Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
CURRENCY OPTIONS
by
17-Aug-10
Anindya Banerjee
CONTENTS
• Introduction to FX options.
• Option sensitivity
Factors affecting USD/INR
Short-term Factors:
- Stock market.
- RBI intervention.
INTRODUCTION
• Option basics: Call & Put option, European option, strike price,
money-ness or likelihood of expiring “in the money”, expiry date,
delivery date, futures price.
8
10 46
46
Falls in Spot have been gradual.
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8 www.kshitij.com
www.kshitij.com 45 Rise in Spot has been sudden. This
6 44
is reflected in the Volatility.
23-Dec-08
28-Jan-09
25-Feb-09
26-Mar-09
25-May-09
23-Jun-09
21-Jul-09
19-Oct-09
17-Nov-09
15-Dec-09
15-Jan-10
16-Feb-10
19-Mar-10
19-May-10
17-Jun-10
15-Jul-10
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18-Sep-09
23-Apr-09
19-Aug-09
20-Apr-10
13-Aug-10
23-Dec-08
28-Jan-09
25-Feb-09
26-Mar-09
25-May-09
23-Jun-09
21-Jul-09
19-Oct-09
17-Nov-09
15-Dec-09
15-Jan-10
16-Feb-10
19-Mar-10
19-May-10
17-Jun-10
15-Jul-10
18-Sep-09
23-Apr-09
19-Aug-09
20-Apr-10
13-Aug-10
MAKING MONEY FROM VOLS
BASIC
Buy / Sell Call / Put Strike I/A/O Cost
Buy Call 46.34 ATM 3796
Buy Put 46.34 ATM 3796
Total Cost 7592
Underlying View Volatile, in either directon
Max Risk Limited to Cost paid
Max Return Limited after a point
Characteristic 2 legged option
Name Straddle
MAKING MONEY FROM VOLS
INTERMEDIATE
Buy / Sell Call / Put Strike I/A/O Cost
Buy Call 46.34 ATM 3796
Buy Call 46.8 OTM 2102
Sell Call 46.00 ITM -5684
Total cost 214
Underlying View Volatile with an upward bias
Max Risk Limited
Max Return Unlimited on the upside
Characteristic leveraged
Name Short Call Ladder
PROFITING FROM DIRECTIONAL
BETS…
Hoping your view is right, not really losing if it is not!
PROFITING FROM DIRECTIONAL BETS
BASIC
Buy / Sell Call / Put Strike I/A/O Cost
Buy Call 46.34 ATM 3796
Underlying View Bullish on USDINR
Max Risk Limited to Cost paid
Max Return Unlimited
Characteristic One single option
Name As Plain Vanilla as they come
PROFITING FROM DIRECTIONAL BETS
INTERMEDIATE
Buy / Sell Call / Put Strike I/A/O Cost
Buy Call 46.34 ATM 3796
Sell Call 47.34 OTM -559
Total Cost 3237
Underlying View Bullish, but only upto a point
Max Risk Limited to Cost paid
Max Return Limited after a point
Characteristic 2 legged option
Name Bull Spread
PROFITING FROM DIRECTIONAL BETS
ADVANCED
Buy / Sell Call / Put Strike I/A/O Cost
Sell Put 46.50 ITM -4165
Buy Put 46.00 OTM 4628
Total Cost 463
Underlying View Large downmove.
Max Risk Limited
Max Return Unlimited on the downside
Characteristic Leveraged, 1X2
Name Put Back Spread
PROFITING FROM RANGED
MARKETS…
Make money when no one else can
PROFITING IN RANGED MARKETS
PROFITING IN RANGED MARKETS
BASIC
Buy / Sell Call / Put Strike I/A/O Cost
Sell Call 47.00 OTM -1014
Sell Put 45.68 OTM -970
Total Cost -1984
Underlying View Ranged market
Max Risk Unlimited
Max Return Limited to premium collected
Characteristic 2 legged option
Name Strangle
PROFITING IN RANGED MARKETS
INTERMEDIATE
Buy / Sell Call / Put Strike I/A/O Cost
Sell Call 46.40 OTM -3289
Buy Call 46.75 OTM 2145
Sell Put 46.00 OTM -1891
Buy Put 45.50 OTM 1072
Total cost -1963
Underlying View Ranged market
Max Risk large but limited
Max Return Limited to premium collected
Characteristic 4 Legged option
Name Iron Condor
PROFITING IN RANGED MARKETS
ADVANCED
Buy / Sell Call / Put Strike I/A/O Cost
Buy Call 46.00 ITM 5684
Sell Call 46.76 OTM -1671
Sell Call 46.76 OTM -1671
Total cost 2342
Underlying View Ranged with bearish bias
Max Risk Unlimited
Max Return More than premium collected
Characteristic leveraged 1x2
Name Call Ratio Spread
ARBITRAGE: RISKLESS PROFITS
• Trade: Sell 46 Aug Call, buy 46 Aug Put, Buy USD/INR futures. Qty= 1
million USD.
ARBITRAGE: RISKLESS PROFITS
• Trade: Sell 46 Aug Call, buy 46.5 Aug call, Buy 46 Aug put and sell 46.5
Aug put
17-Aug-10
Thank You!
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info@kshitij.com
033-24892010 /12