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Abstract—Patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus, especially those with nephropathy, are at increased risk for coronary heart
disease (CHD). However, information on the predictive value of cardiovascular risk factors and the degree of
hyperglycemia with respect to CHD events in patients with type 1 diabetes without nephropathy is still incomplete.
Therefore, we performed a prospective study on risk factors for CHD in patients with type 1 diabetes free of clinical
nephropathy. At baseline examination, cardiovascular risk factor levels of CHD were determined in 177 patients with
type 1 diabetes (87 men and 90 women), age 45 to 64 years at baseline and $30 years at the time of diagnosis of
diabetes. These patients were followed up to 7 years with respect to CHD events. Altogether, 20 patients with type 1
diabetes (13 men [7.3%] and 7 women [3.9%]) died of CHD and 28 patients with type 1 diabetes (17 men [9.6%] and
11 women [6.2%]) had a serious CHD event (death from CHD or nonfatal myocardial infarction). In multivariate Cox
regression analysis, a previous history of myocardial infarction (hazard ratio [HR] and its 95% confidence interval, 8.0
[3.1 to 21.0], P,0.001), high glycohemoglobin A1 (.10.4%, the highest tertile, HR 5.4 [1.4 to 20.4], P50.013), and
the duration of diabetes (.16 years, the highest tertile, HR 4.2 [1.3 to 12.9], P50.013) were the only variables
associated with CHD death even after adjustment for other cardiovascular risk factors. These variables also predicted
the incidence of all CHD events. Our results indicate that poor metabolic control is a strong predictor of CHD events
in patients with late-onset type 1 diabetes without nephropathy, independently of other cardiovascular risk factors.
(Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol. 1999;19:1014-1019.)
Key Words: type 1 diabetes n glucose n glycohemoglobin A1 n coronary heart disease
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1014
Lehto et al April 1999 1015
the age of 30 years or later, and (3) area of residence and place of collection with regard to hospital-treated MIs was complete, a
birth in the Kuopio University Hospital district (eastern Finland) computerized hospital discharge register was used to check
or in the Turku University Hospital district (western Finland). hospital admissions of all participants of the baseline study, and
Altogether, 567 diabetic patients from eastern Finland and 639 in case of hospitalization for an acute CHD event, medical records
diabetic patients from western Finland participated (participation were checked. The modified World Health Organization criteria
rates were 83% and 73%, respectively). Of these diabetic patients, for definite or possible MI based on chest pain symptoms, ECG
120 from eastern Finland and 158 patients from western Finland changes, and enzyme determinations were used in the ascertain-
had insulin treatment at the time of examination. C-peptide ment of the diagnosis of MI similarly as in the baseline study.20
measurements after intravenous glucagon were performed in 112 Copies of death certificates of those patients who had died were
of the insulin-treated patients from eastern Finland and in 151 obtained from the files of the Central Statistical Office of Finland.
patients from western Finland (93% and 96%, respectively). In In the final classification of the causes of death, hospital records
228 patients, type 1 diabetes was diagnosed by postglucagon and autopsy records were used, if available. The mortality data
C-peptide measurement (,0.20 nmol/L) and a history of ketoac- included in the present article are mortality from CHD (Interna-
idosis. In all of these patients insulin treatment had been initiated tional Classification of Diseases 9, Codes 410 to 414).
within the first year after diagnosis. The cutoff point of 0.20
nmol/L was chosen because postglucagon C-peptide values below Statistical Methods
this limit have been shown to be associated with the occurrence of Data analyses were conducted with the SPSSX and SPSS/PC1
ketoacidosis in insulin-treated diabetic subjects.19 These 228 programs (SPSS Inc). The results for continuous variables are
patients (113 men and 115 women) formed the study population. given as mean6SEM values or percentages. The differences
Fifty-one patients (26 men and 25 women) with urinary protein between the groups were assessed by the x2 test, or Student’s
excretion .300 mg/L and/or serum creatinine .110 mmol/L in 2-tailed t test for independent samples when appropriate. The
women and 120 mmol/L in men were excluded. Thus, the final univariate and multivariate Cox regression model23 was used to
study population comprised 177 patients (87 men and 90 women). investigate the association of cardiovascular risk factors with the
The study program previously described in detail18 was performed incidence of CHD events.
during 1 outpatient visit at the Clinical Research Unit of the
University of Kuopio or the Rehabilitation Research Center of the
Social Insurance Institution in Turku. The visit included an interview
Approval of Ethics Committee
regarding the history of chest pain symptoms suggestive of CHD, This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Kuopio
smoking, alcohol intake, physical activity, and the use of drugs. All University Central Hospital and the Turku University Central Hos-
medical records of those subjects who reported during the interview pital. All study subjects gave informed consent.
that they had been admitted to the hospital because of chest pain
symptoms were reviewed. Review of the medical records was Results
performed by 2 of us (M.L. in Kuopio and T.R. in Turku) after a During 7-year follow-up (mean follow-up was 7.2 years in
careful standardization of the methods between the reviewers. The men and women), 20 patients (13 men [7.3%] and 7 women
World Health Organization criteria for verified definite or possible
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triglycerides, and HDL cholesterol). In a similar manner, CHD, we included these variables into the Cox regression
previous MI, high GHbA1, and a long duration of diabetes models also as continuous variables. In addition, we used
were associated significantly with all CHD events in univar- different cutoff points to confirm that the use of the highest
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iate analyses. Multivariate Cox analyses demonstrated that tertile limit does not underestimate the significance of these
HRs for previous MI (3.4 [1.5 to 7.9], P50.004), high GHbA1 variables. Dyslipidemia was not a significant risk factor in
(2.8 [1.2 to 6.9], P50.021), and long duration of diabetes any of these analyses.
(HR 3.9 [1.6 to 9.3], P50.002) remained almost unchanged We did all statistical analyses also by including patients
when adjusted for other cardiovascular risk factors. Because with nephropathy in our analyses (data not shown). These
lipids and lipoproteins were not associated with the risk for analyses also demonstrated that poor glycemic control (high
TABLE 2. Unadjusted and Adjusted HRs and Their 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for
Cardiovascular Risk Factors to Increase the Risk for CHD Events During 7-Year Follow-Up in
Patients With Type 1 Diabetes (Cox Regression Model)
CHD Mortality (20/177) HR (95% CI) All CHD Events (28/177)
which may also contribute to the development of vascular spective study of 4400 patients observed between 1947 and 1973.
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