80 Column1

82
83 Mean 83.4
85 Standard Error 1.2083045974
87 Median 83
Sum 417 Mode #N/A
83.4 Standard Deviation 2.7018512172
Sample Variance 7.3
Median 83.5 Kurtosis -0.6811784575
Skewness 0.1825232573 positive= therefore significant
Range 7
Minimum 80
Maximum 87
Sum 417
Count 5
0
x y
1 3 SUMMARY OUTP
2 4
3 5 Regression Statistics
4 6 Multiple R 1 correlation is very strong with 1
5 7 R Square 1 there is no negative r2
Adjusted R Square 1
Standard Error 2.937374E-16
Observations 5

ANOVA
df SS
Regression 1 10
Residual 3 2.58844985E-31
Total 4 10

Coefficients Standard Error

Intercept 2 3.08074387E-16
X Variable 1 1 9.28879225E-17
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

X (Independent Variable) manipulator

ation is very strong with 1 Y (Dependent Variable)
s no negative r2

MS F Significance F
10 1.158995E+32 1.7674555E-48
8.628166E-32

t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
6.491939E+15 8.060232E-48 2 2 2 2
1.076566E+16 1.767456E-48 1 1 1 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.583118 0.2
R Square 0.340027
Adjusted R 0.28926 0.15
Standard E 0.051956
Observatio 15 0.1

Residuals
0.05
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
0
Regression 1 0.01808 0.01808 6.697769 0.022512 0
Residual 13 0.035093 0.002699 -0.05
Total 14 0.053173
-0.1
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.390381 0.028231 13.82815 3.75E-09 0.329392 0.45137 0.329392 0.45137
X Variable 0.008036 0.003105 2.588005 0.022512 0.001328 0.014744 0.001328 0.014744

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 0.398417 0.011583
2 0.406452 0.003548
3 0.414488 -0.014488
4 0.422524 -0.022524
5 0.43056 0.00944
6 0.438595 -0.008595
7 0.446631 -0.016631
8 0.454667 -0.004667
9 0.462702 -0.022702
10 0.470738 -0.040738
11 0.478774 0.161226
12 0.48681 0.04319
13 0.494845 -0.014845
14 0.502881 -0.042881
15 0.510917 -0.040917
 Time Residual Plot
0.2

0.15

0.1
Residuals

0.05

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
-0.05

-0.1
Time Residual Plot (X-Variable)
 X Y Forecasting [ y= b0 + b1
Date Period Stock Price Period
01/27/2020 1 0.41 16
01/28/2020 2 0.41 17
01/29/2020 3 0.4 18
01/30/2020 4 0.4 19
01/31/2020 5 0.44 20
03-Feb-20 6 0.43 21
04-Feb-20 7 0.43 22
05-Feb-20 8 0.45 23
06-Feb-20 9 0.44 24
07-Feb-20 10 0.43 25
10-Feb-20 11 0.64 26
11-Feb-20 12 0.53 27
12-Feb-20 13 0.48 28
13-Feb-20 14 0.46 29
14-Feb-20 15 0.47 30

SUM

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.5831181499
R Square 0.3400267768
Adjusted R Square 0.2892596057
Standard Error 0.051956325
Observations 15

ANOVA
df
Regression 1
Residual 13
Total 14

Coefficients
Intercept (b) 0.3903809524
X Variable 1 (m) 0.0080357143

LINEAR EQUATION
y= 0.00803571428571428 (X) + 0.390380952380952
 Forecasting [ y= b0 + b1x ] MANILA BULLETIN
Forecasted StoActual Company Profile
0.52 History
0.53 Core Values
0.54 Board of Directors & Officer & Members
0.54 Mission and Vision
0.55 Type of Business
0.56
0.57
0.58
0.58
0.59
0.60
0.61
0.62
0.62
0.63

0.0080357143 B 0.390380952

SUMMARY OUTPUT

SS MS F Significance F
0.018080357143 0.0180803571 6.6977688521 0.02251239638
0.03509297619 0.0026994597
0.053173333333

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
0.028230893398 13.828147302 3.749585E-09 0.32939181514 0.4513700896 0.3293918151 0.4513700896
0.003104984303 2.5880048014 0.0225123964 0.00132780352 0.0147436251 0.0013278035 0.0147436251

8 (X) + 0.390380952380952
& Officer & Members
 ACTUAL
Date Period Stock Price
Monday, January 27, 2020 1 0.41
Tuesday, January 28, 2020 2 0.41
Wednesday, January 29, 2020 3 0.4
Thursday, January 30, 2020 4 0.4
Friday, January 31, 2020 5 0.44
Monday, February 03, 2020 6 0.43
Tuesday, February 04, 2020 7 0.43
Wednesday, February 05, 2020 8 0.45
Thursday, February 06, 2020 9 0.44
Friday, February 07, 2020 10 0.43
Monday, February 10, 2020 11 0.64
Tuesday, February 11, 2020 12 0.53
Wednesday, February 12, 2020 13 0.48
Thursday, February 13, 2020 14 0.46
Friday, February 14, 2020 15 0.47

Date Period Actual

Monday, January 27, 2020 1 0.41
Tuesday, January 28, 2020 2 0.41
Wednesday, January 29, 2020 3 0.4
Thursday, January 30, 2020 4 0.4
Friday, January 31, 2020 5 0.44
Monday, February 03, 2020 6 0.43
Tuesday, February 04, 2020 7 0.43
Wednesday, February 05, 2020 8 0.45
Thursday, February 06, 2020 9 0.44
Friday, February 07, 2020 10 0.43
Monday, February 10, 2020 11 0.64
Tuesday, February 11, 2020 12 0.53
Wednesday, February 12, 2020 13 0.48
Thursday, February 13, 2020 14 0.46
Friday, February 14, 2020 15 0.47

Date Period Actual

Monday, February 17, 2020 16 0.49
Tuesday, February 18, 2020 17 0.46
Wednesday, February 19, 2020 18 0.46
Thursday, February 20, 2020 19 0.44
Friday, February 21, 2020 20 0.45
Monday, February 24, 2020 21 0.44
Wednesday, February 26, 2020 22 0.47
Thursday, February 27, 2020 23 0.43
Friday, February 28, 2020 24 0.47
Monday, March 02, 2020 25 0.43
Tuesday, March 03, 2020 26 0.64
Wednesday, March 04, 2020 27 0.53
Thursday, March 05, 2020 28 0.48
Friday, March 06, 2020 29 0.46

Monday, March 09, 2020 30 0.47

Period Actual Forecasted

1 0.41 0.39
2 0.41 0.40
3 0.4 0.41
4 0.4 0.42
5 0.44 0.43
6 0.43 0.44
7 0.43 0.45
8 0.45 0.45
9 0.44 0.46
10 0.43 0.47
11 0.64 0.48
12 0.53 0.49
13 0.48 0.50
14 0.46 0.50
15 0.47 0.51
16 0.49 0.52
17 0.46 0.53
18 0.46 0.54
19 0.44 0.55
20 0.45 0.55
21 0.44 0.56
22 0.47 0.57
23 0.43 0.58
24 0.47 0.59
25 0.43 0.60
26 0.64 0.61
27 0.53 0.61
28 0.48 0.62
29 0.46 0.63
30 0.47 0.64
ACTUAL
Date Period Stock Price
Monday, February 17, 2020 16 0.49
Tuesday, February 18, 2020 17 0.46
Wednesday, February 19, 2020 18 0.46
Thursday, February 20, 2020 19 0.44
Friday, February 21, 2020 20 0.45
Monday, February 24, 2020 21 0.44
Wednesday, February 26, 2020 22 0.47
Thursday, February 27, 2020 23 0.43
Friday, February 28, 2020 24 0.47
Monday, March 02, 2020 25 0.43
Tuesday, March 03, 2020 26 0.64
Wednesday, March 04, 2020 27 0.53
Thursday, March 05, 2020 28 0.48
Friday, March 06, 2020 29 0.46
Monday, March 09, 2020 30 0.47

Forecasted SUMMARY OUTPUT

0.39
0.40 Regression Statistics
0.41 Multiple R
0.42 R Square
0.43 Adjusted R Square
0.44 Standard Error
0.45 Observations
0.45
0.46 ANOVA
0.47
0.48 Regression
0.49 Residual
0.50 Total
0.50
0.51
Y-intercept
X-intercept

Forecasted SUMMARY OUTPUT

0.52 FORECASTED STOCK PRICE
0.53 Regression Statistics
0.54 Multiple R
0.55 R Square
0.55 Adjusted R Square
0.56 Standard Error
0.57 Observations
0.58 Summ
0.59 ANOVA
0.60
0.61 Regression
0.61 Residual
0.62 Total
0.63

0.64
Y-intercept
X-intercept

Sum
ANOVA

Regression
Residual
Total

Y-intercept
X-intercept

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

ANOVA

Regression
Residual
Total

Y-intercept
X-intercept

PEARSON

Actual vs Forecaste
0.7

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Actual Forecas
 FORECASTED
Date Period Stock Price Date
Monday, January 27, 2020 1 0.39 Monday, February 17, 2020
Tuesday, January 28, 2020 2 0.40 Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Wednesday, January 29, 2020 3 0.41 Wednesday, February 19, 2020
Thursday, January 30, 2020 4 0.42 Thursday, February 20, 2020
Friday, January 31, 2020 5 0.43 Friday, February 21, 2020
Monday, February 03, 2020 6 0.44 Monday, February 24, 2020
Tuesday, February 04, 2020 7 0.45 Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Wednesday, February 05, 2020 8 0.45 Thursday, February 27, 2020
Thursday, February 06, 2020 9 0.46 Friday, February 28, 2020
Friday, February 07, 2020 10 0.47 Monday, March 02, 2020
Monday, February 10, 2020 11 0.48 Tuesday, March 03, 2020
Tuesday, February 11, 2020 12 0.49 Wednesday, March 04, 2020
Wednesday, February 12, 2020 13 0.50 Thursday, March 05, 2020
Thursday, February 13, 2020 14 0.50 Friday, March 06, 2020
Friday, February 14, 2020 15 0.51 Monday, March 09, 2020

1-15 ACTUAL

Regression Statistics
0.562006034866682
0.315850783226571
0.258838348495451
0.053941360102155
15

df SS MS F Significance F
1 0.01612 0.01611967033 6 0.036464796653347
12 0.034916 0.00290967033
13 0.051036

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

0.386307692307692 0.033644 11.4823433308 ### 0.313004523089782
0.008417582417582 0.003576 2.35372751931 0 0.000625543442902

16-30 PROJECTED
FORECASTED STOCK PRICE ACTUAL STOCK PRICE
Regression Statistics Regression Statistics
1 Multiple R 0.3
1 R Square 0.1
1 Adjusted R Squa 0
3.81789034451966E-17 Standard Error 0.1
15 Observations 15
Summary for Forecasted Stock Prices

df SS MS F Significance F
1 0.01612 0.01611967033 ### 3.68E-181
12 1.75E-32 1.4576287E-33
13 0.01612

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

0.386307692307692 6E-17 6.4008164E+15 ### 0.386307692307692
0.008417582417582 2.53E-18 3.3254822E+15 ### 0.008417582417582

Summary for Actual Stock Prices

df SS MS F Significance F
1 0.004265 0.00426472527 2 0.242461872878355
12 0.033857 0.00282139194
13 0.038121

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

0.371824175824176 0.083967 4.42824233099 0 0.18887680661705
0.00432967032967 0.003522 1.22945834538 0.2 -0.003343254335073

1-30 ACTUAL

Regression Statistics
0.33393292477758
0.111511198250509
0.07860420559312
0.054859043804107
30

df SS MS F Significance F
1 0.010198 0.01019827586 3 0.07666035540277
 27 0.081257 0.00300951469
28 0.091455

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

0.430689655172414 0.021984 19.5909468252 ### 0.385581974288011
0.002241379310345 0.001218 1.84083619155 0.1 -0.000256904072551

Actual vs Forecasted

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Actual Forecasted
 Period Stock Price
16 0.52
17 0.53
18 0.54
19 0.55
20 0.55
21 0.56
22 0.57
23 0.58
24 0.59
25 0.60
26 0.61
27 0.61
28 0.62
29 0.63
30 0.64

Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

0.459611 0.31300452309 0.4596108615
0.01621 0.00062554344 0.0162096214
Upper 95%
0.386308
0.008418

Upper 95%
0.554772
0.012003
 Actual vs Forecasted
0.70

0.60
f(x) = 0.478162072027535 x + 0.294633071483586
R² = 0.135501367081217
0.50

0.40

0.30

0.20

0.10

0.00
0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7