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GENERACION DE DESCARGAS EN CUENCA TOTAL MOLLEBAMBA

METODO PROPUESTO POR LA MISION TECNICA ALEMANA - 1980

Cuadro N° 6.1: Precipitación Efectiva


según el Bureao of Reclamation

Precip itació n Efectiva (m m )


P P. Efectiva: PE (mm)
mm Curva I Curva II Curva III
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 Figura 6.1: Porción de Precipitación Efectiva Según Bureao Of Reclam
20.0 0.0 2.0 4.0
30.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 140.0

40.0 0.5 4.0 8.0


120.0
50.0 1.0 6.0 11.0 f(x) = 1.41338E-09 x⁵ − 8.67403E-07 x⁴ + 0.00017
60.0 1.5 8.0 14.0 100.0 − 0.0100743 x² + 0.37952 x − 0.417724
70.0 3.0 10.0 18.0
80.0
80.0 4.0 14.0 24.0
90.0 5.5 18.0 30.0 60.0
100.0 8.0 23.0 39.0
40.0
110.0 11.0 29.0 48.0
120.0 15.0 36.0 58.0 20.0
130.0 19.0 43.0 68.0
140.0 24.0 52.0 78.0 0.0
0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160
150.0 30.0 60.0 88.0
Precipitación Mensual (mm)
160.0 37.0 69.0 98.0
170.0 45.0 79.0 108.0 Curva I Curva II
Curva III Polynomial (Curva III)
180.0 55.0 89.0 118.0
0.15 0.3 0.5

Cuadro N° 6.2: Cálculo del Coeficiente de Escorrentía

Método de la Misión Alemana Método de L - Turc

Precipitación Media Anual: P 850.9 mm Temperatura Media Anual: T 8.7 °C


Evaporación Total Anual: ETP 1222 mm Coeficiente de Temperatura: L 550.4
Déficit de Escurrimiento: D 469.1 mm/año
Coeficiente de Escorrentía: C 0.28 Coeficiente de Escorrentía: C 0.45

Cuadro N° 6.4: Coeficientes de


Cuadro N° 6.3: Características Generales de la Microcuenca Cálculo - Precipitación Efectiva

Area de la cuenca: A 698.4 Km2 Coef. Curva I Curva II Curva III


Altitud Media de la Microcuenca: H 3500 msnm a0 -0.047000 -0.106500 -0.417700
Pendiente Media de la Microcuenca 0.95 m/m a1 0.009400 0.147700 0.379500
Precipitación Media Anual: P 850.9 mm a2 -0.000500 -0.002900 -0.010100
Evaporación Total Anual: ETP 1222 mm a3 0.000020 0.000050 0.000200
Temperatura Media Anual: T 8.7 °C a4 -5.00E-08 -2.00E-07 -9.00E-07
Déficit de Escurrimiento: D 469.1 mm/año a5 2.00E-10 2.00E-10 1.00E-09
Coeficiente de Escorrentía: C 0.45
Coeficiente de Agotamiento: a 0.0135 El rango de aplicación de los
Relación de Caudales (30 días): bo 0.667 coeficientes de la ecuación
Area de lagunas y acuíferos 5 Km2 Polinómica de la PE está
Gasto Mensual de Retención: R 80.0 mm/año comprendida para 0 < P < 250 mm

CUADRO N° 6.5: GENERACION DE CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES PARA EL AÑO PROMEDIO

PRECIPITACION MENSUAL CONTRIBUCION DE LA RETENCION CAUDALES


N° P Efectiva Gasto Abastecimiento GENERADOS
MES días del Total PE II PE III PE bi Gi ai Ai
mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes m3/s
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Enero 30 190.7 55.3 153.6 105.0 0.400 32.0 73.0 19.68
Febrero 28 184.0 53.3 152.7 103.6 0.200 16.0 87.6 25.28
Marzo 31 182.3 52.7 152.1 103.0 0.000 0.0 103.0 26.86
Abril 30 46.4 4.6 11.5 8.1 0.667 28.3 36.4 9.80
Mayo 31 12.9 1.4 3.2 2.3 0.445 18.9 21.2 5.53
Junio 30 4.6 0.5 1.1 0.8 0.297 12.6 13.4 3.62
Julio 31 3.8 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.198 8.4 9.1 2.36
Agosto 31 13.5 1.5 3.3 2.4 0.132 5.6 8.0 2.09
Setiem. 30 22.4 2.3 5.0 3.7 0.088 3.7 7.4 2.00
Octubre 31 41.3 4.0 9.6 6.8 0.059 2.5 9.3 2.44
Noviem. 30 50.6 5.2 13.3 9.3 0.050 4.0 5.3 1.42
Diciem. 31 98.4 17.1 54.5 36.0 0.350 28.0 8.0 2.09

AÑO 850.9 198.3 560.9 381.8 1.886 80.0 1.000 80.0 381.8 8.60

Coeficientes 0.45 0.494 0.506 1.000


Fuente: Elaboración propia

CUADRO N° 6.6: CALCULO DE LOS COEFICIENTES DE CORRELACION PARA EL AÑO PROMEDIO

Qt Qt-1 PE
73.0 8.0 105.0
87.6 73.0 103.6 Resultado de la regresión
103.0 87.6 103.0
36.4 103.0 8.1 Resumen
21.2 36.4 2.3 Resumen
13.4 21.2 0.8
9.1 13.4 0.7 Estadísticas de la regresión
8.0 9.1 2.4 Coeficien 0.98156
7.4 8.0 3.7 Coeficien 0.96347
9.3 7.4 6.8 R^2 ajus 0.95535
5.3 9.3 9.3 Error típi 7.48619
8.0 5.3 36.0 Observac 12
Fuente: Elaboración propia
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de
Suma
libertad
Promedio
de cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crítico de F
Regresió 2 13303 6651.41 118.684 3.4E-07
Residuos 9 504.388 56.0431
Total 11 13807

Coeficientes
Error típico
Estadístico
Probabilidad
t Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Intercepc 0.4764 3.09964 0.1537 0.88124 -6.5355 7.48828
Variable 0.35694 0.06892 5.17934 0.00058 0.20104 0.51284
Variable 0.62808 0.05491 11.4391 1.2E-06 0.50388 0.75229
gún Bureao Of Reclamation

-07 x⁴ + 0.000174853 x³
17724

120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0

m)

ial (Curva III)

1
D= P 1
( 4) 3
P2 2() L=300+ 25 ( T )+ 0 . 05( T ) (4 a)
( 0 . 9+ 2
L ) P−D
C= (3 )
P

Cuencas con agotamiento rápido.


Retención entre 50 y 80 mm/año y vegetación poco desarrollada (puna):

a = −0 . 00252 ( LnAR )+ 0. 030 (12 . 2)


Ajuste de Precipitación efectiva hasta obtener la escorentia historica anual (mm)
N= 73
Ejemplo del método de Chow
mes PP (mm)Pe (mm)
Enero 190.7 111.1 36.78
Febrero 184.0 105.3 2.943
Marzo 182.3 103.8 0.608
Abril 46.4 6.3 3.168
Mayo 12.9 0.4 3.715
Junio 4.6 2.5 2.799
Julio 3.8 2.8 4.602
Agosto 13.5 0.3 4.472
Setiem. 22.4 0.1 12.76
Octubre 41.3 4.3 6.486
Noviem. 50.6 8.1 1.38
Diciem. 98.4 36.5 0.231
381.5 79.94

Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%


-6.53547378 7.48827887
0.20104162 0.51284056
0.50387607 0.7522916
PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA GENERADA EN CUENCA INTEGRAL
PERIODO: 1969 2008

DEPARTAMENTO:
PROVINCIA :
DISTRITO :

Año Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct. Nov. Dic. Tot.
1969 59.4 72 45.9 11 2.3 1.7 3.1 0.5 2.4 12.1 9.4 45.6 265.4
1970 106 85.4 101.2 2 0.1 2.1 1.7 2.5 10.9 6.7 4.8 23.9 347.3
1971 92.1 115.9 56.4 12.6 3.2 0.6 4.6 0.2 0.5 2.7 0.8 56.8 346.4
1972 246.5 161.2 178.7 2.7 2.7 4.1 0 1.9 3.9 13.9 10.7 12.9 639.2
1973 190.3 123.4 117.2 33.2 1 2.6 0.2 0.1 15.2 0.9 16.5 31.9 532.5
1974 209.3 217.9 116.5 46.1 1.9 1.1 1.9 41.8 19.1 1.2 5 31.9 693.7
1975 99.3 115.7 136.4 2.3 1.4 2.9 4.7 0.5 0.2 2.2 0.3 81.6 447.5
1976 110.3 84.6 116 2.9 0.2 0.1 2.8 0.2 68.5 3.7 1.1 11.7 402.1
1977 14.5 165.2 85.4 1.4 4.7 4.7 0.2 4.3 1.1 3.6 52.4 4.5 342.0
1978 133.8 22.3 25 1.7 0.4 0.3 3.4 3 0 7.1 34 56.5 287.5
1979 6.2 45.7 41.4 6.2 2.5 3.5 1.9 0.5 0.7 0.9 3.2 25.5 138.2
1980 27.2 9.8 113.8 1.2 2.4 4.3 2.2 3.8 3.2 50.5 13 7.4 238.8
1981 122.9 191.2 30 35 2.4 2.7 4.5 26 3.9 4.6 30.6 69.8 523.6
1982 55.2 48.3 48.8 1 4.6 0.9 4.7 1.7 4 34.7 14.5 2.6 221.0
1983 7.2 5.8 4.1 0.2 3.3 3.8 3.9 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 32.3
1984 73.9 65.1 53.9 5.4 1.4 2.3 2.5 0 1.5 2.2 3.8 20 232.0
1985 86.1 76.1 63.4 7.2 1.1 2.2 2.3 0.1 2.3 3.2 5.2 24.6 273.8
1986 61.3 108 73.1 17.2 0 4.7 1.3 0.4 2.7 0 1.5 47.7 317.9
1987 165.8 9.9 78.5 0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 4 6.9 5.9 0.1 273.0
1988 176.1 36 49.8 35.7 0.8 4.7 0.1 2.4 0.7 1.5 7.7 36.5 352.0
1989 217.8 196.5 169 32.4 0 0.8 0.9 4.2 15.8 19.2 26.2 79.4 762.2
1990 104.8 93.2 78.2 10.2 0.9 1.9 2.1 0.3 3.7 4.9 7.6 31.8 339.6
1991 97.7 86.7 72.6 9 1 2 2.1 0.2 3.1 4.2 6.7 29 314.3
1992 108.7 96.7 81.3 10.8 0.8 1.9 2 0.4 4 5.3 8.2 33.3 353.4
1993 165 148.1 126.3 21.3 0.3 1.2 1.4 1.9 9.5 11.9 16.8 56.5 560.2
1994 105.2 93.5 78.5 10.2 0.9 3.6 2.1 0.3 1.3 0 6.1 31 332.7
1995 117.6 38.5 40.3 1.2 3 4.7 4.7 2.4 2.3 0.4 3.9 9.9 228.9
1996 105.1 219.7 77.6 61.8 4.7 4.1 2.5 3.3 2.2 5 7.7 31.9 525.6
1997 133.9 145.7 56.5 3.4 0.1 4.7 4.1 30 15.7 0 22.9 27.4 444.4
1998 160.2 35.7 55.6 1 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 1.3 0.1 97.3 374.7
1999 97.6 205.3 118.7 31.8 1.8 4.7 2.1 0.1 10.5 26.6 0.1 60.3 559.6
2000 190.1 186.4 151 9.3 0.9 0.1 2.1 0.1 0.8 6.3 3.6 42.2 592.9
2001 224.9 151.9 137.8 21.6 3.4 3.7 1 2.2 0.1 20.2 4.7 11.7 583.2
2002 75.6 119.6 104 15.2 1.8 2.4 26.5 0.1 1.5 32.9 28.9 39 447.5
2003 59.8 65.6 175.6 3.3 0.1 4.7 2.6 0.3 0.5 1.8 2.8 52.6 369.7
2004 51.7 138.7 53.2 7.7 4 0.1 2.3 0 3.3 0.4 5.8 19.6 286.8
2005 88.4 55.5 24.7 3.5 4.7 4.7 2.3 1.3 10.4 0.1 0.1 100.4 296.1
2006 121.9 136.5 144.1 12.3 4.7 4.7 4.7 0.1 2.8 25.5 60.7 22.7 540.7
2007 66.4 75 163.5 4 2.4 4.7 2.7 4.7 0.2 0.5 0.9 23.6 348.6
2008 141.2 155.7 30.3 2.1 4.3 0.4 4.7 3.1 4.7 3 0.1 15.4 365.0
MAX. 246.5 219.7 178.7 61.8 4.7 4.7 26.5 41.8 68.5 50.5 60.7 100.4 762.2
MED. 111.9 105.1 86.9 12.4 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.8 6.1 8.2 10.9 35.2 388.3
MIN. 6.2 5.8 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 32.3
D.EST 59.7 60.3 46.4 14.4 1.6 1.7 4.1 8.6 11.3 11.5 13.9 25.4 153.0
Fuente: Elaboración propia

.8: NUMEROS ALEATORIOS GENERADOS CON DISTRIBUCION NORMAL CUADRO N° ##: NUMEROS ALEATORIOS E
PERIODO: 1969 - 2008

Año Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct. Nov. Dic.
1969 -0.190 -0.419 -0.581 0.704 -1.077 0.206 -0.898 -0.077 -1.303 -0.335 0.451 2.974 -0.1
1970 0.366 -0.998 -0.949 1.006 0.862 0.092 -0.541 2.364 1.470 -1.175 -0.688 0.464 -2.6
1971 -0.637 0.599 1.319 0.047 -1.391 -1.006 0.061 -0.116 -0.708 1.105 2.094 -0.277 0.8
1972 -0.322 1.013 0.735 -0.705 1.184 0.819 0.274 0.695 -0.661 0.345 0.424 -2.951 0.0
1973 -0.458 0.702 0.455 -0.356 -0.687 -0.214 1.276 -1.374 -1.674 -0.115 0.296 -0.926 -1.6
1974 0.295 -0.999 -0.333 0.279 -1.601 -1.142 0.016 0.506 0.632 1.514 -1.787 1.347 -0.2
1975 -1.803 0.530 -1.324 -0.795 0.554 -0.531 -0.012 0.264 -0.256 -2.566 -1.713 1.447 0.2
1976 -0.786 -0.689 0.652 -0.757 -1.295 -1.543 2.247 -0.605 0.422 -0.478 -1.210 2.347 0.3
1977 -0.493 1.256 -1.179 -1.019 -1.437 -0.883 2.694 0.337 -0.796 0.571 -2.433 -0.499 0.3
1978 -1.870 0.374 -1.517 -1.198 0.113 -0.541 -0.434 -0.062 1.111 0.446 -0.320 -0.247 -1.8
1979 1.178 -0.466 -0.363 -0.092 0.129 -1.303 1.226 0.202 0.584 1.080 -0.691 0.688 -0.3
1980 -0.702 1.456 1.793 0.134 0.526 -1.124 0.296 0.179 1.236 0.123 -1.467 -0.262 -0.9
1981 -1.870 0.263 0.001 -0.376 -0.102 0.876 1.093 -0.031 -1.268 -0.088 0.879 -1.837 0.7
1982 0.281 0.976 0.120 -1.097 0.830 -1.724 -0.067 1.425 0.424 0.451 0.401 -0.059 -0.8
1983 -0.480 0.502 -0.021 -0.055 -0.150 -0.103 -0.512 0.664 -0.049 0.596 -0.699 1.160 2.0
1984 -0.732 -1.785 0.760 -0.315 -0.658 -1.217 -1.485 -0.298 0.297 1.668 -2.015 -1.132 -1.3
1985 0.641 1.111 -0.244 0.089 0.326 1.625 -0.338 -0.899 1.986 0.081 0.023 1.289 0.2
1986 0.347 -0.989 0.089 2.219 0.054 -0.389 -1.909 0.097 0.736 -0.929 0.227 -0.957 -1.4
1987 1.693 0.770 -1.879 2.647 1.121 -0.464 0.257 0.973 0.804 -0.502 -0.003 -0.105 0.0
1988 0.581 0.706 2.032 0.957 -1.228 -1.252 0.536 1.705 1.419 0.036 -0.079 -1.098 -0.7
1989 -1.008 -2.395 -1.708 0.273 0.540 -0.285 0.075 0.696 -0.577 -0.610 0.103 0.069 1.2
1990 -1.690 -0.507 -1.119 -0.878 0.432 1.495 -0.409 -1.077 -0.357 -0.683 0.545 1.909 -0.1
1991 1.659 -2.059 0.427 -0.243 -0.660 0.004 0.586 0.966 0.475 2.124 -0.589 0.059 -0.5
1992 0.274 -1.221 -0.485 1.457 -0.257 0.073 -0.909 -0.614 0.718 0.931 1.089 0.514 -0.4
1993 0.126 -0.506 -0.114 -1.187 -0.184 0.118 -1.383 -0.648 0.847 0.793 -0.961 -1.590 -1.1
1994 -0.171 0.563 0.623 1.709 -0.012 -0.436 -0.409 0.303 0.526 -0.057 0.130 -0.316 -0.8
1995 -0.684 -0.638 0.732 -0.896 0.664 0.312 0.865 -0.283 -1.347 0.612 0.367 -0.301 0.8
1996 -0.275 1.768 -1.688 -0.823 -0.557 1.379 -0.614 -0.631 -1.487 -1.743 1.829 0.363 -0.2
1997 0.590 -1.010 -0.084 -0.565 -0.123 2.187 -0.942 1.609 -0.762 -0.269 0.086 -0.528 0.4
1998 -0.041 -0.233 -1.002 3.301 1.899 0.911 0.640 0.840 -0.938 1.823 0.033 -0.630 0.4
1999 -0.8 -0.941856 1.26986 -0.5511 -1.2077 -0.7842 -0.6969 1.506 -0.05948 -0.49345 -1.69092 1.861273 -0.78772
2000 2.4 1.269648 -0.07839 1.9498 -0.7626 -1.0903 1.1448 -0.4843 -0.41661 0.59158 -0.13347 0.556885 -0.16727
2001 0.5 -0.668934 -0.55902 0.7719 -0.8665 1.3832 -0.1504 -0.3424 2.01542 -1.79496 -1.49226 0.638436 -0.22303
2002 0.5 -0.274821 0.35822 0.7041 -0.0614 -1.115 0.1544 -0.9147 1.0831 -0.12119 1.04056 -1.819103 0.78785
2003 -0.5 0.037084 -1.35443 -0.1198 0.2551 -0.2494 -0.2867 1.9537 -1.07534 0.31864 -0.34879 -0.025517 -0.81554
2004 -1.7 0.056935 -1.40935 -1.3044 -0.0432 -0.9396 0.3779 0.859 -1.12376 2.02777 -0.08745 -2.210734 1.263897
2005 -0.8 -1.182835 0.7054 -1.2706 -0.806 1.3457 -1.0016 0.4062 1.04784 -1.03787 -0.57234 0.300836 -0.98755
2006 -0.8 0.316258 1.93135 0.1601 0.4726 0.4334 -0.1228 0.544 -2.14167 -1.88035 -0.62767 1.163293 -0.17804
2007 -0.2 -0.635759 1.0214 -0.1547 0.8248 0.2034 1.0301 -1.798 0.08906 -0.25571 0.35579 0.351924 -0.76163
2008 0.5 0.874766 0.08921 -1.071 -1.9709 1.153 0.9561 -0.4154 -0.6348 0.94972 -1.77413 -1.053827 -1.36851
MAX. 1.693 1.456 2.032 2.647 1.184 1.625 2.694 2.364 1.986 2.124 2.094 2.974
MED. -0.239 -0.105 -0.077 0.057 -0.126 -0.316 0.081 0.196 0.174 0.183 -0.282 0.063
MIN. -1.870 -2.395 -1.879 -1.198 -1.601 -1.724 -1.909 -1.374 -1.674 -2.566 -2.433 -2.951
D.EST 0.965 1.057 1.014 1.043 0.825 0.866 1.050 0.846 0.965 0.970 1.035 1.320
Fuente: Elaboración propia

DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERADAS (mm) - CUENCA INTEGRAL


PERIODO: 1969 - 2008

DEPARTAMENTO: LATITUD :
PROVINCIA : LONGITUD :
DISTRITO : ALTITUD MEDIA :

Coeficientes de Regresión Múltiple: b1 0.4764 b2 0.35694 b3 0.62808


S 7.4862 R^2 0.98156

Modelo Matemático: Qt = b1 + b2*Qt-1 + b3*PEt + Z*S*(1 - R^2)^0.5

Año Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct. Nov. Dic. Tot.
Prom. 73.0 87.6 103.0 36.4 21.2 13.4 9.1 8.0 7.4 9.3 5.3 8.0 381.8
1969 40.5 181.5 28.7 8.1 0.8 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.7 7.7 6.8 32.1 311.0
1970 78.9 164.1 63.1 2.8 1.4 1.9 1.0 4.4 8.8 3.5 2.8 16.0 348.6
1971 63.4 198.3 37.2 8.4 1.1 -0.2 3.4 0.5 0.1 3.3 3.1 35.9 354.5
1972 167.8 229.3 113.5 1.5 3.4 3.9 0.8 2.4 2.3 9.6 7.6 5.6 547.4
1973 121.5 274.1 74.5 21.0 0.4 1.9 1.9 -0.9 8.3 0.9 11.1 19.6 534.4
1974 139.2 327.1 73.3 29.7 0.0 0.0 1.7 27.2 13.1 2.8 1.8 21.9 637.9
1975 68.8 301.4 84.8 1.1 1.9 1.8 3.4 1.1 0.3 -0.8 -1.1 53.2 516.0
1976 87.9 237.1 74.0 1.5 -0.7 -1.0 4.5 0.0 43.9 2.3 -0.1 10.2 459.7
1977 12.7 269.6 52.9 0.3 2.0 2.5 3.3 3.5 0.4 3.3 30.9 2.8 384.3
1978 83.6 152.0 14.6 0.3 0.8 0.1 2.2 2.3 1.6 5.4 21.5 35.7 320.3
1979 18.3 143.0 26.1 4.3 2.2 1.4 2.9 1.0 1.5 2.1 1.8 17.2 221.8
1980 23.0 87.3 73.8 1.4 2.5 2.0 2.2 3.0 3.7 32.3 7.2 4.9 243.2
1981 77.5 207.7 19.3 22.1 1.9 3.1 4.4 16.8 1.6 3.3 20.6 42.4 420.6
1982 50.6 181.9 31.2 0.0 4.2 -0.7 3.4 3.0 3.4 22.7 10.0 2.0 311.8
1983 5.2 115.9 3.0 0.5 2.4 2.8 2.4 2.3 0.9 1.5 0.0 1.8 138.9
1984 46.8 89.1 35.1 3.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.7 3.6 0.8 11.9 194.6
1985 59.4 118.9 40.0 5.1 1.5 3.5 1.6 -0.4 3.9 2.6 3.8 17.2 257.2
1986 45.5 159.1 46.5 13.5 0.5 3.0 -0.6 0.8 2.9 -0.5 1.6 29.5 301.9
1987 116.9 115.2 47.9 3.2 1.7 0.2 1.2 1.9 3.8 4.3 4.2 0.4 300.9
1988 111.8 131.2 33.8 23.9 -0.3 2.2 1.1 3.7 2.4 1.5 5.2 22.3 338.7
1989 144.2 242.4 104.9 21.1 1.0 0.7 1.1 3.8 9.8 11.9 17.0 50.4 608.4
1990 82.6 275.7 48.5 6.0 1.5 3.2 1.4 -0.4 2.4 2.9 5.8 22.4 451.8
1991 71.5 214.1 46.5 5.9 0.4 1.7 2.4 1.6 2.9 5.3 4.1 18.8 375.2
1992 75.7 193.9 51.0 8.7 0.7 1.7 0.8 0.1 3.7 4.8 6.7 21.9 369.9
1993 112.1 225.0 79.7 12.6 0.5 1.3 -0.1 1.0 7.3 8.8 10.1 34.3 492.7
1994 78.6 235.6 50.4 8.6 1.0 2.3 1.4 1.0 1.8 0.4 4.4 19.6 405.3
1995 80.6 168.7 26.5 0.3 3.0 3.7 4.3 1.7 0.6 1.3 3.3 6.4 300.5
1996 68.5 247.5 47.5 38.5 2.9 4.5 1.4 1.9 0.3 1.8 7.2 20.9 442.9
1997 92.6 249.0 35.9 2.0 0.4 5.7 2.1 21.0 9.6 0.2 14.9 17.1 450.6
1998 107.2 183.5 34.4 4.5 5.4 4.4 4.1 4.3 2.5 3.1 0.6 60.9 414.7
1999 82.8 276.5 76.3 19.9 0.4 2.6 1.1 2.1 7.0 16.7 -1.2 40.2 524.4
2000 136.7 306.0 95.2 8.3 0.3 -0.6 3.0 0.0 0.6 5.0 2.6 27.5 584.7
2001 152.1 303.9 86.5 14.8 1.7 4.2 1.0 1.5 2.6 11.3 1.9 8.5 590.0
2002 51.5 285.9 66.2 10.7 1.5 0.9 17.3 -0.4 2.5 21.0 19.7 23.1 499.9
2003 45.8 220.2 109.4 2.4 0.8 3.2 1.8 2.7 -0.3 1.9 1.9 33.5 423.2
2004 43.2 238.7 32.5 4.0 2.9 -0.4 2.3 1.3 1.4 2.8 4.0 10.5 343.3
2005 58.9 156.7 16.7 1.4 2.6 4.8 0.9 1.7 8.1 -0.5 0.0 63.8 315.1
2006 99.0 199.0 92.9 8.4 3.9 3.9 3.3 1.1 0.1 14.6 38.0 15.9 480.0
2007 47.7 218.3 104.2 2.8 2.8 3.6 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.5 1.4 15.7 402.5
2008 95.3 242.8 19.6 0.7 1.2 1.9 4.4 2.0 2.8 3.3 -1.3 9.1 381.9
MAX. 167.8 327.1 113.5 38.5 5.4 5.7 17.3 27.2 43.9 32.3 38.0 63.8 637.9
MED. 78.7 209.2 55.0 8.3 1.6 2.1 2.5 3.1 4.3 5.7 7.0 22.6 400.0
MIN. 5.2 87.3 3.0 0.0 -0.7 -1.0 -0.6 -0.9 -0.3 -0.8 -1.3 0.4 138.9
D.EST 38.6 62.5 29.2 9.1 1.3 1.7 2.7 5.6 7.2 7.1 8.8 16.0 117.1
Fuente: Elaboración propia

CUADRO N° 6.10: DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERADAS (m3/s) - CUENCA INTEGRAL


PERIODO: 1969 - 1999

DEPARTAMENTO: LATITUD :
PROVINCIA : LONGITUD :
DISTRITO : ALTITUD MEDIA :

Area 698.4 Km2

Año Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct. Nov. Dic. Prom.
30 28 31 30 31 30 31 31 30 31 30 31 (m3/s)
1969 10.90 52.41 7.49 2.18 0.22 0.47 0.39 0.19 0.18 2.02 1.84 8.38 7.222
1970 21.26 47.37 16.45 0.74 0.37 0.51 0.26 1.16 2.38 0.91 0.75 4.16 8.027
1971 17.08 57.25 9.71 2.27 0.28 -0.05 0.89 0.13 0.02 0.86 0.84 9.35 8.220
1972 45.21 66.20 29.59 0.39 0.88 1.05 0.20 0.62 0.61 2.49 2.06 1.45 12.561
1973 32.74 79.13 19.44 5.65 0.11 0.51 0.50 -0.22 2.24 0.24 3.00 5.10 12.370
1974 37.51 94.42 19.12 8.01 0.01 0.00 0.44 7.10 3.53 0.72 0.48 5.71 14.755
1975 18.54 87.00 22.11 0.30 0.50 0.47 0.89 0.28 0.09 -0.20 -0.29 13.87 11.965
1976 23.70 68.44 19.29 0.41 -0.19 -0.28 1.18 0.00 11.84 0.60 -0.02 2.66 10.637
1977 3.43 77.83 13.80 0.09 0.51 0.68 0.87 0.92 0.10 0.87 8.33 0.73 9.012
1978 22.53 43.89 3.82 0.09 0.22 0.03 0.57 0.60 0.43 1.41 5.79 9.31 7.390
1979 4.93 41.29 6.81 1.15 0.57 0.36 0.76 0.26 0.41 0.56 0.48 4.48 5.172
1980 6.19 25.20 19.24 0.37 0.66 0.55 0.56 0.79 1.01 8.43 1.93 1.27 5.515
1981 20.88 59.95 5.04 5.95 0.49 0.83 1.15 4.37 0.44 0.85 5.55 11.07 9.714
1982 13.63 52.53 8.15 0.00 1.10 -0.19 0.88 0.78 0.92 5.93 2.69 0.53 7.245
1983 1.41 33.47 0.79 0.15 0.62 0.74 0.63 0.61 0.25 0.38 0.00 0.48 3.295
1984 12.61 25.73 9.15 0.96 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.05 0.46 0.93 0.22 3.10 4.476
1985 16.02 34.32 10.44 1.37 0.39 0.95 0.41 -0.10 1.06 0.67 1.01 4.49 5.920
1986 12.26 45.93 12.12 3.65 0.14 0.82 -0.17 0.22 0.79 -0.12 0.44 7.68 6.979
1987 31.48 33.27 12.48 0.85 0.45 0.05 0.31 0.50 1.03 1.12 1.13 0.11 6.899
1988 30.13 37.88 8.82 6.43 -0.07 0.58 0.28 0.97 0.64 0.38 1.41 5.81 7.771
1989 38.85 69.97 27.35 5.69 0.27 0.19 0.29 1.00 2.64 3.11 4.59 13.15 13.924
1990 22.25 79.58 12.63 1.61 0.39 0.86 0.36 -0.11 0.66 0.75 1.56 5.84 10.531
1991 19.27 61.81 12.13 1.58 0.11 0.47 0.62 0.41 0.78 1.37 1.10 4.89 8.713
1992 20.40 55.97 13.31 2.36 0.19 0.47 0.21 0.03 1.00 1.24 1.81 5.71 8.559
1993 30.19 64.96 20.78 3.41 0.12 0.36 -0.01 0.26 1.97 2.28 2.71 8.96 11.333
1994 21.19 68.02 13.15 2.32 0.27 0.62 0.36 0.25 0.49 0.11 1.20 5.12 9.424
1995 21.73 48.69 6.92 0.09 0.79 1.01 1.12 0.44 0.15 0.35 0.89 1.67 6.987
1996 18.45 71.46 12.39 10.36 0.75 1.20 0.37 0.50 0.09 0.48 1.93 5.44 10.286
1997 24.96 71.90 9.36 0.55 0.11 1.52 0.55 5.46 2.58 0.05 4.03 4.47 10.461
1998 28.88 52.97 8.96 1.20 1.40 1.17 1.06 1.12 0.67 0.82 0.15 15.89 9.525
1999 22.30 79.82 19.90 5.36 0.10 0.71 0.28 0.54 1.89 4.35 -0.32 10.49 12.119
2000 36.84 88.35 24.83 2.24 0.07 -0.15 0.77 0.01 0.15 1.31 0.70 7.18 13.525
2001 40.97 87.74 22.54 4.00 0.45 1.13 0.25 0.39 0.70 2.96 0.52 2.21 13.654
2002 13.88 82.54 17.25 2.89 0.40 0.23 4.51 -0.10 0.68 5.48 5.30 6.03 11.591
2003 12.34 63.56 28.52 0.65 0.21 0.86 0.47 0.69 -0.08 0.50 0.51 8.73 9.747
2004 11.65 68.91 8.46 1.07 0.77 -0.11 0.60 0.35 0.38 0.73 1.09 2.75 8.054
2005 15.88 45.23 4.36 0.37 0.68 1.29 0.24 0.44 2.18 -0.13 -0.01 16.65 7.264
2006 26.68 57.45 24.24 2.25 1.02 1.04 0.86 0.28 0.02 3.80 10.23 4.15 11.002
2007 12.85 63.01 27.17 0.76 0.74 0.98 0.84 0.42 0.19 0.14 0.38 4.08 9.296
2008 25.68 70.11 5.11 0.19 0.31 0.51 1.15 0.52 0.75 0.87 -0.34 2.37 8.935
MAX. 45.21 94.42 29.59 10.36 1.40 1.52 4.51 7.10 11.84 8.43 10.23 16.65 14.76
MED. 21.192 60.389 14.330 2.249 0.414 0.566 0.651 0.803 1.157 1.490 1.892 5.889 9.252
MIN. 1.412 25.196 0.790 -0.003 -0.186 -0.277 -0.169 -0.224 -0.082 -0.196 -0.341 0.113 3.295
D.EST 10.404 18.035 7.602 2.451 0.337 0.450 0.709 1.472 1.937 1.841 2.361 4.179 2.699
Fuente: Elaboración propia
PRECIPITACION MEDIA AREAL EN CUENCA INTEGRAL MOLLEBAMBA
DEPARTAMENTO:
PROVINCIA :
DISTRITO :
n= 73
Año Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct. Nov. Dic. Tot.
1969 128.8 144.5 111.3 56.9 5.1 7.1 3.3 12.2 35.1 59.2 53.6 110.9 728.0
1970 184.8 160.8 179.2 33.6 22.4 5.9 6.9 4.8 56.6 47.5 42.6 79.6 824.7
1971 168.6 196.0 125.1 60.2 3.0 11.8 0.1 14.8 12.4 36.3 10.4 125.6 764.3
1972 337.9 246.5 265.5 36.3 4.2 1.1 17.5 6.3 40.0 62.6 56.3 60.6 1134.7
1973 278.1 204.6 197.6 93.7 9.4 4.5 15.0 21.6 65.0 28.6 67.3 91.8 1077.2
1974 298.4 307.6 196.8 111.6 6.3 29.3 6.3 105.7 71.8 29.9 43.0 91.8 1298.5
1975 177.0 195.8 219.2 34.6 31.1 3.8 0.0 12.5 23.6 34.2 23.8 156.1 911.6
1976 189.7 159.8 196.2 36.8 14.3 16.0 4.0 23.7 140.2 2.0 9.1 58.4 850.1
1977 63.7 250.9 160.8 31.2 0.0 0.0 14.4 0.8 29.6 39.1 119.9 41.8 752.1
1978 216.3 77.1 81.4 32.3 12.8 13.8 2.5 3.5 19.0 48.4 94.9 125.2 727.2
1979 46.3 111.0 105.3 46.3 4.6 2.3 6.4 25.7 10.8 28.2 37.8 82.0 506.9
1980 84.8 54.5 193.7 30.2 4.9 0.8 5.5 1.7 37.8 117.4 60.9 49.1 641.3
1981 204.0 279.0 88.9 96.3 5.0 4.2 0.3 82.9 39.9 42.1 89.8 141.9 1074.3
1982 123.5 114.4 115.1 28.9 0.2 28.5 0.0 32.2 40.1 95.9 63.6 35.8 678.3
1983 48.7 45.1 40.4 14.7 2.7 1.7 1.6 6.5 10.5 11.4 13.2 24.3 220.8
1984 146.8 136.0 121.8 44.2 8.1 5.1 4.7 19.5 31.5 34.3 39.7 73.3 665.2
1985 161.5 149.6 134.0 48.6 9.0 5.6 5.2 21.4 34.7 37.8 43.7 80.7 731.7
1986 131.3 187.1 146.0 68.4 18.5 0.0 8.3 25.4 36.2 17.5 31.6 113.7 783.9
1987 251.6 54.7 152.5 20.8 22.8 13.7 11.2 10.8 1.3 47.9 45.6 22.3 655.2
1988 262.7 97.6 116.5 97.3 28.0 0.0 16.4 4.9 27.0 31.6 49.8 98.4 830.2
1989 307.4 284.7 255.0 92.5 17.1 10.6 9.9 40.8 66.0 71.9 83.2 153.5 1392.6
1990 183.4 169.9 152.1 55.2 10.2 6.3 5.9 24.3 39.4 42.9 49.6 91.6 830.9
1991 175.2 162.2 145.3 52.7 9.7 6.1 5.6 23.2 37.6 41.0 47.4 87.5 793.4
1992 187.8 174.0 155.8 56.5 10.4 6.5 6.0 24.9 40.3 43.9 50.8 93.8 850.9
1993 250.6 232.1 207.8 75.4 13.9 8.7 8.0 33.3 53.8 58.6 67.8 125.1 1135.1
1994 183.9 170.3 152.5 55.3 10.2 2.2 5.9 24.4 30.3 20.8 46.0 90.4 792.2
1995 198.0 101.2 103.7 30.2 3.5 0.0 0.0 4.9 34.5 25.0 40.0 54.6 595.7
1996 183.8 309.5 151.4 131.9 0.0 1.1 4.6 38.3 34.4 43.0 49.8 91.8 1039.5
1997 216.4 229.4 125.2 38.5 21.6 0.0 1.1 88.9 65.8 17.6 78.1 85.0 967.5
1998 245.4 97.3 124.1 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.5 15.3 174.7 696.9
1999 175.0 294.1 199.3 91.7 6.7 0.0 5.9 15.5 55.8 83.8 15.5 130.0 1073.3
2000 277.9 273.9 235.3 53.4 10.2 15.5 5.9 22.1 10.3 46.4 38.9 106.3 1096.0
2001 315.0 236.3 220.7 76.0 38.4 1.9 29.2 34.2 21.8 73.6 42.2 58.4 1147.6
2002 148.9 200.2 182.4 65.0 6.5 5.0 83.7 16.3 31.4 93.2 87.2 101.8 1021.8
2003 129.4 136.7 262.2 38.1 15.5 0.0 4.4 24.1 26.0 32.6 36.5 120.2 825.7
2004 119.0 221.7 121.0 49.8 1.2 15.4 34.7 17.6 38.1 25.3 45.3 72.5 761.6
2005 164.3 124.0 80.8 38.7 0.0 0.0 5.1 8.4 55.6 22.1 15.4 178.4 692.7
2006 202.9 219.3 227.7 59.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.8 4.0 82.2 130.5 77.6 1019.4
2007 137.7 148.3 249.0 40.4 5.0 0.0 4.2 0.0 23.1 11.9 28.6 79.1 727.2
2008 224.5 240.5 89.5 34.1 0.8 12.8 0.0 3.2 0.0 37.0 16.1 65.3 723.8
MAX. 337.9 309.5 265.5 131.9 38.4 29.3 83.7 105.7 140.2 117.4 130.5 178.4 1392.6
MED. 188.3 180.0 159.7 54.2 9.8 6.2 8.7 22.4 35.8 43.9 49.5 92.5 851.0
MIN. 46.3 45.1 40.4 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.1 22.3 220.8
D.EST 70.6 72.1 56.2 27.3 9.2 7.3 14.2 23.1 25.2 25.1 28.2 37.6 223.9

NUMEROS ALEATORIOS ENTRE 0 Y 1 CON DISTRIBUCION UNIFORME


PERIODO: 1973 - 1999

Año Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct. Nov. Dic. Tot.
1969 0.45 0.60 0.13 -1.15 1.05 0.00 0.44 -2.88 0.32 -0.49 0.34 -0.71 -1.32
1970 0.42 0.21 2.48 1.00 0.22 -0.15 1.30 -1.41 -0.81 -0.22 0.39 0.75 0.28
1971 1.00 -0.25 2.54 -1.83 -0.62 -0.23 -0.30 0.71 -1.08 -0.52 0.73 0.70 -1.26
1972 -0.22 0.22 0.69 -1.88 -0.40 1.03 -0.85 0.79 -0.44 -1.25 -2.55 -0.45 -0.73
1973 1.22 -0.26 -0.93 -0.15 -1.04 0.80 1.10 -1.47 0.16 0.41 -1.24 -0.81 -0.62
1974 0.62 -2.45 0.60 -0.44 0.47 0.19 0.43 0.78 0.57 0.66 -0.93 0.92 0.02
1975 0.49 -1.40 -0.80 -0.72 0.58 0.73 -0.36 1.50 2.61 -0.50 -0.77 0.05 -0.04
1976 1.75 -1.41 0.44 0.96 0.11 -1.66 0.27 0.59 -0.19 0.02 -0.95 1.09 0.20
1977 0.40 0.18 1.97 0.79 0.98 0.20 -0.07 0.15 1.70 1.23 -0.92 0.36 -1.45
1978 0.02 0.55 -0.38 0.01 -1.30 -0.58 -0.17 0.82 1.30 -1.45 -1.82 0.77 -1.98
1979 0.17 1.02 0.20 -2.11 2.76 0.17 0.72 -0.43 -0.25 0.35 0.70 0.94 0.78
1980 0.12 1.10 1.06 0.25 -0.72 -0.67 0.26 0.86 -0.14 -1.16 0.84 0.41 0.01
1981 -0.82 0.25 0.10 -0.37 0.00 0.44 -0.61 -0.14 -0.68 -2.45 1.02 0.56 -0.06
1982 -0.79 0.24 1.45 -0.99 -0.37 0.14 1.85 -1.11 -0.63 0.02 -1.82 1.59 0.72
1983 -0.66 0.07 0.54 0.75 0.44 -1.14 0.54 -0.26 -0.87 -0.86 0.07 -0.50 0.97
1984 1.37 -0.17 1.52 -0.69 1.13 0.18 0.24 0.68 -0.20 0.53 -1.07 -0.14 0.80
1985 -0.88 1.22 0.50 -0.37 -1.87 -0.97 -1.13 0.89 0.74 -1.59 0.04 -1.05 0.12
1986 -0.23 0.58 -0.14 0.24 -0.24 0.96 0.32 -1.33 -0.57 0.03 -2.18 0.32 -2.02
1987 -0.93 -0.42 -0.67 -0.75 0.77 -2.31 0.33 -1.19 -0.03 -1.76 -0.04 2.07 -0.26
1988 0.79 0.23 -1.53 0.79 -0.72 -0.44 -0.28 0.68 -0.56 0.72 0.21 0.03 -0.07
1989 0.27 -0.21 -1.77 0.26 -1.57 0.46 1.55 -0.06 -1.39 -0.89 -0.01 -2.21 0.81
1990 0.76 0.91 0.13 -0.72 -0.74 -1.31 0.49 0.27 -0.05 0.30 0.68 -0.32 0.30
1991 -0.12 -0.57 -1.78 0.43 0.02 0.11 0.11 0.86 1.37 -0.07 -1.00 -0.77 -0.33
1992 0.52 -1.14 -0.52 -0.35 2.21 0.43 0.63 0.16 0.61 -0.24 0.49 0.80 1.30
1993 -0.50 0.08 -1.36 0.84 0.47 -0.03 -0.04 0.38 0.33 -0.17 0.42 0.85 0.67
1994 1.69 2.06 1.15 0.74 0.19 0.50 0.19 -2.11 -1.02 -0.13 0.40 1.82 -1.40
1995 -1.23 -1.17 -0.91 0.09 -0.35 -0.10 1.87 1.65 -0.13 -1.74 -0.02 0.42 -0.48
1996 -1.66 1.71 1.44 1.65 -0.68 0.86 0.17 -0.57 -0.27 0.06 -0.26 -0.45 0.51
1997 1.25 0.47 0.69 -0.10 -2.04 -1.93 -0.05 1.54 0.82 -0.50 -0.78 0.44 -1.61
1998 0.33 -0.09 0.54 -0.37 -0.44 2.42 -0.33 -0.09 1.35 0.02 2.00 -0.84 1.40
1999 -0.94 -0.81 0.15 -0.33 -0.47 -0.78 0.40 -1.95 0.35 0.44 2.11 1.72 0.07
-0.35 -1.88 -0.41 0.51 2.37 1.56 0.09 0.16 0.45 -0.63 1.65 0.32 0.47
-0.85 -1.03 0.61 -0.49 -0.62 1.76 1.75 -1.59 1.16 -1.14 -0.38 0.28 -0.36
0.93 0.62 0.02 -0.03 -1.13 0.07 0.73 -0.07 -0.09 -0.61 1.10 0.97 -0.55
-0.50 -1.05 0.69 1.31 -0.54 0.90 -1.07 -1.73 -1.11 0.33 -0.34 -0.31 -0.74
-0.07 -0.80 -0.19 -1.30 -0.57 0.73 0.95 -1.41 0.44 -1.10 1.09 -1.35 0.30
-0.20 0.49 0.81 0.43 -0.17 -0.31 0.56 -1.53 -1.21 -0.62 0.73 0.82 1.06
-1.29 -0.88 1.38 -0.25 -1.46 -0.51 0.94 -1.35 0.46 -0.21 -1.42 0.67 1.66
-1.55 -0.62 0.42 -1.65 0.00 1.63 -0.18 1.54 0.72 1.89 0.22 -2.37 0.38
-0.71 -0.45 -0.93 -1.30 1.38 -0.81 -1.57 0.50 -0.44 -0.84 -0.46 1.41 -0.79
MAX. 1.7483 2.0585 2.5350 0.9994 2.7571 1.0331 1.8686 1.6496 2.6141 1.2283 1.0237 2.0686 1.297
MED. 0.2106 0.0029 0.1744 -0.1994 0.0547 -0.1207 0.3264 -0.0227 0.0252 -0.4149 -0.3321 0.2770 -0.019
MIN. -1.2327 -2.4532 -1.7836 -2.1080 -1.8717 -2.3051 -1.1256 -2.8756 -1.3856 -2.4550 -2.5514 -2.2112 -2.023
D.EST 0.8104 0.9501 1.2064 0.8898 1.0484 0.8062 0.7419 1.1217 0.9236 0.8902 0.9995 0.9440 0.909
Set. Oct. Nov. Dic. Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago.

69-70 0.18 2.02 1.84 8.38 21.26 47.37 16.45 0.74 0.37 0.51 0.26 1.16
2.38 0.91 0.75 4.16 17.08 57.25 9.71 2.27 0.28 -0.05 0.89 0.13
0.02 0.86 0.84 9.35 45.21 66.20 29.59 0.39 0.88 1.05 0.20 0.62
0.61 2.49 2.06 1.45 32.74 79.13 19.44 5.65 0.11 0.51 0.50 -0.22
2.24 0.24 3.00 5.10 37.51 94.42 19.12 8.01 0.01 0.00 0.44 7.10
3.53 0.72 0.48 5.71 18.54 87.00 22.11 0.30 0.50 0.47 0.89 0.28
0.09 -0.20 -0.29 13.87 23.70 68.44 19.29 0.41 -0.19 -0.28 1.18 0.00
11.84 0.60 -0.02 2.66 3.43 77.83 13.80 0.09 0.51 0.68 0.87 0.92
0.10 0.87 8.33 0.73 22.53 43.89 3.82 0.09 0.22 0.03 0.57 0.60
0.43 1.41 5.79 9.31 4.93 41.29 6.81 1.15 0.57 0.36 0.76 0.26
0.41 0.56 0.48 4.48 6.19 25.20 19.24 0.37 0.66 0.55 0.56 0.79
1.01 8.43 1.93 1.27 20.88 59.95 5.04 5.95 0.49 0.83 1.15 4.37
0.44 0.85 5.55 11.07 13.63 52.53 8.15 0.00 1.10 -0.19 0.88 0.78
0.92 5.93 2.69 0.53 1.41 33.47 0.79 0.15 0.62 0.74 0.63 0.61
0.25 0.38 0.00 0.48 12.61 25.73 9.15 0.96 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.05
0.46 0.93 0.22 3.10 16.02 34.32 10.44 1.37 0.39 0.95 0.41 -0.10
1.06 0.67 1.01 4.49 12.26 45.93 12.12 3.65 0.14 0.82 -0.17 0.22
0.79 -0.12 0.44 7.68 31.48 33.27 12.48 0.85 0.45 0.05 0.31 0.50
1.03 1.12 1.13 0.11 30.13 37.88 8.82 6.43 -0.07 0.58 0.28 0.97
0.64 0.38 1.41 5.81 38.85 69.97 27.35 5.69 0.27 0.19 0.29 1.00
2.64 3.11 4.59 13.15 22.25 79.58 12.63 1.61 0.39 0.86 0.36 -0.11
0.66 0.75 1.56 5.84 19.27 61.81 12.13 1.58 0.11 0.47 0.62 0.41
0.78 1.37 1.10 4.89 20.40 55.97 13.31 2.36 0.19 0.47 0.21 0.03
1.00 1.24 1.81 5.71 30.19 64.96 20.78 3.41 0.12 0.36 -0.01 0.26
1.97 2.28 2.71 8.96 21.19 68.02 13.15 2.32 0.27 0.62 0.36 0.25
0.49 0.11 1.20 5.12 21.73 48.69 6.92 0.09 0.79 1.01 1.12 0.44
0.15 0.35 0.89 1.67 18.45 71.46 12.39 10.36 0.75 1.20 0.37 0.50
0.09 0.48 1.93 5.44 24.96 71.90 9.36 0.55 0.11 1.52 0.55 5.46
2.58 0.05 4.03 4.47 28.88 52.97 8.96 1.20 1.40 1.17 1.06 1.12
0.67 0.82 0.15 15.89 22.30 79.82 19.90 5.36 0.10 0.71 0.28 0.54
1.89 4.35 -0.32 10.49 36.84 88.35 24.83 2.24 0.07 -0.15 0.77 0.01
0.15 1.31 0.70 7.18 40.97 87.74 22.54 4.00 0.45 1.13 0.25 0.39
0.70 2.96 0.52 2.21 13.88 82.54 17.25 2.89 0.40 0.23 4.51 -0.10
0.68 5.48 5.30 6.03 12.34 63.56 28.52 0.65 0.21 0.86 0.47 0.69
-0.08 0.50 0.51 8.73 11.65 68.91 8.46 1.07 0.77 -0.11 0.60 0.35
0.38 0.73 1.09 2.75 15.88 45.23 4.36 0.37 0.68 1.29 0.24 0.44
2.18 -0.13 -0.01 16.65 26.68 57.45 24.24 2.25 1.02 1.04 0.86 0.28
0.02 3.80 10.23 4.15 12.85 63.01 27.17 0.76 0.74 0.98 0.84 0.42
2007-08 0.19 0.14 0.38 4.08 25.68 70.11 5.11 0.19 0.31 0.51 1.15 0.52
0.45
GENERACION DE DESCARGAS EN CUENCA TOTAL MOLLEBAMBA
METODO PROPUESTO POR LA MISION TECNICA ALEMANA - 1980

Cuadro N° 6.1: Precipitación Efectiva


según el Bureao of Reclamation

Precip itació n Efectiv a (m m )


P P. Efectiva: PE (mm)
mm Curva I Curva II Curva III
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 Figura 6.1: Porción de Precipitación Efectiva Según Bureao Of
20.0 0.0 2.0 4.0
30.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 140.0

40.0 0.5 4.0 8.0


120.0
50.0 1.0 6.0 11.0
60.0 1.5 8.0 14.0 100.0
70.0 3.0 10.0 18.0
80.0 4.0 14.0 24.0 80.0

90.0 5.5 18.0 30.0


60.0
100.0 8.0 23.0 39.0
110.0 11.0 29.0 48.0 40.0
120.0 15.0 36.0 58.0
130.0 19.0 43.0 68.0 20.0
140.0 24.0 52.0 78.0
0.0
150.0 30.0 60.0 88.0
0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0
160.0 37.0 69.0 98.0
Precipitación Mensual (mm)
170.0 45.0 79.0 108.0
Curva I Curva II Cu
180.0 55.0 89.0 118.0

Cuadro N° 6.2: Cálculo del Coeficiente de Escorrentía

Método de la Misión Alemana Método de L - Turc

Precipitación Media Anual: P 850.9 mm Temperatura Media Anual: T


Evaporación Total Anual: ETP 1222 mm Coeficiente de Temperatura: L
Déficit de Escurrimiento: D
Coeficiente de Escorrentía: C 0.28 Coeficiente de Escorrentía: C

Cuadro N° 6.4: Coeficientes de


Cuadro N° 6.3: Características Generales de la Microcuenca Cálculo - Precipitación Efectiva

Area de la cuenca: A 698.4 Km2 Coef. Curva I


Altitud Media de la Microcuenca: H 3500 msnm a0 -0.018
Pendiente Media de la Microcuenca 0.95 m/m a1 -0.0185

Precipitación Media Anual: P 850.9 mm a2 0.001105


Evaporación Total Anual: ETP 1222 mm a3 -1.20E-05
Temperatura Media Anual: T 8.7 °C a4 1.44E-07
Déficit de Escurrimiento: D 469.1 mm/año a5 -2.85E-10
Coeficiente de Escorrentía: C 0.45 0.15
Coeficiente de Agotamiento: a 0.0135 El rango de aplicación de los
Relación de Caudales (30 días): bo 0.667 coeficientes de la ecuación
Area de lagunas y acuíferos 5 Km2 Polinómica de la PE está
Gasto Mensual de Retención: R 80.0 mm/año comprendida para 0 < P < 250 mm

CUADRO N° 6.5: GENERACION DE CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES PARA EL AÑO PROMEDIO

PRECIPITACION MENSUAL CONTRIBUCION DE LA RETENCION


N° P Efectiva Gasto Abastecimiento
MES días del Total PE II PE III PE bi Gi ai Ai
mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Enero 30 190.7 104.1 93.0 89.8 0.400 32.0
Febrero 28 184.0 97.6 99.2 99.6 0.200 16.0
Marzo 31 182.3 95.9 100.2 101.5 0.000 0.0
Abril 30 46.4 5.2 9.7 11.0 0.667 28.3
Mayo 31 12.9 1.4 3.0 3.4 0.445 18.9
Junio 30 4.6 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.297 12.6
Julio 31 3.8 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.198 8.4
Agosto 31 13.5 1.5 3.1 3.6 0.132 5.6
Setiem. 30 22.4 2.3 4.7 5.4 0.088 3.7
Octubre 31 41.3 4.5 8.4 9.6 0.059 2.5
Noviem. 30 50.6 6.0 10.9 12.4 0.050 4.0
Diciem. 31 98.4 23.4 38.6 43.0 0.350 28.0

AÑO 850.9 342.9 373.0 381.8 1.886 80.0 1.000 80.0

Coeficientes 0.45 -0.292 1.292 1.000


Fuente: Elaboración propia

CUADRO N° 6.6: CALCULO DE LOS COEFICIENTES DE CORRELACION PARA EL AÑO PROMEDIO

Qt Qt-1 PE
57.8 15.0 89.8
83.6 57.8 99.6 Resultado de la regresión
101.5 83.6 101.5
39.3 101.5 11.0 Resumen
22.3 39.3 3.4 Resumen
13.9 22.3 1.3
9.5 13.9 1.1 Estadísticas de la regresión
9.2 9.5 3.6 Coeficien 0.98156
9.2 9.2 5.4 Coeficien 0.96347
12.1 9.2 9.6 R^2 ajus 0.95535
8.4 12.1 12.4 Error típi 7.48619
15.0 8.4 43.0 Observac 12
Fuente: Elaboración propia
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de
Suma
libertad
Promedio
de cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F
Regresió 2 13303 6651.41 118.68386877
Residuos 9 504.388 56.0431
Total 11 13807

Coeficientes
Error típico
Estadístico tProbabilidad
Intercepc 0.4764 3.09964 0.1537 0.8812404984
Variable 0.35694 0.06892 5.17934 0.0005798597
Variable 0.62808 0.05491 11.4391 1.15641E-06
ación Efectiva Según Bureao Of Reclamation

0.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0


ipitación Mensual (mm)
va I Curva II Curva III

1
D= P 1
( 4) 3
P2 2 () L=300+25 ( T )+ 0 . 05(T ) ( 4 a)
8.7 °C
( 0 . 9+ 2
L ) P−D
550.4 C= (3 )
469.1 mm/año P
0.45
Cuencas con agotamiento rápido.
Retención entre 50 y 80 mm/año y vegetación poco desarrollada (puna):
6.4: Coeficientes de
recipitación Efectiva
a = −0 . 00252 ( LnAR )+0. 030 (12 . 2)
Curva II Curva III
-0.021 -0.028
0.1358 0.2756
En este
-0.002296 -0.004103 caso II y III
4.35E-05 5.53E-05
-8.90E-08 1.24E-07
-8.79E-11 -1.42E-09
0.30 0.45
aplicación de los
de la ecuación
de la PE está
a para 0 < P < 250 mm

CAUDALES
GENERADOS Ajuste de Precipitación efectiva hasta obtener la escorentia h
N= 73
mm/mes m3/s Ejemplo del método de Chow
11 12 mes PP (mm)
Pe (mm)
57.8 15.57 Enero 190.7 111.1
83.6 24.14 Febrero 184.0 105.3
101.5 26.46 Marzo 182.3 103.8
39.3 10.60 Abril 46.4 6.3
22.3 5.81 Mayo 12.9 0.4
13.9 3.75 Junio 4.6 2.5
9.5 2.48 Julio 3.8 2.8
9.2 2.39 Agosto 13.5 0.3
9.2 2.47 Setiem. 22.4 0.1
12.1 3.15 Octubre 41.3 4.3
8.4 2.26 Noviem. 50.6 8.1
15.0 3.92 Diciem. 98.4 36.5
381.5
381.8 8.58

Caudal prome
Cuenca
SET OCT NOV DIC
PE (mm) 3.7 6.8 9.3 36.0
LE (mm) 7.4 9.3 5.3 8.0
Caudal (m3/s) 2.0 2.4 1.4 2.1
O PROMEDIO

Qavenidas
Qestiaje

Valor crítico de F
3.4038E-07

Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%


-6.53547378 7.48827887 -6.53547378 7.48827887
0.201041621 0.51284056 0.20104162 0.51284056
0.503876073 0.7522916 0.50387607 0.7522916
obtener la escorentia historica anual (mm)

Caudal promedio mensual en Mollebamba


ANUAL
ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO
105.0 103.6 103.0 8.1 2.3 0.8 0.7 2.4 381.8
73.0 87.6 103.0 36.4 21.2 13.4 9.1 8.0 381.8
19.7 25.3 26.9 9.8 5.5 3.6 2.4 2.1 8.6

18.5
4.0 4.648
Porcion de la precipitación
Aprove por las Planta( mm ) Déficito Escurri (mm)
I II III IV V VI VII I II III IV V VI VII
25.4 25.4 22.9 20.4 17.9 15.4 12.9 10.4 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5 15
50.8 49.5 44.5 38.1 28 17.9 15.4 10.4 1.3 6.3 12.7 22.8 32.9 35.4 40.4
76.2 72.4 63.5 49.5 30.5 20.4 15.4 10.4 3.8 12.7 26.7 45.7 55.8 60.8 65.8
101.6 92.7 76.2 54.6 33 20.4 15.4 10.4 8.9 25.4 47 68.6 81.2 86.2 91.2
127 107.9 83.8 57.1 33 20.4 15.4 10.4 19.1 43.2 69.9 94 106.6 111.6 116.6
152.4 118.1 86.4 57.1 33 20.4 15.4 10.4 34.3 66 95.3 119.4 132 137 142
177.8 120.6 86.4 57.1 33 20.4 15.4 10.4 57.2 91.4 120.7 144.8 157.4 162.4 167.4
C 0.15 0.3 0.45 0.6 0.75 0.9 1

Chart Title
180

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0
25.4 50.8 76.2 101.6 127
hart Title

Colum
nI
Colum
nJ
Colum
nK
Colum
nL
Colum
nM
Colum
nN

101.6 127 152.4 177.8

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