COMSATS University Islamabad, Wah Campus

Terminal Examinations Spring 2020

Department of Mathematics

Program/Class: BSE/BCS/BME Date: 20/08/2020

Subject: Statistics and Probability Theory Instructor: Maryam Murtaza
Total Time Allowed: 5 Hrs. Maximum Marks: 50
Name: _______________________________ Registration#:
_______________________________

NOTE:
The following instruction MUST be followed in Online Final Exam SP2020, (PLEASE
READ CAREFULLY).
1. Solve all questions on A4 Blank sheets in SAME ORDER as given in question
paper (COMPUTER TYPED SOLUTION WILL NOT BE ACCEPTABLE).
2. Write down Serial No., Reg No. and Student Name clearly on every sheet’s top
right: for example, in short as 1. FA18-BBA-786 Student Name respectively.
3. Make single PDF file of your answer sheet and rename containing Serial No., Reg
No. & Student Name for example as: 1. FA18-BBA-786 Student Name (Copy the
highlighted text as file name and change accordingly).
4. Upload the file “1. FA18-BBA-786 Student Name.pdf” at Cu-Online (assignment
section) within given time on your question paper.
5. Each and every question is self-explanatory, so please read all question carefully
and give answers as required.
6. The actual time of paper will be 3 hours but I will give 5 hours (2 hours extra for
uploading), so no excuse will be accepted about uploading, hence manage your time
and resolve your issues before exam accordingly.

It is humble reminder that no tolerance will be shown regarding above instructions.

Q1: CLO2, PLO2, C3

Attached is the data for AGE (Y) and Height (X) of 150 children from the CD of the book
Fundamentals of Biostatistics by Rosner (2015). The average age is 7.44 and average height is
56.91 whereas variation in variable AGE is 2.10 and variation in variable Height is 18.62. The
covariation between both variables 13.32. Use the concept of measure of central tendency and
measure of dispersion to solve the following parts:

a) Suppose a constant 5 is added to each observation of the variable AGE and a constant 2.2
is added to each observation in variable Height. What would be new mean and variance of
both variables? (2.5)
b) Suppose a constant 2 is multiplied to each observation of the variable AGE and a constant
1.2 is multiplied to each observation in variable Height. What would be new mean and
variance of both variables? (2.5)
c) Suppose each observation in both variables increased by 10%, what would be the effect on
mean and variance of both variables. (5)

Q2: CLO2, PLO2, C3

a) A group of friends decided to visit hill station (say H) in their vacations. To reach their
destination they can follow two routes. The first directly connects H to K, whereas the second
passes through G. Sometimes because of the weather conditions (snow falling), travelers
cannot travel between K and H. If there is a forecast of snow for the next day, one can assume
(on the basis of prior information) P(H) = 0.6, P( K) = 0.7, P(G) = 0.4, P(G|K) = 0.5 and P(H
| GՈK) = 0.4. Use the concepts of probability to find out the probability:
i. That the traveler will be able to reach K from H? (2)
ii. That the traveler will be able to drive from H to K by way of G? (2)
iii. Which route should be taken in order to maximize his chance to reach K? (2)

b) Harry will miss an important talk show on TV while attending a workshop in university, so he
sets two devices to record it. The first one records 70% of the time, and the second one records
60% of the time. Use the concepts of probability to find out the probability that he gets home
after the workshop and finds:
 i. No copies of his program? (2)
ii. One copy of his program? (2)

Q3: CLO2, PLO2, C3

a) A Cumulative Distribution function of a random variable is given

Use the concept of random variable and its probability density function to find:
i. Find E(X) (2.5)
ii. Find P(X<0.4). (2.5)

b) A coaching academy divides its students into 2 groups. Forty percent of students
are in the high caliber group, and sixty percent are in the low caliber group. The high caliber
Students make an average of 1 mistake in final exam while the low caliber make an average of
4 mistakes in final exam. Ronaldo had made no mistake in last year final exam. Use the suitable
probability distribution function to find the probability that he is a high caliber student?
(5)

Q4: CLO2, PLO2, C3

a) The mean life of stockings used by an army was 30 days, with a standard deviation of 5
days. Assume the life of the stockings follows a normal distribution. If 100,000 pairs are
issued, use the unit normal distribution area table to find that how many would need
replacement before 35 days? (4)
b) Let X be normally distributed with mean µ and standard deviation . So that P(X ≤ 45) =
0.90 and P(X ≥ 84) = 0.05. Use the unit normal distribution area table to find µ and .
(2)
c) An engineer is designing the interior doors in a shopping mall. He wants to make high
enough so that 85 percent of the people using the doors will have at least a one foot
clearance. Assuming that the heights will be normally distributed, with a mean of 70 inches
and a standard deviation of 3 inches, use the unit normal distribution area table to find how
high the engineer must make the doors? (4)

Q 5: (CLO1-PLO1-C2)

For the attached data, regress the variable AGE on HEIGHT, find and report the estimates
by using method of least square. Report the correlation between both variables and also
interpret it. (10)
DATA

AGE HEIGHT AGE HEIGHT

9 57 7 56
8 67.5 5 53
7 54.5 5 51
9 53 9 69
9 57 6 53
8 61 7 57
6 58 6 53
6 56 8 63
8 58.5 8 54.5
9 60 7 58
6 53 8 63
8 54 7 52
8 58.5 9 61.5
8 60.5 5 52.5
8 58 9 62
7 53 9 61.5
5 50 9 64.5
6 53 7 57.5
9 59 8 60
9 61.5 8 60
5 49 9 61
5 52.5 9 58
4 48 9 61.5
7 62.5 7 55
9 65 8 55
3 51.5 8 52
9 60 7 54
5 52 9 63
8 60 4 47
9 60 9 60.5
5 49 6 56
9 65.5 8 58.5
8 60 6 55
7 57.5 7 58.5
5 52 7 51
8 59 8 59.5
9 59 7 54
8 55 7 58
8 57 7 58
 8 57 7 52.5
9 60 8 60.5
8 59 7 54.5
5 51 5 46.5
8 57 8 56.5
5 50 7 55
9 57 9 57
AGE HEIGHT AGE HEIGHT
8 52.5 7 54
6 55 6 53
8 60.5 8 57
5 54.5 8 59
9 61.5 8 55
9 62 9 55.5
8 54.5 7 51.5
6 54 8 61
9 57 9 63.5
9 62.5 8 57.5
7 60 8 53
4 50 9 56.5
8 57.5 8 54
8 60 6 52
8 60 6 53
6 51 8 61.5
4 49 9 58.5
8 59 5 52
6 57.5 7 58
9 58 9 61
7 55.5 6 51
5 52 9 62
9 60.5 9 64.5
8 57 9 58.5
8 58 6 52.5
9 60 8 58
9 59 9 66
9 59.5 8 63.5