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Millions in underdeveloped regions face penury and deprivation as economic activity grinds to a
halt due to lockdown.
by Kunal Purohit
3 Apr 2020
On Thursday, director-general of the World Health Organization said lockdown to limit COVID-
19 transmission has 'unintended consequences for the poorest' and 'most vulnerable' [Danish
Siddiqui/Reuters]
Nowhere to go: US oil prices fall back below zero, stocks falltoday
Mumbai, India - For farm worker Manisha Uke, being able to survive is contingent on two
factors - one, getting a daily wage of 100 Indian rupees ($1.3) a day and two, receiving a
widow's monthly pension of 1,000 rupees ($13.1) from the government.
Since the onset of the COVID-19 outbreak in India at the beginning of March, both sources of
income have dried up.
More:
Just days after Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced an unprecedented three-week
lockdown to halt the spread of the coronavirus, Uke, 30, who lives in a village in Maharashtra in
western India ran out of money and groceries. "So, I started feeding my three young girls rice
with a chutney, made of crushed onions or tomatoes," she says.
She managed to find work in a neighbouring village for a day. With the money she earned, she
was able to buy some food from a market 10 kilometres (6.2 miles) away.
Countries are asking ppl to #stayhome & shutting down population movement to
limit #COVID19 transmission. These steps can have unintended consequences for the poorest &
most vulnerable. I call on countries to ensure these populations have food & life essentials
during the crisis.
"So I gave him my necklace to keep, till I can pay him back," she says. He agreed but said he
would charge an additional dollar in interest.
As the coronavirus cases in India climb, imposing a lockdown on 1.3 billion people was always
going to be challenging. So far, the country has had a reported 2,032 cases and 58 deaths. But the
movement restrictions will prove economically devastating for India's poor, who live in its vast
rural areas, say analysts.
Manisha Uke has run out of money and groceries since the Indian prime minister announced an
unprecedented lockdown to halt the spread of the coronavirus on March 24 [Kunal Purohit/Al
Jazeera]
Modi's sudden announcement on March 24 sent waves of panic across the country. But for
India's 40 million migrant workers it was a do-or-die situation to seek the safety of home.
The announcement, just four hours before the lockdown was due to start, caused an exodus
among the working poor. Thousands fled on foot to their villages, often hundreds of kilometres
away, leading to the death of at least 20 people.
With the lockdown suspending all forms of work for three weeks, India's poorest from some of
the country's most underdeveloped regions now face penury and deprivation.
With very little savings and a poor social security net, families in rural India are having fewer
meals, borrowing money and braving the threat of police violence in order to go out and work.
"I feel ashamed saying this but I don't think I have even Rs 100 left with me. Modi should tell us
how people like me are supposed to survive in this lockdown," she says.
"I call on countries to ensure these populations have food [and] life essentials during the
crisis," Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus tweeted.
According to the World Bank's 2015 estimates, India has 176 million people living in extreme
poverty and like Uke, who earn less than $1.9 a day.
'Possibiilty of near-starvation'
Like Uke, most informal workers earn anywhere between 100 rupees and 300 rupees, depending
on the work, the region and their gender, just enough to make ends meet.
Government data shows, on average, Indian rural households have a monthly surplus of only
1,413 rupees ($18.5) which is often used to repay their debts.
But in Jharkhand, one of India's poorest states, most rural households only have a surplus one-
fifth of that figure.
The possibilty of near-starvation is now being discussed in many rural areas in India.
Kalamuddin Ansari works with a local community organisation helping the poor get access to
legal aid and is from a village in Jharkhand in eastern India. He earns 7,000 rupees ($91.7) a
month but it barely covers expenses for his family of five.
But since the restrictions were imposed in March, Ansari was not able to go in person to collect
his monthly stipend.
"It has been more than a month since I got my last salary. I don't know how much more we will
be able to hold it up for," he says. His family now mostly has rice supplemented with a few
vegetables.
Karmu Bhuiya, 45, lives in the same village as Ansari and has to support his mother, wife and
son.
Bhuiya is a casual labourer who does odd jobs which get him about 250 rupees ($3.3) a day. But
since the lockdown started, work has dried up. Most days, the family eats rice with a little oil and
salt.
"Other days, if we find any edible greens growing around our house, we crush it into a chutney
and eat it with rice, because spices are too expensive," he says.
But with the current movement restrictions, Ansari and Bhuiya cannot even pick up the
occasional odd job.
Ansari says villagers are full of stories of police using violent means to stop anyone who
ventures out of the house. His smartphone is filled with videos showing some of these purported
incidents, which reportedly took place in a village close to his.
"Most families buy goods on a weekly basis at weekly village markets. That's just how much
liquidity they have. Which is why, shutting down the economy means shutting down all the flow
of money in, anyway, precarious households," he says.
For now, Bhuiya and Ansari are supported by the government's public distribution system, a
long-standing government food security programme that distributes grains at heavily subsidised
rates.
State support
But the food distribution scheme is frequently interrupted. After not receiving any rations for
four months, they were resumed in March when the Modi government announced a $22.50bn
relief package to help the poor cope with the loss of income during the lockdown.
The programme offers the poor support by distributing free food to 800 million families, cash
transfers of 500 rupees ($6.6) for 200 million women, 1,000 rupees for 30 million seniors
citizens and free gas cylinders for families for the next three months.
However, many analysts question whether these supplies can be distributed in time.
Dipa Sinha, an assistant professor of economics at the School of Liberal Studies in Ambedkar
University Delhi, calls the measures inadequate and a "little too late".
"It has been close to a week since the announcement, but we don't see that it has been
implemented yet, not even in the capital, New Delhi. These were supposed to be emergency
measures and one wonders if India's systems, weak anyway, will be able to deliver these
benefits," Sinha says.
Back in Amravati, Uke has heard little about the Modi government's relief package. She is not
even sure if she qualifies. And even if she does, she thinks the scheme is not for her.
"How am I supposed to reach the bank, more than 10 kilometres away to claim the cash transfers
now that they shut the public transport too? I will have to pay more for the travel fare than what I
get," she says.