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DOI: 10.1177/0262728017745385
Vol. 38(1): 1–19
Copyright © 2018
SAGE Publications
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New Delhi,
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abstract Since the 1970s, and especially following the 1992 Rio
Earth Summit, climate change has become an area of high politics,
engaging the whole world at the international and diplomatic
level. What matters, though, is how this translates into tangible
policies at national and local levels, and how these different scales
interact. Highlighting India’s unique position in international
climate negotiations, this article first scrutinises various official
statements and documents of the Government of India (GOI)
on climate change and puts them into an analytical framework
that demonstrates continuities, but also significant recent shifts.
Investigating the reasons for such modifying trends and examining
their consequences, the article then suggests that partly owing to
recent changes in global and (geo)political contexts, but also due to
an Indian re-thinking of responsibility for addressing global climate
change, there is a significant new development. This seems to augur
a South Asian ‘silent revolution’ in green technologies, a prudent,
economically and ecologically beneficial step, not only for India but
possibly a sustainable global model.
keywords: climate change, development, environment, global
climate negotiations, greenhouse gas emissions, India, UN Framework
Convention on Climate Change
Introduction
Climate change has emerged over the last few decades as a major issue of debate
in international politics and diplomacy. Leelakrishnan (2005: v) highlights that
‘[i]nternational efforts for the protection and preservation of the global environment
started with the convening of the Stockholm Conference on Human Environment in
1972’. The Brundtland Commission Report of 1987, which introduced the notion
of ‘sustainable development’ (Adams, 1990; Carter, 2001: 196), was followed by
the Rio Earth Summit in 1992, which adopted the UN Framework Convention on
2 South Asia Research Vol. 38(1): 1–19
Among the major developing economies, however, India is still far behind China
in terms of GDP per capita as well as per capita emission of carbon dioxide. If carbon
intensity is calculated, India is closer to the USA than China, whose economy has
moved on rapidly, which also means that China can determine the peaking timeline
of the nation’s emission level better than India. Since the major challenge before the
GOI remains huge poverty, the continuing need and pressure to accelerate development
causes serious predicaments. India’s GDP per capita income for 2013 was estimated
at about US$1,499, while that of China for the same year was US$6,807. India’s
per capita carbon emission from 2010 to 2013 was estimated at about 1.7 metric tons,
compared to China’s 6.2 metric tons for the same period. India’s carbon intensity,
counted in kg per kg of oil equivalent energy use, for 2010–13, was calculated at 2.8,
in comparison to 3.3 kg for China and 2.5 kg for the USA (Jones & Saran, 2015). As
a major contributor to GHG emissions, India thus needs to take greater responsibility
for reductions, with increasingly serious question marks over traditional defensive
arguments of having to address poverty.
While there is much debate on methodology to determine the total number of poor
people in India, estimates have varied between 300 and 700 million. The Rangarajan
Committee estimated 363 million poor people in 2011–12, whereas Tendulkar
estimated 296.8 million for the same year (Planning Commission of India, 2014).
However, the Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative (2011) found
645 million poor people living in India in 2010. Most poor people do not have
access to modern energy sources (Rozarina, 2013: 152). To lift such large numbers
out of poverty, the only way forward is development, with whatever energy sources
at hand. India’s development trajectory is defined by three factors, the large size of
India geographically and demographically, the low starting point of development and
the high potential for development over the next few decades. This gives India most
important prospects for mass poverty elimination in the coming decades but also offers
both challenges and opportunities for sustainable development (Jones & Saran, 2015).
India’s priority and major challenge, in the near future, is how to provide better access
to affordable energy sources to more than 300 million Indians who presently do not
have access to modern energy sources, and then somehow shift to clean renewable
energy sources. Critically important here is the time gap between these two processes.
Or can they be brought about simultaneously?
As part of South Asia, India is highly vulnerable to various impacts of climate
change, largely due to its unique geography (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change, 2014a). Problems are further aggravated by high population density and
continuing acute mass poverty. South Asia may experience increased flooding, high
rates of heat-related mortality and high risks of drought-related water and food
shortages (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2014a: 22). India is under
severe international pressure to take a lead role in global climate negotiations. It
aspires to play a central role, also with an eye on power implications for South Asian
politics, related to two notions. The ideology of Big Brother makes India seek increased
status in South Asia, possible only if it means lending a helping hand to other states.
The second notion relates to the power balance in Asia, given India’s concerns over
growing Chinese influence in South Asia, including demands for SAARC membership
(Ahmad & Singh, 2017). Further, ambition to act as a power axis of the region requires
maintaining a strong military with modern weaponry, reflected in the steady increase
in financial allocations to the army over time.
Such notions, however, run counter to holistically oriented communication
processes on which global climate negotiations are supposedly based. This links to
different schools of thought about international cooperation among sovereign states
and their feasibility, particularly in areas where national interests converge and conflict.
While the liberal school believes that environmental issues constitute one such area,
neoliberal institutional theorists argue that states shift their loyalty and resources to
larger institutions if they find them mutually beneficial and help them to realise their
common interests (Lamy, 2011; Saryal, 2015). Such predicaments make it further
evident that India needs to strike a delicate balance between developmental priorities,
security concerns and climate protection.
Even assuming high economic growth by developing countries and stabilization of energy
consumption by the developed countries over the next 20 years, the developed countries
would continue to be responsible for a major portion of the greenhouse gas emissions.
The developing countries would [be] require[d] to increase their energy consumption
for their development and for alleviation of poverty. The responsibility for reduction of
greenhouse gas emissions to prevent a climate change would, therefore, rest with developed
countries. The developing countries will be prepared to cooperate in energy efficiency
measures but no targets can be fixed for the reduction of greenhouse emissions by them.
Saryal: Climate Change Policy of India: Modifying the Environment 7
The conference also stated that ‘any convention on climate change must provide for
technology transfer to the developing countries and funds to meet their resource
needs’ (Rajan, 1997: 105). The overall policy of the Indian government on climate
change during the initial years of negotiations revolved around this kind of equity-
based narrative, crystallised in Agarwal and Narian (1991), a publication by a Delhi-
based NGO. During the various sessions of the Intergovernmental Negotiating
Committee (INC) held from February 1991 to May 1992, the Indian delegation
trod cautiously. They insisted on adopting ‘per capita equity’ as a rightful way to
determine responsibilities to reduce GHG emissions, as India’s per capita emission
was far less than that of developed countries (Dasgupta, 2011: 89). India’s stance
during the INC sessions included this concept of ‘per capita equity’, opposition to
any international review of the national policies of developing countries, willingness
to consider contractual commitments and demand of separate funds under the
Climate Convention.
The text of the UNFCCC, finally adopted in 1992, provided an overall policy
framework. It did not include binding obligations for developing countries.
By contrast, it recognised that developed countries were principally responsible for
contributing to climate change, since their developmental activities had extended over
a long time span of industrialisation. India could influence this outcome on the basis
of a report published by the Delhi-based NGO Centre for Science and Environment
(CSE) which highlighted that carbon emissions remain in the atmosphere for a long
time (Agarwal & Narian, 1991, 1992: 27–33). The UNFCCC admitted that the
Global North had been developing for longer than the Third World, so action to
address this might proportionately lie with the industrialised nations. Article 3.1 of
the UNFCCC of 1992 clearly asks all countries to share the burden of reducing GHG
emissions at different levels based on their respective capabilities. The Convention
thus placed responsibility on all UNFCCC members to work out the full details to
control GHG emissions in future years. India’s High Commissioner to Australia,
G. Parthasarathy (1998: 3), made India’s policy on global climate change at that
point aptly clear when he argued:
There has naturally been increasing global concern about the growing atmospheric
concentration of greenhouse gases. We do, however, believe that the entire issue needs
to be viewed from a proper historical perspective, which takes into account the extent
to which countries of the world have each contributed to this problem and how we can
deal with this problem in an equitable manner. Countries like India which are only now
set on the road to sustainable development cannot obviously be asked to take measures
which would adversely affect their efforts to provide food, clothing and shelter to their
people within the shortest possible time. It is, after all, the countries of the developed world
which have created a problem for the world’s environment by what many would regard as
being conspicuous consumption and luxurious living. The needs of a man yearning for a
second meal in a developing country, in our view, require to be more urgently addressed
than the passion of a youth for a second sports car in an affluent country.
Parthasarathy (1998) further raised the argument that since the primary cause for
the depletion of the ozone layer, global warming and other developments like the
dumping of hazardous wastes had been policies designed to facilitate the increasingly
high levels of consumption in developed countries, the main responsibility for
combating pollution rested with them, based on the ‘Polluter Pays Principle’. When
India ratified the Kyoto Protocol in August 2002, Subodh Sharma, an adviser to the
Ministry of Environment and Forests, on the eve of ratification, said that India did
not have to commit anything right now, adding however that ‘the ratification means
India has confirmed its willingness to be bound by it in future’ (People’s Daily Online,
2002). As a developing country, India was not immediately required to reduce GHG
emissions under the Kyoto Protocol. Rather, it was expected to benefit from transfer
of technology and additional foreign investments into sectors, such as renewable
energy, energy generation and afforestation projects, once the Kyoto Protocol comes
into force. Accession to the Kyoto Protocol would enable India to take up clean
technology projects with external assistance in accordance with national sustainable
development priorities. After Cabinet approval of the Kyoto Protocol, the then Union
Information and Broadcasting Minister, Sushma Swaraj, said the protocol would enable
India to access adaptation funds, which could be used for undertaking activities for
water resource management, land management, agriculture, health and monitoring
of diseases (The Times of India, 2002).
India then hosted COP-8 in New Delhi from 23 October to 1 November 2002.
During this conference, India rejected pressure on poor nations to step up efforts to
tackle global warming by cutting GHG emissions. The then Prime Minister of India,
Atal Bihari Vajpayee, argued that countries like India still produced only a fraction of
the global GHG emissions and could not afford the costs of cutting them. Opening the
ministerial talks at the Conference, he insisted that poor countries should not be forced
to set targets for reducing GHG emissions and stated: ‘Climate change mitigation will
bring additional strain to the already fragile economies of the developing countries
and will affect our efforts to achieve higher GDP growth rates to eradicate poverty
speedily’ (Gaur, 2003: 286).
In the COP-13 at Bali, India reiterated its position on GHG reduction. A senior
member of the Indian delegation said that industrialised countries should fulfil the
commitments made under the Kyoto Protocol and there should be quick progress on
concluding negotiations for GHG emission reductions by these countries in a post-
Kyoto world (Gupta, 2007). Chandrashekhar Dasgupta, former Ambassador and
Fellow at The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI) said that developing countries
are most vulnerable to climate change, because they lack the resources and technology
to build infrastructure to deal with climate change. The only solution is accelerated
development to generate the necessary resources (Gupta, 2007).
The Indian government remained apprehensive about the contemplated attempts of
developed countries to segregate environment and trade issues. While environmental
issues were on the agenda of the UN, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and
Saryal: Climate Change Policy of India: Modifying the Environment 9
the World Bank monopolised economic and trade issues. Dubey (1993: 121–2)
argues that hardcore economic issues, such as the removal of poverty, development
strategies, trade, money, finance and debt, have been taken off the UN agenda and
were transferred to the IMF, the World Bank and the General Agreement on Tariff
and Trade (GATT), over which developed countries have greater control, permitting
them to use cross-conditionalities and cross-retaliation. One sees here reflections of
India’s still latent concerns about re-colonisation and dependence on foreign capital
(Khilnani, 2012: 76).
The developing countries, highly dependent on World Bank and IMF support
for their developmental projects, although they had a greater say in the UN General
Assembly, were in a less advantageous position on climate change issues. The then
Indian Prime Minister, Manmohan Singh, in his statement at the General Debate of
the 63rd UN General Assembly, reiterated the well-articulated Indian position when
he confirmed support for multilateral negotiations taking place under the UNFCCC.
However, ‘[t]he outcome must be fair and equitable and recognize the principle that
each citizen of the world has equal entitlement to the global atmospheric space’ (Prime
Minister’s Office, 2008a).
The remarkable consistency in India’s policy to categorise climate change
interventions as an issue primarily for the developed world and to address this from
the equity perspective since the beginning of international climate negotiations can
be ascribed to many factors. The Indian climate negotiators, generally drawn from
the Indian Foreign Service, preferred closed door negotiation strategies that remained
largely immune from domestic politics and its influences. The Indian media and
Indian environmentalists were also sceptical about the global climate change discourse
and therefore adopted an indifferent attitude towards it (Boykoff, 2010; Lele, 2011).
earlier climate narratives, indicating India’s desire to follow a low carbon growth path.
This change in India’s climate change policy has been noted by many commentators
(Atteridge et al., 2012; Patodia, 2011). The unilateral launch of India’s National
Action Plan on Climate Change on 30 June 2008 clearly exhibited India’s solemn
commitment to reduce GHG emissions. This Plan included eight national missions
that address India’s energy requirements through eco-friendly energies for sustainable
development. These include a National Mission on Solar Energy, on Enhanced Energy
Efficiency, on Sustainable Habitat, on Conserving Water, on Sustaining the Himalayan
Ecosystem, on creating a ‘Green India’, on Sustainable Agriculture and finally, on
establishing a Strategic Knowledge Platform for Climate Change (Prime Minister’s
Office, 2008b). The Prime Minister’s Council on Climate Change that prepared this
National Action Plan comprised of core members of the cabinet and several experts.
This nodal body on policy matters and implementation review implies that the Prime
Minister had direct control over matters related to climate change. The GOI has
since taken 20 initiatives to address climate change issues, ranging from mass-scale
afforestation to the launch of a satellite to monitor GHG (Ministry of Environment,
Forests and Climate Change, 2009).
In a speech to the inaugural session of the Delhi Sustainable Development Summit
2011, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh reiterated his earlier stance on per capita
emission, but chose a different vocabulary to suggest the most pragmatic solution to
the issue of climate change. Singh (2011) said:
We have to recognise that the world must move away from production and consumption
patterns which are carbon-intensive and energy-intensive. Without this shift in the
patterns of energy generation and use, ecologically sustainable development will remain
mostly a pious aspiration if not merely a buzz word. We have to make changes in our
lifestyles, particularly in the developed world, and learn to make do with less. In
developing countries, poverty eradication will have to be linked to the availability of
clean, renewable and affordable energy. I believe that charting these new pathways is not
beyond our collective imagination. Life as we know it on our beautiful planet is at stake.
Current Developments
Following the change of guard at the centre in India after the general elections of 2014,
pragmatism has continued with vigour and, it seems, some new insights. The deep
interest in climate change of Prime Minister Narendra Modi became evident when
a few months after taking charge, he reconstituted the Prime Minister’s Council on
Climate Change in an attempt to ‘revive and streamline the council and set the agenda
to deal with climate change’ (Menon, 2014). In the COP-20 in Lima, the Indian
Minister for Environment, Forests and Climate Change stressed India’s commitment
and readiness to play its part in the global fight against climate change. However, this
also contained a familiar message reflecting India’s aversion of being dictated to by
outsiders. Similarly, before the COP-21 in Paris, the GOI unequivocally stated that the
have ratified the Paris agreement, they would set up a 55/55 Conference, which is
expected to write the new rules of the global climate order. Participating actively
in this is quite contrary to India’s earlier hesitant position, with the GOI generally
being late to take such decisions.
Conclusions
The aforementioned analyses of the changing trajectory of India’s climate change
discourse can now be summed up. First, India realised that it did not achieve any
substantial success by merely sticking to earlier equity-focused principles. Second,
the strategy of asking for aid and technology transfer from the developed world
without any corresponding groundwork at home has not yielded results for India
so far. Third, it is now well recognised that the issue of climate change cannot be
resolved without the active support of rapidly growing economies like India. As a
rapidly growing economy, India could not simply ignore the mounting pressure on
the country as one of the major global polluters to take a lead role in the mitigation
process. Fourth, India cannot equate herself with the LDCs of the world, given the
scale and level of the country’s economic growth and development. Fifth, since
2007, there has been a pragmatic shift in India’s climate change policy and India
is meanwhile doing reasonably well in setting up unilateral targets for mitigation
of GHG emissions, particularly, after some earlier reluctance (Kalle & Kasi, 2016)
by emphasising solar energy. On the opening day of the Paris Conference, Prime
Minister Modi and the French President launched an International Solar Alliance
(2015), inviting all countries located fully or partially between the Tropics of
Cancer and Capricorn to boost solar energy in developing countries through joint
efforts. The prime objective of this alliance is to pursue cooperation in training,
building institutions, regulatory issues, common standards and investment,
including joint ventures.
India needs such developments to eradicate poverty but also has to be careful about
environmental implications. Therefore, a well-balanced strategy would help to achieve
both development and climate protection. A modified co-benefit approach seems
well suited to Indian requirements. The test will be to see how well India pursues
this approach in achieving both development and climate protection, particularly in
the wake of ratification of the Paris agreement, through which India has given a clear
signal to the world community that she wants to be part of the solution. An effective
climate agreement is clearly in India’s interest, being among the world’s countries
that are most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Before going to the Paris
COP, India knew that an effective climate deal would only be possible if India played
a leading role in hammering out the deal.
The recent shift in climate change policy of the GOI is, thus, strongly grounded
in global, national and local realism. The consistent economic growth of India over
the last few years and the potential to maintain such growth in the coming decades
Saryal: Climate Change Policy of India: Modifying the Environment 15
has brought India closer to the USA, a position replicated in China, which also now
assumes global leadership in climate change matters. This changed geopolitical context
of the world, compared to the early 1990s, means that India is no more willing to act
as a leader of the G77 coalition of developing nations in climate change negotiations,
as happened initially. Instead, India has formed a group with other fast-emerging
economies to promote her national interests in climate change negotiations. Enthused
by a fairly consistent economic growth rate, India now aspires to a high seat not only in
various multilateral economic forms but also in the UN Security Council. To achieve
all of this, a more responsible and constructive shift in India’s (and China’s) climate
change policy has been a logical step.
Intriguingly, one sees here another example, though, where earlier Congress rule
in India prepared certain policy changes, but the BJP regime now reaps the benefits,
literally modifying the agenda. Currently, thus, another silent revolution seems to
be underway in India, as various local schemes to harvest solar and wind energies
are beginning to bring real benefits to local people, while helping to reduce toxic
environmental impacts. The realisation that this is ecologically sustainable and
good for business presents further evidence that India’s vision of development is not
merely following ‘Western’ trajectories. In a different time and place, creative and
ecologically sustainable solutions for addressing bottlenecks of development need
to be found, and some are already in place. What is now needed is perhaps less talk
at high diplomatic levels and instead more focus on well-targeted action, delivering
development where it really matters, at the local level. Researching such developments
will require different skills than the current article could bring to the debate. The
image of Prime Minister Modi as a doer rather than a vain talker may yet take on a
different dimension of good governance also in this particular context where, again,
there is more to Indian developments than meets the eye at first, as Midthanpally
(2017) recently shows on demonetisation. The somewhat playful term of ‘modifying’
India could perhaps now be applied also to the management of energy production in
India, seeking to bypass the traditional carbon trap of development and its polluting
consequences. That this is not the only possible narrative is obvious, as massive
pollution and GHG emissions will remain a prominent feature for the foreseeable
future, too, requiring rigid monitoring and constant critical re-assessment. But India’s
development and investment strategies today do not only speak a new diplomatic
language, as this article shows, they are now also taking pragmatic and ecologically
sound shapes at the local and regional level. Since human existence per se has many
polluting impacts on the environment, an ancient truth worth remembering, the
increasingly visible silent revolution of green technologies in India shows the way
for better ecological sustainability. A large window of opportunity has thus been
opened to make India a more responsible partner in the global theatre of climate
change negotiations and actions, showing again that South Asia remains a fascinating
laboratory for the immensely complicated challenges that global humanity faces in
the twenty-first century.
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