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Result Update
The Company has de-merged the plate mill into a 100% subsidiary for
great focus in the business and attain fiscal benefits.
The company has passed a resolution to raise USD 200 million through
equity to fund the organic or inorganic growth and to reduce the debt
Project Status
The company has de-merged the plate cum coil mill into a 100%
subsidiary.
Revised Earlier
Particulars
FY10E FY10E
0.51
FY08 FY09
12%
18% 45%
1% 10%
11%
7%
1% 57% 5%
5%
12% 16%
USA Canada South East Latin America
USA Canada South East Latin America Middle East Domestic Middle East Domestic North Africa
Valuations
With recent recovery in crude oil prices from low of USD 33 per barrel to
presently USD 65 per barrel will increase the demand for oil and gas capex
and will result in new order flows. The demand of pipes from domestic
alone from GAIL is expected to Rs 30000 crs in next few years and
international demand of pipe over next 5 years is expected to be USD 84 bn.
At CMP of Rs 199 the stock is trading at a P/E of 10.4, 10.5x and 9.2x of its
FY08, FY09 and FY10E earnings respectively. We continue maintain our
“Hold” recommendation on the stock with 12-15 months with a revised
price target of Rs 216 based on 10x P/E of FY10E earnings.
Ratios
Particulars 2007 2008 2009E 2010E
Profitability and Return Ratios
EBIDTA Margin (%) 12.2 16.2 13.9 14.2
Net Profit Margin (%) 5.3 8.5 4.0 5.8
EPS basic 10.2 19.2 12.5 21.6
Adj. EPS 10.2 19.2 19.0 21.6
CEPS 13.6 22.6 19.3 31.8
BVPS 46.7 88.2 94.9 114.8
Dividend Yield (%) 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8
ROE 21.8 21.7 13.2 18.8
ROACE 16.1 18.7 16.1 17.0
Operating Efficiency and Other Ratios
Debtors T/o 4.6 5.5 6.6 5.2
Interest Coverage (x) 3.8 7.2 4.0 4.2
Asset / Turnover (x) 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.4
D/E (x) 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.2
Valuation Ratios
P/E (x) 19.5 10.4 10.5 9.2
P/CEPS (x) 14.6 8.8 10.3 6.3
P/BV (x) 4.3 2.3 2.1 1.7
Mcap / Sales (x) 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.5
EV / Sales (x) 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.7
EV / EBIDTA (x) 14.8 9.2 6.8 5.3
Source : Company, KJMC Research
Recommendation Parameters
Expected returns in absolute terms over a one-year period
Buy - appreciate more than 20% over a 12- month period
Hold / Neutral - appreciate up to 20% over a 12- month period
Reduce - depreciate up to 10% over a 12- month period
Sell - depreciate more than 10% over a 12- month period
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person to buy or sell a security. The information contained therein has been obtained from source believed to be reliable to the
best of our knowledge. KJMC Capital Market Services Ltd. dose not bear any responsibility for the authentication of the
information contained in the reports and consequently, is not liable for any decisions taken based on the same. Further KJMC
only provides information updates and analysis. All option for buying and selling are available to investors when they are
registered clients of KJMC Capital Market Services Ltd. As per SEBI requirements it is stated that, KJMC Capital Market
Services Ltd. , and/or individuals thereof may have positions in securities referred herein and may make purchases or sale
thereof while this report is in circulation.
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