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Gray Matters

Alpha, Beta, and Now … Gamma


By David Blanchett and Paul D. Kaplan

Measuring the importance of intelligent financial-


planning decisions.

The benefits from “good” financial-planning their impact on a successful retirement of risk aversion. Given that Gamma is relatively
decisions are difficult to quantify. For any can be far less important than other financial- unclaimed within financial literature, we seek
given portfolio, investment decisions generally planning decisions. to give it new meaning.
can be decomposed into two primary
components: beta and alpha. Beta can be In this article, we introduce a concept called Gamma varies for different investors as well
defined as the systematic risk exposures of the “Gamma,” which is designed to measure as for investors in different lifecycles
portfolio (usually achieved through asset the additional expected retirement income (for example, the accumulation stage versus
allocation), and alpha is the residual (skill or achieved by an individual investor making retirement). For those who find it hard
luck-based) component associated with intelligent financial-planning decisions. to break from traditional (and inadequate)
the various flavors of active management, such Gamma is the third letter in the Greek alphabet performance measurements, Gamma
as tactical asset allocation, security selection, (preceded by alpha and beta), and within is a metric that is somewhat comparable to
and more. Alpha and beta are at the heart financial economics, it is sometimes used as alpha, or excess return, but even more
of traditional performance analysis; however, the variable denoting an investor’s degree than that, it is the return that an investor

60 Morningstar Advisor December/January 2013


experiences based on optimal financial A financial advisor could invest a client’s aggregate asset allocation for each investor
decision-making. money in very expensive mutual funds that (as suggested by the Capital Asset Pricing
underperform but still provide other Model) or build an investor-specific asset
In calculating Gamma, we focus on five valuable services that enable the client to allocation that incorporates an investor’s risk
important financial-planning decisions and successfully save for retirement. While preferences. In both approaches, the
techniques: a total wealth framework this advisor may have failed from a pure alpha financial assets are invested to achieve an
to determine the optimal asset allocation, perspective, the underlying goal was optimal asset allocation for total wealth.
a dynamic withdrawal strategy, the incorpora- accomplished. This is akin to losing the battle
tion of guaranteed income products, tax- but winning the war. 2 Dynamic Withdrawal Strategy
efficient allocation decisions, and a portfolio The majority of retirement research has
optimization that includes liabilities. Individual investors invest to achieve goals focused on static withdrawal strategies where
(typically an inflation-adjusted standard the annual withdrawal amount during
Each of these five Gamma components creates of living). Doing the things that help an investor retirement is based on the account balance at
value for retirees, and when combined, achieve these goals is a different type of value retirement and increased annually for inflation.
they can be expected to generate 29% more than that which can be attributed to alpha For example, a “4% withdrawal rate”
income on a utility-adjusted basis when or beta alone and is in many ways more would really mean a retiree can take a 4%
compared with a simplistic static withdrawal valuable. Therefore, metrics such as alpha and withdrawal of the initial portfolio value
strategy, according to our analysis. This beta are an incomplete means of measuring and continue withdrawing that amount each
additional income is equivalent to an arithmetic retirement-strategy performance. year, adjusted for inflation. If the initial
“alpha” (the Gamma equivalent alpha) of 1.82% portfolio value was $1 million and the
and thereby represents the potential of a Gamma Factors withdrawal rate was 4%, the retiree would be
significant increase in portfolio efficiency (and In this article, we examine the potential value, expected to generate $40,000 in the first year.
retirement income) for retirees. or Gamma, that can be obtained from making If inflation during the first year was 3%,
“intelligent” financial-planning decisions the actual cash flow amount in year two
Alpha and Beta: Defining Value during retirement. A retiree faces a number of (in nominal terms) would be $41,200. We use a
The notions of beta and, in particular, alpha risks during retirement, some unique to different approach. Originally introduced by
have long fascinated financial advisors and retirement planning and not concerns during Blanchett, Kowara, and Chen (2012), our
their clients. Alpha allows a financial advisor to accumulation. We will explore five factors that approach determines the withdrawal amount
demonstrate the excess returns generated in can provide Gamma to a retiree’s portfolio: annually based on the likelihood of a portfolio’s
an investment portfolio, which can help justify survivability (because of market performance)
fees. In contrast, beta helps explain the 1 Total Wealth Asset Allocation and expected investor longevity.
risk factors of a portfolio relative to the market Human capital is a person’s future potential
(that is, the asset allocation). savings. Financial capital is a person’s 3 Annuity Allocation
investment portfolio. Most techniques used to Outliving one’s savings is perhaps the greatest
If an advisor is paid solely to manage determine the asset allocation for a client risk for retirees. A study by Allianz Life
a portfolio of assets and offers no additional focus only on the investment portfolio and are noted that the greatest fear among retirees is
advice regarding anything other than relatively subjective; they focus primarily not death (39%) but rather outliving one’s
the investment of the client assets, the on “risk preference,” which means an investor’s resources (61%) (Bhojwani, 2011). Annuities
concepts of alpha and beta should be good aversion to risk, rather than “risk capacity,” allow a retiree to hedge away this risk
measures of the advisor’s value. However, in a which is an investor’s ability to assume risk. and can, therefore, improve the efficiency
more-complex engagement in which the In practice, however, we believe asset of a retiree’s portfolio. The benefits, risks, and
advisor provides financial-planning services to allocation should be based on total wealth costs of an annuity in the context of a total
clients, value cannot be defined in such (a combination of human and financial capital) portfolio must be considered before determin-
simple terms as alpha and beta because the and on a combination of risk preference ing the appropriate amount and annuity type.
objective of an individual investor is typically to and risk capacity, with an emphasis on risk
achieve a goal, and that goal is most likely capacity. We determine an investor’s risk 4 Asset Location and Withdrawal Sourcing
saving for retirement. capacity (or target equity allocation) by Tax-efficient investing for a retiree can
evaluating his or her total wealth. We can then be thought of in terms of both “asset location”
either use the market portfolio as the target and intelligent withdrawal sequencing from

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Gray Matters

accounts that differ in tax status. Asset income generated from a given strategy. 0% (no change), positive 1%, positive 2%,
location is typically defined as placing Utility is an approach to quantify the satisfac- and positive 3%. We show these results
(or locating) assets in the most tax-efficient tion derived from some set of goods or in Exhibit 2. It demonstrates that a
account type. For example, it generally services. In this case, we assume that the 10% increase in median retirement income is
makes sense to place less tax-efficient assets utility of income is an increasing concave equivalent to an extra 1% annualized return
(those where the majority of total return function; the higher the level of income, the (or Gamma-equivalent alpha) in the base
comes from coupons and dividends taxed as lower the increase in utility of additional portfolio. A 28.8% increase is equivalent to a
ordinary income, such as bonds) in retirement income. Thus, the amount of utility an investor 1.82% annualized alpha.
accounts and more tax-efficient assets gets for each dollar of income is not equal.
(those where the majority of total return A more detailed explanation of Gamma can be Exhibit 3 shows how we attribute this
comes from capital gains taxed at a rate less found in the full version of this study, Gamma-equivalent alpha among the five
than ordinary income, such as stocks) which is available at global.morningstar.com/ Gamma factors. This is likely to be significantly
in taxable accounts. When thinking about gamma. higher than any type of portfolio alpha that
withdrawal sequencing, it typically makes a financial advisor would be able to generate
sense to withdraw money from taxable through fund selection or market-timing.
accounts first and from more tax-efficient Y(Strategy) Y(Benchmark) Also, while traditional portfolio alpha is a
Gamma(Strategy) 
accounts later. Y(Benchmark) negative-sum game (because everyone cannot,
on average, outperform the market), our
5 Liability-Relative Optimization results show that Gamma is not a zero-sum
Asset-allocation methodologies commonly game and can be achieved by any investor who
ignore the funding risks, such as inflation Gamma Results takes a smarter approach to generating
and currency, associated with an investor’s If we add the results from the five Gamma retirement income.
goals. By incorporating liabilities into factors tested, we find a Gamma of 28.8%,
the portfolio-optimization process, it is possible meaning $1.29 for every $1 generated Gamma’s Appeal
to build portfolios that can better hedge by the base set of assumptions. The base case In this article, we introduced a new concept
the risks faced by a retiree. While these is retirees (males and females both aged 65) called Gamma. We define Gamma as
“liability-driven” portfolios may appear to be who follow the static 4% withdrawal the additional value achieved by an individual
less-efficient asset allocations when viewed scenario and invest in a 20% equity/80% investor who makes more-intelligent financial-
from an asset-only perspective, we find fixed-income portfolio. (The performance of the planning decisions. While Gamma varies
they are actually more efficient when it comes portfolio is determined by Ibbotson capital for different types of investors, we focus on
to achieving a sustainable retirement income. market assumptions and Monte Carlo five types of Gamma relevant to retirees:
simulation.) We display this concept in a total wealth framework to determine the
These five Gamma concepts can be thought Exhibit 1, which shows the incremental and optimal asset allocation, a dynamic withdrawal
of as valuable actions and services that total income generated by each of the strategy, the incorporation of guaranteed
financial planners can provide. Bennyhoff and Gamma tests. income products, tax-efficient allocation
Kinniry (2010) called them “advisor’s alpha,” decisions, and liability-relative portfolio
and Scott (2012) labeled them “household An increase in certainty-equivalent (utility- optimization. Among the five types of Gamma
alpha.” However, Bennyhoff and Kinniry do not adjusted) income of 28.8% is an impressive tested, the use of a dynamic withdrawal
attempt to quantify the benefit of these improvement in retirement income, strategy was determined to be the most
actions. We aim to provide some perspective but how does it relate from a traditional alpha important, followed by tax-efficient allocation
on, as well as to quantify, the potential perspective? To determine how much additional decisions. (Each of these five components
benefits that can be realized by an investor, annual return, or alpha, is equivalent is either currently being used or in development
especially a retiree, from using a Gamma- to the 28.8% Gamma, we conducted an to be used in Morningstar Retirement Manager
optimized portfolio. additional analysis. We determined the median and Ibbotson’s Wealth Forecasting Engine.)
income generated for the initial withdrawal
Gamma Defined rate (4%) and compared it with the median In the aggregate, we estimate a retiree
First, let’s define Gamma. The Gamma of a income generated for portfolios with can generate 29% more income on a certainty-
retirement-income strategy is defined in the returns that are either higher or lower than the equivalent utility-adjusted basis using a
equation below, where Y is the utility-adjusted base portfolio by negative 2%, negative 1%, Gamma-efficient retirement-income strategy

62 Morningstar Advisor December/January 2013


when compared with our base scenario
of a 4% withdrawal rate and a 20% equity Exhibit 1 More Retirement Income With Gamma-Optimized Portfolios
allocation portfolio. The additional income is
equivalent to an average annual return $ Base Income Total Wealth Asset Allocation Annuity Allocation
1.50 Dynamic Withdrawal Strategy Liability-Relative Optimization Asset Location and Withdrawal Sourcing
increase of 1.82%. This Gamma-equivalent
alpha represents a significant improvement
in portfolio efficiency for a retiree. The 1.25

appeal of Gamma is that it is much easier to


1.00
achieve than standard portfolio alpha. All it
takes is using a smarter approach to generating 0.75
retirement income. K
0.50
David Blanchett, CFA, CFP, is head of retirement
research with Morningstar Investment Management, 0.25
and Paul Kaplan, Ph.D., CFA, is director of research
with Morningstar Canada.
Gamma-Optimized Portfolio 4% Withdrawal and a 20% Equity/80% Bond Portfolio

References
Bennyhoff, Donald G. and Francis M. Kinniry Jr. (2010),
“Advisor’s Alpha,” Vanguard research paper (December).
Exhibit 2 Relationship Between Additional Retirement Income and
Bhojwani, Gary C. (2011), “Rethinking What’s Ahead in Changes in Returns for Different Initial Withdrawal Rates
Retirement,” Allianz Perspectives.

% Change in Return 4% Initial Withdrawal


Blanchett, David, Maciej Kowara, and Peng Chen
(2012), “Optimal Withdrawal Strategy for 3
Retirement Income Portfolios,” Retirement Manage-
ment Journal. Forthcoming. A version of this 2
paper also appears in Morningstar Advisor (October/
November 2012), pp. 66–69. 1

Epstein, Larry G. and Stanley E. Zin (1989), “Substitu-


0
tion, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior
of Consumption and Asset Returns: A Theoretical
Framework.” Econometrica, vol. 57, issue 4 (July). –1

–10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Scott, Jason (2012), “Household Alpha and Social Secu- % Median Change in Retirement Income
rity.” Financial Analysts Journal, vol. 68, no. 5.
(September/October).

Exhibit 3 Additional Income Amounts and Gamma-Equivalent


Alpha Values
Gamma Type Additional Income Generated (%) Gamma-Equivalent Alpha (%)

Total Wealth Asset Allocation 6.1 0.38


Annuity Allocation 3.8 0.24
Dynamic Withdrawal Strategy 8.5 0.54
Liability-Relative Optimization 2.2 0.14
Asset Location and Withdrawal Sourcing 8.2 0.52
Total 28.8 1.8

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