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Determining the Value of a Preferred Stock

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By INVESTOPEDIA STAFF
 Updated Jun 3, 2020
TABLE OF CONTENTS

 Features of Preferred Shares


 Valuation Models
 Growing Dividends
 Considerations
 The Bottom Line

Preferred shares have the qualities of stocks and bonds, which makes their
valuation a little different than common shares. The owners of preferred shares
are part owners of the company in proportion to the held stocks, just like common
shareholders.

Preferred shares are hybrid securities that combine some of the features of
common stock with that of corporate bonds.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

 Technically, they are equity securities, but they share many characteristics
with debt instruments since they pay consistent dividends and have no
voting rights.
 Preferred shareholders also have priority over a company's income,
meaning they are paid dividends before common shareholders and have
priority in the event of a bankruptcy.
 As a result, preferred shares must be valued using techniques such as
dividend growth models.
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Valuation Of A Preferred Stock

Unique Features of Preferred Shares


Preferred shares differ from common shares in that they have a preferential claim
on the assets of the company. That means in the event of a bankruptcy, the
preferred shareholders get paid before common shareholders.

In addition, preferred shareholders receive a fixed payment that's similar to a


bond issued by the company. The payment is in the form of a quarterly, monthly,
or yearly dividend, depending on the company's policy, and is the basis of the
valuation method for a preferred share.

Generally, the dividend is fixed as a percentage of the share price or a dollar


amount. This is usually a steady, predictable stream of income.

Valuation Models
If preferred stocks have a fixed dividend, then we can calculate the value by
discounting each of these payments to the present day. This fixed dividend is not
guaranteed in common shares. If you take these payments and calculate the
sum of the present values into perpetuity, you will find the value of the stock.

For example, if ABC Company pays a 25-cent dividend every month and the
required rate of return is 6% per year, then the expected value of the stock, using
the dividend discount approach, would be $50. The discount rate was divided by
12 to get 0.005, but you could also use the yearly dividend of $3 (0.25 x 12) and
divide it by the yearly discount rate of 0.06 to get $50. In other words, you need
to discount each dividend payment that's issued in the future back to the present,
then add each value together.

\begin{aligned} &V=\frac{D_{1}}{1+r}+\frac{D_{2}}
{(1+r)^{2}}\frac{D_{3}}{(1+r)^{3}}+\cdots+\frac{D_{n}}{(1+r)^{n}}\\
&\textbf{where:}\\ &V=\text{The value}\\ &D_1=\text{The dividend next
period} \end{aligned}V=1+rD1+(1+r)2D2(1+r)3D3+⋯+(1+r)nDn
where:V=The valueD1=The dividend next period
For example:

\begin{aligned} &V=\frac{\$0.25}{1.005}+\frac{\$0.25}{(1.005)^{2}}
+\frac{\$0.25}{(1.005)^{3}}+\cdots+\frac{\$0.25}{(1.005)^{n}}\\ &V=\
$0.249 + \$0.248 +\cdots \end{aligned}V=1.005$0.25+(1.005)2$0.25
+(1.005)3$0.25+⋯+(1.005)n$0.25V=$0.249+$0.248+⋯
Because every dividend is the same we can reduce this equation down to:
\begin{aligned}&V=\frac{D}{r}\\&V=\frac{\$0.25}{0.005}\end{aligned}
V=rDV=0.005$0.25

Growing Dividends
If the dividend has a history of predictable growth, or the company states a
constant growth will occur, you need to account for this. The calculation is known
as the Gordon Growth Model.

V=\frac{D}{(r-g)}V=(r−g)D
By subtracting the growth number, the cash flows are discounted by a lower
number, which results in a higher value.

Considerations
Although preferred shares offer a dividend, which is usually guaranteed, the
payment can be cut if there are not enough earnings to accommodate a
distribution; you need to account for this risk. The risk increases as the payout
ratio (dividend payment compared to earnings) increases. Also, if the dividend
has a chance of growing, then the value of the shares will be higher than the
result of the calculation given above.

Preferred shares usually lack the voting rights of common shares. This might be
a valuable feature to individuals who own large amounts of shares, but for the
average investor, this voting right does not have much value. However, you
should still consider it when evaluating the marketability of preferred shares.

Preferred shares have an implied value similar to a bond, which means it will
move inversely with interest rates. When the market interest rate rises, then the
value of preferred shares will fall. This is to account for other investment
opportunities and is reflected in the discount rate used.

Something else to note is whether shares have a call provision, which essentially
allows a company to take the shares off the market at a predetermined price. If
the preferred shares are callable, then purchasers should pay less than they
would if there was no call provision. That's because it's a benefit to the issuing
company because they can essentially issue new shares at a lower dividend
payment.

The Bottom Line


Preferred shares are a type of equity investment that provides a steady stream of
income and potential appreciation. Both of these features need to be taken into
account when attempting to determine their value. Calculations using the
dividend discount model are difficult because of the assumptions involved, such
as the required rate of return, growth, or length of higher returns.

The dividend payment is usually easy to find, but the difficult part comes when
this payment is changing or potentially could change in the future. Also, finding a
proper discount rate can be very difficult, and if this number is off, then it could
drastically change the calculated value of the shares.

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