Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
June 2019
Please Note:
This is an unofficial collation of materials found in the No Nonsense Forex
YouTube Videos
FX Trading Strategies
(Core Concepts)
Playlist Notes
VIDEO- Trading Forex For Beginners- The No Nonsense Way
What This Is
Benefits
❏ Time
❏ Eliminates Mistakes
❏ Creates a system that does most of the work
In This Order
In This Video
Main Players
❏ Deutsche Bank
❏ Citi
❏ JP Morgan Chase
❏ HSBC
❏ Possibly some China
What They Do
How They Do It
Example:
GBP/ USD 65% Long GBP/ USD 35% are short
Traders give up, relinquish their money to the Traders either know when to get out and
Big Banks make $$, or screw it up with bad money
management
Repeat
❏ You have to let “dumb money” win sometimes so they keep playing
❏ Banks do this just enough to keep the pool of dumb money around forever
❏ EUR/CHF Crash
❏ A little known tool
❏ SNB said the CHF shall not drop below 1.2 EUR- a “peg”
❏ Traders were 70:1 Long:Short on the EUR/CHF
❏ CRASH!!! (Jan 2015)
❏ Entire platforms went out of business (e.g. FXCM got bailed out by forex.com/ IG) all
because of one trade, on one day
What It Does…
“If you don’t know what to avoid. It doesn’t matter what you do instead.”
Do not Be Popular
News= Death
Do Instead
In This Video
My #1 Tip
❏ Eliminate the things that are bringing your trading account down. You must know what to
avoid
Avoidance is awesome!!
If can eliminate one loss:
1) Stop using tools that don’t work e.g. eliminate support and resistance areas/ trend
lines/ RSI (refer to ‘The Dirty Dozen’ video)
❏ Emotions
❏ You lack confidence!
3) Stop Trading With No Consistent Trade Management in Place
If my trade goes this way, and at what point will be ALWAYS WRITTEN DOWN.
Things To Avoid
❏ Not being adjustable- e.g. to use different SLs on different currency pairs and not
using same numbers throughout
❏ Chasing losses- Always put a SL somewhere, and never move it back to give it
‘more breathing room’... just let it hit the SL!
❏ Capping your upside (2:1 or 3:1 trades)
Example
❏ SL at -30 pips
❏ Take ½ off at +50 pips, move SL to break-even
❏ Set a trailing SL after you reach +100 pips
Do This
❏ Write down a step by step if/ then procedure for managing a trade
❏ Follow it religiously every time
❏ Do nothing else
Trend Trading
❏ Stochastics
❏ RSI
❏ Bollinger Bands
❏ CCI
Conclusion
❏ Reversal Trading makes it way too hard to make consistent money in Forex
❏ Move over to trend trading
❏ I will set you up for success the best I can
VIDEO- 12 Technical analysis Forex Tools To AVOID Always/ The Dirty Dozen
In This Video…
ADX Indicator
❏ 1978
❏ Volume meter is way too slow- if try to speed it up it gets wildly inaccurate
❏ DI Indicator lags heavily (even more than Stochastics for example)
Trend Lines
Stochastics
❏ 1950s
❏ Based on Overbought/ Oversold which is not really even a thing in Forex
❏ Doesn’t even do a good job of that (fast or slow)
❏ Traders get killed when price trends
Price Levels
❏ 1980
❏ Too jerky
❏ Bad at reversals and trends
❏ 18th Century
❏ Easily to spot when they work- e.g. a hammer
❏ Too many traders can see them
❏ Big Banks feast
Bollinger Bands
❏ Early 1980s
❏ Heavily reliant on OB/OS (Overbought/ Oversold)
❏ Could make sense for stocks
❏ Takes you out of trends too early
Fibonacci
RSI
❏ 1978
❏ Created for stocks
❏ Used almost exclusively for OB/OS
Moving Average Crossovers
EUR/USD 23.1
USD/JPY 17.8
GBP/USD 9.3
AUD/USD 5.2
USD/CAD 4.3
USD/CHF 3.6
EUR/GBP 2
USD/MXN 1.8
Source:
https://www.youtube.com/redirect?redir_token=H69VZnwAwnkojsi5AjMvcVcpgvJ8MTU2MTIzM
zY3MUAxNTYxMTQ3Mjcx&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.stofs.com%2Fen%2Fnewsroom%2Fentr
y%2FGENERAL%2Fthe-most-traded-currency-pairs-in-the-forex&event=video_description&v=v
VMMkmYYU4U
Understand
Pairs might move a certain way for a while, but they will never stay that way.
❏ I can’t speak for exotics, but stay within the 8 major currencies
❏ The Forex market is already super liquid
❏ None of us have enough money to make the market react
❏ “Spikes” in the more non- liquid pairs don’t happen often. Almost never. It’s a myth.
❏ Big Banks
❏ Their job is to take your money and redistribute it back into the market
❏ Where is the place for them to take traders’ money? It is the most popular pair, because
that where most money is sitting
Actionable Tips
❏ Don’t confine yourself to just trading the EUR/USD, and trade with caution when you do
❏ Trade half the amount of lots you normally do
❏ Explore other pairs without fear. A good trading system loves the unpopular
VIDEO/ PODCAST- Which Time Frame Gives You The Best Results?
Here are the benefits of trading Forex on the daily time frame over any other
❏ This blog post may have taken the wind out of your sails a bit, because you actually
enjoy trading on smaller time frames, or you feel like you have some sort of edge there.
❏ Fine. Maybe you do. I’m not here to take that away from you (though I will try my best).
So here are two pieces of good news you can take away from this.
❏ Double-dip if you want. Have one setting on your platform just for trading Daily charts,
and scalp on another. If both work, why would you not just do both? Who says you only
have to do one?
❏ This way you can put yourself in the best position to win by trading the Daily charts, and
continue to chase the dragon and feel the thrill of trading on smaller time frames.
❏ If you’re profitable in both, for the love of God, do both!! I just want you to succeed and
make lots of money in the end.
❏ This method has an added bonus I think of showing you in real time which time frame is
superior. Some pompous jerk on the internet may not be able to convince you to
change your trading, but if you can see it happening right in front of you, you may have
second thoughts.
Everything I Do Here Works On Every Time Frame
❏ Yes, even though you and I don’t even trade the same time frame, No Nonsense Forex
is definitely for you as well.
❏ They just all perform better on the Daily time frame, that’s all.
❏ So the obvious question may be arising here, “If longer time frames are better, wouldn’t
the Weekly time frame be even better? What about the Monthly?”
❏ First off, I didn’t say “Longer time frames are better”. Because it’s not true
❏ The biggest issues with the Weekly (and Monthly for that matter) are how there are too
many large news events contained inside of it. You can no longer avoid them. They can,
and often do screw up your trade.
❏ And that trade, in a time frame like that, can be hundreds if not thousands of pips. It’s not
worth it.
❏ Plus, they don’t test out as well when I research indicators and the like. The 4 hour and 1
hour time frames actually perform better, believe it or not
Conclusion
❏ The Daily time frame is the best time frame to trade Forex and it’s not even close
❏ This blog and my YouTube channel and my Podcast are not designed to be shown to as
many viewers as possible. Just the dedicated ones who seek stuff like this out, and stay
with it. So if you are one of those select few, I want the best for you, and I can think of
no better way than to get you to make lots of money, but more importantly to give you
your life back.
❏ And I won’t stop until I’m done. And I won’t be done for a long time.
VIDEO- Forex Fundamental Analysis- You Don’t Need It
❏ FX Investors
❏ FX Traders
Fundamentals Include:
Worst Offenders
❏ News outlets
❏ Forex Twitter
❏ Forex News Websites
Shit They Do
Pointless Info
❏ TA wins in Forex
❏ You can avoid FA altogether
❏ You still have to be aware of big news
❏ I will show you
VIDEO- How Many Currency Pairs Should You Trade? (Podcast Episode 4)
❏ 27- Every combination of the 8 major currencies of the world, except for the EUR/CHF
❏ EUR
❏ GBP
❏ USD
❏ AUD
❏ NZD
❏ CAD
❏ CHF
❏ JPY
Yes, and having 27 pairs at your disposal will give you an enormous advantage over another
Forex trader of the exact same skill level. Assuming you’re good.
But you have to get a few dumb notions out of your head first. And I’m here to do that right now.
❏ How come? I’ve yet to hear a good reason for this. Low spreads? You think they jerk
around less than other pairs? Let’s debunk both of these myths.
❏ For the sake of clarity, “high liquidity” means a lot more money is passing through these
pairs than others.
❏ Pairs like the EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY have high liquidity, yes. But so what?
Forex is a 4-5 trillion dollar a day market. There is more money passing through currency
pairs with “low liquidity” than you or I have ever seen. Not so “low” after all.
❏ Liquidity is so high on every combination of the major currencies, even Bill Gates
couldn’t come in and ruin your trade.
❏ Having higher liquidity than most of the other pairs isn’t necessarily a good thing.
❏ Long story short, the Big Banks for the world are the ones who move price up and down
and take out your stop losses, thus giving them more money to play with.
❏ If you want pairs that move “smoother” (I’m using quotes a lot today, sorry), you are
telling me you want pairs that don’t have as many crazy whipsaws going on with them.
❏ The less interference from the Big Banks, the less whipsaws you will likely have to deal
with.
❏ You’ve been doing it backwards. As liquid as the EUR/USD is, this is the one pair I
would recommend LEAST for newer traders.
❏ Your reasoning for trading pairs because of their liquidity was a bad one, but that’s okay.
Nobody has to know. Go forward, and open up your trading seven-fold. You’re going to
be just fine.
❏ And as far as low spreads go, often the pairs with higher spreads move more pips per
time frame to compensate for this, so it’s often a wash. And if we’re trading the Daily
time frame, it matters even less.
Reason 2- You want to get comfortable trading one particular currency pair before moving onto
others.
❏ I applaud your patience and your restraint. But man, you blew this one.
❏ Say it with me: Currency pairs do not have their own unique movement. Remember this
always.
❏ Why are you not trading the NZD/CAD? I want a really good reason. You don’t have one.
❏ Is it because you scalp on smaller time frames? Do this: take any two currency pairs,
one you trade, and one you don’t, and compare them both on the 15 min chart during
the main times of day you trade.
❏ And when you do, again, you’re going to see how overrated that shit is too. If you can’t
see it, then do it again for the week prior. You’ll see it.
Reason -
❏ On any given day, you may have your favorite 3 pairs open, and I have my 27. If this is
true, I will have 9X the opportunity to make money over you. I also have the opportunity
to be patient, and wait for trades to come to me, without going long periods of time with
no activity.
❏ We had just gotten done establishing how there’s nothing to be afraid of with trading
other currency pairs. So why not give yourself the best chance to win?
❏ Because it doesn’t move like the other combinations of the 8 majors. Those two
currencies are still tied together way too often as I write this in 2018. And due to this, any
movement is usually fundamentals-driven, and I like to avoid that if at all possible.
❏ My algorithm doesn’t work on the EUR/CHF for those reasons, so that sucker is OUT.
VIDEO- How Long To Demo Trade Forex? (Podcast Episode 6)
❏ You need a 6 month sample size where you have made at least a 6% return on the
money you started with. Only then can I recommend you start trading your actual
hard-earned money.
❏ And that 6 months is probably not going to come in the first 6 months, so you will have to
learn to be patient. This is great however, because patience is one of the 3 main virtues
you need to trade successfully.
How I arrived at 6%
❏ The S&P 500 averages just under 12% return every year. That’s really good. Fortunes
have been made on putting your money there and doing absolutely nothing else.
❏ For those of you not paying attention, a 6% return in 6 months puts you on pace for a
12% yearly return. If you’re not doing that, I would be doing you a disservice by telling
you to put your money anywhere else but the S&P 500, because that will be a higher
ROI than what you’re currently doing.
❏ Of course, if you’re going to do that, wait until the next recession hits. We’re grossly
overdue. Get in cheap.
❏ But for the rest of you, use this as your benchmark. If your demo trading account starts
at $50,000 (many do), you want to aim for at least $53,000 at the end of a 6 month
period.
❏ If you don’t get there, keep trading until you do. But remember, it has to be a 6% return
in the LAST 6 months of your trading.
❏ And no cheating. If you have some freak trade that gave you over 6% in one big move,
don’t just stop and say “ta-da!”. You didn’t really win. This is a fake result, because the
chances of it happening again, when real money is on the line, is tiny.
❏ You want to make money, I get it. But this is the most fun part of Forex.
❏ This is the part where you build the system, you’re own unique system, that will make
you money for the rest of your life. Yes, rest of your life.
❏ How much longer do you plan on living? 30, 40, 50 years? And you can’t wait 6 to 18
months to make sure you get it right?
❏ And if it all falls apart, you can just hit the proverbial reset button, and start back at
$50,000 or whatever your starting number was. Take advantage of this great
opportunity, because it doesn’t exist in real life.
❏ Nerding out and building your little empire is something you’ll look back on with a smile
too, I can guarantee this. When you discover a new tool that, when added to your
current system, makes everything much more successful than it was before- the
euphoria that comes over you cannot be measured.
❏ It actually feels even better than making real money. You’ll understand what I mean
someday. I hope.
Conclusion
❏ Demo trading is a part of Forex trading you cannot skip. It is absolutely forbidden. But,
and I cannot express this enough, it’s the best and most fun part of the whole ride.
❏ Very very few things in life allow for this. Take full advantage.
❏ You have to be actively trading- do not take a break if you “feel” things aren’t working
etc.
VIDEO- The EUR/GBP and GBP/CHF- 2 of the Best Forex Pairs to Trade in 2019
In This Video
❏ WARNING!
Understand
USD Problems
The Right Move- especially right now, is to get into cross pairs
❏ I describe them as any combination of the 8 major currencies that DO NOT involve the
USD
Advantages of the Euro
❏ News events are scattered- amongst many nations, some who are stronger than others.
Because it’s not just one nation, news in one country doesn’t move it so adversely
Advantages of the GB
❏ GBP pairs don’t stagnate, and GBP pairs certainly like to move
❏ High win %
Why the GBP/ CHF?
Do NOT
Conclusion
❏ Be cautious of USD pairs- be cautious and if insist then reduce risk size
❏ Trade more cross pairs
❏ Pay close attention to the EUR/GBP and the GBP/CHF they are wonderful pairs to trade.
NOTE: Don’t trade them the week before and the week after a Brexit vote!
❏ But don’t trade them both at once
VIDEO- Forex Volume Indicator
Understand
❏ Elimination Video
❏ What very people talk about
❏ A good volume indicator can take a lot of your losing trades away!
❏ We get to do this
❏ The whole purpose of the algorithm
❏ If the odds are against us, we pass
❏ Only take trades we are supposed to win- by using the proven and tested algorithm
NOTE: Using ROC indicator for example- he doesn’t like it, he doesn’t endorse it! On the ROC
(zero line cross)- so if passes above zero that is a long signal, if passes below zero that is a
short signal.
The Rate-of-Change (ROC) indicator, which is also referred to as simply Momentum, is a pure
momentum oscillator that measures the percent change in price from one period to the next.
The ROC calculation compares the current price with the price “n” periods ago. This is used in
the example as a confirmation indicator.
NOTE: If don’t have exit indicator, COULD use your confirmation indicator for the exit
The ADX is part of The Dirty Dozen- we only care about the ‘blue line,’ however, DO NOT USE!
Add a level e.g. 25, and if volume is above the line it is ok to trade, if it is not then we don’t trade
Do This
Conclusion
Additional Information:
❏ Acceleration Bands
❏ Market Facilitation Index
❏ Volume
❏ Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
❏ Accumulation Distribution
❏ Volume Oscillator (PVO)
❏ Demand Index
❏ On Balance Volume (OBV)
❏ Money Flow Index (MFI)
❏ VWAP (Volume Weighted Average price)
VIDEO- Volume Indicators Part 2
Volatility Indicators
❏ Easier to read
❏ Google will show ADX, Bollinger Bands, ATR
❏ The ATR line I only use for the figure not the line (does not use as a volume indicator)-
the line can get you in trouble! The range will change on different currencies/ situations-
this makes things wildly inconsistent, as far as backtesting goes...forget it!
Do This
❏ Go to barchart.com
❏ Type in $EVZ
❏ Bookmark it- I refer to it before I even open my charts
❏ Can put number wherever you want
❏ My number is 8
❏ Look at figure only- if it less than your number (8 in example)- I may risk less than the
standard 2% risk figure, maybe to 1.5-1.75% risk just to mitigate losses better
❏ When the number is below 8- the chances of winning are lowered
Conclusion
In This Video
O-Ver-Rated
❏ Laggy AF
❏ We don’t know how the masses will react
❏ News can always get in the way
❏ We’re too zoomed in
❏ Create a system which keeps you off of the banks’ radars by avoiding areas on a chart
that are open to the most amount of bank manipulation
Twitter Follows
❏ @DailyFXTeam
❏ @FXCM_MarketData
❏ @This_IS_VP4X
Conclusion
In This Video
❏ News Impact
❏ https://next.newsimpact.com/
Dirty Dirty
Advantage #292
Main Benefit
Short Term
❏ Always have a news calendar, and check it before you look at your charts
❏ Most events you can ignore
❏ Every event CAN bite you, but probably won’t
How I Sourced
❏ Newsimpact.com
❏ Shows all events, and how big the spikes were
❏ $20
❏ I was able to find the most impactful events to avoid (2018)
USD
❏ NFP
❏ Interest Rates (FOMC)
❏ Powell
❏ CPI
GBP
❏ Interest Rate
❏ Employment
❏ Retail Sales
AUD
❏ Interest Rate
❏ Employment
❏ No more Chinese news to worry about!
NZD
❏ Employment
❏ GDP
❏ GDT
❏ Interest rate (no move since 5/2017)
JPY
❏ Interest Rate
CHF
❏ Libor Rate
Remember…
❏ You can get stopped out by news events I didn’t mention, but the chances are very low
❏ If you do, you do
❏ Move on
GAME PLAN:
Entering a Trade
❏ Do not enter a trade if one of these news events is coming up within 24 hours
❏ EXIT!
If Your Trade Is <ATR
❏ If your trade is winning, but you have not taken initial profit yet
❏ Or if you have, but your profit in pips is <ATR
❏ Exit
Conclusion
In This Video
Remember
Game Plan
In Conclusion
In This Video
NOTE: S&P 500- We want up or down moves- generally if it goes down then more money goes
into the Forex market. EUR/USD the ATR has dropped off from approximately 8th January
2019.
A Good Thing??
Strong Suggestions
❏ DO NOT TRADE
❏ Avoid the USD
❏ Take full trade off at 1 x ATR
❏ Realize you will miss the first big move
Trading the USD/CAD- We All Nerd Out Together
In This Video
Ignore Oil
MACD
In Conclusion
In This Video
What We Do
On My Board
❏ Active Trades
❏ Upcoming possibilities
❏ Possible pullbacks
❏ Metals/ Oil
❏ Quote
Maintenance Mode
Where My Eyes Go
❏ Baseline
❏ Confirmation Indicator
❏ Move On- if neither one of those things tell you to enter a trade
But, if my baseline does tell me go, a pair that crossed and closed above and below the
baseline for the first time:
❏ Pull up ATR
❏ Measure distance from baseline (Refer to ‘Pullbacks Video’)
❏ Check the rest of my indicators- if any of them says no, I don’t ask questions, I move on
❏ If NO, move on
❏ If YES, write it down then move on to the next pair
❏ Efficiency
❏ Organization
❏ There may be more than one trade for one of the currencies I wrote down
❏ Continuation Trade
❏ Check to see if the rules are met
❏ Consult the rest of my algo (but not the volume indi)
❏ If “yes”, write it down
How To Trade
Conclusion
❏ Structure is important
❏ Whatever makes sense to you
❏ Have a structure, and follow it
VIDEO- US Dollar/ USD- Present and Future
In This Video
Understand
American Recessions
❏ 1953-1954 (4)
❏ 1957-1958 (3)
❏ 1960-1961 (2)
❏ 1969-1970 (8)
❏ 1973-1975 (3)
❏ 1980 (5
❏ 1981-1982 (1)
❏ 1990-1991 (7)
❏ 2001 (10)
❏ 2007-2009 (6)
❏ ??? (10)
FX Is Recession-Proof!!
In Episode 12
❏ Play “real life Forex” and hold other currencies- VP used to hold USD, CHF, CNY and
❏ Hold metals!
❏ Crypto
❏ Countries who “get it”, and are moving in the right direction
❏ Non-western countries (tax, declining business, liberal policies)
❏ USD
❏ CHF
❏ CNY (but less of it)
❏ RUB
❏ Other small countries
Major Gold Buyers
❏ Russia
❏ China
❏ Iran
❏ Azerbaijan
❏ India (silver)
Why Metals?
❏ Intrinsic value
❏ Should go up (recession, low supply)
❏ Great hedge against all currencies
❏ When things collapse (and they always do), you win big
❏ Upside- Always protected, can come out on top in a very short amount of time, buy shit
on the cheap afterwards
❏ Downside- Very little. It can’t all go down
In Conclusion
In This Video
My Process
1) Safety
2) Ease of Use
3) Customer Service
4) *Spreads
Safety First
❏ Fast Execution
❏ Easy-to-use proprietary platform
❏ No WTF moments
❏ Make it so I don’t have to call CS
❏ Australian
❏ Mid to high on the $$ scale (8Capbacked)
❏ The Google of Forex brokers
❏ No bells and whistles
❏ Everybody F*cking loves them!
❏ ECN broker
❏ Trade directly off of MT4/MT5
❏ Native English speakers all the time
❏ CS also available in Spanish and Tagalog, but they use Google translate for others
My #2- Markets.com
❏ UK Broker
❏ Offices in UK, SA, and AUS
❏ CySEC regulated
❏ Fairly Large (FTSE 250 company)
❏ Options galore!!
Specs
Bonuses- Requirements
For Markets.com
In Conclusion
In This Video
My Algorithm
My Indicators
Please Understand
Also Understand
ATR
❏ Tells you how many pips the currency pair has moved, on average, in the past x amount
of candles
❏ Not in units
❏ Not in dollar amounts
❏ How much are you trading per pip?
❏ Ex: 1 lot on the EUR/USD-$10 per pip
Let’s Compare
EUR/GBP GBP/NZD
For example, if you’re trading at $6/pip Trade ⅓ less per pip ($2/pip)
In Conclusion
❏ Know that money management is what will separate you from the losing traders
❏ Have the ATR on your chart or on the ready always
❏ Never trade without it
VIDEO- The RSI Indicator Is One Of The Worst Forex Indicators You Could Possibly Use
In This Video
❏ Show you why the RSI is a terrible option for your Forex charts
❏ ADX
❏ Trend Lines
❏ RSI
❏ Stochastics
❏ Price Levels
❏ Bollinger Bands
❏ MA Crossovers
❏ Support/ Resistance
❏ Fibonnaci
❏ CCI
❏ Chart Patterns
❏ Japanese Candlesticks (Patterns also included here)
RSI
❏ Created in 1978
❏ Created for Stock trading
❏ Created to find reversals in price
❏ Easy to use
❏ It’s extremely popular
❏ You were shown from the start
In This Video
❏ Zero-line cross
❏ Lines that cross each other
❏ Chart Indicators
Zero Cross
❏ An indicator that tells you to enter a trade once it has crossed its zero line-
ROC INDICATOR NOTE: In the demo VP uses ROC Indicator as an example. He also
changes the settings from 10 to 20.
“I still do not endorse the ROC, this indicator still sucks. Just know when you see
something for the first time and it’s not your liking change the settings.The lesson is don’t
use this indicator!”
Two Lines Cross
Chart Indicators
❏ An indicator which goes directly on the chart itself that signals when a trend is changing.
❏ “Super trend may be better as an exit indicator”
❏ Parabolic SAR- the idea here is when dots are below price it wants to go long, when the
dots are above the price it wants to go short. Not good when not trending.
Conclusion
In This Video
❏ Catch you up
❏ Different types of MACD
❏ What it does
❏ The one part of it that actually works
Problems Already
❏ SMA or EMA?
❏ MT4’s MACD or not?
❏ Histogram?
Conclusion
Understand
Levels
❏ 00 “Big Figure”
❏ 50 “Mid Figure”
❏ 80
❏ 20
Do This Instead
In This Video
Heikin Ashi
❏ Very Simple
❏ White means long, Red means short
❏ Filters out the noise
❏ Cannot change the settings
Do Not
Do This Instead
Understand
In This Video
Choose One
Answer Me!!
In This Video
❏ Quick review
❏ Go over two big parts of indicator trading some people miss
❏ How to read charts very quickly
WTF Is This?
❏ The ATR of a currency pair is available at the CLOSE of the previous candle
❏ You can cheat like I do and check the ATR right BEFORE it closes
In Conclusion
In This Video
Breakout or Bounce?
❏ Pick one
❏ Forex Twitter is gonna get you!
❏ They will point out the line
❏ They will wait until later to crow about the result
3 Main Possibilities
❏ Breakout
❏ reversal/ rebound
❏ False breakout/ reversal
Seriously?
All In One
❏ Rare
❏ Every indicator within must work really well
❏ Often you can find pieces that work really well
❏ RSI
❏ Signal line (MA)
❏ Bollinger Bands
❏ “Market Baseline” (34 MA)
Repainter!
In Conclusion
In This Video
Examples
Conclusion
In This Video
❏ Head-n-Shoulders
❏ Triangle
❏ Wedge
❏ Rectangle
❏ Flag
❏ Double/ triple top/bottom
❏ 3 strike pattern
❏ Measured Move
❏ Cup-n-Handle
❏ Pennant
Always Remember
Instead
In Conclusion
In This Video
Complete Algorithm
1) ATR
2) Base Line
3) Confirmation Indicator
4) 2nd Confirmation Indicator
5) Volume Indicator
6) Exit Indicator
Great News!
If confirmation indicator is a Two Lines Cross, use one of the other types
Remember
How To Test
❏ Your main confirmation indicator makes all the decisions for entry
❏ Your 2nd confirmation indicator gives the green/ red light
❏ Leave every piece of your system out of it- apart from ATR
❏ Record the results
❏ Which 2nd confirmation indicator takes away the most losses while still preserving the
wins
VIDEO- Renko Charts- Wanna Be A Pioneer?
In This Video
More
Pros
Cons
Conclusion
❏ Moving Averages
❏ Bollinger Bands
❏ Parabolic SAR
❏ Ichimoku
❏ Zig Zag
VIDEO- Forex Support and Resistance- Better Off Without It
Understand
In This Video
Caveat
Guesswork
❏ Breakout or reversal?
❏ Which line will I use?
❏ Which Time Frame?
❏ What do I do after I enter?
Confidence
1) Doing
2) Certainty
❏ How do I manage?
❏ If you like them and use them with success, great! Keep doing that
❏ Test other ways!
❏ Compare/ contrast
❏ At least give the Money Management playlist a look
VIDEO- Exit Indicators- Worth A Lot More Than You Think
In This Video
❏ Gets you out at the most optimal point on a winning trade, and before it hits your TS
❏ Gets you out of a loss before it hits your SL
❏ Tells you when to get out of a stagnating trade
Rules To Follow
Examples
In Conclusion
In This Video
MA as a TS (Trailing Stop)
❏ Place the MA of your choice on the screen after you’ve taken your first profit
❏ Ride the trade until it closes the other way past the MA
Baseline Basics
❏ SMA
❏ EMA
❏ TEMA
❏ FRAMA
❏ VIDYA
❏ TMA/TRIMA
❏ McGinley Dynamic Indicator
❏ DEMA
❏ AMA
This baseline you are about to put together is going to become a big part of your overall identity
as a trend trader
Conclusion
In This Video
Algorithm
1) ATR
2) Baseline
3) Confirmation Indicator
4) Volume Indicator
5) 2nd Confirmation Indicator
6) Exit Indicator
❏ Enter when price crosses over and closes beyond your baseline
❏ The rest of your algorithm must allow it
❏ Exit once it crosses and closes the other way
Look At Both!
❏ You used to start with your confirmation indicator when looking at your charts
❏ Now you must start with your confirmation indicator AND your baseline
❏ The “One Candle Rule” does not apply to baselines (Episode 39 of podcast)
❏ You can wait for your other indicators to catch up if they need to
❏ Will discuss further next week
Conclusion
❏ Know the rules, and get comfortable testing with those rules in mind
❏ A good baseline will add wins, eliminate losses, and mitigate losses
❏ More baseline excitement in the next two videos
VIDEO- Pullback In Forex- Don’t Get Crazy Here
In This Video
Please know
❏ News
❏ Big Banks stop-hunting
❏ Price is actually going that way
❏ This only applies when price, in one candle, has shot way past your baseline
❏ Do not enter if price has travelled more than 1xATR beyond it
❏ Wait for a pullback (one candle rule)
If, Then
❏ If you are just waiting for your indicators to catch up, and when they do, price is more
than 1xATR
❏ Do not trade. Do not wait for pullback. Abort
Avoid Pullback-itis!!
Conclusion
In This Video
Remember
❏ If your exit indicator OR your confirmation indicator flips the other way, you exit the trade
❏ You are not necessarily done here
❏ Price must never have crossed the other way on our baseline
❏ Money management is the same as it always is
Conclusion
In This Video
Rules Of Entry
❏ When the Tenkan crosses the Kijun upward when price is over the cloud, you go long
❏ When the Tenkan crosses the Kijun downward when price is below the cloud, you go
short
Money Management
❏ Always have a stop loss to prevent losing trades from killing your account
❏ On winning trades, stay in the trade until price crosses and closes the other way across
the Tenkan
Chikou Span
Conclusion
In This Video
❏ Quick review
❏ Take apart the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
❏ Find which pieces work best
Quick Review
Kijun-Sen FTW!
❏ Fantastic baseline
❏ Do not adjust the settings
❏ Follow the instruction of the baseline video at NNFX
❏ Constantly look to improve on this
Conclusion
The Big 3
1) Money Management
2) Trade Psychology
3) Trade Entries
ATR
❏ The ATR tells you how many pips the currency pair has moved, on average, in the past x
amount of candles
❏ Default setting= 14
❏ Keep the default setting
❏ How much are you trading per pip?
Pip Value
You Want To
Let’s Compare
EUR/GBP GBP/NZD
Be Prepared
In This Video
❏ No set risk
❏ Wildly increase/decrease depending on bad reasoning
❏ Feel the need to increase risk after their account goes way down
If/Then
❏ $50k to $40k- 25% return to breakeven (“You are not Warren Buffet!”)
❏ $50k to $25k- 100% return to breakeven= Reckless trading!
❏ There is also a danger of trading to timidly
❏ “Fortune favours the bold. Nothing favours the timid”
I’m So...So...Scared!
Understand
❏ The most successful people in the world take lots of risks. The difference is, they know
how to MINIMISE THE RISK BETTER THAN EVERYONE ELSE
Rules- 2%
❏ Find out what 2% of your account is. Call this your ‘RISK’
❏ Figure out 1.5x ATR of the currency pair
❏ Risk/1.5 ATR= pip value
Good News
How To Over-Leverage
❏ Go with the first trade entry for that currency and ride it
OR
❏ Go half/half (1% and 1%) (APPROACH WITH CAUTION)
OR
❏ Go half-risk, and leave the door open for another trade (this is a timid approach!)
In Conclusion
The Aim
Common Ratios
❏ 2:1
❏ 3:1 (Not recommended)
❏ TP is 2 or 3 x SL (“It’s a bad mistake always”)
Big Mistakes
Also Know
Conclusion
1) Zero Cross
2) Two Lines Cross
3) Chart Indicators
Heikin Ashi
❏ Very simple
❏ White means long, red means short
❏ Filters out the noise
❏ Cannot change the settings
Do Not!
Do This Instead
Understand
Scaling Out
❏ Why you should not be a dumbass and scale out of your winners every time
Wise Up
How To Enter
❏ Move your SL to BE
❏ Celebrate!
❏ Use your other tools to let the trade run (Heikin Ashi, Exit Indicators, Trailing Stops etc.)
Conclusion
Initiative
❏ Dictionary definition: “The power or opportunity to act or take charge before others do
❏ Quick definition- “Having Balls!”
Real Fear
Understand
3 Times It Is Needed
1) Getting started
2) Transitioning to real money
3) Transitioning to OPM (Other Peoples’ Money)
VIDEO- Forex Trading Discipline- You Have No Choice Here
What We Do
In This Video
1) Initiative
2) Discipline
3) Patience
Unpopular
For Realz
OPM Playbook
❏ Demo trade a system until you find one that works great (10-15% return)
❏ Get a good year’s worth of results
❏ Optional- do this with a small real-money account
❏ Shop the results to people with money
Trade For a Company
Conclusion
❏ Congrats!
❏ Y’all come back (to this video)
❏ Embrace the Long Game
❏ Do the things you have to do to make it in this game
VIDEO- Forex trading Psychology- How To Screw Up Winning Trades
In This Video
So Simple
❏ Real Money
❏ OPM
❏ AFM
❏ Trading Job
Micro
In This Video
Testing Is Crucial
When Backtesting…
Psychology Of Losing
❏ LONG GAME
❏ Most of your wins are just there to cushion the losses
❏ Do not change anything (to your tested system) if you’re losing
❏ Take it like a man- absorb them and move on
Power Through It
For Realz
In Conclusion
As Always