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The Economic Monitor Series. Free Edition.
Stock recommendations and price targets from top U.S. stocks ended higher after data showed the creation of three
times as many private-sector jobs as expected in December. The
brokerage firms
DJIA was up 31.71 points, or 0.27 percent, at 11,722.89.
Analysis and views on National debt looms large Treasuries yields rose, as strong private employment data led to
over Washington higher expectations for Friday's key payroll report. Benchmark 10-
year Treasury notes were last trading 1-6/32 lower in price to
Economic Indicator Watch along with Graphs yield 3.48 percent, up from 3.33 percent late on Tuesday.
FUTURES
LAST CHANGE
Check Point Software Raises price target to $48 from $42 Neutral
Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts are their own, and not that of IBTimes or its management. We advise users to check with certified experts before
taking any investment decisions.
Economic Events
No economic events scheduled
Company Events
Monsanto Co. will report its first quarter results. Analysts expect an EPS of 2 cents per share, up from a loss of 2 cents reported in the
year-ago quarter. Total net sales for the fourth quarter increased 4% to $1.95 billion from $1.88 billion in the comparable period. Ten
analysts estimated revenues of $1.82 billion for the quarter.
Analysts expect Constellation Brands to report a profit of 62 cents per share for the third quarter, which is up from 54 cents reported
in the same quarter last year. Company's second-quarter net income declined 8% to $91.3 million from $99.7 million last year. Earnings
per Class A share decreased 4% to 43 cents from 45 cents last year. Earnings per share Class B convertible stock also dropped to 40
cents per share from prior year's 41 cents per share.
4 Week Average
Continuing Claims
The U.S. Labor Department will release weekly data on jobless claims at 0830 EST. New applications for unemployment benefits
dropped from 34,000 to 388,000 in the last week report, the lowest level since July 2008. The report on jobless claims showed the
number of people still receiving benefits under regular state programs after an initial week of aid rose 57,000 to 4.13 million in the
week ended December 18. The claims for four-week average were lowest in more than two years at 414,000.
International Council of Shopping Centers will release report on U.S. comparable chain store sales for the month of December. In
the month of November the U.S. comparable chain store sales rose 5.8 percent from a year earlier.
The Intelligent Investor - U.S.
The two houses of the 112th Congress commence business today at noon and both veteran lawmakers and newcomers are going to find many important national
issues on their collective plates - jobs and the economy, healthcare, last fiscal year's unattended budget, this fiscal year's developing budget, immigration, Afghanistan,
Pakistan and energy, to name some of the bigger ones.
But a larger, more encompassing, more challenging and more threatening issue is looming up and looking right at Congress and the American people like, as former
South Carolina Congressman Bob Inglis put it, a mountainside looks right at an approaching airplane. That issue is the mountainous national debt and the deficit
spending that adds to it every year.
Lawmakers ignore this giant at their, and the nation's, peril, according to many economists and policy mavens, including Maya MacGuineas, President of the
Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.
"This is an issue that is not going to go away," she said. "It will be difficult for the White House or the Congress to focus on anything else until they deal with this."
According to U.S. Treasury figures, as of Jan. 4, 2011, the national debt was over $14 trillion -- $14,005,153,386,222.39 to be precise, although it's grown since.
If you were thinking of helping out with a check, that sum breaks down to $45,208 per citizen.
Treasury predicted in June 2010 that the debt would rise to $19.6 trillion by 2015. According to Treasury and the federal Office of Management and Budget, the
national deficit for fiscal year 2010, which ended on Sept. 30, 2010, was $1.294 trillion. It is the second biggest deficit in the nation's history, topped only by 2009. The
deficit currently eats up 8.9 percent of the Gross Domestic Product.
Early last year, President Obama appointed the 18-member bipartisan Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform to study the problem and come up with
recommendations for cutting the debt down to manageable size. The commission, which was co-chaired by former Clinton chief of staff Erskine Bowles and former
Republican senator from Wyoming Alan Simpson, delivered its recommendations in December.
The commission's plan would trim the deficit to $382 billion by 2020 and balance the budget by 2037, with the subsequent yearly surpluses used to pay down the debt.
The plan would eliminate tax breaks, earmarks, farm subsidies and 200,000 federal jobs by 2020. It would freeze the defense budget, make cuts to Medicare and
Medicaid and raise the Social Security retirement age.
As Simpson quipped, there was something in the plan for everyone to dislike. Not everyone disliked it, but many did. Voices on the left objected to cuts to entitlement
programs, while voices on the right decried eliminating tax breaks. The commission itself could not muster the supermajority approval of the plan needed (14 of 18
votes) to present it to Congress as an official proposal.
But the plan still exists and is already being used by a number of senators who are preparing ways to attack the problem.
Bowles said the plan, and the idea driving the plan, would remain useful despite its failure to immediately become a legislative bill.
He said the commission attained its goal of starting "a sane conversation on the dangers of the debt."
MacGuineas, a supporter of the commission's plan, said it is there for lawmakers to use and build on, but how much energy they expend on it depends on the
administration. "What is the White House going to do? There is only so much Congress can do, if the White House does not take the lead," she said.
MacGuineas said that Obama's State of the Union address, slated for Jan. 25, would be an excellent opportunity for the President to motivate the nation and, thereby,
the Congress, to focus on the long-term problem of the debt and deficit.
"He could refer to the debt commission's plan. He could do something like make this the year to tackle Social Security reform," she said. "He needs to emphasize to the
nation that the government is serious about taking this on. In that way, he could build enough momentum for real reform to start taking place. Presidential leadership
is needed."
MacGuineas said that the Senate appears ready to tackle the issue, noting that Sens. Ron Wyden, D-OR, Bob Corker, R-TN, Saxby Chambliss, R-GA and Mark Warner, D
-VA are already working in that direction.
"Four of the senators who served on the commission, and who are still in office, are also focusing on fiscal responsibility," she said, referring to Sens. Dick Durbin, D-IL,
Mike Crapo, R-ID, Tom Coburn, R-OK and Kent Conrad, D-ND.
Five of the six Congress Members on the commission voted against its recommendations - Democratic Reps. Jan Schakowsky, IL and Xavier Becerra, CA, and
Republican Reps. Jeb Hensarling, TX, Paul Ryan, WI and Dave Camp, MI.
Two of those Republicans will be committee chairs in 2011 - Ryan, of the Budget Committee, and Camp, of the Committee on Ways and Means. Hensarling will serve
on the Budget Committee.
The three said they could not support the debt commission's recommendations because of proposed elimination of tax breaks.
MacGuineas noted that Republicans who control the House have a position of no new revenues through taxes, a position she believes is ultimately untenable. Senators,
on the other hand, appear ready to compromise to make progress on the issue, she said.
"Change is in the wind regarding this issue," MacGuineas said. "The nation knows that hard choices have to be made to get the debt down. It is Washington that needs
to get onboard. The questions are: will the White House take the lead, and will the Senate and House be able to compromise."
The Intelligent Investor - U.S.
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