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2011 Canadian Hotel Investment Report
Sheraton Centre Toronto Hotel Four Seasons Hotel Toronto Hyatt Regency Montréal InterContinental Montréal Hilton Vancouver Metrotown
1,377-rooms 380-rooms 605-rooms 357-rooms 283-rooms
Sold Apr. 2001 for $75M* Sold Apr. 2005 for $115M Sold Apr. 2007* & May 2008 Sold Jul. 2007 for $49M Sold Mar. 2007 & Oct. 2010
$108,900 per room $302,600 per room $58.5M, $97,900 per room $137,300 per room $41.2M & $44M
Buyer: American Buyer: Saudi Buyers: American & Buyer: Swedish $145,600 & $155,500 per room
*
50% leasehold interest acquired Swedish Buyer: Korean (both)
2007 sale details n/a
*
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
capital and aggressive underwriting, paired with an abundance The country’s healthy fiscal position and solid banking sector,
of private equity raised and now moving off the sidelines, combined with employment hitting an all-time high and the
second tier US hotel companies are finding it difficult to economy outperforming other industrialized nations with
compete for transactions as the investment environment has amongst the highest GDP growth in 2010, all contribute to
quickly accelerated, and are therefore looking outside of the a favourable investment climate. Canada also does not put
country for opportunities. restrictions on the repatriation of capital or profit by foreign
investors and corporate tax rates are amongst the lowest of
Foreign ownership will likely accelerate as quality, well industrialized nations.
located assets, along with a reemergence of portfolio deals, are
expected to be brought to market in Canada. Sellers, who As we enter a new era, Canada’s economic promise and
were reluctant to put their properties up for sale 12 months market dynamics should attract strong interest from foreign
ago, are motivated by increasing buy-side demand that has capital sources seeking long-term growth with minimal risk.
vastly improved the bid-ask gap. This is further supported by The country’s compelling economic backbone, outlook for
investors underwriting a robust recovery in 2011-2013 that will continued strength in the Canadian dollar and enviable fiscal
enhance both top- and bottom-line performance comparing position will offer security to investors.
favourably to past levels.
Transaction Analysis
Transaction activity in the hotel sector has perked conversion to student residences; Hotel Gouverneur Ste-Foy
up since the cyclical lows of 2009. Positive ($17.4 million or $54,400 per room) – sold for redevelopment;
and Pacific Palisades Hotel in Vancouver ($47.0 million or
indicators include the rise in average transaction
$201,600 per room) – conversion to rental apartments.
size and the balancing of east/west asset pricing and
volume, supported by improving macro-economic The third quarter represented about one-third of the year’s
conditions, the return of credit and improvement volume, with the largest transactions of 2010 occurring
in September, namely the Sheraton Fallsview Hotel &
in hotel operating fundamentals. Conference Centre ($70.0 million or $172,000 per room) and
Marriott Niagara Falls Hotel Fallsview & Spa ($76.4 million
Hotel investment activity demonstrated encouraging year- or $176,900 per room). Also transacting that quarter was the
over-year progress in 2010. Nationally, 86 hotels were reported Crowne Plaza Chateau Lacombe in Edmonton selling for
sold, with transaction volume coming in at approximately $47.8 million ($155,700 per room) – the first time since 2005
$720 million, up 73% from the cyclical lows of 2009. While that a single asset had sold in downtown Edmonton over the
the number of trades grew modestly (up from 74 in 2009), $10 million threshold. Significant transactions in the fourth
the average deal size increased to $8.3 million, up from $5.6 quarter included the Hilton Vancouver Metrotown in Burnaby
million the year before, indicating the return of liquidity to which sold to a Korean based real estate company for $44.0
the sector. The growing transaction environment supported million ($155,500 per room) and the Four Points by Sheraton
average per room pricing of $83,000, an upward move of 27% Mississauga Meadowvale selling for $17.2 million ($83,900 per
from the $65,500 recorded in 2009. room).
Approximately 31% of volume was attributed to 15 hotels Full service hotel deal size averaged $23.5 million in value
selling for redevelopment or conversion to alternate uses, compared to $3.4 million for limited service hotels and
reflective of the evolving highest and best use of real estate comprised 69% and 31% of total volume respectively (full
in markets where assets have reached their economic life as service transactions represented only 19% of total volume
hotels, or require significant repositioning for a more profitable last year). A total of four strategic sales (definition on page
use. The year started with the sale of the Clarion Hotel & 6) occurred during the year, making up 31% of the total
Suites Centreville in Montréal ($17.1 million or $64,300 per transaction volume and averaging $55 million in deal size
room) and Le Meridien King Edward Hotel in Toronto ($48.0 (no strategic trades occurred in 2009). In another context,
million or $161,000 per room), the former of which has since 15 hotels sold over the $10 million threshold (one more than
been converted to rental apartments and the latter acquired to 2009) and represented 66% of the total transaction market
rehabilitate three vacant floors into residential condominiums, (vs. 52% in 2009). These key liquidity metrics provide solid
among other planned capital projects. This theme continued evidence of improved sentiment in the sector.
in the second quarter with the Courtyard by Marriott in
downtown Montréal ($12.3 million or $68,000 per room) –
The majority of trades (76%) were limited The average size of a full service hotel trade
service, although comprised just 31% of increased 194% year-over-year, up from $8.0
the year’s total transaction volume. million in 2009.
Buyer Profile
A cross-section of capital sources acquired assets in 2010. As a result, debt for hotel acquisitions returned with proven
Hotel investment companies and private investors were the borrowers able to achieve attractive rates that averaged between
largest acquirers, each representing 34% of total transaction 4% and 7%. Colliers’ Canadian Hotel Investment Sentiment
volume. Private investors purchased 63 hotels, or 73% of the Survey released in January 2011 demonstrates this dichotomy
hotels sold, while hotel investment companies purchased just in the spread in rates with 38% of respondents feeling debt had
eight hotels or 9% of the total number of hotels sold. Real become more expensive in the past 12 months while about
estate companies represented 17% of volume with five trades,
for the most part acquiring for redevelopment/alternate use
Hotel investors are moving “off the sidelines” to
plays. Government institutions selectively acquired to convert
take advantage of cyclical buying opportunities.
to alternate use (for example student or social housing) – a
similar trend to last year. REITs were inactive except for
one purchase by a non-hotel REIT as a real estate play for the same amount responded the opposite; reflecting a market
long-term redevelopment to alternate use. The only cross where pricing is driven by the quality of the borrower, level of
border transaction to occur in 2010 was the Hilton Vancouver debt and overall security. Lenders are increasingly focusing on
Metrotown. There were four portfolio transactions recorded in-place cashflow, and a debt yield of 12% to 15% to determine
proceeds. In addition to debt service coverage ratios and loan-
to-value metrics, many lenders are taking proactive steps in
Transaction Volume by Buyer Profile underwriting to perform proper upfront due diligence on
the local market, sponsor, brand and management as well as
2%
5% growth potential in order to measure risk and size the loan
7%
proceeds.
Hotel Investment Company
Private Investors While acquisition financing has returned to the hotel sector,
34%
Real Estate Company debt for construction financing remains scarce and likely will
17% High Net Worth
Institutional not return for another 12 to 18 months.
REIT
Operating Fundamentals and Supply Growth
34%
Operating metrics bottomed in January 2010 and most major
markets have since trended consistently positive, helping
fuel the transaction market. According to PKF Consulting,
occupancy and rates improved in the largest downtown markets:
in 2010, including a five-property Super 8 portfolio in Québec, Vancouver, Toronto and Montréal, with RevPAR advances
and the two-property Niagara Falls Portfolio consisting of the strongest in Vancouver (+20%) with heavy lift attributed to
full service Marriott and Sheraton. There was a combination the Olympics related demand in the first quarter. Toronto
of new private investors entering the hotel sector in 2010 and (+17%) and Montréal (+15%) bounced back with support from
existing owner-operators expanding their portfolio in markets local events including the G-8/20 meetings in Toronto in
where they see upside potential and asset synergies with their
existing properties.
Strongest Supply Growth Markets
Financing Environment
LOCATION % CHANGE ‘09-’10
Credit returned to the market after a deep freeze in 2009. Richmond/Vancouver Airport 10.9%
Historically low interest rates, supported by the 5-year
Vancouver Downtown 5.3%
Government of Canada bond yield that ranged between 1.9%
and 2.5% in the last quarter of 2010 (all-time low of 1.5% Montréal Airport 5.2%
June and return of the Grand Prix event to Montréal in July. • Strong demand for hotel investment properties will
On a national basis, RevPAR advances averaged 5.5% across intensify competition and more owners will place
the board, with occupancy rates up 3.4% and average rates up their properties on the market; transaction volume
2.1%. should increase 20-30% from 2010 levels.
• As larger assets come to market, private investors
National supply levels are estimated to have increased by will have to compete with capital laden REITs, private
approximately 1.5% in 2010. Notwithstanding the tempered equity funds and hotel investment companies.
level of supply, various cities exhibited above-average growth in • Foreign interest will grow over the next 12 months,
2010 including Richmond/Vancouver Airport and Downtown with international buyers attracted to Canada’s enviable
Vancouver (on the completion of hotel construction projects economic profile as a suitable environment to grow capital.
for the Olympics) and Montréal Airport, Calgary, and Toronto • Compression on cap rates will continue with investors
Airport. Supply is expected to remain constrained in the near- underwriting a robust recovery and attributing values
term, which should further assist in the recovery of RevPAR more in line with stabilized operating results.
across Canada. • Financing availability, along with historically low interest
rates will facilitate growth in the average transaction size.
• Distressed property sales will taper as lenders
have largely acted on bad loans.
* Strategic transactions typically involve at least two of the following conditions: 1) a pricing premium is paid; 2) the asset is located in a high barrier to entry market or within a geographic hub of an owner’s
principal business; or 3) the opportunity allows for an extension of the company’s brand or portfolio.
1
Excludes the sale of eight hotels owned by Westmont/Whitehall Partnership to Westmont/Kimco for $100 million as well as three hotels owned by Pacrim Hospitality to Holloway Lodging REIT for $28.5 million.
2
Excludes the sale of seven hotels owned by the Westmont/Whitehall Patrnership to InnVest REIT for $85.3 million.
3
Excludes the sale of nine hotels owned by Westmont/Whitehall Partnership to InnVest REIT for a total of $111 million.
4
Excludes the sale of 114 hotels owned by the Westmont/Whitehall Partnership to InnVest REIT for approximately $865 million.
Montréal Downtown
>
500
>
Victoria
Vancouver Downtown
400
Vancouver Airport
Whistler
Calgary
350
Edmonton
Alberta Mountain Resorts
>
300 Regina/Saskatoon
Toronto Airport West
Winnipeg
Canadian National Average
>
Toronto North/Parklands
>
Montreal Downtown
Winnipeg
150 Montreal Airport
100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F
Market Area 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011F
CPI Index1
Annual % Change 2.7% 2.5% 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 0.3% 2.2% 2.7%
Canadian National Avg. 205.5 199.4 196.0 183.4 193.3 214.4 240.8 271.4 267.7 248.1 255.6 269.3
% Change 1.6% -3.0% -1.7% -6.4% 5.4% 11.0% 12.3% 12.7% -1.4% -7.3% 3.0% 5.3%
Victoria 149.4 136.1 140.5 141.6 148.0 159.5 172.9 188.9 178.7 156.7 159.8 166.5
% Change -6.8% -8.9% 3.2% 0.8% 4.5% 7.8% 8.4% 9.2% -5.4% -12.3% 2.0% 4.2%
Vancouver Downtown 155.1 144.7 147.0 149.9 161.6 184.6 218.2 263.3 268.3 246.3 255.7 278.7
% Change -4.3% -6.7% 1.6% 2.0% 7.8% 14.2% 18.2% 20.7% 1.9% -8.2% 3.8% 9.0%
Vancouver Airport 90.9 83.4 80.6 78.2 81.0 87.0 95.2 104.8 105.8 98.2 100.1 105.9
% Change -17.5% -8.2% -3.4% -3.0% 3.6% 7.4% 9.4% 10.1% 1.0% -7.2% 1.9% 5.8%
Whistler 140.2 143.6 148.1 149.7 153.8 164.2 177.7 191.9 184.2 166.9 167.2 170.4
% Change 6.3% 2.4% 3.1% 1.1% 2.7% 6.8% 8.2% 8.0% -4.0% -9.4% 0.2% 1.9%
Calgary 173.0 167.6 169.7 168.0 176.9 201.7 234.3 274.2 282.7 259.2 261.3 271.0
% Change -2.5% -3.1% 1.3% -1.0% 5.3% 14.0% 16.2% 17.0% 3.1% -8.3% 0.8% 3.7%
Edmonton 140.9 145.5 151.7 147.1 152.0 165.5 186.9 209.3 213.1 198.4 204.7 218.4
% Change 1.0% 3.3% 4.2% -3.0% 3.3% 8.9% 12.9% 12.0% 1.8% -6.9% 3.2% 6.7%
Alberta Mountain Resorts 183.2 188.0 197.5 197.5 201.5 220.0 247.0 284.6 277.8 252.5 250.0 255.0
% Change 3.2% 2.6% 5.1% 0.0% 2.0% 9.2% 12.3% 15.2% -2.4% -9.1% -1.0% 2.0%
Regina/Saskatoon 152.0 149.3 149.1 154.2 156.8 166.5 178.3 193.3 205.3 212.5 224.0 237.6
% Change 0.0% -1.8% -0.1% 3.4% 1.7% 6.2% 7.1% 8.4% 6.2% 3.5% 5.4% 6.1%
Winnipeg 141.3 133.7 127.0 122.2 123.9 128.6 134.3 141.7 146.3 148.7 154.6 163.3
% Change -9.2% -5.4% -5.0% -3.8% 1.4% 3.8% 4.4% 5.5% 3.3% 1.6% 4.0% 5.6%
Toronto North/East 279.3 254.7 223.1 183.8 199.5 225.8 258.1 289.0 282.1 257.0 263.2 278.2
% Change 6.9% -8.8% -12.4% -17.6% 8.5% 13.2% 14.3% 12.0% -2.4% -8.9% 2.4% 5.7%
Toronto Downtown 325.9 312.2 305.3 274.8 309.4 367.2 437.4 536.2 530.9 476.7 506.8 548.8
% Change 1.2% -4.2% -2.2% -10.0% 12.6% 18.7% 19.1% 22.6% -1.0% -10.2% 6.3% 8.3%
Toronto Airport West 300.7 255.0 221.6 181.7 196.6 228.3 267.8 316.0 310.6 264.9 276.8 294.6
% Change 3.0% -15.2% -13.1% -18.0% 8.2% 16.1% 17.3% 18.0% -1.7% -14.7% 4.5% 6.4%
Niagara Falls 199.5 198.5 202.7 168.8 189.3 214.8 245.3 280.4 274.0 254.5 256.8 262.5
% Change 2.6% -0.5% 2.1% -16.7% 12.1% 13.5% 14.2% 14.3% -2.3% -7.1% 0.9% 2.2%
Ottawa 207.5 210.8 197.8 198.0 202.2 219.7 242.8 267.1 270.8 265.4 274.7 287.3
% Change 9.4% 1.6% -6.2% 0.1% 2.1% 8.7% 10.5% 10.0% 1.4% -2.0% 3.5% 4.6%
Montréal Downtown 295.5 307.9 324.2 328.1 345.5 392.8 450.2 504.2 477.0 450.2 473.7 506.8
% Change 6.7% 4.2% 5.3% 1.2% 5.3% 13.7% 14.6% 12.0% -5.4% -5.6% 5.2% 7.0%
Montréal Airport 248.2 261.6 266.3 266.8 275.1 293.8 307.0 319.3 293.1 267.6 271.4 279.8
% Change 8.3% 5.4% 1.8% 0.2% 3.1% 6.8% 4.5% 4.0% -8.2% -8.7% 1.4% 3.1%
Halifax/Dartmouth 197.5 198.3 201.7 208.0 212.5 225.1 239.7 249.3 249.8 242.5 245.2 252.6
% Change 2.4% 0.4% 1.7% 3.1% 2.2% 5.9% 6.5% 4.0% 0.2% -2.9% 1.1% 3.0%
The Hotel Value Index measures the rate of change in hotel values on a year over year basis. Rates of change are influenced by investor yield expectations, market performance, changes to supply and the overall
economic health of the market.
2011F = Forecast
1
CPI Index: Conference Board of Canada
Footnotes:
1
Purchased for conversion to rental apartments. 19
The sale included 106 units that were unsold from the 214 unit strata-titled
2
The property is located on 16.7 acres and includes a 12 acre vineyard and restaurant. development. The Property includes approximately 38,000 SF of “warm” shell amenity
3
Formerly the 129-room Ramada Coral Inn Resort (Closed Q4, 2008) and 73-room space, which is being used to construct a spa, pools, restaurant among other amenities.
Ramada Suites Niagara & Conference Centre (closed Q1 2009). 20
At the time of sale, 96 units were out of inventory.
4
Included excess land. 21
The property sold by expropriation from the Ontario provincial government.
5
Three vacant floors will be converted to residential uses. 22
Includes two acres of land and has since been closed for redevelopment.
6
Includes 51 of 77 strata lots, train station and land for additional strata lots. Price per 23
Includes a 27 hole golf course.
room not applicable. 24
Purchased for alternate use.
7
Purchased by the City of Edmonton for urban renewal. 25
The Vendor will continue to manage the hotel in the short-term. Alternate use
8
The property was purchased for future re-development. anticipated.
9
Purchased for conversion to student residences. 26
The transaction was structured under a lease agreement with a guaranteed buy-out.
10
The site includes significant excess density. The purchaser plans on developing 27
Part of a two property portfolio. The allocation of price may not be accurate.
299,000 SF of office space. 28
Share sale. Part of a two property portfolio.
11
The Property is improved by a partially completed townhouse complex. 29
The property was vacant at the time of sale. New ownership intends to refurbish and
12
The transaction was structured under a lease agreement with a guaranteed buy-out. reopen as a resort facility.
13
Sold for conversion to non-profit housing. 30
Improvements will be torn down for redevelopment to alternate use.
14
The Resort includes 51 units within 40 strata lots. The Purchaser plans to add 31
Converting to affordable housing. Part of a two property portfolio.
additional units. 32
Includes 33 rooms and 19 cottages.
15
The hotel was previously operated by Kimpton Hotels and was shut down effective April
2010. Converting to rental apartments. ∆
Distress sale sold under power of sale or receivership.
16
Part of a five-property portfolio sale. * Strategic sale.
17
50% share sale.
18
Transfer of security on a new hotel under construction. Source: Colliers International Hotels
Alam Pirani
+1 416 643 3414
alam.pirani@colliers.com
Tom Andrews
+1 604 661 0846
tom.andrews@colliers.com
Robin McLuskie
+1 416 643 3456
robin.mcluskie@colliers.com
Russell Beaudry
+1 416 643 3761
russell.beaudry@colliers.com
Amy Kwan
+1 416 643 3497
amy.kwan@colliers.com
www.colliershotels.com
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