Background Brief:

Thayer Consultancy
ABN # 65 648 097 123 Select Bibliography of Thayer
Publications on Vietnamese
Foreign Policy and Vietnam-
China Relations, 1992-2020
Carlyle A. Thayer
October 12, 2020
2020
“ASEAN, China and the Code of Conduct,” in Leszek Buszynski and Do Thanh Hai, eds.,
The South China Sea: From a Regional Maritime Dispute to Geo-Strategic. Competition,
Routledge Security in Asia Pacific Series (London: Routledge Taylor and Francis Group,
2020), 43-59.
Other Publications
“Có phải Việt Nam đang học sách “Ngoại giao Khẩu trang” của Trung Quốc?” Radio
Free Asia China Reach Project No. 6, Radio Free Asia, April 12, 2020.
https://www.rfa.org/vietnamese/news/blog/is-vn-taking-a-leaf-out-of-china-s-face-
mask-diplomacy-playbook-04122020131006.html
“Is Vietnam Taking a Leaf Out of China’s ‘Face Mask Diplomacy’ Playbook?” China
Reach Project No. 6, Radio Free Asia, April 13, 2020,
https://www.rfa.org/english/commentaries/vietnam-maskdiplomacy-
04132020092940.html
“Có phải tin tặc Việt Nam đã nhắm vào chính phủ Trung Quốc để lấy thông tin về
COVID-19?” Radio Free Asia China Reach Project No. 7, Radio Free Asia, April 27, 2020.
https://www.rfa.org/vietnamese/in_depth/did-vietnamese-hackers-target-chinese-
government-to-get-info-on-covid-19-
04272020145447.html?searchterm:utf8:ustring=%20Thayer
“Did Vietnamese Hackers Target the Chinese Government to Get Information on
COVID-19?” Radio Free Asia China Reach Project No. 7, Radio Free Asia, April 27, 2020.
https://www.rfa.org/english/commentaries/china-vietnam-04272020073129.html
“Did Vietnamese Hackers Target the Chinese Government to Get Information on
COVID-19?” The Diplomat, May 4, 2020. https://thediplomat.com/2020/05/did-
vietnamese-hackers-target-the-chinese-government-to-get-information-on-covid-
19/
2019
“China’s Decade-Long Hybrid War Against Vietnam, 1977-1987,” in Ross Babbage,
Stealing a March: Chinese Hybrid Warfare in the Indo-Pacific: Issues and Options for
Allied Defense Planners, Washington: Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments,
2019. Vol. 2: Case Studies, 23-27.
 2

“Vietnam’s Foreign Policy,” in Takashi Inoguchi, ed., The SAGE Handbook of Asian
Foreign Policy, Chapter. 33, Vol. 2, 2019. 709-729.
Other Publications
“A Difficult Summer in the South China Sea,” The Diplomat Magazine, November 1,
2019, 8 pages. https://magazine.thediplomat.com/#/issues/-
Ls0vr63w8BpDCl7Z8pp/read.
2018
“The Evolution of Vietnamese Diplomacy, 1986-2016,” in Le Hong Hiep and Anton
Tsvetov, eds. Vietnam’s Foreign Policy under Doi Moi (Singapore: Yusof Ishak Institute
of Southeast Asian Studies, 2018), 23-44.
The Diplomat (Internet Edition)
“The South China Sea and ASEAN’s 32nd Summit Meeting,” The Diplomat, April 26,
2018. https://thediplomat.com/2018/04/the-south-china-sea-and-aseans-32nd-
summit-meeting/.
“Consensus by Deletion: Reviewing the 32nd ASEAN Leaders' Summit and the South
China Sea,” The Diplomat, April 30, 2018.
https://thediplomat.com/2018/05/consensus-by-deletion-reviewing-the-32nd-
asean-leaders-summit-and-the-south-china-sea/.
“ASEAN and China Set to Agree on Single Draft South China Sea Code of Conduct,” The
Diplomat, July 27, 2018. https://thediplomat.com/2018/07/asean-and-china-set-to-
agree-on-single-draft-south-china-sea-code-of-conduct/.
“A Closer Look at the ASEAN-China Single Draft South China Sea Code of Conduct,” The
Diplomat, August 3, 2018. https://thediplomat.com/2018/08/a-closer-look-at-the-
asean-china-single-draft-south-china-sea-code-of-conduct/.
2017
“ASEAN’s Long March to a Code of Conduct in the South China Sea,” Maritime Issues,
Special Issue, No. 1, November 2017, 39-49.
http://www.maritimeissues.com/politics/aseans-long-march-to-a-code-of-conduct-
in-the-south-china-sea.html
“Vietnam: China a Partner of Cooperation and Object of Struggle,” CPI Analysis, China
Policy Institute, University of Nottingham, September 11, 2017.
https://cpianalysis.org/2017/09/11/vietnam-china-a-partner-of-cooperation-and-
object-of-struggle/
“Vietnam’s Foreign Policy in an Era of Rising Sino-US Competition and Increasing
Domestic Political Influence,” Asian Security, 3(2017), 183-199.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14799855.2017.1354570.
Other Publications:
“Vietnam and the South China Sea’s Roiled Waters,” Asia and the Pacific Policy Forum,
January 30, 2017. https://www.policyforum.net/vietnam-south-china-seas-roiled-
waters/.
 3

“Chinese takeout: The Trump administration adds uncertainty to the standoff in the
South China,” The Security Times, Special Edition of The Atlantic Times for the 53rd
Munich Security Conference, February 2017, p. 25.
https://www.securityconference.de/en/discussion/the-security-times/.
“Vietnam’s strategies in the South China Sea,” East Asia Forum, July 28, 2017.
http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2017/07/28/vietnams-strategies-in-the-south-china-
sea/#more-79021.
The Diplomat Magazine
“Maritime Disputes,” The Diplomat Magazine, Issue No. 26, January 2017, 25-27.
http://magazine.thediplomat.com/#/issues/-KZUQc3lhZb_ptOmUZAl/read.
“Dead in the Water: The South China Sea Arbitral Award, One Year Later,” The
Diplomat Magazine, No. 32, July 2017. http://magazine.thediplomat.com/#/issues/-
Kn854zX8kS8j5zNjSvP/read.
The Diplomat (Internet Edition)
“Is a New China-Vietnam Maritime Crisis Brewing in the South China Sea?’ , June 29,
2017 http://thediplomat.com/2017/06/is-a-new-china-vietnam-maritime-crisis-
brewing-in-the-south-china-sea/.
“Alarming Escalation in the South China Sea: China Threatens Force if Vietnam
Continues Oil Exploration in Spratlys,” The Diplomat, July 24, 2017.
http://thediplomat.com/2017/07/alarming-escalation-in-the-south-china-sea-china-
threatens-force-if-vietnam-continues-oil-exploration-in-spratlys/.
Interview Transcripts
“Carl Thayer: Final formal COC could be delayed until 2018,” Hanoi Times, May 16,
2017. http://hanoitimes.com.vn/news/defend-the-
sovereignty/2017/05/81E0B23E/carl-thayer-final-formal-coc-could-be-delayed-until-
2018/.
Mai Van, “Vũ khí : Hàng giá rẻ khác của Trung Quốc tại Đông Nam Á,” Radio France
Internationale, September 15, 2017; http://vi.rfi.fr/chau-a/20170915-vu-khi-hang-
gia-re-khac-cua-trung-quoc-dang-tran-vao-dong-nam-a.
2016
Major publications:
“After the Ruling: Lawfare in the South China Sea,” The Diplomat Magazine, no. 21,
August 2016. 1-18, http://magazine.thediplomat.com/#/issues/-
KN_NWvIeCtf3lVXufVR/read.
“Managing Security Tensions in the South China Sea: The Role of ASEAN,” in David
Brewster ed., Indo-Pacific Maritime Security: Challenges and Cooperation (Canberra:
National Security College, Crawford School of Public Policy, ANU College of the Asia &
the Pacific, The Australian National University, July 2016), 25-30.
“The Militarisation of the South China Sea,” in Asia-Pacific Regional Security
Assessment 2016: Key Developments and Trends (London and Singapore: International
Institute of Security Studies, 2016), 55-72.
 4

“Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold: A Vietnamese Perspective on China-US Relations,” in Bo
Zhiyue, ed., China-US Relations in Global Perspective (Wellington: Victoria University
Press, 2016), 215-238.
“Review of the Implementation of the 2000 ASEAN-China DOC and COC and
Challenges,” in ASEAN-China Joint Working Group on the Implementation of the DOC,
Seminar-Workshop on the Implementation of the 2002 ASEAN-China Declaration on
the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea (DOC), 14-15 May 2015, Manila,
Philippines Proceedings (Manila: Department of Foreign Affairs, Republic of the
Philippines, 2015), 22-36.
“The Southeast Asia Claimant States, ASEAN, and the South China Sea Dispute,” in
The South China Sea in the Broader Maritime Security of the Indo-Pacific Region,
NASSP Issue Brief Series, National Asian Security Studies Program Issue Brief No. 6.1,
December 2016, 1-9.
https://www.unsw.adfa.edu.au/sites/default/files/uploads/nassp-
pdf/6.1%2C%20The%20Southeast%20Asia%20Claimant%20States%2C...pdf
“Vietnam’s Proactive International Integration: Case Studies in Defence Cooperation,”
Tap Chi Khoa Hoc [Journal of Science, Vietnam National University], 32(1S), 2016, 25-48.
“Vietnam’s Strategy of ‘Cooperating and Struggling’ with China over Maritime
Disputes in the South China Sea,” Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs,
3(2), 2016, 200-220.
Minor publications:
“Vietnamese Diplomacy, 1975-2015: From Member of the Socialist Camp to Proactive
International Integration,” Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS Article No:
0004/2016, January 6, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=203.
“South China Sea: Chinese Civilian Aircraft Lands on Fiery Cross Reef,” Chennai Centre
for China Studies, CAS Article No: 0008/2016, January 8, 2016.
http://www.caschennai.org/?p=212.
“South China Sea: Flights to Fiery Cross Reef the New Normal,” Chennai Centre for
China Studies, CAS Article No. 0011/2016, January 11, 2016.
http://www.caschennai.org/?p=219.
“After Natuna Incident, South China Sea Tensions Likely to Get Worse Before They Get
Better,” Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS Article No. 0046/2016, March 23, 2016.
http://www.caschennai.org/?p=328.
“South China Sea: China’s Plans for Scarborough Shoal,” Chennai Centre for China
Studies, CAS Article No. 0057/2016, April 15, 2016.
http://www.caschennai.org/?p=358.
ASEAN Secretariat Rescinds China-ASEAN Joint Statement,” Chennai Centre for China
Studies, CAS Article No. 0094/2016, June 15, 2016.
http://www.caschennai.org/?p=452.
“Revealed: The Truth Behind ASEAN’s Retracted Kunming Statement,” Chennai Centre
for China Studies, CAS Article No. 0098/2016, June 21, 2016.
http://www.caschennai.org/?p=462.
 5

“After the Ruling: Lawfare in the South China Sea,” Chennai Centre for China Studies,
CAS Article No. 0130/2016, August 3, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=549.
“Managing Security Tensions in the South China Sea: The Role of ASEAN,” Chennai
Centre for China Studies, CAS Article No. 0133/2016, August 5, 2016.
http://www.caschennai.org/?p=555.
“Vietnam’s Strategy of ‘Cooperating and Struggling’ With China Over Maritime
Disputes in the South China Sea,” Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS Article No.
0132/2016, August 5, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=553.
The Diplomat
“After Natuna Incident, South China Sea Tensions Likely to Get Worse Before They Get
Better,” The Diplomat, March 22, 2016. http://thediplomat.com/2016/03/after-
natuna-incident-south-china-sea-tensions-likely-to-get-worse-before-they-get-
better/.
“Australian Intelligence: China Poised to Take 'Decisive and Provocative' Action in the
South China Sea,” The Diplomat, April 15, 2016.
http://thediplomat.com/2016/04/australian-intelligence-china-poised-to-take-
decisive-and-provocative-action-in-the-south-china-sea/.
“The ASEAN-China Special Meeting Mystery: Bureaucratic Snafu or Chinese Heavy-
Handedness?,” The Diplomat, June 17, 2016. http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/the-
asean-china-special-meeting-mystery-bureaucratic-snafu-or-chinese-heavy-
handedness/.
“Revealed: The Truth Behind ASEAN's Retracted Kunming Statement,” The Diplomat,
June 19, 2016. http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/revealed-the-truth-behind-aseans-
retracted-kunming-statement/.
Interviews
“'Trung Quốc sẽ tăng hoạt động trên đảo bồi lấp',” Zing News.VN, January 8, 2016.
http://news.zing.vn/Trung-Quoc-se-tang-hoat-dong-tren-dao-boi-lap-
post616515.html.
“Giàn khoan HD981 Trung Quốc và Đại hội Đảng lần thứ 12,” Radio France
Internationale, January 21, 2016. http://vi.rfi.fr/viet-nam/20160121-giao-su-thayer-
trung-quoc-ha-dat-gian-khoan-hd981-vao-thoi.
“'Mỹ có thể tăng độ phức tạp của tuần tra ở Biển Đông',” Zing New.VN, February 1,
2016. http://news.zing.vn/My-co-the-tang-do-phuc-tap-cua-tuan-tra-o-Bien-Dong-
post623571.html.
“Ý đồ quân sự hoá Biển Đông của Trung Quốc - những bằng chứng mới nhất,” Lao
Dong Newspaper, April 14, 2016. http://laodong.com.vn/the-gioi/y-do-quan-su-hoa-
bien-dong-cua-trung-quoc-nhung-bang-chung-moi-nhat-540440.bld.
“Trung Quốc trả đũa phán quyết của Tòa Trọng tài thường trực,” Phap Luat, April 19,
2016. http://plo.vn/the-gioi/phan-tich-binh-luan/trung-quoc-tra-dua-phan-quyet-
cua-toa-trong-tai-thuong-truc-624101.html.
 6

“Giáo sư Carl Thayer: Ngoại trưởng Nga thiếu cân nhắc với bình luận Biển Đông,” Du
Nhat Dang, Thanh Nien, April 20, 2016. http://thanhnien.vn/the-gioi/giao-su-carl-
thayer-ngoai-truong-nga-thieu-can-nhac-voi-binh-luan-bien-dong-693623.html.
“'TQ đang tạo vỏ bọc cho mục đích thâm sâu ở Biển Đông',” ZingNews, April 20, 2016.
http://news.zing.vn/tq-dang-tao-vo-boc-cho-muc-dich-tham-sau-o-bien-dong-
post643366.html.
“Trung Quốc lại ngăn chặn một tuyên bố của ASEAN về Biển Đông,” Radio France
Internationale, June 15, 2016. http://vi.rfi.fr/chau-a/20160615-trung-quoc-lai-ngan-
chan-mot-tuyen-bo-cua-asean-ve-bien-dong.
“GS Thayer: Trung Quốc đang tăng hăm dọa sau phán quyết 'đường lưỡi bò',”
VNExpress, August 11, 2016. http://vnexpress.net/tin-tuc/the-gioi/phan-tich/gs-
thayer-trung-quoc-dang-tang-ham-doa-sau-phan-quyet-duong-luoi-bo-
3450421.html.
2015
“China and ASEAN,” Studies on China, No. 3, Mahendra Gaur, ed., Foreign Policy
Research Institute, Country-specific Study Project, New Delhi, January 2015. 208-215.
The Diplomat
“China and Vietnam Eschew Megaphone Diplomacy,” The Diplomat, January 2, 2015.
http://thediplomat.com/2015/01/china-and-vietnam-eschew-megaphone-
diplomacy/.
2014
Major publications:
“An ‘Early Harvest’ Package for the Code of Conduct in the South China Sea,” in
Proceedings of International Conference on East Sea Disputes (July 25-26, 2014), Ho
Chi Minh City: Ton Duc Thang University, 2014. 277-292.
“ASEAN and China Consultations on a Code of Conduct in the South China Sea:
Prospects and Obstacles,” in Security and Cooperation in the South China Sea.
Moscow: Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, 2014, 34-49.
“China and Vietnam square off in war of attrition over disputed waters,” Asian
Currents (Asian Studies Association of Australia), June 16, 2014.
http://asaablog.tumblr.com/post/88949660696/china-and-vietnam-square-off-in-
war-of-attrition-over.
“China-ASEAN and the South China Sea: Chinese Assertiveness and Southeast Asian
Responses,” in Yann-huei Song and Keyuan Zou, eds., Major Law and Policy Issues in
the South China Sea: European and American Perspectives. Contemporary Issues in the
South China Sea. Farnham: Ashgate Publishing Inc., 2014. 25-53.
“Sovereignty Disputes in the South China Sea: Diplomacy, Legal Regimes and
Realpolitik,” in Vladimir Kolotov ed., Proceedings of the International Conference on
Topical Regional Security Issues in East Asia. St. Petersburg: Faculty of Asian and
African Studies and the Ho Chi Minh Institute, St. Petersburg State University, 2013.
308-352.
 7

Minor publications:
“China and ASEAN,” Country-Specific Studies Project, Foreign Policy Research Centre,
New Delhi. November 3, 2014.www.fprc.in.
“China Escalates Fishing Disputes in the South China Sea,”cogitASIA (A blog of the CSIS
Asia House). January 13, 2014. http://cogitasia.com/china-escalates-fishing-disputes-
in-the-south-china-sea/
“Can ASEAN Respond to the Chinese Challenge?,” YaleGlobal Online, March 18, 2014.
http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/content/can-asean-respond-chinese-challenge..
“ASEAN, Trung Quoc và Bo quy tac ung xu trên Bien Đông [ASEAN, China and the Code
of Conduct in the South China Sea],” Nghien Cuu Quoc Te,
http://nghiencuuquocte.net/2014/03/27/asean-trung-quoc-va-
coc/#sthash.Z2qiexBa.dpuf, March 27, 2014.
“Vietnam’s Foreign Policy: New Vocabulary or New Reconceptualization?,” cogitASIA,
March 30, 2014. http://cogitasia.com/vietnams-foreign-policy-new-vocabulary-or-
new-reconceptualization/.
“Le Premier ministre chinois Li Keqiang au Vietnam,” Étude quadrimestrielle n°1, cycle 2013-
2014, Asia Centre, Observatoire Asie du Sud-est (Paris), Mars 2014, 13-15.
http://www.centreasia.eu/sites/default/files/publications_pdf/etude_etude_quadri
mestrielle_n_1_janv2014.pdf.
“The China-Vietnam Standoff: How Will It End?,” ChinaFile, May 9, 2014.
http://www.chinafile.com/Chna-Vietnam-Standoff-How-Will-It-End.
“Oil Rig Crisis Threatens China-Vietnam Ties,” World Politics Review, June 3, 2014.
http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/trend-lines/13832/oil-rig-crisis-threatens-
booming-china-vietnam-ties.
“China-Vietnam Oilrig Crisis and Strategic Trust,” China-US Focus, June 30, 2014.
http://www.chinausfocus.com/foreign-policy/china-vietnam-oilrig-crisis-and-
strategic-trust-2/..
“China-Vietnam Establish Defense Hot Line – What’s Next?,” cogitAsia, October 23,
2014. http://cogitasia.com/china-vietnam-establish-defense-hot-line-whats-next/.
The Diplomat
“China's New Fishing Regulations: An Act of State Piracy?” The Diplomat, January 13,
2014. http://thediplomat.com/2014/01/chinas-new-fishing-regulations-an-act-of-
state-piracy/.
“What if China Did Invade Pag-asa Island?” The Diplomat, January 16, 2014.
http://thediplomat.com/2014/01/what-if-china-did-invade-pag-asa-island/.
“Tensions Set To Rise In The South China Sea, The Diplomat, February 19, 2014.
http://thediplomat.com/2014/02/tensions-set-to-rise-in-the-south-china-sea/.
“South China Sea: Regional States Push Back Against China,” The Diplomat, April 7,
2014. http://thediplomat.com/2014/04/south-china-sea-regional-states-push-back-
against-china/.
 8

“China's Oil Rig Gambit: South China Sea Game-Changer?,” The Diplomat, May 12,
2014. http://thediplomat.com/2014/05/chinas-oil-rig-gambit-south-china-sea-game-
changer/.
“Vietnam Mulling New Strategies to Deter China,” The Diplomat, May 28, 2014.
http://thediplomat.com/2014/05/vietnam-mulling-new-strategies-to-deter-china/.
“China’s Information Warfare Campaign and the South China Sea: Bring It On!” The
Diplomat, June 16, 2014. http://thediplomat.com/2014/06/chinas-information-
warfare-campaign-and-the-south-china-sea-bring-it-on/.
“4 Reasons China Removed Oil Rig HYSY-981 Sooner Than Planned,” The Diplomat,
July 22, 2014. http://thediplomat.com/2014/07/4-reasons-china-removed-oil-rig-
hysy-981-sooner-than-planned/.
“Vietnam, China and the Oil Rig Crisis: Who Blinked?,” The Diplomat, August 4, 2014.
http://thediplomat.com/2014/08/vietnam-china-and-the-oil-rig-crisis-who-blinked/.
Can Vietnam's Maritime Strategy Counter China?” The Diplomat, September 29, 2014.
http://thediplomat.com/2014/09/can-vietnams-maritime-strategy-counter-china/.
“Why the Upcoming China-Vietnam Defense Ministers Meeting is Immensely
Important,” The Diplomat, October 17, 2014. http://thediplomat.com/2014/10/why-
the-upcoming-china-vietnam-defense-ministers-meeting-is-immensely-important/.
“China-Vietnam Defense Hotline Agreed: What Next?,” The Diplomat, October 20,
2014. http://thediplomat.com/2014/10/china-vietnam-defense-hotline-agreed-
what-next/.
“How Vietnam Woos China and India Simultaneously,” The Diplomat, October 28,
2014. http://thediplomat.com/2014/10/how-vietnam-woos-china-and-india-
simultaneously/.
2013
Major publications:
“ASEAN, China and the Code of Conduct in the South China Sea,” The SAIS Review of
International Affairs, 33(2), Summer-Fall 2013, 75-84.
“China’s New Wave of Aggressive Assertiveness in the South China Sea," in Emile Kok-
Kheng Yeoh, ed., China: Developmental Model, State-Civil Societal Interplay and
Foreign Relations, Institute of China Studies, 2003-2013, ICS 10th Anniversary
Commemorative Anthology. Kuala Lumpur: Institute of China Studies and University
of Malaya Press, 2013. 623-651.
Minor publications:
The Diplomat
“China-ASEAN Joint Development Overshadowed by South China Sea,” The Diplomat,
October 25, 2013. http://thediplomat.com/flashpoints-blog/2013/10/25/china-
asean-joint-development-overshadowed-by-south-china-sea/.
2012
 9

“Aggressive Assertiveness: Beijing Ratchets Up Pressure in South China Sea,” Defense

News, January 18, 2012.
http://www.defensenews.com/article/20120118/DEFFEAT05/201180306/Aggressive
-Assertiveness?odyssey=mod|newswell|text|FRONTPAGE|p
"ASEAN’S Code of Conduct in the South China Sea: A Litmus Test for Community-
Building?" The Asia-Pacific Journal, Vol. 10, Issue 34, No. 4, August 20, 2012, 1-23.
“Behind the Scenes of ASEAN’s Breakdown,” cogitAsia [Center for Strategic &
International Studies, Washington, D.C.], July 26, 2012. http://cogitasia.com/behind-
the-scenes-of-aseans-breakdown/
“Behind the scenes of ASEAN’s Breakdown,” Asia Times Online, July 27, 2012.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/NG27Ae03.html.
“Code of Conduct in the South China Sea Undermined by ASEAN Disarray,” U.S. Naval
Institute, July 19, 2012. http://news.usni.org/news-analysis/news/code-conduct-
south-china-sea-undermined-asean-disarray
“Diplomatic Currents Running Strong in the South China Sea,” East Asia Forum, April
4, 2012. http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2012/04/04/diplomatic-currents-running-
strong-in-the-south-china-sea/
“The Rise of China and Maritime Security in Southeast Asia,” IDE-JETRO. Tokyo:
Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization, 2012.
http://www.ide.go.jp/Japanese/Publish/Download/Seisaku/120208.html
“Vietnam looking to play pivotal role with both China and US,” Asian Review, The
Global Times (Beijing), July 25, 2012, 13.
“Vietnam On the Road to Global Integration: Forging Strategic Partnerships Through
International Security Cooperation,” in Vietnam on the Road to Integration and
Sustainable Development, The Fourth International Conference on Vietnamese
Studies. Hanoi: Vietnam Academy of Social Sciences and Vietnam National University,
2012. 206-214.
2011
“Aggressive Assertiveness: Beijing Ratchets Up Pressure in South China Sea,” Op Ed,
Defense News, June 12, 2011, online edition.
“China’s New Wave of Aggressive Assertiveness in the South China Sea,” The
International Journal of China Studies [Institute of China Studies, University of
Malaya], 2(3), December 2011, 555-583.
“Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea and Southeast Asian Responses,”
Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 30(2), 2011, 77-104.
“Recent Developments in the South China Sea: Grounds for Cautious Optimism,” in
Tran Truong Thuy, ed., The South China Sea: Towards a Region of Peace, Security and
Cooperation. Hanoi: The Gioi Publishers, 2011. 117-140.
“Security Cooperation in the South China Sea: An Assessment of Recent Trends,” in
The South China Sea Reader, National Security Review special edition, Papers and
Proceedings of the Manila Conference on the South China Sea: Toward A Region of
 10

Peace, Cooperation and Progress, July 5-6, 2011, Manila, Philippines. Manila: National
Defense College of the Philippines, Foreign Service Institute and Diplomatic Academy
of Vietnam, 2011. 13-40.
“South China Sea: ASEAN and China,” East Asia Forum, July 14, 2011.
http://www.eastasiaforum.org/
“The South China Sea: China’s ‘Indisputable Sovereignty’ Versus America’s ‘National
Interest’,” China-U.S. Focus, June 23, 2011. http://www.chinausfocus.com/
“South China Sea: A Commons for China Only?,” YaleGlobal Online, July 7, 2011.
http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/content/south-china-sea-commons-china-only.
“South China Sea Two-Step,” Opinion Editorial, The Wall Street Journal, November 25-
27, 2011, 12.
“To China, the South China Sea Is Its Sovereign Domain,” Jakarta Globe, July 11, 2011.
“The Tyranny of Geography: Vietnamese Strategies to Constrain China in the South
China Sea,” Contemporary Southeast Asia, 33(3), 2011, 348-369.
“Vietnam’s Relations with China and the United States,” in Ky Yeu Hoi Thao Quoc Te
Vai Tro Cua Viet Nam Trong Khu Vuc Chau A-Thai Binh Duong (Proceedings of
International Workshop on The Role of Vietnam in the Asia-Pacific), co-sponsored by
Rosa Luxemburg Stiftung and Khoa Quoc Te Hoc (Faculty of International Studies),
Truong Dai Hoc Khoa Hoc Xa Hoi va Nhan Van (Social Sciences and Humanities
University), Dai Hoc Quoc Gia Ha Noi (National University of Vietnam Hanoi). Hanoi:
Nha Xuat Ban The Gioi (The World Publishing House), 2011. 7-66.
2010
Recent Developments in the South China Sea: Grounds for Cautious Optimism?, RSIS
Working Paper No. 220, Singapore: S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies,
Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, December 14, 2010. 33pp.
“Recent Developments in the South China Sea: Implications for Peace, Stability and
Cooperation in the Region,” in Tran Truong Thuy, ed., The South China Sea:
Cooperation for Regional Security and Development: Proceedings of the International
Workshop co-organized by the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam and the Vietnam
Lawyers’ Association, 26-27 November 2009, Hanoi, Vietnam. Hanoi: Nha Xuat Ban
The Gioi, 2010. 125-138.
“The South China Sea Dispute: A Review of Developments and Their Implications since
the 2002 Declaration on the Conduct of Parties,” in K. V. Kesavan and Daljit Singh,
eds., South and Southeast Asia: Responding to Changing Geo-Political and Security
Challenges. Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies and New Delhi: KW
Publishers Pvt Ltd, 2010. 57-72 (with Ian Storey).
“Vietnam and Rising China: The Structural Dynamics of Mature Asymmetry,” in Daljit
Singh, ed., Southeast Asian Affairs 2010. Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian
Studies, 2010. 392-409.
2009
 11

“Nhung Dien Bien Gan Day o Bien Dong: He Luy Doi Voi Hoa Binh, On Dinh va Phat
trien o Khu Vuc [Recent Developments in the South China Sea: Implications for
Regional Peace, Stability and Cooperation],” in Dang Dinh Quy, editor, Bien Dong Hoc
Tac Vi An Ninh Phat Trien Trong Khu Vuc. Ky yeu Hoi thao Khoa hoc Quoc te do Hoc
vien Ngoai giao va Ho Luat gia to chuc tai Hanoi, ngay 26-27 thang 11 nam 2009
(Hanoi: Nha Xuat Ban The Gioi, 2009), 158-172.
2008
“The Structure of Vietnam-China Relations, 1991-2008,” Journal of International
Culture [Chosun University], (December 2008), 1(2), 45-98.
2007
“China’s International Security Cooperation with Southeast Asia,” Australian Defence
Force Journal. No. 172, 2007. 16-32.
2002
“Vietnamese Perspectives of the ‘China Threat’,” in Herbert Yee and Ian James Storey,
eds., The China Threat: Perceptions, Myths and Reality. London: RoutledgeCurzon
Taylor & Francis Group, 2002. 265-287.
2001
“Cam Ranh Bay: Past Imperfect, Future Conditional,” Contemporary Southeast Asia,
23(3), December 2001, 452-473 (with Ian James Storey).
"China-ASEAN Relations: Making the Rounds," Comparative Connections: An E-Journal
on East Asian Bilateral Relations (Honolulu: Pacific Forum-CSIS), 3(2), 2nd Quarter, July
2001. 60-67.
“China-ASEAN Relations: Regional Rivalries and Bilateral Irritants,” Comparative
Connections: An E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations (Honolulu: Pacific Forum-
CSIS), 3(1), 1st Quarter, April 2001. 58-69.
http://www.csis.org/pacfor/cc/0101Qchina_asean.html
“China-Southeast Asia Relations: Developing Multilateral Cooperation,” Comparative
Connections: An E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations (Honolulu: Pacific Forum-
CSIS), 3(3), 3rd Quarter, October 2001. 71-79.
http://www.csis.org/pacfor/cc/0103Qchina_asean.html
“China’s Strategy to Counter U.S. Power and Presence: Southeast Asian Reactions,” in
Bonnie Glaser, Project Director, Consultancy Report on Regional Reactions to China’s
Strategy to Counter U.S. Power and Presence (U). Office of the Secretary of
Defense/International Security Affairs, Washington, D. C., December 2001. 11pp.
“Scramble for Cam Ranh Bay as Russia prepares to withdraw,” Jane’s Intelligence
Review, December 2001, 34-37. (with Ian James Storey).
2000
“China Consolidates Its Long-Term Bilateral Relations with Southeast Asia,“
Comparative Connections: An E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations (Honolulu:
Pacific Forum-CSIS), 2(2), 2nd Quarter, July 2000. 62-72.
http://www.csis.org/pacfor/cc/002Qchina_asean.html
 12

“China-ASEAN: Tensions Promote Discussions on a Code of Conduct,” Comparative

Connections: A Quarterly E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations (Honolulu: Pacific
Forum-CSIS), 2(1), 1st Quarter, April 2000, 51-60.
http://www.csis.org/pacfor/ccjournal.html
“China Consolidates Long-Term Regional Relations,” Comparative Connections: A
Quarterly E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations (Honolulu: Pacific Forum-CSIS),
1(3), 4th Quarter, January 2000. 47-54. http://www.csis.org/pacfor/ccjournal.html
“The China Factor,” Vietnam Business Journal, February 2000 internet version.
“China‘s ‘New Security Concept’ and ASEAN,” Comparative Connections: An E-Journal
on East Asian Bilateral Relations (Honolulu: Pacific Forum-CSIS), 2(3), 3rd Quarter,
October 2000. 65-75. http://www.csis.org/pacfor/cc/003Qchina_asean.html
1999
“Beijing Plans for a Long-Term Partnership and Benefits from Anti-Western Sentiment:
China and ASEAN Relations (July-September 1999),” Comparative Connections: A
Quarterly E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations [Honolulu: Pacific Forum-CSIS],
1(2), 3rd Quarter, October 1999. 39-44.
http://www.csis.org/pacfor/cc/993Qchina_asean.html.
“China and ASEAN Relations: Some Progress, Along with Disagreements and Disarray,”
Comparative Connections: A Quarterly E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations
[Honolulu: Pacific Forum-CSIS], 1(1), 2nd Quarter, July 1999. 37-41.
http://www.csis.org/pacfor/ccejournal.html
“Vietnamese Foreign Policy: Multilateralism and the Threat of Peaceful Evolution,” in
Carlyle A. Thayer and Ramses Amer, eds., Vietnamese Foreign Policy in Transition.
Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 1999. 1-24.
1995
“Vietnam’s Strategic Readjustment,” in Stuart Harris and Gary Klintworth, eds., China
as a Great Power: Myths, Realities and Challenges in the Asia-Pacific Region.
Melbourne: Longmann Australia Pty Ltd. and New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1995, 185-
201.
1994
“Sino-Vietnamese Relations: The Interplay of Ideology and National Interest,” Asian
Survey, June 1994, vol. xxxiv, no. 6, 513-528.
“Vietnam: Coping with China,” in Daljit Singh, ed., Southeast Asian Affairs 1994
(Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 1994). 351-367.
1992
“Comrade Plus Brother: The New Sino-Vietnamese Relations,” The Pacific Review, vol.
5, no. 4, (September 1992), 402-406.
 13

Suggested citation: Carlyle A. Thayer, “Select Bibliography of Thayer Publications on

Vietnamese Foreign Policy and Vietnam-China Relations, 1992-2020,” Thayer
Consultancy Background Brief, October 12, 2020. All background briefs are posted on
Scribd.com (search for Thayer). To remove yourself from the mailing list type,
UNSUBSCRIBE in the Subject heading and hit the Reply key.
Thayer Consultancy provides political analysis of current regional security issues and
other research support to selected clients. Thayer Consultancy was officially
registered as a small business in Australia in 2002.