestic production, meanwhile, fails to keep
the 5 yr period 1970-75, and forecast the expected trend of pace with rising demand. Nitrogen output is projected at 2.14
production and consumption for 1975-76. Seasonal consump million mt resulting in a potential deficit of 850,000 mt.
tion by states for the 5 yr with increase or decrease in nutrient Phosphate fertilizers supply is expected to be short 150,000
consumption over the corresponding previous seasons are given mt with 1977-78 production projected at 710,000 mt P, 0s.
for the first time in this edition. (15 tables and 23 appendices) All indications are that consumption will continue to increase
through 1984-85. Additional investments in production facili
955 India's Fertilizer Demand Forecast. Green Markets 1 ties must be forthcoming if India is to achieve a greater degree
(29), 6 (Aug. 29, 1977). Fertilizer consumption in India is of self-sufficiency in the next decade.
expected to increase 18.1% during the 12 months ending
March 31, 1978, compared with the same 12 months in 959 Indonesian Supply-Demand Forecast. Chem. Eng. News !

1976-77. The Fertilizer Association of India is forecasting a 54 (41), 10 (Oct. 4, 1976). Indonesia will become a net
15% increase in N consumption, an 18.7% gain in phosphate exporter of nitrogen fertilizer by about 1980 if new capacity,
demand, and a 40.6% increase in K2O use. Total Indian now on the drawing boards, comes on-stream according to
consumption of N is expected to be 2.826 million mt during government plans. What Indonesia's plan has going for it are
the period compared with 2.457 million mt during 1976-77. the feedstocks available from the country's bountiful natural

130
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

gas reserves. Indonesia built three nitrogen fertilizer plants phosphates with added magnesium such as 11-18-4 + 3 MgO.
between 1964 and 1974. New nitrogen capacity, however, Fertilizers high in potash are favored for oil palm chiefly
both in the works and on the drawing boards, will dwarf 5-10-25 + 4 MgO. The Malaysian industry dates back from
existing production. A third Pusri plant at Palembang is slated 1966 when the Chemical Co. of Malaysia erected a 41,000
to come on-stream at the end of this yr. It will have 1000 ton/yr N calcium ammonium nitrate unit and complex
tons/day of ammonia capacity that will be converted to fertilizer plant at Padang Jawa. The local industry expects that
570,000 tons/yr of urea. Meanwhile, another 570,000 ton/yr nutrient consumption will grow by about 30% by 1980.
urea unit is under construction at the same site. It is scheduled Compound fertilizers will lead this growth, particularly NPKs
to come on stream by the end of 1977. Together, the four formulated for specific crops. In 1976 total nutrient consump
Pusri plants at Palembang will have a total capacity of a little tion reached 275,000 mt and is expected to be over 290,000
more than 1.6 million tons/yr of urea by 1978. Three more mt in 1977.
570,000 ton/yr urea plants are in various stages of construc
tion or planning. Although the country does not now produce 963 North American Production Capacity Data: January
phosphate fertilizers, government plans call for about 730,000 1975. Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority,
tons/yr of triple superphosphate capacity to be in place by National Fertilizer Development Center. Circular No. Z-57; 11
1982, along with 80,000 tons/yr of diammonium phosphate, pp. (Jan. 15, 1975). This supplement to Fertilizer Trends—
and 50,000 tons/yr of mixed nitrogen, phosphorus, and 1973 (FA 7, 1808) updates the production capacity data of
potassium nutrients. U.S. and Canadian fertilizer manufacturers given in the original
publication. Producers of ammonia, urea, ammonium nitrate,
960 Japanese Nitric Acid Forecast. Jap. Chem. Week 15 phosphate rock, phosphoric acid, ammonium phosphate,
(743), 6 (July 25, 1974). Nitric acid production for the fiscal concentrated superphosphate, nitric phosphate, and potash are
yr beginning July 1974 is estimated by the industry at listed. The capacity data are compiled from published sources,
660,000 tons, up 9.7% over the estimated result of last contacts with the fertilizer industry, and other sources.
fertilizer yr, with the estimated operation rate of 98%. The Included are the company name, location, plant status, and
demand and supply position of the product is not likely to be capacity as of Jan. 15, 1975. Data for 1973 and 1974 are
tight because demand for nitric acid derivatives is curbed. On included together with projections through 1980.
the other hand, ammonia output is estimated at 4,159,000
tons, up 8.8%. 964 Fertilizer Trends—1973. E. A. Harre. Muscle Shoals,
Ala.: Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Develop
961 Japan's Sulfuric Acid Supply-Demand. Jpn. Chem. Week ment Center. Bull. Y-77, 56 pp. (June 1974). This is a biennial
(Review) p. 71 (Issued Feb. 1976). Trade in sulfuric acid, one publication which provides basic marketing data. This is the
of the basic raw materials for the chemical industry, has been ninth edition. A summary of the fertilizer industry is given
strongly influenced by the general situation, and demand has primarily in graphic and tabular form. A list of companies in
declined to a serious extent as a result of lowered operating North America producing ammonia, urea, ammonium nitrate,
rates at such consumer industries as fertilizers, synthetic fibers, phosphate rock, wet-process phosphoric acid, concentrated
titanium dioxide, and others. Total demand in Japan for superphosphate, ammonium phosphate, or potash in May
sulfuric acid for fiscal 1975 (April 1975-March 1976) is 1974 is given with their production capacity. A rapidly
estimated at 6,019,000 tons, a decline of 13% from FY 1974, escalating demand for fertilizers has caused shortages every
which recorded a total consumption of 6,886,000 tons. The where. World plant nutrient consumption in 1973 is estimated
quantity consumed in FY 1975 for the production of at 77.5 million tons. Total N consumption was over 36
fertilizers, the principal use of sulfuric acid, is estimated at million, P., Os more than 22.7 million and K2O 18.7 million
2,096,000 tons, down 19% from the previous yr (2,589,000 mt. The 1980 forecast shows N 57, P., Os 31.1, and K2O 25.6
tons). The trend of demand in 1976 will entirely depend on million mt consumption. In the U.S. consumption in 1973 was
the timing of the recovery in business conditions, and it is now N 8.3, P2 Os 5.0, and K2O 4.4 million mt. The forecast for
expected that fertilizer and other consumer industries will 1980 consumption in the U.S. is N 12.5, P., Os 6.8, and K2O
begin a gradual recovery. Production in 1976 will be carried 6.2 million mt. Data for the production, consumption,
out in line with demand trends. Now that demand, particularly inventory, export-import of fertilizer materials in the U.S. and
from fertilizer producers, is expected to pick up, total Canada are given for 1950-73.
production is put in the neighborhood of 6,800,000 tons. It is
expected that in 1976, 100,000-200,000 tons of the acid will 965 Fertilizer Trends 1976. E. A. Harre, M. N. Goodson, and
be exported. For a balanced supply and demand of sulfuric J. D. Bridges. Muscle Shoals, Ala.: TVA, National Fertilizer
acid, it is necessary that domestic demand from fertilizer and Development Center. Bull. Y-111; 44 pp. (Mar. 1977). This
other industries return to normalcy. Export of the acid will be edition has several format changes from the ninth edition (FA
a very important factor in the solution of excessive inven 7, 1808). The section on distribution systems has been
tories. eliminated and will be included in TVA’s Directory of
Fertilizer Plant in the U.S.. Details on state and regional use
962 Fertilizer Industry–Malaysia. Fert. Int. No. 101; 16-19 patterns are published in Fertilizer Summary Data. Consump
(Nov. 1977). Fertilizer consumption continues to advance in tion in the U.S. of plant nutrients, fertilizer materials, and
Malaysia. In line with the rapid recovery in prices for mixed fertilizer by class is given for each yr 1960 to 1975.
Malaysian exports, fertilizer usage is expected to reach record Production and consumption data for nitrogen, phosphate,
levels. Rubber and oil palms dominate the agricultural sector. potash, and sulfur are given by yr for 1960 to 1975. Detailed
Together the two crops occupy over 70% of all cultivated land market data for Canada is provided. Capacity data for the
and consume over 80% of all fertilizer sold. The fertilizer major fertilizer materials produced in North America is
compounds principally used on rubber are primarily high in presented.

131
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

966 Pakistan Fertilizer Supply-Demand Forecast. Green 970 Fertilizer Demand and Supply Projections to 1980 for
Markets 2 (9), 7 (Feb. 27, 1978). Three Arab-financed South America, Mexico, and Central America. Vienna,
fertilizer plants due on stream in the next 3 yr will increase N Austria: United Nations Industrial Development Organization.
production in Pakistan by 784,000 mt/yr. Public sector Fertilizer Industry Series Monograph No. 6; 80 pp. (1971).
production is currently 55,000 mt/yr while two privately The agricultural sectors of Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile,
owned plants (Esso and Dawood) produced an additional Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay, Venezuela,
240,000 mt. Nitrogen consumption is expected to reach Mexico, and other countries of Central America are discussed.
820,000 mt/yr by 1981 which means 10% of domestic Details are given on population, land, rainfall, resources, per
requirements will have to be imported. Phosphate imports will capita annual income and average growth of gross national
continue to be heavy in the for seeable future. Phosphatic product, identified fertilizer raw materials, farming patterns,
fertilizer production is currently only 16,000 mt/yr while land and economic policies, fertilizer use and supply, and
consumption totals 194,000 mt. By 1981 production is balance of supply and demand. Future supply of fertilizer to
projected to reach 88,000 mt and demand will increase to agriculture is suggested.
268,000 mt/yr.
971 South Korean Fertilizers. Too Much too Soon. Phos
967 Poland Forecasts Fertilizer Requirements. Eur. Chem. phorus Potassium, No. 91; 26-9 (Sept.-Oct. 1977). A
News 28 (738), 34 (May 28, 1976). Poland's Ministry of detailed description of the South Korean fertilizer industry is
Agriculture has estimated that in 1985 fertilizer consumption given. Current production capacities for each major producer
in the country will be 300 kg/ha of NPK, of which N will is estimated. Fertilizer marketing in South Korea is closely
account for 100-110 kg/ha, and in 1990 almost 350 kg/ha regulated by the National Agricultural Co-operative Federation
comprising 140 kg N, 87 kg P, Os, and 119 kg K2O. (NACF). NACF purchases all products and resell them to
Consumption of lime-based fertilizers is expected to reach 190 farmers at subsidized prices. By 1974 these subsidies averaged
kg/ha CaO in 1990. For the past few yr the ratio of 37% necessitating a 65% price increase for 1975 purchases
N:P, Os: K2O consumption in Poland has been almost con with a further 79% increase the following yr. Consumption in
stant at 1:0.8:1.3 but in 1980 it is expected to be 1:0.8:1.1 1976 fell substantially, leaving accumulated inventories of
and in 1990 l ;0.6:0.8. 490,000 mt product of compound fertilizers, 160,000 mt of
fused phosphates, and 430,000 mt of urea. This problem of
968 Polish Fertilizer Production Forecast. Chem. Age (Lon excess fertilizer is expected to be compounded with the
don) 111 (2930), 28 (Sept. 12, 1975). The production of start-up of Korea’s seventh national fertilizer project by
fertilizer by Poland's chemical industry, which stood at 2.3 Namhae Chemicals. If consumption reaches the pre-1976 level
million tons of pure nutrient in 1974, will rise by about 140% of 9% and plants operate at 100% capacity production would
to reach 5.6 million tons in 1985, according to present plans. equal consumption by mid-1980 except for compound fertili
Output of 6.5 million tons in 1990 is planned. During the zers. With consumption as much as 20% in 1977, South Korea
second half of the present decade two new fertilizer plants are will begin 1978 producing twice the amount of compound
to be built at the chemical combines in Police and Kedzierzyn, fertilizers consumed.
while nitrogen facilities at Tarnow and Pulawy will be
expanded. These new units will concentrate on granulated 972 Soviet Fertilizer Output Forecast. Chem. Age (London)
nitrogenous and phosphorus fertilizers. Pulawy, which now 106 (2793), 15 (Jan. 26, 1973). Total production of mineral
has a capacity of 700,000 tons/yr–Europe's largest fertilizer fertilizers in the Soviet Union (including feed phosphates) is
plant—will install another ammonia line and a urea unit. expected to reach some 90 million mt by 1975. A breakdown
of 1975 targeted fertilizer production shows 39.2 million mt
969 Romania's Phosphate Industry Outlook. Phosphorus of N fertilizers, 30.5 million mt of P fertilizers and basic slag,
Potassium, No. 66, 31-4 (July-Aug. 1973). Four 900,000 20.2 million mt of K fertilizers, and 100,000 and 70,000 mt of
tons/yr nitrophosphate-based complex fertilizer plants are due B and Mg fertilizers. Average nutrient content is expected to
to be commissioned in Romania in 1974-75. Phosphate rise from 1970 to 1975 from 29.2% to between 35 and 37%.
fertilizer capacity will double as a result to over 800,000
tons/yr P20s. The present level of 400,000 tons/yr P. Os 973 Fertilizer Shortage Could Develop in the United King
itself represents a 60% expansion since 1970. The enlargement dom in 1974. Chem. Week 113 (24), 19 (Dec. 12, 1973).
of the phosphate industry is intended as a boost to Romania's Producers are warning that they will have to export more
agriculture with the entire output designated for domestic use. product if price increases are not granted by the U.K. Price
The 1971-75 five yr plan shows phosphate consumption Control Board. Right now, tabs for fertilizers overseas are as
increasing from 200,000 tons/yr P:Os to 720,000 tons/yr. So much as 30% higher than they are in the U.K. A Fisons
far, however, there are no signs of the 30%/yr growth that executive says the company increased fertilizer exports 43% in
would be required to achieve the target. Instead, Romania has 1973, to 100,000 tons, adding that exports are likely to grow
continued to produce a surplus for export and there are fears if the price gap is not narrowed. The U.K. is becoming a less
that the surplus will increase over the next few yr. A attractive market than continental Europe.
substantial tonnage of diammonium phosphate has been
shipped out of Romania since 1966 and triple superphosphate 974 United Kingdom Farmers Face Fertilizer Shortage. Eur.
sales have recently begun. Romania has, for a number of yr, Chem. News 26 (655), 8 (Sept. 27, 1974). Some UK farmers
been exporting large tonnages of N fertilizers at very competi could face severe shortages of fertilizers later this winter as
tive prices. The prospect of triple superphosphate production sluggish trading this summer has forced producers to divert
reaching full capacity of 500,000 tons/yr with a 3.6 million large quantities of material overseas. Producers themselves
tons/yr increase in complex fertilizer capacity to follow in have contributed to slack buying by their cancellation of the
1974-75 is good. early order rebate scheme, which is usually applied to

132
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

purchases about now in an effort to spread the buying and in 1973 will be 3.4 million tons K2O. Added to this is more
manufacturing load equally throughout the yr. But the real than 8.3 million tons capacity in Canada where producers will
villain has been the sharp upwards movement in fertilizer be allowed to produce only about one-half that amount.
prices over the past 18 months, disrupting the normal seasonal Fertilizer use was a record high—41.3 million tons—in the 12
buying pattern as consumers with the ready cash and storage months ended June 30, 1972. A yr earlier, use was 41.4
Space have bought material when and where they could in million tons. However, on a plant nutrient basis, the tonnage
advance of expected price rises. Another factor contributing to of K2O equivalent was the only one to increase. Consumption
slack trading is the farmers’ belief that prices may have of N and P20s both dipped slightly. The trend toward greater
stabilized and there is now no need to tie up capital in stored use of both dry bulk and liquid fertilizer continued. Just over
product. Many farmers are also hoping for the reimposition of 70% of all fertilizer was applied in these two forms. Bagged
the fertilizer subsidy or at least higher prices for their produce. fertilizer was down to 11.5 million tons—30% of all fertilizer—
Producers, on the other hand, fear that there could still be in 1970-71. Fertilizer exports rose 17% in dollar value during
more manufacturing costs to pass on this winter. Buyers are the yr ended June 30, 1972, rising to $339 million. Much of
already reporting difficulties in obtaining supplies of N and the increase came from increased export tonnages at higher
compound fertilizers and many fear these could intensify over prices for concentrated superphosphate and ammonium phos
the winter. Still more surprising is the fact that Fertilizer phates.
Development Ltd., the association of small compounders
which relies on imports for its raw materials, has now entered 977 Fertilizer Situation. Econ. Res. Serv., U.S. Dep. Agr.
export markets. Bull. FS-4; 24 pp. (Jan. 1974). Demand for N and P fertilizers
has placed intensive pressures on supplies for 1974. Prices have
975 United Kingdom Nitrogen Supply-Demand. Eur. skyrocketed since fertilizers were freed from Phase IV price
Chem. News 27 (699), 11 (Aug. 15, 1975). The United regulations on October 25. Early indications are that prices of
Kingdom is still seriously short of ammonia. Imports from fertilizers with a high N content may be up 50% this spring
other European sources could fill the gap. Future needs should from a yr earlier. Phosphates may be up 40%. Prospective K
logically dictate expansion of ammonia production in the price increases are in the area of 20%, although North America
North and East of Britain in close proximity to the natural gas potash production capabilities are far in excess of current
source. United Kingdom ammonia production presently totals demand. The 1974 fertilizer bill for farmers in the United
1.2 million ton/yr and imports of ammonia, nitrogen inter States may go to $4 billion, nearly 40% above 1973. A ton of
mediates, and nitrogen fertilizer run at about 250,000 ton/yr fertilizer will cost over $100 this yr compared with $78
ammonia equivalent. Demand may increase at 4-6%/yr for the estimated for 1973. Perhaps 8% more N and P will be available
rest of the decade and the only extra capacity likely to be in 1974, but demand at current prices probably will not be
available through the period is 300,000 ton/yr. If the United satisfied. Potash use may be up 5%. Three percent more
Kingdom is to supply its own fertilizer needs an estimated fertilizer was used in the 12 months ended June 30, 1973,
£100 million investment in fixed and working capital will be than during the previous 12-month period. Total use was 42.5
required. If an extra 1 million ton/yr of fertilizer million tons. About 36.1 million tons of this was for farm use.
(300-400,000 ton/yr of nutrients) is to be made available for Plant nutrient use was: N, 8.3 million tons; P (P2 Os), 5.1.
export, an extra £150 million will be needed. The decline in N million tons; and K (K2O), 4.4 million tons. Nitrogen and
demand could be relatively short-lived, but so far as the other P:Os use both were up 4%. K2O use rose 2%.
two nutrients are concerned, the turndown in demand could
be of longer duration. 978 Outlook: NPK. Farm Chem 138 (1), 16-17 (Jan. 1975).
There will not be much easing of fertilizer shortages in 1975
976 Fertilizer Situation 1973. U.S. Dep. Agr., Economic because of cutbacks in natural gas delivery, slowdown in
Res. Div., FS-3; 37 pp. (Dec. 1972). Fertilizer prices at all construction, and the reserve tax imposed on potash by the
marketing levels will be bullish in 1973. Some specific Province of Saskatchewan. Fertilizer inventories at the end of
items—urea, concentrated superphosphate, some of the the 1974-75 yr were short of desirable inventories for
ammonium phosphates, for example—most likely will be Fla./North Carolina phosphate rock, phosphate chemical
priced at or near their ceilings. Prices for high-analysis (P:Os), potash (K2O), and nitrogen (NH3) by 35, 44, 62, and
phosphates will continue to be particularly unyielding as the 50%, respectively. Supplies of NPK should be up 4-6% in 1975
foreign market for phosphates is booming. If a soft spot over 1974 but USDA officials predict 12-16 million more acres
develops, it could be in the price of potash. The U.S. capacity to be harvested in 1975 than in 1974. Sales to farmers have
to produce ammonia, the source of virtually all fertilizer N, drifted downward in some regions. There is evidence of
WW remain considerably above demand in 1973, but the gap is increased stocks at dealer levels. Some dealers report buyer
likely to narrow. U.S. producers could make about 17 million resistance building up to higher prices.
Qūs of ammonia in 1973 operating at design capacity.
Currently the rate is 85% of capacity. The supply of 979 The Fertilizer Situation: Present and Projected. E. A.
high-analysis phosphate fertilizers will continue tight through Harre and G. G. Williams (Tennessee Valley Authority,
1973. Additional U.S. capacity to produce phosphoric acid is National Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, Ala.).
under construction with more planned to come into produc Fert. Solutions 19 (5), 62, 64, 66-70 (Sept.-Oct. 1975). Once
tion in 1973 and 1974. If all new plants come on-stream as again, the laws of supply and demand have brought the
Planned, 1.9 million tons P. Os in additional phosphoric acid fertilizer market through another supply cycle. After the short
*\ual capacity will be available by late 1974. Fertilizers took supply levels of the 1973 and 1974 fertilizer yr, increased
48 million tons P.O; in 1971-72. One potash plant in the price levels have stimulated investment in the industry. New
United States and another in Canada were closed for technical capacity is becoming available to satisfy the market demands.
feasons but both will be fully operable in 1973. U.S. capacity Phosphate and K supplies should be ample for the remainder

133
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

of the decade while N supply will follow by 1977. The future level, especially if grain prices fail to recover from their
supply-demand balances and the prosperity of both the farmer late-1975 decline. Fertilizer production capacity in developing
and the fertilizer industry will depend on maintaining an countries is, furthermore, seen as rising sharply in the next 5
equitable price relationship between agricultural commodities yr, reducing the dependence of these countries on imports and
and fertilizers. Fertilizer remains a vital input in the nation's making unlikely a recurrence of the 1974 fertilizer shortage.
agriculture. Its use will continue to expand as long as the The department, which places great weight on the perfor
farmer continues to receive a favorable benefit: cost ratio with mance of developing countries starting up and operating the
its use. Generally speaking, the problems of the fertilizer new capacities as well as on the impact of any higher oil price
industry in the last decade stem not from lack of demand but levels, on N-fertilizer prices, says the 1976 fertilizer market,
from overreaction on the supply side of the equation. particularly for nitrogen, could tighten rapidly if grain prices
should rise or fertilizer production fall short of present targets.
980 1975 Fertilizer Situation. U.S. Dept. Agr. Economic With regard to phosphate fertilizers, developing countries are
Res. Service, FS-5; 27 pp. (Dec. 1974). Farmers may pay expected to increase their output by about 15%/yr between
10-15% more per ton for fertilizer during the 1975 planting 1974 and 1981. This is above projected increases in consump
season than they did during the last quarter of 1974. Such an tion and should essentially eliminate the deficit between
increase would be much below the more than doubling in production and consumption of phosphate in developing
prices since the lifting of price controls in the fall of 1973. It countries as a whole by 1981. As for potash, the other major
may also signal an end to the violent upward price spiral of fertilizer base, some 95% of world capacity is now accounted
recent months. Use of all three primary plant nutrients will be for by mines in North America, Europe, and the USSR.
up in 1975, but use of N and K may increase less than in 1974. Developing countries' imports are expected to double by
There is some evidence that farmers' fertilizer purchases in the 1981.
last half of 1974 have slackened noticeably from 1973. At the
same time, inventories of basic materials have increased. This 982 United States Fertilizer Supply-Demand. Chem. Mark.
can be an indication of buyer resistance to higher fertilizer Rep. 210 (25), 4, 24 (Dec. 20, 1976). Total US farm
prices and the uncertainties of the 1975 crop production consumption of fertilizer will fall to 20.4 million nutrient tons
season. Ammonia production capacity will be up by 907,200 next yr, a 1.9% decline from record levels set in 1976,
tons (about 5%) annually as seven additional facilities come according to Chase Econometric Associates, Inc. Total tonnage
onstream during the yr. However, output from most of this in 1978 will increase to 21.3 million tons. Nitrogen demand
capacity will not be available until the last half of 1975. With will decline 2.6% in 1977, while phosphate and potash move
several million more acres to be planted to crops in 1975 down 1.6% and .9%, respectively. Demand in 1978 should pick
demand will be stronger than it was in 1974. Phosphoric acid up over the previous yr by 5.8% for nitrogen, 3.3% for
rated capacity will undergo a series of additions totaling some phosphates, and 5.5% in potash. In spite of a decrease in
1.9 million tons P. Os by year's end. About a fourth of this demand, nitrogen prices are expected to recover to 6-8% next
will be available for use during 1975 in the United States. spring, over spring 1976, and then fall by 4-5% in 1978.
Despite this increase, prices are likely to be somewhat higher Phosphates and and potash are expected to move up 3-4% by
because of increased demand. New mines will need to be next spring. Exports of all fertilizers are now expected to
opened soon to avert a serious shortage of phosphate rock. climb 5-7% in both 1977 and 1978 as the world's economic
World market phosphate rock prices have increased 350% since climate improves and major fertilizer importing countries
December 31, 1973. They are scheduled to go up 8% more on continue to expand their food production. Nitrogen will
January 1, 1975. Potash supplies are likely to tighten in the yr continue to be tight internationally, while phosphate and
ahead and prices may rise. No substantial increase in produc potash world balances will remain pretty much where they
tion capacity for muriate of potash has been announced in were in 1976. With nitrogen pipelines empty, shipments will
North America. The United States was a net exporter of N by §. increase in 1977 as producer stocks decline by 5%.
a margin of only 7% compared to 54% a yr ago. Exports of itrogen producers should be running at 82-84% of capacity
P., Os in 1973-74 were up 10% compared with a 29% gain in and imports will climb 4.5%. Phosphate producers may be able
the preceding yr. Potash imports, principally from Canada, to rid themselves of one-fifth of their inventory next yr, and
were roughly equivalent to three-fourths of U.S. domestic use. 46% by the end of 1978. Production will increase to only
World use of N during 1974-75 may be about 47 to 48 million 85-86% of capacity over the same time. Capacity will increase
tons—a 13% increase. Even so, the supply-demand balance will 5% over the next 2 yr, but it will not be absorbed by the
continue tight. Several new phosphoric acid and phosphate market. Although some outmoded plants will be closed in
fertilizer plants will start up in 1975. Thus, supplies of 1977. Potash shipments from producers are expected to start
phosphate fertilizer production capacity will not be a limiting slowing in the spring as farm sales drop below 1976 levels. US
factor. Morocco plans to boost phosphate rock output to 21.5 production is expected to run at 85-86% of capacity over the
million tons. Spanish Sahara hopes to increase its production next 2 yr, while Canada averages 70-72%.
to 6 million mt. Potash inventories in North America are at
dangerously low levels and little expansion in output is in view
983 Fertilizer Outlook 1977: Getting Back to Normal.
for 1975. The U.S.S.R. will probably ship more potash into
western markets. Farm. Chem. 140 (1), 35, 37 (Jan. 1977). Fertilizer products
are on the move again. The USDA reports that 1975-76
981 Fertilizer Supplies Adequate for 1976. Chem. Age consumption increased 18%, the largest jump in 56 yr. This is
(London) 112 (2956), 9 (Mar. 12, 1976). A report of the US overshadowed by the fact that it was preceded by a historical
Department of Agriculture predicts adequate world fertilizer decline. Fertilizer supplies appear adequate for a good spring
supplies and reasonable price levels this yr. The demand for season. The industry has a number of promising new or
nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer will remain at a relatively low growing markets. Irrigation has already upped solutions

134
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

consumption in dryland states. Pasture fertilization is being million acre decrease from 1977 plantings.
more favorably considered by livestockmen now that beef and
dairy prices are on the rise. Forest fertilization is considered a 987 The Round Table Looks at Nitrogen-Phosphorus
long-range prospect. Prediction on potential of foliar fertilizer Potassium Supply. Farm Chem. 140 (12), 74-5, 78 (Dec.
vary from good to wait-and-see attitude. Prices held back 1977). Discussions are given by Round Table participants on
1975-76 industry profits. Prices are now paving the way to a the future outlook for N, P, and K. Future N supply was made
gradual return to normal fertilization rates. for the United States only. An oversupply situation in excess
of two to three million mt is predicted for 1978-79. Past data
984 Fertilizer Supply and Demand. J. R. Douglas and C. H. and estimates are made for future uses, sources, and operating
Davis (TVA, National Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle rates from 1972-1980. A list of five possible alternatives for
Shoals, Alabama). Chem. Eng. 84 (15), 89-94 (July 18, 1977). absorbing potential oversupply is also given. The past and
The supply and demand outlook for United States N, P, and K future phosphate supply is presented on a world basis for yr
is given. Fertilizer use of N has averaged about 9.5 million 1975-82. World use up to the mid-1980's is expected to
tons/yr for the past 2 yr. Most projections for 1980 range increase at an average rate of 5.5 to 6%/yr leaving a surplus of
between 11.5 and 12 million tons N. To meet this anticipated about 2.6 million ton by 1982. Total available supply for
growth, 2.6-3.2 million tons of added ammonia production 1977-78, 1978-79, and 1979-80 is estimated to be 30, 31, and
will be needed by 1980. The supply situation for N could get 32 million mt, respectively. The future potash supply and
tight sooner because of an unpredictable ammonia supply. demand is also estimated on a world basis for yr 1978, 1980,
Phosphate supply and demand could approach equilibrium by, and 1985. It is projected that world consumption will increase
or before 1980. Domestic use is again increasing and should from 27.2 to 36.8 million mt during this period. Supply is
approach 5.8 million tons P2 Os by 1980. If demand increases estimated to increase from 31.4 to 39.8 million mt during the
as expected, further expansion of phosphate capacity will be period and is expected to exceed demand by 8% by the end of
needed. The capacity outlook for 1979-80 is presently 9 1985. A list of five major factors affecting the North American
million tons/yr. The future United States supply-demand for potash industry is listed.
potash is difficult to access. At present, 65-75% of United
States potash is imported from Canada. Canada will un 988 Fertilizer Supply-Demand to 1980. R. C. Smith (Amax
doubtedly continue to be a major supplier but increasing Chem. Corp., Greenwich, Connecticut). In 26th Annual
prices have stimulated interest in mining deposits in New Meeting Fertilizer Industry Round Table 1976 Proc. (held
Mexico and other western states. In general, North America Atlanta, Georgia, Oct. 26-8, 1976), pp. 12-19 (1976). With a
still has surplus potash capacity but this surplus may be good fall fertilizer season in the United States, demand should
smaller than anticipated. continue strong in response to anticipated planting and
moderate fertilizer prices. Ammonia producers are concerned
985 Fertilizer Future: More Non-United States Output Seen. about natural gas but are reconciled to paying $2.00/
Chem. Mark. Rep. 212 (18), 4, 30 (Oct. 31, 1977). A balanced thousands cubic feet within the next few yr. World N supply is
N supply and demand situation is forecast by 1980 or 1981 as estimated to be .68 million tons in 1980-81, 36% greater than
105 new ammonia plants are scheduled to be built over the the present supply. Preliminary estimates showed a balanced
next 4-yr. This will bring the total world capacity to some 98 situation for N but recent projections indicate supply in
million mt of N, an increase of 23 million mt over current creasing moderately more than demand. Demand should
capacity. Supply will run at 56 to 60% of nameplate capacity increase by 31% by 1980-81. Phosphate supply-demand
as changes in regional distribution will be of particular currently is being brought into reasonable balance since
significance. Indonesia and Mexico will become substantial 1974-75. World supply capability is projected to increase 15%
exporters while the People's Republic of China and India while demand should increase by about 25% by 1980-81. The
significantly reduce gaps between domestic production and world potash situation hinges on several interrelated factors.
consumption. Gas rich countries in the Middle East and North The most important being the government of Saskatchewan's
Africa will soon provide increased competition. Phosphate acquisition program. World supply of potash is expected to
fertilizers should be in ample supply over the next few yr with increase 9% from 31.7 to 34.6 million tons by 1980-81.
a gradual decrease in surplus and a balanced situation Demand is expected to increase 6%/yr or 26% during the same
predicted by 1982. World consumption of potash should grow period. Only in Western Europe is supply expected to increase
from an estimated 27.2 million short tons K2O in 1978 to as much as demand by 1980-81.
36.8 million tons by 1985. An average annual growth rate of
4.5% is expected for world potash. 989 The Supply Outlook for Blending Materials. E. A. Harre
and J. N. Mahan. In TVA Fertilizer Bulk Blending Conf. (Held
986 United States Experts Predict Sluggish Season for 1978. Aug. 1-2, 1973, Louisville, Kentucky). Muscle Shoals, Ala.:
Green Markets 2 (1), 3 (Jan. 2, 1978). The United States Tennessee Valley Authority, National Fertilizer Development
Department of Agriculture predicts fertilizer prices will remain Center; Bull. Y-62, pp. 9-20 (Aug. 1973). Many products can
low through next spring due to surplus supplies and reduced find their way into a blending formulation but only five are of
demand. Increased United States production capacity, abund major importance. They are ammonium nitrate, urea, concen
ant inventories, and reduced fertilizer use prompted by trated superphosphate, the ammonium phosphates, and
government set-aside policies are the major reasons for this potash. Under the present technology the future in N belongs
prediction. Experts calculate that low crop prices and reduc to urea. Urea and ammonium nitrate cannot be stored in close
tions in acreage will cut wheat plantings by seven to nine proximity; therefore, blenders will have to commit themselves
million acres in 1978. Corn acreage is expected to drop by one to one material or the other. Since almost all N fertilizers used
to two million acres from 1977 levels of 69.5 million. Cotton in the U.S. are derived from ammonia the N supply-demand
acreage is also expected to dip to 10.2 million acres, a 3.1 picture is not clear because of the energy crisis. A curtailment

135.
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

of production to as low as 80% of capacity would mean due to the Government's sales and farm and labor policy. In
imports of 18% of demand by 1975 and could reach 50% by West Germany, new expansions have been put off due to high
1980. Even with a 90% operating rate, demand forecast will labor costs and the cost Squeeze in German agriculture. In the
not be met after 1973 without new capacity. Several products Netherlands, although the outlook for export seems better,
are basic sources of phosphate, including normal superphos expansion plans are not clear. In France, high unprofitability
phate, concentrated superphosphate, wet-process phosphoric in the past has made future investments cautious and plans for
acid, and small amounts of such material as nitric phosphate; substantial expansion of the industry ale very few. Among
but the future belongs to wet acid. In 1962 phosphoric acid other factors which have impeded capacity expansion are the
accounted for less than 50% of the total phosphate market. Its devaluation of the dollar and pollution control measures. The
contribution in 1972 was almost 80% and could reach 87% by curtailment of oil supplies from Middle East is also bound to
1980. The shift to phosphoric acid as the major intermediate inhibit further investments. With the increasing cost of plants
has led to a rate of expansion in plant capacity well above the and raw materials, production programs of developing
phosphate market. The key to the future of the phosphate countries are likely to result in further widening of the gap
industry is the export market. The growth in Canadian potash between production and consumption. However, there are
mining during the past 10 yr completely disrupted supply indications of huge expansion plans in countries of East
patterns and world markets. The Canadian industry has been Europe, particularly in U.S.S.R., Poland, and Romania, and
under a quota system for the past 3 yr and has brought about surplus availability of N from these sources are expected. For
an uneasy balance in the supply situation. The blender's major the present, there does not appear to be much hope of Europe
concern will be competition from other distribution systems playing a prominent role in World trade in phosphatic
such as liquid mixed fertilizer production and handling; fertilizers essentially due to non-availability of rock phosphate
supplies of the materials will be available. and S in Europe. Potash position appears to be comfortable.
International action is urgently needed to forestall any crisis of
990 Indicators Show Continued Growth in Use of Fluid non-availability of fertilizers and soaring prices, which would
Fertilizers. W. C. Scott, J. A. Wilbanks, and L. C. Faulkner seriously affect food production programs in the developing
(TVA, National Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, countries.
Ala.). Fert. Solutions 20 (4), 54, 56, 58-60, 62, 64 (July-Aug.
1976). Trends in types of fertilizer consumption in the United 992 World Fertilizer Supply in the Seventies: Position of
States since 1960 are given. A review of fluid fertilizer raw Western Europe and the Prospects for World Phosphoric Acid
material and necessary equipment for production is provided Industry. A. Robinson and K.L.C. Windridge (International
and the current status of the industry is given. Growth in the Superphosphate & Compound Manufacturers’ Assoc., Ltd.,
production and use of fluids is expected to continue. London, England). Proc., F.A.I. National Seminar World Fert.
Suspension fertilizers seem to be somewhat slower in taking Situation Seventies Technical Economic Aspects Production
over the fluid market than was originally thought. This is Ammonia Based Heavy Fractions Petroleum Feedstocks, pp.
probably due, at least in part, to an unwarranted fear II-2/1-26 (1973) New Delhi: Fertilizer Assn. India. Imbalances
of suspected difficulties in producing and handling these in global supply and demand for fertilizers will acutely hit
products. Suspensions should eventually take over a much other developing countries which are dependent on sizeable
larger portion of the fluid fertilizer market as well as some of imports to meet their domestic needs. Steep increases in
the high-analysis solids market. Availability of new products export prices of fertilizers have further reduced their ability to
such as UAP and potassium phosphates should also help the buy this essential input. India accounts for one-sixth of the
fluid fertilizer industry. In recent years the techniques of fertilizer consumption among the group of 100 countries
manufacturing, storing, and applying suspensions have which can be classified as developing nations. Low use of
improved greatly. Interest in fluid fertilizers is increasing in phosphates and potash in the developing countries poses
Europe and gradual increases in use of these materials appear problems not only from an agronomic point of view, but also
Probable in that area of the world. Increased use of fluids in because of the soaring costs of rock phosphates which need to
the U.S. will continue. A trend toward larger plants that offer be imported to correct imbalances. While Western Europe and
custom application services has been established and is Japan have been net exporters of about 1.2 million mt of N,
expected to continue. the phosphate requirements in Europe are met by heavy
imports from U.S.A., U.S.S.R., and Morocco. From a position
991 The World Fertilizer Situation in the Seventies: of a net exporter of phosphates to the extent of 400,000 mt 4
European Scene. S. Ramachandran (Minerals Metals Trading yr ago, Western Europe has reached a stage when this surplus
Corp. India, Ltd., New Delhi, India). Proc., F.A.I. National has become negligible. The trend of falling net exports will
Seminar World Fert. Situation Seventies Technical Economic continue. Additions to N capacity in Western Europe in the
Aspects Production Ammonia Based Heavy Fractions next few yr will be small, because of steep price increases of
Petroleum Feedstocks, pp. Il-1/1-13 (1973) New Delhi: naphtha and considerably enhanced costs of future ammonia
Fertilizer Assn. India. Europe holds the key to the world plants. There is an urgent need, particularly where developing
fertilizer supply. During 1971-72, production of N in Europe countries are concerned, to clarify the picture and ensure, that
accounted for slightly more than 50% of world production, fertilizer requirements of the developing world will be met.
while its consumption was approximately 46% of world The crux of the problem is to have effective control over the
consumption. There has been considerable movement of N cycle of over-supply and under-supply. Crucial areas where
from East Europe to West Europe, thus making East Europe a immediate action is necessary are improving the capacity
leading producer of N. Owing to the high cost of production, utilization and the profitability in the industry to attract fresh
countries in West Europe have been importing fertilizers from investments.
Eastern Europe to meet domestic demand, and export part of
their home production. Italy's N industry has been depressed 993 The World Fertilizer Situation in the Seventies. S.T.P.

136
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Singh (Sec. Ministry Agr., New Delhi, India). Fert. News 19 11% increase in production capacity is anticipated. The
(1), 21-3, 66 (Jan. 1974). With the use of fertilizers having outlook for N is one of ample to an oversupply situation
reached the proportions they have now reached over a very through the 1970's. World capacity in 1977 totaled 84.9
wide area of the world, there is dire need for concerted effort million mt. Expansion plans world wide are expected to
to analyze and find out the factors contributing to shortages aggravate this situation to the point where one million ton of
and consequential sudden variations in the availability and present capacity could be closed in the next 2 or 3 yr.
prices of fertilizers. The developing countries, in particular,
need to be insulated to the extent possible, from international 997 Nitrogen-Phosphorus-Potassium—World Production. E.
ups and downs originating from factors mainly concerning A. Harre and J. T. Shields (TVA, National Fertilizer Develop
international big business and power politics. This will require ment Center, Muscle Shoals, Alabama). Proc. 1977 NFSA
the cooperation of all countries, and such cooperation should Round Up (held St. Louis, Missouri, July 20-21, 1977.) Peoria,
be forthcoming if hunger and poverty are recognized as world Illinois: National Fert. Solutions Assoc.; pp. 12-15 (1977).
problems, and not the concern of the poor and hungry nations World production of NPK is estimated by analyzing the
only. The outlook especially in the developing countries is not supply-demand situations for three basic regional economic
bright for some time to come unless something is done groups. These are the developed, free world developing, and
immediately by the world community as a whole. The decade the centrally planned economies (East Europe, U.S.S.R., and
of 70s holds a serious challenge. Mainland China). By 1980 it is estimated that total N capacity
will be more than 110 million mt. Since 1967 there has been a
994 World Fertilizer Reserves in Relation to Future steady decline in the market share of the developed region. At
Demand. P. J. Stangel (International Fertilizer Development the same time, developing nations have raised their share of
Center, Muscle Shoals, Alabama). In Plant Adaption to Mineral capacity from below 10% to an expected level approaching
Stress in Problem Soils Proc. (held Beltsville, Maryland, Nov. 25% of total world capacity. Capacity in the centrally planned
22-23, 1976); pp. 31-46 (1976). Estimates are given for the regions has remained between 30-40% of the market. By 1980,
future supply and demand of N, P, and K to the yr 2000. the developed regions and the centrally-planned group of
These estimates are projected with reference to the adequacy countries will have about an equal share of N capacity. World
of raw material reserves. Calculations are made to determine N supply for fertilizer should increase from the current level of
the basic energy requirements and production costs needed to over 42 million tons N to almost 61 million mt by 1980. With
supply each compound. Potential research and development the 1978 fertilizer season, supply will enter a period of surplus
areas were also identified for increasing the efficiency of plant over demand. This excess supply is expected to expand until
utilization. 1980 when it will be almost 7% above expected demand.
Currently the world phosphate supply-demand situation
995 What's Ahead in Fertilizer Supply-Demand. E. A. Harre appears to be in balance. In 1980, the full potential of the
(TVA, National Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, industry is 32 million tons P2 Os. There are no indications for
Alabama). In TVA Fertilizer Conference (held July 27-8, short supplies of potash in the next few yr. By 1980, a 34%
1976, Cincinnati, Ohio). Muscle Shoals, Ala.: Tennessee Valley increase in the potential supply level of world potash is
Authority, National Fertilizer Development Center; Bulletin expected.
Y-106; pp. 18-24 (July 1976). Supply estimates for the 1976
fertilizer season indicate the recovery from the lower levels of 998 United States Department Agriculture Sees World Ferti
use during 1975. The fertilizer market is moving back to more lizer Growth of 32% by 1980-81. Chem. Week 118 (9), 32
normal supply-demand levels. Looking to 1980, it appears that (Mar. 3, 1976). The long-term outlook for fertilizers is strong.
the fertilizer market may be entering a period of modest, but The U.S. Dept. of Agriculture forecasts that North America
not rapid expansion in use. The industry has been through a will use 12.2 million mt of N in 1980-81 compared with an
complete supply-demand cycle and it looks like we are headed estimated 9.8 million in 1974-75 and 9.6 million in 1975-76.
that way again. The drastic swings in supply levels can be Western Europe's consumption is put at 10.4 million mt in
avoided. The price may be that of having to operate in a 1980-81 versus 8.1 million in 1974-75 and 8.4 million in
market place with rather short cyclical movements rather than 1975-76, total world consumption at 60.6 million in 1980-81
the almost 10-yr span that has been the history of the versus 41.8 million and 43.9 million. North American phos.
industry. Reaction times to changing market conditions will be phate use is put at 6.8 million in 1980-81 versus 5.4 million in
much quicker in the future than they have in the past. both 1974-75 and 1975-76. Western European consumption in
1980 is forecast to rise to 7.1 million versus 6.2 million in
996 World Fertilizer Trends. Deneb Taleki. In 3rd Enlarged 1974-75 and 6.4 million in 1975-76. Potash consumption in
Winter Meeting of ISMA Proc. (held Washington, D.C., Nov. 1980 is pegged at 6.9 million in North America versus 5.1
30-Dec. 1, 1977); pp. 90-103 (Jan. 1978). Recent develop million and 5.3 million; 6.7 million in Western Europe versus
ments in the world situation for N, P, K, and phosphate rock 5.7 million and 5.8 million. Total world use of potash is put at
are reviewed and estimates for world consumption are given 29.5 million in 1980-81 versus 22 million and 23 million.
for the 1977-78 season. Overall, fertilizer nutrient consump
tion (in 1977-78) is expected to pass the 100 million ton mark 999 Estimates of Fertilizer Production-Consumption in 1980
for the first time. This will be comprised of (mt) 50 million N, and 1985. Raymond Ewell (State Univ. New York, Buffalo).
27.4 million P, Os, and 23.7 million K2O. Phosphate rock Proc., F.A.I. National Seminar World Fert. Situation
capacity is presently at 130 million ton and 1978 consumption Seventies-Technical Economic Aspects Production Ammonia
should total 117 million tons. Capacity growth for phosphate Based Heavy Fractions Petroleum Feedstocks, pp. I-2/1-18
chemicals is expected to exceed demand between 1978 and (1973). New Delhi: Fertilizer Assn. India. The present
1980 with consumption increasing to 31 million tons by 1981. worldwide shortage of fertilizers will continue for an indefinite
Potash consumption should reach 26 million mt by 1981 as an period, possibly permanently. The basic reason for this is that

137
SUPPLY AND DEMAND

there will probably not be enough new capital invested in the


fertilizer industry to meet the increasing demand for food and
fertilizer generated by 75 million more people in the world
each yr and by rising per capita incomes. New N fertilizer
plants now under construction are estimated to increase
existing world capacity by 6%/yr during 1973-75 compared
with increase in N consumption of 9%/yr during 1967-72.
Phosphate fertilizer is much the same picture as N, although
shortages are likely to be somewhat less acute. World fertilizer
consumption is forecast at 94.1, 123.6, and 155.4 million tons
of nutrients in 1975, 1980, and 1985, respectively, compared
with 72.1 million tons actual consumption in 1971-72. An
analysis of fertilizer surpluses and deficits, country-by
country, is presented. Some of the large deficit countries, such
as China, India, Turkey, Cuba, and Egypt will probably never
be able to achieve self-sufficiency in fertilizer because of
insufficient financial and material resources.

1000 Fertilizer Capacity to Keep Pace with World Demand.


Eur, Chem. News 32 (818), 7 (Jan. 6, 1978). Forecasts issued
by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization
(FAO) indicate that world fertilizer production capacity will
continue to exceed demand through 1985-86. The demand for
N and P is expected to double by the end of this period and K
needs will increase by about one-half. The forecasts were based
on present industry capacity, new facilities under construc
tion, and those firmly committed for completion during the
next 5-yr. Fertilizer prices will rise gradually assuming no
production restrictions by manufacturers. At least two
important changes are expected in the pattern of world
demand. By 1985-86, FAO projects that the fertilizer demand
in centrally planned economics (the USSR, China, and other
communist countries) will equal that of the developed market
economies. Likewise, the share of developing market econo
mies (LDCs) will grow to nearly two-and-one half times its
present level.

138
AUTHOR INDEX

ABBOTT PERIASWAMY

Abbott, J. C. . . . . . . . . . .241 Cook, R. P. . . . . . . . . . . . 104 Gidney, D. R. . . . . .919, 922 Lal, Girdhari . . . . . . . . . . . 77


Achorn, F. P. . . . . .359,563 Couston, J. W. . . . . . .20, 421 Good, D. L. . . . . . . . . . . .249 Lancaster, J. M. . . . . . . . .927
Ahmed, E.D.H. . . . . . . . .247 Covington, Stuart . . . . . . 5 17 Goodson, M. N. . . . . . . . . 965 Laquier, L. L. . . . . . . . . . 871
Ahrens, C. L. . . . . . . . 52, 61, Crady, T. W. . . . . . . . . . . 546 Greek, B. F. . . . . . . . . . . 912 Larson, D. W. . . . . . . . . . . .5
64, 96 Creupelandt, H. . . . . . . . . . 99 Grisso, R. D. . . . . . . . .55, 91 LeCureux, Wayne . . . . . . 547
Aklilu, Bisrat . . . . . . . . . . 522 Crober, C. D. . . . . . .945,946 Grnlie, Odd . . . . . . . . . . .357 Lee, Dong-Bai . . . . . . . . . .49
Alexander, T. M. . . . . . . . 745 Crosser, Larry . . . . . . . . . 545 Groda, Bertie . . . . . . . . . 554 Lee, R. G. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
Alvarez Ercillan, J. A. . . . 176 Culp, J. E. . . . . . . . . . . . . 552 Gronlie, O. . . . . . . . . . . . 242 Little, Arthur, D. Inc.
Ambrose, D. M. . . . . . . . . 513 Gronroos, C. . . . . . . . . . . . .2 72
Amirmorri, H. . . . . . . . . . .92 Dehab, M.G.A. . . . . . . . .247 Livingston, O. W. . . . 22, 48,
Anderson, Barbara . . . . . 599 Dahl, D.C. . . . . . . . . . 10, 95 Hammond, J. W. . . . . . . . 249 53
Anderson, D. G. . . . . . . . 253 Dalrymple, Dana . . . . . . . 420 Hansel, G. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Lohry, L. W. . . . . . . . . . . 557
Anderson, J. F. . . . . . . . . 853 David, C. C. . . . . . . . . . . .943 Hansel, H. . . . . . . . .523, 580 Loue, A. . . . . . . . . . . . . .469
Athavale, M. C. . . . . . . . . . 58 David, M. L. . . . . . . . . . .398 Hargett, N. L. . . . . . 45, 251, Louis, P. L. . . . . . . . . . . . 288
Davies, L. H. . . . . . . . . . . 142 258, 468, 801, 802, 803 Lyon, F. D. . . . . . . 291, 838,
Babbitt, J. F., Jr. . . . . . . 859, Davis, C. H. . . . . . . .403,984 Harre, E. A. . . . . . . . . 22, 48, 920
861 Day, R. L. . . . . . . . . . . . . 888 53, 856, 862, 895,
Baird, J. V. . .. . . . . . . . . 565 De Noronha, J. F. . . . . . . . 51 900, 909, 964, 965, Madangopal, B. . . . . . . . .240
Bakr, M. Y. . .. . . . . . . . . 124 Desai, G. M. . . . . . . . . . . 531 979, 989, 995, 997 Mahan, J. N. . . . . . 797, 798,
Balay, H. L. . .. . . . . . . . . 301 Desai, V. V. . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Hartwig, Les . . . . . . . . . .573 799, 800, 989
Balser, R. L. .. . . . . . . . . . 34 Dever, L. A., Jr. . . . . . . . 550 Hayami, Yujiro . . . . . . . .422 Majumdar, A. . . . . . . . . . 529
Barker, Randolph . . . . . .422 Devino, G. T. . . . . . . . . .550 Heady, E. O. . . . . . . . . . . 716 Malk, J. M. . . . . . . . . . . . 398
Baskett, T. K. . . . . . . . . . . 29 Diamond, R. B. . . . . . . . . . 70 Hemstock, D. H. . . . . . . . 561 Manderson, M. C. . .882, 931
Basu, D. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 416 Dible, Bill . . . . . . . . . . . .865 Henderson, D. R. . . . . . . 544 Marhatta, H. P. . . . . . . . . . 11
Basu, T. N. . . . . . . . . . . .4 16 Doering, O. C. III . . . . . .409 Heredia, F. J. . . . . . . . 1, 250 Marothia, D. K. . . . . . . . . . 58
Bates, Ray . . . . . . . . . . . . 570 Dos Anjos, N. M. . . . . . . . .51 Hermina, M. H. . . . . . . . . 1.65 Marten, J. F. . . . . . . . . . .462
Baumel, C. P. . . . . . . . . . 3.18 Douglas, D. B. . . . . . . . . . 752 Heubrock, Arnold . . . . . . 551 Marten, John . . . . . . .588
Baumel, Phillip . . . . . . . . 319 Douglas, J. R., Jr. . . . . . . 30, Hignett, T. P. . . . . . . 48, 83 Mathur, C. P. . . . . . . . . . . 295
Beasley, L. W. . . . . . . . . . 560 365, 594,856,908, Hill, L. D. . . . . . . . . . . . . 320 Matthiesen, G. C. . . . . . . 868
Beaton, J. D. . . . . . .852, 928 909, 984 Hoeft, R. G. . . . . . . . . . . 564 McCune, D. L. . . . . . . . . . . 26
Berg, W. L. . . . . . . . . . . . 261 Downey, David . . . . . . . . 588 Homem De Melo, F. B. . . .19 Merwin, R. W. . . . . . . . . . 795
Bhave, S. W. . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Downey, W. D. . . . .467, 541 Honan, N. D. . . . . . . . . . . .41 Messerly, Marilym . . . . . . 102
Blair, S. S. . . . . . . . . . . . . 852 Drinka, T. P. . . . . . . . . . . 3.18 Horseman, M.N.J. . . . . . .930 Meyer, R. L. . . . . . . . . .88
Blakeslee, L. L. . . . . . . . .716 Dwarakinath, R. . . . . . . . 520 Hsu, R. C. . . . . . . . . . . . . 376 Miller, J. J. . . . . . . . . . . . 3.18
Blouin, G. M. . . . . .387, 403 Mishra, C. S. . . . . . . . . . . . 59
Boesdorfer, Rolland . . . .360 Eckholm, E. P. . .. . . . . . .47 Ishaque, M. . . . . . . . . . . . .97 Mittal, P. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29,
Bond, B. J. . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 Edmiston, D.C. .. .891, 907 Mittendirf, H. J. . . . . . . . . 50
Book, Robert . . . . . . . . . 587 Ehly, Jean . . . . . .. . . . . . 601 Jalihal, K. A. . . . . . .519, 521 Moitra, A. K. . . . . . . . . . .4.18
Booth, R. L. . . . . . . . . . . .87 Eisgruber, L. M. .. . . . . . . 18 Janke, W. E. . . . . . . . . . .852 Moulik, T. K. . . . . . . . . . 575
Bose, S. K. . . . . . . . . . . . 416 El-Sayed, F. . . . .. . . . . . 124 Javed, A. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 369 Multrop, J. R. . . . . . . . . . 897
Boyle, P. J. . . . . . . . . . . . 262 Emigh, G. D. . . . .. .833, 892 Jayaraman, T. K. . . . . . . . .78 Mylonas, D. M. . . . . . . . . 196
Braun, H. . . . . . . . . . . . . .84 Erickson, F. A. . .. . . . . . 362 Jhingram, I. G. . . . . . . . . 170
Bridges, J. D. . . . . . . . . . .965 Everett, H. W. . . .. . . . . . 409 Johnson, D. E. . . . . . . . . 655 Nand, Satya . . . . . . . . . . 101
Brosnan, Joe . . . . . . . . . . 583 Ewell, Raymond . . . . . . . 999 Johnson, R. R. . . . . . . . . 860 Nelson, D.C. . . . . . .. . . .253
Brown, L. R. . . . . . . . . . . .47 Eyvindson, R. K. . . . . . . . 945 Jones, C. C. . . . . . . . . . . . 398 Nelson, L. B. . . . . . .. . . . 131
Brummitt, W. C. . . . . . . . 542 Jorgensen, J. L. . . . . . . . . 253 Nelson, W. C. . . . . .. . . . .88
Buchner, A. . . . . . . . . . . . 271 Fabry, Carl . . . . . . . . . . . 566 Nevala, M. . . . . . . . .. . . . . .7
Bunker, A. R. . . . . . . . . . 320 Faulkner, L. C. . . . . . . . . 990 Karanjai, S. K. . . . . . . . . . 575 Newton, B. F. . . . . .. . . .926
Buntrock, H. . . . . . . . . . . 262 Fenwick, Richard . . . . . . 581 Kaskar, B. . . . . . . . . . . . .4.17 Nieuwoudt, W. L. . .. . . .423
Byra Reddy, H. N. . . . . 519, Finneran, J. A. . . . . . . . . 406 Katell, Sidney . . . . . . . . .4.15 Norma, D. W. . . . . .. . . . . .8
520 Fogarty, C. F. . . . . . . . . . 715 Kimbrough, H. L. . . . . . . 359
Foster, T. H. . . . . . . . . . . . 54 Kiyoura, Raisaku . . . . . . 933 Ogunfowora, O. . . . . . . . . . 8
Callaway, J. A. . . . . . . . .400 Framingham, C. F. . . . . . 716 Klein, B. W. . . . . . . . . . . . .40 Oyloe, T. L. . . . . . . . . . .667
Calvert, D. W. . . . . . . . . .402 Frederick, M. T. . . . . . . . . 87 Koepke, W. E. . . . . . . . . . 915
Chamberlin, R. E. . . . . . . 364 Free, Joe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 Kolshus, H. J. . . . . . . . . . 518 Padmos, L. . . . . . . . . . . . 818
Chamberlin, Richard . . . .593 Frye, R. B. . . . . . . . . . . . 592 Kramer, J. C. . . . . . .589, 595 Palmer, Lane . . . . . . . . . . 201
Channe Gowda, M. B. . . .521 Fulcher, C. E. . . . . . . . . . 599 Kresge, Conrad . . . . . . . . . 54 Parker, J. H. . . . . . . 25, 864,
Chari, K. S. . . . . . . . . . . . 185 Furlow, J. W. . . . . . . . . . 177 Krishnaswami, S. . . . . . . . . 23 908
Chaudhary, B. N. . . .16, 528 Furniss, I. F. . . . . . .945, 946 Kulkarni, A. N. . . . . . . . .746 Parthasarathy, N. S. . . . .526
Chaudhry, M. G. . . . . . . . 369 Patel, S. M. . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Choudhuri, R. . . . . . . . . . 170 Gargano, G. . . . . . . . . . . . 381 Lahiri, K. C. . . . . . . . . . . 4.18 Pathak, S. M. . . . . . . . . . . 578
Cibantos, J. S. . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Gaumer, Keith . . . . . . . . 540 Laing, David . . . . . . . . . . 896 Patterson, Tom . . . . . . . . 582
Cone, B. W. . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Ghashghai, I. . . . . . . . . . . . 92 Lakshman, H. K. . . . . . . . 240 Periaswamy, R. S. . . . . . . 240
AUTHOR INDEX

PHILLIPS ZATOUT

Phillips, A. B. . . .. .. . . . 138 Savage, P. R. . . . . . . 103,934 Smith, R. C. . . . . . . . . . .988 Wadis, K. A. . . . . . 266, 532,


Poulton, J. W. . . .. .. . . . 597 Savdasia, V. B. . . . . . . . . .78 Smith, Y.C. . . . . . . . . . . 552 533
Powell, A. F. . . . . . .. . . . .40 Schottler, R. . . . . . . . . . . 347 Srinivasamurthy, J. . . . . .520 Waggoner, D. R. . . . . . . . .87
Powell, J. D. . . . .. .. . . . 178 Schultz, J. J. . . . . . . . . . . .70 Stangel, P. J. . . . . . . . . . . 24, Wagle, M. P. . . . . . . . . . .484
Prasad, C. . . . . . .. . . . . . 528 Schwartz, A. K. . . . . . . . .400 70, 82,994 Wagner, R. E. . . . . . . . . .923
Prestwich, Lym . .. .. . . . 102 Scott, W. C. . . . . . . . . . . .990 Stowasser, W. F. . . . . . . .904 Walker, W. M. . . . . . . . . . 564
Pushparaj, K. . . . .. .. . . .304 Sealy, Tom . . . . . . . . . . .952 Strauss, J. L. . . . . . . . 14, 567 Walkup, H. G. . . . . . . . . 540,
Sekhon, G. S. . . . . . . . . .539 Stroike, H. L. . . . . . . . . 798, 558,559, 594
Quirk, Tom . . . . . . . . . . . 535 Sen, S. N. . . . . . . . . . . . . 305 799, 800 Wang, Kung Lee . . . . . . . .40
Shankar, T. L. . . . . . . ... .419 Sullivan, L. J. . . . . . . . . .525 Ward, R. H. . . . . . . . . . . . 572
Raiher, Ronald . . . . . . . .551 Shankar, V. S. . . . . . . . . .344 Sutherland, W. N. . .589, 595 Warner, Richard . . . . . . . 596
Ramachandran, S. . . . . . .991 Sharma, D. P. . . . . . . . . . . 12 Warren, C. J. . . . . . . . . . . 639
Ramachandran, V. . . . . . . .4. Sheldon, V. L. . . . . . . . . .527 Taleki, Deneb . . . . . . . . .996 Wassaf, A. . . . . . . . . . . . . 165
Ramanna, R. . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Sherff, J. L. . . . . . . . . . . .404 Talway, K.S.K. . . . . . . . .746 Wehrman, R. H. . . . .45, 258
Ramaprasad, K. . . . . . . . .346 Shields, J.T. . . . . . . . . 3, 22, Tambad, S. B. . . . . . . . . .536 Wett, Ted . . . . . . . . . . . .875
Ramaswamy, V. S. . . . . . 303 48, 52, 53, 61, 64 Tatum, H. B. . . . . . . . . . . .52 Wheeler, E. M. . . . . . . . . . 553
Ranganathan, V. . . . . . . . 524 95, 96, 997 Taylor, C. R. . . . . . . . . . . .32 White, W. C. . . . . . . 395, 713
Rangi, P. S. . . . . . . . . . . .252 Shim, Y. K. . . . . . . . . . . . .95 Terman, G. L. . . . . . . . . . .70 Wierer, K. . . . . . . . . . . . . 100
Reagon, Duro . . . . . . . . . .69 Sidhu, D. S. . . . . . . . . . . .252 Thomas, T. T. . . . . . . . . .244 Wilbanks, J. A. . . . . . . . . 990
Reed, J. F. . . . . . . . . . . . .81 Sikder, B. P. . . . . . . . . . . 579 Thompson, R. G. . . . . . .400 Wiley, J. H. . . . . . . . . . . . 906
Rhein, Paul . . . . . . . . . . .388 Sikder, R. P. . . . . . . . . . .358 Thompson, V. M. . . . . . .585 Williams, G. G. . . . . . . . .979
Robinson, A. . . . . . . . . . .992 Sills, L. G. . . . . . . . . . . . .258 Thorup, R. M. . . . . . . . . . 548 Wilson, C. A. . . . . . . . . . . 591
Rogers, James . . . . . . . . .584 Simak, S. E. . . . . . . . . . .364 Timmer, C. P. . . . . . . . . . . .9 Windridge, K.L.C. . . . . . .992
Roumasset, J. A. . . . . . . . . 17 Simak, Shelley . . . . . . . .600 Trytten, J. M. . . . . . . . . .534 Wise, J. E. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Rudel, R. K. . . . . . . . . . . .36 Singh, Gurdev . . . . . . . . . . .4 Turbeville, W. J., Jr. . . . .883 Woodworth, R. C. . . . . . . . 70
Russel, D. A. . . . . . . . .55, 91 Singh, Raghbir . . . . . . . . 539 Woolf, W. F. . . . . . . . . . . 560
Russell, B. G. . . . . . . . . . .39 Singh, S.T.P. . . . . . . . . . .993 Ullrich, K. H. . . . . . . . . . 271 Wright, E. B. . . . . . . . . . . 563
Sinha, N. C. . . . . . . . . . . .4.18 Wyss, Al . . . . . . . . . . . . . 886
Sahai, C. . . . . . . . . . . . . .746 Sirohi, A. S. . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Valdes, A. . . . . . . . . . . . . .79
Salmieri, P. . . . . . . . . . . . 381 Sivaraj, K. . . . . . . . . . . . .277 Vasino, R. . . . . . . . . . . . .38 l Yates, O. R. . . . . . . . . . . 921
Sankhayan, P. L. . . . . .6, 252 Skaadel, Johannes . . . . . .350 Verghese, M. C. . . . . . . . . 104 Yeutter, Clayton . . . . . . .722
Sarkar, H. C. . . . . . . . . . .530 Skull, A. J. . . . . . . . . . . .345 Verhaegen, G. . . . . . . . . . .71
Sastry, K.N.R. . . . . . . . . . . 15 Smith, E. D. . . . . . . . . . .518 Von Uexkull, H. R. . . . . .942 Zatout, A. A. . . . . . . . . . 124

MATERIALS INDEX

AMMONIA NITROGEN-PHOSPHORUS-POTASSIUM

Ammonia, 35, 36, 37, 103, 104, 132, 275, 276, 316, 359, 360, 746, 747, 748, 751, 756, 763,
105, 106, 107, 108, 109, 110, 567, 712, 989, 990 771, 774, 780, 817,969
1 12, 113, 114, 115, 116, 135, Mixed Fertilizers, 225,483 Nitrogen-Phosphorus-Potassium,
200, 253, 263, 264, 286, 287, Monoammonium Phosphate, 148 22, 24, 26, 27, 48, 53, 65,289,
288, 293, 294, 295, 296, 297, Naptha, 383
298, 299, 300, 324, 325, 326, Natural Gas, 408, 412 §. : : i. 3. º
327, 331, 332, 333, 334, 335, Nitric Acid, 396, 960 ; 3. 3. 2 > 3.

352, 353, 354, 362, 382, 384, Nitric Phosphate, 130 502, 503, 511, 538, 553, 610,
385, 400, 401, 406, 409, 410, Nitrogen, 17, 31, 32, 89, 128, 136, 611, 649, 661, 666, 667, 668,
41 1, 414, 417, 436, 438, 451, 141, 144, 145, 151, 208, 226, 671, 681, 686, 701, 713, 715,
551, 604, 635, 636, 663, 708, 227, 308, 350, 369, 407, 413, 731, 732, 739, 740, 743, 744,
714, 729, 754, 829, 874, 875, 415, 416, 418, 424, 426, 450, 749, 750, 753, 766, 767, 768,
876, 877, 878, 879, 880 462, 606, 612, 617, 620, 639, 770, 776, 777, 779, 782, 797,
Ammonia and Urea, 38 l 654, 664, 675, 677, 684, 700, 798, 799, 800, 801, 802, 803,
Ammonium Nitrate, 351, 613 707, 769, 772, 773, 775, 781, 804, 805, 806, 807, 808, 809,
Ammonium Phosphate, 224, 435, 818, 819, 821, 828, 852, 853, 810, 811, 812, 813, 814, 815,
691,.692, 693, 830 854, 855, 856, 857, 858, 859, 823, 824, 825, 826, 827 850,
Ammonium Sulfate, 452, 624, 628 860, 861, 862, 863, 864, 865, 851, 941, 943, 944, 945, 946,
Calcium Ammonium Nitrate, 689 866, 867, 868, 869, 870 871, 947, 948, 949, 950, 951, 952,
Diammonium Phosphate, 222, 688, 872, 873, 956, 975 953, 954, 955, 957, 958, 959,
705 Nitrogen-Phosphate, 239, 404, 427, 962, 963, 964, 965, 966, 967,
Liquid Fertilizer, 45, 46, 129, 131, 434, 489, 655, 656, 738, 745, 968, 970, 971, 972, 973, 974,
MATERIALS INDEX

NITROGEN-PHOSPHORUS-POTASSIUM UREA AMMONIUM SULFATE

976, 977, 978, 979, 980, 981, 787, 789, 790, 833, 834, 835, Raw Materials, 846, 847, 848, 849,
982, 983, 984, 985, 986, 987, 836, 837, 882, 883, 884, 885, 942
988, 991, 993, 994, 995, 996, 886, 887, 888, 889, 890, 891, Sulfur, 43, 126, 127, 149, 150,
997, 998, 999, 1000 892, 893, 894, 895, 905, 909 194, 195, 236, 329, 504, 505,
Nitrogen-Phosphorus-Sulfur, 645 Phosphate Rock Slurry, 328 630, 631, 698, 704, 741, 795,
Phosphate, 39, 40, 41, 147, 211, Phosphoric Acid, 117, 118, 119, 796, 822, 845, 926, 927, 928,
218, 232, 233, 246, 279, 280, 121, 122, 123, 278, 341, 342, 929, 930, 931, 932, 933, 934,
281, 285, 317, 337, 338, 355, 343, 361, 507, 647, 648, 659, 935, 936
356, 370, 378, 390, 442, 471, 660, 678, 718, 719, 911, 912, Sulfur-Coated Urea, 142, 143
478, 488, 508, 510, 643, 650, 913, 992 Sulfur-Sulfuric Acid, 844
651, 658, 672, 690, 717, 720, Phosphorus, 439, 783 Sulfuric Acid, 44, 282, 330, 340,
721, 725, 733, 755, 761, 764, Phosphorus-Potassium, 445 473, 500, 632, 633, 646, 673,
791, 831, 832, 896, 897, 898, Potash, 124, 125, 183, 184, 185, 699, 742, 757, 758, 759, 760,
899, 900, 901, 902, 903, 904, 186, 187, 188, 189, 190, 191, 778, 937, 938, 939, 940, 961
906, 907, 908, 910 192, 193, 204, 214, 237, 238, Superphosphate, 310,425
Phosphate Rock, 38, 120, 155, 314, 339, 371, 392, 429, 430, Triple Superphosphate, 146
156, 157, 158, 159, 160, 161, 431, 432, 433, 460, 461, 476, Urea, 33, 34, 111, 228, 265, 270,
162, 163 164, 165, 166, 167, 481, 607, 608, 609, 640, 641, 273, 301, 309, 336, 374, 387,
168, 169, 170, 171, 172, 173, 419, 453, 454, 614, 615, 616,
174, 175, 176, 177, 178, 179, º º: º ; 7. %. 634, 642, 653, 66.2, 665, 676,
180,
428,
181,
455,
182,
456,
274,
467,
315,
468,
391,
469,
793. 793. 794. 816. $30. 838.*
3. 2 * • 3.
682, 685, 702, 881
Urea and Nitrate, 386
430, 485, 49.i. 493, 493, 494, $39, 840, 84), $42, 94, 21%. Urea Ammonium Phosphate, 139,
509, 605, 637. 638, 657, 669, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 921, 140
674, 680, 687, 694, 695, 709, 922, 923, 924, 925 Urea Ammonium Sulfate, 621, 622,
716, 723, 762, 784, 785, 786, Potassium Sulfate, 42,843 623, 626, 627

GEOGRAPHICAL INDEX

AFGHANISTAN NEW ZEALAND

Afghanistan, 306 Developing Countries, 9, 99, 100, Indonesia, 336, 614, 615, 751, 959
Africa, 50, 155 101, 243, 268, 422, 474, 949, Iran, 92,690, 727
Angola, 156 950 Ireland, 37, 137, 616, 617
Arabia, 234 Dominican Republic, 54 Israel, 752
Argentina, 731 East Germany, 951 Italy, 93,278, 486, 618, 753
Asia, 10, 48, 49, 73, 85,941, 942, Egypt, 124, 165, 166, 167, 247, Ivory Coast, 94
943 677 Japan, 61, 62, 118, 151, 152, 373,
Australia, 41, 157, 424, 425, 426, England, 267 374, 392, 435, 487, 488, 489,
471, 604, 605, 732 Ethiopia, 522 490, 619, 620, 621, 622, 623,
Bangledesh, 270 Europe, 29, 114, 238, 329, 613, 624, 625, 626, 627, 628, 629,
Belgium, 307 678,679, 991, 992 630, 631, 632, 633, 691, 692,
Brazil, 5, 18, 19, 51, 88, 158, 159, Finland, 7, 743 693, 694, 695, 696, 697, 698,
160, 161, 224, 225, 328, 427, France, 227, 334, 475, 476, 477, 699, 726, 728, 754, 755, 756,
428,671, 672, 733, 902 478, 680 757, 758, 759, 760, 937, 960,
Bulgaria, 606 Germany, 271, 332, 480, 725, 952 96.1
Canada, 90, 126, 149, 162, 163, Ghana, 21, 55, 91 Jordan, 185, 315, 761, 762
204, 183, 184, 214, 313, 314, Holland, 744 Korea, 269
412, 429, 430, 431, 432, 433, Hungary, 681 Kuwait, 634
473, 537, 607, 608, 609, 610, India, 4, 6, 12, 13, 56, 57, 58, 59, Laos, 186
673, 734, 735, 736, 737, 852, 60, 77, 78, 110, 125, 168, 169, Latin America, 59,880
889, 944, 945,946 170, 240, 244, 245, 252, 272, Libya, 635
Caribbean, 89 277, 294, 295, 346, 358, 372, Malaysia, 63,962
Central America, 52 383, 416, 417, 418, 434, 482, Mexico, 96, 171, 187, 236, 636,
483, 484, 485, 579, 520, 521, 763
Chile, 611
524, 530, 538, 539, 575, 578, Morocco, 279, 341, 342, 355, 356,
China, 612, 674, 675, 738, 739, 579, 682, 683, 684, 685, 686, 491, 492, 493, 494, 637, 638,
947, 948 687, 688, 689, 745, 746, 747, 764, 894
Colombia, 164, 676 748, 749, 750, 953, 954, 955, Netherland, 308, 343, 639
Comecon, 740, 741, 742, 918 956, 957, 958 New Zealand, 309, 310, 938
GEOGRAPHICAL INDEX

NIGERIA ZAIRE

Nigeria, 8 498, 499, 500, 501, 502, 503, 557, 558, 559, 560, 561, 562,
North America, 640, 641, 765, 597, 653, 706, 776, 777, 778, 563, 564, 565, 566, 568, 569,
862, 903, 908, 921, 963, 964, 779, 973, 974, 975 570, 572, 573, 574, 576, 577,
965 United States, 11, 27, 28, 32, 34, 586, 587, 588, 593, 594, 595,
North Vietnam, 766 36, 40, 43, 45, 46, 65, 66, 74, 596, 598, 599, 600, 601, 602,
North Korea, 642 80, 82, 98, 105, 106, 107, 108, 654, 655, 656, 657, 658, 659,
Norway, 172, 242, 292, 302, 333 109, 113, 116, 117, 119, 120, 660, 661, 707, 708, 709, 710,
Pakistan, 235, 369, 700, 701, 966 121, 127, 129, 130, 131, 132, 711, 712, 722, 723, 780, 781,
Peru, 173, 174, 643 133, 134, 135, 136, 138, 139, 782, 783, 784, 785, 786, 787,
Philippines, 17, 111, 603, 702, 703 140, 143, 144, 145, 146, 147, 788, 789, 790, 791, 792, 793,
Poland, 188, 280, 330, 644, 645, 148, 150, 154, 193, 194, 177, 794, 795, 796, 797, 798, 799,
646, 767, 967, 968 178, 179, 180, 197, 198, 199, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805,
Portugal, 229, 768 200, 201, 202, 203, 207, 208, 806, 807, 808, 809, 810, 81 1,
Rhodesia, 495 209, 210, 211, 212, 218, 219, 812, 813, 814, 853, 857, 860,
Romania, 769, 969 220, 221, 222, 223, 232, 237, 861, 868, 871, 879, 883, 884,
Russia, 770 251, 253, 257, 258, 264, 265, 885, 886, 888, 891, 892, 895,
Saudi Arabia, 175 273, 274, 276, 284, 285, 286, 896, 900, 904, 906, 907, 915,
South Africa, 230, 246, 375, 472, 293, 297, 298, 311, 312, 316, 919, 922, 928, 976, 977, 978,
647, 648 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 322, 979, 980, 981, 982, 983, 984,
South America, 970 323, 324, 325, 327, 331, 335, 985, 986, 987, 988,989
South Korea, 95, 228, 649, 704, 337, 338, 348, 349, 351, 352, USSR, 67, 68, 123, 128, 181, 182,
771, 971 354, 361, 362, 364, 365, 366, 195, 281, 287, 299, 326, 662,
Spain, 176, 217, 231, 282, 436, 367, 368, 377, 378, 382, 389, 663, 664, 665, 729, 815, 816,
496, 772, 773,774, 775, 866 393, 394, 396, 398, 399, 400, 972
Sri Lanka, 205, 248, 437 401, 402, 403, 404, 408, 409, Venezuela, 666
Sweden, 115, 651 410, 411, 414, 440, 441, 442, Vietnam, 817
Syria, 650 444, 445, 447, 448, 450, 452, West Europe, 818
Taiwan, 64, 376, 652 454, 455, 456, 457, 460, 461, West Germany, 479,481,667, 819,
Thailand, 190, 189 462, 463, 464, 465, 466, 467,
820, 821
Tunisia, 249 468, 504, 505, 506, 507, 508,
Turkey, 705, 873 509, 510, 511, 512, 516, 525, West Pakistan, 97
United Kingdom, 122, 142, 191, 535, 540, 541, 542, 543, 544, Western World, 822, 939
192, 206, 215, 216, 226, 283, 545, 546, 547, 548, 549, 550, Yugoslavia, 69,668
296, 363, 413, 438, 439, 497, 551, 552, 553, 554, 555, 556, Zaire, 70, 71
Agriculºus

DATE DUE

ACS

ſ^

HIGHSMITH 45-220
º
THE QHQSIAIEUNIVERSITYBOOKDEPOSITORY

ſiliſi
Q ASLE SECT SHLF side"Fös"TEM c
8 08 06 29 8 7 15 018" 3

Bulletin Y-135 October 1 978

NATIONAL FERTILIZER DEVELOPMENT CENTER TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY MUSCLE SHOAL S, ALABAMA 35660

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