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Poor Glycemic Control Predicts Coronary Heart Disease

Events in Patients With Type 1


Diabetes Without Nephropathy
Seppo Lehto, Tapani Rönnemaa, Kalevi Pyörälä, Markku Laakso

Abstract—Patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus, especially those with nephropathy, are at increased risk for coronary heart
disease (CHD). However, information on the predictive value of cardiovascular risk factors and the degree of
hyperglycemia with respect to CHD events in patients with type 1 diabetes without nephropathy is still incomplete.
Therefore, we performed a prospective study on risk factors for CHD in patients with type 1 diabetes free of clinical
nephropathy. At baseline examination, cardiovascular risk factor levels of CHD were determined in 177 patients with
type 1 diabetes (87 men and 90 women), age 45 to 64 years at baseline and $30 years at the time of diagnosis of
diabetes. These patients were followed up to 7 years with respect to CHD events. Altogether, 20 patients with type 1
diabetes (13 men [7.3%] and 7 women [3.9%]) died of CHD and 28 patients with type 1 diabetes (17 men [9.6%] and
11 women [6.2%]) had a serious CHD event (death from CHD or nonfatal myocardial infarction). In multivariate Cox
regression analysis, a previous history of myocardial infarction (hazard ratio [HR] and its 95% confidence interval, 8.0
[3.1 to 21.0], P,0.001), high glycohemoglobin A1 (.10.4%, the highest tertile, HR 5.4 [1.4 to 20.4], P50.013), and
the duration of diabetes (.16 years, the highest tertile, HR 4.2 [1.3 to 12.9], P50.013) were the only variables
associated with CHD death even after adjustment for other cardiovascular risk factors. These variables also predicted
the incidence of all CHD events. Our results indicate that poor metabolic control is a strong predictor of CHD events
in patients with late-onset type 1 diabetes without nephropathy, independently of other cardiovascular risk factors.
(Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol. 1999;19:1014-1019.)
Key Words: type 1 diabetes n glucose n glycohemoglobin A1 n coronary heart disease
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S everal studies have indicated that mortality and mor-


bidity rates of coronary heart disease (CHD) are 2 to 4
times higher among patients with type 1 diabetes than in
mic control had been measured at baseline, were not avail-
able. This information is, however, particularly relevant
because a high occurrence of CHD in patients with type 1
age-matched nondiabetic subjects.1,2 In particular, patients diabetes with nephropathy could be caused mainly by adverse
with clinical diabetic nephropathy and a long duration of effects of renal disease on cardiovascular risk factors and not
diabetes have an extremely high morbidity from macro- by the diabetes state itself.17 Therefore, we performed a
vascular disease.2–5 Proteinuria and microalbuminuria in prospective study on risk factors for CHD in representative
patients with type 1 diabetes are known to be associated cohorts of Finnish patients with late-onset type 1 diabetes and
with several adverse cardiovascular risk factors, including without nephropathy.
hypertension and lipoprotein abnormalities, characterized
mainly by elevated serum total and LDL cholesterol and Methods
high total and VLDL triglyceride levels, low HDL choles- Subjects
terol, and low ApoA1 levels.6 – 8 Chronic hyperglyce-
mia9 –12 and poor glycemic control13–16 have been impli- Baseline Study
A cross-sectional study aiming to compare the prevalence of
cated in the pathogenesis of microvascular complications atherosclerotic vascular disease and its risk factors in middle-
in patients with type 1 diabetes, but little data are available aged diabetic patients and in nondiabetic subjects was performed
on the role of these factors for the development of from 1982 to 1984 in eastern and western Finland. A detailed
macrovascular complications. description of the procedure of obtaining representative study
Prospective studies based on representative cohorts of populations has been reported elsewhere.18 The study population
was chosen from the national register of the Social Insurance
patients with late-onset type 1 diabetes and without clinical Institution, which includes all Finnish citizens who receive
diabetic nephropathy, in whom cardiovascular risk factors antidiabetic medication. In brief, the inclusion criteria were the
including serum lipids, lipoproteins, and indicators of glyce- following: (1) age from 45 to 64 years, (2) diabetes diagnosed at

Received August 5, 1998; revision accepted September 22, 1998.


From the Department of Medicine (S.L., K.P., M.L.), Kuopio University Hospital, Kuopio; and the Department of Medicine (T.R.), Turku University
Central Hospital, and the Social Insurance Institution (T.R.), Turku, Finland.
Correspondence to M. Laakso, Department of Medicine, Kuopio University Hospital, SF-70210 Kuopio, Finland. E-mail markku.laakso@uku.fi
© 1999 American Heart Association, Inc.
Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol. is available at http://www.atvbaha.org

1014
Lehto et al April 1999 1015

the age of 30 years or later, and (3) area of residence and place of collection with regard to hospital-treated MIs was complete, a
birth in the Kuopio University Hospital district (eastern Finland) computerized hospital discharge register was used to check
or in the Turku University Hospital district (western Finland). hospital admissions of all participants of the baseline study, and
Altogether, 567 diabetic patients from eastern Finland and 639 in case of hospitalization for an acute CHD event, medical records
diabetic patients from western Finland participated (participation were checked. The modified World Health Organization criteria
rates were 83% and 73%, respectively). Of these diabetic patients, for definite or possible MI based on chest pain symptoms, ECG
120 from eastern Finland and 158 patients from western Finland changes, and enzyme determinations were used in the ascertain-
had insulin treatment at the time of examination. C-peptide ment of the diagnosis of MI similarly as in the baseline study.20
measurements after intravenous glucagon were performed in 112 Copies of death certificates of those patients who had died were
of the insulin-treated patients from eastern Finland and in 151 obtained from the files of the Central Statistical Office of Finland.
patients from western Finland (93% and 96%, respectively). In In the final classification of the causes of death, hospital records
228 patients, type 1 diabetes was diagnosed by postglucagon and autopsy records were used, if available. The mortality data
C-peptide measurement (,0.20 nmol/L) and a history of ketoac- included in the present article are mortality from CHD (Interna-
idosis. In all of these patients insulin treatment had been initiated tional Classification of Diseases 9, Codes 410 to 414).
within the first year after diagnosis. The cutoff point of 0.20
nmol/L was chosen because postglucagon C-peptide values below Statistical Methods
this limit have been shown to be associated with the occurrence of Data analyses were conducted with the SPSSX and SPSS/PC1
ketoacidosis in insulin-treated diabetic subjects.19 These 228 programs (SPSS Inc). The results for continuous variables are
patients (113 men and 115 women) formed the study population. given as mean6SEM values or percentages. The differences
Fifty-one patients (26 men and 25 women) with urinary protein between the groups were assessed by the x2 test, or Student’s
excretion .300 mg/L and/or serum creatinine .110 mmol/L in 2-tailed t test for independent samples when appropriate. The
women and 120 mmol/L in men were excluded. Thus, the final univariate and multivariate Cox regression model23 was used to
study population comprised 177 patients (87 men and 90 women). investigate the association of cardiovascular risk factors with the
The study program previously described in detail18 was performed incidence of CHD events.
during 1 outpatient visit at the Clinical Research Unit of the
University of Kuopio or the Rehabilitation Research Center of the
Social Insurance Institution in Turku. The visit included an interview
Approval of Ethics Committee
regarding the history of chest pain symptoms suggestive of CHD, This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Kuopio
smoking, alcohol intake, physical activity, and the use of drugs. All University Central Hospital and the Turku University Central Hos-
medical records of those subjects who reported during the interview pital. All study subjects gave informed consent.
that they had been admitted to the hospital because of chest pain
symptoms were reviewed. Review of the medical records was Results
performed by 2 of us (M.L. in Kuopio and T.R. in Turku) after a During 7-year follow-up (mean follow-up was 7.2 years in
careful standardization of the methods between the reviewers. The men and women), 20 patients (13 men [7.3%] and 7 women
World Health Organization criteria for verified definite or possible
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[3.9%] women) with type 1 diabetes died of CHD. Alto-


myocardial infarction (MI) based on chest pain symptoms, ECG
changes, and enzyme determinations were used in the ascertainment gether, 28 patients with type 1 diabetes (17 men [9.6%] and
of the diagnosis of previous MI.20 11 women [6.2%]) had a serious CHD event (death from
Smoking status was based on an interview. In all statistical CHD or nonfatal MI).
analyses, subjects were classified as nonsmokers or current Table 1 summarizes baseline characteristics of patients
smokers.
With the subject in a sitting position after a 5-minute rest, blood
with type 1 diabetes, in relation to cardiovascular mortality
pressure was measured with a mercury sphygmomanometer and read and morbidity during the 7-year follow-up, by sex. Data
to the nearest 2 mm Hg. A subject was classified as having from eastern and western Finland were combined, because
hypertension if he or she was receiving drug treatment for hyperten- no significant differences existed between these areas in
sion or if his or her systolic blood pressure was at least 160 mm Hg the levels of cardiovascular risk factors with respect to
or diastolic blood pressure at least 95 mm Hg.
CHD events. Men with CHD were significantly older and
Biochemical Methods had more often a history of previous MI and had higher
All laboratory specimens were drawn after a 12-hour fast at 8 AM. GHbA1 than men without CHD. Women with CHD had
Fasting plasma glucose was determined by the glucose oxidase more often a history of previous MI and higher levels of
method (Boehringer). Glycohemoglobin A1 (GHbA1) was deter- GHbA1 and a longer duration of diabetes than women
mined by affinity chromatography (Isolab) (reference range, 5.5% to without CHD.
8.5%). The plasma C-peptide response to glucagon was determined
according to the method of Faber and Binder.21 Serum lipids and Table 2 reports unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios
lipoproteins were determined from fresh serum samples drawn after (HRs) for cardiovascular risk factors. The highest or lowest
a 12-hour overnight fast. Serum total cholesterol and triglycerides (for HDL cholesterol) tertile limit was used as a cutoff point
were assayed by automated enzymatic methods (Boehringer). Serum for continuous variables. In univariate analysis, a previous
HDL cholesterol was determined enzymatically after precipitation of
history of MI and GHbA1 and the duration of diabetes were
LDL and VLDL lipoproteins with dextran sulfate/MgCl2.22 LDL
cholesterol was calculated by using the Friedewald formula as the only variables associated with the risk of CHD death
follows: LDL cholesterol5total cholesterol2HDL cholesterol2 (P,0.001) and all CHD events (P,0.01). Figure 1 demon-
0.453total triglycerides. strates that poor glycemic control was associated with the
Follow-Up Study incidence of CHD death similarly throughout the follow-up
In 1990, a postal questionnaire containing questions about hos- period. In multivariate analysis, a previous history of MI (HR
pitalization because of acute chest pain was sent to every 8.0 [3.1 to 21.0], P,0.001), high GHbA1 (.10.4%, HR 5.4
surviving participant of the original study cohort. All medical [1.4 to 20.4], P50.013), and the duration of diabetes (.16
records of those subjects who died between the baseline exami- years, HR 4.2 [1.3 to 12.9], P50.013) were associated with
nation and December 31, 1989, or who reported in the question-
naire that they had been admitted to the hospital because of chest CHD death even after adjustment for other cardiovascular
pain symptoms between the baseline examination and December risk factors (age, sex, area of residence, previous MI, smok-
31, 1989, were reviewed by 1 of us (S.L.). To ensure that the data ing, body mass index, hypertension, total cholesterol, total
1016 Coronary Heart Disease and Type 1 Diabetes

TABLE 1. Levels of Cardiovascular Risk Factors (Mean6SEM or Percentages) in


Relation to the Incidence of CHD Events (Death From CHD or Nonfatal MI) During
7-Year Follow-Up in Patients With Type 1 Diabetes
Men Women

Without CHD With CHD Without CHD With CHD


Variable (n570) (n517) (n579) (n511)
Age (y) 53.560.5 58.661.4† 56.260.6 56.461.8
Body mass index (kg/m2) 25.160.4 24.460.8 25.560.5 26.161.4
Insulin dose (IU/d) 4562 5166 4062 4364
Previous MI (%) 4.3 35.3§ 5.1 27.3‡
Hypertension (%) 28.6 23.5 45.6 36.4
Smoking (%) 25.7 35.3 11.4 9.1
Urinary protein (mg/L) 114.260.1 132.060.2 99.060.1 161.060.3*
Total cholesterol (mmol/L) 6.2760.15 6.7660.47 6.9460.15 7.3660.22
LDL cholesterol (mmol/L) 4.2260.13 4.5460.38 4.5960.13 4.9160.20
HDL cholesterol (mmol/L) 1.4760.05 1.5660.14 1.7660.05 1.8360.14
Triglycerides (mmol/L) 1.4060.09 1.5660.22 1.4460.15 1.4860.17
Plasma glucose (mmol/L) 9.760.6 11.761.0 10.460.5 11.861.8
GHb A1 (%) 9.460.2 10.560.4* 10.160.2 11.160.4
Duration of diabetes (y) 13.861.0 15.761.6 13.060.8 22.462.0‡
MI indicates hospital-verified MI and/or Q/QS change.
*P,0.05; †P,0.01; ‡P50.001; §P,0.001.

triglycerides, and HDL cholesterol). In a similar manner, CHD, we included these variables into the Cox regression
previous MI, high GHbA1, and a long duration of diabetes models also as continuous variables. In addition, we used
were associated significantly with all CHD events in univar- different cutoff points to confirm that the use of the highest
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iate analyses. Multivariate Cox analyses demonstrated that tertile limit does not underestimate the significance of these
HRs for previous MI (3.4 [1.5 to 7.9], P50.004), high GHbA1 variables. Dyslipidemia was not a significant risk factor in
(2.8 [1.2 to 6.9], P50.021), and long duration of diabetes any of these analyses.
(HR 3.9 [1.6 to 9.3], P50.002) remained almost unchanged We did all statistical analyses also by including patients
when adjusted for other cardiovascular risk factors. Because with nephropathy in our analyses (data not shown). These
lipids and lipoproteins were not associated with the risk for analyses also demonstrated that poor glycemic control (high

TABLE 2. Unadjusted and Adjusted HRs and Their 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for
Cardiovascular Risk Factors to Increase the Risk for CHD Events During 7-Year Follow-Up in
Patients With Type 1 Diabetes (Cox Regression Model)
CHD Mortality (20/177) HR (95% CI) All CHD Events (28/177)

Unadjusted Multiple Adjusted* Unadjusted Multiple Adjusted*


Previous MI 6.0 (2.9–12.7)§ 8.0 (3.1–21.0)§ 3.9 (1.9–7.8)§ 3.4 (1.5–7.9)‡
Total cholesterol 1.6 (0.7–4.0) 0.8 (0.2–3.0) 1.5 (0.7–3.2) 0.9 (0.3–2.5)
(.7.2 mmol/L)
LDL cholesterol 1.0 (0.4–2.7) 0.4 (0.1–1.6) 1.3 (0.6–2.8) 0.7 (0.3–1.9)
(.4.82 mmol/L)
Total triglycerides 0.8 (0.3–2.2) 0.5 (0.2–1.6) 1.5 (0.7–3.2) 1.4 (0.6–3.4)
(.1.4 mmol/L)
HDL cholesterol 1.2 (0.6–2.5) 0.2 (0.1–1.1) 0.8 (0.3–2.1) 0.5 (0.1–1.8)
(,1.40 mmol/L)
Fasting plasma glucose 1.7 (0.7–4.2) 2.7 (1.0–7.7) 1.5 (0.7–3.3) 1.7 (0.7–3.9)
(.12.6 mmol/L)
Glycated hemoglobin A1 6.8 (2.5–19.0)§ 5.4 (1.4–20.4)‡ 3.4 (1.6–7.4)‡ 2.8 (1.2–6.9)†
(.10.4%)
Duration of diabetes 5.0 (2.0–12.4)§ 4.2 (1.3–12.9)‡ 4.5 (2.0–7.4)§ 3.9 (1.6–9.3)‡
(.16 y)
*Adjusted for age, sex, area, previous MI, smoking, body mass index, hypertension, total cholesterol, triglycerides
(log), HDL cholesterol, HbA1, and duration of diabetes. Total cholesterol was not adjusted for LDL cholesterol and vice
versa. HbA1 was not adjusted for plasma glucose and vice versa.
†P,0.05; ‡P#0.01; §P#0.001.
Lehto et al April 1999 1017

control at baseline, it is likely that our results are even an


underestimation of the deleterious effects of hyperglyce-
mia on the risk for CHD.
Several previous studies have indicated that hypergly-
cemia predicts microvascular complications in patients
with type 1 diabetes.10 –12 Data on the risk for macrovas-
cular complications have been much more limited. Deckert
et al24 followed 259 patients with type 1 diabetes and with
slightly elevated urinary albumin excretion (age range, 19
to 51 years at baseline) for 11 years. Elevated albumin
Figure 1. Survival curves for CHD death in patients with type 1
excretion rate, but not GHbA1c, predicted the incidence of
diabetes, by baseline GHbA1 (.10.4% versus #10.4%) during atherosclerotic vascular disease (CHD, stroke, and periph-
the 7-year follow-up (univariate Cox regression model). eral vascular disease). GHbA1 was also not a predictor for
CHD in the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Compli-
GHbA1) was the strongest predictor for CHD death or for all cations Study.25 These 2 recent studies have significant
CHD events. In a similar manner, the exclusion of patients differences compared with our study. Both included a
with a history of MI before the baseline study (9 men and 7 much younger cohort of type 1 patients with early-onset
women) did not change the results (data not shown). diabetes. Furthermore, the study by Lloyd et al25 included
We also analyzed whether the predictive value of poor patients with overt nephropathy, and the study by Deckert
glycemic control with respect to CHD death was modified et al24 combined all manifestations of atherosclerotic
by the duration of diabetes (Figure 1). Median values of vascular disease as their end point, which makes it impos-
GHbA1 (10.0%) and known duration of diabetes (13.0 sible to clarify risk factors for CHD in their study. That
years) were used as cutoff points. The impact of poor poor metabolic control is causally associated with the risk
glycemic control on the risk for CHD death was seen for macrovascular complications in type 1 diabetes has
independently of diabetes duration. Although the long recently gained substantial support by the Diabetes Control
duration of diabetes increased the risk for CHD death, this and Complications Trial.26 This trial demonstrated that not
effect was much weaker than that exercised by poor only microvascular complications, but also macrovascular
metabolic control (Figure 2). complications, were reduced (by 41%) in patients with
type 1 diabetes with good glycemic control compared with
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Discussion conventionally treated diabetic patients, although the re-


Our 7-year follow-up study is the first population-based duction in macrovascular events was not statistically
study demonstrating the important role of glycemic control significant.
as a predictor of CHD mortality and morbidity in patients In patients with type 1 diabetes, total cholesterol, HDL
with late-onset type 1 diabetes without nephropathy. In cholesterol, and total triglycerides are usually within
univariate analysis, the risk for CHD death was 7-fold and normal limits when blood glucose is controlled.27,28 Good
the risk for all CHD events (CHD death or nonfatal MI) glycemic control in type 1 diabetes usually reduces LDL
3-fold among patients with type 1 diabetes with high and VLDL to normal levels29 and may raise HDL even
GHbA1 (.10.4%) compared with those with better glyce- above the normal range.28 Abnormal lipoprotein metabo-
mic control. The association remained statistically signif- lism could theoretically contribute to premature athero-
icant even after adjustment for other cardiovascular risk sclerosis in patients with type 1 diabetes. However, in our
factors (Table 2). Furthermore, the impact of poor glyce- study, high levels of total and LDL cholesterol and total
mic control was independent of diabetes duration. Because triglycerides and low levels of HDL cholesterol failed to
our study was based on only 1 single measure of glycemic predict CHD events in patients with type 1 diabetes
although our study population included a substantial num-
ber of patients with poor metabolic control (Table 2). This
could be the result of a limited number of CHD events in
our study population, but it may also indicate that in
late-onset type 1 diabetes without nephropathy, abnormal-
ities in lipids and lipoproteins do not play such a crucial
role in the development of CHD compared with the effects
of poor glycemic control. Smoking, hypertension, and
insulin dose were no different among patients with type 1
diabetes with and without CHD (Table 1).
Our study population including patients with type 1
diabetes without nephropathy provided an excellent oppor-
tunity to assess the relation between glycemic exposure
and the risk for CHD in type 1 diabetes. Based on our
findings, it is suggested that the crucial factor in the
development of CHD in patients with late-onset type 1
Figure 2. The 7-year incidence (%) of CHD death, by median
baseline GHbA1 and the duration of diabetes in patients with diabetes is hyperglycemia, because the only factors that
type 1 diabetes. significantly predicted CHD events in our patients were
1018 Coronary Heart Disease and Type 1 Diabetes

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