MASON-DIXON® MISSISSIPPI POLL

FEBRUARY 2020
Polling in Mississippi since 1987

EMBARGO: Newspaper Publication - Thursday, March 5, 2020

Broadcast & Internet Release – 6 am CDT, Thursday, March 5, 2020

© Copyright 2020

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll
 TRUMP DOMINATES IN MISSISSIPPI
HYDE-SMITH LEADS IN RE-ELECTION RACE

Republican Donald Trump holds commanding leads over each of his two most
likely Democratic challengers in Mississippi. Statewide, Trump leads Joe Biden
56%-42% and is ahead of Bernie Sanders 59%-36%.

TRUMP VS BIDEN TRUMP VS SANDERS

3% 41% 5%
59% 36%
56% BIDEN SANDERS
TRUMP TRUMP
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED

In the Mississippi Senate race, Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith holds a

10-point lead over Democratic challenger Mike Espy in a re-match of their 2018
special election face off. Statewide, Hyde-Smith leads Espy 53%-43%.

SENATE VOTE
4%
43%
53% ESPY
HYDE-SMITH
UNDECIDED

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll
Trump has a 57% job approval rating in Mississippi. Recently elected Governor
Tate Reeves has 50% approval, with a significant 18% still unsure – not unusual
for someone who has only been in an office for a few months.

TRUMP JOB RATING REEVES JOB RATING

3%
18%
57% 50%
40% APPROVE APPROVE
32%
DISAPPROVE DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE NOT SURE

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s job performance as president?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

STATE 57% 40% 3%

REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Northern Mississippi 63% 33% 4%

The Delta 26% 70% 4%
Eastern Mississippi 63% 35% 2%
Jackson Metro 51% 45% 4%
Southern Mississippi 68% 31% 1%
Gulf Coast 65% 32% 3%

SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Men 60% 38% 2%

Women 54% 42% 4%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 52% 45% 3%

50+ 61% 36% 3%

RACE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 81% 17% 2%

Black 9% 85% 6%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 8% 89% 3%
Republican 94% 4% 2%
Independent 51% 44% 5%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Tate Reeves’ job performance as governor?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

STATE 50% 32% 18%

REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Northern Mississippi 50% 26% 24%

The Delta 28% 49% 23%
Eastern Mississippi 57% 30% 13%
Jackson Metro 53% 27% 20%
Southern Mississippi 60% 29% 11%
Gulf Coast 53% 32% 15%

SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Men 56% 27% 17%

Women 44% 37% 19%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 43% 32% 25%

50+ 55% 32% 13%

RACE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 67% 17% 16%

Black 16% 61% 23%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 19% 62% 19%

Republican 79% 6% 15%
Independent 37% 41% 22%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll
QUESTION: If the 2020 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the
candidates were Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican?

BIDEN TRUMP UNDECIDED

STATE 41% 56% 3%

REGION BIDEN TRUMP UNDECIDED

Northern Mississippi 44% 54% 2%

The Delta 68% 27% 5%
Eastern Mississippi 35% 61% 4%
Jackson Metro 39% 57% 4%
Southern Mississippi 33% 65% 2%
Gulf Coast 31% 68% 1%

SEX BIDEN TRUMP UNDECIDED

Men 38% 60% 2%

Women 43% 53% 4%

AGE BIDEN TRUMP UNDECIDED

<50 44% 53% 3%

50+ 39% 58% 3%

RACE BIDEN TRUMP UNDECIDED

White 18% 81% 1%

Black 87% 6% 7%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION BIDEN TRUMP UNDECIDED

Democrat 89% 8% 3%
Republican 5% 94% 1%
Independent 44% 49% 7%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll
QUESTION: If the 2020 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the
candidates were Bernie Sanders, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican?

SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED

STATE 36% 59% 5%

REGION SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED

Northern Mississippi 36% 61% 3%

The Delta 55% 31% 14%
Eastern Mississippi 34% 62% 4%
Jackson Metro 37% 58% 5%
Southern Mississippi 26% 71% 3%
Gulf Coast 31% 66% 3%

SEX SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED

Men 32% 64% 4%

Women 39% 55% 6%

AGE SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED

<50 40% 54% 6%

50+ 33% 63% 4%

RACE SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED

White 17% 82% 1%

Black 73% 14% 13%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED

Democrat 79% 12% 9%

Republican 3% 95% 2%
Independent 40% 53% 7%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll
QUESTION: If the 2020 election for Mississippi’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom
would you vote if the candidates were Mike Espy, the Democrat, and Cindy Hyde-Smith, the
Republican?

ESPY HYDE-SMITH UNDECIDED

STATE 43% 53% 4%

REGION ESPY HYDE-SMITH UNDECIDED

Northern Mississippi 36% 62% 2%

The Delta 78% 18% 4%
Eastern Mississippi 36% 58% 6%
Jackson Metro 45% 51% 4%
Southern Mississippi 35% 62% 3%
Gulf Coast 36% 58% 6%

SEX ESPY HYDE-SMITH UNDECIDED

Men 42% 56% 2%

Women 43% 51% 6%

AGE ESPY HYDE-SMITH UNDECIDED

<50 46% 47% 7%

50+ 41% 57% 2%

RACE ESPY HYDE-SMITH UNDECIDED

White 18% 78% 4%

Black 93% 2% 5%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION ESPY HYDE-SMITH UNDECIDED

Democrat 88% 9% 3%
Republican 7% 89% 4%
Independent 51% 42% 7%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll
 HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, Inc. of Jacksonville,
Florida from February 26 through February 28, 2020. A total of 625 registered
Mississippi voters were interviewed live by telephone statewide.

Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched Mississippi

voter registration list that included both land line and cell phone numbers.
Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians,

is no more than ± 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent
probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were
surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or
age grouping.

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll
 DEMOGRAPHICS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION:

Democrat 201 (32%)

Republican 283 (45%)
Independent or Other 141 (23%)

AGE: 18-34 105 (17%)

35-49 160 (26%)
50-64 184 (29%)
65+ 171 (27%)
Refused 5 (1%)

RACE: White/Caucasian 407 (65%)

Black/African American 205 (33%)
Other/Refused 13 (2%)

SEX: Male 306 (49%)

Female 319 (51%)

REGION: Northern Mississippi 130 (21%)

The Delta 80 (13%)
Eastern Mississippi 100 (16%)
Jackson Metro 120 (19%)
Southern Mississippi 100 (16%)
Gulf Coast 95 (15%)

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll
 MISSISSIPPI POLL REGIONS

NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI: Voters in DeSoto, Marshall, Yalobusha, Lafayette,

Calhoun, Pontotoc, Chickasaw, Monroe, Itawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Union,
Benton, Tippah, Alcorn and Tishomingo counties.

THE DELTA: Voters in Tate, Panola, Coahoma, Tunica, Quitman, Bolivar,

Tallahatchie, Sunflower, Leflore, Grenada, Carroll, Holmes, Humphreys,
Washington, Sharkey, Yazoo, Issaquena and Warren counties.

EASTERN MISSISSIPPI: Voters in Clay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha, Choctaw,

Webster, Montgomery, Attala, Leake, Scott, Smith, Jasper, Clark, Newton,
Lauderdale, Neshoba, Kemper, Winston and Noxubee counties.

JACKSON METRO: Voters in Hinds, Rankin, Madison, Copiah and Simpson

counties.

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI: Voters in Claiborne, Jefferson, Adams, Wilkinson,

Franklin, Amite, Lincoln, Pike, Lawrence, Walthall, Jefferson Davis, Marion,
Covington, Jones, Wayne, Lamar, Forrest, Perry and Greene counties.

GULF COAST: Voters in Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River, Stone and
George counties.

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – February 2020 Mississippi Poll