Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
LV1
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how INTERESTED are you in
this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?
==GENDER==
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
4 26 7 5 1 10 2 2 10 10 4 11 15 20 3 4 8 8 5 10 7 9
3% 4% 3% 1% 5% 1% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 4% 1% 2% 2% 6%
df t
5 82 23 11 6 14 28 11 25 26 21 40 42 72 10 14 15 25 24 32 25 25
9% 11% 7% 5% 7% 12% 14% 10% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 10% 12% 6% 8% 7% 16%
cd R ST
6 128 41 18 12 26 31 12 42 52 23 61 67 108 18 27 16 30 55 49 55 24
14% 20% 11% 11% 14% 13% 16% 17% 15% 9% 14% 14% 14% 15% 16% 11% 15% 15% 12% 16% 15%
Cd J j
7=Extremely interested 637 131 120 86 136 164 47 157 241 191 305 332 535 85 118 102 131
131 281 295 256 86
70% 63% 74% 76% 72% 70% 62% 63% 71% 80% 71% 69% 70% 70% 67% 70% 65% 74% 73% 73% 56%
b b H GHI q U U
Not sure 3 - 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 - - 3 3 0 3 - - 1 2 1 -
*% *% 1% *% 1% *% 1% *% 1% *% *% 2% *% 1% *%
LV1
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how INTERESTED are you in
this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
TOP TWO RATINGS 766 172 138 98 162 196 59 199 293 214 366 400 643 104 145 118 161
161 337 344 312 110
84% 83% 85% 86% 85% 83% 77% 79% 86% 89% 85% 83% 84% 85% 82% 81% 80% 89% 85% 89% 71%
H gH pQ U U
LV1
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how INTERESTED are you in
this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?
6 128 29 72 27 55 53 10 8 38 29 31 29 69 48 47 28
14% 15% 15% 11% 15% 13% 17% 13% 17% 11% 14% 12% 16% 16% 15% 11%
7=Extremely interested 637 140 321 176 258 277 40 45 150 181 154 171 312 218 209 205
70% 70% 69% 72% 71% 70% 65% 76% 67% 71% 68% 69% 71% 73% 65% 77%
r R
Not sure 3 1 1 1 - 3 - 0 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 -
*% *% *% 1% 1% *% 1% *% *% 1% *% *% *%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
TOP TWO RATINGS 766 170 393 204 313 330 51 53 189 210 185
185 200 381 266 256 233
84% 85% 84% 84% 86% 83% 81% 89% 84% 83% 82% 81% 87% 89% 79% 87%
o R R
LV1
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how INTERESTED are you in
this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?
6 128 66 46 68 35 8 18 3 19 65 30 9
14% 17% 10% 17% 10% 17% 17% 7% 17% 14% 15% 11%
C E H h
7=Extremely interested 637 278 336 270 279 26 60 36 78 335 135 50
70% 70% 76% 69% 77% 57% 56% 89% 72% 70% 68% 65%
D IJKL
Not sure 3 1 1 1 1 - 1 - - 1 - 2
*% *% *% *% *% 1% *% 3%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - -
LV1
INTERESTED
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how INTERESTED are you in
this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?
LV2
How LIKELY is it that you will ACTUALLY VOTE in November's Presidential election? Would you say you are...
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Very likely 822 189 146 103 173 211 62 214 319 228 385 437 696 108 156 128 183
183 347 366 327 129
90% 91% 89% 91% 91% 90% 80% 85% 93% 95% 90% 91% 91% 88% 89% 89% 91% 92% 91% 93% 84%
GH GH U U
Somewhat likely 66 17 14 3 16 17 9 26 20 12 35 31 53 9 13 12 15 26 26 22 18
7% 8% 8% 2% 8% 7% 12% 10% 6% 5% 8% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 11%
d d d IJ st
Not likely 10 1 1 6 - 2 3 6 - - 6 4 4 5 1 3 2 3 7 1 1
1% *% *% 5% 1% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% *% 1%
bc t
Not at all likely 10 0 3 1 2 4 2 5 3 - 2 8 9 1 5 1 1 3 4 1 5
1% *% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% *% 3%
T
Not sure 2 0 - - - 1 - 0 1 - 1 0 2 - 1 0 - - - 1 0
*% *% 1% *% *% *% *% *% 1% *% *% *%
Refused
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LV2
How LIKELY is it that you will ACTUALLY
ACTUALLY VOTE in November's Presidential election? Would you say you are...
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Very likely 822 176 426 220 330 367 57 51 203 232 199 223 400 274 290 247
90% 88% 91% 90% 90% 92% 91% 86% 91% 91% 88% 90% 92% 92% 90% 92%
Somewhat likely 66 17 33 16 30 23 4 5 16 15 16 17 33 20 27 14
7% 9% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 5%
Not likely 10 4 5 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 5 1 3 1 2
1% 2% 1% *% 1% *% 3% 5% 1% 1% 1% 2% *% 1% *% 1%
Not at all likely 10 3 3 5 2 6 0 1 3 5 6 3 1 2 4 4
1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% *% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% *% 1% 1% 1%
Not sure 2 - - 2 1 0 - - 0 - 1 - 0 - 2 -
*% 1% *% *% *% 1% *% 1%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LV2
How LIKELY is it that you will ACTUALLY VOTE in November's Presidential election? Would you say you are...
LV3
How OFTEN would you say you TYPICALLY vote in Presidential elections?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Always
Always 611 133 108 74 144 153 31 151 236 193 287 324 519 83 93 95 147 269 285 241 85
67% 64% 66% 65% 76% 65% 41% 60% 69% 81% 67% 68% 68% 68% 53% 66% 73% 71% 71% 68% 55%
BcF G GH GHI o O O U U
Nearly always 163 44 28 19 26 47
47 13 52 59 39 77 86 141 18 42 28 29 64 66 65 32
18% 21% 17% 17% 14% 20% 17% 21% 17% 16% 18% 18% 18% 15% 24% 19% 14% 17% 16% 19% 21%
e q
Some of the time 50 19 6 3 10 12 5 21 21 3 24 26 41 7 16 6 9 19 16 23 11
5% 9% 4% 2% 5% 5% 6% 8% 6% 1% 6% 5% 5% 6% 9% 4% 4% 5% 4% 7% 7%
cD J J
Seldom 43 8 10 8 5 12 2 14 21 5 20 23 38 3 11 9 9 14 20 12 10
5% 4% 6% 7% 2% 5% 3% 6% 6% 2% 5% 5% 5% 2% 7% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 7%
J J
Never 2 - 2 - - 1 1 1 - - 1 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 - - 2
*% 1% *% 1% 1% *% *% *% *% 1% *% *% *% 1%
LV3
How OFTEN would you say you TYPICALLY vote in Presidential elections?
Seldom 43 15 18 10 18 19 - 3 10 13 24 9 11 11 19 12
5% 7% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 10% 3% 2% 4% 6% 4%
OP
Never 2 0 - 2 1 2 - 0 2 - 2 1 - - 2 -
*% *% 1% *% *% *% 1% 1% *% 1%
Is this your first time
time 39 11 19 9 12 12 6 4 15 3 13 20 5 9 10 17
voting 4% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 10% 7% 7% 1% 6% 8% 1% 3% 3% 6%
M p P q
Not sure 1 - 1 0 - 0 0 - 1 - 0 0 1 - 0 1
*% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LV3
How OFTEN would you say you TYPICALLY vote in Presidential elections?
Seldom 43 18 21 12 7 0 24 1 3 16 16 6
5% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% 22% 3% 3% 3% 8% 8%
ij
Never 2 2 - - - - 2 - - 0 2 1
*% 1% 2% *% 1% 1%
H3A(REGISTERED)
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote?
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
( S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Donald Trump, the 396 106 84 22 75 109 14 107 177 99 230 166 370 21 65 65 81 178 38 306 52
Republican 43.6% 51.5% 51.5% 19.3% 39.1% 46.6% 17.8% 42.8% 51.6% 41.2% 53.6% 34.6% 48.4% 17.6% 36.9% 44.9% 40.6% 47.1% 9.5% 87.1% 33.5%
DE DE D D G GHj G L N o SU S
Joe Biden, the Democrat 444 83 71 81 108 101 54 126 137 126 165 279 342 88 99 66 105 173 346 24 74
48.9% 40.2% 43.3% 71.4% 56.9% 43.1% 70.9% 50.4% 40.2% 52.7% 38.5% 58.2% 44.8% 72.4% 56.2% 45.4% 52.1% 45.7% 85.8% 6.9% 48.0%
BCEF BCF HIJ I I K M r TU T
Other 14 3 3 2 0 5 3 5 3 4 10 4 11 3 5 2 1 6 4 2 8
1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.5% 0.3% 2.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 0.9% 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.6% 5.4%
e ST
Not sure 53 13 5 9 7 19 6 12 25 11 24 29 40 9 7 12 12 21 15 18 20
5.8% 6.2% 3.2% 7.8% 3.8% 8.0% 7.5% 4.7% 7.2% 4.5% 5.5% 6.1% 5.2% 7.2% 4.0% 8.4% 6.1% 5.5% 3.7% 5.1% 13.1%
ce ST
H3A(REGISTERED)
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote?
(REGISTERED
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)
H3A(REGISTERED)
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote?
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)
Not sure 53 - - 26 12 9 7 2 8 30 11 1
5.8% 6.5% 3.3% 18.4% 6.8% 5.2% 7.3% 6.2% 5.4% 1.7%
e
Prefer not to answer 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 0 -
0.1% 0.2% *% 0.2% *%
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP 5.3% -100.0% 100.0% -78.6% 88.7% 25.0% 21.0% -47.4% -5.8% 5.8% 12.8% 16.6%
H3A(LIKELY)
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote? (LIKELY
VOTERS SAMPLE)
SAMPLE)
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- HIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M)
(M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 176 142 97 176 202 66 196 302 228 373 420 670 106 144 125 181
181 334 350 322 121
100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 161 150 85 172 206 52 317 284 121 395 379 670 87 112 103 167
167 383 305 310 145
Donald
Donald Trump, the 354 92 73 21 69 98 11 85 161 97 206 148 331 19 55 57 73 162 33 280 41
Republican 18.4%
44.7% 52.5% 51.5% 21.8% 39.6% 48.5% 16.8% 43.2% 53.3% 42.6% 55.3% 35.2% 49.3% 18.4% 38.1% 45.7% 40.6% 48.5% 9.3% 87.1% 34.1%
DE De D D G GHj G L N o SU S
Joe Biden, the Democrat 394 73 63 70 101 87 51 101 123 119 145 249 304 79 82 60 95 155 309 23 62
49.7% 41.5% 43.9% 71.8% 57.8% 43.2% 77.5% 51.5% 40.6% 52.1% 38.8% 59.4% 45.3% 74.9% 57.0% 47.8% 52.7% 46.4% 88.2% 7.3% 50.9%
BCeF BCF HIJ I I K M r TU T
Other 10 3 2 1 - 4 1 4 1 4 8 2 8 2 4 0 1 5 2 2 5
1.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7% 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 0.3% 1.6% 2.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% *% 0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.7% 4.3%
i st
Not sure 34 6 5 6 5 13 2 7 17 8 14 20 27 5 4 8 10 13 6 15 13
4.3% 3.5% 3.4% 5.7% 2.6% 6.3% 3.5% 3.4% 5.5% 3.7% 3.8% 4.7% 4.0% 5.2% 2.4% 6.5% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 4.6% 10.7%
s ST
Prefer not to answer 1 1 - 0 0 - 0 - 1 - 0 1 1 - - - 1 0 0 1 -
0.1% 0.5% 0.1% *% *% 0.3% *% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% *% *% 0.3%
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP 5.0% -11% -7.6% 50.0% 18.2% -5.3% 60.6% 8.3% -13% 9.5% -17% 24.1% -4.0% 56.6% 18.9% 2.1% 12.1% -2.1% 78.9% -80% 16.8%
H3A(LIKELY)
If the presidential election
election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote? (LIKELY
VOTERS SAMPLE)
H3A(LIKELY)
for
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote? (LIKELY
VOTERS SAMPLE)
H3B
Who do you LEAN toward? (LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
SAMPLE)
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS WHO 34 6 5 6 5 13 2 7 17 8 14 20 27 5 4 8 10 13 6 15 13
ARE NOT SURE 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 40 9 7 5 5 14 4 13 17 6 14 26 32 7 6 9 12 13 7 14 14
Donald Trump, the 13 2 - 3 2 5 1 1 6 5 8 5 13 - - 2 5 6 1 11 1
Republican 37.5% 25.9% 56.4% 54.0% 43.5% 42.5% 15.8% 37.0% 54.3% 54.2% 25.6% 47.0% 22.7% 53.3% 45.4% 13.6% 72.1% 9.7%
l SU
Joe Biden, the
the Democrat 6 1 1 2 1 1 - 3 2 1 2 4 5 2 - 3 1 2 5 - 1
18.7% 23.9% 15.7% 29.3% 22.3% 11.3% 46.8% 10.8% 17.0% 15.2% 21.1% 17.4% 29.7% 36.8% 15.4% 14.6% 77.3% 11.5%
I U
Other 2 1 2 - - - 1 1 - - 1 2 1 1 1 - 0 1 1 - 2
6.8% 9.2% 35.2% 56.9% 14.5% 4.0% 8.7% 3.6% 24.3% 38.0% 4.0% 4.5% 9.1% 13.4%
Not sure 13 3 2 1 1 6 0 2 9 2 4 9 9 3 2 3 3 4 - 4 8
37.1% 41.0% 49.1% 14.3% 23.7% 45.3% 0.5% 22.9% 52.2% 28.6% 26.5% 44.6% 32.1% 46.0% 62.0% 40.6% 27.2% 35.4% 27.9% 65.4%
t
Prefer not to answer - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -19% -2.0% 15.7% -27% -32% -32% -43% 31.0% -26% -37% -39% -4.4% -30% 29.7% - 14.1% -38% -31% 63.6% -72% 1.8%
H3B
Who do you LEAN toward? (LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -19% -30% -32% 18.2% -43% -17% 17.5% 98.5% 20.8% -44% - -16% -22% -47% -23% -
H3B
Who do you LEAN toward? (LIKELY VOTERS
VOTERS SAMPLE)
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -18.8% - - -46.1% 45.9% -17.3% - 100.0% -49.0% -24.8% -13.2% -
H3CA
Do you support Donald Trump strongly or moderately?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE: Trump Voters 396 106 84 22 75 109 14 107 177 99 230 166 370 21 65 65 81 178 38 306 52
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 404 99 88 27 78 112 12 172 167 53 255 149 377 22 55 51 78 215
215 30 305 66
H3CA
Do you support Donald Trump strongly or moderately?
Not sure 2 1 - 2 - 2 - - 2 1 1 1 1 - 2 -
1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% *% 1%
Prefer not to answer 2 - 2 - 2 - - - - - - - 2 - - 2
*% 1% 1% 1%
1% 7%
H3CA
Do you support Donald Trump strongly or moderately?
H3CA
Do you support Joe Biden strongly or moderately?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP
REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
(L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE: Biden Voters 444 83 71 81 108 101 54 126 137 126 165 279 342 88 99 66 105
105 173 346 24 74
100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 423 78 74 64 102 105 39 195 125 64 171 252 340 69 73 58 96 192 310 20 88
H3CA
Do you support Joe Biden strongly or moderately?
H3CA
Do you support Joe Biden strongly or moderately?
H3D
How likely are you to change your current presidential vote preference by Election Day, November 3? ALL VOTERS
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O)
(O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 176 142 97 176 202 66 196 302 228 373 420 670 106 144 125 181
181 334 350 322 121
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 161 150 85 172 206 52 317 284 121 395 379 670 87 112 103 167
167 383 305 310 145
Very likely 53 11 4 17 9 11 7 27 16 3 48 5 37 14 10 6 5 32 11 37 4
7% 6% 3% 18% 5% 5% 11% 14% 5% 1% 13% 1% 6% 13% 7% 5% 3% 10% 3% 11% 3%
BCEF J IJ J L m pQ SU
Somewhat likely 37 9 4 4 9 10 4 12 9 12 25 12 28 8 9 2 10 16 10 19 8
5% 5% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 3% 5% 7% 3% 4% 7% 6% 1% 6% 5% 3% 6% 6%
i L s
Not very likely 76 22 14 8 19 12 6 16 36 18 37 39 68 7 14 14 17 32 22 35 19
10% 13% 10% 9% 11% 6% 9% 8% 12% 8% 10% 9% 10% 7% 9% 11% 9% 10% 6% 11% 16%
f s S
Not at all likely 583 125 113 61 128 156 47 130 219 187 244 339 505 68 106 95 137
137 237 296 212 76
74% 71% 79% 63% 73% 77% 71% 66% 73% 82% 66% 81% 75% 64% 74% 76% 76% 71% 85% 66% 63%
D D HI K n TU
Not sure 9 1 2 1 5 1 - 4 5 - 4 5 4 3 2 - 1 5 5 3 1
1% 1% 1% 1% 3% *% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
f
LIKELY 89 20 9 21 19 21 11 39 25 15 73 16 65 22 18 7 15 48 21 56 12
11% 11% 6% 22% 11% 10% 16% 20% 8% 6% 20% 4% 10% 20% 13% 6% 8% 14% 6% 17% 10%
bCef j IJ L M Pq SU
NOT LIKELY 660 148 127 70 147 168 53 147 255 205 282 378 572 75 119 109 154 269 318 247 95
83% 84% 89% 72% 84% 83% 80% 75% 84% 90% 76% 90% 85% 71% 83% 88% 85% 80% 91% 77% 79%
d D d d H H K N TU
H3D
How likely are you to change your current presidential vote preference by Election Day, November 3? ALL VOTERS
Not at all likely 583 101 312 171 217 288 43 25 160 178 145 172 266 193 186 200
74% 61% 76% 79% 68% 82% 76% 51% 81% 81% 78% 80% 68% 71% 68% 84%
E E H K P P QR
Not sure 9 1 6 2 1 3 2 1 1 3 1 3 5 1 3 5
1% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 2%
LIKELY 89 39 34 16 56 9 5 16 9 7 16 17 56 48 22 17
11% 23% 8% 8% 18% 3% 9% 33% 5% 3% 9% 8% 14% 18% 8% 7%
FG I J nO RS
NOT LIKELY 660 119 353 188 250 323 45 31 175 202 166 188 306 220 221 213
83% 71% 86% 87% 78% 92% 80% 62% 88% 92% 89% 87% 78%
78% 81% 81% 89%
E E H P P QR
H3D
How likely are you to change your current presidential vote preference by Election Day, November 3? ALL VOTERS
Not sure 9 3 5 4 3 2 - - 1 5 - 1
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 2%
LIKELY 89 57 29 63 19 3 4 23 15 27 17 7
11% 16% 7% 17% 6% 7% 9% 63% 15% 6% 10% 11%
C E IJKL J
NOT LIKELY 660 294 360 277 306 31 44 13 77 368 143 53
83% 83% 91% 76% 91% 75% 88% 34% 80% 88% 84% 85%
B D H Hi H H
H3E
presidential
Regardless of your candidate preference, who do you expect to win the presidential election in November?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Donald Trump 383 94 80 23 74 112 20 111 162 90 216 167 353 22 62 58 84 173 53 277 53
42% 45% 49% 21% 39% 48% 27% 44% 47% 38% 50% 35% 46% 18% 35% 40% 42% 46% 13% 79% 34%
D De D De G Gj L N O SU S
Joe Biden 349 64 55 71 79 80 41 98 106 103 150 199 262 76 87 54 74 130 260 36 52
38% 31% 34% 62% 42% 34% 53% 39% 31% 43% 35% 41% 34% 63% 50% 38% 37% 34% 65% 10% 34%
BCEF B hI I I k M pQR TU T
Not sure 177 49 28 19 37 43 15 42 74 46 64 113 149 24 27 32 42 75 90 39 49
20% 24% 17% 17% 20% 18% 20% 17% 22% 19% 15% 24% 19% 20% 15% 22% 21% 20% 22% 11% 32%
K T ST
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -4% -15% -16% 42% 3% -14% 27% -5% -16% 6% -15% 7% -12% 45% 15% -2% -5% -11% 51% -68% -1%
H3E
Regardless of your candidate preference, who do you expect to win the presidential election in November?
H3E
Regardless of your candidate preference,
preference, who do you expect to win the presidential election in November?
H3F
To the best of your knowledge, if the presidential election were held today, who do you believe most of your neighbors
would vote for?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437
437 355 345 190
Donald Trump 444 108 105 27 67 136 31 128 167 118 241 203 403 31 71 69 101 195 91 284 69
49% 52% 64% 24% 35% 58% 40% 51% 49% 49% 56% 42% 53% 25% 40% 47% 50% 52% 22% 81% 45%
DE BDE d DE L N O SU S
Joe Biden 294 55 27 69 83 60 41 89 102 63 121 173 205 81 75 36 65 117 216 35 43
32% 27% 17% 61% 43% 26% 54% 35% 30% 26% 28% 36% 27% 67% 43% 25% 32% 31% 53% 10% 28%
C BCEF BCF c HIJ j K M PqR TU T
H3F
To the best of your knowledge, if the presidential election were held today, who do you believe most of your neighbors
would vote for?
H3F
To the best of your knowledge, if the presidential election were held today, who do you believe most of your neighbors
would vote for?
I4
In today’s political environment, how comfortable are you with truthfully revealing to others whom you plan to vote for
in the presidential election in November?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE: REGISTERED 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total
Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355
355 345 190
Very comfortable 421 71 80 65 93 111 37 118 159 107 211 210 342 71 90 63 89 174 186 178 57
46% 34% 49% 58% 49% 47% 49% 47% 47% 45% 49% 44% 45% 58% 51% 44% 44% 46% 46% 50% 37%
B B B B M u U
I4
revealing
In today’s political environment, how comfortable are you with truthfully revealing to others whom you plan to vote for
in the presidential election in November?
====AREA TYPE====
TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====
SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE: REGISTERED 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Very comfortable 421 114 205 102 177 165 40 31 104 106 101 112 209 141 134 139
46% 57% 44% 42% 48% 41% 64% 53% 46% 42% 45% 45% 48% 47% 41% 52%
FG i R
Not sure 17 7 6 3 2 9 2 4 7 4 5 6 6 1 8 5
2% 4% 1% 1% *% 2% 3% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% *% 3% 2%
h Q Q
COMFORTABLE 679 169 335 175 282 287 54 42 171 178 176 183 320 229 225 213
75% 84% 72% 72% 77% 72% 87% 70% 76% 70% 78% 74% 73% 77% 70% 80%
FG k r R
NOT COMFORTABLE 213 25 124 65 81 103 6 13 46 72 44 58 110 70 89 49
23% 12% 27% 27% 22% 26% 10% 22% 21% 28% 20% 24% 25% 23% 28% 18%
E E S
I4
In today’s political environment, how comfortable are you with truthfully revealing to others whom you plan to vote for
in the presidential election in November?
Not sure 17 2 10 2 6 3 6 - 3 6 6 -
2% *% 2% *% 2% 6% 6% 3% 1% 3%
B
COMFORTABLE 679 304 343 288 280 30 79 38 82 349 138 64
75% 77% 77% 73% 77% 66% 74% 94% 76% 73% 70% 83%
IJKl k
I5
Donald
Please indicate the extent to which you AGREE or DISAGREE with the following statement: I personally agree with Donal d
Trump on a number of issues, though I am reluctant to admit this in public.
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE: REGISTERED 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378
378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126
126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Agree strongly 115 29 17 14 26 30 2 50 48 15 82 33 94 17 15 17 15 66 8 96 12
13% 14% 10% 13% 13% 13% 3% 20% 14% 6% 19% 7% 12% 14% 9% 12% 7% 17% 2% 27% 8%
GIJ GJ L OQ SU S
DISAGREE 617 121 118 89 128 161 59 152 228 178 260 357 506 95 136 100 144
144 230 356 158 103
68% 59% 72% 79% 67% 68% 77% 61% 66% 75% 60% 74% 66% 78% 77% 69% 72% 61% 88% 45% 67%
B Be b H H K M R R TU T
I5
personally
Please indicate the extent to which you AGREE or DISAGREE with the following statement: I personally agree with Donald
Trump on a number of issues, though I am reluctant to admit this in public.
Not sure 20 4 7 8 8 9 1 1 6 5 5 9 6 4 10 3
2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1%
DISAGREE 617 132 312 172 214 291 56 38 173 182 158 191 267 145 225 234
68% 66% 67% 71% 59% 73% 90% 64% 77% 72% 70% 77% 61%
61% 48% 70% 87%
H K P P Q QR
I5
Please indicate the extent to which you AGREE or DISAGREE with the following statement: I personally agree with Donald
Trump on a number of issues, though I am reluctant to admit this in public.
L1(REGISTERED)
law
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports la w enforcement and the rule of law? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Joe Biden 345 62 57 64 88 74 36 93 107 109 140 206 262 77 76 49 82 136 271 23 51
38.0% 29.9% 35.2% 56.3% 46.2% 31.5% 47.4% 37.0% 31.3% 45.5% 32.5% 42.9% 34.4% 63.2% 43.5% 33.9% 40.7% 36.0% 67.4% 6.5% 33.0%
BCF BcF I I K M TU T
Donald Trump 479 121 98 37 86 138 36 130 195 117 262 217 435 33 77 79 103
103 212 85 315 80
52.7% 58.4% 59.7% 32.9% 45.0% 58.7% 47.5% 51.9% 57.0% 49.1% 61.0% 45.3% 57.0% 27.0% 43.6% 54.9% 51.5% 56.1% 21.1% 89.4% 51.7%
DE DE d DE L N o O SU S
Not sure 85 24 8 12 17 23 4 28 40 13 28 57 66 12 23 16 16 30 47 14 24
9.3% 11.7% 5.2% 10.8% 8.8% 9.8% 5.1% 11.1% 11.7% 5.4% 6.4% 11.9% 8.6% 9.8% 12.9% 11.2% 7.8% 7.9% 11.6% 4.1% 15.3%
c J J K T T
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN 14.7% 28.4% 24.5% -23% -1.2% 27.2% 0.1% 14.9% 25.7% 3.6% 28.5% 2.4% 22.6% -36% 0.1% 21.1% 10.8% 20.1% -46% 82.9% 18.7%
L1(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)
L1(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential
presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)
L1(LIKELY)
rule
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 176 142 97 176 202 66 196 302 228 373 420 670 106 144 125 181 334 350 322 121
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 774 161 150 85 172 206 52 317 284 121 395 379 670 87 112 103 167 383
383 305 310 145
Not sure 60 16 6 10 13 15 2 18 29 10 21 39 46 10 13 9 14 23 32 10 17
7.5% 9.2% 4.3% 10.5% 7.2% 7.2% 3.8% 9.1% 9.6% 4.5% 5.5% 9.3% 6.9% 9.7% 9.4% 6.9% 7.7% 7.0% 9.2% 3.3% 14.0%
j j k T T
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN 14.8% 26.8% 28.1% -22% -1.4% 27.0% -0.4% 10.9% 27.2% 6.2% 29.3% 1.9% 23.1% -37% 0.1% 22.5% 8.0% 20.9% -48% 82.8% 16.3%
L1(LIKELY)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
Not sure 60 17 31 11 16 30 6 4 19 19 8 25 26 5 29 24
7.5% 10.3% 7.6% 5.3% 5.0% 8.6% 11.1% 8.0% 9.8% 8.6% 4.6% 11.6% 6.7% 1.8% 10.6% 10.0%
n Q Q
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN 14.8% 4.5% 11.1% 29.9% 37.7% 9.8% -64% -6.9% 0.5% 3.4% 23.9% 11.9% 12.1%
12.1% 76.3% 2.4% -43%
L1(LIKELY)
VOTERS
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
L2(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)
============REGION
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
(U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Joe Biden 466 87 73 83 111 112 55 132 151 129 179 288 360 92 102 73 104 185 349 40 77
86.7%
51.3% 42.2% 44.6% 73.7% 58.1% 47.7% 71.7% 52.5% 44.0% 53.9% 41.6% 60.0% 47.1% 75.1% 58.2% 50.4% 51.9% 48.9% 86.7% 11.3% 50.1%
BCEF BCf HIJ I i K M r TU T
Donald Trump 375 100 77 21 71 106 14 101 163 97 225
225 150 351 19 61 58 80 170 31 296 47
41.3% 48.4% 47.1% 18.4% 37.3% 45.2% 18.4% 40.3% 47.7% 40.4% 52.5% 31.2% 46.0% 15.3% 34.6% 40.1% 39.8% 44.9% 7.8% 84.2% 30.7%
DE De D D G Gh G L N O SU S
Not sure 68 19 14 9 9 17 8 18 28 14 25 42 52 12 13 14 17 24 22 16
16 30
7.4% 9.3% 8.3% 8.0% 4.7% 7.1% 9.9% 7.2% 8.3% 5.7% 5.9% 8.8% 6.9% 9.5% 7.3% 9.5% 8.2% 6.2% 5.5% 4.5% 19.2%
ST
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -10% 6.2% 2.5% -55% -21% -2.6% -53% -12% 3.7% -14% 10.9% -29% -1.1% -60% -24% -10% -12% -4.0% -79% 72.9% -19%
L2(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)
Not sure 68 18 33 16 20 32 5 6 22 20 14 23 31 16 35 10
7.4% 9.1% 7.1% 6.8% 5.6% 8.0% 8.3% 10.8% 10.0% 7.8% 6.3% 9.2% 7.0% 5.5% 10.8% 3.6%
QS
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -10% -21% -16% 10.8% 20.9% -21% -87% -31% -38%
38% -21% -2.6% -10% -14% 64.4% -22% -80%
L2(REGISTERED)
American
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)
Not sure 68 19 10 29 19 9 11 4 6 34 20 3
7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 7.4% 5.2% 18.7% 10.4% 9.0% 5.4% 7.2% 10.1% 3.9%
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -10.0% 85.8% -95.4% 70.8% -90.5% -30.1% -24.6% 32.9% -4.8% -8.7% -17.4% -21.1%
L2(LIKELY)
VOTERS
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker?(LIKELY VOTERS
SAMPLE)
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP
R EP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 176 142 97 176 202 66 196 302 228 373 420 670 106 144 125 181
181 334 350 322 121
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 161 150 85 172 206 52 317 284 121 395 379 670 87 112 103 167
167 383 305 310 145
Joe Biden 414 76 63 74 103 98 52 105 135 122 153 261 322 82 85 67 94 166 314 37 63
48.0%
52.2% 43.2% 44.5% 75.5% 58.8% 48.5% 78.5% 53.4% 44.8% 53.4% 41.0% 62.1% 48.0% 77.6% 59.0% 53.6% 51.9% 49.7% 89.7% 11.4% 52.0%
BCEF BCf HIJ I K M TU T
Donald Trump 335 87 68 20 67 93 11 80 149 95 205 131 314 17 53 52 71 153 27 272 36
42.3% 49.7% 47.9% 20.8% 38.0% 46.0% 16.8% 40.6% 49.4% 41.7% 54.9% 31.1% 46.8% 16.4% 36.7% 41.7% 39.3% 45.7% 7.7% 84.5% 30.2%
De D D D G GH G L N SU S
Not sure 44 13 11 4 6 11 3 12 17 11 15 28 35 6 6 6 16 15 9 13 21
5.5% 7.1% 7.5% 3.8% 3.2% 5.4% 4.7% 6.0% 5.8% 4.9% 4.0% 6.8% 5.2% 6.1% 4.3% 4.8% 8.8% 4.6% 2.6% 4.0% 17.8%
ST
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -9.9% 6.5% 3.4% -55% -21% -2.5% -62% -13% 4.6% -12% 13.9% -31% -1.2% -61% -22% -12% -13% -4.1% -82% 73.1% -22%
L2(LIKELY)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate
candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker?(LIKELY VOTERS
SAMPLE)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 166 411 215 320 350 56 49 198 221 186 215 392 272 272 238
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 186 394 194 348 322 39 48 170 207 130 150 494 267 260 233
Joe Biden 414 92 233 89 118 204 51 30 131 129 88 115 211 41 156 213
52.2% 55.1% 56.7% 41.4% 37.0% 58.1% 91.6% 61.6% 66.1% 58.3% 47.4% 53.3% 53.9% 15.2% 57.5% 89.5%
G G H K Q QR
Donald Trump 335 63 157 115 189 124 2 16 50 81 91 87 158 218 91 20
42.3% 38.2% 38.1% 53.6% 59.3% 35.5% 2.8% 31.8% 25.2% 36.6% 49.0% 40.3% 40.2% 80.2% 33.6% 8.2%
EF I J L p RS S
Not sure 44 11 22 11 12 23 3 3 17 11 7 14 23 12 24 5
5.5% 6.7% 5.3% 5.0% 3.8% 6.4% 5.7% 6.6% 8.7% 5.1% 3.5% 6.4% 5.9% 4.5% 9.0% 2.2%
qS
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -9.9% -17% -19% 12.2% 22.3% -23% -89% -30% -41% -22% 1.6% -13% -14% 65.0% -24% -81%
L2(LIKELY)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker?(LIKELY VOTERS
SAMPLE)
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -9.9% 87.1% -96.4% 71.9% -91.7% -32.5% -33.8% 39.5% -1.3% -10.3% -18.5% -18.3%
Reg.
REGION
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Central 207 207 - - - - 12 53 82 60 112 95 185 19 29 39 52 86 70 90 47
23% 100% 16% 21% 24% 25% 26% 20% 24% 16% 17% 27% 26% 23% 17% 25% 30%
L N o o S S
North 163 - 163 - - - 15 34 60 55 76 87 143 19 34 36 40 49 67 67 29
18% 100% 19% 14% 17% 23% 18% 18% 19% 16% 19% 25% 20% 13% 17% 19% 19%
H R r
Philadelphia 113 - - 113 - - 20 42 23 29 46 68 51 56 31 16 17 48 75 24 14
12% 100% 26% 17% 7% 12% 11% 14% 7% 46% 17% 11% 8% 13% 19% 7% 9%
hIJ I i M Q TU
Philadelphia Suburbs 191 - - - 191 - 12 68 71 39 90 101 167 15 28 15 36 110 87 74 30
21% 100% 15% 27% 21% 16% 21% 21% 22% 12% 16% 11% 18% 29% 21% 21% 20%
GIJ N OPQ
West 235 - - - - 235 18 54 107 56 106 129 217 13 54 38 57 84 104 97 34
26% 100% 23% 22% 31% 23% 25% 27% 28% 11% 31% 26% 29% 22% 26% 28% 22%
Hj N r
Reg.
REGION
North 163 22 62 80 67 76 2 17 42 44 56 41 67 62 49 50
18% 11% 13% 33% 18% 19% 3% 29% 19% 17% 25% 16% 15% 21% 15% 19%
EF J oP
Philadelphia 113 86 19 8 23 29 37 19 42 25 23 35 56 25 32 50
12% 43% 4% 3% 6% 7% 59% 33% 19% 10% 10% 14% 13% 8% 10% 19%
FG K M QR
Philadelphia Suburbs 191 22 157 12 76 91 8 7 41 60 34 43 113 57 67 64
21% 11% 34% 5% 21% 23% 13% 11% 18% 24% 15% 17% 26% 19% 21% 24%
g EG NO
West 235 42 119 74 101 116 9 5 62 68 64 69 103 74 93 61
26% 21% 26% 31% 28% 29% 14% 8% 27% 27% 28% 28% 24% 25% 29% 23%
E
Reg.
REGION
Reg.
AREA TYPE
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437
437 355 345 190
Reg.
AREA TYPE
Reg.
AREA TYPE
D1.
Age
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
18-
18-24 77 12 15 20 12 18 77 - - - 32 44 40 31 21 7 20 28 48 11 17
8% 6% 9% 18% 6% 7% 100% 8% 9% 5% 26% 12% 5% 10% 7% 12% 3% 11%
BCEF M p p T T
25-
25-34 95 20 14 17 21 23 - 95 - - 39 56 69 20 11 18 21 44 48 23 24
10% 10% 9% 15% 11% 10% 38% 9% 12% 9% 17% 6% 12% 10% 12% 12% 6% 16%
t T
35-
35-44 156 33 20 25 47 31 - 156 - - 100 56 128 21 22 15 26 90 59 69 28
17% 16% 12% 22% 25% 13% 62% 23% 12% 17% 17% 13% 10% 13% 24% 15% 19% 18%
bCF L OPQ
45-
45-54 188 47 38 11 36 56 - - 188 - 93 96 161 23 31 24 43 89 68 88 33
21% 23% 23% 9% 19% 24% 55% 22% 20% 21% 19% 18% 17% 21% 24% 17% 25% 21%
D D D D S
55-
55-64 154 34 22 12 35 51 - - 154 - 58 96 141 12 39 29 29 58 56 71 27
17% 17% 13% 11% 18% 22% 45% 13% 20% 19% 10% 22% 20% 14% 15% 14% 20% 18%
d CD K N q S
65 or over 239 60 55 29 39 56 - - - 239 108 131 224 14 51 52 63 69 124 90 25
26% 29% 34% 25% 21% 24% 100% 25% 27% 29% 11% 29% 36% 32% 18% 31% 26% 16%
E dEF N R R R tU U
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
D1.
Age
35-
35-44 156 59 70 27 85 43 8 13 20 37 28 29 99 57 51 44
17% 30% 15% 11% 23% 11% 13% 22% 9% 14% 13% 12% 23% 19% 16% 16%
FG I NO
45-
45-54 188 31 105 52 75 86 7 16 34 61 40 51 97 69 72 44
21% 16% 23% 21% 21% 22% 11% 28% 15% 24% 18% 21% 22% 23% 22% 16%
E J L s
55-
55-64 154 20 82 53 52 89 9 2 37 60 47 49 57 59 60 35
17% 10% 18% 22% 14% 22% 15% 4% 16% 24% 21%
21% 20% 13% 20% 19% 13%
E E H k l P p S s
65 or over 239 47 121 71 107 117 14 - 59 72 72 67 100 80 89 69
26% 24% 26% 29% 29% 29% 22% 26% 28% 32% 27% 23% 27% 27% 26%
P
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
D1.
Age
D2.
Marital Status
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437
437 355 345 190
Divorced/Separated 106 22 21 9 20 35 - 11 53 43 35 71 98 8 45 21 24 16 50 46 11
12% 11% 13% 8% 10% 15% 4% 15% 18% 8% 15% 13% 7% 26% 14% 12% 4% 12% 13% 7%
D H H K N PQR R R U U
Widowed
Widowed 30 5 9 5 3 9 - 3 10 17 9 21 27 3 15 7 7 1 13 9 8
3% 2% 5% 4% 1% 4% 1% 3% 7% 2% 4% 4% 2% 8% 5% 3% *% 3% 3% 5%
bE e h Hi K qR R R
Not sure/Refused 2 - 1 1 - - - 1 1 - 1 1 2 - 1 - - 1 1 - 1
*% 1% 1% *% *% *% *% *% 1% *% *% *%
D2.
Marital Status
D2.
Marital Status
Widowed 30 11 16 11 14 4 1 - 1 11 9 9
3% 3% 4% 3% 4%
4% 9% 1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
i I IJk
Not sure/Refused 2 - 2 - 1 1 - - - 1 0 1
*% *% *% 1% *% *% 1%
D3.
And are you the parent of any children UNDER THE AGE of 18 LIVING IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD?
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
0K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
D3.
And are you the parent of any children UNDER THE AGE of 18 LIVING IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD?
D3.
And are you the parent of any children UNDER THE AGE of 18 LIVING IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD?
D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?
============REGION ==========
========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Some High School 12 5 2 3 - 1 1 3 3 5 3 9 10 3 10 1 - 1 9 3 1
1% 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 6% 1% *% 2% 1% 1%
f k PR u
High School Graduate 213 44 54 19 34 62
62 22 39 85 68 88 125 184 26 63 62 42 43 94 88 31
23% 21% 33% 17% 18% 26% 29% 16% 25% 28% 21% 26% 24% 21% 36% 43% 21% 11% 23% 25% 20%
BDE dE H H H k QR QR R
Some College 247 60 41 35 43 69 34 46 100 67 111 137 202 38 68 33 69 73 116 90 41
27% 29% 25% 31% 23% 29% 45% 18% 29% 28% 26% 28% 26% 32% 39% 23% 34% 19% 29% 26% 27%
HIJ H H PR PR
College Graduate 227 55 41 20 55 55 15 68 89 55 107 120 193 29 26 34 58 108 102 84 40
25% 27% 25% 18% 29% 23% 19% 27% 26% 23% 25% 25% 25% 23% 15% 23% 29% 29% 25% 24% 26%
d O O
SUMMARY
SUMMARY
NO COLLEGE 473 109 97 57 77 132 58 88 188 139 202 271 395 67 142 96 111
111 116 219 181 73
52% 53% 59% 50% 41% 56% 75% 35% 55% 58%
58% 47% 57% 52% 55% 81% 66% 55% 31% 54% 51% 47%
E E E HIJ H H K PQR qR R
D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
COLLEGE+ 436 97 67 56 113 103 19 163 155 100 228 208 368 55 34 49 90 262 184 171 81
48% 47% 41% 50% 59% 44% 25% 65% 45% 42% 53% 43% 48% 45% 19% 34% 45% 69% 46% 49% 53%
BCF GIJ G G L O Op OPQ
D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?
SUMMARY
NO COLLEGE 473 86 226 161 168 228 41 26 143 128 225 247 - 155 180 122
52% 43% 49% 66% 46% 57% 65% 44% 64% 50% 100% 100% 52% 56% 46%
EF H K M S
D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?
D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?
Graduate/Professional 188 86 89 86 80 11 11 30 59 87 9 3
Degree 21% 22% 20% 22% 22% 23% 10% 74% 55% 18% 5% 3%
IJKL JKL KL
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - -
SUMMARY
Comparison Groups:
Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL
Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D4 Page 74
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely,
Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points
D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?
D5.
Household Income
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Under $20,000 95 18 18 17 10 31 12 21 34 28 33 62 72 19 95 - - - 58 26 11
10% 9% 11% 15% 5% 13% 15% 8% 10% 12% 8% 13% 9% 16% 54% 14% 7% 7%
e E E K TU
Between $20,000 and 81 11 16 13 18 23 9 13 36 23 39 42 64 15 81 - - - 40 31 10
$30,000 9% 5% 10% 12% 9% 10% 12% 5% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 12% 46% 10% 9% 6%
b H
Between $30,000 and 84 24 20 11 10 19 7 18 29 30 37 47 68 12 - 84 - - 44 26 15
$40,000 9% 11% 12% 10% 5% 8% 9% 7% 8% 13% 9% 10% 9% 10% 58% 11% 7% 9%
E E
Not sure/Refused 10 1 5 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 6 4 10 0 - - - - 2 7 1
1% *% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% *% 2% 1% 1% 1% *% *% 2% 1%
Bef s
D5.
Household Income
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P)
(P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
Mean 70.9 71.9 62.4 66.6 85.4 65.9 64.5 80.6 70.9 62.5 75.9 66.4 72.6 62.2 19.6 39.2 63.0
63.0 111.0 65.8 76.2 72.1
D5.
Household Income
D5.
Household Income
D5.
Household Income
Upper-
Upper- Lower-
ower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Under $20,000 95 32 58 27 40 4 23 - 3 16 28 42
10% 8% 13% 7% 11% 9% 21% 2% 3% 14% 55%
B D IJ IJK
Between $20,000 and 81 33 41 28 37 1 15 1 1 27 40 11
$30,000 9% 8% 9% 7% 10% 3% 14% 2% 1% 6% 20% 14%
I HIJ hI
Not sure/Refused 10 7 2 7 1 1 1 - 0 8 1 -
1% 2% *% 2% *% 2% 1% *% 2% *%
e
D5.
Household Income
D7.
Are you HISPANIC origin or descent?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
No 850 195 146 94 184 230 62 225 324 239 406 444 763 63 162 134 188 356 372 335 143
93% 94% 90% 83% 97% 98% 81% 90% 95% 100% 95% 93% 100% 51% 92% 92% 94% 94% 92% 95% 93%
D CD CD GH GHI N
Yes, White Hispanic 35 10 11 7 6 2 6 14 15 - 20 15 - 35 6 4 11 15 20 11 4
4% 5% 7% 6% 3% 1% 8% 6% 5% 5% 3% 29% 3% 3% 5% 4% 5% 3% 3%
f F
Yes, Black Hispanic 13 - 1 11 1 - 5 7 1 - 1 12 - 13 4 5 - 3 5 5 3
1% 1% 9% *% 6% 3% *% *% 2% 10% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2%
CE I I K
Yes, Hispanic 11 2 5 2 - 3 4 5 2 - 3 9 - 11 4 1 2 4 7 1 4
unspecified 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1% 2% 9% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% *% 2%
t
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
D7.
Are you HISPANIC origin or descent?
Yes, Hispanic 11 5 4 2 - - - 11 4 5 2 2 7 2 5 4
unspecified 1% 3% 1% 1% 19% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2%
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
D7.
Are you HISPANIC
HISPANIC origin or descent?
Yes, Hispanic 11 2 8 2 6 2 2 - 2 7 3 -
unspecified 1% *% 2% *% 2% 5% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - -
D7/8.
And do you consider yourself:
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
White Non-
Non-Hispanic 763 185 143 51 167 217 40 197 303 224 365 399 763 - 136 120 167 331 313 329 121
84% 89% 88% 45% 88% 92% 52% 78% 88% 94% 85% 83% 100% 77% 83% 83% 88% 78% 94% 79%
D D D D G GH GHI O SU
Black Non-
Non-Hispanic 63 7 2 37 8 9 16 16 16 14 26 37 - 63 20 9 15 18 51 - 12
7% 4% 1% 32% 4% 4% 21% 6% 5% 6% 6% 8% 51% 11% 6% 8% 5% 13% 8%
BCEF HIJ R u
Hispanic 59 12 17 19 7 5 15 26 19 - 24 36 - 59 14 11 13 22 31 17 11
7% 6% 10% 17% 3% 2% 19% 10% 5% 5% 7% 49% 8% 8% 6% 6% 8% 5% 7%
EF BEF I I
Asian 15 3 - 5 5 2 3 7 4 - 12 3 - - 3 2 3 6 5 4 6
2% 1% 4% 3% 1% 4% 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4%
L
Native American 2 - - - 1 1 - 2 - - 1 1 - - - 1 1 - - 1 1
*% 1% *% 1% *% *% 1% *% *% 1%
Other 7 - 1 1 3 2 2 3 - 1 2 4 - - 3 1 2 1 3 - 4
1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% *% 1% 2%
Not sure/ Refused 0 - - 0 - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - 0 - -
*% *% *% *% *%
D7/8.
And do you consider yourself:
Hispanic 59 24 23 12 - - - 59 22 13 15 11 33 18 19 20
7% 12% 5% 5% 100% 10% 5% 7% 4% 8% 6% 6% 7%
FG
Asian 15 2 13 - - - - - 1 2 1 3 10 3 5 6
2% 1% 3% *%
*% 1% *% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2%
N
Native American 2 - 2 - - - - - 1 - 1 1 - - 2 -
*% *% *% 1% *% 1%
Other 7 1 4 2 - - - - 3 1 1 3 3 1 1 4
1% *% 1% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% *% *% 2%
r
D7/8.
And do you consider yourself:
Asian 15 2 10 4 5 1 5 - 4 6 4 -
2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 4% 1% 2%
b
Native American
American 2 2 - 2 - - - - - 1 - 1
*% 1% 1% *% 2%
Other 7 1 5 - 4 1 2 - 1 4 1 1
1% *% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Not sure/ Refused 0 - - - - - - - - - 0 -
*% *%
D9.
In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else?
============REGION
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Dem 403 70 67 75 87 104 48 107 123 124 144 259 313 82 98 73 78 153 403 - -
44% 34% 41% 66% 45% 44% 63% 43% 36% 52% 34% 54% 41% 67% 56% 50% 39% 40% 100%
BCEF B B HI i hI K M QR qr
Rep 352 90 67 24 74 97 11 91 159 90 204 148 329 17 57 50 75 164 - 352 -
39% 43% 41% 21% 39% 41% 15% 36% 47% 38% 48% 31% 43% 14% 32% 34% 37% 43% 100%
D D D D G GHj G L N Op
Ind/Other 154 47 29 14 30 34 17 52 60 25 81 73 121 23 21 22 48 61 - - 154
17% 23% 18% 12% 16% 14% 22% 21% 17% 11% 19% 15% 16% 19% 12% 15% 24% 16% 100%
df j J j Or
Not sure/ Refused 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - -
*% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *%
D9.
In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else?
Dem 403 106 215 82 110 203 51 31 133 125 103 116 184 34 135 225
44% 53% 46% 34% 30% 51% 81% 53% 59% 49% 46% 47% 42% 11% 42% 84%
G G H K m Q QR
Rep 352 73 163 116 190 139 - 17 58 90 91 90 171 242 85 16
39% 36% 35% 48% 52% 35% 29% 26% 35% 40% 36% 39% 81% 26% 6%
EF I L RS S
Ind/Other 154 21 87 45 65 56 12 11 33 39 32 41 81 23 103 26
17% 11% 19% 19% 18% 14% 19% 18% 15% 15% 14% 17% 19% 8% 32% 10%
E e QS
Not sure/ Refused 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
*% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *%
D9.
In politics, do you consider yourself to
to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else?
AD1.
Ideology
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Very Conservative 131 32 22 15 25 37 1 36 56 38 83 48 118 12 32 22 18 59 11 113 7
14% 16% 13% 13% 13% 16% 1% 14% 16% 16% 19% 10% 15% 10% 18% 15% 9% 16% 3% 32% 4%
G G G L Q Q SU
Very Liberal 92 12 20 16 20 24 18 34 29 12 38 55 70 19 24 16 17 35 79 6 7
10% 6% 12% 14% 10% 10% 23% 14% 8% 5% 9% 11% 9% 16% 14% 11% 9% 9% 20% 2% 5%
b b IJ IJ TU
Not sure/ Refused 19 1 2 7 2 7 4 9 4 2 8 11 12 5 8 5 1 5 9 9 2
2% 1% 1% 6% 1% 3% 5% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 4% 5% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1%
b ij IJ q
CONSERVATIVE 300 82 62 25 57 74 10 81 128 80 175 124 272 23 53 48 55 137 34 242 23
33% 40% 38% 22% 30% 32% 13% 32% 37% 33% 41% 26% 36% 19% 30% 33% 27% 36% 9% 69% 15%
De D G G G L N Q SU s
Comparison Groups:
Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU
Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD1 Page 91
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points
AD1.
Ideology
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
LIBERAL 267 42 50 50 64 61 39 81 79 69 104 163 204 54 62 36 54 115 225 16 26
29% 20% 31% 44% 34% 26% 51% 32% 23% 29% 24% 34% 27% 44% 35% 25% 27% 30% 56% 4% 17%
B BCF B HIJ I K M TU T
AD1.
Ideology
====AREA TYPE====
TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====
SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J)
(J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Very Conservative 131 39 45 47 77 41 2 10 17 31 42 26 63 131 - -
14% 19% 10% 19% 21% 10% 3% 17% 8% 12% 19% 11% 14% 44%
F F I J O
Conservative 169 24 94 51 87 67 3 8 35 41 41 45 82 169 - -
19% 12% 20% 21% 24% 17% 5% 14% 16% 16% 18% 18% 19% 56%
E E I
AD1.
Ideology
AD1.
Ideology
AD1.
Ideology
Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
LIBERAL
LIBERAL 267 23 235 26 193 10 38 8 32 133 59 30
29% 6% 53% 7% 53% 23% 36% 21% 30% 28% 30% 38%
B D H
AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
ALL CHRISTIAN 544 131 111 51 102 150 26 111 226 181 247 298 488 53 81 93 135 228 211 247 86
60% 63% 68% 45% 53% 64% 33% 44% 66% 76% 57% 62% 64% 43% 46% 64% 67% 60% 52% 70% 56%
De DE De GH GHI N O O O SU
ALL NON-
NON-CHRISTIAN 323 67 44 57 81 73 45 121 103 53 161 162 243 60 85 43 59 135 173 91 60
36% 32% 27% 51% 43% 31% 59% 48% 30% 22% 38% 34% 32% 50% 48% 30% 30% 36% 43% 26% 39%
BCF bCF IJ IJ j M PQR T T
AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
No religion 184 29 33 34 44 43 31 65 59 28 95 88 133 38 47 28 35 73 109 36 39
20% 14% 20% 30% 23% 18% 40% 26% 17% 12% 22% 18% 17% 31% 27% 19% 18% 19% 27% 10% 25%
BcF B HIJ IJ M q T T
Not sure 11 1 4 1 2 3 4 3 3 - 3 8 9 2 4 1 1 6 4 2 5
1% *% 3% 1% 1% 1% 6% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% 3%
t
Refused 30 8 3 4 5 9 2 15 9 4 18 12 24 6 6 8 6 9 15 11 4
3% 4% 2% 4% 3% 4% 2% 6% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 5% 4% 6% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2%
IJ
AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?
Another religion 98 36 34 28 35 36 15 5 28 26 34 23 41 42 25 29
11% 18% 7% 12% 10% 9% 24% 9% 12% 10% 15% 9% 9% 14% 8% 11%
F k R
AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox
Orthodox,
,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?
Not sure 11 1 5 6 3 6 1 1 5 3 4 2 5 3 3 5
1% *% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Refused 30 9 11 10 17 7 3 3 11 2 13 7 11 9 11 7
3% 4% 2% 4% 5% 2% 5% 6% 5% 1% 6% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2%
i M
AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox
Orthodox,
,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?
Another religion 98 44 48 39 31 4 24 8 8 39 22 19
11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 23% 20% 8% 8% 11% 24%
ij IJK
AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant,
Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?
Refused 30 13 14 14 16 0 0 4 3 10 7 5
3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 1% *% 9% 3% 2% 4% 7%
j
CLASS
would
If you were asked to use one of these five commonly used names for the social classes, which would you say you belong
in?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Upper class 40 10 4 10 10 6 2 24 9 5 30 10 28 12 1 2 2 35 9 28 3
4% 5% 2% 9% 5% 3% 3% 10% 3% 2% 7% 2% 4% 10% 1% 2% 1% 9% 2% 8% 2%
GIJ L OPQ SU
Upper-
Upper-middle class 108 19 10 17 37 25 11 41 31 25 67 41 95 9 4 3 10 92 41 48 19
12% 9% 6% 15% 19% 11% 14% 16% 9% 11% 16% 9% 12% 7% 2% 2% 5% 24% 10% 14% 13%
BCF I L OPQ
Middle class 475 119 81 48 99 127 47 116 175 137 211 264 409 56 43 73 134 217 218 179 78
52% 58% 50% 43% 52% 54% 62% 46% 51% 57% 49% 55% 54% 46% 25% 50% 67% 57% 54% 51% 51%
D d H H O OPR O
Lower-
Lower-middle class 197 44 46 25 33 48 14 49 84 50 81 116 165 26 67 49 50 29 86 71 40
22% 21% 28% 22% 18% 20% 18% 19% 25% 21% 19% 24% 22% 22% 38% 34% 25% 8% 21% 20% 26%
E k QR R R
Lower class 77 11 21 10 10 25 3 15 38 22 37 40 62 13 53 16 3 5 40 26 11
8% 5% 13% 9% 5% 11% 4% 6% 11% 9% 9% 8% 8% 11% 30% 11% 2% 1% 10% 7% 7%
BE bE GH PQR QR
Not sure 11 3 1 3 1 3 - 6 5 - 3 8 5 6 7 1 2 1 8 1 2
1% 1% *% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 5% 4% 1% 1% *% 2% *% 1%
m pR t
CLASS
If you were asked to use one of these five commonly used names for the social classes, which would you say you belong
in?
CLASS
If you were asked to use one of these five commonly used names for the social classes, which would you say you belong
in?
AD12
Are you or any other member of your household a member of a labor union?
============REGION
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Yes 154 25 25 34 29 40 13 49 55 37 77 77 119 32 13 19 41 77 77 59 17
17% 12% 16% 30% 15% 17% 16% 20% 16% 15% 18% 16% 16% 26% 7% 13% 20% 20% 19% 17% 11%
BCEF M O Op U u
No 755 182 138 79 161 195
195 64 202 287 202 353 403 644 90 163 125 160 301 326 292 137
83% 88% 84% 70% 85% 83% 84% 80% 84% 85% 82% 84% 84% 74% 93% 87% 80% 80% 81% 83% 89%
D D D D N QR r St
AD12
Are you or any other member of your household a member of a labor union?
AD12
Are you or any other member of your household a member of a labor union?
AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
5 15 1 3 4 0 6 5 5 4 - 8 7 10 3 4 3 2 4 6 3 5
2% 1% 2% 4% *% 3% 7% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 4%
e t
6 7 2 1 - 2 2 2 4 - - 4 3 5 1 1 1 1 4 1 5 1
1% 1% *% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% *% 2% *%
s
7 22 5 4 1 7 5 4 8 6 2 13 9 18 3 7 4 3 8 8 4 9
2% 2% 2% 1% 4% 2% 6% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 6%
j ST
8 26 9 4 4 2 7 2 16 8 - 14 11 18 6 5 4 6 10 7 10 8
3% 4% 2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 6% 2% 3% 2% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 5%
I
9 73 27 6 11 12 17 9 19 29 16 45 29 59 12 16 13 18 26 27 32 15
8% 13% 4% 10% 6% 7% 11% 8% 9% 7% 10% 6% 8% 10% 9% 9% 9% 7% 7% 9% 10%
CEF L
AD19
Finally, I would like
like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
10=DEFINITELY WILL VOTE 752 161 143 88 165 194 50 190 292 220 339 413 642 94 140 117 167 320 346 296 110
83% 78% 87% 78% 87% 83% 65% 76% 85% 92% 79% 86% 84% 77% 80% 81% 83% 85% 86% 84% 71%
B b GH GHI K U U
Not sure/Refused 0 0 - - - - - 0 - - - 0 0 - - 0 - - - - 0
*% *% *% *% *% *% *%
AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.
8 26 8 12 5 11 7 2 4 3 8 4 6 15 9 10 5
3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 7% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2%
9 73 19 36 19 37 22 8 5 17 11 21 20 32 28 31 12
8% 9% 8% 8% 10% 5% 12% 8% 8% 4% 9% 8% 7% 9% 10% 4%
I S S
10=DEFINITELY WILL VOTE 752 158 389 205 293 349 48 45 189 223 179 205 368 249 256 238
83% 79% 84% 84% 80% 88% 77% 76% 84% 88% 79% 83% 84% 83% 79% 89%
H qR
AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.
AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.
Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
1=DEFINITELY WILL NOT 5 1 1 2 1 1 1 - 1 2 1 1
VOTE 1% *% *% 1% *% 2% 1% 1% *% 1% 1%
2 4 1 2 1 1 - 2 - - 1 3 -
*% *% *% *% *% 2% *% 2%
3 2 1 - 1 - - 1 - - 1 1 1
*% *% *% 1% *% *% 1%
4 3 - 1 0 1 - 2 - 2 0 1 -
*% *% *% *% 2% 2% *% *%
J
5 15 4 9 3 5 1 6 1 2 6 3 1
2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1%
6 7 5 1 3 1 - 3 - - 5 1 1
1% 1% *% 1% *% 3% 1% *% 1%
c
7 22 7 7 4 7 1 9 0 1 14 5 1
2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 9% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1%
8 26 11 10 9 9 3 5 2 4 14 4 2
3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 6% 4% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2%
9 73 41 23 39 20 3 12 2 9 32 23 7
8% 10% 5% 10% 5% 7% 11% 5% 8% 7% 12% 9%
C E j
Comparison
Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL
Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD19 Page 113
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, +/-
Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-3.6 Percentage Points
AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.
Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
10=DEFINITELY WILL VOTE 752 325 391 330 318 38 65 34 89 399 154 65
83% 82% 88% 84% 88% 81% 61% 85% 83% 84% 78% 84%
B
Not sure/Refused 0 - - 0 - - - - - - 0 -
*% *% *%
D10.
Gender
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Male 429 112 76 46 90 106 32 139 150 108 429 - 365 49 72 62 87 203 144 204 81
47% 54% 47% 40% 47% 45% 42% 55% 44% 45% 100% 48% 41% 41% 43% 43% 54% 36% 58% 53%
Df gIj OPQ S S
Female 480 95 87 68 101 129 44 112 192 131 - 480 399 72 104 83 113 175 259 148 73
53% 46% 53% 60% 53% 55% 58% 45% 56% 55% 100% 52% 59% 59% 57% 57% 46% 64% 42% 47%
B b h H h R R R TU
D10.
Gender
Female 480 93 244 142 - 399 37 36 225 254 134 137 208 124 181 163
53% 47% 53% 58% 100% 59% 60% 100% 100% 60% 55% 48% 42% 56% 61%
E P Q Q
D10.
Gender
AD3
In the 2016 election for president, did
did you vote for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, another candidate, or did you not
vote for president?
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
=====PARTY=====
CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437
437 355 345 190
Donald Trump 393 105 74 25 76 112 7 102 178 106 224 168 368 18 54 59 82 190 40 301 52
43% 51% 45% 22% 40% 48% 9% 41% 52% 44% 52% 35% 48% 15% 31% 41% 41% 50% 10% 86% 33%
De D D D G GH G L N o Opq SU S
Hillary Clinton 362 64 57 66 91 85 29 99 117 117 130 232 281 73 77 61 87 136 304 11 46
40% 31% 35% 58% 48% 36% 38% 40% 34% 49% 30% 48% 37% 60% 44% 42% 43% 36% 76% 3% 30%
BCF BCF hI K M TU T
Other 46 17 8 5 8 8 5 17 19 5 28 18 36 8 5 10 11 18 9 12 25
5% 8% 5% 5% 4% 4% 6% 7% 6% 2% 7% 4% 5% 6% 3% 7% 6% 5% 2% 3% 16%
J ST
Did not vote 107 19 25 17 16 30 35 33 28 11 46 60 77 23 38 14 20 34 47 28 31
12% 9% 15% 15% 8% 13% 45% 13% 8% 5% 11% 13% 10% 19% 21% 10% 10% 9% 12% 8% 20%
e HIJ IJ m PQR ST
Prefer not to answer 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 2 - 2 - 0 0 2 - -
*% 1% *% *% *% 2% *% *% *% *% *% 1% *% *% *%
AD3
In the 2016 election for president, did you vote for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, another candidate, or did you not
vote for president?
president?
Other 46 8 22 16 21 15 3 4 5 12 6 12 28 11 24 10
5% 4% 5% 6% 6% 4% 5% 7% 2% 5% 3% 5% 6% 4% 8% 4%
N
AD3
In the 2016 election for president, did you vote for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, another candidate, or did you not
vote for president?