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Department of Statistics
Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences
Mathematical Statistics
WST 111
Table of Contents
1 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 1
1.1 Welcome ...................................................................................................................... 1
1.2 Educational approach .................................................................................................... 1
1.3 Responsibilities of the student....................................................................................... 2
1.3.1 Year planner WST111 ....................................................................................................................... 3
2. Administrative information........................................................................................ 4
2.1 Contact details .............................................................................................................. 4
2.2 Timetable ..................................................................................................................... 5
2.3 Study material and purchases ........................................................................................ 5
2.4 Programme/Departmental/Module rules, requirements and guidelines ......................... 6
2.5 Code of conduct ............................................................................................................ 6
2.5.1 Communication via email ................................................................................................................. 6
2.5.2 Compliments and complaints ........................................................................................................... 6
Annexure 1 .................................................................................................................. 25
1 Introduction
1.1 Welcome
A hearty welcome to all students who are doing Mathematical Statistics 111. This is your first step
towards the “sexiest career of the 21st century” – whether it is called statistics, data analysis or data
science. But heed this advice:
Discipline is the refining fire by which talent becomes ability.
Hard work beats talent when talent doesn’t work hard.
We are here to facilitate learning. It is your responsibility to engage, utilize and capitalize on all
learning opportunities. Class attendance is compulsory. For each class you need to bring along a copy
of the chapter under discussion that week so that you may highlight text and add notes in the margin.
Quality instruction requires students to come to classes, tutorials and practical sessions prepared, as
this enables teaching to build actively on common prior knowledge. Always have a sheet of paper, a
pencil and a calculator ready for hands-on exercises.
Note that all relevant information for this course will be published on ClickUp. Please check for
announcements regularly (at least twice a day). The study guide, consultation hours and other
administrative matters are posted under Administration. Under Course Material you will find tutorial
sheets, practical sheets and memos as well as memorandums of semester tests – all being published
during the course of the semester. Study material specific to each of the chapters is also published in
a folder for the chapter. As part of the hybrid learning approach followed at UP, video material
replacing or supplementing some lectures will also be posted on a regular basis. Assessment of
practicals and some tutorials as well as exercises given based on video lectures will be done via ClickUp
as well.
⇒ Start your studies with the determination to make a success of it. Tertiary studies require a
lot of sacrifice, perseverance and hard work and all this still does not mean you cannot fail. But
remember where there is a will there is a way. Every success you achieve will give you more confidence
and will be the incentive to achieve more.
⇒ The tempo of tuition is extremely fast, so to fall behind can be a fatal mistake. Construct a
study schedule, and keep to it! See to it that you revise all your subjects at least once a week and that
you understand all the work. If you fall behind, try to catch up within one week. Guard against the
problem of concentrating on one subject during test periods.
⇒ Attend, as far as is humanely possible, all the lectures. Discipline yourself to give your full
attention at all times during the lectures. Concentrate on the explanations and use the terminology
and notation of the subject. You need to learn the statistical language in order to communicate the
concepts!
⇒ Take immediate steps if you see that you are not making progress with your studies or if you
are losing interest. If a problem arises, deal with it as soon as possible. Talk to someone who can help
you, and remember no one can help you if they do not know about your problem. The lecturers and
tutors and student advisors are available during consultation hours to see to your needs.
⇒ The subject, Mathematical Statistics, as the name indicates is more mathematical in nature.
All the new terminology is based on the old, which has to be known. Do a lot of revision and
understand the work that was done each day during the lecture. See your lecturers or tutors
immediately if something is not clear to you.
⇒ Mathematical Statistics is a study subject that cannot be mastered within a day or two. During
the preparations for a test it is important to write out all definitions, concepts, propositions and
proofs. In this way you improve your concentration and you will know your work sooner.
⇒ See to it that you understand the subject in its entirety. Schematic representations and tables
of summations can all help you to achieve this. This takes a lot of time but is always worth the effort
when it comes to revising the work.
⇒ Always be proud of your work. Keep it systematic and neat. If something does not make any
sense, do it over and do it correctly. Do not settle for anything less than the best.
⇒ Don't be an academic wreck! Vary you study time by doing sport or any other recreation. But
do not over indulge in the last two. Remember you came to university to study.
To end with: successful studies depend on you being MOTIVATED. If a course in this department is
included in your curriculum, you can accept that there is a good reason why this is so.
On the next page find a calendar which gives an indication of weekly activities. On ClickUp an updated
list of activities is published weekly and stored afterwards in case you missed something or need a
reminder of what was done when.
13=Family day
27=Freedom day
1=Worker’s day
Building
Telephone Consulting
Name and room Email address
number hours
number
Module Dr Nina IT5-20
012 420 3447 nina.strydom@up.ac.za
coordinator Strydom
Dr Nina IT5-20
Lecturer 012 420 3447 nina.strydom@up.ac.za
Strydom
Lecturer Ms J Mazarura IT 6-22 012 420 6516 jocelyn.mazarura@up.ac.za
One lecture per week (usually the early Tuesday morning lecture) will be replaced by a video lecture
and exercises based on that lecture then needs to be submitted on ClickUp.
https://innopac.up.ac.za/search~S9?/tModern+mathematical+statistics+with+applications+/tmodern+m
athematical+statistics+with+applications/1%2C1%2C3%2CB/frameset&FF=tmodern+mathematical+statis
tics+with+applications&3%2C%2C3/indexsort=-
PDF version of each chapter is available (also on ClickUp). Please download each chapter as and when
needed. Only a selected part of the text book will be covered in this module. See Study Themes and
Units in this guide for detail. Taking notes in class is not sufficient – you have to print the chapters
done in this course!
Notes on how to use Excel for Descriptive Statistics and additional study material may be handed out
in class during the course of the semester. They will also be published on ClickUP.
All students are expected to use their own calculators. Scientific calculators with facilities for
regression and correlation are recommended. No programmable calculators allowed.
The WST111 module is at first year level. A WST111 GS (combined semester and examination mark of
at least 40%) is the prerequisite for WST121. The two modules (WST111 and WST121) are
prerequisites for WST211. Only students who passed WST111 and WST121 (at least 50% in both cases)
will be allowed to continue with Mathematical Statistics at a second year level.
The practical component of the WST111 module utilises MS Excel (which is introduced in AIM111,
AIM121, AIM101) for practical applications and illustration of theoretical concepts.
We are not only facilitating learning in a module, we are also preparing you for the world of work. We
expect you to adhere to the code of conduct as spelled out in the Escalation policy of UP.
If you have a query or complaint, you have to submit it in writing with specifics of the issue or the
nature of the complaint. It is imperative that you follow the procedure outlined below in order to
resolve your issues:
1. Consult the lecturer concerned about your complaint/concerns.
If the matter has not been resolved,
2. consult the class representative (The primary function of the Class Representative is to serve
as a two-way communication channel between the class and the lecturer).
If the matter has not been resolved,
3. consult the module co-ordinator (large modules with multiple lecturers)
If the matter has not been resolved,
4. consult the Head of Department
If the matter has still not been resolved,
5. consult with the Dean of the Faculty
The goal of the WST111 module is to present a solid undergraduate foundation in statistical theory
while the WST121 module provides an indication of the relevance and importance of the theory in
solving practical problems in the real world. Topics that are covered include the following:
Characterization of a set of measurements: graphical and numerical methods. Random sampling.
Probability theory. Discrete and continuous random variables. Probability distributions. Generating
functions and moments. Identification, use, evaluation and interpretation of statistical computer
packages and statistical techniques.
The WST111 module is typically included in BSc programmes such as BSc in Actuarial & Financial
Mathematics, Mathematical Statistics, Mathematics, Physics, IT or Computer Science and BComm
programmes such as BComm in Statistics or Econometrics.
Characterizing a
set of Characterizing a
Probability
measurements random variable
Discrete Continuous
distributions distributions
A student is required to have passed the Grade12 examination in Mathematics with at least 70%. For
the programme in Actuarial & Financial Mathematics 80% in Mathematics is required.
The exponential function and natural logarithm play very important roles in Statistics. A student must
be able to apply exponent and logarithmic laws effortlessly and flawlessly.
The number of credits allocated to a module give an indication of the volume of learning required for
the completion of that module and is based on the concept of notional hours. Given that this module
carries a weighting of 16 credits, it follows that you should spend an average of 10x16 hours of study
in total on the module (1 credit = 10 notional hours). This includes time for lectures, assignments,
projects, tests and exams. This means that you should spend approximately 160 hours/14 week = 12
hours per week.
Assessment
Independent
Lectures ClickUP Practical Tutorials (including
work
assignments)
4 hours 1.5 hours 1 hour 2 hours 1.5 hours 2 hours
UNITS THEMES
Overview and Descriptive Populations and Samples
Statistics Pictorial and Tabular Methods in Descriptive Statistics
Measures of Location
Measures of Variability
Probability Sample Spaces and Events
Axioms, Interpretations, and Properties of Probability
Counting Techniques
Conditional Probability
Independence
Discrete Random Variables Random Variables
and Probability Distributions Probability Distributions for Discrete Random Variables
Expected Values of Discrete Random Variables
Moments and Moment Generating Functions
The Binomial Probability Distribution
Hypergeometric and Negative Binomial Distributions
The Poisson Probability Distribution
Continuous Random Probability Density Functions and Cumulative Distribution Functions
Variables and Probability Expected Values and Moment Generating Functions
Distributions The Normal Distribution
The Gamma Distribution and its Relatives
Joint Probability Distributions Jointly Distributed Random Variables
Expected Values, Covariance, and Correlation
Unit: Probability
Expected Values and Moment Generating Functions of Continuous Random Variables (DB p.171-
179)
You must be able to:
• define the expected value of a continuous random variable
• obtain the expected value of a continuous random variable from a given pdf
• give the expected value of a function of a continuous random variable
• define the variance of a continuous random variable
• define the standard deviation of a continuous random variable
• derive the shortcut formula for the variance of a continuous random variable
• calculate the mean and variance of a of a continuous random variable
• show that 𝐸𝐸(𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 + 𝑏𝑏) = 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎(𝑋𝑋) + 𝑏𝑏
2
• show that 𝑉𝑉(𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 + 𝑏𝑏) = 𝜎𝜎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎+𝑏𝑏 = 𝑎𝑎2 𝜎𝜎𝑋𝑋2
• show that 𝜎𝜎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎+𝑏𝑏 = |𝑎𝑎| ∙ 𝜎𝜎𝑋𝑋
• define the mgf of a continuous random variable
• use the mgf to calculate the mean and variance of a continuous random variable
• to obtain the mgf of a linear combination of a random variable with known mgf
• use the mgf to identify the distribution of a continuous random variable
• derive the mgf of the uniform distribution
Key concepts: continuous random variable, expected value, population mean, variance, population
variance, linear function of a continuous random variable.
Note: Section on Approximating the Mean Value and Standard Deviation is excluded (p.174-175).
Note: Section 4.5 (Other Continuous Distributions), 4.6 (Probability Plots), 4.7 (Transformation of a
Random Variable) are excluded.
Joint Probability Mass Function for Two Discrete Random Variables (DB p.232-234)
You must be able to:
• define the joint probability mass function of two discrete random variables
• define the marginal probability mass function of two discrete random variables
Key concepts: joint (bivariate) probability function, joint probability mass function, sample space,
marginal probability function.
Note: Joint Probability Density Function for Two Continuous Random Variables excluded.
Note: Example 5.13, the proposition on p. 247, example 5.15 are excluded.
Semester mark = (0.04 x P) + (0.04 x Q) + (0.015 x T7) + (0.015 x T8) + (0.04 x VL) + (0.15 x ST1) + (0.30 x ST2)
+ (0.30 x ST3) + (0.10 x PT)
Example:
2. If 8 practicals were written, then we only consider the best 6. (8 x 0.67 = 5.36 ≈ 6)
If your marks (in %) were 45, 75, 65, 60, 55, 70, 84, 90 then only the 6 highlighted marks count
towards your semester mark. Therefore, P = (75 + 65 + 60 + 70 + 84 + 90)/6 = 74
3. Repeat step 2 for quizzes and video lectures to get Q and VL, respectively.
4. Final calculation:
Suppose: P:74% Q:80% T7:75% T8:77% VL:72%
ST1:60% ST2: 75% ST3:80% PT:65%
Semester mark = (0.04 x 74) + (0.04 x 80) + (0.015 x 75) + (0.015 x 77) + (0.04 x 72) + (0.15 x 60) + (0.30 x 75)
+ (0.30 x 80) + (0.10 x 65) = 73.32 ≈ 73%
Note: A student must obtain a semester mark of at least 30% in WST111 to be allowed to write the
final examination.
Quizzes:
Short (unannounced) quizzes will be given in lectures and tutorials. These will be based on reading
given, content dealt with, or homework given in the previous lecture.
Tutorials:
A worksheet with individual and group assignments will be given each week – published on ClickUp
and sometimes also handed out in class. The purpose of individual and group assignments is to give
students a better insight into the subject-matter treated in class and a better understanding of
applications of the subject in order to improve self-tuition. The weekly assignment should be
completed during the two-hour session. No memos will be published on ClickUp.
Practical:
In the Informatorium, using Excel, students will be given the opportunity to practically apply
theoretical concepts covered during lectures. A worksheet with a practical assignment will be handed
out each week. Answers to some of these questions must be given on ClickUp at the end of the
practical session.
A practical test (in Excel) based on the practical assignments are written at the end of the semester.
All tests and assignments should be kept safely in order to check the calculation of the semester mark.
Semester marks are displayed on ClickUP shortly before official closing of lectures at the end of the
semester.
Marked semester tests (not collected in class) will be available at 1-Stop. Students are kindly requested
to collect tests urgently and to leave the uncollected tests in these boxes ordered neatly - the way you
would like to find it.
Test memos will be published on ClickUP. If you have queries about marks or allocation of marks first
check the memo. If query still exists, write in pencil on the front page of paper which question you
query and why. Submit your paper to a tutor or lecturer in class. Your query will be checked, marks
changed if necessary and your checked paper will be returned to 1-stop. You have one week after
receiving a marked semester test to enquire about the marking thereof. After this time no marks will
be adjusted.
A student needs to obtain a final mark of at least 40% in WST111 for admission to WST121 but a
student requires a final mark of at least 50% in both WST111 and WST121 to be admitted to WST211.
The final mark is compiled using the semester mark (SM) and the examination mark (EM). The SM and
EM either count 50% each, or the SM counts 40% and the EM 60%, depending on which set of weights
is most beneficial.
Example 1:
SM: 90% EM: 70%
Final mark = 0.5 × SM + 0.5 × EM = 0.5 × 90 + 0.5 × 70 = 80%
Example 2:
SM: 70% EM: 90%
Final mark = 0.4 × SM + 0.6 × EM = 0.4 × 70 + 0.6 × 90 = 82%
A student must achive at least 40% in the exam. - even if you have a very good semester mark. A
supplementary exam must be written if your FM is above 50% but your EM is below 40%. Students
with a final mark of 40% to 49% qualify for a supplementary examination.
• In terms of the regulations of the University of Pretoria, if there is a valid reason for not being
able to write a semester test, the student must notify the lecturer beforehand or within three
(3) working daysof the date of the test that was not written.
• A medical certificate cannot be submitted after a student had written a test.
• In all cases, the application form in Annexure 1 must be submitted along with supporting
documentation. Clearly indicate the course (WST111), your student number, surname and
initials as well as a contact number. Documentation must be submitted at 1-stop.
• In those situations where a certificate from a medical practitioner is the supporting
documentation:
o Only original certificates issued by medical practitioners registered with the Council
for Health Professions and the Allied Health Professions Council of SA will be
accepted.
o The certificate from the medical practitioner must be dated on or before the date of
the test. Certificates dated after this date will not be accepted.
o The certificate must clearly specify the period for which the student is booked off.
o Any certificate from a medical practitioner stating “I have been informed that....” will
not be accepted or considered.
o Furthermore, a certificate from a medical practitioner will not be accepted or
considered if it merely states that the student appeared ill or declared him/herself
unfit.
o The validity of the certificate from the medical practitioner will be verified directly
with that practitioner.
THE DISHONEST MISSING OF A TEST AS WELL AS DISHONESTY DURING THE WRITING OF TESTS WILL NOT BE TOLERATED
UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES. ALL IRREGULARITIES WILL BE SEEN IN A SERIOUS LIGHT AND WILL BE REPORTED TO THE
REGISTRAR (ACADEMIC).
4.5 Plagiarism
Plagiarism is a serious form of academic misconduct. It involves both appropriating someone else’s
work and passing it off as one’s own work afterwards. Thus, you commit plagiarism when you present
someone else's written or creative work (words, images, ideas, opinions, discoveries, artwork, music,
recordings, computer-generated work, etc.) as your own. Only hand in your own original work.
Indicate precisely and accurately when you have used information provided by someone else.
Referencing must be done in accordance with a recognised system. Indicate whether you have
downloaded information from the Internet. For more details, visit the library’s website:
http://www.library.up.ac.za/plagiarism/index.htm.
5 Support services
Please download a QR code reader on your cellphone. To download a QR code reader open your
mobile app store (App Store, Google Play or Windows Marketplace) and search for QR code readers.
Student
Provides counselling and
Counselling 012 420 2333
therapeutic support to students
Unit
Student
Promotes and assists students 012 420 5233
Health
with health and wellness 012 420 3423
Services
Centre for
Sexualities, Identifies and provides training
012 420 4391
AIDS and of student peer counsellors
Gender
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS
STUDENT NO.:
I hereby request that I be excused from the following academic commitment (indicate with X):
I confirm that I have read and understood the matters relating to the submission of
excuses/apologies as contained in the WST111 Study Guide under Section 4.3.1
I declare that this is a bona fide application and that the medical certificate and/or supporting
documents attached are true.
................................ ....................
SIGNATURE DATE