Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
VICTOR A. ABOLA
Its per capita income was higher than most more importance. Universal and commer-
Asian countries and its educational and cial banks (UKBs) particularly increased
political levels were at par with the United their share of financial system assets from
States (USAID, 1999). But that promise has 55.9% in 1980 to 72.8% in 2015. Since the fig-
remained unfulfilled. ures exclude trust assets (another 16.7% of
I
n the early 1960s, the Philippines as a the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) and has buyers and sellers in the capital market and
developing country and its capital mar- reached 115.2% by 2015. developers of new financial products for it.
kets appeared to be of great promise. Second, the banking sector has gained Among NBFIs, pension funds are the
20
10
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Market
Source: World Bank
In 1996, the market capitalization to GDP Table 2: Compounded Annual Growth Rates PSEi, 2000-2015
ratio (MCG ratio) of the Philippines peaked
at 97.3% before succumbing to the Asian Fi-
nancial Crisis (AFC) and political problems. 2000-05 2006-10 2010-15 2000-15
MCG had an upward trend from 2003 and
reached 101.2% in 2015, breaking the 1996 PSEi 7.0% 14.9% 10.6% 10.8%
record-- interrupted only by the Global Fi-
nancial Crisis (GFC). (Figure 1). Financial 3.7% 10.0% 7.2%
on real-time and summarized in two main PSEi’s Price-Earnings (PE) ratio also has in Table 3. Notably, it raised $1 B or more
stock price indices. One is the 30-share Phil- been rising (ref. Figure 2). Dividend yields since 2010, reaching a peak in 2012. The
ippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi), and the have been on the low side—usually from slowdown in IPOs may be due to the scarci-
other is the overall All Shares Index and six 0.3% to 2.5%, with some notable exceptions. ty of candidates.
sectoral indices. Fund-raising through IPOs and Stock Valeroso (2012), studying 69 firm IPOs
Settlement of trades is T+3 under a rights offerings has been rising as detailed during 1997-2010, found average open-
scripless system. PSE’s subsidiary, Securi-
ties Clearing Corp. Of the Philippines acts
as settlement coordinator, risk manager for Table 3: New Capital Raised in Stock Market, 2006-2015 (P Millions)
broker transactions, and administrator of
the trade guaranty fund.
Total New
While the country has no stock index No. of Avg IPO Stock
IPO Capital in US$
futures market, PSE in 2013 teamed up with IPOs Size Rights
Raised
the Singapore Exchange to launch SGX-PSE
MSCI Philippines Index Futures in Singapore. 2006 4 6,382.24 25,528.96 2,283.98 27,812.94 542.01
Point Times
9,000 30
8,000
6,000 20
5,000
15
4,000
3,000 10
2,000
5
1,000
0 0
Dec-95
Dec-96
Dec-97
Dec-98
Dec-99
Dec-00
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Jun-16
Source: Bloomberg
Figure 3: 10-yr T-bond Yields and Inflation Rate, May 2005 to May 2016
%
14
12
10
0
Jan-14
May-14
Jan-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
Jan-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Sep-14
May-15
Sep-09
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
May-11
May-05
Sep-05
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-06
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
May-09
through the country’s central bank. Since interest income is imposed even on GS. In 2006 BTr introduced bond ex-
1994, the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) han- The nearly fivefold growth of the GS changes/swaps to smooth and lengthen
dles issuances of government securities market from 1995 to 2015 may be seen in its debt maturity profile and to establish
(GS)—for both T-bills and Treasury bonds Table 4. Prior to 2000, T-bills dominated the liquid benchmarks for long-term financ-
(long-term T-bonds or FXTNs) with tenors issuances. In 2001, NG began issuing retail ing to support government/private sector
up to 25 years. BTr auctions are open to treasury bonds (RTBs) to provide small re- initiatives, e.g., PPP for infrastructures, etc.
37 Government Securities Eligible Dealers tail investors’ access to GS with P5,000 as (Asian Development Bank, 2012) The first
(GSEDs), which bridge the issuances from the smallest denomination and limiting bond exchange in 2006 involved bonds ma-
the government to public investors. (BTr GSED’s holdings of RTBs. turing until 2009 which swapped for Php
website) Moreover, as interest rates were fall- 490 B of fresh 3-, 5-, and 7-year T-bonds.
Philippine Dealing and Exchange ing (Figure 3), the government issued more Thereafter, bond exchanges became more
(PDeX) handles all transactions since 2006 T-bonds which now account for 93.2% of frequent (Dispo & Abola, 2015).
together with the Registry of Scripless Se- the outstanding value of regular issues of In a 2010 initiative, NG issued mul-
curities (ROSS). Settlements are at end-of- GS and 2.33x the value of RTBs. Dispo and ticurrency retail treasury bonds (MRTB)
day net offsetting of GSED accounts with Abola (2015) noted that with more T-bond to help overseas Filipino workers (OFWs)
the BSP. A 20% final withholding tax on issuances NG cash flows improved. and migrant Filipinos safeguard their for-
Table 4: Outstanding Value of Regular Issue Government Securities, 1995-2015 (in Billion Pesos)
4-yr - - 3.35 -
3-yr - - 58.87 -
10-yr - - - 194.03
15-yr - - - 95.81
20-yr - - - 132.68
25-yr - - - 179.13
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
eign currency savings. The first tranche Table 5: Yields on Long-term PH Government Bonds
amounted to USD400 M and EUR75 M. As
incentive to OFWs, NG assumed the 20%
final withholding tax on the bonds’ interest Sep-02 Apr-16
income. (Asian Development Bank, 2012)
1-year 7.17 2.33
Antonio and Abola (2005) noted the
challenge of T-bills commanding yields 2-year 9.2 3.23
higher than similar tenored time depos-
its. They cited market imperfection due to 5-year 11.78 3.52
buyers’ side weakness coupled with strong
market power of UKBs as a possible cause. 10-year 12.58 4.63
Secondary Market Development Source: Asian Wall Street Journal & Philippine Dealing Exchange
market transactions; and (5) lack of inves- ed four factors, namely, (a) lack of manda- on 2-way quotation violation, (c) provide
tor interest. tory listing, (b) lack of credible credit rating for a successor benchmark/formula to
The first has remained a concern agencies, (c) misalignment of accounting PDST-F which is no longer a benchmark
since banks still hold large amounts of GS, and auditing standards to international starting April 1, 2015 and (d) make bid-ask
and this may decline only with the emer- standards and (d) lack of standards for quotes binding and computerize match-
gence of a much bigger corporate bond good corporate governance. ing of trades; (4) improve the PDST-R1 and
market. The first two remain as challenges, PDST-R2 guidelines so that benchmark
Secondly, inefficient trading system while the last two have been resolved. yields avoid being distorted by illiquid is-
occurred at that time with one-on-one, Since 2007, the country has been sues; and (5) improve the settlement sys-
barter-like trading system. Largely solving following International Accounting Stan- tem through the inclusion of settlement
this, PDeX’s electronic trading platform, dards (IAS) wherein the Philippine Finan- and/or funding advise and investment in
albeit imperfect, has improved efficiency cial Reporting Standards (PFRS) are es- infrastructure upgrade.
and lessened transaction costs. sentially consistent with the International With regard to legal and regulatory
The third is no longer an issue since Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). issues, the policy recommendations in-
large banks have sizeable GS holdings and After the AFC erupted, the private clude: (1) reduce SEC fees and documen-
often act as de facto market makers. sector launched the Institute of Corporate tary stamp taxes in line with international
As seen earlier, documentary stamp Directors (ICD). ICD aimed to determine standards; (2) enforce stricter regulation
taxes on secondary trading of debt and eq- the key issues in governance and improve of banks in which buying of bonds should
uity instruments have been scrapped. it among East Asian economies and to not replace lending; (3) implement higher
The earlier problem of lack of in- identify and spread the best practices in obligatory allocations of credit resources
vestor interest, due to high and volatile corporate governance. Moreover, it issued for government-owned banks and lower
interest rates, market illiquidity and lack guidelines on Corporate Governance Re- obligatory allocations imposed on private
of market knowledge, is being addressed form, which are now in place. banks; and (4) craft a uniform tax rate (e.g.,
given the rising number of retail buyers. Thereafter, BSP adopted the Basel 10%) on all interest income and remove ex-
Besides, the rapid increase of mutual funds rules and standards on corporate gover- emptions, thus levelling the playing field.
and Unit Investment Trust Funds has pro- nance of 2010. PSE crafted a regularly up- In terms of institutional issues, the
vided greater understanding and demand dated handbook which contains guidelines recommendations include: (1) full im-
for bond investments. and best practices. In 2009, SEC issued a plementation of the 19-lenders rules and
revised code of corporate governance to sanctions as above; (2) lower the SEC reg-
Corporate Bond Market companies involved in the stock and bond istration fee schedule; (3) unify regulatory
The Philippine corporate bond mar- markets. responsibility to one government body or
ket includes long-term corporate bonds Besides, an ASEAN Corporate Gov- at least release joint circulars from BSP
and notes. The latter (classified as com- ernance Scorecard has been developed, and SEC to ensure uniform disclosure/
mercial papers) are originally issued to no in line with the OECD best practices and compliance requirements; (4) enhance the
more than 19 buyers, but are later trad- guidelines. Presently, listed Philippine credit rating system; and (5) avoid conflict
able. This enables firms to avoid an ini- companies have fared better, albeit with of interest of UKBs by disenfranchising
tial 20% final withholding tax, and certain room for further improvement, (Asian “universal banks” which have a blanket
registration requirements (e.g., prospectus, Development Bank, 2014) since the 2016 permission own thrift/rural banks, invest-
etc.). Since 2015 SEC allows shelf registra- awards to the top 50 ASEAN listed firms ment houses, and other NBFIs with qua-
tion (including both short-term and long- based on their Corporate Governance si-banking functions.
term debt papers). scores included 11 Philippine companies
Long-term corporate bonds/notes (ICD Website). Integration into ASEAN & the Future
outstanding rapidly grew from negligible Capital market integration within
levels in 2000 to US$ 17B or 5.9% of GDP Current Challenges and Reforms Needed ASEAN will likely lead to greater market li-
by 2015. Dispo and Abola (2015) discussed quidity, lower transaction costs and equity/
In November 2007, PDeX opened a some challenges faced by the Philippine bond premiums because of subscale trad-
trading board for corporate securities with bond market for which they also offered ing volumes and largely closed markets
the listing of a 5-year fixed-rate corporate detailed recommendations. They catego- through capital account restrictions in the
bond. In 2008, PDeX allowed the public to rize these into: Market Infrastructure, Le- smaller markets. Besides, it will promote a
trade through accredited brokers. This gal, Tax & Regulatory Aspects, Infrastruc- more resilient and robust financial market
led other large corporations, including ture & Institutional Aspects. to prevent the occurrence of another AFC
government corporations, to issue more Regarding market infrastructure, the like the 1997-98, crisis, provide access to
bonds. From 2006 to 2015, 89 firms, mostly reforms they suggested include: (1) man- a larger capital base, enhance economies
listed in PSE, issued bonds (Dispo and Ab- date all issuers to list all issuances in PDeX of scale, and provide more diversification
ola, 2015). Nonetheless, secondary trades to enable the investing public to liquidate possibilities for investors/lenders.
remained low with a bond turnover ratio their bonds at their discretion; (2) modify Despite the varying development of
of 4.9% in 2015. the 19-lender Rule to apply only to small local currency bonds and equities markets
companies’s tiny bond issuances enabling in the region, Park (2014) notes that inte-
Challenges of the Corporate Bond Market large issuances to be traded in PDeX to fos- gration is gradually happening. The mar-
Antonio and Abola (2005) identified ter greater liquidity in the secondary mar- kets are experiencing convergence since
challenges to the corporate bond market, ket; (3) Benchmark setting of PDeX: Revise 2000 especially among the financial mar-
apart from those in common with the GS Rules as to (a) require to quote PRICE upon kets in emerging Asia, including ASEAN.
market mentioned earlier. They highlight- entering an order, (b) impose penalties In sum, the Philippine GS bond mar-
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V I C TO R A . A B O L A , P H . D.