PROBABILITY MARK SCHEME

1. (a) 8/19 or 0.421 2

M1 their prime number count/19
(b) 7/18 or 0.389 1√
[3]

2. (i) 12 B1
(ii) 3 B1
(iii) 21 B1
(iv) 2 B1
14
(v) 24 o.e B1
Accept probabilities as fractions/decimals/%
12
(vi) 19 o.e. B1
[6]

12 11
3. (i) 22 21 M1
132
462 o.e. (0.286) A1
2/7 in simplest form www2
10 12
(ii) 22 21 M1
10 12
their 22 21 × 2 o.e. M1
240
462 o.e.(0.519) A1
40/77 in simplest form www3
[5]

4. (i) 6 B1
(ii) 4.5 B1
(iii) (1 × 1 + 2 × 2 + 4 × 3 + 7 × 4 + 4 × 5 +
8 × 6 + 2 × 7) (127) M1
Allow 1 slip
÷ 28 M1dep
st
dep on 1 M1
4.54 A1
www 3 4.53571…

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 4  3
(iv) 28 27 M1
Accept all probabilities as fracts/dec/%
–1 once for words or 2 sf, do not accept
ratios i.s. cancelling after correct answer.
1
63 o.e. A1
12
www2 e.g. ( 756 , 0.0159 etc)

4  3
(v) 21 20 M1
1
35 o.e. A1
12
www2 e.g. ( 420 , 0.0286 etc)
24  23  4
(vi) 28 27 26 M1
92
819 o.e. A1
2208
www2 e.g. ( 19656 , 0.112)
[11]

3 21
5. (i) 10 9 8 M1
1
120 o.e. www2 A1
6 ,
720 etc., 0.00833(3…)
119
(ii) 120 o.e. B1ft
714
720 , etc., 0.991(6…) ft 1 – their (i) not
for 7/10
Could start again and have a correct
answer independently
[3]

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6. Throughout the question ratios score zero.
If using decimals, 2 s.f. correct answers to
parts (c) and (d) – penalty of 1 once
Use of words e.g. 1 in 400 or 1 out of 400,
Correct answers – penalty of one
For method marks only accept
probabilities p and q between 0 and 1
1 19
(a) p= 20 , q = 20 o.e. B1
Could be on diagram
1
(b) (i) 400 o.e. c.a.o. B2
2
0.0025 allow M1 for (their p) o.e.
38
(ii) 400 o.e. c.a.o. B2
0.095 allow M1 for 2 (their p)(their q) o.e.
38
(c) 8000 o.e. c.a.o. B2
2
0.00475 allow M1 for 2(their p) (their q)
o.e.
including their (ii) × their p
(d) their (b)(i) + their (c) M1
58
8000 o.e. c.a.o. A1
0.00725
(e) their (d) × 1000 = 7.25 o.e. ft B1 ft
Accept 7 or 8 or an equivalent integer ft
[10]

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7. Accept all probability answers as fractions (non-reduced or reduced),
decimals or percentages.
–1 once for 2 sf answers or correct words.
Condone numerical errors in simplifying or converting after correct
answers seen.
Ratio answers score zero throughout.
1,3,6,2
(i) 3 8 8 8 o.e. B3
–1 each error bod if no letters given
25
(ii) 3 8 M1
5
12 o.e. www2 A1
10
24 , etc., 0.416(6…)

5 16
(iii) their 12 3 8 M1
2
3 o.e. c.a.o www2 A1
16 , 8 ,
24 12 etc., 0.666(6….)
[7]

8. (i) 0.08 o.e. B1

(ii) 0.9 × 0.05 M1

their (b)(i) + 0.9 × 0.05 M1dep
st
dep on 1 M1
0.125 o.e. A1
www3
(iii) 7 B1 ft
their (ii) × 56 either correct to 3sf or better or
r.o.t.
[5]

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