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III B.

COM (AM) SEMESTER-VI


MODEL EXAMINATION -2019-20
RISK MODELS (TH16I07)
Time: 3 Hrs Max Marks: 100

SECTION - A (11*2=22)
ANSWER ALL THE QUESTIONS
1. State the Bayes Theorem?(K1)
2. What is Prior distribution?(K1)
3. What is Posterior distribution?(K1)
4. Define stochastic model?(K2)
5. What are the purposes for which general insurance companies need to apply
mathematical techniques?(K2)
6. What are loss distributions according to general insurance companies and why are
they used?(K2)
7. What element of risk does a typical motor insurance policy comprise of?(K2)
8. What does S denote in basic risk model?(K1)
9. State the mean and variance of S(K1)
10. What is stop loss reinsurance(K1)
11. What is saddle point?(K1)
SECTION B (5*6=30)
ANSWER ANY 5 QUESTIONS
12. Describe weibull distribution?(K2)
13. Explain excess of loss in reinsurance with respect to insurer?(K2)
14. If X ~ Poisson() and Y ~ Poisson(µ ) are independent random variables, find the
probability function of Z X Y using convolutions.(K3)
15. Explain non-proportional reinsurance .(K2)
16. Comment “Is a zero sum game a fair game”(K3)
17. Why is a strategy required for a player ? define and describe randomized
strategies(K2)
SECTION C
ANSWER ANY 4 QUESTIONS (4*12=48)
18. You bought a box of light bulbs from a market stall a few months ago. You know that
the bulbs are all either short-life bulbs with a mean life of 500 hours or long-life bulbs
with a mean life of 2,500 hours, but you cannot tell which because there was no label
on the box. As you have not shopped at this stall before, you initially have no opinion
as to whether you have been sold long-life bulbs or the cheaper alternative.
After approximately 300 hours, the 5 bulbs you have been using are all still going.
Assuming that the life of an individual light bulb has an exponential distribution, how
would you now assess the probability that you bought long-life bulbs?(K2)

19. What are proportional and non - proportional reinsurance and how do they operate?
(K2)
20. How does claim inflation affect reinsurance arrangement. Solve the following
An insurer has a basic excess of loss reinsurance arrangement in place. If gross claims
inflate by a factor of k , would you expect the insurer’s mean claim amount to inflate
bya factor that is more or less than k ? What about the reinsurer’s mean claim
amount?Assume that the retention limit remains constant.(K3)
21. Prove the sums of compound poisson distribution.(K3)
22. Discuss generalised pareto and gamma distributions(K2)
23. What are the differences between collective and individual risk models?(K2)

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