Probability Cum.

Probability Y
0.20 - 0.20 10
0.55 0.21 0.75 20
0.25 0.76 1.00 28

Total cost Total

# Rand #1 Rand #2 Units sold Total Cost Profit/Loss
per unit Revenue
1 0.092072658 0.54729 1,228 19.09 24,552 23,438 1,115
2 0.22058596 0.0862309 1,266 19.22 12,662 24,337 (11,675)
3 0.878206867 0.7933734 1,463 19.88 40,977 29,091 11,886
4 0.35789835 0.6428911 1,307 19.36 26,147 25,308 839
5 0.754100752 0.1053864 1,426 19.75 14,262 28,174 (13,912)
6 0.770624219 0.7281783 1,431 19.77 28,624 28,295 328
7 0.108539677 0.198459 1,233 19.11 12,326 23,552 (11,227)
8 0.108434638 0.2731772 1,233 19.11 24,651 23,552 1,099
9 0.574523869 0.4857074 1,372 19.57 27,447 26,863 584
10 0.942787594 0.3786777 1,483 19.94 29,657 29,572 85
11 0.781709312 0.6563923 1,435 19.78 28,690 28,377 313
12 0.658373268 0.7043555 1,398 19.66 27,950 27,473 477
13 0.486395175 0.3036839 1,346 19.49 26,918 26,227 691
14 0.535825094 0.906889 1,361 19.54 38,101 26,583 11,518
15 0.606864078 0.8584482 1,382 19.61 38,698 27,098 11,600
16 0.795444692 0.4292414 1,439 19.80 28,773 28,478 294
17 0.635722727 0.7747933 1,391 19.64 38,940 27,308 11,632
18 0.761773181 0.5626317 1,429 19.76 28,571 28,230 340
19 0.962387411 0.5957908 1,489 19.96 29,774 29,718 56
20 0.567041637 0.419389 1,370 19.57 27,402 26,809 593
21 0.628816676 0.4119574 1,389 19.63 27,773 27,257 515
22 0.251142119 0.8921788 1,275 19.25 35,710 24,552 11,158
23 0.796170315 0.2769664 1,439 19.80 28,777 28,484 293
24 0.546238742 0.7977787 1,364 19.55 38,188 26,659 11,530
25 0.870748459 0.281831 1,461 19.87 29,224 29,036 189
26 0.133360731 0.360385 1,240 19.13 24,800 23,726 1,075
27 0.027607275 0.2789711 1,208 19.03 24,166 22,991 1,175
28 0.567004464 0.4747184 1,370 19.57 27,402 26,809 593
29 0.46405208 0.6674355 1,339 19.46 26,784 26,067 718
30 0.490051005 0.3227146 1,347 19.49 26,940 26,253 687
31 0.090059466 0.2631678 1,227 19.09 24,540 23,424 1,117
32 0.330943711 0.4054473 1,299 19.33 25,986 25,116 869
33 0.365560966 0.000284 1,310 19.37 13,097 25,362 (12,266)
34 0.329718747 0.2017102 1,299 19.33 12,989 25,108 (12,119)
35 0.355514384 0.8559254 1,307 19.36 36,586 25,291 11,295
36 0.751889682 0.0753001 1,426 19.75 14,256 28,158 (13,902)
37 0.515113948 0.3511279 1,355 19.52 27,091 26,434 657
38 0.613880655 0.5323293 1,384 19.61 27,683 27,149 534
39 0.38282081 0.8672567 1,315 19.38 36,816 25,485 11,330
40 0.98339457 0.9990618 1,495 19.98 41,861 29,876 11,985
41 0.257899954 0.6346626 1,277 19.26 25,547 24,599 948
42 0.382771002 0.8682549 1,315 19.38 36,815 25,485 11,330
43 0.247390494 0.2160403 1,274 19.25 25,484 24,525 959
44 0.953232 0.3041541 1,486 19.95 29,719 29,650 69
45 0.523627657 0.8746085 1,357 19.52 37,998 26,495 11,503
46 0.566627221 0.6842498 1,370 19.57 27,400 26,806 594
47 0.826308485 0.5306102 1,448 19.83 28,958 28,706 251
48 0.664885317 0.8547009 1,399 19.66 39,185 27,520 11,665
49 0.177549801 0.8674994 1,253 19.18 35,091 24,035 11,057
50 0.286765622 0.2371026 1,286 19.29 25,721 24,803 917
51 0.251476365 0.6786891 1,275 19.25 25,509 24,554 955
52 0.155429843 0.8828138 1,247 19.16 34,906 23,880 11,026
53 0.414877068 0.0831406 1,324 19.41 13,245 25,714 (12,470)
54 0.103193937 0.6179384 1,231 19.10 24,619 23,515 1,104
55 0.400643604 0.6130773 1,320 19.40 26,404 25,613 791
56 0.387754398 0.1579031 1,316 19.39 13,163 25,521 (12,357)
57 0.802462981 0.4915565 1,441 19.80 28,815 28,530 285
58 0.965903591 0.920319 1,490 19.97 41,714 29,745 11,969
59 0.144371026 0.8472364 1,243 19.14 34,813 23,802 11,010
60 0.789873919 0.4767316 1,437 19.79 28,739 28,437 302
61 0.931655702 0.8213859 1,479 19.93 41,426 29,489 11,937
62 0.745332825 0.9561924 1,424 19.75 39,861 28,109 11,751
63 0.658373268 0.9024209 1,398 19.66 39,130 27,473 11,658
64 0.090148752 0.8856429 1,227 19.09 34,357 23,424 10,933
65 0.78212072 0.3332123 1,435 19.78 28,693 28,380 313
66 0.266437931 0.8054334 1,280 19.27 35,838 24,660 11,178
67 0.649615601 0.2532774 1,395 19.65 27,898 27,409 489
68 0.953924116 0.1451236 1,486 19.95 14,862 29,655 (14,793)
69 0.842343386 0.9378195 1,453 19.84 40,676 28,825 11,851
70 0.879859104 0.7986855 1,464 19.88 40,991 29,103 11,888
71 0.403059185 0.0217904 1,321 19.40 13,209 25,630 (12,421)
72 0.423993343 0.8685646 1,327 19.42 37,162 25,779 11,382
73 0.985438506 0.5823587 1,496 19.99 29,913 29,891 22
74 0.171573196 0.2438046 1,251 19.17 25,029 23,993 1,037
75 0.529978855 0.6812246 1,359 19.53 27,180 26,541 639
76 0.433945918 0.4192088 1,330 19.43 26,604 25,851 753
77 0.737563758 0.9784235 1,421 19.74 39,796 28,052 11,743
78 0.769746335 0.9804872 1,431 19.77 40,066 28,289 11,777
79 0.247306817 0.4840462 1,274 19.25 25,484 24,525 959
80 0.297483512 0.3040304 1,289 19.30 25,785 24,879 906
81 0.763026025 0.8926449 1,429 19.76 40,009 28,240 11,770
82 0.633904551 0.8818126 1,390 19.63 38,925 27,294 11,630
83 0.315358938 0.0275478 1,295 19.32 12,946 25,006 (12,060)
84 0.235684499 0.1134616 1,271 19.24 12,707 24,443 (11,736)
85 0.329718747 0.8804462 1,299 19.33 36,370 25,108 11,262
86 0.84748837 0.2924134 1,454 19.85 29,085 28,863 222
87 0.692625794 0.5472333 1,408 19.69 28,156 27,723 433
88 0.449497185 0.4102895 1,335 19.45 26,697 25,962 735
89 0.805585766 0.607369 1,442 19.81 28,834 28,553 280
90 0.532692015 0.1962219 1,360 19.53 13,598 26,561 (12,963)
91 0.723161564 0.5112042 1,417 19.72 28,339 27,947 392
92 0.478904269 0.0412381 1,344 19.48 13,437 26,173 (12,737)
93 0.394086617 0.196126 1,318 19.39 13,182 25,566 (12,384)
94 0.283256743 0.5123471 1,285 19.28 25,700 24,779 921
95 0.268861396 0.2853232 1,281 19.27 25,613 24,677 936
96 0.600609835 0.62614 1,380 19.60 27,604 27,052 551
97 0.457248928 0.3559828 1,337 19.46 26,743 26,018 726
98 0.561735284 0.5064585 1,369 19.56 27,370 26,771 600
99 0.332876351 0.2025525 1,300 19.33 12,999 25,130 (12,131)
100 0.656814664 0.3640674 1,397 19.66 27,941 27,461 479
Probability of loss: 16%
85% confidence interval for profit 124.93 3,213.24
Probability of $6000 profit 29%

n 100
mean 1,669.08
Standard dev. 7,878.34