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Opcion Fuel Oil Opcion Gas

Inversion inicial 180000000 Inversion año 0


Costos del año 1-10 14300000 Costos del año 1-10
Costos del año 11-20 14600000 Inversion año 10
Costos del año 11-20

Diagrama de flujo de efectivo - Fuel Oil

Año Flujo CP CF
0 180000000 180000000 $1,736,332,756.79
1 14300000 $12,767,857.14 $123,162,492.17
2 14300000 $11,399,872.45 $109,966,510.87
3 14300000 $10,178,457.54 $98,184,384.70
4 14300000 $9,087,908.52 $87,664,629.20
5 14300000 $8,114,204.04 $78,271,990.36
6 14300000 $7,244,825.03 $69,885,705.68
7 14300000 $6,468,593.78 $62,397,951.50
8 14300000 $5,775,530.16 $55,712,456.69
9 14300000 $5,156,723.36 $49,743,264.90
10 14300000 $4,604,217.28 $44,413,629.38
11 14600000 $4,197,151.12 $40,486,949.86
12 14600000 $3,747,456.36 $36,149,062.37
13 14600000 $3,345,943.18 $32,275,948.55
14 14600000 $2,987,449.26 $28,817,811.20
15 14600000 $2,667,365.41 $25,730,188.57
16 14600000 $2,381,576.26 $22,973,382.66
17 14600000 $2,126,407.38 $20,511,948.80
18 14600000 $1,898,578.02 $18,314,240.00
19 14600000 $1,695,158.94 $16,352,000.00
20 14600000 $1,513,534.77 $14,600,000.00
$287,358,810.01 $2,771,947,304.26
Tasa de interes 0.12
CPE $287,358,810.01
CAE $38,471,246.92
CFE $2,771,947,304.26

Diagrama de flujo de efectivo - Gas

Año Flujo CP CF
0 120000000 120000000 $1,157,555,171.19
1 16500000 $14,732,142.86 $142,110,567.89
2 16500000 $13,153,698.98 $126,884,435.62
3 16500000 $11,744,374.09 $113,289,674.66
4 16500000 $10,486,048.29 $101,151,495.23
5 16500000 $9,362,543.12 $90,313,835.03
6 16500000 $8,359,413.50 $80,637,352.70
7 16500000 $7,463,762.05 $71,997,636.34
8 16500000 $6,664,073.26 $64,283,603.88
9 16500000 $5,950,065.41 $57,396,074.89
10 256500000 $82,586,135.19 $796,650,065.44
11 32500000 $9,342,973.38 $90,125,059.62
12 32500000 $8,341,940.52 $80,468,803.23
13 32500000 $7,448,161.18 $71,847,145.74
14 32500000 $6,650,143.91 $64,149,237.27
15 32500000 $5,937,628.49 $57,276,104.70
16 32500000 $5,301,454.01 $51,139,379.20
17 32500000 $4,733,441.08 $45,660,160.00
18 32500000 $4,226,286.68 $40,768,000.00
19 32500000 $3,773,470.25 $36,400,000.00
20 32500000 $3,369,169.87 $32,500,000.00
$349,626,926.12 $3,372,603,802.63
Tasa de interes 0.12
CPE $349,626,926.12
CAE $46,807,626.34
CFE $3,372,603,802.63

Diagrama de flujo de efectivo - Gas

Año Flujo CP CF
0
1 48000000 $42,857,142.86 $413,412,561.14
2 48000000 $38,265,306.12 $369,118,358.16
3 48000000 $34,165,451.90 $329,569,962.64
4 48000000 $30,504,867.76 $294,258,895.22
5 48000000 $27,236,489.07 $262,731,156.44
6 48000000 $24,318,293.82 $234,581,389.68
7 48000000 $21,712,762.34 $209,447,669.36
8 48000000 $19,386,394.94 $187,006,847.64
9 48000000 $17,309,281.20 $166,970,399.68
10 48000000 $15,454,715.36 $149,080,714.00
11 80000000 $22,998,088.33 $221,846,300.60
12 80000000 $20,534,007.44 $198,077,054.10
13 80000000 $18,333,935.21 $176,854,512.59
14 80000000 $16,369,585.01 $157,905,814.81
15 80000000 $14,615,700.90 $140,987,334.66
16 80000000 $13,049,732.95 $125,881,548.80
17 80000000 $11,651,547.27 $112,394,240.00
18 80000000 $10,403,167.21 $100,352,000.00
19 80000000 $9,288,542.15 $89,600,000.00
20 80000000 $8,293,341.21 $80,000,000.00
$416,748,353.04 $4,020,076,759.54
Tasa de interes 0.12
CPE $416,748,353.04
CAE $55,793,761.09
CFE $4,020,076,759.54
Opcion Gas Comprado
120000000 Costo del año 1-10 48000000
16500000 Costo del año 11-20 80000000
240000000
32500000
Año Comprar Gas Fuel Oil
0 120000000 180000000
1 48000000 16500000 14300000
2 48000000 16500000 14300000
3 48000000 16500000 14300000
4 48000000 16500000 14300000
5 48000000 16500000 14300000
6 48000000 16500000 14300000
7 48000000 16500000 14300000
8 48000000 16500000 14300000
9 48000000 16500000 14300000
10 48000000 256500000 14300000
11 80000000 32500000 14600000
12 80000000 32500000 14600000
13 80000000 32500000 14600000
14 80000000 32500000 14600000
15 80000000 32500000 14600000
16 80000000 32500000 14600000
17 80000000 32500000 14600000
18 80000000 32500000 14600000
19 80000000 32500000 14600000
20 80000000 32500000 14600000

TIR Fuel Oil - Comprar TIR Fuel Oil - Comprar


Año Fuel Oil Comprar Incremento Año Fuel Oil
0 180000000 180000000 0 180000000
1 14300000 48000000 -33700000 1 14300000
2 14300000 48000000 -33700000 2 14300000
3 14300000 48000000 -33700000 3 14300000
4 14300000 48000000 -33700000 4 14300000
5 14300000 48000000 -33700000 5 14300000
6 14300000 48000000 -33700000 6 14300000
7 14300000 48000000 -33700000 7 14300000
8 14300000 48000000 -33700000 8 14300000
9 14300000 48000000 -33700000 9 14300000
10 14300000 48000000 -33700000 10 14300000
11 14600000 80000000 -65400000 11 14600000
12 14600000 80000000 -65400000 12 14600000
13 14600000 80000000 -65400000 13 14600000
14 14600000 80000000 -65400000 14 14600000
15 14600000 80000000 -65400000 15 14600000
16 14600000 80000000 -65400000 16 14600000
17 14600000 80000000 -65400000 17 14600000
18 14600000 80000000 -65400000 18 14600000
19 14600000 80000000 -65400000 19 14600000
20 14600000 80000000 -65400000 20 14600000
20.57%
Gas Incremento
120000000 60000000
16500000 -2200000
16500000 -2200000
16500000 -2200000
16500000 -2200000
16500000 -2200000
16500000 -2200000
16500000 -2200000
16500000 -2200000
16500000 -2200000
256500000 -242200000
32500000 -17900000
32500000 -17900000
32500000 -17900000
32500000 -17900000
32500000 -17900000
32500000 -17900000
32500000 -17900000
32500000 -17900000
32500000 -17900000
32500000 -17900000
20.02%
Motoauto Camioneta
Unidades/viaje 500 1000
Km/viaje 200 300
Galon/km 0.025 0.03333333333333
$/galom 750 750
# de personas 1 2
Costo/dia/persona 5000 5000
Costo matenimiento/mes $ 20000 50000
Ingresos anuales por trabajos extras 0 1000000
Costos anuales por trabajos extras 0 200000
Valor inicial del equipo 5000000 12000000
Vida fisica (años) 3 4
Valor del mercado (% valor de adquisicion) 0.2 0.6
Crecimiento anual del costo de adquisicion 0.2 0.18
Valor del mercado 1 año antes 0.3 0.65
Valor del mercado 2 año antes 0.4 0.7
Valor del mercado 3 año antes 0.8
Valor del mercado 4 año antes

Para la motoauto Año Flujo para 1 moto


0 5000000
1 2865000
2 3465000
3 4065000
4 4665000
5 5265000
6 5865000

Para la camioneta Año Flujo


0 12000000
1 5050000
2 6250000
3 7450000
4 8650000
5 9850000
6 11050000

Para la camion Año Flujo


0 18000000
1 6020000
2 7670000
3 9320000
4 10970000
5 12620000
6 14270000
Camion
2000 0.3
400
0.05
750
2
5000
60000
2500000
300000
18000000
6
0.6
0.16
0.65
0.7
0.75
0.8

Flujo para 10 moto CP


50000000 50000000
28650000 $22,038,461.54
34650000 $20,502,958.58
110650000 $50,364,132.91
46650000 $16,333,461.71
52650000 $14,180,175.76
48650000 $10,079,122.67
$183,498,313.17
Flujo para 5 camionetas CP
60000000 60000000
25250000 $19,423,076.92
31250000 $18,491,124.26
37250000 $16,954,938.55
110450000 $38,671,615.14
49250000 $13,264,456.91
13250000 $2,745,084.80
$169,550,296.58
Flujo para 3 camionetas CP
54000000 54000000
18060000 $13,892,307.69
23010000 $13,615,384.62
27960000 $12,726,445.15
32910000 $11,522,705.79
37860000 $10,196,798.75
10410000 $2,156,704.36
$118,110,346.36

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