MATH 381 Probability and Statistic

Summer 2020

Curricular Area Engineering

Type of Course Mandatory – Major
Probability space, conditional probability and independence, and
probability theorems; random variables, and density functions, joint
probability; expectation, variance and covariance, discrete and continuous
Catalogue Description distributions, statistical measures: mean, mode, variance, standard
deviation; statistical distribution: t-distribution, chi-distribution; sampling
theory, theory of estimation, confidence intervals; hypothesis testing,
probability and statistical software.
Prerequisites by Courses MATH 282
Prerequisites by Topics Calculus
Akram Tannir, Ph.D. – Associate Professor
akram.tannir@bau.edu.lb
Engineering Building Office: F129 Phone Ext: 3473
Instructors
Walaa Sahyoun, Ph.D. – Assistant Professor
w.sahyoun@bau.edu.lb
Tripoli Campus, Phone Extension 4317
Class times Online
Office Hours Online
Load 3Crs.:3Lec,0Lab
R. E. Walpole, R. H. Myers, S. L. Myers and keying Ye, “Probability &
Textbook Statistics for Engineers & Scientists”, ninth edition, Pearson Education
Inc, 2007
Reference Books Any textbook about the topics.
Tentative Schedule
Note: Lectures will be available on Moodle on Mondays and Wednesdays. Problem
Solving sessions and quizzes will be posted on Fridays.
Week of Monday Wednesday
Introduction: Introduction:
The process of statistical analysis, Measures of location, measures of variability,
29 June
definition of probability, sampling discrete and continuous data, graphical methods, and
procedures. data description.
Probability theory: Probability theory:
6 July Probability axioms, probability of Conditional probability, law of total probability, and
events, probability computation. Baye’s rule.
Random variables: Mathematical expectations:
Concept of random variable, The mean, the variance, linear combinations of
13 July discrete and continuous random random variables, Chebyshev’s theorem.
Topics variables and joint probability
distributions.
Special discrete distributions: Special continuous distributions:
Discrete Uniform, Binomial, Continuous Uniform, Normal, Normal
20 July
Multinomial, Hypergeometric, approximation to the binomial, exponential
geometric and Poisson distributions. distributions.
Statistics: Random sampling:
27 July Definition, statistical Sampling distributions, central limit theorem, the t-
measurements, descriptive statistics. distribution.
Estimation: Hypothesis testing:
Point and interval estimation, single Statistical hypotheses, one and two-tailed tests, the
3 August
sample and two samples, paired p-value, testing with two independent and paired
samples, proportion estimations. samples.
Learning Outcomes Correlation with Program Program
outcomes Objectives
1. Identify the basic concepts of counting, probability theorems, probability
A 2
computation and conditional probability.
2. Recognize the concept of random variables, probability distributions, and
A 2
joint probability distribution
3. Identify discrete and continuous probability distributions A 2
4. Solve basic problems that involve discrete and continuous probability
A 2
distributions
5. Recognize the central limit theorem A 2
6. Use statistical measurement such as mean, mode, variance, and standard
A 2
deviation to analyze a dataset
7. Compute point estimation of parameters, explain the sampling
A 2
distribution of mean and variance
8. Construct confidence interval on parameters for one and two samples A 2
9. Use hypothesis tests concerning the parameters for a single population and
A 2
two populations with independent or paired samples.

Learning Outcomes Assessment Tools Project Exams

1. Identify the basic concepts of counting, probability theorems, probability
X
computation and conditional probability.
2. Recognize the concept of random variables, probability distributions, and
X
joint probability distribution
3. Identify discrete and continuous probability distributions X
4. Solve basic problems that involve discrete and continuous probability
X X
distributions
5. Recognize the central limit theorem X
6. Use statistical measurement such as mean, mode, variance, and standard
X X
deviation to analyze a dataset
7. Compute point estimation of parameters, explain the sampling distribution of
X X
mean and variance
8. Construct confidence interval on parameters for one and two samples X X
9. Use hypothesis tests concerning the parameters for a single population and
X X
two populations with independent or paired samples.

Assessment: Tentative Dates and Times Weighing

Project TBA 20%
Quiz 1 Friday 10 July 2020, 3:00-4:00 pm 20%
Quiz 2 Friday 24 July 2020, 3:00-4:00 pm 20%
Final Exam Friday 7 August 2020, 3:00-4:30 pm 40%

Attendance:

As set by BAU regulations, and specified in Student Manual, students who miss more than one-fifth
of the sessions of any course in the first ten weeks of the semester will be required to withdraw from
the course with a grade of “WF”.

Dr. Akram Tannir Date: June 2020

Course Coordinator: